November 22, 2009
— Uncle Jimbo
Is it an Awakening a la Anbar? Maybe, we'll have to see. But it is certainly good news.
ACHIN, Afghanistan — American and Afghan officials have begun helping a number of anti-Taliban militias that have independently taken up arms against insurgents in several parts of Afghanistan, prompting hopes of a large-scale tribal rebellion against the Taliban.
The emergence of the militias, which took some leaders in Kabul by surprise, has so encouraged the American and Afghan officials that they are planning to spur the growth of similar armed groups across the Taliban heartland in the southern and eastern parts of the country.The American and Afghan officials say they are hoping the plan, called the Community Defense Initiative, will bring together thousands of gunmen to protect their neighborhoods from Taliban insurgents. Already there are hundreds of Afghans who are acting on their own against the Taliban, officials say.
It will take something just like this across much of the country, but it is exactly what Gen. McChrystal's plan calls for facilitating. What these tribes need now is our help ensuring they do not get rolled over by a Taliban push back. We need to give them air support, weapons, and yes satchels of cash to use as they see fit. We must tread lightly so as not to upset the local nature of these uprisings, but we must cover their backs. Then as we talk to tribal leaders in other areas we can point to these successes and give them some motivation.
It will be a delicate ballet as there are many different tribes who have as many beefs with each other as they do w/ the Talibs, but we can handle that. We need to take advantage of this and get our own push back against the enemy going. Our troops deserve a decision. Make the call sir!
Posted by: Uncle Jimbo at
08:18 AM
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Posted by: eman at November 22, 2009 08:23 AM (Bmk3r)
Posted by: arb at November 22, 2009 08:24 AM (x/miM)
Yeah, but unfortunately the enemy is in Washington, DC.
Posted by: GarandFan at November 22, 2009 08:31 AM (ZQBnQ)
Obama is taking his time making some amateur decision. You see Obama is a military genius. His strategy will be second to none. Obama has spent half his life developing military strategies. McChrystal can just shut the fuck up until Opie gets this all figured out. Opie, Axelrod and Emanuel have been agonizing over this decision for months and months. You do recall that Afghanistan is the REAL WAR, the war we have to win and Bush fucked it all up by not fighting that real war. So to review Opie is spending every Sunday on the golf course (not church) figuring out this extremely difficult decision. He will have an answer for you any year now. But right now he's got to run, because there is a basketball game or cocktail party or something. But really really soon, he'll have an answer on this important topic, maybe after he gets back from Venezuela or some fund raiser or something.
What was the subject again???
Posted by: gus at November 22, 2009 08:33 AM (Vqruj)
It doesn't take a rocket scientist to figure out you can only push people so far before they start pushing back if the means to do so are available -- and they are in that corner of the world.
Posted by: Purple Avenger at November 22, 2009 08:37 AM (Z5M6N)
Posted by: Rickshaw Jack at November 22, 2009 08:37 AM (SVIJA)
There may also be elements of clan or tribal feud, since killing or injuring one Pashtun means extending the injury to his entire extended family. An eye for an eye, maybe two eyes, and the Taliban find their welcome gone, and their Maoist peasant sea drying up around them. Stupid for them, good for us.
Posted by: exdem13 at November 22, 2009 08:42 AM (lYKj1)
Posted by: eman at November 22, 2009 08:45 AM (Bmk3r)
This sort of thing is a back-breaker. If enough tribes commit, then one side or the other is going down! Sadly it could easily be the tribes if they don't get a LOT of support. Rememer the Bay of Pigs? Those guys almost won, (well, they lasted over a week at least) even though JFK stranded them high and dry.
If Obammy deserts the tribesmen, that will be it. There will be no hope at all in Afghanistan until the next generation comes to power (like 20-30 years from now). Much like what happened to the Russians, eh?
Posted by: 5Cats at November 22, 2009 08:46 AM (O5yP8)
Exdem has a good point about the Jihadis turning the local populations against them.. but if their creed was not execrable we wouldn't be fighting them in the first place. It's like saying it Hitler's philosophy wasn't insane they would have won the second World War when if such were the case there never would have been a World War. Such are the natures of evil and insanity.
