September 21, 2010
— Gabriel Malor In politics and sports, commentators like nothing more than to talk about momentum. Who has it. Who lost it. And how much it's going to affect the only poll that really matters on Election Day. So I always take note how momentum gets framed.
Take the West Virginia PPP poll just released.
PPP cautions that because this is their first poll in the West Virginia race and the first of any poll to show Raese over Manchin it shouldn't be interpreted to say anything about momentum.
Bullhockey. The Robert Byrd Memorial Senate Seat was widely thought to be a long shot for a GOP pick up. All the analysts categorize the seat "Leans Dem." So a poll showing the the Republican candidate over the de facto Democratic incumbent absolutely demonstrates that the electorate is going places. PPP's cautionary statement just shows that the electorate is going places PPP isn't exactly comfortable with.
We've been watching Gallup's notoriously unreliable polling on the generic ballot for the same reason. One week they've got the Republican at +10. The next week, it's tied. Then the generic Republican +5. Now, again, it's statistically tied. So, how does Gallup spin this: "Republicans losing strength in September compared with August." The point being that Republicans are losing momentum. Oh, the horror, they peaked too soon.
Again, BULLHOCKEY. A series of unreliable polls does not indicate momentum or lack thereof. In fact, this series of polls doesn't indicate anything at all except that Gallup has waited too long compared to its competitors to start polling likely voters. Gallup's poll is based on surveys of registered voters, which in a mid-term election year are only slightly more accurate than surveys of the squirrels in my yard.
Gallup cautions that things may change when it finally starts polling likely voters in October. No. Shit. Republicans are much more enthusiastic than Democrats about voting this year. Ya think that might affect the outcome? Oh, but that's not Gallup's goal right now. Right now it wants to talk about momentum. And that means pretending that the Democrats have got it.
Posted by: Gabriel Malor at
07:51 AM
| Comments (212)
Post contains 355 words, total size 2 kb.
Posted by: pep at September 21, 2010 07:53 AM (YXmuI)
Could you please stick to the important issues Gabe?
Posted by: Hedgehog at September 21, 2010 07:53 AM (oQIfB)
Posted by: yournamehere at September 21, 2010 07:54 AM (H3X4e)
The point being that Republicans are losing momentum. Oh, the horror, they peaked too soon.
Oh we're going to peak. We're going to peak hard in November. We're going to peak all over the democrats.
Posted by: The GOP at September 21, 2010 07:56 AM (wuv1c)
I believe it is appropriate to dust-off and repurpose the Original Ace Coined Word: NOMENTUM.
Posted by: reason at September 21, 2010 07:58 AM (1R6cr)
It would be funny (to my simple mind) if a lot os ballots showed up with Miller written in. It would give the Murkowski campaign false hope when they heard about the number of write ins to be counted then crush them when they didn't get them all.
Posted by: Max Entropy at September 21, 2010 07:58 AM (la188)
Gabriel, I may snipe from time to time (in good nature of course) but I have to say this was an excellent post dude, seriously.
Posted by: journolist at September 21, 2010 07:59 AM (O/NP5)
Also, as Rush hammered home yesterday, this has to happen for several election cycles in a row before we really make headway that's sustainable (ie, get rid of LG for a real conservative). That will be the true test.
The only questions that remain, IMO, are how strongly the nation rejects B to the O and his minions in Nov, and how long does the biznatch slapping continue.
Posted by: The Hammer at September 21, 2010 07:59 AM (32ubA)
Posted by: Andi Sullyvan at September 21, 2010 08:01 AM (oQIfB)
Posted by: MMW at September 21, 2010 08:01 AM (kt/h1)
Posted by: Have Blue at September 21, 2010 08:01 AM (mV+es)
Posted by: caterpillar filter at September 21, 2010 08:02 AM (8xxdk)
Posted by: Edgar Allan Joe Miller at September 21, 2010 08:02 AM (J26il)
caterpillar filter
Posted by: caterpillar filter at September 21, 2010 12:02 PM (8xxdk)
We've been waiting for you...
Posted by: Hedgehog at September 21, 2010 08:03 AM (oQIfB)
(9N-3368, 1R-0751, 250-6527, 9N-6123, 129-0373, 134-6307, 146-6695, Caterpillar fuel water separat, 1R-0762, 1R-0749, 1R-0739, 184-3931, 1R-0716, 132-8875, 131-8822, 131-8821, 142-1404, 9N-3367, 117-4089, 1R-0756, 6L-4714, 1R-0741, 142-1404, 1R-0755, 126-2081, 1R-0753, 6I-2502, 5I8670x, 4P-0710, 1R-1807, 4N-0015, 4I-3948, 1R-0771, 1R-0770, 1R-0713, 326-1643, 1R-1808, 6I-2501, 1R-0735, 1R-0726)
Posted by: caterpillar filter at September 21, 2010 08:04 AM (8xxdk)
but i only get asked about the dems.
Posted by: curious at September 21, 2010 08:04 AM (p302b)
Posted by: Vic at September 21, 2010 08:05 AM (/jbAw)
She ran as a write in, and since she
Had a name that was hard,
She told her retards
To remember it rhymes with Alinsky.
Posted by: Edgar Allan Joe Miller
Nice. The sock is great too. Quoth the raven to Murlinsky, "nevermore. Now get the fuck out."
