October 06, 2010
— Monty I wish I could buy gold by the ton. But that would require a high-security vault, armed henchmen to guard it, and so on. Genteel poverty is so much less of a headache. I know that you meant to turn this turd into a tea-rose, but alas, it still smells of shit. Who runs Foreclosure Town? When we say "The problem is Federal spending", this is what we mean. Too much debt is bad, but debt is the symptom. Spending is the disease. (Veronique de Rugy, by the way, is an excellent financial writer would often posts on NRO's The Corner as well as her gig at The American. I recommend her stuff highly.) I don't like his tone of voice when he says "interesting". It rather reminds me of a boss I used to have who'd describe a series of grueling 14-hour days with no overtime as an "opportunity to excel". Via Insty: First it was illegal aliens who took your job. Now it's robots. As Bender Bending Rodriguez might say: "Bite my shiny metal ass, meatbag!" What Quantitative Easing (QE) II might look like. Bear in mind that the Fed will "buy" the Treasurys with money they printed fresh just that morning. So it's still debasing the currency, still inflation, regardless of how they sell it. The dollars now in your pocket are going to be worth less because of this. (However, before you slope off to leap from a tall building, remember that this is ZeroHedge, where DOOM! is the order of the day.) Japan has a colossal amount of debt (about 200% of GDP -- Ye Gods and Little Fishes! -- at the present time), and the only thing staving off disaster is the fact that most of this debt is held by Japanese citizens. But as Japan now has the oldest population of any nation on earth and fewer young Japanese to shoulder the burden, rolling that titanic debt is going to be very difficult indeed. David Stockman, Reagan's budget director from 1981 to 1985, is no fan of Ben Bernanke. In fact, he seems to agree with me that the best course of action right now is to reserve your boiled-rat concession space in Thunderdome before the crowds hit. Pull quote:
"I invest in anything that Bernanke canÂ’t destroy, including gold, canned beans, bottled water and flashlight batteries."He can be found on weekdays sitting in front of the dry-goods store, whittling a stick and cursing those kids with their long hair and their make-out parties. Via Insty: Illinois may now be officially more boned than California. Illinois pays more to borrow money than Mexico does. That's right: Illinois has to offer a better rate on bonds than a violence-riddled narco-republic that defaulted on its debt in 1982 because investors deem the American state a worse risk. One of the training courses that all Fed Chairmen must take is how to state the completely fucking obvious in such a way that it sounds oracular and nuanced and deep. Ben Bernanke failed this class. He just sounds like a drunk guy who announces to the whole bar that he's just crapped in his pants, and there's nothing anyone can do about it. So he'll just have another beer or six. Linda McMahon: "How do you create a job?" Richard Blumenthal: "It begins in youth when mimsie and pater got me into a good prep school. That's sort of a requirement, because without a good prep school education you're not going to get into an Ivy League college. Then it's on to Harvard, where pater ensured that my rather quotidian grades do not count against me, and that my youthful indiscretions do not come back to haunt me. Then it's on to military service. Pater pulled some strings to make sure I remained stateside during the unpleasantness in southeast Asia, so I took the liberty of buffing my combat credentials to impress the peasants. And after that: success! On to a glorious career in public service! And then...oh, wait. You meant how to create a job for someone else? Uh...um....I don't know, I must confess. I've never had a real, actual job. Well, there was that short stint at the Washington Post, but it was a do-nothing job, if you take my meaning. Another step up the ladder, you understand, a way to meet the right people! A job, you say. Hrm. Perhaps the plebs can clean toilets or dig holes or something? People still poop during Depressions, you know!" When you reach a place in your life when your only options are "bad" and "very bad", it might be time to re-think the habits that got you into this fix in the first place. One, two, three, four! I declare a currency war! Winner gets head-noogies on the loser! Pull quote:
