October 13, 2010
— DrewM (Part of an Ace of Spades HQ campaign to highlight races that can be won but need your help)
The Race-
Our old friend, NY-23. Doug Hoffman and Dede Scozzafava (with a big assist from Sarah Palin) made this district one most famous thanks to the 2009 special election to replace longtime Republican Congressman John McHugh, (who was appointed Secretary of the Army by President Obama).
The intra-party warfare enabled Democrat Bill Owens to take the narrowly take the seat in a fractured field (Owens 48.3%, Hoffman 46% and Scozzafava 5.7%)
During the special election campaign the district was often described as having elected a Republican to the House since the 19th Century. That was always stretching the point given the amount of redistricting that occurred over the years.
Cook says itÂ’s an R+1 but it elected McHugh for a number of years and as evidenced by his appointment to the Obama administration, he wasnÂ’t exactly a hard core conservative. The district did go to Obama in Â’08 narrowly but had supported Bush in 04.
This year one time conservative star Hoffman ran for the GOP nomination but was defeated by businessman Matt Doheny. Doheny is running as an outsider with real world business experience (law and finance) on a traditional lower taxes, lower spending, "Repeal and replace the health care bill..." and strong national defense. The latter may be more important in this race than many in NY as the district is the location of Fort Drum, home of the 10th Mountain Division.
The Candidate (from his website)-
(Doheny) is not a career politician, but someone whose experience and track record have centered on his career path in the business world. At a time when the federal government is running historic deficits and the nation is coming out of the worst recession since the depression, people in the North County, Adirondack Region and Central New York need bold new ideas. Matt has the business and finance experience needed to help turn around our nationÂ’s economy and bring much-needed jobs to our region.
Â… After practicing law for a few years at several firms including Hancock & Estabrook in Syracuse, NY, Matt decided the law wasnÂ’t for him and went into the business world. It is in this world during the last ten years that Matt has produced a track record of great success helping large troubled companies reorganize, recover from bankruptcy, save jobs and prosper.
He worked as a Managing Director for Trouble Assets at Deutsche Bank from 2000 through 2008. Here, Matt helped purchase debt of troubled companies like Air Canada, Pacific Gas & Electric and Adelphia and assisted them in restructuring so they could once again operate independently.
In 2008, Matt left Deutsche Bank to join Fintech Advisory, where he currently works as a portfolio manager.
ItÂ’s this type of business experience that gives Matt firsthand knowledge of what it takes to bring a large company back from the brink of financial ruin, which is a skill that will be highly useful in dealing with the economic crises our country is facing today.
Why Doheny Can Win-
Originally Hoffman was going to mount a 3rd party challenge on the Conservative Party line but he has subsequently dropped that bid and endorsed Doheny. (On the downside, HoffmanÂ’s name will still appear on the ballot. Even after she dropped her bid, Scozzafava was still able to pick up 5% of the vote and likely cost Hoffman the seat last year)
Owens originally ran on opposition to the Democrats health care proposal but within minutes of taking his seat, he backtracked and supported the Pelosi bill.
The NRCC released in an internal poll in the wake of the Hoffman withdrawal showing Doheny up by 14 points.
While internal party polls are always suspect, the DCCC is clearly concerned that with Hoffman out of the race, Owens is in trouble and they have increased their ad buys in the district.
Cook has the race a toss-up at this point.
How nervous are the Democrats about this race? Owens is now running ads touting how much he voted with Nancy Pelosi John Boehner.
The GOP says Owen is a lying SOB.
Posted by: DrewM at
06:02 AM
| Comments (35)
Post contains 712 words, total size 6 kb.
Most democrats are lying SOBs who have to pretend to be something other than the left-wing assholes that they are to get elected.
Posted by: Lemon Kitten at October 13, 2010 06:12 AM (0fzsA)
I'll add him to my $17.76 list.
Just wish I could afford to move that decimal point two places to the right.
Posted by: 57 States at October 13, 2010 06:15 AM (kbH+o)
Owens' negative ads point out that Doheny worked on WALL STREET and how Doheny helped his WALL STREET buddies because that's how it's done on WALL STREET.
