September 24, 2010

Dick Morris: Nine Pickups In NYS Alone?
— Ace

I think CAC was more reserved with his prediction about a possible +8 in the Empire State.

But you know Dick Morris. He's swinging for the fences in his semi-predicitons.

On the House side, New York's role is no less crucial. The National Republican Congressional Committee, the body charged with running the GOP House campaign, lists seven New York seats as among the hundred it considers to be in play -- tied with Pennsylvania for the national lead.

The key races:

* Suffolk, where Randy Altschuler has a good chance to defeat Rep. Tim Bishop.

* In Westchester/Putnam, Dr. Nan Hayworth trails Rep. John Hall by only 44-42, according to a Sept. 12 poll by Public Policy Polling.

* Hudson Valley, where challenger Chris Gibson trails Rep. Scott Murphy by only 45-40, according to an Aug. 1 poll by the American Action Forum.

* In Plattsburgh/Watertown/the North Country, Republican Matt Doheny looks likely to succeed, assuming the Conservative Party nominee (who lost the GOP primary) doesn't split the vote.

* Central New York, including the Finger Lakes, Utica and Rome, where incumbent Mike Arcuri trails challenger Richard Hanna by 50-37 in a poll by the Democratic Benenson Strategy Group on Aug. 31.

* Syracuse, where Democratic incumbent Dan Maffei nurses a narrow 44-41 lead over Republican Ann Marie Buerkle, according to an Aug. 1 poll by the American Action Forum

* The Southern Tier (Olean, Hornell, Corning, Elmira and Canandaigua counties), the district of ex-Rep. Eric Massa, a Democrat who resigned amid scandal and charges that he was being marginalized by the House leadership for opposing ObamaCare. Republican Tom Reed leads Democrat Mathew Zeller by 44-30.

Add to that list possible GOP pickups by John Gomez against Democratic Rep. Steve Israel in Suffolk and George Phillips vs. Rep. Maurice Hinchey in the Newburgh/ Poughkeepsie/Binghamton district, and Republicans have nine possible House pickups in New York.

One note: That Plattsburgh race? Doug Hoffman is remaining in the race as a third-party spoiler with a good ballot line (the Conservative Party line).

I think that race is probably going to be lost. It's a fairly evenly-divided district, not the sort of place where you can lose 10-15% (or more) of your best-case vote share and win.

He's gone from hero to douchebag. He stood for election in a fair primary and lost; now he's playing sore loser, same as Liana Mulcahey and Charlie Crist and maybe even Mike Castle.

There are douchebags all over.

Below, CAC's "Best Case Scenario" map for the Northeast. Dark red, I think, represents solidly R districts; bright red are potential pickups (I think his guide is places where the R has a 20% or greater chance of winning.)

northeasternUSbestcasescenerio.bmp

So bloody, like good marbled steak.

And speaking of bloody. Check out this astonishing cross-tab.

The generic ballot shows Republicans leading 44%-39%. Besides all of the usual regional crosstabs, we also broke it out by the type of district. We looked at the sample in the 66 Democratic INCUMBENT districts that Charlie Cook lists as either toss-up or leaning Democratic at the time of the survey. In that key crosstab of Swing Democratic Incumbent Seats, the Republican lead grows to 49%-31% on the generic ballot. That is a very powerful crosstab that says the wave is coming.

So we're ahead generally, nationally, but where it counts, in key swing district pickup opportunities, we're ahead by close to 20 points.


BTW, CAC's made up a series of these maps around the country which I'll get to putting up. They are so pretty.

Posted by: Ace at 12:07 PM | Comments (89)
Post contains 606 words, total size 4 kb.