“The irony is that the Fed is creating all this liquidity with the hope that it will revive the U.S. economy. It is doing nothing for the U.S. economy and causing chaos for the rest of the world,” Joseph Stiglitz, a Nobel Prize-winning professor at New York’s Columbia University, said today in New York.My response? Screw those whiny bitches! Ireland's woes intensify. This quote strikes me as an unwise dare against Fate, though:
“Ireland is at the lowest point, it shouldn’t get any worse,” Alan McQuaid, chief economist at Bloxham Stockbrokers in Dublin, said in a phone interview.The fey gods of finance look upon statements like that as hubris, and punish the sinners accordingly. The IMF has revised its estimate of US economic growth downward. The IMF seems to have joined the "QE now and forever" chorus (mainly, I think, due to a lack of actual ideas -- when in doubt, throw money at the problem and hope that it goes away). It's nothing we don't already know. US growth into 2012 and beyond is going to be very slow, barring some unforseen event. Mish, you're one of the good guys. A simpatico economic soul. But this post makes me want to kick you in the yarbles. Who cares if it's true? My 401(k) is howling in pain, dude! At this point my big retirement conundrum is going to be whether I dine on Friskies, or go all out and choose the succulent Fancy Feast to go with my tasty dessert: a great heaping helping of nothing at all. (At least I'll have the comforting knowledge that my tax dollars are keeping the public-employee pension coffers filled. There's a thought to keep an old man warm on cold nights!) I spend on your grave! San Diego, a gentle and devout man of God, would no doubt be horrified by the perfidy on display in his namesake city. The bell of doom tolls in California, and the leaden note is: Boned! Boned! Boned! "Whaddya mean, you don't know what 'Counterparty Risk' means?!? You little maggot! You make me wanna vomit!"
Posted by: Monty at
06:39 AM
| Comments (96)
Post contains 1165 words, total size 9 kb.
Posted by: alexthechick at October 06, 2010 06:48 AM (bQ5xy)
Posted by: t-bird at October 06, 2010 06:51 AM (FcR7P)
And in the end, there will be only chaos.
3 Hey! Mr. Happy's back.
Indeed. Fortunately there isn't any cyanide in the lab, because I sure feel like partaking of it after I read one of Monty's posts.
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at October 06, 2010 06:52 AM (9hSKh)
.....
Nasty Story, Funny Interview
Posted by: momma at October 06, 2010 06:54 AM (penCf)
And that currency war stuff;
makes it look to me like good ole' George 'one foot already firmly planted in hell' Soros is able and willing to pull all the strings necessary to bring this country low, if not destroy it totally.
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at October 06, 2010 06:54 AM (RkRxq)
Posted by: the government at October 06, 2010 06:55 AM (sM4Eh)
Remember, the federal government knows how to spend your money better than you do.
(This is why some of us don't believe one can be "fiscal con" and "social lib" simultaneously; awarding the bid "social lib" cost $1.7M more than awarding the bid color-blind.)
Posted by: HeatherRadish at October 06, 2010 06:56 AM (Vz9lf)
Posted by: Monty at October 06, 2010 06:56 AM (/0a60)
monty, this is priceless!
Posted by: curious at October 06, 2010 06:56 AM (p302b)
Posted by: maddogg at October 06, 2010 06:57 AM (OlN4e)
Posted by: Purple Avenger at October 06, 2010 06:57 AM (73VIf)
Ireland is at the lowest point, it shouldn’t get any worse,” Alan McQuaid, chief economist at Bloxham Stockbrokers in Dublin, said in a phone interview.The fey gods of finance look upon statements like that as hubris, and punish the sinners accordingly
And Murphy of Murphy's Law fame, who lives in Ireland ( A Coraigh man I'm sure) looks upon this as an invitation to forcible sodomy.
Posted by: Blue Hen at October 06, 2010 06:57 AM (R2fpr)
Loves me sum goom and doom in the morning.
Posted by: Vic at October 06, 2010 07:00 AM (/jbAw)
Posted by: SurferDoc at October 06, 2010 07:01 AM (RKpGM)
Posted by: White women with college degrees at October 06, 2010 07:02 AM (FJQB5)
Posted by: Monty at October 06, 2010 07:02 AM (/0a60)
Posted by: curious
What Blumenthal needs now is for T. Coddington Van Vorhees VII to enter the fray and compose an erudite missive that speaks to the dignity and integrity that is Blumenthal. He may deign to evaluate the usurper that is McMahon.
