December 02, 2009
— DrewM I know a lot has already been written about last nightÂ’s speech and will be in the coming days but the more I think about it, the more dispiriting it strikes me as being.
Milblogger “CDR Salamander” has a great post on his reaction to the speech that’s well worth your time. A question he posed really struck me.
Here is a question I have for our 4-Stars:Where in the history of warfare has a time-based strategy worked? When has it ever been determined to be a superior plan for success/victory/mission than a conditions based or effects based plan? Conventional warfare or COIN, when?
That is the heart of what’s wrong with Obama’s “Build up now, pull out in July, 2011” approach. It’s disconnected from reality.
We’ve been in Afghanistan for 8 years now, what exactly is going to be accomplished in the next 20 months or so that will be so miraculously different? And let’s be honest, it’s not even 20 months. What’s the best case for the troops getting there, ready to go and conducting operations? Let’s say it’s May of 2010. That means the timeline is really 14 months. But wait, Obama has another of his “strategic reviews”/Grad Seminars set for December of next year to evaluate how things are going. That means at best the troops have 7-9 months to show improvement. And then what? Is keeping the troop levels the same or even higher an option in the December review? I doubt it.
Suppose things are going well, Obama will say, “We did it, come on home”. If they are going poorly he will say, “We tried, come one home”. Even if somehow McChrystal and the troops can pull off a miracle and get things on a better footing, is anyone really expecting it to last if we draw down? What reason is there to believe that in the next year of so an Afghan Army is going to appear that can hold the gins American troops will undoubtedly make?
Look at the words of the Army Counterinsurgency Field Manual (pdf/pg 24)Â…
Counterinsurgency is a long-term approach and effort requiring support from political and military leaders”
In what way does Obama’s artificial timetable meet that basic stricture of counterinsurgency? Now, we saw great strides made in Iraq thanks to ‘the surge’ but in large measure those improvements materialized because the change in tactics and increased troop levels were seen by Iraqis and foreign fighters as a serious commitment of US support. It showed we were in it for the long haul and the insurgents couldn’t just wait us out.
Obama’s time based framework does just the opposite. It tells the Taliban and al Qaeda to just hunker down and survive the coming onslaught (and the military will deliver a hell of a fight to them). It says to Afghans who want to work with us, “hey we are here to do what needs to be done to protect you but only for 20 months (though as we see it’s actually even less than that).
If you are an Afghan farmer, tribal leader or villager, are you inspired to throw your lot in with the Americas when they are telling you they all their promises of protection come with an expiration date? Anyone who did would be fool or a hopeless optimist. I donÂ’t think there are too many of the latter in Afghanistan.
So why is Obama doing this? To save face. I donÂ’t think thereÂ’s any real doubt that if he could pull out today without paying to steep a price politically he would. Instead he is trying to have it both waysÂ…be tough but not too tough. Committed by not endlessly so.
Obama’s speech last night laid out a strategy, but it was a political not a military one. He had to walk the line between the Olbermanns and Sullivan’s of the world on one hand and the independent voters who are tired of the war but don’t want to give up on the other. This ‘strategy’ has something for everyone. Everyone that is but people who are serious about fighting the war.
(Added thought)A small part of me honestly wishes he had followed his heart and pulled the plug. Sometimes doing the wrong thing at 100% level of commitment is better than doing the right thing with a faint heart. Obama's plan only pushes off the day of reckoning a year or two while adding to the human cost of the war. Putting off bad results (and this plan guarantees them) usually only makes them worse in the end. (End of addition)
Personally, I’m not sold that a larger, more open ended commitment would work or be preferable. I don’t think there’s any reason to believe Afghanistan is ever going to be a stable nation state as we understand the term. To try and make it one seems a waste of blood and treasure to me. I’d prefer a tribal based approach that simply recognizes the reality of Afghan culture and tries to leverage it to our advantage as best as possible. My idea of what ‘victory’ looks like there is simply denying al Qaeda the chance to reconstitute its training infrastructure and safe haven. Beyond that, I don’t care how the Afghanis set up there country.
I know some say the only way to deny al Qaeda that safe haven is to secure the whole country and set up a stable and functional central government. If thatÂ’s true, we are screwed.
WeÂ’ve tried that for 8 years, IÂ’d rather try another way, a whole new paradigm, than half heatedly try more of what weÂ’ve been doing.
As for Pakistan, I think we overestimate our ability to influence events there. They will beat or surrender to the Islamist based on their interest, desires and willingness to fight. We can’t do much but hope to buy enough of the political and military leaders off to keep them in the fight and marginally ‘on our side’.
ItÂ’s funny how the Pakistan Army can fight back insurgents when push comes to shove but never quite enough to finish the job. ThatÂ’s because the Pakistanis have their own agenda and interests and they donÂ’t always coincide with ours. No strategy in Afghanistan is going to change that calculus.
So, what is someone who opposes Obama and his plan to do? I donÂ’t want to be like the left and hope for failure in a war simply to advance a domestic political agenda. I will support the troops, their mission and yes on this issue, their Commander in Chief because despite what we heard for so long, the three are inseparable.
