Ace of Spades HQ

May 04, 2010

DCCC's Got 99 Problems But a Bitch Ain't One
— Ace

Jim Geraghty was tasked by his editors to figure out how many Democratic seats were vulnerable this year.

Once you add up the upcoming special elections, the open-seat races, and the races where thereÂ’s some indicator of trouble for a Democratic opponent Â— a particularly strong challenger, favorable district demographics, surprising fundraising numbers, a particularly weak Democratic incumbent, or a combination of these factors Â— you come up with more than 90 House races. If the GOP wins only half the seats listed below, they win back the House.

Posted by: Ace at 05:28 PM | Comments (54)
Post contains 115 words, total size 1 kb.

1 I am so looking into becoming a precinct person.

Posted by: RushBabe at May 04, 2010 05:30 PM (LKkE8)

2 If anyone has ATT-UVerse, check out the 'Old School Rap' channel. Lately, all they're playing is Beasties, DMC, LL, and Eric B & Rakim. That's it. I actually kinda like it.

Posted by: Navin R Johnson at May 04, 2010 05:31 PM (HpT9p)

3 Heh, love the reference.

Let's hope the GOP is competent enough not to screw this up completely. See the upcoming British election for details.

Posted by: Kratos (missing from the side of Mt Olympus) at May 04, 2010 05:31 PM (c0A3e)

4 Yes, but I'm sure this equation doesn't include the fact that these Congress Creeps have Obama to campaign for them (hee! hee!--snicker, snort!)

Posted by: runningrn at May 04, 2010 05:32 PM (CfmlF)

5 What does this have to do with breasticles?

Posted by: FUBAR at May 04, 2010 05:32 PM (1fanL)

6 Pelosi ain't one?

Posted by: little evil at May 04, 2010 05:33 PM (lSBjw)

Relax Blue Dogs.....

you have me this time.....now go out there and win one for the Sniffer.

Posted by: Barack T. Ogabe esq. at May 04, 2010 05:33 PM (oykTU)

8 Yeah, OK... But what does this thread have to do with boobs????

Posted by: CoolCzech at May 04, 2010 05:33 PM (9IHmo)

9 You rule Ace

whatever that was on twitter my page is on fire....
Awesome!

Posted by: paranoid polly at May 04, 2010 05:33 PM (r7Vc3)

RushBabe, you're about 1/2 hour late on that comment!

SmartGirls is hosting a precinct discussion as we speak!

Posted by: laceyunderalls at May 04, 2010 05:34 PM (lYcZ3)

11 5 What does this have to do with breasticles?

99 complete boobs might be losing their seats. Good enough for you?

Posted by: Kratos (missing from the side of Mt Olympus) at May 04, 2010 05:34 PM (c0A3e)

Hmm, 99 seats...I like!

Ninety-nine red balloons
Floating in the summer sky
Panic bells, it's red alert
There's something here from somewhere else
The war machine springs to life
Opens up one eager eye
Focusing it on the sky
As ninety-nine red balloons go by

Ninety-nine decisions treat
Ninety-nine ministers meet
To worry, worry, super scurry
Call out the troops now in a hurry
This is what we've waited for
This is it, boys, this is war
The President is on the line
As ninety-nine red balloons go by

Posted by: runningrn at May 04, 2010 05:34 PM (CfmlF)

13 Let's hope the GOP is competent enough not to screw this up completely. See the upcoming British election for details.

Fortunately, we don't have a parliamentary system. That's what's going to screw everything up for them on Thursday.

Posted by: The War Between the Undead States at May 04, 2010 05:35 PM (ohxa2)

14 Can't friggin wait for November..

Posted by: beerologist at May 04, 2010 05:35 PM (tgXx6)

15 Sue Sylvester cracks me up. She's like a grown-up female Eric Cartman.

Posted by: logprof at May 04, 2010 05:36 PM (Mmw0q)

16 Horny ass morons....

Posted by: laceyunderalls at May 04, 2010 05:36 PM (lYcZ3)

17 don't forget to include the Nutless Republican Leadership Quotient (NRLQ) in your calculations. It's good for at least a 20% attrition rate.

