June 27, 2010
— Ace This is from Iran's semi-official news agency, so it's probably just propaganda, and even if it's "reportage," I doubt a cleric-run news agency gets a lot right.
But...
Israel Air Force aircraft dropped off large quantities of military gear at a Saudi Arabian military base a week ago, in preparation for a potential attack on Iran, a number of Iranian and Israeli news outlets have reported.The unconfirmed report, first published by the semi-official Iranian news agency Fars and the Islam Times Web site, claimed that on June 18 and 19, Israeli helicopters unloaded military equipment and built a base just over 8 km. outside the northwestern city of Tabuk, the closest Saudi city to Israel, located just south of Jordan. All civilian flights into and out of the city were said to have been canceled during the Israeli drop-off, and passengers were reportedly compensated by the Saudi authorities and accommodated in nearby hotels.
The claim follows a report two weeks ago in the London Times Magazine that Saudi Arabia had given Israel permission to fly through a narrow corridor of airspace in northern Saudi Arabia so as to shorten the flight time required for Israeli jets to reach Iran. The Times said that Saudi Arabia had adjusted its missile defense systems to ensure that Israeli jets are not shot down while passing through Saudi airspace on the way to an attack on IranÂ’s nuclear facilities.
Meanwhile, Italian PM Berlusconi says the G-8 firmly believes an Israeli strike is coming.
World leaders "believe absolutely" that Israel may decide to take military action against Iran to prevent the latter from acquiring nuclear weapons, Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi said Saturday.“Iran is not guaranteeing a peaceful production of nuclear power [so] the members of the G-8 are worried and believe absolutely that Israel will probably react preemptively,” Berlusconi told reporters following talks with other Group of Eight leaders north of Toronto.
Our own CIA, which famously declared in 2007 that Iran had absolutely shelved its nuke program (in order to stop Bush from ginning up support for his own strike), now says oopsie, Iran has enough fuel for two atomic bombs and it will only take two years to assemble them.
CIA Director Leon Panetta says Iran probably has enough low-enriched uranium for two nuclear weapons, but that it likely would take two years to build the bombs.Panetta also says he is doubtful that recent U.N. penalties will put an end to Iran's nuclear ambitions.
He says the penalties could help to weaken Tehran's government by creating serious economic problems. But he adds, "Will it deter them from their ambitions with regards to nuclear capability? Probably not."
Panetta tells ABC's "This Week" that there is "some debate" as to whether Iran will proceed with the bomb.
"Some debate." On one side we have the don't-worry-be-happy Persons of Stupid that published the fraudulent 2007 NIE, on the other side we have the non-mentally-challenged.
And the Israeli ambassador to the US says that US-Israel relations have moved beyond "crisis" point, because a crisis implies an acute situation, whereas the current situation is permanent.
Relations between Israel and its staunchest ally, the US, have suffered a "tectonic rift", according to Israel's ambassador to Washington.Michael Oren briefed Israeli diplomats on the sharp deterioration between the countries ahead of Israeli prime minister Binyamin Netanyahu's visit to the White House early next month.
According to those present, Oren said the situation had moved beyond a crisis that eventually passes. "There is no crisis in Israel-US relations because in a crisis there are ups and downs," he told the diplomats in Jerusalem. "Relations are in the state of a tectonic rift in which continents are drifting apart."
Posted by: Ace at
01:11 PM
| Comments (90)
Post contains 644 words, total size 5 kb.
Posted by: NC Ref at June 27, 2010 01:19 PM (EaxNH)
Posted by: rabidfox at June 27, 2010 01:21 PM (YfQ7d)
Since the Arab world and Saudi Arabia understand that President Obama is a weak person, maybe they decided to facilitate this happening,” Inbar said
True. But words you'll never see in US print.
Posted by: laceyunderalls at June 27, 2010 01:22 PM (JGDWS)
"Seious economic problems" can be inflicted slowly with sanctions, or very rapidly with ordnance.
What would you do? Try to hit their very large, numerous, and well-protected nuclear faclities, or shut down sectors of their economy by hitting obvious choke points?
Posted by: Wm T Sherman at June 27, 2010 01:23 PM (tm15w)
Posted by: sifty at June 27, 2010 01:24 PM (JR2D9)
Posted by: Darth Randall at June 27, 2010 01:24 PM (oLULt)
American Joo's should convey to Bibi our utmost disgust at his posturing to gain political leverage over the Iranian regime.
