November 01, 2010
— Ace Via American Elephant, urging you to vote-- particularly if you're in a Blue State or blue district and your "vote doesn't count." Oh, this year, yeah, it does -- there is a nontrivial chance your vote will end up making the difference. There are seats that haven't been polled at all all cycle, and no one knows where the incumbent is in these situations.
You combine:
1) An already depressed/unenthusiastic Democratic base, with
2) Democrats just assuming their vote isn't even needed anyway, with
3) Pissed off independents casting what they think is a protest vote, with
4) Republican voters, generally self-suppressing owing to feelings of futility, suddenly coming out of the woodwork to vote, and you've got a major unexpected bonus-damage upset on your hands.
This is why Karen Harrington just might beat Debbie Wasserman-Schultz in FL-20, or John Dennis really could -- really could -- retire Nancy Pelosi a few months ahead of her preferred schedule.
Posted by: Ace at
03:12 PM
| Comments (172)
Post contains 168 words, total size 2 kb.
Posted by: DNC at November 01, 2010 03:16 PM (nIoiW)
Posted by: Soona at November 01, 2010 03:17 PM (8jY0G)
Posted by: Chairman LMAO at November 01, 2010 03:17 PM (9eDbm)
Posted by: GREG at November 01, 2010 03:18 PM (LLZiU)
Posted by: andycanuck at November 01, 2010 07:17 PM (eQPq+)
I'm impressed they lasted that long.
Posted by: Tami at November 01, 2010 03:19 PM (VuLos)
Really.
Posted by: greG at November 01, 2010 03:19 PM (JhZEL)
Posted by: USS Diversity at November 01, 2010 03:21 PM (RWtqz)
Posted by: kelley in virginia at November 01, 2010 03:21 PM (97r5C)
Posted by: Grigori Rasputin at November 01, 2010 03:21 PM (nR9r6)
Posted by: Soona at November 01, 2010 03:22 PM (8jY0G)
Posted by: FlaviusJulius at November 01, 2010 03:22 PM (9cflz)
Actually no, they cannot. Optimism is one thing but this is full-bore lunacy.
Before tomorrow's over with we're all going to be depressed we didn't win 200 seats.
Posted by: The War Between the Undead States at November 01, 2010 03:22 PM (Ufaw3)
Having a pet lunatic in Florida - other than Grayson that is - that can't get through an interview without slurring out some insane lie straight to your face would be like Shaun keeping Ed around after the rest of the walkers have been gunned down.
Posted by: Shwing N. Richard the T'rd at November 01, 2010 03:24 PM (77cMq)
Posted by: sifty at November 01, 2010 03:24 PM (bNuUU)
Posted by: Ombudsman at November 01, 2010 03:25 PM (c1oyg)
I bought vanilla flavored for a Mike Coffman win.
A Ken Buck win brings out the chocolate flavored.
I have a special vanilla/chocolate flavored swirl if Tom Tancredo pulls it off for governor.
Then all other national victories bring out the red Jello.
Good thing ants are not in season... {:<
Posted by: PugBoo at November 01, 2010 03:26 PM (h3ZPT)
Posted by: sifty at November 01, 2010 03:27 PM (bNuUU)
Posted by: Soona at November 01, 2010 03:27 PM (8jY0G)
Posted by: kathysaysso at November 01, 2010 03:28 PM (ZtwUX)
Posted by: sifty at November 01, 2010 03:29 PM (bNuUU)
Actually, the zombies were put to work as menial labor (collecting shopping carts and such).
Posted by: nickless at November 01, 2010 03:30 PM (MMC8r)
Posted by: JP at November 01, 2010 03:30 PM (D0WvF)
Posted by: Drew in MO at November 01, 2010 03:31 PM (R8S84)
You! Yes, you! Don't stand still, laddie!
Posted by: schizuki at November 01, 2010 03:31 PM (M+lbD)
Posted by: dagny at November 01, 2010 03:31 PM (9vTDT)
Posted by: Greg the Gurgler at November 01, 2010 03:32 PM (UflKI)
Is it because I am an ass at times ??
Posted by: TXMarko at November 01, 2010 03:33 PM (7NW7E)
Heh. I feel like I could take on the whole Empire myself, indeed.
