October 12, 2010

Fox News Polls: Republicans Doing Well In Key Senate Races
— DrewM

Republicans are leading in Washington, Nevada and Ohio.

One big sign of hope? Linda McMahon has cut 4 points from the lead of Dick Blumenthal in CT during the last week.

But after a debate that featured Blumenthal freezing up when asked about job creation, McMahon seems to be in contention. She now trails in the survey of likely voters 43 percent to 49 percent.

The debate, hosted last week by local Fox affiliate Fox CT and moderated by Fox News' Bret Baier, featured a minutes-long, rambling answer from Blumenthal about how jobs are created.

McMahon pounced, and not just in the debate. Her campaign, funded with the fortune she made with her husband in the professional wrestling business, has been showing BlumenthalÂ’s answer in a torrent of TV advertising.

Republican gubernatorial candidate Tom Foley, an industrialist who served as U.S. ambassador to Ireland, saw his situation improve as well. Democrat Dan Molloy, the former longtime mayor of Stamford, led by 6 points last week. His advantage is down to 4 points now. The two also debated last week.

The poll, though, suggests that there is more at play in the Nutmeg State than just debate performance as President ObamaÂ’s job approval rating in the state dropped from 48 percent to 42 percent.

The poll also shows the Christine O'Donnell is not making headway in Delaware, trailing Chris "The Bearded Marxist" by 16.

She does have a new anti-Coons website, "Coons the Taxman" and ad up.

In case you missed it last night, Ace's Get Out The Vote campaign will kick off tomorrow.

Posted by: DrewM at 06:35 AM | Comments (95)
Post contains 283 words, total size 2 kb.

1 Same poll shows President Edsel's approval in Ohio at 33%.

1 out of 3 is the expected rate of severe mental retardation under my "Theory of Having Cleveland in your State".

Posted by: Herr Morgenholz at October 12, 2010 06:38 AM (5aa4z)

2

Still haven't received my Illinois absentee ballot.  Donated a few bucks to Joe Miller in AK once I heard Muklukski had 1.2 million on hand. 

I'm trying to convince my Dad to vote for Kirk, but he seems preoccupied with the IL State Rifle Association/NRA's refusal to endorse him.  Like I said before, Kirk must be thanking his lucky stars that the Illinois primary was held in February, before the national Tea Party movement got real traction behind it. 

Posted by: Big Fat Meanie at October 12, 2010 06:40 AM (8lCJT)

3 Where is everybody?

Posted by: jewells at October 12, 2010 06:41 AM (l/N7H)

4 That O'Donnell ad leaves much to be desired.

Posted by: changer1701 at October 12, 2010 06:42 AM (xktXL)

5 What exactly is a bearded marxist?  (teh ghey?)

Posted by: Fritz at October 12, 2010 06:42 AM (GwPRU)

6 2 Still haven't received my Illinois absentee ballot.

I'm waiting for my CA absentee ballot.  They'd better send it! 

I never understand someone who cares about gun rights but votes for a Democrat.  I don't care what the candidate says about gun rights, if they're part of the D party they are going to regulate you to death and that will include infringing on your gun rights.  Keep working on your dad. 

Posted by: Y-not at October 12, 2010 06:43 AM (osFsP)

7 Palin's supposed to campaign for O'Donnell.  She has far more hits than misses.  Hope she can help COD pull this one out.

Posted by: RushBabe at October 12, 2010 06:47 AM (a3Z62)

8 What exactly is a bearded marxist?  (teh ghey?)

aka Harry Reid's pet, "Harry Red"

Posted by: Brett Favre's Latest Interception at October 12, 2010 06:48 AM (TAiZ/)

9 The poll also shows the Christine O'Donnell is not making headway in Delaware, trailing Chris "The Bearded Marxist" by 16.

A fair point, and yet Hotair mentions Redstate has this:

I ask because the Democrats have sent the lady who was on the ground running operations for Carol Shea-PorterÂ’s congressional bid to Delaware to be the Field Director for Chris Coons canvassing operation.

ThatÂ’s a mighty odd expenditure to be making in shifting resources around if the Democrats are so sure of Chris CoonsÂ’ victory.

It also seems certain the Democrats are now writing off NH-1.

That poll says what it says, but the Dems appear spooked about something.

Posted by: Methos at October 12, 2010 06:48 AM (Ew1k4)

10 Posted by: Y-not at October 12, 2010 10:43 AM (osFsP)

There are lots of dems who are honestly pro 2nd amendment. But while they can vote their beliefs on the few gun-related issues that emerge, the vast majority of their party's faithful are anti-gun, and simply by being a member of that group they damage our rights.

