August 12, 2010
— Ace
The 'great cow' at Racenna in great trouble,
Led by fifteen shut up at Fornase:
At Rome there will be born two double-headed monsters,
Blood, fire, flood, the greatest ones in space.
Oh, wait, they don't mean every third quatrain of quack prophet Nostradamus.
Oh dear no -- they mean science.
Floods, fires, melting ice and feverish heat: From smoke-choked Moscow to water-soaked Iowa and the High Arctic, the planet seems to be having a midsummer breakdown. It's not just a portent of things to come, scientists say, but a sign of troubling climate change already under way.The weather-related cataclysms of July and August fit patterns predicted by climate scientists, the Geneva-based World Meteorological Organization says - although those scientists always shy from tying individual disasters directly to global warming.
Um-- yeah, they "shy away" from that. They call an easy-lay AP reporter and feed him the story, and then say "but don't quote us as claiming a connection, because that would be unscientific; but by all means -- you make the claim which we cannot."
"There is no time to waste," because societies must be equipped to deal with global warming, says British government climatologist Peter Stott.He said modelers of climate systems are "very keen" to develop supercomputer modeling that would enable more detailed linking of cause and effect as a warming world shifts jet streams and other atmospheric currents. Those changes can wreak weather havoc.
No time to waste. It's gonna be bad, people:
The New Land is scorched in the year 20 and 9,
The people cry out for mercy, but death does prevail,
SummerÂ’s heat and drought is unrelenting through September,
The people cannot escape, tens of thousands die.
By all means, let's get some more of that "modeling" going on supercomputers because everyone knows that supercomputers are smart and don't, say, just regurgitate your starting assumptions back to you.
Posted by: Ace at
03:21 PM
| Comments (287)
Post contains 332 words, total size 2 kb.
Apparently one hot month means we are all going to die though.
Let's hope they don't decide to do more climate modeling after measuring the change in temperature of 11 AM to 1 PM...
Posted by: 18-1 at August 12, 2010 03:23 PM (bgcml)
Posted by: 48%er at August 12, 2010 07:22 PM (kcqZS)
So give up our cars and they'll behead us last?
Posted by: 18-1 at August 12, 2010 03:24 PM (bgcml)
Posted by: Dr. Peter Venkman at August 12, 2010 03:24 PM (QKKT0)
OT: How to Fix a Dysfunctional Senate: Cut 98 Senators
WASHINGTON—Apparently the Senate can work quickly after all. You just have to limit it to two senators.
On Thursday, the chamber approved a $600 million border-security bill in 31 minutes, from opening gavel to final passage. While their colleagues were enjoying a summer recess, Sen. Chuck Schumer flew in from New York and Sen. Ben Cardin drove his Pontiac from Baltimore to represent the entire Senate in the cavernous chamber.
Posted by: Miss'80sBaby at August 12, 2010 03:25 PM (Yq+qN)
Posted by: kathysaysso at August 12, 2010 03:26 PM (ZtwUX)
I'm starting to wish they were right. That way all the fucking climate scientists and their media lackeys would be killed in the glorious cleansing cataclysm. I have a pretty good feeling about the next global disaster, whatever it may be. The weak and stupid (welfare scum and muslims and 3rd worlders) will be wiped away, while the strong, smart, and industrious survive.
BRING IT!
Sadly, so such thing will happen. Weather will simply continue to be weather.
Posted by: Reactionary at August 12, 2010 03:27 PM (4nbyM)
This is how reporters try to "lead" the reading audience. "They" won't outright say it, but they'll organize the story to get your mind to make the connection, with a little disclaimer *nudge, nudge, wink, wink* at the end.
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at August 12, 2010 03:27 PM (c0A3e)
Read within the week, but not sure the source.
Posted by: Adriane at August 12, 2010 03:27 PM (+NfQM)
Oh, wait...
Posted by: Miss Marple (redneck teabagger) at August 12, 2010 03:28 PM (bixjr)
Posted by: Reiver at August 12, 2010 03:28 PM (Zjqmr)
LOL, their title says it all.
Obviously the problem is that we are not taxed enough. That causes global catastrophe.
Posted by: Vic at August 12, 2010 03:28 PM (/jbAw)
Posted by: The Data at August 12, 2010 03:28 PM (bgcml)
SummerÂ’s heat and drought is unrelenting through September,
As opposed to, I suppose, Winter's cold and wetness, unrelenting through April.
This Nostradamus was quite the predictor, don't you think?
Posted by: Gunslinger at August 12, 2010 03:28 PM (Zi+FQ)
Miss'80sBaby -- And it took them 31 minutes?
That's like the football game between the US and Poland. The US team left the field and the Polish team scored three plays later.
Posted by: Muskwa at August 12, 2010 03:29 PM (DXa2e)
And by "very keen" we mean "billions of dollars of funding for research and/or salaries while we play Doom and hope to get a date. thanks.
Posted by: the modelers at August 12, 2010 03:29 PM (yT8z7)
Kathy, tsk, tsk. Everybody knows that global warming causes some spots to be colder.
/Also, the Antarctic is much colder than usual. Saw the link on Drudge.
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at August 12, 2010 03:30 PM (c0A3e)
Oh and "no time to waste" means I have a mortgage payment due. thanks again.
Posted by: the modelers at August 12, 2010 03:31 PM (yT8z7)
Posted by: andycanuck at August 12, 2010 03:31 PM (rfHsm)
Hotter then normal? Proof of Global Warming
Wetter? Proof of Global Warming
Drier? Proof of Global Warming
Colder? Well you can't judge the climate as a whole by the short term temperature trends in one location...
Posted by: 18-1 at August 12, 2010 03:32 PM (bgcml)
Posted by: CoolCzech at August 12, 2010 03:32 PM (tJjm/)
Posted by: Barry Obama at August 12, 2010 03:33 PM (tJjm/)
He said modelers of climate systems are "very keen" to develop supercomputer modeling ...
Oh, their running models on supercomputers. That's good enough for me.
(My portfolio of collateralized debt obligations must be worth a fortune by now. Maybe I'll cash some in and buy myself a supercomputer.)
Posted by: FireHorse at August 12, 2010 03:33 PM (cQyWA)
Posted by: Miss'80sBaby at August 12, 2010 07:25 PM (Yq+qN)
WTH? Got a link?
Yes, I too am interested in the quorom of two.
Posted by: PR at August 12, 2010 03:34 PM (k7SeR)
The weather-related cataclysms of July and August fit patterns predicted by climate scientists, the Geneva-based World Meteorological Organization says - although those scientists always shy from tying individual disasters directly to global warming.
They weren't so Johnny on the spot last winter, like when the greenhouse summit was cancelled due to snow.
Posted by: rdbrewer at August 12, 2010 03:35 PM (Adi4S)
Posted by: Nostradamus at August 12, 2010 03:37 PM (rfHsm)
28 Sorry. From The WSJ: http://tinyurl.com/2cz7j9n
It's actually perfectly legal, which is why it's worrisome.
Posted by: Miss'80sBaby at August 12, 2010 03:37 PM (Yq+qN)
Oh, their running models on supercomputers.
Running pronstars on supercomputers would result in a better data set.
Posted by: E=MFM2'd at August 12, 2010 03:37 PM (rMMMP)
Posted by: Miss'80sBaby at August 12, 2010 03:39 PM (Yq+qN)
Actually, our employers ask that we model the best way to separate taxpayers from their money and sovereignty and then work backwards to find the best mechanism. As you already know, we succeeded and that model has been working for years. We really just play Pong now.
