November 15, 2010
— Ace Using the NYT budget simulator, James Pethouikis gets a trivial deficit by 2015 and a surplus by 2030 with an hour's worth of work.
I've been playing with this for a while, and I found it pretty easy to check the boxes. Whether or not there's the will to do this stuff is highly doubtful.
In fact, exercises like this might delay necessary reforms by suggesting it's so easy to accomplish the goal of balancing the budget -- if it's so easy, hey, can't we wait another 15 years for all this stuff?
The stuff that would be considered contentious among conservatives, which I chose to do anyway, included the following:
* Reduce the Number of Navy Fleets and Air Force Wings. This is one of the ones I have the most problem with, because power projection is so important, and sheer numbers do count. But the suggested cuts seemed not all that deep; 286 ships reduced to 230, and two tactical air wings elminated. Actually my preference would be to fudge on this one and do half that.
* Reduce Space Spending and the Nuclear Arsenal. Going from almost 2000 nukes to just over 1000 seems like a fairly painless cut. The surplus nukes seem to only have value as bargaining chips to trade away in exchange for Russia cutting its own stock; the odds of so many of our nukes being taken out in a first strike as to leave us without an apocalyptic retaliatory strike -- with all those nuclear subs at sea -- seems remote.
* Gradually Escalate the Age of Medicare and Social Security Eligibility to 70. Seems like a no-brainer.
* The Lincoln-Kyl Plan for Estate Taxes. To be honest, I've never been on the bandwagon about reducing estate taxes to zero. The only clear advantage to this I can see is that I have heard estimates that mere enforcement of this tax -- with all the lawyering and expert appraisals and so on and so forth -- actually consumes nearly as much as the tax itself collects. I don't know if that's true. If it is true, then this is a bad tax. But I sort of doubt it.
I guess my problem with reducing it to zero is that almost everyone has to pay tax on every dollar received -- and I have trouble excluding this one tax from that general understanding. (Yes, people will say they're double-taxed, once in life and once in death, but that's not true, in the sense that it understates the situation; in fact every dollar received is taxed dozens of times as it's converted from one use or one person to another.)
To me it's a question of which sort of income do I want to tax more, and which do I want to tax less: Do I want to have to tax regular income more to avoid taxing estates? I can't think of an equitable reason or moral reason to justify that; it seems to me, all else being equal, regular wage-type income should be more privileged than inherited wealth, not less.
Ending the tax for all estates smaller than $5 million sounds reasonable. If not, hey, $8 million. But that's just me.
A friend of mine says he likes this particular tax because it's some sort of impediment to a permanent aristocracy. I don't know if I buy that but I can't dismiss it out of hand.
* Eliminate Loopholes But Reduce Rates Slightly. This actually would be a net tax increase because the value of the loopholes closed would be a bit higher than the value of the reduced general rates. But as a general proposition, I'm in favor of lower rates and reduced loopholes and shelters, which tend to distort economic behavior and furthermore tends to divert a lot of wealth into the tax-avoidance industry, which doesn't actually produce anything.
* Reduce Mortgage Interest Deduction By Converting to Credit. The mortgage interest deduction is supposed to be an encouragement to home ownership. This change would apparently keep the deduction, but make it less valuable for the very wealthy. Which is fine, by me, because the wealthy are going to buy homes anyway, so why subsidize an activity that is already 99% guaranteed?
At any rate, my final numbers put me in the "RINO" category of 86% reduction through spending cuts and 14% through increased taxes; on the plus side, I'm so over the mark for closing the budget gap I can play around with changes (like restoring weapons programs delays, un-cutting the size of the Navy and Airforce, only escalating Medicaid and SS eligibility to 68 instead of 70) and still remain balanced.
Posted by: Ace at
10:46 AM
| Comments (296)
Post contains 802 words, total size 5 kb.
I hate to say it, but the sacred cows of SS and Medicare have to be reined in hard. The current receipents are going to fight that tooth and nail, but it has to be done.
Posted by: Katy Beth at November 15, 2010 10:51 AM (PzHdj)
Posted by: Cicero at November 15, 2010 10:51 AM (QKKT0)
NYT is a POS.
You take $100 Billion from building warships and you can kiss $300 Billion in tax revenue associated with a better economy gone.
Hasn't anybody anywhere hear of the multiplier effect? Building warships = 3 times more than unemployment benefits.
Posted by: Doug at November 15, 2010 10:51 AM (gUGI6)
Posted by: Meiczyslaw at November 15, 2010 10:52 AM (vEhUz)
I read the other day that the Navy has more admirals than ships. This hardly seems necessary, and each would have staff, offices, etc. ripe for the cutting. In the old British navy these extra guys would be on half pay.
Posted by: Oldcat at November 15, 2010 10:52 AM (z1N6a)
Posted by: ace at November 15, 2010 10:53 AM (nj1bB)
Posted by: Waterhouse at November 15, 2010 10:54 AM (WDYCv)
Posted by: ace at November 15, 2010 10:54 AM (nj1bB)
Ace, you are TOTALLY missing the point.
An estate tax is a tax on SAVINGS!
You need SAVINGS to create capital, to create jobs.
IT IS A PUNISHMENT FOR SAVINGS.
So spend you income like a drunken sailor and have no savings. Buy some rims, go take a cruise.
IS THAT GOOD TAX POLICY?
NO, NO, NO.
Posted by: Kemp at November 15, 2010 10:54 AM (JpFM9)
Posted by: Katy Beth at November 15, 2010 10:54 AM (PzHdj)
Posted by: CJ at November 15, 2010 10:54 AM (9KqcB)
Posted by: Guy in the desert at November 15, 2010 10:55 AM (G5JPI)
Posted by: ace at November 15, 2010 10:55 AM (nj1bB)
Posted by: Comrade Arthur at November 15, 2010 10:55 AM (3CQYV)
But it reality I would do more cuts and less taxes then they offer.
Posted by: Rocks at November 15, 2010 10:55 AM (Q1lie)
Dem idiocy needs to go first before we touch our stuff, otherwise we're just idiots that are cutting our spending so the Democrats can piss away money.
Democrats use the government to buy votes. This is the thing we need to stop above and beyond all things because it is the root of all our current problems.
Posted by: Bevel Lemelisk at November 15, 2010 10:56 AM (TpXEI)
Posted by: BeckoningChasm at November 15, 2010 10:56 AM (bvfVF)
Nope!
Posted by: Kennedy Cuomo Dingell Bush Clinton III at November 15, 2010 10:57 AM (A/iZj)
Posted by: ace at November 15, 2010 02:53 PM (nj1bB)
I don't think there is the will to eliminate those but I would definitely cut down the bureaucracy associated with them. How many people do you need exactly to give out money?
Posted by: Rocks at November 15, 2010 10:57 AM (Q1lie)
Its a tax that keeps new fellas from joining the permanent aristocracy, like a lot of these 'tax the rich' schemes. The really rich have it handled already, the ones on the edge have to have their father's life work broken up and destroyed to pay the taxes. So in wealth category its regressive, punishing the 'poor' more than the 'rich'
Posted by: Oldcat at November 15, 2010 10:57 AM (z1N6a)
Where is repeal Obamacide?
Would also like the option to increase military spending... I don't like how much the Army and Navy have shrunk the last 20 years.
Posted by: Zharkov at November 15, 2010 10:57 AM (GRoWk)
Posted by: ace at November 15, 2010 10:58 AM (nj1bB)
Gut the damn EPA and the Department of Energy. Until they start drilling off the California coast and severly decrease our dependence on ME oil, they should be having bake sales and car washes for funds.
Posted by: Katy Beth at November 15, 2010 10:59 AM (PzHdj)
Ha! My half witted heirs are still living like kings!
Posted by: John D. Rockefeller at November 15, 2010 10:59 AM (jmf9+)
Posted by: Hank Johnson at November 15, 2010 10:59 AM (f3dlM)
Those numbers won't get you to a balanced budget but it shows how skewed the options are.
Posted by: DrewM. at November 15, 2010 11:00 AM (HicGG)
Probably as big a fantasy because of the power of the teachers unions but a guy can dream of freedom can't he. (they don't tax dreams yet do they)
Posted by: Buzzsaw at November 15, 2010 11:00 AM (tf9Ne)
I'm loathe to cut any military vehicle numbers, given the subsequent downgrade of our power projection and logistical capabilities. If we must cut the military, I'm with Oldcat - cut the fat at the administrative level.
Also, we need weapon systems and vehicles that serve multiple roles, not making specialized things for one or two situations.
"Jack of all trades, master of none, though oftentimes better than master of one"
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at November 15, 2010 11:00 AM (9hSKh)
Posted by: ace at November 15, 2010 11:01 AM (nj1bB)
Yeah, but what were those cuts? Were those all that could be made?
Seriously -- go through all the NYT's offered choices, and see if you can balance the budget without cutting defense spending or raising taxes. You can't.
(I did it by choosing all the domestic options, but had to raise taxes. I concentrated on the loopholes -- which I'm not fond of for philosophical reasons -- but still had to raise estate taxes.)
NYT wants you to do one of the two -- never mind that defense spending is the smallest share of the budget in years.
Posted by: Meiczyslaw at November 15, 2010 11:01 AM (vEhUz)
No they don't.
Unrelated, wanna buy a bridge in Brooklyn?
Posted by: Robert Gates at November 15, 2010 11:01 AM (HicGG)
Posted by: Empire of Jeff at November 15, 2010 11:02 AM (Idoz0)
NYT is a POS.
You take $100 Billion from building warships and you can kiss $300 Billion in tax revenue associated with a better economy gone.
Hasn't anybody anywhere hear of the multiplier effect? Building warships = 3 times more than unemployment benefits.
Posted by: Doug at November 15, 2010 02:51 PM (gUGI6)
Sure, Krugman.
Posted by: I ain't no drunk kitty at November 15, 2010 11:02 AM (n4P+/)
Posted by: Ken at November 15, 2010 11:02 AM (3ar4L)
Why would you want to tax that money, potentially, for the third time?
Posted by: Comrade Trumanski at November 15, 2010 11:02 AM (G5JPI)
Posted by: Stan at November 15, 2010 11:03 AM (38AEO)
Posted by: an erection lasting longer than four hours at November 15, 2010 11:03 AM (ao9DD)
Posted by: Soona at November 15, 2010 11:03 AM (xM8Uq)
Second, start wholesale elimination of entire departments starting with the EPA, Dep of Ed, OSHA, and every department that spends money on any kind of welfare.
After they eliminate ALL other unconstitutional agencies then they can look at SS and Medicare.