Posted by: FireHorse at October 13, 2010 06:19 AM (sWynj)
Democrat promises? Worthless.
Owens(D) promised not to vote for PelosiCare, and then voted for it. What else do voters need to know?
Posted by: Lemon Kitten at October 13, 2010 06:20 AM (0fzsA)
Posted by: maverick muse at October 13, 2010 06:22 AM (H+LJc)
We need to fix this place before everyone who isn't a parasite on government escapes.
Where about are you, ParisParamus? (ADK? FLX? BFLO?)
Posted by: FireHorse at October 13, 2010 06:25 AM (sWynj)
But, because of the way they made the district borders, my vote will need to be for Chris Gibson instead of Doheny. Go figure.
I'm a little nervous about 23 and plan to make some from-home calls. Am not feeling the energy over in Saranac Lake that I would expect.
Posted by: Boris Yeltsin at October 13, 2010 06:42 AM (4sQwu)
America's future if democrats are left in control.
France wants it's entrenched gimme gimme welfare state back.
Posted by: Lemon Kitten at October 13, 2010 06:44 AM (0fzsA)
IOW, I think that RNC poll is legit.
Posted by: Jeff Weimer at October 13, 2010 06:44 AM (1Mn8Z)
Posted by: Greg at October 13, 2010 06:46 AM (I+R6n)
Where about are you, ParisParamus? (ADK? FLX? BFLO?)
The heart of stupid leftist-liberal Brooklyn: Park Slope. I'm from the suburbs, and went to law school in Albany, so I am not from here.
Posted by: ParisParamus at October 13, 2010 06:55 AM (bN5ZU)
Drudge Headline lol -
Joe Biden: Dems not running on administration's accomplishments because 'it's just too hard to explain.'
Posted by: Lemon Kitten at October 13, 2010 06:59 AM (0fzsA)
Joe Biden: Dems not running on administration's accomplishments because 'it's just too hard to explain.'
Posted by: Lemon Kitten
If he was referring to his inability to articulate them, then I would agree.
Posted by: Blue Hen at October 13, 2010 07:04 AM (R2fpr)
Muriel! Who broke the comments?!
I'm goin ta get my mallet!
Posted by: Eustace Bagge at October 13, 2010 07:09 AM (QAKOX)
Am not feeling the energy over in Saranac Lake that I would expect.
That's a good thing, Boris. The quieter, the better.
Posted by: FireHorse at October 13, 2010 07:12 AM (sWynj)
Posted by: anonymous former O'Donnell staffer at October 13, 2010 07:45 AM (zRbkQ)
Keep 'em coming.
I'm sending out 10-20 bucks to each of them but looking at 57 States up at post #3, $17.76 seems like an awesome idea.
Posted by: Max Entropy at October 13, 2010 08:05 AM (la188)
Posted by: CT at October 13, 2010 08:09 AM (NKVBQ)
What in Owens would inspire voter passion?
That's the thing I'm noticing: a total lack of passion. The patterns in northern New York are that right-leaning, Republican voting people occassionally talk about politics. We have lives. Even in 1994 and 2004, people didn't dwell. There was brief mentions after Election Day. Then we got back to our lives.
The left-leaners lean hard. They don't just vote Democrat, they decorate themselves, their lawns and their cars with political messages. Politics is their lives, interrupted occassionally by work, family and sleep -- and even these are just water coolers, dinner tables and dream lands for more politics. And once they start, there is no shutting them up or changing the subject. They're a passionate bunch, to say the least. They don't need much inspiration.
The thing is, they're not making a peep.
Posted by: FireHorse at October 13, 2010 09:27 AM (sWynj)
Posted by: CT at October 13, 2010 01:50 PM (NKVBQ)
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PS: Now that there are vacancies, lets lower Dems into that min. Spend some stimulus money to widen hole to fit BarneyF, etc.
Posted by: ParisParamus at October 13, 2010 06:11 AM (bN5ZU)