Posted by: Blue Hen at September 21, 2010 08:08 AM (R2fpr)
Posted by: Moi at September 21, 2010 08:08 AM (Ez4Ql)
Posted by: caterpillar filter at September 21, 2010 08:09 AM (8xxdk)
Advantage: John McCain, Russ Feingold
Posted by: Radioactive Satellite Of LOVE at September 21, 2010 08:10 AM (LdYLm)
Posted by: joncelli at September 21, 2010 08:10 AM (RD7QR)
That was 40 years ago. Today pretty much everybody has adopted the Time model with the following change: "We know what will be politically effective for the Democrats and that is what we publish". Why do you think the polls rarely reflect what happens in the elections.
The only polls that matter are the internal polls from the parties - they are the ones that tend to be accurate. I doubt the Donkeys like what their internal polls are telling them.
Posted by: An Observation at September 21, 2010 08:10 AM (ylhEn)
I pulled my nuts and ... heh ... 3 hours, 40 minutes left on the good wood timer!
Posted by: The Real Bob Dole at September 21, 2010 08:10 AM (Wqfrr)
Ron Johnson (R) 52 (43)
Sen. Russ Feingold (D) 41 (45)
HOLY GUACAMOLE
Posted by: Esoteric
Egad. Where's CAC? Any chance that we'll see the Dems abandon him? Or is it more likely that they pour resources into him?
Posted by: Blue Hen at September 21, 2010 08:10 AM (R2fpr)
Posted by: gomm at September 21, 2010 08:10 AM (7JES6)
Posted by: Hedgehog at September 21, 2010 08:11 AM (oQIfB)
Posted by: caterpillar filter at September 21, 2010 08:12 AM (8xxdk)
Posted by: The Crazy Train, with sunglasses like David Caruso at September 21, 2010 08:14 AM (pUfK9)
If the polls are are all showing a race at Rep +5 right before the election, and on election night the Dems wins by 50 votes, people can guess the fix is in.
If the honest pollsters are showing Rep+5 and the more Dem aligned pollsters have it at tossup...and the Dem candidate "finds" enough votes to win after a recount, well, its harder to cry fraud, no?
Posted by: 18-1 at September 21, 2010 08:14 AM (7BU4a)
Posted by: caterpillar filter at September 21, 2010 12:12 PM (8xxdk)
Saying it LOUDER always gets our attention.
Posted by: ya2daup at September 21, 2010 08:14 AM (Wqfrr)
"How do you force the caterpillar through the filter?"
Maybe they're supposed to keep things caterpillar-free.
My question is, how does the filter handle butterflies...?
Posted by: reason at September 21, 2010 08:15 AM (wEYaf)
Egad. Where's CAC? Any chance that we'll see the Dems abandon him? Or is it more likely that they pour resources into him?
They will have to dump cash into the race. If anything, the DNSC will drop Blanke Stare - she is down by an average of 20 and probably can not be saved. But, the good news is that the DNSC, much like the RNSC, saves incumbents first. So, that means while they have to dump cash in to protect Reid, Boxer, Feingold, Murray and possibly Gillibrand, that means less cash for Ali G, West Virginia, Conn. and, yes, the state that can not be named.
Posted by: Mallamutt
You can't name it? I sure can! it's *BONG*
Posted by: Gabby Blue Hen Johnson at September 21, 2010 08:15 AM (R2fpr)
Posted by: caterpillar filter at September 21, 2010 08:15 AM (8xxdk)
How come spammers don't have to use tinyurl? That's gotta be racist or something.
Posted by: Burn the Witch at September 21, 2010 08:15 AM (fLHQe)
I just polled the caterpillar filter spammer. His preference is clearly for made-up numbers and abject nonsense.
ADVANTAGE: Pelosi.
Posted by: reason at September 21, 2010 08:16 AM (wEYaf)
Posted by: The Crazy Train, with sunglasses like David Caruso at September 21, 2010 12:14 PM (pUfK9)
It's all just biased statistics ...
Posted by: ya2daup at September 21, 2010 08:16 AM (Wqfrr)
Posted by: caterpillar filter at September 21, 2010 08:17 AM (8xxdk)
Posted by: GrumpyUnk at September 21, 2010 08:17 AM (1TTCZ)
That's an awful big hood to step into...
Posted by: 18-1 at September 21, 2010 08:17 AM (7BU4a)
Posted by: curious at September 21, 2010 08:17 AM (p302b)
“I’m one of your middle class Americans. And quite frankly, I’m exhausted. Exhausted of defending you, defending your administration, defending the mantle of change that I voted for.”
Taken these 2 statements I would say I don't care what any poll in any race shows. Anybody with an R after their name will not be below 45% on election day. It's a lot easier to answer a phone poll then it is to actually go out and vote. If a poll shows an R candidate below 45% then you can be sure there was a bunch of people who voted D in 2008 that won't be voting in 2010 included in the poll. I would say to that I think the 45% is an average for the whole country. If the district was a even or a +R for 2008 then you can put it down as a Republican win right now. I don't care if BasilMarceaux.com is the R candidate. In a +R district or state he wins this year. Only extremely popular, longtime incumbent Ds are safe this year even they will struggle to get to 60% when they routinely top 70%.