Posted by: Vic at November 15, 2010 11:04 AM (/jbAw)
Posted by: OregonMuse at November 15, 2010 11:04 AM (6Q6yL)
Posted by: Kennedy Cuomo Dingell Bush Clinton III at November 15, 2010 11:04 AM (A/iZj)
Posted by: ace at November 15, 2010 11:04 AM (nj1bB)
Posted by: I ain't no drunk kitty at November 15, 2010 11:04 AM (n4P+/)
Posted by: Guy Fawkes at November 15, 2010 11:05 AM (JcRgg)
Why would you want to tax that money, potentially, for the third time?
Posted by: Comrade Trumanski at November 15, 2010 03:02 PM (G5JPI)
Because it is there.
Posted by: Sir Edward Hillary at November 15, 2010 11:05 AM (oVQFe)
I got a budget surplus and didn't cut any military spending, however i chose the cut troops in theater down option.
also The estate tax is crazy. It should be zero.
Let's say you make 10 million and its taxed at 35%.
That leaves you with 7.5 million.
Then you die and the rates are back up to 55%.
That leaves you with 3,375,000.00. That may seem like a lot of money, but it's just 33.75% of what you earned.
What right does our government have to do that? How can dying ever be considered a taxable event by a rational person? It's just beyond me.
Posted by: Ben at November 15, 2010 11:05 AM (wuv1c)
Posted by: Jean at November 15, 2010 11:05 AM (aemFw)
Posted by: ace at November 15, 2010 11:05 AM (nj1bB)
I wasn't too fond of this idea when I first glanced over it, but again, if we had to cut something on defense, reducing our nuclear arsenal (in terms of total numbers) isn't that bad of idea. However, we need to have an absolute floor of "just over" 1000 nukes and we need to continue to maintain and upgrade the nuclear deterrent. We are never (at least for a long, long time) going to have a world free of nuclear weapons.
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at November 15, 2010 11:05 AM (9hSKh)
Balancing the budget is not hard from a zero based, everything on the table perspective.
But since we do not have teh political position of Roman Dictator anywhere in our constitutional structure, we are not going to have a balanced budget.
Face it: the USA creates a phenomenal amount of wealth that must be squandered or else the people will demand that their taxes be reduced. Government is inefficient on purpose, so it will not have to shrink under political pressure generated by surplusses. Both parties are so afraid of generating a surplus that any proposal with get shot down if it has the slightest chance of success.
Posted by: Janet Napolitano's Cavity Searching Finger at November 15, 2010 11:05 AM (UaxA0)
Yeah, government bureaucracy, once created, may never ever be eliminated. I forgot that cardinal rule. Gee, why is the US in such sorry fiscal shape again?
Posted by: Waterhouse at November 15, 2010 11:06 AM (WDYCv)
Work is vital. Investment is vital. These things are taxed. But the one thing we cannot tax is a dead multimillionaire's estate as it passes on to his likely slovenly heirs?
Hell! Why wait? Just socialize, um.. have the government take it now.
Posted by: Maxine Waters at November 15, 2010 11:06 AM (9KrgX)
Posted by: Katy Beth at November 15, 2010 11:06 AM (PzHdj)
Posted by: Jean at November 15, 2010 11:07 AM (7Jipo)
Yeah, like that could really happen.
Posted by: A Balrog of Morgoth at November 15, 2010 11:07 AM (Snu7z)
Posted by: ace at November 15, 2010 11:08 AM (nj1bB)
I think you're ceding too much ground to the left on this so early in the game, Ace.
Posted by: Stan at November 15, 2010 11:08 AM (38AEO)
Posted by: ace at November 15, 2010 11:08 AM (nj1bB)
Posted by: Mr Pink at November 15, 2010 11:09 AM (eSG2c)
it seems like just making the common sense Social Security and Medicare reforms almost eliminates the entire deficit.
Posted by: Ben at November 15, 2010 11:09 AM (wuv1c)
Posted by: Guy Fawkes at November 15, 2010 11:09 AM (JcRgg)
Posted by: ace at November 15, 2010 11:09 AM (nj1bB)
A friend of mine says he likes this particular tax because it's some sort of impediment to a permanent aristocracy. I don't know if I buy that but I can't dismiss it out of hand.
Yeah, so instead of one parasite who is the child of a producer, lets let the government create thousands of parasites with that money.
Posted by: Ben at November 15, 2010 11:10 AM (wuv1c)
Posted by: Jean at November 15, 2010 11:10 AM (G5WHn)
Posted by: Ken at November 15, 2010 11:10 AM (3ar4L)
Basically half-way gut it out, eliminate 90% of its current functions (and workforce) in favor of just directly returning money to the states and reducing a lot of the other stuff it does.
So we would be paying money to people to keep track of how much money a state gives so it can be returned? Gov. at it's absolute best. I think once you have gone that far just cut the damned thing.
Posted by: Roadking at November 15, 2010 11:11 AM (uNgbA)
It hits the small businessman again and again just like all the so-called tax the "rich" schemes.
The really rich have lobbyists writing loopholes into the law so their tax lawyers can weasel out of it.
Posted by: Vic at November 15, 2010 11:11 AM (/jbAw)
lets not forget the "baseline" 2015 budget is the inflated Obama budget ...
how about we drop down to 2008 as the starting point on spending ... heck, you wouldn't have to cut anything to balance the budget in 2015 ...
Posted by: Jeff at November 15, 2010 11:11 AM (A3tpD)
Posted by: ace at November 15, 2010 11:12 AM (nj1bB)
Posted by: Katy Beth at November 15, 2010 11:12 AM (PzHdj)
Posted by: A.G. at November 15, 2010 11:12 AM (oAVyq)
Ace,
This could be a long lecture. I will try to be short. Tax policy should be neutral. We as conservatives don't believe in punitive taxes. The more neutral a tax, that is the less it affects economic decisions, the better for a capitalist society.
That is why so many conservatives can support a VAT, it is pretty neutral, but encourages savings.
Discouraging savings is the best way to destroy wealth.
The accumulation of wealth is the goal of all productive workers, that are not priests. See "Wealth of Nations" Adam Smith, 1776, http://tinyurl.com/7xlvy
So tell me what public policy is served by taking a third or fourth generation farmer's land away from his childern, because they can not afford the estate taxes?
NONE, unless you are a democrat that wants to destroy wealth creation and preservation.
Morally, the estate tax is stealing from the dead. It can not be called anything else but that.
Posted by: Kemp at November 15, 2010 11:12 AM (JpFM9)
Posted by: Dr Spank at November 15, 2010 11:12 AM (LLZiU)
Posted by: ace at November 15, 2010 03:08 PM (nj1bB)
I guess we all have our own personal genies, then. Oh, I don't claim it would not poll very well. Nor am I saying I would not like to see it done. I just don't think it will. YMMV.
Posted by: A Balrog of Morgoth at November 15, 2010 11:13 AM (Snu7z)
You know, we wouldn't have to buy F35s if we bought some F22s, a plane that was already pretty much ready to go a year or two ago, when we had the chance.
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at November 15, 2010 11:13 AM (9hSKh)
Posted by: ace at November 15, 2010 11:13 AM (nj1bB)
Posted by: Roadking at November 15, 2010 11:14 AM (uNgbA)
Posted by: joncelli at November 15, 2010 11:15 AM (RD7QR)
Posted by: Cicero at November 15, 2010 11:15 AM (QKKT0)
Posted by: ace at November 15, 2010 11:16 AM (nj1bB)
Yeah but what is common-sense to you (and me) is not common-sense to a senior.
This is why I think taxes would ultimately end up as part of the mix -- seniors would demand that if they're going to have to tighten their belts some, then the current-income-earning rich can't be spared.
I think this is a spread-the-pain situation. Or would end up being that way.
oh i agree. It's unlikely that it would ever happen. The answer is simple, but not easy, therefor it won't happen any time soon.
Posted by: Ben at November 15, 2010 11:17 AM (wuv1c)
Warren Buffet is said to love this tax because many of the businesses he targets wouldn't be available to purchase if there were no estate tax to push the next generation out.
The estate tax forces many to sell. Goody for Warren.
Posted by: Derak at November 15, 2010 11:17 AM (CjpKH)
Posted by: tax the Dems at November 15, 2010 11:17 AM (yi+Bl)
Posted by: cali grump at November 15, 2010 11:17 AM (hL0k8)
Current life expectency is 78.
Social security started giving full benefits at 65 years old when it was first passed.
It now gives full benefits for those born after 1960 at 67 years old.
We ought to be shooting for 78 and beyond. SS is supposed to be a fallback for not having a retirement plan. Not an entitlement. Push both SS and medicare back to life expectancy, people should take care of themselves till then.
Posted by: MikeTheMoose at November 15, 2010 11:18 AM (0q2P7)
Posted by: A Balrog of Morgoth at November 15, 2010 11:18 AM (Snu7z)
Carbon tax
This option would tax carbon emissions, starting at $23 per ton of CO2. The tax rate would increase at a constant annual rate of 5.8 percent, from 2012 through 2050.
Dumbass, given the economic-killing properties of such a tax, you wouldn't be "saving" 70-some billion by 2030 - we'd have no economy thus it would be a net addition to the deficit.
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at November 15, 2010 11:18 AM (9hSKh)
Posted by: Guy Fawkes at November 15, 2010 11:18 AM (JcRgg)
So yeah, you should cut these things (just on principle, if nothing else) but they are not going to make a drastic change to the budgetary problems. Certainly you will make *some* difference. But these items are marginal, in terms of overall effect. you cannot cut them enough to avoid looking at the big-ticket items.
Why don't we bring the spending back as much as possible to that proposed by the US Constitution. We'd have to repeal an ammendment and change the Interstate Commerce clause, but I know of no better time to start doing it than now, what with the national political climate the way it is.
Posted by: Soona at November 15, 2010 11:18 AM (xM8Uq)
Posted by: Dr Spank at November 15, 2010 11:19 AM (LLZiU)
BINGO! Hydro power, Shale Oil, hot Eskimos, or forget that, Hockey teams, oh, forget that.
But, they have strong beer, they have that going for them!
And, shit, they're the second biggest land mass county in the world.
Posted by: Kemp at November 15, 2010 11:19 AM (JpFM9)
Posted by: ace at November 15, 2010 11:19 AM (nj1bB)
Posted by: railwriter at November 15, 2010 11:19 AM (BsK3p)
Dunno if you read this far down but many years ago, long before the GOP redid the estate tax, it was well below the million dollar mark and my grandfather passed away & I was an heir. The guy never traveled outside of his home state, had a closet full of suits, 100% of which were polyester, and his best paying job was insurance salesman. He was a complete miser. However, he was a business genius and over the course of his life purchased worthless land (mostly hilltops w/trees) and sat on it. After 50 years of doing this, his net worth exploded as the land he purchased for $100/acre was now worth $2,000 an acre.
