August 27, 2010

US GDP Revised Downward to 1.6% for the Second Quarter
— Dave in Texas

Revised down from initial estimate of 2.4%, from "anemic" to "crappy". Unexpected? Naaah.

Recovery summer baby. From jobs "created or saved" to "lives touched". I've been touched by this recovery, and it feels wrong to me. Bad touch, bad touch.

The final numbers are due Sept. 30


dangit, forgot to tip GulfCostTider. Mybad.

Posted by: Dave in Texas at 04:57 AM | Comments (56)
Post contains 73 words, total size 1 kb.

1 So, I was out of town yesterday... antyhing interesting happen?

Posted by: Bat Chain Puller at August 27, 2010 04:58 AM (SCcgT)

2 1.6.. that's at least the "right direction," correct? Oh wait...

Posted by: Bat Chain Puller at August 27, 2010 04:59 AM (SCcgT)

3
I feel like I've been touched in my "no no" spot.  Hard.

Posted by: Dang at August 27, 2010 05:00 AM (Chg7a)

4

1.6% of that is Bush's fault.

Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at August 27, 2010 05:01 AM (RkRxq)

5 The final numbers are due Sept. 30

Hmmm, I wonder if the October surprise will be radically inflated numbers to be revised mid-November.

Posted by: Bevel Lemelisk at August 27, 2010 05:02 AM (FkKjr)

6 That 1.6% will be revised downward as well to. In actuality there is no growth at all. And if we didn't count government jobs it would be negative.

Posted by: Vic at August 27, 2010 05:03 AM (/jbAw)

7

Can you imagine if someone like Soros was doing this for leftwing causes?

http://tinyurl.com/23f8nul

The MFM would be on that like a fat lady on a cupcake.

Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at August 27, 2010 05:04 AM (RkRxq)

8 Hope you bitter clingers are enjoying he awesome Recovery Summer I've fixed up for you.  Now watch this drive.

Posted by: B. Hussein Obama, A Concept, Not A Plan at August 27, 2010 05:04 AM (0pBLV)

9 1.6  is the new B+

Posted by: Obama at August 27, 2010 05:05 AM (nVLlM)

10

we are going to grow our way out of this recession.

at least it was higher than crazy jim cramer's estimate of  0.5

Posted by: Ben at August 27, 2010 05:07 AM (wuv1c)

11 Decimal points are obviously racist, I deem the revised number is 16%.

Recovery summer is again on track.

Posted by: Barry O econ genius at August 27, 2010 05:08 AM (tf9Ne)

12 I feel like I've been touched in my "no no" spot.  Hard.

Posted by: Dang

 

Morons have these?

Posted by: Blue Hen at August 27, 2010 05:08 AM (R2fpr)

13

worst fruit popsicles ever

 

Fruiti Pops Inc. of Santa Fe Springs, California has recalled its mamey (mah-MAYÂ’) frozen fruit bars because of a possible link to a rare U.S. outbreak of typhoid fever.

The company said Thursday that the fruit bars were distributed in California, Arizona and Texas since May 2009.

Posted by: Ben at August 27, 2010 05:09 AM (wuv1c)

14 The economy's transforming from Smeagol to Gollem.   

Posted by: Big Fat Meanie at August 27, 2010 05:10 AM (8lCJT)

15 The economy grew at a much slower pace this spring than previously estimated

I BLAME BOOOOOSH!!!!!!!!!!!

Posted by: idiot libtard at August 27, 2010 05:11 AM (Pm5H8)

16 The markets had priced in pretty much everything from 1.0 to 2.0 percent, so this wasn't "unexpected." The MFM however, reserves the right to trot out their favorite adverb should Wall Street head south later in today's session.

Q3 number is now the most important, especially the Residential Investment (RI) component.  The only real reason why Q2 numbers weren't negative was that RI was up by 17%.  That number was not revised in today's release.  But it also comes at the end of the first time homebuyer tax credit.  RI is the most reliable leading indicator for GDP growth.  Where it goes, GDP usually follows a quarter or so later.  RI dips have presaged five out of the last six recessions, and the sixth was the post 9/11 recession.