Posted by: Michael Mann's & U. of East Anglia's Computer Monkies at August 12, 2010 03:39 PM (swuwV)
Freezing my nuts off in Thule.
The Wookie will offend the nostrils of the Spanish king.
Posted by: Nostradamus at August 12, 2010 03:39 PM (rfHsm)
What's this?
You hear about this? Former failed NYC mayor David Dinkins gave the middle finger to a heckler outside of the place of Rangel's b-day party.
Posted by: assorted nuts at August 12, 2010 03:39 PM (se4E3)
Posted by: alexthechick at August 12, 2010 03:40 PM (eRjGt)
Posted by: Muskwa at August 12, 2010 03:41 PM (DXa2e)
Posted by: BeckoningChasm at August 12, 2010 03:41 PM (eNxMU)
The Detroit Lions won 0 games in 2008 and 2 games in 2009. Based on this trend, their regular season record in 2020 should be 24 wins and -8 losses.
Posted by: FireHorse at August 12, 2010 03:41 PM (cQyWA)
Posted by: denny crane at August 12, 2010 03:41 PM (I+7Zv)
Posted by: alexthechick at August 12, 2010 07:40 PM (eRjGt)
Or further review, we stand by our readings of 600C temperatures. This global warming is worse then even we thought!
Posted by: NOAA at August 12, 2010 03:42 PM (bgcml)
FIFY.
And according to my state-of-the-art climate modeling program, I predict the temperature will steadily get cooler from now to December. I can has NSF grant now?
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at August 12, 2010 03:43 PM (c0A3e)
When they figure out how to predict a full hurricane season correctly, I take their 100 year estimates as less than a joke. Until then.... BWAAHHHHHAAAAHHHAA.
Posted by: DrewM. at August 12, 2010 03:43 PM (X/Lqh)
The report I saw at Weasel Zippers didn't say if the House Speaker had accepted the resignations; so it was probably just kabuki.
And, yes, alexthechick, they've been screwing up Great Lakes (or just L. Michigan?) temperature readings while screaming about the Great Lakes' water being massively warmer than ever before. (Certifiable bullshit because Lake Superior has frozen over in winter twice in the past four or five years when that event usually only happens every twenty years.)
Posted by: andycanuck at August 12, 2010 03:43 PM (rfHsm)
Posted by: stuiec at August 12, 2010 03:45 PM (7AOgy)
40 Miss'80sBaby, I'm in Fort Worth and it only got down to 87 degrees last night. Supposedly there will be "tropical" storms by Monday.
Muskwa,
It was actually a bit cooler than that in my hometown of Houston, but it's been in the high 80s in East TX as well. The good thing about H-town is that the clouds roll-in from the Gulf, but it's not always that way here in East TX. I would be quite happy if it rained more during the summer.
/Though I'd void that if it involved hurricanes. Tropical storms are okay, but no hurricanes.
Posted by: Miss'80sBaby at August 12, 2010 03:45 PM (Yq+qN)
They're becoming more and more shrill about the Impending Doom and End Of The World Scenarios. GAIA MUST BE SAVED!
Posted by: Dang Straights at August 12, 2010 03:45 PM (fx8sm)
I mean, the wildfires in Russia couldn't have anything to do with the fact that Putin fired all the firefighters and sold all the engines, could it?
Posted by: Meiczyslaw at August 12, 2010 03:45 PM (vEhUz)
Posted by: rdbrewer at August 12, 2010 03:45 PM (Adi4S)
Yep. I'm going to miss the Great Lakes. After all, NOAA indicated that they boiled away.
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at August 12, 2010 03:45 PM (c0A3e)
Posted by: denny crane at August 12, 2010 07:41 PM (I+7Zv)
He's right behind you, but don't look he's faster than Billy Clinton driving to Mickey Dee's
Posted by: Radioactive Satellite Of LOVE at August 12, 2010 03:45 PM (zqzYV)
Yeah, my family still has a ton of friends from when we lived in Michigan and several of them mentioned how long the ice lasted the last few years.
Posted by: alexthechick at August 12, 2010 03:46 PM (eRjGt)
Posted by: Techie at August 12, 2010 03:46 PM (zbH+i)
Posted by: Miss'80sBaby at August 12, 2010 03:47 PM (Yq+qN)
Posted by: CoolCzech at August 12, 2010 03:47 PM (tJjm/)
Either freak one offs count for both sides or they shouldn't count at all.
Posted by: DrewM. at August 12, 2010 03:48 PM (X/Lqh)
I think it's for real, andycanoodle.
No one in NH is defending these guys. And one of them, Harrigan?, is definitely o-u-t.
Posted by: assorted nuts at August 12, 2010 03:49 PM (2NNz2)
Posted by: rdbrewer at August 12, 2010 03:49 PM (Adi4S)
Posted by: Soap MacTavish at August 12, 2010 03:50 PM (554T5)
It's actually perfectly legal, which is why it's worrisome.
Posted by: Miss'80sBaby at August 12, 2010 07:37 PM (Yq+qN)
Yeah, I know it's legal. I was just a little concerned about what bill they were doing that with. I hadn't heard, and I don't trust any of those jerks.
Thanks.
Posted by: Steph at August 12, 2010 03:50 PM (580hG)
Posted by: huerfano at August 12, 2010 03:52 PM (6Z05k)
And then on top of that I have to deal with the libtardely fuckity fucks who told me last year that one cool summer or cold ass winter doesnt prove shit about global warming, yet a hot month of August and they're all masturbating with glee while dancing around me. May they all freeze to death in the Sahara desert, motherfuckers.
Posted by: Santonio Holmes at August 12, 2010 03:52 PM (gLNLT)
Posted by: JournoList 2.0 at August 12, 2010 03:52 PM (swuwV)
Posted by: Uncle Jed at August 12, 2010 03:54 PM (Alsae)
one who would heal the oceans and bring peace to warring kingdoms
from his mouth issues the dread words
Fuck you , I won .
Posted by: awkward davies at August 12, 2010 03:54 PM (RNW0d)
The prediction for the rest of the month is average temps.
But I don't mind if the lefty moron across the street gets his electric bill quadrupled. He's got the noisiest fucking a/c on the street.
Posted by: suburban philly moron at August 12, 2010 03:54 PM (UATCA)
Especially considering Schumer's joke: "We had a long list of things we were tempted to bring up and pass."
I thank them for showing restraint, but that's about it. Don't trust them, either.
Thanks.
YW.
Posted by: Miss'80sBaby at August 12, 2010 03:54 PM (Yq+qN)
Damn you all! I'll bet you think you're better than us just because you type faster and play Doom.
Posted by: Michael Mann's & U. of East Anglia's Computer Monkies at August 12, 2010 03:57 PM (swuwV)
And he'll never fix it. He's a lefty, and doesn't give a shit about his neighbors.
Posted by: Soap MacTavish at August 12, 2010 03:57 PM (554T5)
Posted by: Muskwa at August 12, 2010 03:58 PM (DXa2e)
So what do the last 11-12 years of NON-WARMING indicate MOTHER FUCKERS??
And, what will the temperature on my birthday in February 2011 be??
Put LIBTARDS in academic/philosophic/theoretical positions and you get NONSENSE.
Posted by: gus at August 12, 2010 04:00 PM (bpEWJ)
Because the Repubs had already said "yes", essentially.
