September 13, 2011

Bad: Turkey Switches Israeli From "Friend' To "Foe" in Aircraft Sensors
— Ace

First, Turkey threatened to send gunboats with the next Palestinian flotilla.

Now this.

Turkey has developed a new radar system for its US-made F-16 fighter jets that will allow them to fire at Israeli targets, AnkaraÂ’s Star Gazete reported on Tuesday. The orders to modify the system reportedly came directly from Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip ErdoganÂ’s office.

Look, there is going to be a war. I'm not sure it's avoidable. I'm not sure if I even care to avoid it.

People are going to die, and I hope it's the right people.

Posted by: Ace at 10:03 PM | Comments (138)
Post contains 115 words, total size 1 kb.

1 Bad mojo over there.

Posted by: USCitizen at September 13, 2011 10:08 PM (VoMvU)

2 Perhaps some electronic fail safe could self-destruct certain elements of the F-16's if the IFF were reprogrammed.  I'm lookinhg at you, NATO.

Posted by: USCitizen at September 13, 2011 10:10 PM (VoMvU)

3 Tee Hee. Ace broke the blog there for a few minutes.

OOPSIE  

Posted by: I know who I am but don't care at September 13, 2011 10:13 PM (iniPz)

4 Perhaps some electronic fail safe could self-destruct certain elements of the F-16's if the IFF were reprogrammed.  I'm lookinhg at you, NATO.

You expect TheOne™ to actually do something like that?  Especially after the Jooooooooooooooooos gave NY-09 to the 'Phants?

Posted by: John P. Squibob at September 13, 2011 10:14 PM (sykbj)

5 I see somebody fixed the unprecedented unexpected <.

Posted by: Don't cry for me semolina at September 13, 2011 10:17 PM (me7rP)

6 When is the UN expected to vote on the Palestinian state resolution?  Expect spikes in fuel and more Green loans by DoE Sec. Chu.

Posted by: John P. Squibob at September 13, 2011 10:17 PM (sykbj)

7

You expect TheOne™ to actually do something like that? Especially after the Jooooooooooooooooos gave NY-09 to the 'Phants?

No, but the defense industry engineers might have thought of it already, and designed systems to override such a manipulation of the IFF system.

Posted by: USCitizen at September 13, 2011 10:17 PM (VoMvU)

8 Shit.  Turkey really needs to dial down the saber-rattling.  Even opening the door to war with a country possessing a couple hundred nukes is a bad idea.

I don't agree that war between Turkey and Israel is inevitable; I think (hope) this has more to do with placating their local audience than any real ill intent.

Posted by: Hollowpoint at September 13, 2011 10:17 PM (Jl4kG)

9 And the European financial shitstorm is going full retard tonight, things are about to get very ugly.

Posted by: We'refkd.gov at September 13, 2011 10:18 PM (t7OQQ)

10 Wonder how long it will take Israel to recognize West Kurdistan (the part of Kurdistan in Turkey) and Coptic Egypt? 

Posted by: SFGoth at September 13, 2011 10:19 PM (rFrxd)

11 As far as Turkey building a NEW radar system? No I don't think so. This is most likely a scrambled translation.

Friend or Foe systems use a device that when it pings a target the target besides painting the screen with a blip will also send information about who they are and other data as agreed upon between countries Air Forces.

What Turkey has done is removed any "locks" their electronics might have against firing on a "Friend" and will paint and designate them a "Foe" and guns are free.

It's a big deal because it's not trivial to change these settings (for obvious reasons of safety and accountability).

So it takes a top level command order system wide.

That's what's happened.

It's not good news for Israel but I think they'll get over it.

Turkey (if they have anyone with two brain cells to rub together) should realize they will be in deep trouble if they down any Israeli planes or attack any Naval vessels.

Posted by: I know who I am but don't care at September 13, 2011 10:20 PM (iniPz)

12 An earlier tweet said that the WH was looking to have James Baker communicate POTUS support for Israel.  I presume that was bullshit from all sorts of angles.

Posted by: John P. Squibob at September 13, 2011 10:20 PM (sykbj)

13 6 When is the UN expected to vote on the Palestinian state resolution? Expect spikes in fuel and more Green loans by DoE Sec. Chu.

Posted by: John P. Squibob at September 14, 2011 02:17 AM (sykbj)

OPEC has already stated they will drop production to keep oil prices high...

Why they are not treated under US law (which has worldwide Jurisdiction IF it affects the US) as a group which is blatantly PRICE FIXING, I can't figure out.

Free Trade? Yeah... right...

Posted by: Romeo13 at September 13, 2011 10:20 PM (NtXW4)

14 >>>Turkey (if they have anyone with two brain cells to rub together) should realize they will be in deep trouble if they down any Israeli planes or attack any Naval vessels. My fear is that Turkey does not know this. Further, while Israel's military prowess is long-vaunted, Turkey is a rising power itself, and its arsenal is American-built. It's not shabby. Plus... friggin' Egypt might attack too. you know? This might be the six day war all over again.

Posted by: ace at September 13, 2011 10:21 PM (nj1bB)

15 People are going to die, and I hope it's the right people.

check

Posted by: Leatherneck at September 13, 2011 10:22 PM (faQpJ)

16 Tee Hee. Somebody mentioned NATO. Since Turkey is a member of NATO if they get in a scrap with Israel then the US is obligated to defend Turkey. Wait, you say, that only applies if Israel attacks Turkey - right? Trust me - any shooting between Israel and Turkey will be Israel's fault. Just ask the Europeans. But the final decision on American intervention will be made by the American Commander-in-Chief. Dum Dum Dummmmmm. Good times, good times.

Posted by: Comrade Arthur at September 13, 2011 10:22 PM (5Z/+/)

17 What's really messing with oil prices is speculators. (I know, I know. Monty and some others say no but I say BS.)

These folks are doing automated trades and if they all push the same button the price will spike even though THERE'S NO REASON FOR IT.

If a big enough speculator gets involved they can swing the price up or down and make a lot of money.