It is irrational to assume that a democrat who espouses any pro 2nd amendment beliefs will be able to do anything other than hurt us!

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo ( NJConservative) at October 12, 2010 06:50 AM (LH6ir)

11
o/t:  Democrats and GE etc..stand to make billions with Cap and Trade.

Side note:  Watch this and DON'T BUY NIKE.

All of Nike's products are made in China.  So Nike, through democrat lobbying, is attempting to add taxes and penalties to competitors (like New Balance) who manufacture their products in America.

Fuck Nike.

Posted by: Lemon Kitten at October 12, 2010 06:52 AM (0fzsA)

12

Here in central Connecticut even the people with Dem signs in their yards do not seem to have Blumenthal signs set up. Now that may be because Blumenthal thought he had this  in the bag and didn't go with the expenditure, but I am seeing at least a 20/1 ratio McMahon to Blumenthal.

And that doesn't count the several hundred McMahon signs that some one set up all over the I-91 and 218 interchange in Windsor.

I have also seen fewer signs even in the yards of big Dem supporters. There was a house I pass on the way to work which had litterally hundreds of signs in 2008 that has just 7 this year. (And none for Blumenthal.)

Posted by: Have Blue at October 12, 2010 06:53 AM (mV+es)

13 Here is a good example of a "bearded Marxist".

Posted by: maddogg at October 12, 2010 06:53 AM (OlN4e)

14 I posted this link in an earlier thread. I'm not sure quite what to make of it given the 16 point spread the polls show in the US Senate race in Delaware.

Does the DSCC see a bad trend developing in Delaware?

Posted by: NM Hick at October 12, 2010 06:54 AM (IzuWw)

15

That poll says what it says, but the Dems appear spooked about something.

Chris Coons has stated publicly that he considers O'Donnell a serious threat, after she knocked Mike Castle off the ballot. He is not taking this election for granted.

Posted by: kallisto at October 12, 2010 06:54 AM (+FkcS)

16

 DON'T BUY NIKE.

I only buy shoes from Ace's spammers. 

Posted by: Big Fat Meanie at October 12, 2010 06:55 AM (8lCJT)

17 The poll also shows the Christine O'Donnell is not making headway in Delaware, trailing Chris "The Bearded Marxist" by 16.

A fair point, and yet Hotair mentions Redstate has this:

I ask because the Democrats have sent the lady who was on the ground running operations for Carol Shea-PorterÂ’s congressional bid to Delaware to be the Field Director for Chris Coons canvassing operation.

ThatÂ’s a mighty odd expenditure to be making in shifting resources around if the Democrats are so sure of Chris CoonsÂ’ victory.

 

I suspect that this is cementing the conventional wisdom and the 'meme' that many here have predicted. Consider the array of opposition that O'Donnell is confronted by. That these many resources are being expended to save a blue seat means that either the numbers are better, or there is a vested interest in proving that Palin/Tea Party backed candidates can't win. To that end, we've now seen Senators, media figures, both Obama and Biden here (the last one should be a given). Not to mention the national curiously consistent (journolist II?) bad press.

They save a seat and have something cheery to dissect for the next month.

Posted by: Blue Hen at October 12, 2010 06:59 AM (R2fpr)

18 Finally someone is picking Lollar as having a shot at upsetting Steny Hoyer in MD-5.  I still haven't seen any polls. 

If I were in MD, I'd go down and campaign for him.  He looks like a really good candidate and Hoyer is a slime-weasel. 

Posted by: Y-not at October 12, 2010 07:03 AM (osFsP)

19 OTOH, Tom Ganley is cancelling TV time against Betty Sutton and putting it on cable and radio. He's got a ginned-up set scandal to deal with, plus Sutton found every unhappy customer he's ever had (and car dealers do get them) and put them on TV.

Posted by: Jeffrey Quick at October 12, 2010 07:03 AM (g9neE)

20

But even less popular in the state [WA] than either of the candidates are the policies of Obama. Forty-five percent of voters want to express opposition to Obama with their ballots while only 32 percent want to give Obama a boost.

Forty-two percent said that ObamaÂ’s polices have hurt the stateÂ’s economy compared to 23 percent who say theyÂ’ve helped. That 19-point disparity is up from 9 points in the first Fox battleground state survey last month.

ObamaÂ’s overall job approval in the state hovers at 44 percent, a far cry from the 57 percent Obama took in the state in the 2008 election.

