February 06, 2010
— Dave in Texas An analysis by the numbers.

What's wrong with this picture?
Largely that it is politically motivated to provide cover for Capn Wonderful through year one.
What the CBPP did was take their least-favorite policies and add the the costs of those policies up until they matched the 2009 deficit. ThatÂ’s not a proper way to compute a deficit, as it will only be accurate for the calibration year: 2009.
The nugget in the story (read it all please) is that discouraging business growth exacerbates the problem. Business and industry react to conditions just like people do, i.e. self-preservation. They tighten their belts when the waves come crashing, to weather the storm. Anecdotally, my own company started reading the tea leaves in the early summer of 2008, and we adjusted our plan accordingly.
And by that I mean "down". Way down. We're sucking it up to ride it out.
This is why "job incentives" can't work. No fool is going to throw good money into the maw. We cannot take on long term obligations in the present situation, apart from funded initiatives. Cause we're not dumb.
Most people who manage the balance sheet are not fools.
Posted by: Dave in Texas at
12:33 PM
| Comments (68)
Post contains 211 words, total size 2 kb.
Kinda disappointed that none of the cob loggers or moron(ettes) mentioned that today is Reagan's birthday..
...great anecdote from NRO that shows not only was he a great man, but a good one as well..
He was classier than the Keynsian Kenyan by orders of magnitude
Posted by: beedubya at February 06, 2010 12:42 PM (AnTyA)
Posted by: Diego at February 06, 2010 12:43 PM (b0XoN)
Posted by: Diego at February 06, 2010 12:44 PM (b0XoN)
Hiring new people these days is a waste of money. Businesses will just get more work out of the people they have already hired, or fire them and, if needs be, rehire others at drastically lower wages.
The looming taxes will kill us economically.
Good thinking, Barry.
Posted by: TexasJew at February 06, 2010 12:46 PM (rl/bG)
Posted by: JFH at February 06, 2010 12:46 PM (DkCuG)
Posted by: Condescending liberal at February 06, 2010 12:47 PM (ucq49)
Speak of the Devil... Steyn on Obama's unsustainable cocksuckertude and a roundup of its inherent contradictions. And, no, he doesn't use the neologism "cocksuckertude". [Hat tip five feet of fury]
Posted by: andycanuck at February 06, 2010 12:50 PM (2qU2d)
Northern va, our power went out at 1 am and we just got it back. The house was starting to get cold. Couldn't go anywhere because of being buried in snow. hundreds of thousands without power and stuck at home.
So while I was incommunicado, Obama do anything stupid? The snow is actually good because congress will not be able to meet for a week.
Posted by: dagny at February 06, 2010 12:53 PM (KUtjx)
"Anecdotally, my own company started reading the tea leaves in the early summer of 2008, and we adjusted our plan accordingly."
Ditto for my company, and most biz owners I know have done the same. They have no intentions of risking adding new employees only to have to lay them off immediately b/c who knows what is comning down the pipe from the lunancy in DC.
Posted by: johnc_recent_EX-democrat at February 06, 2010 12:54 PM (ACkhT)
Posted by: 29Victor at February 06, 2010 12:54 PM (HaMuw)
Posted by: Gromit at February 06, 2010 12:54 PM (43zb6)
Barky is a fucking idiot....the only reason a business owner hires new people is because he has more work than the current crew can handle..
..the only way to create this excess work is to create demand...consumer spending is 70% of our economy...
..so how do we stimulate consumere demand??..by letting people keep more of their money...not a rebate...but a tax cut
Obama and the Jackass party are basically flushing money down the toilet..oh..and taking care of their union and bankster buddies
Posted by: beedubya at February 06, 2010 12:55 PM (AnTyA)
So while I was incommunicado, Obama do anything stupid?
Posted by: dagny at February 06, 2010 04:53 PM (KUtjx)
Well yes, he believes he made it snow to counter the global baloney nonsense from uncaring conservatives who only believe in Duty, Honor, and Country, and not abortion, government ownership of health care, and cradle to grave entitlements.
Posted by: Fish at February 06, 2010 12:58 PM (M5t+h)
"How stupid of me. If I want to get rich I should just raise my rates to $1,000,000/hr."
Let's do lunch. I have a place for you.
Posted by: Bary "the Economic Genious" at February 06, 2010 01:01 PM (ucq49)
Posted by: dagny at February 06, 2010 01:05 PM (KUtjx)
Posted by: Peaches at February 06, 2010 01:05 PM (9Wv2j)
What's right with this picture would be an easier start point -
- The years run incrementally from left to right on the x-axis.