Question-How many seats do the Dems have to lose tomorrow in order to A) Generate a primary opponent for Obama, or B) Preclude his run at reelection?
Posted by: Methos at November 01, 2010 03:33 PM (Ew1k4)
Posted by: Joffen at November 01, 2010 03:33 PM (Mf3m7)
Posted by: dagny at November 01, 2010 07:31 PM
Yeah, you'd have to go doggie style with her.
Posted by: rdbrewer at November 01, 2010 03:35 PM (2ZFd0)
Posted by: Schizuki Johnson at November 01, 2010 03:35 PM (M+lbD)
1.) I live in Delaware, and while Christine O'Donnell has fairly slim chance of winning, if by some chance she wins, what is the proper way for me to go about quoting Mel Gibson to my O'Donnell-hating co-workers? I'm thinking something along the lines of the classic "You will apologize, smile and BLOW ME! In that order!"
2.) I have a bottle of Herradura Anejo tequila waiting to celebrate tomorrow. To all the tequila/booze snobs: what's the correct way to drink good tequila? Obviously not shots, but neat? On the rocks? With lime and salt?
Posted by: Hoss Fuentes at November 01, 2010 03:36 PM (cgtPQ)
But voting isn't the SAT. It's OK to skip questions.
Posted by: sandy burger at November 01, 2010 03:36 PM (twiRb)
I am so friggin excited I can't stand it and I'm freaking out because I have class tomorrow night and all I really want to do is be at home, in front of the t.v., laptop at the tips of my fingers.
Whereas football fans take the Monday after Superbowl off from work, I've chosen to take off Wednesday instead. Between staying up on AoS, waiting for all the polls to close and the up and downs that are bound to follow, I'm thinking I'll need a day to recover.
Then again, Thursday is the day I should really take off. By then, the reality will have set in that the big steaming pile that O and The Firm have created will belong to the Repubs. And O will be trying to tear them down at every possible turn, even before they are sworn in.
Posted by: jmflynny at November 01, 2010 03:37 PM (JItMh)
Posted by: Beth at November 01, 2010 03:37 PM (5NfIh)
They're going to lose at least 70 seats and cede the Permanent Democratic Majority of '08 That Was Supposed to Last Forever and Ever and Ever, so I'd say the writing's already on the wall for Barry.
He'll run again, but it ain't looking good for him at all. He has neither the instincts nor the brains to save his own ass the way Clinton did post-'94.
Posted by: The War Between the Undead States at November 01, 2010 03:37 PM (Ufaw3)
2.) I have a bottle of Herradura Anejo tequila waiting to celebrate tomorrow. To all the tequila/booze snobs: what's the correct way to drink good tequila? Obviously not shots, but neat? On the rocks? With lime and salt?
That's all wasted motion. Drink it straight from the bottle.
Posted by: Soona at November 01, 2010 03:38 PM (8jY0G)
Posted by: jjshaka at November 01, 2010 03:39 PM (010DR)
ConservativeWave gains stealth
ConservativeWave gains master of shadows
ConservativeWave gains 2 combo points from premeditation
ConservativeWave gains Shadowstep
ConservativeWave Ambushes LiberalWashington for everything they ever had
LiberalWashington Dies
You gain 15 honor points
Posted by: Unclefacts, Summoner of Meteors, Pudding Dipper Extraodinaire at November 01, 2010 03:39 PM (eCAn3)
Posted by: JackStraw at November 01, 2010 03:39 PM (VW9/y)
Be careful you don't break out in handcuffs like I used to.
Posted by: sifty johnson at November 01, 2010 03:40 PM (bNuUU)
Well, a Republican Congress will give him a new scapegoat for his failures, so it might actually help him with his base. I just can't see him getting primaried.
Posted by: brak at November 01, 2010 03:40 PM (nIoiW)
Posted by: Joffen at November 01, 2010 03:40 PM (Mf3m7)
I'm going to dissent respectfully. There are a lot of real, live, over-18 people born here who have no fucking business voting. The list includes but is not limited to: people voting because the cute chick with the clipboard signed them up, people who get all their information about candidates/legislation from celebrities, people who can't name the two houses of the U.S. Congress, the mentally-incapacitated people from the group home getting their ballots filled out by "volunteers", etc, etc.