Meanwhile Joe Sixpack is getting hosed at the gas station.

Posted by: I know who I am but don't care at September 13, 2011 10:23 PM (iniPz)

18

If the IFF system change shows Turkey's assets as 'foes', then NATO and US forces gotta do what they gotta do.

I don't think this can possily end well for Turkey

 

Posted by: USCitizen at September 13, 2011 10:24 PM (VoMvU)

19 ... thinking the same as you Ace...  they want War with Israel while Bamster is at the helm....   I pray that Israel will punish those that attack her and exact a dear price for this escalation.  I pray for her citizens and for her armed services.  This is going to suck.  .. and I think it will be brutal and I have little confidence that the future of the region is knowable. 

Posted by: Yip in Texas at September 13, 2011 10:24 PM (Sh+fu)

20 This is one of the reasons we need to make goddamned sure a Republican beats Obama in 2012. His foreign policy hasn't been as disastrous as his economic, but I don't think he has the balls to kick Turkey out of NATO. If Israel and Turkey go to war, and Turkey's still in NATO, we are in a ridiculously precarious situation, like WWIII type of shit.

Posted by: Oily Taitz at September 13, 2011 10:24 PM (TUax9)

21 This is a shit sandwich I do no want our military to have to eat.

Posted by: John P. Squibob at September 13, 2011 10:24 PM (sykbj)

22 no = not

Read twice, post once.

Posted by: John P. Squibob at September 13, 2011 10:25 PM (sykbj)

23 I've read that Egypt's problems have the Army on edge and that it's unlikely they would be willing to attack Israel at this time. Same goes for Syria.

I have no idea if that's true and what they WANT to do may not mean beans if they get pushed into a corner and it's the firing squad or attack Israel.

I am hoping this is just show boating by Ergodan to increase his influence while other Muslim countries are distracted by internal strife.

We won't know until someone shoots someone.

Posted by: I know who I am but don't care at September 13, 2011 10:27 PM (iniPz)

24 Why does NATO even exist anymore?  Not one dime should go to that Cold War excuse to attack Russia.

Posted by: SFGoth at September 13, 2011 10:27 PM (rFrxd)

25 Since Turkey is a member of NATO if they get in a scrap with Israel then the US is obligated to defend Turkey.

Wait, you say, that only applies if Israel attacks Turkey - right? Trust me - any shooting between Israel and Turkey will be Israel's fault. Just ask the Europeans.

If my understanding of NATO is correct, it doesn't matter one iota who provokes the war. If Israel is engaging in any military offensive towards Turkey, we are obligated to defend them.

Posted by: Oily Taitz at September 13, 2011 10:27 PM (TUax9)

26 I highly doubt Turkey and Israel will be at war any time soon.  Still...

ace:
Further, while Israel's military prowess is long-vaunted

And also, over-exaggerated.

They have some amazing elite units, but overall, Israel is a small internally-divided nation with a mostly unskilled military.  They aren't the USA.

Posted by: sandy burger at September 13, 2011 10:27 PM (KPw+j)

27 Plus... friggin' Egypt might attack too. you know? This might be the six day war all over again.

Posted by: ace at September 14, 2011 02:21 AM (nj1bB)

Nope, Isreal didn't have nukes during the six day war. This may be turn Arab lands into a Chihuli exhibit.

Posted by: robtr at September 13, 2011 10:29 PM (MtwBb)

28 I forgot to mention that I got laid in a Turkish brothel for 25 cents back in 1972.  It might of been a Marine discount, but I think they screwed me out of twenty cents.

A warm beer cost a dollar, and a bottle of  wine was also a dollar.

Turkey was dirty, backwards, and fucking carnal.

Same old shit, different day.

Yes the shit is going to hit the fan, and I could care less.


Posted by: Leatherneck at September 13, 2011 10:29 PM (faQpJ)

29 They have some amazing elite units, but overall, Israel is a small internally-divided nation with a mostly unskilled military.  They aren't the USA.

Posted by: sandy burger at September 14, 2011 02:27 AM (KPw+j)

How many times have they proved your statement wrong?

Posted by: robtr at September 13, 2011 10:30 PM (MtwBb)

30 If my understanding of NATO is correct, it doesn't matter one iota who provokes the war. If Israel is engaging in any military offensive towards Turkey, we are obligated to defend them.

And to put the shoe on the other foot, if Turkey attacks Israel, don't we have a treaty to defend them?  Not that SCoaMF/TheOne™ would enforce said treaty, me thinks.

Posted by: John P. Squibob at September 13, 2011 10:31 PM (sykbj)

31 Fuck the Turks. Fuck the Koran. Fuck Muhammad. Fuck Islam.

Kick em out of Nato. Pay the generals to launch a coup and hang Erdogan.

Or just nuke em from orbit. It's the only way to be sure.

Posted by: BachmanAndDumber at September 13, 2011 10:33 PM (QcFbt)

32 I think if Turkey does what those types do, they'll try very had to provoke Israel into a confrontation and play victim.  Then Egypt and Syria will join the fight, even though they may not be ready... it's the Arab alliance.  I can see Iran staying back as a provider of support, but not directly engaging Israel to keep their powder dry and their options open.   Also, I would think this event will trigger Pakistanis to do something stupid too.  Good god, this really could go full-tilt stupid really fast...  with the USA standing back, leading from behind and trying to not tell others what to do.

Nature abhors a vacuum, but we are stuck with one in the Whitehouse for another year and a half...

Posted by: Yip in Texas at September 13, 2011 10:34 PM (Sh+fu)

33

The last time the Israeli Air Force fought a large-scale battle against a Muslim air force (the Syrians, over Lebanon in 1982) the result was something like an 80-0 kill ratio in air-to-air combat.  The Turks are going to need a hell of a lot more than reprogrammed IFF boxes if they want to take on the Israelis.

