February 05, 2010
— Dave in Texas I don't even want to put a question mark on it because a) you are all smart enough to ask the questions that we'll ask and b) I ain't gonna be a hacky cheerleader for more job pain.
We are in a brutal unemployment cycle. Predictions of a "decade-long jobs recovery" used to sound like hyperbole, not so much when you're sitting in the bottom of the well.
Geoff over at IB is crunching some numbers. He even noted an uptick in the numbers of jobs. He's asking some pertinent questions about increases in both farm and non-farm jobs.
I don't think this story is complete, I don't think there's anything this administration is doing that's positive (hell they only started talking about job recovery a couple of weeks ago), if this is just some indication that the problem is bottoming I'll be happy that's the case.
UPDATE: This post saved or created thirty seven jobs. Thanks KeithA for the reminder!
UPDATE2: 136 MM jobs available down to 129 MM? Let's see the revisions.
Posted by: Dave in Texas at
07:18 AM
| Comments (221)
Post contains 186 words, total size 1 kb.
This is climate science data applied to unemployment. It's bullshit pure and simple.
No way we can continue to lose jobs and the unemployment rate declines - unless people quit looking, in which case they are ignored.
Get that? I G N O R E D. Hey unemployed people - F--k you!
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at February 05, 2010 07:22 AM (RkRxq)
I really think we need a change in definition of what the unemployment rate is.
Posted by: Darin H at February 05, 2010 07:23 AM (+T+Wt)
Posted by: MikeTheMoose at February 05, 2010 07:23 AM (0q2P7)
Posted by: ECM at February 05, 2010 07:24 AM (nYKDd)
Posted by: I Heart Chomsky at February 05, 2010 07:25 AM (BnI+o)
Posted by: Vic at February 05, 2010 07:25 AM (QrA9E)
Posted by: Fresh Air at February 05, 2010 07:27 AM (1yI48)
Posted by: Holger at February 05, 2010 07:27 AM (8NGHm)
There's that VIC-20 again
Posted by: MikeTheMoose at February 05, 2010 07:27 AM (0q2P7)
think we need a change in definition of what the unemployment rate is.
we already have, one set of numberws for Republican unemplyment numbers. one for democrats
i believe in democrat numbers they don't count those that have moved to extended unemplyment benifits after first 26 weeks are up.?
at least that was said yesterday by washington AP
Posted by: willow at February 05, 2010 07:27 AM (5Bf/7)
Posted by: .3 Percent at February 05, 2010 07:27 AM (BnI+o)
Posted by: Bald Ninja at February 05, 2010 07:27 AM (4pdbX)
Posted by: Tommy V at February 05, 2010 07:28 AM (C3mwn)
the Dow dropped because new filings were up, and we're supposed to believe that unemployment is actually down? yeah, whatever, and i believe somebody broke into Charlie Sheen's garage, just to push his SUV off the side of the road too.
if Barney Fife want's everyone else to believe this crap he needs to share the drugs they're using in the White House, 'cause what we can get ain't strong enough to do it...... they're fing crackheads, one and all.
Posted by: redc1c4 at February 05, 2010 07:29 AM (d1FhN)
1) The Democrats stranglehold on the Senate has been broken. There is now hope for small businesses and middle class families.
2) Obama is being forced to abandon the open ended and unstoppable ultraliberalism he hoped for. Now there are talks of spending freezes (TALKS, we still need to get the word out that he's not actually doing anything yet), abandoning the deathcare government takeover uberalles, and reversals on security/terrorism.
These bode well for us all. Unemployment will go down, the more Americans see that Obama is failing... failing to destroy America. Rush's lightning-rod statement about hoping Obama fails might gain a different reaction now...
Posted by: James at February 05, 2010 07:29 AM (fC8vP)
Posted by: Ohio Dan at February 05, 2010 07:29 AM (rurh0)
Posted by: LouisianaLightning at February 05, 2010 07:30 AM (nyxv/)
And what has he done here, outside of nationalizing two car companies?
Nada
Zilch
Nothing
Oh, sorry, he's encouraged imaginary "green" jobs, which the Idiot Governor has touted till she's blue in the face. Jobs that don't really exist at all except on paper.
Want to see what a Depression is like? Come to SE Michigan.
Posted by: shibumi at February 05, 2010 07:30 AM (OKZrE)
Nothing to add to that, just want to make sure none of the morons missed it.
What I'd be interested in seeing is a primer on where all the economic numbers come from. It's mentioned that the unemployment number is from a household survey, which sounds like a poll with all the inadequacies that go along with that. I'd add a similar 'what's that mean' for the employer survey, since the numbers seem to indicate that a bunch more people have jobs than employers employed. And as Hot Air points out, income tax receipts seem to be down again-which seems to be a better indicator to me that things are still headed in the wrong direction (or were last month) since that should count most everyone.
Posted by: Methos at February 05, 2010 07:31 AM (Xsi7M)
I was amazed.
Later they said that "the Anti-Business President was inviting CEOs to watch the Super Bowl with him."
I almost lost control and ran into a Prius.
Posted by: trainer at February 05, 2010 07:31 AM (K5X44)
I guess I didn't sound sufficiently skeptical.
My bad.
I'm just saying I'm willing to wait and see while this data gets carved up.
Posted by: Dave in Texas at February 05, 2010 07:31 AM (Wh0W+)
The answer as to why people continue to lose jobs, but the U3 unemployment number goes down is the fact that hundreds of thousands of unemployed have run out of unemployment benefits, and are no longer counted in the number.
Posted by: Vashta.Nerada at February 05, 2010 07:32 AM (Ag6DW)
Posted by: Fresh Air at February 05, 2010 11:27 AM (1yI4
In case anyone missed it the first time.
Posted by: Herr Morgenholz at February 05, 2010 07:32 AM (5aa4z)
Posted by: curious at February 05, 2010 07:33 AM (p302b)
At this rate we'll have 3% "unemployment" in a jiffy. Good times, good time.
Posted by: Purple Avenger at February 05, 2010 07:35 AM (gIWiY)
( )o( ).
Any questions?
