November 19, 2010

Murkowski II: The Revenge
— Ace

At Hot Air, This time, it's personal.

Murkowski also goes on to say that she is committed to all the people in Alaska. The only thing she was committed to was saving herself a job as senator. Instead of accepting the outcome of the primary, she had to put her own self-interest above those of the party who voted her out. She was on last nightÂ’s PBS Newshour claiming she is the one that best represents AlaskaÂ’s interests since she is no longer affiliated to a party.

Wonderful! And it's amazing that she can keep the straight-face as she claims to be an "outsider," despite being given her Senate seat by daddy and having no greater ambition than to serve as a teller in the favor-bank of Washington, DC, and to be serving Alaska's interests, when no one with an IQ north of 60 can fail to recognize this was all a personal and very personalized feud with Palin for her. She wanted to prove she was an Alpha Grrl; that's all. Playground crap.

What great reform did she promise as her central campaign plank? To keep federal pork flowing to Alaska, that's all. And yet this is a victory for Justice or something.

Now that Joe Miller is clearly done, I will restate that I thought he was a great candidate... on paper. He failed, ultimately, because he ventured outside of the Overton Window in his rhetoric and promises.

This is a problem I keep having with unpolished, neophyte, Tea Party-type candidates. Yes, on one hand it's great that they inject into the debate forbidden ideas.

However, there is often a real lack of of strategic thinking going on here, too, cost-benefit analysis, realistic appraisal of current policy possibilities, that usually costs them in some way. When Joe Miller made his pronouncements about pork, he was showing integrity to his ideology, but he wasn't being particularly smart about what can fly in American, or specifically Alaskan, politics.

Note that I supported Joe Miller unequivocally, so this isn't an "I Told You So" situation. I thought he was a great candidate (based, I have to admit, just on resume and general conservative tendencies, that is, I didn't investigate into specifics of his platform).

So I'm not telling any readers "I Told You So" about supporting him -- I supported him wholeheartedly. But he did make mistakes, similar to the ones other Tea Party type candidates made. And the net result is that he lost the election, and cannot put his agenda into tangible effect. At least not now.

Third rails should probably not be seized with aplomb by candidates with an uphill battle for election.

ABC News' Rick Klein reports: Tea Party-backed Senate candidate Joe Miller today added his voice to those who are critical of Democrats' efforts to expand unemployment insurance, and went even further than most candidates in saying that federally backed compensation to the unemployed isn't "constitutionally authorized."

“The unemployment compensation benefits have gotten -- first of all, it's not constitutionally authorized,” Miller, R-Alaska, said on ABC/Washington Post’s “Top Line.” “I think that’s the first thing that's gotta be looked at, so I do not favor their extension.”

Miller also talked up privatization of Social Security, which is admirable and all, but certainly he would be in a better position to advance his ideas in this area if he had... sugar coated it? Been evasive? Been dishonest?

Yes, candor is all well and good but it tends to be punished at the polls.

Why not just take a less-committed position on something that really will have to involve a Great National Debate and say "I'm looking at various reforms?" Not really dishonest, per se, so much as... less forthcoming than he could be.

I don't know his full argument about the unemployment extension not being "constitutionally authorized," but it cost him, I'm sure, to be talking down extending unemployment benefits when so many people are out of work for reasons beyond their control. Whatever someone's ideology, if it's between ideology and feeding their kids, their kids are going to eat.

This is the sort of thing I wish that Tea Party candidates would avoid. They cannot change this situation -- they seem to believe that just by talking about a radical idea, it tends to bring that radical idea closer to pass. I don't think that's accurate -- if an idea seems too radical to too many people, you just might wind up retarding the cause, rather than furthering it, because your suggestion will be repudiated by the ultimate Constitutional arbiter -- the vote.

Or, like Rand Paul and his musings on the unconstitutionality of the Civil Rights Act, you'll be forced to repudiate your own words and claim you never really meant to say that, and in fact would have voted for the Civil Rights Act. How does that advance that particular cause? A cause which I think is completely wrongheaded, but ignore that; even if you do agree with Paul, how does it advance that cause to float the idea and then have to repudiate and recant within days?

These things are outside the Overton Window. They are, currently, not among the policy options available. Why pick fights that can't be won at the cost of fights that can be won? What Rand Paul did was even less necessary -- he was talking about his hypothetical vote on a 50 year old vote. What does it matter, really, which way he would have voted? He doesn't have a time machine. Why stir up a racial hornets' nest on something so hypothetical and moot?

Or, to put it in a slightly different way: These aren't the issues you lead with. You lead on the more popular stuff, or the stuff that isn't popular but still is within the Overton Window of possibilities. You signal, quietly, your willingness to go further than the Overton Window, but you don't go so far as to commit yourself to positions outside that window.

In Alaska, on pork, Miller was outside of that window -- the typical Alaskan, apparently, really likes its pork -- and probably would have helped himself greatly by proposing "reforms" in the earmark process rather than an end to the regime. Or he could have talked up what many Alaskans say -- we want to get the feds' hands off of so much Alaskan land so that we can put it to productive uses, and we're willing to take less pork if we can have that.

Again, if it seems like I'm proposing dishonesty in politics as a way to get elected-- I am. Or, again, the sort of dishonesty by omission. Or the dishonesty of sugar-coating and speaking in terms of hypotheticals.

When Rudy Giuliani said, flatly, "I'm pro-choice," I stopped supporting him actively as a candidate, because I knew he had gone too far outside the Overton Window for the Republican Primary vote. I had no illusions that he'd have the ability to cajole primary voters to his way of thinking. He was done.

This is similar to the thinking that has doomed Obama to a failed presidency. Obama thought that lots of stuff outside the Overton Window could come to pass just due to his pushing for it, assisted, as always, by his general Awesomeness. And certainly any ideological voter, whether on the right or the left, should want a candidate willing to push that Overton Window in the right (or left) direction.

But there is a real cost to rhetoric that puts you too far outside the Window, and that cost is that you wind up moving the Window not at all if the public specifically repudiates your platform.

That, alas, has happened with Joe Miller. He went strong with a lot of positions that had majority (or near majority) support among the most dedicated and ideological members of his party (that is, primary voters), but did not have nearly as much support with the general population.

Too frequently -- as with Sharron Angle and Christine O'Donnell -- candidates are being rewarded for the ability to win a primary but lose an election. Sharron Angle's mention of "Second Amendment remedies" to overreaching government is the sort of red meat that gins up primary excitement but winds up an albatross around the neck in the general election. Voters really have to be on the lookout for such overtures -- red meat shouldn't come at the expense of a red seat. And if someone is doing just that -- throwing out red meat to win a primary without any eye to the general -- they should be punished for that.

I still think that Joe Miller was worth taking a chance on, and candidates like him are similarly worth rolling the dice on. But -- but -- I hope such candidates with fairly radical ideas about the reordering of government begin to signal such things instead of explicitly stating them. Talk up the stuff that's actually currently achievable, and leave the other stuff, the stuff that will take years of rhetorical persuasion and voter education, for later, once that persuasion and education has actually been undertaken.

I think, as a general impulse, the strongly ideological have a strong bias in favor of what I'd call Gordian Knot solutions. Or "root and branch" solutions -- if the tree is rotten, tear it out root and branch.

This has a lot of ideological and intellectual appeal, too: Why tinker around the edges of a bad policy? Get right to the heart of the matter and change it dramatically, or undo it completely.

The problem with this is that American voters are tinkerers by inclination. They disfavor root-and-branch solutions, at least until they are thoroughly convinced that no amount of trimming can save the tree. Rand Paul's notion that we should cut through the Gordian Knot and cleanly recognize that the Civil Rights Act is an unconstitutional infringement on the right of free association is a disfavored solution -- if the tree is growing poorly, can't we do some trimming to save it, rather than pulling it from the ground and chopping it into firewood?

American voters are also small-c conservative in this fashion -- they'd like to see some small-bore reforms put into place and see how they work before committing to a major, dramatic overhaul -- witness their resistance to Comprehensive Immigration Reform and ObamaCare. This small-c conservative inclination benefits ideological conservatives, too, at least when the left attempts its own Gordian Knot "reforms."

This makes the swing, independent voter much different from ideological conservatives, of course. Most of us are in favor of sweeping changes and reforms -- we have an ideology that tells us that such reforms are not all that risky, but in fact rather likely to be successful.

But the voter not grounded firmly in an ideology doesn't have that reassurance; he sees little but big gambles, risk, big changes without sufficient evidence of likelihood of successful reform. And playing too hard to those in favor of big, sweeping changes comes at the unavoidable expense of those more inclined to tinkering and small-beer stuff.

Any candidate really worth a damn is going to have his eye on these sorts of root-and-branch solutions. I concede that a Senate full of the likes of timid tinkerers like Cornyn and McConnell is barely worth having. (Still worth having, considering the alternative -- Democrats -- but not really something to get excited about). I get that part of the Tea Party creed -- let's have candidates we give a crap about.

But Tea Party candidates, to be successful in statewide (or national) elections, are going to have to learn to couch their less-popular, less established positions in terms of small reforms first, reforms that are sensible enough that people will be willing to try them. And then, having gotten some success with those reforms, taking that momentum further and trying for the medium-sized changes, and then, of course, the big changes.

A lot of people say that Reagan succeeded due to the boldness of his idea and rhetoric. That's sort of true, but his success was due mainly to success itself -- tangible results, palpable improvements in the economy, that then gave him political capital to push other elements of his agenda. To have that sort of success-breeds-success effect, we need people in office, putting reforms into actual practice, and hoping that those reforms result in success. Rhetoric and ideology don't convince non-ideological voters; empirical evidence and tangible improvements do.

But we can't have that unless we're actually at the controls of government.


Posted by: Ace at 11:41 AM | Comments (180)
Post contains 2115 words, total size 13 kb.

1 Coke Bear!?!?

Posted by: garrett at November 19, 2010 11:44 AM (HA7+Z)

2

and having no greater ambition than to serve as a teller in the favor-bank of Washington, DC,

Hah!

Posted by: rdbrewer at November 19, 2010 11:46 AM (7Jdoq)

3 Wow. "Man's Penis Freed From Pipe By Industrious Typing"

Posted by: t-bird at November 19, 2010 11:46 AM (FcR7P)

4 Also, some Democrats voted for her in the election since their guy didn't have a chance in hell against Miller.

And despite that, and the flagrant law breaking (changing the rules for name lists, changing the rules for counting write-ins after the election) it was still close.

Posted by: Gaff at November 19, 2010 11:48 AM (CMpbs)

5 Is "Overton Window" the new buzzword? Pass. I downloaded that book. Unfuckingreadable. And that's coming from someone who at least managed to finish the shit-tastic pile of monkey spooge that is The DaVinci Code. So, I don't even know what you mean by that phrase, dude.

Posted by: Empire of Jeff at November 19, 2010 11:48 AM (B7dyo)

6 Okay, I admit, my eyes did the equivalent of the Charlie Brown "Waaa-waa-wa-Waaaa" teacher thing after a while...  Sorry, but it's true.

So:

Murkowski is now going to punish the GOP for not having stopped Joe Miller from running in the first place- she is now effectively a Democrat.  Good job Alaska.  I wish your stupidity wouldn't hurt the rest of us.

Joe Miller did what I wish every politician would do: he said what he meant.  Did it hurt him?  Yes.  To me, that says more about the voting public than it does about the politician.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at November 19, 2010 11:49 AM (8y9MW)

7
Yeah, you're right.

So now what are we going to do with Murkowski?