Posted by: Major Kong at September 13, 2011 10:35 PM (B+qrE)

34 "moderates"

Posted by: Waterhouse at September 13, 2011 10:35 PM (RQ/Gi)

35

Hezbollah and Hamas start lobbing mortars and missiles. Iran's destroyers are in the Med to help with anti-air.  

Israel has 3 subs with nuke missiles in striking distance of Iran and Turkey (NATO ally). The Iranians and Pakistan keep the US in check by threatening to cut off the supply lines to Afghanistan, or worse. The only country with a military to support the US is...Saudi Arabia and those fucks won't stay bought because they can see what's been happening in Egypt, Syria, Libya, Algeria.

It doesn't matter much if SCoaMF sits this one out or not. Israel is hosed and our hands are tied unless we want to take on Iran and Pakistan from Afghanistan which we can't hold for very long. Russia will not be helpful. China gets more aggressive in their sphere.

Am I missing anything here?

Posted by: CozMark at September 13, 2011 10:36 PM (HK4Kc)

36 When will folks learn?

Whenever we have a Democrat President, the barbarians see their weakness and decide that now is the time to make their move(s).

It's freaking happened for 150 years people!!!

Get a freaking clue!!!

If you walk down the street yelling that your unarmed and won't defend yourself and will look the other way if one of your friends with you is attacked, WHAT DO YOU THINK WILL HAPPEN?

You'll be picking your teeth out of the gutter and wondering where your friends all went. (those that aren't wounded or dead)

Democrats despise the idea of winning and worship an idealized peace. They will only fight if forced to and then when they do they do it badly.

Read some history and quit electing Democrats. They always, always get us in some bloody contest somewhere and more people die than if we stood strong and everyone in the world knew it.

Posted by: I know who I am but don't care at September 13, 2011 10:36 PM (iniPz)

37 I wouldn't want to be a Turkish pilot in an F-16 going up against an Israeli pilot in an F-16 or F-15.

Posted by: Speller at September 13, 2011 10:38 PM (J74Py)

38 How many times have they proved your statement wrong?

I hope you're right.  I worry.

Posted by: sandy burger at September 13, 2011 10:39 PM (KPw+j)

39 I wouldn't want to be a Turkish pilot in an F-16 going up against an Israeli pilot in an F-16 or F-15

I wouldn't want to be a Turkish pilot in an F-16 going against an Israeli pilot in a P-40.

Posted by: JC at September 13, 2011 10:41 PM (ap2j5)

40 Ace, don't be fucking naive. Turkey knows the consequences of attacking Israel. They've been jockeying like hell to be given member status in the EU for the better part of the last decade, and if it wasn't for the global economic downturn stoking nativism in influential countries like Spain and Germany, they'd probably be in already. They're not ruled by cretinous Islamists like Saudi Arabia, Syria, and Iran.

Antisemitism is on the rise again in Europe. I've seen it firsthand in France and Ireland within the past five years. The problem is that most American commentators live in an American-centric bubble and view an unprovoked attack on Israel as something to be universally reviled, left and right. The paradigm is different in Europe. The most radical anti-Israel protests I ever saw were on campus at UT-Austin a couple of years ago by the far left student orgs and professors. While their passion against Israel isn't shared by most Europeans, the sentiment certainly is.

Posted by: Oily Taitz at September 13, 2011 10:42 PM (TUax9)

41 THE AIRCRAFT THAT FIRED THE MISSILE WHICH GREASED YOUR ASS WAS ISRAELI

Posted by: helpful Turkish IFF system at September 13, 2011 10:42 PM (RQ/Gi)

42 Oh man Arthur, that's a terible thought.

Posted by: ace at September 13, 2011 10:43 PM (nj1bB)

43 Posted by: robtr at September 14, 2011 02:30 AM (MtwBb)

What's that saying, when you're about to be executed your mind's ability to focused is greatly increased.

Posted by: John P. Squibob at September 13, 2011 10:44 PM (sykbj)

44 Tee Hee. Somebody mentioned NATO. Since Turkey is a member of NATO if they get in a scrap with Israel then the US is obligated to defend Turkey.

My understanding based on an article I read a few days ago is that NATO members are not obligated to defend Turkey if Turkey commits an act of war without authorization from the alliance. The Israeli quarantine of Gaza is perfectly legal (despite the howling from certain quarters). So if Turkish forces try to break it, then they're acting illegally and NATO is off the hook.

Posted by: Mætenloch at September 13, 2011 10:44 PM (5fmrw)

45 I wouldn't want to be a Turkish pilot in an F-16 going up against an Israeli pilot in an F-16 or F-15.

I wouldn't want to be a Turkish anybody if it came to that.

Israel wouldn't launch nukes in a small scale skirmish, but if they thought their existence was truly being threatened... it could end badly.

Near term, this is most likely just saber rattling by the Turks for domestic consumption.  They're not stupid and/or suicidal.

Posted by: Hollowpoint at September 13, 2011 10:44 PM (Jl4kG)

46 I hope you're right.  I worry.

Posted by: sandy burger at September 14, 2011 02:39 AM (KPw+j)

So do I there is no sure winner in a war but they have a good record and the soviets aren't backing their enemies this time.

Posted by: robtr at September 13, 2011 10:45 PM (MtwBb)

47 You know, sometimes I wish America would start acting like the SuperPower we are and simply blow the hell out of the military of these problematic arab countries. Problem solved.

Posted by: JC at September 13, 2011 10:47 PM (ap2j5)

48 Jordan is teetering toward collapse. Syria is unstable. Egypt is hostile. Turkey is drawing a bold line in the sand. Prepare for biblical, my friends. This will be painful. 1968 borders? Fuck you, Hussein Obama.

Posted by: Nickie Goomba at September 13, 2011 10:47 PM (jeLTI)

49 If my understanding of NATO is correct, it doesn't matter one iota who provokes the war. If Israel is engaging in any military offensive towards Turkey, we are obligated to defend them.

It didn't work that way when Argentina invaded the Falklands.  Britain was on their own.