Posted by: Herr Morgenholz at February 05, 2010 07:35 AM (5aa4z)
I'll just add, cause I'm a businessman, most companies have the same damned self-preservation instinct human beings have. We started planning for this pain back in June of 08. Cutting capital expenses, writing off the bad receivables, working the balance sheet and adjusting our planning and growth for 2009, 10 and 11 based on "this is going to suck".
My budget as a percent of sales was cut 11% last year, by me.
Now, oddly enough, we're weathering this thing ok. But we're not going to start spending until we know there's a return for it. Period.
Posted by: Dave in Texas at February 05, 2010 07:35 AM (Wh0W+)
Posted by: TheQuietMan at February 05, 2010 07:35 AM (1Jaio)
Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at February 05, 2010 07:35 AM (f9c2L)
Posted by: Jimmah at February 05, 2010 07:36 AM (YCVBL)
What James @21 said.
And, imagine the NYT headline if this were during the Bush administration: "Thousands more lose jobs", since non-farm payroll did decrease slightly. It was their only employment barometer, when it was going down.
Posted by: Roy at February 05, 2010 07:37 AM (U8RhD)
Posted by: Cautiously Pessimistic at February 05, 2010 07:38 AM (pZEar)
So, the tumor grows while the body weakens. Dr. Kevorkian Obama is at the bedside.
This type of policy -- one that Team Obama embraces because an expanding central government remains its objective -- will ensure our economy remains stagnant or worse for the foreseeable future. We might see a positive outlook from the domestic business community as 2012 approaches (and the prospect of progressivism/Obama getting the boot becomes inevitable) though the incredible debt will still remain a huge drain.
We have years of suckitude ahead even as we might feel better about rotating out the statists.
Posted by: AnonymousDrivel at February 05, 2010 07:38 AM (swuwV)
2004- Hooverville!
2010- Everything is getting better! Return to your homes!
Posted by: brak at February 05, 2010 07:39 AM (W5NBA)
The way the numbers are arrived at is a muddle. That is, no doubt, intentional. But if it is true that the unemployment is being reduced a little, we can rest assured that it has little to do with anything the administration has done.
The American economy is still powerful and full of smart people - it will chug along as best it can. People will continue to look out for their own best interest, and flushing your business down the toilet rarely qualifies. The bones of those business will be kept going as long as possible, and if things start picking up they'll start adding bodies. People who are still employed are, in many cases, starting to feel less paranoid and that will eventually lead to some more spending. Things like this will eventually have some positive impact on employment. I think that, like the stock market, we had an over correction in people's behavior when the nasty stuff started to hit - some companies went too lean or only needed to stay that lean for a short time. Some people have secure jobs and plenty of disposable cash, but tightened the belt out of nervousness.
Let's just hope no new taxes actually get passed. Let's hope they keep the Bush tax cuts. The government can do little good with the current batch of dummies in charge, but they can do a lot of harm. Hopefully Voter 41 will help to keep them in check.
Posted by: Reactionary at February 05, 2010 07:39 AM (xUM1Q)
Why are we to believe these numbers are accurate with that track record?
Obviously unemployment should have been higher if 1.4m jobs just disappeared in "adjustments" - do you see those revisions? no.
Look at the BLS website data. One in Five Americans are RIGHT NOW Unemployed. Period. Yet the MSM is celebrating a "fall" in unemployment by 0.3%. Why am i not celebrating? Well - this in the BLS report today:
"Alternative Measures of Labor Underutilization" (Orwellian anyone?)
18% is Jan 2010 unadjusted unemployment rate when including all discouraged workers.
Take a look at the U6 figure on the BLS tab noted above, unadjusted. That same adjusted U6 for Jan 10 is 16.5%, supposedly a 0.8% fall from Dec 2009's adjusted U6 of 17.3%.....
Yet, unadjusted, the Jan 2010 U6 is 18%, a 0.9% RISE from unadjusted Dec 09 U6 of 17.1%. I can't find the Dec 08 U6/Jan 09 U6 adjusted/unadjusted for comparison purposes, but this looks very suspicious.
Another example of statistical fraud by Obama - look at the unadjusted - adjusted rate difference for Jan 2010 v. Jan 2009 for U3, the official unemployment number. Jan 2010 U3 unadjusted unemployment is 10.6% - adjusted is the big number for the media and Obama - 9.7%. That's 0.9% hacked off in "adjustment" for January 2010. For Jan 2009, unadjusted U3 is 8.5% - adjusted is 7.7% - that's 0.7% hacked of in "adjustment for January 2010. And the big news is the rate fell 0.3%. Pure Fraud.
Also, Dec 2010 job losses rose via "revisions" to 150K (extra 70K) - I see this as shifting losses to allow a only -20k figure for Jan 2010
the evidence of statistical manipulation is here for all to see
Posted by: Anti-Harkonnen Freedom Fighter at February 05, 2010 07:39 AM (5r0Tz)
Posted by: Thinking Things Over at February 05, 2010 07:40 AM (8/DeP)
People that have run out of benefits, given up and done without, or are forced to work for cash are falling off the rolls. These unemployed folks are still hurting, but Obama will make hay off of the clerical errors. Despicable.
The real unemployment rate is hovering between 16% and 19% and these bastards know it. You can bet your ass they would be shouting from the mountain top if a Republican was President.
If the gawddamn commie professors and bleeding hearts were losing their jobs it would be more important to them.
Posted by: sifty at February 05, 2010 07:41 AM (V/+f5)
Posted by: Fresh Air
That's the answer. I wish you'd made it funny so I could thread winner it.
Posted by: Truman North at February 05, 2010 07:43 AM (e8YaH)
At this rate we'll be back down to 7.5% by 2011. Of course another 2,000,000 people will "no longer be looking for work".
Non Farm payroll jobs
Jan 2009 - 133,549,000
Mar 2009 - 132,070,000 (Stimulus I is born)
Jan 2010 - 129,527,000 (without Stimulus I it would be 128,027,000 according to O-6bama)
Posted by: Jeff at February 05, 2010 07:43 AM (wr8S+)
See, everybody, Dave just saved or created one job, and if all of us do it, we all count as employed. That's how Obama math works.
