February 17, 2010

Tim Pawlenty on Dennis Miller
— Ace

I listened to this the other day. It made an impact on me, enough that Pawlenty became (very, very tentatively) my current #1, moving ahead of John Thune.

Oh -- and yeah, he's running. I got an invite to a CPAC T-Paw Blogger Happy Hour. You know who sponsors those? Guys who are running for president. (And no, I'm not even going to CPAC, so no, I am not being bought off by that vaunted "DC Cocktail Circuit.")

Three things are appealing here.

1) His very, very real and not-fake-at-all blue collar upbringing.

2) His impressive indictment of Obamanomics. He's pretty damn fluent.

3) And 3, for those who are really angry, when Dennis Miller suggests that the anger level is building to the point where there might actually be an insurrection, Pawlenty doesn't really disagree. I think it's imprudent to say that, but hey, that will appeal to some. (Oh -- he's running down the Republican Party, too: "We got fired for a reason.")

That said, I know nothing about him, except for his previous pandering about global warming. I don't know his record.

I was sort of hoping to wait on Campaign 2012 season, but we're sort of in it already.

I was talking to someone in the comments, and mentioned my own list of guys I like -- Pawlenty, Pence, Thune, Daniels. Someone said none of those guys gave her "leg thrills."

Well, it could be because no one knows these guys yet. So, I guess it's time to start getting to know them.

(Seriously, I don't know anything about Pawlenty or any of the others, not really.)

Posted by: Ace at 02:30 PM | Comments (590)
Post contains 281 words, total size 2 kb.

1 He follows the first rule of Minnesota.... which is BE NICE.

I'm not feeling all that nice this election season.

Posted by: mama winger at February 17, 2010 02:32 PM (Ue9UN)

2  I mean I'm a Swedish Lutheran and I like my potluck dinner and coffee hour just as much as the next guy, but we are up against the Chicago Mafia here.

Posted by: mama winger at February 17, 2010 02:34 PM (Ue9UN)

3 "American Beauty" was a stupid movie, but it taught me a lot about myself, lessons IÂ’ve tried to retain going forward.

Posted by: Cleveland Steamer at February 17, 2010 02:35 PM (QMtmy)

4 Better follow the woman.....T-Paw ain't going to happen.  Sorry, Ace.

Posted by: Windsor at February 17, 2010 02:35 PM (SpRrM)

5 His record sucks monkey's flaming red ass.

At least that's what my Minnesotan conservative friend is telling me.

Posted by: Lincoln Adams at February 17, 2010 02:36 PM (gLNLT)

6 #2 If his only sin is/was AGW, I could vote for him, but just how to you get on board with what has been obviously a fraud for a number of years?  If you can't get the really BIG glaring things right, what hope is there with the smaller, admittedly difficult ones?

Still, FU'ing the MN legislature last session was....delicious!

Posted by: ParisParamus at February 17, 2010 02:37 PM (GgR+e)

7 Whomever tops the ticket- I hope against all that Thad McCotter's the eventual veep choice.

I NEED to see him debate Biden.  I Need it.

Posted by: WTGOhio at February 17, 2010 02:37 PM (Gzns3)

8 So now we have to determine who's "tingle worthy"...or something.

Posted by: Jane D'oh at February 17, 2010 02:37 PM (UOM48)

9 >>>>His record sucks monkey's flaming red ass. I need to know stuff like that... The interview I just linked is almost everything I know about him.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 02:38 PM (jlvw3)

10 Being nice has gotten us nowhere. No, strike that, it's gotten us into the mess we are now in. I don't listen to Miller, so I am unfamiliar with his opinion about insurrection. I do sense that the proletariat is approaching critical mass, however. I will not vote for anyone who wants to make nice and be diplomatic. We are in nothing less than a fight to the death for this country and what it will eventually become.

Posted by: Major Kong at February 17, 2010 02:39 PM (yvC3i)

11 >>>>Better follow the woman.....T-Paw ain't going to happen. Sorry, Ace. Why? I think a big part of this is that it's hard to conceive of ANYONE as president. It took the Panama action for me to accept Bush the Elder as President. Barack Obama smartly did that fake presidential seal and the white-house-esque columns (not greek columns -- they were meant to look like the White House's porch) to subliminally make people accept him as a possible president. Everyone's first reaction to ANYONE pitched as president is going to be "NO WAY! Not that guy!" It takes time to accept someone as possible president. Anyway, so I guess I'm starting to consider these guys.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 02:40 PM (jlvw3)

12 Paul Ryan / Marco Rubio 2012...?

Posted by: Orlando M at February 17, 2010 02:41 PM (KUllR)

13 For people complaining about "no leg thrills" just remember 2007...

Obama who? Palin who??

Posted by: DoDoGuRu at February 17, 2010 02:42 PM (31pnY)

14 I like how I just said the guy sort of agreed an insurrection may be coming and then Mama Winger says "he's too nice" and now Kong jumps on that pronouncement. Too nice? Maybe there will be an insurrection? That's too nice? If you guys are looking for a politician to match your level of outward anger, forget it, angry people generally don't win elections.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 02:42 PM (jlvw3)

15 My "ain't never gonna happen, but whatev" fantasy is:  Liz Cheney/John Bolton.  Take no prisoners.

Posted by: Jane D'oh at February 17, 2010 02:42 PM (UOM48)

16 I give his pants crease a B+

Posted by: David Brooks at February 17, 2010 02:43 PM (saRwI)

17 Ace, I remember having a long online discussion about this, when I first saw Pawlenty I was commenting, gee he seems like a straight shooting conservative, to which my twin cities friend responded by going into a 10 minute diatribe of all the quasi liberal crap he's pulled since being governor. Can't cite any specific examples since I forgot it all, though I'm sure other morons would know.

Posted by: Lincoln Adams at February 17, 2010 02:43 PM (gLNLT)

18 I like Liz Cheney but I don't understand-- what is her resume? Is she qualified in the least? (Again, I don't know, I am asking.)

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 02:43 PM (jlvw3)

19 Better follow the woman.....

Why?





Cuz I ain't that nice and I'll kick your ass.


I am already feeling bad about this comment because I am from Wisconsin and we are almost as nice as Minnesotans. 

Posted by: mama winger at February 17, 2010 02:43 PM (Ue9UN)

20 Thaddeus McCotter is my number 1, right now, with Sarah Palin as VP.  Hey, I want a president with a sense of humor in the White House, I'm sick of the sour dour bunch who wouldn't know a joke if it came up and bit them, that we have in the White House now.

Posted by: curious at February 17, 2010 02:44 PM (p302b)

21 linc, okay, I'll be on the lookout. Having posted about Pawlenty, I will now start getting emails from supporters of the others who will start dishing.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 02:44 PM (jlvw3)

22 angry people generally don't win elections.

Perhaps not, but sheep almost always go to slaughter.

Posted by: Major Kong at February 17, 2010 02:45 PM (yvC3i)

23 2012 will make Rollerball look like Romper Room.  I wish him luck, but...

Posted by: ParisParamus at February 17, 2010 02:45 PM (GgR+e)

24 I'm from Minnesota (although admittedly I have spent about 3 months there collectively for the last 5 years). I think Pawlenty is a very solid fiscal conservative. I don't know where he is on social issues, mainly because I don't really care.

He signed a pledge before taking office that he would not institute any new taxes, and aside from a token cigarette tax increase the legislature forced on him, he has kept to his word. He singlehandedly balanced the budget last year, pulling a pretty amazing end run around the legislature.

His biggest weakness is that he is somewhat 'boring'. I would prefer a boring president who balanced the budget (through spending cuts, not through tax increases) to an exciting one who just plunged us further into debt.

Posted by: Jeff M at February 17, 2010 02:46 PM (8P3+x)

25 I fear it's going to be him or Huck. I think one or both will be media darlings right up until they get the nomination. The nanny state spenders are really getting on my nerves. There's got to be a good genuine conservative out there. DeMint?

Posted by: The Mega Independent at February 17, 2010 02:46 PM (v94SN)

26

>>And no, I'm not even going to CPAC

 

WTF dude, where's the commitment?

Posted by: Terry at February 17, 2010 02:47 PM (+7Usq)

27 I really didn't like his pandering on Global Warming. I know these guys had to place it safe and give it lip service, but it was patently obvious it was a fraud. I just wish someone would've had the balls to stand p and say "ENOUGH!" Apart from that I guess he'd be alright. Anybody would at this point. Plus he's kinda boring, which will be of benefit in 2012 after all the Hope/Change.

Posted by: Alex at February 17, 2010 02:47 PM (wFWt7)

28 From what I've seen (and heard) of Liz, she's like a chip off the ol' block.  I'm having a brain spasm right now and for the life of me can't remember what post she held in the Bush administration (I'm sure a moron will help).  She comes across as highly intelligent and unflappable.  Maybe not the cred she'd need for pres, but look who's occupying the Oval now.

And John Bolton?  Just kicks ass.

Posted by: Jane D'oh at February 17, 2010 02:47 PM (UOM48)

29 Isn't CPAC a big uber super dooper Conservative thing?  And and and you're not going????  Are you feeling alright or is it a matter of the good ole economy?

Posted by: curious at February 17, 2010 02:48 PM (p302b)

30


T-Paw is Huck without the "Aww Shucks". Not a big fan, but then again he hasnt exactly been all up on my radar. I find it hard to get excited by a guy who let Al Franken win steal a Senate seat on his watch. That doesnt exactly scream conservative credentials to me. If he cant get Minnesota fired up enough to keep a barking moonbat from representing their state, how the hell will he get all of America fired up ?


Posted by: Blazer at February 17, 2010 02:48 PM (t72+4)

31

I like listening to Dennis Miller... Pawlenty is intriguing to me too, but I don't know enough either and I do think that we need to have a fundementally aggressive candidate(s) that seize the moment and see this for the sea-change that 2010-2012 cycles are.

This is the time to rise up and say to the leftards... ENOUGH.  They've been chipping at the USA since the late 50's and finally they've achieved their penacle.. and it's time to start unraveling the mess the progressive movement has wrought... 

So count me in on the Angry candidate and not the time for a "nice guy".....

Posted by: Yippie21 at February 17, 2010 02:48 PM (FLFli)

32 He's done a lot of smoke-and-mirrors accounting tricks to (apparently) balance the state budget while (apparently) keeping his "no new taxes" pledge, and making only minimal attempts to tighten the growth of government.  The reckoning will come due once he's safely out of office.

He's big on ethanol (as is Thune -- that's what you get when you're in a big corn state) and wind energy (ditto Thune) subsidies, which is one reason he could find common ground with Warming Alarmist and Minnesota Favorite Explorer, Will Steger.

He can talk policy wonk as good as Clinton ever could.

He has the knack of being able to sound like he's entertaining diverse "bipartisan" discussions, while never giving an inch from his initial position.

There are probably no personal skeletons in his closet.

He's a lot hipper than John McCain.

He "fist bumped" my daughter at a school science fair.

That's about all I got.

Posted by: notropis at February 17, 2010 02:48 PM (D6KR0)

33 As a first step, why not look at the list of GOP governors?

One guv I wonder about is Perry.  I've heard/read viscerally negative reactions from him - from both the left and right - but I can't tell where the truth is. 

He seems like he has a spine. 

Barbour seemed to handle the hurricane well, but I gather he has some political baggage... ?

Posted by: Y-not at February 17, 2010 02:48 PM (X69zM)

34 Also, the idea that people from Minnesota are nice is a lie that we for some reason like to propagate to people on the coasts. There are plenty of assholes in MN (case in point: Al Franken).

Posted by: Jeff M at February 17, 2010 02:49 PM (8P3+x)

35 Renewable energy mandates, a minimum wage increase, supports a RomneyCare for Minnesota and statewide smoking bans... that's Tim Pawlenty

Posted by: The Mega Independent at February 17, 2010 02:49 PM (v94SN)

36 I'm pushing Paul Ryan from my district in Wisconsin. Superb conservative with the brains of a true political wonk.  His slogan could be "Nearly as nice as the Minnesota guy."

Posted by: mama winger at February 17, 2010 02:49 PM (Ue9UN)

37 For what it's worth, the guys at Power Line Blog spank it to T-Paw as often as they can.  They obviously think a lot of the guy.

Posted by: Jazz at February 17, 2010 02:49 PM (hnq5i)

38 Ultimately, with the exception of Huckabee, I think GOP candidates really do run to help the country; not primarily for their egos (ok, maybe 50/50, but no worse than that).  I don't see that on the other side, I didn't see it even when I was on the other side.

Posted by: ParisParamus at February 17, 2010 02:50 PM (GgR+e)

39 >>>He signed a pledge before taking office that he would not institute any new taxes, and aside from a token cigarette tax increase the legislature forced on him, he has kept to his word. He singlehandedly balanced the budget last year, pulling a pretty amazing end run around the legislature. Fuck me, that was my big question -- did he balance the budget? I know Daniels did (and has a surplus, in fact). I didn't know Pawlenty did.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 02:50 PM (jlvw3)

40 I don't know Pawlenty much, but I know Huckabee, and I would walk on rusty knives across Mordor for the primary if it meant pulling the lever for Pawlenty over Schmuckabee.

Posted by: Lincoln Adams at February 17, 2010 02:51 PM (gLNLT)

41 #37, Yeah, but MN is their home field, so,  a few grains of salt there...

Posted by: ParisParamus at February 17, 2010 02:51 PM (GgR+e)

42 Tim Pawlenty is a dead ringer for Kevin MacDonald, formerly of Kids in the Hall.  Just can't pull the trigger on that one, unless the alternative is Obama.

Posted by: Truman North at February 17, 2010 02:51 PM (FjC5u)

43 If you know so little about Pawlenty, how can he be your new #1?

Just asking.

Posted by: SlaveDog at February 17, 2010 02:52 PM (W+E+o)

44 Chuckles Huckster makes my skin crawl.  And yeah, I'd vote for whoever was up against him.  Which is sad.

Posted by: Jane D'oh at February 17, 2010 02:52 PM (UOM48)

45 >>>He's done a lot of smoke-and-mirrors accounting tricks to (apparently) balance the state budget while (apparently) keeping his "no new taxes" pledge, and making only minimal attempts to tighten the growth of government. The reckoning will come due once he's safely out of office. Okay... interesting... and a nuance... but... assuming you're right about accounting tricks-- would you say the accounting tricks are disguising only a small deficit? I am guessing that only a small deficit could be so disguised. And a small deficit to me is pretty darn good.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 02:52 PM (jlvw3)

46 "For people complaining about "no leg thrills" just remember 2007...

Obama who? Palin who??"

You might have a point about Palin but not Obama.  As soon as he won in 2004, people were talking about him as presidential material.

I, of course, scoffed, because I knew that he was a commie and figured that there was no way America would ever elect a commie.

Posted by: Kensington at February 17, 2010 02:53 PM (BGpfF)

47 I'd like to know who is going to challenge BO in his own party?  then you'll know what republican to put up.   Seriously though, maybe you guys should get a captain of industry to sit in the seat....might get the budget balanced and people happy.

Posted by: curious at February 17, 2010 02:53 PM (p302b)

48

I can't stand Pawlenty.  McCain's mini-me.  Plus he had no stones to take on the obvious voter fraud in the Minnesota Senate race.  Wuss. 

 

Just what we don't need.  Blech. 

Posted by: Marybeth at February 17, 2010 02:53 PM (zQoWP)

49 >>>If you know so little about Pawlenty, how can he be your new #1? Because I start from perfect ignorance about all of them. All I know is that I am not supporting anyone from last year's crop.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 02:53 PM (jlvw3)

50 I really didn't like his pandering on Global Warming.


It wasn't just pandering, though... he actually wrote his support of it into the laws through aggressive mandates.

http://tinyurl.com/yeqjuwb

Posted by: The Mega Independent at February 17, 2010 02:53 PM (v94SN)

51 I thought Pawlenty was a RINO.  Ace is supporting a RINO!!11!1!  Ace is a sell-out!  How much are the fatcats paying you, traitor?

Posted by: FUBAR at February 17, 2010 02:53 PM (1fanL)

52 Pawlenty was a favorite at PoweLine.

He seems blah to me.

Posted by: SlaveDog at February 17, 2010 02:54 PM (W+E+o)

53 I'd love to know what morons think of Thune. 

Posted by: Jane D'oh at February 17, 2010 02:54 PM (UOM48)

54 well, near perfect ignorance. I know a smattering of little bits about each.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 02:54 PM (jlvw3)

55 Yeah his ethanol cracknuttery is based on pure politics rather than science.  I'm starting to remember though some of his bigger annoyances had to do with how he handled the traffic issues in MN (i.e. raising tolls to discourage driving).  He seemed to piss off quite a lot of motorists  as a result.

Posted by: Lincoln Adams at February 17, 2010 02:57 PM (gLNLT)

56 "I'd love to know what morons think of Thune."

In general, I have zero enthusiasm for turning congressmen into presidents, and it would take extraordinary circumstances to change that.

Posted by: Kensington at February 17, 2010 02:57 PM (BGpfF)

57 Ace is a capitalist. He sees the big payday AP just got and wants a piece of the action. That will require a move to the middle. Hence, the Pawlenty induced leg tingles.....

Posted by: Painfully obvious at February 17, 2010 02:58 PM (wlE4Z)

58 You guys need to follow the Obama method, except with someone who has business sense and a set.  You know announce that one of these guys/gals is the candidate and can't miss.  Make sure to ruffle a lot of people's feathers having them think "how dare that candidate think they are a slam dunk, i'll show them" (ala hill) and then have a stealth internet campaign making sure to get all the young people in your corner and wired up, about your new stealth candidate what er name or what's is name...and your solid, the dumb American people, if promised a balanced budget, and jobs will go for it hook line and sinker.  As this guy has learned, delivering that's another story altogether.

Posted by: curious at February 17, 2010 02:58 PM (p302b)

59 @45

Balancing budgets is good, but I think governors should also be held accountable, to some extent, for their state's unemployment rates.  They really should be the chief economic development officer for their state.

In Dec 2009, Indiana's unemployment rate was 34th; Minnesota's 13th.  (Texas' surprised me -- it was tied with several for 19th.  I thought it would be better.)

So on that score, Pawlenty 'wins' over both Daniels (who I think is over-rated) and Perry (whom I would like to like, but about whom I've heard mixed things). 


Posted by: Y-not at February 17, 2010 02:58 PM (X69zM)

60 >>ll I know is that I am not supporting anyone from last year's crop.

I'm with you on that one.  I think they're all tainted somehow.  I'm not sure how to explain that.  It's kind of a seat-of-the-pants opinion.

(also, see how I cut off the first letter of the quote?  I learned that from you.)

Posted by: SlaveDog at February 17, 2010 02:58 PM (W+E+o)

61 Didn't Pawlenty raise taxes after making a no-tax pledge?  Seems like he practiced a little too much bipartisanship. 

Posted by: FUBAR at February 17, 2010 02:58 PM (1fanL)

62

I know one thing about Pawlenty that will make me not interested.

He hired a bunch of the McCain Traitors. I am not living through that BS again.

Posted by: robtr at February 17, 2010 02:58 PM (fwSHf)

63 Renewable energy mandates, a minimum wage increase, supports a RomneyCare for Minnesota and statewide smoking bans... that's Tim Pawlenty

[Pukes at thought of voting FOR him]

No I think we can do better.

Posted by: MikeTheMoose at February 17, 2010 02:59 PM (0q2P7)

64 Posted by: Painfully obvious at February 17, 2010 06:58 PM (wlE4Z)

Snicker.

Posted by: FUBAR at February 17, 2010 02:59 PM (1fanL)

65 mega-- Thanks. I can personally excuse that. I subscribe to the steam-release view of politics. If there is steam building, politicians have to vent the steam in as harmless a direction as possible. I see that some of those mandates are quite severe and pie-in-the-sky and I don't like that. But a lot of FUTURE mandates are, and get repealed... as they're about to go into effect. I give people a minor pass on this because for YEARS environmentalist nonsense was a fucking jihad for 60% of the public, which is prone to stupidity and feel-goodery. It's only NOW that that's cracking. I always gave Romney a pass on RomneyCare for steam-release reasons. If the public wants something stupid, sometimes you have to give it to them, and just try to make the stupid shit as harmless as possible.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 02:59 PM (jlvw3)

66 Speaking of Insurrection....I certainly am not advocating it as I'm too lazy and complacent and accustomed to the comforts of my life as I've gotten older.......but there is something refreshing and ironically healthy in talking about it. And there's only one reason I say that and the reason is to potentially give pause to the fascist, intolerant tactics of the Left that I've observed for most of my life. The Left has deliberately shut down and pretty much destroyed civil discourse in this country. And they have done this with the aid and support of the media as well as the overall culture. And when you shut down civil discourse, when you shut down the possibility of the other side getting a fair hearing or ability to make their arguments you are playing with fire. Because the other side doesn't just go away. Any more than a parent will just go away when a 5 year old is having a tantrum. Even a pateint parent will tolerate only so much and then smack the shit out of the little bastard. And in similar fashion, conservatives won't just shut up and go quietly into the night. They are seething. They are boiling. And a reckoning is coming. The Left needs to understand this. And getting back to my being lazy and complacent - while that is true and I dread unpleasantness, I dread more the loss of my country to a bunch of totalitarian, collectivist control freaks. And I remember the oath I took long ago to defend the Constitution against all enemies foreign and domestic. Like anyone I have limits and they are getting pushed pretty fucking hard.

Posted by: LGoPs at February 17, 2010 02:59 PM (v/rEn)

67 Okay... interesting... and a nuance... but... assuming you're right about accounting tricks-- would you say the accounting tricks are disguising only a small deficit?

****************

Actually, he's managed to make sure there's no current deficit (it's a constitutional requirement), but he did it by draining the rainy day fund dry, putting certain payments off the books, and relying more on bonding (putting off payments until later.)

And his "end-run" around the legislature, via "un-allotments," while tactically brilliant and refreshingly annoying to the Democrats, is most likely unconstitutional, creating a horrific budgetary mess, if the un-allotments are overturned.

Don't get me wrong.  He and Thune are probably two of my favorites right now, also, but it's just important to see the whole picture.

Posted by: notropis at February 17, 2010 03:00 PM (D6KR0)

68 53 I'd love to know what morons think of Thune.

Yummy.

Oh, you mean politically?  I got nothin'.

Posted by: MissFluffyMcNutter at February 17, 2010 03:01 PM (xMSXs)

69 >>>He hired a bunch of the McCain Traitors. I am not living through that BS again. One, like who, and two, who cares? They're hired guns.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 03:01 PM (jlvw3)

70
Milquetoast.  No thank you.  NEXT.

Posted by: Dang Straights at February 17, 2010 03:01 PM (FHmgB)

71 I'm starting to remember though some of his bigger annoyances had to do with how he handled the traffic issues in MN (i.e. raising tolls to discourage driving).  He seemed to piss off quite a lot of motorists  as a result.

I'm not familiar with that, but it doesn't sound right. MN only has a few areas that have tolls, and then it is only the HOV lanes. So basically, you only pay a toll if you have 1 person in the car, so that you can zoom around the traffic. It is actually a pretty interesting system, makes you evaluate how valuable a few more minutes at home really are.

On a similar note, he refused to raise the gas tax, which all of the liberals seized on when the bridge collapsed in 2007. Of course all of the tax money in the world wouldn't have fixed the bridge, as the problem that brought it down was part of the design.

Posted by: Jeff M at February 17, 2010 03:02 PM (8P3+x)

72 no, notropis, I am eagerly reading all of this. Gotta know the strengths and weaknesses. I'm not like in LOVE with the guy. This is the first time I've even thought much about 2012. My previous thoughts were restricted to "Thune is a solid conservative and is good-looking." And yeah, good-looking is a big deal.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 03:02 PM (jlvw3)

73

I like small deficits as much as the next not insane person, but I'd like a candidate (not that I know who is or isn't) able to articulate the big picture. It isn't about deficits, although that is becoming a huge problem on it's own, but about the growth of government. State power expanding and the role of the citizen, in their own lives, contracting. Government intervention changing the population from citizen to serf. American values being self-sufficiency, not government help, which entraps.

Anyway, I'm more concerned with the effect of government on liberty and the character of the nation than the looming collapse of our economy, or at least I was until Obama slapped another zero or two on the end of our deficit. So it'd be nice to see a candidate be able to advocate that in a persuasive, non-off-putting way and back it up with a record.

Again, I don't know who that is, and in the end I'll vote for the not-Obama in any case and don't really have any insight on electability or the mood of the country by and large that the rest of you don't have.

Posted by: Randy at February 17, 2010 03:03 PM (zQKSr)

74

Plus, the guys head is too small for his body. Whatever that means

Posted by: Blazer at February 17, 2010 03:03 PM (t72+4)

75 Wikipedia:

In January 2008 the Minneapolis Star Tribune suggested Pawlenty's renewed focus on his proposed immigration reform plans might be politically motivated as counter-balance to McCain's less favorable guest worker program.

GOOD GOD. 

he was criticized by conservatives on funding issues including two stadium bills for the Gophers and Minnesota Twins, and transportation bonding which included the Northstar commuter rail line.

it was announced that Pawlenty would be serving in a lead role for McCain as a national co-chair of his presidential exploratory committee. which led to Pawlenty becoming co-chairman of McCain's campaign

Pawlenty was elected in 2002 on a platform of balancing the state's budget without raising taxes. He emphasized his campaign and first term with the Taxpayers League of Minnesota slogan "no new taxes."[36] By 2010, Moody's lowered its rating outlook on Minnesota to negative (from stable).[37] Since he became governor, property taxes increased by $3 billion and fees doubled. State and local tax rates increased for 90 percent of state residents, but tax rates decreased for those earning more than $130,000.

Ethanol.


Posted by: FUBAR at February 17, 2010 03:04 PM (1fanL)

76 Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 06:59 PM (jlvw3)

I think those points are reasonable, but selfishly I'd like to add that I have a visceral, spine-tingling reaction to Pawlenty that is pretty much identical to the one I have for Huckabee and Obama, among others. Does that mean they're all exactly the same? No. But it's there.

Posted by: The Mega Independent at February 17, 2010 03:04 PM (v94SN)

77 ace, i'm sorry=epic fail, sorry bud Pawlenty doesn't have the charisma to win, all the guys on your list? won't get the nomination

Posted by: YRM at February 17, 2010 03:04 PM (rbtaB)

78

From what I've heard of him I like him a lot better than Huck (oh no, please no) and the GOP could run a dead possum and I'd vote for it over what we have now -- that said, he's a bit "meh".  Whoever the GOP runs has got to be able to stand up to the Clintonistas and the Chicago Mob and the lamestream media and put them all in their place -- and look good and inspiring and all that to the masses while doing so...and scare the beejezus out of our enemies as well...and have the balls, grace, and cunning to cut some programs so we can claw our way out of the black hole of debt we are presently accumulating at a terrific pace...while putting on a caring face for the masses so they aren't afraid of the inevitable suck which will have to happen.  That's a pretty tall order, but that's what it's going to take to win (and win well -- because whoever takes the canidacy in '12 has not only the fate of the nation riding on their shoulders, but the fate of their political party -- the masses may swallow hard and give the owe a small pass this term, but whoever wins '12 wins a load of shit and a public that will really not cut them any slack).

Who would Machiavelli choose for the GOP?