Posted by: Speller at September 13, 2011 10:47 PM (J74Py)

50 They should kick the turk(ey)s out of NATO. I know that they r doing a whole lot of shit in the alliance and are geostrategically important, but fuck them. They behave like enemies, they should be treated accordingly.

Posted by: Elize Nayden at September 13, 2011 10:49 PM (v49dF)

51 Turkey knows the consequences of attacking Israel.

I agree 100%.  But, if somebody else does attack Israel, Turkey will lend a lot of support to the effort.

Posted by: sandy burger at September 13, 2011 10:49 PM (KPw+j)

52 And to put the shoe on the other foot, if Turkey attacks Israel, don't we have a treaty to defend them?  Not that SCoaMF/TheOne™ would enforce said treaty, me thinks.

No, not from Turkey anyway. The Sinai shit from the late 70's obligates us to defend attacks on Israel from Egypt. We also have a roughshod ballistic missile treaty with Israel. I don't know of any other formal arrangements we have.

Posted by: Oily Taitz at September 13, 2011 10:50 PM (TUax9)

53 They should kick the turk(ey)s out of NATO. I know that they r doing a whole lot of shit in the alliance and are geostrategically important, but fuck them. They behave like enemies, they should be treated accordingly.

Posted by: Elize Nayden at September 14, 2011 02:49 AM (v49dF)

We should kick ourselves out of NATO and let Europe defend themselves for a few decades.

Posted by: robtr at September 13, 2011 10:51 PM (MtwBb)

54 Israel needs to take a walk up Turkey's Strada Chocolata.

And fuck the Turks.  They're asking for it.  They want a second Ottoman Empire?  They need to be schooled on what happened to the first one.

One thing's for sure.  This is the end of NATO.  I can't imagine any of the NATO allies rushing to defend Turkey in a war they deliberately provoked.

Maybe in 10 years, Hagia Sophia will be a Synagogue.

Posted by: Rusty Nail at September 13, 2011 10:51 PM (QxGmu)

55 They should kick the turk(ey)s out of NATO.

Speaking of which, France should have been kicked out a long ago.  (Their Cold War foreign policy was explicitly "multi-polar".)

But the real regrettable truth is, we should just remove ourselves from NATO.  It's dead, unfortunately.  Our treaty obligations ought to reflect that sad reality.

Posted by: sandy burger at September 13, 2011 10:52 PM (KPw+j)

56 This may be genuine sabre-rattling, but that's all it is. Wonder what Claire Berlinski will have to say about this. This may be entirely for internal Turkish consumption. That, or the Turks running the gubmint are freaking batshit insane.

Posted by: George Orwell what knows Obama is a stuttering clusterfuck of a miserable failure at September 13, 2011 10:52 PM (AZGON)

57 The US should have cut off Turkey a while ago.

No way in hell Turkey wants a war with Israel. Turkey would become another Islamic jackass stopped in days. This is pure soviet style pissing.

Posted by: weft cut-loop at September 13, 2011 10:53 PM (s1vtf)

58 Oops... Hollowpoint beat me to it.

Posted by: George Orwell what knows Obama is a stuttering clusterfuck of a miserable failure at September 13, 2011 10:53 PM (AZGON)

59 An earlier tweet said that the WH was looking to have James Baker communicate POTUS support for Israel.  I presume that was bullshit from all sorts of angles.

James Baker III?  That fucking Arabist?  Of course this White House would pick him.

Posted by: Rusty Nail at September 13, 2011 10:53 PM (QxGmu)

60 We should kick ourselves out of NATO and let Europe defend themselves for a few decades.

THIS

Posted by: Yip in Texas at September 13, 2011 10:54 PM (Sh+fu)

61 It didn't work that way when Argentina invaded the Falklands.  Britain was on their own.

The Falklands are a British protectorate, so that might be a nuanced difference from an attack on an actual NATO member. Also, most of NATO aligned with the UK diplomatically, including Turkey.

Posted by: Oily Taitz at September 13, 2011 10:54 PM (TUax9)

62 Near term, this is most likely just saber rattling by the Turks for domestic consumption.  They're not stupid and/or suicidal.

Recall that most of their Senior military has either resigned or being prosecuted.  The reasonable secular buffer has been eliminated.

Posted by: John P. Squibob at September 13, 2011 10:54 PM (sykbj)

63 Maybe in 10 years, Hagia Sophia will be a Synagogue.
Posted by: Rusty Nail

I look forward to drinking Manischewitz a really bold California cab there at Passover.

Posted by: SFGoth at September 13, 2011 10:55 PM (rFrxd)

64

Speller at 49 - The NATO agreement is written to secifically exclude attacks outside the immediate Noth Atlantic area. I don't remember the specific latitude boundary but it was written such to exclude attacks on "colonial" territories.

Posted by: Have Blue at September 13, 2011 10:56 PM (IKTC8)

65 My fear is that Turkey does not know this. Further, while Israel's military prowess is long-vaunted, Turkey is a rising power itself, and its arsenal is American-built. It's not shabby.

Please. Israeli advisors helped the Turks build up their military. Ergo, the Israelis know the strengths and weaknesses of every Turkish weapons system, every Turkish strategy, and every Turkish tactic.

Israel lives by one credo: There are no allies of Israel, only enemies and neutrals. The Israelis have prepared for this. Plus, the Turks haven't fought a major conflict since the Korean War, and they did utterly miserably in that. They did equally badly in the invasion of Cyprus in 1974.

It's time for Israel to once again clean several Muslim clocks simultaneously.

Posted by: Llarry at September 13, 2011 10:56 PM (jbgd3)

66 James Baker III?  That fucking Arabist?  Of course this White House would pick him.
Posted by: Rusty Nail
Israel prolly wouldn't even let him in.  Fuck Baker.  Fuck GHW Bush.

Posted by: SFGoth at September 13, 2011 10:57 PM (rFrxd)

67 Just glanced at ricochet.com, and nothing on this from Claire Berlinski. She lives in Istanbul and would be a good source to watch for opinion locally informed.

