December 12, 2009
— Ace If I'm reading the chart right (and I think I am), below shows not the temperature in Nashville, but the adjustments made to the temperature, going from raw readings to "homogenized" adjusted numbers. The scale on the left shows you the size of the adjustments.
You will notice that all early temperatures are adjusted downwards, which, in effect, adjusted the current temperature quite a bit upwards. (But note the current temperatures are barely being adjusted here; it's the older ones being pushed down.)

Here is the true trend in real temperatures vs. the supposed trend when the numbers are "homogenized."

Nashville's been trending quite a bit colder -- but once we homogenize, we get a slight upward trend.
How many of the world's weather stations are similarly homogenized to show trends that don't exist at all but for manipulation>
Full story at Watt's Up With That? I only do pictures.
Posted by: Ace at
04:47 PM
| Comments (62)
Post contains 162 words, total size 1 kb.
Posted by: eman at December 12, 2009 04:53 PM (iU0au)
Posted by: eman at December 12, 2009 08:53 PM (iU0au)
By AGW standards, though, it's: OMG, NASHVILLE IS GOING TO ICE OVER TOMORROW!!!!ELEVENTY!!!!
Posted by: AmishDude at December 12, 2009 04:56 PM (ItSLQ)
The answer is "bleeploads."
The reasoning for adjusting the past not the present appears to be "But here we agree with the satellites well, so the errors must be in the historic data." Ignoring the fact that a thermometer with a 0.1C error in 1900 (a mercury thermometer) is essentially just as useful as the fancies current weather station at measuring temperatures fifty miles away.
There's a set of plots by NOAA showing exactly what the net effect of each type of adjustment is - and they're most all strongly in the positive-slope direction. So "Urban Heat Island", the idea that a thermometer inside a small village near the barbeque isn't a good representative of the 100x100miles full of trees. So... adjust the historical record down. That makes loads of sense, but that's what they're doing.
Posted by: Al at December 12, 2009 04:57 PM (0lyUI)
Posted by: dr kill at December 12, 2009 04:57 PM (fnXhn)
Posted by: mystry at December 12, 2009 04:57 PM (kmgIE)
Posted by: Buzzsaw at December 12, 2009 04:57 PM (PNqW6)
Posted by: Al at December 12, 2009 04:58 PM (0lyUI)
Ace, of course past temperatures are dropping. As any child could tell you, things cool over time. This is due to the laws of thermodynamics and is beyond question. Science is built on the assumption that the past is as much subject to observable, testable, natural laws as the present, so the late 1800's and early 1900's can and must show a continual cooling trend. Entropy wasn't invented just yesterday, you know. This has to be taken into account when analyzing data, and such adjustments were long overdue. Thank goodness that climatologists are now getting suffient funding to make such adjustments.
Woot. Didn't that sound sciency?
I think I'll start a pool, betting how many days pass before a Hollywood actor echoes my spurious argument.
Posted by: George Turner at December 12, 2009 05:02 PM (mINv3)
Posted by: eman at December 12, 2009 05:06 PM (iU0au)
Posted by: dagny at December 12, 2009 05:07 PM (l4d3T)
It's the harmonizing that Nashville's known for. And the occasional mullet.
Well, things were colder a ways back--and everything was in black and white, people spoke in transatlantic accents, and a shiny dime could buy you steak and eggs and a bottle of sarsparilla down at ol' Holcomb's Diner. But don't talk about the weather with Mabel.
Posted by: Big Fat Meanie at December 12, 2009 05:15 PM (DPM1U)
Posted by: Ed Begley Jr's recycled urine at December 12, 2009 05:15 PM (4iIhs)
Posted by: Big Fat Meanie at December 12, 2009 05:17 PM (DPM1U)
Posted by: Prof M Mann at December 12, 2009 05:18 PM (fnXhn)
Posted by: eman at December 12, 2009 05:19 PM (iU0au)
Posted by: trainer at December 12, 2009 05:19 PM (of736)
Doctor Zero has a great post over at Hot Air.