1 Sometimes I call him "Crazy Dick."  Sometimes I don't.

Posted by: Harry Reid at September 24, 2010 12:09 PM (1nsEG)

2 We have smart Dicks

Posted by: ingenus at September 24, 2010 12:10 PM (+sBB4)

3 I think dark red is what we hold now.

Posted by: Delta Smelt at September 24, 2010 12:11 PM (A0VTZ)

4 Mike Fitzpatrick (R) is now ahead of Patrick Murphy (D-bag) in PA-8 by 15 points among likely voters!  I'm telling you, this is a tsunami on the way.  This is a district that even Al Gore and John Kerry carried.

Posted by: rockmom at September 24, 2010 12:12 PM (w/gVZ)

5 delta smelt... I think that's what I said last time but I don't know! I really should f'n' find out, eh? I'll do that now.

Posted by: ace at September 24, 2010 12:12 PM (KUUXH)

6 Sometimes shark go away.  Sometimes he don't.  Sometimes shark he's a sore loser.  Sometimes shark a douchebag.  Sometimes he's not.

Posted by: Quint at September 24, 2010 12:13 PM (1nsEG)

7 Okay, someone has to say it...

Dick Morris is always wrong.

Posted by: Bevel Lemelisk at September 24, 2010 12:13 PM (FkKjr)

8 Who needs term limits when you've got Barack Obama?

Posted by: t-bird at September 24, 2010 12:13 PM (FcR7P)

9 I didn't think anyone drove pickups in NYS. learn something every day.

Posted by: sifty at September 24, 2010 12:14 PM (HixYr)

10 We are looking forward to voting in every state this election!  Why stop here when there's so much work to be done?

Posted by: Dead WA State Voters at September 24, 2010 12:15 PM (8GYOu)

11 Hey regular people are pissed. Now I don't mean people like us, we've been pissed for a long time. But every time the Democrats look into that TV Camera or in an appearance lie to these People they get more and more pissed. And the dems don't seem to get it. Good! The tidal Wave is a coming.

Posted by: nevergiveup at September 24, 2010 12:15 PM (U5btG)

12 Wait, he has Delaware as a pickup.  I thought that one was already a safe Dem seat?

Posted by: Serious Cat at September 24, 2010 12:15 PM (bAySe)

13 I didn't think anyone drove pickups in NYS. learn something every day. They're all blue pickups, and they run on biodiesel.

Posted by: Scott Brown, RINO, Mass. at September 24, 2010 12:15 PM (AZGON)

14 I didn't think anyone drove pickups in NYS. learn something every day. I drive one in Massachusetts! Please send me a check.

Posted by: Scott Brown at September 24, 2010 12:15 PM (4Kl5M)

15 George Phillips vs. Rep. Maurice Hinchey?  Poor Mr. Morris, he's lost his mind. Hinchey's got more then $250,000 and as of September 15th Phillips had $40K.  Hinchey's got nearly 70% of the vote in 2008

Posted by: Quilly Mammoth at September 24, 2010 12:16 PM (d4Hvj)

16 CAC has spent a ton of time researching these congressional races while I just piss away my time drinking and fucking off.  But hey, nobody is forcing him to do it.

Posted by: lowandslow at September 24, 2010 12:16 PM (nsWwp)

17 Ahhh, you and your "elections." Remember, there is no limit to what the Federal government can do. And we'll do it if we have to.

Posted by: Pete Stark at September 24, 2010 12:17 PM (AZGON)

18

Oh and Doug Hoffman, you are a pencil necked dweeb with a goofy grin.  Take a hike geek.  Your 15 minutes ended a long time ago.  I didn't think that little scrub had it in him to be a spoiler.

 

 

Posted by: Delta Smelt at September 24, 2010 12:17 PM (A0VTZ)

19 Now hold on a minute, Castle's only a douchebag if he stays in the race.  As it is, he's just a sore loser.

Posted by: Bobbert at September 24, 2010 12:17 PM (xh3gA)

20 They're all blue pickups, and they run on biodiesel. Real Trucks Don't Have Spark Plugs

Posted by: Bumper sticker seen in Mass at September 24, 2010 12:17 PM (4Kl5M)

21 There's only one explanation for this.

Witchcraft.