The President of the United States has made his decision and now American men and women are going to go off to fight that war the best they can. Many will return injured, too many will not come home alive. So I will hope to hell President Obama is right and the military can pull this off. If he is, I will happily admit he was right and give him all the credit in the world.
Added: I should take a second to talk about Gen. McChrystal and other military leaders. They are all publicly on board with this plan and I have no doubt they have a good faith belief it has a reasonable chance of working. And that is pretty much the only thing that gives me any hope.
They have to believe that or they would be honor-bound to resign.
That said, this kind of unwavering commitment to success is a hallmark of the US military and it is to their great credit. Still though, it is up to political leadership to not put the military into these kind of binds. McChrystal asked for a larger force and no time limits. He wasn't given that. By definition that compromises his best efforts to succeed.
So while I have great respect for our military leadership, this isn't their plan. They will accept it, support it publicly and execute it to the best of their ability but this isn't what the man Obama selected to lead the fight wanted. This is all on Obama.
Posted by: DrewM at
08:54 AM
| Comments (133)
Post contains 1376 words, total size 8 kb.
Posted by: AE at December 02, 2009 08:57 AM (kSfPT)
Posted by: t-bird at December 02, 2009 08:58 AM (FcR7P)
Posted by: Happy Fellow at December 02, 2009 09:00 AM (ktYjH)
Posted by: Deja Vu at December 02, 2009 09:00 AM (PD1tk)
Posted by: Vet Missing Parts at December 02, 2009 09:01 AM (qPu42)
Exit question: Will Afghanistan fit under that bus?
Posted by: GarandFan at December 02, 2009 09:02 AM (ZQBnQ)
Posted by: Joe Biden, Vice Supreme Commander at December 02, 2009 09:02 AM (FcR7P)
There. FIFY.
Posted by: alexthechick at December 02, 2009 09:02 AM (8WZWv)
Obama's going to run a meat grinder for U.S. troops for 18 months. If that's the decision, then he should just announce defeat and bug out now. As American War Hero and Intellectual Cosmopoitan John Kerry said, "who wants to be the last soldier to die for a mistake"?
Posted by: Cicero at December 02, 2009 09:04 AM (QKKT0)
Posted by: HeatherRadish at December 02, 2009 09:04 AM (NtiET)
What struck me most about the speech were the "but"s explicit and implied.
We are going to do this - but we can't really do it...
That kind of stuff. To me, that was the entire speech.
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at December 02, 2009 09:06 AM (RkRxq)
He's been using the military for his own personal political reasons since he came to power and this will be no exception.
Posted by: Nighthawk at December 02, 2009 09:06 AM (OtQXp)
Posted by: Barack Obama at December 02, 2009 09:08 AM (Q1lie)
Posted by: MAJHAM@GTMO at December 02, 2009 09:08 AM (qXVP6)
Posted by: Jean at December 02, 2009 09:08 AM (PjevJ)
There are no words sufficient to describe the low life qualities of the communist in chief.
Posted by: Vic at December 02, 2009 09:09 AM (CDUiN)
Drew I think your May 2010 date for having all the troops in place is wildly optimistic.With no seaports and horrible roads I would guess Sept or Oct at the very earliest.
Posted by: bulwark at December 02, 2009 09:10 AM (jvrmc)
Had thirty-thousand men
He marched them into Afghanistan
And he marched them out again
And when they were in, they were in,
And when they were out, they were out,
And when they were only halfway in
Barack pulled them out again
Posted by: stuiec at December 02, 2009 09:10 AM (Ate22)
Posted by: BlackOrchid at December 02, 2009 09:11 AM (HKfde)
Posted by: Miss'80sBaby at December 02, 2009 09:12 AM (zmiSr)
The Precedent has no intention of doing the right thing, which is why he babbled on incoherently about costs, while he attempts to spend trillions on every wasteful program he can think of.
Maybe people think I am being flippant when I say that The Precedent is on the other side, but it seems pretty obvious to me. He stalled because he wanted to - that idiotic explanation that conditions had changed on the ground over the time it took McChrystal to come up with his troop recommendation was beyond reason, as The Precedent took almost as long in his "ponderings" over the appropriate number of troops - yet we don't hear that he conditions on the ground had changed, again, in the meantime.
The Precedent wants the US to lose. This is as clear as day. It is to me, at least.
Posted by: progressoverpeace at December 02, 2009 09:12 AM (A46hP)
What the hell do we get out of this? Isn't it obvious right now? Any shit for brains that wants to get rich and mighty just needs to go out and develop nuclear weapons as quickly as possible and you'll find yourselves underneath the security umbrella of NATO.
We're changing from the Global Police to the Global Insurance Trust.
Posted by: WTFCI at December 02, 2009 09:12 AM (GtYrq)
Posted by: Drider at December 02, 2009 09:12 AM (HaJD9)
Posted by: Savvy Taliban shoppers at December 02, 2009 09:13 AM (FcR7P)
Posted by: Miss'80sBaby at December 02, 2009 01:12 PM (zmiSr)
Get shot up badly enough that he will look "Presidential" to moderate voters when he panders to his leftist base by yanking them out - just in time for the 2012 election of course.
Miserable scumbag...
