September 17, 2010
— DrewM A bit of a mixed bag.
First to Washington where Dino Rossi is running against Patty "Osama Bin Laden Has Made Lives Better" Murray. This race had been rated a "Toss-up" by Rasmussen but he's moving it to "Leans Democrat".
A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state finds Murray with 51% support, her best performance so far, while Republican challenger Dino Rossi earns 46% of the vote, with leaners included. One percent (1%) prefer some other candidate, and two percent (2%) are undecided.This race now moves from a Toss-Up to Leans Democrat in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Senate Balance of Power rankings.
Late last month, when leaners were included, Rossi held a slight 50% to 47% lead over Murray. Leaners are those who initially indicate no preference for either of the candidates but answer a follow-up question and say they are leaning towards a particular candidate. From this point forward, Rasmussen Reports considers results with leaners the primary indicator of the race.
When leaners are not included, Murray leads 49% to 46%. In the prior survey, excluding leaners, Rossi was ahead 48% to 46%.
In 10 previous surveys conducted since January, the candidates have been within two points of each other seven times. Murray's support has ranged from 45% to 50%, while Rossi has picked up 46% to 49%.
Looks like some Democrats are coming back to Murray. Hopefully, it's just a blip but Washington was always going to be an uphill fight. Still, Rossi's not totally out of it and he's going on the offensive against Sen. Tennis Shoes.
Tea party and Palin backed GOP primary candidate Clint Diedier still hasn't endorsed Rossi. In a 5 point race, a little unity could go a long way.
Here's Rossi's website.
Back in Ohio, as discussed yesterday, Republican Rob Portman is cruising.
Republican Rob Portman holds a 55 - 35 percent lead over Democratic Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher among likely voters in the race for Ohio's U.S. Senate seat, while President Barack Obama has a 60 - 38 percent disapproval rating, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll.By a 58 - 37 percent margin, likely Ohio voters want a U.S. Senator who opposes President Obama's policies, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University survey, conducted by live interviewers, finds. And by 49 - 31 percent, voters want Republicans rather than Democrats to control the U.S. Senate.
This is a seat the Republicans needed to hold and Portman is going to be a substantial upgrade over George "The Weeper" Voinovich.
And finally in Alaska, at 9pm tonight eastern (5pm in Alaska) Lisa Murkowski will announce her intentions about running a write in campaign in November. In the meantime, she wants us to know she's a very important person and the state of Alaska may not survive without her. That and primaries are unfair and probably sexist (unless she wins them and then they are swell).
"I'm a public servant. My job by definition is to listen to my constituents. And there was a process in place -- a primary election -- that's certainly one way that you listen to your constituents."She added: "When you think about the outcome of that, in a closed Republican primary, how many Alaskans were actually able to weigh in? So what is the will of the constituency? When you hear this outpouring of support and concern -- concern about the future of the state of Alaska and our representation here in the Senate -- you do feel a responsibility."
"I'm a public servant"? Then to paraphrase George Carlin, get me a sammich.
"I'm a public servant"? It sounds like a plea for help, "I have no marketable skills in the real world. Don't turn me out!"
Lisa...go away. You lost. You gave it your best shot and came up short. Gather up whatever little dignity you have and fade away into the wilds of Alaska or maybe K Street in DC. Either way, the voters have spoke, you must leave the Senate.
Fearless prediction...she's not going to do it. She'll make some sweet, sweet lobbying money in DC, hang out in Alaska on vacations and try again in 4 years against Mark Begich. No one who wants to make a splash, and even a sitting Senator reduced to this needs a splash for a write-in campaign, makes an announcement at 5pm on a Friday.
Posted by: DrewM at
07:09 AM
| Comments (104)
Post contains 744 words, total size 5 kb.
White House insider on Obama: The President is losing it
Used to see this stuff peddled widely on Bush, and it was garbage. However given Barry's weird steps lately...