When he passed, our family had to fight the local gov't tooth and nail because they were trying to overvalue everything in order to get their hands on my grandfather's property, which he willed to us. The only way I got any "money" (~ 10K) was to sell some land to another relative, as he really didn't have any cash saved. In the end, all the family members worked out the land deals & all the property, 90% of which is now farm property, is still in the family.
If the gov't had been able to win its case, we'd have had to sell some of our family's land just to pay the taxes.
Maybe we need to look at how much of the estate taxes are actually in LAND versus CASH? Cuz my sister ended up getting my grandfather's house, the one he lived in the last 40 years of his life & the entire plot of land, house & all, that this guy who was darn near privy to the estate, was worth all of forty thousand dollars. He lived the life Charles Ingles.
It shouldn't be a payday for the government if your dad/grandad/mom/grandmom dies. If you SELL the land, then, yeah, a sales tax on the transaction.
Posted by: Cam Winston at November 15, 2010 11:19 AM (5L9k4)
Posted by: John Galt at November 15, 2010 11:19 AM (F/4zf)
This should be easy to turn into a flame war, especially since balancing the budget in a few years is a meaningless exercise in the first place since servicing the debt will make it impossible.
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at November 15, 2010 11:21 AM (RkRxq)
Posted by: SkyWatch at November 15, 2010 11:21 AM (QT5VX)
Posted by: unknown jane at November 15, 2010 11:21 AM (5/yRG)
Posted by: ace at November 15, 2010 11:21 AM (nj1bB)
Posted by: Ken at November 15, 2010 11:21 AM (3ar4L)
Or the EPA. That department could use a nice, close haircut, in addition to stripping it of some of its authority.
Posted by: Blacque Jacques Shellacque at November 15, 2010 11:22 AM (fxACH)
I know not really helpful but the thought makes me smile
Posted by: Buzzsaw at November 15, 2010 11:22 AM (tf9Ne)
Who here believes the heirs of multi-millionaires & billionaires actually pay estate taxes?
Estate taxes, capital gains taxes, and even luxury taxes affect the barely-affluent, not the super-rich.
Posted by: Senator Soothsayer (R-AoS) at November 15, 2010 11:22 AM (uFokq)
Posted by: Rocks at November 15, 2010 11:22 AM (Q1lie)
A friend of mine says he likes this particular tax because it's some sort of impediment to a permanent aristocracy. I don't know if I buy that but I can't dismiss it out of hand.
God forbid people be able to pass their lives' work onto their children.
(Hint: We've had an estate tax, and had to put up with the Kennedy's for 60, 70 years. It doesn't block a "permanent aristocracy" nearly so well as our tradition of electing people to offices, rather than passing them by inheritance. What the estate tax does is put yet another land mine in the path from poverty to affluence, because the left hates people accumulating wealth through their own labor. It's hard to convince people to hand their fate to government when there are obvious examples of self-starters and builders around.)
Posted by: Zombie Taft at November 15, 2010 11:22 AM (IuKAf)
What we are really stealing from is their heirs, which, fine, isn't like the best thing in the world, but then it's really not the best thing in the world to take 20% of a construction worker's take-home income, either.
Please explain why the latter is permissible but the former -- stealing from the dead's delinquent, dilettante heirs -- is so horrible.
Because the formerly living already paid the taxes on the money earned, in the same way the construction worker is currently paying on the money he is earning.
It's not like the dead person got away without already paying his taxes.
More importantly, simply because you feel that the man's children, or whoever he leaves his money to, are underserving does not make it so. Envy doesn't make great tax policy.
Following your logic, or taking it to the extreme, why let the dead keep any money? They're dead. Who cares what they wanted to do with their money upon their passing. It's not like they earned it. Wait. Yes. Yes they did.
I simply don't understand how death can be a taxable event.
God willing I make a few million in my life, why the hell can't i leave every dime to my kids? The recently deceased pay taxes up until their death as do you.
I think the death tax should be abolished, or let's make it across the board, everyone who has any money should get taxed at the same rate.
God knows the billionaires aren't paying it anyway. Taxes like this always end up screwing the moderately successful, not the super rich anyway.
Posted by: Ben at November 15, 2010 11:22 AM (wuv1c)
Posted by: joeindc44 at November 15, 2010 11:23 AM (QxSug)
This should be easy to turn into a flame war, especially since balancing the budget in a few years is a meaningless exercise in the first place since servicing the debt will make it impossible.
Hey, buddy, I have some quantitative easing to sell you.
What can possibly go wrong?
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at November 15, 2010 11:23 AM (B+qrE)
Posted by: joeindc44 at November 15, 2010 11:24 AM (QxSug)
Like I said above, it's right next to the "find a genie lamp and use your first wish to balance the budget" option.
Yeah, so cutting the most useless federal departments are off the table, just 'cause.
Keep cringing, Ace. Someday your leftist friends will accept you for who you are.
Posted by: Zombie Taft at November 15, 2010 11:24 AM (IuKAf)
God knows the billionaires aren't paying it anyway. Taxes like this always end up screwing the moderately successful, not the super rich anyway.
Posted by: Senator Soothsayer (R-AoS) at November 15, 2010 11:25 AM (uFokq)
Maybe, but the sailboat taxes alone enough to reduce you to eating Wagyu no more than four times a week.
Posted by: Sen. Jean-Clod Kerry (D) Assachusetts at November 15, 2010 11:25 AM (QKKT0)
Posted by: Mr Pink at November 15, 2010 11:25 AM (eSG2c)
Is there no way to fashion a method to treat the small-farm-passes-to-kids differently than Doris Duke leaves her cats $500 billion?
And what business of yours who (or what) Doris Dukes gives her money to. It's her money. Besides, the cats can probably spend it better than the government can. You've got a bad case of class envy, Ace.
Posted by: Soona at November 15, 2010 11:25 AM (xM8Uq)
His premise was that by merely holding spending steady (not adjusted for inflation) the budget could be balanced within a decade. I thing he's probably correct.
My modest proposal:
No new programs.
No increases in existing programs.
Repeal Obamacare.
Cut spending on worthless bureaucracies like Department of Education, EPA, DOE, NSF and others.
Eliminate funding of cultural bullshit like NEA, PBS and NPR.
Cap SSI.
Cut taxes.
Let the economy grow (especially the energy sector).
Bingo! A totally painless (except to leftards) way to balance the budget.
Posted by: Ed Anger at November 15, 2010 11:27 AM (7+pP9)
Speaking of John F'n Kerry and how the rich really don't pay taxes...
You know he paid $7M for his sailboat, right?
Well, guess how much the value of boats are capped at for taxes in MA?
$75K.
Posted by: Senator Soothsayer (R-AoS) at November 15, 2010 11:28 AM (uFokq)
Estate Taxes: The only ones who win from Estate Taxes, are lawyers, who are paid to protect the truly rich.
Defense: The two cuts they speak of are both those that allow us to actualy WAGE WAR, vice do anti insurgency ops... if we were not invading and trying to recreate countries governments, we would have plenty of cash... and those Air Wings and Ships are the ones who can actualy help defend AMERICA.
Government Wages: Federal Law that there will be NO Federal Employee Unions, and an immediate 25% pay cut for all Federal Employees over 40K in Wages per year... (ie, 25% cut of the amount OVER 40K).
National Sales Tax, administered by the States, and abolish the IRS.
Abolish all Farm Subisidies.
No Foreign Aid, until we have a balanced budget here in America.
No Arts spending, until and unless the budget is balanced.
Abolish Dept of Education.
Drill, Drill, Drill, with a large Alaska like fee for oil and Natural Gas.
Samll Business Administration gets Expanded, and can draw Loan funds at the near 0% interest rates that big banks now get...
Posted by: Romeo13 at November 15, 2010 11:28 AM (AdK6a)
This "small business" thing is the only part of it I buy into. But I have to ask -- and this is not rhetorical; this is an honest, straight question from ignorance -- is there not some way to separate/distinguish small business "estate" transfers from more typical dead guy's stuff estates?
Is there no way to fashion a method to treat the small-farm-passes-to-kids differently than Doris Duke leaves her cats $500 billion?
Nope, all income or assets, including businesses fall under the tax. This also includes homes.
So lets say you have a family home thats 750K and you want your kids to live there. Well the goverment wants 55% of the 750K value of that hours which is $412,500.00 Your kid has to come up with that cash to pay to the government so that they can live in their family home that their parents already paid for.
more importantly, what does it matter how much money the person has. I still don't get the justification as to why the government is entitled to more of it after death. The person was already penalized for making the large sum of money through a higher tax rate at every level.
Posted by: Ben at November 15, 2010 11:29 AM (wuv1c)
Posted by: Mr Pink at November 15, 2010 11:29 AM (eSG2c)
Posted by: MikeTheMoose at November 15, 2010 11:29 AM (0q2P7)
Yeah, so cutting the most useless federal departments are off the table, just 'cause.
Keep cringing, Ace. Someday your leftist friends will accept you for who you are.
Will you fucking stop it. Let's see...Democrat in the White House. Senate controlled by Democrats and 240 House seats.
Yeah, abolishing Cabinet agencies is going to happen. Just stop it.
I thing Education is the most useless thing ever, but its death is a dream, not a policy. At the core we're doing math here and for all who suggest that the deficit is impossible to deal with, well, bullshit and dealing with it does not require pipe dreams.
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at November 15, 2010 11:30 AM (B+qrE)
Posted by: railwriter at November 15, 2010 11:30 AM (3qItU)
Posted by: t-bird at November 15, 2010 11:30 AM (FcR7P)
Allow me to put it this way - I don't care to specify where the spending is reduced. I won't be making the decisions ayway, that is THEIR (Congress') job, which they are getting well paid to do. Do your goddamn job!
Just STOP SPENDING! STOP SPENDING! STOP SPENDING! STOP SPENDING! STOP SPENDING! STOP SPENDING!
How f-in complicated is that?
Posted by: The M & M Pretzel at November 15, 2010 11:30 AM (1Rgee)
Posted by: Dawnsblood at November 15, 2010 11:30 AM (peLQd)
Posted by: Empire of Jeff at November 15, 2010 11:31 AM (B7dyo)
Posted by: Ken at November 15, 2010 11:31 AM (3ar4L)
Ace,
You seem to not understand how economic decisions are made.
I work, I make X. I have a choice of what to do with X. Spend it all? Save some? If I save some, what will I do with it?
I make those decisions with the future in mind, I am assume we are talking about a rational worker.
As a parent, I want to help my family, you will to when you have kids. How do I help them?
Good schools, being there and not being an absent parent and SAVING money to look after my family.
In a free society, we expect every family to be self sufficient, that requires saving for rainy day or illness, etc.
We encourage saving so that families look after themselves and do not become wards of the state.
Having capital to pass on to your childern, without be punished for being a good citizen, is a basic right of a free society.
Why save anything, if I am going to lose it all when I die.