Posted by: mark c at May 04, 2010 05:36 PM (SBIko)

18 Hopefully the Stupid Party doesn't blow it.

Posted by: 48%er at May 04, 2010 05:36 PM (gxpfq)

19 I live in one of those rare places: A safe GOP district in NJ. I'll focus my energies elsewhere in the state.

Posted by: JWF at May 04, 2010 05:37 PM (1l37M)

20 15 Sue Sylvester cracks me up.

Yeah, especially when she's trashing Sarah Palin. Glad I don't watch network TV.

Posted by: The War Between the Undead States at May 04, 2010 05:38 PM (ohxa2)

21 I guess there was a line after all, and the National Socialists, aka the Democrats, crossed it.

Posted by: 18-1 at May 04, 2010 05:38 PM (bgcml)

22 I also love the theory that not quite winning a majority in the House is better for the GOP.

Fuck that. They need to take the wheel from the Dhimmicrat crazies.

Posted by: logprof at May 04, 2010 05:39 PM (Mmw0q)

23 99 seats? Alright bitches! Then we'll have enough votes to get comprehensive immigration reform passed. Yessssss!

Posted by: Lindsey Graham at May 04, 2010 05:39 PM (oLULt)

24 15 Sue Sylvester cracks me up. She's like a grown-up female Eric Cartman.

Next to the singing, I find her the next best reason to watch Glee.

Posted by: runningrn at May 04, 2010 05:40 PM (CfmlF)

CoolCzech! Haven't seen you around much lately, how are you doing?

I skimmed the article but didn't see any Washington State seats listed, did I miss them?

Posted by: ParanoidGirlInSeattle at May 04, 2010 05:40 PM (RZ8pf)

i'll believe it when i see it.

Posted by: evil libertarian at May 04, 2010 05:41 PM (R7JK2)

27 How does this help my children?

Posted by: Michelle at May 04, 2010 05:41 PM (eXZjc)

Who knew that political activism was so much fun? Thanks, lefties!

Posted by: mark c at May 04, 2010 05:41 PM (SBIko)

29 One issue though, the Republicans haven't done a damn thing of note on domestic policy since 1994.

The class of 2010 had better understand the stakes. No hand holding, no kumbaya, no camaraderie.

If the Republicans are given back Congress, especially if they take both Houses, they have been given the charge to stop Obamacare and the rest of Obama's National Socialist program.

Posted by: 18-1 at May 04, 2010 05:42 PM (bgcml)

30 PGiS, this year Dicks and McDermott are the only Dems truly safe in WA State. Which is amazing.

Posted by: The War Between the Undead States at May 04, 2010 05:42 PM (ohxa2)

31 Jon Runyan winning in South Jersey would be cool. Hated his ass as a player but I'll send him a few bucks.

Posted by: JWF at May 04, 2010 05:42 PM (1l37M)

32 Hi paranoidgirl! Doing good, but exhausted - spent the last two months at hard labor doing landscaping at our new house. Hey, now that Lent is over and all... any chance of a quick climb up Mt. PGiS, for a breathtaking view down into the lush fertile valley with the twin peaks reaching for the sky in the background??

Posted by: CoolCzech at May 04, 2010 05:43 PM (9IHmo)

you come up with more than 90 House races. If the GOP wins only half the seats listed below, they win back the House.

Oh my goodness! (wringing hands) D.C. and Puerto Rico can't become states soon enough!

Posted by: concern christian conservative at May 04, 2010 05:43 PM (CfmlF)

34 Absolutely, CoolCzech! Mt. PGiS is always here for you to scale.

Posted by: ParanoidGirlInSeattle at May 04, 2010 05:45 PM (RZ8pf)

I skimmed the article but didn't see any Washington State seats listed, did I miss them?

Posted by: ParanoidGirlInSeattle at May 04, 2010 09:40 PM (RZ8pf)

PGiS, Insely only has a 40% approval right how. I would love to see him go.

Posted by: robtr at May 04, 2010 05:45 PM (fwSHf)

We don't deserve to win any of them. We're not ready for it.