Posted by: George Orwell at September 17, 2010 07:13 AM (AZGON)
Would Ace consider this in lieu of the flaming skull?
Posted by: journolist at September 17, 2010 07:13 AM (O/NP5)
Watch the Values Voters Summit live all morning here. Basically everyone who is thinking about running in 2012 is there and giving speeches. Mike Huckabee was first and wasted everyoneÂ’s time, but all of the good speeches are still to come!
Demint just finished up and Michelle Bachman is on fire right now!
Posted by: Dan at September 17, 2010 07:15 AM (9L1z6)
Posted by: Nighhawk at September 17, 2010 07:16 AM (OtQXp)
Posted by: Editor at September 17, 2010 07:17 AM (pUfK9)
Posted by: journolist at September 17, 2010 07:17 AM (O/NP5)
Posted by: WalrusRex at September 17, 2010 07:17 AM (xxgag)
Posted by: Penfold at September 17, 2010 07:17 AM (1PeEC)
Murky's like the Kathy Griffin of politics. She thinks she's remotely relevant. Oh and shes' a whore.
Posted by: laceyunderalls at September 17, 2010 07:18 AM (pLTLS)
Posted by: toby928 at September 17, 2010 11:15 AM (S5YRY)
This isn't an outlier. 2 polls ago, Rasmussen had her up, as well, though not over 50%. Though, at the exact same time, a poll conducted by the local NBC affiliate had Rossi up 7. *shrugs shoulders*
The truth is, there is no gusto. Rossi comes across almost disinterested in his ads. If he is now ramping it up, that is good.
Posted by: Editor at September 17, 2010 07:19 AM (pUfK9)
Posted by: Howlin' Mad Lisa at September 17, 2010 07:20 AM (xxgag)
Posted by: Captain Hate at September 17, 2010 07:20 AM (aIWP/)
Posted by: Jean at September 17, 2010 07:20 AM (Hx1qz)
Posted by: buzz at September 17, 2010 07:21 AM (i27M5)
Posted by: ya2daup at September 17, 2010 07:22 AM (yRrAd)
Conservative women calendar: http://tinyurl.com/2d54rnk
That's awesome! I'm so happy they put Starr Parker in that.
Memo to S.E. -- I love you, but the red hair ain't working.
Posted by: laceyunderalls at September 17, 2010 07:24 AM (pLTLS)
Posted by: jjshaka at September 17, 2010 07:25 AM (yknIg)
She added: "When you think about the outcome of that, in a closed Republican primary, how many Alaskans were actually able to weigh in?
Since it was the republican primary, presumably everyone who would have voted for you and cared enough to show up.
Posted by: Anybody at September 17, 2010 07:26 AM (zQKSr)
I've said before that most Americans are revolted by socialism and are intelligent enough to recognize the failure inherent in that type of model.
Of course, there are exceptions to the rule. Seattle, Portland, San Fran and a few other areas prove that.
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at September 17, 2010 07:26 AM (r1h5M)
Posted by: jjshaka at September 17, 2010 11:25 AM (yknIg)
Uh, not possible. We're all mail-in, here.
Posted by: Editor at September 17, 2010 07:26 AM (pUfK9)
Posted by: George Orwell at September 17, 2010 07:27 AM (AZGON)
Posted by: Dave C at September 17, 2010 07:27 AM (4uhuW)
Well, everyone except the one who matters. There's a little Iowa GOP event in Des Moines...
Posted by: someone at September 17, 2010 07:27 AM (DfAwB)
Posted by: toby928 at September 17, 2010 11:26 AM (S5YRY)
FIFY.
Posted by: Editor at September 17, 2010 07:27 AM (pUfK9)
Posted by: jjshaka at September 17, 2010 07:27 AM (yknIg)
Posted by: the entire county of Los Angeles at September 17, 2010 07:28 AM (AZGON)
Posted by: Levi Johnson at September 17, 2010 11:24 AM (OWjjx)
Levi, your calling is to mate with Meggie-Mac. She's in heat now. Go, boy, go!