Laugh, you doubters!

Posted by: nickless at September 24, 2010 12:18 PM (MMC8r)

22 >7 Okay, someone has to say it...

>Dick Morris is always wrong.


Dick Morris is never wrong, it's your perception of reality that's wrong, and I think I can fix that for you.

Posted by: Dick Morris at September 24, 2010 12:18 PM (Y81Xa)

23 Dick Morris? I wonder what his won/lost record is on these predictions? He's a snarky little shit who might have a real job if he knew what he was talking about. It's the broken-clock syndrome with him more often than not, I think.

Doesn't matter. Hannity loves him. Maybe he and The Newt could get a show together. Or do a threeway with Shuckabee.

All of that aside, I hope the map ace posted is accurate. I may be migrating to a blue state soon, and it's showing a fair number of red spots here, including the area I'm intending to live in.

Posted by: MrScribbler at September 24, 2010 12:18 PM (Ulu3i)

24 Donot forget that NY is the home of the super RINO.  The Rockerfeller Republican.  Thus the Conservative party which is a bitter enemy of the Repubs.  Do not blame Hoffman, he has a right.  The Conservatives have been fighting the douchebags for at least 45 years. 

I know, I was there with James Buckley when we beat Goodall and Ottinger, 2 of the biggest liberal douchebags evah!.  (I think it was Ottinger.)

If you recall, the RINOS wouldn't even let Buckley caucus with them.

We've come a long way baby!

Posted by: lonetown at September 24, 2010 12:18 PM (u8fOP)

25 We need jobs too

Posted by: pencil necked dweebs at September 24, 2010 12:18 PM (+sBB4)

26 Dick Morris is always wrong.

Posted by: Bevel Lemelisk at September 24, 2010 04:13 PM (FkKjr)

President Rice needs team players this election cycle.  Better get onboard.

Posted by: Delta Smelt at September 24, 2010 12:18 PM (A0VTZ)

27 I admit to being a pessimist; that's a disclaimer. But if Dick Morris believes X, I'll bet on Y.

Posted by: George Orwell at September 24, 2010 12:18 PM (AZGON)

28 Wait, he has Delaware as a pickup.  I thought that one was already a safe Dem seat?
-----------
 Plus, shouldn't that be a dark red area as its currently held by Mike Castle?

Posted by: Serious Cat at September 24, 2010 12:18 PM (bAySe)

29 From , um, Dick's lips to God's ear.

Posted by: huerfano at September 24, 2010 12:19 PM (No0N3)

30 The Tea Party's bailing on Hoffman.

This might yet be salvaged.

Posted by: Lou at September 24, 2010 12:19 PM (FZrDJ)

31

I think Maffei might well pull it out in Syracuse, but on the rest, Morris may not be too far off (for once).

Hinchey would be a nice scalp to take - it'd be on the lower end of the wall, with the prime positions reserved for Alan Grayson, Ma'am Boxer, Gillibrand, and the reptile who called her the hottest broad in the Senate

Posted by: The Q at September 24, 2010 12:19 PM (pfStM)

32 28

He has this funny idea that Glen Urquhart can somehow win Castle's old seat.

He can't.  He's Christine O'Donnell with pants and without money.

Posted by: Lou at September 24, 2010 12:20 PM (FZrDJ)

33 From , um, Dick's lips to God's ear. Wow. A novel blend of perversion and sanctity. I don't know whether to shit or go blind.

Posted by: George Orwell at September 24, 2010 12:20 PM (AZGON)

34

He's gone from hero to douchebag. He stood for election in a fair primary and lost; now he's playing sore loser, same as Liana Mulcahey and Charlie Crist and maybe even Mike Castle.

There are douchebags all over.

 

Cap'n! The pumps canna keep up! We've got five inches of vinegar in the hold and risin'!!