Posted by: crouching soothsayer, hidden soothsayer at November 19, 2010 11:50 AM (uFokq)

8 There AoS word of the day is 'aplomb'. Aplomb, aplomb; aplomb.

Good, "woody" word, that is. Not tinny at all.

Posted by: Sir Mansfield at November 19, 2010 11:51 AM (nR7pG)

9

He failed, ultimately, because he ventured outside of the Overton Window in his rhetoric and promises.

Also that pie thing you came up with--tthat long post you wrote about candidates defining themselves and reducing the pool of potential voters, about bad strategy.

That might be worth a re-post or a good robbing.

Posted by: rdbrewer at November 19, 2010 11:51 AM (7Jdoq)

10 So I think the lesson should be more Johnson from Wisconsin type Tea Party candidates.

Posted by: buzzion at November 19, 2010 11:51 AM (oVQFe)

11

"Pie thing" = the pie chart analogy.

Posted by: rdbrewer at November 19, 2010 11:52 AM (7Jdoq)

12

What does she mean she's not affiliated with a party?

Please tell me Bitch McConnell got her promise she'd come back into the fold when he didn't remover her from committees?


Posted by: crouching soothsayer, hidden soothsayer at November 19, 2010 11:52 AM (uFokq)

13
Please don't tell me she used Bitch McConnell like a stupid whore.

Posted by: crouching soothsayer, hidden soothsayer at November 19, 2010 11:53 AM (uFokq)

14 Posted by: crouching soothsayer, hidden soothsayer at November 19, 2010 03:52 PM (uFokq)

Even if he did, do you think she'd keep that word?  Really?

Posted by: crouching soothsayer, hidden soothsayer at November 19, 2010 03:53 PM (uFokq)

Okay, but I usually prefer more honesty...

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at November 19, 2010 11:53 AM (8y9MW)

15

This is a problem I keep having with unpolished, neophyte, Tea Party-type candidates. Yes, on one hand it's great that they inject into the debate forbidden ideas.

Far, far better to have apparatchiks like Murcowski, than to ever, ever have a chance at changing the course of the country.



Posted by: Zombie Taft at November 19, 2010 11:54 AM (IuKAf)

16 Had to take a break in the middle of the post to finish up War and Peace.

Posted by: Valiant at November 19, 2010 11:54 AM (UKSRV)

17 8
Yeah, you're right.

So now what are we going to do with Murkowski?

Posted by: crouching soothsayer, hidden soothsayer at November 19, 2010 03:50 PM (uFokq)

I still like my idea for what to do with her.  With the number of Senators we have she is less likely to be a 60th vote for cloture on any issue.  So, fuck her. She gets the lowest level positions available.  Below the Freshmen Senators.  That's going to kill her gravy train and also kill any incentive for the Democrats to try and offer her a better deal.

Posted by: buzzion at November 19, 2010 11:54 AM (oVQFe)

18 Agreed Tea Partiers = inexperienced and often poor candidates.

Bitching about them will not make them more experienced or better because of the dubious nature of their source.

A lack of quality candidates from the establishment (Murky and others) make the Tea Party candidates a necessary implement for change. I doubt the Republican party would listen to the Tea Party platform much, or at all, if they wouldn't vote democrat, and wouldn't knock establishment types out during primaries.

Bottom line, again bitching about Tea Party candidates again will not make them better, nor make them less necessary as an implement for change. What will make them less necessary is better establishment candidates.


Posted by: MikeTheMoose© at November 19, 2010 11:54 AM (0q2P7)

19 So can Moocowski get buried in frivolous ethics suits? I'd buy popcorn for that.

Posted by: fluffy abandoned Alaska in '84 at November 19, 2010 11:54 AM (4Kl5M)

20 Now the Republicans have their own Nancy Pelosi.

Posted by: mpfs at November 19, 2010 11:55 AM (iYbLN)

21 Yeah, you're right. So now what are we going to do with Murkowski? Who's "we?" I'll be in my pipe.

Posted by: Empire of Jeff's penis at November 19, 2010 11:55 AM (B7dyo)

22 Well said Ace. Miller shot both his feet off by telling Alaska they were going "cold turkey"- in a deep recession. Pull the reins too quickly and the horse will buck you off. Change on a fast, grand scale, scares people- ask Obama and Pelosi about it.

Posted by: jjshaka at November 19, 2010 11:56 AM (Bea+r)

23 Pass. I downloaded that book. Unfuckingreadable. And that's coming from someone who at least managed to finish the shit-tastic pile of monkey spooge that is The DaVinci Code.

I agree 100%, that book was a POS.

And Ace; Miller did not lose because of his campaign or because of his views. Miller lost due to corruption and corrupt judges and leadership in AK.

Posted by: Vic at November 19, 2010 11:56 AM (e4sSD)

24

I don't agree with dissembling about one's own principles.  I think one should be forthright about one's own principles and proposals, and at the same time crystal-clear about why one's opponent's principles and proposals are bound to fail.

If you make the assumption that Alaskan voters want pork, and you promise them pork with the intention not to deliver it, then they will punish you for failing to deliver the pork you promised.

If you tell them that pork is bad for them and bad for the country and ultimately impossible to deliver because of the huge spending hangover from all the pork they received in the past, they may not elect you this time -- but when they see their Pork Mama making everything else worse in the process of seeking pork and then failing to deliver, you have the opportunity to make real change in your next run.

Posted by: stuiec at November 19, 2010 11:57 AM (7AOgy)

25
She gets the lowest level positions available.  Below the Freshmen Senators. 

Sounds good to me but if she's no longer a Republican, why give her anything? Except for the fact she has Bitch McConnell by his marbles, why give her anything?

Posted by: crouching soothsayer, hidden soothsayer at November 19, 2010 11:57 AM (uFokq)

26 Since she has announced her "win" has she also announced who she is going to caucus with?  Not that it matters anyway.

Posted by: Vic at November 19, 2010 11:58 AM (e4sSD)

27

When Rudy Giuliani said, flatly, "I'm pro-choice," I stopped supporting him actively as a candidate, because I knew he had gone too far outside the Overton Window for the Republican Primary vote.

 

Which is exactly what Castle did in Delaware during the primary, thus creating an opportunity that otherwise did not exist. And note our hero Cornyn whining about challenging incumbents. The establishment has spoken. If you question the rabies shots of the residents in the kennel, don't be surprised if they go for your throat. But give them money and support.

Posted by: Blue Hen at November 19, 2010 11:59 AM (R2fpr)

28
Holy shit, i can't believe this.

This douche bag hag can now put herself out to the highest bidder. She can vote with the Democrats -- the majority party, or she can use and abuse the sack-less  impotent Republicans.

Posted by: crouching soothsayer, hidden soothsayer at November 19, 2010 11:59 AM (uFokq)

29 16

So I think the lesson should be more Johnson from Wisconsin type Tea Party candidates.

Or take the lesson from Johnson's campaign: figure out the 2 or 3 things you want to run on and stick to. Johnson was a very disciplined novice candidate. As opposed to others who will go nameless who could not help but opine on anything that crossed their way.

Posted by: Mallamutt at November 19, 2010 03:54 PM (OWjjx)

Yeah that's what I meant.  I mean I'm not in Wisconsin so I didn't follow it closely but he obviously must have been doing something right in his method of campaigning to be a complete political unknown and defeated an incumbent senator.  That just screams effective campaign strategy to me.

Posted by: buzzion at November 19, 2010 11:59 AM (oVQFe)

30 >>>So now what are we going to do with Murkowski? Suffer, alas. >>>And Ace; Miller did not lose because of his campaign or because of his views. Miller lost due to corruption and corrupt judges and leadership in AK. What, is this about those posted lists? Come on, man, that was a technicality to begin with, and she won by, what, over 8%? I say it was a technicality because you're probably right about the rules but let's face it the rules you supported (and I supported too) had the effect of making it harder to vote for the candidate actually desired. It's hard for me to get all worked up over the idea that "Gee, they made it easier for voters to signal their true favored candidate so it's 'corrupt.'"

Posted by: ace © at November 19, 2010 12:00 PM (nj1bB)

31 I thought the Primaries were the place for reform. So now, the Primaries are NOT the place for reform, because the corrupt entrenched party members might not like it.

This doesn't exactly leave us with any kind of democratic process.

Posted by: Oldcat at November 19, 2010 12:02 PM (z1N6a)

32
Is there any way or any possibility McConnell can be taken down?

I don't understand how he got his tobacco-pickin cousin-humpin  hooks in the leadership position.


Posted by: crouching soothsayer, hidden soothsayer at November 19, 2010 12:02 PM (uFokq)

33 Miller was a great candidate on paper.  In the flesh, not so much.  I generally agree with Ace's assessment, but would add another example which I think demonstrates clearly his weakness as a candidate.

From the primary, there was insinuations of some dastardly secret from "a former employer."  Miller resisted talking about it or authorizing the release of personnel records to clear it up.  He won the primary anyway, but of course it came up again in the general, and he stonewalled as long as he could, finally giving in.

So what was the scandal he was hiding?  That he used four different computers at work to vote in an online poll, then dumped the cache so it wouldn't be obvious.  That's it.

How many votes did he lose by stonewalling that piddly crap for months?  Any half-smart candidate would have got it out in front in the primary, joked about it being his deep dark secret, and had it long behind him.

Miller sucked.  Angle sucked.  O'Donnell sucked.  Maes sucked.  Buck sucked.  Paul sucked, but his handlers shut him up after the first gaffe, and made him avoid unscripted settings where he would get into his lunatic fringe beliefs.

So we went 1-5, and that only because it was a GOP year and Conway eventually had to go overboard negative to try and come back, and ended up looking like a nasty little bugger. 

Lee in Utah won because it's a heavily GOP state.  If Bennett had seen the ambush coming and organized before the convention so he made the primary ballot, he would have been renominated comfortably.  Rubio was a great candidate, but as former Florida Speaker of the House, he was no neophyte.  The only guys who were true newcomers to politics via "Tea Party" support, but ran strong races and won, were Johnson and West.

Posted by: Adjoran at November 19, 2010 12:03 PM (VfmLu)

34 As opposed to others who will go nameless who could not help but opine on anything that crossed their way.

We deserve representation too, damn it.

Posted by: Mice With Fully Functioning Human Brains at November 19, 2010 12:03 PM (YrhnQ)

35

Sounds good to me but if she's no longer a Republican, why give her anything? Except for the fact she has Bitch McConnell by his marbles, why give her anything?

Posted by: crouching soothsayer, hidden soothsayer at November 19, 2010 03:57 PM (uFokq)

Well I don't mind throwing her a bone, the dog that she is.  Just as long as its the minimum of effort.  Really though if we don't have to offer her anything, then don't

Posted by: buzzion at November 19, 2010 12:04 PM (oVQFe)

36 Miller was a great candidate on paper.  In the flesh, not so much.  I generally agree with Ace's assessment, but would add another example which I think demonstrates clearly his weakness as a candidate.

Posted by: Adjoran at November 19, 2010 04:03 PM (VfmLu)

I'm not sure there are any candidate that can survive a large fraction of his base stabbing him in the back and running as a third party.  But I guess blaming the victim is in vogue.

Posted by: Oldcat at November 19, 2010 12:05 PM (z1N6a)

37
This isn't the worst of it, folks.

Murkowski's win (and to an extent Liberman's win in '06) will embolden Snowe & Graham to do the same thing.

This means we can't primary out any of these hacks.

Posted by: crouching soothsayer, hidden soothsayer at November 19, 2010 12:05 PM (uFokq)

38

"I get that part of the Tea Party creed -- let's have candidates we give a crap about."

Finishing school for citizens, no doubt. 

Unfortunately there's nothing to be done about GOP leadership short of natural causes and primary defeats.