Posted by: ya2daup at September 17, 2010 07:29 AM (yRrAd)
Posted by: Jean at September 17, 2010 11:20 AM (Hx1qz)
Or George Soros.
Posted by: KG at September 17, 2010 07:30 AM (S8TF5)
Posted by: AkRonin at September 17, 2010 07:30 AM (sSyL9)
Perfect.
Posted by: DarkLordOfTheIntarWebs at September 17, 2010 07:30 AM (IkEhE)
Posted by: toby928 at September 17, 2010 11:29 AM (S5YRY)
He won in 2004. They just stole it away from him.
Posted by: Editor at September 17, 2010 07:32 AM (pUfK9)
6th grade field trip to Boston mosque has boys praying to allah while the girls are told to stand in back.
Posted by: ryukyu at September 17, 2010 07:32 AM (MOHSR)
Posted by: Captain Hate at September 17, 2010 11:20 AM
I'm sure he tastes bitter, bitter, bitter.
Posted by: Ms Choksondik at September 17, 2010 07:33 AM (uvFJG)
Posted by: John Galt at September 17, 2010 07:34 AM (F/4zf)
Posted by: IllTemperedCur at September 17, 2010 07:34 AM (9Lm5R)
At what point do we demand Washington conduct clean elections?
Or are we simply conceding that Democrats can rig elections to come out however they wish?
Posted by: Rob Crawford at September 17, 2010 07:34 AM (ZJ/un)
Posted by: Lisa Murkowski at September 17, 2010 07:34 AM (AZGON)
Posted by: Mama AJ at September 17, 2010 07:37 AM (XdlcF)
Posted by: Rob Crawford at September 17, 2010 11:34 AM (ZJ/un)
Who do they think they are to do whatever they want regardless of the law? The Congressional Black Caucus?
Posted by: WalrusRex at September 17, 2010 07:38 AM (xxgag)
What "crime" is involved here? What law did this guy break?
I mean, I understand people can be accused of doing dumb things, but if there's actual law punishing someone who commits an act that is only dumb, we are closer than I thought to the totalitarian Islamic country envisioned for us by the Mohammedan Mouthpiece and his regime, and something had better be done damn quick.
http://bit.ly/arRmiZ
Posted by: MrScribbler at September 17, 2010 07:38 AM (Ulu3i)
Posted by: IllTemperedCur at September 17, 2010 07:39 AM (9Lm5R)
As for WA, I expected the Dem polls to make up ground after Labor Day we starting to see it now. Keep in mind though that even as the polls start swinging I don't think the polls accurately reflect the enthusiasm and turnout.
Maybe even these turning polls will be good for Republicans because it will keep them from getting the big head and complacency.
Posted by: Vic at September 17, 2010 07:39 AM (/jbAw)
Or are we simply conceding that Democrats can rig elections to come out however they wish?
Posted by: Rob Crawford at September 17, 2010 11:34 AM (ZJ/un)
We'll see if the Tea Party really puts an end to bidness as usual.
Posted by: Captain Hate at September 17, 2010 07:39 AM (aIWP/)
Posted by: someone at September 17, 2010 07:40 AM (DfAwB)
Posted by: ya2daup at September 17, 2010 11:29 AM (yRrAd)
And you two could get a reality show, Bitches.
Posted by: WalrusRex at September 17, 2010 07:40 AM (xxgag)
Posted by: the entire county of Los Angeles at September 17, 2010
How could you forget us?
Posted by: Astoria/Williamsburg Queens, NYC, NY aka The Hipster Douchebag Riviera at September 17, 2010 07:40 AM (Snu7z)
Posted by: Ian S. at September 17, 2010 07:42 AM (p05LM)
Holy crap! How arrogant can that Murkowski woman get?! She is basically saying- because Alaska had a closed primary, and not everybody (read Democrats who like RINOs) got to vote FOR ME (because to know me is to love me) then the "will of the constituency", despite her Primary defeat, is not satisfied. I do not think she would be satisfied even if the Alaska Board of Elections went door-to-door and asked every voter in Alaska personally who they want to run as the Republican candidate for senate.
