1 Was that an Rasmussen Asspoll?

2 <sob>

3 Don't get cocky kid.

4 Up big? Nikki Haley said that to me one time.

5 C'mon 0bama!  Kick some ass!!

6 RedState figures that that kind of a lead is good for a 60 seat pickup. Assuming all the things you need to assume.

Not only that, I have information that will BLOW EVERY RACE WIDE OPEN.  See my blog in a few hours to find out more!

7 I fully expect the GOP to blow this lead by November.

8

has anyone seen my baseball?

9 But Intrade has the Dems up by 20%!!!!!!!!!

10 That kicks ass.

11 Assuming all the things you need to assume.

I think he's funnin' on me.

12 Obama has demonstrated to the country that Obama is a fucking idiot.

13 Barry is beginning to go Biden....full Biden.

14

9 plus 44 is 53, not 35. HA! Who's the moron now?

Wait...

15 RedState figures that that kind of a lead is good for a 60 seat pickup. Assuming all the things you need to assume.

--There are a couple of syllables in there that should be highlighted.

16 That's a kick in the ass! Or is it a big f--king deal?

17 When President Obama was inaugurated in January 2009, Democrats enjoyed a seven-point advantage on the Generic Ballot.

It's a 16 pt swing.  Thanks Barry!

18

i almost, almost, don't want the republicans to win either house. maybe just enough seats to stop obama's agenda, but not enough that Obama is able to spend 2011 and 2012 blaming the house republicans for all the nations problems.

the 1994 election guaranteed Bill Clinton re-election in 1996.

I know this make me seem cynical, and i am, but it is more important that Obama is not the president in 2012 than it is we control either house of congress in 2010.

19 I still say greater than 50 in the House and 6 - 7 in the Senate.

20 I know this make me seem cynical, and i am, but it is more important that Obama is not the president in 2012 than it is we control either house of congress in 2010.

One House, subpoena powers, corrupt Administration.

Some assembly required.

21 I personally do not want the Repubs to take control of anything.  The coming economic meltdown is gonna be of biblical or epic proportions (your choice)  and we need to let the Dems take 3,000% responsibility for it.  Folks, it is gonna get ugly, and we do not need our team to be in charge, because the MSM is gonna run with that until 2012.

22 Of course, making the standard ASSumptions would also have to include Republicans grASSping defeat from the jaws of victory. So we cannot ASS yet declare a House majority.  But we can ASSociate ourselves with local campaigns in our area to get the Democrats thrown out on their ASSES.

23 18 It's not enough to block incoming fire when you've already got a gaping hole in your vitals. We need to undo the damage post haste. Playing for a stalemate is no longer acceptable under the current circumstances.

24 the 1994 election guaranteed Bill Clinton re-election in 1996.

This is not 1996 and Obama does not "triangulate". He is full on commie and I don't think he intends on running for a second term.

As things are right now the Republicans would blow him out of the water unless we nominate another RINO and the base stays at home.

25 This is the most interesting part (can't believe you left this out, Ace)

While solid majorities of Democrats and Republicans support their own party, the plurality (42%) of voters not affiliated with either major party now prefer the Republican candidate, while 18% like the Democrat.

26 20 I know this make me seem cynical, and i am, but it is more important that Obama is not the president in 2012 than it is we control either house of congress in 2010.

One House, subpoena powers, corrupt Administration.

Some assembly required.

Posted by: damian at June 08, 2010 04:01 PM (4WbTI)

I can see both sides here.  I would love it if the R's could retake both and then either blame the D's for filibustering in the senate or odipshit for vetoing popular bills like repealing Ocare.

27

Seriously, we need Slu's handiwork on this one.

I give you President Barack Kick-Ass Obama Dwayne Elizondo Mountain Dew Herbert Comancho.

28 #2

Speaking of, just where has assdragon been lately?

29 Sort of related O/T just saw a funny combo of bumper stickers on a car: Obama for president /Consider karma yeah, uh libtard turns out karma's a bitch!

30 21 That's all nice and fine, if you assume: 1.) That wasn't the plan to start with, and it's just stage one (it most assuredly is); 2.) It will occur in a vacuum (it most assuredly will not); and 3.) The collateral damage is acceptable (it most assuredly is not). I stayed in the 'idiots' camp as long as I could justify it. It no longer fits the observed facts.