..it's sort of a cross between an open letter to the GW cultists /dishonest climate scientists and a manifesto of how we will beat back their lies and propaganda
Posted by: beedubya at December 12, 2009 05:24 PM (AnTyA)
Posted by: logprof at December 12, 2009 05:24 PM (I3Udb)
I'm in underwear and socks only. I might open a window.
Posted by: RTH615 at December 12, 2009 05:25 PM (Rytlc)
Posted by: RTH615 at December 12, 2009 05:27 PM (Rytlc)
Posted by: Horny Climate "Scientists" and Conference Attendees at December 12, 2009 05:31 PM (ngven)
Posted by: Kratos (on the back of Gaia, scaling Mt Olympus) at December 12, 2009 05:38 PM (otlXg)
Litmus test question: Are you an Evangelical?
Oh you are! That's very righteous of you, now GTFO of here.
Posted by: Barbarian at December 12, 2009 05:49 PM (EL+OC)
Bueller? Bueller?
That depends how you define "accurate". If the data supports AGW (after considering the Mann adjustment), it's "accurate". If it doesn't, it is inaccurate.
Posted by: Kratos (on the back of Gaia, scaling Mt Olympus) at December 12, 2009 05:52 PM (otlXg)
Posted by: RTH615 at December 12, 2009 09:27 PM (Rytlc)
--*SIIIIIGH* These are the sacrifices I make for The Cause.
Posted by: Al Gore at December 12, 2009 05:55 PM (I3Udb)
Posted by: andycanuck at December 12, 2009 06:25 PM (2qU2d)
Posted by: mr.frakypants at December 12, 2009 06:45 PM (pffBj)
Posted by: stuiec at December 12, 2009 06:48 PM (Ate22)
Posted by: gus at December 12, 2009 06:56 PM (MaqIC)
Posted by: StrategicCorporalUSMC at December 12, 2009 07:37 PM (Nir5A)
Posted by: Marionette de Chausette at December 12, 2009 07:41 PM (PBTsv)
They seem to have gotten more votes than their opponents.
Talk about some data that needs "adjusting"!
-.
Posted by: Paul_In_Houston at December 12, 2009 07:48 PM (oxr2k)
Posted by: progressoverpeace at December 12, 2009 07:53 PM (A46hP)
Fing most lame argument I've heard yet but the echo chamber loves it.
Posted by: Buzzsaw at December 12, 2009 07:55 PM (PNqW6)
Posted by: Marionette de Chausette at December 12, 2009 08:12 PM (PBTsv)
Posted by: A.G. at December 12, 2009 08:32 PM (jBPzC)
Posted by: chicocano at December 12, 2009 08:57 PM (2n5cq)
The GIS stuff is just pure crap, not even worth wrapping fish in.
Posted by: Purple Avenger at December 12, 2009 09:02 PM (NTwCr)
Posted by: logprof at December 12, 2009 09:22 PM (I3Udb)
Posted by: Tom at December 12, 2009 11:27 PM (Cta0m)
The Bullshit Story of the day here from the AP. It came out late last night.
AP IMPACT: Science not faked, but not pretty
Link to story (Via RR; Fox is not carrying it)
Here are some excerpts, note that the actual story is very long:
LONDON— E-mails stolen from climate scientists show they stonewalled skeptics and discussed hiding data _ but the messages don't support claims that the science of global warming was faked, according to an exhaustive review by The Associated Press.
Right off the bat you can tell what the tenor of this article is going to be. The E-mails AND data were stolen. Most people now concede that the evidence shows the information was leaked by a whistleblower.
The 1,073 e-mails examined by the AP show that scientists harbored private doubts, however slight and fleeting, even as they told the world they were certain about climate change. However, the exchanges don't undercut the vast body of evidence showing the world is warming because of man-made greenhouse gas emissions.
Note more evidence of the AP bias here. They did not say they examined any of the actual data. They also use the term favored by the liberals “climate change” when it was found that actual temps were not increasing.
