September 09, 2010
— DrewM Rasmussen says it's close, really close in the race to replace the Grand Cyclops (or whatever he was).
West Virginia Governor Joe Manchin and Republican businessman John Raese continue to run a surprisingly close race in the state's special Senate election to replace the late Robert Byrd.The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in West Virginia shows Manchin with 50% support and Raese with 45%, when leaners are included. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate in the race, and three percent (3%) are undecided.
The West Virginia race now moves from Leans Democratic to a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Senate Balance of Power rankings. Less than two weeks ago, the first post-primary survey of the race moved it from Solid Democratic to Leans Democratic.
Meanwhile, we are still waiting on word if Lisa "It's my damn seat cause daddy gave it to me" Murkowski is going to run a write-in campaign that can only be viewed as a sour grapes, spoiler effort.
National Republican establishment money is lining up behind Joe Miller, with a $212,000 pledge from the same national campaign committee Miller accused of trying to steal the election for incumbent U.S. Sen. Lisa Murkowski. The support comes as Murkowski is considering an independent write-in candidacy after losing to Miller in last month's Republican primary....Miller spokesman Randy DeSoto said Wednesday the campaign didn't think it was appropriate for the NRSC to choose sides before the Republican primary was decided.
"They heard us out, and they responded," DeSoto said. "We were pleased with their response, and we're pleased they're also backing the campaign."
Murkowski's own Denali Leadership Political Action Committee in May contributed $15,000 to the NRSC -- joining the pot of money that will now flow to Miller, potentially to use against Murkowski if she wages a write-in effort as an independent. Murkowski's campaign staffers are waiting to hear if she will.
Good to see the party apparatus coming together behind the legitimate party nominee.
Posted by: DrewM at
07:52 AM
| Comments (72)
Post contains 340 words, total size 2 kb.
Posted by: Zombie Robert Byrd at September 09, 2010 07:54 AM (z+/2Q)
Posted by: steevy at September 09, 2010 07:57 AM (Cd+Dw)
Post her staff's names. RINO Targets.
Posted by: maverick muse at September 09, 2010 07:57 AM (H+LJc)
WV is a waste of time.
It's time to "pour it on" in NV. Much bigger prize and much more winnable -- but it can easily slip away from us if we don't do it right.
Posted by: mr boner?, mr boner?, paging mr boner?g at September 09, 2010 07:58 AM (uFokq)
we didn't tolerate it from the nazis I don't see why we are now expected to from our domestic version in *some* cases....
Posted by: sven10077 at September 09, 2010 07:58 AM (kq1lG)
That makes the FLA Quran burner an Obama supporter.
So much for tagging him a radical conservative.
Has anyone come up with the preacher's school transcripts?
Posted by: maverick muse at September 09, 2010 07:59 AM (H+LJc)
Posted by: Boots at September 09, 2010 08:00 AM (06JTY)
Posted by: CAC at September 09, 2010 08:00 AM (lV4Fs)
And where would this leave her longterm political viability? Right in the shitter. She'd be toxic to Republicans after that, so it's just sour grapes and desire to be a spoiler.
There's literally nothing for her to gain from opposition other than spite.
Posted by: nickless at September 09, 2010 08:01 AM (MMC8r)
Posted by: maverick muse at September 09, 2010 08:01 AM (H+LJc)
re #1: that pastor has the world by the balls
If he doesn't burn the stupid books and just says that his point was made, he's a friggin genius.
Posted by: mr boner?, mr boner?, paging mr boner?g at September 09, 2010 08:01 AM (uFokq)
Posted by: The Chap in the Deerstalker Cap at September 09, 2010 08:02 AM (qndXR)
Look at her. Murko is already a has-been. All she has left is her "pride" so she's going to take her marbles and go home. To hell with Alaska and America.
Posted by: maverick muse at September 09, 2010 08:03 AM (H+LJc)
Posted by: Jerry Seinfeld at September 09, 2010 08:03 AM (Cd+Dw)
So if Osama Obama sucks some more Muzzie dick, Rauf might, just might, out of the goodness of his heart, move the GZ mosque site?
B.F.D.
Posted by: MrScribbler at September 09, 2010 08:03 AM (Ulu3i)
Hahahaha!!!! This brings a smile to my face, and a tingle up my leg.