31 the 1994 election guaranteed Bill Clinton re-election in 1996.

Do we think that Obama would do something like Welfare reform to regain the center? I sure don't.

32

 I know this make me seem cynical, and i am, but it is more important that Obama is not the president in 2012 than it is we control either house of congress in 2010.

One House, subpoena powers, corrupt Administration.

Some assembly required.

that would be a terrible mistake. The whole Clinton trial benefited Clinton. Clinton won. He looked like an ass to us, but he left as one of the more popular presidents in modern history.

Not everyone is a political junky like we are, or ideologues like we are.

The people didn't want investigations of Bush, and they don't of Obama.

We might want them for Obama and the left might have wanted them for Bush, but joe and jane vote don't

33 This is big.

34

I know this make me seem cynical, and i am, but it is more important that Obama is not the president in 2012 than it is we control either house of congress in 2010.

Posted by: Ben at June 08, 2010 04:00 PM (wuv1c)

You seem to think we will actually have elections in 2012 if we don't do something now. I don't agree with that.

35 This is not 1996 and Obama does not "triangulate". He is full on commie and I don't think he intends on running for a second term. Posted by: Vic

Agree to the first, disagree to the later.

Commies do stuff. Ifn' Capt. Kickazz was a true commie, BP would have been nationalized last month How many rounds of golf do you think Stalin got in during 1938?

He's a low-flying shit eater from Chicago. Period.

36 19 I still say greater than 50 in the House and 6 - 7 in the Senate. Posted by: Vic at June 08, 2010 04:00 PM (6taRI) Works for me. Pick up the House to stop the spending bills but let them keep the Senate in order to pin any further disasters on them. Then pick up the Senate and the presidency in 2012 and hope the Mayans were just talking out their ASSes.

37 the 1994 election guaranteed Bill Clinton re-election in 1996.

Bob Dole didn't help, either.  Like the guy, voted for him, but the GOP should have put up someone of Clinton's generation.

38

As things are right now the Republicans would blow him out of the water unless we nominate another RINO and the base stays at home.

You rang?

39 CHUTZPAH:

No joke: Obama warns students Â… not to blame other people for their problems

40 RedState figures that that kind of a lead is good for a 60 seat pickup. Assuming all the things you need to assume.

Right, and what you need to assume is that we'll have True Conservative Rand Paul-calibre candidates in each and every one of those races.  That's why I'm going to inject myself into every single primary and drive bitter wedges between the camps of all GOP candidates, in the quest to make sure that the 95% Electable Conservatives aren't beaten by the 100% Real Conservatives.  I am in charge of this movement and I'll explain my entire brilliantly unorthodox strategy... soon!

_{Moe, Neil, if any of these Teabaggers have a problem with it you know what to do.}

41

This is not 1996 and Obama does not "triangulate". He is full on commie and I don't think he intends on running for a second term

If the republicans win the house and senate, or come close to winning the senate, Obama will fire his entire political team, he will move closer to the mythical "center" for two years in hopes that winning in 2012 will allow him to freely go full left as he will be a lame duck and not have to worry about re-election. He will probably also bank on the fact that many Republicans that were able to win swing districts in 2010 will lose those seats giving him a shot at starting a second term with a slim republican majority.

 

42 Bob Dole is not an ass. He has trouble getting it up, but he's not an ass.

43 I still say greater than 50 in the House and 6 - 7 in the Senate.

It seems likely, but it will be unprecedented to win the House but not the Senate.

However, a trend is a trend, until its not.

44 The WaPo has a new WaPo/NBC poll up showing that everything is still a-Ok for the dems.

Interestingly, they fail to mention the party affiliations of who they are sampling. Could it be that they're oversampling dems by a 2-1 margin? Nah, that would be biased and the MFM isn't biased.

45

Huge.

46

the 1994 election guaranteed Bill Clinton re-election in 1996.

Bob Dole didn't help, either.  Like the guy, voted for him, but the GOP should have put up someone of Clinton's generation.

the only other option at the time was Powell if I recall. He was very popular. I think it was very unlikely the Republicans could have won that election regardless of the candidate they put forth.  Same went with 2008. There was no republican that was going to beat the democrat that year.

47

You rang?

Posted by: Mittens Romney at June 08, 2010 04:08 PM (pTyL2)

You went and left me, but I will be hanging around (your neck) for awhile.