And yet, he just signed up to come stump for Murray.  Thank you, Barry!!!

Posted by: Editor at October 12, 2010 07:03 AM (pUfK9)

21 Maybe the DE morons should consider going down to Southern MD for Lollar. 

Posted by: Y-not at October 12, 2010 07:04 AM (osFsP)

22 @10
Yeah.  What's the use of having the right to own a gun when you're too broke from being taxed to death to buy one? 

Posted by: Y-not at October 12, 2010 07:07 AM (osFsP)

23
She's a witch who doesn't like masturbation.  So, bring on the high taxes and Harry Reid's pet, baby.

Posted by: Lemon Kitten at October 12, 2010 07:07 AM (0fzsA)

24

The only conclusion I can make is that they know lots of seats are hopeless and they'll take their pyrrhic victory in DE.

This one they know they can win.  They're looking at all sorts of other seats with dismay.  Take what you know you can get.

Posted by: AmishDude at October 12, 2010 07:09 AM (SN216)

25 If I were in MD, I'd go down and campaign for him.  He looks like a really good candidate and Hoyer is a slime-weasel.

I'm doing this very thing, FWIW.  Even though I honestly don't think Steny's under any serious threat.  The demographics in Hoyer's district just cut the wrong way for any chance of GOP victory.

Posted by: Jeff B. at October 12, 2010 07:10 AM (NjYDy)

26

The only conclusion I can make is that they know lots of seats are hopeless and they'll take their pyrrhic victory in DE.

This one they know they can win.  They're looking at all sorts of other seats with dismay.  Take what you know you can get.

Posted by: AmishDude

 

Bingo. Is there any way that this can be parlayed to our advantage?

I know! I'll contact Michael Steele. He'll know what to do!!

Posted by: Blue Hen at October 12, 2010 07:10 AM (R2fpr)

27

Alvin Green: "Jim Demint caused the recession. I'm the best candidate that shows where we're at right now in this nation."

He's probably right about where we're at.

Posted by: dagny at October 12, 2010 07:11 AM (7IU8X)

28 OTOH, Tom Ganley is cancelling TV time against Betty Sutton and putting it on cable and radio. He's got a ginned-up set scandal to deal with, plus Sutton found every unhappy customer he's ever had (and car dealers do get them) and put them on TV.

The race was Ganley's to lose until the sexual harrassment case broke.  It looks like a semi-plausible one too, which is why Sutton is going to slip through our grasp.  I will be shocked -- SHOCKED -- if the GOP takes OH-13 now.  Charlie Wilson has a much better chance of going down now than Betty Sutton.

Posted by: Jeff B. at October 12, 2010 07:11 AM (NjYDy)

29

@22

Karl Rove needs his fucking ass kicked around the block for that shit.

 

Posted by: maddogg at October 12, 2010 07:12 AM (OlN4e)

30 DE is the only state that has a positive approval rating of Odipstick.

Posted by: Guy Fawkes at October 12, 2010 07:12 AM (ruu60)

31 Hot Air has a headline news thing that says they're shifting resources from NH to Delware for Coons. Apparently there is fear he's not the slam dunk they thought he'd be.

Posted by: Iblis at October 12, 2010 07:12 AM (hLGVM)

32

Maybe the Dims' polling shows them as projected to lose 9 seats, so this is their Sparta.  That would make COD = Xerxes.   

Posted by: Big Fat Meanie at October 12, 2010 07:15 AM (8lCJT)

33 Hot Air has a headline news thing that says they're shifting resources from NH to Delware for Coons. Apparently there is fear he's not the slam dunk they thought he'd be.

Nah, it's more a function of the Democrats spending money on a race where they feel they actually have a shot.  The story there is less about Coons than it is about the remarkable uncompetitiveness of Paul Hodes.

Posted by: Jeff B. at October 12, 2010 07:16 AM (NjYDy)

34 I'm doing this very thing, FWIW. 

I'm jealous!  Eat a few dozen steamers (with the requisite number of beers) for me, JeffB!

Is O'Donnell using all that cash she raised to put up tv and radio ads?  I noticed this one above is just listed as being on the web.  Seems like in a small market like DE she should be able to plaster the airwaves. 

Posted by: Y-not at October 12, 2010 07:18 AM (osFsP)

35 That O'Donnell ad leaves much to be desired.

Posted by: changer1701 at October 12, 2010 10:42 AM (xktXL)

Don't worry, the liberals on Fox agree with bashing O'Donnel. They are helping all you we want Castle people out every day. ....NOT They just talked about her "evil witchcraft" on Fox.