Posted by: Blue Hen at October 06, 2010 07:02 AM (R2fpr)
Posted by: dudeinsantacruz at October 06, 2010 07:03 AM (sM4Eh)
Posted by: SurferDoc
I'll check that, thanks.
Posted by: Blue Hen at October 06, 2010 07:03 AM (R2fpr)
Posted by: dudeinsantacruz at October 06, 2010 07:03 AM (sM4Eh)
You can buy it by the ton, and you don't need a big vault or armed guards. Well, at least not yet.
Posted by: Hatchet Five at October 06, 2010 07:04 AM (/lkKn)
The instrument of wealth known as the dollar is being purposefully denuded. Look up, look down and look all around - for this is what an economy looks like when it's currency is crashing.
Get out of dollar denominated assets and stock mother hubbard's cupboard.
Posted by: journolist at October 06, 2010 07:06 AM (O/NP5)
Run, Bambi, Run.....
The White House has advanced President Obama's visit to India by two days, according to sources. He will now be landing in India on the night of November 5, flying most likely into Mumbai first.
(he should probably advance it 4 more days if the polls are any indication)
Posted by: Tami at October 06, 2010 07:07 AM (VuLos)
Posted by: Doc Merlin at October 06, 2010 07:14 AM (ra+Ru)
Personally, I'm waiting for the Mayan's.
2012 ... Apocalypse Then! Yeah Baby!!!
Posted by: shibumi at October 06, 2010 07:14 AM (OKZrE)
Personally, I'm waiting for the Mayan's.
2012 ... Apocalypse Then! Yeah Baby!!!
Posted by: shibumi
I haven't the heart for it.
Posted by: The PUNisher at October 06, 2010 07:15 AM (R2fpr)
I've -been- waiting since aught eight. Sheesh.
Posted by: Gaff at October 06, 2010 07:18 AM (PRm1Y)
From the graph link.
Here is President Obama, talking on September 29 in Richmond, Virginia:
"Now, I'm not a math teacher. But I know a little bit about math.Very little, I would say.
remember that this is ZeroHedge, where DOOM! is the order of the day.
Yeah, their paranoia makes them the AoSHQ of the financial world, except they seem smarter than us.
Posted by: Guy Fawkes at October 06, 2010 07:19 AM (ruu60)
Posted by: CanaDave at October 06, 2010 07:20 AM (pmAXX)
Posted by: SurferDoc at October 06, 2010 07:22 AM (RKpGM)
Posted by: CanaDave at October 06, 2010 11:20 AM (pmAXX)
< Yuan can only wonder.
Posted by: journolist at October 06, 2010 07:24 AM (O/NP5)
Spend thrift...
Posted by: Old Lady Upstairs at October 06, 2010 07:30 AM (gbCNS)
They may take a capital hit when further commercial accounts shutdown, but generally they continue to pay the dividend unless something truly catastrophic happens. If/when the commies are out of power the capital hit will be erased.
Posted by: Vic at October 06, 2010 07:30 AM (/jbAw)
Posted by: Jean at October 06, 2010 07:32 AM (nOq8U)
Posted by: Jean at October 06, 2010 07:34 AM (bh8+e)
Posted by: Jean at October 06, 2010 11:34 AM (bh8+e)
I am retired, but do have lots of utility stock, as well as a few others.
Posted by: Vic at October 06, 2010 07:38 AM (/jbAw)
Posted by: evil libertarian at October 06, 2010 07:46 AM (AqMvt)
Get the GD government out of all this shit all together and let banks set their own rates.
That includes getting rid of the and ALL other central banks. Those worthless sonsobitches are the ones that cause 99% of all the problems we have had since they were created in the 1800s.
Posted by: Vic at October 06, 2010 07:48 AM (/jbAw)
Posted by: George Orwell at October 06, 2010 07:48 AM (AZGON)
Posted by: George Orwell at October 06, 2010 07:51 AM (AZGON)
#40 canadave - you obviously read ZH that theory has a lot of backing over there and does makes sense to a point. I mosty believe its a fuck you I'm getting mine short term outlook by scum sucking parasites.