Posted by: unknown jane at February 17, 2010 03:05 PM (5/yRG)

79 He'll be a top tier candidate for sure....and rightfully so. He seems like a likeable guy.

Posted by: tao at February 17, 2010 03:05 PM (YvxXd)

80 Mithch Daniels is awesome.  If you look at his record and what he's been able to do in Indiana, I think you'd all be very impressed.  I sincerely hope he runs and I 've personally called his Chief of Staff's office to encourage him to do so.  I believe he would make an EXCELLENT Chief Executive.

Posted by: DocinPA at February 17, 2010 03:06 PM (k888u)

81 For those not thrilled with T-Paw, then who?

Posted by: Iskandar at February 17, 2010 03:06 PM (/o58C)

82 YRM,

Charisma got us Barack Obama..... I don't want another Barack Obama. No thanks!

Posted by: tao at February 17, 2010 03:06 PM (YvxXd)

83 For all I know, I want a kick ass woman as president: Michele Bachmann, Liz Cheney or Sarah Palin. They are the most outspoken, smart, and frankly have the liberals shaking in their vegan shoes.

Posted by: Cubachi at February 17, 2010 03:06 PM (SXzw8)

84

The other thing I don't like about Pawlentyis that the RNC is pushing him. 

At one of our Republican Women's Federated dinners last fall, Sharon Day (RNC national secretary) mentioned Pawlenty - twice - as a leader of the GOP.  That was met with stone-cold silence from our members.

At her Q&A following dinner, I challenged her on this assertion.  Mentioned a few real conservatives like Jim DeMint, and got a hearty round of applause & cheers.

After dinner, Day came up to me, grabbed my arm, and said she didn't mean to push Pawlenty - that there are "many other good conservative leaders." 

I asked, "Well, why didn't you mention them?  And why did you mention Pawlenty - twice?"

"His name just came to mind" was her crappy response.

BS.  The mask slipped. 

Again, the GOP leadership is trying to choose our candidate. 

Posted by: Marybeth at February 17, 2010 03:07 PM (zQoWP)

85 holy crap, just read the post on Palin going after the 3rd party people, lol Beck's head exploded

Posted by: YRM at February 17, 2010 03:07 PM (rbtaB)

86 >>>>Since he became governor, property taxes increased by $3 billion and fees doubled. State and local tax rates increased for 90 percent of state residents, but tax rates decreased for those earning more than $130,000. I'm a bit bothered by the passive-voice there.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 03:07 PM (jlvw3)

87 1. Palin
2. Almost any <b>non</b>-middle-of-of-the-road, reach-across-the-aisle-and-get-stuff-done Republican
3. A 3rd party candidate

Posted by: Anon Y. Mous at February 17, 2010 03:08 PM (DsU01)

88 One, like who, and two, who cares? They're hired guns.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 07:01 PM (jlvw3)

I forgot their names, it was some of them invovled in the leaks and Palin bashing and that's why I care. If you will remember it started well before the election was over with clothesgate and whatever else.

I would suggest they are hired assasins, not hired guns.

Posted by: robtr at February 17, 2010 03:08 PM (fwSHf)

89 I see this next election as a clash of ideas.  The candidate has to be able to articulate and embody the ideas of conservatism, has to know it, has to speak it, breathe it, tell it, proclaim it, be it.  Americans are uneasy about the direction this country is taking, even non-political Americans. They know in their gut that something is wrong.  We need a candidate that can put their finger on that un-easiness, and articulate a different way - a conservative way.  This is what Reagan did.  He put his finger on it.  He gave voice to the unease people had with Carter.  He provided an easily accessible and rather simple message:  Get back to being America again.

Any candidate who wants to succeed needs to be that beacon to the average Joe who is hearing that nagging voice in his head   that is sayin " Wait ! what happened to my country?"

Posted by: mama winger at February 17, 2010 03:08 PM (Ue9UN)

90 And yeah, good-looking is a big deal.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 07:02 PM (jlvw3)

Sadly, you are right about that. I remember hearing women back in '92 saying Clinton was good looking and they'd be voting for him because of that. Jeez fucking Looeeez. Made me question whether suffrage was really a good thing....../  (just kidding)

Bottom line is there is a certain element in our population that is so fatuous and shallow that things like that matter. And as close as most recent elections have been, that element carries inordinate weight in determining who gets elected.

Posted by: LGoPs at February 17, 2010 03:08 PM (v/rEn)

91
My "ain't never gonna happen, but whatev" fantasy is:  Liz Cheney/John Bolton.  Take no prisoners.
That's the way to rock and roll. With Chris Christie kicking ass there is no reason to surrender to the "middle", which is really middle left of Norway. Crotchless Pawlenty and Pillsbury Huckabee are McCain 2.0 buggy, pure blue screen of death in 3D.

Posted by: Atomic Roach at February 17, 2010 03:09 PM (Oxen1)

92 >>>>Mithch Daniels is awesome. If you look at his record and what he's been able to do in Indiana, I think you'd all be very impressed. Well my main question is "Is he running?" I am 100% sure Pawlenty is. Again: Buying beer for bloggers? Who does that?

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 03:09 PM (jlvw3)

93

Posted by: tao at February 17, 2010 07:06 PM (YvxXd)

I got news for you bud...charisma wins elections, Reagan used charisma, so did Dubya, Clinton, and JFK. The only reason guys like HW or Carter won was because the other candidate came off even more unlikable.

Posted by: YRM at February 17, 2010 03:09 PM (rbtaB)

94 Pawlenty is as dull as dishwater.

Posted by: beerologist at February 17, 2010 03:10 PM (tgXx6)

95 (And no, I'm not even going to CPAC, so no, I am not being bought off by that vaunted "DC Cocktail Circuit.")

Just spoon some orange juice concentrate into that Valu-Rite bottle--makes it a cocktail.

Posted by: HeatherRadish at February 17, 2010 03:10 PM (OkT2m)

96 Pawlenty talks tough about illegal immigration, but did he do anything in his home state about it?

Posted by: Jim in San Diego at February 17, 2010 03:10 PM (F09Uo)

97 For those not thrilled with T-Paw, then who?

Well, the field is sparse, Bobby, if he could develop some presence looks to be my fav right now.


rates decreased for those earning more than $130,000.

Whohooo!

Posted by: MikeTheMoose at February 17, 2010 03:11 PM (0q2P7)

98 I adore Liz Cheney, but I've only ever heard her speak about foreign policy. I was wishing the other night I could hear her talk about something else. I think the Cheney brand is too tarnished by the asshole media for her to go so big so soon, but yum.

Posted by: The Mega Independent at February 17, 2010 03:11 PM (v94SN)

99 Any Global Warming Hoax Denier is NOT getting my vote.

Posted by: TexBob at February 17, 2010 03:11 PM (2jp4I)

100

Posted by: Cubachi at February 17, 2010 07:06 PM (SXzw

i'm afraid only Lizx would prob attract indepedents unless Palin starts coming back like she was there for awhile

Posted by: YRM at February 17, 2010 03:11 PM (rbtaB)

101 >>>ace, i'm sorry=epic fail, sorry bud Pawlenty doesn't have the charisma to win, all the guys on your list? won't get the nomination are you in favor of palin? I ask because I know there is a certain mind-is-made-up thing and I don't want to argue about it with you if your mind is made up. Yeah, I want more charisma than this guy has. Obviously. I am big on charisma. I would support Thune, all else being equal, because he's better looking. But this is a game of tradeoffs and best guesses here. No one is the complete package. (Including, alas, Palin.)

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 03:12 PM (jlvw3)

102 For those not thrilled with T-Paw, then who?

Well, the field is sparse, Bobby, if he could develop some presence looks to be my fav right now.

if he works on his charisma and body language, he'll def. be a force, i'll admit that, plus bring MN to the red column, remember Dubya barely lost the state in 2000 & 2004, and Obama won the state in 08 but w/ only 54% of the vote, w/ 3rd parties taking votes from McCain

Posted by: YRM at February 17, 2010 03:13 PM (rbtaB)

103 At this point, if it was a race between Obama and an opossum, the critter gets my vote.

Posted by: rawmuse at February 17, 2010 03:13 PM (Kguno)

104 YRM,

I like Dubya....but he isn't charismatic. He was more charismatic than Gore and Kerry.... but it's simple to be more charismatic than Gore and Kerry.

Posted by: tao at February 17, 2010 03:13 PM (YvxXd)

105 (And no, I'm not even going to CPAC, so no, I am not being bought off by that vaunted "DC Cocktail Circuit.")


Didn't they service your unit sufficiently with your blogger of the year award for 08, at least enough to show up, or do you expect regular service?

Posted by: MikeTheMoose at February 17, 2010 03:14 PM (0q2P7)

106 >>>>Better follow the woman.....T-Paw ain't going to happen. Sorry, Ace.

Why?

I think a big part of this is that it's hard to conceive of ANYONE as president. It took the Panama action for me to accept Bush the Elder as President. .........


Because, there is no way the indies are going to go with an established Republican.  They are pissed at the Dems, they are pissed at the Repubs.  You need someone who is a rebel in their own party...and wants to clean up corruption and has a track record of doing that.

Posted by: Windsor at February 17, 2010 03:14 PM (SpRrM)

107

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 07:12 PM (jlvw3)

actually i'm not a Palin guy, I love her, think she'll be a great President, but unless she fixes her image she's un-electable

i'm still looking man, so try and convince me, i'm open-minded

Posted by: YRM at February 17, 2010 03:14 PM (rbtaB)

108 >>>I got news for you bud...charisma wins elections, Reagan used charisma, so did Dubya, Clinton, and JFK. The only reason guys like HW or Carter won was because the other candidate came off even more unlikable. right, it's very important, but... you also have to bear in mind Pawlenty (and all these other guys) have won big important offices before. So, they have SOME charisma. Sometimes you need time to learn to like someone. What I liked about Pawlenty was how fluent he was about the budget and stuff. He has that Romney-like mastery of the facts. Which is, in a way, somewhat charismatic.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 03:15 PM (jlvw3)

109 State and local tax rates increased for 90 percent of state residents, but tax rates decreased for those earning more than $130,000.


I'm a bit bothered by the passive-voice there.



I'm bothered by the source:  Wikipedia. 

The only way that the above sentence can be interpreted factually is by noting that it says "state and local tax rates" increased, which must lump both together and reflects that almost every county and municipality in the state has either raised property tax rates or instituted or raised local sales taxes or both.

Certainly, Pawlenty shares some of the blame for this, by not actually trying very hard to decrease the size of the state government, but rather shifting costs by cutting funds for municipalities, and shrinking the growth of state funds for schools.  But school districts and municipalities could have made local downsizing decisions.  Most decided to raise local taxes.

"Tax rates decreased" must mean state income tax rates only, since those are the only taxes in Minnesota that are based on income, and I'm even skeptical of this "fact."

Posted by: notropis at February 17, 2010 03:15 PM (D6KR0)

110

Posted by: tao at February 17, 2010 07:13 PM (YvxXd)

I was refering to that cowboy image he created to get the south back in the red column (and ultimately helped win that close election) in 2000 and that kickass, take no crap from terrorists image that won the incredibly partisan 2004 election

Posted by: YRM at February 17, 2010 03:16 PM (rbtaB)

111 Also, the idea that people from Minnesota are nice is a lie that we for some reason like to propagate to people on the coasts.

Minnesota Nice = Nice to your face, hate you behind your back.

Posted by: HeatherRadish at February 17, 2010 03:16 PM (OkT2m)

112

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 07:15 PM (jlvw3)

oh I will agree w/ you that if he works on his charisma he can give Romney trouble and he'll def. get more moderate support then Palin

Posted by: YRM at February 17, 2010 03:17 PM (rbtaB)

113 >>>>You need someone who is a rebel in their own party...and wants to clean up corruption and has a track record of doing that. If only we had someone like that. But we don't. (I'm jerking your chain. I know who you mean. But obviously you have you candidate so... you know. You're not in tyhe position most of us are.)

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 03:17 PM (jlvw3)

114 >Mithch Daniels is awesome. If you look at his record and what he's been able to do in Indiana, I think you'd all be very impressed.

Perhaps you could expand.

I lived in Indiana during Mitch's first three years and I wasn't impressed.  Yeah, he was better than the previous guy (D), but that's not saying much. 

I checked Indiana's unemployment rate since 2004 and I'm not seeing anything to write home about.  It was pretty flat until the recent precipitous downturn. 

What I do recall was that the State of Indiana was failing to pay up on commitments to research universities for building and grounds maintenance, which led to some serious problems at Purdue (including the death of a student which I believe turned out to be partly because of a poorly maintained electrical closet).  So in Purdue's case after raising hundreds of millions of dollars for research and teaching facilities, and injecting quite a lot into the local and state economy, they were unable to maintain those buildings.  (Try asking a donor for cash to replace light bulbs and salt icy sidewalks and let me know how you make out.) 

At the same time, the state seemed wound up about pouring tons of money into the community college system.

Then there was the time change/ time zone thing.  Pretty poorly handled with a sort of Solomon's baby move at the end there.

Posted by: Y-not at February 17, 2010 03:17 PM (X69zM)

115 I will also add, that they need to have "star power".  Unfortunately, that is what it takes in this country.  Even after the disaster of Obama.  T-Paw does not have the "it" factor.  I like the idea of Palin, because she pisses off all the right people, especially the establishment elitist Republicans.

It's time to smack both parties up against the head with a 2 x 4 and remind them who they are representing.

Posted by: Windsor at February 17, 2010 03:18 PM (SpRrM)

116 YRM,

Well maybe Pawlenty's charisma can be his middle class Midwest niceness!

Posted by: tao at February 17, 2010 03:18 PM (YvxXd)

117 >>>I will also add, that they need to have "star power". Unfortunately, that is what it takes in this country. WHOEVER COULD YOU POSSIBLY MEAN? Let me guess: The ideal candidate kills wolves from a chopper too, right?

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 03:19 PM (jlvw3)

118

you also have to bear in mind Pawlenty (and all these other guys) have won big important offices before. So, they have SOME charisma.

Ace, Pawlenty won in the same state that gave us Jesse the Body as Governor and Al Franken as US Senator.

Posted by: robtr at February 17, 2010 03:19 PM (fwSHf)

119
John Thune is a little too mild-mannered, no?

Anyone remember when Thune sat there like a pussy while Tom Daschle practically bitch-slapped him on Meet the Press?

Sure, Thune got the last laugh, but he didn't say a peep when Daschle challenged him.

Posted by: This is Clarence Darrow at February 17, 2010 03:19 PM (EQ+8c)

120 Just busting your balls.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 03:19 PM (jlvw3)

121 101 . . .But this is a game of tradeoffs and best guesses here. No one is the complete package.

Sorry, Ace, but I've seen the pictorial evidence.  Dick Cheney's package is overwhelmingly complete. 
(Lucky Lynn.)

Posted by: MissFluffyMcNutter at February 17, 2010 03:20 PM (xMSXs)

122 Ace,

You are too funny!

Posted by: tao at February 17, 2010 03:20 PM (YvxXd)

123 Minnesota Nice = Nice to your face, hate you behind your back.

Posted by: HeatherRadish at February 17, 2010 07:16 PM (OkT2m)


Really?  I'm not from Minnesota, but I've lived here for most of the past 20 years, and I haven't noticed that.

(Now you're making me paranoid.  What ARE they saying about me behind my back???)

Posted by: notropis at February 17, 2010 03:20 PM (D6KR0)

124
Sometimes you need time to learn to like someone.

Renewable energy mandates, a minimum wage increase, supports a RomneyCare for Minnesota and statewide smoking bans... that's Tim Pawlenty

[YAK]
Dang there it goes again.
I'm tryin ace, but something in the above just triggers my gag reflex and I don't want to explain the puke in my voting booth...again

Posted by: MikeTheMoose at February 17, 2010 03:20 PM (0q2P7)

125 Again: Buying beer for bloggers? Who does that?

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 07:09 PM (jlvw3)

Ahem.  Shouldn't you recuse yourself? 

And the passive voice - yeah, it's Wikipedia, seemed slanted to turn conservatives off.  But still.

Anybody like Haley Barbour?  I do.  Yes, he does have a lobbying problem.  Like everyone else.

Posted by: FUBAR at February 17, 2010 03:21 PM (1fanL)

126 Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 07:09 PM (jlvw3) ---------------------------------------------- Daniels would be my first pick as he's done a great job in IN. But the optics of it would be tough. Daniels is short and generally soft spoken (I met him at a fundraiser pre-governorship;super nice guy) so he'd be in sharp contrast to Obama's firebrand oratory. The candidate for 2012 has to be someone that is capable and willing to undress Obama and his policies ala Palin's RNC speech. Post-speech was the first time that I saw Obama stunned and wanting for words on how to respond.

Posted by: volfan at February 17, 2010 03:22 PM (47eG6)

127 (I'm jerking your chain. I know who you mean. But obviously you have you candidate so... you know. You're not in tyhe position most of us are.)

.....you are not "jerking my chain".  My biggest fear is that we let the MSM throw these milk toast candidates out there and like the good little Republicans we are we will all fall in line.  I don't want that to happen.  We have to be lean, mean and a force to be reckoned with or we are done.

I would love to chat some more, but headed out the door to sing at our Ash Wednesday Mass.  I will pray for all of you. ;-)

Posted by: Windsor at February 17, 2010 03:22 PM (SpRrM)

128 I'm a he. 

Posted by: motionview at February 17, 2010 03:22 PM (FnQYo)

129 Anybody like Haley Barbour?  I do.  Yes, he does have a lobbying problem.  Like everyone else.

Yeah, I'd like to hear more about Barbour. 

Also, what's wrong with Gov. Perry?

Posted by: Y-not at February 17, 2010 03:22 PM (X69zM)

130 Oh, and part of the "tax rate increase" is also the fact that the voters of Minnesota passed a constitutional amendment earmarking a new sales tax to help outdoor recreation and the arts and Garrison Keillor.

Believe me, Pawlenty's not to blame for that one....

Posted by: notropis at February 17, 2010 03:23 PM (D6KR0)

131 My biggest fear is that we let the MSM throw these milk toast candidates out there and like the good little Republicans we are we will all fall in line.  I don't want that to happen.  We have to be lean, mean and a force to be reckoned with or we are done.

Didn't we just organize the circular firing squad on this one? Can we at least wait until tomorrow before the next, I'm waiting for the bullet wounds to at least close. (Like that ace calling me a paulite, OUCH!)

Posted by: MikeTheMoose at February 17, 2010 03:23 PM (0q2P7)

132 Wait, wait, I got it!

We should run Gov. Lingle (R-Hawaii).

Republican.
Female.
And as governor of Hawaii she has access to Obama's birth certificate!

It's too perfect!

Posted by: Y-not at February 17, 2010 03:24 PM (X69zM)

133

Oh Lord......

My biggest fear is coming true......

Conservatives getting fooled again by a wolf in sheeps clothing. I don't really know anything about him either, but I'll tell you one thing...I know Minnesotans. And if there was any chance he was a real conservative, there isn't a Snowballs chance in Hell he would be a Politician in Minnesota.

He has a lot spainin to do about the GW thing......and he has alot of work to do to get my vote, but I'm open right now, if he is the real deal then I don't have any beef, but I'm quite skeptical.

Posted by: Jimi at February 17, 2010 03:24 PM (fqxV7)

134 I'd like the Hoosiers to explain the "great job" that Daniels has done.

Posted by: Y-not at February 17, 2010 03:25 PM (X69zM)

135 There is one potential candidate and one only who has the business experience the country needs desperately. Mitt Romney We do not need another career politician. Tim Who?

Posted by: Dane Skold at February 17, 2010 03:25 PM (Cd1LY)

136

I laughed during the Miller clip remembering Cesar Tovar playing all 9 positions in a ball game. I forgot about that. I remember Madonna bragging about playing all the positions.

 The next prez should be a Doug Christie type with cast iron cajones. Payin the Chicoms back AQAP is an absolute or watch your country circle the drain.

Posted by: chicocano at February 17, 2010 03:25 PM (6p3E9)

137 Hey, I'm just the messenger.

As for T-Paw, the belief that the federal government needs to spend trillions on subsidies and enact liberty-restricting laws to combat the "man-made global warming" that doesn't exist is a deal-breaker for me, too.  But I'm not sure who that leaves us with at this time.

Posted by: HeatherRadish at February 17, 2010 03:25 PM (OkT2m)

138 Seems to me Palin upset enough GOP bluebloods so that they'll sabatoge anything she tries, and had a hand in trying to cripple her VP run.

Posted by: 48%er at February 17, 2010 03:25 PM (gxpfq)

139
I don't like Tim Pawlenty and I'll tell you why. Right now he's talking like a conservative. If he gets the nomination, the first thing he'll do is move to the center. Which is fine, kinda.

But he'll make sure everyone knows he's in the center by shitting on...that's right, us. Just like McCain, he'll take a dump on Conservatives just to score a few cheap points with independents (Democrats) and the media (also, Democrats). I don't like that.

And he'll take a gratuitious shot at Rush Limbaugh, or Sarah Palin. Believe me, it would get ugly if Tim Pawlenty gets the nomination.

Posted by: This is Clarence Darrow at February 17, 2010 03:26 PM (ewicX)

140

@135

Doesn't the creation of a Single Payer System in Mass. by Romney scare you?

Posted by: Jimi at February 17, 2010 03:26 PM (fqxV7)

141 Oh, and don't count on a Pawlenty candidacy moving Minnesota's electoral votes into the R category.

Only George McGovern could accomplish that. 

Posted by: notropis at February 17, 2010 03:27 PM (D6KR0)

142 >>>But he'll make sure everyone knows he's in the center by shitting on...that's right, us. Just like McCain, he'll take a dump on Conservatives just to score a few cheap points with independents (Democrats) and the media (also, Democrats). I don't like that. >>>>And he'll take a gratuitious shot at Rush Limbaugh, or Sarah Palin. Believe me, it would get ugly if Tim Pawlenty gets the nomination. What the hell is this based on? Intuition?

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 03:28 PM (jlvw3)

143 I'd like to nominate the Cheneys.  The whole famn damily.

Posted by: mama winger at February 17, 2010 03:28 PM (Ue9UN)

144

Posted by: notropis at February 17, 2010 07:27 PM (D6KR0)

the state was 0.5% away from giving Reagan all 50 states in 1984 and Mondale was from MN

Posted by: YRM at February 17, 2010 03:30 PM (rbtaB)

145
What the hell is this based on? Intuition?

Yeah. Chalk it up to past experience with the GOP in the last, oh, 14 years, starting with Jack Kemp.


Posted by: This is Clarence Darrow at February 17, 2010 03:32 PM (EQ+8c)

146 I dunno...that Pawlenty guy's so exciting, he makes me nervous.

Posted by: Walter Mondale at February 17, 2010 03:32 PM (YCVBL)

147 Posted by: YRM at February 17, 2010 07:30 PM (rbtaB)

How about:  Only George McGovern and almost Walter Mondale?

Posted by: notropis at February 17, 2010 03:32 PM (D6KR0)

148 144

Posted by: notropis at February 17, 2010 07:27 PM (D6KR0)

the state was 0.5% away from giving Reagan all 50 states in 1984 and Mondale was from MN

Posted by: YRM at February 17, 2010 07:30 PM (rbtaB)

That was over 25 years ago. Reagan carried California in 1980 and 1984, but I don't think he could today.

Posted by: Jim in San Diego at February 17, 2010 03:32 PM (F09Uo)

149 >>>Yeah. Chalk it up to past experience with the GOP in the last, oh, 14 years, starting with Jack Kemp. Oh give me a fucking break.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 03:33 PM (jlvw3)

150

@144

When was the last time you spent some time in Minnesota? Especially Minn/StPaul. It's straight up MoonBat Territory, and that's puttin it mildly. I think Winter Ice, Gopher Hockey and 10,000 Lakes must screw one's Equalibrium up or something.

Posted by: Jimi at February 17, 2010 03:34 PM (fqxV7)

151 Yeah, I'd like to hear more about Barbour. 

Also, what's wrong with Gov. Perry?

Posted by: Y-not at February 17, 2010 07:22 PM (X69zM)

He put Mississippi back together after Katrina.  More damage than in Louisiana.  A LOT less federal money than Louisiana.  RNC Chair during the Gingrich revolution.  With a Democrat legislature, cut the deficit in half without raising taxes, passed stricted tort reform in the country, balanced budget in 06. 

Yeah, that's Wikipedia too.

Isn't Perry an insurrectionist?

Posted by: FUBAR at February 17, 2010 03:34 PM (1fanL)

152 Nope. Don't like him. He's not a doctor.

Posted by: I AM DR. AMY BISHOP at February 17, 2010 03:34 PM (5I0Yr)

153 Did you guys listen to the interview? He came off well. If you're really evaluating these guys you have to listen to them -- not really to hear them (well, that's important too) but to hear what other people will be hearing.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 03:34 PM (jlvw3)

154
I don't want a candidate who has government 'fixes.' I want a candidate who will promise to stop meddling. Pawlenty is of the mindset that govt can fix stuff. That's what the Democrat party is for. We need to move away from that.


Posted by: This is Clarence Darrow at February 17, 2010 03:34 PM (EQ+8c)

155 oh, please. let's not start the 2012 race yet. i'd love to cut obama's term in half, but the interminable 2008 cycle had me exhausted by april. and let's not forget how upbeat and happy we were when faced with a nominee like romney, rudy, or fred -- only to be sucker punched by huckabee and stuck with the indefensible mccain. it was the equivalent of ball dipping in napalm instead of pudding.

Posted by: red speck at February 17, 2010 03:34 PM (/vfpn)

156 T-Yawn.

Posted by: RushBabe at February 17, 2010 03:35 PM (LKkE8)

157  Senator John Thune? A conservative Republican's wet dream. Straight arrow. Able to successfully appeal to Independents. in the general mold of Reagan.

 Don't let that mild-mannered every-man exterior fool ya. Thune's tougher than he looks...and more intelligent than he lets on.

 He beat Daschle in South Dakota when Daschle had this place locked down ala PA-12 and Murtha.

Posted by: Warren Bonesteel at February 17, 2010 03:35 PM (oeESr)

158 For all those who think Pawlenty lacks "charisma" (I'm hearing this a lot, and reading in this thread as well), have you listened to the Miller interview above?  What I'm hearing in that interview is a guy who seems REALLY likeable, pleasant, conversant with all sorts of subjects yet also down-to-earth.  Bill Clintonesque, really, with a 'Minnesota nice' twist.

And I'm asking you folks a.) why you're pretending that's not there (lemme guess - Sarah Palin love blots out the virtues of all other candidates); b.) what's wrong with that given that it is?

Posted by: Jeff B. at February 17, 2010 03:35 PM (l1KFP)

159 Perry is really slick and fake.

Posted by: tao at February 17, 2010 03:36 PM (YvxXd)

160 #149  Oh give me a fucking break.

I cannot give myself up to an Ewok.

I just...can't!

Posted by: A Fucking Break at February 17, 2010 03:36 PM (otlXg)

161 I dunno...that Pawlenty guy's so exciting, he makes me nervous.

Me too.

