Ace of Spades HQ

January 15, 2010

Brown internal polling: up by 11 (!?!)
— Open Blog

Ace is busy doing blow off a dead hobo's belly so he asked me to post this for him.

According to Geraghty, Scott Brown's internal polls now have him up by 11, which is closer to last night's Pajamas poll than any official media number has been.

Listen, I don't think the election is in the bag, because there are lots and lots of forces trying to pull it one way or the other. But I certainly don't think it's unwinnable for Brown, and even a victory uncontestably outside the margin of fraud is certainly a possibility.

If you're far from MA, keep calm and keep sending money if you can. If you're in or near MA, keep calm and sign up for Brown GOTV if you haven't already. (That means doors this weekend, people.) Whatever happens, if you do what you can there'll be nothing to regret.

Posted by: Open Blog at 05:43 PM | Comments (85)
Post contains 162 words, total size 1 kb.

1 Beginning today, I shall forsake any and all Union Made Goods.

Pass it on

Posted by: franksalterego at January 15, 2010 05:44 PM (GKyIE)

2 Curse you! Curse you all!!!

Posted by: Martha Croakley at January 15, 2010 05:45 PM (Y+cgk)

3 Anyone want to drive me to from NYC to MA to GOTV?

Posted by: ParisParamus at January 15, 2010 05:46 PM (Hv1Cx)

Consider it passed frank.

Posted by: jewells at January 15, 2010 05:47 PM (lv7H+)

5 Yes. This rings true with what I am experiencing here in Massachusetts. People are fucking pumped up about this election. This is light years beyond what it was like here when Barry was on the cusp of winning. This. Will. Happen.

Posted by: turfmann at January 15, 2010 05:49 PM (SgGTT)

This. Will. Happen

Hoping with all my heart and soul that you are right.

Posted by: jewells at January 15, 2010 05:51 PM (lv7H+)

7 Speaking of blow......

Posted by: laceyunderalls at January 15, 2010 05:51 PM (ySP+M)

8
oy vey

I'm all Browned out.

Posted by: This Is Kissel at January 15, 2010 05:51 PM (GRgk4)

Tom Brady?

..only the biggest NY GIants fan in the world

Posted by: Martha Croakley at January 15, 2010 05:51 PM (AnTyA)

10 "I'm all Browned out."

Me too, brother, me too.

Posted by: Martha Coakley at January 15, 2010 05:53 PM (92zkk)

11 If Brown wins, it will even top Climaquiddick.

Posted by: logprof at January 15, 2010 05:54 PM (gJL6J)

12 Eh...your all a bunch of homophobic, defeatest. Go Brown! Mmm mmm mmm!

Posted by: hillbuzztroll at January 15, 2010 05:57 PM (Gf7YH)

13 If we average both sides' internal polls, (Coakley's = Brown by 3; Brown's = Brown by 11) then we come up with a Brown win by 7.

I'll take that - it's beyond the margin most poll's MOE and beyond any possible MOF (margin of fraud)

Posted by: Intrepid at January 15, 2010 05:59 PM (92zkk)

14 Curt Schilling's blog is here: LINK

Posted by: mrp at January 15, 2010 06:06 PM (HjPtV)

15 Get out your forks, its done.

Posted by: Guy Fawkes at January 15, 2010 06:10 PM (DIYmd)

16 I want Obama to eat shit so bad on Tuesday. If Scott Brown wins I won't stop laughing my ass off for a month. Like I did when Chicago lost the Olympics.

Posted by: Crusty at January 15, 2010 06:11 PM (qzgbP)

17 Brown will win the vote but lose the election. Too much ACORN/SEIU fraud, Chicago machine politics, too much at stake for the Dems to allow this to happen.

Posted by: The Cheese Stands Alone at January 15, 2010 06:21 PM (RYmQ5)

18 Is there going to be an Overnight Brown Thread for the next few days? Or two or three?

Posted by: ParisParamus at January 15, 2010 06:25 PM (Hv1Cx)

19 If you're not in Massachusetts, and want to help get out the vote... sign up at Scott Brown's website to make phone calls from home.

Posted by: enoxo at January 15, 2010 06:26 PM (w2mMp)

Its not over, don't ruin the unbelieveable luck we have had with the combination of an inept opponent anger at the President special election, all of that.

The fucking TIDAL PULL OF THE MOON is probably holding all of this together. Do not anger the gods, be it Zeus, Yahweh, or Xenu, with boasting.

We have all the time in the world to brag IF and when he crushes her.