Posted by: dan-O at September 09, 2010 08:03 AM (bRLuD)
Posted by: CAC at September 09, 2010 08:03 AM (lV4Fs)
Posted by: steevy at September 09, 2010 08:04 AM (Cd+Dw)
Was it Michelle Malkin who said the pastor in Florida should take this opportunity of major press coverage, and just READ passages from the koran? Make them record & play back all those lovely passages about why it's good to beat your wife, murder your daughters, and kill infidels?
That's what he ought to do.
Posted by: Boots at September 09, 2010 08:04 AM (06JTY)
Posted by: CAC at September 09, 2010 08:04 AM (lV4Fs)
To Florida. Buy out the wacko preacher and build the mosque on that site.
Posted by: maverick muse at September 09, 2010 08:04 AM (H+LJc)
Posted by: CAC at September 09, 2010 12:00 PM (lV4Fs)
Doable... leaning likely, I think.
Send money to the Senate candidates!
Posted by: Editor at September 09, 2010 08:05 AM (pUfK9)
OT: It seems the new lower than expected unemployment claims were, well make up.
9 states either estimated the claims themselves or the Government did it for them due to the Labor Day Holiday.
California which showed the highest drop in claims estimated the number themselves.
Posted by: robtr at September 09, 2010 08:06 AM (fwSHf)
Posted by: maverick muse at September 09, 2010 08:07 AM (H+LJc)
Posted by: Zombie David Duke at September 09, 2010 08:08 AM (zgZzy)
Fred Thompson's ragging on it.
Posted by: maverick muse at September 09, 2010 12:08 PM (H+LJc)
Hmm... that might actually be a positive for her.
Posted by: Editor at September 09, 2010 08:09 AM (pUfK9)
It's too late, won't pass, president's people say they won't bring it up, another stimulus bill on top of all the others that didn't work.
Posted by: maverick muse at September 09, 2010 08:10 AM (H+LJc)
Posted by: CAC at September 09, 2010 08:11 AM (lV4Fs)
It's too late, won't pass, president's people say they won't bring it up, another stimulus bill on top of all the others that didn't work.
Posted by: maverick muse
But other than that Mrs. lincoln, how did you enjoy the play?
Posted by: Blue Hen at September 09, 2010 08:11 AM (R2fpr)
Posted by: Jean at September 09, 2010 08:12 AM (kOLrd)
Few months ago probably 4 or 5. Now? Probably 8. With this, and hopefully more out of Connecticut, the Moron Prediction Average might hit 9 or 10 next week...
Posted by: CAC
Has a Dem firewall been published for the Senate seats yet?
Posted by: Blue Hen at September 09, 2010 08:12 AM (R2fpr)
Posted by: CAC at September 09, 2010 08:17 AM (lV4Fs)
Posted by: CAC at September 09, 2010 08:23 AM (lV4Fs)
They are going to abandon ALL the Republican Open seats.
Then they abandon races which are totally lost-
AR,IN,DE,ND.
If that still doesnt help them, Sestak goes under the bus too.
Perhaps even Alexi now that Kirk is about to unleash the monetary Kraken now that his favorables have climbed with his poll numbers.
The firewall to stop the flip will eventually be around-
California, Washington, Nevada, and Wisconsin.
The other 9 could go GOP, but still prevent a GOP Senate. They will protect their longterm incumbants ahead of anyone else- much like the NRSC trying to save Lisa Murkowski, their Dem equivilant will abandon all the young blood to save the old.
Posted by: CAC
Makes sense.
1.I am very worried that if O'Donnell wins here in Delaware, then it will be added to the list. They can trot out Biden here; it's the one place where his incompetence is revered.
2. Any truth to the rumors that Feingold is in serious trouble?
Posted by: Blue Hen at September 09, 2010 08:25 AM (R2fpr)
Really, he is a great governor, you should keep him where he is. Seriously, don't kick him out. A vote for Raese is a vote for Manchin.
Posted by: Guy Fawkes at September 09, 2010 08:27 AM (L8kaT)
They already shitcanned Molohan. Joe "Open For Business" Manchin has been seen as a competent, popular Governor who was good enough at his job until he was tied too closely to Obama and ran for US Senate. If he thought he could have gotten away with appointing himself to the seat and keeping it, he would, but there is a chill wind blowing for incumbents. Joe Manchin could easily be the next Charlie Crist. This race is winnable.