Posted by: Paint Drying at February 17, 2010 03:37 PM (554T5)

162 Another random positive:

Pawlenty (as is a Minnesota tradition) has a weekly one-hour radio show, and he does an excellent job with it -- has kept partisan politics mostly out of it, shows he can speak clearly and think well on his feet, shows off a certain level of pop-culture awareness.  He's not likely to commit major speaking gaffes.

Posted by: notropis at February 17, 2010 03:37 PM (D6KR0)

163 Posted by: Jimi at February 17, 2010 07:24 PM (fqxV7)

Dude.  If nominated, I will not run.  If elected, I will not serve.  Really.

Posted by: Zombie John Birch at February 17, 2010 03:37 PM (1fanL)

164 >>>He put Mississippi back together after Katrina. More damage than in Louisiana. A LOT less federal money than Louisiana. RNC Chair during the Gingrich revolution. With a Democrat legislature, cut the deficit in half without raising taxes, passed stricted tort reform in the country, balanced budget in 06. He's good...except... I have strong silly reasons for opposing him. And those reasons are silly, but they're real. He looks like sort of a parody of a pasty-faced smug conservative whitehair. I do not disagree that he's a capital guy. But these silly things matter. Daniels' height matters, for example. So does Pawlenty's rodentish look.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 03:37 PM (jlvw3)

165

Pawlenty who?

Posted by: Charlie Gibson at February 17, 2010 03:38 PM (8n1j5)

166

Sorry Ace, Mama Bear will crush T-Paw. 

We need a warrior President, not a technocrat - T-Paw can run the Dept of Commerce or Run the Office of the Comptroller.  Romney can do Treasury.  HHS, EPA, Dept of Ed, and NPR to start....

Supporting Global Warming is a BIG disqualifier - real brains saw that fake a mile away-  T-paw pandered.  Not what we need. 

Posted by: NVA Patriot at February 17, 2010 03:38 PM (nK+5l)

167 Ut oh. "No longer going to be about right or left?  Yeah, Sorry T-Paw, you just lost me at 1:58...

Posted by: ParisParamus at February 17, 2010 03:38 PM (GgR+e)

168 Sarah Palin/Rick Perry 2012  FTW!

Posted by: Gary P at February 17, 2010 03:38 PM (rvnkT)

169 That Pawlenty's a really exciting fellow.

Posted by: Rip Van Winkle at February 17, 2010 03:38 PM (5I0Yr)

170 >>> Senator John Thune? A conservative Republican's wet dream. Straight arrow. Able to successfully appeal to Independents. in the general mold of Reagan. Well, like I said, up until a day or two ago he was my number one. Now he's just barely behind at number two. And mostly he's at number two because it's clear Pawlenty is running but not clear yet Thune is running.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 03:39 PM (jlvw3)

171 I'm willing to be persuaded.We have time to get our act together while the Douche is ruining the country for 3 more years.AGW believers scare me though.

Posted by: steevy at February 17, 2010 03:39 PM (C3RBb)

172 >> (some moron)
 but selfishly I'd like to add that I have a visceral, spine-tingling reaction to Pawlenty that is pretty much identical to the one I have for Huckabee and Obama, among others.

Good grief beat me to it.

Posted by: Fire-Formed Brass at February 17, 2010 03:39 PM (r0hEv)

173 I think Pawlenty would make a great Sec. of the Interior.  That's not a slam, actually, it's the type of position in which he'd kick ass. 

Posted by: alexthechick at February 17, 2010 03:39 PM (lvYSc)

174 NVA Patriot, Uh, doesn't "Mama Bear" (your words) believe in global warming?

Posted by: tao at February 17, 2010 03:39 PM (YvxXd)

175 It's the jig that's up; not the "gig."

Posted by: ParisParamus at February 17, 2010 03:40 PM (GgR+e)

176 He looks like sort of a parody of a pasty-faced smug conservative whitehair.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 07:37 PM (jlvw3)

That's funny, I was thinking he looked like Bill Clinton.  Flushed and fleshy and round.

Posted by: Zombie John Birch at February 17, 2010 03:40 PM (1fanL)

177 If you're really evaluating these guys you have to listen to them -- not really to hear them (well, that's important too) but to hear what other people will be hearing.

Well maybe when I'm considering electability, sure, when I consider whether I like his policy, well records speak far more honestly than words.

Posted by: MikeTheMoose at February 17, 2010 03:40 PM (0q2P7)

178

I can see it now...Pawlenty working with Al Franken to craft bi partison climate legislation. The heavens will sing!

Posted by: Dan at February 17, 2010 03:40 PM (KZraB)

179 That Pawlenty's a really exciting fellow.



I think so too.

Posted by: Olympic Curler at February 17, 2010 03:40 PM (Ue9UN)

180 Speaking of "leg thrills", Chris Matthews is going to be on Jeopardy tomorrow night. Will he be another Wolf Blitzer?

Posted by: Pocono Joe at February 17, 2010 03:40 PM (z7H8x)

181 The other day I got told by a Palin supporter, "Why don't you give her a chance?" Sure would be nice to have that open-minded posture reciprocated.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 03:41 PM (jlvw3)

182

Are governors and senators our only options? 

Posted by: motionview at February 17, 2010 03:41 PM (FnQYo)

183 I must have missed the part where he profusely apologies for the riots and starvation caused by the increased price of corn; thanks to his pushing ethanol as a solution to the global warming hoax.

Posted by: Gerry at February 17, 2010 03:42 PM (TqHWY)

184

Are governors and senators our only options? 

Posted by: motionview at February 17, 2010 07:41 PM (FnQYo)


No.

Posted by: Zombie Ronald Reagan at February 17, 2010 03:43 PM (5I0Yr)

185 there's also mike pence, a Representative. But yeah, genuine office-holders are our only choices, unless it's someone like Petraeus (who swears up and down on a stack of Bibles he's not interested).

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 03:43 PM (jlvw3)

186 Who thinks Palin will run?  I don't, or I might do more than stare at her cleavage.

Posted by: FUBAR at February 17, 2010 03:44 PM (1fanL)

187 I am not sure Pawlenty is even eligible, he had a candadian passport ( a mullet) for a long time.

Posted by: robtr at February 17, 2010 03:44 PM (fwSHf)

188

How about we get Gen David Patreaus to run for the GOP nod as a common-sense government conservative and the ultimate outsider?

Get Romney to run as VP to focus on the economy and job creation.

Platform?

 - Energy Independence - drill here, drill now, cash in on our natural assets to reduce state and federal debts

- Control the southern border & inact rational immigration policy

- Simply the tax code, eliminate the gordian knot of subsidies & tax breaks. Make it simple & fair

- Acelerate depreciation schedules on assets to encourage business capital investment, modernization and job creation

- Aggresive program of nuclear power construction and "smart grid" investment

etc.....    

 

Posted by: proudvastwingconspirator at February 17, 2010 03:44 PM (waiSQ)

189

Are governors and senators our only options? 

Posted by: motionview at February 17, 2010 07:41 PM (FnQYo

Hell no. Communist Agitators......er....I mean Community Organizers have broken that mold.

/

Posted by: LGoPs at February 17, 2010 03:44 PM (tm/sN)

190
holy shit, Pawlenty knows who Steadman Graham is?!?!

Why does he know that? Seriously.

Posted by: This is Clarence Darrow at February 17, 2010 03:44 PM (ewicX)

191

@163

Are insisting that I advocate The John Birch Society?

Are you insisting that I require a Purity Test for the Executive?

What are you insisting?

Posted by: Jimi at February 17, 2010 03:44 PM (fqxV7)

192 I don't care how much Obama sucks  --- Pawlenty and/orThune = Paint Drying.

Is that all you got ?

Posted by: Dougf at February 17, 2010 03:45 PM (8JckG)

193 I always gave Romney a pass on RomneyCare for steam-release reasons. If the public wants something stupid, sometimes you have to give it to them, and just try to make the stupid shit as harmless as possible.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 06:59 PM (jlvw3)

That's not the kind of person I want taking over this shambles of an economy and mockery of the Constitution.  I want a statesman, not a politician.

Posted by: RushBabe at February 17, 2010 03:45 PM (LKkE8)

194 For those (rightly) suspicious of the RNC talking up Pawlenty, I think that part of it is payback for the fact that they convinced him not to run for the US Senate (in favor of Norm Coleman) in 2002.  He then, with very little encouragement or national help, decided to run for governor, and won.

I think he's made a better governor than Coleman did a senator, but probably he's made a better governor than he would have a senator, also.

And 8 years of actual administrative experience is certainly not a negative in his current pursuit.

Posted by: notropis at February 17, 2010 03:45 PM (D6KR0)

195 Reality check:  T-Paw is a nerd. 

The nation does not elect nerds (Dukakis)

Elitist asswipes?  Sure.  Not obvious nerds.

Haley Barbour is the stereotype of a Republican: Fat, White, Southern, Plutocrat.

We want teh football captain, not the math-lete.  That's why Jindal will never go anywhere.

Face it: there's no one right now. 

God will give us our Moses in due time.

Posted by: s'moron at February 17, 2010 03:46 PM (p1s9n)

196
Pawlenty for president Treasury Secretary!

Posted by: This is Clarence Darrow at February 17, 2010 03:46 PM (EQ+8c)

197 >> and let's not forget how upbeat and happy we were when faced with a nominee like romney, rudy, or fred -- only to be sucker punched by huckabee and stuck with the indefensible mccain.

Fred Thompson looked like a basset that was told bad news.
T-Paw looks like a rodent who was a stage extra at "ratatouille" but other than that can't cook.

Posted by: Fire-Formed Brass at February 17, 2010 03:46 PM (r0hEv)

198

Posted by: notropis at February 17, 2010 07:32 PM (D6KR0)

well you can kind of say almost Gore and Kerry, Dubya put up a heck of a fight in the state against them

Posted by: YRM at February 17, 2010 03:47 PM (rbtaB)

199 187

Now that there's funny.

Posted by: notropis at February 17, 2010 03:47 PM (D6KR0)

200 I want a statesman, not a politician.

Me, too. But where are they?

Posted by: The Mega Independent at February 17, 2010 03:47 PM (5I0Yr)

201 Pawlenty good
Thune better
Palin unelectable?
Rudy lazy
Paul crazy

who's got  THE FIRE IN THE BELLY??!!??!!??

Posted by: SantaRosaStan at February 17, 2010 03:47 PM (JrRME)

202 God will give us our Moses in due time.



Or an Esther.

Posted by: mama winger at February 17, 2010 03:47 PM (Ue9UN)

203 Global warming is a deal breaker for me.

Posted by: real joe at February 17, 2010 03:48 PM (WjerO)

204

BS!

He is from the United Socialist State of Minnesota.

I realize that Al Frankenstein fraudlently beat him. But he was complicit in the socialist remodeling of his state. He was there when it was happening and he said dick!!

Business is moving to my home state of SD to escape the USSofM. What does that tell you?

Thune is the real deal. He kicked Daschles a$$ to remove him from the senate leaders spot.

Stop drinking the CPAC kool aid Ace. Pawlenty is the romney, mccain, of the midwest.

Posted by: Andrew at February 17, 2010 03:48 PM (L1lOv)

205 As a Minnesotan I can tell you a few firsthand experience. Pawlenty yes has pissed me off a a few times. But people also need to remember that the legislature in MN is about as liberal as you get. I mean the Dems name is the Democratic Farmer Labor party Could it sound any more socialist? The DFL (Dumb For Life) Or (Dumb Fargin Liberals) Take your pick has had a strangle hold on our state govt. for most of the last 40 years. To the point is that he's done a pretty damn good job holding the line on these bastards and he's heavily outnumbered. I'm not saying I would vote for him right now but if he did get the nod I'd feel very comfortable with him at the helm. Is he perfect? No of course not and as I said he's done a few things that have pissed me off, but he's also impressed me at times too. I'm not going to be some purist. I'll vote for the most conservative candidate. If that's TPaw, so be it. We could do worse.

Posted by: BrucetTheRobert at February 17, 2010 03:48 PM (3ZwGl)

206

#121-Fluffy, is this the package of Dick of which you speak?

http://tinyurl.com/nly7xn

This picture cracks me up every time.

Posted by: di butler, lover of blasty things at February 17, 2010 03:48 PM (S3xX1)

207 only to be sucker punched by huckabee and stuck with the indefensible mccain.

that fucker never understood he had no chance at the nomination, yet he muscled his way to splitting conservative votes and that's how we got McCain

Posted by: YRM at February 17, 2010 03:48 PM (rbtaB)

208
Jimi...

you insist upon yourself.

Posted by: This is Clarence Darrow at February 17, 2010 03:48 PM (ewicX)

209 OT: This chart looks like the work of a LIAR, n'est pas?
http://tinyurl.com/yhb3dq2

Posted by: ParisParamus at February 17, 2010 03:49 PM (GgR+e)

210 It's like nobody even friggin' heard me.

Posted by: Jeff B. at February 17, 2010 03:49 PM (l1KFP)

211

Are insisting that I advocate The John Birch Society?

Are you insisting that I require a Purity Test for the Executive?

What are you insisting?

Posted by: Jimi at February 17, 2010 07:44 PM (fqxV7)

Not really insisting anything.  I might be insinuating that you require a purity test.  But only because you start talking about sheep and wolves whenever a politician's name is mentioned.  Tell me, who is your preferred candidate(s)?  And no, you cannot name me.  I am dead.

Posted by: Zombie John Birch at February 17, 2010 03:49 PM (1fanL)

212 If that's TPaw, so be it. We could do worse.

you betcha! we could get a candidate w/ favorables even worse then Obama

Posted by: YRM at February 17, 2010 03:49 PM (rbtaB)

213 God will give us our Moses in due time.

He'd better hurry. The walls are tumblin' down.

Posted by: Soap MacTavish at February 17, 2010 03:50 PM (554T5)

214 you betcha! we could get a candidate w/ favorables even worse then Obama

I'm pretty sure right now that the worst we could do is Sarah Palin.  She's pretty much the only conservative candidate other than Huckabee than I'd have a real tough time pulling the lever for. 

Posted by: Jeff B. at February 17, 2010 03:51 PM (l1KFP)

215

136 I'm with you as far as the next GOP canidate had 1)better win; 2)had better be a charismatic leader with cast iron cajones and a great love for the Constitution...and be committed to saving the Republic in spite of itself (and that does mean paying back the Chicoms and putting a boot on the throat of the demunists here).  Otherwise, bye bye America.

Perhaps the GOP needs to fire up the laboratory and make up the perfect canidate in a test tube...but seriously, who would Machiavelli choose?

I haven't seen anybody on the GOP side that can do it, not yet at least.

Posted by: unknown jane at February 17, 2010 03:51 PM (5/yRG)

216 How could anyone be your current #1 albeit tentatively if you say you dont know anything about him? I understand this one appearence gives a good impression I guess.

Posted by: Dan at February 17, 2010 03:51 PM (KZraB)

217 Posted by: Jeff B. at February 17, 2010 07:49 PM (l1KFP)

I heard you. And I agree. He excites me, too.

Posted by: 24 Hour Webcam of a Parking Lot at February 17, 2010 03:51 PM (5I0Yr)

218

Oops, sorry...it was not Pawlenty that Frankenstein beat. My BAD!!

Norm Coleman. But dammit, he is not the real deal.

Posted by: Andrew at February 17, 2010 03:51 PM (L1lOv)

219 Nobody is going to listen to an interview in the election, jeff. 

They'll take one look at Pawlenty and say "naw, he's a right wing geek," and that will be it.  Especially after getting teh effete Obama driving us into a ditch so quickly. 

Folks will just stay home.  TP is a spaz.

Posted by: s'moron at February 17, 2010 03:51 PM (p1s9n)

220

@208

You don't want to explain your intentions with that comment?

Posted by: Jimi at February 17, 2010 03:52 PM (fqxV7)

221
Remember Fiesty the Republican Whore?

She loves Gov Pawlenty.

Posted by: This is Clarence Darrow at February 17, 2010 03:52 PM (ewicX)

222 I want a statesman, not a politician.

Posted by: RushBabe at February 17, 2010 07:45 PM (LKkE

It's like I told Jimi.  I'm dead.  The worms are playing pinochle on my snout.  Who else would you prefer?

Posted by: Zombie John Birch at February 17, 2010 03:52 PM (1fanL)

223 >>> How could anyone be your current #1 albeit tentatively if you say you dont know anything about him? I understand this one appearence gives a good impression I guess Because I just started this process. If this is a question about Palin, disguised as something else -- from what I know about Palin (and I do know a lot) I dont' want her to be the candidate. Or Romney, or Huck. I am looking for someone new who doesn't have all the baggage these guys do. It's first impressions for me with the new lot.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 03:53 PM (jlvw3)

224 "It's like nobody even friggin' heard me." I heard you, JeffB. I could vote for any of the people on Ace's list, but there's a lot of time to crack wise until we actually have to make a choice. I'm cereal.

Posted by: Walter Mondale at February 17, 2010 03:53 PM (YCVBL)

225 #195

Brown. for...2016.

We will get a crop of good candidates from Senate races and gubernatorial races this year, so lets see who's willing to go by the Obama-style of getting elected and then running ...ok well this is even faster than that...

Posted by: theoneandonlyfinn at February 17, 2010 03:53 PM (lV4Fs)

226 Jimi's a bit prickly.  Fun, fun!

Posted by: A Porcupine at February 17, 2010 03:54 PM (1fanL)

227 There will be a ton of people who come out of their caves to run if we do well this year. Ace is right that more races are won on charisma and looks than on substance. Which is mostly due to the female vote. Dammit.

Posted by: di butler, lover of blasty things at February 17, 2010 03:54 PM (S3xX1)

228 F'in socked.

Posted by: Bugler at February 17, 2010 03:54 PM (YCVBL)

229

I'm sorry, but candidates have to have some kind of sex appeal.

Yes, that's very shallow, but Pawlenty reminds me of Frank Perdue, the chicken guy.

He's also a moderate and a bit of a RINO.

No fire, no guts. You don't send a sheep to deal with wolves.

Or a chicken.

 

Posted by: No More McCains at February 17, 2010 03:55 PM (GkYyh)

230 Since it's fantasy, I'd say Petraeus

That man took my brother to Mosul and back

Otherwise, there's no one.  I would seriously sit out on Huckabee, and I'm less than enthused about Palin (though ideologically, she seems ideal)

Posted by: s'moron at February 17, 2010 03:55 PM (p1s9n)

231

You don't want to explain your intentions with that comment?

It's just an old AoS meme, Jimi. But you know what's funny? You kinda do insist upon yourself.

Posted by: This is Clarence Darrow at February 17, 2010 03:55 PM (ewicX)

232

Posted by: di butler, lover of blasty things at February 17, 2010 07:54 PM (S3xX1)

when people ask me about the female vote I simply have to remind them of one thing: they were the reason Clinton won in 1996...2 years later Clinton is impeached for lying under oath...about cheating on his wife

Posted by: YRM at February 17, 2010 03:56 PM (rbtaB)

233 #230 Senator Betrayus?

Posted by: Moveon.org at February 17, 2010 03:56 PM (lV4Fs)

234 I'm new and I'm ready to give off my first impressions for 2012.

My friends.

Posted by: Mmmmmohn JcCain at February 17, 2010 03:56 PM (5I0Yr)

235 Jimi, You insist upon yourself.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 03:57 PM (jlvw3)

236
oh look, my Firefox browser is telling me 3.5.8 is available.

Should I download it or wait five minutes until 3.5.8.1 is available?

Posted by: This is Clarence Darrow at February 17, 2010 03:57 PM (EQ+8c)

237 Since it's fantasy, I'd say Petraeus

Posted by: s'moron at February 17, 2010 07:55 PM (p1s9n)

Ahem.

Posted by: Zombie John Birch at February 17, 2010 03:58 PM (1fanL)

238 OT: damn it HA got a good paycheck?

 the christian bashing/Beck bashing/Palin bashing/navy seals not being defended/squishy Ed/trolls take over blog?

Posted by: YRM at February 17, 2010 03:58 PM (rbtaB)

239 T'Paw would be great, and yes he would clean Obama's clock if he were the nominee. The trick would be to get him enough exposure and name recognition way up front.

Posted by: exceller at February 17, 2010 03:59 PM (Z7Znk)

240 30

Blazer said it. Mega-dittos.  I want a winner as our nominee in 2012.

Posted by: Tattoo De Plane at February 17, 2010 03:59 PM (mHQ7T)

241

I realize that Al Frankenstein fraudlently beat him.

Franken beat Norm Coleman, not Pawlenty.

But he was complicit in the socialist remodeling of his state. He was there when it was happening and he said dick!!

Minnesota was socialist long before Pawlenty was even born.  There was no "remodeling" during the Pawlenty years.

Business is moving to my home state of SD to escape the USSofM. What does that tell you?

That also started long before Pawlenty, and the current trend reflects as much the good work that Mike Rounds is doing in SD as the horrendous tax environment created by many years of Minnesota socialism and union rule.  While Pawlenty should have done more to try to reverse this, he's no socialist.

 Thune is the real deal. He kicked Daschles a$$ to remove him from the senate leaders spot.

I won't deny that, but why is it either/or?


Stop drinking the CPAC kool aid Ace. Pawlenty is the romney, mccain, of the midwest.

Posted by: Andrew at February 17, 2010 07:48 PM (L1lOv)

In some ways he is, sure.  After all, he supported McCain in the primaries (caucuses). 

I'm not sure why you're required to shit all over every candidate who isn't your single top choice.  I think we'll have a pretty good field, when it's all said and done, and I'd even crawl naked over glass to pull the lever for Huck (shudder), if the alternative is Obama.

Posted by: notropis at February 17, 2010 03:59 PM (D6KR0)

242 Back in 1994 I was on the legislative support staff (a glorified name for "gofer") for the Minnesota legislature, when Pawlenty was a young state representative. A lot of politicians--even at that level--are pretty full of themselves, but he seemed like a genuinely decent guy: very kind to us nobodies, and cordial to his political friends and enemies alike. Sharp policy mind, too. Assuming he hasn't changed TOO much--they all change at least a little as they rise through the ranks--he'd be a refreshing antidote to the self-important fellow currently occupying a certain office on Pennsylvania Avenue...

Posted by: jdsmiley at February 17, 2010 03:59 PM (MJo5N)

243 >>>Since it's fantasy, I'd say Petraeus But it isn't fantasy, it's really happening. Obviously, dude, I'd support Petraeus. He'd have a cakewalk to the nomination, assuming an acceptably coservative profile on issues. But he's not running. He swore as much. Now... if that changes, sure, he's my guy. I mean, you have lots of time to figure this out, but at some point you'll have to give up on fantasty-guys like petraeus and choose one of the guys running. Seriously, I'd love Petraeus, though. He'd destroy Obama.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 04:00 PM (jlvw3)

244 Damn, what happened to my formatting?

I realize that Al Frankenstein fraudlently beat him.

Franken beat Norm Coleman, not Pawlenty.

But he was complicit in the socialist remodeling of his state. He was there when it was happening and he said dick!!

Minnesota was socialist long before Pawlenty was even born.  There was no "remodeling" during the Pawlenty years.

Business is moving to my home state of SD to escape the USSofM. What does that tell you?

That also started long before Pawlenty, and the current trend reflects as much the good work that Mike Rounds is doing in SD as the horrendous tax environment created by many years of Minnesota socialism and union rule.  While Pawlenty should have done more to try to reverse this, he's no socialist.

 Thune is the real deal. He kicked Daschles a$$ to remove him from the senate leaders spot.

I won't deny that, but why is it either/or?


Stop drinking the CPAC kool aid Ace. Pawlenty is the romney, mccain, of the midwest.

Posted by: Andrew at February 17, 2010 07:48 PM (L1lOv)

In some ways he is, sure.  After all, he supported McCain in the primaries (caucuses). 

I'm not sure why you're required to shit all over every candidate who isn't your single top choice.  I think we'll have a pretty good field, when it's all said and done, and I'd even crawl naked over glass to pull the lever for Huck (shudder), if the alternative is Obama.

Posted by: notropis at February 17, 2010 04:00 PM (D6KR0)

245

Ace, the notion that you can find someone with no baggage will never happen. The MSM produces baggage out of thin air anyway. They will build people up with a false sense of security and then will lower the boom when the time is right. They did this to McCain. Alot of these GOP men do not realize how lucky they have it right now since the MSM has not turned their guns on them yet.

Everyone has baggage, both real and made up. My god, Obama was having coffee with a terrorist, and getting spiritually mentored by a guy who screamed GOD DAMN AMERICA among other things. He overcame that obviously, so any baggage any GOP man or WOMAN would have to overcome can certainly be done. Have a little faith  God Bless.

Posted by: Dan at February 17, 2010 04:00 PM (KZraB)

246 Isn't his "electibility" kind of premised on his appeal to the goo-goos (Good Government types)?

I obviously have my own preferences and biases (so it's almost impossible for me to read this, for example I found some of the "undecideds" interviewed by Frank Luntz last time around utterly baffling) but is that where the next election is at?

The goo-goos?

Really?

I mean, I guess I'll have to take your word for it that when you put your ear to the ground you hear rumblings of "if only we had someone who could do Government better than this bunch!".

Just keep me posted on it is all I ask.  Show me some examples.

I'll still find it almost incomprehensible that people think that way but at least I won't be surprised that it's the current trend.






Posted by: Deety at February 17, 2010 04:00 PM (aVzyR)

247

@211

Well none of the possiblities has given me confidence! I am still holding out till the last minute to attempt to determine who I think would be the best leader for the country.

I like Romney as the Executive, but he makes me nervous right now, I'm not confident that he is the real deal.

Posted by: Jimi at February 17, 2010 04:01 PM (fqxV7)

248 Ahem.

Posted by: Colonel West at February 17, 2010 04:01 PM (5I0Yr)

249
Seriously, why would Salem Comm want to buy HotAir when this site is 10x better?

There is NO HUMOR at all at Hot Air. OMG even our resident Canadian is funnier than anyone at Hot Air.

Posted by: This is Clarence Darrow at February 17, 2010 04:02 PM (EQ+8c)

250 The R party doesn't need a "leader" now--won't need one until after the Nov elections.  After that, the search for Moses can begin in earnest

Anyone who gives even the tiniest whiff of Leader-ism will be mutilated by the media ( don't believe me?  two words:  Sarah Palin )

Until Nov, the focus should be on ideas and local campaigns.  After Nov the fun begins.  Remember what Albert Syndey Johnston said:  "Don't shoot at what ain't there"

Posted by: SantaRosaStan at February 17, 2010 04:03 PM (JrRME)

251 I'm not sure why you're required to shit all over every candidate who isn't your single top choice. Posted by: notropis

Because some commenters mistake snark for insight.

Posted by: Iskandar at February 17, 2010 04:03 PM (/o58C)

252 Ahem.  I'm still holding on to my fantasy Liz Cheney/John Bolton ticket. 

Someone tell me why I'm wrong.


Posted by: Jane D'oh at February 17, 2010 04:04 PM (UOM48)

253 Wow.  The formatting keeps disappearing.  Don't worry.  I won't try again.  It's just weird, though.

Posted by: notropis at February 17, 2010 04:04 PM (D6KR0)

254 You all are forgetting about me.

Vote Chaos in 2012, because in the end, that's all there will be!

Posted by: Chaos at February 17, 2010 04:04 PM (otlXg)

255 217

That was fucking gold!

