June 17, 2010
— Ace Great piece.
I like York's suggestion that it might have been Nobel Prize winning scientist Stepehen Chu who told Obama that offshore drilling was "absolutely safe."
More likely, no one "told" him this. It was just the convenient thing to claim when he undertook to thwart the left. Hey, if it's absolutely safe, you can't have any qualms about this.
Obama does that, I'm sure you've heard. Invents convenient factual premises that support his policies. Like did you ever hear the one about getting to keep your policy if you like your policy?
It's a "fact," man.
Posted by: Ace at
10:52 PM
| Comments (38)
Post contains 101 words, total size 1 kb.
Posted by: Mya Angelou at June 17, 2010 10:56 PM (7ZyYf)
Posted by: Lolcano at June 17, 2010 11:00 PM (qE9Su)
Posted by: Doc at June 17, 2010 11:05 PM (rzJpR)
Posted by: Garbonzo the Garrulous at June 17, 2010 11:12 PM (zgd5N)
But Chu told them that the rigs had to be painted white. Otherwise there was a 78% chance of catastrophic failure.
That rig wasn't white.
Posted by: progressoverpeace at June 17, 2010 11:17 PM (Qp4DT)
Posted by: progressoverpeace at June 17, 2010 11:24 PM (Qp4DT)
Posted by: robotgossip at June 17, 2010 11:27 PM (EiH7n)
The problem with our society is what we consider "safe" and what we consider "risk" and what we are willing to do with regard to "risk".
We think nothing of getting in the car and driving down the road to get a cheeseburger and fry at the nearest Mickey-D. But the probability of getting into an accident while doing that is 1 in 16 during your lifetime or 6.25 x 10-2 in 83 years. People are more than willing to perform the action. Contrast that to the government regulations when they were forcing the nuclear industry to incorporate probabilistic risk into their design rather than "deterministic" (don't ask it gets too complicated). If the probability of a core damaging accident was calculated to be greater than 1 in 2500 years (10-4) the plant was required to perform a modification that would alleviate that threat. (i.e. spend anywhere from a few hundred thousand to millions).
This is where it all breaks down. We say you were much more likely to have an auto accident but people had no qualms. Mathematically, risk is defined as consequences time probability. If probability is high and consequences are low, then the risk is low. This is why people are willing to get in that car. The overwhelming number of auto accidents have low consequences other than financial and insurance helps with that.
What is evident here in this event is that gas pressure causes blowouts are rather common in oil wells, i.e. high probability. The addition of a blowout device and controller is supposed to minimize the risk by limiting the consequences of the blowout. For what ever the reason, it appears that the proper blowout device was not installed, therefore the risk was high; very high because as we see, the consequences are very high.
I know that no root cause evaluation has been done on this event yet and all of the above is based on what the press has been saying on and off for a while. But if it is true, this well should never have been allowed to operate in this condition. The risk should have been judged unacceptable.
Posted by: Vic at June 18, 2010 12:10 AM (6taRI)
Posted by: Comrade Arthur at June 18, 2010 01:28 AM (aHiMU)
Posted by: Sam at June 18, 2010 02:33 AM (lI9wK)
Huh? You're supposed to be this super-duper smart "sort of a God" President, and you have no common sense?
You're admitting you know absolutely nothing about: engineering, science, oil exploration, and admit you're an all around dupe?
And, that's ok?
Posted by: Jay at June 18, 2010 03:29 AM (ZxE4n)
Posted by: politicalmuse at June 18, 2010 03:45 AM (kLKnf)
Ace..this should be a must-read as complement to the article you linked
York's article says that Obama was told, when it suited his purposes, the drilling was completely safe. The one I link from Jonah Goldberg has Obama pretty saying the opposite..and in fact is shown to be lying about it. He said that the Society of Engineers said that off-shore drilling should be stopped..
..they said nothing of the sort"
“The recommendations contained in this report,” declared the document, “have been peer-reviewed by seven experts identified by the National Academy of Engineering.”
Except that was untrue. In fact, it was such a glaring lie that the seven engineers who peer-reviewed an earlier version of the document felt obliged to come forward to clear the air. ..