Remedial adolescence for Gabe. 

Posted by: gary gulrud at November 19, 2010 12:05 PM (/g2vP)

39 >>>I don't agree with dissembling about one's own principles. I think one should be forthright about one's own principles and proposals, and at the same time crystal-clear about why one's opponent's principles and proposals are bound to fail. Well obviously I disagree back. I'd rather have a conservative version of Clinton -- a little shifty, a little willing to say something the public likes, but who has a strong inclination to deliver for our side when he can -- than someone who goes out and says, in detail, I'm for x, y, and z unpopular (as of yet) policies. I mean, if that latter sort of candidate could win, I'd want him. But in the situations where I'm talking about, where election is a risky proposition, I'd want the Clinton-like guy. Now, Alaska is a big surprise because according to my basic rule (go one step more red in primaries; get your bright red candidates in red states), Murky defied the long odds and got elected as a write-in. That was... unforeseeable. Goddamnit, this pisses me off! This one bothers me. Okay, it was unforeseeable. I guess in this situation I would say that Miller did the right thing, because if you're from a red state you have to think you'll win, even if you're offering a very ideological red meat conservative platform. You gamble here. So I guess Miller was fine... he just failed his gamble, because few could have foreseen Murky's victory.

Posted by: ace © at November 19, 2010 12:06 PM (nj1bB)

40 We need patient ideological candidates. 

Posted by: Brian at November 19, 2010 12:06 PM (Hd5n8)

41 Miller sucked.  Angle sucked.  O'Donnell sucked.  Maes sucked.  Buck sucked. 

Don't forget TEA party stalwarts McMahon and Fiorina.  They also sucked.

Posted by: Bevel Lemelisk at November 19, 2010 12:06 PM (TpXEI)

42 What, is this about those posted lists? Come on, man, that was a technicality to begin with, and she won by, what, over 8%?

I say it was a technicality because you're probably right about the rules but let's face it the rules you supported (and I supported too) had the effect of making it harder to vote for the candidate actually desired.

It's hard for me to get all worked up over the idea that "Gee, they made it easier for voters to signal their true favored candidate so it's 'corrupt.'"


Posted by: ace ©

 

her being able to whistle up the NRSC during the primary was a technicality

her being able to keep her assignments after stabbing the state and national party in the back was a technicality.

Her running ads bragging about keeping them was a technicality.

her ramming through a list that no one else ever got was a technicality.

Her getting free publicity and her name repeated ad nauseum were technicalities.

 

This guy just suffered the death of a thousand technicalities. Bumping off incumbents is hard. Bumping them off twice in the same Goddamned election cycle is harder. Even Rubio didn't do this; they were fighting for an open seat. 

We need coke bear.

Posted by: Blue Hen at November 19, 2010 12:07 PM (R2fpr)

43 Yeah that's what I meant.  I mean I'm not in Wisconsin so I didn't follow it closely but he obviously must have been doing something right in his method of campaigning to be a complete political unknown and defeated an incumbent senator.  That just screams effective campaign strategy to me.

I am from Wisconsin and Johnson ran a brilliant campaign, kind of reminded me of Browns. He stayed off the airwaves till like the last two months and like Mallamutt said, didn't get off message and kept the message simple. He had the wave of discontent to help him but like it or not, distanced himself from the Tea Party.

Posted by: lowandslow at November 19, 2010 12:07 PM (rplS1)

44 To bad we supported Joe Miller, who defeated Murkowski. Because of that we doomed ourselves to a loss to Murkowski in the general, and now we are saddled with 6 years of Murkowski, when we could have had Murkowski if we had just supported the winnable candidate Murkowski earlier.

Hard for me to get worked up over supporting Joe.


Posted by: MikeTheMoose© at November 19, 2010 12:07 PM (0q2P7)

45 34 I thought the Primaries were the place for reform. So now, the Primaries are NOT the place for reform, because the corrupt entrenched party members might not like it.

This doesn't exactly leave us with any kind of democratic process.

Posted by: Oldcat at November 19, 2010 04:02 PM (z1N6a)

You must have missed some of the commenters on other threads saying how we shouldn't even primary the Senators we are dissatisfied with.  You know like the Maine sisters, because a slightly more conservative candidate might not win there.  Hey Slublog you around?  Can a more conservative candidate win in Maine than the two pathetic Senators you have now?

Posted by: buzzion at November 19, 2010 12:07 PM (oVQFe)

46
How about we all pool our monies together and purchase a giant "coke bear" billboard ad in downtown DC?

Would that be slander?

Posted by: Serious Cat at November 19, 2010 12:08 PM (bAySe)

47 McMahon and Fiorina

Don't forget Whitman. (My state is SO Doomed. HPL The DOOM That Came to California)

Posted by: MikeTheMoose© at November 19, 2010 12:08 PM (0q2P7)

48
Anyone have the breakdown of the % of Democrat support she received in votes?
Probably had to tally, but...

Posted by: crouching soothsayer, hidden soothsayer at November 19, 2010 12:09 PM (uFokq)

49 SHE was a political heiress. Scorned by the Establishment which made her, she didn't stand a chance, until she found hope... and love. HE was a soft-spoken lumberjack, when a freak accident left him crippled and in despair with hyperactive ball-sweat glands, until he met his reason to fight. T H E S M E G M A O P T I O N Politics Has a New Smell

Posted by: Empire of Jeff at November 19, 2010 12:10 PM (B7dyo)

50 >>>How many votes did he lose by stonewalling that piddly crap for months? Any half-smart candidate would have got it out in front in the primary, joked about it being his deep dark secret, and had it long behind him. yeah... but I guess it's sort of commendable that this, to him, was the level of "scandal" worth stonewalling about. Well not really. Stonewalling's bad. I mean, I guess he was so upset about it he felt he had to cover it up... which sort of tells you he's generally a boy scout, if this is his big skeleton. But yes, as usual, it's the cover up not the crime, and everyone should remember the other big gaffe-- having that annoying blogger arrested by his personal security -- was a direct consequence of this, because that annoying blogger was asking about just this. So that cost him double. Amazing: If he had just said what a trivial thing this was it wouldn't have cost him at all. It's absurd, how trivial it was. Ah well. Neophyte candidate. Not used to people being all dig-gy and paw-y about one's background and personal setbacks.

Posted by: ace © at November 19, 2010 12:10 PM (nj1bB)

51 I'm seeing a lot of experts on sucking here. Just saying...

Posted by: Jeffrey Quick at November 19, 2010 12:10 PM (g9neE)

52 I'm seeing a lot of experts on sucking here. Just saying...

Posted by: Jeffrey Quick

 

I'm a Republican in Delaware. I am the Gawd of suck

Posted by: Blue Hen at November 19, 2010 12:12 PM (R2fpr)

53 What, is this about those posted lists? Come on, man, that was a technicality to begin with, and she won by, what, over 8%?

I considered it corrupt that she was actually able to run as a write-in to begin with. It was clearly a violation of the intent of the law. Then they reinterpreted the laws on the write-in clearly in violation of the law as written.

And according to the AK board of elections it was 39.47 to 39.97 "write in". With 20% of them actually counted she is getting 90% of the "write-ins.

They haven't officially announced the winner yet.

Posted by: Vic at November 19, 2010 12:12 PM (e4sSD)

54 Miller lost because Meercowski split the Republican vote, and the Democrats were smart enough, or greedy enough, to see that their guy wouldn't win and that the Snow Queen could.

Posted by: toby928™ at November 19, 2010 12:13 PM (S5YRY)

55

Since she has announced her "win" has she also announced who she is going to caucus with?  Not that it matters anyway.

She'll caucus with the Republicans.  They need to pull her committee assignments though- she has no business being anywhere near a committee that doles out pork when we're supposedly trying to reign it in.

Give her nothing more influential than the Underwater Basket Weaving Committee assignment.  We shouldn't be rewarding candidates who ran against the Republican nominee with plum committee seats.

Posted by: Hollowpoint at November 19, 2010 12:13 PM (rf03a)

56 Lisa Murkowski's riveting new political thriller... D A D D Y I S S U E S

Posted by: ace © at November 19, 2010 12:14 PM (nj1bB)

57 "she is no longer affiliated to a party"

Does this mean the republicans will strip her of her postions? Nah.
They'll just let her stab them in the back and ask for more.
In 2012 incumbents who lose will be emboldened to go independent unless they give her a smackdown, but McConnell is too much of a pussy. He needs to go too.

Posted by: TC at November 19, 2010 12:14 PM (BAtLQ)

58 Anyone have the breakdown of the % of Democrat support she received in votes?
Probably had to tally, but...

I ran some number the other day and figured around 35%, they won it for her.

Posted by: lowandslow at November 19, 2010 12:15 PM (rplS1)

59 >>>I considered it corrupt that she was actually able to run as a write-in to begin with. It was clearly a violation of the intent of the law. You'll have to explain that to me -- I thought the option to run write-in was perfectly legal and within her options. If I'm wrong let me know.

Posted by: ace © at November 19, 2010 12:15 PM (nj1bB)

60

She'll caucus with the Republicans.  They need to pull her committee assignments though- she has no business being anywhere near a committee that doles out pork when we're supposedly trying to reign it in.

Give her nothing more influential than the Underwater Basket Weaving Committee assignment.  We shouldn't be rewarding candidates who ran against the Republican nominee with plum committee seats.

Posted by: Hollowpoint at November 19, 2010 04:13 PM (rf03a)

 I wouldn't even do that. Better to try and split a frightened red state senator up for election next time than to award this kind of spitting in the face of the Primary voters.

Posted by: Oldcat at November 19, 2010 12:15 PM (z1N6a)

61
Yes, this was the reverse Lieberman-Lamont-Schlesinger race in 2006.

A good chunk of loyal Republican voters in CT voted for Lieberman just to keep the moonbat extremist Lamont out of the Senate.

Liebs: 49%
Lamont: 40%
Schlesinger: 10%

Posted by: crouching soothsayer, hidden soothsayer at November 19, 2010 12:16 PM (uFokq)

62 50
How about we all pool our monies together and purchase a giant "coke bear" billboard ad in downtown DC?

Would that be slander?

Posted by: Serious Cat at November 19, 2010 04:08 PM (bAySe)

I think that might count as print, so if anything it would be Libel, not slander.

Posted by: buzzion at November 19, 2010 12:16 PM (oVQFe)

63 Oh, come on. Everyone knows that Joe Miller lost because of the douche beard. Never, ever, trust anyone that has a douche beard, (unless his name is Ringo Starr). Either grow a real beard, or shave. Ahmadinejad has a douche beard. 'Nuff said.

Posted by: DelD at November 19, 2010 12:16 PM (LPAuo)

64 ...

This is a problem I keep having with unpolished, neophyte, Tea Party-type candidates. Yes, on one hand it's great that they inject into the debate forbidden ideas.

...

Posted by: Ace at 03:41 PM


-------

Ace, but lets not overlook Ron Johnson. He was total neophyte and the ultimate Tea-Party candidate. Never ran for anything; got involved after attenting TP meetings. No political exp. yet he went on to cream Rus Feingold.  Tottally embarrassed him.

So, I think its important not to draw hard and fast conclusions about political rookies, like Ok for congress.... but not for Senate.

ps. Why does Ron Johnson always get overlooked when talking about TP candidates?

Posted by: Serious Cat at November 19, 2010 12:17 PM (bAySe)

65
From wiki:

Lieberman received support from 33% of Democrats, 54% of independents and 70% of Republicans.