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at August 12, 2010 04:01 PM (c0A3e)
Remember the movie with MEL GIBSON and RICHARD DOOFUS and JOHN GOODMAN and that whore HOLLY HUNTER and they put out fires with airplanes?
RICHARD DOOFUS died and then MEL GIBSON was banging HOLLY HUNTER and then he got sick of her and called her a [REDACTED].
Posted by: nutwing plover at August 12, 2010 04:01 PM (se4E3)
72 We actually had 'heavy snow' here in East TX back in March, which was lovely.
I think we do go through periods where temps are hotter or colder than normal, but it's not something we can control. It has always happened, & it will continue to happen as long as the Earth exists. That's just the way things are.
Posted by: Miss'80sBaby at August 12, 2010 04:02 PM (Yq+qN)
What PRAY-FUCKING-TELL, does that mean LIBTARDS???
Posted by: gus at August 12, 2010 04:03 PM (bpEWJ)
Posted by: gus at August 12, 2010 08:03 PM
Don't go to Wisconsin in August.
Posted by: Truck Monkey at August 12, 2010 04:05 PM (yQWNf)
Posted by: Jean at August 12, 2010 04:05 PM (duCmT)
Another prophet of disaster, who said this ship is lost.
Another prophet of disaster, leaving you to count the cost.
Taunting with visions, afflicting us with fear,
Predicting war for millions, in the hope that one appears.
No point asking when it is.
No point asking who's to go.
No point asking what's the game.
No point asking who's to blame.
'Cuz if you're gonna die....
If you're gonna die, die with your boots on.
If you're gonna try, well, stick around.
If you're gonna cry, just move along.
If you're gonna die, you're gonna die.
14 the Beast is rising, the Frenchman did surmise.
Through earthquakes and starvation, the Warlord will arise.
Terror, Death, Destruction, fall from the Eastern Sands.
But the truth to all prediction, is always in your hands.
No point asking when it is.
No point asking who's to go.
No point asking what's the game.
No point asking who's to blame.
'Cuz if you're gonna die....
If you're gonna die, die with your boots on.
If you're gonna try, well, stick around.
If you're gonna cry, just move along.
If you're gonna die, you're gonna die.
Posted by: Entropy at August 12, 2010 04:06 PM (eL+YD)
Your vision is false. It should be a case of Val-U-Rite, in a dark hobo's lair.
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at August 12, 2010 04:09 PM (c0A3e)
Posted by: Retread at August 12, 2010 04:10 PM (8yoI6)
Posted by: PaleRider at August 12, 2010 04:11 PM (dkExz)
Truck Monkey. I'm in Wisconsin. It's 97 degrees today. They are sweating their balls off at the PGA in Sheboygan.
Posted by: gus at August 12, 2010 04:12 PM (bpEWJ)
53 They did predict correctly that it would get hotter in the northern hemisphere during the summer. They got that right.
-----------------------
Blind pig, meet truffle.
"They" have got the hurricane season, which AGW was supposed to make much worse, completely wrong ever since Katrina.
I fart in the general direction of your so-called enviro-seers!
Posted by: Nostradomus at August 12, 2010 04:12 PM (KBviZ)
the amount of energy necessary to affect weather on Earth would seem to require the presence of some large me-sized object.
-
Posted by: The Sun at August 12, 2010 04:13 PM (ruzrP)
Ace, I have seen your future. A case of bourbon, a dark basment and scribled out verses predicting the future for guillable masses.
You forgot about the people living in the crawl space under the stairs.
Posted by: nutwing plover at August 12, 2010 04:14 PM (2NNz2)
Posted by: Venus at August 12, 2010 04:16 PM (SwkdU)
Posted by: Al Gore at August 12, 2010 04:18 PM (PweBk)
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at August 12, 2010 08:09 PM (c0A3e)
Racist!
Posted by: RushBabe at August 12, 2010 04:19 PM (a3Z62)
Posted by: Vic at August 12, 2010 04:19 PM (/jbAw)
Posted by: Soap MacTavish at August 12, 2010 04:21 PM (554T5)
You've stripped me bare with your scorching intensity!
Posted by: Mercury at August 12, 2010 04:22 PM (c0A3e)
Posted by: Mark in Portland at August 12, 2010 04:24 PM (BD2Ek)
Posted by: Soap MacTavish at August 12, 2010 04:25 PM (554T5)
Posted by: RushBabe at August 12, 2010 04:25 PM (a3Z62)
Posted by: Lincolntf at August 12, 2010 04:26 PM (BCzaE)
Like pumping sulfur dioxide into the upper atmosphere.
Posted by: Radioactive Satellite Of LOVE at August 12, 2010 04:27 PM (zqzYV)
First we had the models who were too skinny. Next we had the Victoria's Secret models who were too sexy for TV.
And now we have models who want to destroy the earth?
I'm not liking where this is headed.
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at August 12, 2010 04:28 PM (r1h5M)
Posted by: trainer at August 12, 2010 04:28 PM (yCWYQ)
Posted by: wHodat at August 12, 2010 04:30 PM (+sBB4)
105 Wow, a few minutes ago I thought a mariachi band had broken into my house but then I realized it was the cicadas in the back yard. Bastards are noisy as hell this year. Must be global warming, eh?
LOL.
Seriously, though, they've actually been rather quiet here this yr, don't know why. So, I keep seeing them, but don't hear them as much.
Posted by: Miss'80sBaby at August 12, 2010 04:31 PM (Yq+qN)
Didn't we used to have a mechanism that did that back in the industrial age? Called "manufacturing", I do believe.
Posted by: HeatherRadish at August 12, 2010 04:31 PM (9PzaA)
Like pumping sulfur dioxide into the upper atmosphere.
My uncle suggested letting the power plants emit sulfur dioxide into the atmosphere if we were really serious about trying to lower the Earth's temperature (which we really can't do).
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at August 12, 2010 04:31 PM (c0A3e)
Posted by: wHodat at August 12, 2010 04:33 PM (+sBB4)
I was a greenskeeper for five years and the tried and true long term weather forecaster was none other than the Farmer's Almanac. They measure wooly worms and use tidal charts and probably look at horse shit too but they always nailed the general forecast.
On a golf course, successful weather analysis can make or break the yearly budget. It always tickled me that old fashioned weather watching was more accurate than modern forecasting models.
Posted by: ErikW at August 12, 2010 04:35 PM (lM2oC)
#114 First we had the models who were too skinny. Next we had the Victoria's Secret models who were too sexy for TV.
And now we have models who want to destroy the earth?
Told you decadence would be the undoing of us all. Did anybody listen? Nooo...
#121 Didn't we used to have a mechanism that did that back in the industrial age? Called "manufacturing", I do believe.
Green jobs are the future though, you dirt-stealing radish.
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at August 12, 2010 04:36 PM (c0A3e)
Didn't we used to have a mechanism that did that back in the industrial age? Called "manufacturing", I do believe.
Posted by: HeatherRadish at August 12, 2010 08:31 PM (9PzaA)
Yes, it was something Americans did before we were focused on "Service Economy". They would take stuff and make stuff out of it.
Now, we can serve people.
Posted by: Radioactive Satellite Of LOVE at August 12, 2010 04:37 PM (zqzYV)
Are we talking about fembots?
Posted by: CDR M at August 12, 2010 08:29 PM (5I8G0)
Holy delusional camel jockey. Do they want to destroy the world too?
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at August 12, 2010 04:37 PM (r1h5M)
Gladly. Your mind is too decadent, and I want for a decadence-free mind to drink from.
