And some other updates at Hot Air.

Update: Toomey pulls ahead!

Update: I thought I read earlier, or heard, Etheridge had won over Renee Ellmers -- but rdbrewer writes that Ellmers is only 500 votes behind (via Michelle Malkin).

Update: Nikki Haley's lead grows a bit. Thank Goodness.

Update: Zack Space (D) loses in OH, to Republican Gibbs. This was one of the ones on Nate Silver's "Super Wave" third column list.

More On PA: The Super Wave is definitely alive and well in Pennsy.

PA-3 R pickup

PA-4 is close and this was considered a solid D as Altmire is essentially and Republican

PA-7 likely R pickup if numbers hold

PA-8 R pickup if numbers hold

PA-10 R pickup if numbers hold

PA-11 R pickup if numbers hold.

PA-12 Murtha's old seat. It is close, Critz is up, but not by much.

That is five pickup with the chance of 7

Thanks to a reader. Hey, sorry, forget who!

On the downside, Anna Little has lost to Frank Pallone in NJ-6. Damn. She was slightly ahead for a while.

Jon Runyan is cruising to victory in NJ-3, though.

SPRATT FALLS IN SC-56 TO MICK MULVANEY.

Whew! We're gettin' some of our wins now.

RICK BERG DEFEATS EARL POMEROY IN ND.

DEBBIE HALVORSON LOSES TO ADAM KINZINGER IN IL-11.

By the way, the Ace of Spades Decision Desk is about to make a fucking call on Phil Hare.

Ohio Takeovers... "random" writes--

OH1 (Nate Silver #8 ) +5, 86% reported TAKEOVER
OH6 (Silver #58 ) down to +6 but 94% reported TAKEOVER
OH15 (Silver #10) +15, 54% reported TAKEOVER
OH16 (Silver#32) +13, 75% reported TAKEOVER
OH18 (Silver #69) +14, 92% reported CALLED TAKEOVER

OH Gov
49-47 Kasich (R), 77% reported 2 point lead 85K votes lead

OH Sen
Portman (R) up by 20

Five out of OH is part of the big wave.

What we're finding is that, like, yeah, MA is lost to us, forever, even this year.

NYS? We'll see. It hurts that we had a buffoon running for Governor. That may have hurt a lot of Congressional aspirants.

But the bluest states are staying quite blue.

I thought we could get big gains there.

But it's in the South, the West, and the Midwest -- the right-leaning and swing areas -- where the wave is in fact crashing hard.

So, MA is unpersuadable... but suddenly NJ is in play. That's something.

Posted by: Ace at 06:44 PM | Comments (446)
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GA-8, Austin Scott kicks out Jim Marshall.

GA-2, Keown trumps Bishop. (I don't play chess or bridge)

Two picks!

Posted by: Dave in Texas at 06:43 PM | Comments (11)
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Awesome get.

Posted by: DrewM at 06:38 PM | Comments (59)
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If things get too crazy, consider this thread a rallying point.

You like pudding? Then How Bout Some Giga Pudding?

Warning: the song is addictive. And yes you can actually buy some Giga Pudding here.

Posted by: Maetenloch at 06:21 PM | Comments (919)
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Send your updates to laura w TIPS AT gmail doot coom

SKIP AHEAD TO THE NEWEST UPDATES UNDER THE FOLD. GOOD NEWS! TWO REPUBLICAN PICKUPS IN THE HOUSE AND THE GOVERNORSHIP LIKELY.

UPDATED AGAIN: MAKE THAT ONE HOUSE PICKUP, CALIGIURI FALLING BEHIND.

FINAL UPDATE: CONNECTICUT IS BONED.
City precincts coming in late, they all want their sugar-frosted unicorns and they want them to be free! YAYYYY! more...

Posted by: LauraW at 06:08 PM | Comments (312)
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Not the big lead we'd thought -- very close, tens of thousands of votes out of 2 million+ cast.

Toomey remains nip and tuck with Sestak.

Dahlkemper Loses to Kelly, as expected. This was one of the gimmes.

Lou Barletta Wins over Kanjorski. Another one we sort of expected as among the lower-hanging fruit. Sorry! Actually this one is in the "Bonus Damage"/Big Wave category.

Posted by: Ace at 06:05 PM | Comments (121)
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Another R pick-up.

Two more!

DesJarlais TN-4, Black TN-6 and Fincher TN-8 (Andy) TN sweep!

Also, goodbye Chet Edwards, TX-17 (DiT)

UPDATE: Hoeven picks up another GOP Senate seat in ND.

Posted by: Ace at 06:05 PM | Comments (483)
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Boom.

We're going willy-nilly with the threads now -- the way we used to. We're getting all confused at trying to keep this organized. Let chaos reign.

Posted by: Ace at 06:02 PM | Comments (54)
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These results are a "second chance" for the Republican Party, a "second chance to be what they said they would be, so long ago."

Posted by: Ace at 05:31 PM | Comments (45)
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Damnnit. As it stands, it looks like 14%.

Well, Sean Bielat will be back. A lot of the guys who lost this year will be back.

Oh: Keep in mind, a lot of senior Democrats (not Frank, alas) will probably retire.

That means that some of our guys will get another bite at the apple in six months or a year.

And they'll have name recognition, yo.

Posted by: Ace at 05:24 PM | Comments (104)
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