December 20, 2009
— Open Blog I've just finished separate articles by Patrick Michaels of the Cato Institute, and Lawrence Solomon of the Financial Times. Together they describe the two distinct but strategically reinforcing tactics in manipulating both professional and public opinion.
(UPDATE on Wiki below the fold)
Michaels is one of the climatologists referred to as one of the "M"s in the "M&M"s that ClimateGate email references.
There are three that often get conflated and lead to some confusion. Steven McIntyre, Ross McItrick, and Patrick Michaels.
McIntyre & McItrick are the statistician/economist duo whose analysis broke Michael Mann's hockey sticks, while Michaels was a climatologist whose original sin in 2002 appears to have been questioning not AGW, so much as its degree thus far and the worst-case projections.
In this article, Michaels recounts this and other notable published papers that drew the ire of AGW high-priests such as Michael Mann of Penn State, Phil Jones of CRU, and Tom Wigley of the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, and describes the result of their witch-hunt after his 2002 paper:
Mr. Mann called upon his colleagues to try and put Climate Research out of business. "Perhaps we should encourage our colleagues in the climate research community to no longer submit to, or cite papers in, this journal," he wrote in one of the emails. "We would also need to consider what we tell or request of our more reasonable colleagues who currently sit on the editorial board."After Messrs. Jones and Mann threatened a boycott of publications and reviews, half the editorial board of Climate Research resigned. People who didn't toe Messrs. Wigley, Mann and Jones's line began to experience increasing difficulty in publishing their results.
This scorched-earth strategy was repeated in other editorial boards of other journals and even Universities, and created a threatening climate wherein those scientists who may have doubts were told implicitly (and explicitly if necessary) to shut-up and toe the line, lest you suffer the fate of other AGW heretics:
The result of all this is that our refereed literature has been inestimably damaged, and reputations have been trashed. Mr. Wigley repeatedly tells news reporters not to listen to "skeptics" (or even nonskeptics like me), because they didn't publish enough in the peer-reviewed literature—even as he and his friends sought to make it difficult or impossible to do so.
Fundamental to the selling of the Hockey Stick to the Scientific community was the deletion from statistical history the well-known incidents known as the Medieval Warm Period and the Little Ice Age.
Of ongoing frustration to many of us on this side of the AGW debate are the polls showing that while public support of things like Cap and Trade is waning, there is still a majority who believe the Anthropogenic (and by popular definition this means CO2) part of AGW is significant and potentially dangerous. This is a vestige not of scientific "consensus", but of the lasting effects of a strategy by AGW proponents to create a public movement to support what, ultimately, their science could not.
Lawrence Solomon unwinds evidence in the ClimateGate emails that demonstrate a dedicated effort to manipulate public perception via Wikipedia.
Part of the effort to beat back the skeptical arguments they could never fully repress via their peer-review & academic scorched earth tactics was the creation of the Real Climate blog.
"The idea is that we working climate scientists should have a place where we can mount a rapid response to supposedly 'bombshell' papers that are doing the rounds" in aid of "combating dis-information..."
Solomon discovers in the emails that one member of the RealClimate cadre, U.K. scientist and Green Party activist William Connolley, was assigned the specific duty of scouring Wikipedia for dissenting information:
Starting in February 2003, just when opposition to the claims of the band members were beginning to gel, Connolley set to work on the Wikipedia site. He rewrote Wikipedia's articles on global warming, on the greenhouse effect, on the instrumental temperature record, on the urban heat island, on climate models, on global cooling. On Feb. 14, he began to erase the Little Ice Age; on Aug. 11, the Medieval Warm Period. In October, he turned his attention to the hockey stick graph. He rewrote articles on the politics of global warming and on the scientists who were skeptical of the band. Richard Lindzen and Fred Singer, two of the world's most distinguished climate scientists, were among his early targets, followed by others that the band especially hated, such as Willie Soon and Sallie Baliunas of the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, authorities on the Medieval Warm Period.All told, Connolley created or rewrote 5,428 unique Wikipedia articles. His control over Wikipedia was greater still, however, through the role he obtained at Wikipedia as a website administrator, which allowed him to act with virtual impunity. When Connolley didn't like the subject of a certain article, he removed it -- more than 500 articles of various descriptions disappeared at his hand. When he disapproved of the arguments that others were making, he often had them barred -- over 2,000 Wikipedia contributors who ran afoul of him found themselves blocked from making further contributions. Acolytes whose writing conformed to Connolley's global warming views, in contrast, were rewarded with Wikipedia's blessings. In these ways, Connolley turned Wikipedia into the missionary wing of the global warming movement.