Posted by: Nighthawk at December 02, 2009 09:15 AM (OtQXp)
Posted by: Jean at December 02, 2009 01:08 PM (PjevJ)
Put me in the immoral camp.
I said it to friends in the days after 9/11...we are going to have 5,000 (a number I pulled out of my ass) in Afghanistan forever to blow the hell out these AQ fucktards every time 3 or more of them are in the same room.
I know that presents ISR problems but to me those are eminently more solvable than the political and social problems of the Pashtuns.
That does raise a great point, what is Obama's definition of victory or hell success? I know what Bush thought, untenable as it was.
Posted by: DrewM. at December 02, 2009 09:16 AM (FCWQb)
Three Options:
1. Stay and rout the insurgents no matter the cost.
2. Pack up and leave now.
3. Make a half hearted effort for a short period of time, then leave no matter what.
Obama chose the worst option. How do you justify the blood and treasure for the next two years? You can't. If you are not in it to win, then you don't need to be there.
Posted by: Hammer at December 02, 2009 09:16 AM (5MUhk)
This is what we progressive têtes-de-merde meant by supporting the troops by not supporting the war. We always knew this misadventure in Afghanistan was doomed from the outset, and we've always said so, having never said anything different. Now, at least, the end is in sight.
(By all of which we mean, Yay, we're finally going to lose!)
Posted by: WaterCow at December 02, 2009 09:17 AM (Vl5GH)
Thus, the Taliban's best strategy is to rope-a-dope over the next 15 months and let the surge seem to be successful, all while preparing for a grand escalation of their insurgency in spring 2011, knowing that Obama will be politically incapable of sending troops back to Afghanistan at that time. They may be wrong about that -- maybe Obama will find the will to reverse course and send more troops as late as 2011 if he has to -- but that's the smart way to play it if you're the Taliban.
Posted by: stuiec at December 02, 2009 09:17 AM (Ate22)
Posted by: Screaming Optimist at December 02, 2009 09:18 AM (1kwr2)
Posted by: Miss'80sBaby at December 02, 2009 09:20 AM (zmiSr)
Posted by: DrewM. at December 02, 2009 01:16 PM (FCWQb)
A US loss. Don't lose the big picture: The Precedent wants nothing but to exact revenge on America and the West. That is all he cares about - bringing us pain and suffering. Look carefully at all of his proclamations and policies and you cannot help but arrive at that exact conclusion.
Posted by: progressoverpeace at December 02, 2009 09:20 AM (A46hP)
The Precedent wants the US to lose. This is as clear as day. It is to me, at least.
Posted by: progressoverpeace at December 02, 2009 01:12 PM (A46hP)
It looks that way to me, too.
Posted by: stuiec at December 02, 2009 09:21 AM (Ate22)
And here the Democrats go again telling lies.
The Democrats did it to us again. They have successfully planted the impression that Afghanistan is worse now than before the U.S. invaded in 2001.
Why isn't anyone out there saying Hey Assholes, The Heavy Lifting Is Done In Afghanistan. The Taliban Are On The Run. We Helped Start A New Democracy. Elections Have Been Held. The Afghans Have Had A Big Taste Of Freedom?
Instead we sit by while the media and the Democrats paint the picture.
Posted by: a.k.a. at December 02, 2009 09:21 AM (ogjN0)
Posted by: Hammer at December 02, 2009 09:21 AM (5MUhk)
Posted by: Jean at December 02, 2009 09:21 AM (Scxfk)
Posted by: t-bird at December 02, 2009 09:22 AM (FcR7P)
As Thomas Jefferson famously said during the Civil War, "We shall fight on the beaches, we shall fight in the fields and hills. We shall never surrender until just before the elections."
Why doesn't my edition of Stuff Jefferson Said have that quote?
Posted by: Cicero at December 02, 2009 09:24 AM (QKKT0)
RUMMY'S BACK!!! Just went over to FoxNews.com and Rumsfeld's got some things to say.
Welcome back to the public eye, Mr. Secretary!
Posted by: FireHorse at December 02, 2009 09:24 AM (Vl5GH)
Obama obviously doesn't understand when you sit on the fence people throw rocks at you from both sides.
Posted by: bulwark at December 02, 2009 09:26 AM (jvrmc)
Posted by: Cicero at December 02, 2009 09:26 AM (QKKT0)
And when they were out, they were out,
And when they were only halfway in
Barack pulled them out again
Heh, The imagery of this poem suggests that Afghanistan is getting royally fucked.
And so are we.
Posted by: OregonMuse at December 02, 2009 09:27 AM (6kI9E)
It looks like Obama has taken his military strategy from the grand old Duke of York - you remember:
The grand old Duke of York
He had ten thousand men
He marched them up to the top of the hill
And he marched them down again!
We'll march into Afghanistan, and the last troops will get there just in time to start packing up to go.
By the way, did Obama anywhere in his speech define what constituted victory? Is there any measure by which he could say that we won? Just askin' ...
Posted by: Brown Line at December 02, 2009 09:28 AM (VrNoa)
Jefferson also said, "War is okay, but there's no point going in overboard."
Dude. Now you're just mangling shit on purpose. It was Robert Wagner who told Natalie Wood, "Another drink is okay, but there's no point going overboard."