Posted by: B. "Smackmouth" Obama at June 27, 2010 01:24 PM (v1gw3)
The thing that always screamed obious bullshit to me was that 2007 NIE report said that Iran stopped production in 2003. See I do believe they halted their plans in 2003. Gee what happened in 2003 that might have made them stop. Maybe some dictator being removed from power due to his connections with WMD's?
But that's a report using evidence 4 years old. To believe that it was up to date was bullshit and nothing but political garbage. And Iran probably restarted serious production again in 2004 or 2005.
Posted by: buzzion at June 27, 2010 01:28 PM (oVQFe)
The Iranians: upgrading their missile capabilities, continuing to enrich uranium, and spouting off anti-Israeli rhetoric about every other day, and the CIA only believes there is only "some debate" if the Iranians are proceeding with a nuclear weapon?
God help us, because in the end, there will be only chaos.
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at June 27, 2010 01:28 PM (XIRKw)
A "cleric-run news agency", presumably you mean a news agency run by a distinct cadre of specially-trained, true believers, individuals self-selected for their willingness to adhere fanatically to an archaic set of discredited beliefs.
AKA: The New York Times editorial board.
Posted by: DelD at June 27, 2010 01:28 PM (asikV)
Posted by: davidt at June 27, 2010 01:28 PM (HtIec)
Posted by: Joe Bidet at June 27, 2010 01:28 PM (VXBR1)
If the Iranian government was going to topple or changes its ways the internal discontent, wouldn't that have happened by now?
Posted by: AD at June 27, 2010 01:29 PM (WLIJn)
But Iran could play their Hizballah card, and I expect to see this happen soon, maybe in concert with a Gaza action. Will Iran send the command to strike preemptively, immediately upon Israel's attack, or some time later, when Israel seems overly committed?
Many possible sequences and options.
Posted by: Arbalest at June 27, 2010 01:30 PM (nP/tp)
there is an uprising waiting to happen in Iran support it , it might make everyones job easier
our movment and this rhetoric might be for show, so that Iran complies
?maybe
Posted by: willow at June 27, 2010 01:30 PM (HyUIR)
Hey Mahmoud, in the peace accords with Israel, I agreed to swap the 57th state for your agreement not to bomb the Joo's. A man must live by his word, and I am a great example of honoring all my promises, with the exception of a few to those asshole conservatives.
Posted by: Barack O'Butthead at June 27, 2010 01:31 PM (v1gw3)
Sneaky. And contemptible.
Posted by: Cameron at June 27, 2010 01:31 PM (HxOLT)
Posted by: Precedent Fershizzle at June 27, 2010 01:33 PM (CvQuy)
Posted by: Rodney at June 27, 2010 01:33 PM (XRIh6)
So today I was in Cambridge and guess what I saw painted on the sidewalk. Go ahead, take a guess. I'll wait.
Give up?
On the sidewalk was a neatly painted (obviously the product of a stencil) U.S. OUT OF ISRAEL in 3" letters.
Some asshole is going around the streets of Cambridge and painting this nonsense on the sidewalks. This is typical Cambridge antics. I hate these people.
Posted by: a proud ewaster at June 27, 2010 01:33 PM (7/lTI)
Posted by: willow at June 27, 2010 01:33 PM (HyUIR)
Iran on war alert over "US and Israeli concentrations" in Azerbaijan
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at June 27, 2010 01:34 PM (XIRKw)
Posted by: eman at June 27, 2010 01:34 PM (kFytp)
Raise taxes, institute control of the health system, and shut down drilling.
Posted by: Precedent Fershizzle at June 27, 2010 01:35 PM (CvQuy)
Why isn't someone digging up all the videos with the leftwingers telling us Iran is at least 10 years away from completing the bomb and Bush is just trying to warmonger us into fear?
Posted by: a proud ewaster at June 27, 2010 01:36 PM (7/lTI)
I always suspected they would take more than a purely passive roll in the spanking of Iran.
Posted by: eman at June 27, 2010 05:34 PM (kFytp)
They also aren't stupid when it comes to staying in power. Whatever animosity they have, they know Israel isn't going to take over Saudi Arabia whereas there's a decent chance Iran (with the bomb) would love to.
Posted by: AD at June 27, 2010 01:38 PM (WLIJn)
btw, last week someone here mentioned how odd it is that gas prices haven't spiked because usually any little thing (such as the threat of a hurricane or a leaf falling from a tree) causes oil to spike.
A couple of years ago every time that asshole in Iran would saber-rattle it would cause a spike in oil prices. Now? Not so much. Weird.
