December 27, 2010

Horrid, Frigid Snowbound Winter. Must Be Global Warming.
— Ace

Must be.

Based on global warming theory — and according to official weather forecasts made earlier in the year — this winter should be warm and dry. It's anything but. Ice and snow cover vast parts of both Europe and North America, in one of the coldest Decembers in history.

A cautionary tale? You bet. Prognosticators who wrote the U.N.'s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, or IPCC, global warming report in 2007 predicted an inevitable, century-long rise in global temperatures of two degrees or more. Only higher temperatures were foreseen. Moderate or even lower temperatures, as we're experiencing now, weren't even listed as a possibility.

Since at least 1998, however, no significant warming trend has been noticeable. Unfortunately, none of the 24 models used by the IPCC views that as possible. They are at odds with reality.

Karl Popper, the late, great philosopher of science, noted that for something to be called scientific, it must be, as he put it, "falsifiable." That is, for something to be scientifically true, you must be able to test it to see if it's false. That's what scientific experimentation and observation do. That's the essence of the scientific method.

Unfortunately, the prophets of climate doom violate this idea. No matter what happens, it always confirms their basic premise that the world is getting hotter. The weather turns cold and wet? It's global warming, they say. Weather turns hot? Global warming. No change? Global warming. More hurricanes? Global warming. No hurricanes? You guessed it.

Posted by: Ace at 12:14 PM | Comments (43)
Post contains 265 words, total size 2 kb.

1 Global warming is an anomaly. My model of global warming doesn't work. QED: global warming is real.

Posted by: t-bird at December 27, 2010 12:19 PM (kho+0)

2 Cowboys' season was caused by global warming. It's proved in this peer-reviewed article right here.

Posted by: Gary Rosen at December 27, 2010 12:22 PM (9CzKK)

3 My mom (bless her heart) will tell me quite seriously that the global average temperature dropping is a feature of Global Warming.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at December 27, 2010 12:23 PM (8y9MW)

4 Ace, I think your post got aced out by Gabe's bogus timestamp.

Posted by: t-bird at December 27, 2010 12:23 PM (kho+0)

5 There's no point in talking about the "science" of AGW anymore.  It's entirely an ideological phenomenon.  I no longer give anyone the benefit of the doubt when they claim they still "believe in" the Al Gore version of the Earth Sciences. Nobody with a brain really believes it and the only people who repeat it are lying.
Not mistaken, lying.

Posted by: Lincolntf at December 27, 2010 12:26 PM (T+5rr)

6
Global Warming? never heard of it.

Posted by: I R A Darth Aggie © at December 27, 2010 12:27 PM (BDH94)

7 and this as we are headed toward a solar maximum.. it should be getting hotter, not colder!

One quibble though...  weather is not climate.. a lot of the global "warming" is being taken up by the seas..  What effect this will have, though, is anyone's guess as these idiot climate scientists apparently haven't a clue.

Posted by: ChiTown-Jerry at December 27, 2010 12:31 PM (f9c2L)

8 It's amusing that the very people who want us to get rid of incandescents because they use too much electricity are the same people who want us to use electric cars, because it seems that electricity is generated by green pixies.  Cognitive dissonance, anyone?

Posted by: pep at December 27, 2010 12:32 PM (8lSIO)

9 Carbon dioxide and I have been lovers for 2 billion years. Didn't you notice we have the same address?

Posted by: Gaia at December 27, 2010 12:33 PM (XXyJt)

10 Posted by: Lincolntf at December 27, 2010 04:26 PM (T+5rr)

True, as their ridiculous rebranding of the issue should point out.

First: Global Cooling (1970s)
Then: Global Warming (1980s & 90s - "Hole in the Ozone Layer!!")
Then: Global Warming (1990s & 2000s- "Crap, the Ozone hole is healing?  Ummm... Carbon Dioxide!  Greenhouse Gasses!")
Now: Global Climate Disruption ("Ha!  Debunk that, Cons!")

Of course, to know that Global Climate has been disrupted, one would have to know with certainty what the climate would have done without man's activity...

If you really want to see them cringe, do this (It only works on the atheists, but that's most of them, so it's okay):

"So humans are just animals like everything else, right?  There's no significant difference between us and apes?...  So, we're just here naturally, doing what our natures require, right?... So how can we be blamed for acting as our natures require, would that be 'built in' to the global climate system?"