Wreckovery Summer, indeed.

Posted by: GulfCoastTider at August 27, 2010 05:11 AM (u24aB)

17 Hey! Things could be worse, right?

Posted by: President Part-time at August 27, 2010 05:11 AM (7JEZD)

18

 

Barry: The car is in (D) not (R). We're going in the right direction. 3 gazillion new jobs created or saved. Err.....not as bad as it could be....ummm.....Everyone just STFU, I'm trying to buy some shrimp.

Posted by: TheQuietMan at August 27, 2010 05:12 AM (1Jaio)

19 I was on the eastern shore of the Chesapeake for a few days, and took a look at a large development that was started a few years ago. 70 houses built, with land for another 200 or so. The model home of one of the builders (there are three) is a 2800 square foot semi-custom house that was originally listed at $600k.

Today's asking price? $389k.

Hope and change? My ass.

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (formerly NJConservative) at August 27, 2010 05:13 AM (LH6ir)

20

Wait until I take credit for Victory in Iraq - your heads are going to xplode.

Posted by: Obama at August 27, 2010 05:16 AM (nVLlM)

21 crap, I forgot to tip you GCT.  brb.

Posted by: Dave in Texas at August 27, 2010 05:16 AM (WvXvd)

22 I just read the dumbest thing on Google finance: Dow futures are up because the revised downward GDP number beat expectations. Wall Street is pretty much just a fantasy land now.

Posted by: Dr. Heinz Doofenshmirtz at August 27, 2010 05:16 AM (4JpPD)

23 I got something they can touch....

Posted by: Mortis at August 27, 2010 05:17 AM (I8CPt)

24 I think the "lives touched" thing is an outrageously stupid strategy for the Dems but maybe not just for the obvious reasons.

Apart from being completely bogus and unmeasurable (as was "jobs saved or created") it also brings into sharp relief the idea that "the government wants to touch your life." That's exactly what people don't want, and that's exactly the message that the people have been sending for the last year or so.

GTFO. It's anathema to the Dems but it's what everybody wants and needs from the government right now. They literally cannot comprehend it. Even if they could, they don't want to do that so fuck you.

Posted by: tachyonshuggy at August 27, 2010 05:25 AM (BUlti)

25

Don't forget boys & girls* , this is all... Funexpected!

* and others...

Posted by: Jess at August 27, 2010 05:29 AM (xvvVt)

26 You can't say "bad touch" and not link Bloodhound Gang.

Posted by: Waterhouse at August 27, 2010 05:40 AM (ZJ9VU)

27 26 pull my finger

Posted by: the invisible hand at August 27, 2010 09:36 AM (S5YRY)

My vote for thread winner:

1. It's true

2. Obscure

3. Includes fart joke

Posted by: Radioactive Satellite Of LOVE at August 27, 2010 05:42 AM (CHF21)

28

Bloomberg.com is spinning on all cycles:

Slowdown in U.S. Economy less than Estimated

Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. economy grew at a 1.6 percent annual rate in the second quarter, less than previously calculated, as companies reined in inventories and the trade deficit widened.

Economists projected a 1.4 percent rate of growth in the second quarter, according to the median estimate in the Bloomberg survey in which estimates ranged from 0.5 percent to 2.2 percent.

See? It was supposed to be revised down to 1.4% but only got revised down to 1.6% so everything is just dandy.

Posted by: TheQuietMan at August 27, 2010 05:42 AM (1Jaio)

29 29

Bloomberg.com is spinning on all cycles:

Slowdown in U.S. Economy less than Estimated

Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. economy grew at a 1.6 percent annual rate in the second quarter, less than previously calculated, as companies reined in inventories and the trade deficit widened.