Posted by: Keith Arnold at February 05, 2010 07:43 AM (Jdtsu)
Posted by: fluffy don't eat no stinkin' Pepperidge Farm! at February 05, 2010 07:44 AM (4Kl5M)
Posted by: Holger at February 05, 2010 11:36 AM (8NGHm)
That is the hard core portion of the 52% that voted for Obama. Those fuckers will never see the light. They are perpetually brainwashed.
Posted by: conscious, but incoherent at February 05, 2010 07:45 AM (Vu6sl)
Gee, this is good news. Let me just check and see if I've become employed.
Nope, still unemployed and another month closer to the end of unemployment benefits.
Posted by: huerfano at February 05, 2010 07:45 AM (sf1Eo)
Hey! Now we don't need no steeenkin' jobs bill!
It would be freaking GREAT if the repubs actually used this (imaginary) number to bash the dems over the head with and kill Porculus II. Not holding my breath, though.
Posted by: Dang Straights at February 05, 2010 07:45 AM (fx8sm)
That is the hard core portion of the 52% that voted for Obama. Those fuckers will never see the light. They are perpetually brainwashed.
Posted by: conscious, but incoherent at February 05, 2010 11:45 AM (Vu6sl)
The Republic needs a cleansing.
Posted by: Holger at February 05, 2010 07:46 AM (8NGHm)
30 And the market is off by 70 now. May be back below 10,000 next week. Heckuva job there, Barry.
Posted by: CUS at January 28, 2010 10:29 AM (wOGfT)
Dow now at 9,940 and change. Fear me.
Posted by: CUS at February 05, 2010 07:46 AM (wOGfT)
Whee! A .3% drop in unemployment! I'm sure there were high fives all around the Oafal Orifice when those numbers were released.
Never mind that the stock market suffered a big loss yesterday. Some folk can read between the lines.
Meanwhile, many of my friends are on food stamps for the first time. A couple have lost their houses, and I'm into my third year of funemployment. And my unicorn is still on back-order.
Posted by: BackwardsBoy at February 05, 2010 07:47 AM (i3AsK)
You obviously don't know anyone who grew up during the depression. Times like these change people; they change people for the rest of their lives.
Posted by: Purple Avenger at February 05, 2010 07:47 AM (gIWiY)
Well shit, with 70-100 weeks of "unemployment compensation" available depending on your state, unless you're a one-adult household (i.e., parent or spouse not keeping a roof over your head), why bother?
Posted by: HeatherRadish at February 05, 2010 07:47 AM (mR7mk)
Posted by: Faye Kinnit at February 05, 2010 07:48 AM (l1oyw)
The RNC doesn't need to dispute the number--it will just make them look like the Party of No Obstructionists the media has portrayed them to be.
What they should do--is go out and find five indie/dem voters that voted for the Corpose-man that are unemployed. Have them tell their story of how they voted for someone based on his claims on how he would handle the economy--not squander a year on worthless health care debates.
Posted by: laceyunderallssonn at February 05, 2010 07:49 AM (TwXU6)
Creamy crock of crap! Steaming stock of stool! Putrid pile of Poo! I just want to give a shout out to Precedent Obama--"YOU LIE BOY!"
Last night when we were running, I was telling the guys I run with how much I hate this douchetard because he is purposefully destroying our country. One of the guys said that he is currently working on a jobsite with a bunch of 20 something year olds. They told him that they never even thought of politics before, didn't care about politics, didn't pay attention. All of a sudden, they are acutely aware because their livelihoods have been directly affected because working construction has become a lot more sporadic and difficult. They are really pissed off about what is going on. It's ironic, but unintentionally, Obama is becoming a uniter; people are uniting against him and his policies. The only exception of course, are the Koolaid chugging Obamabots. I think that our country is slowly waking up, and people don't like what is going on. I pray to God we can survive the next 3 years and that our Boy President doesn't win another term.
Posted by: runningrn at February 05, 2010 07:50 AM (CfmlF)
This is the Obama administration playing with their balls.
Posted by: Mike H at February 05, 2010 07:50 AM (LdYLm)
That's a load off my mind. Can't have a civil war without at least two sides.
Posted by: sifty at February 05, 2010 07:50 AM (V/+f5)
Posted by: conscious, but incoherent at February 05, 2010 07:50 AM (Vu6sl)
The RNC is addicted to shooting itself in the foot, so it won't happen. More and more I am beginning to believe a popular electoral uprising to create or take over a political party is the only chance.
Posted by: Holger at February 05, 2010 07:51 AM (8NGHm)
Meanwhile, many of my friends are on food stamps for the first time. A couple have lost their houses, and I'm into my third year of funemployment. And my unicorn is still on back-order.
Oh my goodness, third year of unemployment! What did you do? What kind of job are you looking for? I think you live in Florida, right?
Posted by: runningrn at February 05, 2010 07:51 AM (CfmlF)
You're right that they change people, and deeply, but not always in an illumined way. The rise of socialism and fascism followed the heels of the great depression. Idiots.
Posted by: James at February 05, 2010 07:52 AM (fC8vP)
Posted by: Purple Avenger at February 05, 2010 07:52 AM (gIWiY)
This is the Obama administration playing with their balls.
Just how in the hell is that possible? They don't have any.
Posted by: laceyunderallssonn at February 05, 2010 07:53 AM (TwXU6)
Posted by: this PSA was brought to you by fluffy at February 05, 2010 07:53 AM (4Kl5M)
Posted by: SaTx at February 05, 2010 07:53 AM (mdBef)
That's why I keep mine encased with pudding. No one else will touch them because of the yuck factor.
Posted by: CUS at February 05, 2010 07:54 AM (wOGfT)
This is the Obama administration playing with their balls.
Just how in the hell is that possible? They don't have any.
After they paid off Hillary's campaign debt, she gave them the testicle lock box.
Posted by: Mike H at February 05, 2010 07:54 AM (LdYLm)
Posted by: robtr at February 05, 2010 07:55 AM (fwSHf)
Just how in the hell is that possible? They don't have any.