48 Speaking of trends, a monster move on the Dow after the 3 o'clock money dump.  DJIA  +123.49  (1.26%)

How long the Fed can keep this up is an interesting question.

49 We have more important things to worry about than polls. You people are stupid. Now lets all do what I say and we'll be fine.

50 Its almost pudding time.

51 Evan Bayh on Fox: "Democrats are being self-destructive." More popcorn, please.

52 Actually the R's will have a better shot at the Senate in 2012 than they will in 2010, and 2010 is turning out to be pretty favorable.  In 2012 we will have Sheets Byrd's seat up (R's win that one), Jim Webb in VA, Tester in MT, Johnson in SD, Nelson in FL, Begich in AK - all good prospects

53 48 Speaking of trends, a monster move on the Dow after the 3 o'clock money dump.  DJIA  +123.49  (1.26%)

How long the Fed can keep this up is an interesting question.

Posted by: damian at June 08, 2010 04:12 PM (4WbTI)

Someone is trying to get it back over 10,000 before closing.

54 I can;t wait to hear how much ass was kicked in the primary's today.

55 Ow!

Stop kicking me, dammit!

Uncle!!

56 It would be nice if somebody could convince Sarah to go for Begich's seat in AK. A term as senator under her belt would plump up her resume' and dispel some reservations about her.

57 When President Obama was inaugurated in January 2009, Democrats enjoyed a seven-point advantage on the Generic Ballot.

It's a 16 pt swing.  Thanks Barry!

Posted by: damian at June 08, 2010 03:58 PM (4WbTI)

Barry maybe the best thing to happen to the Republican party in years

58 Polls schmolls, The only number I care about is 2012. The rest of you are just speed bumps.

59 1.) That wasn't the plan to start with, and it's just stage one (it most assuredly is);
2.) It will occur in a vacuum (it most assuredly will not); and

In the absence of armed revolution. Total economic collapse is the only feasible precursor to a socialist system.

I don't mean to go Zombie on everyone. If the collapse occurs, and it is every bit as epic as it is shaping up to be; Consider which side you want to deal with the resulting civil unrest. Choose wisely, it might be the last real choice you ever have.

60 Oh my bad, Begich in AK isn't up until 2014

61 Bah. Sockoff.

62 Oh, and Nelson in NE will also be up in 2012, Nelson of Cornhusker Kickback fame.  He'll be a prime target.

63

It would be nice if somebody could convince Sarah to go for Begich's seat in AK. A term as senator under her belt would plump up her resume' and dispel some reservations about her.

i think she is done with elected office. Once you quite a governorship i think you are pretty much saying you are done.

64 O/T: Atlanta Fed Building cleared, bomb squad sent 

Nothing on Drudge or Fox as usual.

65

Adolf McRasshitler strikes again.

Man, he sure treats the Dems like Poland, doesn't he?

66 Evan Bayh on Fox:

"Democrats are being self-destructive."

More popcorn, please.

That's what scares me. They're ready, welcoming, and almost rooting for the crash. It's like watching Evangelist Christians rooting for judgment day.

67 /Zombie
That's enough of that.

68 My question is, when the dem polling shows them to be nine or ten points above the republicans in the generic ballot, the polling firms skew their polling samples to reflect this advantage. But when republicans hold the same lead, the same polling firms keep the dems at the same levels they were at their height of power. This is done to tamper down republican/conservative supporters, to demoralize them and/or to lie to them saying you really are just a minority view (fringe) and you will always be that way. Before Al Gore invented the internet, this view was hard to escape, but with the web, the media ploy is losing most of its steam (and that is not due to AGW).

69 Thanks for explaining Ace, a majority of us can get to 10, but a sizable fraction can only get to 8 or 9 due to unwisely combining alcohol, firearms, and shadowpuppetry.

70
Huge.  Quickly.

71 Ed at Hot Air on the Post/ABC poll :

Now would be a good time to look at that sampling.  Despite numerous polls this year showing the partisan identification gap between Democrats and Republicans narrowing to its smallest number in at least five years, the PostÂ’s sample shows 34% Democrats, 25% Republicans, and 38% independents among the registered voters in this survey of the general adult population.

72 Hotline, which conducted the poll, notes this means that Democrats will lose, not gain, seats.

Not they didn't. That's the WaPo/NBC poll I linked to a few posts ago.