It is a straw man to compare taxes to a current worker to a dead person.
The dead person PAID all those taxes when he was ALIVE.
It is his money free and clear.
I say again it is morally wrong to steal from the dead.
Posted by: Kemp at November 15, 2010 11:31 AM (JpFM9)
Yeah, can't argue with that dispassionate logic. Fucking. Air. Tight.
You decide who is deserving. THAT'S the conservative way
+1
Posted by: Ben at November 15, 2010 11:32 AM (wuv1c)
Includes missle defense if I read it correctly and that is a complete no-go in my mind.
I didn't notice that--because if you cut a Mintueman wing, you just HAVE to cut missile defense.
Sheesh.
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at November 15, 2010 11:32 AM (B+qrE)
Posted by: railwriter at November 15, 2010 11:33 AM (WovsE)
Also, i don't want it to seem like I am for no taxes. I would be willing to pay more taxes if there were massive cuts. However, I want what i earned over a lifetime to remain whole because I already paid the government their cut.
However, I think we all know what would happen if we paid more taxes on the promise of spending cuts, don't we?
Posted by: Ben at November 15, 2010 11:33 AM (wuv1c)
Neat little calculator, except I don't believe for a NYT's minute that the 2015 deficit will be as low as $418 billion.
Posted by: FreakyBoy at November 15, 2010 11:34 AM (YU9IY)
Posted by: Comrade Arthur at November 15, 2010 11:35 AM (3CQYV)
Posted by: Timothy Geithner at November 15, 2010 11:35 AM (FcR7P)
Yeah, but it is a push-poll and lumps together several categories that should be kept separate, starting with #1 in the military - nuclear warhead reduction and missile defense. Yes to the first, no to the second. So I just cut away at what I could (military and miscellaneous as proxy for HUD, DOE and DHS) while keeping the GWOT intact. 11% from tax, 89% from spending cuts. In reality, it isn't politically palatable to not increase taxes on high earners - it is a spread the pain situation. But it is doable. Theoretically.
Posted by: Skookumchuk at November 15, 2010 11:35 AM (btzPD)
CUT GOVERNMENT SPENDING! AND CUT IT DEEP!
The only thing we should not scrimp on, especially in these days and times, is defense. Everything else is on the table as far as I'm concerned. Oh, and one more thing: LET ME KEEP MY HARD-EARNED MONEY AND PROPERTY!
Posted by: Soona at November 15, 2010 11:36 AM (xM8Uq)
Current life expectency is 78.
That old saw has very little (virtually nothing) to do with SS payouts. Those life expectancy numbers are about as valid as the "infant death rate" in Cuba. People who do not kill themselves with risky behavior at a young age lived about the same lenght in the 30s as they do now. Don't believe me? Go to the census site and look at their numbers.
The only real difference is a short life extension due to heroic medical interventions.
BTW, the first payments were lump sum payments made on "retirement". The first one was 17 cents. The first "monthly payments were made to Ida May Fuller of Ludlow, VT who "contributed 24.75 and who received 22.54 monthly from 1940 until her death at age 100 in 1975.
Posted by: Vic at November 15, 2010 11:36 AM (/jbAw)
And if you receive a government benefit, you should have to contribute in some way - either via taxes, or some kind of work program. No more free rides. I understand that there are some who can't do either, and the states can decide what and how they are helped, but the majority getting help now can certainly participate.
What 42 years in the job market paying taxes and SS/FICA deductions plus 26 years of active duty military service isn't enough to count as contributing, you want more? Okay, how 'bout the $130 a month that comes off the top of the small SS benefit received to pay the monthly Medicare fee? Still not enough to count as contributing in some way, then add in the income tax that has to be paid on the small retirement income received which amounts to another few thousand a year. I keep reading how 50% pay no taxes. I'd sure like to know how they do this, because my retirement income is below the gov't. poverty level and I get hit every year big time.
Would I like to have a paying job so I could leave my SS/Medicare untouched. You betcha! Will anyone hire someone 65 or older in this economy (or even a good economy), not very good odds on that. Do seniors "contribute" through volunterrism, yes, probably in greater numbers than any other segment of the population, but does that count, no, nor does it pay the taxes or Medicare fees due. I guess it doesn't count as "contributing" to pay for kids' college educations, help buy first houses, or subsidize granddchildren getting ready to enter college, not to mention all the general spending over 40 years so kids could eat and have a roof over their heads.
Tell me, what would satsify you as far as contributing is concerned? And tell me how much more I should contribute out of a gross retirement income of $22,000. That's gross, before taxes or existing Medicare fees. Perhaps pushing a shopping cart around downtown would suit you better? Reducing my housing costs by living in my 6 year old car that is paid for? Or how 'bout doing my patriotic duty and dying?
Posted by: Sara at November 15, 2010 11:36 AM (PJC8d)
Incinerate Washington DC with our nuclear arsenal. This lowers our nuclear inventory by (at least) one while serving to eliminate several government departments.
The cleanup will also produce a multiplier effect, while the construction of a new capital will generate good jobs for our architects, engineers, and construction personnel.
Posted by: Big Fat Meanie at November 15, 2010 11:37 AM (3iMgs)
2. Print that many dollars.
3. Done!
Posted by: Timothy Geithner at November 15, 2010 03:35 PM (FcR7P)
Ixnay on the intpray. It's "quantitative easing."
Posted by: Ben "Ben" Bernanke at November 15, 2010 11:37 AM (B+qrE)
Unless we can drastically reduce the size of our government, economic realities will leave only a couple of questions to be answered; What happens to a country that owes this much when it defaults? How practical is it to tell a country's debtors that they will not be paid back? How practical is it to tell people who have been promised through the course of their careers that they will be taken care of, that they won't?
It is so freaking amazing to me that less than five years ago, the U.S. could not be named without pointing out that she was the lone super power in the world.
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at November 15, 2010 11:37 AM (RkRxq)
Is there no way to fashion a method to treat the small-farm-passes-to-kids differently than Doris Duke leaves her cats $500 billion?
Actually... interesting Idea... currently any asset is taxed... but if you only taxed stocks, bonds, or cash... not physical assets like a company or its assets... it would be profitable to keep Money invested in REAL companies, not the virtual Vegas which is the current stock market funds...
Thus, the transfer of the family farm, or small business would not be taxed... but MONEY or stocks... would be...
Posted by: Romeo13 at November 15, 2010 11:37 AM (AdK6a)
I don't think there is the will to eliminate those but I would definitely cut down the bureaucracy associated with them. How many people do you need exactly to give out money?
If these social-worker government jobs weren't available, it'd be unfair for people with post-grad degrees in sociology/chicano studies/african-american studies/women's studies/peace studies, because they'd have no way to repay their student loans. *snort*
Posted by: IllTemperedCur at November 15, 2010 11:38 AM (DZVrI)
So lets say you have a family home thats 750K and you want your kids to live there. Well the goverment wants 55% of the 750K value of that hours which is $412,500.00 Your kid has to come up with that cash to pay to the government so that they can live in their family home that their parents already paid for.
Posted by: Ben at November 15, 2010 03:29 PM (wuv1c)
This one what doesn't help really. Even back under Clinton not a dime of that $750,000 house would be subject to the Estate Tax as the first million was exempt. So unless you had 250K more in cash and assets you're fine. If we want to sell no estate taxes then we have to come up with better examples like farms and small businesses. The Dems will simply counter with an exemption for the home up to a certain amount.
Posted by: Rocks at November 15, 2010 11:38 AM (Q1lie)
Posted by: joeindc44 at November 15, 2010 11:39 AM (QxSug)
Posted by: Jean at November 15, 2010 11:39 AM (judfL)
Posted by: Vic at November 15, 2010 11:39 AM (/jbAw)
Posted by: torabora at November 15, 2010 11:40 AM (1A70x)
Posted by: fluffy is down with cutting the budget at November 15, 2010 11:40 AM (4Kl5M)
Posted by: joncelli at November 15, 2010 11:41 AM (RD7QR)
And by the way, the fact that increased taxes reduce revenue tell you something about the goal of those that would increase taxes: they don't want revenue, they want confiscation.
Posted by: shillelagh at November 15, 2010 11:41 AM (Oz4Bj)
Posted by: JackStraw at November 15, 2010 11:41 AM (TMB3S)
Posted by: Doug Winship at November 15, 2010 11:42 AM (gYmf+)
What we're talking about here is taxes levied on the estate that are so large that the estate has to be sold to PAY FOR THE TAXES. So we're not talking about the aristocracy (who can afford lawyers to shield their estates) we're talking about mom/pop who own their house and some personal property and when they die (many times wo a will) junior or juniette inherits. Thing is property usually gains in value over the years so with relatively low thresholds, the estate is hit with a tax worth 20-50% of it's value. Junior or juniette can't afford to pay that money so the estate is sold to pay the taxes. These sales don't usually result in top dollar being paid (they're auctioned) so many times the estate pays the taxes and there's little or nothing left. Is that fair to mom/pop who thought they would be giving their heirs a gift not an onerous and painful aggravation? I don't think so.
If the threshold were set at some reasonable value like 10 million then I'd say fine. Don't do what so many do, think only of your situation now and forget that one day YOU might want to pass on your property/business to your son/daughter but never get around to doing it right and die intestate and the fed comes in a gobbles up the whole thing.
Some cases even have resulted in the heirs PAYING on top of selliing and having no inheritance. It's a class warfare tax. Look at who it most in favor of it --- Democrats!
Posted by: jakee308 at November 15, 2010 11:42 AM (fhTf7)
Interestingly, Ace puts his finger right on it under the next topic: "....divert a lot of wealth into the tax-avoidance industry, which doesn't actually produce anything."
If there is a time and a place for government to worry about personal fortunes becoming too large, it's at the point where government power is co-opted into creating and maintaining those fortunes. Picking winners and losers in the marketplace, erecting barriers to entry, thwarting competition, granting monopolies or turning a blind eye to monopolistic behavior....it's not unusual for great fortunes to be the direct result of government action.
Posted by: cthulhu at November 15, 2010 11:42 AM (kaalw)
Posted by: Rickshaw Jack at November 15, 2010 11:43 AM (aLCAR)
Thus, the transfer of the family farm, or small business would not be taxed... but MONEY or stocks... would be...
Posted by: Romeo13 at November 15, 2010 03:37 PM (AdK6a)
It's an idea well recieved by all class-envy maggots.
Posted by: Soona at November 15, 2010 11:44 AM (xM8Uq)
This one what doesn't help really. Even back under Clinton not a dime of that $750,000 house would be subject to the Estate Tax as the first million was exempt. So unless you had 250K more in cash and assets you're fine. If we want to sell no estate taxes then we have to come up with better examples like farms and small businesses. The Dems will simply counter with an exemption for the home up to a certain amount.
obviously if someone owns a 750K house they have other assets. I think the cap next year is 2.5 mil. My point was, let's say someone home was part of their assets, which totaled over the 1 million dollar clinton amount, then the kids would almost certainly have to sell the house that was already paid for.