Well, the only way possible is if Michelle lifts up her skirt or if Michelle removes Barry's from the mayonaise jar on the fire place mantel. Either way, it depends on the largesse (pronounced "Large Ass" in negro dialect) of Michelle.
Posted by: runningrn at February 05, 2010 07:57 AM (CfmlF)
OT But maybe one of you smart morons can fill me with some knowledge. What is flash.quantserve.com and why is it taking so long to load, slowing the page load time to about 5 minutes?
Ace has RAMmed you with dipping sauce.
Posted by: Site IT at February 05, 2010 07:58 AM (d7Px0)
From CNBC:
While a sharp increase in the number of people giving up looking for work helped to depress the jobless rate, some details of the employment report were encouraging. The number of "discouraged job seekers" rose to 1.1 million in January from 734,000 a year ago.
WTF is encouraging about the number of people who have given up looking for work rising by over a quarter-million?
Posted by: Tinian at February 05, 2010 07:58 AM (7+pP9)
It's time to face the likelihood that there will not be a "decade-long jobs recovery" at all, and the US economy will never again support most people through employment. At that point, the country inherits a permanent unemployable underclass of Biblical proportions, across all ethnic backgrounds, and education will not save you. And equality will have been achieved.
There will be a brain drain period, for those who can stomach it; after that, look for various Luddite schemes to increase employment by mandating inefficiency in the few classes of jobs that cannot be shipped away. Not that we weren't already doing that anyway.
Posted by: comatus at February 05, 2010 08:00 AM (/VEEI)
I was amazed.
Later they said that "the Anti-Business President was inviting CEOs to watch the Super Bowl with him."
I almost lost control and ran into a Prius.
Posted by: trainer at February 05, 2010 11:31 AM (K5X44)
Yes: I was shocked to read the AP version of the story and find this:
Still, Friday's unemployment report showed just how deep the job crisis remains. The government now estimates 8.4 million jobs vanished in the Great Recession, and economists think the nation would be lucky to get back 1.5 million of them this year. And they say it will take at least three to four years for the job market to return to anything like normal....
But Paul Ashworth, an economist at Capital Economics, noted that the economy has been growing for six months yet company payrolls are still shrinking.
"Based on what we've seen so far, we think it is fair to characterize this as another jobless recovery," Ashworth said.
The employment figure for November was revised higher to show a gain of 64,000 jobs, up from 4,000. But the December figure was revised lower, canceling out the gain.
Sure looks like the MSM is losing its appetite for cheering on Obama and covering up his incompetence.
Posted by: stuiec at February 05, 2010 08:00 AM (GU29T)
Posted by: A Balrog of Morgoth at February 05, 2010 08:00 AM (wgLRl)
Beautiful. I am so tempted to start supporting myself through activities like that.
Posted by: Holger at February 05, 2010 08:00 AM (8NGHm)
Good point. We don't want to be like the Left and cheer for recessions and military defeats.
It's just a fact: If the economy improves, we won't have the wind at our sails, politically, like we have so far. Criticizing won't be enough. The Right will have to have concrete, alternative plans.
Posted by: CJ at February 05, 2010 08:01 AM (9KqcB)
Pelosi, thanks for the link.
“According to today’s survey, while the national unemployment rate dropped slightly, it still stands at a near record high. In addition, the unemployment rate for African Americans was still over 11 percent in July, and the unemployment rate for Hispanics was 8.2 percent in July.
Hmm, I wonder what those numbers are today. Oh, and if I were an African American, I'd be pissed that my peeps had an higher unemployment rate than the Hispanics (a lot of whom are illegal!) Unbelievable how the media and Democrats kept railing on Bush and his horrible economy and continue to blame him even though now all of this falls on the Dems and Obama.
Posted by: runningrn at February 05, 2010 08:01 AM (CfmlF)
Since there is a very large resevoir of "discouraged workers", doesn't that mean the U3 number should stabilize for quite some time at 10% because these workers will eventually become undiscouraged and start looking again? I bet these discouraged workers will eventually disappear from the statistics all together.
What's especially galling about these unemployment percentages is that there needs to be about a million jobs a year increase just to maintain a particular unemployment rate. Yet the country is still shedding jobs but the unemployment goes down.
Posted by: Ken at February 05, 2010 08:03 AM (Bs34i)
How about "unpaid jobs" created?
Posted by: runningrn at February 05, 2010 11:54 AM (CfmlF)
Sabbaticals created.
Opportunities for career reflection and redirection created.
Vacations created.
Daytime television viewers created.
Posted by: stuiec at February 05, 2010 08:03 AM (GU29T)
What's not contained in the employment figures is the number of people still employed only because they agreed to take pay cuts. My wife, for instance. 50% pay cut in order to stay employed. I have a friend who is employed by a huge telecommunications company and gets paid salary/commissions. In '08, he made over 165,000. In '09, he made 82,000, on 4% more business. They cut his commission structure in half. But he still has a job, right? Yeah, I know lots of folks have a hard time feeling sorry for someone who makes 82,000, but that is not the point.
People who still have jobs are de-leveraging like mad-men. If the government thinks people are going to buy us out of this recession, they are nuts.
And to the unemployment report: Three of the folks I know have been looking for work over 18 months. Not a hint of a job. They have exhausted their benefits, and are no longer counted as unemployed by the gov. Gee, I bet that makes them feel better. And thats. just. the. fucking. way. it. is.
Posted by: mikeyslaw at February 05, 2010 08:03 AM (QMGr1)
OT But maybe one of you smart morons can fill me with some knowledge. What is flash.quantserve.com and why is it taking so long to load, slowing the page load time to about 5 minutes?
Ha! Ha! Ha! He said "smart morons"! Ha!
Posted by: runningrn at February 05, 2010 08:03 AM (CfmlF)
Ad serving nonsense. You can opt-out with a link at the top of this page:
http://www. quantcast.com/ info/privacy
Posted by: Purple Avenger at February 05, 2010 08:05 AM (gIWiY)
How much is Barry's Super Bowl party setting us back? Even if the NFL comps the suite/food/booze, there's still travel and security...