Some e-mails expressed doubts about the quality of individual temperature records or why models and data didn't quite match. Part of this is the normal give-and-take of research, but skeptics challenged how reliable certain data was.
One of the most disturbing elements suggests an effort to avoid sharing scientific data with critics skeptical of global warming. It is not clear if any data was destroyed; two U.S. researchers denied it.
Note again they refer ONLY to the E-mails themselves and they blame the difference in models and data as being the “give and take of research”. There is no attempt made by AP to check why these differences occurred. What actually occurred was differences in the actual raw data and the data used to input the so-called models. They call it the give and take, I call it doctoring the data to make the output conform to the desired outcome. Then there is the destroyed data statement. No, the e-mails said nothing about destroying raw data. Jones said that after the data was requested.
When the journal, Climate Research, published a skeptical study, Penn State scientist Mann discussed retribution this way: "Perhaps we should encourage our colleagues in the climate research community to no longer submit to, or cite papers in, this journal."
That skeptical study turned out to be partly funded by the American Petroleum Institute.
Anytime you see the statement that a study finding problems was funded by API (or any other non gov agency) you can pretty much write off the entire paper. This is a favorite whipping boy of the leftists. The fact is in a true study the source of funding should not make any difference. In addition, the API study released ALL of there data, methods, and work. The facts are that the AGW proponents have funding thousands of times higher than the skeptics and they refuse to release ANY of their work. The facts here speak for themselves.
As part of the AP review, summaries of the e-mails that raised issues from the potential manipulation of data to intensely personal attacks were sent to seven experts in research ethics, climate science and science policy.
Note once again, only the E-mails were sent to the “experts”. The e-mails by themselves only show a small part of the problem. The e-mails must be examined in light of the data that was also leaked, along with the work that has been done in parallel by what the AGW people call “skeptics”.
The facts are that the overwhelming body of evidence in which the actual work of the gov approved climate “scientists” have been examined it has been found that at every opportunity they have adjusted the raw data to match their desired outcome, they have cherry picked sample sources, they used temp and CO2 monitoring devices in bad locations, and in short done everything possible to influence the outcome to match their desired finding.
In short, the balance of the evidence shows that the AGW crap is a massive fraud. What is sad is that the supposed “free press” has been captured by the socialist government bodies and has become an active cheerleader in the swindle.
The AP story can be summed up as “we only write about the E-mails and this is a whitewash”.
Posted by: Vic at December 13, 2009 03:23 AM (CDUiN)
We don't count goatees. Because they're goatees.
It's science, wingnuts.
Posted by: Phil Jones and Michael Mann, SCIENTISTS! at December 13, 2009 04:35 AM (MMC8r)
Posted by: Uriel at December 13, 2009 06:57 AM (+F8Li)
These fuckers are doing ANYTHING to get the results they want and it's criminal. Putting the global economy at risk just because some tree huggers think teh hoominz teh eevul.
Bastards
Posted by: Melodic Metal at December 13, 2009 07:14 AM (9QC0z)
Posted by: John ryan at December 13, 2009 07:18 AM (m0Q2u)
They told you that personally I presume. Actually the U.S. Navy has been getting out of the boomer business and never used the ice back for boomers to begin with.
Posted by: Vic at December 13, 2009 07:21 AM (CDUiN)
Posted by: California Red at December 13, 2009 07:41 AM (Ukkga)
Posted by: naturalfake at December 13, 2009 07:54 AM (HylJ6)
Everyone who relies on the corrupt datasets will get the same false result. That's the point.
doofus.
Posted by: toby928 at December 13, 2009 10:30 AM (PD1tk)
Posted by: saç ekimi at December 17, 2009 02:53 AM (Xeu+z)
Hide Comments | Add Comment | Refresh | Top
64 queries taking 0.1976 seconds, 190 records returned.
Powered by Minx 1.1.6c-pink.








Posted by: Dr. Spank at December 12, 2009 04:49 PM (muUqs)