It will be very sweet. It will be glorious- but no celebrating one second before.

Posted by: theoneandonlyfinn at January 15, 2010 06:30 PM (9e+Bu)

21 too funny

Coakley spokesman Alex Zaroulis described it as a "very, very deadpan" joke, and another Coakley spokesman emails to note that she has Sox among her supporters and that "Curt Schilling has been involved in a lot of strike outs over time. I guess Martha whiffed on that joke." Posted by Ben Smith 09:13 PM

Posted by: Anti-Harkonnen Freedom Fighter at January 15, 2010 06:31 PM (5r0Tz)

22 This. Will. Happen.

Posted by: turfmann at January 15, 2010 09:49 PM (SgGTT)

From your keyboard to God's ear, turfmann.

Posted by: Peaches at January 15, 2010 06:32 PM (9Wv2j)

23 Is it even remotely possible that Bill Clinton is not banging Martha Coakley at this very moment ?

Posted by: augie at January 15, 2010 06:36 PM (Dq5qC)

24 Is it just me...or does anyone else think the ONT's are teh ghey??

Posted by: A nona moose at January 15, 2010 06:39 PM (AnTyA)

25 O/T: Watching Karl Rove on Greta. He is just incredulous at how the BO WH seems to be blaming the Bush WH for spending done on their watch. Greta apparently showed him a piece where Axelrod attacked him for a two hundred work "opp ed" , I think in the Washington Post. Axelrod apparently responded with 700 words. Now Karl will be switching the the WSJ. But Rove seems rather amused that a senior administration official finds him so important and apealing that he can't resist responding to him. Rove had his usual smooth as silk delivery. Axelrod had his usual hysterical ranting response. sort of like the administrations. how funny.

Posted by: the divine m at January 15, 2010 06:40 PM (p302b)

26 O/T: How do you say "oy vey" in Creole?

Johannesburg, South Africa (CNN) -- Exiled Haitian president Jean-Bertrand Aristide has announced that he is ready to return home to help rebuild his earthquake-shattered country.

Posted by: ParisParamus at January 15, 2010 06:43 PM (Hv1Cx)

turfmann,

I've been very glass half empty on this so as not to set myself up for the inevitable blue state liberal reversion to habit when it comes down to brass tacks. But your post is starting to give me hope.

Not an iota of overconfidence, but a slice of hope. Don't really want to allow myself to think about the implications of what it would mean if Brown actually won.

Posted by: RM at January 15, 2010 06:45 PM (GkYyh)

28 18 Brown will win the vote but lose the election. Too much ACORN/SEIU fraud, Chicago machine politics, too much at stake for the Dems to allow this to happen. If that were the case then Obama wouldn't be going up there - he'd let her quietly win on Obamacare, C&P and Immigration reform, then go about his business taking over the US. No, there's at least a better than average chance that she loses this. I think that it's a mistake for him to nationalize this or to risk looking like a buffoon, but that hasn't stopped him in the past. To me, this is a chance for Obama to possibly pull her across the finish and if so then save his presidency. Or he may be going up there because he HAS TO to save whatever he has left of his first term. I think that it's that serious.

Posted by: volfan at January 15, 2010 06:45 PM (Lq6p6)

So, let me ask you. When I'm up in Massachusetts on the eve of Martin Luther King day campaigning for Martha, should I go with: Vote for Martha because she'll be the best senator and carry on dead Ted's legacy. Or should I say, Dr. Martin Luther King died before he had the chance to see my unprecedented election to the White House and the fulfillment of all his dreams. I mean, Kennedy or King, it's kind of a win-win. Oh, I'll just use both. Thanks.

Posted by: Barry Obama at January 15, 2010 06:53 PM (kJLH9)

30 Someone in the ONT, for all I know, a troll, claims tweets tell him Palin may go to MA. I hope that is not true. At this stage, with Obamao visiting, what ya think? A while back, it seemed like a definite bad idea. Now, any change?

Posted by: ParisParamus at January 15, 2010 06:56 PM (Hv1Cx)

31 I believe it now to be troll talk. Unless the Brown Campaign believes that Obama has somehow come to represent "unemployment" and the toxic HCR bill. They could conceivably have gone counterintuitive and believe that Coakley's stumbles have given him an opening to bring Palin in to argue "reform" while Obama looks as if he and Coakley represent the status quo. If Palin does come in, she'd go where Brown wants her to go and basically give centrist, "the D's have too much power" speeches. And yes, the entire media would show up. Thrilla in Manila and all that. Brown and Coakley would be overshadowed, which might freeze the race and prevent any late comeback surge by Coakley. Just a thought.