Posted by: HeatherRadish at February 05, 2010 08:05 AM (mR7mk)
Posted by: CUS at February 05, 2010 11:54 AM (wOGfT)
Gee, the tapioca pearls in this pudding are awfully big.
Posted by: Andi Sullivan at February 05, 2010 08:06 AM (GU29T)
I have a question and I do not/not mean to sound insensitive--what are the folks doing who have exhausted their benefits?
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at February 05, 2010 08:06 AM (B+qrE)
Posted by: Hillary's swingin' dick at February 05, 2010 08:06 AM (d7Px0)
I have a question and I do not/not mean to sound insensitive--what are the folks doing who have exhausted their benefits?
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at February 05, 2010 12:06 PM (B+qrE)
Living with family or going on government handouts.
Posted by: Holger at February 05, 2010 08:07 AM (8NGHm)
How much is Barry's Super Bowl party setting us back? Even if the NFL comps the suite/food/booze, there's still travel and security... Plus the $2.5 million ad for the freaking census. (Ruh Roh, can't shut off the Italics!)
Posted by: runningrn at February 05, 2010 08:07 AM (CfmlF)
Posted by: CUS at February 05, 2010 08:07 AM (wOGfT)
Posted by: runningrn at February 05, 2010 12:01 PM (CfmlF)
In January, unemployment rates for most major worker groups--adult men (10.0 percent), teenagers (26.4 percent), blacks (16.5 percent), and Hispanics (12.6 percent)--showed little change. The jobless rate for adult women fell to 7.9 percent, and the rate for whites declined to 8.7 percent. The jobless rate for Asians was 8.4 percent, not seasonally adjusted. (See tables A-1, A-2, and A-3.)
Posted by: Tami at February 05, 2010 08:08 AM (VuLos)
Total bullshit. Utter nonsense. The unemployment rate would be 99.5% if Opie didn't save all of those hundreds of millions of jobs.
If the Obama admin. says it's 9.7%, it's likely to be around 12%.
Posted by: gus at February 05, 2010 08:08 AM (Vqruj)
50% drop in income = a lot less federal income taxes. You would think this would matter to Democrats, but they're innumerate.
Posted by: HeatherRadish at February 05, 2010 08:08 AM (mR7mk)
I'll just add, cause I'm a businessman, most companies have the same damned self-preservation instinct human beings have. We started planning for this pain back in June of 08. Cutting capital expenses, writing off the bad receivables, working the balance sheet and adjusting our planning and growth for 2009, 10 and 11 based on "this is going to suck".
Posted by: Dave in Texas at February 05, 2010 11:35 AM (Wh0W+)
A related phenomenon: the MSM are businesses, too, and it seems that their sense of self-preservation is finally kicking in to the point where they are acknowledging reality. I predict this is the year they will turn on Obama in a desperate attempt to woo back the readers and viewers who've left them in disgust at their past bias.
Posted by: Andi Sullivan at February 05, 2010 08:08 AM (GU29T)
I have a question and I do not/not mean to sound insensitive--what are the folks doing who have exhausted their benefits?
Dropping out, working off the books, drawing welfare...
Posted by: Reality at February 05, 2010 08:09 AM (d7Px0)
Posted by: George Orwell at February 05, 2010 08:09 AM (AZGON)
Hackers steal millions of carbon credits
hahahahaha, look at all those cooling towers. All the smart news people know that cooling towers are only found on nukes so the photo was obviously shopped.
Also, look at the stuff coming out of those smoke stacks. They would be fined big time in the U.S. for pollution.
Posted by: Vic at February 05, 2010 08:10 AM (QrA9E)
Posted by: nickless at February 05, 2010 08:10 AM (MMC8r)
Posted by: HeatherRadish at February 05, 2010 12:08 PM (mR7mk)
They laugh at the Laffer Curve.
Posted by: stuiec at February 05, 2010 08:10 AM (GU29T)
If the Obama admin. says it's 9.7%, it's likely to be around 12%.
Actually, it's over 17%. That bodes well for Cloward-Piven; starving folks start demanding socialism at ~ 25%.
Who says that BHO is stupid?
Posted by: Reality at February 05, 2010 08:11 AM (d7Px0)
What's the rate for black men with an HS diploma? Before Obama, there was much shrieking about how bad it was compared to white men with HS diploma.
Posted by: HeatherRadish at February 05, 2010 08:12 AM (mR7mk)
they must have used like 15 "skinny" lenses for that shot!
She was at a Big & Tall toilet. Scale.
Posted by: Reality at February 05, 2010 08:12 AM (d7Px0)
Posted by: Methos at February 05, 2010 08:14 AM (Xsi7M)
Scrambling for odd cash jobs, liquidating 401K's, terminating life insurance policies and taking a cash payout, selling any collections of semi-valuable shit they may have had, selling wedding rings and jewelry, guns, etc.
The ones with mortgages are fucked; that's a tough nut to crack every month. If you have a paid off crib someplace where the taxes aren't too bad and go into "hunker down mode" minimzing everything, its amazing how little it takes to just get by.
Posted by: Purple Avenger at February 05, 2010 08:15 AM (gIWiY)
Posted by: runningrn at February 05, 2010 08:15 AM (CfmlF)
Goddamn it to hell. We are in the midst of a depression and Obama is wacking off at every chance rather than doing his goddamned job.
We got people out of work, legions of them, lots of them are skilled labor like myself. We should be out there building dams, pipelines, nuclear power plants, drilling for oil and natural gas, building green and efficient alternative energy, repairing crumbling bridges and all sorts of actual good stuff.
Instead this fuck face is fucking around with the Republic. I want a fucking job Obama, I want my life back on track. But instead you are dicking around throwing swank parties and turning the White House into your own personal fucking shrine. Fucking meglomaniac twunt! Socialist fuckface!
That goddamned ignorant motherfucking bastard!
End Rant.