Posted by: Bosun's mate of the Stormy Queen at September 24, 2010 12:20 PM (R2fpr)

35 From , um, Dick's lips to God's ear. Eww.

Posted by: Archangel Michael at September 24, 2010 12:21 PM (4Kl5M)

36 20, if it runs on bio-diesel, it doesn't have any sparkplugs, either.

Posted by: t-bird at September 24, 2010 12:21 PM (FcR7P)

37 Dick Morris' toes taste like Romano cheese.

Posted by: $5 Whore at September 24, 2010 12:21 PM (7+pP9)

38

Morris' W-L since leaving the WH is right next to John McKay's with the Bucs, whose famous line should be used towards incumbent Democrats.

"While holding all branches of government for 2 years, what did you think of the Dems' execution?"

"I'm in favor of it."

Posted by: The Q at September 24, 2010 12:22 PM (pfStM)

39 >>> I thought that one was already a safe Dem seat? It's best case scenario. The criteria is "has a 20% chance or better" of winning.

Posted by: ace at September 24, 2010 12:22 PM (KUUXH)

40 Dick Morris would kill to have my rate of accuracy.

Posted by: Magic 8-Ball at September 24, 2010 12:23 PM (QKKT0)

41 I hope I don't have to pay a visit to some of the commenters here so I can help them get their "facts straight".

Posted by: Dick Morris at September 24, 2010 12:23 PM (Y81Xa)

42 if it runs on bio-diesel, it doesn't have any sparkplugs, either. No shit??!!?

Posted by: Captain fuckin Obvious at September 24, 2010 12:23 PM (4Kl5M)

43 I'd take a visit from you, Dick; you're a great American!

Posted by: Sean Hannity at September 24, 2010 12:24 PM (pfStM)

44 I'll take a visit from Dick as well.

Posted by: Lindsay Lohan at September 24, 2010 12:25 PM (pfStM)

45
Howie Carr just made an astute observation: This is the first election I can remember where people are counting down the days. Everyone I talk to knows how many days until the election.

That is unusual. Counting down the days from the middle of September. Indeed!

Posted by: raising breast awareness at September 24, 2010 12:25 PM (uFokq)

46 Dick Morris? Never heard of 'em.

Posted by: Charlie Gibson at September 24, 2010 12:25 PM (mMdWG)

47 Me too.

Posted by: Helen Thomas at September 24, 2010 12:25 PM (QKKT0)

48

I got an acquaintance...big time lib, nice guy, but a bleeding heart, very childlike...always talking to me about the "evil southern strategy" of the GOP.  How the party can't win in the NE anymore because it is racist, homophohic, hates poor people, blah blah.

I would love to rub this map in his face and watch him cry.

Posted by: Delta Smelt at September 24, 2010 12:26 PM (A0VTZ)

49 I'll take a visit from Dick as well.

Posted by: Lindsay Lohan at September 24, 2010 04:25 PM (pfStM)


How about from me?

Posted by: Pussy Galore at September 24, 2010 12:26 PM (MMC8r)

50

What about Staten Island? McCain won here  in 2008 and it was republican seat before. Mostly Italian and immigrant from former USSR population.

By the way, latest Obama approval rating in immigrants from former USSR  community is 19%.  

Posted by: redmonkey at September 24, 2010 12:27 PM (8K5j5)

Posted by: Mjim at September 24, 2010 12:28 PM (mMdWG)

52 He's gone from hero to douchebag. He stood for election in a fair primary and lost; now he's playing sore loser, same as Liana Mulcahey and Charlie Crist and maybe even Mike Castle.

He probably figures the NY Republican Party screwed him last time and this is payback.

But I agree, he is a douchebag just like Murkowpie and Castle.

Posted by: Vic at September 24, 2010 12:28 PM (/jbAw)

53

50

McMahon did have to get the Big Dawg to campaign for him a month ago, so it's a possibility.