Posted by: MikeO at December 02, 2009 09:29 AM (Ce+tv)
Obama at West Point:
We shall fight on the beaches, we shall fight on the landing grounds, we shall fight in the fields and in the streets, we shall fight in the hills;
We shall never surrender until July 2011 at which point, we're outta there.
Thank you very much. IÂ’ll be here all week.
[apologies, serious apologies to Winston Churchill who actually knew how to make a speech like this]
Posted by: OCBill at December 02, 2009 09:29 AM (WGXy4)
And so are we.
Posted by: OregonMuse at December 02, 2009 01:27 PM (6kI9E)
The only problem with seeing that as a sexual metaphor is that in matters sexual, Obama wouldn't ever pull out before he was finished, no matter how long it took or who had to suffer.
Which, comes to think about it, makes that a perfect description of his domestic policy.
Posted by: stuiec at December 02, 2009 09:30 AM (Ate22)
Posted by: Jean at December 02, 2009 09:30 AM (3WbbL)
Posted by: TheQuietman at December 02, 2009 09:30 AM (1Jaio)
Posted by: t-bird at December 02, 2009 09:32 AM (FcR7P)
(Obama declares USA will leave 'Stan in 2011.) + (Obama is a liar.)====>
(USA is not leaving 'Stan in 2011)
So why worry?
Posted by: Fred Z at December 02, 2009 09:32 AM (MVq0U)
Posted by: Jean at December 02, 2009 01:21 PM (Scxfk)
No risk of that. If that girl gets elected, the Taliban will surrender about one hour after her inauguration, like the Iranian hostage-takers did. Because then they would know that America just got serious.
Posted by: stuiec at December 02, 2009 09:32 AM (Ate22)
it just occurred to me that Wesley Clark would probably have been a better prez. jeez that's a dispiriting thought.
I will now jab a pencil through my right eye.
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at December 02, 2009 09:33 AM (B+qrE)
Posted by: Jean at December 02, 2009 09:33 AM (tJF9l)
I agree. It's just every time I write that someone points out you need good intel and that means counterinsurgency.
My thinking (from the safety of my home office) is we don't need to get 'a guy' like we did on occasion in Iraq. We need to stop them from rebuilding camps like they had in the 90's.
We knew where they were, we just lacked the will to do anything about them.
I think we can stop AQ from turning Afghanistan back into a playground like it was 10 years ago with a hell of a lot less firepower than we are sending.
As you point out though, that's an ugly way to go. Personally, I'd rather win ugly than lose pretty.
Posted by: DrewM. at December 02, 2009 09:34 AM (FCWQb)
Posted by: Pres. Harry Truman at December 02, 2009 09:35 AM (wVPwI)
Posted by: Pres. Abraham Lincoln at December 02, 2009 09:36 AM (wVPwI)
Posted by: Pres. Richard Nixon at December 02, 2009 09:37 AM (wVPwI)
Posted by: TheQuietman at December 02, 2009 09:38 AM (1Jaio)
Welcome back to the public eye, Mr. Secretary!
Another Bush failure. He should've stuck by his SecDef instead of caving into the Dem pressure.
Posted by: a.k.a. at December 02, 2009 09:40 AM (ogjN0)
Posted by: TheQuietman at December 02, 2009 01:38 PM (1Jaio)
And wasn't there some sort of unpleasantness involving US Marines in North Africa under President Jefferson?
Posted by: stuiec at December 02, 2009 09:41 AM (Ate22)
But that's because I'm cursed with this thing called a memory.
(* I denounce myself)
Posted by: Techie at December 02, 2009 09:42 AM (wVPwI)
I don't think The Precedent ever cared one whit for political cover. He's never done anything "political", in that sense, but just what he wants (to serve his own purposes). The Indonesian imbecile still controls the Executive and doesn't really care about withdrawal. He'd be happy to leave the troops there, no matter what is happening, and just have justice (outside of the military) go after personnel with suits and investigations and all sorts of attacks. I don't believe that he cares about withdrawal one way or another - though he would love to have America beg him to withdraw from Afghanistan.
Or maybe he was serious that he intends to be a one term President.
Posted by: Jean at December 02, 2009 01:33 PM (tJF9l)
I never got the impression that The Precedent cared about getting a second term. It always looked to me as if he was trying to overload the system and shove everything down our throats at once because he assumed that he would be thrown out of office before the second term ever came around. The Indonesian imbecile has been on a suicide run since he got into office and he managed to coax most of the useful idiots in Congress into going along with him, to the point that they are now all-in on his insanity (ergo the zombie health scare monstrosity that refuses to die, as it would have long ago, with any normal Chief Executive - as The Precedent is the one who has kept pushing the insanity and egging Nazi Pelosi and Hairy Reid to continue on).
Posted by: progressoverpeace at December 02, 2009 09:43 AM (A46hP)
Posted by: the real joe at December 02, 2009 09:44 AM (rFTt2)
(Obama declares USA will leave 'Stan in 2011.) + (Obama is a liar.)====>
(USA is not leaving 'Stan in 2011)
So why worry?