Posted by: crouching soothsayer, hidden soothsayer at November 19, 2010 12:17 PM (uFokq)

66 She has no principles, no honor, no code, this is what the 8 'native corporations'
that supported her, She will sell you down the river, for all the media acclaim, Congratulations

Posted by: justin cord at November 19, 2010 12:17 PM (O20xS)

67 You'll have to explain that to me -- I thought the option to run write-in was perfectly legal and within her options. If I'm wrong let me know.

Posted by: ace © at November 19, 2010 04:15 PM (nj1bB)

Yes, I'd have to put it in the legal but immoral category. Immoral from the point of view of the Republican party, since in effect she just said that the primary voters can go to hell.

Posted by: Oldcat at November 19, 2010 12:18 PM (z1N6a)

68 The only complaint about the write-in process in this election is, again, a court going out of it's way to change the clearly-wrtitten rules in favor of one candidate. Yeah, Murky would have won anyway...and yeah, I suppose that the "optics" are poor  for making it harder (so to speak) to vote in some way. I wish that some of these judges worried about the "optics" of ignoring or outright defying clearly-written law, much like the Torricelli debacle. If someone's disenfranchised by unforseen circumstances, well, better luck next time.

Posted by: Luca Brasi at November 19, 2010 12:18 PM (YmPwQ)

69
I ran some number the other day and figured around 35%, they won it for her.

Indeed. I wonder if she feels a little beholden to them?

Posted by: crouching soothsayer, hidden soothsayer at November 19, 2010 12:18 PM (uFokq)

70 Congratulations are in order for Ms. Lena Morcokeski.

Posted by: Fritz at November 19, 2010 12:18 PM (GwPRU)

71

I am now annoucing the formation of the Free Shit For Everyone party.  We will hold no position whatsoever on social issues.  On economic issues, we have but one position: everyone gets free shit.  We look to sweep every single elected position that is up for grabs in the US in 2012 and beyond.

Wanna be a candidate?  No problem.  We simply expect our candidates, once elected to cut the party in on 10% of every dime made while in office.  Loot to your heart's content  - after all, if you're not smart enough to steal *from* the taxpayers, you're not smart enough to steal *for* them, and thus, we have no use for you.

Thinking about voting for us?  Just make up your goody list and submit it.  Your free shit is practically in the bag!

Entertainment and an ever-expanding currency supply to come from Zimbabwe Benny & The Ink Jets.

Posted by: Fa Cube Itches at November 19, 2010 12:19 PM (xy9wk)

72 Why does Ron Johnson always get overlooked when talking about TP candidates?

Closeted homosexuals tend to shy away from talking about Johnsons.

Posted by: TC at November 19, 2010 12:19 PM (BAtLQ)

73 COKE BEAR! COKE BEAR! COKE BEAR!

Posted by: Tim the Enchanter at November 19, 2010 12:19 PM (izA2D)

74 I think Joe Miller got very bad advice that told him write-ins are basically a impossible feat.

p.s. He shoudl have NEVER agreed to debate her.  Stupidest fucking mistake you could make, letting her at table with pary nominees. Dumb, dumb, dumb.

Posted by: Serious Cat at November 19, 2010 12:19 PM (bAySe)

75 What great reform did she promise as her central campaign plank? To keep federal pork flowing to Alaska, that's all. And yet this is a victory for Justice or something.

This is a victory for democracy or something. Apparently Murky was onto something when she said she had a constituency. I just don't get the hate for this outcome. These are market rules, it's capitalism. Murky offered the product/service that the customers wanted, so they picked her over her competition.

Posted by: arhooley, conflicted Californian at November 19, 2010 12:21 PM (mdxTy)

76 We need coke bear. I say, Coke Bear is otherwise disposed, but I must confess that I, too, have a great fondness for that frisky, South American powder.

Posted by: Coke Wombat at November 19, 2010 12:21 PM (4Kl5M)

77
Was it really up to Miller to exclude her from debates? That decision is usually up to the organization sponsoring the debate.

If Miller refused to go to debates if Murkles was there, he would've got wiped out on election day.

Posted by: crouching soothsayer, hidden soothsayer at November 19, 2010 12:22 PM (uFokq)

78 I hope Merkowski flies commercial.

Posted by: Dr Spank at November 19, 2010 12:22 PM (LLZiU)

79 Fly me to the mooooon

Posted by: Coke Bat at November 19, 2010 12:22 PM (S5YRY)

80 You'll have to explain that to me -- I thought the option to run write-in was perfectly legal and within her options. If I'm wrong let me know.

Posted by: ace © at November 19, 2010 04:15 PM (nj1bB)

That is another one of those "technicalities" it was legal the way the law was written. But the intent of the "sore loser" laws is that people who run in a Primary and lose do not re-run in the general election. Otherwise, what is the point in having a sore loser law?

Posted by: Vic at November 19, 2010 12:22 PM (e4sSD)

81 ps. Why does Ron Johnson always get overlooked when talking about TP candidates?Posted by: Serious Cat at November 19, 2010 04:17 PM (bAySe)


I don't know if you could call him a Tea Party candidate, he started distancing himself from any Tea Party organizations even before the primaries. Toward the end of the general campaign you never even heard the Tea Party associated with him. In a state like Wisconsin not a bad move, turned out alright for him.

Posted by: lowandslow at November 19, 2010 12:23 PM (rplS1)

82

Here's part of a related post Ace did last September:

Every choice a voter makes is a chance for him to decide against you. Every single time. "I'm pro-life" loses you some votes. Gains you some, but loses you some tool. "I'm pro-life and I am against any abortion even in cases of rape, incest, or life of the mother loses you a lot more. Because at each decision point you peel away voters. The more specific you are, the narrower the cohort of voters you are appealing to.

The Democrats have been demanding for a year that the Republicans define themselves in sharp and narrow focus. Why? Because the Democrats already are defined in sharp and narrow focus, by their own actions, and they are insisting that Republicans operate under the same burden.

They are not demanding we define ourselves in order to help us politically. They are making this demand to hurt us politically and help them.

They have a very narrow, and very unpopular, slice of the pie to run on. They cannot escape it -- what they have is worse than bad rhetoric; they have bad facts and bad outcomes.

This is why Obama keeps demanding that Republicans vow to slash Social Security and Medicare in order to prove we're serious about budget discipline. Of course he wants that -- he wants us to make the most unpopular promises imaginable. And I assure you he is not doing so with our best electoral fortunes foremost in his mind.

Posted by: rdbrewer at November 19, 2010 12:23 PM (7Jdoq)

83 This is a victory for democracy or something. Apparently Murky was onto something when she said she had a constituency. I just don't get the hate for this outcome. These are market rules, it's capitalism. Murky offered the product/service that the customers wanted, so they picked her over her competition.

Posted by: arhooley, conflicted Californian at November 19, 2010 04:21 PM (mdxTy)

Sure she has a constituency. If that constituency is good for the Republican party is a better question. The primary voters said no.

Posted by: Oldcat at November 19, 2010 12:23 PM (z1N6a)

84

First, what will keep liberal republicans like Snowe from running 3rd party write ins if the party she is in doesn't punish those that do so?

 

Second, lets give Palin credit for not going out side the window and pushing extreme stuff often. Despite being very conservative and very involved the last two years. The most extreme positions she has held was death panels and  as time moves forward, it doesn't look very extreme.

She has not pushed social issues in peoples faces. Her Beck rally helped tone down the extremist-racist mantra by the media. She was for numerous more moderate canidates[Ayotte-Fiorina]. Other then the Odonnell endorsement and death panels, has she done or said anything extreme? A fairly impressive tight rope walk if you ask me.

Posted by: Keven at November 19, 2010 12:24 PM (yO+uQ)

85 But the intent of the "sore loser" laws is that people who run in a Primary and lose do not re-run in the general election. Otherwise, what is the point in having a sore loser law?

Posted by: Vic at November 19, 2010 04:22 PM (e4sSD)

How do you write a sore loser law that allows what Murkowski did to pass through?

Posted by: Oldcat at November 19, 2010 12:25 PM (z1N6a)

86 Here is the actual vote count for those asking:

http://tinyurl.com/2dpyz55

Posted by: Vic at November 19, 2010 12:25 PM (e4sSD)

87 Was it really up to Miller to exclude her from debates? That decision is usually up to the organization sponsoring the debate.

If Miller refused to go to debates if Murkles was there, he would've got wiped out on election day.
Posted by: crouching soothsayer

---

What?  No.  Party candidates do this all the time, agreeing not to show if some also-ran is there at the debate.  He'd have a very good point to make that she lost her primary and is only representing herself.  Plus, no one would care about a debate with just her and McAdams.

Posted by: Serious Cat at November 19, 2010 12:25 PM (bAySe)

88 I'm on a plane, with cocaine
And yes I'm all lit up again
Cough up love, and touch up
Your mama said packing lines is sin

And yes I'm all lit up again
On the couch, in my bed
And yes I'm all, lit up again, flying
I love the cocaine, I love the cocaine
Mama can you wait, mama can you wait, yeah

I'm on a train, and ride on
You know the train is staying off the track
I'm in touch love, from this crutch
Well you're on ten, but honey I'm on eleven

And yes I'm all lit up again
On the couch, in my bed
And yes I'm all, lit up again, flying
I love the cocaine, I love the cocaine
Mama can you wait, mama can you wait
I love the cocaine, I love the cocaine
Mama can you wait, oh can you wait long?

Well crack the door for the curious girl cause she's been waiting, she's been waiting
Chop a line for the fending man cause he wants one
You know, you know you got to, can you feel it can you feel it tonight, are you high love, tell me are you fucking high?
In the moment you are just so right
You're right love, are you right love?

And yes I'm all lit up again
On the couch, in my bed
And yes I'm all, lit up again, flying
I love the cocaine, I love the cocaine
Mama can you wait, mama can you wait
I love the cocaine, I love the cocaine
Mama can you wait, oh can you wait long?

Posted by: Buckcherry at November 19, 2010 12:26 PM (s8N54)

89 Miller was actually polling pretty well until he equivocated on Palin.  That seems to mark the beginnig of his downward spiral.

Posted by: OCBill at November 19, 2010 12:27 PM (YJvVE)

90 (And yes, 1 name has been omitted because that race has been dissected so much I could care less if that state is given back to the Dutch). We'll take Alaska back, if you want. It doesn't appear to be doing you much good, and we could use the oil.

Posted by: the Russians at November 19, 2010 12:28 PM (AZGON)

91

Since I'm once again late to a thread, has anyone pointed out to Ace yet that Rand Paul won?  And so did numerous other "neophyte" TP candidates.  I'm not buying into Ace's premise at all.  It's typical east/west coast mindset.  Squishy.   We're not going to change the direction we're heading with squish.

Posted by: Soona at November 19, 2010 12:28 PM (xW9AH)

92 I don't like Murkowski 's politics. But she won it. People voted for her. She wants to gloat. That 's fine. That 's part of the political battle. We need to continue the clean up process. I don't have much comfort in people like Cornyn and his "gang".

Posted by: LAI at November 19, 2010 12:29 PM (DH9np)

93 I have to question Miller's viability, or any fiscal conservative's viability in Alaska. Alaska has pretty high unemployment, especially in the rural areas, about 8 percent statewide average. How is Miller shitting on UI checks going to resonate? Alaskans are conditioned to getting a fat Permanent Fund Dividend every year. Every resident pulls down about $1,500 annually. It seems to me that rugged frontier stereotyping is off the mark. They like the teat. The teat is tasty.