That's all I got.
Posted by: Druid at February 06, 2010 01:17 PM (Gct7d)
Posted by: arhooley at February 06, 2010 01:19 PM (HJuHu)
Posted by: DocJ at February 06, 2010 01:20 PM (AWzOz)
I think of all the crazy economic shit liberals believe, "paying for tax cuts" pisses me off the most. That's just utter stupidity right there.
Posted by: wherestherum at February 06, 2010 01:20 PM (gofDd)
They are done (yes, I know they expire this year, but still, if you count them now you can't count them against the budget till 2019 or as improving the budget when they expire).
Why not include the housing bubble, the tech bubble, the oil bubble, WWII, Korea, Vietnam, and every time Al Gore farts?
Posted by: LifeTrek at February 06, 2010 01:22 PM (tJTIW)
Posted by: LifeTrek at February 06, 2010 01:23 PM (tJTIW)
First we have a little house cleaning, then we need to restore truth honor and your word. No more lies, cheating and stealing.
Posted by: bill-tb at February 06, 2010 01:27 PM (y+QfZ)
All those deficits during the evil Booouuush years were caused by tax cuts for the rich and evil blood for oil wars.
Never mind the fact that government rvenue INCREASED after the tax cuts.
Never mind that idiot Obama spent more money and had a large deficit after 3 months than the entire Bush year. Never mind that the communists were in full charge of congress and spending during the last 2 Bush years.
Of course due to our irrelevant press the peons will never know that.
Posted by: Vic at February 06, 2010 01:28 PM (QrA9E)
First, there was a small fender bender on the White House south lawn. Then a tree branch, overcome with snow, cracked and fell on a motorcade vehicle with press inside when the president was coming back from a speech at the Democratic National CommitteeÂ’s winter meeting in town.
That was God right there.
Posted by: wherestherum at February 06, 2010 01:33 PM (gofDd)
Posted by: Vic at February 06, 2010 01:34 PM (QrA9E)
Posted by: Christopher Taylor at February 06, 2010 01:34 PM (PQY7w)
None, because you can't inherit a deficit.
Now the debt is a different story, but Obama is likely to double it in his four years, so it isn't something he wants to talk about..
Posted by: 18-1 at February 06, 2010 01:35 PM (bgcml)
Tax cuts don't require elected officials and government bureaucrats to administer the granting of funds to their special interest buddies. Therein lies the problem. Gotta protect their phoney-baloney jobs at the expense of our county's best interest.
IT'S FOR THE CHILDRENS!!!
Posted by: peoples front of judea at February 06, 2010 01:39 PM (iV4X6)
Actually, this is another thing that annoys me. The Democrats - including Obama - took congress in 2006. So yes, they do, at least, share the blame for the downturn.
Just because most Obama voters don't know this is no reason to continue the charade...
Posted by: 18-1 at February 06, 2010 01:43 PM (bgcml)
That was God right there.
Only if it hurt a State Department security official not obeying traffic laws, hurting his knee and requiring an emergency room visit.
Posted by: andycanuck at February 06, 2010 01:47 PM (2qU2d)
If only. I like to think it was a warming to the press. Too bad it wasn't the whole tree.
Posted by: wherestherum at February 06, 2010 01:51 PM (gofDd)
By the way, to the vast majority of people, "Fairness is whatever benefits me and fucks you."
Posted by: kbdabear at February 06, 2010 02:00 PM (sYxEE)
Posted by: Reiver at February 06, 2010 02:25 PM (WvQhL)
Posted by: wherestherum at February 06, 2010 02:36 PM (gofDd)
Or a lightning bolt.
Posted by: BS, Inc. at February 06, 2010 02:55 PM (H8eTR)
Posted by: h0mi at February 06, 2010 03:09 PM (TYyxW)
Posted by: RushBabe at February 06, 2010 03:14 PM (LKkE8)
Theory 1/
If it doesn't have the word "Bush" in it, somebody might momentarily forget who to blame for Barry's problems. He's only been freaking PRESIDENT with majorities in both houses for a little over a freaking YEAR, after all, poor guy. What could he possibly have done about any of this?
Theory 2/
They just do it out of force of habit. They've been pretending that those tax cuts, which provably increased federal revenues, are a Cost Item, for so long and so loud, that by now it's just a damn automatic reflex for them. They literally can't help it.