What they, and you, are doing is helping the Dem.

Posted by: Vic at October 12, 2010 07:18 AM (/jbAw)

36

Manchin back up  in WV.

 

it looks like the gun commercial is working.

 

 

Posted by: Ben at October 12, 2010 07:19 AM (wuv1c)

37 Hot Air has a headline news thing that says they're shifting resources from NH to Delware for Coons. Apparently there is fear he's not the slam dunk they thought he'd be.

Posted by: Iblis

 

Check out RCP. They shifted Nevada back to Reid (barely, but they did). They are predicting a 50/50 Senate, on the basis of the Dems keeping CA, CT, DE and both NY 1 and 2.

They are firewalling the Senate. My bet is that they dump Feingold, keep Murray (WA) within cheating distance, and seal off CA, CT and DE.

This holds as long as voter enthusiasm holds. If the trend continues, CA becomes a wild card again as does CT.

 

As for DE, O'Donnell agreed to a debate where she'll face a hostile student crowd, moderated by Mr. Mensa, Wolf Blitzer. We need Scott Brown here.

Posted by: Blue Hen at October 12, 2010 07:19 AM (R2fpr)

38

Bingo. Is there any way that this can be parlayed to our advantage?

Already being done.  They're sinking a lot of money into it.  As O'Donnell becomes the bete noir (I denounce myself), other races like NV, WA, CT, IL are not getting the moonbats' attention and money.

I know the strategists will disagree but I think, in retrospect, O'Donnell may be a net win for us, even if she loses.

Posted by: AmishDude at October 12, 2010 07:19 AM (SN216)

39 Manchin back up by 3 pts in new PPP poll just out.  Any chance to take back the Senate just went bye-bye.

Posted by: Greg at October 12, 2010 07:19 AM (I+R6n)

40 They should be going after that weaseldouche Bill Maher not O'Donnell.

Posted by: dagny at October 12, 2010 07:20 AM (7IU8X)

41 Manchin retakes lead

Joe Manchin has reclaimed the lead in the West Virginia Senate race by a 48-45 margin. He trailed by 3 points in a PPP poll three weeks ago and his improved standing is a clear example of the biggest potential game changer nationwide for this year's election in the final three weeks- if Democratic voters wake up some of their candidates' fates could shift quite a bit.

Must have been that target practice ad. No hand wringing though, this is only one poll.

Posted by: NM Hick at October 12, 2010 07:20 AM (IzuWw)

42 Seems like in a small market like DE she should be able to plaster the airwaves.

Philly media market.  Mucho $$$.

Posted by: Herr Morgenholz at October 12, 2010 07:20 AM (5aa4z)

43 @11 - This is why Government was never meant to regulate day-to-day business.  Of course businesses were going to figure out that they could lobby the Government to get a more favorable environment. 

That said- I'm pretty sure New Balance and the others are trying to do similar things to shoes made in China, so I'm really not terribly concerned.

I'm much more upset about UPS trying to get the Government to reclassify FedEx so that they would be forced to unionize- since FedEx has offered to help UPS get re-classified the other way so it could shed some of its union dead-weight.

Posted by: AllenG at October 12, 2010 07:22 AM (8y9MW)

44

Manchin back up  in WV.

it looks like the gun commercial is working.

Cite or it didn't happen.  What poll?  What model (RV/LV)?  The fake 'hick' controversy strikes me as worse for Raese than Manchin's hilariously desperate gun ad.  But I won't worry about WV until I see the polling average begin to swing to Manchin.  He's effectively running as the incumbent anyway, so

Posted by: Jeff B. at October 12, 2010 07:23 AM (NjYDy)

45  Seems like in a small market like DE she should be able to plaster the airwaves.

Philly media market.  Mucho $$$.

Posted by: Herr Morgenholz

 

She is airing ads. But  Delaware has no organic stations; much of the effect is wasted on PA and Southern NJ. Also remember that many of us are watching TV less. So these become less and less effective. Negative crap on SNL however, becomes press two and three times over, and that's all free for the Dems.

And Castle won't help. Crap.

Posted by: Blue Hen at October 12, 2010 07:23 AM (R2fpr)

46 Okay, it's a PPP poll.  I'm not worried now.  PPP's an honest Dem polling firm, but they've constantly been far too bullish on Dem senate prospects.  I just don't see it.