These "scorched earth" tactics that many former incumbents are using, where they will do anything it takes to try and remain in office up to and including going against the will of the party voters, only send more and more moderates across the line to the Tea Party, as they begin to realize that these clowns are looking for the main chance, and not for the good of the people or party.
Posted by: DaveK at September 17, 2010 07:42 AM (boNGU)
Posted by: cali grump at September 17, 2010 07:43 AM (hL0k8)
Somehow, I don't think the ACLU will get involved with this one.
Really strange, considering their standard response to a kid praying in school is "OMG, EVIL, KILLITWITHFIRE~!"
Posted by: Brandon In Baton Rouge at September 17, 2010 07:43 AM (wDKwf)
Posted by: Lisa J. Le Petomane at September 17, 2010 07:44 AM (Snu7z)
Posted by: WalrusRex at September 17, 2010 07:45 AM (xxgag)
Posted by: Vic at September 17, 2010 11:39 AM (/jbAw)
Ditto.
Posted by: Editor at September 17, 2010 07:45 AM (pUfK9)
Posted by: Ian S. at September 17, 2010 11:42 AM (p05LM)
Heh, I'll go you one better: can you imagine today's Hollywood making a movie as anti-racist, and non-PC, as Blazing Saddles?
Posted by: Nighhawk at September 17, 2010 07:45 AM (OtQXp)
Sorry, can't wait for an open thread to post this.
I weep for my country. I can't even express my feelings right now. Outrage doesn't even come close. Now you know why I despise liberals.
Posted by: jewells at September 17, 2010 07:45 AM (l/N7H)
--I hope. As unsavory as Murky is, she still opposed Øbamacare and Begich supported it. Nevertheless, I hope in 4 years there will be a more solid alternative. Hell, Sarah for Senate apppeals to me a lot more than Sarah for President.
Posted by: logprof at September 17, 2010 07:45 AM (BP6Z1)
Posted by: RushBabe at September 17, 2010 07:46 AM (a3Z62)
I agree with all the basic Tea Party values, but we need to make sure the TP candidates have some intelligence and competence as well. Didier was selfish and brainless in defeat and he's hurting Rossi's chances now.
Posted by: rob at September 17, 2010 07:46 AM (h6sl7)
Posted by: the executive offices of CBS, NBC, ABC, CNN and NPR at September 17, 2010 07:46 AM (AZGON)
What has been interesting about this year is that we've been going along, minding our own business, when all of a sudden the GOP wave hits. Like in WI. Maybe it's one particular ad, maybe it's a story in the news that triggers it, but it seems to happen all at once. Maybe it will happen in WA.
As far as Murky, she's totally delusional. She was appointed by her father, which pissed Alaska off. She was re-elected because they didn't want to elect a Democrat.
She proceeded to rack up a moderate voting record (her real sin) and now she's gone.
She's starting to realize that she has no constituency. No moderate Republican does. They are compromise candidates. Republicans put them up so as not to lose the seat. Well, Alaska doesn't need one.
As far as Begich, she'd be better than him, but she won't win the primary. She's made too many enemies among Alaska Republican voters.
Posted by: AmishDude at September 17, 2010 07:47 AM (3wPsb)
Rossi is a conservative for sure but his campaigning style is so wimpy. He doesn't confront Murray hard enough on her specific record. I find it infuriating. People think he's a RINO simply because of his lack of being able to hit hard. I am not talking about dirty politics but Murray has so much low hanging fruit and all Dino does is talk in generalities. So disappointing. Supposedly, he has a Rand Paul campaign manager helping him. Really?