Posted by: a proud ewaster at June 27, 2010 01:39 PM (7/lTI)
Posted by: eman at June 27, 2010 01:39 PM (kFytp)
And yet I keep seeing the report of a US/Israeli fleet having passed through the Suez. The presence of multiple US carrier groups in the Persian Gulf seems to be in several of these stories, so what should we make of that?
Posted by: Methos at June 27, 2010 01:41 PM (Xsi7M)
Posted by: alexthechick at June 27, 2010 01:42 PM (r07cb)
Posted by: GarandFan at June 27, 2010 01:44 PM (6mwMs)
Posted by: eman at June 27, 2010 01:45 PM (kFytp)
There was only one Israeli ship in that armada IIRC. That is mostly a symbolic show of strength, and you can see how much that's making the Iranians quake in their boots...
You think Obama has the stones to either: a) let the Israelis strike Iran or b) order strikes on Iranian targets?
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at June 27, 2010 01:45 PM (XIRKw)
I'm starting to think those people who think Obama is actually a Muslim may be on to something. Economic destruction of the US? Check. Real Destruction of Israel? Working on that. Bowing to every Muslim leader ever? Hey, there's only so much one man can do.
Posted by: BeckoningChasm at June 27, 2010 01:46 PM (eNxMU)
Posted by: eman at June 27, 2010 01:48 PM (kFytp)
The presence of multiple US carrier groups in the Persian Gulf seems to be in several of these stories, so what should we make of that?
Word is that was a normal rotation with an extra bit of protection.
But we move a carrier with an escort through Suez on a regular basis. It was not much out of the ordinary.
Posted by: garrett at June 27, 2010 01:48 PM (wGtrq)
I never win Battleship when Barack and I play.
Of course, we play the Affirmative Action edition...
Posted by: Super Joe Biden at June 27, 2010 01:49 PM (wGtrq)
well at least they won't hide behind "infants" this time;
The Iranian ship called "Infants of Gaza" had been expected to sail Sunday for Gaza carrying 1,100 tons of relief supplies and 10 pro-Palestinian activists but plans were canceled
Posted by: willow at June 27, 2010 01:52 PM (HyUIR)
The Iranian ship called "Infants of Gaza" had been expected to sail Sunday for Gaza carrying 1,100 tons of relief supplies and 10 pro-Palestinian activists but plans were canceled
They are going to Lebanon to take part of another 'Blockade Busting Cruise'.
Stay tuned for that one...
Posted by: garrett at June 27, 2010 01:53 PM (wGtrq)
Ahahahahahaha. No.
Posted by: alexthechick at June 27, 2010 01:53 PM (r07cb)
Look at the map. Tabuk gives the IDF no advantage at all. It's about 15 minutes flying time from Eilat. I don't see the advantage.
Now the Georgia/Azerbaijan base for an IDF attack makes much more sense. Before the Turks went batty, this would have been easy. Now, I don't know. Maybe they can fly over Greece to Bulgaria and east across the Black Sea.
Posted by: Scott at June 27, 2010 01:54 PM (S3AFi)
Posted by: The Liberals at Langley at June 27, 2010 01:55 PM (RD7QR)
Posted by: eman at June 27, 2010 01:57 PM (kFytp)
If Easy Bake calls to tell them to stand down no one will answer and he'll hear a recording of Yassar Arafat getting banged by a donkey.
Poor donkey.
Posted by: Cicero at June 27, 2010 02:01 PM (QKKT0)
I did, though I'm surely not the only one to have noticed. I think Purple Avenger suggested we're still working of the stockpiles that got built up after the last big price spike (when we were seeing stories of tankers fully loaded waiting waiting to dock until prices went up, but they never did).
You think Obama has the stones to either: a) let the Israelis strike Iran or b) order strikes on Iranian targets?
He can't stop it if they're not telling us what they're up to and/or their method of attack doesn't take them over Iraq. As for actively participating, I think it would blow up his base support like amnesty did to Bush, but I also think a lot of lefties are convinced that you instantly get a massive approval spike when you go to war (which he tried to use in 'combatting' the oil spill) and he might calculate that a summer surprise will help him in November. I would totally expect the Dems to shamelessly push the notion that changing control of Congress in the midst of ongoing hostilities with Iran (and make no mistake, Iran will unleash all the hell it can in response) is an expression of weakness and that the patriotic thing to do is vote for them.