Posted by: Fred Z at December 02, 2009 01:32 PM (MVq0U)
Here's why: the people on the other side of the political spectrum did the same logical calculation. (Obama promises to escalate Afghanistan if elected) + (Obama is a liar) => (Obama will pull out of Afghanistan once he's elected)
If Obama could screw the Progressives for political reasons, he can certainly screw America's national security for political reasons.
Posted by: stuiec at December 02, 2009 09:45 AM (Ate22)
Posted by: Stuff Jefferson Said, Vol III at December 02, 2009 09:46 AM (PD1tk)
"Barry mentioned a couple of times last night that it was during FDR's reign that the US first got involved on the world stage."
So what the hell was I doing, opening up Japan in 1853?
Posted by: Matthew Perry at December 02, 2009 09:46 AM (VrNoa)
Posted by: the real joe at December 02, 2009 01:44 PM (rFTt2)
Except that during the hiatus, the situation could and almost certainly would get far worse and far more difficult to reverse. The fall of Pakistan to the Islamofascists would make a return to AfPak a very bloody and parlous enterprise indeed.
Posted by: stuiec at December 02, 2009 09:48 AM (Ate22)
Posted by: Matthew Perry at December 02, 2009 01:46 PM (VrNoa)
Great training ground for your later television role on Friends, wasn't it?
Posted by: stuiec at December 02, 2009 09:49 AM (Ate22)
Posted by: stuiec at December 02, 2009 01:45 PM (Ate22)
Heh. Very true. Even his supporters count on him being a lying sack of shit. They just grossly miscalculated on his actual intentions and his real goals. They haven't realized, yet, that he doesn't care about them, at all. They are nothing but useful idiots to The Precedent - the chief idiot.
Posted by: progressoverpeace at December 02, 2009 09:50 AM (A46hP)
Posted by: Matthew Perry at December 02, 2009 01:46 PM (VrNoa)
Barry I, rewriter of history: You're nothing but a dead white man! Begone from my version of history. Besides my cultist don't know a damn thing about history.
Posted by: TheQuietman at December 02, 2009 09:50 AM (1Jaio)
The next fight in the region with that happening wouldn't be with us, it'd be with India.
Posted by: Techie at December 02, 2009 09:51 AM (wVPwI)
Posted by: Jersey at December 02, 2009 09:52 AM (6kI9E)
Posted by: Roy at December 02, 2009 09:52 AM (cB77O)
#78
Yeah I guess Teddy Roosevelt and his Great White Fleet and building the Panama Canal was just small time chump shit.
Posted by: bulwark at December 02, 2009 09:52 AM (jvrmc)
Posted by: Jean at December 02, 2009 09:53 AM (7K04W)
Posted by: Pres. James Monroe at December 02, 2009 09:54 AM (wVPwI)
Ding, ding, ding. We have a winner.
All they need to do is stash their weapons, lay low, act non-threatening and wait until the expiration date. It would be foolish and just degrade their forces to continue engaging now.
Now, it may be that we've zapped their best strategic planners already and all that's left is fools who will continue to engage, but that's not something I'd bet on.
Obama has put the locals in a position where there's no advantage to active cooperation with the Americans anymore now they know the Taliban will come back with a vengeance in 2 years. Not only has he chosen the worst option, he kneecapped any chances of running Maj. Gant's scheme in parallel in those regions where it may have been advantageous to.
Posted by: Purple Avenger at December 02, 2009 09:54 AM (j3yyU)
Posted by: Pres. Teodore Roosevelt at December 02, 2009 09:54 AM (wVPwI)
Posted by: HeatherRadish at December 02, 2009 09:55 AM (NtiET)
You're nothing but a dead white man!
Some of us happen be Mexican. And if the U.S. did nothing on the world stage until 1853, would you please leave my nation's northern territories -- you know, the places you call Arizona, California, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico and Utah? Gracias.
Posted by: Caballo del Fuego at December 02, 2009 09:55 AM (Vl5GH)
Posted by: CIC Obama at December 02, 2009 09:58 AM (GwPRU)
It's lame-o. One, as well stated here already, wars don't really follow timetables; in fact, they are notorious for standing timetables on their ear -- just ask Napoleon and the Germans (or any other army that's tried to tie their strategy too tightly to a timetable). Two, if you're waging war you don't lay out your strategy for you enemies to see, which is pretty much what precedent did.
Dumb and dumber anyone?
Posted by: unknown jane at December 02, 2009 09:58 AM (5/yRG)
I'm trying to look up all the quotes from Thomas Jefferson mentioned on this thread, and for some reason, I can't find any of them. I'm starting to think that you guys are just making them up.
It doesn't matter, Jersey. Much of what Jefferson said was early in his life -- which he later contradicted. (Ditto, Jean-Paul Sartre and Milton Friedman, by the way.) The important stuff came later, especially his correspondence with those who wanted to adopt a wait-and-see attitude toward reforms in the colonies. Jefferson wanted to act swiftly in severing ties with England, and much of what's considered to be his most important political writings began with The Anti-Procastination Papers, ca. 1770.
So just disregard stuff that's attributed to Jefferson before 1770.