73 check that WaPo/ABC poll

74
Begich is up in 2014 -- he stole Ted Stevens' seat in '08

75 Meanwhile, it's not just incumbents who are viewed as unpopular. The poll also shows support for the Tea Party movement is dropping, and a majority of voters now have unfavorable views of the libertarian-leaning movement. Just 36% see the Tea Party favorably, while fully 50% say they have an unfavorable impression of Tea Partiers.

This is nothing but bad news for Democrats.  They have been so focused on the "Tea Party" that their efforts to confront Republicans have gone unwashed.  This also mean that electorate discontent will be vented at Democrats, in favor of Republicans, and not toward other 3rd parties.

76 ag, sock

77 Uh oh, Some polster is in line for an ass kicking.

78 Sure hope the GOP holds on to this ass-kickin' lead.

I just wanted to type "ass".

79 It's a crying shame that the Democrats have the full force of the media and the Tea Party patriots have bupkiss, by design. 

80 Damn sock.

Ass.

81
and the Tea Party patriots have bupkiss, by design. 

It could be worse.  We could have Michael Steele on our side.

82 Do we think that Obama would do something like Welfare reform to regain the center? I sure don't.

Neither did Clinton do welfare reform. He vetoed it twice and finally was forced to sign it the third time after a large enough vote passed it.  The Republican congress did the reform despite Clinton.

The press gave him credit and somehow the myth has been promulgated. He deserves zero credit.

In any case, all that reform has largely been undone. It is all back in place now only "for the children".

83 My White House-commissioned self-auditing panel has concluded that I'm doing a fantastic job.

Après moi, le déluge

(French for badass motherfucker!)

84

RedState figures that that kind of a lead is good for a 60 seat pickup. Assuming all the things you need to assume.

This is a very dangerous road we're going down and it will end with someone in tears.

85 The press gave him credit and somehow the myth has been promulgated. He deserves zero credit.

You are correct sir. Thanks for the reminder.

86 Ass.  Bupkiss.  Judge Andrew Napolitano's hairline that is only an inch and a half above his eyebrows.

Some of my favorite things to type.

87 Dang Straights, I stand admonished

88 Polls are encouraging, but only if people vote.

I hope everyone who had a primary today voted.  Turnout was really light at my polling place here in LA county late this morning based on the sparsity of signatures in the election book. 

89 GOP? Never heard of it.

90 In any case, all that reform has largely been undone. It is all back in place now only "for the children".

What Vic said time ten million.

This is a good thing, though:  It provides the jus ad bellum for countering the left's class warfare.

91 Do I need to say it again?

92

The Dems can make the Tea Party look bad because one, they own the MFM and that is how most people, even "likely" voters, get their news.

Two, there are almost as many competing Tea Party factions as there were once competing Mafia families. Confusion breeds a lack of clear message, which turns people off.

Three, the Tea Party IS out of step with most Americans. Why do I say that? Because most Americans are still fucking sheep who have not found a way to reject their from-birth public-school programming that Government Is Good, and that the two-party farce we have had since the Civil War is enshrined in the Constitution. It's not. It's enshrined in Federal election law, which is written by those two parties to make sure they get to pass the steering wheel and the crack pipe back and forth for all eternity, amen.

 

 

93

RedState figures that that kind of a lead is good for a 60 seat pickup. Assuming all the things you need to assume.

This assumes we wisely run highly electable moderates like the honorable Charlie Crist and Dede Scozzafava, which of course we will continue to do.

94
The Dems can make the Tea Party look bad because one, they own the MFM

They've been smearing for over a year now.  How's that workin' out for 'em.?

95 Because most Americans are still fucking sheep who have not found a way to reject their from-birth public-school programming that Government Is Good

This is the part that worries me.

96

#18

the 1994 election guaranteed Bill Clinton re-election in 1996.

97 Whatever happened to the guy who said "I farted" all the time? He was my favorite.

98 Kick dem teabaggers ass, Obama! Yaaayyy!!!!!1!

99 "Because most Americans are still fucking sheep..."

Well, I never!  We only went out on a couple of dates and never went further than 2nd base......

100 We will know how accurate this "anti-tea party" feeling is after today. I don't think it is very "anti" since the tea party supported candidates were all doing well.

What we have to be careful of is these phony tea party groups who are started up for subversive reasons.