Posted by: Rocks at September 21, 2010 08:18 AM (Q1lie)
Posted by: GrumpyUnk at September 21, 2010 08:18 AM (1TTCZ)
Posted by: gomm at September 21, 2010 08:18 AM (7JES6)
Posted by: Fresh Air at September 21, 2010 08:19 AM (ap1zP)
Posted by: chicken thief at September 21, 2010 08:19 AM (Q0lfL)
Posted by: GrumpyUnk at September 21, 2010 12:18 PM (1TTCZ)
I'd settle for a surprise cold snap.
Posted by: ya2daup at September 21, 2010 08:20 AM (Wqfrr)
Would love to see both my senators lose completely.
Posted by: curious at September 21, 2010 08:20 AM (p302b)
That must be those Northern "Red" squirrels. The Southern gray squirrels in SC like my damn bird feeders.
Posted by: Vic at September 21, 2010 08:20 AM (/jbAw)
Posted by: Rickshaw Jack at September 21, 2010 08:20 AM (JNV96)
The news propaganda from yesterday telling us the recession is over is really bothering me. I did a little searching and I found we have been told the recession is over many times since June 2009.
We were told in June, July, August, October, December, ...
again in January, February, April, May, and just last August.
They are repeating this 'news' as if it is the first time they're saying it. Pure propaganda. It's brainwashing, almost.
Posted by: the unknown comic at September 21, 2010 08:20 AM (uFokq)
Posted by: gomm at September 21, 2010 08:21 AM (7JES6)
Posted by: Barak History Maker Obama at September 21, 2010 08:21 AM (nXSYx)
Posted by: Fresh Air at September 21, 2010 12:19 PM (ap1zP)
I'm a republican and I'm for the Democrats.
Posted by: Made up campaign shit at September 21, 2010 08:21 AM (pUfK9)
What about me? I am nut too.
Posted by: The DE Witchy Witch at September 21, 2010 08:21 AM (AQxTm)
Posted by: curious at September 21, 2010 08:22 AM (p302b)
Posted by: Vic at September 21, 2010 12:20 PM (/jbAw)
I see no mention of black squirrels here. Therefore I am compelled to shout:
RAAAAACIST!
Posted by: Jesse "Junior Needs Him a Senate Seat" Jackson at September 21, 2010 08:22 AM (Wqfrr)
GrumpyUnk - cricket problems? Perhaps I can interest you in the latest innovation from ReasonCo Enterprises, the Frog X90!
Posted by: reason at September 21, 2010 08:22 AM (wEYaf)
Cambridge, MA is now officially insane. They're redesigning parking ticket envelopes to include yoga positions printed on the outside. Part of some ridiculous art project that's being jointly implemented by the city arts council and parking enforcement.
From the site:
3. a redesigned parking ticket envelope that introduces a series of yoga postures for giving and receiving parking citations. During his residency, Peltz learned that the aim of the Department of Traffic, Parking and Transportation was to maintain flow in the city, which led him to imagine a more peaceful exchange between Parking Control Officers and drivers being ticketed. This new envelope will be put into circulation and delivered with all parking citations, beginning in September.
Some of the other things are even goofier.
http://tinyurl.com/29gaybd
Posted by: IllTemperedCur at September 21, 2010 08:22 AM (P9+0W)
Who wants to bet left nuts that "the recession is over!" will be dragged out one more time in October?
Posted by: the unknown comic at September 21, 2010 08:22 AM (uFokq)
North Dakota
Arkansas
Indiana
Leaning pickup (2):
Wisconsin
Pennsylvania
Toss ups (7):
Illinois
Colorado
Nevada
California
West Virginia
Washington
Connecticut
If we win 5 out of 7 of those toss ups, we win a majority. Plus Dioguardi is starting to make the NY senate race competitive as well. (down by just 10; before he was down by 20-25)
Posted by: JC at September 21, 2010 08:23 AM (pvRt/)
Posted by: SurferDoc at September 21, 2010 08:23 AM (RKpGM)
Posted by: Have Blue at September 21, 2010 08:23 AM (mV+es)
Posted by: nevergiveup at September 21, 2010 08:23 AM (0GFWk)
Posted by: King Barack the Munificient at September 21, 2010 08:24 AM (oQIfB)
http://mazesandcartoons.blogspot.com/
This guy has some amazing (pun intended) mazes and cartoons, plus, he appears to be on our side. You'll see them once you read the 9/16/2010 post which I suspect you'll also have an interest in.
Check them out...
Posted by: TheRedDianthus at September 21, 2010 08:25 AM (ErOeR)
I'm a republican and I'm for the Democrats.
Posted by: Made up campaign shit at September 21, 2010 12:21 PM (pUfK9)
No, no, no, like this;
As a lifelong conservative Republican, I am very concerned with the way my party has been hijacked by extremists. I voted for every Republican for president until 2000, but now that the party is controlled be small government national socialist Christian Zionists, I am going to have to support the Democrat party with their moderate take on doubling the federal budget, raising taxes, restricting fossil fuels, and deciding what I can eat.