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at December 27, 2010 12:34 PM (8y9MW)

11 Global warming is a cult with Al Gore as its high priest.  It is as big a threat to civilization as radical Islam.  It is the biggest swindle the world has ever seen.

Its sycophants are still waiting for their share of the money from the former Nigerian Treasury Minister.

Posted by: MarkD at December 27, 2010 12:40 PM (0Jy1K)

12 AllenG's mom ain't the only one: http://tinyurl.com/25cb7hy The new talking point around the Left that I'm picking up is that global warming has caused such severe glacial recession and melting icebergs, that the resulting colder deeper sea water has affected oceanic streams and sea flowing currents such as the gulf stream, and the resulting latitudinally lower arctic cold patterns (unbuffered by high pressure) are causing the cold flashes in the northern hemisphere, particularly Europe.

Posted by: BuddyPC at December 27, 2010 12:41 PM (N/Bgb)

13 The new talking point around the Left that I'm picking up is that global warming has caused such severe glacial recession and melting icebergs, that the resulting colder deeper sea water has affected oceanic streams and sea flowing currents such as the gulf stream, and the resulting latitudinally lower arctic cold patterns (unbuffered by high pressure) are causing the cold flashes in the northern hemisphere, particularly Europe. Posted by: BuddyPC at December 27, 2010 04:41 PM (N/Bgb) Yes, and ten years ago they said these melt-induced changes in global ocean currents would produce tropical climates in England and New England. ACME Goalpost Moving Company must be raking it in.

Posted by: eman at December 27, 2010 12:45 PM (XXyJt)

14 that the resulting colder deeper sea water has affected oceanic streams and sea flowing currents such as the gulf stream

As a native of Texas, let me say: I would grovel at the feet of anyone who could reliably cool the Gulf stream.  I love Texas, and I like summer better than winter, but 89 degrees beats 100+ any day of the week.

Of course, that also goes back to my other statement: assuming they're right (they're not, but go with it) wouldn't that indicate that the globe is already designed to self-regulate its temperature?  It gets too hot, so it releases cold water from glaciers, which then causes the globe to cool, which will lock up water back into the glaciers, which will allow the globe to warm?

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at December 27, 2010 12:47 PM (8y9MW)

15 @12
And yet, when they were making their predictions, this wasn't one of them.  Sorry, but if you were pushing AGW, that's pretty much it for your models, and hence your theory. 

Posted by: pep at December 27, 2010 12:49 PM (8lSIO)

16 Posted by: pep at December 27, 2010 04:49 PM (8lSIO)

Bah, you just don't understand science!  The consensus has spoken!

Posted by: IPCC at December 27, 2010 12:50 PM (8y9MW)

17 Science!

You keep using that word. I do not think it means what you think it means.

It's Cargo Cult Science

When they call you "denier", respond that they are "cargo cultists".

Posted by: Zombie richard Feynman at December 27, 2010 01:02 PM (HmCnI)

18 @16
Damn.  40 years in the lab wasted!

Posted by: pep at December 27, 2010 01:02 PM (8lSIO)

19 I pity the fool that doesn't believe in Global Warming Climate Change!

Posted by: Mr. T-Paw at December 27, 2010 01:04 PM (HjPtV)

20 13
ACME Goalpost Moving Company must be raking it in.
Posted by: eman at December 27, 2010 04:45 PM (XXyJt)

Touted by penny stock newsletters everywhere!

Posted by: Dazed traders at December 27, 2010 01:06 PM (HmCnI)

21 Another new tag? I pick them up quicker than a dogs pick up fleas!

Posted by: 'ron who picks up new tags like dogs pick up fleas at December 27, 2010 01:08 PM (HmCnI)

22 I felt some Global Climate Disruption blowing up my shorts while raking leaves just now.  Refreshing like a York Peppermint Patty.

Posted by: Count de Monet at December 27, 2010 01:09 PM (XBM1t)

23 The whole C02 thing was about keeping the environmentalists employed now that almost all the real pollution has been cleaned up. Ain't never runnin' of C02 to clean up equals permanent job security. Ql

Posted by: Lokki at December 27, 2010 01:22 PM (6Qqcm)

24 Actually, is it is warmer here in the Great White North, in spite of the snow.  We used to have entire months that wouldn't go above zero degrees.  The rivers would freeze over, and all the little bugs and crop diseases would be killed off good.  We haven't had a real winter like that since the 1980s.