Posted by: Tattoo De Plane at September 09, 2010 08:28 AM (mHQ7T)
Mustache Throwdown: Koran burner Terry Jones vs. Ambassador of Death John Bolton. Who wins?
I do!
Posted by: Hillary Clinton at September 09, 2010 08:30 AM (zgZzy)
Posted by: CAC at September 09, 2010 08:32 AM (lV4Fs)
They already shitcanned Molohan. Joe "Open For Business" Manchin has been seen as a competent, popular Governor who was good enough at his job until he was tied too closely to Obama and ran for US Senate. If he thought he could have gotten away with appointing himself to the seat and keeping it, he would, but there is a chill wind blowing for incumbents. Joe Manchin could easily be the next Charlie Crist. This race is winnable.
Posted by: Tattoo De Plane
If nothing else, this race is contestable. The Dems have to fight for this seat. Last year at this time, they were able to let an invalided klansman 'occupy' the seat. Now they have to fight to keep it. And to do so, they have to hide or repudiate their stated energy policies.
Even if Manchin wins, their hopes of ramming through crap an trade are slim. They have a better chance of Castle voting for it. Crap.
Posted by: Blue Hen at September 09, 2010 08:32 AM (R2fpr)
Every single Rasmussen poll shows Johnson up with a 1-2 pt lead.
PPP had Feingold up i believe by only 2 or 3?
Feingold is in the race for his life, on par with Murray, Reid, Boxer.
Posted by: CAC
No, I hadn't. I was curious to see his unfavorables and cash on hand for both. If this trand continues, even these incumbents may crater.
Posted by: Blue Hen at September 09, 2010 08:34 AM (R2fpr)
They are going to abandon ALL the Republican Open seats.
Then they abandon races which are totally lost-
AR,IN,DE,ND.
Bingo. The key here is where they will spend their money. Think about it, you are the DSCC chair. Where do you send your money? Now you're thinking about sinking money into what was a sure WV race, you have to send money to CT and IL. But you still need to protect incumbents in WA, WI, NV and CA.
PA is a lost cause, DE is if Castle wins, CO is probably not worth the money, etc., etc.
And the Murky fiasco is showing how these committees work. The incumbents can demand the lion's share of the money and I would guess that Reid and Boxer will be Hoovering up the cash. Murray and Feingold just aren't in the right cliques.
Moreover, the more money the Senate races get, the less money House races get. Republicans can win this year on a shoestring, but Democrats can't. Even with huge money blitzes, they still can't demonize candidates like Angle enough.
Posted by: AmishDude at September 09, 2010 08:34 AM (T0NGe)
Posted by: Blue Hen at September 09, 2010 12:25 PM (R2fpr)
Here is Nate Silver in the NYT article
Republicans Have One-in-Four Chance to Claim Senate Majority, Model Shows
The other hurdle is more tangible: there are a series of competitive Republican primaries, in which candidates supported by the Tea Party are pitted against more moderate alternatives.
In Delaware, for instance, Christine O’Donnell — who has the Tea Party’s support — could defeat Representative Michael N. Castle in the primary there next week. Mr. Castle, Delaware’s former governor and its lone representative in the House, would be a clear favorite against his Democratic opponent, Chris Coons. But Mr. Coons would be favored to defeat Ms. O’Donnell, making Republicans’ prospects of a Senate takeover considerably more remote.
Posted by: Tattoo De Plane at September 09, 2010 08:34 AM (mHQ7T)
Posted by: runningrn humming John Denver at September 09, 2010 08:36 AM (8GYOu)
Speaking of Crist, when do you think the Kendrick Meek scandal will break?
Because you know it's coming. Meek can't win a 2-way race. Crist can't allow Meek to take the traditional Democrat votes.
Posted by: AmishDude at September 09, 2010 08:37 AM (T0NGe)
With a Republican Senate majority, Castle will toe the line and do as he's told. He will be a reliable enough vote for the next four years, at least.
Posted by: Tattoo De Plane at September 09, 2010 08:38 AM (mHQ7T)
Posted by: AmishDude at September 09, 2010 12:37 PM (T0NGe)
Would Obama do that to a brother? I would think that would backfire on the Dems and on Crist.