I think the government putting people in a position where they have to sell family homes that are owned outright to be a convicning argument.
Posted by: Ben at November 15, 2010 11:45 AM (wuv1c)
Posted by: Radioactive Satellite Of LOVE at November 15, 2010 11:45 AM (LdYLm)
All it takes is a few "kids" and those taxes then become negative taxes (EIC).
And that is on top of the welfare and WIC payments you will get to help "raise" those kids.
Posted by: Vic at November 15, 2010 11:45 AM (/jbAw)
Repeal Bacon-Davis about "prevailing wages". That would reduce the cost of government.
I'm sorta down with an estate tax set at a VERY high level. Ask yourself, why should the granddaughter of Bill Gates be one of the wealthest people in the country? This has intuitative appeal.
But of course, the only way for the grandaughter to get that rich is for the sons and daughters of Bill Gates to PRESERVE the capital bequeated to them by the Founder.
Posted by: Whitehall at November 15, 2010 11:46 AM (FmPSC)
In ancient Rome they used to kill wealthy people to generate revenue.
You really don't think our current government would perhaps over-value property if it needed to generate some funds?
Posted by: Bevel Lemelisk at November 15, 2010 11:46 AM (TpXEI)
In my old neighborhood in Castro Valley, CA 1950s track houses that sold for 16K originally are now going for 750K on postage stamp size lots that are not much bigger than the 1000 - 1200 sq ft houses that are sitting on them.
Posted by: Vic at November 15, 2010 11:47 AM (/jbAw)
Posted by: t-bird at November 15, 2010 11:47 AM (FcR7P)
My family were farmers. There are tombstones in the family marble orchard that date back to the mid 1800's. My grandmother sold the farm several years before she died, after she found out it would need to be sold anyway, when she died, to pay estate taxes. That is what has happened with most family farms.
Posted by: highlander 707 at November 15, 2010 11:48 AM (74QJW)
128 Having served in the period right after Carter, and having dealt with the Clinton "peace dividend" I can vouche that while indeed, the military could stand with some things cut, with you know who in charge there would be every danger that the wrong things would not just be trimmed but bludgeoned.
And at that period we were not actively fighting a war. The take away from my life has been: never, ever let Democrats get ahold of the military budget. (well, hell, just don't let them near any budget, but especially for the military)
Posted by: unknown jane at November 15, 2010 11:48 AM (5/yRG)
Yep! Passed too!
Posted by: Kemp at November 15, 2010 11:48 AM (JpFM9)
This took me about 3 minutes, as long as it took to keep reading and checking boxes, until I got down to where we are imposing more taxes.
I moved the estate tax back to Clinton Levels, and ended the Bush Tax cuts for those >250K.
Posted by: headhunt23 at November 15, 2010 11:48 AM (Q08aV)
Its not going to be there anyway. If you believe the opposite, we'll just have to agree to disagree.
Posted by: Guy Fawkes at November 15, 2010 11:48 AM (JcRgg)
Posted by: joncelli at November 15, 2010 03:41 PM (RD7QR)
Actually capping it and indexing it to GDP growth will save even more then they suggest because less people will be claiming it. Why? It's won't even be spent because patients won't be able to find a doctor or hospital that will take Medicare after a few years because it won't be keeping up with inflation in the health industry which has been higher than GDP growth for awhile now.
Posted by: Rocks at November 15, 2010 11:48 AM (Q1lie)
This one what doesn't help really. Even back under Clinton not a dime of that $750,000 house would be subject to the Estate Tax as the first million was exempt.
In ancient Rome they used to kill wealthy people to generate revenue.
You really don't think our current government would perhaps over-value property if it needed to generate some funds?
Are you kidding? Why wait until we are dead. The local government already over estimates the value of my home for taxes.
I am willing to bet 50% of people are paying taxes on a estimated value that is well above what they could get for selling it.
Posted by: Ben at November 15, 2010 11:48 AM (wuv1c)
Posted by: joncelli at November 15, 2010 11:49 AM (RD7QR)
It's like Abbott & Costello's Who's On First bit.
In MA, the stupid voters rejected a ref to cut the sales tax. They said we can't cut the sales tax because it pays for teachers, firefighters, cops, roads, etc.
Okay, then, let's cut the Meals Tax. They said no we can't cut the meals tax because it pays for teachers, firemen, police, roads, etc.
Okay, let's cut the income tax...No, no, the income tax pays for teachers, roads, ...
Okay, can we cut the double tax on liquor? No. Why? Because it pays for teachers, shcools, roads, police...
IT NEVER FUCKING ENDS
Gas Tax, Excise Tax, Soda Tax, Cigarette Tax, Ass Tax, Poop Tax, Dog Tax, Cat Tax, just create a new tax and call it whatever tax!
Posted by: Senator Soothsayer (R-AoS) at November 15, 2010 11:49 AM (uFokq)
Don't forget that tax loopholes are the actual and real tools politicians use for social and economic engineering. It's specifically how politicians play favorites. If a pol in DC has one less tool to manipulate action that's a plus.
Get rid of them.
Posted by: Hoss at November 15, 2010 11:49 AM (mjhYn)
There comes a point at which it is obvious that you've watched too many John Hughes movies. You know, where the poor kids are really noble and good hearted and the rich kids are a bunch of spoiled fuckfaces. The poor kids have really caring and attentive parents while the rich parents are too caught up in their own lives to realize what shenanigans their prick kids get into when they throw huge parties at their mansions.
Hardy Jens is a fucking asshole!!
Posted by: Ted Kennedy's Gristle Encased Head at November 15, 2010 11:51 AM (+lsX1)
I am entitled to nearly no deductions or exemptions other than the mortgage deduction and home taxes credit (everything else having phased out as I climbed through the income brackets), and paid ~ $162K, or 31-32% real time for those scoring at home. I may drink hemlock if the Bush cuts expire for us evil one-percenters, as I assure you I am not rich, just comfortable.
For guys like me, there aren't any more loopholes left to close.
Posted by: Bust of an Overburdened Taxpayer at November 15, 2010 11:51 AM (8/DeP)
Of course, one of the biggest savings is eliminating farm subsidies. Can you imagine the howling that would initiate? The more I look at this simulator the more I think it's an exercise in computerized fantasy, at least from a political perspective.
you're just mad cause you got pawned noob!
Posted by: Ben at November 15, 2010 11:51 AM (wuv1c)
If I'm not mistaken, the estate tax enabled Warren Buffett to amass his fortune--he acquired family businesses that were to be forced into selling to pay off estate taxes.
The Estate Tax should go the way of Poochie, and die on the way back to its home planet.
Posted by: Big Fat Meanie at November 15, 2010 11:51 AM (3iMgs)
Just STOP SPENDING! STOP SPENDING! STOP SPENDING! STOP SPENDING! STOP SPENDING! STOP SPENDING!
How f-in complicated is that?
Posted by: The M & M Pretzel at November 15, 2010 03:30 PM (1Rgee)
Works for me.Ending farm subsidies and eliminating foreign aid will also help.
Slashing spending and cutting taxes is the recipe.
-------------
Will you fucking stop it. Let's see...Democrat in the White House. Senate controlled by Democrats and 240 House seats.
Yeah, abolishing Cabinet agencies is going to happen. Just stop it.
I thing Education is the most useless thing ever, but its death is a dream, not a policy. At the core we're doing math here and for all who suggest that the deficit is impossible to deal with, well, bullshit and dealing with it does not require pipe dreams.
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at November 15, 2010 03:30 PM (B+qrE)
It's almost impossible to abolish federal agencies, but it's a dream we can't abandon.It won't happen in the next Congress, but if we ever get the House, Senate (filibuster proof) and Presidency we have to do it. Ram it right down their throats like they did with Obamacare to us.
Posted by: Ed Anger at November 15, 2010 11:52 AM (7+pP9)
K Street as an entity exists for just this purpose. Yet another reason to close loopholes: Because it would make lobbyists sad.
Posted by: Ben at November 15, 2010 11:53 AM (B+qrE)
Posted by: JEA at November 15, 2010 11:54 AM (lP8dE)
Posted by: acewing plover at November 15, 2010 11:55 AM (B7dyo)
you want to adopt a young man in his mid 20s?
Posted by: Ben at November 15, 2010 11:55 AM (wuv1c)
If I'm not mistaken, the estate tax enabled Warren Buffett to amass his fortune--he acquired family businesses that were to be forced into selling to pay off estate taxes.
And George Soros made his by currency raiding.
Such productive members of the economy. Emphasis on "members."
Posted by: Ben at November 15, 2010 11:55 AM (B+qrE)
JEA, you dunce, if you think the rich aren't paying it because of loopholes, what's the sense of keeping it?
Posted by: Senator Soothsayer (R-AoS) at November 15, 2010 11:56 AM (uFokq)
I think the government putting people in a position where they have to sell family homes that are owned outright to be a convicning argument.
Posted by: Ben at November 15, 2010 03:45 PM (wuv1c)
It would be if anybody was using the Clinton era rate. Even Obama isn't so that is dead on arrival. Obama's plan exempts the first 3.5 million. There are not many people who can claim a home and assets worth more than 3.5 million that don't include a business or farm. The ones that can I think most people would be fine with taxing. Why? Let's face it. That's rich.
You want to eliminate the Estate Tax? Show how forcing them to sell the farm or business puts people out of work. Nobody is going to cry over somebody with a 2 million dollar house and another 2 million in cash and toys having to pay some taxes.Posted by: Rocks at November 15, 2010 11:57 AM (Q1lie)
Posted by: Marilena at November 15, 2010 11:57 AM (0ldho)
Just a quickie, back later:
Our submarines have become one of the louder things in the ocean, are almost certainly detectable, and may be being tracked. Any determined foe with time to plan would know where they are, and have a quieter craft within striking range before initiating reasoned discourse. Do you want to bet we have no determined foes?
This means we have arrived, at sea, at the point we were 50 years ago on land. We need massive redundancy in nuclear capability to avoid being dry-gulched.
Also, not one cent for tribute. There. Navy, you owe me one.
Posted by: comatus at November 15, 2010 11:57 AM (hrwMe)
Posted by: i call BS at November 15, 2010 11:57 AM (gjUaP)
Our submarines have become one of the louder things in the ocean, are almost certainly detectable, and may be being tracked. Any determined foe with time to plan would know where they are, and have a quieter craft within striking range before initiating reasoned discourse.
You are going to have to prove that one to me.