Posted by: Methos at June 27, 2010 02:07 PM (Xsi7M)
Posted by: Dan M at June 27, 2010 02:11 PM (iwg7u)
Layers and layers of editing and fact-checking, that's what we need.
Posted by: Dave Weigel (PBUH) at June 27, 2010 02:26 PM (Vo2Ef)
Posted by: Precedent Fershizzle at June 27, 2010 05:33 PM (CvQuy)
Yeah, but they are all one big Sandtrap...
/Rimshot
Posted by: Tiger Woods at June 27, 2010 02:40 PM (77Zbc)
Posted by: CDR M at June 27, 2010 06:22 PM (5I8G0)
Yeah, and RimPac just started too.... so lots of Pac Fleet assets tied up with that...
Posted by: Romeo13 at June 27, 2010 02:42 PM (77Zbc)
Are you happy now, 52%-ers who believed the hype ?
While nothing in international relations is "permanent," the next Republican President will have some serious fence-mending to do with Israel and our other allies - hopefully including a strong rebuke of Obama's actions -
Right back 'atcha, Barry - and I don't want to hear any crying from your fangirls about how Presidents shouldn't be criticized by their successors after the way you've fragged Bush at every opportunity since you snuck in the back door wearing a disguise assumed office.
Posted by: societyis2blame at June 27, 2010 02:43 PM (7ZyYf)
But our people still want Obama to become dictator and implement his plans by force, right?
Posted by: Woodynhead Allen at June 27, 2010 02:55 PM (swuwV)
Posted by: Hillary Clintonesque at June 27, 2010 03:13 PM (sYrWB)
Barry "Israel must cease this attack immediately"
BiBi "I can"t HEAR youuuuuuu"
Posted by: Dastardly Dan at June 27, 2010 03:21 PM (l+M/3)
Posted by: Darth Randall at June 27, 2010 05:24 PM (oLULt)
I believe it. The Saudis know the first thing the Iranians will do when they get the bomb is throw their weight around the Arab world. The Persians have been doing that for, literally, thousands of years, so it's not like they're just being paranoid.
Posted by: Ace's liver at June 27, 2010 03:22 PM (LtIsn)
Posted by: Sarah Palinesque at June 27, 2010 03:28 PM (sYrWB)
Posted by: Harry Reidberg at June 27, 2010 03:43 PM (2+9Yx)
Posted by: J.J. Sefton at June 27, 2010 03:47 PM (9Cooa)
I guess you would call this the "nuclear option".
Probably they're best option and least destructive in civilian deaths. I would think maybe they disguise as a mistake on the Iranian side.
"Accident" at the reactor?
Posted by: Harry Reidberg at June 27, 2010 03:53 PM (2+9Yx)
Posted by: JEA at June 27, 2010 04:09 PM (fgU8w)
Yes, plus on top of that, the House of Saud has been in literal fear for the lives ever since Khomeini brought down the Shah. The kingdom they put together on paper in the 1920's isn't nearly so unified and subservient to them as they'd like the rest of the world to believe.
Posted by: Dave J. at June 27, 2010 04:11 PM (DCQ0q)
Posted by: steevy at June 27, 2010 04:14 PM (JyNX5)
http://www.debka.com/article/8868/
Posted by: mrbill at June 27, 2010 04:35 PM (rEgvK)
Posted by: K at June 27, 2010 05:04 PM (bfcmA)
No one in the Osama Obama regime can say "good morning" without lying. Expecting any kind of intelligence from them is an exercise in futility.
I hope Israel has something planned. No one else has the Dangling Reproductive Units to face off against Mad Mahmoud and his savages. and I hope the Traitor-in-Chief isn't dumb enough to try to stop them.
Posted by: MrScribbler at June 27, 2010 05:32 PM (Ulu3i)
The only reason I don't think that's correct is because I assume the day Ahmadinejad has a nuke is the day a nuke goes off in downtown Tel Aviv.
Posted by: Dave J. at June 27, 2010 05:35 PM (DCQ0q)
Posted by: Purple Avenger at June 27, 2010 05:37 PM (+CX7l)
Posted by: jainphx at June 27, 2010 06:13 PM (JOZMC)
Posted by: Joe Biden at June 27, 2010 06:45 PM (xJNQ0)
In my mind the next couple of weeks are the most probable window for the next few month. Right now the US has 2 CSG's within a couple of day's of striking distance of Iran, plus a couple more within a couple of weeks. That means Iran has some strategic ambiguity vis a vis US response. Sure, Bambi's been pretty hostile to Israel and passive, but the midterms are approaching and Jews are a significant demographic for the Democrats, especially when the current election has 2 NY, 1 PA, and 1 CN senators up for election. The Iranians have to take into account the possibility that Obama will back up Israel to keep some of those senate seats.