Posted by: George Orwell what knows Obama is a stuttering clusterfuck of a miserable failure at September 13, 2011 10:57 PM (AZGON)

68 They're not ruled by cretinous Islamists like Saudi Arabia, Syria, and Iran.
Posted by: Oily Taitz at September 14, 2011 02:42 AM (TUax9)

Your post is at least 10 years out of date.  Ataturk's vision for Turkey is long dead.  The Islamists are in complete control.

Posted by: Rusty Nail at September 13, 2011 10:57 PM (QxGmu)

69 We should kick ourselves out of NATO and let Europe defend themselves for a few decade

That's the most common sense thing I've read in a very long time

Posted by: JC at September 13, 2011 10:57 PM (ap2j5)

70 @55: "Speaking of which, France should have been kicked out a long ago." Yeah! If only! (Fail.)

Posted by: Walter Freeman at September 13, 2011 10:58 PM (UsjBj)

71 Maybe in 10 years, Hagia Sophia will be a Synagogue. ---------------------- From your mouth to God's vengeful ear.

Posted by: Nickie Goomba at September 13, 2011 10:59 PM (jeLTI)

72 The Falkland Islands are an internally self-governing British Overseas Territory, with the United Kingdom responsible for defence and foreign affairs.  Falkland Islanders are full British citizens.

Posted by: Speller at September 13, 2011 11:00 PM (J74Py)

73 Maybe in 10 years, Hagia Sophia will be a Synagogue. I'm thinking a Westfield shopping mall.

Posted by: George Orwell what knows Obama is a stuttering clusterfuck of a miserable failure at September 13, 2011 11:00 PM (AZGON)

74 It's a real pity about Turkey.  I've been there, and it's a beautiful and interesting place, with a ton of history and culture.

I guess they looked West towards Europe, then looked East towards radical Islam, and they decided to choose the strong horse.

Posted by: sandy burger at September 13, 2011 11:00 PM (KPw+j)

75

Speller at 49 - The NATO agreement is written to secifically exclude attacks outside the immediate Noth Atlantic area. I don't remember the specific latitude boundary but it was written such to exclude attacks on "colonial" territories.

I did not know that Libya was on the North Atlantic Ocean.  The things one learns here.

Posted by: Speller at September 13, 2011 11:02 PM (J74Py)

76

This may be genuine sabre-rattling, but that's all it is. Wonder what Claire Berlinski will have to say about this. This may be entirely for internal Turkish consumption. That, or the Turks running the gubmint are freaking batshit insane.

But they just had their election didnt they? So it can hardly be for electoral purposes and the turkish economy is going quite well...

Posted by: Elize Nayden at September 13, 2011 11:02 PM (v49dF)

77 These bellowing clowns are the best Turkey has to offer.

http://tinyurl.com/6gd35q6

Posted by: Llarry at September 13, 2011 11:03 PM (jbgd3)

78 Turkey really needs to dial down the saber-rattling. Even opening the door to war with a country possessing a couple hundred nukes is a bad idea.

It's a great idea, if what Turkey wants is to give its NATO fellows the excuse they've been waiting for to turn openly against the country Turkey's rattling at.

Look at a list of NATO member nations. How many of them won't join in the next (attempted) Holocaust? Five? I'd say five. Could be more, but not much more.

If Turkey is long-term smart (which I don't think they are, but...), they're manufacturing domestic boob-bait that, as a bonus, if it just happens to play the right way internationally (which it seems to me to be, but I pretty much only hear from UK lefties, who are all pretty much Nazis, so I don't really know), could be a strong move in the Caliphate-in-exile's game of isolating the US from "the world"—which is unified in Jew-hate, if in nothing else.

Or they're just crazy, and doing stupid shit. Which may have the same effect, if that's the effect "the world" wants it to have.

Good times.

Posted by: oblig. at September 13, 2011 11:04 PM (xvZW9)

79 Your post is at least 10 years out of date.  Ataturk's vision for Turkey is long dead.  The Islamists are in complete control.

I know it's en vogue among conservatives to act as though Turkey's elected government is on par with the mullahs. They're not. Yet. It's coming to the point where I think salvaging a diplomatic relationship with Turkey is beyond hope, but they haven't started criminalizing the Christian faith. Erdogan wants to be Abbas, don't get me wrong. The problem is that they have deep economic ties with most of Europe, and the money prevents the thugs from taking the mask off. And don't try to lecture me on Kemalism. I know Turkey's rejected neo-liberalism, but they haven't gone full sharia yet.

Posted by: Oily Taitz at September 13, 2011 11:04 PM (TUax9)

80 I did not know that Libya was on the North Atlantic Ocean.  The things one learns here.

For the purposes of NATO and basic geography, the Mediterranean is part of the Atlantic Ocean.

Posted by: Oily Taitz at September 13, 2011 11:07 PM (TUax9)

81
Maybe in 10 years, Hagia Sophia will be a Synagogue.
Posted by: Rusty Nail

Well, it's been a church and a mosque, might as well make the rounds.

Posted by: arhooley at September 13, 2011 11:08 PM (TOyZo)

82 This might be the six day war all over again.
-ace

Let's hope so.  There can never be too many Naksa's on the Muslim calendar.

Posted by: Rusty Nail at September 13, 2011 11:09 PM (QxGmu)

83 Fuck Turkey after the stunt they pulled with 4th ID.

Posted by: Mr Fever Head at September 13, 2011 11:10 PM (ZgvjV)

84 Hagia Sophia should be an Orthodox Cathedral, once again.

Posted by: elizabeth at September 13, 2011 11:16 PM (54sKT)

85 > 33 The last time the Israeli Air Force fought a large-scale battle against a Muslim air force ... Posted by: Major Kong I would favor the Israelis over Turkey in a shooting war but note that Turks are NOT Arabs. Islamic Turks are the ones who ruled Islamic Arabs for centuries. And the last time they fought a war against a western nation - they won. (If that business against the Greeks in the 1920s was the last time they fought a western nation. Not gonna look it up!)