Posted by: FireHorse at December 02, 2009 10:03 AM (Vl5GH)
Posted by: RM at December 02, 2009 10:03 AM (1kwr2)
For whatever reason, his dithering wasn't used by the Taliban for a really big attack, so he is going with this new defeatist strategy. In addition, he is making sure that the Afghanistan government won't trust us, and therein is a recipe for disaster.
His goal is to discredit the military, shrink it, and make us a second-rate power. It's all of a piece of his effort to completely destroy this nation, which is his primary goal. The announcement of the pull-out date was very clever, inasmuch as he can pretend he did it to placate the left when in actuality it is a signal to the Taliban and Al Qaeda of a date they can shoot for.
Posted by: Miss Marple at December 02, 2009 10:03 AM (4DwVn)
I can find no reference to these so-called Anti-Procastination Papers anywhere on the internet and the reference desk clerk at my local public library looked at me funny and laughed when I asked her about them, so you're obviously a bad person who can't substantiate his sources. You wingnuts are all alike.
Posted by: Jersey at December 02, 2009 10:09 AM (6kI9E)
Posted by: unknown jane at December 02, 2009 10:17 AM (5/yRG)
Strategic Lines of Communications
Posted by: MAJHAM@GTMO at December 02, 2009 10:17 AM (qXVP6)
Yeah, that was a cute part of The Precedent's 'strategizing' that has gotten lost in the rest of the Indonesian imbecile's stupidity. Funny how no one mentions that much. With this tsunami of stupidity emanating from the White House, it's hard to keep track of it all.
His goal is to discredit the military, shrink it, and make us a second-rate power. It's all of a piece of his effort to completely destroy this nation, which is his primary goal.
Exactly.
The announcement of the pull-out date was very clever, inasmuch as he can pretend he did it to placate the left when in actuality it is a signal to the Taliban and Al Qaeda of a date they can shoot for.
Posted by: Miss Marple at December 02, 2009 02:03 PM (4DwVn)
And he knew that the announcement costs him nothing, anyway. The Precedent feels perfectly free to say anything he wants. He's been allowed to reverse himself on a dime, without any repercussions, so many times that he takes it as an entitlement.
If there are not some big time resignations coming from the military soon ... then I don't even know what to say. I just don't know what they could possibly be thinking.
Posted by: progressoverpeace at December 02, 2009 10:19 AM (A46hP)
Posted by: unknown jane at December 02, 2009 10:20 AM (5/yRG)
Posted by: Jean at December 02, 2009 10:22 AM (7K04W)
Posted by: unknown jane at December 02, 2009 10:23 AM (5/yRG)
Posted by: Mandy P. at December 02, 2009 10:25 AM (MK6Kx)
108 -- yeah, I feel you there Mandy
and slighty off topic, but Chris Matthews and his ilk can eat caca (profanity rules limit my expression of feelings on this, just imagine a real vile string of invective; I trust you all can).
Posted by: unknown jane at December 02, 2009 10:28 AM (5/yRG)
God Bless our troops.
Posted by: Guy Fawkes at December 02, 2009 10:29 AM (DIYmd)
and slighty off topic, but Chris Matthews and his ilk can eat caca (profanity rules limit my expression of feelings on this, just imagine a real vile string of invective; I trust you all can).
Posted by: unknown jane at December 02, 2009 02:28 PM (5/yRG)
The string of profanity that came from my mouth this morning when I saw that clip from Chrissy's show last night would have made a sailor blush.
Posted by: Mandy P. at December 02, 2009 10:30 AM (MK6Kx)
Posted by: Jean at December 02, 2009 10:32 AM (6Njk9)
Posted by: mojo at December 02, 2009 10:33 AM (g1cNf)
The only thing we have going for us with this "strategy" is that the Muj have shown themselves to be politically tone-deaf at times - they may not have the organizational discipline to lay low and "rope our dope."
Nevertheless, US soldiers will have to die to prove this point one way or the other and it's clear to them (and the rest of us) that their CiC is using them for a political football.
Say what you will about McCain (God knows I have, and will again), but I'd like to think he wouldn't engage in this kind of crass political gamesmanship when it came to US lives and national security.
I've even said myself that the Afghan war has a political dimension we shouldn't overlook (regarding why "Kill 'em All" shouldn't be our strategy) but this type of politics isn't what I had in mind.
Posted by: societyis2blame at December 02, 2009 10:35 AM (rPDD/)
I agree. I can't stand McCain, but I voted for him because I knew when it came down to the war and our national security McCain would do whatever was necessary to win. McCain doesn't kid around when it comes to our military and our safety.
Posted by: Mandy P. at December 02, 2009 10:38 AM (MK6Kx)
Posted by: unknown jane at December 02, 2009 02:23 PM (5/yRG)
Yes, Ms. Jane, I'm sure that many are taking this view - and it is good that they are staying. I share your trepidation at what would happen if too many good people resign and are replaced by politically correct twits who care more about their stance with Washington than the mission, but we have a large military and I just find it hard to believe that there aren't ten or twenty high ranking officers who have gotten totally fed up and see how the mission is being intentionally scuttled. I'm surprised that the looming SEAL courts-martial over a terrorist scumbag with a fat lip hasn't prompted anyone to go.