Posted by: Holger at February 05, 2010 08:16 AM (8NGHm)
Fortunately, the only people starving in America are the ones who won't sign up for food stamps (out of principle or laziness, and I doubt the former clamor for a Soviet-style state) or who don't qualify because someone in their household works but don't hit the private food banks (same parenthetical notation).
Posted by: HeatherRadish at February 05, 2010 08:17 AM (mR7mk)
@5 How much do you trust Judge Napolitano?
About as much as I trust Janet Napolitano.... Even on legal issues where he is supposedly "expert" half his opinions are utter nonsense.
Posted by: JPS at February 05, 2010 08:18 AM (aY76I)
Posted by: Purple Avenger at February 05, 2010 08:18 AM (gIWiY)
Carly FiorinaÂ’s attack video on California Senate primary opponent Tom Campbell is simply the greatest political advertisement ever made.
Definitely makes me want to vote for her, because anyone willing to get this weird deserves my unstinting support.
Posted by: Charles at February 05, 2010 08:19 AM (d7Px0)
If I was to go all out in a rant, I'd probably have Secret Service knocking at my door.
Posted by: Holger at February 05, 2010 08:20 AM (8NGHm)
Posted by: gus at February 05, 2010 08:21 AM (Vqruj)
Posted by: Rewrite! at February 05, 2010 08:22 AM (d7Px0)
If I was to go all out in a rant, I'd probably have Secret Service knocking at my door.
Or running you down in an intersection.
Posted by: Dang Straights at February 05, 2010 08:22 AM (fx8sm)
Reality, anyone who works toward Cloward-piven is: very very stupid.
Socialist
Progressive
8th generation Welfare
52%ers
Posted by: Rewrite! at February 05, 2010 08:23 AM (d7Px0)
I hope things do get better soon, no matter who gets credit. But the repubs should use this to stop any sort of keynsian stimulus disguised as a jobs bill. There is a reason that the administration isn't trumping this report, and its because they want a new spending bill.
Posted by: Guy Fawkes at February 05, 2010 08:24 AM (2sJK0)
Posted by: Barack, Lord of the Flyswatters at February 05, 2010 08:24 AM (AZGON)
Another pesky math note:
The FY 2011 budget assumes an 18.5% growth in federal revenues from allowing the Bush tax cuts to expire for the >250K crowd and closing "coporate loopholes."
...
...
...
Anyone for a two trillion dollar deficit?
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at February 05, 2010 08:24 AM (B+qrE)
Posted by: Holger at February 05, 2010 12:16 PM (8NGHm)
Even though it was bullshit, at least Bill Clinton could make it look real when he said, "I feel your pain." Obama doesn't even make a credible show of empathy. It's astounding that he indulges in the high life and that the First Lady goes on an organic vegetable kick when an increasing number of long-term unemployed are running out of resources to put food on their families' tables and having to turn to food banks.
Posted by: stuiec at February 05, 2010 08:24 AM (GU29T)
Even on legal issues where he is supposedly "expert" half his opinions are utter nonsense.
I'm glad someone else recognizes that besides me.
Posted by: Vic at February 05, 2010 08:25 AM (QrA9E)
Or running you down in an intersection.
Conspiracy kooks like you also believe that the IRS and ATF are buying up heavy weapons to use against the citizenry.
Wait a sec...
Posted by: Rewrite! at February 05, 2010 08:25 AM (d7Px0)
Chi-Town Jerry is right, the R's should accept this number at face-value and use it to kill the impending 'Stimulus 2: Commie Boogaloo' the dems want to pass.
Posted by: Dang Straights at February 05, 2010 08:26 AM (fx8sm)
Anyone for a two trillion dollar deficit?
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at February 05, 2010 12:24 PM (B+qrE)
Like I said: they laugh at the Laffer Curve. But Laffer will have the last laugh.
Posted by: stuiec at February 05, 2010 08:26 AM (GU29T)
Even on legal issues where he is supposedly "expert" half his opinions are utter nonsense.
They make perfect sense from the paradigm of Cloward-Piven, Ayers, Alinsky...
Posted by: Rewrite! at February 05, 2010 08:29 AM (d7Px0)
it's no like ppl got new jobs, they just stopped counting ppl they consider have "stopped" looking for jobs.
the real unemployment rate is about 17% or 18%
Posted by: shoey at February 05, 2010 08:29 AM (Ed9Xn)
Posted by: Holger at February 05, 2010 12:16 PM (8NGHm)
Even though it was bullshit, at least Bill Clinton could make it look real when he said, "I feel your pain." Obama doesn't even make a credible show of empathy. It's astounding that he indulges in the high life and that the First Lady goes on an organic vegetable kick when an increasing number of long-term unemployed are running out of resources to put food on their families' tables and having to turn to food banks.
Posted by: stuiec at February 05, 2010 12:24 PM (GU29T)
Have you noticed lately how Odumbass has started to do the lip biting thing and also that stupid tongue action?
Posted by: conscious, but incoherent at February 05, 2010 08:30 AM (Vu6sl)
Posted by: Barack, Lord of the Flyswatters at February 05, 2010 08:30 AM (AZGON)
Posted by: Rewrite! at February 05, 2010 08:32 AM (d7Px0)
Have you noticed lately how Odumbass has started to do the lip biting thing and also that stupid tongue action?
Posted by: conscious, but incoherent at February 05, 2010 12:30 PM (Vu6sl)
I hadn't, but only because I dislike looking at him. Has he stopped scratching his face with his middle finger when talking about people he dislikes?
Oh, and by the way: how do they put the stage directions in his Tele-Prom-Ter without risking him reading them out loud? "I want those who are unemployed bite lip to know that I understand your frustration poke tongue."
Posted by: stuiec at February 05, 2010 08:34 AM (GU29T)
In the grand scheme of things - Government jobs are an expense on the economy. Private sector jobs are revenue.
More government jobs than private sector = bankruptcy. Period.
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at February 05, 2010 08:35 AM (RkRxq)
Posted by: shoey at February 05, 2010 08:35 AM (Ed9Xn)
Hell, Ace has saved or created thousands of jobs at Jello Pudding.
Technically--IN Jello Pudding.