I haven't read that at Zero Hedge...it seems logical that if they can't get China to let the Yuan increase in value that they lower the US Dollar to match, after borrowing a shitload from the Chinese first of course. It's the only way to square the trade deficit.
Posted by: CanaDave at October 06, 2010 07:53 AM (pmAXX)
Posted by: CanaDave at October 06, 2010 08:03 AM (pmAXX)
Posted by: Ted Kennedy's Gristle Encased Head at October 06, 2010 08:03 AM (+lsX1)
Hey Vic, are there feasible designs for nuclear reactors that are small, much smaller than say submarine reactors?
A few months ago, there was a bunch of articles tossed around on the 'tubes about thorium-fueled mini-reactors. Interesting stuff, for us non-nucs. Whether it's viable or not......
Posted by: IllTemperedCur at October 06, 2010 08:04 AM (P9+0W)
Posted by: George Orwell
I remember attending a speech given by Edward Teller, where he advocated he deployment of a reactor design that could utilize abandoned missile silos.
Posted by: The PUNisher at October 06, 2010 08:04 AM (R2fpr)
Posted by: George Orwell at October 06, 2010 08:05 AM (AZGON)
Posted by: George Orwell at October 06, 2010 08:06 AM (AZGON)
Posted by: evil libertarian at October 06, 2010 08:06 AM (AqMvt)
Posted by: George Orwell at October 06, 2010 11:51 AM (AZGON)
If I am not mistaken we have had tiny "reactors" on satellites. I can't comment on the size of reactors on naval vessels because all of that stuff was permanently classified by the Atomic energy Act of 1955(?). It can never be declassified.
However I will say this about "small" reactors, they are not as economically feasible as the larger ones. There is such a thing as "economies of scale". The largest expense in the operation of a nuclear generating facility is the cost of labor, and in some cases, continuing modifications required by regulation and re-regulation by the federal government.
In addition, the amount of labor required is directly impacted by all that regulation as well. So you might say that the largest expense is "regulation".
So in that, since the amount of regulation is not dependent on the size of the core, then smaller plants would actually cost more per kw to operate.
Posted by: Vic at October 06, 2010 08:09 AM (/jbAw)
Posted by: Monty at October 06, 2010 08:09 AM (/0a60)
Posted by: IllTemperedCur at October 06, 2010 12:04 PM (P9+0W)
Thorium is not a "fissile" material. I suppose they meant that in the same manner as the satellite things which operated off of decay heat and bi-metallic strips. Not very good for generating "megawatts".
Posted by: Vic at October 06, 2010 08:12 AM (/jbAw)
Posted by: George Orwell at October 06, 2010 08:12 AM (AZGON)
The only problem is after chinas economy implodes they're going to be a little angry.
What about the Americans?...don't they get pissed when a foreign country sucks a trillion dollars out of them in a trade deficit?
Posted by: CanaDave at October 06, 2010 08:13 AM (pmAXX)
I remember attending a speech given by Edward Teller, where he advocated he deployment of a reactor design that could utilize abandoned missile silos.
Posted by: The PUNisher at October 06, 2010 12:04 PM (R2fpr)
All that does is make them subgrade, which most of all the newer containments/primary systems already are. BTW, this has its own drawbacks for other problems.
Posted by: Vic at October 06, 2010 08:14 AM (/jbAw)
Posted by: Monty at October 06, 2010 08:17 AM (/0a60)
Posted by: Jean at October 06, 2010 08:18 AM (4WsCU)
Posted by: George Orwell at October 06, 2010 12:12 PM (AZGON)
The so-called "pebble bed" reactors are designed to be smaller than the current round of Westinghouse/GE reactors. But as I said earlier, they will likely not be any cheaper to operate and all of the "advantages" of that design will likely be offset by an equal number of new problems that will crop up that nobody allowed for.