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at August 12, 2010 04:38 PM (c0A3e)
Posted by: AmishDude at August 12, 2010 04:38 PM (RgyHa)
Posted by: Otis Criblecoblis at August 12, 2010 04:39 PM (kJXs1)
131 126 Gladly. Your mind is too decadent, and I want for a decadence-free mind to drink from.
So you're stealing minds instead of souls? Or you only talk to nuns?
Posted by: Miss'80sBaby at August 12, 2010 04:41 PM (Yq+qN)
Now, we can serve people.
Posted by: Radioactive Satellite Of LOVE at August 12, 2010 08:37 PM (zqzYV)
Are you looking for a job by any chance?
Posted by: Bill Clinton at August 12, 2010 04:41 PM (bgcml)
The UK Met Office's climate scientist Jeff Knight told BBC News, "Circulation anomalies tend to create warm and cool anomalies: while it has been very hot in western Russia, it has been cooler than average in adjacent parts of Siberia that lie on the other side of the high pressure system where Arctic air is being drawn southwards."
New Scientist magazine likens the blocked weather system to Pakistani floods, as well, since monsoon season has not yet begun in neighboring regions.
Posted by: unseen at August 12, 2010 04:41 PM (aVGmX)
I am really enjoying the Rick Sanchez Hour tonight. Such depth. Such concern.
I'll be enjoying happy hour with Rick Sanchez later on tonight baby!
Posted by: Patrick Kennedy at August 12, 2010 04:41 PM (IRwVS)
Posted by: fluffy at August 12, 2010 04:42 PM (SwkdU)
There is some tentative evidence that the sun may be involved. Earlier this year astrophysicist Mike Lockwood of the University of Reading, UK, showed that winter blocking events were more likely to happen over Europe when solar activity is low – triggering freezing winters (New Scientist, 17 April, p 6).
Now he says he has evidence from 350 years of historical records to show that low solar activity is also associated with summer blocking events (Environmental Research Letters, in press). "There's enough evidence to suspect that the jet stream behaviour is being modulated by the sun," he says.
Blackburn says that blocking events have been unusually common over the last three years, for instance, causing severe floods in the UK and heatwaves in eastern Europe in 2007. Solar activity has been low throughout.
Posted by: unseen at August 12, 2010 04:42 PM (aVGmX)
Posted by: Otis Criblecoblis at August 12, 2010 04:43 PM (kJXs1)
Hear this, Sciency Scientists: I'm holding out for the full Old Testament treatment. Plagues of locusts, boils, and people turning into pillars of fucking salt.
Posted by: Wodeshed at August 12, 2010 04:45 PM (BFqyO)
Posted by: Otis Criblecoblis at August 12, 2010 08:43 PM (kJXs1)
Cut. Jib. Newsletter?
Posted by: Sun rises in the east at August 12, 2010 04:45 PM (IRwVS)
Posted by: rdbrewer at August 12, 2010 04:46 PM (Adi4S)
The worst of the computer models:
This is an update to a thread, some months back, which was in a Monte series about derivatives, the Black-Scholes formula, the Ivy League and AIG. I intended to post this little bit then but I didnÂ’t have the time.
As Monte wrote, Black-Scholes, an imperfect formula to determine hedging risk, was certainly a main part of the problem at AIG, but there was a more proximate culprit.
Based on a three part series in the Washington Post, the site TPM writes:
“According to computer models devised by Gary Gorton, a Yale Business Professor and consultant to the unit, there was a 99.85 percent chance that AIGFP would never have to pay out on these deals. Essentially, this would happen only if the economy went into a full-blown depression, in which case, the AIGers believed, the counter-parties would be wiped out, and therefore would hardly be in a position to demand payment anyway. With the backing of Cassano, then the COO, Savage greenlighted the deals. Credit default swaps were born.”
AIGFP is AIG Financial Products, the group that wrote all those derivatives contracts. Cassano, who became head of the unit, had neither the training nor experience to verify this risk assessment of near zero, nor did he commission a second opinion. It was apparently too good to check.
Armed with his Yale calculation of near-zero risk (no doubt based in part on Black-Scholes), Cassano then cut loose his band of young, eager, Ivy League traders to wreak contracts of at least 60 trillion, including billions in profits and tens of millions in bonuses. Since there was “no risk”, at no time was a reserve established or rights to collateral sought.
(In all my years in banking I have never seen anything so strange – you could loan Bill Gates a hundred bucks and still assume some element of risk.)
Furthermore, at no time did any internal or external audit detect even a shiver of risk.
None of this came out in recent congressional hearings of course. Cassano only evaded, danced, blamed the auditors and admitted that he had blocked the AIG Risk Assessment Team from looking at his group. Even had he used the terms “spectacularly stupid” and “cataclysmically wrong” it still would have ranked high in the history of understatements.
In the annals of destruction caused by computer models, this one surely ranks above even those that informed Al GoreÂ’s predictions of 20-foot sea level rises and iceless polar caps. The IPCC has only cost us several billion so far and we have got 160 billion into AIG, not including a few related matters. The 160 billion actually went through AIG and onward to Goldman, Deutsche bank and several dozen others to pay off CDS contracts, the failure of which would have been otherwise assured, and Yale risk assessment notwithstanding.
In the old Soviet Mayday parade, the joke goes; one man marched alone after the battalions of soldiers and the ranks of tanks and artillery. When asked about it, an old hand remarked: “That is the economist; he has more destructive power than anything you have seen so far.”
Perhaps we should now update this old joke and include Yale professors and computer models.
And almost nobody knows this story: the computer model behind the almost-destruction of the world financial system.
Cry “havoc” and let slip the Yale Professors!
Posted by: Robert at August 12, 2010 04:47 PM (cd6Ip)
Posted by: rdbrewer at August 12, 2010 08:46 PM (Adi4S)
Wanna go to Vegas with me? I need some cash.
Posted by: Delta Smelt at August 12, 2010 04:47 PM (IRwVS)
Posted by: dananjcon at August 12, 2010 04:48 PM (CpbMn)
Greatest junk-science statement ever!
Posted by: progressoverpeace at August 12, 2010 04:48 PM (Qp4DT)
It's been how long since the end of the last glaciation?
Posted by: HeatherRadish at August 12, 2010 04:48 PM (9PzaA)
And why it's the perfect farce. Along with every example of extreme weather, every example of migration and breeding habits, all living creatures doing anything different from what they've always done, every color change to that turtle's shell....can be attributed to gloBull warming. Levin once read dozens and dozens of article headlines blaming everything from A-Z on it. It was funny. They're throwing everything they can at the AGW hoax. For better or worse (since our politicians don't give a damn what we think anyway), more people don't believe in this shit than do.
Posted by: Lady in Black at August 12, 2010 04:48 PM (M6enm)
My assumptions are based on SCIENCE, you nazi creationist denialist bad crazy wingnut. The superwizard computer says only bicycles will save us from doom. Of course, buying my calendar will go a long way too.
You also need to give me the credit for being the first to cry havoc, let slip the dogs of warming
Posted by: Dr Charles Scoop Johnson, Scientologist at August 12, 2010 04:48 PM (vdfwz)
Posted by: Bill O'Reilly
I'll take the over.
Posted by: HeatherRadish at August 12, 2010 04:49 PM (9PzaA)
Posted by: Ted Danson at August 12, 2010 04:51 PM (vdfwz)
How about the Tenth Plague of Egypt? The death of every scientist who is a firstborn child...except for those working in labs that mark all the doors with lambs blood.
