October 28, 2010
— Ace Via Cubachi, who has background.
Corzine tried to wire-transfer hundreds of millions of dollars to city governments in order to 1, keep Christie from reducing such aid, and 2, to leave the state bankrupt.
He impounded the amount of the deficit -- $2.2 billion -- from the state's books, via executive order.
Watch all the way through; he gets funny at the end.
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Ilario Pantano, NC-7
Tom Wesley, MA-2
Andy Barr, KY-6
— Ace So many good challengers. If you're in these districts, or want to donate...
Tom Wesley's a Navy man, seeking office for the first time (MA-2 covers a lot of central southern and western Massachusetts-- Milford, Bellingham, Hopedale, Mendon, Millville, Upton, Blackstone and a lot of other towns I've never heard of).
His opponent is one Robert Neal, a sitting Congressman, who of course refuses to debate him.
"I'm an open book," said Wesley. "And I promise you as your representative, I will listen to you. Richard Neal doesn't do town hall discussions, he doesn't reach out to his constituents, he doesn't care."If he is elected, Wesley said he would take a different approach to representing his constituents.
"I don't think this is about me going to Congress," said Wesley. "I think it is about sending a people's representative to Congress."
...
"I am not his friend and I am not his colleague," said Wesley. "I am his constituent and that is why I am running, because I do not feel well represented."
A reader personally recommended Andy Barr, as he'd known him in college and reports he's an upstanding guy and was a solid conservative even then. (When a lot of us were not.)
Barr is just thisclose to knocking off incumbent Ben Chandler.
And on Friday the Lexington Herald-Leader published a poll showing Chandler leading Barr 48 to 44 percent among likely voters, with 8 percent undecided. That lead, the newspaper said, was within the pollÂ’s 4.5 percentage point margin of error....
According to the most recent Federal Election Commission report, Chandler had $1.3 million on hand, versus Barr's $370,000. Political observers say they will watch the race closely on election night as a bellwether because the district is largely rural and is held by a Democrat with some tendencies to vote conservative.
And of course Ilario Pantano for NC-7. Pantano was of course one of the Marines wrongly accused of murdering two Iraqi prisoners; but the military found it was a case of self-defense (or at least there wasn't clear evidence for a court martial).
I believed him at the time this was news and I believe him now. He was a good man wrongly accused, and his opponent, of course, is smearing him with a charge that was never actually prosecuted.
Be the Wave! And if you can't donate, and you can't do GOTV, at least consider putting up a sign.
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Marco Rubio: No, What's It Say?
Ace: It Says Bob Etheridge Is Gonna Be Choking Strangers As A Private Citizen
— Ace

So what's the poll say? I don't know! Either NRO is crashing or my stupid internet isn't working as usual. But I hear good things.
Update: The poll is behind a firewall but Drew tips me to the headline:
Civitas Poll: Ellmers Leads Etheridge Heading into Final Weekend
In other news: Remember Jacob Turk, challenging that Cleaver guy in MO-5? No confirmation yet but this blogger says it was reported on the radio that Turk's ahead, or MoE. Or something. Obviously, details are sketchy
PPP calls the WI-8 a bellwether for the country, since neither candidate is very well known there -- so it's up or down on Obama, mostly.
Reid Ribble is ahead of Steve Kagen-- and that's good, not just because Reid Ribble is a good conservative, but because it's really fun to say Republican Representative Reid Ribble. Try it!
So if voters don't really know or care much about either of these candidates, what's driving their voting decisions? We found there was an enormous correlation between how voters in the district felt about Barack Obama and how they planned to vote in the House race. With voters who approve of Obama, Kagen leads 74-5. With voters who don't approve of Obama Ribble's ahead 70-9.The problem for Kagen is that despite the fact that Obama won the district by 9 points in 2008, his approval rating there now is a 42/54 spread. So if the race ends up being a referendum on Obama he's going to lose. And there are dozens of other districts across the country where voters really know nothing about the candidates and are going to vote for the House based on their feelings about the President- for the most part that's going to be bad news for Democrats.