Posted by: Empire of Jeff at November 19, 2010 12:29 PM (B7dyo)

94 Miller is done in AK. 

Dan Sullivan is the man for 2014 to take out Begich.  He is currently the State Attorney General (appointed by Palin), but just got named to be the State Director of Natural Resources.   Formerly he served as a Bush appointee to the State Department, and is a military veteran.   His only negative is that he's not a long time Alaskan, but his wife is Native American, and comes from a well respected and powerful Fairbanks family. He's also a Harvard graduate and Georgetown grad.

Posted by: Master of None at November 19, 2010 12:30 PM (gyNYk)

95 And yes, 1 name has been omitted because that race has been dissected so much I could care less if that state is given back to the Dutch).

Posted by: Mallamutt

 

May you be assaulted by a rogue block of scrapple; you and your fonts.

Posted by: Blue Hen at November 19, 2010 12:31 PM (R2fpr)

96 What?  No.  Party candidates do this all the time, agreeing not to show if some also-ran is there at the debate.  He'd have a very good point to make that she lost her primary and is only representing herself.

He shouldn't have debated her again, tell the debate hosts he already debated her in the primaries now he want's to debate the Democrat challenger.

Posted by: lowandslow at November 19, 2010 12:31 PM (rplS1)

97 Alaskans are conditioned to getting a fat Permanent Fund Dividend every year. Every resident pulls down about $1,500 annually. It seems to me that rugged frontier stereotyping is off the mark. They like the teat. The teat is tasty. Shh, you'll let out the secret. Palinistas will get angry.

Posted by: George Orwell, Ltd. at November 19, 2010 12:32 PM (AZGON)

98

Since I'm once again late to a thread, has anyone pointed out to Ace yet that Rand Paul won?  And so did numerous other "neophyte" TP candidates.  I'm not buying into Ace's premise at all.  It's typical east/west coast mindset.  Squishy.   We're not going to change the direction we're heading with squish.

Posted by: Soona at November 19, 2010 04:28 PM (xW9AH)

The real answer to the neophyte issue is for the party to begin to integrate the outsiders into the regular apparatus, in proportion to their electoral strength. Its a sign of the need for reform when you have to pull people off the street to run for high offices, not a reason to delay reform.

Posted by: Oldcat at November 19, 2010 12:33 PM (z1N6a)

99

Good read, Ace. Many good points. But ...

>>> ... they seem to believe that just by talking about a radical idea, it tends to bring that radical idea closer to pass. I don't think that's accurate ...

It's very much accurate. Persuasion begins with awareness.

>>> ... if an idea seems too radical to too many people, you just might wind up retarding the cause, rather than furthering it, because your suggestion will be repudiated by the ultimate Constitutional arbiter -- the vote.

Democrats have made no secret that they support the illegalization of white artificial light in residences because the use of the things that make close-to-white light are melting Greenland and the ensuing rise in sea level will wash away entire inhabited islands. This is now policy. Before it became policy, where was this notion on the Overton continuum?

 

Posted by: FireHorse at November 19, 2010 12:33 PM (sWynj)

100 Murkowski II:  The Snortening.

Posted by: Coke Bat at November 19, 2010 12:35 PM (S5YRY)

101 Ace, don't be such a snob.  You were once an "unpolished neophyte."

Posted by: kevlarchick at November 19, 2010 12:35 PM (TNuqz)

102 You'll have to explain that to me -- I thought the option to run write-in was perfectly legal and within her options. If I'm wrong let me know.

Posted by: ace © at November 19, 2010 04:15 PM (nj1bB)

It was corrupt to let a candidate who fucked over the state AND national party to keep money and her assignments, which many here predicted would help her in this campaign. She certainly agreed with us. She bought ads claiming exactly that. She should have been sued to run as an independent. And now we get to hear Cornyn intimating 'I told you so'?

 

If nothing else, does anyone here believe that this guy is more interested in expanding the party than he is in protecting the membership list?

Posted by: Blue Hen at November 19, 2010 12:37 PM (R2fpr)

103 I don't agree with dissembling about one's own principles. I think one should be forthright about one's own principles and proposals, and at the same time crystal-clear about why one's opponent's principles and proposals are bound to fail. If you make the assumption that Alaskan voters want pork, and you promise them pork with the intention not to deliver it, then they will punish you for failing to deliver the pork you promised. If you tell them that pork is bad for them and bad for the country and ultimately impossible to deliver because of the huge spending hangover from all the pork they received in the past, they may not elect you this time -- but when they see their Pork Mama making everything else worse in the process of seeking pork and then failing to deliver, you have the opportunity to make real change in your next run. Posted by: stuiec at November 19, 2010 03:57 PM 100% Agreed. It goes back to the example I gave the other day regarding the "man caused global warming" bandwagon. Many people said "well, the majority of the American people believe in AGW, so the GOP needs to find a way to get on the "green" bandwagon and give them a better option than the Democrats". (ie Newt Gingrich, Tim Pawlenty, John McCain, etc) Those politicians and pundits who pushed that bullshit now look like absolute fools with no credibility, since now the majority of the American people see "man caused global warming" for the communist lie that it is. So I agree. You campaign on principles, you articulate why they are best for the people and you articulate why your opponents' principles are bad for the people. If they elect you, great. If they don't, well it just means you need to do a better job articulating why you are correct in order to win them over in the future. But what you do NOT do is waver on your principles and decide to try to give the people what they want, even when what the people want is dead wrong and dangerous for them.

Posted by: Clyde Shelton at November 19, 2010 12:37 PM (NITzp)

104

This is similar to the thinking that has doomed Obama to a failed presidency. Obama thought that lots of stuff outside the Overton Window could come to pass just due to his pushing for it, assisted, as always, by his general Awesomeness. And certainly any ideological voter, whether on the right or the left, should want a candidate willing to push that Overton Window in the right (or left) direction.

Yet Obama ran as a candidate right in the middle of the Overton window.  He lied the same way you advocate our side to lie.  How's that working out for Obama, Ace?

If there really is an Overton window, you're advocating putting bars on it.

Posted by: U at November 19, 2010 12:38 PM (QQn2V)

105 So if Joe lost because he was too true to conservative ideals, why did Rossi lose?  He tried to have it both ways every which way.  I think if he had stood more firmly on one side of the line or the other, he would have won.  As it was, he came off as limp and squishy to everyone.  Plus he got drawn in to hacking at Murray, who is dumb but popular.  Neither of them talked much about the current issues -- just the past.  And that's where Murray was stronger as the incumbent.  Rossi's campaign stunk, frankly.

Posted by: Starboardhelm at November 19, 2010 12:38 PM (ctMcG)

106

Miller was actually polling pretty well until he equivocated on Palin.  That seems to mark the beginnig of his downward spiral.

 

You beat me to this.  Give the voting populace a little more time to wallow in the shit pit that Dear Leader and his regime have created for this nation and most (except, of course, Califuckme) will start listening to anything that seems out of the box.  All I heard from the repub candidates was conservative values.  And guess what?  We won one of the biggest landslide elections in modern history.

Posted by: Soona at November 19, 2010 12:38 PM (xW9AH)

107 Ridin' that train
High on Cocaine
Lisa Murkoswki better, watch your speed

Wait, did we say Lisa Murkowski?  Sorry, we totally meant Casey Jones.  Otherwise, it might imply that Lisa Murkowski is a coke fiend, and we certainly don't want to do that.  So, no, really, we really meant Casey Jones.  Pinky swear.

Posted by: The Grateful Dead at November 19, 2010 12:39 PM (s8N54)

108

Great post. I agree with it all. Except maybe the part about Rudy. I hated that he was "pro-choice" (actually, I think his position is more nuanced than that..) but I loved that he was just going to be himself. He wasn't going to be masquerading as something he wasn't. Adore that about Rudy.

Anyway,  a lot of lessons to learn from this past election. Growing pains, mostly.

Posted by: Darcy at November 19, 2010 12:39 PM (+Z6FM)

109 Suck my dick America.

Posted by: Lisa Murkowski at November 19, 2010 12:40 PM (LLZiU)

110 35
Is there any way or any possibility McConnell can be taken down?

I don't understand how he got his tobacco-pickin cousin-humpin  hooks in the leadership position.<<<<Soothsayer

"Picking" tobacco.  lol 

No, I don't get it either.  Never trust a guy with a receding chin.

Posted by: Kerry at November 19, 2010 12:43 PM (a/VXa)

111 Hey, #117 - my dick is much bigger than yours.

Posted by: Janet Napolitano at November 19, 2010 12:46 PM (s8N54)

112 And yet, Miller won the primary.  That should have been the end of the story, but it wasn't.  Miller would have won, period, but Moo-cow-sky showed pulled the disgrace-card and did her write in thing.  Ho hum.

Posted by: Jeff at November 19, 2010 12:46 PM (IRzx9)

113 witness their resistance to Comprehensive Immigration Reform and ObamaCare.

And witness its perfect futility.

We have Obamacare. And it will not go away, ever. And it'll get bigger and shittier, forever.

We'll have some kind of insanely unpopular effectively-"amnesty" kind of immigration deal, too, sometime soon, and then later we'll have it again, and again, whenever the replacement of the citizenry is deemed necessary to sustain the monstrousness of the state. Forever.

Non-lefties, if they believe what they say they believe (which I don't believe they do), knowing (because it's true) that all moves socialism-ward are irrevocable, unless everything changes at once, have to run on "Fuck all this, right now, today"—and lose, if that's a losing message. Or win, maybe. Because it's "everything goes," or nothing ever will.

Pragmatically speaking.

Posted by: oblig. at November 19, 2010 12:47 PM (x7Ao8)

114

Have to disagree with Ace and some of the posters here.

If you do not articulate those "positions", then you allow the media pundits and opposition to set the terms and limitations on the debate.

When somone on the National Stage starts talking about shutting down the Education Department... yes, they will at first be labled as "RADICAL"... but then people start to look at it... and see what a crappy Non needed Dept. it is...

We have for too long allowed the enemy to set the field of battle... which is why the Reps and Dems of the past argued over HOW to grow the Government (ie which parts) over whether to grow it or CUT it... which SHOULD be the true debate.

Posted by: Romeo13 at November 19, 2010 12:50 PM (AdK6a)

115 So, the lesson to be learned from the electoral avalanche is that the establishment R's are in the ascent?  That's plain silly. 

Posted by: ejo at November 19, 2010 12:53 PM (Urhve)

116

Miller was and is a very viable conservative candidate. Whoever was giving him advice sucked. Maybe because of his lifestyle (rugged outdoorsy ) he was in that particular bubble and forgot about the villages, unions and businesses that pray to the alter of the fed dollar. You either say that you're gonna keep bringing it ( like Lisa ) , or you somehow explain it in a way that gives people nothings going to change. Don't go around telling folks that this or that is not  the in Constitution, most people haven't the foggiest idea what you're talking about , they just hear no, no, no.

And really, one senator is not going to make much of a difference and for the most part I think that things wouldn't have changed too much. We still have a huge military and federal presence here. That money would still be coming up here but because of his communication on the subject and Murkys proven track record stupid people got the impression that if Miller won the spigot would be turned off.

He's a good man, just not much of a "politician".

Oh yeah..and that independant Alaskan spirit? Go blow a goat. That's a fallicy that went out in the 70's.

Posted by: Bosk at November 19, 2010 12:54 PM (pUO5u)

117 Murkowski is now going to punish the GOP for not having stopped Joe Miller from running in the first place- she is now effectively a Democrat.

Good to know. Now strip her of all her Republican committee memberships and any other party-affiliated positions.

If that old fart McConnell's been waiting for the right time, now has got to be it.

Posted by: Blacque Jacques Shellacque at November 19, 2010 12:56 PM (fxACH)

118 "Overton Window," ace? Must you?