Posted by: Vic at October 06, 2010 08:19 AM (/jbAw)
Posted by: Jean at October 06, 2010 08:20 AM (f4+2J)
Posted by: Jean at October 06, 2010 08:22 AM (v4C0Z)
Posted by: Jean at October 06, 2010 12:20 PM (f4+2J)
The Japanese and the French have one advantage that we do not; they do not have the NRC regulating them to death in an adversarial manner.
Posted by: Vic at October 06, 2010 08:23 AM (/jbAw)
Posted by: evil libertarian at October 06, 2010 08:24 AM (S/asU)
Posted by: Jean at October 06, 2010 08:27 AM (bJevO)
Posted by: The Sierra Club at October 06, 2010 08:28 AM (AZGON)
Posted by: Monty at October 06, 2010 08:29 AM (/0a60)
These collapses never happen the way you think they will, or should. Speculators speculate on the future. Gold has ascended, in large part, due to speculation of a weakening dollar. So far the dollar really hasn't gotten weaker, by many measures it has grown in strength over the last few years (relative to the cost of housing, relative to the Euro, etc.). So, just as the market hasn't waited for the fruition of rising inflation to buy gold, it is unlikely to wait for the resolution of debt problems to start selling it.
Posted by: Ted Kennedy's Gristle Encased Head at October 06, 2010 08:30 AM (+lsX1)
Posted by: Jean at October 06, 2010 12:27 PM (bJevO)
I see one problem right off the bat.The plant is a small, sodium cooled fast reactor with a rather technologically advanced, compact steam turbine secondary system.
We experimented with that design years ago and it is beset with problems. Na is very good as a heat transfer mechanism but it is God awful for everything else.
Any small PWR design would work for what they want up there but current law requires all new generating plants to build "cooling towers" rather than dump waste heat into rivers, lakes, or the ocean. I suspect that a cooling tower would not work every well in AK.
It is funny that you reference this type of an application in a remote AK setting because the Army operated a small PWR just for that purpose years ago. Bing up "Army Nuclear Power" and read the article on Wiki.
Since it is out there in the public domain I guess it will not hurt to reference it although it is probably still classified.
Posted by: Vic at October 06, 2010 08:39 AM (/jbAw)
Posted by: evil libertarian at October 06, 2010 08:40 AM (S/asU)
Barry: Here's all you need to know about the economy. There's a ditch, a car, it's in (D) not (R). What else do you want?
Posted by: TheQuietMan at October 06, 2010 08:40 AM (1Jaio)
Re: The economy
We're probably screwed to the point that nothing can be done to forestall catashrophy. Like slipping on black ice and going off the side of mountain.
Re: Nuclear power
Hey, I might be getting me a job with Southern Nuclear.
Posted by: Dr. Heinz Doofenshmirtz at October 06, 2010 08:43 AM (Bs34i)
Posted by: Jean at October 06, 2010 08:43 AM (LpqRt)
Hey, I might be getting me a job with Southern Nuclear.
Posted by: Dr. Heinz Doofenshmirtz at October 06, 2010 12:43 PM (Bs34i)
Be advised that they are union. (one of the few in the South)
Posted by: Vic at October 06, 2010 08:53 AM (/jbAw)
Posted by: Jean at October 06, 2010 12:43 PM (LpqRt)
All steam turbine generations run in a cycle that requires you to reject heat in a "condenser" of some type. The condenser is normally cooled on the "non-turbine" side by water. That water will heat up and is normally cooled down in a "cooling tower". I suppose you could do it in the Winter in AK with air and switch to water in the Summer but I can see a lot of problems doing that.
Posted by: Vic at October 06, 2010 08:58 AM (/jbAw)
Canadave - the american people? Mere serfs!! My point is the chinese govt is not to be trusted, restraint isn't really something they are known for. Trade wars can turn into real wars when you have a billion people starving in front of you and you waltz into taiwan.
evil libertarian - yeah, that's my point though...the only way to even things up is on the American side that makes it look like all the bad stuff is happening in America. An outright trade war that causes economic hardship in china is easy to blame on the Americans, whereas a deliberate financial meltdown in the States makes it look less like the Americans fault?...just a theory, really.