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at November 15, 2010 11:59 AM (B+qrE)
Posted by: joncelli at November 15, 2010 12:00 PM (RD7QR)
The capital gains tax is similarly heinous but not nearly as bad as the estate tax. I'd like to see both of them eliminated but if I only get one the estate tax is a goner.
To play Devil's Advocate (again)... your wealth isn't being taxed under the estate tax- you're dead. It's your heirs that are being taxed on income they recieved. Why should estates be the only form of income / wealth gain not taxed?
Yeah, it's a double-tax, how many taxes aren't? Income taxes are paid by a business or individual after that employer has already been taxed in ways almost too numerous to count.
Over 50% is too high, but in principle the estate tax isn't terribly out of the ordinary- there aren't many forms of untaxed income.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at November 15, 2010 12:01 PM (plsiE)
Unfunded liabilities are between 50 and 200 trillion depending upon who you believe, does this country have that?
Posted by: Guy Fawkes at November 15, 2010 12:01 PM (JcRgg)
I don't want to choose from a list of preferred liberal options and their fantasy outcomes. I want to choose real stuff.
Posted by: t-bird
This. Why don't we just replay the 2008 Presidential election and be done? The only choices we have are what the NYT deigns to afford us?
And if the estate tax is so wonderful, why not ban some funeral expenses, such as brass handled coffins? That money could be put to good government use as well.
Mark Steyn covered this years ago, when he related how Paul McCartney fought for years to have his first wife's will probated in NY. They have perhaps the worst laws in the US. But they are miles better than England. In the end, he won, and the estate shelled out less. Second example would be Kerry literally sailing that fricking boat across the bay to dodge taxes. This issue isn't new, isn't onfined to the United States, and is not confined to estate taxes. Think of sales taxes. Think about any family filling out financial aid forms for a child going to college, or placing an elder in assisted living.
Posted by: Blue Hen at November 15, 2010 12:02 PM (R2fpr)
Posted by: Marilena at November 15, 2010 12:03 PM (0ldho)
Posted by: joeindc44 at November 15, 2010 12:03 PM (QxSug)
Ask yourself, why should Bill Gates work his arse off building a successful company and building great wealth (which is taxed at the top rate) only to see half of that net wealth pissed away to politicians in DC (taxed yet again) when he dies? What did those pols do to deserve it?
Posted by: Hoss at November 15, 2010 12:03 PM (mjhYn)
Posted by: joeindc44 at November 15, 2010 12:03 PM (QxSug)
This double-taxation nonsense is ridiculous with all the tax loopholes the rich can - and do - take advantage of.
Good for them. I'd do it too. As a matter of fact I'd do everything possible to keep the governments hands off my money. I'm not rich and I still look for ways to keep more of my money.
Posted by: Soona at November 15, 2010 12:04 PM (xM8Uq)
LOL, I know what you mean. Way back a long time ago I was offered a new position in the company I was with taking over a project that was "in trouble". My boss, at the time "counseled me" because it was actually a demotion and would result in a "pay freeze" for several years as my pay raises would be halted until I got back into the actual scale for the new job.
When he found out though that I would be going into a non-exempt slot though and working 60 to 100 hours a week and getting overtime he changed his mind.
My wife was working at the time as well so our combined federal taxes were in the "Clinton Penalty region" and I paid more federal taxes that year than the median income for our State.
A few years later the company "fixed" that though. They made the position exempt.
Posted by: Vic at November 15, 2010 12:05 PM (/jbAw)
I'd much sooner walk away from Afghanistan tomorrow than cut future weapons development or standing force size. That's not even open to debate.
I ended up in most cases around 15% tax increases by their calculator. I can juggle this a few different ways but given the current situation I don't consider that evil. I didn't find it particularly hard to get to a very sizable surplus by the end.
On the other hand, there's a lot of cuts they don't really give you a swing at. What they should be doing is putting up every federal agency with a budget over $50M and let you pick 2010 budget level, 2008 budget level, 40% cut, or complete elimination. I know I could have a lot of fun with that one.
Posted by: JEM at November 15, 2010 12:06 PM (o+SC1)
Reducing Navy fleets and AF Wings - NO! the world is currently smoldering at the moment and it is going to go up in full flames in the near future. We will need (or I should say, Europe will need, those ships and planes)
Space Spending/Nuclear Arsenal - I agree and disagree. We need to continue space/nuclear/scientific research. In fact, we need to up the amount of money we spend on research. The chinese is going to be kicking our butts in about 20 years and the only thing we will be qualified to be the leader of is Barnum and Bailey circus. Look at the attitudes of the world leaders towards Obama this past week. And you can't blame all of it on Obama...USA is not what it once was and getting rid of the things that made us great and prosperous is a mistake.
Medicare and SS - I agree 100%. We are living longer and should work longer.
Estate tax - disagree with Ace. People have already paid taxes on that money when they made it. They should not have to pay taxes, again on the same money, when they die.
The rest I agree with Ace.
Posted by: tinkerbella at November 15, 2010 12:06 PM (4oJw4)
It hits the small businessman again and again just like all the so-called tax the "rich" schemes.
Posted by: Vic at November 15, 2010 03:11 PM (/jbAw)
Didn't know you could die more than once. :-)
Posted by: pbrown at November 15, 2010 12:07 PM (vUpp0)
Posted by: ErikW at November 15, 2010 12:08 PM (p/5hp)
I pay way beyond feudal level of taxes right now. I work until well into April for the government. We should be scaling back till the government till we can get that freedom day to be no more than the Ides of March.
Posted by: MikeTheMoose at November 15, 2010 12:09 PM (0q2P7)
Posted by: Marilena at November 15, 2010 12:11 PM (0ldho)
change the age when federal employees can start collecting retirement..same age as the rest of us. Hint: If the states did this they wouldn't be in quite as bad of shape as they are. They also need to get out of the lucrative retirement business.
There are a lot different things that could be cut, like starting with kicking the UN out of the US and then telling the UN "we're out".
Next, start reducing our military presence in Europe, So. Korea, Japan and other foreign installations. It's great for the host country's economy but costs us a lot of money.
Rescind the EO that allowed collective bargaining for federal workers.
Privatize the USPS and allow regular mail by UPS/FEDX/...
Get the federal gubmint out of the Charity business.
Posted by: DBinNJ at November 15, 2010 12:12 PM (Ur8U0)
Posted by: JEM at November 15, 2010 12:13 PM (o+SC1)
It is telling, and sad, that a nation with a near plurality that pays no income tax would cheer on a tax which is triggered solely by a transfer in wealth as a result of death. It is presumed that in most cases, the estate was the result of wealth produced. Thus we are clearly signalling that not only is soaking the rich chic, but 'soaking the slovenly decendents' of the rich' is also the right thing to do.
I'm reminded of the former Governor of Delaware, or rather one of her creatures, whining that the liquor distributors here raised all of their prices to match yet another tax increase. To them, it was unseemly that their latest raid on commerce be displayed for what it was.
Posted by: Blue Hen at November 15, 2010 12:15 PM (R2fpr)
If taxes are so important to some of you "conservatives" then why didn't the the founding fathers incorporate them into US Constitution? I know they had tariffs, but those are a long shot from being the confiscatory taxes we have now. Let's repeal the income tax ammendment. Then the fed would have to cut spending.
Posted by: Soona at November 15, 2010 12:16 PM (xM8Uq)
The capital gains tax is similarly heinous but not nearly as bad as the estate tax. I'd like to see both of them eliminated but if I only get one the estate tax is a goner.
Absolutely right. I have four kids, they will get everything when my wife and I are gone. I want them to have it, not the government.
Also, I would bet that a lot of folks who post stuff about putting a cap on Medicare and cutting Social Security aren't drawing Social Security, and are not on Medicare. If you are, and I am, then you sort of tend to think that after paying in all those years, you should be able to draw the benefits. And I know a lot of folks that are my age that are not real happy about getting screwed out of their benefits after paying into the programs for so long. (Most of those same people just finished making their feelings known in the recent election) Some people advocating the cuts seem to have forgotten that the money was stolen from Social Security to pay for lots of government shit over the years.
I thought Bush had the right idea about private investments when he proposed changing Social Security. I still do. But I'm not in favor of cutting older folks off their Social Security. In the future, means testing might be the way to go.
Posted by: mikeyslaw at November 15, 2010 12:16 PM (QMGr1)
Now, I have no trouble at all with the idea that if we managed to get federal taxes cut, and get the federal deficit under control, states may need to make decisions as to how much they want to spend on roads and schools and police and other things that should be primarily or entirely a state and local function.
And if they want to raise taxes that's their business, but they ought not be running around expecting federal tax dollars to rain on their heads.
Posted by: JEM at November 15, 2010 12:17 PM (o+SC1)
Posted by: ace at November 15, 2010 03:16 PM (nj1bB)
What the fuck!! Did some trust fund asshole assault you at some point in your life Ace?
As has already been said in this thread, small business and family farms are the ones being killed by the Estate tax. The last thing on earth I want to have happen is another asshole in DC deciding how much is "enough" to pass along to one's children. The super rich (buffet Gates) shield their wealth. The fucking Kennedy's seem to have perfected the art of not paying estate taxes as well. These taxes don't prevent people from "being" rich but they sure as hell make it harder to "get" rich.
Posted by: Hedgehog at November 15, 2010 12:18 PM (Rn2kl)
Posted by: Soap MacTavish at November 15, 2010 04:11 PM (vbh31)
The day the EPA is dissolved is the day that I laugh maniacally as I burn tractor tires in my front yard.
Posted by: ErikW at November 15, 2010 12:19 PM (p/5hp)
Posted by: mikeyslaw
But what essentially is the difference here? I've been paying in since I was 15. The chance of this existing in any form is doubtful. And the fact that the goal posts have been moved and are likely to be moved again don't help. And then in the future, we might have to undergo means testing? Try researching the British military pension system after World War I. Or look at the VA and its ever changing eligibility rules. Or prison officials making the pitch to turf older, sick inmates. It's all about reducing numbers to ease their position; it has nothiing to do with equality or fairness.
Posted by: Blue Hen at November 15, 2010 12:22 PM (R2fpr)
Posted by: ace at November 15, 2010 02:58 PM (nj1bB)
The problem is you see the estate tax as only hitting those lazy, coke addled kids of millionaires. I see it as destroying small businesses that don't have a surplus of cash on hand. Most small businesses are always cash strapped; the estate tax forces the heirs to sell the business to pay the tax.
If you want to tax estates over 10 million dollars that don't include any businesses, that's your business. Taxing someone who inherits a print shop or small grocery store is anti-business, anti-prosperity, and just insane.
Taxes have to come from somewhere, I agree, but as onerous as an income or sales tax is, a wealth tax (like estate taxes) is the worst of ideas. It cuts the muscle out of the economy, and discourages investment and entrepreneurship. There has to be a better way to fund (the limited purposes of) government.