Posted by: Michael Steele at May 04, 2010 05:45 PM (P33XN)

37 34 Absolutely, CoolCzech! Mt. PGiS is always here for you to scale. Posted by: ParanoidGirlInSeattle at May 04, 2010 09:45 PM (RZ8pf) I always had you pegged as a very considerate and understanding gal, Paranoidgirl! I will gladly bushwhack your happy trails whenever the opportunity arises, in search of the enticing nectar of your fountain of youth...

Posted by: CoolCzech at May 04, 2010 05:47 PM (9IHmo)

SmartGirls is hosting a precinct discussion as we speak!

Posted by: laceyunderalls at May 04, 2010 09:34 PM (lYcZ3)

Meh, I'm not worried. There are plenty of Intrawebz sites that give you the lowdown too.

Posted by: RushBabe at May 04, 2010 05:48 PM (LKkE8)

39 PGIS They are all up. Every two years in the House. Last time Pelosi beat Cindy Sheehan 195,000 to 38,000

Posted by: KZnextzone at May 04, 2010 05:48 PM (veaqz)

40 yeah but the house owners are underwater in their mortgage.........

Posted by: tres at May 04, 2010 05:53 PM (7Tc5G)

41 35

I skimmed the article but didn't see any Washington State seats listed, did I miss them?

Posted by: ParanoidGirlInSeattle at May 04, 2010 09:40 PM (RZ8pf)

PGiS, Insely only has a 40% approval right how. I would love to see him go.

I would like to see Koster kick Larsen in the nuts.

Posted by: Barbarian at May 04, 2010 05:54 PM (EL+OC)

42 That's some serious work by Jim Geraghty. I don't know how accurate it is but he does seem to have done his homework. History and trends indicate he might not be far off the mark from the upcoming Progressive bloodbath. With Liberals having overplayed the racist, bigot, and teabagger cards along with the government bloat, corruption, and nastiness from Obamanation Crime Inc., you almost can't underestimate Democrat losses.

Now if the GOP can manage not to blow it for conservatives. This is the only place where I see an impediment to reaching the pinnacle of electoral success.

Posted by: AnonymousDrivel at May 04, 2010 06:16 PM (swuwV)

Frau Brunner in Ohio is getting her ass kicked but good. I think she expected the majority of Democratic voters wouldn't hold it against her that she openly commited voter fraud in 2008.

Now for the big question. Was Brunner born a female or did she have an operation to become one. That is one butt ugly person

Posted by: Karma at May 04, 2010 06:16 PM (U3+Xc)

44 Only one form Maryland?!

Posted by: Smapty at May 04, 2010 06:17 PM (bAySe)

45
I have acquired four score and nineteen difficulties, but a wench cannot be counted among them

Posted by: dan-O at May 04, 2010 06:34 PM (pP0yk)

46 And to think everyone was giving John Boehner shit for saying that they could pick up 100 seats.

Looks like its not actually as far from the realm of possibility as everyone originally thought.

Posted by: Cheesecake at May 04, 2010 06:43 PM (aBWZT)

47 19 I live in one of those rare places: A safe GOP district in NJ. I'll focus my energies elsewhere in the state.

Posted by: JWF at May 04, 2010 09:37 PM (1l37M)

I'm in a safe GOP district in California (Visalia and foothill communities). And there's another one nearby based in Clovis. Same sentiment... I am focusing on throwing out Jim "Cost-us" Costa.

Posted by: Soon to be Ex-ExZonie at May 04, 2010 10:31 PM (zzP3l)

48 Um, not to rain on anybody's parade, but...

Geraghty wrote: "If the GOP wins only half the seats listed below, they win back the House." There's an unspoken assumption there.

If the GOP wins only half of the listed seats and successfully defends all of their own, they win back the House. Why is everybody assuming that current-R seats are safe?

Posted by: wolfwalker at May 05, 2010 02:30 AM (aijDA)

wolfwalker, think for a moment.

Those seats which are R now, are seats which were won in 2008 and, I assume, 2006 before then. These will be difficult seats for anyone D to win in any year. Winning them for D means hard workers and lots of cash, and vulnerable D congresspeople who are already seated are going to claim dibs on all that.

Posted by: Zimriel at May 05, 2010 05:28 AM (9Sbz+)

50 it is the economy stupid. And that will determine the election. Well along with DRILL BABY DRILL and a few other things

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