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at February 05, 2010 08:35 AM (B+qrE)
Posted by: conscious, but incoherent at February 05, 2010 08:36 AM (Vu6sl)
O/T: Conyers keeping it real, yo.
Posted by: laceyunderallssonn at February 05, 2010 12:37 PM (TwXU6)
Wow! We're really underestimating the depth of their stupidity.
Posted by: conscious, but incoherent at February 05, 2010 08:40 AM (Vu6sl)
Posted by: Holger at February 05, 2010 08:41 AM (8NGHm)
Posted by: rightzilla at February 05, 2010 08:41 AM (rVJH4)
Posted by: carin at February 05, 2010 08:41 AM (UsRyD)
Posted by: Holger at February 05, 2010 12:41 PM (8NGHm)
Civil War.
Posted by: conscious, but incoherent at February 05, 2010 08:42 AM (Vu6sl)
Posted by: conscious, but incoherent at February 05, 2010 12:36 PM (Vu6sl)
Well, he is French...that is a big loss of its own.....
Posted by: rightzilla at February 05, 2010 08:43 AM (rVJH4)
What this Friday needs is a sympathy haiku thread for "Joggin Jaywalkin' Jim" Treacher.
I can't even estimate how many jobs that would create.
Posted by: Mama AJ at February 05, 2010 08:44 AM (Be4xl)
Posted by: Fresh Air at February 05, 2010 08:44 AM (1yI48)
Posted by: carin at February 05, 2010 08:46 AM (UsRyD)
Posted by: conscious, but incoherent at February 05, 2010 08:46 AM (Vu6sl)
O/T: Conyers keeping it real, yo.
LOL, I have been saving that post for the headline thread that looks like we are not going to get, so here goes:
From Fox’s “Speakers Lobby”
Conyers calls on Clinton to demote USAID Director
In the letter, Conyers says that he was “alarmed and chagrined” to learn that Shah did not bring any African American staff to a meeting of the Congressional Black Caucus on Wednesday to discuss Haiti.
That statement epitomizes the overt racism by the CBC and Conyers.
Posted by: Vic at February 05, 2010 08:47 AM (QrA9E)
But, if you have to listen to Obama, I just picked up a tip from a threads at JustOneMinute:
While he's ping-ponging from left to right TOTUS, say "Ding" at the end of his sentence. Think typewriter. For example, "[*ping left*] My fellow Americans, (DING!) [*pong right*] I'm glad you're all here to day so that we can address blah blah blah. (DING!) [*ping left*] My administration has worked tirelessly to repair the damage we inherited blah blah blah (DING!)...
Posted by: AnonymousDrivel at February 05, 2010 08:48 AM (swuwV)
I notice one of the lefty talking points in the comments section at Politico (I know, I know): businesses aren't hiring because health insurance for workers costs too much! These are the types of lamebrains we have to deal with. I employ union painters, who have an excellent health insurance plan (medical, dental, vision; I'm on it myself, best I've ever had); health care costs are part of the check the union gets every month. Our firm has half the usual amount of guys n' gals working because NOBODY'S SPENDING MONEY ON PAINTING AND WALLCOVERING! If somebody calls me to start 20 guys tomorrow on OT I guarantee you the cost of their health insurance is the farthest thing from my mind. Martinis for everyone, that's what would be on MY mind.
Posted by: Sort-of-Mad Max at February 05, 2010 08:49 AM (ERJIu)
Posted by: CoolCzech at February 05, 2010 08:49 AM (QECjC)
Posted by: carin at February 05, 2010 08:49 AM (urVlC)
Posted by: George Orwell at February 05, 2010 08:50 AM (AZGON)
Magic...
Posted by: Houdini's Cadaver at February 05, 2010 08:51 AM (nz654)
If you do the math, that'd be 10.9% funemployment if the jobs available number had been held steady.
Posted by: Ian S. at February 05, 2010 08:51 AM (pg/HS)
Posted by: carin at February 05, 2010 08:51 AM (UsRyD)
just crossing the street
black SUV clips my ass
fucking busted knee
VARIATIONS ON A THEME:
I just crossed the street
Ass torn off by SUV
Broken knee, I'm fucked
Posted by: rightzilla at February 05, 2010 08:52 AM (rVJH4)
More O/T news:
Re sidebar story about the woman convicted of animal cruelty for selling pierced kittehs on intertubes:
Defense attorneys argued that parents allow children to get pierced ears at young ages, and it would be wrong to hold cat owners to a higher standard.
That says it all. Some juries are just teh stupid and that doesnÂ’t count the DA who should be prosecuted as well.
Hey Ace, here is a list for the cities to hold the nationwide get-together in.
But not to worry, it is just another hit piece by the asshole who want to bring back prohibition. From the article:
We looked at annual death rates due to alcoholic liver disease, as well as who's headed there by regularly downing five or more drinks in a sitting (CDC). Next, we factored in drunk-driving arrests (FBI) and the percentage of fatal accidents involving intoxicated motorists (U.S. Department of Transportation). Then, after tallying the MADD report card of state efforts to cut down on excessive drinking, we had our ranking and, for the state of Colorado, an invitation to AA.
In other words, it is manufactured BS.
Posted by: Vic at February 05, 2010 08:52 AM (QrA9E)
Posted by: mystry at February 05, 2010 08:52 AM (kmgIE)
Posted by: George Orwell at February 05, 2010 08:52 AM (AZGON)
Shut up. That's why.
Posted by: Baghdad Bob Gibbs at February 05, 2010 08:52 AM (swuwV)
Posted by: AnonymousDrivel at February 05, 2010 12:48 PM (swuwV)
Worse than that, its like listening to someone totally detached from reality, someone quiet literally psychotic. He says the Economy is improving, it isn't. He says it isn't that bad, fucking hell its almost the '30s! He blames Bush for spending bills he signed as a Senator and expands that spending to megalithic proportions as POTUS. He doesn't lie, in order to lie you must know what the truth is. He doesn't know what the objective truth is because he is fucking delusional!
Hitler in the Bunker is an apt description.