Posted by: Tattoo De Plane at February 17, 2010 04:04 PM (mHQ7T)

256 Off Topic:

Security breach puts ‘infatuated’ man within metres of Biden
http://bit.ly/ci9IJK

First post is classic.

Posted by: qwerty1 at February 17, 2010 04:04 PM (9ewux)

257

248  Oh, please, don't tease.  I'm happily married...and I still have a crush on that man.

But yeah, if he could assemble a good cabinet and some really good advisors (he's a bit green to politics afterall) -- he would be my dream canidate.  Somebody like West...maybe a bit more politically cunning.

Posted by: unknown jane at February 17, 2010 04:04 PM (5/yRG)

258 Well... yeah you're right about where the *focus* should be but.... it is a question.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 04:04 PM (jlvw3)

259

If Pawlenty spent more than 5 minutes considering the GREAT HOAX, then fuck him.

Being NICE is not what we need. Libtards are vicious.  Libtards will SAY and DO ANYTHING for power. 

Romney or Palin are still the top 2 thus far for me.

Posted by: gus at February 17, 2010 04:04 PM (Vqruj)

260 Ben Stein

Posted by: garrett at February 17, 2010 04:04 PM (FwxQB)

261

There's no way I'm "sitting it out" if someone I dont like gets the party nod. I have been voting for shitty, hold-your-nose candidates since 1984. Not stopping now. There's no such thing as a perfect politician. Politics always has been, and always will be voting for the lesser of two, (yes, two), evils.

 

 

O/T-not that anyone cares, but I lust so hard for Dennis Miller..........

Posted by: di butler, lover of blasty things at February 17, 2010 04:05 PM (S3xX1)

262
okay, for reals this time.

My biggest concern is that we nominate another candidate who decides to run against Obama as Democrat-lite, or a slightly more fiscally responsible version of Obama.

In 2012, I want to see a straightup Conservative vs Progressive fight card. I know we'd win by KO. I know it.

Posted by: This is Clarence Darrow at February 17, 2010 04:06 PM (EQ+8c)

263 Someone tell me why I'm wrong.

Posted by: Jane D'oh at February 17, 2010 08:04 PM (UOM4

America will never vote for someone with a mustache.

Liz needs to wax.

(Just kidding!!!!!!)

Posted by: notropis at February 17, 2010 04:06 PM (D6KR0)

264 250 And you're exactly right -- Moses/Esther needs to stay under wraps for as long as possible in order to keep the media rats and the lefties from tearing him/her to pieces and feeding him/her to the lions (the shallow, brain dead masses who vote for who has the best hair).

Posted by: unknown jane at February 17, 2010 04:06 PM (5/yRG)

265

...or someone who actually is an African American. 

So we can get that history thing out of the way for good.

Posted by: garrett at February 17, 2010 04:06 PM (FwxQB)

266 Thune is taller than Obama, it would reinforce him as weak pussy at the debates.

Posted by: jjjjjjjjj at February 17, 2010 04:07 PM (0MzSU)

267 di@261

Girl, if I've told you once, I've told you a thousand times.  Dennis is mine.  Now don't make me go all Harvard on your ass.

Posted by: Jane D'oh at February 17, 2010 04:07 PM (UOM48)

268 Daniels' height matters, for example. So does Pawlenty's rodentish look.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 07:37 PM (jlvw3)

He looks very distinguished.

Posted by: Rodent Freikorps at February 17, 2010 04:07 PM (dQdrY)

269 I have been voting for shitty, hold-your-nose candidates since 1984.

Reagan was shitty? the guy who is now being polled alongside Washington and Lincoln as our greatest of greatest of greatest Presidents, he's now butting heads w/ those 2 giants!

Posted by: YRM at February 17, 2010 04:08 PM (rbtaB)

270

The real important thing for Ace is it is not Palin. 

Posted by: Pelvis at February 17, 2010 04:08 PM (LlaBi)

271 I'm not sure why you're required to shit all over every candidate who isn't your single top choice.  I think we'll have a pretty good field, when it's all said and done, and I'd even crawl naked over glass to pull the lever for Huck (shudder), if the alternative is Obama.

Posted by: notropis at February 17, 2010 08:00 PM (D6KR0)

As we shit all over every candidate who isn't our single top choice, we should keep this in mind.  I could go with just about every name that anybody is realistically suggesting, except the Huckster.  He's creepy.

But we're in a pretty damn good position, thanks to the opposition.  Remember that Bambi is 44/52 for reelection.  So bash away, by all means, it's our own oppo research, but be optimistic.

Posted by: FUBAR at February 17, 2010 04:09 PM (1fanL)

272

Posted by: Pelvis at February 17, 2010 08:08 PM (LlaBi)

which means he's electable, unlike her

Posted by: YRM at February 17, 2010 04:09 PM (rbtaB)

273 O/T  I saw Slow Joe with Teh Won on Fox tonight.  I wondered what the hell he had done to his forehead.  Did he leave the house without his "special helmet"?  And then I smacked myself and remembered today is Ash Wednesday.  heh.

Posted by: Jane D'oh at February 17, 2010 04:10 PM (UOM48)

274 Did you morons see the ginger hit squad videos  on Hot Air? The Leprechauns are coming.

Posted by: Flavius Julius at February 17, 2010 04:10 PM (NLZLH)

275 What I'm hearing in that interview is a guy who seems REALLY likeable, pleasant, conversant with all sorts of subjects yet also down-to-earth.

I'm hearing a man who pees sitting down.

Posted by: Tattoo De Plane at February 17, 2010 04:10 PM (mHQ7T)

276 Well if it is just a fucking beauty contest, why isn't Palin already the nominee? Have you seen those legs?

Posted by: Rodent Freikorps at February 17, 2010 04:10 PM (dQdrY)

277

Keyes/Sowell 2012

Let's re-write History!

Posted by: garrett at February 17, 2010 04:10 PM (FwxQB)

278

@231

But you know what's funny? You kinda do insist upon yourself.

Yeah....Hillarious

Posted by: Jimi at February 17, 2010 04:10 PM (fqxV7)

279 it is a question.

What is the question?  Is this a Zen thing?  One hand clapping, third eye blind, etc


Posted by: SantaRosaStan at February 17, 2010 04:11 PM (JrRME)

280 Hey ace, even if I can't convince you about Palin, I am very glad you defend her against vile left wing attacks. So thanks for that.

Posted by: Dan at February 17, 2010 04:12 PM (KZraB)

281

If Pawlenty spent more than 5 minutes considering the GREAT HOAX, then fuck him.

Romney or Palin are still the top 2 thus far for me.

Posted by: gus at February 17, 2010 08:04 PM (Vqruj) 


Uhhh... gus? http://tinyurl.com/yzjlhst

Posted by: The Mega Independent at February 17, 2010 04:12 PM (5I0Yr)

282 206   #121-Fluffy, is this the package of Dick of which you speak? http://tinyurl.com/nly7xn

Why, yes it is!  Puts a smile on my face every time, too.  (Lynn probably says the same thing!)

Posted by: MissFluffyMcNutter at February 17, 2010 04:12 PM (xMSXs)

283 Don't tease with offers of Petraeus on the rocks either....I'd vote for him in a heartbeat too, and it isn't kind to get an old lady's hopes up to just dash them so cruelly.

Posted by: unknown jane at February 17, 2010 04:12 PM (5/yRG)

284

OK, let's get this out in the oppen.

Why is Palin considered "unelectable" other than the MSM and the edumacated intelligentsia hates her?

Posted by: Jim in San Diego at February 17, 2010 04:13 PM (F09Uo)

285 Open, DAMNIT!

Posted by: Jim in San Diego at February 17, 2010 04:13 PM (F09Uo)

286 On a totally unrelated topic, one wonders what wouldve happened to California if we had picked someone with more brains and appeal than Schwarzanazi in the recall.

You know, like Mary Carey.

Posted by: theoneandonlyfinn at February 17, 2010 04:13 PM (lV4Fs)

287 Ahem.  I'm still holding on to my fantasy Liz Cheney/John Bolton ticket. 

Someone tell me why I'm wrong.

Posted by: Jane D'oh at February 17, 2010 08:04 PM (UOM4

Step away from the battery-powered device.  Of course, any ticket with the 'Stache on it has my vote.  Bolton/Belly Button Lint in '12!  But wouldn't Bolton be a good fit at SecSt?  And he wouldn't have to run for office.  I can tell you, having never met the man and knowing just a very little about him, he wouldn't enjoy the campaigning BS.  His impatience might be off-putting.

Posted by: FUBAR at February 17, 2010 04:13 PM (1fanL)

288 My only problem here is that legislators usually don't make good Executives..... Governers are typically better suited..... but you have to cultivate your talent wherever it come's from..... I'm also motivated to get behind any one of these guy's because I'll fuckin shoot myself if I have to hear about Romney and Huckabee any longer..... two fools.... we have to move past those knuckleheads... they already had their shot and didn't really inspire... .they come to the plate with too much baggage.

Posted by: Last Conservative In Brooklyn at February 17, 2010 04:13 PM (7uAeI)

289 You know, I don't see how you could put up that kickass commercial about the BBQ assault rifle campaign rally and then seriously suggest Yawnplenty.

Posted by: Tattoo De Plane at February 17, 2010 04:14 PM (mHQ7T)

290 everyone, everyone, at least pays lip service to global warming or environmental concerns generally. Even palin. I do credit her for being (apart from Inhofe) one of the strongest contrarians out there, but I also have to note it's in her state's interest to pooh-pooh global warming. I'm just saying, she doesn't have the level of pressure on this point most do. But even with the AGW thing crumbling, politicians are still going to pay lip-service to it, and say stuff like "well of course we should try to use less fossil fuels," etc.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 04:15 PM (jlvw3)

291
Giuliani - meh.  Rick Perry?  Oh HELL no (and he's my governor).  Any sitting senator = FAIL - barons never make good presidents.  Palin?  Don't see it, bless her heart.  Romney?  Blechhh, another rino.

Right now it's easier for me to imagine cabinet posts and such than the chief executive.  Anyone else at CIA than Podesta.  Anyone else at DHS than Bruno.  Anyone else at SecState than the pantsuit.  Etc., etc.,.  Condi Rice at CIA.  Rudy at DHS.  One of my cats or possibly a cardboard cutout of Jim Varney at Justice.

Posted by: Dang Straights at February 17, 2010 04:15 PM (FHmgB)

292

Jane,

Don't you know who I AM, bitch? *smack*

YRM,

Yes, I have been voting for shitty candidates since 84. Of course I didnt mean Reagan!!11!! I worked in local politics for a while. Also for the RNC. I meant it as a blanket statement encapsulating local/state politics, too.

Posted by: di butler, lover of blasty things at February 17, 2010 04:16 PM (S3xX1)

293 Doesn't Pawlenty have some problems with consistency? Can't say what for sure, just seem to remember seeing something along those lines a while back. My pick is still Pence.

Posted by: koopy at February 17, 2010 04:16 PM (ctR4U)

294

Huckster is a creepy little rat imho...but he isn't as creepy a little rat as what's living on Penn ave. right now -- so yeah, I'd hate you all and curse the GOP for the rest of my life if you gave us Huck as a choice, but I'd vote for him nonetheless (grudingly and cursingly, mind you).

 

*and then I'd really be done with the GOP

Posted by: unknown jane at February 17, 2010 04:16 PM (5/yRG)

295 I'm hearing a man who pees sitting down.

Posted by: Tattoo De Plane at February 17, 2010 08:10 PM (mHQ7T)

Tattoo, apologize to me right now or I'll send you back to Munchkinland.

Posted by: Zombie Mr. Roark at February 17, 2010 04:16 PM (1fanL)

296

Posted by: Jim in San Diego at February 17, 2010 08:13 PM (F09Uo)

1. Polls

2. Polls

3. Polls

her favorables are worse then Obama, she polls the worst against him amaong possible GOP candidates

Posted by: YRM at February 17, 2010 04:17 PM (rbtaB)

297 Doesn't Pawlenty have some problems with consistency?

ahh, that's right, i'm thinking of his flirtation with the globull warming crap.

Posted by: koopy at February 17, 2010 04:17 PM (ctR4U)

298

Posted by: di butler, lover of blasty things at February 17, 2010 08:16 PM (S3xX1)

ok I'm cleared up now

Posted by: YRM at February 17, 2010 04:18 PM (rbtaB)

299 Di, you talkin' the D'oh or me?  'Cause I know you wouldn't talk to me, not that way at least (lol).

Posted by: unknown jane at February 17, 2010 04:19 PM (5/yRG)

300 Squirrels are very conservative, you know.

Posted by: Rodent Freikorps at February 17, 2010 04:19 PM (dQdrY)

301 281 I've said it before the next Presidential election will about the fiscal security of the country and our monetary policies. As it should be. We should be looking at candidates that can address those issues.


Paul Ryan could make Obama start sucking his thumb during the debate if given the stage opposite him on this.

Posted by: mama winger at February 17, 2010 04:19 PM (Ue9UN)

302 FUBAR, how well do you think Dick Cheney (God, how his name rolls off the tongue) enjoyed campaigning?  John Bolton would kick all the right asses.  And Liz is charming, smart, and no doubt could neatly and cleanly cut a bitch without breaking a sweat.  It's in the genes.

My fantasy continues.  Batteries powered devices or not.

Posted by: Jane D'oh at February 17, 2010 04:20 PM (UOM48)

303 Oh, OK, fine.

AmishDude 2012.

"I will be ruthless but fair.  But ruthless."

Posted by: AmishDude at February 17, 2010 04:20 PM (T0NGe)

304

I'm not going to go so far as to say Pawlenty is my choice, but I am definitely going to give him a look too.  I have some family up there, and their big knock is that he a little squishy environmentally.  Also remember making some comments on whether stylistically he'll play well in a national election.  Overall positive comments though, in Minnesota he has experience fighting battles legislatively that is for certain. 

I'll try to run down the things that intrigue me, with the disclaimer I am focused on 2010 and I have not done enough homework to be an expert on the guy...

1. Minnesota is not a conservative state or easy state to be a Republican governor.  It isn't Massachusetts, but it is more Mass than Alaska.  It's quirky politically, and you are going to have to know how to fight battles intelligently and engage in ideas seriously to hold the line.  He is going to walk away from that experience with some smudges on his record, but I think he came out of it much cleaner than Romney did in a liberal state, and even Huckabee in a centrist one.  Not so with Palin, but then Palin would likely have more smudges on her record if she were gov in Minn, and Pawlenty would have fewer if he were in Alaska. 

2. Not going to rally behind Romney or Huckabee.  Might get behind Palin, but I am not a Palin or nothing guy at all.  Republicans tend to have this mindset that it is so-and-so's "turn".  We tend to like people that lost gallantly previously.  This need not be.  If somebody campaigns well, and has a solid record I can get behind them no matter how much or little publicity they get from talking heads. 

3. I don't give a crap about Pawlenty's charisma, or lack of, and by the time Teleprompter Jesus is through with us nobody else will either.  People always want what the last President didn't have anyway.  Don't try to focus on what was needed to win the last election because it won't matter as much the next one.  Besides that, from what I've seen of Pawlenty he can handle himself fine.  He's not going to have crowds of 50,000 screaming and fainting and talking about how he will put gas in their tank, but he can argue and debate points fine from what I can tell.  Obama could (past tense) win people's hearts but can't change peoples minds on anything.  Pawlenty isn't going to be flashy, but he can argue points effectively enough to get people thinking about issues a better way.  That's the more important sell, the more difficult sell, and the longer lasting one.   

4.  I like the way Pawlenty plays on a electoral map.  If he campaigns well, he becomes a royal pain in the ass for the Dems.  He puts Minnesota, Iowa, Wisconsin in play for sure and I would say he would play pretty well in other key midwest and mountain west states.  This is a big advantage that will work in his favor if he campaigns well and makes up ground between now and the primary.  He has a lot of work to do, but if he can light the spark he's got a real good chance of it catching fire just because he can compete in the states that Obama will most need.

Posted by: Dave S at February 17, 2010 04:20 PM (leNBy)

305 so yeah, I'd hate you all and curse the GOP for the rest of my life if you gave us Huck as a choice, but I'd vote for him nonetheless (grudingly and cursingly, mind you).

I don't think i could vote for huck, maybe if i got really really really really drunk on my way to the polls, but maybe not even then.

Posted by: koopy at February 17, 2010 04:21 PM (ctR4U)

306 @ YRM

She polls favorably with Republicans, and she has to get the nomination first. Once she does that, she is automatically a serious candidate. Democrats are already making comments about President Palin in 2012. They really fear her.

Posted by: Tattoo De Plane at February 17, 2010 04:21 PM (mHQ7T)

307 He puts Minnesota, Iowa, Wisconsin

if dems lose those states, Obama loses in a blowout

Posted by: YRM at February 17, 2010 04:21 PM (rbtaB)

308

Why is Palin considered "unelectable" other than the MSM and the edumacated intelligentsia hates her?

Posted by: Jim in San Diego at February 17, 2010 08:13 PM (F09Uo)

I'm very fond of her, but her numbers are bad.  Even amongst Republicans, a majority doesn't think she's qualified.  That's why I think she's unelectable.  MSM, whatever, the reason why doesn't matter.  Doesn't even matter if it's true or not.  It's there.  I'm rooting for her to turn it around, but as of this second, she's unelectable.  Now, where's that unconscious hot chick?  I keed, I keed.

Posted by: FUBAR at February 17, 2010 04:21 PM (1fanL)

309 No way I'd vote for Romney or Huckabee.

Posted by: Tattoo De Plane at February 17, 2010 04:21 PM (mHQ7T)

310 I'd really like to see Bolton as Sec. of State though, but I'll admit to liking the cut of Liz's jibe and wanting to subscribe to her newsletter (but it would be great if she wasn't a Cheney -- dynasties make me a bit nervous).

Posted by: unknown jane at February 17, 2010 04:21 PM (5/yRG)

311 John Thune worked at the U.S. Small Business Administration under an appointment from President Ronald Reagan.
He is taller than Obama, and he is a better basketball player also.

Posted by: jjjjjj at February 17, 2010 04:22 PM (0MzSU)

312 #300-jest makin' shure none of yew hos move in on mah man, Miller. I'd hate to go all Amy on somebody's ass.

Posted by: di butler, lover of blasty things at February 17, 2010 04:22 PM (S3xX1)

313 >>>Why is Palin considered "unelectable" other than the MSM and the edumacated intelligentsia hates her? Because I have now been waiting for a year for her to reverse the impression she left me with during the campaign that, while she could be veep because she would get on-the-job training and the veep probably wouldn't be called upon to be president anyway, she was not ready, in November 2008, to actually be president. She has now had a full year - more, really -- to prove that she is capable of sitting in the Big Chair and she doesn't. I was told for a long time "She will, she will," but she's not, and her supporters make excuses for her, telling me nonsense like "A good president doesn't have to know wonkish details of policy, that just gets in the way of connecting with people." I am tired of being told that ONLY palin's STRENGTHS like connecting with people are important in a president, and all of her weaknesses are irrelevant (or actually disguised strengths). At the end of the day, the president needs to instill confidence. Palin doesn't, not for me. And it's her own fault. I have asked merely that she demonstrate the fluidity with issues and policies that George W. Bush did (not a high hurdle), and she hasn't yet. She stays within her comfort zone of general themes -- all of which I agree with, of course -- but the fact that she will not venture out of that comfort zone makes me uncomfortable. If she CAN do it, she SHOULD do it. I'm tired of being told that it's unreasonable to expect it of her. Every other candidate has; why does she get a pass? In November 2008, she had two years of governor experience and I argued that was plenty to be Vice Presdient. I think it was. But she now only has two and a HALF years experience, and it is insisted, over and over, that now she is fully qualified to be President, despite not having rectified any of the shakiness on issues and policy she had over a year ago. Look: This is within in her control. Either she can or she can't. I am tired of being told over and over again she'll get to it, SOMEDAY, or that I'm being "egg-headed" and "establishment" to expect my president -- a president! -- to be fluent on the *details* of policy and economics and stuff. She can address this at any time. Until she does: I am not interested and do not want to consider her for the Presidency.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 04:22 PM (jlvw3)

314

Posted by: Tattoo De Plane at February 17, 2010 08:21 PM (mHQ7T)

um, look at the polls, most REPUBLICANS don't want her to run, moderate reps vote in the primaries too, they hate her

Posted by: YRM at February 17, 2010 04:23 PM (rbtaB)

315 And another thing.  I think Liz Cheney would do extremely well against Barry or anyone the DNC threw at her.  Ever see her eviscerate libtards on Morning Joe?  Cool under fire counts, folks.  Smart, collected, and Dick Cheney's daughter to boot.  Win.

Posted by: Jane D'oh at February 17, 2010 04:24 PM (UOM48)

316 It would admittedly be worse than this last time -- I actually liked McCain's stance towards earmarks and pork projects and liked his vp choice -- but Huck would be a tough one...still, another 4 years of reverse Jesus? No, no, no.

Posted by: unknown jane at February 17, 2010 04:24 PM (5/yRG)

317 Thanks Dave S., especially #4.

Food for thought.

Posted by: Deety at February 17, 2010 04:25 PM (aVzyR)

318 Still not a word from Carville about that sex and money bribe/payola for me and my hairy - chested men. What a true pinche perdasa de mierda. I'm not going to wait forever.

Posted by: Tea Party Commander Numero Uno at February 17, 2010 04:25 PM (qO6T2)

319

About Palin "polling badly"....

Her numbers are better than Obama's were at this point in time.

 

Posted by: No More McCains at February 17, 2010 04:25 PM (1kwr2)

320 Consider this, for me, the equivalent of Obama's Birth Certificate. I want the evidence she's qualified. I do not just want it asserted again and again she is. This is the PRESIDENCY, guys. This is not the Veep slot. THis is the TOP POSITION. THe most powerful office on earth. I think she's got good gut instincts. I need to know, though, that she has more than that.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 04:25 PM (jlvw3)

321

Once she does that, she is automatically a serious candidate.

We've received notification that you need to 'Check Yourself' - Sir.

Is everything OK?

Posted by: On*Star at February 17, 2010 04:26 PM (FwxQB)

322 If she CAN do it, she SHOULD do it. I'm tired of being told that it's unreasonable to expect it of her.
Every other candidate has; why does she get a pass?

Nice rack?

Posted by: FUBAR at February 17, 2010 04:26 PM (1fanL)

323

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 08:22 PM (jlvw3)

you made the case better then I could

Posted by: YRM at February 17, 2010 04:27 PM (rbtaB)

324 Pawlenty is an incredibly decent guy. He's got no shot.

Posted by: Tony B at February 17, 2010 04:27 PM (D0XH6)

325 H. Norman Schwarzkopf

Posted by: Rodent Freikorps at February 17, 2010 04:27 PM (dQdrY)

326 I like Sarah.  Don't want her to run for president. 

Posted by: Jane D'oh at February 17, 2010 04:28 PM (UOM48)

327 Liz background

Cheney graduated from McLean High School in 1984. She received her bachelor's degree from Colorado College, where she wrote her senior thesis, "The Evolution of Presidential War Powers," in 1988. She received her JD degree from the University of Chicago Law School in 1996, having also taken courses in Middle Eastern history at the Oriental Institute.

Before attending law school, Cheney worked for the State Department for five years and the U.S. Agency for International Development between 1989 and 1993. After 1993, she took a job at Armitage Associates LLP, the consulting firm founded by Richard Armitage, then a former Defense Dept official and Iran-Contra operative who later served as Deputy Secretary of State.

She has also served as Special Assistant to the Deputy Secretary of State for Assistance to the former Soviet Union, and as a USAID officer in U.S. embassies in Budepest and Warsaw.

Posted by: Guy Fawkes at February 17, 2010 04:29 PM (cpuvG)

328 I want the evidence she's qualified.

I do not just want it asserted again and again she is.

This is the PRESIDENCY, guys. This is not the Veep slot. THis is the TOP POSITION. THe most powerful office on earth.

I think she's got good gut instincts. I need to know, though, that she has more than that.

I think I'll just quote this as my own writing whenever anyone asks me the same question.  Point being: I will not vote for someone merely because they have the right "instincts."  I need them to demonstrate intelligence and qualification as well.  Palin...isn't there yet, and I've suspected ever since the campaign that she may never get there.  I'm not alone, given that something like 50% of the base feels she's still unqualified as well.

Posted by: Jeff B. at February 17, 2010 04:29 PM (l1KFP)

329 I want the evidence she's qualified.

I do not just want it asserted again and again she is.

This is the PRESIDENCY, guys. This is not the Veep slot. THis is the TOP POSITION. THe most powerful office on earth.

I think she's got good gut instincts. I need to know, though, that she has more than that.

I think I'll just quote this as my own writing whenever anyone asks me the same question.  Point being: I will not vote for someone merely because they have the right "instincts."  I need them to demonstrate intelligence and qualification as well.  Palin...isn't there yet, and I've suspected ever since the campaign that she may never get there.  I'm not alone, given that something like 50% of the base feels she's still unqualified as well.

Posted by: Jeff B. at February 17, 2010 04:30 PM (l1KFP)

330 That's an okay resume but not enough to be president. Vice president, maybe. No real top-dog experience.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 04:30 PM (jlvw3)

331 Aragorn Son of Arathorn

Posted by: garrett at February 17, 2010 04:31 PM (FwxQB)

332 I'm not alone, given that something like 50% of the base feels she's still unqualified as well.

actually it's 70%

Posted by: YRM at February 17, 2010 04:32 PM (rbtaB)

333 Aragorn Son of Arathorn

Posted by: garrett at February 17, 2010 08:31 PM (FwxQB)

No kings.

Posted by: Rodent Freikorps at February 17, 2010 04:33 PM (dQdrY)

334

Iowahawk 2011...why wait?

Posted by: garrett at February 17, 2010 04:33 PM (FwxQB)

335 no it's 50% of the base (actually like 45%, I think), 70% of the public generally.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 04:33 PM (jlvw3)

336

Well, I've got problems with pawlenty.   He was for the stimulus & had no problems with taking the money.  His words:

"WeÂ’re going to get more money for programs in our state than we wouldÂ’ve spent on the programs even in good times."

"In MinnesotaÂ’s case, weÂ’re going to take the money, because weÂ’re a major subsidizer of the federal government. For every dollar we send in, we only get 72 cents back, so weÂ’re going to accept the money, because weÂ’re paying the bill.

"Again, I support a stimulus bill, I just think this one should have done better. So IÂ’m not arguing the general premise of can we benefit from a stimulus bill and should we have had a stimulus bill. I say to those questions, yes, I just am disappointed in this one."
...In addition to what I said about states like Minnesota paying the bill, what is the rule that you canÂ’t participate in federal legislation if youÂ’re concerned about it?"

I know some may even agree with his statements, but Minnesota isn't the only freakin' state paying that gargantuan bill.  He just seemed a little too eager to take that money.   Plus, I don't want anyone that, even for one second, contemplates spending taxpayer money on the AGW crap.

It's my money, damn it, and I'm sick & tired of politicians taking it for every damn, bullshit excuse they can come up with.

Posted by: Steph at February 17, 2010 04:33 PM (44+V5)

337

Thank you all you Godless haters, that also want to destroy America, for seriously answering my Palin question.

I kid!

 

Posted by: Jim in San Diego at February 17, 2010 04:34 PM (F09Uo)

338

Thune.

