August 17, 2010
— Ace It's like they're just playing to us now.
What's the best part? Well, what would you say the most bizarre and lurid story of the 2010 election season is? If you know that then you've answered your own question.
Also at Hot Air: Obama's inspiring new rhetoric. Oh it's good. Remember when he said the difference between 1994 and now is "Now you've got me"?
Well, the man is delivering on the promise of "Me."
Nate Silver noted on his twitter feed today that most Democrats don't understand how "terrifying" the Generic Congressional numbers are; I was going to write about that, but Allah already did. Allah also notes that Charlie Cook has further downgraded the Democrats. 68 Democratic seats are now toss-up or merely lean Democrat, and, given a wave, almost all of those are likely to be lost.

I didn't really hit his hard enough in yesterday's post: Gallup's generic reading of 50-43 and Rasmussen's of 48 to 36 are really extraordinary, all-time highs of Republican sentiment. And mutually confirming.
And usually the rule is "add on 2-3 points" to represent better Republican turnout than polls indicate, and then subtract a point or two for Democratic dispirit... And well, it's hard to be a pimp.
Silver is trying to figure out how determinative the CGB is to November results, and while he's drawn no firm conclusions, here's a chart showing the congressional generic from 2002, when Republicans picked up a handful of seats, like 10:

Now imagine that graph for this year, extended out to November, with an unheard of 8 point (or more) lead for Republicans.
Kos is now using a more reputable pollster, but one (PPP) still widely believed to skew left, and, now bound by more credible numbers, his sycophants are... angry with him.
PPP has delivered a poll on the Missouri Senate race for Daily Kos, and I’m seeing genuine anger at the results, which are now filtered for those likely to vote in November.As Kos says, “So what’s going on? Our old friend, the intensity gap.”
...
The way the races stand today, I think it’s fairly likely that the Republicans will hold all their seats in the Senate, and gain more besides. Because, again as Kos says, “If the current malaise persists, it won’t be so close.” He says that about Missouri, but I think the same applies to the national Congressional situation.
No, it won't be close.
People make a decision as far as party on three main bases: 1, foreign policy/security, 2, similar values, and 3, the economy.
Which of these helps the Democrats? None. They all go in the same direction.
Everything already was going against the Democrats and now they have the suddenly-discovered constitutional right to gay marriage in all 50 states and President Praise Allah.
What the hell? If there were serious betting on elections, and if the mob were involved, I'd swear they were being paid off to throw the series. I'd start looking in Judge Walker's driveway for a shiny new hooker's-lipstick-red Ferrari and I'd look to see if any members of Obama's family were suddenly taking luxe vacations in countries conveniently near Switzerland--
Hey....! Wait a minute...!
Oh: Hat tip to the Editor who suggested I include a picture of Chris Matthews wincing in all poll posts... I think I'll do just that.
Posted by: Ace at
05:12 PM
| Comments (100)
Post contains 572 words, total size 4 kb.
Posted by: dudeinsantacruz at August 17, 2010 09:16 PM (IXxbK)
See? See? Reich Wing RethugliKKKan Hate!
/libtard off
Posted by: Bikermailman at August 17, 2010 05:17 PM (HY1tB)
Posted by: nickless at August 17, 2010 05:18 PM (MMC8r)
Posted by: dudeinsantacruz at August 17, 2010 05:19 PM (IXxbK)
Keep. Telling. Yourself. That. Dillhole.
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at August 17, 2010 05:20 PM (NvFZs)
And here's the corresponding Dem positions:
1. denigrate/weaken America
2. if it feels good, do it
3. tax, spend, tax, spend...
Posted by: Soap MacTavish at August 17, 2010 05:20 PM (554T5)
Posted by: dudeinsantacruz at August 17, 2010 05:21 PM (IXxbK)
Posted by: Mr. Pink at August 17, 2010 05:21 PM (V/EYZ)
Posted by: dudeinsantacruz at August 17, 2010 09:19 PM (IXxbK)
If you're to the right of Barbara Boxer, you're a rethuglikkkan.
Posted by: Bikermailman at August 17, 2010 05:21 PM (HY1tB)
Posted by: Mr. Pink at August 17, 2010 09:21 PM (V/EYZ)
If things go well in November, I'm going to p-shop that and sell t shirts.