Posted by: A Seminar Caller at September 21, 2010 08:25 AM (7BU4a)
Posted by: the unknown comic at September 21, 2010 12:20 PM (uFokq)
Okay, so when you catch your kids peeing in the hamper with their wee-wee in their hands and, as they're still shaking it, they say, "No - I didn't pee in the hamper." Would you call that brainwashing? 'Cause these "recession over" stories are even less convincing.
Posted by: Editor at September 21, 2010 08:25 AM (pUfK9)
They are repeating this 'news' as if it is the first time they're saying it. Pure propaganda. It's brainwashing, almost.
Posted by: the unknown comic at September 21, 2010 12:20 PM (uFokq)
Doesn't matter; right now the unemployment number (and its reality for those living it) trumps everything.
Posted by: Jesse at September 21, 2010 08:25 AM (Wqfrr)
Posted by: gomm at September 21, 2010 08:25 AM (7JES6)
It is only coincidence that we are announcing the end of the recession every month from now until November.
We have no stake in re-electing Democrats.
Stay tuned next week for "Free Beer and Sammiches Night" at you local SEIU offices.
Posted by: Soros Funded Econ. Think Tanks at September 21, 2010 08:26 AM (nXSYx)
North Dakota
Arkansas
Indiana
Leaning pickup (2):
Wisconsin
Pennsylvania
Toss ups (7):
Illinois
Colorado
Nevada
California
West Virginia
Washington
Connecticut
If we win 5 out of 7 of those toss ups, we win a majority. Plus Dioguardi is starting to make the NY senate race competitive as well. (down by just 10; before he was down by 20-25)
Posted by: JC
Hey! You forgot *BONG*
Posted by: Gabby Blue Hen Johnson at September 21, 2010 08:26 AM (R2fpr)
Posted by: CAC at September 21, 2010 08:27 AM (lV4Fs)
Almost ... now work in "the failed policies of the Bush Adminstration" and go for it!
Posted by: ya2daup at September 21, 2010 08:27 AM (Wqfrr)
"3. a redesigned parking ticket envelope that introduces a series of yoga postures for giving and receiving parking citations. During his residency, Peltz learned that the aim of the Department of Traffic, Parking and Transportation was to maintain flow in the city, which led him to imagine a more peaceful exchange between Parking Control Officers and drivers being ticketed. This new envelope will be put into circulation and delivered with all parking citations, beginning in September."
Upon arrival at the City Sub-Courthouse, open your wallet and assume the stance illustrated in Figure 4: Receiving The Sideways Pineapple.
Posted by: reason at September 21, 2010 08:28 AM (wEYaf)
Jesse, you're right. Rick Santelli said it perfectly:
"Saying the recession is over doesn't change the landscape out there."
Posted by: the unknown comic at September 21, 2010 08:29 AM (uFokq)
Posted by: gomm at September 21, 2010 08:29 AM (7JES6)
Posted by: concerned lifelong republican concern at September 21, 2010 08:29 AM (nXSYx)
I just polled the neighbor lady. She had no opinion regarding politics, but she did have a smile on her face when I left her house.
Posted by: well endowed hanging chad at September 21, 2010 08:29 AM (YVZlY)
"'Cause these "recession over" stories are even less convincing."
They used up all their good material on no-heathcare, using-my-dead-sister's-dentures stories.
Posted by: reason at September 21, 2010 08:29 AM (wEYaf)
Posted by: Chris Coons, Balding Marxist at September 21, 2010 12:26 PM (IhHdM)
It's simple, which one does Harry call your "left nut", Pet?
Posted by: Delaware at September 21, 2010 08:30 AM (Wqfrr)
Advantage: Hillary Clinton
Posted by: Radioactive Satellite Of LOVE at September 21, 2010 08:30 AM (LdYLm)
They are repeating this 'news' as if it is the first time they're saying it. Pure propaganda. It's brainwashing, almost.
Barry's been saying "the worst is behind us" since at least May of '09 too.
Posted by: Blackford Oakes at September 21, 2010 08:31 AM (w9BEi)
Posted by: CAC at September 21, 2010 08:31 AM (lV4Fs)
Jesse, you're right. Rick Santelli said it perfectly:
"Saying the recession is over doesn't change the landscape out there."
Posted by: the unknown comic at September 21, 2010 12:29 PM (uFokq)"
he got liesman so confused yesterday that he temporarily told the truth. Even rick laughed when they both realized what he had argued.
I'm thinking maybe they are rolling out the "D" word but that would be fascinating cause it would make love adds about how the two "D's" go together like a horse and carriage.
Posted by: curious at September 21, 2010 08:31 AM (p302b)
Upon arrival at the City Sub-Courthouse, open your wallet and assume the stance illustrated in Figure 4: Receiving The Sideways Pineapple.
Posted by: reason
Wondrous. Remind me not to ever drive a car anywhere near there.
Posted by: Gabby Blue Hen Johnson at September 21, 2010 08:31 AM (R2fpr)
Poll on Drudge: 35% want Bush back.
Posted by: reason at September 21, 2010 12:31 PM (wEYaf)
Meh, I want DICK Cheney back.
Posted by: Radioactive Satellite Of LOVE at September 21, 2010 08:32 AM (LdYLm)
Posted by: journolist at September 21, 2010 08:32 AM (O/NP5)
List of google ads on the AoSHQ main page as displayed on my monitor:
Every time you click those, it costs the commie bastards money, straight into the Ewok's pocket.