Posted by: The Q at September 24, 2010 12:28 PM (pfStM)

54 I'll take a visit from Dick as well. Posted by: Lindsay Lohan at September 24, 2010 04:25 PM (pfStM) The only visits your getting are from your lawyer and from Long Dick Dong in the middle of the night

Posted by: nevergiveup at September 24, 2010 12:29 PM (U5btG)

55 But, but, but, the Republican party is dead in the Northeast! 

Only the RINOs can win there, and only if they pander like mofos to the Dems! (I know it's true because Chris Shays told me so.)

Posted by: DelD at September 24, 2010 12:30 PM (J3Kzx)

56 Dick Morris's technique is to arrive at a number and then add a 40 percent fireworks factor -- a fudge factor that looks spectacular and gets him some face time. So, if Dick says 70-seat pickup, the really means 70 - (.40)70 = 42 (I think).

Posted by: joncelli at September 24, 2010 12:30 PM (RD7QR)

57 fap fap fap fap fap fap fap fap fap fap

Posted by: gator at September 24, 2010 12:31 PM (aOKEC)

58

56

AoSHQ: "BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO"

JPC: "You people would throw a grenade at Bambi's mother."

Posted by: The Q at September 24, 2010 12:33 PM (pfStM)

59

From NBC news:

Smelly, pesky bugs known as stink bugs have been swarming the Washington, D.C. area -- and when you try to kill them, they just smell worse.   I'd have to say that's a metaphor for our current political class bitter clingers that refuse to exit stage left when they lose their elections.

Posted by: runningrn at September 24, 2010 12:37 PM (8GYOu)

60 Dick Morris in a three way with Newt and Huckabee?

Now you've done it.. It's gone take more than a few extra cocktails tonight to drive that picture outta my mind.

Posted by: ChiTown Jerry at September 24, 2010 12:42 PM (f9c2L)

61

Smelly, pesky bugs known as stink bugs have been swarming the Washington, D.C. area -- and when you try to kill them, they just smell worse.

So, what's new?

Posted by: jewells at September 24, 2010 12:44 PM (l/N7H)

62

Its a small thing but we need to invert the color scheme on these maps.  Don't let the MFM frame the graphics.  Red is for REDS.  Blue is for patriotric Americans.  Reverse the colors and match reality.  The districts full of Reds deserve to be shown as red.

Make Ace of Spades the beach head of graphic reality and advance...

Posted by: Dennis at September 24, 2010 12:45 PM (nCIhi)

63 He's swinging for the fences in his semi-predicitons.

I remember well the epic battle between the Decepticons and the Predicitons.

Posted by: Optimus Prime at September 24, 2010 12:56 PM (ImPIU)

64 Don't be fooled, outside the immediate areas of NYC, Binghamton, Albany and Buffalo, New York is totally red. The problem is that these areas are very large, but sparsely populated.

Posted by: Chris R at September 24, 2010 01:05 PM (AO4qz)

65 Like I said in a previous thread- "best case scenario" is just another way of saying "something that almost certainly won't happen"

Posted by: Hollowpoint at September 24, 2010 01:06 PM (plsiE)

66 Tonight's victory by the GOP was muddled by the fact that, despite winning legislative majorities in the Senate and the House, the GOP failed to win in NY-23. This validates that the country is indeed changing, as this district is historically Republican. Obviously the progressive movement is in full swing.