Posted by: Tattoo De Plane at September 09, 2010 08:40 AM (mHQ7T)
With a Republican Senate majority, Castle will toe the line and do as he's told. He will be a reliable enough vote for the next four years, at least.
Posted by: Tattoo De Plane
Ya know what would lock this here? To get someone to say that, just once, before the stinking primary. At this point, a blatant lie would be nice.
It would make it easier to ignore the hot, conservative tea party supported (quite possible balmy) chick and go with the septagenarian with the car door ears and 'F' rating from the NRA.
Posted by: Blue Hen at September 09, 2010 08:41 AM (R2fpr)
Murray and Feingold just aren't in the right cliques.
My impression of these two is that most Democratic Senators consider Feingold to be a bit of an asshole and Murray to be a lightweight.
As a parallel, the GOP didn't spend a lot of time shoring up Chafee in RI. I don't expect they'll exactly be sorry to see the back of Craig, as long as it's not in a public restroom.
Posted by: half the emperors of Japan and China at September 09, 2010 08:43 AM (9Sbz+)
hot, conservative tea party supported (quite possible balmy) chick
You mean "barmy" I think. If you want a senator who gets hot and humid in inappropriate moments then your candidate is Maria Cantwell (D, someone else's husband's bed).
Posted by: Zimriel at September 09, 2010 08:47 AM (9Sbz+)
The majority makes a world of difference. How's everyone liking this hope and change?
Posted by: Tattoo De Plane at September 09, 2010 08:48 AM (mHQ7T)
Posted by: Schwalbe at September 09, 2010 08:48 AM (UU0OF)
You're DEAD, undergrad DrewM!!!!! DEAD!!! Well, once I get out of the lockup.
Posted by: DOCTOR Amy Bishop at September 09, 2010 08:49 AM (3phFo)
hot, conservative tea party supported (quite possible balmy) chick
You mean "barmy" I think. If you want a senator who gets hot and humid in inappropriate moments then your candidate is Maria Cantwell (D, someone else's husband's bed).
Posted by: Zimriel
1. That too.
2. Are there any tapes, and would I need brain bleach if I watched?
P.S. She has been on the scene for a while here, and we're presented with our own 'Tea party/Sarah kinda ' scenario here.
And all logic dictates that we vote against that and go with the liberal Republican. Castle is not a moderate. And that is what I'm gonna do. But Castle needs to muscle or finesse his way past that obstacle to get into the general.
Posted by: Blue Hen at September 09, 2010 08:50 AM (R2fpr)
ZING! There went my beverage all over my monitor. O'Donnell does like the proverbial crazy ex who was great in bed.
Posted by: Tattoo De Plane at September 09, 2010 08:50 AM (mHQ7T)
The majority makes a world of difference. How's everyone liking this hope and change?
Posted by: Tattoo De Plane
Agreed, never said otherwise. But please note this: No one here in Delaware is saying that. They are touting fiscal strength (many points for, cap'n trade against) and running attack ads. In fact, now the national press is touting him as a moderate, centrist kinda guy. If he's looking to join the "John McCain Repubs we like provided they don't run for president", then he's doing great. But he's supposed to be selling those immense ears to the local Republican party.
Posted by: Blue Hen at September 09, 2010 08:54 AM (R2fpr)
Posted by: TimothyJ at September 09, 2010 08:57 AM (b+pBW)
Posted by: Stephanie at September 09, 2010 10:25 AM (RjAFv)
Posted by: Zombie Exalted Cyclops Byrd at September 09, 2010 11:01 AM (9cflz)
Are you MOCKING ME, BYRD!!!!
You're a DEAD ZOMBIE, BYRD!!! DEAD WHEN I CUT OFF YOUR FREAKIN' HEAD OR PULL OUT YOUR NON-BEATING HEART!!!!
Posted by: DOCTOR Amy Bishop at September 09, 2010 01:11 PM (3phFo)
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News just out - koran burning pastor might change his plans if Obama asks him to.
And of course it would be even better if he was riding a unicycle on a tightrope and carrying a little umbrella while he asked.
oh and there has to be a monkey involved.
Posted by: Tom Servo at September 09, 2010 07:54 AM (T1boi)