So click! Click like the wind!
Posted by: IllTemperedCur at September 21, 2010 08:32 AM (P9+0W)
They are repeating this 'news' as if it is the first time they're saying it. Pure propaganda. It's brainwashing, almost.
Barry's been saying "the worst is behind us" since at least May of '09 too.
Posted by: Blackford Oakes at September 21, 2010 12:31 PM (w9BEi)"
I read something where the dem was very concerned that "if he keeps repeating this it could become his 'mission accomplished' and we don't want this to happen do we guys?"
Posted by: curious at September 21, 2010 08:33 AM (p302b)
Also I observed a Republican cat juggling.
I am giving communism another chance in 2010.
Posted by: concerned lifelong republican concern at September 21, 2010 08:33 AM (nXSYx)
Posted by: gomm at September 21, 2010 08:33 AM (EA+Co)
ALL the tossups are Democratic-held now.
MORE than enough w/o MoE to flip the Senate.
Posted by: CAC
You did call it.Did you see my question on Feingold? I agree with Mallamutt; I think that they''' try to save him.
Posted by: Gabby Blue Hen Johnson at September 21, 2010 08:33 AM (R2fpr)
Posted by: Murcowsky Filter at September 21, 2010 08:34 AM (J26il)
Posted by: caterpillar filter at September 21, 2010 08:34 AM (8xxdk)
Posted by: RushBabe at September 21, 2010 08:35 AM (a3Z62)
Posted by: Blackford Oakes at September 21, 2010 08:35 AM (w9BEi)
You owe me a new keyboard, you bastard.
Posted by: IllTemperedCur at September 21, 2010 08:35 AM (P9+0W)
I polled the squirrels in my yard, and they are heavily in favor of nuts. Advantage: Dems.Posted by: pep at September 21, 2010 11:53 AM (YXmuI)
I pulled my nuts and ... heh ... 3 hours, 40 minutes left on the good wood timer!
Posted by: The Real Bob Dole at September 21, 2010 12:10 PM (Wqfrr)
Thanks asshole, now I have coffee all over my desk and keyboard.
Posted by: Old Hippie Vet at September 21, 2010 08:36 AM (OefT/)
Let's not start tucking each other's socks just yet- as of yesterday Rasmussen still has Raese trailing 43-50 with leaners included. This one is a long ways from won.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at September 21, 2010 08:37 AM (plsiE)
Posted by: CAC at September 21, 2010 08:38 AM (lV4Fs)
Try Iowahawk's The Car, the Ditch, and the Slurpee
"“…you’re still getting the hang of driving a stick, so you knock the Jeep into the ditch and accidentally hit the gas and go flying across the other side of the road into a pineapple field. And now those Republican f***ers are laughing so hard Slurpee is coming out of their noses."
Posted by: Looking Glass at September 21, 2010 08:38 AM (8VsjU)
Try Iowahawk's The Car, the Ditch, and the Slurpee
"“…you’re still getting the hang of driving a stick, so you knock the Jeep into the ditch and accidentally hit the gas and go flying across the other side of the road into a pineapple field. And now those Republican f***ers are laughing so hard Slurpee is coming out of their noses."
That's rich...thanks for pointing me that direction!
Posted by: TheRedDianthus at September 21, 2010 08:40 AM (ErOeR)
geez you can't make these names up
Posted by: curious at September 21, 2010 08:43 AM (p302b)
now...any more of you eeyoring morons want to argue with me like you did 2 weeks ago over my firm, proven point that there AREN'T ANY FUCKING REPUBLICAN "TOSSUPS" anymore?
ALL the tossups are Democratic-held now.
MORE than enough w/o MoE to flip the Senate.
A "toss-up" by definition isn't Republican or Democrat. It implies that it could go either way.
We'd need all the "toss-ups" and a "leans Dem" to get to 51 seats. Just getting all the toss-up races to go our way will be difficult.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at September 21, 2010 08:43 AM (plsiE)
Try Iowahawk's The Car, the Ditch, and the Slurpee
"“…you’re still getting the hang of driving a stick, so you knock the Jeep into the ditch and accidentally hit the gas and go flying across the other side of the road into a pineapple field. And now those Republican f***ers are laughing so hard Slurpee is coming out of their noses."
Posted by: Looking Glass at September 21, 2010 12:38 PM (8VsjU)
Holy shit is that funny. I've got tears now.
Posted by: Hedgehog at September 21, 2010 08:43 AM (oQIfB)
OT but critically important: We don't yet have 41 Senators to oppose the DREAM Act amnesty.