101 Garbonzo the Garrulous at 64 - FOX had that on much earlier in the day. Maybe as early as noon (don't know, I'm not watching - just listening in the background). My take was that the situation was cleared as a false alarm hours ago.

102 Dems pick up 12 seats in the House, 4 in the Senate, repeal Presidential Term limit by voice vote at 3am on July 3rd and we really do get the Black FDR, except he doesn't have polio and he's only 49.

5 terms or bust, baby!

103

#94, according to the article Ace posted, the smearing of the Tear party is working. Support in that poll is dropping. 50 percent unfavorable. Now I don't know where, who, or when they called, but it looks like some of the wind is out of the sails.

#95, it can worry you and it scares me shitless. America's been conditioned to vote for its own slavery. People like it that way. Freedom is too hard. What? You don't trust the government? What kind of weirdo are you?

Meanwhile the government's commie bus is about to drive off a financial cliff as they run out of other people's money. Me, I work for a defense contractor since I got medical'ed out, and every dollar my wife and I bring in comes from either my disability checks, her disability checks, or what I make from my employer who gets it from the DoD. So yeah, shrinking government is cutting my own throat, but I don't give a shit because it's not like she or I are healthy enough to live to a ripe old age. No kids either. I'm never home, pregnancy would probably kill her, and she's in no shape to be a single mom.

I feel bad about the worst part. The family name will die with me. WWII killed the rest of the family tree's branches. And the Islamics are outbreeding us anyway. I would have liked to have fathered my replacement in the Long War.

104
I don't see how there can be any parallel between 1996 and 2012.  Clinton rode a hot economy to reelection.

Every last thing Obama and his looting crew are doing is beating the living shit out of the economy.

If the House flips, then there is a two-year window of opportunity to put big government on trial in wall-to-wall investigatory hearings.  I'd format it as at least one jobs/economy issue hot on center stage the whole time with at least two corruption and malfeasance hearings on the side.

Since there will be no way to override a veto, spend the time on something useful and far reaching like breaking leftist assholes and ruining lives.  Keep score by the number of bitches that off themselves rather than appear before the committees.

That's how the other side has been playing.

105 5 terms or bust, baby!

Bust, guaranteed.

106 I suspect some of the drop in Tea Party favorability is due to recent elections. No doubt many Republicans thought the Tea Party was their own fifth column, when in fact it was often in opposition to the Republicans. Once you got to election time, that became apparent, as Tea Partiers opted not to defend status quo Repubs and often ran against them.

107 Yes, Republicans lead Democrats on the generic ballot, but let's not start licking each other's asses just yet.

108 No doubt many Republicans thought the Tea Party was their own fifth column, when in fact it was often in opposition to the Republicans.

Yep.  We have that writ large here in Virginia 41.  Keith Fimian is the tea party-ish guy.  Pat Herrity is the establishment guy.  This has been one ugly primary.

109 "If the House flips, then there is a two-year window of opportunity to put big government on trial in wall-to-wall investigatory hearings.  I'd format it as at least one jobs/economy issue hot on center stage the whole time with at least two corruption and malfeasance hearings on the side."

This is exactly what I've had in mind for months now.

Regain the house and start uncovering stimulus corruption.  Economic-related malfeasance.  Put Obamacare repeal upto a vote, have Bamster veto it, have Republican presidential candidates hammer him with it.

110 Put Obamacare repeal upto a vote, have Bamster veto it, have Republican presidential candidates hammer him with it.

And have every Republican Senate candidate hammer his opponent with it in 2012, as well.

111 Well, the polls here close in 2 hours and we will see.

112 RedState figures that that kind of a lead is good for a 60 seat pickup. Assuming all the things you need to assume. Now let's tack onto that the increasingly probably double-dip recession. It if starts (or becomes plain obvious) before the election... Geeze. My original optimistic count was an 80 seat swing in the house. A plausible win in some primary that didn't happen and better GDP numbers had me pull back 10-20 seats but Obamakatrina is making up for that. The thing about Obamakatrina (unlike the economy) is that the MSM is making a super-big deal about it. And just wait until the dugongs get oiled. Oh, the Huge Manatees!

113 106 Busts of Stalin, guaranteed.

-FIFY

114 I don't care what Ann Coulter says.  We should party our asses off  for days on this news.  Then sleep it off for about six months.