Posted by: Bikermailman at August 17, 2010 05:22 PM (HY1tB)
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at August 17, 2010 05:22 PM (NvFZs)
Posted by: someone at August 17, 2010 05:23 PM (DfAwB)
For some reason that brings to mind Ace's bit from the '08 vice-presidential debate. Something-something "won't shoot a load in your mouth" or something.
Posted by: Hoss Fuentes at August 17, 2010 05:25 PM (6RVP+)
Posted by: Mr. Pink at August 17, 2010 09:21 PM (V/EYZ)
If things go well in November, I'm going to p-shop that and sell t shirts.
Posted by: Bikermailman at August 17, 2010 09:22 PM
I think a video would sell better.
Posted by: HornetSting at August 17, 2010 05:25 PM (/J4ob)
Posted by: Pocono Joe at August 17, 2010 05:25 PM (XBno2)
Posted by: ChicagoJedi at August 17, 2010 05:25 PM (WZFkG)
Posted by: Joanie (Oven Gloves) at August 17, 2010 05:26 PM (wd0Iq)
Posted by: Joanie (Oven Gloves) at August 17, 2010 05:29 PM (wd0Iq)
I wonder how far the Dems will go in continuing to blame Bush, esp. w/ Obumbles out on the campaign trail using the car in reverse analogy.
Dems= drive
Repubs= reverse
How cute.
/
Posted by: Miss'80sBaby at August 17, 2010 05:29 PM (yfJ6g)
Posted by: JackStraw at August 17, 2010 05:31 PM (VW9/y)
And to think, there was a time when you weren't viewed as a political oracle.
Posted by: pep at August 17, 2010 05:31 PM (0K3p3)
But Allah already did...
Is he still giving away free viruses?
What?
Posted by: Miss Fluffy McNutter at August 17, 2010 09:29 PM
$100 and two weeks later, I will get my laptop back virus free...just clicked on a story over there and kaboom. So, I moved in over here.
Posted by: HornetSting at August 17, 2010 05:32 PM (/J4ob)
Posted by: In before the troll at August 17, 2010 05:32 PM (9Lm5R)
You must have missed the story about Rand Paul's supposed hijinks at Baylor. It was posted here on AoS last week. Apparently he was part of a "secret society" whose purpose was to cause mayhem and shock the hell out of the good Baptists at Baylor. Some woman claimed that Rand and a friend kidnapped her, forced her to smoke weed and then took her to a creek and demanded that she worship "Aqua Buddha." I think we conservatives were supposed to find it shocking! but I actually thought it was funny.
Posted by: Angry Beaver at August 17, 2010 05:37 PM (XFrSe)
OMG, that happened to me last week, too. I thought I had done something wrong. I still don't have my computer back and it is going to cost me $130. I've been afraid to go back to Hot Air since.
Posted by: Miss Fluffy McNutter at August 17, 2010 05:38 PM (xMSXs)
Posted by: Molly at August 17, 2010 05:39 PM (CyPWX)
Posted by: Miss'80sBaby at August 17, 2010 05:43 PM (yfJ6g)
I think a video would sell better.
Posted by: HornetSting at August 17, 2010 09:25 PM (/J4ob)
You can get those on the internet already. Just sayin'.
I assume this is the same hornetsting from HA?
Posted by: Bikermailman at August 17, 2010 05:48 PM (HY1tB)
Posted by: Molly at August 17, 2010 05:52 PM (CyPWX)
>>>But Allah already did...
Is he still giving away free viruses?
What?
Posted by: Miss Fluffy McNutter at August 17, 2010 09:29 PM
$100 and two weeks later, I will get my laptop back virus free...just clicked on a story over there and kaboom. So, I moved in over here.
Same thing happened to me! It was my work computer so I had to have it fixed ASAP so it only took 2 hours but it cost $215.
Posted by: Roadking at August 17, 2010 05:53 PM (JpfXc)
Posted by: George Orwell at August 17, 2010 05:56 PM (AZGON)
OMG, that happened to me last week, too. I thought I had done something wrong. I still don't have my computer back and it is going to cost me $130. I've been afraid to go back to Hot Air since.
Posted by: Miss Fluffy McNutter at August 17, 2010 09:38 PM (xMSXs)
Got 4 from there...2 each on 2 different days. If it hadn't been for Trend, I would have been screwed.