Call these boobs and demand they oppose the DREAM act!DEMOCRATS ON THE FENCE WHO ARE GOOD PROSPECTS
Sen. Pryor of Arkansas 202-224-2353
501-324-6336
Sen. Landrieu of Louisiana 202-224-5824
225-389-0395
Sen. Stabenow of Michigan 202-224-4822
313-961-4330
Sen. McCaskill of Missouri 202-224-6154
314-367-1364
Sen. Baucus of Montana 202-224-2651
406-657-6790
Sen. Tester of Montana 202-224-2644
406-449-5401
Sen. Conrad of North Dakota 202-224-2043
701-258-4648
Sen. Dorgan of North Dakota 202-224-2551
701-239-5389
REPUBLICANS ON THE FENCE WHO ARE GOOD PROSPECTS
Sen. LeMeiux of Florida 202-224-3041
904-398-8586
Sen. Collins of Maine 202-224-2523
207-945-0417
Sen. Snowe of Maine 202-224-5344
207-874-0883
Sen. Brown of Massachusetts 202-224-4543
617-565-3170
Sen. Johanns of Nebraska 202-224-4224
402-758-8981
Sen. Gregg of New Hampshire 202-224-3324
603-225-7115
Sen. Hutchison of Texas 202-224-5922
214-361-3500
Posted by: Truman North at September 21, 2010 08:44 AM (G5JPI)
When you think about the economy, they aren't doing sucha bad job. I mean, what other administration has managed to end the same recession 9 times in less than a year?
Posted by: Merovign, Strong on His Mountain at September 21, 2010 08:44 AM (bxiXv)
geez you can't make these names up
You are late to the party, we have already posted a video of her and discussed this yesterday, she works for Am Vets as the CFO.
Posted by: Kemp at September 21, 2010 08:45 AM (AQxTm)
Posted by: WSUConservative at September 21, 2010 08:45 AM (Z8eES)
Posted by: Have Blue at September 21, 2010 08:46 AM (mV+es)
Posted by: CAC at September 21, 2010 08:46 AM (lV4Fs)
Posted by: Truman North at September 21, 2010 08:47 AM (G5JPI)
Posted by: maddogg at September 21, 2010 12:44 PM (OlN4e)
please warn me next time, I'm sitting here just crying, just crying. This is awful.
original link.
Posted by: curious at September 21, 2010 08:48 AM (p302b)
I should have known. Geez Rush ought to at least give you guys credit for all the work.
Posted by: curious at September 21, 2010 08:50 AM (p302b)
That is awful. How can our government treat its citizens this way? The arrogance is just stunning.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo ( NJConservative) at September 21, 2010 08:51 AM (LH6ir)
Posted by: maddogg at September 21, 2010 12:44 PM (OlN4e)
Disgrace is too mild a word ... criminally incompetent comes to mind.
Posted by: ya2daup at September 21, 2010 08:53 AM (Wqfrr)
btw, just to refresh your mammories...
Zeituni has been on govt assistance since she's been here. Yet she managed to make a $250? contribution to Obama in '08.
She contributed to Obama...with our money. That means we contributed to Obama.
Posted by: the unknown comic at September 21, 2010 08:55 AM (uFokq)
Posted by: Steve (aka Ed Snate) at September 21, 2010 08:58 AM (HbvOx)
And I think the momentum is behind me on that assessment.
Posted by: sifty at September 21, 2010 08:58 AM (nXSYx)
Posted by: Dunkirk at September 21, 2010 08:59 AM (kbHJ6)
Posted by: Truman North at September 21, 2010 09:00 AM (G5JPI)
Posted by: CAC at September 21, 2010 12:57 PM (lV4Fs)
Hitting on Kirstin Gillibrand ... she's hawt
Posted by: ya2daup at September 21, 2010 09:00 AM (Wqfrr)
Good Bourbon bottles would like less attention from mean old asshole who guzzles them down.
Delicate bottles of Disaronno amaretto feel neglected and are getting ready to stage a revolt.
So there you have it, bourbon has the big mo and ladies stuff is suckin hind tit.
Posted by: Vic at September 21, 2010 09:00 AM (/jbAw)
Anonymously, of course.
Posted by: Herr Morgenholz at September 21, 2010 09:06 AM (5aa4z)
"Because they already have short urls."
Nah, that ain't it. I've posted far shorter URLs in here before and gotten smacked down.
Posted by: Burn the Witch at September 21, 2010 09:06 AM (fLHQe)
BREAKING! New York Giants have momentum heading into this weekend's game!
Posted by: well endowed hanging chad at September 21, 2010 09:06 AM (YVZlY)
Harry Reid just said she was the "hottest" senator. The thought of Harry Reid lusting for anything is obscene.
Posted by: Penfold at September 21, 2010 09:08 AM (1PeEC)
ABC Radio News just had a blurb (no details) that a Tea Party group was just anonymously gifted $1 million dollars.
Of course, they followed that up with a comment by Project Vote that Tea Party voters don't represent a large proportion of American voters.
Who is Project Vote?
From Wiki:
Project Vote (or Voting for America, Inc. is a national nonpartisan, nonprofit 501(c)(3) organization that works with marginalized and under-represented voters.
------
Smell the fear.
Feel the momentum.
Posted by: Ed Anger at September 21, 2010 09:08 AM (7+pP9)
This just in:
Ernest Borgnine, cream of the Hollywood establishment, endorsed Christine O'Donnell...and frequent masturbation.
Posted by: Big Fat Meanie at September 21, 2010 09:09 AM (gSGAu)
CAC means the only tossups are for Democrat-held senate seats, not Republican-held.
A loss is a loss. The Dems currently can afford to lose eitght and still maintain 51 seats. We need to pick up ten.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at September 21, 2010 09:11 AM (plsiE)
BREAKING! New York Giants have momentum heading into this weekend's game!