Posted by: Josef K. at November 15, 2010 12:22 PM (7+pP9)
Hmmm, here's a thought -- along with some program cuts, extension of SS/Medicare, how about we expand our military spending...and start forcing the countries that rely on our military shield to pay a tribute? You know, finally be that imperial power they are always accusing us of being.
This of course would also include tribute for foreign aid packages -- they could pay in resources if they could not pay in money...I believe in being a gentle despot.
Posted by: unknown jane at November 15, 2010 12:24 PM (5/yRG)
The day the EPA is dissolved is the day that I laugh maniacally as I burn tractor tires in my front yard.
Amen, brutha'!
Posted by: Soona at November 15, 2010 12:24 PM (xM8Uq)
Posted by: SarahW at November 15, 2010 12:24 PM (Z4T49)
The day the EPA is dissolved is the day that I laugh maniacally as I burn tractor tires in my front yard.
Amen, brutha'!
Posted by: Soona at November 15, 2010 04:24 PM (xM8Uq)
I'm pretty sure that I'd have an erection lasting longer than 4 hours.
Posted by: Hedgehog at November 15, 2010 12:26 PM (Rn2kl)
Posted by: Chicago Jedi at November 15, 2010 12:26 PM (WZFkG)
"Please explain why the latter is permissible but the former -- stealing from the dead's delinquent, dilettante heirs -- is so horrible."
Use a family farm as an example. It's high in perceived value. Land is expensive, but low in income. All the value is tied up in assets, again primarily in the land.
Dad dies and the farm gets auctioned because nobody can pay the estate tax otherwise.
That's just a single example. The estate tax primarily impacts assets, not cash. That's the problem. There's plenty of paper millionaires. People who have over a million in assets, but don't have the tax man's cash in the bank.
Posted by: not neo just conservative at November 15, 2010 12:27 PM (01RS2)
Posted by: railwriter at November 15, 2010 12:28 PM (3qItU)
i got a surplus without touching tax rates in a matter of 2 minutes and didn't scrimp on new defensive weapons systems.
Posted by: matt at November 15, 2010 12:28 PM (2WDMC)
Rescind unspent "Spendulus" dollars. Quick math at recovery.org says $221B unspent right now. You could reduce Navy & Air Force fleets at NYT's stated level... 10 times over to match those savings.
That's half of the app's short term 2015 shortfall.
Is my math off?
That's one option that's politically attractive too...
Posted by: Hoss at November 15, 2010 12:28 PM (mjhYn)
Posted by: SarahW at November 15, 2010 04:24 PM (Z4T49)
Preach it, sister! Wealth taxes went out with the Domesday Book. They are an instrument of class warfare now, and hurt every economy where they are applied.
Posted by: Josef K. at November 15, 2010 12:29 PM (7+pP9)
Because I don't suffer from class envy. I know money is not a zero-sum game, and I don't give a crap if people inherit vast wealth. If they're actually dilettantes they'll piss it away quickly enough. I don't get why anyone who considers himself a fiscal conservative would want to redistribute some people's money but not others'. Either you're a social justice type or you're not; I'm not.
Posted by: Kerry at November 15, 2010 12:30 PM (a/VXa)
Posted by: not neo just conservative at November 15, 2010 12:30 PM (01RS2)
Posted by: Soona at November 15, 2010 12:32 PM (xM8Uq)
Social security can longer be the thrird rail: Politics aside the potential savings are too large to remain offl limits- so
1) increase the number of work quarters required to qualfy for SS in 2 steps. Step 1 immediately increase the number of quarters from 40* to 50. Step 2 (in about 5 years) increase quarters to 60 (*40 work quarters = 10 years of work)
2 Do one of the following but not both
a) means test
b) no upper salary limit on "contributions" - everyone pays the same percentage every pay period regardless of income. Yeah I know this will destroy a few myths about SS.
3) Raise SS retirement age to 70 (same as Ace, but I don't agree with raising medicare age to 70)
Posted by: ADK46er at November 15, 2010 12:33 PM (G7o8A)
Posted by: Soona at November 15, 2010 04:32 PM (xM8Uq)
I still haven't pulled the trigger on that one yet. The length is a tad intimidating.
Posted by: ErikW at November 15, 2010 12:35 PM (p/5hp)
Posted by: Secundus at November 15, 2010 12:39 PM (kx1pE)
I still haven't pulled the trigger on that one yet. The length is a tad intimidating.
Posted by: ErikW at November 15, 2010 04:35 PM (p/5hp)
That's what I thought too. But once I started, I found it hard to put down. It is the book that precisely describes our present time. (Although it was written in the mid-fifties)
Posted by: Soona at November 15, 2010 12:41 PM (xM8Uq)
Posted by: Secundus at November 15, 2010 12:43 PM (kx1pE)
Meh.
There's always an idiot, drunk or druggie in the family to lose it.
The super wealthy always find a way around the rules anyway. Plus, an entrenched aristocracy trades on favors as much as it does money. Tax 'em all you like--as long as they make room for each other (and their family) at the top of the food chain, they'll always be running the show.
Posted by: Warden at November 15, 2010 12:43 PM (HzhBE)
#233, when my wife was told by two of her doctors to apply for disability, she balked. "I'm a Libertarian, I don't believe in Social Security."
"Honey, it was mandatory insurance. You paid into it. I paid into it. You collecting now is the only way either one of us will ever see a dime. Plus with you out of work we need the money."
Posted by: SGT Dan at November 15, 2010 12:44 PM (GgXZc)
247 I have read it (dreary stuff, the syntax and characterization are wooden as hell), didn't much care for it -- because while on surface reading it sounds just wonderful, if you get down to the nitty of the gritty Rand's ideas are just as Nietzchean, totalitarian utopia as anything on the left (it's really some ugly, ugly stuff); no thank you. If that's what "true conservatives want", then consider me your enemy. AS is a pretty far cry from the Constitution.
Of course the estate tax as it stands is a bogus tax (so is capital gains) -- as they are, they are horribly flawed. In regards to keeping them...well, I don't know enough about them to suggest more than just "they need to be tweaked at the very least".
Posted by: unknown jane at November 15, 2010 12:44 PM (5/yRG)
But the one thing we cannot tax is a dead multimillionaire's estate as it passes on to his likely slovenly heirs?
Yes, Ace, that's true.
The multimillionaire's estate has a small army of accountants, employed to keep the tax liability as small as possible. They'll have probably set up a charity of some sort, to dole out monies to charitable projects, but those slovenly heirs will sit on the board and draw a salary that the charity will pay the taxes on.
As others have pointed out, it's the small business - the guy who's worth a lot on paper, but can't pay the lump sum taxes. Assets != money.
Posted by: I R A Darth Aggie at November 15, 2010 12:45 PM (1hM1d)
Posted by: Secundus at November 15, 2010 12:51 PM (kx1pE)
Social Security should stand on its own. Medicare should stand on its own.
The rest of the budget should be balanced.
Posted by: ingenus at November 15, 2010 12:52 PM (+sBB4)
Re: Change Mortgage Interest Deduction to a Credit: "This change would apparently keep the deduction, but make it less valuable for the very wealthy."
I don't understand this. A credit is a dollar-for-dollar credit, a deduction reduces one's adjusted gross income. Wouldn't a rich guy like an actual dollar-for-dollar credit over a deduction which may or not push his AGI into a more beneficial bracket?
I may just not be "getting it." I'm not a tax expert or anything.
Posted by: JKTH at November 15, 2010 12:52 PM (xJDlm)
Posted by: ingenus at November 15, 2010 12:55 PM (+sBB4)
Posted by: Empire of Jeff at November 15, 2010 01:01 PM (tappe)
Tax avoidance? SooperDooper. Hypocrite douchebag? Not so much.
Posted by: not neo just conservative at November 15, 2010 01:05 PM (01RS2)
Posted by: Empire of Jeff at November 15, 2010 01:16 PM (tappe)
Posted by: Korla Pundit at November 15, 2010 01:30 PM (FHlAi)
Posted by: CoolCzech at November 15, 2010 01:36 PM (tJjm/)
Posted by: Korla Pundit at November 15, 2010 01:39 PM (FHlAi)
RE: the military, I wouldn't cut numbers, but I would reevaluate priorities. First thing to die is the F-35. The Navy and Marine Corps would get their variants, but the AF variant dies. I calculated a savings of roughly $267 billion. Instead, I would purchase 2000 upgraded and modernized A-10s, 50 AC-130s, and 200 more F-22s. I estimated a cost of $30 million per A-10, $200 million per AC-130, and $150 million per F-22. Total cost, $100 billion. This gives the Air Force 500 F-22s for control of the airspace, and shifts a lot of their combat power to dedicated ground support.
Posted by: Alex at November 15, 2010 01:42 PM (yY28H)
Posted by: Optimizer at November 15, 2010 01:46 PM (2lTU+)
When did they do away with the Gold Crew/Blue Crew deal?
Posted by: Vic at November 15, 2010 01:52 PM (/jbAw)
When Regan cut the income tax rates in the 80s, he agreed to eliminate lots of tax writ offs, such as interest on credit cards . Bush 1 raised the income tax rates back up and so did Clinton but, we never saw the tax deductions again.....net loss... be careful what you give up.
Some suggestions, departments of labor, commerence, HUD, agg. education. You get the picture.
Posted by: Big Ed at November 15, 2010 01:53 PM (riCCl)
Posted by: Vic at November 15, 2010 01:53 PM (/jbAw)
A great (and maybe practical) way to wean ourselves off Social Security is simply to not stop at 70. Also, slow down the increases in benefits. Eventually, it would become a program that becomes less and less likely that the average Joe will collect anything from, and when they do collect, it won't amount to much. Ultimately, SS taxes could be slowly decreased, decreasing "Joe's" stake in it, too.
In other words, slowly starve it first, then kill it.
Posted by: Optimizer at November 15, 2010 01:54 PM (2lTU+)
The A-10s are maintenance hogs. That big gun literally shakes them to death.
Posted by: Vic at November 15, 2010 01:55 PM (/jbAw)
Oh yes, I fully expect another SS reform (the 4th) next year. It will take the form of both a tax increase AND eligibility increase through age and means testing which is just another tax increase on the rich except that it will not be indexed to inflation (even if it was counted correctly).
After that, just like the first 3 SS reforms they will spend 125% of the tax increases and the "reforms" will reform nothing.
The only reform that I will support is to allow it to fail and die.
Posted by: Vic at November 15, 2010 01:56 PM (/jbAw)
I estimated a cost of $30 million per A-10, $200 million per AC-130, and $150 million per F-22.
Posted by: Alex at November 15, 2010 05:42 PM (yY28H)
Are you sure those numbers are right?
They seem awfully high.