(snip)
One of the experts, Benton Baugh, president of Radoil, told the Wall Street Journal that if the draft had said to halt drilling, “we’d have said ‘that’s craziness
Posted by: beedubya at June 18, 2010 03:49 AM (AnTyA)
More from the Goldberg article
(whoops..it's not the Society of Enginners, its's the National Academy of same)
“The Secretary (Salazaar) should be free to recommend whatever he thinks is correct,” wrote the scientists, “but he should not be free to use our names to justify his political decisions.”
Posted by: beedubya at June 18, 2010 03:52 AM (AnTyA)
Chu was the brain stormer who suggested that we should paint all of our rooves white, to help with global warming.
Any possible suggestions or recommendations Chu had about the oil spill would be absolutely safe to trust.
This whole thing makes me feel warm and fuzzy, knowing that our president has surrounded himself with this kind of genius.
Posted by: AvengingAngel at June 18, 2010 04:46 AM (3EpAU)
The democrat's pointless lockstep anti-Anwr stance sure looks stupid right about now..
and now...
and NOW.
Posted by: Lemon Kitten at June 18, 2010 05:15 AM (0fzsA)
You know what I'm sick of? Obama's words. It's all WORDS with this man: Rhetorical flourishes, false promises, soaring rhetoric. His words, which helped him gain the most powerful position in the world, are meaningless.
There's nothing there. Just empty soaring rhetoric for the blind faithful.
Posted by: Lemon Kitten at June 18, 2010 05:27 AM (0fzsA)
You're admitting you know absolutely nothing about: engineering, science, oil exploration, and admit you're an all around dupe?
He's also admitting that his advisers are 'all around dupes'. As AvengingAngel points out, Chu's advice about painting roofs white fits into that category. The entire administration is comprised of juvenile egotists and old hippies. What could go wrong?
Posted by: Decaf at June 18, 2010 05:47 AM (NooBZ)
FYI... when they start talking about using nukes, that is the time to flee.
/"absolutely safe" = "you will be able to keep your insurance"
Posted by: shibumi at June 18, 2010 05:48 AM (OKZrE)
Posted by: Comanche Voter at June 18, 2010 05:57 AM (ktYjH)
You know what I'm sick of? Obama's words. It's all WORDS with this man: Rhetorical flourishes, false promises, soaring rhetoric. His words, which helped him gain the most powerful position in the world, are meaningless.
There's nothing there. Just empty soaring rhetoric for the blind faithful.
Obama should have gone into advertising, made a mint and gained a great reputation. His election campaign was brilliant in its timing and appeal to people's inner conflict and insecurities. During the 2008 European tour he struck a pose near some landmark with his jacket casually over his shoulder that he looked just like a male model selling Rolex watches, Aston Martins or some expensive and exclusive liquor.
He does not know himself and is easily persuaded by flattery to aim for more than he can cope with. Instead of heading for Hollywood or Madison Avenue he wanted to be the king of the world and so you get a reincarnation of King George III.
Posted by: Decaf at June 18, 2010 06:03 AM (NooBZ)
Posted by: BigDaddy1964 at June 18, 2010 06:18 AM (pOcKt)
Posted by: Michael Collins at June 18, 2010 06:56 AM (I+7Zv)
People, People,
You're too stupid to understand what Obama meant! He meant that HE would make off-shore drilling "absolutely safe" and he did so!
He stopped all drilling... that's the only way to be "absolutely sure".
Posted by: LouisianaLightning at June 18, 2010 07:30 AM (W1mrP)
Posted by: Miss'80sBaby at June 18, 2010 07:37 AM (Yq+qN)
Posted by: crosspatch at June 18, 2010 08:14 AM (ZbLJZ)
Posted by: U.S.S. Yorktown at June 18, 2010 09:44 AM (sYEpI)
Oh.
Never mind.
Posted by: alanstorm at June 18, 2010 01:27 PM (1KVW3)
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Posted by: A Balrog of Morgoth at June 17, 2010 10:55 PM (ZESU0)