Posted by: Jeff B. at October 12, 2010 07:24 AM (NjYDy)

47 Jeff B @46, read up-thread -- PPP

Posted by: NM Hick at October 12, 2010 07:24 AM (IzuWw)

48

PPP's West Virginia Poll break down. Their poll was also 9% black while the population of WV is 3.7%

Democrat

........................................................ 55%

Republican

...................................................... 33%

Independent/Other

.......................................... 12%

Posted by: dagny at October 12, 2010 07:24 AM (7IU8X)

49

I know the strategists will disagree but I think, in retrospect, O'Donnell may be a net win for us, even if she loses.

Posted by: AmishDude

 

I tend to agree. Sadly, she will probably become the 'tethered goat' of this year's elections.

Posted by: Blue Hen at October 12, 2010 07:25 AM (R2fpr)

50 That poll says what it says, but the Dems appear spooked about something.

Posted by: Methos

Truth always spooks them.

Posted by: kansas at October 12, 2010 07:26 AM (mka2b)

51

40, Slow down, that is within the margin of error.  The internals of the poll show that something like 47/38 would rather have Manchin stay the gov. instead of become a senator.  If Raese would get an ad on TV showing Manchin in favor of Cap and Trade (to offset Manchin's gun ad), Raese would have this thing in the bag.

Posted by: opus at October 12, 2010 07:26 AM (IebeI)

52 @53
I denounce you both as racists! 

Posted by: Y-not at October 12, 2010 07:26 AM (osFsP)

53 Seriously, why are we still talking about Crazy Train?  That ship sailed on Primary Night.  Nothing Karl Rove or Evil Establishment RINOs did or said would have changed anything about the trajectory of that race.  O'Donnell has been hammered by one disgraceful scandal after another, and the only reason that many people here at AoSHQ are even still talking positively about her is because we have SHIELDED you from so many of them here and at HotAir.  Seriously, go to Politico or something and see the hole she's dug herself with the resume scandal, the Bill Maher quotes, her own terrible commercials, etc.

O'Donnell has run a losing campaign in every imaginable way.  To blame Karl Rove for this is...foolish.

Posted by: Jeff B. at October 12, 2010 07:26 AM (NjYDy)

54 condi rice is on regis & kelly.
wtf?

Posted by: Y-not at October 12, 2010 07:27 AM (osFsP)

55 Manchin back up by 3 pts in new PPP poll just out.  Any chance to take back the Senate just went bye-bye.

Yup.  One lone poll demonstrates that the Dem has an insurmountable lead and there's no hope of getting that seat nor any of the others that are still up for grabs.  Because everyone knows that polls never go back and forth during a race and they are always guaranteed to predict precisely the result on election day.  Thank you for your concern.



Posted by: Methos at October 12, 2010 07:27 AM (Ew1k4)

56 This Fox session from 11:00 to 13:00 is more liberal than F&F in the morning. They are really shitting all over Republicans and the Tea Party right now.

Posted by: Vic at October 12, 2010 07:27 AM (/jbAw)

57 I guess Condi is promoting a book. 

Posted by: Y-not at October 12, 2010 07:28 AM (osFsP)

58 One poll in WV with in the margin of error

Posted by: dagny at October 12, 2010 07:28 AM (7IU8X)

59 I am going to declare that if any Democrat loses a seat, it will mean they have failed miserably.

Posted by: kansas at October 12, 2010 07:29 AM (mka2b)

60 Either way the people of DE get what they asked for. And Mr. Rove, you can go away now, you've done enough damage in the last ten years to last a century.

Posted by: eman at October 12, 2010 07:30 AM (9tE1f)

61

PPP's West Virginia Poll break down. Their poll was also 9% black while the population of WV is 3.7%

Democrat

........................................................ 55%

Republican

...................................................... 33%

Independent/Other

..........................................
12%

And there you have it.  I can guarantee you one thing: the breakdown of the West Virginia electorate will not be 55% Democrat to 33% GOP on election day 2010.  I mean, I can promise this the way I can promise you my mortal soul.  Not even in WV, a traditionally heavily 'conservaDem' state, will Dem turnout dwarf GOP turnout by that margin.  The enthusiasm level is just too low.

I am very much not worried about this PPP poll now. 

Posted by: Jeff B. at October 12, 2010 07:30 AM (NjYDy)

62 Seriously, why are we still talking about Crazy Train? That ship sailed on Primary Night. Nothing Karl Rove or Evil Establishment RINOs did or said would have changed anything about the trajectory of that race. O'Donnell has been hammered by one disgraceful scandal after another, and the only reason that many people here at AoSHQ are even still talking positively about her is because we have SHIELDED you from so many of them here and at HotAir. Seriously, go to Politico or something and see the hole she's dug herself with the resume scandal, the Bill Maher quotes, her own terrible commercials, etc. O'Donnell has run a losing campaign in every imaginable way. To blame Karl Rove for this is...foolish. Posted by: Jeff B. This is utter crap. The fact that the Dems are pouring resources into the seat that was lost on primary night should be proof of something. You're simply back to the same petulant narrative. We don't need you to parrot this; thats what SNL is for.