Sure, they're all legally able to vote. But they shouldn't.
Posted by: HeatherRadish at November 01, 2010 03:40 PM (Vz9lf)
Posted by: FlaviusJulius at November 01, 2010 03:40 PM (9cflz)
Posted by: Hoss Fuentes at November 01, 2010 07:36 PM (cgtPQ)
right out of the bottle, pudding chaser..............
Posted by: Racefan at November 01, 2010 03:41 PM (17Y0U)
Out of a porn star's navel. While coked out of your mind.
Posted by: Charlie Sheen at November 01, 2010 03:41 PM (MMC8r)
Try it with one ice cube. It's a good tequila and doesn't really need anything else.
My drink will be some very good bourbon that I received as a gift.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo ( NJConservative) at November 01, 2010 03:41 PM (LH6ir)
That's all wasted motion. Drink it straight from the bottle.
Posted by: Soona at November 01, 2010 07:38 PM (8jY0G)
I would, but I have to maintain appearances of civility (never mind that I may be dipping my gonads in vanilla/chocolate dairy product). Also, I have to work in the morning.
Posted by: Hoss Fuentes at November 01, 2010 03:41 PM (cgtPQ)
Posted by: someone at November 01, 2010 03:41 PM (DfAwB)
Posted by: Bill D. Cat at November 01, 2010 03:42 PM (XDeui)
Fivethirtyeight.com has an all-in-one state-by-state closing-times-and-races-to-watch roundup.
Yeah, yeah, it's on the NYT. So what? It's good stuff. 538's been playing it fairly straight - the commenters at the Times are often NOT happy. Plus the NYT has a cool interactive district-by-district map.
http://tinyurl.com/3yuwcbc
Posted by: Knemon at November 01, 2010 03:42 PM (bWEOW)
2.) I have a bottle of Herradura Anejo tequila waiting to celebrate tomorrow. To all the tequila/booze snobs: what's the correct way to drink good tequila? Obviously not shots, but neat? On the rocks? With lime and salt?
I would go with an IV
Posted by: PugBoo at November 01, 2010 03:43 PM (h3ZPT)
Then again, Thursday is the day I should really take off. By then, the reality will have set in that the big steaming pile that O and The Firm have created will belong to the Repubs.
Don't worry about the steaming pile until January. By then it'll be bigger due to the lame duck session. Until then, celebrate a couple of days and then start girding your loins.
Posted by: Soona at November 01, 2010 03:43 PM (8jY0G)
Posted by: FlaviusJulius at November 01, 2010 03:43 PM (9cflz)
Posted by: sifty johnson at November 01, 2010 03:43 PM (bNuUU)
If they pass, they'll make Corrinne Brown's current district look relatively sane.
Posted by: jmflynny at November 01, 2010 03:43 PM (JItMh)
Posted by: Unclefacts, Summoner of Meteors, Pudding Dipper Extraodinaire at November 01, 2010 03:43 PM (eCAn3)
I do hope that Vermont's results don't get called until late at night. If Leahy loses, I want Fox to run an impromptu interview with Dick Cheney gloating.
Posted by: Zimriel at November 01, 2010 03:43 PM (94eYr)
Posted by: Comrade Zombie Eeyore at November 01, 2010 03:43 PM (BPK1+)
The guys who registered because the cute chick showed her tits are most definitely not going to vote. Perhaps you haven't noticed, but most guys will say and do anything for a few minutes of a hot chick's time. But as soon as she walks away, all bets are off.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo ( NJConservative) at November 01, 2010 03:43 PM (LH6ir)
Posted by: Liberal Teachers Everywhere at November 01, 2010 03:43 PM (GXcbY)
Alright, time to go watch some beisbol and then the Colts beat up on the local joke of an NFL team. Late.
Posted by: Dang Straights at November 01, 2010 03:44 PM (fx8sm)
Please, Florida voters.