Fun to ;

Type

Say

Print

Elect!

Posted by: garrett at February 17, 2010 04:35 PM (FwxQB)

339 Guy@328  Thank you.

So she's more experienced and qualified than the Community Organizer in Chief.

Run, Liz.  Please.

Posted by: Jane D'oh at February 17, 2010 04:35 PM (UOM48)

340 Fuck him. No, strike that, double fuck him. At least Gingrich had the common decency to admit that he was pandering but wanted to use the free market to address the non-existent AGW. But not Pawlenty:

In April, Mr. Pawlenty delivered the remarks that probably best reveal his views on the environment. "It looks like we should have listened to President Carter," he told the Minnesota Climate Change Advisory Group. "He called us to action, and we should have listened. . . . Climate change is real. Human behavior is partly and may be a lot responsible. Those who don't think so are simply not right. We should not spend time on voices that say it's not real."

That's not getting on the bus, that's jumping in the driver's seat. Dude, he said we should have listened to Jimmy Carter. If that's not a candidacy killer, then nothing is. There's more in the linked article about his other liberal tendencies.

http://tinyurl.com/3dmbf7

The only real litmus test I have is whether or not a candidate believes that massive government intervention in the economy is appropriate. He advocated that, so fuck him.

Posted by: Ghost of Lee Atwater at February 17, 2010 04:36 PM (zLhuq)

341 I am currently down with the following:

Pence or Daniels for prez
Palin for energy sec
Liz Cheney for State Dept or Sec of Defense
Ace for Food and Drug Admistrator
Krak for EPA head
Romney for Mens Hair Gel

All likely to change in near future.

Posted by: Guy Fawkes at February 17, 2010 04:36 PM (cpuvG)

342 Ace, don't worry, the republicans will nominate Mike Bloomberg, right?

Posted by: curious at February 17, 2010 04:36 PM (p302b)

343 Call me crazy, but I think America is going to need a general. She is lucky our version of the Lil Corporal moved too soon.

Posted by: Rodent Freikorps at February 17, 2010 04:37 PM (dQdrY)

344 Ghost, Yeah, that's kind of bad, but again, most politiicians do say AGW is real, or at least used to. I will check out your ink.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 04:37 PM (jlvw3)

345 Oh and Larry Kudlow will be the VP for bloomberg.  What could go wrong?

Posted by: curious at February 17, 2010 04:38 PM (p302b)

346 steph, everyone took the money, even those who said they wouldn't. You'd be impeached if you didn't.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 04:39 PM (jlvw3)

347 >>Ace, don't worry, the republicans will nominate Mike Bloomberg, right? I'm not on board with Palin so I must support a liberal? A liberal like Thune? Seriously: Sarah Palin is not the only conservative in the nation. You act as if she is the only one.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 04:40 PM (jlvw3)

348 Yeah, that's kind of bad, but again, most politiicians do say AGW is real, or at least used to.

I give Scott Brown great credit for the way he threaded this needle during his debate with Coakley, actually.  I would've been totally copacetic with him simply saying "Yeah, AGW is real, it's a threat, we oughta do something" because hey, it's Massachusetts and you gotta go along to get along."  But instead he parried rather deftly, saying "temperatures are changing, who knows if man is the reason behind it?"  I actually thought he would get in TROUBLE for it.   But that put it to bed completely.  In MA.  Because nobody gives a shit about global warming right now, for god's sakes we have more to worry about.

Posted by: Jeff B. at February 17, 2010 04:40 PM (l1KFP)

349 I'm going w Palin for the GOP primary. She fights and is surprisingly effective at busting Obama's balls. Look, anybody can throw their hat in for the GOP. Hopefully, we'll get the best candidate to challenge Obama. But they have to prove themselves against each other first.

Posted by: TexMex at February 17, 2010 04:42 PM (ECeII)

350 315

Marc Ambinder recently wrote in The Atlantic:

"If the primaries were this year, I suspect she'd be nominated," a senior adviser to one of Sarah Palin's potential rivals confides. It's easy to see why: no one who's thinking of running beats the enthusiasm she generates among Republican activists."

Andrew Malcolm wrote today in the LA Times specifically about polls and also says that 69% of Republicans view her favorably. He concludes saying, "We'll see exactly how good she is in coming months. What is certain right now is that as good as Obama was at ultimately reaping $750 million and winning the White House, no one was paying this kind of attention -- positive or negative -- to him this far ahead of his 2008 nomination or election."

That is exactly where I am. While I think she still has work to do, I also think she is already doing well and I understand if that's not enough for Ace and some of you. This is not where the policy stuff gets flogged. There's no debates for quite some time. Sarah Palin is doing exactly what she should be doing right now, which is good enough for me.

Posted by: Tattoo De Plane at February 17, 2010 04:42 PM (mHQ7T)

351

Ace, at the FDA ?

  With all that pudding to inspect?????

Nothanks.

...maybe something at HUD. 

Posted by: garrett at February 17, 2010 04:43 PM (FwxQB)

352 Right now, my "I could vote for that guy" list (in no particular order):

1.) Pawlenty
2.) Romney
3.) Thune
4.) Daniels
5.) Pence

My "I could not vote for that guy, even in the general election" list:

1.) Palin
2.) Huckabee

Honestly, I probably would still vote for them in the general if it came to that.  But man, that would be the least enthusiastic vote I have ever cast in my entire life, especially Palin.  And it would be in the midst of an electoral pasting (for the GOP) of world-historical proportions.

Posted by: Jeff B. at February 17, 2010 04:43 PM (l1KFP)

353 Let's keep an open mind about everyone who enters the race (except Hucksterbee.)

What's the fundamental quality we seek in a President?

Someone who will fight the lefties and advance the Tea Party agenda.  Someone who not only talks the talk during the campaign, but once in office cracks some vertebraes.  Someone who takes the long view and wants to undo the Gramscian damage to this country.  We need Reagan v2012.

I don't know enough about Pawlenty. My instinct tells me he's not that guy -- he's the establishment Republican guy.  I don't know who that guy is.  It's too early to tell.  We'll see who the last man standing is after the debates. Let's give them a chance.

Posted by: JB at February 17, 2010 04:45 PM (1OoPr)

354 346

The guy is another sackless appeaser in the mold of John McCain. No more reaching around the aisle and character recommendations!

Posted by: Tattoo De Plane at February 17, 2010 04:45 PM (mHQ7T)

355

What do you consider evidence that is qualifying? She is more fluent on energy issues than any president we have ever hard. Her accomplishments in Alaska in 2.5 years are incredible. Deal resulting in what will be the largest construction project in North America, real spending cuts. Saying she wants to keep taxes low on everyone is general and broad yes, but true and does not require a PHD in economics or a lecture at the Milken conference on finance to legitimize it as the right path to take which she advocates. As far as Foreign affairs go, she understands the relationship between our debt and our power abroad to influence countries which is on the decline as our debt rises. She advocates immediate sanctions with whomever we can bring on board outside the UN when it comes to Iran. She has written this and spoken this. On trade she understands the trade deficit and the driving forces behind it. Imported oil and currency manipulation as references in her Hong Kong speech.To me, this is evidence that she understands the issues in a manner consistent with the presidency. I could list many more. Add on top of it that she has no problem taking on the republican party if they go the duke cunningham route, and I think you have a pretty good candidate who will only get better as she campaigns and debates.

Posted by: Dan at February 17, 2010 04:46 PM (KZraB)

356 The thing about Pawlenty and Huckabee is, to me, they just seem so....what's the word.....McCain.

Posted by: Guy Fawkes at February 17, 2010 04:46 PM (cpuvG)

357 Ace, yeah, I know, but hell he didn't have to seem so damn happy about it.   Plus, there were a few govenors that didn't want to take it, or at least tried not to take all of it.   I just think he's a hell of a lot more squishy than he's trying to make himself out to be, now.   Plus, like I said, the AGW thing really, really bothers me.

Posted by: Steph at February 17, 2010 04:47 PM (44+V5)

358 Ghost,

Yeah, that's kind of bad, but again, most politiicians do say AGW is real, or at least used to.

I will check out your ink.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 08:37 PM (jlvw3)

Ace,

Palin believes in climate change as well, she even put together a committee to study it long before any other governor did because she could see pysical changes in her state.

She didn't believe the al gore theory of AGW. Turned out she was right. That happens alot with her.

Posted by: robtr at February 17, 2010 04:47 PM (fwSHf)

359 Aragorn Son of Arathorn

No kings.

Samwise Son of Hamfast?

Posted by: notropis at February 17, 2010 04:47 PM (D6KR0)

360 unless he speaks against evolution he will lose the christian base

Posted by: Noah at February 17, 2010 04:47 PM (mhD2v)

361
H. Norman Schwarzkopf

Jeezus Mary and Joseph, NO!  He's a screamer and a kick-down, kiss-up officer, the worst freaking kind.  He was fighting WWI during the Gulf War with his phase lines and schedules that had to be met.  Might as well have handed the grunt platoon leaders whistles and sent them over the top.  Yeeeesh.

Posted by: Dang Straights at February 17, 2010 04:49 PM (FHmgB)

362

I like Thune in that he's gorgeous in a Hank Fonda/Gary Cooper kind of way and image counts for a lot. I would not root for him until I know more about him

I like Mike Pence, he seems sincere and he was speaking at the Tea Parties last summer. He also gets out there and calls out the Administration.

Jim DeMint I love and I hope he goes for it, he also seems to be the real deal and because of him Errol Southers is not the head of the TSA.

Posted by: martha at February 17, 2010 04:50 PM (kFsTd)

363

Somebody Not Comfortable in Front of a Camera 2012

[unless it is Ben Stein]

Seriously, has anyone done the longhand on how many more Presidential Addresses, Speaches, Town Halls, Workshops, Interviews, Exposes, etc. we have in store before the next President?

Any Agoraphobe 2012

Posted by: garrett at February 17, 2010 04:51 PM (FwxQB)

364 Can I admit that there's something about Jim DeMint that rubs me the wrong way?  And it bothers me because, on paper, I support nearly every single damn thing he's done?  I think it's something about his demeanor, or the way he handles himself as 'ultracon godfather.'  It's so vague as to be barely worth crediting, which is why I'm embarrassed to even admit this.  I mean, were I living in SC I'd vote for him in a heartbeat.  But there's just something about him that sets my teeth on edge.  Unsubtlety, perhaps.

Posted by: Jeff B. at February 17, 2010 04:55 PM (l1KFP)

365 Someone did a write up about Pawlenty a few days back, about how their state did not create your typical conservative republican. They then went on to list the things they liked about the guy, and if you were talking about a mayor, and in some cases a state legislator, you could maybe think of those items as conservative. But the one that really seemed to ensure that they guy would never be viewed as conservative was that he did all the things he did, he did while increasing spending as little as possible. Correct me if I am wrong, but wouldn't doing NOTHING cost you exactly nothing and be way more conservative than doing something at a cost of something?

Posted by: astonerii at February 17, 2010 04:55 PM (DFbhp)

366

Every GOP Presidential nominee wannabe in 2012 MUST repeat MUST come clean about the overspending and tone-deafness exhibited by the GOP Congress over the last decade. Any one that doesnt should be labelled a Pander Bear and declared a NON-credible candidate.

The fact is, if the GOP had done its job from Day 1 and KEPT doing it, Barack Obama would today be a pleasantly liberal and harmless Senate back-bencher in a third consecutive GOP Presidential admin.

Instead, the GOP Congress went Animal Farm on us and now we have an unqualified, incompetent bungler who ranks as the first demonstrably Anti-American President in history.

Come clean or else is my message to the GOP.

Posted by: mike d at February 17, 2010 04:55 PM (W0V5W)

367 Ace, like I wrote above it wasn't pandering. Gingrich was pandering when he came up with his plans to coopt the idea using free market ideas. Hell, he flat out admitted he was pandering because he didn't want to allow the liberals to own the issue. Pawlenty, on the other hand, wasn't saying, "Yeah, it's real, we need to study it and see what needs to be done." He was giving the "Because fuck you, that's why," answer. Sorry, I will not jump on that wagon.

Who would I support? Hell if I know right now. I like Palin but don't think she has a chance, something about Romney still bothers me (probably mostly due to Romneycare), can't stand Huck. I just don't know.

Posted by: Ghost of Lee Atwater at February 17, 2010 04:56 PM (zLhuq)

368

I'd vote for DeMint in a heartbeat, but as for anyone else that appears to be considering a run, I am not even remotely enthused about anyone...well, I do think Sarah, with the right people around her, could do the job.  

I just don't want another McCain.   I want someone with true conservative principles...with true being the operative word here.   I just haven't seen it so far with most of the potential candidates.

Posted by: Steph at February 17, 2010 04:57 PM (44+V5)

369 This is the problem with Palin supporters, that first part of your statement isn't based in reality. There will be no construction project and she sure as hell didn't cut any spending.

Bingo.  The weird fantasy world that some Palin supporters live in, where nonexistent accomplishments (many of them merely notional!) are inflated into big resume-boosters scarily reminds me of Obama cultists talking about how his community organizing background clearly indicated that he would be able to apply similar skills to bring world leaders together to hug it out and work together.

Face it: Palin didn't accomplish much of anything at all as Alaska governor.  Whatever opportunity she had to build a resume there was foreclosed by her decision to quit her job.  Oh yeah, I forgot about that: she quit her freakin' job halfway through her term. 

Posted by: Jeff B. at February 17, 2010 04:59 PM (l1KFP)

370

367, that is just not correct. The budget she came into office with was cut by almost 10% when compared to her latest budget. The cut in spending was well over 1 billion dollars. The deal for the pipeline is done, so for you to say it will never happen, well we have to wait and see but as of now its on its way and closer than its ever been in the past 30 years.

http://tinyurl.com/ocjo2r

Read about the budget there if you like.

Governor Murkowski's last budget 2007 $11,697,400,000

Governor Palin's latest budget 2010 $10,570,000,000

Posted by: Dan at February 17, 2010 04:59 PM (KZraB)

371

from wiki

Since he became governor, property taxes increased by $3 billion and fees doubled. State and local tax rates increased for 90 percent of state residents, but tax rates decreased for those earning more than $130,000. During his first year as governor, Pawlenty balanced a deficit of $4.3 billion without raising taxes, primarily by reducing the rate of funding increases for state services, including funding for transportation, social services, and welfare. During his second term, Pawlenty erased a $2.7 billion deficit by cutting spending, shifting payments and using one-time money and the state department of Management and Budget estimates that the two-year budget beginning July 2011 is $4.4 billion short

and he won his 06 race by 27k votes, not to mention his agw stance and the ethanol garbage.

soft spoken and way to smiley for me. NEXT!

Posted by: evil libertarian at February 17, 2010 05:01 PM (W6gtk)

372 Can I admit that there's something about Jim DeMint that rubs me the wrong way?

You don't have to worry about it because as of now he's not going to run, or at least that's what I've heard from someone who would know. Of course, things can always change.

Posted by: Ghost of Lee Atwater at February 17, 2010 05:01 PM (zLhuq)

373

Who was the club owner in Last Days of Disco? He had my favorite line:

"He's in advertising. Advertising people are nice. I don't want that element in here."

Posted by: Michael Rittenhouse at February 17, 2010 05:03 PM (8I2ti)

374

lastone before dinner...

Not Another Fucking Senator! EVER

Put me some knowledge as to why this would be the wrong approach, ye of the LimpBanhammer.

Posted by: garrett at February 17, 2010 05:03 PM (FwxQB)

375 373,She did not accomplish much of anything as Governor? Are you serious? How did she have an 80% approval rating right up until she was picked for VP and the media threw everything at her? I would think her approval rating would have been alot lower had she accomplished nothing.

Posted by: Dan at February 17, 2010 05:04 PM (KZraB)

376

Samwise Son of Hamfast?

Posted by: notropis at February 17, 2010 08:47 PM (D6KR0)

That's closer. It wasn't the elites who took it across the goal line.

Posted by: Rodent Freikorps at February 17, 2010 05:04 PM (dQdrY)

377 While we're at it, then, I might as well let it slip that I've never been impressed by Michelle Malkin at all.  Except as a talent-spotter: she knew what she was doing when she locked up Allah and Captain Ed for HotAir.

(N.B. This is prompted by her appearance on Hannity right now...Hannity, there's another guy who doesn't impress me at all.)

Posted by: Jeff B. at February 17, 2010 05:04 PM (l1KFP)

378 "property taxes increased by $3 billion and fees doubled. State and local tax rates increased for 90 percent of state residents, but tax rates decreased for those earning more than $130,000."

See my takedown of that, above, if you actually care.

Wikipedia, a legitimate source of political information?
Please.

Posted by: notropis at February 17, 2010 05:05 PM (D6KR0)

379 Do NOT underestimate Sarah Palin.  She may lack the resume we pol wonks think is necessary.  She may lack the substance that thrills the Krauthammer leg.  But she connects with people in ways that scare the living shit out of her opponents on the left and the right.

Obama may have the political instincts of a Chicago thug, but that woman has the instincts of an arctic wolf.  She knows how to scare up prey, chase it down, and kill it.

Save this post for future reference:  Do NOT underestimate Sarah Palin.

And I am not a Palinite.  Yet.

Posted by: GulfCoastTider at February 17, 2010 05:07 PM (fYERs)

380 How did she have an 80% approval rating right up until she was picked for VP and the media threw everything at her? I would think her approval rating would have been alot lower had she accomplished nothing.

Your delightful naivete reminds me of some of the more dewy-eyed & freshfaced utopianists I see in comment threads over a Daily Kos (I lurk there a lot these days, just to soak up the schadenfreude, which tastes utterly delicious).  Here's the reason her approval rating was high: 1.) she hadn't been in office for very long, only a year and change; 2.) she had positioned herself very advantageously within Alaska as an outsider against the corrupt insiders, which is bound to get populist support; 3.) she's hot as hell for a politician; 4.) AK is a GOP state that naturally tilts in favor of GOP politicians.

You act as if mysteriously unearned high approval ratings are inconceivable for young, new, attractive politicians who haven't built a negative record for themselves yet.  In fact, they're pretty much the norm.  Reading much of anything into her approval rating that's relevant for a national Presidential campaign is a fool's errand.

Posted by: Jeff B. at February 17, 2010 05:09 PM (l1KFP)

381 Might as well have handed the grunt platoon leaders whistles and sent them over the top.  Yeeeesh.

Posted by: Dang Straights at February 17, 2010 08:49 PM (FHmgB)

I don't want a messiah. I want someone who picks good people, delegates and kicks ass if they screw up.

Posted by: Rodent Freikorps at February 17, 2010 05:10 PM (dQdrY)

382

Sarah Palin.  She may lack the resume we pol wonks think is necessary.  She may lack the substance that thrills the Krauthammer leg.

Also, Weak Arms.

Posted by: Dwight k. Schrute at February 17, 2010 05:10 PM (FwxQB)

383 "The era of small government is over . . . government has to be more proactive, more aggressive."
-- Tim Pawlenty, 2006.

Okay, I have a huge problem with that statement and I'm not sure that knowing the audience to whom it was addressed or in what context makes it any better for me.

I can get over placating libtards with AGW in a state like Minnesota if that's what his position on environmental issues really is.

I buy into the "steam valve" theory that the idiots in MA pretty much demanded that their state eff up their health care system so, Mitt just gave 'em what they wanted.

But I have a problem with someone who even encourages the idea of a more aggressive government even if the case can be made that he was only telling a particular audience what they wanted to hear and he -personally- doesn't think so himself.

More aggressive than what FFS?!

The last thing I need is some asshole encouraging the "lets start poking the hippos with sticks" crowd as my pilot down the river.


Posted by: Deety at February 17, 2010 05:11 PM (aVzyR)

384 unless he speaks against evolution he will lose the christian base

Posted by: Noah at February 17, 2010 08:47 PM (mhD2v)

Rs can go all in for evolution for all I care. Pro-choice will cause me to stay home.

Posted by: Rodent Freikorps at February 17, 2010 05:12 PM (dQdrY)

385 Okay, I have a huge problem with that statement and I'm not sure that knowing the audience to whom it was addressed or in what context makes it any better for me.

I don't have any problem with that quote, since the way it's edited (with the elision coming where it does) makes it extremely obvious that it has been violently ripped from its original context, which is likely to be completely innocuous.  The editing makes it pretty clear that the quote is a smear job edit.  I've been wrong before, but I'd love to see the full context first.

Posted by: Jeff B. at February 17, 2010 05:13 PM (l1KFP)

386 huh... well... I am quickly getting back off this mini pawlenty bandwagon.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 05:13 PM (jlvw3)

387 The editing makes it pretty clear that the quote is a smear job edit.

Brought to you by the Dept. of Redundancy Department.

Posted by: Jeff B. at February 17, 2010 05:14 PM (l1KFP)

388 Pawlenty can run...

...but he can't win.

Posted by: g at February 17, 2010 05:15 PM (phFNW)

389 Honestly, just give me anyone but Palin/Huck to unite around, and I'll be happy. 

Posted by: Jeff B. at February 17, 2010 05:16 PM (l1KFP)

390 Dan, I'm with you. Ace & others are saying she hasn't demonstrated knowledge that I think she quite clearly has demonstrated. So I don't get it. I just don't get it.

Posted by: qrstuv at February 17, 2010 05:16 PM (yGADV)

391 384 something other than schadenfruede must have soaked into your brain over at kos.

Posted by: dying in myrtle beach at February 17, 2010 05:17 PM (b6BRx)

392 I just realized how much ammunition the R candidate is going to have going into a Presidential debate in 2012. Good Lord.

And we need someone who can capitalize on it. Sharpen it to a razor's edge, gut President Toonces with it on national tv, and have everyone say what a nice guy he is afterward.

Like ace, I'm not sure about anything else about T-paw, but from that interview alone, I'd say he at least qualifies on the just-mentioned criteria.

Posted by: mr.frakypants at February 17, 2010 05:18 PM (pffBj)

393 Gosh, let me get my spreadsheet out and see how he stacks up. 2012 belongs to Palin.

Posted by: eman at February 17, 2010 05:19 PM (4tixt)

394 Sorry for the O/T, but I had to laugh at the AT&T U-verse description of Rachel Madcow's show:
"The noted liberal commentator and holder of a doctorate from Oxford mixes reported news, interviews with prominent newsmakers, commentary, and occasional sparring matches with conservatives as she brings to light seldom-discussed issues."

That doctorate from Oxford was certainly on display during her several minutes of infantile sniggering about teabagging.

Now back to our regularly-scheduled programming.

Posted by: MissFluffyMcNutter at February 17, 2010 05:19 PM (xMSXs)

395 >>>> But she connects with people in ways that scare the living shit out of her opponents on the left and the right. But she doesn't. Or let me put it like this: Her "connecting with people" scares the shit out of me because she connects so amazingly with 30% of the country and connects not at all with 60%. You are saying she "connects with people" as if she connects with 50%. She doesn't. If she did, frankly, I guess I would just have to steel myself for the possible problems with President Palin. I'd just accept it, and push my fears about her way down and ignore them. She doesn't merely not connect with 60% -- she turns off 60%. This is not the situation where 30% are wild about her and 25% more are okay with her. THAT would be a winning coalition. But she affirmatively turns off 60% of the public. Until she addresses the reasons that the gettable 25% conservatives and conservative-leaners are uncomfortable with her, she cannot ever be presdient. All she CAN do is win a plurality in the primaries, and then get beaten by Barack Obama. And it pisses me off that she will not address these issues, which are (I hope) addressable. Someone said of her "What she doesn't know, she can learn, but what she does know, can't be taught." That's what I used to think -- but she's not learning the stuff she doesn't know. It does us no good to walk into a critical election with a candidate who 30% love and maybe 15% more will reluctantly, anxiously, dutifully pull the lever for. I don't understand how just a year ago we were arguing she was ready for the VICE Presidential slot and now, with no new experience or anything, she's suddenly ready to be President.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 05:20 PM (jlvw3)

396

2012 will be the "anti leg thrills" year.

We've had enough of that.

The common touch will be the one to depose the boy king.

Posted by: proreason at February 17, 2010 05:21 PM (+8dSJ)

397 "Face it: Palin didn't accomplish much of anything at all as Alaska governor. " Oil deal after decades of stalling. Check. Cut budget. Check. Tore into corrupt politicians and tossed 'em out. Check. Good to know your definition of "nothing."

Posted by: qrstuv at February 17, 2010 05:21 PM (yGADV)

398 "349 >>Ace, don't worry, the republicans will nominate Mike Bloomberg, right?

I'm not on board with Palin so I must support a liberal?

A liberal like Thune?

Seriously: Sarah Palin is not the only conservative in the nation. You act as if she is the only one.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 08:40 PM (jlvw3)"

I didn't mention Palin but, since you did.  Honestly I was totally disturbed when she campaigned for McCain.  She would have every right, based on his behavior to go tell him to take a walk.  The fact that she didn't that she "played well with others" makes me re think my thoughts that she wants the presidency.  Also, Ron Paul's son's endorsement was a little sketchy too.  Which is why I think she doesn't want the presidency, she just wants the power to voice her opinions and maybe change things.  Right now she has BO on edge so that is good.  I think Cheney is out there speaking to forward his daughter.  Otherwise I think he would be quieter.

Posted by: curious at February 17, 2010 05:21 PM (p302b)

399 and by the way: I *WILL* vote for her in 2012, if she gets the nod. It's not like I'm threatening to not vote for her. But we will lose a winnable election 54-45, worse than last time.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 05:23 PM (jlvw3)

400 Ace, fer chrissakes, who are you comparing her to???? Coz I have no idea.

Posted by: qrstuv at February 17, 2010 05:23 PM (yGADV)

401 So what policy do you disagree with her on, Ace. it can't be the Gitmo detainee issue. was she right on that. It can't be the stimulus, where she challenged the state legislature, but didn't grandstand like Sanford, by taking it to court. Did she not describe the vaporous nature of Obama, to a tee. His backsliding on Afghanistan, Iran, Is it energy, nuclear, oil and natural where applicable. The health care bill is in intensive care, in part not because of Jindal, the health care expert, but the death panels, Does Katie Couric, and Charlie Gibson and Tina Fey matter that much in the scheme of things

Posted by: ian cormac at February 17, 2010 05:24 PM (/GonQ)

402 Ted Nugent for Sec. of the Interior

Posted by: Guy Fawkes at February 17, 2010 05:25 PM (cpuvG)

403 Um, all she has to do to get my support is be able to answer detailed policy questions fluently. Something other candidates do by sitting down with briefing books for 3 or 4 months. If she wants to blow that off, fine... But she won't have my vote. I'm afraid I am going to have to check homework before I vote someone in as president.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 05:26 PM (jlvw3)

404 I like Mitch Daniels, although I really have only lived here for a little over a year, so I can't really say whether he is worse or better than the previous guy. He's a fiscal hawk, which I like, and I really think the Republican candidate in 2012 needs to have a very good grasp of economic/fiscal issues (which is why I'm growing kind of lukewarm to Palin).

Just seeing what he's done with the BMVs here won me over to him as a newbie to the Hoosier State. It's a petty little thing, but being able to get in and out of the BMV in less than 15 minutes is fantastic. And they're clean! And the employees don't resent me for making them work! What a concept!