Posted by: section9 at January 15, 2010 07:14 PM (H6lGz)

"Que sera, sera.....whatever will be, will be" I heard

Barney Frank sing those very words in a bathhouse

tonite.

Posted by: Barry McCockinner at January 15, 2010 07:28 PM (JaiDJ)

33 #32, I searched twitter, and the only people claming such were utter morons (based on their "profiles"). So I doubt it would happen.

More intriguing, will Romney? I'm not sure that would help, either. Romney has endorsed him, but does MA still endorse Romney?

The first rule is: do no harm... no idea re MR.

Posted by: ParisParamus at January 15, 2010 07:35 PM (Hv1Cx)

Send Palin in! She's light-skinned enuf to get some

votes. And she hasn't cheated on her wife, unlike

Clinton.

Posted by: Barry McCockinner at January 15, 2010 07:35 PM (JaiDJ)

35 Now this is the change I voted for!

Posted by: Powdered Milk Man at January 15, 2010 07:35 PM (iJrbB)

36 Didn't someone post that BO drew a line in the sand and said this is the defining moment in his presidency or some other drivel? If he believes this is a race they can't lose, and he follows through on his promise to go to campaign for caoklye and sticks to talking about coakley and the race, then maybe I will believe that this is how he feels. I somehow believe that he won't end up going to MA, but will make sure his boots on the ground have their marching orders. Probably, Haiti and MLK stuff will end up taking precedence over going to MA. Maybe he will read the conservative blogs and decide that it isn't the smartest idea he has ever had. With both hannity and rush saying "expect a last minute surprise that Brown can't refute before the voters go to the polls", makes you wonder what these two guys know that we don't.

The campaign can do it all by email, the prez never has to set foot in the state.

Posted by: the divine m at January 15, 2010 07:36 PM (p302b)

37 If he finds out that Palin intends to be in MA at the same time he is, he won't go, he won't be able to deal with being upstaged.

Posted by: the divine m at January 15, 2010 07:41 PM (p302b)

38 Is it to late for us to pull a Lautenberg?

Posted by: The Dems at January 15, 2010 07:42 PM (DVl4L)

39 #35, the people in MA who would react postiviely to Palin are already in the game (they will be voting for Brown); the most likely effect of Palin in MA would be to incite some Dems on the fence to vote (rather than stay home).

Posted by: ParisParamus at January 15, 2010 07:42 PM (Hv1Cx)

40 Palin should take the weekend off and go fishing or something. MA is one of the states where she has been the most damaged by the MSM and could do the most damage to Brown if she shows up. She needs a year or two on FOX to let people get to see the real Palin, not the Tina Fey cartoon.

Posted by: Boots at January 15, 2010 08:22 PM (06JTY)

Now we clearly see why the Coakley campaign had her in hidng until she as forced out. That woman is a nightmare.

Posted by: crystal at January 15, 2010 08:22 PM (KVSUW)

42 .And I have been clearly drinking.

Posted by: crystal at January 15, 2010 08:23 PM (KVSUW)

Forgive my foolish heart. I am beginning to believe. On Wednesday morning, oh that I could say, "Free at last. Free at last. Thank God Almighty. Free at last."

Posted by: Ohio Dan at January 15, 2010 08:24 PM (rurh0)

Anybody else find it strange that the Health Industry which is going to be 'reigned in' by HCR is giving Coakley cash?

Posted by: Adam at January 15, 2010 08:33 PM (lf6b0)

45 @45 They're getting 30 mil new customers, and the govt will be setting the std for the "minimum" aceptable plan. It won't be major medical.

Posted by: MDr VB1.0 CS1st at January 15, 2010 08:39 PM (ucq49)

46 Any guesses as to whether there are two speeches prepared for the teleprompter?

Posted by: Methos at January 15, 2010 08:45 PM (Xsi7M)

47 You know, we aren't out of touch with reality. we do know what we are doing and we have a purpose for it. it's the citizens of America that don't realize that every single on of us elected democrats in Washington would "rather rule in Hell than serve in Paradise.". A-yup, that sums up our philosophy in a nutshell

Posted by: every Dem in Washignton at January 15, 2010 08:47 PM (0cUgO)

48 Never mind, I thought the SOTU was next Tuesday. Some quick checking indicates that's not the case (and I'm not quite sure when it is).