Posted by: The Running Man at October 06, 2010 09:12 AM (pmAXX)
Posted by: Vergeltung at October 06, 2010 09:39 AM (jttPx)
Posted by: evil libertarian at October 06, 2010 09:52 AM (AqMvt)
Be advised that they are union. (one of the few in the South)
Posted by: Vic at October 06, 2010 12:53 PM (/jbAw)
That's what I heard. I'm applying for an engineering position. I heard things go real slow due to regulations, unions and such.
Posted by: Dr. Heinz Doofenshmirtz at October 06, 2010 10:29 AM (YcjCJ)
Posted by: Vic at October 06, 2010 11:48 AM (/jbAw)
Now, how can we get the NRO peeps to understand this?
Posted by: KG at October 06, 2010 10:48 AM (DeCj1)
That's what I heard. I'm applying for an engineering position. I heard things go real slow due to regulations, unions and such.
Posted by: Dr. Heinz Doofenshmirtz at October 06, 2010 02:29 PM (YcjCJ)
You will not be union in Engineering. If you have never worked in a nuclear plant before be prepared for government nightmares from hell.
Also be prepared for a lot of unpaid overtime, although after about 5 years your salary will be fairly high.
Posted by: Vic at October 06, 2010 10:56 AM (/jbAw)
You will not be union in Engineering. If you have never worked in a nuclear plant before be prepared for government nightmares from hell.
Also be prepared for a lot of unpaid overtime, although after about 5 years your salary will be fairly high.
Posted by: Vic at October 06, 2010 02:56 PM (/jbAw)
I didn't think Engineering would be union, just that I heard union maintenance personnel, etc take about 8 hours to do 2 hours of work.
I talked with a friend who works out there an he said the first 5 hours of overtime are free for exempt then time and half. He said that some come in early and leave late to pick up overtime. Maybe I misunderstood him. My main concern is long hours during outages.
I'm coming in basically mid-career so my pay better be commensurate. Anything under $85,000 will require some deep thought.
Posted by: Dr. Heinz Doofenshmirtz at October 06, 2010 11:36 AM (4JpPD)
Posted by: rawmuse at October 06, 2010 11:50 AM (bt1zi)
I didn't think Engineering would be union, just that I heard union maintenance personnel, etc take about 8 hours to do 2 hours of work.
At any nuke plant it takes 8 hrs to do 2 hours worth of work because of regulatory shit and other reasons you will learn about when you get there.
I haven't had a lot of experience myself with the union guys other than stories from people who left union plants to work at ours but from what I hear the biggest problem is "division of labor". If you are working a job that requires both an electrician and a mechanic you have to make sure you have both aligned to go at the same time. Even simple jobs sometimes run afoul of this. Some rules require a damn electrician to unplug a unit so a mechanic can move it.
I talked with a friend who works out there an he said the first 5 hours of overtime are free for exempt then time and half. He said that some come in early and leave late to pick up overtime. Maybe I misunderstood him. My main concern is long hours during outages.
Those rules vary from plant to plant and that sounds like standard "outage rules". Cat II exempt people at most sites put in first 5 hours free and then get time only for overtime, but only during outages. During outages you will not be "coming early or leaving late". You will be working 12 to 13 hour shifts around the clock 6 days a week.
During normal non-outage work you get nothing for overtime at most plants. I would double check on that.
I'm coming in basically mid-career so my pay better be commensurate. Anything under $85,000 will require some deep thought.
I guess it depends on what level they bring you in at. If they told you > 85K on hiring they will most likely live up to that. Utilities don't normally go back on hiring promises, but make sure what they are promising is all up front.
Also be sure to check on retirement packages. My company eliminated medical on retirement and also went to cash balance.
Posted by: Vic at October 06, 2010 12:02 PM (/jbAw)
Posted by: DiogenesLamp at October 06, 2010 12:27 PM (eVJ7T)
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This shit sandwich tastes like shit!
Posted by: Dang Straights at October 06, 2010 06:43 AM (fx8sm)