Posted by: Angry Beaver at February 17, 2010 05:26 PM (XFrSe)

405 Ace, where are you getting this idea the Palin is a cold toast? I'd hold off and see what happens as she campaigns for folks this year. The results there will trump any and all polls.

Posted by: eman at February 17, 2010 05:26 PM (4tixt)

406 lately I've been asking people if they would vote for her for president.  I'm really surprised at the negative reactions I'm getting.  They sure as hell succeeded in branding her with the "she stupid" banner and it isn't going away.  I've been told that they expected to see some great stuff out of her on Fox and so far, they say, they see a female BO with the Republican brand.  it did not help her that last night o'really was hell bent on destroying her on air.  He did a pretty convincing job, a lot of people saw that interview and he did not help her one bit.

Posted by: curious at February 17, 2010 05:27 PM (p302b)

407 I don't understand how just a year ago we were arguing she was ready for the VICE Presidential slot and now, with no new experience or anything, she's suddenly ready to be President.

Really, this is probably my major hangup with her. Obama was in no way, shape, or form qualified to be president. Because of that, it would be logically inconsistent for me to assert that she does have the requisite experience. IMO, the next guy has to have a ton of experience. I think the next guy is going to need a ton of executive experience, especially in the free market because he's going to have a lot of shit to clean up.

God help me, I'm leaning toward Romney.

Posted by: Ghost of Lee Atwater at February 17, 2010 05:28 PM (zLhuq)

408 oh and those who don't call her stupid call her a quitter.  So those are two real negatives firmly implanted in the American public which she may not be able to get out from under.  The real libs say "he would love to run against her, he would win a second term wherein with someone else he might lose".

Posted by: curious at February 17, 2010 05:28 PM (p302b)

409

fuck it. draw a name from a hat. everybody has at least one good idea in them.

 except obama, apparently.

Posted by: di butler, lover of blasty things at February 17, 2010 05:29 PM (S3xX1)

410 Oh, I see. You are a homework dude, ace. That stuff is important, but not critical compared to common sense, Conservative thinking, and courage. Wonks are for Cabinet positions. Tear down the Tina Fey poster, dude.

Posted by: eman at February 17, 2010 05:30 PM (4tixt)

411 And since I moved here from MS, I guess I should say a few words about Haley Barbour, too. He did a really great job after Katrina, and was able to bring Nissan and Toyota to Mississippi - huge pluses. But I don't think he could run on the national stage. I just can't see his appearance and his southern drawl playing well at all with the crowd that just elected Barack the Multiracial Wonder. I hate that, but that doesn't make his image any less of a liability for him.

Posted by: Angry Beaver at February 17, 2010 05:30 PM (XFrSe)

412 So what policy do you disagree with her on, Ace.

You are completely missing our point, which is that her policies are perfectly fine for the most part, but that this is simply not enough, not even close.  She has to demonstrate intellectual suppleness IN PUBLIC (not via ghostwritten editorials or professionally-crafted speeches), in interviews or give-and-take with citizens. 

I get absolutely no sense yet from Sarah Palin -- none whatsoever -- that she can coherenly enunciate the intellectual foundations of conservatism.  In other words, she can't explain to people who aren't already conservative why they ought to become that way.  Reagan could do that.  Smart policy guys like Paul Ryan or Mike Pence can do that.  Palin merely vibes with a SUBSECTION -- not even the entire group, but a mere subsectioN! -- of people who are already on her side.  She doesn't convince anyone.  At least, not yet.

Posted by: Jeff B. at February 17, 2010 05:31 PM (l1KFP)

413

Face it. Anyone who wants to be president of a bankrupt nation is crazy by definition.

We'll need to draft someone.

Posted by: Rodent Freikorps at February 17, 2010 05:31 PM (dQdrY)

414

See my takedown of that, above, if you actually care.
Wikipedia, a legitimate source of political information?
Please.
Posted by: notropis

i use wiki for the references, then check the footnotes...i dont work for msnbc.

whats wrong with minnesotans voting themselves higher taxes? actually that just proves my point. these people can't be trusted. 

 

 

Posted by: evil libertarian at February 17, 2010 05:32 PM (W6gtk)

415 I really like Palin but I just don't see how she can circumvent what seems to be brainwashing from the left about her quitting and her being stupid.  So far, on fox, she hasn't show stellar intelligence or offered anything but the same thing over and over.  People see that, they see her repeating and repeating and they think "well she got a chance from me, and I'm not impressed".  I feel kind of disappointed in her, I think she can do better but so far, she isn't coming across and after the absolute grilling she got from O'really last night, it is almost like Fox wants to make sure she stays with the station and away from politics.  Which makes you wonder if they are following some unknown dictate.

Posted by: curious at February 17, 2010 05:32 PM (p302b)

416 oh and those who don't call her stupid call her a quitter.

She might not be stupid.  But she most assuredly is a quitter.  I mean, you simply can't wish that away.

Posted by: Jeff B. at February 17, 2010 05:33 PM (l1KFP)

417 I'm not at all anti-Palin.  In fact, I waste quite a bit of time on the blogs coming to her defense. 

But there is something that bothers me, and it could well be a false equivalence:

Dan Quayle would have made a damn fine president: far more conservative than his boss, great grasp of policy, and more experience than any candidate since, except Al Gore.  But he never figured out how to overcome the damage that had been done to him by the MSM and his own unfortunate natural "wide-eyed innocent" look.

I'd hate it if Palin was just enough better than Quayle at image reconstruction to win the nomination, but not good enough to carry the actual election.

Posted by: notropis at February 17, 2010 05:33 PM (D6KR0)

418

i use wiki for the references, then check the footnotes

Posted by: evil libertarian at February 17, 2010 09:32 PM (W6gtk)


Then you already knew that what you highlighted was false. 

Great.

Posted by: notropis at February 17, 2010 05:35 PM (D6KR0)

419 "intellectual suppleness"? Get you pants creased! Step right up! She does not need to do any of that crap. She needs to tell us what is going to be rejected and what is going to be restored, what the USA will not do, what the USA will do, and that we already know why.

Posted by: eman at February 17, 2010 05:36 PM (4tixt)

420 375

from wiki

Since he became governor, property taxes increased by $3 billion and fees doubled. State and local tax rates increased for 90 percent of state residents, but tax rates decreased for those earning more than $130,000. During his first year as governor, Pawlenty balanced a deficit of $4.3 billion without raising taxes, primarily by reducing the rate of funding increases for state services, including funding for transportation, social services, and welfare. During his second term, Pawlenty erased a $2.7 billion deficit by cutting spending, shifting payments and using one-time money and the state department of Management and Budget estimates that the two-year budget beginning July 2011 is $4.4 billion short

and he won his 06 race by 27k votes, not to mention his agw stance and the ethanol garbage.

soft spoken and way to smiley for me. NEXT!

Posted by: evil libertarian at February 17, 2010 09:01 PM (W6gtk)

Now, now  - since when has a guy's actual record stood in the way of his pandering?

Posted by: MlR at February 17, 2010 05:36 PM (op9m5)

421 >>>That stuff is important, but not critical compared to common sense, Conservative thinking, and courage. If it's at least "important," why does she not address it? My problem... let me be frank. I had not previously bought the "Tina Fey" impression. However, I consider this to be a fixable problem -- for most people who are smart. They open the books, they study, they talk to briefing type guys. They get their shit straight. Bush did it, and Bush wasn't thought to be brilliant. (Smarter than most, of course, but not brilliant.) Here is my problem: If she continues not addressing the central worry people have about her -- about her intelligence and knowledge -- then there are only two possible explanations: 1) She's not running for president so it's not worth her time. SHe just wants to keep a high profile for making some (deserved) money. In which case I don't have to consider her for the presidency. or 2) She actually is too dumb to master this stuff. In which case I will not consider her for the presidency. Eman, it is NO SECRET why people are worried about Palin -- and it's NOT because she's "courageous" or "anti-establishment" or any of the other crap. It's because people doubt her IQ. Everyone knows this. It is the elephant in the room. So: She can either address it, in which case I can breathe a sigh of relief and start to get behind her, or I will be supporting someone else. There is NO EXCUSE not to address the big knock on her, assuming she can address it. And all her supporters do is make excuses, make excuses, make excuses for why it is Wise and Smart that she NOT address this, encouraging her to continue ignoring the one big thing that worries people.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 05:38 PM (jlvw3)

422 So policies don't matter, it's whatever stupid idea that the media pins on people, and some of the backstabbers in the McCain campaign, I don't have any against
Pawlenty, as with Huckabee, then again did you read the Esquire interview, it was
pretty embarassing, in part because he agreed to it.

Posted by: ian cormac at February 17, 2010 05:40 PM (/GonQ)

423 >>>She does not need to do any of that crap As I said: All her supporters do is make excuses, excuses, excuses as to why she should not tend to the gushing, gaping wound that keeps her from being a viable candidate. They always have a bizarre reason why she should continue "tricking people into thinking she's dumb" or whatever crap is the excuse this week.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 05:40 PM (jlvw3)

424 hey ace when has tpaw answered a "detailed policy question fluently" all i remember was awhile back, the little geek flubbed a question on wether snowe should stay in the GOP when questioned on morning joe

Posted by: dying in myrtle beach at February 17, 2010 05:41 PM (b6BRx)

425 Pawlenty has done a fabulous thing in Minnesota, he's thwarted and infuriated the Dems. Also he has done an unflinching job of holding the line on spending. That being said, he's as conservative as a Minnesota Rep can be, which is to say, not very.

Posted by: billhedrick at February 17, 2010 05:41 PM (wW/n0)

426 I was a Romney advocate last time and nothing has happened since then to change my position. Jim Demint also appears to agree with me. In regard to Palin, if she decides to run, I could never consider voting in a primary for someone for President that voluntarily resigned as a Govenor four years earlier.

Posted by: polynikes at February 17, 2010 05:41 PM (gjfMz)

427 he did in that interview I linked, right at the top of the thread.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 05:42 PM (jlvw3)

428 Eman, it is NO SECRET why people are worried about Palin -- and it's NOT because she's "courageous" or "anti-establishment" or any of the other crap. It's because people doubt her IQ.

Everyone knows this. It is the elephant in the room.

So: She can either address it, in which case I can breathe a sigh of relief and start to get behind her, or I will be supporting someone else.

I'm really glad we've gotten to the point here on AoSHQ where I can come right out and just admit that, yeah, I'm kinda becoming convinced that Sarah Palin isn't very smart. 

You know, what really pisses me off about this is that liberals use the whole "your guy = moron/our guy = genius" trope ALL THE TIME, and it's almost always wrong (Bush was almost certainly smarter than either Gore or Kerry, for example).  But here, for the first goddamn time, it WON'T be.  We will genuinely be guilty, as a party, of coalescing behind someone who lacks the necessary brainpower merely because she's an attractive symbol.

Posted by: Jeff B. at February 17, 2010 05:42 PM (l1KFP)

429 Here's the problem,

By this time next year you have to have your PAC with significant money in it and you have to have your organization on the ground set up, which is pretty sad that it has to be that way, but currently that leaves us with

Palin, Pawlenty, and Romney.  I begrudgingly would have to go with Pawlenty if I was dedicated chief candidate picker.  I prefer Pence right now, but I don't think the "election seasons" are going to work in his favor.

Posted by: Guy Fawkes at February 17, 2010 05:42 PM (cpuvG)

430 Ace, GWB was a C student, and we all know the old saying "C students rule the world".  He was, however, a people person.  He would sort of get to know world leaders on a personal level and then pull that out when he needed it.  And I think he was intelligent, just not intellectual.  Sarah Palin may be brilliant but, if she can't get this across then she might as well be a total dummy.  I've know lots of totally brilliant people who can come up with ten out of the box solutions to problems and predicaments but yet, when you are out with them socially, they fall flat.  You have to have both the ability to connect with people and the smarts to know what you don't know and who does know and the ability to get it across.  If she is starting to lose me, one of her biggest supporters, that isn't a good sign i think.

Posted by: curious at February 17, 2010 05:43 PM (p302b)

431 Beavers are quite conservative as well.

Posted by: Rodent Freikorps at February 17, 2010 05:43 PM (dQdrY)

432 I could never consider voting in a primary for someone for President that voluntarily resigned as a Govenor four years earlier.

Posted by: polynikes at February 17, 2010 09:41 PM (gjfMz)


How about 3 years earlier (she resigned in '09 and the primaries will be in '12)? 

Does that make it easier to vote for her?

(I didn't think so; I'm just being a smartass.)

Posted by: notropis at February 17, 2010 05:44 PM (D6KR0)

433 I just had to enter this Palin-thingy. Those who think that policy wonks can bail the US out of its current situation are dreaming in technicolor. They cannot. Policies will be dictated by conditions on the ground at the time not some nice sounding theory in 2010/2011/2012. Policies will arrive. What matters is the implementation.
It will be a question of determination and yes allow me to use the word  --WILL. The one thing that Palin demonstrates in spades is WILL. And those who have not been watching her performance in 2010 are really missing the boat here. The Palin model 2.0 is a vast improvement over the original version of 2008. A VAST improvement. And I don't think she is anywhere near finished with the planned upgrades. By 2012 I fully expect the model to have reached the 4.0 phase, and policy wonk or not she will be formidable. Very very formidable. Even on the policy front if my guess is accurate.
And IMAO that 71% figure is garbage. Anyone who has watched her this year and I especially refer to the Tea Party thingy, the subsequent Wallace Interview, and the O'Reilly interview of this week, knows that she is pretty much en fuego even now. Really on her game.
Policies don't win elections. People win elections. More succintly LIKABLE people win elections. Palin projects LIKABILITY.
If I had cash to burn(and who does these days, except the arch-villains at Goldman Sachs) I would bet large that she runs in 2012, that she wins the Republican nomination in 2012, and that she has a better than even chance to be President in 2012. It ALL depends on whether the economy is still tanking at that point, and frankly I would probably take a bet on that as well. I just don't see how it could possibly be doing anything else. It's structurally damaged, and is now like a car needing a engine rebuild. It still 'goes' sort of, but not very well, and without repair it will never get better on its own.

Posted by: Dougf at February 17, 2010 05:45 PM (8JckG)

434 You know what I'd do if only three months of studying stood between me and the presidency? I'd fucking study. How about you?

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 05:46 PM (jlvw3)

435 I know what you mean, ace. But her boning up on facts and policy and all that will also be used against her. Some will see at a genuine effort at self-improvement, some will see it a cynical stunt, and those who will be most impressed by this, frankly, are too interested in minutia and the air of intellectual accomplishment. She is smart to focus on simple fundamental truths and analyses. Like the death panel thing. A thinly endowed intellectual could demonstrate that it is an inaccurate term, but a truly smart person know such a panel does merit that term. And a truly smart person knows the thrust of an instinctive truth into the political maelstrom is far more powerful than a ten-page policy assessment.

Posted by: eman at February 17, 2010 05:46 PM (4tixt)

436 I give you facts, you show me impressions, The fact is we haven't developed our own energy resources in 40 years after untold energy crisis. The fact is China and Russia are not our friends, although they are smart enough not to fall for the global warming idiocy. The Saudis are not our friends, and yet we treat them as if they were. The Iranian people may prove to be our friends, although would you befriend
us, after the pitiful performance has brought about

Posted by: ian cormac at February 17, 2010 05:47 PM (/GonQ)

437 >>>I know what you mean, ace. But her boning up on facts and policy and all that will also be used against her. Some will see at a genuine effort at self-improvement, some will see it a cynical stunt, and those who will be most impressed by this, frankly, are too interested in minutia and the air of intellectual accomplishment. EXCUSE!!!!! "She'll be attacked IF she studies." STOP MAKING EXCUSES. I will not attack her. I would support her. And so would a good fraction of the country that thinks she has horse-sense but isn't sure she's got the actual knowledge base. It's the difference between winning and losing. If she wants to lose -- well, i ain't having any part of that.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 05:49 PM (jlvw3)

438

Then you already knew that what you highlighted was false. 

both articles fail to mention that minn voted itself higher sales taxes..either way connecticut did the same thing shifting payments, one time bond sales and "spending cuts" (which were no increase cuts) to cover the deficit this year.

we are looking at over a $1 billion deficit for 2010-11...does anybody have jodi rell on the presidential list?

Posted by: evil libertarian at February 17, 2010 05:50 PM (W6gtk)

439 and those who will be most impressed by this, frankly, are too interested in minutia and the air of intellectual accomplishment.

Guess what?  They're also the people she needs to convince if she wants to win either the GOP nomination or a general election.  Whether or not you think their concerns are misplaced (I happen to think they're not -- there's a reason we want our President to project competence and intellectual acumen as he/she represents us on the world stage and/or navigates Congress), any politician worth two shits on a national level needs to satisfy them. 

Posted by: Jeff B. at February 17, 2010 05:50 PM (l1KFP)

440 BTW, the quitter meme is so 2009. It was wrong then and is is easily seen to be wrong now.

Posted by: eman at February 17, 2010 05:51 PM (4tixt)

441

In 2008 the dems had veto-proof majorities in both houses of the MN legislature, yet Pawlenty completely spanked their asses on the budget.  How?  By exploiting a legal technicality to run out the clock before they realized what was happening. "He wouldn't dare use the nuclear option and make unilateral rescissions, would he?"  Yep.  "He wouldn't dare cut medical aid to the poor would he?" Yep! When it comes to budget cuts Pawlenty would cut aid to puppies if he felt it was needed.  He's the polar opposite of compassionate-conservative Bush on budgets.

Posted by: Gideon7 at February 17, 2010 05:51 PM (bD3TN)

442 400+ comments and counting. Lots and lots of talk about bland geeks like Pawlenty, Thune, Ryan, Daniels, and on and on and . . . zzzzzzzz. Meanwhile, let's question Sarah Palin's IQ. Because that's what the conventional wisdom has told us. The Democratic Party, the far left, the Obama administration and the media (but I repeat myself) have mounted an ongoing campaign to destroy this woman. I doubt that's because they think she's too stupid to win. I also doubt it's because they fear the likes of Pawlenty and Thune. This kind of stuff is what makes me think the GOP, in its institutional wisdom, just might find a way to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.

Posted by: tsj017 at February 17, 2010 05:53 PM (TO4Pw)

443 How about you?

Me?

I'd spend my time engaging in media spats with boorish late night comedians or dignifying a tasteless gibe from a cartoon with a response.

Posted by: Sarah at February 17, 2010 05:53 PM (aVzyR)

444 I am not making an excuse for why should not do her homework. I am pointing out that doing so can create issues as well as end them. If she thinks she needs to bone up on stuff, fine. If not, also fine. I trust her political instincts. Ask President Easy bake how good they are.

Posted by: eman at February 17, 2010 05:54 PM (4tixt)

445 BTW, the quitter meme is so 2009.

It was wrong then and is is easily seen to be wrong now.

Oh, it was wrong?  I was on vacation in Montreal when it all went down, so maybe I got my version of things all mixed-up.  Was she impeached and forced out of office instead?  What, she wasn't?  Okay, so she resigned then?  You mean to tell me...wait for it...she quit her job?

How was this "quitter" impression wrong then?  Because I have to admit that, regardless of how "easily seen to be wrong" that is, I'm seeing it as "pretty fucking correct."

Posted by: Jeff B. at February 17, 2010 05:54 PM (l1KFP)

446 I've heard Palin on policy, where she really knew the details of what she was talking about -- namely, Alaska Oil and Gas, and the Alaska State Constitution, which she cited by article and section, with no notes and no writing on her hand (there used to be a clip of it bouncing around back in '08.) 

I've no doubt she's smart enough.

So far, though, she hasn't come across that way at all, except on her Facebook postings, which are pretty darn good.

David Brooks can get by on gaseous, no-nothing generalizations.  That's who he is, and everyone but he knows it, and he doesn't aspire to be anything more.

I'm wondering whether Palin actually aspires to being anything more.  Not that she needs to.

If I'd been Sarah Palin, after the trashing the media gave to my family, I would have said fuck politics, and gone back to my fishing business.

Posted by: notropis at February 17, 2010 05:55 PM (D6KR0)

447 Posted by: tsj017 at February 17, 2010 09:53 PM (TO4Pw)

What scares me is that all my lib friends seem to want Palin to win the nomination cause they think she will lose badly.  They say, she is the best thing to happen to a man who doesn't deserve a second term.  That scares me  I am disgusted with what o'really did last night.  I wish she would have come back at him with a vengeance.  But, technically, since he has been there from day 1, he's her boss.  He is such a coward.  he took advantage of his position at fox to cut her down and she could do nothing if she wants him in her court and to keep her job. 

Posted by: curious at February 17, 2010 05:56 PM (p302b)

448 Jeff B., She did quit her job, but the term quitter is not being used in regard to her as a technicality, but as a sign of cowardice and weakness. Her quitting the Governorship under the circumstances she was in was just the opposite. Review the facts and I bet you will see.

Posted by: eman at February 17, 2010 05:58 PM (4tixt)

449 Posted by: evil libertarian at February 17, 2010 09:50 PM (W6gtk)

That's only one problem with the "fact."

(From above)

109 State and local tax rates increased for 90 percent of state residents, but tax rates decreased for those earning more than $130,000.


I'm a bit bothered by the passive-voice there. [Ace]



I'm bothered by the source:  Wikipedia. 

The only way that the above sentence can be interpreted factually is by noting that it says "state and local tax rates" increased, which must lump both together and reflects that almost every county and municipality in the state has either raised property tax rates or instituted or raised local sales taxes or both.

Certainly, Pawlenty shares some of the blame for this, by not actually trying very hard to decrease the size of the state government, but rather shifting costs by cutting funds for municipalities, and shrinking the growth of state funds for schools.  But school districts and municipalities could have made local downsizing decisions.  Most decided to raise local taxes.

"Tax rates decreased" must mean state income tax rates only, since those are the only taxes in Minnesota that are based on income, and I'm even skeptical of this "fact."

Posted by: notropis at February 17, 2010 07:15 PM (D6KR0)


Posted by: notropis at February 17, 2010 05:58 PM (D6KR0)

450 lowandslow is a troll. Search for his name on every single Palin thread on HotAir, and you will see where his arguments have been consistently shot down. I'm too lazy to get into it, and I've said all I'm saying about Palin.

But Romney, Huckabee and Pawlenty are guaranteed losers. Bank on it.

Posted by: Tattoo De Plane at February 17, 2010 06:00 PM (mHQ7T)

451 TPaw really showed the Dems and ACORN in the Coleman-Franken race. Thank God we have Norm in the Senate fighting for us.

Posted by: bc3 at February 17, 2010 06:00 PM (jqZr+)

452 Palin has jumped right into the most important and divisive political tornados since she quit her AK job. A sign of a "quitter"? She has challenged and defeated the POTUS in Healthcare? A "quitter"?

Posted by: eman at February 17, 2010 06:00 PM (4tixt)

453 Am I a Palin hater? Did I FAKE my previous enthusiasm? No. Let me tell you a story. I was already a fan of Palin for a while. My girlfriend at the time and I had a mutual fondness for her. At any rate, when McCain picked Palin, my gf ran into the room and woke me up (yeah, was sleeping late) which she NEVER does to practically squeal, "It's PALIN!" "What?" I said. "It's Palin!" "IT's palin what," I said. "Palin! Vice President! It's Palin!" And then I said "HOLY SHIT" and jumped on the computer to start blogging (and of course Drew or someone had already posted it). I was a big fan of Palin. 1, for Vice President. and 2, with the expectation that the unsureness she often projects would go away with time. It hasn't. And it's her fault. I cannot be blamed for this. I have waited a long time and kept my feelings on this private because 1, it's bad for traffic, but 2, also because i didn't want to join the mob on her. And I'm not really joining the mob. But as I have been saying for a while: Either she bones up or she doesnt have my support. I keep being told she WILL, in the future. Well, when? The campaign season is already startng, and will be in full swing in just eight months. So when will this happen? I am not alone. People who used to be ga-ga for Palin are losing confidence in her every day. My former gf for example -- she went off palin months ago. Other people I know, people she'd need to win -- they were once supporters. Now they are... concerned. This is up to HER. It's not up to ME to just believe more strongly. I have a specific worry about her which she can address at any time she deems it worth addressing.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 06:01 PM (jlvw3)

454 C'mon, the Frankin fiasco was out of the gov's hands at that point.  The MN  supreme court was already dem packed as was the secy of state (a former ACORN employee).   Nothing he could do.

Posted by: Gideon7 at February 17, 2010 06:03 PM (bD3TN)

455 Posted by: bc3 at February 17, 2010 10:00 PM (jqZr+)

Sadly, there was little the governor could do -- the crucial decisions belonged to the Secretary of State and the Attorney General, both Democrats.

And, as has been well documented over at Powerline, Coleman's legal team was pitiful.  It takes a certain pit bull attitude that they lacked to steal something back that's been stolen from you, and I'm not real sure that there was much Coleman (or Pawlenty) could have done to keep it from being stolen in the first place.  Mark Richie (Secretary of State and long-time ACORN advocate) saw to that, pretty quickly.

Posted by: notropis at February 17, 2010 06:05 PM (D6KR0)

456 I used to be ga-ga for Palin myself.  Shit, check my posts RIGHT HERE ON AOSHQ back when she was picked.  Pretty sure you'll see me being enthusiastic as hell.  But, as Ace said, she failed to live up to the hype for me.  I soured on her more quickly than he did, really.

Posted by: Jeff B. at February 17, 2010 06:05 PM (l1KFP)

457 notropis, What about Pawlenty's "The era of small government is over" quote? That's kinda bad. Any context that can save it?

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 06:06 PM (jlvw3)

458 You're not helping, Jeff. Everyone knows you're a RINO fairy. Every time you agree with me my cred goes down 1%. Just kidding. But seriously, I mean it.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 06:07 PM (jlvw3)

459

Seems simple.

All we need is a super sexy, super smart, policy wonk, outsider. Not a problem.

Posted by: Rodent Freikorps at February 17, 2010 06:07 PM (dQdrY)

460 ace, let's say she has been doing what you want for several months now. How should she demonstrate her knew knowledge? Essays? Interviews with experts? If she demonstrates high competence in one or two matters that she never addressed before, will that be enough?

Posted by: eman at February 17, 2010 06:08 PM (4tixt)

461 You know a lot of us women still can't fathom that hillary stayed with Bill after he humiliated her.  But she did.  Which may explain why she accepts not being the full Secretary of State and having some of his people right there with her to guide her.  She doesn't stand up for herself.  Well the same women are concerned that Palin just took all the crap from McCain and his campaign and if you didn't read her book, which I didn't, you don't know if she is another hillary.  Accepting crap and moving along.   She was destroyed on SNL by tina fey so much so that people can't tell who was Palin and who was tina, yes they do exist.  and then catty kore ick ...destroyed her too.  And all the while she has been "nice sweet Sarah Palin".  Maybe that is her way, maybe she will someone  get back at them quietly and deftly but so far, it looks like she took all the crap.  So I guess I'm looking to see the claws come out to see if she has some teeth to see if she can fight it out with the best of em.

Posted by: curious at February 17, 2010 06:09 PM (p302b)

462 Rodent, right, it's hard, no one is going to be perfect. But Palin frustrates me because this is -- assuming she is intelligent, which I do, or at least used to -- be within her control to correct, unlike, say, Daniels being a short guy, which obviously he cannot remedy. This is really pissing me off.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 06:09 PM (jlvw3)

463 knew knowledge, heh good one, edick

Posted by: eman at February 17, 2010 06:10 PM (4tixt)

464 But she doesn't.

Or let me put it like this:

Her "connecting with people" scares the shit out of me because she connects so amazingly with 30% of the country and connects not at all with 60%.