Posted by: Steph at August 17, 2010 05:58 PM (580hG)
I assume this is the same hornetsting from HA?
Posted by: Bikermailman at August 17, 2010 09:48 PM
Assumed correctly.
Posted by: HornetSting at August 17, 2010 06:00 PM (/J4ob)
Posted by: Miss Fluffy McNutter at August 17, 2010 09:38 PM (xMSXs)
Got 4 from there...2 each on 2 different days. If it hadn't been for Trend, I would have been screwed.
Posted by: Steph at August 17, 2010 09:58 PM
Had Trend up and running, still got hit. Seems, this is a service they give to everyone...I know of two people that got BAD viruses over there.
Posted by: HornetSting at August 17, 2010 06:01 PM (/J4ob)
Posted by: DelD at August 17, 2010 06:04 PM (oAZ1S)
Had Trend up and running, still got hit. Seems, this is a service they give to everyone...I know of two people that got BAD viruses over there.
Posted by: HornetSting at August 17, 2010 10:01 PM (/J4ob)
I haven't been back since, and don't plan to. I quick scan every night, anyway, and do a full scan any time it even looks like my computer is slowing down. I can't afford to do otherwise.
Posted by: Steph at August 17, 2010 06:05 PM (580hG)
Had Trend up and running, still got hit. Seems, this is a service they give to everyone...I know of two people that got BAD viruses over there.
Posted by: HornetSting at August 17, 2010 10:01 PM (/J4ob)
Fabulous. Are they even aware there is a problem? I am not going to pay $130 in computer repairs just to read Hot Air.
Posted by: Miss Fluffy McNutter at August 17, 2010 06:06 PM (xMSXs)
Posted by: JackStraw at August 17, 2010 06:10 PM (VW9/y)
I said months ago that the Republicans would re-take the House, with a comfortable margin. A good 50-seat pickup, I think was my prediction.
It's looking like I was being a bit too conservative, no pun intended.
Cause it's looking increasingly like a utter rout in the House, with the realistic possibility of taking the Senate, or coming close to it.
Posted by: Vyceroy at August 17, 2010 06:12 PM (VYges)
Posted by: sexypig at August 17, 2010 06:14 PM (0t7L8)
Posted by: HornetSting at August 17, 2010 10:01 PM (/J4ob)
Fabulous. Are they even aware there is a problem? I am not going to pay $130 in computer repairs just to read Hot Air.
Posted by: Miss Fluffy McNutter at August 17, 2010 10:06 PM
Evidently, it's been happening quite a bit..not going to blame the Salem debacle, but didn't see it much until they took over....but, I'm not going to chance getting a virus to tell AP his site is infected. Besides, I like it over here, been around here incognito for about a year...
Posted by: HornetSting at August 17, 2010 06:15 PM (/J4ob)
Seriously, why does anyone go to hot air?
I like the layout. A quick scan gets me up to date on the main stories of the day without having to scroll.
I've only commented a few times there. I am too partial to using 'fuck' or some variation thereof to like posting there regularly. Plus, no one is funnier than Ace or the commenters here.
Posted by: Miss Fluffy McNutter at August 17, 2010 06:17 PM (xMSXs)
Lavoquin is an EXCELLENT antibiotic, even if it does cost $240 for a one week supply.
I figure that is way cheap compared to 3-4 days in the hospital and maybe dying.
Posted by: Miss Marple (redneck teabagger) at August 17, 2010 06:19 PM (bixjr)
Chris wasn't wincing at the "bad" numbers......he just
realized he was soiling his last Depends and still had
some air time to go.
Posted by: grizzlybare at August 17, 2010 06:23 PM (5Zqvh)
Evidently, it's been happening quite a bit..not going to blame the Salem debacle, but didn't see it much until they took over....but, I'm not going to chance getting a virus to tell AP his site is infected. Besides, I like it over here, been around here incognito for about a year...
Posted by: HornetSting
I don't blame you for not going back. I have never had a problem there before this. If the problem is so common I hope someone has let allah or ed know through Twitter.
Not a huge loss, though. Ace's is a helluva lot more fun!