Posted by: Blue Hen at October 12, 2010 07:30 AM (R2fpr)

63 Regarding the curious move by the DSCC in DE.

The thought that they'd rather shoot fish in a barrel than take their chances out on the big water makes sense. I hope they waste a lot of ammo.

Posted by: NM Hick at October 12, 2010 07:31 AM (IzuWw)

64 Heh.  Bloomberg via HotAir:

More than 4 of 10 likely voters who say they once considered themselves Obama backers now are either less supportive or say they no longer support him at all, according to a Bloomberg National Poll conducted Oct. 7-10.

Posted by: Methos at October 12, 2010 07:32 AM (Ew1k4)

65 eriously, go to Politico or something and see the hole she's dug herself with the resume scandal, the Bill Maher quotes, her own terrible commercials, etc. O'Donnell has run a losing campaign in every imaginable way. To blame Karl Rove for this is...foolish. Posted by: Jeff B Troll poo. You swallowed troll poo and said it was yummy.

Posted by: eman at October 12, 2010 07:32 AM (9tE1f)

66

O'Donnell has run a losing campaign in every imaginable way.

Know what? You're full of shit. I don't blame Rove or anybody else besides O'Donnell, but her ads are fine and her campaign has been responsive and aggressive. She's just a weak candidate fighting an uphill battle.

Posted by: spongeworthy at October 12, 2010 07:32 AM (rplL3)

67 65,  But the left will use it to hammer the D's are surging meme.  Everyone needs to remember that there are going to be polls out there, done by organizations friendly to the Dems (Zogby, PPP), in order to try and help rally the base. 

Posted by: opus at October 12, 2010 07:33 AM (IebeI)

68 O'Donnell has run a losing campaign in every imaginable way.  To blame Karl Rove for this is...foolish.

Posted by: Jeff B. at October 12, 2010 11:26 AM (NjYDy)

I don't blame Rove for her campaign, I blame him for being a fucking dipshit that ignored Reagan's first rule for Republicans.

Posted by: maddogg at October 12, 2010 07:33 AM (OlN4e)

69

The enthusiasm level is just too low.

Okay, you're not always FOS. Weird font though.

Posted by: spongeworthy at October 12, 2010 07:35 AM (rplL3)

70 Polite - but spontaneous - clapping by the audience when Condi mentioned how close she is to the Bush family. 

Posted by: Y-not at October 12, 2010 07:36 AM (osFsP)

71 I'm waiting for my CA absentee ballot.  They'd better send it!



I got mine early last week. Of course, I'm in CA-23, gerrymandered into deep, deep indigo blue. It looks like a strand of peppermint dental floss dropped on the map.

If one thinks that congressional districts don't matter when it comes to the timing of absentee ballot delivery, I have a bridge you might be interested in.....

Posted by: IllTemperedCur at October 12, 2010 07:37 AM (P9+0W)

72

I tend to agree. Sadly, she will probably become the 'tethered goat' of this year's elections.

The Dems always need somebody to hate.

Just imagine the frothing when you mention any of the lists of names: George W. Bush, Karl Rove, Newt Gingrich, Rush Limbaugh, Clarence Thomas, etc., etc.  They're deranged.

Posted by: AmishDude at October 12, 2010 07:37 AM (SN216)

73 The thought that they'd rather shoot fish in a barrel than take their chances out on the big water makes sense. I hope they waste a lot of ammo.

I don't know.  You'd think there would be at least one former Clinton staffer warning that the nasty GOP will impeach with 51 senators.  And I don't mean for any of the myriad reasons we've suggested in other threads, but because that's what happened the last time they were on this side of divided government. 

Or maybe this personnel decision is just one more example of the separation between liberal perception and reality.  I have a hard time believing they could keep an internal poll showing Coons in trouble secret these days.

Posted by: Methos at October 12, 2010 07:39 AM (Ew1k4)

74
But Intrade has the Dems up by 20%!!!!!!



Geez, almost forgot to jump in here....

Posted by: In before the troll at October 12, 2010 07:41 AM (P9+0W)

75 We must expect the unexpected while maintaining rigid flexibility.

Posted by: Johnnyreb at October 12, 2010 07:43 AM (cqZXM)

76

No matter what YOU might think, Rove's intention was to kill her candidacy and I think he was pretty darn successful in this one.