"Why don't we include the Reagan tax cuts or the Kennedy tax cuts?"
DAMN that Warren G. Harding! His ruinous tax cuts may have obliterated his recession, but AT WHAT COST ?????????????? pant pant pant
Posted by: Stoop Davy Dave at February 06, 2010 03:25 PM (ZO7ND)
It's irreversible. The vast marjority of the Federal Budget is court mandated "entitlements." Spending freezes don't touch them. Meanwhile, Congress can't repeal this spending it didn't enact.
Even as Anthropogenic Global Warming has collapsed in Three Stooges Hilarity the Federal Government is still using it to abuse companies. Courts have legally mandated that carbon dioxide is a pollutant due to false Global Warming. Once again, Congress can do nothing to change this.
You're right to be terrified.
Posted by: Looking Glass at February 06, 2010 03:25 PM (LJSfA)
You know, you sure ask a lot of questions.
Posted by: Mark McGuinn, State Department garage, starting up the black SUV at February 06, 2010 03:27 PM (ZO7ND)
Why does the "Economic Downturn" add to the deficit? Sure it lowers tax revenue and such, but these geniuses can tell how much will be lost 10 years from now? Amazing! Also the wars still costing the same for the next 10 years? Good to know, eh?
This graph is made of lies, pure & evil lies!
Posted by: 5Cats at February 06, 2010 03:27 PM (HBEhc)
"I lived in Greece for more than two years, and one of my best memories is of a small hotelier at a seaside resort. He checked you in; he cooked; he did the landscaping at night; he did all the maintenance during the day. I asked him why he didn't hire more help, since his hotel wasn't all that small and he seemed to be going 24/7. What followed was a harangue about the cost of hiring a permanent worker in Greece, the difficulty of ever firing him if he proved worthless, and why he preferred to do everything himself rather than fill out all sorts of forms and hire unmotivated but tenured employees.
Besides, he said, almost everyone was on some sort of pension, disability, or government benefit, and was unwilling to work, so his choices were either illegal immigrants or broke foreign students. Then he launched into a blast against socialism, and explained how he was forced to become an expert tax dodger, how he would barter for all the transactions he could, and why he hated the government. He finished by sighing that in Greece, the people spend their time either devising ways to get government money or scheming to avoid the tax collectors — or, preferably, both."
http://corner.nationalreview.com/post/ ?q=ZWI4N2M4ZjNhMjY4NjE3NTE3NzBmNjVhNjQ2ZThmY2Q=
Posted by: Looking Glass at February 06, 2010 03:32 PM (LJSfA)
No no no! It was Bush, BUSH, BUUUUUUSH, and HIS irresponsible spending that ballooned this deficit! That's why we need to do five times as much of the exact same thing, you see, to fix it!
Posted by: John Maynard G Krebs at February 06, 2010 03:32 PM (ZO7ND)
"If you've ever wondered why almost everything government does is a total screwup, the answer is actually very simple.
If a business satisfies its customers, it gets more customers and more money. If a business fails to satisfy its customers, the customers go elsewhere and it loses money.
If a government agency satisfies its 'customers', it gets less money as funds are diverted elsewhere. If a government agency fails to satisfy its 'customers', it whines about how it's underfunded and gets more money.
Put quite simply, government agencies have a strong incentive to fail, while business has a strong incentive to succeed. Business rewards success, whereas government rewards failure. Government's motivation is totally backwards.
Imagine you ran a business where you adjusted employees' pay each year based on a performance appraisal. Those employees who did better than expected would have their pay cut because they clearly didn't need an incentive to work hard. Those employees who did worse than expected would have their pay increased to give them an incentive to work harder.
The whole idea is clearly absurd; anyone can see that if you paid people more for doing a bad job, that pretty soon all the employees would be doing as little work as possible in order to increase their pay. Doing a good job is difficult, but any fool can do a bad job.
So next time a failing school, police force or whatever is demanding more money to solve its problems, remember: if you reward failure... you just get more failure."
http://wackoworldchronicles.blogspot.com/
2007/05/why-government-fails.html
Posted by: Looking Glass at February 06, 2010 03:38 PM (LJSfA)
Posted by: JFH at February 06, 2010 04:46 PM (DkCuG)
Good question. Maybe they were using the same kind of foolproof forecasting methods that made this chart.