Posted by: Miss Fluffy McNutter at August 17, 2010 06:24 PM (xMSXs)
Not a huge loss, though. Ace's is a helluva lot more fun!
Posted by: Miss Fluffy McNutter at August 17, 2010 10:24 PM
Yeah, and you can use words like fuck and revolution.
Posted by: HornetSting at August 17, 2010 06:26 PM (/J4ob)
Yeah, and you can use words like fuck and revolution.
Uh oh...the "F" word is cool...practically encouraged 'round here
...but not the "R" word...
Prepare yourself for the wrath
Posted by: beedubya at August 17, 2010 06:29 PM (AnTyA)
You're welcome (and I'm glad you're feeling better, BTW.) My memory's rotten but I think I hit all the high points. I think it was JackM that tried to declare "Aqua Buddha" the new catchphrase but it didn't catch on.
I was just amused by the tone of the initial story. Oh noes, Rand Paul played pranks on people when he was in college, the horror! It's amusing how liberals think we are all a bunch of hand-wringing blue-haired church ladies. Clearly they have never been to AoS.
Posted by: Angry Beaver at August 17, 2010 06:31 PM (XFrSe)
Posted by: Peggy West at August 17, 2010 10:31 PM (uY6kY)
Well ... it's not banned, but you can only use it if you don't mean it
Posted by: progressoverpeace at August 17, 2010 06:34 PM (Qp4DT)
Posted by: Angry Beaver at August 17, 2010 10:31 PM (XFrSe)
Well, some "conservatives" were terrified of RP ... plus some of them seemed to have this secret desire to vote for the D.
Posted by: Peggy West at August 17, 2010 06:34 PM (uY6kY)
Well ... it's not banned, but you
can only use it if you don't mean it
Posted by: progressoverpeace at August 17, 2010 10:34 PM (Qp4DT)
Is it OK that I brought Peggy West here, even though I don't really "mean it?"
Posted by: Peggy West at August 17, 2010 06:35 PM (uY6kY)
I think it was Jerry Brown, destroying Whitman with his moonbeam eyes
Posted by: mugiwara at August 17, 2010 06:37 PM (KI/Ch)
Is it OK that I brought Peggy West here, even though I don't really "mean it?"
Posted by: Peggy West at August 17, 2010 10:35 PM
I'm not sure if the foundation can handle it.
Posted by: HornetSting at August 17, 2010 06:39 PM (/J4ob)
I think I'm ready to be through with the place.
After AP nuked 60 comments and closed the thread about the Ground Zero mosque and then went almost the entire weekend without a post about it, I'm just about done with the site.
Censorship isn't cool, nor is having a super secret (not conservative) agenda that you only allow your readers to have glimpses of in your "nuances."
Posted by: Jenfidel at August 17, 2010 06:40 PM (9PR01)
Posted by: HornetSting at August 17, 2010 06:41 PM (/J4ob)
"You say you 'don't really mean it' but you know that I know that you know that you might really mean it."
-- ace explaining the rules
Posted by: progressoverpeace at August 17, 2010 06:42 PM (Qp4DT)
I'm not sure if the foundation can handle it.
Posted by: HornetSting at August 17, 2010 10:39 PM (/J4ob)
Heh... You're just jealous of Peggy's good looks.
Posted by: Jenfidel at August 17, 2010 10:40 PM (9PR01)
Hey, The Race Card (one of them was banned) ... but yeah, no fun when threads are shut down b/c someone doesn't want to be inconvenienced.
Posted by: Peggy West at August 17, 2010 06:43 PM (uY6kY)
Posted by: HornetSting at August 17, 2010 10:41 PM (/J4ob)
Is that Jenfidel? I like her. The hash looked familiar.
Posted by: progressoverpeace at August 17, 2010 06:44 PM (Qp4DT)
I won't tell if you won't.
The trolls are part of the problem--AP likes them and he and Ed basically let them run the place.
Posted by: Jenfidel at August 17, 2010 06:44 PM (9PR01)
There's going to be a tsunami and there's not a thing the Democrats can do about it. The atmospherics have been seeded and are coming to a boil. The more burning question is, "What will the GOP do with its mandate, a mandate it won in spite of itself and by virtue of the Tea Party?"
Posted by: AnonymousDrivel at August 17, 2010 06:45 PM (swuwV)
The Race Card was finally banned?!