Posted by: pst314 at August 12, 2010 04:51 PM (XP0Bd)
Heh, DS, yeah, but only for the ladies or the shows. Not for the gambling.
Posted by: rdbrewer at August 12, 2010 04:52 PM (Adi4S)
Posted by: Ted Danson at August 12, 2010 08:51 PM
I want the Ted Danson computer ! I can't live knowing Ted Danson has a bigger computer than I do !
Posted by: George Costanza at August 12, 2010 04:53 PM (vdfwz)
Posted by: George Costanza at August 12, 2010 08:53 PM (vdfwz)
Ha.
I watched a Magnum PI episode on hulu a few weeks ago. Season one. The bad guy was Ted Danson. With a barely visable bald spot. This was 1980.
Posted by: Delta Smelt at August 12, 2010 04:55 PM (IRwVS)
Posted by: pst314 at August 12, 2010 04:55 PM (XP0Bd)
Carry on morons
Posted by: dananjcon at August 12, 2010 08:48 PM (CpbMn)
This could be the worst hurricane season since Katrina!!!1!
Look! Look! Another weak circulating storm that could become a tropical depression is crossing Florida headed towards New Orleans!!!1!1! OMG! The BP clean up is in danger!!!!!1
Posted by: The Weather Channel at August 12, 2010 04:55 PM (lM2oC)
Posted by: bho at August 12, 2010 04:56 PM (Hl08B)
Now, we can serve people.
Posted by: Radioactive Satellite Of LOVE at August 12, 2010 08:37 PM (zqzYV)
Are you looking for a job by any chance?
Posted by: Bill Clinton at August 12, 2010 08:41 PM (bgcml)
Why yes, I have a background serving at McD's and my local cigar store. I also can edit recordings and like servicing older woman. Want to see my resume?
Posted by: Radioactive Satellite Of LOVE at August 12, 2010 04:56 PM (zqzYV)
The other funny part is that econometric models have had much more funding, and much better brains, working on them for decades and they are still totally worthless models for making predictions with any accuracy. But the pea-brain climate scientologists think that their "models" (and I use that word loosely, as climate models don't really model the climate, physics-wise, but do nothing but curve fitting with bucketloads of arbitrary constants and "adjustments"). I have yet to hear someone explain to me why climate models should be considered to be even half as good as econometric models, which model a much simpler system and still blow chunks.
Posted by: progressoverpeace at August 12, 2010 04:57 PM (Qp4DT)
Posted by: bho at August 12, 2010 08:56 PM (Hl08B)
I'd rather play hookie.
Posted by: Delta Smelt at August 12, 2010 04:57 PM (IRwVS)
Posted by: pst314 at August 12, 2010 08:51 PM (XP0Bd)
Just kill anyone who is involved in the discipline (coff) of Earth Science.
Posted by: ErikW at August 12, 2010 04:58 PM (lM2oC)
With all they've got will they go in,
Though beating the boys shall the breaks be,
and just one for the Gisper win.
Posted by: Notredameus at August 12, 2010 04:58 PM (sYvA6)
Posted by: Rick554 at August 12, 2010 05:00 PM (1kwr2)
I guess its just too hard to see a connection between freakish weather and one of the lowest Solar min on record.
I wonder at the stupidity of people that can not see a connection between what the sun does and our weather. do this people not understand that the SUN controls ALL our weather?
Posted by: unseen at August 12, 2010 05:01 PM (aVGmX)
How about the Tenth Plague of Egypt? The death of every scientist who is a firstborn child...except for those working in labs that mark all the doors with lambs blood.
Posted by: pst314 at August 12, 2010 08:51 PM (XP0Bd)
Too Jewish
Posted by: Hedley Lamar at August 12, 2010 05:01 PM (zqzYV)
I watched a Magnum PI episode on hulu a few weeks ago. Season one. The bad guy was Ted Danson. With a barely visable bald spot. This was 1980.
Posted by: Delta Smelt at August 12, 2010 08:55 PMHe's BALD !!!
Posted by: George Costanza at August 12, 2010 05:02 PM (vdfwz)
OK, we have been making shit up and winging it for the last couple of years, but now we're going to level with you.
Yup, that's what we're going to do. Um hum. We are, really.
Well, not exactly. But we will be earnest.
Umm, no, not really.
Give us money!
Posted by: Dr. Science at August 12, 2010 05:03 PM (lwUMX)
When they will come to venerate Thursday:
That which will be never was it so fair,
From the four parts they will come to honor it.
I'm pretty sure this predicts the debut of frozen cheesecake onna stick at the Iowa State Fair in 1996.
Posted by: HeatherRadish at August 12, 2010 05:03 PM (9PzaA)
Posted by: pst314 at August 12, 2010 08:55 PM (XP0Bd)
I sent Ace a link to an article I saw in the L.A. Times online earlier this week but I know it gets lost in all the stuff he gets. It was all about how it's been so cool in Californis this summer that everything is not ripening normally. Same as VDH is saying I guess.That's why I sent it --- GLOWBAL WARMING !!!11!
Posted by: Pocono Joe at August 12, 2010 05:03 PM (R7Ft6)
Posted by: Network Programming Geniuses at August 12, 2010 05:04 PM (vdfwz)
Posted by: Big Fat Meanie at August 12, 2010 05:06 PM (4VNBg)
do these people not understand that the SUN controls ALL our weather?
Yeah, right. Like, I never saw the sun during a hail storm. At night. You cons are so stupud.
Posted by: kuulaid troll at August 12, 2010 05:08 PM (rMMMP)
I sent Ace a link to an article I saw in the L.A. Times online earlier this week but I know it gets lost in all the stuff he gets. It was all about how it's been so cool in Californis this summer that everything is not ripening normally. Same as VDH is saying I guess.That's why I sent it --- GLOWBAL WARMING !!!11!
Posted by: Pocono Joe at August 12, 2010 09:03 PMIt was unusually cool in Southern CA this spring and summer, even some rain past the usual start of the dry season.
It didn't get over 75 until mid July, just as I happened to have to do a ton of physical work moving my stuff out of my apartment, when it got up to close to 100.
It's been pretty normal temperature wise here in SW Florida
Posted by: kbdabear at August 12, 2010 05:08 PM (vdfwz)
I'm told only dumb hicks who don't believe in Science still think an energy source feeding into a system could possibly have any effect on that system. Only the correctly-performed rites and rituals, combined with proper human sacrifices can affect the system.
Posted by: HeatherRadish at August 12, 2010 05:08 PM (9PzaA)
Posted by: NotreDameus at August 12, 2010 09:04 PM (5I8G0)
I like to keep up with that stuff too and I always laugh because it seems 9 out of 10 times we have these showers it's cloudy here.
Posted by: Pocono Joe at August 12, 2010 05:08 PM (R7Ft6)
I predict the Raiders will win the SuperBowl.
But will they beat the 'Boys tonight? Kickoff comin' up.
Posted by: Muskwa at August 12, 2010 05:08 PM (DXa2e)
Mmm-hmm.
Posted by: Karl Childerstrodomus at August 12, 2010 05:09 PM (l93UW)
Posted by: Big Fat Meanie at August 12, 2010 05:09 PM (4VNBg)
Nothing to do with weather but my 6 year old niece just played me a Miley Cyrus cover of Every Rose Has It's Thorn.
The end is near.