Posted by: Holger at February 05, 2010 08:53 AM (8NGHm)
unemployment rate keeps dropping.
Just like Red China.
With a little more effort, you could've haiku'd that, CC. You're welcome.
Posted by: Peaches at February 05, 2010 08:53 AM (9Wv2j)
Posted by: carin at February 05, 2010 08:56 AM (UsRyD)
Posted by: George Orwell at February 05, 2010 08:57 AM (AZGON)
174 How the hell does the unemployment rate go down when the number of unemployed increases?
Well, if you were to decrease the supply of people outstripped the number of jobs lost, you could have an overall loss of jobs with a rise in employment. Given that's what suggested by these numbers, I guess I'll beat Andi to the scoop now: OMFG, THE OBAMA ADMINISTRATION IS MURDERING MILLIONS OF THE UNEMPLOYED TO KEEP UNEMPLOYMENT LOW!!1!!eleventy!!
Posted by: Cautiously Pessimistic at February 05, 2010 08:58 AM (pZEar)
I attacked that SUV
Please don't taze me, bro.
Posted by: Peaches at February 05, 2010 12:58 PM (9Wv2j)
+100
Posted by: conscious, but incoherent at February 05, 2010 08:59 AM (Vu6sl)
Posted by: carin at February 05, 2010 09:00 AM (UsRyD)
Using the same parameters as these phony numbers, Mexico has a lower unemployment rate than we do, since their 50% of unemployed workers have also given up and are presently scavenging garbage dumps.
Posted by: TexasJew at February 05, 2010 09:00 AM (dcKUM)
Police acted stupidly
Beer with OBAMA!
Posted by: carin at February 05, 2010 12:56 PM (UsRyD)
DING! DING! DING! DING! DING!
THAT HAIKU IS THE BEST ONE
COMPETITION CRUSHED!
Posted by: rightzilla at February 05, 2010 09:00 AM (rVJH4)
Posted by: stuiec at February 05, 2010 09:02 AM (GU29T)
Posted by: George Orwell at February 05, 2010 12:57 PM (AZGON)
Fits him to a T. His history of being abandoned by both parents should disqualify him IMO.
Posted by: Holger at February 05, 2010 09:05 AM (8NGHm)
I don't think anything this administration says is honest whatsoever, so there's precious little the boy who cried wolf and his administration can say that will make me believe anything they have to say.
/Yeah, I know - "boy" is raaaaacist. Consider me duly chastised.
Posted by: Jazz at February 05, 2010 09:05 AM (hnq5i)
Posted by: carin at February 05, 2010 09:06 AM (UsRyD)
Posted by: Michael Mann at February 05, 2010 09:06 AM (dcKUM)
This post saved or created thirty seven jobs
I have to call BS on that claim. This post did not destroy hundreds, if not thousands of jobs.
Get with the program DiT.
Posted by: AndrewsDad at February 05, 2010 09:07 AM (C2//T)
"I feel your pain" becomes "Have you seen the price of arugala?"
Posted by: CUS at February 05, 2010 09:20 AM (wOGfT)
Posted by: runningrn at February 05, 2010 09:21 AM (CfmlF)
Posted by: O'Brien at February 05, 2010 12:11 PM (kheDT)
Only for very large values of 4.
SS hits Treach
No noise, didn't get skittles
What, no unicorn?
Posted by: todler at February 05, 2010 09:22 AM (fPOY0)
Posted by: Fresh Air at February 05, 2010 09:26 AM (1yI48)
He's losing it. During that "Corpse-Man" speech, he's slurring and his once very good timing is way off.
Posted by: CUS at February 05, 2010 09:30 AM (wOGfT)
From CNBC:
While a sharp increase in the number of people giving up looking for work helped to depress the jobless rate, some details of the employment report were encouraging. The number of "discouraged job seekers" rose to 1.1 million in January from 734,000 a year ago.
WTF is encouraging about the number of people who have given up looking for work rising by over a quarter-million?
Posted by: Tinian at February 05, 2010 11:58 AM (7+pP9)
If the dumb lying twats on CNBC could still be pushing pets.com to their idiot viewers, believe me - they would.
Posted by: TexasJew at February 05, 2010 09:39 AM (dcKUM)
Coming in at the tail end of this, but just to elaborate:
Yeah, the U3 number is bullcrap. Total Employed and Labor Participation rates all dropped, and as Denninger points out, the latter ultimately determines if the government will even be able to pay its bills.
Others have mentioned the 18% U6 and 10.6% "actual" U3, which zerohedge explains is the result when the fuzzy Seasonally Adjusted rates are removed from the equation:
Bottom line is we are still hosed, especially after the debt limit was raised to 100% of GDP. We have to add roughly 250K jobs a month for the next five years just to get back to where we were in 2007. That's never happened in the country's entire history, and there is NO industry right now that can support such growth the way the dot.com and housing bubbles did the last 15 years. Even the so-called "green jobs" are outsourcing their manufacturing to China.
This is not going to end well at all. The only reason there haven't been riots is because welfare's allowing out leaders to extend and pretend--but even the Romans couldn't provide bread and circuses forever.
Posted by: David Axelrod's Combover at February 05, 2010 09:40 AM (/Pw+r)
Posted by: drfredc at February 05, 2010 01:46 PM (ljMiA)
>>171 I just made a visit to the bathroom. While I was in there, I didn't save any jobs, but I did create a statue of Barack Obama.>>
Me too. My statue made more sense than Bumma's recent economic speech. It said nothing. Which says something.
Posted by: ND at February 20, 2010 09:01 AM (tzXV+)
Thanx you very much very good post.
I don't think this story is complete, I don't think there's anything this administration is doing that's positive (hell they only started talking about job recovery a couple of weeks ago), if this is just some indication that the problem is bottoming I'll be happy that's the case
Posted by: evden eve nakliyat at November 01, 2010 01:35 PM (wxRk8)
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Hmmm, these numbers taste like shit-flavored fudge. I'm sure they're entirely reliable, though.
Posted by: Dang Straights at February 05, 2010 07:22 AM (fx8sm)