Posted by: MSM at September 24, 2010 01:11 PM (MYT77)

67 NY-1 is in real danger of flipping to the GOP (the irony being that this is T. Coddington Van Voorhees IIV's summer residence). Thankfully the liberals of the Hamptons don't live there year round and can't vote there. 2 is gone because the anti-Steve Israel vote will be split between the GOP and an indy. NY-5 contains some of the most affluent areas of NYC and Long Island, but it's a safe seat for Gary "fascinated with India" Ackerman. 6, 7, and 8 are lost causes. My home district of 9 belongs to Weiner, but he'd have a real race if Bob Turner had more money. 10 and 11 are from mostly black areas that are safe D's. 12 is a safe D, being mostly Latino. NY-13 is the interesting race. GOP up 2008, it represents the most conservative parts of NYC and it looks like Mike McMahon is highly vulnerable to Mike Grimm, especially after the "Jewish money" thing. 14 and 15 are safe D's (15 = Rangel). So is 16. 17 will stay D, but the Jewish rep is under fire from the increasingly Hispanic population (overtly racist in some instances). 18 will stay D, but it's got a strong blue-dog streak. 19 has been traditionally GOP, but it flipped for Obama in '08 due to strong black turnout from Newburgh and Spring Valley.

There are 3 potential R flips in the NYC metro area, but only one is likely (NY-13).

Posted by: Chris R at September 24, 2010 01:22 PM (AO4qz)

68 Gomez2010.com , new york, looks grrrreat !!

Posted by: politicalmuse at September 24, 2010 01:47 PM (kLKnf)

69 Dick Morris. Worst prognosticator evah.

Posted by: swamp_yankee at September 24, 2010 01:58 PM (e1+91)

70

I agree with Dick Morris. This is not just a wave election, it is a tidal wave and I am contributing funds to the long shots as well as the sure bets. I want to see the look on the Dems stunned faces when they lose "safe seats" like "Fannie & Freddie" Barney. I don't think I have ever seen so many incumbents still running under 50% this close to an election.

Posted by: D. at September 24, 2010 02:01 PM (plSrP)

71 my mom CAN NOT WAIT to vote against Tim Bishop. She also hates Schumer. She is voting GOP up and down ticket this year. People are seriously pixxed, even in the Hamptons.

Posted by: mim/ginaswo at September 24, 2010 02:08 PM (FdidG)

72 72 After Grimm from SI and Brooklyn, this is the most likely D to R flip in the NYC area. It's a little known fact that the permanent residents of the Hamptons area lean GOP. Yeah, not fire-breathing conservatives, but definately R. Bishop should also do badly with the white ethnics on the North Fork (Mattituck, Quouge, Southold, Orient Point) and places like Riverhead, Port Jefferson and Wading River.

Posted by: Chris R at September 24, 2010 02:17 PM (AO4qz)

73 What does that map say on Vermont?  One At Large?  Or "All Dopes"?

Posted by: ParisParamus at September 24, 2010 02:31 PM (A0BM0)

74

Love ya, Morris, but Olean, Hornell, Corning, Elmira and Canandaigua aren't counties in NYS. But I digress...

Here's hopin' you're right. At least we here in NY-29 will get over the specter of "Tickle Me Massa" as our former rep.

And everybody, look up a picture of Dan Maffei (D-NY) and tell me he doesn't look just like Ralph Malph.

Posted by: Steve at September 24, 2010 02:39 PM (GvZ4s)

75 Hmm, we've seen that map before.

What to make of that?

"Well, we could make a hat or a broach"

http://tinyurl.com/baw3aq

Posted by: Kemp at September 24, 2010 02:44 PM (AQxTm)

76 NY 19 is going to hayworth. John Hall (D-Rangle) is a schmuck who took a ton of money from good ole Charlie.

Posted by: Iblis at September 24, 2010 02:49 PM (6IL7D)

77 Interesting. He's showing Maine as predominantly "red"/Republican , in spite of the influx of moonbats from Massachusetts and New York, and other stinkbug-infested areas.  Vermont, which was invaded and occupied in the sixties by half a million Red diaper babies from downstate New York and New Jersey, is a Soviet Socialist Republic and is beyond redemption.

I agree with those who want to take back our own Conservative true blue -- just because the commies manning network news are hypersensitive to what they see as "red-baiting" ,  i.e. they are too cowardly, like most commies, to stand forth and admit what they are, and feel they would be "baiting" themselves and their little friends if they used their true color.