Posted by: ErikW at August 12, 2010 05:09 PM (lM2oC)
Posted by: Moi at August 12, 2010 05:10 PM (Ez4Ql)
Posted by: rawmuse at August 12, 2010 05:11 PM (UdLYc)
Posted by: Alan Grayson, sane normal person at August 12, 2010 05:11 PM (vdfwz)
Posted by: Moi at August 12, 2010 05:11 PM (Ez4Ql)
Posted by: Muskwa at August 12, 2010 05:12 PM (DXa2e)
Nothing to do with weather but my 6 year old niece just played me a Miley Cyrus cover of Every Rose Has It's Thorn.
Every night has its dawn
Every cowboy sings a sad, sad song
Is...um...that true?
Posted by: Farley at August 12, 2010 05:12 PM (aOKEC)
Posted by: Charles Johnson at August 12, 2010 05:12 PM (6lHx3)
Look! Look! Another weak circulating storm that could become a tropical depression is crossing Florida headed towards New Orleans!!!1!1! OMG! The BP clean up is in danger!!!!!1
Posted by: The Weather Channel at August 12, 2010 08:55 PM (lM2oC)
I laugh because I have no tears left to cry. Seriously, though, no one would have given a thought about Bonnie or the other tropical storms if it hadn't been for what happened with Katrina or because of the oil-spill clean-up.
Posted by: Miss'80sBaby at August 12, 2010 05:12 PM (Yq+qN)
Posted by: alexthechick at August 12, 2010 07:40 PM (eRjGt)
Yeah, and not by a few degrees either, by hundreds of degrees for some datapoints.
Posted by: Unclefacts, AoSHQ Pro Debate Squad, And Summoner Of Meteors. at August 12, 2010 05:12 PM (eCAn3)
Posted by: alexthechick at August 12, 2010 05:13 PM (eRjGt)
Posted by: Guy who really loves New Mexico and art snobs at August 12, 2010 05:13 PM (aOKEC)
Posted by: Muskwa at August 12, 2010 05:14 PM (DXa2e)
Climate change has reduced the number of meteor showers. All the scientists approved by me agree, the debate... is OVER
Posted by: Algore, god of thunder at August 12, 2010 05:15 PM (vdfwz)
Posted by: Guy who really loves New Mexico and art snobs
Remember when that guy Chaos used to write his name under every overpass and bridge abutment?
Posted by: rdbrewer at August 12, 2010 05:15 PM (Adi4S)
---
I resorted to watching it on the NASA channel last year, while rain poured down outside my door.
Posted by: Retread at August 12, 2010 05:16 PM (8yoI6)
Posted by: Muskwa at August 12, 2010 09:14 PM (DXa2e)
Yeah and get better ratings if the news is terrible. I spose that goes for all the news. The Weather Channel really needs bad news though.
Posted by: Delta Smelt at August 12, 2010 05:17 PM (IRwVS)
Posted by: dananjcon at August 12, 2010 05:17 PM (eUhOL)
Posted by: Delta Smelt at August 12, 2010 05:17 PM (IRwVS)
You guys got me once with the Golden Shower thing. Sheriff Joe is way smarter than you and won't fall for THAT again!
Posted by: Joe the Biden at August 12, 2010 05:18 PM (vdfwz)
I must say I do love watching whatever poor Weather Channel reporter is the one who is out there roped to a pier while the hurricane hits. That's always fun.
Posted by: alexthechick at August 12, 2010 05:19 PM (eRjGt)
Onna stick.
Posted by: HeatherRadish at August 12, 2010 09:17 PM (9PzaA)
With bacon
Posted by: Radioactive Satellite Of LOVE at August 12, 2010 05:20 PM (zqzYV)
Is she so ugly that rain curves away from her?
Posted by: kbdabear at August 12, 2010 05:20 PM (vdfwz)
Posted by: alexthechick at August 12, 2010 09:19 PM (eRjGt)
No doubt.
Geraldo the macho man loves gettin out there and hamming it up as well. Would love to see him blow away.
Posted by: Delta Smelt at August 12, 2010 05:21 PM (IRwVS)
Posted by: Despicable Lying Scumbag libtard at August 12, 2010 05:22 PM (Qp4DT)
It's possible that I pray for that. Possibly.
Posted by: alexthechick at August 12, 2010 05:22 PM (eRjGt)
Geraldo the macho man loves gettin out there and hamming it up as well. Would love to see him blow away.
Saw him take a header into the surf at Galveston last summer. Did my heart good.
Posted by: Muskwa at August 12, 2010 05:23 PM (DXa2e)
Posted by: alexthechick at August 12, 2010 09:22 PM (eRjGt)
Then Sheppard Smith could cry about it, on seen, in his Ole Miss baseball hat.
Posted by: Delta Smelt at August 12, 2010 05:24 PM (IRwVS)
Posted by: Tim Geithner at August 12, 2010 05:24 PM (vdfwz)
Posted by: KZnextzone at August 12, 2010 05:24 PM (veaqz)
Posted by: Miss Marple (redneck teabagger) at August 12, 2010 05:25 PM (bixjr)
Posted by: dananjcon at August 12, 2010 05:26 PM (eUhOL)
Posted by: Delta Smelt at August 12, 2010 05:26 PM (IRwVS)
Posted by: alexthechick at August 12, 2010 09:19 PM (eRjGt)
I'm a weather geek too and if it isn't Jim Cantore nearly getting washed over a pier in a hurricane or Mike Seidel getting his ass kicked by a supercell in Oklahoma, the severe weather is always good fun!
I love watching Storm Stories.
Posted by: ErikW at August 12, 2010 05:27 PM (lM2oC)
Posted by: Miss Marple (redneck teabagger) at August 12, 2010 09:25 PM (bixjr)
No unfortunately I haven't. Looks like Muskwa might have though.
Posted by: Delta Smelt at August 12, 2010 05:27 PM (IRwVS)
Posted by: King Barry I at August 12, 2010 05:28 PM (vdfwz)
Posted by: Janeane at August 12, 2010 05:29 PM (aOKEC)
In the reign of the Unicorn Master,
The Oracle of Gore foresees the plight:
The seas evaporate, the New City steams, the Midddle West drowns!
Oh right, there were all those record low temperatures last winter, so fuck, never mind.
-Nostradamus's first cousin, Earl
Posted by: marmo at August 12, 2010 05:30 PM (1KSBb)
Posted by: Retread at August 12, 2010 05:30 PM (8yoI6)
NASA will no longer show meteors since it is against the teachings of the Koran. Allah Hersheybar!
Posted by: NASA at August 12, 2010 05:31 PM (vdfwz)
Posted by: Janeane at August 12, 2010 09:29 PM (aOKEC)
Good God, don't give the feminists any ideas. This notion would surely trump the less pressing issue of women getting stoned to death in the enlightened Islamic countries.
Posted by: Delta Smelt at August 12, 2010 05:32 PM (IRwVS)
Saw him take a header into the surf at Galveston last summer. Did my heart good.
Posted by: Muskwa at August 12, 2010 09:23 PM (DXa2e)
nothing is ever going to top his face being impacted by a beautifully thrown stacking chair.
Posted by: Unclefacts, AoSHQ Pro Debate Squad, And Summoner Of Meteors. at August 12, 2010 05:33 PM (eCAn3)
Posted by: Delta Smelt at August 12, 2010 09:26 PM
Hah!
Posted by: rdbrewer at August 12, 2010 05:34 PM (Adi4S)
Some would say that I have failed because the oceans haven't stopped rising.