(all emphasis mine)
Granted, those with a skeptical intellect know better than to trust Wikipedia on any matter, much less one of such a heated political debate. But unfortunately, most people are not skeptical, and most Media are not inclined to research any deeper that an easy online source such as Wiki those argument that mesh nicely with their foundational biases. Both groups fall victim of the Appeal to Authority tactic so cynically engaged in by the RealClimate and AGW salesmen.
I am confident that as more raw data is independently reviewed and publicized, public perception of this will continue turn to skepticism, and eventually the polls will reflect and judge fully the AGW fraud the real science is uncovering.
UPDATE via WUWT:
In September 2009, the Wikipedia Arbitration Committee revoked Mr. ConnolleyÂ’s administrator status after finding that he misused his administrative privileges while involved in a dispute unrelated to climate warming. This has now been added to his article.
Of course it's unrelated. The science is "settled" after all.
Posted by: Open Blog at
10:44 AM
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Posted by: eman at December 20, 2009 10:48 AM (yf/JJ)
In September 2009, the Wikipedia Arbitration Committee revoked Mr. ConnolleyÂ’s administrator status after finding that he misused his administrative privileges while involved in a dispute unrelated to climate warming.
.. bit wait ...
I wouldnÂ’t break out the champagne just yet. William Connelly ran for a seat on the Arbitration Committee.
Current results here:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:ACE2009
It looks like he wonÂ’t make the nine member cut, but with Wiki, who the heck knows for sureÂ…
Posted by: Neo at December 20, 2009 10:57 AM (tE8FB)
Posted by: Rod Rescueman at December 20, 2009 11:04 AM (QxGmu)
Posted by: Dr. Spank at December 20, 2009 11:05 AM (muUqs)
2 ...Basically, theft prep-work for authoritarian mind-control on a planetary scale.
FTFY. Oh sure, maybe a bit of an exaggeration now, but just let the perpretrators of this scam keep the huge wealth they stole through it, and let them avoid the public and professional excoriation they deserve, and within a generation, it won't be. It will spread to other fields (if it hasn't already) and Western science will be on the way to becoming "Soviet science".
Posted by: sherlock at December 20, 2009 11:05 AM (ktKOD)
Be interesting to see if the wiki articles will gain some perspective now.
Posted by: krakatoa at December 20, 2009 11:05 AM (hQbvm)
Posted by: stuiec at December 20, 2009 11:11 AM (Ate22)
So like this is a topic that is hard to blog while drinking and watching football I guess ha?
It's for your own good
Posted by: The Mrs. at December 20, 2009 11:13 AM (d7Px0)
Posted by: JHTRazor at December 20, 2009 11:15 AM (GsUq0)
I posted about Weakypedia's tactics many times. I think it may have been Solomon who wrote about it over a year ago, too. If I have the time I'll give it a look.
Posted by: K~Bob at December 20, 2009 11:17 AM (9b6FB)
...he misused his administrative privileges while involved in a dispute unrelated to climate warming.
Apparently it's okay if he misuses his privileges, if it's related to climate warming, because you see there are no other valid opinions! Wikipedia, just the latest stop on the "long march through the insitutions".
We need to clean these rats out, starting with the Congress and the leftist bureaucrats who fund and protect them! Biggest mistake GWB ever made was not conducting a bloodbath of political appointees on day one. Hopefully, Sarah won't make it too, because she has felt the bite of the rattlesnakes that infest the DC and state-level bureacracies.