Economists projected a 1.4 percent rate of growth in the second quarter, according to the median estimate in the Bloomberg survey in which estimates ranged from 0.5 percent to 2.2 percent.

See? It was supposed to be revised down to 1.4% but only got revised down to 1.6% so everything is just dandy.

Posted by: TheQuietMan at August 27, 2010 09:42 AM (1Jaio)

I'm happy, I'm one paycheck from hitting Hobo level poverty and being hunted by Ace

Posted by: Hobo Liberation Front at August 27, 2010 05:44 AM (CHF21)

30 This will be revised down another 2.5% -3.2% after federal spending is factored in


Posted by: Beto at August 27, 2010 05:45 AM (j5CHE)

31

See? It was supposed to be revised down to 1.4% but only got revised down to 1.6% so everything is just dandy.

Posted by: TheQuietMan at August 27, 2010 09:42 AM

The cheerleading from Bloomberg, Kudlow, Cramer and the rest of the screaming shills is one of the reasons I fear a major economic meltdown one day soon.

They're against all this gubmint tinkering with the economy, but when Osama Obama's regime spreads phony money in their direction, their ears prick up and they start babbling about "recovery."

These days, the stock market exists primarily to fatten the wallets of those on the inside. When the reality of the Traitor-in-Chief's uncontrolled spending and anti-manufacturing regulations sinks in and real business is finally crippled beyond recovery, October 1929 will look like a shining city on the hill.

Posted by: MrScribbler at August 27, 2010 05:58 AM (Ulu3i)

32

the ad campaigns this season:
If you vote for a Republican - you're voting for "Crazy!"

If you vote for  a Democrat, you're voting for the further erosion of your liberty, your job, and the American way of life.  You're giving democrats the power to destroy.

Pick.  I think crazy seems ok.

Posted by: Lemon Kitten at August 27, 2010 06:01 AM (0fzsA)

33 Well, I've flipped so many times, I feel like a waffle at the local firehouse breakfast.

Posted by: DJIA at August 27, 2010 06:04 AM (CHF21)

34 Gosh, I sure miss the Bush years, when the GDP was originally reported low, but then unexpectedly, but quietly, revised upward a month or two later. Good times, good times.

Posted by: neuromancer at August 27, 2010 06:04 AM (UH66/)

35 So,expectedly unexpected.

Posted by: steevy at August 27, 2010 06:05 AM (mjyiQ)

36

Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. economy remains “weak” and “fragile” and has a “significant” chance of falling back into a recession, said Harvard University economics professor Martin Feldstein.

“I would say there’s still a significant risk, maybe one chance in three, that there will be a double dip, real GDP falling, before we’re in the clear,” said Feldstein, president emeritus for the National Bureau of Economic Research. He spoke in an interview with Bloomberg Radio from Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

“We see a weak economy,” Feldstein said. “We see a fragile economy that is growing at a slower pace.”

What's this guy talking about? We're in Recovery Summer. Barry has the car in (D) not (R).

Posted by: TheQuietMan at August 27, 2010 06:06 AM (1Jaio)

37 Obama could lick this expectations and transparent lying thing by taking one simple measure: He could change the phrase they use to talk about the success of the stimulus from "jobs created or saved," which is nonsensical, to "jobs created, saved, or destroyed." Viola. Now, no one will question the claim. And the numbers are more likely to be real, too.

Posted by: D1Stewart at August 27, 2010 06:12 AM (oepNq)

38 crap, I forgot to tip you GCT.  brb.

Thanks!

Posted by: GulfCoastTider at August 27, 2010 06:17 AM (u24aB)

39 Touched = fisted, too, doesn't it?

Posted by: andycanuck at August 27, 2010 06:18 AM (3phFo)

40

@ 31

Or, in Obamanomics, it'll be revised down another 300%....