But I don't know why it changed.

Posted by: JEANNIE - MT at December 27, 2010 01:25 PM (GdalM)

25 @24
Jeannie-
you are a victim of localized anthropogenic global warming (LAGW).  This will shortly be recognized by the left.  My living room, for example, is particularly warm. 

Posted by: pep at December 27, 2010 01:28 PM (8lSIO)

26 CO2 is about 0.039% of the atmosphere. Such a trace amount compared to the 1-4% that is H2O. Yet plants require the CO2 for photosynthesis. It seems to me, give the plants a break and help them out. Everyone should drive SUV's so plants can breathe more CO2 easier!

Posted by: Schwalbe © at December 27, 2010 01:32 PM (UU0OF)

27 Al Gore has about as much credibility when it comes to science as Michael Moore does as a weight loss expert. The global warming models haven't been able to predict the last decade, but we're expected to believe that they can predict what will happen 50 plus years from now? The models are just a cover for the global warming industry which is just a way of getting money from taxpayers to rent-seekers.

Posted by: nohammernosickl at December 27, 2010 01:41 PM (Z/zYN)

28 I wish these people weren't so predictible, but here you go: NY Times Bundle Up, ItÂ’s Global Warming http://www.nytimes.com/2010/12/26/opinion/26cohen.html?_r=1 and The Guardian That snow outside is what global warming looks like http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2010/dec/20/uk-snow-global-warming They just can't give up the meme... after all it's there to take away your liberty and give power to the leftists. The part these fools don't realize is that they are not the crocodile, they'll just be eaten last. Global Warming is what us intelligent people call 'weather.'

Posted by: NJRob at December 27, 2010 02:09 PM (Lh9iz)

29 This AWT crap is getting fucking old.

These are not "scientists", they've become Linus in the Pumpkin Patch ... "Next year, our models WILL show the Great Pumpkin rising up ... and cities will drown and all of you will be sorry ... " 

These are Priests of the New, Not Improved But Greatly Impoverished World We Designed Because We're So Fucking Smart and Have Computers 'n Shit.

Once upon a time, entire villages were burnt over disputes over how many angels could dance on a pin. You'd think "science" would have advanced us past the witch drownings and heretic torches ... instead, it has given a whole new playground to liberal koolaid drinkers.

Our only salvation may be a return visit by the Hale-Bopp comet. Buy a ticket for your favorite liberal.


Posted by: Full Moon at December 27, 2010 02:22 PM (DtbEv)

30 This may be the warmest year ever! Of course, that depends on how much you massage the data... http://tinyurl.com/22juzqm

Posted by: CockProf at December 27, 2010 02:43 PM (rdFBV)

31

How is it "science" when every weather pattern proves global warming?

 

Posted by: Lemon Kitten at December 27, 2010 04:19 PM (0fzsA)

32 Lol, come on guys were talking hundreds of billions on the line for these kleptocrats.  Free vacations to exotic locations, bribes, jobs that have no purpose and they are probably heavily invested some how.  They can't give up yet!  Al Gore got his payday, where is theirs!

Posted by: Africanus at December 27, 2010 06:19 PM (ygqbC)

33 Ugly divorce?  Global warming.

Posted by: rdbrewer at December 27, 2010 07:25 PM (Hzaeu)

34

Big hardon?  Global warming.

Posted by: rdbrewer at December 27, 2010 07:25 PM (Hzaeu)

35 Replica watches? Ugg boots? Global warming..

Posted by: CMU VET at December 27, 2010 08:50 PM (1KGvT)

36 Hell, even algore sold his carbon credits shares/interests. What does that tell you?

Posted by: CMU VET at December 27, 2010 08:53 PM (1KGvT)

37

The new term is "Irritable Climate Syndrome".  Get it right.

(smalldeadanimals.com)

Posted by: theCork at December 27, 2010 09:00 PM (SSp6B)

38

So... did the alarmists predict the growth of glaciers, the growth of both polar ice caps, the massive snows in the Northern and Southern hemispheres, and the cool/cold summer we had in SoCal?

Gee, I missed those papers.  Anybody else see them?