Posted by: well endowed hanging chad at September 21, 2010 01:06 PM (YVZlY)
Ahaha..not if I have anything to do with it!
Posted by: Brandon Jacobs at September 21, 2010 09:11 AM (pr+up)
It is awful. It's not disgusting, though . It was a father doing right by his son.
The fact that he had to do it is proof positive that those in charge of Arlington should be spending some quality time at Leavenworth.
Posted by: Herr Morgenholz at September 21, 2010 09:11 AM (5aa4z)
Posted by: Guy Fawkes at September 21, 2010 09:11 AM (L8kaT)
"The thought of Harry Reid lusting for anything is obscene."
I bet his underpants are really baggy (on account of the pancake ass)
Posted by: Joanie (Oven Gloves) at September 21, 2010 09:12 AM (HaYO4)
Where do these West Virginians stand on witchcraft and masturbation?
Quit trying to smokescreen the voters.
Posted by: Coons Fan, Spank Man at September 21, 2010 09:15 AM (BP6Z1)
Posted by: Zombie Rachel Corrie at September 21, 2010 09:17 AM (6BgmB)
Posted by: Zombie Rachel Corrie at September 21, 2010 01:17 PM (6BgmB)
Isn't ALL of you flat and lifeless?
Posted by: maddogg at September 21, 2010 09:19 AM (OlN4e)
Posted by: Coons Fan at September 21, 2010 09:20 AM (BP6Z1)
Posted by: Zombie Rachel Corrie
You should try their cat filters. I'm sure that it would do wonders for your.. (better not go there).
Posted by: Gabby Blue Hen Johnson at September 21, 2010 09:21 AM (R2fpr)
Posted by: Coons Fan at September 21, 2010 01:20 PM (BP6Z1)
Yes, and your point is?
Posted by: well endowed hanging chad at September 21, 2010 09:22 AM (YVZlY)
Posted by: pep at September 21, 2010 11:53 AM (YXmuI)
Also anti-hawk.
Posted by: Beagle at September 21, 2010 09:22 AM (sOtz/)
Posted by: loppyd at September 21, 2010 09:24 AM (76XH/)
OT:
Holy cripes! Christian extremists terrorizing Indonesiain a friendly, non-threatening sort of way.
The humanity!
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at September 21, 2010 09:24 AM (r1h5M)
Posted by: anonymous chick in Delaware at September 21, 2010 09:25 AM (YVZlY)
Posted by: nevergiveup at September 21, 2010 09:26 AM (0GFWk)
Posted by: RushBabe at September 21, 2010 09:26 AM (a3Z62)
Its possible to regain the Senate without a sweep.
I wouldn't put Colorado in the sure thing category just yet.
Assuming AR, PA, IN and ND are a lock, we still need 6 more and we're trailing significantly in WA and CT. How close WV is depends on which poll you want to believe.
Whether you view it as 5 or 6 seats as "toss-ups", we still need all of them to hit 51. It's possible we gain 10 seats, but the odds are very much stacked against us.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at September 21, 2010 09:27 AM (plsiE)
The humanity!
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at September 21, 2010 01:24 PM (r1h5M)
Maybe when American Christians start razing mosques and massacring Muslims they're score a rhetorical point.
Posted by: logprof at September 21, 2010 09:27 AM (BP6Z1)
Posted by: loppyd at September 21, 2010 09:27 AM (76XH/)
Oh, but that's not Gallup's goal right now. Right now it wants to talk about momentum. And that means pretending that the Democrats have got it.
And yet Democrat candidates are running away from Obama, Obamacare, and their votes for the last couple of years. They are going to great lengths to obscure their own party affiliation. Gallup may be wishcasting, but the actions of the candidates demonstrates the reality of their predicament.
Posted by: Ghost of Lee Atwater at September 21, 2010 09:28 AM (JxMoP)
Posted by: nevergiveup at September 21, 2010 09:28 AM (0GFWk)
Posted by: Have Blue at September 21, 2010 09:29 AM (mV+es)
Posted by: RushBabe at September 21, 2010 01:26 PM (a3Z62)
--Wow, it could hardly be clearer that welfare programs are a vote-buying scheme.
Posted by: logprof at September 21, 2010 09:29 AM (BP6Z1)
I'm good. Blessed, actually. Little loppyd on the way in December.
Posted by: loppyd at September 21, 2010 01:27 PM (76XH/)
--*HIGH FIVE*
Alas, can't drink to that just now, but big congratulations!
Posted by: logprof at September 21, 2010 09:30 AM (BP6Z1)
Posted by: ace at September 21, 2010 01:27 PM (KUUXH)
--Where?
Posted by: logprof at September 21, 2010 09:30 AM (BP6Z1)
You wanna spend all my money like a drunken bum?
Well I say.
Not you, not you too.
You wanna raise all my taxes still, you want my vote?
Then I say
Not you, not you too.
Our debt was a pigger
But you made it bigger
AinÂ’t that your gig
WeÂ’re gonna give you the pink slip, when November comes.
Cause we say
Not you.
Not you too.
****
You treat the Constitution like a dirty rug?
And I say,
Not you, not you too
You treat the Commerce Clause like an endless drug?
Then I say
Not you, not you too
.You want more regulation
Across the nation.