Posted by: mbabbitt at September 17, 2010 07:48 AM (p/jtE)
Posted by: Lili von Shtüpp at September 17, 2010 07:48 AM (AZGON)
Posted by: AkRonin at September 17, 2010 07:48 AM (sSyL9)
David Zucker tried with An American Carol and while it was a decent attempt, but it wasn't nearly as good as Blazing Saddles (at least the fragments of Blazing Saddles that I saw).
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at September 17, 2010 07:49 AM (9hSKh)
Posted by: rob at September 17, 2010 11:46 AM (h6sl7)
One thing to keep in mind about the Tea Party organizationS (pl). They are far from monolithic. There are some good ones and there are some that are so bad they are actually fighting the Tea Party stated values.
Posted by: Vic at September 17, 2010 07:50 AM (/jbAw)
Posted by: Dan at September 17, 2010 07:51 AM (1jzSs)
A Murkowski has had this seat since the state was founded! We founded this state! ... turn those voting machines back onnnnn ...
Posted by: Andy at September 17, 2010 07:51 AM (5Rurq)
One big, urgent crisis outside his rhetorical wheelbox and he's toast.
Posted by: DarkLordOfTheIntarWebs at September 17, 2010 07:52 AM (IkEhE)
Posted by: CAC at September 17, 2010 07:54 AM (lV4Fs)
Posted by: George Orwell at September 17, 2010 07:54 AM (AZGON)
Posted by: IllTemperedCur at September 17, 2010 07:55 AM (9Lm5R)
Posted by: AmishDude at September 17, 2010 07:55 AM (3wPsb)
Posted by: Dan at September 17, 2010 07:55 AM (1jzSs)
She won't win a write-in campaign. She might make is so that the Republican won't win. Is her ego that big?
Scorched earth.
Posted by: Lemon Kitten at September 17, 2010 07:58 AM (0fzsA)
"crunching the numbers and the Democrats look better here than conventional wisdom says"- my guess a likely voter poll showing Boxer up 6 or more and Brown up 3 or more, totally contradicting every other poll coming out of the state but just high enough to further skew the average.
Yes, I do think PPP and Newsweek exist only to push the PPP average.
"Crunching the numbers" doesn't suggest a LV poll with straightforward numbers showing a lead. But it might suggest that they are using a 2008 turnout model.
Posted by: AmishDude at September 17, 2010 07:59 AM (3wPsb)
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at September 17, 2010 11:49 AM (9hSKh)
You've never seen Blazing Saddles? Do yourself a favor and find a copy of the UNCUT DVD and watch it end-to-end.
You will be amazed at how far BACKWARDS race relations have come in America since the 1970's thanks to race-baiting con artists like Al Sharpton and Jesse Jackson.
Posted by: Nighhawk at September 17, 2010 08:03 AM (OtQXp)
Posted by: Mallamutt at September 17, 2010 11:32 AM (OWjjx)
Dude?
Posted by: DrewM. at September 17, 2010 08:07 AM (ycZcD)
Posted by: AmishDude at September 17, 2010 11:55 AM (3wPsb)
Rossi is having Scott Brown come to Washington, so don't be surprised if the Rossi Campaign has specifically asked those 2 NOT to publicly endorse him. That's how the WSRP rolls here. They suck.
Posted by: Editor at September 17, 2010 08:09 AM (pUfK9)
Yup. Draping everything in the uber-serious veil of political correctness and the "right to not be offended" are exactly the opposite of what we should have done, which was to lampoon racism. This was Mel Brooks whole point (same with The Producers).
Posted by: Andy at September 17, 2010 08:09 AM (5Rurq)
Posted by: AmishDude at September 17, 2010 11:52 AM (3wPsb)
I dunno. I'm with Vic and Editor on this. Honest, accurate polling relies on historical data and I don't think any of the pollsters have seen anything like what's happening this midterm election. Even Ras, whom most consider to fall in the honest, accurate category, can't do anything but go with the best data available, which is probably '94 for the Rs.