The military has been put in an absolutely awful position by The Precedent, just as our spies have had done to them. Our whole national security apparatus is under attack from the White House (with the lunatic Congress cheering The Precedent on) and it puts every one of our defenders in a terrible, terrible spot. ... Just wait until these terrorist civilian trials in New York start.
Posted by: progressoverpeace at December 02, 2009 10:38 AM (A46hP)
"and slighty off topic, but Chris Matthews and his ilk can eat caca (profanity rules limit my expression of feelings on this, just imagine a real vile string of invective; I trust you all can)."
Lets get Eddiebear in here. He'll fix you up :-)
Posted by: Bosk at December 02, 2009 10:41 AM (pUO5u)
I should have said 'Why worry about Obama lying about a timeline that he has no intention of keeping. Worry that the President is a liar. And a fool. And so are all of his closest associates and advisers'.
Posted by: Fred Z at December 02, 2009 10:42 AM (MVq0U)
def: SLOC = Stupid Lefitsts On Crack
and @52 MikeO, you owe me for a keyboard cleanup ;-)) too funny
Posted by: chuck in st paul at December 02, 2009 10:46 AM (adr25)
112 -- the military side of me says, "oorah, Gunny" (whether or not you are one of those or not -- I'm feeling what you're saying) Jean; it's just the Mom side of of me is more nervous than it's been for years. It's like a dog that knows it's been traded off to a really bad master, you know?
Posted by: unknown jane at December 02, 2009 10:58 AM (5/yRG)
Think Kennedy/Johnson and VietNam.
Posted by: Oldcat at December 02, 2009 11:17 AM (z1N6a)
It worked in VietNam, it worked in Iraq and maybe it will work in Afghanistan too.
Posted by: Oldcat at December 02, 2009 11:21 AM (z1N6a)
Posted by: Jean at December 02, 2009 11:25 AM (5ddCw)
Agreed- and I'll bet you what's left in my checking account (thanks preznit wonderdunce) that the Indians won't be dicking around with "rules of engagement".
Posted by: buster mcdissenter at December 02, 2009 11:30 AM (zN9bC)
Posted by: Mr Natural at December 02, 2009 11:37 AM (QLKnS)
Isn't that the most amazing quote?
Obviously I'm not carrying any water for Karzai but that's the damnedest thing to say the day after you launch this strategy.
I can't be the only one whose mind went right to Diem when they heard it.
The only people not alienated or threatened by this new policy is the enemy.
Posted by: Mrs. Woods' Lawyer at December 02, 2009 11:37 AM (FCWQb)
Posted by: DrewM. at December 02, 2009 11:38 AM (FCWQb)
Posted by: buster mcdissenter at December 02, 2009 03:30 PM (zN9bC)
A little nostalgia, report circa 2003:
Nuclear threats started flying in all directions. In May 2002, as fighter aircraft circled Islamabad, in a public debate with one of us (PH), General Mirza Aslam Beg, the former chief of Pakistan's army, declared: "We can make a first strike, and a second strike, or even a third." The lethality of nuclear war left him unmoved. "You can die crossing the street," he observed, "or you could die in a nuclear war. You've got to die some day anyway." Pakistan's ambassador to the UN in Geneva, Munir Akram, reiterated Pakistan's refusal of a no-first-use policy.
Across the border, India's Defence Minister George Fernandes told the International Herald Tribune "India can survive a nuclear attack, but Pakistan cannot." Indian Defence Secretary Yogendra Narain took things a step further in an interview with Outlook Magazine: "A surgical strike is the answer," adding that if this failed to resolve things, "We must be prepared for total mutual destruction." Indian security analyst, Brahma Chellaney, claimed "India can hit any nook and corner of Pakistan and is fully prepared to call Pakistan's nuclear bluff."
ROE ... heh. I still can't figure out why we tried to stop India and Pakistan in 2001 and 2003 from going hot.
Posted by: progressoverpeace at December 02, 2009 11:41 AM (A46hP)
Posted by: Mrs. Woods' Lawyer [DrewM.] at December 02, 2009 03:37 PM (FCWQb)
Exactly. But that is a thread that has weaved its way through every policy of The Precedent ...
Posted by: progressoverpeace at December 02, 2009 11:43 AM (A46hP)
Posted by: dr kill at December 02, 2009 11:59 AM (KXVFz)
If the four-stars had ANY integrity, they'd throw their stars on the table, quit, and criticize.
Find "Dereliction of Duty: Johnson, McNamara, the Joint Chiefs of Staff, and the Lies That Led to Vietnam." The JCS deluded themselves that they could mitigate a bad situation by not quitting. We know how that turned out. In fact, General Johnson, Army Chief of Staff at the time, subsequently stated that not quitting was the greatest regret of his life.
Buy a copy and send it a copy to a random four-star admiral or general.
BTW, it was written by COL H. R. McMaster, a member of GEN Petraeus' brain trust.
For the Dems, every war must be Vietnam,: a humilation for the US.
Fuck them all sideways with a red-hot pineapple.
Posted by: butch at December 02, 2009 12:01 PM (8X9tr)
Posted by: unknown jane at December 02, 2009 12:23 PM (5/yRG)
Europe loved Barry's little speech so much they aren't going to do a damn thing.