I don't think we or the Israelis will use an EMP on Iran, that opens the whole nuclear can of worms and will pretty much force Saudi Arabia, Syria, and Turkey (at least) into starting weapons programs. OTH we've, IIRC, had quite a bit of success using air-bursts of carbon fibers to bring down electrical grids. I doubt the Israeli's haven't learned the lesson.
Posted by: Jeff Gauch at June 27, 2010 08:19 PM (CO/RA)
Sippenhaft 50% of the CIA and their families. Tell the remainder that they have 72 hours to unfuck themselves or they go too. Then sippenhaft them 48 hours later. Then sippenhaft everyone in the Ivy leagues and media.
Film it all and broadcast worldwide live.
Then kick back with pina coladas.
Posted by: Fa Cube Itches at June 27, 2010 08:55 PM (8MuSQ)
Posted by: AoSHQ's sources: ewoks on the wooded moon of Endor at June 28, 2010 01:22 AM (sYrWB)
Posted by: J.J. Sefton at June 28, 2010 01:52 AM (9Cooa)
Posted by: tic toc at June 28, 2010 02:05 AM (liLAo)
Posted by: Moshe Ben Avram at June 28, 2010 02:54 AM (Qwq5/)
The electrical power grid and gasoline refineries are good choke points. Slow to repair, easy to destroy again.
Posted by: Steve Johnson at June 28, 2010 03:08 AM (vtqjZ)
#92 - You have just embellished on old news to fabricate a scenario that conforms with Ace's purely speculative comments.
The facts: The aircraft carrier. USS Harry S. Truman (CVN-75), began a ten-month deployment to the 5th and 6th Fleet areas of operations, in support of maritime security operations on May 21, 2010. The Truman led a task force of 11 American warships into the Suez Canal on June 20, 2010, also. That task force is currently on station in the vicinity of the Persian Gulf, which could include the Gulf Of Aden, the Arabian Sea and the Indian Ocean off of the coast of Somalia. It is purely speculative, also, but as was already reported weeks ago, those warships might exercise the right to inspect Iranian ships for the illegal transport of weapons, or they might provide a deterrant to Somalian pirates, or they might provide air-ground support in Afganistan and in that region. It is pure fantasy to speculate that they are there to support an attack on Iran by Israel. I suspect that is what Ace fantasizes about while he is playing with his toy ships in his bathtub, and while his mommy is bathing him, also.
Posted by: One never knows where these loonies' ideas come from at June 28, 2010 04:11 AM (sYrWB)
#92 - You have just embellished on old news to fabricate a scenario that conforms with Ace's purely speculative comments.
The facts: The aircraft carrier. USS Harry S. Truman (CVN-75), began a ten-month deployment to the 5th and 6th Fleet areas of operations, in support of maritime security operations on May 21, 2010. The Truman led a task force of 11 American warships into the Suez Canal on June 20, 2010, also. That task force is currently on station in the vicinity of the Persian Gulf, which could include the Gulf Of Aden, the Arabian Sea and the Indian Ocean off of the coasts of Yemen and Somalia. It is purely speculative, also, but as was already reported weeks ago, those warships might exercise the right to inspect Iranian ships for the illegal transport of weapons, or they might provide a deterrant to Somalian pirates, or they might provide air-ground support in Afganistan and in that region. It is pure fantasy to speculate that they are there to support an attack on Iran by Israel. I suspect that is what Ace fantasizes about while he is playing with his toy ships in his bathtub, and while his mommy is bathing him, also.
Posted by: One never knows where these loonies' ideas come from at June 28, 2010 08:11 AM (sYrWB)
P.S.: If it any consolation to you, it is rumored, but not known for sure that there is an unspecified, large contingent of U.S. Marines in that task force, also. That should give you something else to gossip about, for sure.
Posted by: One never knows where these loonies' ideas come from at June 28, 2010 04:30 AM (sYrWB)
Posted by: Denny Crane at June 28, 2010 05:51 AM (I+7Zv)
Posted by: Denny Crane at June 28, 2010 05:55 AM (I+7Zv)
Posted by: Denny Crane at June 28, 2010 06:15 AM (I+7Zv)
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Posted by: garrett at June 27, 2010 01:15 PM (wGtrq)