Posted by: Methos at January 15, 2010 08:48 PM (Xsi7M)

49 This is put out to discourage Republicans and Independents from voting for Brown. vote for Brown. Let's see them do the Nuclear Option. There is a reason they call it nuclear. http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aPg2UfFaCh9c&pos=9

Posted by: jeff at January 15, 2010 08:50 PM (eTz/n)

50 I'm hoping a lot of the good citizens in MA, go to the polls wearing 1775 garb. Lacking that, carrying pitchforks. Torches. Anything that sends a visual message. The Second American Revolution starts today.

Posted by: MDr VB1.0 CS1st at January 15, 2010 08:52 PM (ucq49)

"Let's see them do the Nuclear Option"

If they did. Would Ace give us THREE flaming skulls?

How would a "nuclear" flame be distinguished from the std?

Posted by: MDr VB1.0 CS1st at January 15, 2010 08:55 PM (ucq49)

52 How about a flaming skull perched atop a mushroom cloud Deatheater style?

Posted by: Methos at January 15, 2010 08:58 PM (Xsi7M)

53 @54 Maybe. Who's skull?

Posted by: MDr VB1.0 CS1st at January 15, 2010 09:12 PM (ucq49)

54 I can't sleep and wonder if it's due to this Brown thing. The scenarios as to why Obama is going to MA and what will happen if Brown wins or loses are drivng me crazy

Posted by: ParisParamus at January 15, 2010 09:23 PM (Hv1Cx)

55 [no ebonics jokes please]

Posted by: Barry McCockinner at January 15, 2010 09:25 PM (JaiDJ)

56 @55, I didn't have any specialty skull in mind, but if we ever got one wearing Obama's bike helmet, that's be the one. Or maybe with a stethoscope draped around the 'neck' of the mushroom cloud.

ParisParamus, go help if you're close enough to do so, that'll make you feel better. Also, remember how everyone said he'd never go to Copenhagen if he didn't know the fix was in? Obama is an arrogant ass. He is no doubt still certain that his sheer awesomeness will compel a victory for his side, but history suggests his confidence is baseless.

Posted by: Methos at January 15, 2010 09:28 PM (Xsi7M)

57 [no ebonics jokes please]

Posted by: Barry McCockinner at January 15, 2010 09:29 PM (JaiDJ)

58 @57
Dude, uncool.

Posted by: Methos at January 15, 2010 09:29 PM (Xsi7M)

59 Noone's buying it, Kilgore.

Posted by: Methos at January 15, 2010 09:30 PM (Xsi7M)

60 [no ebonics jokes please]

Posted by: Barry McCockinner at January 15, 2010 09:40 PM (JaiDJ)

61 BROWN FOR POTUS?

No one seems to be discussing the fact that if Brown wins this, he will be the new ROCK STAR of the Republican Party. Good looking, young, down to earth, solid, sensible (with a hawt daughter), conservative. He is our dream candidate after 3 solid years in the Senate.

BROWN/PALIN 2012.

Posted by: Bill Mitchell at January 15, 2010 09:40 PM (kEBiX)

@56 Relax. Don't worry.

The Dims are spending money they'd set aside for other races. Win.

They're scared, causing incredibly stoopid decisions (BO going is just another). Win.

KOS frets we've learned how to organize. Check a few moonbat sites. The doom is palpable. Enemy demoralized. Win.

More Blue Dogs will see the light. Win.

Brown wins. I've always played a game when confronted with placing a bet. I imagine someone is holding a gun to my head. Choose. Your life's at stake. If you have an active imagination, you'd be surprised how much improved your "betting" skills improve.

This is a war. We don't need to win every battle, but every time we create enemy casualities, we're one step closer to victory.

Posted by: MDr VB1.0 CS1st at January 15, 2010 09:47 PM (ucq49)

63 Um, no, Brown is the guy we're settling for because we desperately need a 41st vote. People are going to be so sour on Obama and his party by 2012, any Republican will win. I expect we can be pickier then.

Posted by: Methos at January 15, 2010 09:48 PM (Xsi7M)

#50 jeff.

think about it. spend over a million bucks and have the fraud come running to prop her up when all along they planned to use reconciliation before this race came on the radar. Really? well if that was their plan all along as that clown states, why break the bank? why spend all their political capital? why do a single thing to help keep the seat?

Because they weren't and they aren't. make the threat sound more terrifying than it is. Sounds familar? it should, it's one of Alinsky's rules

Posted by: ex dem at January 15, 2010 10:17 PM (0cUgO)

Ace is busy doing blow off a dead hobo's belly

That's what I like about this place. You'd never get this over at NRO.

Y'think Goldberg has ever hunted a hobo?