/sarc

Posted by: Bulldog in Kansas at August 27, 2010 06:22 AM (z1C58)

41 Kudlow is the absolute worst.  Why, those guys, Geithner and Frank, they sure are bright.  Green shoots around the corner.  Why does NRO give that moron a spot.

Posted by: ed at August 27, 2010 06:24 AM (Urhve)

42

Yep, gotta love how the spinmeisters are touting this as good news.  Lets see; initial GDP was 2.4, was projected to be revised to 1.4 but because it came in at 1.6 everything is coming up roses.  Unless I'm missing something, anything going in the opposite direction from 2.4 isn't a good thing.  Of course there still is the final revision, wonder how that is going to be spun if it goes even lower??

 

Posted by: Opus at August 27, 2010 06:30 AM (IebeI)

43

Revised down from initial estimate of 2.4%, from "anemic" to "crappy".

Sure that's not "fuck me, dood"?

Posted by: rdbrewer at August 27, 2010 06:33 AM (dCNYz)

44 What time is uncle benny speaking?

Posted by: curious at August 27, 2010 06:36 AM (p302b)

45 Beck just said that the media are saying 500 thousand people are expected so that when the number falls short they can criticize.

how many came for the inauguration of BO?

Posted by: curious at August 27, 2010 06:43 AM (p302b)

46

Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) -- Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said the U.S. central bank “will do all that it can” to ensure a continuation of the economic recovery, and outlined steps it might take if the growth slows.

“The Committee is prepared to provide additional monetary accommodation through unconventional measures if it proves necessary, especially if the outlook were to deteriorate significantly,” the Fed chairman said today in opening remarks to central bankers from around the world at the Kansas City FedÂ’s annual monetary symposium held in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

That puts my mind at ease knowing that they will do the same things that got us into our current economic situation

Posted by: TheQuietMan at August 27, 2010 06:47 AM (1Jaio)

47 The GDP ration has been increased from 2.4, to 1.6.

Posted by: Merovign, Strong on His Mountain at August 27, 2010 06:50 AM (bxiXv)

48 I belive the 2.4% 2nd QTR GDP was revised down in mid-July from 3.?% wasn't it?

Posted by: COlin at August 27, 2010 07:32 AM (Mbb+m)

49 Hey, they never specified which summer they meant. Odumbo meant the summer of 2013 really. C'mon we're buying shrimp here guys.

Posted by: Bruce The Robert at August 27, 2010 07:52 AM (gsT1r)

50 Hmmm.  "Lives touched". Does that include the 23,000 or so oil workers whose jobs Obama killed with a stroke of a pen?  They and their families were sure  "touched".


Isn't this sorta like a serial killer asking for mercy because he "touched" the lives of 35 people?

Posted by: GaryS at August 27, 2010 07:52 AM (WFVmk)

51
 Personally, it'd be a relief to have to again endure deficits and unemployment rates that were prevalent during Bush's administrations.

 Might even bring a smile to a fellow's face.

Posted by: irongrampa at August 27, 2010 08:01 AM (ud5dN)

52 Yeah, remember when 5-6% unemployment was the End of Days?

Good times.  Good times.

Posted by: Lance McCormick at August 27, 2010 08:57 AM (xC+kV)

53

C'mon guys we're trying to buy shrimp here.

Away with the commoners!

Posted by: Bruce The Robert at August 27, 2010 08:59 AM (gsT1r)

54 I touched Hiroshima.

Posted by: Little Boy at August 27, 2010 09:04 AM (Chg7a)

55 I touched Nagasaki.

Posted by: Fat Man at August 27, 2010 09:04 AM (Chg7a)

56

Anyone who still believes in this Hope and Change BS by election time should be institutionalized for severe mental disfunction.

AND... heaven forbid we go back to those radical things that Booosh and the Rethuglicans foisted on us... you know, like 5% unemployment, 5% growth in GDP, house prices that were greater than the mortgage amount, ... radical things like that.

Posted by: chuck in st paul at August 27, 2010 10:06 AM (adr25)

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