The Earth, however, is healing itself. Pakistan still has a bit of pink eye and death-related stiffness, and then there's the herpes outbreak over by Australia, but George Bush left it worse off than even I thought.
You'd think you'd be thanking me.
Posted by: Toonces at August 12, 2010 05:34 PM (aOKEC)
Posted by: King Barry I at August 12, 2010 09:28 PM (vdfwz)
I'm on my knees...yoohoo
Posted by: Larry Sinclair at August 12, 2010 05:34 PM (YVZlY)
nothing is ever going to top his face being impacted by a beautifully thrown stacking chair.
Posted by: Unclefacts, AoSHQ Pro Debate Squad, And Summoner Of Meteors at August 12, 2010 09:33 PM (eCAn3)
Wasn't that thrown by a Kluxer?
Bobby Byrd's greatest, and only worthwhile achievement.
Posted by: Delta Smelt at August 12, 2010 05:35 PM (IRwVS)
Posted by: dananjcon at August 12, 2010 05:35 PM (eUhOL)
Posted by: Janeane at August 12, 2010 09:29 PM (aOKEC)
Good God, don't give the feminists any ideas. This notion would surely trump the less pressing issue of women getting stoned to death in the enlightened Islamic countries.
It's discrimination that hurricanes aren't given African-American names. Chamiqua is a bad-ass name to give to a hurricane.
Posted by: Shelia Jackson Lee at August 12, 2010 05:37 PM (9hSKh)
I was just thinking; I know how to start some shit-----
Well my Eagles are gonna be on TV tomorrow night.
Posted by: Pocono Joe at August 12, 2010 05:37 PM (R7Ft6)
My daughter is 35, but I remember her at six singing "Call Me" (roll me in designer sheets, I never get enough) to the accompaniment of me banging my head on the wall.
Nothing is new.
Posted by: trainer at August 12, 2010 05:37 PM (yCWYQ)
Posted by: ErikW at August 12, 2010 05:37 PM (lM2oC)
Posted by: Muskwa at August 12, 2010 05:37 PM (DXa2e)
It's discrimination that hurricanes aren't given African-American names. Chamiqua is a bad-ass name to give to a hurricane.
Posted by: Shelia Jackson Lee at August 12, 2010 09:37 PM (9hSKh)
If we have to have a big hurricane this year, I'd love for it to be named Michelle. The jokes would be endless.
Posted by: Delta Smelt at August 12, 2010 05:38 PM (IRwVS)
257 I think most everyone except the greenies welcomes the idea of a warmer planet.
We wants the warmth too!
Posted by: Earth's Plant Life at August 12, 2010 05:39 PM (9hSKh)
Posted by: Janeane at August 12, 2010 09:29 PM (aOKEC)
-----------------------------------------------
"All racial groups should be represented," Lee said, according to the Hill. She hoped federal weather officials "would try to be inclusive of African-American names."
A sampling of popular names that could be used include Keisha, Jamal and Deshawn, according to the paper.
-------------------------------------------------
P.S. This wasn't a joke. Sheila Jackson-Lee actually said that.
Posted by: progressoverpeace at August 12, 2010 05:39 PM (Qp4DT)
If we have to have a big hurricane this year, I'd love for it to be named Michelle. The jokes would be endless.
We'll have to get a shitload of them to get to M.
Posted by: Muskwa at August 12, 2010 05:39 PM (DXa2e)
Geraldo the macho man loves gettin out there and hamming it up as well. Would love to see him blow away.
That was one of the last images on our TV screen before the power went out during Ike.
Posted by: Miss'80sBaby at August 12, 2010 05:40 PM (Yq+qN)
Posted by: Shelia Jackson Lee at August 12, 2010 09:37 PM (9hSKh)
Dang! You beat me to it. Good job.
I think your cell phone is ringing.
Posted by: progressoverpeace at August 12, 2010 05:40 PM (Qp4DT)
Now that I think of it, we already had the feminists pissed about hurricanes. Once upon a time hurricanes were only named after women.
Not anymore.
Posted by: Delta Smelt at August 12, 2010 05:40 PM (IRwVS)
#258 If we have to have a big hurricane this year, I'd love for it to be named Michelle. The jokes would be endless.
LOL. If that happened, I'd die of laughter.
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at August 12, 2010 05:40 PM (9hSKh)
That was one of the last images on our TV screen before the power went out during Ike.
Posted by: Miss'80sBaby at August 12, 2010 09:40 PM (Yq+qN)
Ike wasn't all bad huh.
Posted by: Delta Smelt at August 12, 2010 05:41 PM (IRwVS)
Posted by: kbdabear at August 12, 2010 05:41 PM (vdfwz)
Posted by: kbdabear at August 12, 2010 09:41 PM (vdfwz)
You noticed them too.
Posted by: Pocono Joe at August 12, 2010 05:43 PM (R7Ft6)
Posted by: rdbrewer at August 12, 2010 05:43 PM (Adi4S)
It's discrimination that hurricanes aren't given African-American names. Chamiqua is a bad-ass name to give to a hurricane.
Posted by: Shelia Jackson Lee at August 12, 2010 09:37 PM (9hSKh)
I want a hurricane to be named Pootytang.
Posted by: Unclefacts, AoSHQ Pro Debate Squad, And Summoner Of Meteors. at August 12, 2010 05:44 PM (eCAn3)
Posted by: kbdabear at August 12, 2010 09:41 PM (vdfwz)
Hurricanes never really interested me much, despite living in SC.
Posted by: Lindsey Graham at August 12, 2010 05:44 PM (IRwVS)
Wasn't that thrown by a Kluxer?
Bobby Byrd's greatest, and only worthwhile achievement.
Posted by: Delta Smelt at August 12, 2010 09:35 PM (IRwVS)
I think it might have been. There should be an annual TV award for that.
Posted by: Unclefacts, AoSHQ Pro Debate Squad, And Summoner Of Meteors. at August 12, 2010 05:45 PM (eCAn3)
Posted by: kbdabear at August 12, 2010 09:41 PM (vdfwz)
BUNK
Posted by: Unclefacts, AoSHQ Pro Debate Squad, And Summoner Of Meteors. at August 12, 2010 05:45 PM (eCAn3)
Posted by: Starblazer at August 12, 2010 05:46 PM (kre5q)
Posted by: Valiant at August 12, 2010 05:47 PM (UKSRV)
Posted by: kbdabear at August 12, 2010 09:41 PM (vdfwz)
Michael in MI?
Posted by: conscious, but incoherent at August 12, 2010 05:50 PM (YVZlY)
"All racial groups should be represented," Lee said
Possible Native American hurricane names:
Hurricane Broken Rubber
Hurricane Two Dogs Fucking
Posted by: gator at August 12, 2010 05:51 PM (aOKEC)
Posted by: CDR M at August 12, 2010 09:51 PM (5I8G0)
Hurricane, tropical depression, what's the difference?
Posted by: The Weather Channel at August 12, 2010 05:53 PM (lM2oC)
"All racial groups should be represented," Lee said
Possible Icelandic hurricane names:
Hurricane Bjarnhéðinn
Hurricane Friðþjófur
Hurricane Ragnheiður
You know what....I'm starting to think all cultures shouldn't be represented.
Posted by: gator at August 12, 2010 05:55 PM (aOKEC)
Posted by: The Precedent, Nobel Lariat, Sooper-genius at August 12, 2010 05:57 PM (Qp4DT)
You know what....I'm starting to think all cultures shouldn't be represented.