I guess the next step is long, long rants about giving away half your shit, stockpiling food, finding God, 40 days and 40 nights to some sort of "redemption" and endless diatribes about "Spooky Dude."

This is even dumber than the recent popularity of "Cloward-Piven." Some people got it right, but too many started parroting it like myna birds: everything from commuter-train delays to the war in Afghanistan to our economic meltdown has been greeted with shrill cries of "Cloward-Piven!" from the peanut gallery.

Sheesh.

Posted by: MrScribbler© at November 19, 2010 12:56 PM (Ulu3i)

119

As previously noted, at the Senate level, of the 11 races where the GOP won (that is, no incumbent GOP Senator or a GOP candidate beat a Democrat), 9 of the winners had experience at eithe rhte Congressional or Statewide level. So, no, its not a coastal thing....its a math thing.

 

The House was a good start.  I knew going into this election that we weren't going to win all the marbles this time.  You speak of math, and I remember many people, even Ace, if I'm not mistaken, point out that we had a repub/dem ratio in the senate that was more advantagious to dems since we had to concentrate much of our efforts on keeping seats.  2012 may be different because of the greater number of dems up for re-election. 

Posted by: Soona at November 19, 2010 12:57 PM (xW9AH)

120

Joe Overton didn't claim that the Overton Window doesn't move, but politicians generally aren't the ones to move it.  The window itself isn't something real, it simply defines the freedom of movement of a politician on a given issue. 

The window gets moved by people who can push the envelope - like bloggers, think tanks, pundits, and the rest. AGW is one example, gay marriage is another.  The mistake Miller may have made here was trying to move the window as a candidate.

Posted by: pmm at November 19, 2010 12:59 PM (0AX8H)

121 TWO Wiki links in one article?  You bad.

Posted by: Tim the Enchanter at November 19, 2010 01:03 PM (izA2D)

122 Megyn Kelly in GQ? I know it's ot but.........BUNK!

Posted by: Bosk at November 19, 2010 01:04 PM (pUO5u)

123 Yes, Ace I agree with your opinion as will most people who think about it.But you fail to take into account the evil done to these unpolished and in some ways nieve candidates.
  The establishment sabotages them instead of helping them. They do this to keep their exclusive club exclusive.

Posted by: Taint Painter at November 19, 2010 01:04 PM (E7i+5)

124 Joe Miller Joe Miler Joe Miller send more money to Joe he needs money for lawyers.

Posted by: archie bunker at November 19, 2010 01:06 PM (0YS61)

125 STFU, dunce.

Posted by: toby928™ at November 19, 2010 01:07 PM (S5YRY)

126

Fighting corruption aint cheap. Unless you give up and just let it run, and run, and run.

Posted by: Bosk at November 19, 2010 01:08 PM (pUO5u)

127 Yes, and us Palinistas are quite aware of the record, that's why loathed Lisa so, why folks like low and slow defended her, and deny the tricks used to secure her
office

Posted by: justin cord at November 19, 2010 01:15 PM (O20xS)

128 Joe Miller wasn't as inexperienced as some of those Palin recruited but he was still wet behind the ears. I think he made some very poor moves at a time when he actually held a good lead.

On the other hand, Ellmers ran one of the best races I've seen. She did "attack" Etheridge in a video but it was not over the top and told the absolute truth that could be verified. On the other hand, some of the "attacks" Etheridge threw her way simply added to his new brand as bully boy. Etheridge was considered fairly safe at one time and got substantial outside help when it became apparent he was in trouble. It ended a very close race, something we need to ponder for 2012 with regard to GOTV efforts. Steele's efforts in that area are abysmal and I hope he will do the wise thing and step down. If we go into 2012 with Steele still at chair, we'll be laboring under a major handicap from the start.

Ellmers is eloquent, confident, and coherent. She's also what I consider a bonafide conservative and could be a future force in the making.




Posted by: Full Moon at November 19, 2010 01:31 PM (DtbEv)

129 This is a victory for democracy or something. Apparently Murky was onto something when she said she had a constituency. I just don't get the hate for this outcome. These are market rules, it's capitalism. Murky offered the product/service that the customers wanted, so they picked her over her competition.
Posted by: arhooley, conflicted Californian at November 19, 2010 04:21 PM (mdxTy)


You fail to take into account the fraud machine and the extra help from the judiciary and unions.

Posted by: Taint Painter at November 19, 2010 01:32 PM (E7i+5)

130 Miller also talked up privatization of Social Security, which is admirable and all, but certainly he would be in a better position to advance his ideas in this area if he had... sugar coated it? Been evasive? Been dishonest?

Yes, candor is all well and good but it tends to be punished at the polls.


Then we really are well and truly borked, and America really has become a nation of infants that will not escape the nanny state. We demand honesty and integrity while asking that those candidates solve real problems, yet it's all superficial rhetoric... on the voters' part. Turns out we're worse than the politicians and really do get the government "we" deserve.

I reject this behavior and rhetorical gamesmanship but guess I have to acknowledge that I'll be in the losing camp while those who wish to fool themselves reward the bigger of evils.

Posted by: AnonymousDrivel at November 19, 2010 01:34 PM (swuwV)

131 I don’t know. Better support from the national establishment after a primary victory? On the other hand, the national establishment may have thought he had it in the bag no matter what, too, and got caught flat-footed, thinking their resources were better spent elsewhere. Even at the very end, the polls showing Murkowski close to Miller had to pretend that she wasn’t a write-in candidate to do that. I think the elephant in the room in any discussion of Murkowski’s victory is fraud. No one wants to mention it. They skirt around with stupid little issues like posting of names and rhetorical questions about “how could this have happened?” And part of this is because few if any of us are from Alaska, so we just don’t know how out of the ordinary this is. But if it had happened in California—if, say, Brown lost to whoever the hell he was running against in the primary, and then he ran as a write-in and won against no-name and Meg Whitman, I would openly expect that it was the result of massive vote fraud by the Democratic establishment in California. So the problem with learning from this is, we don’t know what to learn. You can talk about spin messaging, but if it was fraud on the order of what I would expect to have happened in California, messaging doesn’t matter so much. In that case, finding some way to deal with vote fraud—which is definitely an issue that needs to be dealt with anyway—is more important.

Posted by: Jerry at November 19, 2010 01:34 PM (QF8uk)

132 She was on last nightÂ’s PBS Newshour claiming she is the one that best represents AlaskaÂ’s interests since she is no longer affiliated to a party.

GOP Leaders better get with the program and delete her membership from Republican committee positions now.

Posted by: maverick muse at November 19, 2010 01:35 PM (H+LJc)

133 Politicians promise an evening of sweet loving, but also promise you keep your virtue intact too. Problem is, lots of people are suckers for this type of rhetoric. As that old crappy song goes: "tell me lies. tell me sweet little lies"

Posted by: A.G. at November 19, 2010 01:36 PM (oAVyq)

134 Republicans had control of government  earlier this decade and what did they do? Yea... it's not just about getting Repubs in control of government, but the right kind.

Posted by: KG at November 19, 2010 01:36 PM (2pDBV)

135 Have to disagree with Ace and some of the posters here. If you do not articulate those "positions", then you allow the media pundits and opposition to set the terms and limitations on the debate. When somone on the National Stage starts talking about shutting down the Education Department... yes, they will at first be labled as "RADICAL"... but then people start to look at it... and see what a crappy Non needed Dept. it is... We have for too long allowed the enemy to set the field of battle... which is why the Reps and Dems of the past argued over HOW to grow the Government (ie which parts) over whether to grow it or CUT it... which SHOULD be the true debate. Posted by: Romeo13 at November 19, 2010 04:50 PM THIS. I get the feeling that some people seem to think that Reaganism (the 3-legged stool of fiscal, social and defense conservatism) rose overnight. It didn't. He worked for decades giving speeches, as Governor, campaigning for conservative candidates and campaigning on his own conservative ideals. . . all the while working to explain his ideals and principles to the American people. It did not pay off for him with the Presidency right away. But it did in the end. And look now how we revere him. What he did NOT do is look around at the electorate, find out what stupid bullshit ideas they believed in and work to try to campaign on those stupid bullshit ideas. He was a leader, not a follower. The American people want leaders. They want someone to support, not just reasons to vote against someone or something else. For all his radical background and faults, Obama gave the nation -- through his speeches and vapid empty rhetoric and idealistic pap -- something to support, something to vote *for*. The nation is majority right-of-center. It wants to vote *for* another Reagan (or Reagans in Congress). But the GOP is not putting forth those candidates. It's putting forth squishy bullshitters that have lost the trust of the American public. As such, they are not going to turn around within one election cycle and give the GOP a chance again. They have soured on the big government socialism of the GOP and the even bigger government socialism of the Democrat Party. The way to get them back to the GOP is not to waffle on issues and give stupid ass platitude so as not to turn off voters, but to stand strong on issues and give people specifics for which they can strongly support. 2010 was akin to Reagan losing his first time campaigning for President. But Reagan did not go into the 1980 campaign thinking "hmm, I need to water down my message to get elected". No, he kept going with his message and worked on articulating it better and stronger to persuade more and more people. THAT is the lesson conservatives need to take from now until 2012. Do NOT water down the message, but work on articulating it even better. People are now listening to the GOP. They liked what they heard, but are still skeptical. Now that we have their attention, the focus should be on watering down the message, but continuing our conservative message.

Posted by: Clyde Shelton at November 19, 2010 01:37 PM (NITzp)

136 This is a problem I keep having with unpolished, neophyte, Tea Party-type candidates.

It wouldn't matter what party affiliation or ideology an unpolished neophyte candidate has. That problem of inexperience would exist.

As Fred Thompson said early on when supporting Sharon Angle, regardless of the quality of a candidate, speaking from his own experience, as a rule the campaign manager makes all the difference between victory or loss. So get the right campaign manager.

Posted by: maverick muse at November 19, 2010 01:39 PM (H+LJc)

137 Murkowski is going to get any committee assignment she wants.  She is the proverbial loose cannon.

If McConnell pulls her committee assignments,  she will caucus with the democrats.  She obviously is in this for herself,  and has no party loyalty.

When McConnell gives her her seats back,  just remember that I told you he would have to,  and forget about attacking him.  He will have no choice,  unless you guys want to see one more added to the D column.

And she will ALSO get her way on pork,  because who is going to tell her "no?"

By the way,  I thought we were told she couldn't win as a write-in?  I believe I read that right here.  

Posted by: Miss Marple at November 19, 2010 01:39 PM (Fo83G)

138 Miller's loss?

One word,  Eskimos.

They are on the tit and Lisa is their bitch.

Posted by: Kemp at November 19, 2010 01:40 PM (JpFM9)

139 Now that we have their attention, the focus should not be on watering down the message, but continuing our conservative message.

Posted by: Clyde Shelton at November 19, 2010 05:37 PM (NITzp)

I think you forgot something in there


But yea, the thing is, I have absolutely no confidence that the GOP can, as a whole,  effectively articulate conservative principles the way Reagan could. They have never shown this ability and I see no reason they will be able to start now. The incoming freshmen are a good start, but only a start, and even they have a gradient in how articulate they are....

Posted by: KG at November 19, 2010 01:43 PM (2pDBV)

140

@113: "(except, of course, Califuckme)"

That's Califuckeverbody, thankyouverymuch.