Posted by: Minnie Rodent at September 24, 2010 03:01 PM (PZLW0)

78

CAC, since you seem to be from NY, what does it look like on the state house level?  The reason I ask is I think the tide will scour the bottom this year.  Is the mood such that anything with a 'D' after it no matter how humble the position is getting the boot.

(Barring safe seats, that is...)

Posted by: Warthog at September 24, 2010 03:39 PM (dFJla)

79 My error on the Delaware At-Large- in the best case scenario (or what I call the Democratic Mass Extinction Event) we somehow hold onto Castle's old seat. It should be dark red. New York ties Pennsylvania with the number of vulnerable Democrats- 8 each according to the current numbers. Ohio is in 3rd place with 6 Illinois, California, North Carolina, Florida, Virginia, Tennessee, Arizona all tie at 4 each. The Yuma/USMexico border district in Arizona is the biggest shocker of all of them. 50.7% hispanic, solidly Democratic, but the white rocket scientist ladyperson is tying the multiterm incumbent. I would have responded earlier to this by the way...but I do have a job. This is done out of an obsession with numbers, colors, and wanting to dip my balls in a 20 foot bucket of pudding.

Posted by: CAC at September 24, 2010 04:12 PM (Gr1V1)

80 (oh and I am from Balmer Murlund. Not New York)

Posted by: CAC at September 24, 2010 04:13 PM (Gr1V1)

81 (oh and I am from Balmer Murlund. Not New York)
Posted by: CAC

You need to come on up for Pudding con

Posted by: Blue Hen at September 24, 2010 04:32 PM (1O93r)

82 Why all the talk about dicks? What the hell happened to the toes? Isn't that what the guy is famous for? Was it not toe nibbling which got him in trouble? I am an odd duck I suppose, but I gravitate towards the more obviously female female parts; I know, call me crazy! Their toes might be nice and all, but who the hell cares! It may be a secret discovery, but gals tend to get off by attention directed in a decidedly different place. I am just sayin', in case it is a revelation or something. I could talk about some of the gals, but I assume they are tougher than many of the guys! Lets just say that lacey underalls might be more interesting sans the lace. Alexthechick is sort of close, but probably would kill me if I even suggested anything. If Lacey lives anywhere near me, I could still be in trouble. The last gal ended up hating me, because she was an Obama cultist. I did please her sexually. It was the only thing which went right. As I put it, their are just no free-range conservative gals in Portland. They are all taken. It is just the way it is. I always try with liberals and it is always an epic fail. Hard to believe eh? My smarter brother lives in Canada. I aked hm if his kids (adopted black and another who is hispanic--but I am supposed to be a racist because of qualms about Obama!). This shit  just pisses me off. This is a pasty white gal with no apparent black interactions at all. It just gets worse for her really. Here is my feeling about this sort of crap. It is like genealogy. It is too damn boring, and nothing I would ever waste my time on. I asked my brother if his kids said eh and stuff since they were in Canada. He said they so did! That is pretty damn funny! I suppose even people who just live in Canada are generically funny, but still that is hilarious eh!

Posted by: Mike at September 24, 2010 06:00 PM (kqLXx)

83 Could someone please look at the results of the townsend/bernsten matchup....i've had a lot of champagne so I think I"m seeing things....link

Posted by: curious at September 24, 2010 09:07 PM (p302b)

84 if you ever find yourself

Posted by: discount designer bags at September 25, 2010 11:56 PM (pAQ1H)

85 McMahon did have to get the Big Dawg to campaign for him a month ago, so it's a possibility.

McMahon is toast, and he knows it. That's why Clinton came so early, and no one took him seriously as he mouthed the platitudes about moderate Blue Dog Democrats who will vote in line with their constituents' wishes. Toward the end, Big Dawg had everyone in stitches.

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