Posted by: gator at August 12, 2010 09:55 PMI wholly concur!
Hurricane Achmed
Hurricane Mushaf
Hurricane Ramad
Posted by: Mike Bloomberg at August 12, 2010 06:00 PM (vdfwz)
You know what....I'm starting to think all cultures shouldn't be represented.
Posted by: gator at August 12, 2010 09:55 PM (aOKEC)
I think the Icelandic "culture" should get blown to hell by that giant fucking volcano they use as a "green" geothermal heat source.
Posted by: ErikW at August 12, 2010 06:03 PM (lM2oC)
O/T: H/A linked this Weekly Standard smackdown of the NYT:
The New York Times used to be called the Gray Lady of American newspapers. The sobriquet implied a certain stateliness, a sense of responsibility, the possession of high virtue. But the Gray Lady is far from the grande dame she once was. For years now she has been going heavy on the rouge, lipstick, and eyeliner, using a push-up bra, and gadding about in stiletto heels. She’s become a bit—perhaps more than a bit—of a slut, whoring after youth through pretending to be with-it. I’ve had it with the old broad; after nearly 50 years together, I’ve determined to cut her loose.
. . .
The New York Times Magazine has always been dull, but earlier it erred on the side of seriousness. Now it is dull on the side of ersatz hipness.
Posted by: rdbrewer at August 12, 2010 06:04 PM (Adi4S)
"All racial groups should be represented," Lee said, according to the Hill. She hoped federal weather officials "would try to be inclusive of African-American names."
If they do that, it's gonna be 'Oh sure, name a the fuckin hurricane after a black guy!'
In fact I think that's the whole plan.
Shiela Jackson Lee orders the bureaucrats to name the storms with 'african american' names, then the NAACP sues them for $5M and kicks 2M back into campaign organizing.
Posted by: Entropy at August 12, 2010 06:07 PM (eL+YD)
Posted by: ErikW at August 12, 2010 06:07 PM (lM2oC)
Posted by: KZnextzone at August 12, 2010 06:08 PM (veaqz)
All types of people should be represtented:
Hurricane Yenta
Hurricane Shitnozzle
Hurricane Douchebag
Hurricante Termagant
Hurricane Shitsome Cloaca
Posted by: rdbrewer at August 12, 2010 06:10 PM (Adi4S)
The hurricane name "Michelle" was retired in 2001
she has blown her last
Posted by: Jones at August 12, 2010 10:09 PM (ZH73Z)
Is "Worf" still in the bullpen?
Posted by: progressoverpeace at August 12, 2010 06:11 PM (Qp4DT)
Posted by: memomachine at August 12, 2010 08:28 PM (MwCol)
Boy if the Earth really is going to get a lot warmer then those damn Arabs are totally fucked.
No wonder they're acting like a bunch of assholes. They want to move where it isn't quite so warm.
Posted by: memomachine at August 12, 2010 08:29 PM (MwCol)
Posted by: Case at August 12, 2010 09:21 PM (0K+Kw)
> "SummerÂ’s heat and drought is unrelenting through September,
The people cannot escape, tens of thousands die."
Wow, this prediction was fulfilled perfectly! Remember when Obama said that 10,000 died in the Kansas tornado?
youtube.com/watch?v=tjO8Qc5s1fY
Posted by: Phil at August 13, 2010 12:09 AM (cBaCB)
"Over 1 million fish and thousands of alligators, turtles, dolphins and other river wildlife are floating dead in numerous Bolivian rivers in the three eastern/southern departments of Santa Cruz, Beni and Tarija. The extreme cold front that hit Bolivia in mid-July caused water temperatures to dip below the minimum temperatures river life can tolerate. As a consequence, rivers, lakes, lagoons and fisheries are brimming with decomposing fish and other creatures."
(3 Aug. 2010 - Update: The number of dead fish and other water-dependent wildlife has increased to about 6 million.)
Posted by: snookered at August 13, 2010 03:37 AM (jchJh)
Florida, Alabama and Georgia are being overrun by aggressive rock pythons and Burmese pythons released into the wild by jackasses who had them as pets, and each female python lays 100 eggs twice a year, and the infestation of those dangerous snakes is predicted to move north into the Carolinas and as far west and north as Texas and Ohio within the next two years, and our useless government isn't bothering to address that issue either, because whacko environmentalists actually want to have those extremely dangerous snakes protected.
If dogs, cats, rabbits, squirrels, birds, etc., are mysteriously disappearing in your neighborhood lately, you can be pretty sure that you've already got one or more pythons in your neoghborhood, and small children could be next as their food supply of other mammals diminishes, and as they get bigger and more aggressive, too.
Posted by: Op Ed at August 13, 2010 04:51 AM (sYrWB)
Posted by: The Mayans, and also John Cusack at August 13, 2010 05:10 AM (fRnux)
Posted by: ^Another question frequently asked by Ace's sycophants^ at August 13, 2010 05:12 AM (sYrWB)
I predict the Obamas will take two more vacations in this month alone.
And also that Michelle will be scowling in all the pictures.
This is too easy.
Posted by: Average Jen at August 13, 2010 05:12 AM (fRnux)
everyone knows that supercomputers are smart and don't, say, just regurgitate your starting assumptions back to you.
Unless your code is very, very, very good (or completely cooked), you're going to almost always get something....unexpected. See: Lorenz, Edward, specifically chaos theory.
Posted by: I R A Darth Aggie at August 13, 2010 06:18 AM (1hM1d)
Unless your code is very, very, very good (or completely cooked), you're going to almost always get something....unexpected.
Actually, not almost always. Always.
And not unless your code is very, very, very good. Always.
Chaos Theory predicts that given enough time, you'll always have wildly divergant results from certain complex systems like weather because you lack infinite precision in your measurements of the initial variables.
And the Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle suggests that having infinite precision is literally impossible.
So such systems will always eventually result in something unpredictable and seemingly chaotic. No matter how well you understand them, no matter how much computational power you have or how good your code is, there will remain a sort of relative 'event horizon' beyond which you cannot predict anything at all.
For that matter... the climate of the earth is fuckin huge. Like... the size of the earth. Lots of people get lots of wild ideas about what computers can do... Let me put it this way.
Let's say you wanted to build a computer that could model and track every single piece of matter in the entire universe, and be a model of the entire universe.
Well, there is already a model of the entire universe - it's called the universe. And it took every single thing in the entire universe to model everything in the entire universe. So it would with a computer.
To build a computer that could model everything in the universe, it would require... (at least, and likely much more than) all the matter in the universe to build it.
Even if you could have infinite precision in your measurements and knew everything about the climate system on Earth, to build a computer that would completely accurately model the entire climate of Earth would require a computer at least as large as the Earth itself.
Posted by: Entropy at August 13, 2010 06:41 AM (IsLT6)
Cock suckers and super computers. Only on AoSHQ can you read about both in one series of postings.
My take is that WMO is a bunch of super cocksuckers who can't grab their ass wtih both hands. They are referring to IPCC predictions.
The IPCC predicted everything would happen sometime. Nobody needs a super computer or cock sucker to tell them that.
Posted by: koolbob at August 13, 2010 06:58 AM (AdUu/)
Posted by: hookah at January 13, 2011 05:55 PM (hiiaP)
Posted by: slitting machine at January 13, 2011 05:59 PM (hiiaP)
Posted by: jackal at February 19, 2011 03:38 PM (n0NiD)
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Posted by: 48%er at August 12, 2010 03:22 PM (kcqZS)