Posted by: Fa Cube Itches at November 19, 2010 01:43 PM (xy9wk)

141 Then we really are well and truly borked, and America really has become a nation of infants that will not escape the nanny state. We demand honesty and integrity while asking that those candidates solve real problems, yet it's all superficial rhetoric... on the voters' part. Turns out we're worse than the politicians and really do get the government "we" deserve. I reject this behavior and rhetorical gamesmanship but guess I have to acknowledge that I'll be in the losing camp while those who wish to fool themselves reward the bigger of evils. Posted by: AnonymousDrivel at November 19, 2010 05:34 PM I'm right there with you. Some people seem to have forgotten some basics of Reaganism: “A political party cannot be all things to all people. It must represent certain fundamental beliefs which must not be compromised to political expediency or simply to swell its numbers.” —Ronald Reagan 1975 “Don’t give up your ideals, don’t compromise, don’t turn to expediency — and don’t, for heaven’s sake, having seen the inner workings of the watch — don’t get cynical.” —Ronald Reagan, 1976 Reagan gave his Time for Choosing speech in what, 1964? It was not until 16 years later that he was elected President. Undoing all the brainwashing and indoctrination of the MF-ing media, Hollywood, grammar schools, high schools, universities, etc is going to take time. But it will NOT be undone if people refuse to articulate conservatism. Convince people of the righteousness of conservatism and electoral victories will follow.

Posted by: Clyde Shelton at November 19, 2010 01:47 PM (NITzp)

142 If Miller was the "peoples' choice", how come he came in third?

Posted by: JEA at November 19, 2010 01:48 PM (Deni3)

143 But he did make mistakes, similar to the ones other Tea Party type candidates made. And the net result is that he lost the election, and cannot put his agenda into tangible effect. At least not now.

And to prove the point of having the right campaign manager, Obama began his campaign by spilling all the beans in his initial video. "I want a personal army just as big, well trained and well funded as the US Military."

Given the cooperation of the Democrat Media AND THE WEENIE REPUBLICANS, Obama never had to defend that video manifesto he produced before the party machine dropped Hillary for him.

Beginners make mistakes. No surprise. Some make mistakes out of foolhardy conviction on principle in public debate. But that's just one way to leave yourself open for criticism which is particularly magnified out of proportion given the Democrat Media. Live and learn. The media would have just as viciously slashed Miller as a hypocrite and the Tea Party as a fraud movement had he not stated his views as he did.




Posted by: maverick muse at November 19, 2010 01:48 PM (H+LJc)

144 Republicans had control of government earlier this decade and what did they do? Yea... it's not just about getting Repubs in control of government, but the right kind. Posted by: KG at November 19, 2010 05:36 PM THIS.

Posted by: Clyde Shelton at November 19, 2010 01:49 PM (NITzp)

145 Now that we have their attention, the focus should NOT be on watering down the message, but continuing our conservative message. Posted by: Clyde Shelton at November 19, 2010 05:37 PM FIFM

Posted by: Clyde Shelton at November 19, 2010 01:52 PM (NITzp)

146 I agree that the inexperience of many of the TP candidates hurt them in the general election, even the ones that won.  The thing is, that is the fault of the Republican establishment.  They spent so long trying to exclude conservatives and worried about getting their turn at the trough.

I still believe that the best thing for the party would be term limits.  Forcing a turnover in candidates may hurt us with seniority, but it will force the party to start looking for and developing talent, and would push more experienced members to take an active role in multiple levels of government, instead of planting themselves in a house or senate seat and staying there for the next 20 years.


Posted by: Alex at November 19, 2010 01:57 PM (yY28H)

147 I think you forgot something in there Heh, yeah, thanks. Caught that when I went back and read what I posted! But yea, the thing is, I have absolutely no confidence that the GOP can, as a whole, effectively articulate conservative principles the way Reagan could. They have never shown this ability and I see no reason they will be able to start now. The incoming freshmen are a good start, but only a start, and even they have a gradient in how articulate they are.... Posted by: KG at November 19, 2010 05:43 PM I share your lack of confidence in the GOP to articulate conservatism. But there is a reason they don't. (1) Because they don't believe it in themselves and (2) Because you have pundits saying stuff like Ace here where they encourage the GOP to not articulate conservatism, but rather be squishy in order to win elections. (1) we can solve by getting rid of these big government Republicans. (2) we can solve ourselves by changing our attitudes. If we want conservatism from our leaders, we need to show support for them when they articulate conservatism and not encourage them to be squishes or criticize them for campaigning too conservatively. We can't have it both ways. We can't say "be more conservative!" and then turn around and say "well, gee, you lost because you were too conservative, stop doing that". That's ridiculous. This is why I sometimes question the conservative bonafides of pundits like ace and others on right-of-center blogs. Because they say they want conservative government, but then criticize politicians when they campaign on a conservative platform and lose. "They shouldn't be too conservative, it turns off too many people", they say. So what, I say. The point is to persuade people to conservatism, right? The only way to get that done is to campaign on conservatism. Sometimes you will lose. But that does not mean to stop trying. It means to find a way to better articulate the message and persuade more people. It seems some people look at ONE electoral loss and say "okay, the country rejected conservatism, we have to water down our ideology so it is more acceptable". That's nonsense. The lesson to learn is that you don't overturn decades of liberal indoctrination overnight and you sure as hell don't convince anyone of conservatism by watering it down and not articulating it.

Posted by: Clyde Shelton at November 19, 2010 02:02 PM (NITzp)

148

Posted by: Miss Marple at November 19, 2010 05:39 PM (Fo83G)

 

I say strip her of her power in congress.  She's a lib anyway.  Let her show her true colors.  Her little teat-sucking friends in AK will learn that just because she won an election, doesn't mean she can keep that pork coming. 

Posted by: Soona at November 19, 2010 02:06 PM (xW9AH)

149 Ace, this is a much better way of nuancing your position on these people. You are essentially correct, in that people running for office need to be better skilled at communication than the average, uh, Joe.

It also helps one's candidacy if both eyes track normally and you don't have crazy hair.

But face it, all the hollywood types are on the left. That means the left has a lot of men, especially, who use "mangroomers", get facial surgery, and fake teeth that sparkle like Tony Curtis' in The Great Race. We didn't have that in Sharon Angle and Joe Miller. These were regular people with many rough edges left unchipped.

I don't mind some wishful thinking about candidates, and I don't mind cold, clear (non-personal) analysis about their campaigns. But too many supposed conservatives fall for the memes of the MFM when providing this analysis. So instead of posts helpfully advising future candidates, we have a bunch of jerks acting like Olbermann and joining the leftist loons at laughing at the candidates who failed. Own goals. Stupid.

I suspect normal people were sad about Alvin Greene's candidacy, and the laugh-riot that ensued when the alcohol began flowing liberaly. I hope the more sober analysis about candidates is the one used going forward. Unfortunately, the right-o-sphere's more drunken moments will be the ones brought forth as examples of conservatives' tardigrade motion by clever leftists in the next round of elections.

Meanwhile, the movement that inspired the Tea Party isn't gone, nor is it over. Get used to more regular folks with rough edges in the mix. Let's hope the RNC, et al, don't go wobbly again when these regular folks win primaries.

THAT was a huge problem.

Posted by: K~Bob at November 19, 2010 02:06 PM (a6cF8)

150 It did not help him that, with an opportunity to present himself as a clean-cut West Point graduate and Army veteran, he decided to make himself look like a thug with a constant several days' groth of beard. 

Posted by: George Richardson at November 19, 2010 02:08 PM (/zVBg)

151

Thr biggest problem with Joe's campaign was allowing the huckster's people to be so involved in it.    There were a lot of things, email leaks, etc. that should never have happened.    He definitely didn't get the best advice, and they worked to try and distance him from Palin.   That was stupid.    By the time he tried to fix it, it was too late.

Plus, I think it's huckster's people that are pushing him to challenge the results.

Posted by: Steph at November 19, 2010 02:17 PM (DReGA)

152 NEWS ALERT from Fox:

Federal Judge has halted AK certification of results.

Posted by: Vic at November 19, 2010 02:17 PM (e4sSD)

153

Just like Obama said:  hide your agenda until you are into office.  Might not be ethical -- but then you are in!!! and can execute your agenda.   The left does it all the time --- example :  Gillibrand NY

Posted by: John B at November 19, 2010 02:19 PM (KU+Ye)

154 ...he decided to make himself look like a thug with a constant several days' groth of beard. 

Posted by: George Richardson at November 19, 2010 06:08 PM (/zVBg)

It's AK.    It's not freakin' white bread, USA.

Posted by: Steph at November 19, 2010 02:19 PM (DReGA)

155 And frankly I don't know what people are bitching about anyway asfar as "conservatives" winning. We had the largest Republican turnover in the House in nearly 40 years and we won 6 seats in the Senate when almost all the seats up for grabs were Republican ones.

I fully expect even more in 2012 unless the Republicans go back to their evil 2006/2008 strategy.

Posted by: Vic at November 19, 2010 02:19 PM (e4sSD)

156

Meanwhile, the movement that inspired the Tea Party isn't gone, nor is it over. Get used to more regular folks with rough edges in the mix. Let's hope the RNC, et al, don't go wobbly again when these regular folks win primaries.

THAT was a huge problem.

 

Thas' right!

 

Posted by: Soona at November 19, 2010 02:22 PM (xW9AH)

157 I fully expect even more in 2012 unless the Republicans go back to their evil 2006/2008 strategy.

Posted by: Vic at November 19, 2010 06:19 PM (e4sSD)

It's quaint notions like yours that are holding back Our Party from the success we deserve.

Posted by: Smart, Beltway Conservatives at November 19, 2010 02:23 PM (a6cF8)

158 LOL, sitting here watching Fox and they keep saying Republicans love Chris Christie because he is outspoken and plain speaking. In a deep Blue State.

How is that all the bloggers here love outspoken Christie while blaming Miller's outspokeness for losing in a Red State???

They also say he is a Tea Party favorite which I don't believe.

(this in their 12 in 2012 series)

Posted by: Vic at November 19, 2010 02:28 PM (e4sSD)

159 The Murkowsky campaign gives hope to those of us who have waited their turn. The RNC will select us next time, and not those rude, ruffians from the Tea Party.

Posted by: Where's The Outrage? at November 19, 2010 02:34 PM (a6cF8)

160

Remember, the Tea party only had about 18 months from inception to election day. Not a lot of time to get candidates and message together. We won some, we lost some. Overall, we did pretty good.

Look at Ron Johnson. He took down a liberal icon by running a smooth, focused campaign without wandering into idealogical sideroads. Don't let the enemy define you.

Miller should have dropped the constitutional bit about unemployment and just said if the federal gov. would get out of our way, Alaska could use it's rich store of resources, oil, minerals, timber, etc, and not need "charity" from Washington. The same with other states. It is hard to explain nuance to people who don't even know who the Vice-President is.

And Lisa. Leave her there until the end of this session, she is still the sitting senator. If she wins, then tell her she has to earn her way back come Jan. 

Posted by: bigred at November 19, 2010 02:45 PM (cX9pO)

161 I agree that sometimes I wish some of the Conservative or Tea Party candidates would just STFU sometimes.... they are their own worst enemies. There were many instances where they just went way too far in defining some ideas that in all honesty they would never be able to accomplish in the first years of their time in office. So why talk about it? The problem is that almost all politicians like to hear themselves talk... and talk... and talk.. and then they get off message and then step in it.
You know how a lot of people on the left and in the media complain that Sarah Palin doesn't articulate detailed positions on all topics.... she repeats a lot of her talking points in a theme rather than super detailed explanations.... and the left and liberal media has nothing to attack.... except her personally. Ever hear a good argument against any of Sarah Palin's main themes? Don't forget, this is an ideological battle, not a detail battle.  Not yet.

Posted by: PhilipJames at November 19, 2010 02:51 PM (X/9bv)

162 Annnnnd they bring on Rich Lowry to discuss Palin's potential candidacy over at Fox News (Brett Baier's hour). This after Mona Charen's article there.