Posted by: Jane D'oh at November 01, 2010 03:44 PM (UOM48)
Posted by: Hoss Fuentes at November 01, 2010 03:44 PM (cgtPQ)
I prefer the classic: "You will smile and apologize. But first, you will BLOW ME!"
Posted by: OregonMuse at November 01, 2010 03:46 PM (pFdEk)
Posted by: sifty johnson at November 01, 2010 03:47 PM (bNuUU)
Actually, the zombies were put to work as menial labor (collecting shopping carts and such).
That works too.
Posted by: Shwing N. Richard the T'rd at November 01, 2010 03:47 PM (77cMq)
Posted by: OregonMuse at November 01, 2010 07:46 PM (pFdEk)
Nah, "In that order" has a sort of finality and good humor to it. Kind of like the difference between underwear and underpants.
Posted by: Hoss Fuentes at November 01, 2010 03:48 PM (cgtPQ)
Posted by: ziptie at November 01, 2010 03:48 PM (UdYT0)
Posted by: Northeast Elizabeth at November 01, 2010 03:48 PM (I1MCJ)
I just got back from replacing/repairing the Rossi and Watkins signs I put up a couple of weeks ago incase someone is waiting until tonight to fill out their ballot.
Funny how those signs ended up in front of the Murray and Inslee signs.
Hope they help.
Good job this election ace, you have been awsome, thanks.
Posted by: robtr at November 01, 2010 03:48 PM (hVDig)
Imagine Zombie Bwawny, Zombie Nancy, Zombie Harry, Zombie Debbie, Zombie John Barrow, etc. etc. etc.
And imagine the pissed off cop up against them. Heh.
Posted by: Jane D'oh at November 01, 2010 03:48 PM (UOM48)
Alright, time to go watch some beisbol and then the Colts beat up on the local joke of an NFL team.
The Colts are going to have a tough time of it. They're running out of players.
Posted by: Y-not at November 01, 2010 03:49 PM (UcOiF)
Posted by: ziptie at November 01, 2010 07:48 PM (UdYT0)
I figure if Obama came to stump for Coon's twice, the polling is much worse than the whores at the News Journal portray it.
BTW, going to PuddingCon on Saturday?
Posted by: Hoss Fuentes at November 01, 2010 03:50 PM (cgtPQ)
Posted by: The TARP Whisperer at November 01, 2010 03:50 PM (smEKn)
Posted by: Jane D'oh at November 01, 2010 03:50 PM (UOM48)
You know who he's going to give a super-special election day interview to? YOU'LL NEVER GUESS.
...
Okay, I'll tell you.
RYAN. FUCKING. SEACREST.
He won't give an interview to the #1 Cable News network in America, but he will clear his calendar to make room for Seacrest!
Posted by: MWR at November 01, 2010 03:50 PM (CA2NO)
Posted by: Joffen at November 01, 2010 07:40 PM (Mf3m7)
No, we're going to take the House. There isn't even a question of it. There isn't even the possibility we won't. And I say that as a chronic skeptic. The Democrats are just that fucked.
The only question is whether fraud keeps the Republicans to their floor of 50+ pickups.
Posted by: The War Between the Undead States at November 01, 2010 03:51 PM (Ufaw3)
Posted by: J.J. Sefton at November 01, 2010 03:52 PM (9Cooa)
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at November 01, 2010 03:53 PM (NvFZs)
Posted by: sifty johnson at November 01, 2010 03:54 PM (bNuUU)
The dog surely deserves better than that. Hell, he's probably fighting the same urge. Keep your eye on him or strap on a seatbelt to be safe.
Posted by: jmflynny at November 01, 2010 03:54 PM (JItMh)
Anyone else thinking he's inviting Hillster or Webb to mount a primary challenge?
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at November 01, 2010 03:55 PM (NvFZs)
Posted by: ziptie at November 01, 2010 03:55 PM (UdYT0)
My vote "won't count" in the House race- I live in the destable Keith Ellison's district, and his Republican opponent has seemingly funded his campaign with change he found under the couch cushions. At least he threw his hat in the ring- nobody else was even interested in running against Ellison.