Posted by: ErikW at November 15, 2010 01:56 PM (qg3IW)
Posted by: Vic at November 15, 2010 01:57 PM (/jbAw)
Posted by: CoolCzech at November 15, 2010 02:01 PM (tJjm/)
Posted by: CoolCzech at November 15, 2010 02:07 PM (tJjm/)
I can't imagine the nation's nukes cost enough to really even figure into the discussion. Sounds like Leftist accounting - the kind that's twisted all 'round, with an agenda. In general, I wouldn't trust a NYT model of anything, further than I could throw it.
Beyond that, you should keep in mind that the nation's nukes are not likely to be all ICBMs. We probably have a variety of nukes, for various potential purposes, and not all of them can be instantly launched to whatever point on Earth we need. So there's the matter of having a stockpile with a wide geographic distribution for the purpose of delivery, not just survivability.
You also need to figure in the possibility that some adversary might find a way to find our Boomers. You don't want all your nuclear eggs in the one proverbial basket.
So 1000 nukes sounds pretty low to me. That isn't a heck of a lot more than the bigger second-rate nuclear powers have.
Posted by: Optimizer at November 15, 2010 02:08 PM (2lTU+)
I wish to tell you a true story of a small business man. There was a man who came from Tx and worked his WHOLE LIFE inventing things. He made drill bits and equipment that made it possible to drill deeper and at higher pressure so we could get more oil. He had a 4th grade education and his wife was given to an orphanage by her parents because they were so poor, when he met his soon to be wife he had to buy her shoes so they could go dancing since she shared her with her sister. He worked long and hard. He self educated. He worked his way up. He worked for Standard oil and he sold used oil pipe on the side to finance starting his own business.
They lived in their warehouse, where they stored used oil drilling pipe, in a couple rooms behind the office, in a tiny town called Avenel. If you know what used oil pipe smells like ,you would pity the wife. They live in that tiny place in the warhouse for 20 years. But her man became rich. Then they had a son, every bit as worthless as you imagine.
He was married 3 times.
Had 2 daughters and two stepsons.
He died.
Now this rich grandpa died leaving all to his wife who lived with him in the warehouse, supported him as he became a self made man. Washed his white shirts by hand in a washtub. Typed up his contracts while waiting in the truck, as he had business meetings. She left what she could in trusts and such trying to give as much to those grandkids. But the Taxes did get her, too.
One of the Stepsons was kinda worthless. Lives with his mom.
One was in a motorcycle accident and is brain-damaged and in a wheelchair.
One daughter has chronic illnesses, is a rape victim with PTSD, and somewhat milder brain damage than her stepbrother.
One daughter is an attorney and a bitch.
Should those handicapped and rather nice grandchildren get less from Grandpa to support them, since they will never be able to work again, Just because their siblings suck?
Because their young wastrel dad couldnt protect them by figuring out how to plan things, so they were provided for after his death?(which he could never imagine was coming)
Postscript: the trustees raped the trust, and only a fraction of what was held will ever be seen by the intended recipients. So if you think trusts are foolproof think again.
Think about the boy in the wheelchair and his Stepsister who will never be able to have normal lives, and ask yourself if just a little more of grandpa's money could keep them off the public assistance? Would grandpa have wanted that? would you want that for your kids?
This is a true story about how the way things are in rich families. I know these people.
Posted by: Gushka at November 15, 2010 02:10 PM (93zw2)
It is one thing to reduce the nuclear arsenal - having the only ballistic missiles in the US inventory being the ones on the SSBNs is a proposal I like, since the boomers are a lot less vulnerable when they are at sea than the land-based missiles.
But the US military right now needs more money to maintain and increase their capabilities in a dangerous world. Cutting the Navy's fleet, the Air Force's fighter wings, or the Army's brigades/divisions are really bad ideas given the increasing threats to the US around the world. The Navy probably has less ships than it needs right now - cutting more would make things worst.
The blunt truth is that no matter how little you want to spend on defense, the dangers in the world will not care. They will only care if you have, or have not, the capabilities to deter and/or fight them. If the US does not, then all the defense spending cuts in the world will pale compared the cost of actually fighting a real war.
Posted by: cxt217 at November 15, 2010 02:14 PM (jH6U8)
Are you sure those numbers are right?
They seem awfully high.
Well, I pulled them from Wikipedia, so I guess take them with a grain of salt. The A-10 unit cost was ~$11.8 million in 1994 dollars, or ~$17 million in 2009 dollars. I went to $30 million to consider the cost of restarting a production line and upgrades to the system.
Posted by: Alex at November 15, 2010 02:14 PM (yY28H)
So 1000 nukes sounds pretty low to me. That isn't a heck of a lot more than the bigger second-rate nuclear powers have.
Posted by: Optimizer at November 15, 2010 06:08 PM (2lTU+)
Yeah... well I'm sure Obama actually LIKES that fact.
Anyway, is Ace correct that we're down to only 2,000? I thought Obama's White House (quite atrociously) said we had 5,000?
Posted by: CoolCzech at November 15, 2010 02:18 PM (tJjm/)
And that is with two wars going on, meaning more of the budget is spent on operations than armament development.
Posted by: CoolCzech at November 15, 2010 02:21 PM (tJjm/)
I've considered whether it would be worth it to downgrade the gun. You'd lose some firepower, but would probably make up for it in magazine capacity and, like you said, maintenance.
Posted by: Alex at November 15, 2010 02:25 PM (yY28H)
" impediment to a permanent aristocracy" - stated like a true Class Warrior.
In point of fact the top 20% and bottom 20% of income earners churn every year. While some folks remain in those categories the bulk of them move up and down. For instance, I was in the top 10% last year. I retired. Now, no so much anymore as my income got cut in half. Etc., etc., etc. [now, if I could just win the lottery... or steal Ace's wallet while he's passed out on the curb from too much Value-Rite vodka... hmmm]
And... what's wrong with a parent deeding his lumber yard or pharmacy to his kids intact and without a huge debt hanging over from death taxes? Nothing, except to the jealous and the lazy.
Posted by: Hoper for Change at November 15, 2010 02:36 PM (EhYdw)
We need to maintain the institutional and industrial capability. We're losing it even at the current rate.
Got to look past where we are now and look at where we need to be in ten years.
Posted by: JEM at November 15, 2010 02:40 PM (o+SC1)
Well, I pulled them from Wikipedia, so I guess take them with a grain of salt. The A-10 unit cost was ~$11.8 million in 1994 dollars, or ~$17 million in 2009 dollars. I went to $30 million to consider the cost of restarting a production line and upgrades to the system.
Posted by: Alex at November 15, 2010 06:14 PM (yY28H)
Ah, okay. The FAS quoted a $17 million figure as well.
It still sounds too damned high but it is the gubmint, after all.
Posted by: ErikW at November 15, 2010 02:44 PM (qg3IW)
BTW, we already tax wealth in this country with cash payments due EVERY year. It is called real estate taxes.
Of course, these are at the state and local levels, not by the federal government.
Land has to pay the government, shouldn't non-land wealth also support the government too? BTW, I will support any argument that current rates are too high for all taxes.
Posted by: Whitehall at November 15, 2010 02:49 PM (FmPSC)
The people who get seriously boned on the estate tax are farmers, and then business owners. They base it on the total value of holdings, so if your family owns a farm right next to a chichi suburb, when you die your kids will not be able to keep the farm, because there is no way for them to pay the tax on the entire value of the land. To you it's your home and your birthright; to the state it's millions of dollars of property to be taxed. To you it's the gas station your parents bought in the 1950s, where you've worked as a mechanic all your life; to the government it's prime real estate and you need to pay more than three years' worth of gross income immediately or they'll seize it.
Posted by: Myn at November 15, 2010 03:07 PM (bg5TD)
I see a Federal research institution that, if this is typical of the quality and direction of their work these days, could probably stand to give up 20% or so of their $6B-and-change funding.
Posted by: JEM at November 15, 2010 03:24 PM (o+SC1)
Posted by: Greg at November 15, 2010 03:39 PM (T/jb3)
Posted by: NC Ref at November 15, 2010 03:44 PM (OWvr/)
Posted by: Paul at November 15, 2010 04:05 PM (2LHRN)
Posted by: Bill at November 15, 2010 04:35 PM (LZSir)
I'm back.
Assertion: US subs are detectable, therefore we should not reduce our nuclear redundancy.
Challenge: "You're going to have to prove that."
The proof would consist of a thousand or so dead sailors and a couple of nuked population centers. Fuck you, you prove it.
Honest to Christ, are some of you guys from Kos, or what? What the hell does it mean to be a conservative in this day and age, anyway? What, were you born yesterday?
Posted by: comatus at November 15, 2010 05:00 PM (hrwMe)
Posted by: Bill at November 15, 2010 08:35 PM (LZSir)
See my above post about the disabled kids of the wastrel father. when he died he had no idea what would happen to his unprotected family. the grandmother tried to set up a trust and all that happened was that it was raped by the people who were supposed to protect the money.
The bank got rich on management fees.
The lawyers got rich.
The handicapped grandkids got boned.
the govt shrugged and said "too bad. go on disability."
which is 900 bucks a month.
let families keep the money. the man who earned it meant for those kids to have it for their futures.
Posted by: Gushka at November 15, 2010 06:46 PM (93zw2)
Let's reduce everything else by 80% just to keep up with nuke reductions. Besides nuclear weapons are a cheap form of defense and our extended deterrence policy has kept the peace (no major superpower conflicts) for 70 years. Remember the first half of the 20th Century, remember WWI and WWII and about 100 million dead.
Posted by: bobbymike at November 15, 2010 09:29 PM (WWQLs)
Posted by: gonzotx at November 15, 2010 10:22 PM (0E6uF)
Posted by: Drider at November 16, 2010 01:58 AM (wtDSn)
re: A-10's-
They are a terrific, very effective tool. Downgrade the gun and you run the risk of making them less effective.
My husband worked with the guy who figured out the offset for the gun. The planes used to be almost impossible to handle before that. My understanding is the canted gun all but fixed that vibration problem, and there is almost no shaking now. I'd be curious where you get your data.
Posted by: Linlithgow at November 16, 2010 11:09 AM (Gim9y)
Hide Comments | Add Comment | Refresh | Top
64 queries taking 0.2656 seconds, 424 records returned.
Powered by Minx 1.1.6c-pink.








It's like a push poll -- it wants you to consider certain choices (cutting the military) by ignoring others (like eliminating the Department of Education or HUD).
Finally, it's assumptions are wrong -- economic activity is not a constant stream; once you hit about 20% of GDP in federal revenue, you won't go any higher. The economy will contract instead. (Google "Hauser's Law" to see what I'm talking about.)
Posted by: Meiczyslaw at November 15, 2010 10:50 AM (vEhUz)