Posted by: theCork at December 27, 2010 09:07 PM (SSp6B)

39 You'd think "science" would have advanced us past the witch drownings and heretic torches ...

Posted by: Full Moon at December 27, 2010 06:22 PM (DtbEv)

This new learning amazes me, sir.  Explain again how sheeps' bladders may be employed to prevent earthquakes.

Posted by: theCork at December 27, 2010 09:10 PM (SSp6B)

40 We haven't had a real winter like that since the 1980s.

Posted by: JEANNIE - MT at December 27, 2010 05:25 PM (GdalM)

You lie.  My Montana-native friends have done nothing but complain about this season.  Anyone can Google "Montana Storm" in the News section right now and see the current winter storm warnings.

Posted by: theCork at December 27, 2010 09:22 PM (SSp6B)

41

  #24.  You want to kill off the bugs?  Well get the ban on DDT lifted.  You know DDT, that other lie of the enviro-left? 

Posted by: Case at December 27, 2010 09:58 PM (0K+Kw)

42 44 You'd think "science" would have advanced us past the witch drownings and heretic torches ...

Posted by: Full Moon at December 27, 2010 06:22 PM (DtbEv)

This new learning amazes me, sir.  Explain again how sheeps' bladders may be employed to prevent earthquakes.

---

HaHaHa ... it's Christmas and that's my gift to you. I didn't really get the point ... sheeps' bladders??? Are you trying to give these walking squirrel snacks ideas? Earthquakes???  You desperately want to fund "studies", don't you?

There is a point when "science" becomes "religion" and it is exactly when it will not accept challenges to the "concensus". There is no firm evidence that there is an upward trend in global temperatures and even if one is shown there is  insufficient data to show humans are in any way responsible. Accurate and widespread temperature measurement did not come on the scene until a little more than a century ago.

We are in one of those ice ages, the kind have been going on for millions of years, only we happen to be living in the warm era of same. It is possible the warming trend in this ice age has not finished and, if so, we could see some rise in temperature over the coming centuries. That would happen if there wasn't a single human on the planet. There is also a possibility we are entering, or have entered, the cooling phase of the ice age and could see dropping temperatures until the ice age reaches its temperature minima. Last time that happened, there were mile-high glaciers down as far as DC (a pleasant thought, actually). But, again, that will happen despite all the CO2 we can reasonably generate (we will assume no crash government program).

But it's the models that are the "bad science" in all of this. When all you have is incomplete, inaccurate data and you need models to "show" whatever it is you're theorizing, it really, really helps if those models produce results that fit what is known. Surprise!  That is not the case.  They have had to massage these models over and over again and so far none have been reliably predictive of anything.
They were so certain a warmer upper atmosphere existed because their models showed that was an inexhorable outcome of AGW. NASA spent millions on a study, including a special satellite for just that purpose, and found no measurable warming in the upper atmosphere.  It was a blow but it did not, has not, stopped the AGW evangelists.

But there is another troublesome "fact" that no one on the AGW seems willing to address. It has to do with this:  humans produce only a miniscule portion of the total CO2 produced -- the vast majority is produced by natural means and that would be so, again, if not a single human populated the planet. How does impoverishing the human race ensure a stop in global warming when an uptick in volcanic activity would completely undermine such an effort (and most volcanoes are under the sea)?  It's a question of removing a drop of poison from a container full of poison -- how does that make the concoction less poisoning? This is simple logic, something most scientists should understand but the AGW crowd certainly doesn't. Therefore, one has to either suspect their academic credentials or entertain the prospect they have other motives for their advocacy.

When you stand and defend computer models in face of failure after failure, it then becomes a matter of religion. Sheep bladders and all that (although what this has to do with earthquakes, only a left winger would know which excludes me completely). It is a Peanuts religion, with Linus standing in the pumpkin patch, railing against those of little faith, promising that next year the Great Pumpkin will rise above all the pumpkin patches across the land, visiting those patches that are the most sincere. Fire and damnation to those who don't believe.

I'll leave reading of entrails to those better employed in such endeavors.


Posted by: Full Moon at December 28, 2010 08:08 AM (DtbEv)

43 I prefer to call it "Restless Cloud Syndrome." 

Posted by: Big Fat Meanie at December 28, 2010 09:20 AM (3iMgs)

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