Posted by: Comrade Arthur at September 13, 2011 11:17 PM (5Z/+/)

86 Hagia Sophia should be an Orthodox Cathedral, once again.

I'm not saying it shouldn't be.  My remark was tongue-in-cheek and along the lines of arhooley's thinking.

Posted by: Rusty Nail at September 13, 2011 11:18 PM (QxGmu)

87 > 75 I did not know that Libya was on the North Atlantic Ocean. The things one learns here. Posted by: Speller See? That's what Israel is up against. Other countries will just interpret treaties to screw Israel and support Turkey ... because that's how the public at home roll.

Posted by: Comrade Arthur at September 13, 2011 11:21 PM (5Z/+/)

88 way OT on a way late night thread, but this one is for Monty: Moody's: Paris, September 14, 2011 -- Moody's Investors Service has announced an extension of its review of the C+ standalone Bank Financial Strength Rating (BFSR) of Societe Generale SA (SocGen), equivalent to a standalone Baseline Credit Assessment (BCA) of A2 on the long-term ratings scale, originally announced on 15 June, 2011. snip As announced in our press release of 15 June 2011, however, Moody's review also encompassed a re-consideration of systemic support assumptions factored into SocGen's long-term debt and deposit ratings under our Joint-Default Approach (JDA). Moody's has today concluded this aspect of the review by downgrading SocGen's debt and deposit ratings by one notch to Aa3 from Aa2. The outlook on the long-term debt ratings is negative...

Posted by: George Orwell what knows Obama is a stuttering clusterfuck of a miserable failure at September 13, 2011 11:26 PM (AZGON)

89

JC at 39 - I think I would rather be flying a P-40 in a fight against the Israelis. They don't call the F-16 the "Electric Jet" for nothing. Every system, from throttles to flight controls is controlled by computer. Computers which are (in theory) vulnerable to hacks and viri. They say the Syrians had no clue at all the Israelis were coming for their North Korean reactor because their air defense system was thoroughly penetrated by Israeli computer shenanigans. I would hate to be a Turkixh pilot flying in those conditions. (Hopefully at least the ejection seats are hard wired.)

Posted by: Have Blue at September 13, 2011 11:30 PM (IKTC8)

90 Well, as long as no Americans are in harms' way...  eh, let em do what they will.  If they are as feckless and disorganized as they seem, they'll get their pee-pee spanked.

If not, well, we face the prospect of pulling out of NATO to defend Israel, which is going to make everything really weird.  Of course, it'll get even weirder when we try to cut off aid to Egypt without also cutting off aid to Israel, since that's the current agreement.  And if we pull out of NATO, what if other countries in the EU go explicitly hostile?  Are you really willing to lose all of NATO for Israel?

Meh, this will all be under the table cash payout shenanigan BS.  The Turks will parlay this crap into higher rent for our bases in Turkey, same as the Kyrgyz did.

Posted by: flashoverride at September 13, 2011 11:35 PM (8JPcC)

91

75 - The Mediteranean is considered part of the "North Atlantic" area for the purpose of NATO. The cut off is further south. IIRC it is north of the equator.

For the purposes of the NATO treaty unprovoked (by a direct attack against a NATO member) action by a NATO member against another power do not require a response by the NATO alliance. The Libyan action did not qualify as a situation requiring NATO members to back aggression against a third party who had not attacked a NATO country.

Posted by: Have Blue at September 13, 2011 11:36 PM (IKTC8)

92 And if we pull out of NATO, what if other countries in the EU go explicitly hostile?

None. Well, maybe Luxembourg or Belgium.

Posted by: Oily Taitz at September 13, 2011 11:38 PM (TUax9)

93 And if we pull out of NATO, what if other countries in the EU go explicitly hostile?  Are you really willing to lose all of NATO for Israel? Posted by: flashoverride

NATO should have been dissolved in 92. The USSR was dead. We should have funded the satellite states to provide any bulwark needed and moved on to other matters.

No way in hell Erdogan is going to openly go to war with Israel. Turkey would be beaten like a drum. Erdogan is looking for cheap PR and nothing else.

Posted by: weft cut-loop at September 13, 2011 11:56 PM (s1vtf)

94

#90 Are you really willing to lose all of NATO for Israel?

You're kidding right?  After that miserable performance in Libya, who'd miss it?  Anymore NATO consists of the US military forces and some European interns.

Posted by: theCork at September 14, 2011 12:01 AM (iSyWd)

95 Without the US NATO would be a pointless debate society.

Posted by: Mr Fever Head at September 14, 2011 12:05 AM (ZgvjV)

96 More on the Kulturkampf: New York Magazine just put out a 9-11 issue that was like plum duff studded with little -- turds of Leftist loathing for America, our righteous wrath, and our war leaders; and noisome bouquets of luuuuv for the terrorist fiends.

Starting with an essay by .... Frank Microphallus Rich.

If there is a war against the beleagured Jews in the Middle East, the cocktail-circuit Jews in Manhattan will be rooting for the barbarian Turks. Mark me.

And may God help us all, and crush the minions of allah under his heel.

Posted by: Beverly at September 14, 2011 12:33 AM (9wb8t)

97 This has been building for a while now. Turkey's "marriage of convenience" with the US during the cold war is over now. This is not to mention that it has always been an uneasy relationship because of the friction between them and Greece. It became even more uneasy when they refused permission for their "ally" to move in a second front on Irag's Northern border.

This also illustrates that old axiom that nations do not have "friends", they have mutual interests. There are a couple of things in play here, first Turkey has been moving more and more out of the secular government range into the Sharia/Islamic radical range. Secondly they most likely feel they no longer need a "marriage of convenience" to offset the Soviets, in fact there may be some behind the scenes meddling here by Putin. Thirdly we have a President who is either hopelessly incompetent in foreign policy or who is actively on the side of the Islamics. He has demonstrated that he will NOT act in the interests of the U.S. or any of our old allies and he will try to cozy up to our enemies.  This has only emboldened the Islamics.