We say: Let freedom ring
You say Tea Party Grammas are just racist thugs.
Then I say,
Not you, not you too..
Posted by: Duhgee at September 21, 2010 09:30 AM (7Tc5G)
Posted by: ace at September 21, 2010 01:27 PM (KUUXH)
Cute, but in a really disturbing way...
Posted by: well endowed hanging chad at September 21, 2010 09:30 AM (YVZlY)
Posted by: nevergiveup at September 21, 2010 01:28 PM (0GFWk)
You know it!
Posted by: loppyd at September 21, 2010 09:30 AM (76XH/)
Posted by: Bill Maher at September 21, 2010 09:30 AM (31gzh)
Posted by: curious at September 21, 2010 09:30 AM (p302b)
Alas, can't drink to that just now, but big congratulations!
Posted by: logprof at September 21, 2010 01:30 PM (BP6Z1)
That makes two of us.
And thanks! I'm wicked ascared, but it's exciting.
Posted by: loppyd at September 21, 2010 09:32 AM (76XH/)
Posted by: logprof at September 21, 2010 09:34 AM (BP6Z1)
Posted by: curious at September 21, 2010 09:35 AM (p302b)
Too Creepy?
Posted by: Sockpuppet Ace's Sister at September 21, 2010 09:36 AM (LdYLm)
Posted by: gomm at September 21, 2010 09:37 AM (73jUp)
putting voting booths in welfare offices.
They should just have mobile voting booths, kind a like the library on wheels. They could just go from hood to hood handing out goodies and getting votes.
Posted by: Ali- Bama and his 40 thieves at September 21, 2010 09:38 AM (jrtMR)
Doesn't matter; right now the unemployment number (and its reality for those living it) trumps everything.~Jesse
And their unemployment is a primary concern of those folks still employed who are related to them too.
What do people think when they see empty malls and sections of towns and cities that have gone "ghost town"?
"The Recession is Over" is not what they think.
Posted by: Speller at September 21, 2010 09:38 AM (qaOKJ)
Posted by: logprof at September 21, 2010 01:34 PM (BP6Z1)
He's my favorite replacement for pc-and-dumb-as-a-bag-of-dicks Rome. He's just crushing it today.
Posted by: Captain Hate at September 21, 2010 09:39 AM (aIWP/)
Posted by: CAC at September 21, 2010 09:39 AM (lV4Fs)
Posted by: curious at September 21, 2010 01:35 PM (p302b)
I see the fool took the breathalyzer, too. Twice the legal limit.
Posted by: loppyd at September 21, 2010 09:41 AM (76XH/)
He's my favorite replacement for pc-and-dumb-as-a-bag-of-dicks Rome. He's just crushing it today.
Posted by: Captain Hate at September 21, 2010 01:39 PM (aIWP/)
--Did you catch the opening monologue about the mascots? Damn, that was funny.
Posted by: logprof at September 21, 2010 09:41 AM (BP6Z1)
Posted by: Empire of Jeff at September 21, 2010 09:44 AM (Wluvb)
Posted by: logprof at September 21, 2010 01:41 PM (BP6Z1)
Unfortunately no; I didn't know that Johnny Carson Rome was on one of his multiple vacations.
It was pretty obvious in Cleveland for years that Brainless Edwards had a major drinking problem that the stupid fuck wouldn't address. He was moellering it up with Donte Stallworth before DS got convicted of vehicular homicide and DUI. Too bad Edwards wasn't pouring because he would've dropped at least half the bottles.
Posted by: Captain Hate at September 21, 2010 09:56 AM (aIWP/)
Posted by: anonymous chick in Delaware
To say 'How you doin?' or not. That is the question.
Posted by: Blue Hen at September 21, 2010 09:59 AM (R2fpr)
Unfortunately no; I didn't know that Johnny Carson Rome was on one of his multiple vacations.
It
was pretty obvious in Cleveland for years that Brainless Edwards had a
major drinking problem that the stupid fuck wouldn't address. He was
moellering it up with Donte Stallworth before DS got convicted of
vehicular homicide and DUI. Too bad Edwards wasn't pouring because he
would've dropped at least half the bottles.
Posted by: Captain Hate at September 21, 2010 01:56 PM (aIWP/)
--Well, Mohr was talking about the fracas between Rufus the Bobcat (Ohio U) and Brutus the Buckeye over the weekend. He they told of when the KC Royals mascot gave him a headlock from behind at an All-Star Game, and Mohr did a wrestling move on him and flipped him. Despite the lion having a scary-looking face, Mohr heard a puny, ghey voice from inside saying "Stop! You're hurting meeee!" Good grief it was funny as hell; my words don't do it justice.
Posted by: logprof at September 21, 2010 10:04 AM (BP6Z1)
Posted by: Captain Hate at September 21, 2010 10:10 AM (aIWP/)
Posted by: GrumpyUnk at September 21, 2010 10:14 AM (1TTCZ)
I DON'T THINK ANY OF THOSE STRAW MEN ARE STILL AROUND HERE, BUT NOPE, CAN'T SAY WE DO.
Posted by: The War Between the Undead States at September 21, 2010 11:41 AM (Ej04o)
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Is this the October Surprise yet?
Posted by: Dang Straights at September 21, 2010 07:53 AM (fx8sm)