Posted by: AmishDude at February 06, 2010 03:38 PM (Vo2Ef)
Washington, D.C. -- House Democratic Leader Nancy Pelosi released the following statement today on the Bureau of Labor Statistics' announcement that 470,000 people abandoned their job searches in July and that 3.2 million private sector jobs have been lost since President Bush took office:Update: -- House Democratic Leader Nancy Pelosi released the following statement today on the Bureau of Labor Statistics' announcement that among the marginally attached, there were 1.1 million discouraged workers in January, up from 734,000 a year earlier. (The data are not seasonally adjusted.) Discouraged workers are persons not currently looking for work because they believe no jobs are available for them. The remaining 1.5 million people marginally attached to the labor force had not searched for work in the 4 weeks preceding the survey for reasons such as school attendance or family responsibilities.
“The fact is that President Bush’s misguided economic policies have failed to create jobs. Since President Bush took office, the country has lost 3.2 million jobs, the worst record since President Hoover. And today we learned that in July nearly half a million people gave up looking for a job.Updated: The fact is that President Obama's msguided economic policies have failed to create jobs. Since President Obama took office, the country has lost 4.1 million jobs, the worst record since President Hoover. And today we learned that true unemployment is over 17% and in January an additional 365,000 people gave up looking for a job.
“Job losses are taking a real toll on the financial security of American families. While Democrats are fighting for opportunity, jobs, and economic security for working families, Republicans continue to focus on helping those who need help the least.Updated: Job losses are taking a real toll on the financial security of American families. While Republicans are fighting for opportunity, jobs, and economic security for working families, Democrats continue to focus on cap and trade, cardcheck, obamacare and saving their seats after Scott Brown won the "Kennedy seat".
“According to today’s survey, while the national unemployment rate dropped slightly, it still stands at a near record high. In addition, the unemployment rate for African Americans was still over 11 percent in July, and the unemployment rate for Hispanics was 8.2 percent in July.Updated: According to today’s survey, while the national unemployment rate dropped slightly, it still stands at a near record high. In January, unemployment rates for most major worker groups--adult men (10.0 percent), teenagers (26.4 percent), blacks (16.5 percent), and Hispanics (12.6 percent)--showed little change.
“It is time for President Bush and the Republicans to get to work for all Americans, not just the elite few.”It is time for President Obama and the Democrats to get to work for all Americans, not just the elite few.
Posted by: onlyme at February 06, 2010 03:40 PM (7g4LE)
gee, do ya think that maybeeeee...just maaayyybbeeee the rich will just stop working so hard, and sit back and wait til the moron is out of office?
Posted by: mistress overdone at February 06, 2010 04:32 PM (2/oBD)
And yet the ones that don't manage the balance sheet profess to know the trick to get things going again.
Posted by: Blacque Jacques Shellacque at February 06, 2010 05:03 PM (8PFPH)
Posted by: Barry Sotero at February 06, 2010 05:12 PM (RykTt)
Posted by: Silicon Valley Jim at February 06, 2010 05:17 PM (MxPLV)
Posted by: snookered at February 06, 2010 05:46 PM (7Vg6Y)
I would be shocked, shocked, if "Afghanistan and Iraq" turned out to be "Afghanistan, Iraq, and Having a Military".
Posted by: Cincinnatus at February 06, 2010 06:47 PM (euuyg)
* When the final conference report was presented to the House on June 5, not one Republican voted for it.
* This means the 2009 budget was almost exclusively approved by Democrats, with "Yeas" coming from Obama, his Vice President Joe Biden, his Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel, and his Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.
* On October 1, 2008, Obama, Biden, and Clinton voted in favor of the $700 billion Troubled Assets Relief Program designed to prevent teetering financial institutions from completely destroying the economy.
* In February, 2009, a $787 billion stimulus bill was passed with just three Republican votes, and later signed by Obama.
* Weeks later, Congress approved and Obama signed $410 billion of additional spending.
Add it all up, and Obama approved every penny spent in fiscal 2009 either via his votes in the Senate or his signature as President.
Posted by: Greg at February 06, 2010 08:26 PM (fHiua)
Posted by: FatBaldnSassy at February 07, 2010 07:52 AM (hYr0p)
The COBRA subsidy raised the cost of health care for example. Many people could have short term health insurance plans at one fourth the cost and have plenty of coverage. But the government is throwing money at health insurance plans that only make insurance companies rich.
Posted by: ThackerAgency at February 07, 2010 10:34 AM (HhRUR)
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They really do not think much of us, do they?
Posted by: Herr Morgenholz at February 06, 2010 12:40 PM (IQZXU)