With Egypt making noises, Turkey now making noises, and Iran never stopping with the noise we are building up for a major war here.  This at a time when the U.S. is vastly overextended and Obama is actually cutting the military.

I agree with Ace, there will be a war and I blame Obama. What is worse is he is also holding up weapons deliveries to Israel and will probably not agree to help them out at all.

No, this is not good.   

Posted by: Vic at September 14, 2011 12:40 AM (M9Ie6)

98 'It is not the crate, but the man sitting in the crate, that matters'

Manfred von Richtofen

Posted by: Xenophon at September 14, 2011 01:15 AM (gHBfR)

99

There are several problems with up and leaving NATO:

1.  Basing.  we leave NATO, we lose our basing rights in Europe.  No more German bases, no more UK Bases, no more Greenland/Iceland bases.  Sigonella.  We would lose our ability to project power into the Med and the North Atlantic.  Not real easy to support Israel if we can't project power into the Med.

2.  Corrollary of losing basing:  No more Landshtul.  We lose the only level 1 medical facility we have outside the US.  How many Very Seriously Injured/Critical US troops would die on the flight from Balad/Kandahar to DC?  (Oh by the way, with NATO goes our overflight permissions, so we'd be taking the looooongggg route there too.)  

3.  NATO also provides logistical and intel support in Afghanistan.

Simply, we shouldn't "pull out" of NATO.  We should instead agree to reducing NATO to its original pact nations.  

 

Posted by: Chuck Z at September 14, 2011 01:17 AM (OITDh)

100 Chuck Z don't use your logic on me. With your sensible points and keen observations...

Posted by: Mr Fever Head at September 14, 2011 01:21 AM (ZgvjV)

101 We sold the Turks their radar and the IFF system. (BAE, et al) Push comes to shove we will (hopefully) tell the Israelis how to defeat it.

Posted by: Boxy Brown at September 14, 2011 01:22 AM (exCPD)

102

Or we just turn off GPS coverage/spoof turkish gps systems.  we have the tech already in place for that.

Or, we joint-base US F16's in Israel for onging "exercises." 

 

Posted by: Chuck Z at September 14, 2011 01:24 AM (OITDh)

103 No we shouldn't pull out of NATO. The question is should we oust Turkey?  That question should have been asked when they refused the Northern Iraq invasion.

Posted by: Vic at September 14, 2011 01:33 AM (M9Ie6)

104

Doesn't Barack look killer in sunglaesses and expensive suits?

Posted by: Rev Dr E Buzz at September 14, 2011 01:46 AM (tcSZb)

105 Alright, we get Constantinople back this year.

Posted by: Goatweed at September 14, 2011 02:14 AM (1ZjA0)

106 This business will get out of control. It will get out of control and we'll be lucky to live through it. 

Posted by: Adm. Josh Painter at September 14, 2011 02:24 AM (ykXW9)

107 Why would you announce you are doing this? If you actually planning on getting in a shooting war, you do shit like recoding your IFF on the dl, if your just giving some politicians a feelgood, reach around - this makes sense. My take, some af liason in the pm office came up with this to look tough.

Posted by: Jean at September 14, 2011 02:25 AM (ilc7b)

108 And Jimmy Carter just opened his peanut hole to approve of Philistinian statehood. Mossad frogmen teams and Joo-sharks to be activated in 5...4....3...2...

Posted by: J.J. Sefton at September 14, 2011 02:26 AM (UlUS4)

109 Winter is coming!!

Posted by: Eddard Stark at September 14, 2011 02:29 AM (kTTiP)

110 I know it's en vogue among conservatives to act as though Turkey's elected government is on par with the mullahs. They're not. Posted by: Oily Taitz at September 14, 2011 03:04 AM (TUax9) You didn't trouble yourself with a little research on Erdogan's views, now didn't you? He and Gol (and 100% of the elected goverment ministers) are hardcore neo-Ottomans, but it takes time to dismantle Kamalism. Shah's Iran was more modern and secular than todays' Turkey, why exactly do you want us to believe it can't be turned into a mullahcracy with some effort?

Posted by: nati at September 14, 2011 02:34 AM (sJaP+)

111 Winter is coming!! Posted by: Eddard Stark at September 14, 2011 06:29 AM (kTTiP) Don't lose your head over this.

Posted by: nati at September 14, 2011 02:35 AM (sJaP+)

112 Now that Obama has lost the Jewish vote, will he try and get it back or give israel a lame duck screwing.

Posted by: Jean at September 14, 2011 02:35 AM (OTtAK)

113 The reasonable secular buffer has been eliminated. Posted by: John P. Squibob at September 14, 2011 02:54 AM (sykbj) "Yeah, the family had a lot of buffers." Willie Cicci Erdogan is as nuts as Stalin pre-1941. The latter purged almost everyone above the ranks of major and then Hitler rolled over them and nearly conquered them (his own stupidity and Lend-Lease notwithstanding) He may be loudmouth Jew-hater, but if he puts his now unprofessionally-led military into play, it just takes one boneheaded maneuver by some idiot lieutenant and everything gets turned into halvah in an NY-9 second.

Posted by: J.J. Sefton at September 14, 2011 02:36 AM (UlUS4)

114 Well, there goes Obama's "Republican obstruction" argument. Jim Webb described Obama's job's plan as "terrible...we shouldn't increase taxes on ordinary income...there are other ways to get there." Mary Landrieu said "that offset is not gonna fly, and he should know that" when talking about Obama's elimination of oil and gas subsidies. "Maybe it's just for his re-election, which I hope isn't the case." From Politico

Posted by: Joffen at September 14, 2011 02:46 AM (EPcuy)

115 Practitioners of the Religion of Peace (tm)  know having Obama in the White House sets up their best chance to get Israel in a generation and will be damned if they are going to miss this opportunity.  Israel is in great peril and Obama's worsening approval numbers only increases the sense of urgency or her enemies.