The long knives are coming out. Good luck with that, party insiders.

Posted by: K~Bob at November 19, 2010 02:51 PM (a6cF8)

163 And by "over there" I mean Lowry's rag, National Review.

Zombie Buckley is squidgily rotating in his mausoleum.

Posted by: K~Bob at November 19, 2010 02:53 PM (a6cF8)

164 If Miller was the "peoples' choice", how come he came in third?

Dude. That would be your guy coming in a distant third.

Carter, Tim NA 922 0.36%
Gianoutsos, Ted NA 456 0.18%
Haase, Fredrick LIB 1454 0.57%
McAdams, Scott T. DEM 60007 23.46%
Miller, Joe REP 90740 35.47%
Write-in Votes 102252 39.97%

Posted by: toby928™ at November 19, 2010 03:33 PM (S5YRY)

165 Effin interface.

Posted by: toby928™ at November 19, 2010 03:34 PM (S5YRY)

166 Its funny, but once your in the office, it seems you can get away with saying more crazy stuff.

Posted by: sexypig at November 19, 2010 05:09 PM (5SXPU)

167 When McConnell gives her her seats back,  just remember that I told you he would have to,  and forget about attacking him.  He will have no choice,  unless you guys want to see one more added to the D column.

So the Republicans now have to give in to what's basically blackmail? Tsk tsk.

Posted by: Blacque Jacques Shellacque at November 19, 2010 05:13 PM (fxACH)

168 "But we can't have that unless we're actually at the controls of government." And we should value control of the government at all cost! Give up the principles of the movement, for the sake of the movement! Torpedo O'Donnell for Castle for the sake of the party; torpedo Murcowski for the sake of the principles. What's the common factor in each of these cases? The satisfaction in backing a sure thing. In the end, the amateurish jingoism of self-important bloggers is the only bet that beats the house. In their defense, they are aided and abetted by sycophantic commenters (and co-bloggers). Remember when Ace of Spaders were denigrating goldbugs as lunatics? I do. Suddenly everybody's studying Hayek and bullish on gold. The lack of perspective is, frankly, hilarious. The lemming-like mentality, less so. I liked when Ace came out and said, basically, if you like security, why not have naked-body scanners and pat-downs? Why is it necessarily wrong for you to get groped and your luggage not prodded as thoroughly? These are consistent views, under our Constitution. Sure, Ace may have been having a lark, but he's absolutely not wrong on this. If you are sovereign in your person, you are also sovereign in your property. This is the core of the classical liberal philosophy. Most of the commenters, in my opinion, are largely concerned with STANDING FIRM AGAINST THE ENEMEY, the enemy mostly being other American citizens who disagree with them. Philosophy and debates on foundational principles are, to be honest, boring and prone to thinking hard. Unpopular at the best of times. The ridiculous leader Ewok is right on this. If SECURITY is your principle concern, then you need to be groped and your belongings rifled through. If you want freedom, then you have to accept a greater risk. No prevaricating about WRT how Israel does it--we are not Israel. Their laws are not our laws. (Unless laws don't matter?) So, yes--the compelling desire to CATCH THE TERISTS is one and the same with FEELING UP UR PACKAGE. No amount of wishing the laws of a foreign nation applied here matters. If Israel's laws are good enough to supersede the Constitution, then Sweden's laws can equally hold sway. In summation: stop bitching, assholes, this is exactly what you want.

Posted by: Lolcano at November 19, 2010 07:09 PM (qE9Su)

169 It is really simple as hell.  Look at the numbers, the DEMOCRATS elected MurKokesniffer.  She cut a deal.  The democrats, scared spitless that another conservative was going to be elected and derail Obama and the communist's overthrow of our government.  So they threw their support to Madcowsucker.  They knew McAdams wasn't going to happen and decided to cut their losses.
Sunday evening before the election, I got a call from the "Alaska Democrat committee", asking ALL DEMOCRATS and INDEPENDENTS to WRITE in Murcokesucker to keep Miller from being elected and keep the government pork money coming in to Alaska.
Just like the DEMOCRATS in Florida crossing over in the last primary, giving us McAmnesty, the DEMOCRATS in Alaska have crossed over to CUT THEIR LOSSES!  Liar MurCowscud is one of the best democrats in the senate, when they need help!
This election is not over, help Miller and give another $25 contribution so he can see that the law of Alaska is followed, and there are "irregularities" possible voter fraud that needs to be exposed without the establishment making "excuses"!   If the recount is done correctly, and by the existing law, HE MAY WIN.  If the corruptocrats are allowed to continue to rig the game as they have been, he has no chance.....

Posted by: Chilly in Alaska at November 19, 2010 08:39 PM (8xplH)

170 I hate this brilliant essay because it is completely correct. And it is completely correct because it recognizes the immutable reality of human relations. I guess the simple (and also correct) response to folks who expect something different is, grow up. And yet the phoniness, the insincerity, the manipulative mental reservation, the lack of integrity, are just too repulsive on the constant grand scale. Somewhat relatedly, I am going to hate it when I am finally talked out of my love for Sarah as candidate, based on the realities, but I really am going to hate it. And maybe a miracle will happen. I hope. And, I don't want to grow a mustache or a quarter of an inch.

Posted by: Tonawanda at November 20, 2010 05:26 AM (fgysf)

171 The essay doesn't work because there is a presumption attached that, even if the R candidates don't discuss these particular issues, we somehow should trust that they might be in agreement with them on some level.  We can't trust them.  That's a simple fact.  Past experience shows that the R establishment will spend and spend and spend, all the while making no changes in priorities or making any significant cuts when in charge.

Posted by: ed at November 20, 2010 07:15 AM (Tp3ar)

172 We can't do it until we are in charge of the levers of power.  When "we" were in charge of the levers of power, we didn't do it.  Why believe the R's will now?

Posted by: ed at November 20, 2010 07:18 AM (Tp3ar)

173 ACE, I am a long time fan, but have to disagree with your insight.

It was the fashion of an Image-Identity Movement, which was embarrassed yet again in Alaska.

Delaware was a true fiasco, enabling the opposite.  A foolish mistake.

Conservative isn't a blind fashionable denial - it is strength empowered by facts, reason, objectivity, honesty, etc. 

The entire effort was really embarrassing from the beginning.  I remember the ugly emails from the Palin Franchise, and the Tea Party Express - (the organization, not the protest movement I participated in), and they were so overt, irresponsible, divisive, etc.  They only encouraged the disaster which was to be expected.

And Miller's flop, reveals again just how weak the fashion actually is today.  Miller was revealed predictably to be flawed, a contradiction who abused his governmental gig - a weak candidate who could not even beat a "write in".  Murkowski, a weak Fatherly appointed Moderate with a 70% ACU rating was maligned so terribly by the fashion during that Primary - I don't blame her for her INDY run.  The hostility was so over the top, the Palin Franchise seemed so engaged in a personal vendetta.  It was all predictably just growing opposition and begging unnecessarily for another political enemy.

The best amongst us, can be honest about their mistakes, and learn from the facts.  Sound politics grows others to join with the good Side, and this folly in Alaska, Delaware, etc., is only pushing folks away - and is exploited by the opposition to debase the best Conservative interests.  Constructive, attractive efforts are essential, and the Races in Alaska, Delaware, even Nevada, reveal the poorest efforts we have seen.

Running O'Donnell in Delaware was about as wise as nominating John McCain for the Presidential Race.

Some are stuck on a 'echo' fan fare, which is only enabling the opposite.  We just cannot afford to enable the disastrous Democratic Party any further.  We are all for encouraging sound policy  and better Conservative Candidates, but suicidal self destruction is utterly a waste.

Posted by: OLD FAN at November 20, 2010 10:42 AM (Q12g3)

174 Undoing all the brainwashing and indoctrination of the MF-ing media, Hollywood, grammar schools, high schools, universities, etc is going to take time. But it will NOT be undone if people refuse to articulate conservatism. Convince people of the righteousness of conservatism and electoral victories will follow.

Sort of begs the question.

What to do with true-blue (true-red?) inarticulately conservative candidates?

Not saying this about Miller, making the more general case...

What good is winning a primary if your incumbent Democrat opponent can win the general by painting you as a possible kook, (mostly with ammunition you supplied yourself in an effort to energize your already existing base) to the potentially persuadable voters out there?

You know, the type that don't even vote in primaries, at all?

To go back to Miller and Morecokesky, I'm in no way convinced that the only way she wins is through fraud, graft and shady dealings.

I'm willing to stipulate that it appears that the electorate wanted to keep her pampered princess ass in the seat that Daddy gave her.

(They must have really, really wanted it.  Write- in candidate?  Are you shitting me?!?)

Must be a reason why, no?

In this and in every other defeat wouldn't we do better to examine the campaigns and even the candidates themselves for the reasons why the result obtained?

Bitching about having the deck stacked against you, with the MFM, Academia, Voter Fraud, ACORN etc. is only going to get you so far... 

And not very far at all, if you persist in the childish belief that if it weren't for all of those unfair obstacles, your guy would have won handily and so it really is like he did win (except he didn't)!

Shoulda, woulda, coulda...

Maybe next time, the conservative candidate would do well to make a better case for getting rid of pork-barrel spending to the citizens of Alaska.

I don't know, maybe that wasn't his problem at all but something was and it wasn't Mitch McConnell or the RNSC (even though they weren't exactly helpful).










Posted by: Deety© at November 20, 2010 03:50 PM (Jb3+B)

175 What good is winning a primary if your incumbent Democrat opponent can win the general by painting you as a possible kook, (mostly with ammunition you supplied yourself in an effort to energize your already existing base) to the potentially persuadable voters out there?

You know, the type that don't even vote in primaries, at all?

Hmm...

I know I can get voter numbers for the primary and general elections in my county, and I know we had a huge turnout of Republicans over Democrats in the primary but they had incumbents on the two tickets for House Reps. in my county and surrounding effected ones.

I wonder if it is possible to break that down by Congressional district?

To whit, how many more people ended up voting for the Republican in a specific House race in the general than voted in the Republican primary overall?

(We have closed primaries.)

I'm not saying that it's a given that everyone who was so super-motivated to vote Republican in the primary this year was necessarily a lock for the candidate nominated but I'd like to know, where this tops out.

How does this trend historically?

Is this a useful datum to pursue?






Posted by: Deety© at November 20, 2010 04:12 PM (Jb3+B)

176 This is why I sometimes question the conservative bonafides of pundits like ace and others on right-of-center blogs. Because they say they want conservative government, but then criticize politicians when they campaign on a conservative platform and lose.

Uhm, yeah...

Because they fucking lost!

I don't know how to explain this to you but I will try...

The most super-duper, most conservative EVAR, candidate to lose an election is by definition not a part of a "conservative government".

They are not part of "government" at all.

What the hell is this?

 The "A for Effort Club", the "It's your conservative instincts and intentions which count more than the results!" group hug?

I thought we were a bit different.

Fine.

Every conservative candidate who lost their race this season gets a participation ribbon and automatic nomination for whatever primary they participate in, next time...

Only fair, it's their turn after all.












Posted by: Deety© at November 20, 2010 04:40 PM (Jb3+B)

177 Please! Don't give up so fast!! our Joe is a constitutional attorney, don't you know? and as such he and other Alaskans have just secured an injunction against Murkykowski so they have to stop it! counting votes the other way than the way they said had to be! and we'll just see what happens next now!! as Miss Lisa is all perched in her seat to go into Congress as if she just belongs there.

It is still the people's seat.  Never did belong to her Dad or any of those old Repubs.  I am rooting for Joe!!  May the best man win! 

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