At this point in "the race," you connect with "the base."  The people she is energizing right now are the same types of people that Obama energized circa Spring, 2006.  Her audience is the group of people you can absolutely depend on to turn out for early caucuses and primaries. 

Her message is almost identical to the one that Reagan was preaching to his dedicates in Spring 1974 and (refined) again in Spring 1978.  It's lower taxes, it's personal responsibility, it's the evil of big government, it's Morning in America all over again.  In 2010, it's also energy independence and supporting our troops.  That message doesn't resonate right now with the the 60% you mention because, frankly, the other 30% is busy watching the Olympics, watching American Idol, watching the women's movement from behind, etc.

I can't predict how they'll react when they finally start paying attention, but the message she's preaching is the same one he did.  She is Ronald Reagan with tits and at least as good of a set of political instincts.  I am telling you man, DO NOT underestimate her.

The people she needs to motivate right now are the people who pull out their checkbooks and donate.  Right now, her job (should she decide to run) is to build a base of support and build a war chest.

Again, I am not a Palin supporter.  I am just a seasoned observer, and I have seen this before. 

Posted by: GulfCoastTider at February 17, 2010 06:10 PM (fYERs)

465 Every time you agree with me my cred goes down 1%.

Just kidding.

But seriously, I mean it.

Guess I'll leave the Tuff Turf praise to you, then.  Wouldn't want to damage the reputation of Kim Richards.

The funny thing is that anyone would think of me as a RINO.  Squish?  That part I get.  But RINO?  God, if wishing crushing, soul-destroying defeat upon the Democrats due to the conquest of conservative values isn't in written my DNA, then nothing is.

Posted by: Jeff B. at February 17, 2010 06:12 PM (l1KFP)

466 notropis fair enough. but to be honest i'm not really a good point man for the cookie cutter "conservative" type. TP personally does nothing for me i'm sure hes a nice guy and all but he doesn't come across to me personally as someone who can stand up and push the conservative ideology to the masses.  we need someone who understands that conservatism is not the road to the white house it has to be the main driving force of his/her administration at every level. i don't see that person in the game right now.

Posted by: evil libertarian at February 17, 2010 06:12 PM (W6gtk)

467 >>>How should she demonstrate her knew knowledge? Essays? >>>Interviews with experts? Interviews on specific policy areas in debate-style forums (like on Meet the Press where they have an advocate from either side) and/or with hostile interviewers. >>>If she demonstrates high competence in one or two matters that she never addressed before, will that be enough? No, not one or two matters. I want to know she's on the ball. I want her to have the sort of baseline level of bullshitty pseudo-fluency that most candidates fake. I need her to really know economics. That is obviously key. The fact is if she could do it for "one or two areas" she could do it for all areas so why the limitation? Do other candidates just get to talk about the one or two areas they've bond up on? But assuming she did that -- yeah, she'd have my support. She's got rock-star charisma and is right on the issues. There's only one thing keeping me off of her -- the suspicion she's either dumb or lazy or some combination of both.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 06:13 PM (jlvw3)

468

That is MSM bullshit from the Minneapolis 'Red Star' Tribune.  In his article on Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty (August 4), John J. Miller cited a 2006 article from the Star Tribune in which Pawlenty said, "The era of small government is over." The Star Tribune later clarified that Pawlenty was not expressing his personal view, but that of New York Times columnist David Brooks.

See http://tinyurl.com/yzx4r9a

Posted by: Gideon7 at February 17, 2010 06:13 PM (bD3TN)

469 Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 10:06 PM (jlvw3)

I don't actually remember it, so I'm assuming it isn't as bad as it sounds, although he's never really shown himself to be a real proponent of smaller government, at least at the state level.

I'll do some digging and see if I can find out the context.

He's a bit too big on "public-private partnership" nonsense for me, but then again, so is Newt.

In fact, he reminds me a bit of Newt in terms of his love for the latest catch-phrases and big ideas and new-age sorts of thinking.  And that does bother me, although most of what he's advocated is pretty mainstream modern Republican governor fare.  I don't know how it would/will play out on a national scale, however.

Posted by: notropis at February 17, 2010 06:14 PM (D6KR0)

470 All the smart people knew that Ronald Reagan was an amiable dunce. ALL the smart people KNEW this.

Posted by: tsj017 at February 17, 2010 06:14 PM (TO4Pw)

471 Posted by: Gideon7 at February 17, 2010 10:13 PM (bD3TN)

Thank you.  You're way ahead of me.

Posted by: notropis at February 17, 2010 06:14 PM (D6KR0)

472 Pawlenty, tacking with the winds.

Posted by: apodoca at February 17, 2010 06:16 PM (O8NWU)

473 who has the biggest cojones in the GOP?

Posted by: dying in myrtle beach at February 17, 2010 06:16 PM (b6BRx)

474 >>>That is MSM bullshit from the Minneapolis 'Red Star' Tribune. In his article on Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty (August 4), John J. Miller cited a 2006 article from the Star Tribune in which Pawlenty said, "The era of small government is over." The Star Tribune later clarified that Pawlenty was not expressing his personal view, but that of New York Times columnist David Brooks. See http://tinyurl.com/yzx4r9a WOW. Thanks for that correction!!!! See? What a fucking productive, useful thread. The pros come out, the slams come out, some slams are debunked, and we start to hone in on the truth. This is good. You guys are putting me some fucking knowledge. You're a real resource here, notropis. Very balanced.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 06:17 PM (jlvw3)

475 >>>>ALL the smart people KNEW this. I'm easily persuaded. All I need Palin to do is acheive the same fluency candidate BUsh managed after several months of prepping.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 06:18 PM (jlvw3)

476 >>>>ince no one has mentioned it yet, let me toss in another name, Hailey Barbor, Governor of the State of Mississippi. Not an endorsement, but a name to keep an eye on. He was mentioned.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 06:18 PM (jlvw3)

477

I guess I'm really confused, because I don't see where anyone considering a run at the WH has espoused specific policies that they would enact.   I hear all of them give the same generalities (is that a word?).  

 Can anyone tell me who has given us specific information about what they will do?

Posted by: Steph at February 17, 2010 06:19 PM (44+V5)

478 Thank you.  You're way ahead of me.

See, I TOLD you that the quote simply had to be taken out of context.  It would simply have been suicidally insane coming from the mouth of a GOP politician.

Big cheers to Notropis.

Posted by: Jeff B. at February 17, 2010 06:19 PM (l1KFP)

479 This is really pissing me off.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 10:09 PM (jlvw3)

She'll get hot on that, or not. Only time will tell.

One positive is that she has a nationwide army of very motivated foot soldiers already. Everyone knows her name.

Posted by: Rodent Freikorps at February 17, 2010 06:19 PM (dQdrY)

480 I need a very good reason why I should not expect that from someone who seeks to become President.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 06:19 PM (jlvw3)

481 Also: wow, is David Brooks a total tool or what? 

Posted by: Jeff B. at February 17, 2010 06:19 PM (l1KFP)

482 I agree with your assessment that one or two items is not enough to show true command of the issues. I also would welcome seeing a new clear demonstration of that ingredient of a good President. She just doesn't need to do any of that to convince me she is a good choice for the job.

Posted by: eman at February 17, 2010 06:20 PM (4tixt)

483

palin will run and beat obama- take that to the bank.

 

Posted by: Malik Shabazz NBP at February 17, 2010 06:20 PM (ptYyx)

484 >>>One positive is that she has a nationwide army of very motivated foot soldiers already. Everyone knows her name. And what on earth could be her possible reason from not doing the one thng necessary to be president?

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 06:20 PM (jlvw3)

485 I have a question.  And I'm as guilty as anyone else who fell into the trap...  But who was it that turned this into a Palin discussion, and is it Ok to BBQ the futhermucker?

It's Ash Wednesday, a day of Fasting and I'm hungry...

Posted by: GulfCoastTider at February 17, 2010 06:22 PM (fYERs)

486 lowandslow...you're full of shit.   Can you not freakin' read?

Posted by: Steph at February 17, 2010 06:22 PM (44+V5)

487 She just doesn't need to do any of that to convince me she is a good choice for the job.

To many, many, many voters that's actually MORE important than her actual policy positions.  You may think that completely insane but it's not, really: lots of people who voted Obama (even right-leaning people) did it on competency grounds.  For better or worse (thanks, MSM!) he came across as the cool, calm "leader" who could be Presidential while McCain was panicking and suspending his campaign, etc.  People care a lot about "competence" when they vote for President, which is why Palin is so poisonous to the GOP unless she gets her shit together intellectually.

Posted by: Jeff B. at February 17, 2010 06:23 PM (l1KFP)

488 Does he ever get into specifics that sound like he's really on top of things?  I heard lot's of generic opposition-speak, but nothing I haven't heard from any of the other major players on the right, including McCain.  When you sound like McCain, you need to worry.

I lost any respect I had for him back when I listened to interviews with him in late 2007 and early 2008. Hugh Hewitt was pushing him for VP back then, and telling everyone that Pawlenty was a very good candidate for POTUS.  So I listened with an open mind (remember, Palin was safely no one back then). Pawlenty was given a major chance to back McCain's call for a surge in Iraq (which proved to be damned accurate and necessary).

Exasperation. He mailed it in.  He made it sound like he wasn't very supportive, but wasn't entirely against McCain's call for a surge. He sounded totally ambivalent. He let the Dem guy on the panel (some Fox news thingy, I think) make point after point and just sat there sagely nodding. Like it was no big deal.

Then he got behind AGW, big time, and later acted like he had no preference in the Senatorial race.  Okay, fine.  Act like Switzerland. But ACORN was behind some serious shenanigans, and Pawlenty again sounded totally ambivalent about that, in several interviews with Hugh.

We don't need a Milque-toaster.  We don't even need a new Reagan.  But whoever it is has to excite people enough to keep them awake, and Pawlenty just doesn't do that.

Don't get me wrong.  If he's the primary winner I'll vote for him.  But I sure as hell hope he isn't any higher than VP on the ticket.

Posted by: K~Bob at February 17, 2010 06:23 PM (9b6FB)

489 >>>She just doesn't need to do any of that to convince me she is a good choice for the job. You understand that this is the one thing that keeps her from 50%, right? What possible reason could she have to not do this? Even if, as you seem to think, my demands are churlish, still, my demands are relatively easily met, and 20% of the country has the same demand. Under those circumstances, shouldn't she acquiesce, even if she (and you) think it "minutiae"? Again: This IS the presidency. If three months of studying and briefing and prepping is the only thing standing between her and the Oval Office, and yet she refuses... well, she's got some kind of psychological problem, some sort of pevish fuck-you stubbornness, or something, that isn't a good virtue. (And please don't just immediately tell me that's a GREAT VIRTUE in a president.)

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 06:24 PM (jlvw3)

490 Ash Wednesday is a day of Fasting? Did know that. Ot I forgot.

Posted by: eman at February 17, 2010 06:24 PM (4tixt)

491 "But who was it that turned this into a Palin discussion" It's a discussion of potential GOP candidates in 2012. Any such discussion will become a Palin discussion. See where this is heading?

Posted by: tsj017 at February 17, 2010 06:25 PM (TO4Pw)

492 But who was it that turned this into a Palin discussion, and is it Ok to BBQ the futhermucker?

I think it might have been me.  I did sort of "volunteer" out of nowhere my opposition to Palin, which led someone else to ask why she was so unqualified, which...well, you know, it's hard to remember exactly.  It was chaos.  I think I might have accidentally converted to Mormonism and back during the whole scrum.

Posted by: Jeff B. at February 17, 2010 06:25 PM (l1KFP)

493 I hope I can go back and re watch that interview with o'really last night.  My take away was that Palin lost and lost big and that he wanted to embarass her and make her look stupid.  he succeeded, am beginning to think he truly has problems with women as he has his harem and he loves to trounce them and they take it, money is an amazing motivator.  Anyway, I would love to see her trounce o'really.   Heck, I wasn't the only one bothered by the interview.  Callers to rush mentioned it too.

Posted by: curious at February 17, 2010 06:25 PM (p302b)

494 K-bob, Thanks for that. I am reading the bad stuff on him, too.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 06:25 PM (jlvw3)

495 due to the conquest of conservative values isn't in written my DNA, then nothing is.

Posted by: Jeff B. at February 17, 2010 10:12 PM (l1KFP)

That would have sounded better as "conquered by conservative values."

Posted by: Rodent Freikorps at February 17, 2010 06:25 PM (dQdrY)

496 It became about Palin quickly because those firmly behind Palin rushed in to say Pawlenty (and everyone else) was unacceptable, and then listed the qualities they wanted in a President, including moose-hunting, wolf-assassinating, and pregnancy-faking.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 06:26 PM (jlvw3)

497 That would have sounded better as "conquered by conservative values."

Oh shit, my mask has slipped!

(Sorry about that, you're right that it's a typo.)

Posted by: Jeff B. at February 17, 2010 06:27 PM (l1KFP)

498 There's only one thing keeping me off of her -- the suspicion she's either dumb or lazy or some combination of both. certain knowledge that Todd would rip out my beating heart.

FIFY

Posted by: MissFluffyMcNutter at February 17, 2010 06:27 PM (xMSXs)

499 Ace's problem seems (to me) to be "she's not doing what the political/media establishment says she HAS to do". Or what's generally expected of a presidential candidate. For good or ill, she doesn't strike me as someone who does what the powers that be tell her she has to.

Posted by: tsj017 at February 17, 2010 06:27 PM (TO4Pw)

500 Ace:

Thanks!

I just want Obama gone in 2012.  What a fricking nightmare.

And to think, I was hoping for him over Hillary, just to keep Bill away from the Oval Office (and because I thought McCain would man up if he were running against a man;  I thought he'd roll over for Hillary.)  About now, I'd welcome the occasional missing FBI files and slit tires and even one or two dead bodies in Ft. Marcy Park.

Posted by: notropis at February 17, 2010 06:27 PM (D6KR0)

501 @140 @135 Doesn't the creation of a Single Payer System in Mass. by Romney scare you? Good point. It is irritating to hear GOP players suggest that Dems are right in that healthcare should be reformed, it's just that Dems aren't doing it right. Hogwash! That's letting Dems set the agenda. We do not need a variation on the Democrat agenda. Romney doesn't scare me, but I don't like his touting the Mass health plan as a good idea. Government intervention in health care is the underlying cause of the horrendous healthcare expense. More regulation is not the right answer. On this issue, it may be a Hobson's choice of the lesser of two evils. I believe that by the time Romney could come into power, the Mass experiment in social medicine will have proven itself to be a worse idea than not embarking down that path. Would Romney learn from that experiment? I hope so. The perfect candidate does not exist. As a businessman, I want to see a leader who has actually run a for-profit business take the reins over taxation and regulation. After all, without profits, where will the taxes come from to pay for all this profligacy?

Posted by: Dane Skold at February 17, 2010 06:28 PM (Cd1LY)

502 Like what Newt spouts almost every night, on any platform, but you can't believe a word of it, because he shared the couch with Pelosi, pals around Sharpton, flacked
for Freddi Mac, gave up on iraq during the surge, gave a recommendation for Dede, and I'm just talking policy here. The thing that is increasing clear, that if she were to run, it is not about just attaining the office, The reason she signed on to the McCain express, was she had a hope, vain though it might have been, that the America that Obama would bring about, would be bad for her newborn son
(death panels kind of prove the point), for her oldest on patrol in Diyala, and possibly next deployed to Afghanistan, to what she calls "God's Country, her native
Alaska. She hasn't been destroyed, she hasn't wavered in her principles in the year
and a half since she appeared in Minneapolis. That there are people that think she has, says more about their judgement, than hers.

Posted by: ian cormac at February 17, 2010 06:29 PM (/GonQ)

503 499, The thought of saying that to you did not cross my mind. I think what you want and need her to do is not necessary. She can win without it. Persuasion is the key here, ace. She's good at that and her command of fundamental truths far outweighs any real or imagined weakness in details. Every candidate has a combination of strengths and weaknesses. She is no different. What brings one person to her may repel another. I believe her combination is enough, easily so, to win in 2012.

Posted by: eman at February 17, 2010 06:32 PM (4tixt)

504 >>>For good or ill, she doesn't strike me as someone who does what the powers that be tell her she has to. Well, the job description includes that. If she wants the job, she'll do what's necessary to land it. I'm tired of being told she's so frigging unconventional she doesn't have to even study to become president.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 06:32 PM (jlvw3)

505 eman, Do you think she'll need to know policy when she's actually president? Or will she just general-theme it then, too? And if she will need to know it then --um, why wait? Why not learn it now? When her schedule is comparatively flexible?

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 06:35 PM (jlvw3)

506 Listen, Palin is smart, but it doesn't matter, I want a winner, we cannot survive with Obama again.  She not only has to have some Liz Cheney type smack down appearances, but she has to have more than everybody else.  Why?  Because she is Sarah Palin and nobody else has that burden.  Its not fair, but she got tainted in the eyes of the public, even if that public knows how unfair it is.  The good news is she's one of the few with name recognition, can raise boatloads of money, and has established a PAC.  The other good news is she has 9 months to study for Ace's 3-month exam.

Posted by: Guy Fawkes at February 17, 2010 06:35 PM (cpuvG)

507

Yeah, yeah, you're right, AGW was bogus.  I hope Pawlenty will quickly and publicly recognize that believing the solenmn judgment of world-respected global climatologists was a mistake.  Gosh, respectable international scientists are liars, whoda thunk it?

Posted by: Gideon7 at February 17, 2010 06:35 PM (bD3TN)

508 Look, I think the American people will be "gun shy" in the next election.  Very wary, almost afraid to elect anyone.  Why?  Cause look what happened this time around.  They trusted and so far, their trust has been squandered.    I worry that they will be so terrified that they will give this guy a second term with the "devil you know is better than the devil you don't know" phrase to support themselves.  Plus, you have to realize that all that money that hasn't been used will come pouring out just at the right time and people will falsely think that he has fixed everything.

Posted by: curious at February 17, 2010 06:36 PM (p302b)

509 Does anyone know of a website that tries to keep potential POTUS candidates up front?  I know POLITICO and Barone do a lot of that kinda thing, but the tracking there gets buried a lot.

I'd like to know who's in a position to run, who probably won't run, and who is quietly doing things they need to do to prepare for a run.  (A good example there is Evan Bayh.) We also don't hear much about Romney in most blogs I frequent (and I check a lot, including memeorandum and other aggregation sites).

I think there must be some potential candidates that could blow away the same tired list that always includes Newt and GomerHuckabee.

I don't mind the doubts about Palin, and I agree she needs to step it up a notch at some point. The calls for newly elected Senator Brown to run strike me as totally bizarre.

Hmm.  Not going anywhere with this, so just lemme know if you recommend a site.

Posted by: K~Bob at February 17, 2010 06:37 PM (9b6FB)

510 Just found this article on Pawlenty when looking for that quote.  Pretty good read.

http://tinyurl.com/ygtm8ts

Posted by: Dave S at February 17, 2010 06:38 PM (PZak5)

511 Ah ,,, the old bread and circuses tactic .
It's a classic .

Posted by: awkward davies at February 17, 2010 06:38 PM (wb68R)

512 Persuasion is the key here, ace. She's good at that and her command of fundamental truths far outweighs any real or imagined weakness in details.

Eman -

Serious question. What evidence have we ever seen that Sarah Palin is actually, as you say, "good at" persuasion?  Everything I have seen about her indicates the exact opposite: she is uniquely POOR at the art of persuasion, and absolutely terrible at reaching out to people who don't already share her political views and convincing them to get on board.  She intoxicates and enthuses an already-sold base, but they love her for who she is more than what she says. 

Again, I'm not being snarky, I'd like an answer from you or any other Palin fan who wants to speak up: when has she displayed persuasive skill?  When has she demonstrated crossover appeal?  Isn't she, in fact, pretty much the walking definition of a niche politician with selective appeal right now?

Posted by: Jeff B. at February 17, 2010 06:39 PM (l1KFP)

513 Even economists don't understand the economy.

Posted by: Rodent Freikorps at February 17, 2010 06:39 PM (dQdrY)

514 Sorry, I had to run out for dinner, a doobie, and sex.  Who did we nominate?

Posted by: motionview at February 17, 2010 06:39 PM (FnQYo)

515 New Post: Mike Pence to visit... NEW HAMPSHIRE. Another toe in the water.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 06:41 PM (jlvw3)

516 Palin demonstrated crossover appeal for two weeks -- which was part of the reason people like me fell evne more in love with her (a political thunderbolt!) -- but of course has been losing appeal/support ever since. I am not aware of anyone in the net who has been brought over to conservatism through palin.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 06:42 PM (jlvw3)

517

I don't know if Sarah will run or not.   Hell, I don't recall anyone actually declaring their candidacy, yet.   Who's to say that Sarah's not studying, and preparing herself?   If I were her, I sure wouldn't go on any of the Sunday morning shows until I was damn ready to have them crucify me, because that's exactly what they're going to try to do.   She has time.   She's smart & she's tough.

You all know that no matter what she does & says, she's not going to get the same treatment as Romney, Huck, Pawlenty, or anyone else.    Damn, we've got time before we have to start eating our own.   I just want to find someone that's freakin' honest about thier positions & doesn't change them to suit where the wind is blowing.

Posted by: Steph at February 17, 2010 06:43 PM (44+V5)

518 Who says she doesn't know policy? How much do President-elects have to unlearn when they begin their transition? I am not saying knowing policy is unimportant (and the level of detail is an easy trap to lay out). I am saying it is not a deal breaker. Mitt Romney for example probably has forgotten more about economics that Palin has ever learned. Woo hoo. Mitt still praised Mass Health and said "I like mandates!" during a 2008 GOP debate. Those are deal breakers. What good did all of Mitt economic knowledge do the MA residents that have to live under Mass Health? Knowing the policies and background is important, but knowing what to do with your knowledge is much more important.

Posted by: eman at February 17, 2010 06:43 PM (4tixt)

519

And what on earth could be her possible reason from not doing the one thng necessary to be president?

exactly if i was in her position i would be hitting the books 20 hours a day. i don't need to hear "the great thing about america is" 500 times a week. put up or shut up. leave the little tag lines to joe the plumber. come out with an economic recovery plan or a heath care proposal. one facebook post damn near killed obamacare, any coherent common sense approach will be well received and have the ability to change minds rather quickly.

Posted by: evil libertarian at February 17, 2010 06:43 PM (W6gtk)

520 And what on earth could be her possible reason from not doing the one thng necessary to be president?

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 10:20 PM (jlvw3)


Was Obama really strong on policy? Is he now? His whole campaign was, "America sucks, I'm gonna change it in some vague unnamed ways that you people are gonna love. Also I'm not Bush."

Your problem with Palin is valid, but not specifically for the reason above. It's more a principle thing. Like, people that are like you think someone needs to be strong on policy to get elected. I really believe in 2012, "I'm not Obama" is going to get pretty much anyone to the finish line. If I misread your meaning above, I'm sorry.

Posted by: The Mega Independent at February 17, 2010 06:45 PM (5I0Yr)

521 Here's a link to what I was talking about: Palin on issues she understands.  She's pretty sharp on policy.

It'd be nice to hear that sort of fluency from her on a national level.

Posted by: notropis at February 17, 2010 06:45 PM (D6KR0)

522

We could just slap some implants onto Coulter, get her to eat a few cheeseburgers, and she'd be ready to campaign.

Posted by: Rodent Freikorps at February 17, 2010 06:48 PM (dQdrY)

523 When Palin speaks in friendly interviews about conservative principles other than energy and our military, it always sounds very rote to me, like she's remembering it rather than feeling it. It's the only thing that bothers me about Palin. But I'd love to see her as president, if only because she upsets libs so much.

Posted by: The Mega Independent at February 17, 2010 06:48 PM (5I0Yr)

524 Jeff B, You make a good point. Her powers of persuasion are not proven, except for her influence in the Health Care debates last Summer. She showed powerful skills then, but it remains to be seen if those skills can result in votes. This year will be a good test.

Posted by: eman at February 17, 2010 06:49 PM (4tixt)

525 524Even economists don't understand the economy.

Posted by: Rodent Freikorps at February 17, 2010 10:39 PM (dQdrY)

All you need to know to join us is how to tell reporters that stuff that happens is "unexpected."

Posted by: The Economists at February 17, 2010 06:50 PM (9b6FB)

526 Was Obama really strong on policy? Is he now?

No, of course he wasn't then and he isn't now...on substance.  But on appearances?  You bet he was/is.  He sounded like he knew what he was talking about.  Meanwhile, the far more honest McCain, who admitted upfront that he "didn't know much about economics," got sandbagged for it as a result.  Sure, what was coming out of Obama's mouth was awful liberal bullshit that I'm virulently opposed to, but it sounds like a coherent worldview nonetheless.  I can respect that on a de minimis level. 

Posted by: Jeff B. at February 17, 2010 06:50 PM (l1KFP)

527 oh, someone asked who is campaigning already.  Why, the prez, he never stopped and he is still asking for those small donations, your time and your support.  He is ignoring is abject failure and continuing the facade of success and let's win again and campaign.  And the liberal/dem minions, the young computer savvy generation is eating it up.  Why?  Cause they feel unloved by the world , their families, they feel alienated and he makes them feel part of something important.  Something momentous and historic.  They are forgiving him his failures and blaming everything on their parents, the baby boomers.  Whoever goes out to fight that, had better know they are in for one hell of a fight.

Posted by: curious at February 17, 2010 06:51 PM (p302b)

528

Was Obama really strong on policy? Is he now? His was, "America sucks, I'm gonna change it in some vague unnamed ways that you people are gonna love. Also I'm not Bush."

Posted by: The Mega Independent

i'm pretty sure thats not going to fly this time around...... although you are probably right that "not obama" is a huge positive. 

Posted by: evil libertarian at February 17, 2010 06:52 PM (W6gtk)

529 Maybe Sarah Palin ought to accomplish something big, not as governor.  Like maybe get the water turned back on in that valley in CA that Hannity visited to no avail.  Maybe if she did something like that, people would have to stand up and take notice.

Posted by: curious at February 17, 2010 06:54 PM (p302b)

530 I haven't written off Palin.  I think she could show quite well in a primary campaign, but I am going to have to see it.  I won't apologize and make excuses for her if I don't.  I don't think she's dumb.  I do think her style will always be unconventional but you can still show depth of understanding while communicating like a normal person. 

I understand the concerns, but I want to see how she does in a campaign when she is explaining her own point of view (not someone she doesn't always agree with).  I'll make my final judgment then, and will keep an open mind on her until then.  She takes the right positions more or less.

Honestly the thing that concerns me most, right now, is that she doesn't seem to pick the right fights.  Shows too thin of skin.  I get that she is unfairly attacked.  Some of that demands a response.  But when the frickin' Family Guy goes over the line you keep your mouth shut and let them be, just to name one example.  If Al Gore attacks South Park after ManBearPig episodes, we would mock him mercilessly.  Rightfully so.  Palin needs to be savvy enough not to get into the gutter with some of these people.  It's almost as if she is being baited into much of this, and if she can't figure that out herself then someone close to her needs to help her.