Posted by: sherlock at December 20, 2009 11:17 AM (ktKOD)
Posted by: moi at December 20, 2009 11:19 AM (hIhu1)
Posted by: nevergiveup at December 20, 2009 11:19 AM (UF00K)
I say fraud not in terms of it being a 100% certainty that there is no global warming
You are aware that global temperatures have been DECLINING for 11 years, since 1998, and that in the last 18 months or thereabouts, sunspot activity has fallen off so precipitously that we are now facing the very real peril of entering into a new mini-Ice Age, right?
Right?
Bueller?!?
Posted by: Dubious at December 20, 2009 11:32 AM (z4ZZc)
If you reich-wing, neo-luddite, knuckle dragging flat-earthers think denying settled science will help your purely political cause, think again:
AP Poll: Most see climate change as serious
Three of every four Americans view climate change as a serious problem that will harm future generations if not addressed, according to an Associated Press-Stanford University poll.
The survey also said that about the same number of people say the Earth probably already is warming, slightly fewer than the percentage expressing that view when asked the same question a year ago.
See ya at the polls in 2010.
Posted by: Trofim Lysenko at December 20, 2009 11:35 AM (7+pP9)
If you reich-wing, neo-luddite, knuckle dragging flat-earthers think denying settled science will help your purely political cause, think again:
Winning friends and influencing people. Thats the Moonbat way. Give me your address and I'll overnight you a box of Kleenex and some Xanax the first Tuesday in November 2010.
Posted by: Blazer at December 20, 2009 11:41 AM (+FzLa)
Saw this from MacQ at Townhall and thought it was worth stealing/reposting.
"Not content with redistributing our "wealth" here at home, they have to offer it up to the rest of the world too. So, we're going to borrow more money from China--to pay China to go green? That makes liberal sense"
Posted by: sirsurfalot at December 20, 2009 11:44 AM (UPNlB)
Posted by: Soap MacTavish at December 20, 2009 11:56 AM (554T5)
Posted by: t-bird at December 20, 2009 11:59 AM (FcR7P)
Posted by: Barry O at December 20, 2009 12:00 PM (cSlAY)
Man is a very small pack of fleas on top of a very large elephant.
The gorebal warming numbnuts just want to tell other people how to live.
The self-importance of gorebal warming idiots is astounding.
They found a perfect messiah in Obambi.
Shut up and sip your chamomile while we try to keep the muz from sawing your head off on youtube, putz.
I am not going to live in a mud hut and wipe my ass on my hand like a cave man to make you green sissies feel good.
Posted by: sifty at December 20, 2009 12:03 PM (gyoAZ)
If you want to know we don't have men living on the Moon, or travelling to Mars, just do a back-of-the-envelope calculation of how much of our tax money NASA alone has pissed away on this bullshit. I'd like to see it taken out of the pensions of these bastards: they could be forced to sign it away right before they were lined-up and shot.
Posted by: sherlock at December 20, 2009 12:04 PM (ktKOD)
Posted by: the real joe at December 20, 2009 12:05 PM (SUYSs)
Posted by: CoolCzech at December 20, 2009 12:07 PM (QECjC)
Posted by: CoolCzech at December 20, 2009 12:10 PM (QECjC)
The insider deserves a cool billion $US and a statue. Seriously. That guy/gal is the most underappreciated hero in the rational world. A billion would actually be the bargain of the century compared to the vast, generational theft that was a hair's width from becoming reality.
And keep this person far away from this White House. S/He'd be a marked wo/man.
Posted by: AnonymousDrivel at December 20, 2009 12:13 PM (swuwV)
http://tinyurl.com/ykmtv92
Or just watch the entire news conference here. http://tinyurl.com/yfcg7x9
Posted by: sirsurfalot at December 20, 2009 12:15 PM (UPNlB)
They should just print more then. See, that was easy. With these kind of mad economic skillz, I think I should be a senator or maybe president.