Charles Lollar (threatening Steny Hoyer in MD-5) is of course having his signs destroyed by hyperpartisan liberals and union stooges. I'm reprinting his letter in full below -- put up a sign if you're in the district. Hell, put up a sign if you're not in the district but on a well-traveled thoroughfare that might have drivers from MD-5.
more...
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— Ace At POWIP, video of the girl rushing to Rand Paul's car and, yes, assaulting him, by pushing a placard against his face.
Yes, that's assault and battery. You cannot just reach out and touch whoever you like. Particularly when you're doing so in a menacing manner -- like running up to an open car window while wearing a disguise to hide your appearance.
They allowed her to commit assault once -- how many times should she be permitted to commit? When she rushed him a second time -- her intentions already made clear by the first assault -- should she have been permitted to re-offend?
I wonder if liberals would appreciate Tea Partiers doing this sort of thing with their candidates. Or if they'd take it as provocative, violative, and possibly dangerous -- when a crazed person rushes at you, you don't know what their intentions are, do you?
And on Olby, of course she lies and claims she just wanted to "give" the sign to Paul. She omits the rushing-the-car-and-pushing-a-stiff-placard-against-his-face-through-his-open-window part.
Having done that already, she attempted to rush Paul again, at which point people restrained her, and good on them.
I bought into the spin. Sorry again. The only thing that was done wrong here was the guy gratuitously putting his foot on her head (for a second) before moving it to her shoulder. That seemed like a little bit of payback. Not much, but unnecessary.
But as for the people blocking her? Well done. We don't let disguised people rush at politicians.
If any liberal wishes to dispute me on the point then please name a Democrat politician currently ahead in the polls who you will grant us all permission to rush at menacingly.
And then we'll see how much you really want to stand behind this bullshit assassin-friendly "rule" you've concocted.
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08:03 AM
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— Ace Not sure how much this will help, but it would be marginally useful for there to be a blizzard of names the poll-workers have to mention as far as write-ins.
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07:42 AM
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— Ace Damn, that's one way to be on the ballot without being on the ballot. Effectively candidates will have to pitch themselves to her -- she'll be a primary of one.
On deciding whether or not to run, the former Alaska governor told Entertainment Tonight, “it's going to entail a discussion with my family [and] a real close look at the lay of the land, to consider whether there are those with that common sense, conservative, pro-Constitution passion, whether there are already candidates out there who can do the job … or whether there's nobody willing to do it, to make the tough choices and not care what the critics are going to say about you, just going forward according to what I think the priorities should be."
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07:25 AM
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— Ace And then she apologizes, sort of, while claiming she did absolutely nothing wrong.
A group has lodged an ethics complaint.
I think there's really only one real ethics complaint: You're fired.
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— Ace Long but worth reading, partly for the history lesson, partly fo the future implications. There's some business about the DNC simply removing Michigan primary votes from Hillary and awarding them to Obama I wasn't aware of (or, if I was aware of it, it has evaporated so completely from my memory that this is in effect the first time I'm hearing of it).
Here's some highlights, but make sure they get the click. The main point is that this isn't about Hillary. It might have begun as that, but it's turned into (for many) a complete refudiation of the entire Democrat Party.
more...
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06:29 AM
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— DrewM Some bad news to offset the good news in the last post.
Alaska Supreme Court rules that election officials can provide voters with a list of names of write in candidates.
After a day's worth of back-and-forth, the Alaska Supreme Court on Wednesday said voters can look at a list of certified write-in candidates when they go to the polls.The Supreme Court's decision late Wednesday blocked a lower court ruling made earlier in the day from taking effect while the high court further considers an appeal.
The Alaska Democratic Party and the Alaska Republican Party joined forces this week in court seeking to keep the list out of voting places. They thought they'd won the case Wednesday morning when the lower court judge told the state Division of Elections to remove the list from voting places statewide.