Posted by: Knaws at September 14, 2011 02:54 AM (q3Bhy)

116 >>People are going to die, and I hope it's the left right people.

I love the way Misses Campbell says "Someones gonna die"

Posted by: sTevo at September 14, 2011 03:03 AM (VMcEw)

117 After watching the cascade of ME fiascoes, I wonder what dumb diplomacy would look like?

As I said once before, I wish I had visited Israel when it still existed as Israel.

Posted by: Hrothgar at September 14, 2011 03:08 AM (i3+c5)

118 JJ it is likely worse. I bet they have concentrated the Islamist officers into the units that would be facing Israel - escalating the chances for something boneheaded to happen. I also could see the usual secular dampening effect on insanity, standing back and letting things get ugly, so they could justify acting against Erdogan.

Posted by: Jean at September 14, 2011 03:11 AM (tvOF2)

119 Israel needs to make alliances with Greece, Bulgaria, the Kurds, and free Cyprus right now.

Posted by: Onlooker at September 14, 2011 03:30 AM (NWfYP)

120 I warned you all about those JOOOS

Posted by: Ron Paul at September 14, 2011 03:49 AM (UZl30)

121 Well, when your entire reason for being is total, unreasoning hatred--ie, Islam--then this sort of thing is going to happen.

Posted by: BeckoningChasm at September 14, 2011 04:03 AM (i0App)

122 #90 Are you really willing to lose all of NATO for Israel? Full Disclosure: flashoverride is a Muslim.

Posted by: Empire of Jeff at September 14, 2011 04:03 AM (l9zgN)

123 Turkey won't last one week without help from Egypt and Iran. Of course Iran won't last 2 days after the nukes are launched.

Posted by: izoneguy at September 14, 2011 04:23 AM (i6Neb)

124 119 Israel needs to make alliances with Greece, Bulgaria, the Kurds, and free Cyprus right now. I guess Israel could always bail out Greece. Will the Greece soldiers march in with their spears and shit?

Posted by: izoneguy at September 14, 2011 04:25 AM (i6Neb)

125

This really helps Russia and France, who can sell Turkey replacement fighters after Israel aerially disassembles the US built ones.

Posted by: Roy at September 14, 2011 05:27 AM (VndSC)

126 "Of course Iran won't last 2 days hours after the nukes are launched."

FTFY

Posted by: Armando at September 14, 2011 05:34 AM (nd0uY)

127 The problem with leaving the Yurps to fend for themselves is that when they conduct an operation like the one in Libya it is done in such a half-assed fashion that terrorists cart off all of the anti-aircraft missiles.  Libya posed very little threat but those missiles...  Can you imagine how easy a target commercial airlines would be?

As far as the Turks go I would say that we either cut their parts supply off for their jets or that the next "upgrade" to their systems contain a kill switch.  They have proven themselves too immature to play with the big boy toys.

And we owe them one because they didn't allow us to stage from their territory when we fought Iraq.  It is hard to see how they have ever been an asset in any fashion so it is past time to treat them as a liability.

Posted by: Voluble at September 14, 2011 05:43 AM (JKX4x)

128

"Maybe in 10 years, Hagia Sophia will be a Synagogue."

Better yet, maybe in ten years, Istanbul could be Constantinople again, if the US plays her cards right.

Posted by: Sharkman at September 14, 2011 06:19 AM (wMsKw)

129 I hope the SCOAMF is not tooooooooo depressed to pay attention to this.

Posted by: rockhead at September 14, 2011 06:43 AM (ZMHGo)

130 "Lose all of NATO" "You sure you want to get rid of that tumor?"

Posted by: Harlequin at September 14, 2011 06:44 AM (7SuSt)

131 If Turkey fucks up and attacks Israel stick a fork in them...they are done.  (I couldn't resist. Hey, it's early out here in Cali.)

Posted by: mpfs, TPT & Barbarian at September 14, 2011 06:46 AM (iYbLN)

132

And yet I also read, Europe sells modern anti missile system for Turkey hooked into NATO command.

The next arab Israeli war will involve the Euros who will try very hard to do what NATO did to libya to Israel and finish the NAZI's job of slaughtering Jews all with the blessings and legality of the NATO charter and American's may find themselves bombing Tel Aviv for the damned french.

Euros want a destroyed Israel so the Euros can kiss arab ass.

Posted by: HEP-T at September 14, 2011 07:23 AM (6+6Od)

133 Israel, you've got the best air force in the region, 100 to 1200 nukes and multiple means of delivery, go for it. Don't wait for the Iranians to get the bomb. The reconsecration of Hagia Sophia is to be prayed for.

Posted by: Goatweed at September 14, 2011 08:44 AM (1ZjA0)

134 The Westinghouse APG-66/68 series is very programmable, I'm sure recoding IFF settings isn't that hard.  Quite a bit of the mission profile is uploaded by ground crews before flight. It's the only way you could ever fly that thing solo, the pilot workload on target would be too much to handle.

Like Japan, Israel has their own version of the F-16, a fully combat capable two-seater for SEAD/Wild Weasel missions, replacing their F-4(G?) Phantoms.

Oh, and if the IAF was anywhere near our size, they could probably kick our asses.  I wouldn't want to fight those guys, even if I had the clearest escape window and the safest egress vector imaginable.

Posted by: KirkCameronLeftMeBehind at September 14, 2011 09:01 AM (iZ6fL)

135 Its time for all patriotic Jews to join The Rahm Emanuel Brigade to defend their homeland.

Posted by: White RB at September 14, 2011 11:44 AM (LrLv1)

136 Obama is a stuttering clusterf*ck of a miserable failure.

Posted by: steevy at September 14, 2011 01:09 PM (fyOgS)

137 Ezekiel chapters 37 through 39. This next war probably isn't it but a good read none the less.

Posted by: Rae4palin at September 14, 2011 01:15 PM (NA4k7)

Posted by: christine at September 14, 2011 10:04 PM (UUR7d)

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