Why would Rove intend to kill a Republican candidacy? Recall that Castle was 11 points ahead of Coons on September 13. I read his remarks more as frustration that DE Republicans gave up an easy senate pick-up in favor of an extremely long shot.

(cue the Vichy Republican/RINO/CINO commentary in reply

...3...2...1...GO

Posted by: kallisto at October 12, 2010 07:46 AM (+FkcS)

77 I have a hard time believing they could keep an internal poll showing Coons in trouble secret these days.

I agree, especially when the public polling indicates a 16 point spread in their favor.

Posted by: NM Hick at October 12, 2010 07:47 AM (IzuWw)

78

72 65,  But the left will use it to hammer the D's are surging meme.  Everyone needs to remember that there are going to be polls out there, done by organizations friendly to the Dems (Zogby, PPP), in order to try and help rally the base. 

At this point, it won't matter much because the candidates will know the truth and then it will be desperation mode.  That ain't pretty, believe me.  Last-minute accuastions, gaffes, it looks ugly and the pendulum swings back, bigger than before.

In which case, watch that downballot.

Posted by: AmishDude at October 12, 2010 07:50 AM (SN216)

79 Polite - but spontaneous - clapping by the audience when Condi mentioned how close she is to the Bush family.

Y-not, I saw a link to something about Condi earlier this morning, but can't seem to find it now. Where did you see this?

Posted by: NM Hick at October 12, 2010 07:50 AM (IzuWw)

80

The DE seat's only for the remaining 4 years of BiteMe's term.  Assuming we survive the O-pocalypse of 2012, Rove probably has a vested interest in squelching COD's chances forever.  Assuming we survive. 

Posted by: Big Fat Meanie at October 12, 2010 07:50 AM (3iMgs)

81 Alan West's debate with Klein will be here shortly. 

Posted by: Y-not at October 12, 2010 08:07 AM (osFsP)

82 Y-not, I saw a link to something about Condi earlier this morning, but can't seem to find it now. Where did you see this?

I had the tube on in the background to Regis & Kelly.  Condi was on, promoting a book (seems to be an autobiography).  She did a nice job 'defending' Bush's leadership during difficult times.  There was solidly strong applause by the audience both when she mentioned the Bush family and even later when she said Bush served honorably -- I'm guessing not all of the audience, but it sounded like more than half. 

I don't watch this show much, but Regis strikes me as one of those out-of-touch NYC libs who holds some conservative/traditional views, but is too weak-willed to see how the Dems he backs are destroying the things he admires.  He's also a Notre Dame alumnus -- fanatical.  I kinda put anyone (well, any Roman Catholic) who still supports ND after all the crap they've pulled in the same category. 

Posted by: Y-not at October 12, 2010 08:13 AM (osFsP)

83

 I tend to agree. Sadly, she will probably become the 'tethered goat' of this year's elections.

Posted by: Blue Hen at October 12, 2010 11:25 AM (R2fpr)

Deed someone say "goat?"

 

 

Posted by: Ramzi al-Kaboom at October 12, 2010 08:22 AM (a3Z62)

84
As the Hillbuzz boyz ask, if Coons is such a lock against O'Donnell, why is it that they keep sending the big guns there?

Posted by: I R A Darth Aggie at October 12, 2010 08:42 AM (1hM1d)

85 Hey, kin I git me a huntin license here?

Posted by: Joe Munchkin, S- WV at October 12, 2010 08:45 AM (K/USr)

86 78--you got it.  If COD goes down, Tokyo Rove and Mike "Arlen Specter Jr." Castler are wearing the goat's horns.

Posted by: les grossman at October 12, 2010 08:49 AM (K/USr)

87

Impossible that O'Donnell remains stuck exactly at 16% behind Coons. Something is wrong there and somebody isn't releasing actual numbers. Those numbers sound like a plan to demoralize those who'd vote for O'Donnell: why bother to go out and vote for her if she's gonna lose so badly.

Further proof? Obummer is going to campaign for Coons. If Coons is doing so great, why the need for Obummer?

Posted by: Wellington at October 12, 2010 08:52 AM (jWbxU)

88 I get that most of you don't like COD, that you think Castle was preferable, BUT...nothing works better to kill off ANY chance a candidate has than the "Eyeore Syndrome", which runs rampant on this site I might add.