Posted by: NM Hick at September 17, 2010 08:14 AM (IzuWw)
Posted by: Schwalbe at September 17, 2010 08:17 AM (UU0OF)
Posted by: Donna at September 17, 2010 08:19 AM (yZg/M)
Posted by: Donna at September 17, 2010 12:19 PM (yZg/M)
I think pretty low, at this point.
Posted by: Editor at September 17, 2010 08:22 AM (pUfK9)
What I am saying is that it is very difficult to measure the enthusiasm factor in a poll. However, if you look at what has been happening in the primaries we are seeing unprecedented numbers of Republican voting and in most cases, voting to out RINOs if they were up for election.
Did the Republican base all of a sudden jump in numbers? I don't think so. What we are seeing has not happened in this country for hundreds of years. The "conservative" wing of the country is fed up and determined to do something about it.
That is why I keep saying to throw "conventional wisdom" out the window. This is all NEW.
Posted by: Vic at September 17, 2010 08:40 AM (/jbAw)
Posted by: mrp at September 17, 2010 09:02 AM (HjPtV)
I agree with all the basic Tea Party values, but we need to make sure the TP candidates have some intelligence and competence as well. Didier was selfish and brainless in defeat and he's hurting Rossi's chances now.
Ain't gonna happen.
It's a characteristic of decentralized spontaneous order. It has numerous plusses, but it is chaotic, there is no control, and failure is a vital and neccessary mechanism.
An organization without failure is like a body without pain - it may sound like a sweet gig but it's got issues.
Posted by: Entropy at September 17, 2010 09:04 AM (IsLT6)
Posted by: Paul at September 17, 2010 09:08 AM (DsHk0)
Posted by: Paul at September 17, 2010 01:08 PM (DsHk0)
She may have some other behind the seems scheme she is trying to pull with the Republican Party and this is a way to threaten them.
One never knows about these things. However, in any case she is rapidly burning her bridges. And like all traitors even the side that you "traitor for" will not trust you afterward.
Posted by: Vic at September 17, 2010 09:20 AM (/jbAw)
This pisses me off. You will smooch up to a party in order to use their name recognition and voter base to launch your Senate career when, if you hadn't, you would be a nothing name from nowhere, with no real life experience, and no skills, and certainly no political career; but when that voter base and party asks for its due in supporting the party platform and ideology, you routinely stiff them; and then after your career and name recognition is built by that party, and they reject you for your transgression, suddenly, the party is the evil and you should be allowed to face the whole of the constituency without the blessing of the base duly registered into the party, when if you had done that in the beginning you would have nothing, and been nothing.
So the end takeaway is, that parties are good so long as they serve your personal political career interests, and they are evil the instant they do not. You match the very definition of a RINO. Being part of the party is merely opportunistic, voting with the party if it occurs is merely coincidental to your own selfish acquisition of political capital; And turning on the party a foregone conclusion if it ever stands in the way of you gaining or maintaining power.
Arlen Specter is the modern political Benedict Arnold of the new struggle for freedom.
And yes, you ma'am are an Arlen Specter.
And I don't like to think of it as a purge so much as a flush.
Posted by: MikeTheMoose at September 17, 2010 09:33 AM (0q2P7)
Tea party and Palin backed GOP primary candidate Clint Diedier still hasn't endorsed Rossi. In a 5 point race, a little unity could go a long way.
Palin needs to put on some pressure. That's leadership.
Posted by: Emperor of icecream at September 17, 2010 11:15 AM (epBek)
Blaming Didier for Dino's stupidity isn't a winning argument.
Posted by: mrp at September 17, 2010 12:15 PM (HjPtV)
As a Floridian, I hereby grant Miller the right to use a Rubio opening line about "This is a very important election. It's not just a choice between a Democrat, a Republican and an Opportunist".
CC
Posted by: CapedConservative at September 17, 2010 01:33 PM (GKZBr)
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Posted by: fluffy at September 17, 2010 07:13 AM (4Kl5M)