But the Supreme Court decision allows voters at early voting sites to see the lists if they say they need help and want to be shown a list of write-in candidates. The decision could aid Sen. Lisa Murkowski's write-in U.S. Senate bid; her campaign had fought to keep the lists at polling places.
"This stay will ensure that Alaskans can continue to get the assistance they're entitled to under law," said campaign manager Kevin Sweeney in a statement.
The Supreme Court did say the lists must not disclose the party affiliation of the write-in candidates. And the ballots of those voters who ask for the list must be segregated from the ballots of other voters, pending any additional appeals.
Funny how this comes up now that Mercywitcki is a write in but not before when other candidates went the write in route. I wonder if daddy Merzkowsky appointed any of these judges.
More bad news for Miller...Slu sends along a poll which says Miller is in third place. Poll is of adults, not even registered, let alone likely voters so it's meaningless (thanks to Greggory in the comments for pointing that out).
Is Alaska really going to send this go along, get along hack back to the Senate over an actual conservative and war hero?
I blame Eisenhower.
Thanks to Rebecca Grunewald for the heads up on the AK Supreme Court story.
Looks like Miller has a big event in Anchorage today with some big time firepower coming in for the occasion.
Here's his latest ad: more...
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— DrewM Look, I'm going to give you a little candy here but that doesn't mean you don't have to eat your dinner like Ace tells you and Be the Wave. This is our little secret, okay? Just somethings to get you excited to vote and get others to vote too.
NY Times Poll...it seems other than blacks, just about everyone (including the college educated libs love to brag about) that voted for Obama is pretty much on board with the GOP this year.
Critical parts of the coalition that delivered President Obama to the White House in 2008 and gave Democrats control of Congress in 2006 are switching their allegiance to the Republicans in the final phase of the midterm Congressional elections, according to the latest New York Times/CBS News poll.Republicans have wiped out the advantage held by Democrats in recent election cycles among women, Roman Catholics, less affluent Americans and independents. All of those groups broke for Mr. Obama in 2008 and for Congressional Democrats when they grabbed both chambers from the Republicans four years ago, according to exit polls.
If women choose Republicans over Democrats in House races on Tuesday, it will be the first time they have done so since exit polls began tracking the breakdown in 1982.
...In the case of women — a traditionally Democratic-leaning group that the White House has been courting actively in recent weeks — the shift toward the Republicans was marked in the latest poll, especially when compared with their stated preferences in the last Times/CBS poll, in mid-September.
In the earlier poll, women favored Democrats over Republicans by seven percentage points. In the latest poll, women said they were likely to support a Republican over a Democrat by four percentage points, suggesting Republican gains among women who were undecided as of last month.
Now if that's too many words...here it is in a picture.
If Democrats lose women...well, they are in big trouble. Somewhat related, I'm reconsidering my opposition to the XIX Amendment.
Slu took a look at the crosstabs and notes that even with a heavily anti-Republican sample (in this of all years), the Times still can't get a result friendly to the home team.
10/21-26/10 R-28 D-37 I-31 n/a-410/21-26/10 Liberal-19 Moderate-37 Conservative-38 n/a-5
So much for the "those crazy tea parties are scaring moderates" stuff, at least with this poll.
Meanwhile, John Boehner is letting everyone know this in the bag by campaigning with Rich Iott. Iott is the guy running for Congress who like to do historical reenactments, including portraying the occasional Nazi SS soldier.
Forget whether or not it was a fair or unfair shot at Iott, if you are Boehner there are lots of places you can campaign the last weekend before the election and not re-open that can of worms or give people a cheap talking point. But if you are looking to find a way to telegraph to folks, "yep, I'm 100% positive I'm the next Speaker of the House" you might go with the old, "hey, let's campaign with the guy who plays Nazi" gag.
Democrats are desperately trying to save guys like Barney Frank and Boehner is out campaigning with like the most controversial Republican he can find in a race Real Clear Politics doesn't even have on their scoreboard.
Winston Wolfe would be disappointed and impressed with the audacity. But mostly impressed with the audacity.
So there you have your treats, now get back to work and Be the Wave.
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