Personally, I think COD is doing better than the polls indicate. Why else send the big guns and $$ to DE?  But, she cannot win if she doesn't get support. You don't like her, she's a weak candidate, sure. But would you rather have the other guy? Would you rather the dems get something to crow about?  REALLY??? What happened to "crush them", "break their spirits", blah, blah, blah.? Wouldn't you rather have that other potential tie-breaker (R) vote in the senate? Or is proving your point that important?

Posted by: NunyaBizness at October 12, 2010 09:17 AM (RGIke)

89 Video has an error, you think maybe Google is playing around by hiding stuff on Candidates that Google likes??

Posted by: Sinner at October 12, 2010 09:29 AM (U/yZ+)

90 What a great commercial.  Best one this season.

Posted by: rdbrewer at October 12, 2010 10:46 AM (kJ+2R)

91 As I understand O'Donnell is trying to run a good ground game right now while foregoing the typical "I need exposure therefore I'll appear on all national TV shows no matter the network's intent." Strategically, she's doing the right thing in tiny-state Delaware where the wide majority (as registered) Democrat electorate puts her at a significant but not insurmountable disadvantage.

She's had more exposure and scrutiny than just about anyone, so more national attention is counterproductive. Door-to-Door campaigning will be her best bet with an occasional state debate because the job requires it. If she can keep things low-key and just meet-n-greet as many normal folks as possible, she has a shot.

This might explain why the Democrats are sending in name-brand surrogates to make the pitch for "The Bearded Marxist." It's not that their guy is a catch and can sell himself on policy; it's that they must demonize the Krazy Teabagger. Selling that to a national audience won't work because that audience doesn't vote in DE, and the money bomb such a tactic is intended to promote actually works both ways. O'Donnell collected serious money to fund her own ground game. So, the DNC needs its own ground game going with lots of people out-glad-handing O'Donnell's presumably smaller team. I think that's why there's this serious influx of outside talent to help The Bearded Marxist Coons despite an "insurmountable" lead according to released polls.

In conclusion Karl Rove was a monumental, self-interested asshat in trying to sabotage the remaining, electorally-chosen conservative.

Posted by: AnonymousDrivel at October 12, 2010 11:29 AM (swuwV)

92

That commercial is hilarious.

I'm sure most people caught this, but they're alluding to the Youtube viral clip of the effeminate black guy who said, "Hide your kids.  Cuz they raping everyone up in here." -- or something like that.

Posted by: braininahat at October 12, 2010 12:03 PM (ospT1)

93

I don't know where anyone's getting the idea that Rove tried to sabotage O'Donnell "as primary results were rolling in." He made his remarks after the AP had already called the election for her. Polls had been closed in DE for almost an hour.

She's had more exposure and scrutiny than just about anyone, so more national attention is counterproductive.

Within the last week she has done interviews on CNN, and Greta van Susteren's show. These appearances may actually help her with the voters in her state. They certainly will add to her creds should she lose the election...she will have reinforced her viability as a conservative cable talking head, therefore opening up a couple doors to employment at Fox News or wherever.

 

Posted by: kallisto at October 12, 2010 01:19 PM (+FkcS)

94 I still think O'Donnell can win. I'm not predicting victory just yet, but I am encouraged that the Democrats are concerned enough to send in the heavy artillery.

Posted by: rickl at October 12, 2010 03:56 PM (hZFhS)

95 82

Why would Rove intend to kill a Republican candidacy? Recall that Castle was 11 points ahead of Coons on September 13. I read his remarks more as frustration that DE Republicans gave up an easy senate pick-up in favor of an extremely long shot.

Posted by: kallisto at October 12, 2010 11:46 AM (+FkcS)

Rove came out and shit all over COD.  He had a hissy fit because the Republican voters in DE didn't pick who he thought was the "sure thing".  Recall that Castle was however many points behind COD in the primary so she is the winner, he is the loser. As far as his points ahead of Coons: that was then this is now. Castle is a non-factor after the primary because he lost. One doesn't have to be a cheerleader for COD but you shouldn't be blocking and tacling for the other team.

And Rove is a part of the Right Wing Ruling Class who was the "Architect" of the Republican Highway away from Republican Principles. Mr. "Compassionate Conservative" Rove sullied the Republican Brand through the Bush years and is the Republican version of Dick Morris with triangulation deal.  He doesn't talk about ideas or principle he talks about elections.  He's backwards from Margaret Thatcher who said "first we win on ideas, then we win on elections." Rove was just spending the remaining winning capital of the Reagan era. 

Posted by: Minuteman at October 12, 2010 10:41 PM (264X9)

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