Posted by: Purple Avenger at December 20, 2009 12:29 PM (2RJQo)
Posted by: CoolCzech at December 20, 2009 12:33 PM (QECjC)
Posted by: Corona at December 20, 2009 12:37 PM (woZIc)
Posted by: Yo Bama at December 20, 2009 12:42 PM (6MSE6)
Posted by: OneEyedJack at December 20, 2009 12:48 PM (Poe30)
sherlock -
just do a back-of-the-envelope calculation of how much of our tax money NASA alone has pissed away on this bullshit.
That's what has baked me the most and the longest over this distraction from real science over the past 2 decades.
Never before has so much been wasted on so little for so long.
Posted by: krakatoa at December 20, 2009 12:50 PM (hQbvm)
Posted by: Hamlet at December 20, 2009 01:05 PM (C39a6)
I think LBJ's "great society" social programs give it a good run. Most are still active, and many are actively counterproductive.
Posted by: Purple Avenger at December 20, 2009 01:07 PM (2RJQo)
You'd think the ad hominem attacks might go over better if you didn't pick a commie handle.
A couple of points:
A That dwarf Reich is YOUR guy
B You're actually claiming that global warming isn't a political cause??
Posted by: Winston Smith at December 20, 2009 01:15 PM (BFqyO)
Posted by: Reiver at December 20, 2009 01:43 PM (IVEt8)
I predict that the word "skeptic" will be mysteriously replaced by "heretic" in the upcoming Doublespeak Bible.
Trofim Lysenko is hoping to author one of its books as an apostle.
Posted by: St. Agnostic at December 20, 2009 02:06 PM (gbCNS)
Three of four Americans can't read at more than a fourth grade level. Doesn't mean it's a good thing, or a right thing.
Posted by: HeatherRadish at December 20, 2009 02:28 PM (6USny)
Trofim Lysenko.... What a grossly appropriate pseudonym for someone who uses pseudoscience to promote a ridiculous non-scientific theory about natural or biological processes that he has no understanding of, along with policy which will cause untold suffering, deaths, and communist slavery.
I'd link the Wiki article on Trofim, but given the topic of this discussion that'd be sort of ironic..
Posted by: Andrew Sullivan's Clutching Anus at December 20, 2009 02:58 PM (GB1t6)
http://tinyurl.com/yhqm9dq
Here's the links; don't know why this shitty software is having trouble with links.
Posted by: Andrew Sullivan's Clutching Anus at December 20, 2009 03:01 PM (GB1t6)
Gee-zo magneto, are you kiddin?? That's not a scientist, that's a propagandist.
Was he being paid by Wiki, or by some university? If the latter, he ought to repay his salary for that period, 'cause it's clear he was workin' full-time as minister of propaganda.
Posted by: sf at December 20, 2009 05:05 PM (xz5dP)
What happens when the sea ice melts? The sea level goes 1) up 2) down 3) stays the same. Remember that floating objects displace a volume of water with the same mass as the object.
My real problem with AGW is the creeping feeling that I've been written into a Hardy Boys adventure.
Posted by: Cincinnatus at December 20, 2009 05:46 PM (f4sLg)
1) McIntyre doesn't dispute the existence of AGW either, though he has expressed doubts about the size of the positive feedbacks predicted by the climate models.
2) According to McIntyre, the confusion between McIntyre and McKitrick and and Michaels and McKitrick was deliberately cultivated by the Hockey Team.
3)
Of course it's unrelated. The science is "settled" after all.
Connolley's dismissal as editor was largely unrelated to AGW; he lost his editorship in the Cold_fusion wars.
Posted by: anonymous irishman at December 20, 2009 11:54 PM (9g/zR)
See for example http://tinyurl.com/yctrlqu .
Posted by: anonymous irishman at December 21, 2009 05:37 AM (9g/zR)
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Posted by: nevergiveup at December 20, 2009 10:47 AM (UF00K)