Very much want to see Dayton lose in the governor race though- how anyone could consider voting for the man named in the top 5 worst Senators is beyond me. He chose not to even try to run for Senate again because he knew he'd lose... in Minnesota.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at November 01, 2010 03:56 PM (plsiE)
Be careful you don't break out in handcuffs like I used to.
Posted by: sifty johnson at November 01, 2010 07:40 PM (bNuUU)
But what if you want to be handcuffed, tied spread-eagle to the bed, and.....
Posted by: Sekhmet at November 01, 2010 03:57 PM (Rp/RA)
Posted by: JackStraw at November 01, 2010 03:57 PM (VW9/y)
Posted by: Joffen at November 01, 2010 04:00 PM (Mf3m7)
There will be at least 3 VISIBLE "WTF" moments among the goobs on the MFM tomorrow night.
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at November 01, 2010 04:00 PM (NvFZs)
hoss- sorry I'm still learning my laptop and can't figure copy and paste, but I drink Milagro Anejo. Squeeze a little fresh lime juice in your shot glass and sip it. Delicious!
Posted by: jewells45 at November 01, 2010 04:01 PM (Z71Vg)
Posted by: JackStraw at November 01, 2010 04:01 PM (VW9/y)
Posted by: Sekhmet at November 01, 2010 04:02 PM (Rp/RA)
Posted by: USS Diversity at November 01, 2010 04:03 PM (RWtqz)
Posted by: JackStraw at November 01, 2010 08:01 PM (VW9/y)
Yeah that may be the lib show to watch for shear visual enjoyment. Keefums may just have an infarction on the set live.
Posted by: Unclefacts, Summoner of Meteors, Pudding Dipper Extraodinaire at November 01, 2010 04:03 PM (eCAn3)
Posted by: Sekhmet at November 01, 2010 04:04 PM (Rp/RA)
Posted by: Ben at November 01, 2010 04:05 PM (DKV43)
Posted by: Kent Dorfman at November 01, 2010 04:05 PM (2g2ex)
Posted by: Kent Dorfman at November 01, 2010 08:05 PM (2g2ex)
Cut the cake.
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at November 01, 2010 04:06 PM (NvFZs)
I want a veto-proof majority.
I would be ecstatic with +70 House and +10 Senate, but I honestly don't think we'll get the Senate back.
I'll feel somewhat disappointed if we wind up with less than a 60 seat pick up in the House.
Posted by: Y-not at November 01, 2010 04:06 PM (UcOiF)
I figured you might be. Crist has written off NE Florida. His ads are very few and far between but Rubio's not letting up anyway. If Rubio doesn't dominate here I would be shocked. I'm more concerned at this point about the Gubernatorial race.
Posted by: jmflynny at November 01, 2010 04:06 PM (JItMh)
Posted by: JackStraw at November 01, 2010 04:07 PM (VW9/y)
Posted by: ziptie at November 01, 2010 07:55 PM (UdYT0)
7pm on Saturday at the Iron Hill Brewery on the Wilmington Riverfront. Email me at pinkertonrk1 at gmail dot com for a head count, since I need to let the place know how many people are coming.
Posted by: Hoss Fuentes at November 01, 2010 04:08 PM (cgtPQ)
But what if you want to be handcuffed, tied spread-eagle to the bed, and.....
Just don't drink so much you black out and then come to being handcuffed, tied spread-eagle, and oiled up by some old fat guy wearing fuzzy bright red, assless chaps.
Posted by: Soona at November 01, 2010 04:10 PM (8jY0G)
Posted by: william wilson at November 01, 2010 04:11 PM (M+OJB)
It smells like Napalm and we're going to Napalm the bastards!
http://tinyurl.com/b3ay9w
Posted by: Kemp at November 01, 2010 04:12 PM (JpFM9)
Turk campaign is saying they are up 1 point on Cleaver and another poll showing Jacob 2 points behind. There is hope. Will be at Turks victory party tomorrow night then back home to watch liberal heads explode and partaking in copious amounts of tequila.
Posted by: jewells45 at November 01, 2010 04:12 PM (Z71Vg)
Just don't drink so much you black out and then come to being handcuffed, tied spread-eagle, and oiled up by some old fat guy wearing fuzzy bright red, assless chaps.