PARIS – European leaders and top diplomats hailed President Barack Obama's speech defining the new U.S. strategy in Afghanistan, but few countries were forthcoming Wednesday with pledges of fresh troops.
Speaking just hours after Obama announced the deployment of 30,000 fresh U.S. troops to Afghanistan, NATO chief Anders Fogh Rasmussen said in Brussels that European and other U.S. allies will contribute more than 5,000 more troops to the international force in Afghanistan.
Rasmussen did not specify where the troops would come from and how many would be from Europe — and reluctance for major new troop contributions was palpable Wednesday across the continent.
Posted by: TheQuietman at December 02, 2009 12:24 PM (1Jaio)
Woah Drew,
This is the type of nonsense you advocated in a post long ago. This is the type of war you wanted, this is the type of war you got. Now all of a sudden you feel uncomfortable about it (though for some odd reason you still can't bring yourself to commit to the total war concept)?
We should have fought this war totally from day 1. I said that back in 2001 and I will continue to say this until we lose this war. And yes, we're going to lose this now. Once we jet from Afghanistan and Iraq (and we will do this because this seems to be our national pasttime as of late, conflict-wise), these assholes will get all sorts of recruits to keep rolling us back.
You think these islamonuts were emboldened after Clinton? Wait to you see what happens after we pull out. So we will have lost all of those men and women for, well, nothing. Maybe, just maybe, we can cut it out with the hearts and minds garbage and actually fight a war the way it's supposed to be fought? Oh yeah, I forgot, that would mean actually killing people and we wouldn't want to do that. Well, that's what happens in war. There is no morality in war and there are certainly no rules.
Posted by: Mat at December 02, 2009 12:34 PM (d8AS2)
(Sorry I misspelled your name before.)
I feel I must say something about Karzai. He returned to Afghanistan before the war against Al Qaeda and the Taliban was successful, back in late 2001 or very early in 2002. He was guarded by a group of Special Forces guys who knew that he was a big target. He did NOT need to return; he had a very comfortable life in London.
Karzai was at Bush's 2002 State of the Union speech, with those Special Forces guys. They ALL admired him and said they would take a bullet for him.
Suddenly, all we are hearing about is how corrupt Karzai is. WHO is telling us that? The loathesome weasels in Hilary's State Department, maggots like Robert Gibbs, and the media.
Myself, I go with the Special Forces guys. Doesn't anyone else remember what happened back then? That is a very clear memory to me. They were interviewed on Fox.
Posted by: Miss Marple at December 02, 2009 12:48 PM (4DwVn)
Suddenly, all we are hearing about is how corrupt Karzai is. WHO is telling us that? The loathesome weasels in Hilary's State Department, maggots like Robert Gibbs, and the media.
Yep. And this needs to be pointed out more, Miss Marple. I doubt that Karzai is any worse than anyone else out there - I'd wager that he's cleaner than most. We've got Mr. 10% as Pakistan's president, after all. This "Karzai corruption" scream is clearly just part of the dithering tactic. The White House just grabs onto any possible excuse they can, and the lame stream media runs with whatever they say.
Myself, I go with the Special Forces guys. Doesn't anyone else remember what happened back then? That is a very clear memory to me. They were interviewed on Fox.
Posted by: Miss Marple at December 02, 2009 04:48 PM (4DwVn)
I'm with you. And there is still no question that Karzai is cleaner than most of the thugs the left loves to back, anyway. But he has certainly been backed into a corner by this administration. Big time.
Posted by: progressoverpeace at December 02, 2009 12:59 PM (A46hP)
Hey Taliban,
I'm going to beat the stuffing out of you tonight. But I'll be late showing up, and I have to be home by midnight. So you better start trembling in your boots, ..., you meanies.
Posted by: The Prez at December 02, 2009 02:24 PM (Cta0m)
Throughout its entire history, this country's sleazy politicians have never finished what they have started. Never. It's the nature of the sleazes who become politicians and bureaucrats.
Let's face it: This country's enemies know that if they just wait it out, sooner or later, America will turn tail and run away from its commitments. It's a no brainer.
It all boils down to one factor. Americans elect and promote ass-kissers, not qualified, experienced people. It's the American way. A tradition.
Posted by: Reality Check Here at December 02, 2009 02:41 PM (Cta0m)
Reality Check Here,
Bingo.
The people here bitch about the "leadership" but it's the people who elect them. They want a bunch of sissies running the show. Be careful of what you wish for because you may just get it...
Posted by: Mat at December 02, 2009 05:47 PM (d8AS2)
Posted by: Oldcrow at December 02, 2009 06:00 PM (xbOEE)
Actually Old Crow,
We turned it over to the UN, so technically, we did leave. Who are we going to turn it over to this time? The Afghans?...
Posted by: Mat at December 02, 2009 06:54 PM (d8AS2)
POTUS: Hey guys see if you could hurry things up up over there, I need to use this when I run for a second term and 2012 Nobel Peace Prize thing is coming soon too...er huh thanks .....
God help the troops and us all...........
Posted by: JIMM NY at December 03, 2009 03:01 AM (JmII9)
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Posted by: dfbaskwill at December 02, 2009 08:56 AM (7Gs5S)