That is a sign of the Apocalypse and that the Republican victory in NOvember will be epic!
Posted by: Jenfidel at August 17, 2010 06:46 PM (9PR01)
Oops. I didn't see your post. I was all confused.
Posted by: progressoverpeace at August 17, 2010 06:46 PM (Qp4DT)
Posted by: HornetSting at August 17, 2010 10:41 PM (/J4ob)
Tell me about it! Jeeze ... wasn't one of those douchenozzles calling for the extermination of Texans or something???
Posted by: Peggy West at August 17, 2010 06:48 PM (uY6kY)
The Race Card was finally banned?!
That is a sign of the Apocalypse and that the Republican victory in NOvember will be epic!
Posted by: Jenfidel at August 17, 2010 10:46 PM (9PR01)
So far... though, you know some of the squishes over there were actually sad he was kicked out. Who knows. Maybe they'll start a petition to have him come back.
Posted by: Peggy West at August 17, 2010 06:49 PM (uY6kY)
I was more pissed off about the squishes and the concern trolls. Oh, and all that back door action.
Posted by: HornetSting at August 17, 2010 06:50 PM (/J4ob)
Looks like the tingle up his leg has turned into a trickle down it.
Posted by: CUS at August 17, 2010 06:50 PM (n56wA)
I was more pissed off about the squishes and the concern trolls. Oh, and all that back door action.
Posted by: HornetSting at August 17, 2010 10:50 PM (/J4ob)
Well, larryann doesn't seem to be coming around a lot more.
Posted by: Peggy West at August 17, 2010 06:52 PM (uY6kY)
Posted by: AmishDude at August 17, 2010 07:16 PM (RgyHa)
Posted by: kanyewest at August 17, 2010 07:16 PM (PhPag)
Posted by: sexypig at August 17, 2010 07:35 PM (0t7L8)
Posted by: sauropod at August 17, 2010 07:37 PM (GPm6P)
Posted by: rdbrewer at August 17, 2010 07:39 PM (t0jpM)
The one I got ended up costing me about 160 bucks, including new spyware.
Posted by: gail at August 17, 2010 07:40 PM (f46PC)
Posted by: gail at August 17, 2010 07:49 PM (f46PC)
Tell me about it! Jeeze ... wasn't one of those douchenozzles calling for the extermination of Texans or something???
Posted by: Peggy West at August 17, 2010 10:48 PM (uY6kY)
That was douchenozzle & gay Hispanic troll "ernesto."
Still happily posting over there. Such is the stuff of HA.
Posted by: Jenfidel at August 17, 2010 08:18 PM (9PR01)
LOL.!
did you originally come here to post your ads, but end up staying for the good political chat?
Posted by: Jenfidel at August 17, 2010 08:21 PM (9PR01)
That virus thing at Hot Air happened to me too. AdWare crap seized my computer. But I paid Geek Squad $134. I stopped going to HA
Posted by: MoSov at August 18, 2010 04:13 AM (/nZ2Y)
the intro to the clip was t3h aw3som3
Posted by: sven10077 at August 18, 2010 04:50 AM (kq1lG)
hey welcome....
glad you crossed over....
essentially HotAir's behavior lends itself to the acrobatic 180 Jharles Chonson did over at LGF....
part of why I hammered my 95 theses to AP's forehead on my way out.
Posted by: sven10077 at August 18, 2010 04:58 AM (kq1lG)
quite the contrary I'd LOVE for the Hot Air trolls to come over and play here where there are no skirts to hide behind.
Posted by: sven10077 at August 18, 2010 05:00 AM (kq1lG)
What I hope: Produce reasonable, balanced budgets and force Obama to veto them, repeal (or at least attempt to repeal, or defund) obamacare, investigate and dismantle the czar apparatus.
What I fear: Waffle, get cowed, and suck up to the media.
Posted by: Farmer Joe at August 18, 2010 05:28 AM (z4es9)
Posted by: Vyceroy at August 18, 2010 05:31 AM (9EvhR)
The look on Chrissy "Tingly Leg" Matthews says it all...
Game Over Dood...
Posted by: Sue Nommy at August 18, 2010 08:34 AM (lUV0r)
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Posted by: dudeinsantacruz at August 17, 2010 05:16 PM (IXxbK)