Posted by: Voluble at November 22, 2009 08:54 AM (nZNTl)
I'm forming my own TRIBE. Then I'm going to Washington to "get this party started".
Posted by: charles gibson at November 22, 2009 08:55 AM (Vqruj)
On a serious note. This shit has been tried before. I'm not against arming citizens that want their country back, but keep in mind these "tribes" don't like us either.
Arm them and then let's get the soldiers we need, let's follow McChrystals plan and lets kill the mother fucking Taliban. Let's kill all of them and then some.
Obama won't. He's half black and the other half is Muzz. He isn't smart, doesn't have balls and doesn't like our military.
Posted by: charles gibson at November 22, 2009 08:57 AM (Vqruj)
This is the first real tough decision he has had to make on foreign policy.
All his other decisions were clear cut
Support our oldest ally or urinate on the queen
-- easy choice, insult the Brits
Go to Berlin & celebrate the fall of communism or be busy elsewhere
-- easy choice, run & hide
Bow to the king of s-arabia or be a man
-- easy choice, submit to ruler of mecca
Support rule of law or an attempt at a coup in Honduras
-- easy choice, support dictatorship
Support American victims or give a terrorist an open forum in court
-- easy choice, I can always pardon KSM if my hand picked judge gets it wrong
Provide freedom or my buddy Chavez
-- easy choice, never met a dictator I didn't like
Support people questioning the Iranian election or the mullahs
-- easy choice, besides we can't have the rabble investigate voter fraud
This Afghan thing is hard -- both sides are muslims
Posted by: Mark E at November 22, 2009 09:13 AM (w7Pw3)
Posted by: eman at November 22, 2009 09:37 AM (Bmk3r)
If we give up on the nation building exercise and allow them to go back to the way they've lived in the past, they'll accept our assistance. If we overstay that welcome and start pushing women's rights, voting, etc then they'll resist, violently if necessary.
We need to adjust what "win" looks like in Afghanistan and accept that its not going to include much of the social stuff that happened in Iraq.
As a practical matter, that adjusted notion of "win" will work as well for US national security in the next 50 years as the broader notion the west still clings to. I think it would be nice if Afghanistan were to join the 19th or early 20th century, but that's a process that will take many generations.
Posted by: Purple Avenger at November 22, 2009 09:58 AM (Z5M6N)
Posted by: Mikey NTH at November 22, 2009 09:59 AM (TUWci)
Purple Avenger, good point, and let me add that the tribes apparently see the Taliban as "oursiders." We are also outsiders who must help them re-establish their authority and get the heck out but keep watch.
The tribes don't like us but they have kept to themselves for as long as they ruled the area.
Posted by: Pelayo at November 22, 2009 11:16 AM (wwQxi)
Posted by: Mikey NTH at November 22, 2009 11:20 AM (TUWci)
Posted by: stuiec at November 22, 2009 11:50 AM (Ate22)
Doesn't anyone remember the Northern Alliance? Hadn't they been trying to overthrow the taliban for years? Didn't Army SF teams join up with them to overthrow the taliban after 911? Sounds like an 8 year old idea trying to make a comeback with the NYT treating it as something new that's only happening because of obama.
I wonder if this is PC. Better check with General Casey, DefSec Gates, General Axelrod and the NoBS, this is a good war we HAVE to win but without mentioning victory, CIC obama.
Posted by: Jack at November 22, 2009 01:39 PM (m8h07)
Posted by: Rules of Engagement at November 22, 2009 03:36 PM (xhPKT)
you see they resent the taliban as much for trying to change them as they would be relived if we didnt. hell they might even learn to LIKE us in that case. But if we dont support these guys i do see this as a possible Bay Of Pigs.
Posted by: Gushka at November 22, 2009 11:13 PM (u3aBt)
Posted by: DE644 at November 23, 2009 10:52 AM (EfQeZ)
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Yesssss !! Finally, the football thread.
Wait, what?
Posted by: Blazer at November 22, 2009 08:21 AM (+FzLa)