Pussies.

Posted by: Yr. Fthfl. Svnt. at January 15, 2010 11:01 PM (3OVof)

66 This is great and all, but let's not fool ourselves into thinking a Brown win means Obamacare is dead. The Dems will use reconciliation to ram it through if they lose vote 60 in the Senate. Something awful is going to reach Obama's desk no matter what. The real question is how do we roll it back. Congress will be much different after midterms but The One will still be stinking up the Oval Office. Waiting until he's gone might be too late.

Posted by: JPS at January 16, 2010 02:16 AM (cY5p+)

#73

You are correct, they will pass something and it will not be possible to roll it back IMHO.

These people don't care if the majority do not want the HC, or Cap and Tax. They are not afraid of losing there jobs. Why do you think that is?

Posted by: VELVET AMBITION at January 16, 2010 02:42 AM (+t6p5)

68 Driving home from work this morning, (3rd shift) I saw 2 new Scott Brown signs on my street here in Worcester, Massachusetts.

Posted by: bowel movement at January 16, 2010 03:37 AM (Fd5yK)

69 For Brown Brigaders nearby and not going to the big rally in Quincy, we're having a stand-out outside the Canton (MA) post office on Washington Street starting at 9 AM.

Posted by: DocJ at January 16, 2010 04:07 AM (AWzOz)

70 I say send Palin in, just for the huge media scrum it would create. As to Alinsky, my take is that Alinsky's Rules worked only as long as the Right were ignorant of them. As Kos has rightly figured, the conservatives are figuring out how to organize.

Posted by: section9 at January 16, 2010 04:23 AM (H6lGz)

71 I read somewhere that absentee ballots for this election are way up. If this election is close, beware of an Al Franken-absentee ballot-win. I don't think that the pRes will allow a Dem failure.

Posted by: fightobama at January 16, 2010 04:31 AM (6IV8T)

72 I learn lots of new stuff here !
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Posted by: ivry at January 16, 2010 04:32 AM (fF6cn)

73 For anyone seriously considering coming to Boston from NYC this weekend the Fung Wah or Lucky Star buses take you from Chinatown to S. Station for short money (~$15). Way cheaper than gasoline or train. C'mon up! The weather is much better than it has been recently - hit 40F on Cape Ann yesterday and no plowable snow for the immediate future.

Posted by: plum at January 16, 2010 04:38 AM (8kFMK)

74 no plowable snow for the immediate future. Except on Ace's hobo. Well, at least until Ace is done with him, that is.

Posted by: NukemHill at January 16, 2010 06:10 AM (NgPNd)

What's with the restrictions here? I tried posting a tinyurl with 5 letters more than just the required tinyurl address and it said the string was too long. Ridiculous.

Anyway, my comment.

I read on FR that the electronic voting system in MA is vulnerable to sabotage. I don't think Obama would say this election is a referendum on healthcare reform unless he knew he could manipulate the outcome, just as he has manipulated everything. To see just how corrupt government officials are willing to be on Obama's behalf - even with the whole world watching - go to (remove the spaces, since 5 letters is too big here)

http://tinyurl. com/FUBHO

Posted by: justincase at January 16, 2010 06:28 AM (jOdN4)

76 You may want to try that again. That tinyurl took me to a blog about the birth certificate. 'FUBHO' is perfect for that, btw. But it's not about the MA voting system.

Posted by: Methos at January 16, 2010 06:52 AM (Xsi7M)

"For anyone seriously considering coming to Boston from NYC this weekend the Fung Wah or Lucky Star buses take you from Chinatown to S. Station for short money (~$15). Way cheaper than gasoline or train. C'mon up!"

BYOFE (bring your own fire extinguisher)

Posted by: unenrolled at January 16, 2010 07:50 AM (RcV4L)

OT This is the best case of buyers' remorse I've seen yet.

http://tiny.cc/fFEF6

Posted by: MDr VB1.0 CS1st at January 16, 2010 08:40 AM (ucq49)

79 The Brown Ascendancy and the Coakley Redundancy is likely very real.

Obama's (pbuh) presence in Massachusettes (sic) will garner nothing for Him or for Martha. Obama has become the surprise President for almost the entire US voting population. He (pbuh) has already become more redundant than has Martha to even his own party.

The only thing that will make this situation better for the non-Marxist Brown is if there is bad weather next Tuesday, preventing those dead voters from participating.

I believe, frankly, that Obama should be removed from office, for no other reason that He (pbuh) is simply incompetent, and is guiding the United States from his incompetence.

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