Posted by: Dave S at February 17, 2010 06:55 PM (PZak5)

531 I can't help but feel if Pawlenty had a "you betcha" accent, you'd suspect him of being dumb or lazy or both.

Posted by: Kerry at February 17, 2010 06:59 PM (Z0EF7)

532 541, curious, that's a damn good idea. Stand in a dusty, barren field holding a fish in a plastic bag and begin your report. "Want to know why this field is abandoned? (Holds up bag.) Here's why"

Posted by: eman at February 17, 2010 06:59 PM (4tixt)

533 Regarding Pawlenty, and Romney, too for that matter:

One thing the RNC should do is invest in a "public speaking" coach and class for candidates.  Scott Brown needs to lower his pitch and put some oomph into his voice, Sarah Palin needs to avoid the really high-pitch notes she hits sometimes, and learn to emphasize points that need emphasis by slowing down, and hitting the phrase with some rhythm.

Romney gets into the monotone, machine-gun delivery mode, and never seems to slow down to emphasize anything.

Also, I hate nervous laghter in a public speaker.  Rudy did that all the time and it drove me crazy.

I think Pawlenty has time to become a stellar candidate, but he needs to get on top of disavowing AGW, and maybe even call for a comission to get to the bottom of it.  But without getting better at sounding Presidential, he won't make it. IMnsHO.

Posted by: K~Bob at February 17, 2010 07:01 PM (9b6FB)

534 Posted by: curious at February 17, 2010 10:54 PM (p302b)

Well, she did kinda singlehandedly turn the hoses onto HellCare with her "death panel" comment, which went viral and sent the libs scurrying like little rats to explain their little "medical advisory boards" to the peons. But unfortunately that's not tangible.

Posted by: The Mega Independent at February 17, 2010 07:01 PM (5I0Yr)

535 Persuasion is the key here, ace. She's good at that and her command of fundamental truths far outweighs any real or imagined weakness in details.

Whaaaa?

Persuasion is the key but Palin does not need to do anything that might persuade voters that she is competent and knowledgeable?

What are your plans, come the general election, for those voters that need to be persuaded of some certain things before they give her their vote?

Wish them into the cornfield?

I mean, I get it that you don't share the concerns of some of these voters but you can't just will them out of existence.


Posted by: Deety at February 17, 2010 07:01 PM (aVzyR)

536

Palin is my default candidate unless a better one comes along.

I value good over smart. Smart enough to know one's limits and to pick good people is about perfect in my view.

Lots of super duper smart people got millions dead and wasted trillions of dollars this last century.

Posted by: Rodent Freikorps at February 17, 2010 07:02 PM (dQdrY)

537 She is in a better position than any other potential candidate.  Like BO/Biden the McCain/Palin team also had all those national security briefings and all the other briefings.  She knows things that only those four know.   Maybe she ought to start getting down to the nitty gritty on this stuff.  Using it to her advantage would be a good start.  Everyone is so PC and polite.  The press is definitely not the press anymore...someone has to rock the boat.

Posted by: curious at February 17, 2010 07:03 PM (p302b)

538 >>Honestly the thing that concerns me most, right now, is that she doesn't seem to pick the right fights. Shows too thin of skin. I get that she is unfairly attacked. Some of that demands a response. This is a secondary issue for me. I don't like that she diminishes herself in squabbles with lesser creatures like tv show hosts and "the media." The media are bunch of vermin. It's supposed to be us nobodies, bloggers, going after them. If you get into a fight with someone of small stature you too gain that small stature. And she's always getting into fights with people of small, non-presidential-level stature. I am worried this is all too personal for her. The constant stuff about the "elites," for example. I tell you-- this "elites vs. grassroots" thing is useful. It gets people going a little. I talk about it because it gets me going, and in turn gets readers going. I don't dislike her for tapping into that vein. But there's such a thing as too much. This all starts to feel, to me, as if this is primarily about personal vindication for Sarah Palin, and that won't due in a president. As she said of Obama, the seeking the presidency is more than a voyage of self-discovery. This can't be personal. And yet at every turn she's getting personal and taking offense and defending her honor and etc. That's confidence-shaking.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 07:03 PM (jlvw3)

539 >>>>Well, she did kinda singlehandedly turn the hoses onto HellCare with her "death panel" comment, It wasn't singlehandledly. There was a whole push on that point. Palin came up with a good formulation -- "death panels" -- but to say she "singlehandedly" did it... you are giving her credit for like EVERYTHING that happens.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 07:05 PM (jlvw3)

540 Just a thought.  Ace, if you ever posted the things you're saying in this thread on the front page you might have a riot on your hands.  That sort of makes me sad, because it shouldn't have to be that way. 

Reminds me a bit of Andrew Sullivan endorsing Kerry in the pages of a UK magazine while playing all coy 'n stuff back on his American-read blog.  How's that for an unfortunate comparison?

Posted by: Jeff B. at February 17, 2010 07:06 PM (l1KFP)

541 And to be honest I don't think it's the killer formulation many of Palin's supporters think it is. I think it is good. it is narrowcasting. It appeals to some but turns off others. I'm not sure how many new converts were made by the formulation itself. It did cut through the chatter, and get people talking, and that is good.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 07:06 PM (jlvw3)

542 It did cut through the chatter, and get people talking, and that is good.

It's actually the one solid accomplishment I'm willing to credit her with.  Sure, lots of people were pushing on this topic, and yes, her particular locution repels some people, but man...it really clarified the debate.  When you saw guys like Mickey Kaus picking up the meme and pointing out its semi-justification (all as an attempt to bash Peter Orzsag!), you knew it really had legs to run on.

If she drove the debate in a positive way like that more often I'd be higher on her.  But if she did that regularly she'd be more Rush Limbaugh than "Presidential timber."

Posted by: Jeff B. at February 17, 2010 07:09 PM (l1KFP)

543 547, The voters that need to be persuaded in that regard will not be enough to defeat her. For some it is a genuine interest in seeing if she can handle complicated matters, and for others it is just an excuse to say no.

Posted by: Guy at the NH Border at February 17, 2010 07:12 PM (4tixt)

544 Yeah... well, it worked, but I don't think it was brilliant. and I think it shows a lot of desperation to claim this as some big resume point. I mean... it was a facebook entry. Good, yes, but let's not blow it out of all proportion.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 07:13 PM (jlvw3)

545 oops, bloody sock on 555

Posted by: Guy at the NH Border at February 17, 2010 07:13 PM (4tixt)

546 She comes from a small town, she fought the establishment all the way, from the city council to the governorship, All these people in the elites who have bet wrong
on AGW, on the war on terror, on this hideous stimulus, and cap n tax. I mean look who they still take seriously Joe "20th Century" Biden, John Brennan, for the love of god, I guess that is why she identifies so readily with the Tea Party, and despite
all the carp that she has been through, she still thinks the GOP is the last best hope for change.

Posted by: ian cormac at February 17, 2010 07:13 PM (/GonQ)

547 ha, and 557

Posted by: eman at February 17, 2010 07:13 PM (4tixt)

548 >>>The voters that need to be persuaded in that regard will not be enough to defeat her. yes they will. Again: 70% think she's unqualified. if you want to pretend this isn't the case, fine, I won't disturb you.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 07:14 PM (jlvw3)

549 but to say she "singlehandedly" did it... you are giving her credit for like EVERYTHING that happens.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 11:05 PM (jlvw3)

She distilled the issue and crystallized it, which made a lot of people take notice of what the libs were up to. I'm not saying she is the lone person responsible for everything bad that ever ever happened to ObamaCare, but when was the last time you saw anyone make a wide swath of people acutely aware of what the libs were up to (without videotape and/or exposed emails)? It's been a really long time. She did the same exact thing with Obama during the election (greek columns, community organizer). It wasn't enough because McCain was awful.

Posted by: The Mega Independent at February 17, 2010 07:14 PM (5I0Yr)

550 The "70%" can be pulled over.

Posted by: eman at February 17, 2010 07:18 PM (4tixt)

551 Posted by: lowandslow at February 17, 2010 11:15 PM (GZitp)

I disagree, a lot of BO's money was from small contributions on the internet.  Yeah, sure he got the big money but those internet contributions were the base.  Would be interesting if Sarah Palin would only accept money in small doses on the internet....

Posted by: curious at February 17, 2010 07:19 PM (p302b)

552 564

I disagree, a lot of BO's money was from small contributions on the internet.  Yeah, sure he got the big money but those internet contributions were the base.

Are you sure about that?  I thought that that was de-bunked during the campaign and it turned out that the most likely thing was that there was monkey business going on with all of those so-called small donors.  That was the big scandal about how Obama's campaign ran their on-line donor system.  They didn't verify individuals.  Remember?

The George Soroses and George Clooneys of the world elected Obama, not the guy next door.

Posted by: Y-not at February 17, 2010 07:21 PM (X69zM)

553 >>>I disagree, a lot of BO's money was from small contributions on the internet. Yeah, sure he got the big money but those internet contributions were the base. Would be interesting if Sarah Palin would only accept money in small doses on the internet.... McCain/Palin got a greater percentage of their money from small-money donors than Obama. Obama got a greater percentage (and far more money in absolute terms) from big bundlers and big donors.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 07:25 PM (jlvw3)

554 The "70%" can be pulled over.

Sure, and Blanche Lincoln can "pull over" the 70% of Arkansans who think she's a pretty shitty Senator.  Neverthless, a 70/30 deficit is still considered a pretty dire polling situation by most folks and is a pretty steep hill for anyone to climb, even Sarah Palin.

Posted by: Jeff B. at February 17, 2010 07:26 PM (l1KFP)

555 The "70%" can be pulled over.

Sure, and Blanche Lincoln can "pull over" the 70% of Arkansans who think she's a pretty shitty Senator.  Neverthless, a 70/30 deficit is still considered a pretty dire polling situation by most folks and is a pretty steep hill for anyone to climb, even Sarah Palin.

Posted by: Jeff B. at February 17, 2010 07:27 PM (l1KFP)

556 The voters that need to be persuaded in that regard will not be enough to defeat her.

Really?  You think that a majority of people are totally cool with the idea of making someone President that, for all they know, might not be all that bright?

Really makes you wonder why the MSM invested so heavily in the "Obama is sooper smart!!" theme. 

Turns out that the American public has shown a marked a preference for people that they at least think are smarter and more knowledgeable than the average joe.

Posted by: Deety at February 17, 2010 07:27 PM (aVzyR)

557 >>>The "70%" can be pulled over. Only through the one manner I have suggested, which she refuses to do. Look -- Jesus told me to have faith in Him, not sarah palin. I don't have "Faith" that she'll pick this up, or that she knows it, but is just hiding it. This is the PRESIDENCY. She has to earn votes. It is her DUTY to make people confident in her. She is shirking that. It is not my duty to vote for someone who won't undertake the same three months of studying all other candidates do. if she won't do that -- then the hell with her.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 07:28 PM (jlvw3)

558 I will take Sarah Palin for President seriously the moment she begins taking Sarah Palin for President seriously, and not a moment before.

Posted by: ace at February 17, 2010 07:29 PM (jlvw3)

559 If you're going to be critical, at least pretend to have the facts, His largest single contributor was GS, the rest of the list was like a who's who of the culprits of the subprime meltdown, AIG, Lehman, BoA, Countrywide, Chase, same for Biden,
Franks, Dodd, et al. Maybe the elites will learn not the feed the crocodile so they won't be eaten last.

Posted by: ian cormac at February 17, 2010 07:31 PM (/GonQ)

560 Turns out that the American public has shown a marked a preference for people that they at least think are smarter and more knowledgeable than the average joe.

Correct.  One of the many myths of Reagan is that voters somehow thought he was 'dumb' but elected him anyway because, gosh, they just liked him so much (or hated Carter/Mondale so much).  Only the media and liberal elites thought Reagan was a dunce, and they really only thought that as a reflex reaction to his Hollywood resume; the American people were perfectly capable of judging him on his record as CA governor and his public statements, which were almost always thoughtful and coherent.

People KNEW Reagan was smart enough for the job because he proved it on a regular basis, hence the media vilification couldn't dent him.  Meanwhile we still have no such assurances about Palin.

Posted by: Jeff B. at February 17, 2010 07:31 PM (l1KFP)

561 Ace, have you seen this article from, of all places, the NYT!, on February 5?

http://tinyurl.com/yehwhyn

She is getting daily briefings on domestic and national issues from several sources. Read the article.

She's not running for anything yet. She says in GR that she will be writing another book - and it won't be about herself. Which pretty much leaves policy.

I predict after the midterms, she'll come out with another book. And start international travel.

And anyone who's ever met her says she is not lazy. Have you seen her schedule? And apparently when she's in the lower 48 and not in the news, it's not 'cause she's not busy.

See who she met with while she was in Nashville:

http://tinyurl.com/yek5sf6

And speaking of the gas pipeline, see here: http://www.thealaskapipelineproject.com/

Exxon signing on to the project in April 2009 was a big darn deal. Open season has begun for the pipeline.

Posted by: hrh at February 17, 2010 07:32 PM (4FPVe)

562 Y-not, I know people who gave him $25.00 every time he asked for it and he asked for it a lot.  Does anyone know how much money he really has, even now?  I'm sure he got contributions from the elites, from people in foreign countries, from everywhere and since something was disabled and no one called the campaign out on it, well, in their mind, it doesn't exist.  I just think it would be nice if the little people gave palin her campaign war chest.  It would sort of make a huge point.

Posted by: curious at February 17, 2010 07:32 PM (p302b)

563 I'm not concerned about the whole "need to convince people" BS.  Hunter had the right formula back in 2007 and early 2008, but no standing with the media to sell it.  He couldn't get enough of the spotlight.  But when he spoke, he did a solid job of explaining things.

This time around I hope like hell the Republicans don't look for someone to pull in the independents.  Might as well let Obama run unopposed.  Just stick with the things that most Americans want (which is a theme Newt has been harping on, but it gets lost in his "new plan"/"new progam at americansolutions.com" BS).

Hell, even Pawlenty could sell that if he stuck with it like he believed it.  McCain didn't sell it, he tried to straddle.  Mitt didn't sell it, because he had to spend too much time swatting at religion bigots, and needed to look presidential while doing it.

* Americans don't want amnesty.  (a huge majority are against it.)
* Americans want energy independence.  And to drill and build nukes.  (Again, by a huge majority.)
* Americans don't want to drag our feet in the war.  They want a winner and will not tolerate a loser. Patton was right, by a huge amount.

There's a big list like this, and it's mostly straight down the Conservative line.  Sell it like you actually believe it, and screw the folks who aren't convinced.  They are a minority.

Posted by: K~Bob at February 17, 2010 07:32 PM (9b6FB)

564

Ace,

Jason Lewis would sometimes sub for Rush (1yr, 2ys ago) out of his studio in Minnesota. He was not at all a fan of Palenty's. I recall thinking that Mr. Lewis was pretty sharp

Posted by: Beth at February 17, 2010 07:34 PM (Fo4o+)

565 You guys have no specific knowledge of what she does not know. You have no specific knowledge of what she has learned in the last 18 months. Neither do I. I can live with that. You have just as much faith in her inadequacy as I have in her merit. I think you place too much emphasis on the wrong things. Testing time is here. Let's see what happens.

Posted by: eman at February 17, 2010 07:37 PM (4tixt)

566 Only the media and liberal elites thought Reagan was a dunce, and they really only thought that as a reflex reaction to his Hollywood resume; the American people were perfectly capable of judging him on his record as CA governor and his public statements, which were almost always thoughtful and coherent.

I disagree.  Reagan didn't pull ahead of Carter in the polling until close the election.  Carter had the failed hostage rescue, malaise, and all kinds of bad (mismanaged) shzt going for him.  Reagan won by not sounding too stupid to govern, and by not being Jimmy Carter.  His ability to be likable helped a lot, too.  It wasn't just the elites and hollywood that thought he was an amiable dunce.  When he won the primary, the beltway types were flabbergasted, and lots of people in-the-know couldn't believe it.

Another thing Reagan had going for him was the fact that the failed hostage rescue underscored how horrible the state of our military preparedness had gotten since the shameful ending of the Vietnam debacle. Regan promised to fix that, and most people could see Carter wasn't on top of that at all.  You don't have to sound like a genius to tell people you're gonna get the military back in good order.  They all know it's the Generals' job to do the actual work, and just want someone with the balls to issue the order.

Posted by: K~Bob at February 17, 2010 07:42 PM (9b6FB)

567 First MA healthcare is not a single payor system. Second Romney has stated that he is not in favor of Fed control of health care but says States should be able to make their own decisions. Third, Heather Graham remains smoking hot.

Posted by: polynikes at February 17, 2010 07:44 PM (Siat9)

568

"The Treasury Department said Wednesday that the deficit for January totaled $42.63 billion. That left the total of red ink so far this budget year at $430.69 billion, 8.8 percent higher than last year when the deficit soared to an unprecedented level of $1.42 trillion."

All the next president has to do is fix this kind of insanity. If that is even possible.

Posted by: Rodent Freikorps at February 17, 2010 07:44 PM (dQdrY)

569 Crap. That was directed at JeffB's post at 574

Bad edit.  No cookie.

Posted by: K~Bob at February 17, 2010 07:45 PM (9b6FB)

570 We are nearing the natural end result of universal suffrage. The politicians will not fix it before it fails.

Posted by: Rodent Freikorps at February 17, 2010 07:56 PM (dQdrY)

571 You're still here?

Posted by: Ferris at February 17, 2010 08:14 PM (4tixt)

572 All the way to the bitter end.

Posted by: Rodent Freikorps at February 17, 2010 08:17 PM (dQdrY)

573 As someone who spends a lot of time in Minnesota and has worked on political campaigns there .... Tim Pawlenty is clearly not the answer. He's bland, boring and has terrible political instincts. He does not have the killer political instincts to defeat a sitting President. He is no conservative. He likes to moderate.

Will a boring, bland, moderate beat Obama in 2012? Can a boring, bland moderate stir the populace to oust an incumbent with all the advantages an incumbent can muster? Can a boring, bland moderate channel and direct populist anger at an unresponsive, feckless government bureaucracy? Can a boring, bland moderate who believes in government bureaucracy win in 2012?

Tim Pawlenty is a good administrator. He's not a leader. I believe that what everyone is looking for in 2012 is a bold, visionary leader who can re-invent government. Pawlenty would make a good cabinet secretary. He's not the bold, visionary leader who can rally the troops and carry the day. 

Posted by: Jon at February 17, 2010 10:10 PM (V7r7z)

574 >>I will take Sarah Palin for President seriously the moment she begins taking Sarah Palin for President seriously, and not a moment before.

Key point. Beyond just the "ability to get elected", we need someone in the white house who can actually do the job.  Being conservative is not enough--the person in that office has an enormous responsibility.  Hate to say it, but better a moderately liberal and competant leader than an incompetant conservative.  (I'm sure many Dems are saying the same thing in reverse right about now too...)

Posted by: Kevin Canuck at February 17, 2010 10:20 PM (eXcBd)

575

If Palin was running I'd pick her, but if not I'd pick T-Paw.  He's solid on cutting taxes and spending, good on TV interviews, and knows how to handle hostile (read: Dem) media.

Posted by: Gideon7 at February 17, 2010 11:35 PM (eWnjT)

576 Get a fucking grip, ace. Jesus Christ.

Posted by: AceIsAnAsshatTonight at February 18, 2010 12:12 AM (37+xK)

577

 got news for you bud...charisma wins elections, Reagan used charisma, so did Dubya, Clinton, and JFK. The only reason guys like HW or Carter won was because the other candidate came off even more unlikable.

That's part of it...but I believe that when we run a REAL Conservative, we win.  When we run "My Friends" McCain and other RINOs, we lose.  So who is the next REAL Conservative?  I'd vote for Sarah in a heartbeat, or either Cheney, even Teh Fred.  But we need to run a REAL conservative next time around.

Posted by: Lurkin'no'mo at February 18, 2010 03:35 AM (6zvrq)

578 1. He doesn't have any ears hanging from his belt. I'm looking for that this time.
2. He does hunt.
3. He's always good at Ft. Snelling National Cemetery on Memorial Day.
4. He did switch from AGW a while ago, but this is Minnesota: almost every bit of our landscape was shaped chiefly by the action of continental ice sheets in the recent geological past (about a year before I was born). You'd have to be some kind of politician to get there if you've grown up here.
5. The Commies in the State Legislature sued him after he used his line-item veto to balance the state's budget. He is facing them down again, but, so far, their blood is not running in the streets. I am looking for that this time.
The way I see it, we are still fighting off a Marxist takeover of our American way of life. We are the last bastion of freedom in the known universe: if we fall, it all just may go over to the dark side. I reiterate: we need someone this time with the mien of Jesse Ventura, and the politics of Dr. Walter E. Williams.

Posted by: Thorvald at February 18, 2010 04:56 AM (TMWa+)

579 571

Being a Fox news analyst, going on a book tour, giving speeches and going to events all over the country is exactly what she should be doing right now. Her book came out around Thanksgiving. All the other candidates will be selling their books in the upcoming months. She would not have this time, if she was still Governor of Alaska. She now has the ability to hit back at the relentless attacks from the Democratic sympathizing media and introduce herself to the voters who barely got to meet her in 2008.

Unfortunately, there has been a nonstop disinformation campaign regarding Palin since she appeared in Dayton, OH. Andrew Sullivan didn't just concoct some theory that Trig was really Bristol's. The Obama campaign tasked him with spreading the rumor, and  he diligently complied. They absolutely see Sarah Palin as a political force to be reckoned with.

If she weren't doing what she was doing now, you and other Republicans would be calling her damaged goods. But I follow her closely, and I read the bits from The Hill and Politico on who she is meeting with, who won the auction for dinner with her, who she sat next to at the Alfalfa dinner, who is advising her, etc. I am optimistic about the primaries, but I am still withholding judgment until that actually begins.

Posted by: Tattoo De Plane at February 18, 2010 05:08 AM (mHQ7T)

580 543 I can't help but feel if Pawlenty had a "you betcha" accent vajayjay, you'd suspect him of being dumb or lazy or both.

Posted by: Kerry at February 17, 2010 10:59 PM (Z0EF7)

Fixed

Posted by: tsj017 at February 18, 2010 05:34 AM (4YUWF)

581 Whether it's T-Paw, Palin, Pence or some other candidate, the way out of this fiscal and monetary funk is to unleash the American economy.  The Business of America is Business. Accordingly, the best candidate is the one who will make it easy to do business in the USA. 

Every candidate for office in 2010 and 2012 needs to answer a simple question:  "What, exactly, will you do to make it easier to do business in this country?"

Posted by: GulfCoastTider at February 18, 2010 05:39 AM (fYERs)

582

I can't stand Pawlenty.  McCain's mini-me.  Plus he had no stones to take on the obvious voter fraud in the Minnesota Senate race.  Wuss. 

 Just what we don't need.  Blech. 

Posted by: Marybeth at February 17, 2010 06:53 PM

Oh. Hell Yeah.

Posted by: The RealExTex at February 18, 2010 05:44 AM (t6yvu)

583 ace, step away from the 'allahpundit'...it's killin' ya.

Posted by: The RealExTex at February 18, 2010 05:45 AM (t6yvu)

584 Here's Malcolm's read on Palin, and where she is vis-a-vis where Obama was at this time.

http://bit.ly/bRX1ym

Posted by: GulfCoastTider at February 18, 2010 05:55 AM (fYERs)

585

As a MN resident and someone who's met T-Paw a few times I can tell you he's one of the nicest genuine people I know. He also has taken on the socialist DFL many times and won. He'll smile at them as he cuts their throat. Don't underestimate him. Has he pissed me off from time to time? Yes. Name a pol who hasn't. He's more fiscally conservative than anything which after the mess president wonderful has left us with will be more important than anything. I'd be very comfortable with him as POTUS.

As a bonus. His wife is Hot!

 

Posted by: BrucetTheRobert at February 18, 2010 06:21 AM (3ZwGl)

586 I've said for awhile now that Pawlenty is my current choice.  I like Palin, but seriously... she. needs. to. do. better.

Posted by: Abby Adams at February 18, 2010 06:38 AM (pLTLS)

587 Pawlenty's the real deal.  Worked in Minny-Soh-ta (Twin Cities) back in '06-'07, watched him beat back the DFL challenge and hang on to the Governor's chair in a tough state in a very bad year.  Fiscally responsible, talks common sense, doesn't harp on social issues but would nominate right-of-center judges.

You want someone who can (a) do the job well, and (b) survive a bitter campaign with his dignity still intact, and (c) actually win, Tim's a good choice.


Posted by: WildWillyC at February 18, 2010 07:20 AM (sogxt)

588 Wow, active thread...

I lived in MN (until recently), and Pawlenty's re-election campaign in 2006 was the first campaign I ever volunteered for.

He's been a pretty solid conservative who has held the line on taxes vs. a very hostile legislature and media.

There are some things we've disagreed on (stadiums, global warming, firing his first public safety commissioner, etc.) but he also got conceal carry pushed through in MN, TWICE, and aggressively used his line item veto to balance the budget.

I think he's capable of winning, and I also think he's very likable.  Or said another way, not polarizing.

I'd sure love to have a president that half of the country doesn't hate.

Plus his back and forth with Dennis Miller about SPAM was classic.

Posted by: MNExpatriate at February 18, 2010 08:42 AM (l17le)

589 Fer the love of all that is good and holy, do not think Pawlenty is a good candidate.  I just recently moved from MN---lived there for 13 years---and he is honestly the only republican candidate I could not vote for.  Didn't vote for a dem in 2006, when he ran for re-election, nor an independent, but I would not, could not, vote for T-Paw.  I left the box for governor unchecked.  He is trying to portray himself as a budget balancer when he is absolutely the opposite.  This is the guy who decided to shut down the state government in 2005 over a difference of $400m in a $31B budget. Did he try make any cuts to the budget?  No.  Did he try to reduce spending?  No.  What did Pawlenty do instead? He shut down the government.  When that didn't work,  he slapped seventy-five cents on every pack of ciggies sold in the state and called it a "health impact fee"---because if he called it what it actually was, a tax, he would have violated his no new tax pledge. (Never mind the fact that said fee violated the settlement the state had reached with the tobacco companies in the 90's that there would be no new cigarette taxes for a specific period of time.)  You can search the Hugh Hewitt archives from the summer of 2005 to hear Pawlenty explain himself.  Furthermore, to get around the fact that some counties and cities had enacted smoking bans in bars and restaurants, and businesses were hurting, Pawlenty refused to let the free market settle the problem.  Rather, he went along with it when the legislature took the entire state smoke-free, arguing that making the state smoke-free would solve the problem more fairly than what the free market would.   I could go on and on about his perfidy.  I voted for him in 2002 because he pledged he would get the budget and spending into line---he patently did not do this.

I can understand the argument that he was only going along to get along with the uber-liberal legislature, but don't believe him for a second when he says he balanced the state budget without raising taxes.  It's a load of crap, and he's a freakin weasel. 

Posted by: Kathy at February 18, 2010 09:58 AM (GUZ0S)

590 I pray that Bob Corker runs. He is quite conversant on the issues.

Posted by: Rewrite! at February 18, 2010 04:46 PM (d7Px0)

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