Posted by: Soona at November 01, 2010 08:10 PM (8jY0G)
Shit did I leave my webcam on again?
Posted by: Unclefacts, Summoner of Meteors, Pudding Dipper Extraodinaire at November 01, 2010 04:12 PM (eCAn3)
Posted by: NfromNC at November 01, 2010 04:13 PM (kR57Q)
Posted by: Jean at November 01, 2010 04:13 PM (CPefM)
Cut the cake.
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at November 01, 2010 08:06 PM (NvFZs)
Ramming speed!
Posted by: D-Day at November 01, 2010 04:14 PM (2g2ex)
Posted by: NfromNC at November 01, 2010 08:13 PM (kR57Q)
pucilanimous friggin blowhard.
Posted by: Unclefacts, Summoner of Meteors, Pudding Dipper Extraodinaire at November 01, 2010 04:15 PM (eCAn3)
Posted by: CAC at November 01, 2010 04:15 PM (Gr1V1)
Webb might as well try to primary Barry 'cause he ain't gonna be Senator after 2012.
Posted by: someone at November 01, 2010 04:16 PM (DfAwB)
Posted by: sifty johnson at November 01, 2010 04:16 PM (bNuUU)
Posted by: Soona at November 01, 2010 04:17 PM (8jY0G)
Posted by: jewells45 at November 01, 2010 08:15 PM (Z71Vg)
Don't know if he's stupid, so much as completely full of himself and never misses an opportunity for ego self-gratification.
Posted by: Unclefacts, Summoner of Meteors, Pudding Dipper Extraodinaire at November 01, 2010 04:18 PM (eCAn3)
Posted by: 4ican! at November 01, 2010 04:18 PM (Ceb/w)
Posted by: ziptie at November 01, 2010 04:19 PM (UdYT0)
Posted by: Jean at November 01, 2010 04:21 PM (CPefM)
Posted by: J.J. Sefton at November 01, 2010 04:24 PM (9Cooa)
Posted by: Joffen at November 01, 2010 04:25 PM (Mf3m7)
Posted by: jewells45 at November 01, 2010 08:15 PM (Z71Vg)
No, it's pure stupidity, amplified by arrogance
Posted by: NfromNC at November 01, 2010 04:32 PM (kR57Q)
Posted by: Museisluse at November 01, 2010 04:44 PM (DTfXb)
Also, we will never be rid of Wasserman-Schultz on TV. If she loses, Ailes will probably sign her to do commentary.
Posted by: Miss Marple at November 01, 2010 04:48 PM (aXJHp)
As a tortured POW of FL 20, I'd like to cling to the slender reed of hope that it's possible The Debbie could finally be relegated to her well deserved oblivion. But all you have to do is step out of your home and observe the electorate here to realize that's not going to happen. Every month I continue to live in Broward County I feel my blood pressure rise and IQ drop by 5%.
But if it does, then Ace will undeniably have his Wave. Barney Frank is less safe.
Posted by: Leonard Pinth-Garnell at November 01, 2010 04:56 PM (PtuJp)
Posted by: jbarntt at November 01, 2010 06:38 PM (UNFot)
Posted by: SaskMike at November 01, 2010 06:52 PM (dZW6Y)
Posted by: Dick Primate at November 01, 2010 07:38 PM (9qNw7)
Posted by: hellodemo at November 01, 2010 09:22 PM (99w4X)
Posted by: Margotte at November 02, 2010 07:19 AM (nHy5P)
Posted by: hakan at November 19, 2010 09:12 AM (FDxUR)
Posted by: gayuh at December 19, 2010 04:45 AM (epNR9)
Bring canvas shoes, Converse had to mention. In the Converse canvas shoes, many are called classic. Indeed, in the field of canvas shoes, Converse can be said to occupy the market, most of the country. Canvas shoes, shoes should be the world's most popular; and wherever, there are canvas shoes on the scene. Canvas shoes for its lightweight, durable, inexpensive and widely welcomed by people around the world, whether traveling or doing sports, will be the best option.
Posted by: www.converse-shoes1.com at January 15, 2011 12:06 AM (PxHWO)
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Posted by: SoupOrMan at November 01, 2010 03:13 PM (fCYYN)