July 27, 2011
— Gabriel Malor Speaker Boehner has rushed his bill back to the drawing board with the hope of re-writing its provisions to get better numbers out of the CBO. The bill is still tentatively scheduled for a vote tomorrow, but Boehner can lose only 23 Republicans before he has to find votes among the Democrats. Keep in mind that only 5 Democrats crossed the aisle for Cut, Cap, and Balance and none of them have spoken up in support of the latest Boehner plan. Somewhere in a Capitol Hill office, Senator Reid is doing a Snoopy happy dance.
So what happened with the numbers? Boehner promised that his bill would increase the debt ceiling by less than it cut spending. So his numbers were $800 billion for the debt ceiling and $1.2 trillion in cut spending. But that cut was only relative to the January 2011 baseline, which had been used up until now in the debt ceiling talks. Unfortunately for Boehner, that baseline is out of date.
The March CBO baseline is more recent and current than the January one, and it makes sense to use that one now, even if the Biden talks and subsequent negotiations used an earlier baseline (which led the architects of this bill, working off their prior efforts, to do the same). Republicans are right, therefore, to be re-writing their bill to match the later baseline.
...Democrats have just realized that the Reid bill, which the White House is backing, has made the same mistake, so that ReidÂ’s cuts would also be scored as lower than its authors claim by CBO (probably at exactly the same level as the original Boehner bill). With House Republicans accepting CBOÂ’s correction and re-writing their bill with deeper cuts to suit the later CBO baseline, ReidÂ’s bill suddenly becomes a much weaker player in all this unless he also makes deeper cuts, which the Democrats are obviously not inclined to do.
In that sense, this baseline confusion could well strengthen BoehnerÂ’s hand.
One can only hope. Because it's still the only other game in town. Purists insist that the Cut, Cap, and Balance plan that passed the House (thank you, Speaker Boehner) is still viable, though Reid shot it down in the Senate, but there is no reason to believe that is the case. The Senate won't vote for it and the President won't sign it. And leveraging the threat of economic calamity isn't changing that.
What might change that particular stalemate would be to push past the August 2 (or is it August 10?) deadline, let our AAA rating be lost, let federal disbursements be disrupted, and use the actual economic calamity as leverage for CCB and the Balanced Budget Amendment. That is the strategy that the purists are suggesting now. Of course, there's no reason to believe that Republicans will not be blamed in whole or in part for this "Let it Burn" plan and it has the smell of desperation about it. While it may be fun to imagine using economic Armageddon to get everything we want without having to compromise on anything, they're playing with people's lives and livelihoods in a particularly cynical and unprincipled manner.
Like it or not, Republicans only control one half of one branch of government. As long as that's the case, the range of possible options on the debt ceiling issue is between Speaker Boehner on the Right and President Obama on the Far Left. In a better world, one where Republicans have control of Congress and the White House, the range of possible options would be better---between Jim DeMint on the Far Right and Speaker Boehner on the Right. I'd like to live in that world, and I know you would too. So, for the love of Pete, can we please concentrate on getting there? Say, perhaps, by racking up some victories against President Obama?
Republicans have the opportunity for a small victory here. They get to moderately restrain spending, put the President in the hot seat, and lay the ground work for a Balanced Budget Amendment vote. Small victories lead to larger victories.
Posted by: Gabriel Malor at
04:05 AM
| Comments (127)
Post contains 697 words, total size 4 kb.
Well, since Republicans are going to receive 100% of the blame anyway (and an inverse amount of the credit if 'calamity' is averted), I'm not seeing a downside, here.
Let's see: right thing to do? Check. Net negative to party? Nope.
Alright, let's shut it down.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at July 27, 2011 04:08 AM (KxyHe)
If you want to win the future, eat your apple slices.
Posted by: Barky the Orator at July 27, 2011 04:12 AM (/ZZCn)
Posted by: Some dope at July 27, 2011 04:13 AM (p/t8F)
Boehner's plan is a victory for Obama. It will not forestall a drop in the credit rating, and if it's Boehner's plan that is passed, Obama can pin the drop on the Republicans.
Boehner's plan helps Obama get reelected.
Posted by: church at July 27, 2011 04:15 AM (Z+ze8)
1 -1 -16 -57 -73 -85 -96 -109 -123 -138 -153
It's a meaningless plan.
Posted by: toby928™ at July 27, 2011 08:08 AM (GTbGH)
Worse - it's a joke and shows that Boehner doesn't know what he needs to do. Spending now for cuts in out years - ridiculous. just whack 100B in spending right now and be done with it. move year 7 to year 1.
Ta daaa!
Posted by: alexthedude at July 27, 2011 04:15 AM (sUnsW)
At best, the Republicans are build sandcastles as the tide comes in.
Any plan that doesn't cut 500B from next year's baseline budget is a joke.
Posted by: toby928™ at July 27, 2011 04:15 AM (GTbGH)
Gabe, this grows tiresome.
When you decide to engage the math centers in your brain, maybe I'll read another one of your posts. I am amazed that you engage in "range of options" analysis for Republicans....and do no such thing for the irresponsible brat in the White House and his Crapulus gang of thieves that got us into the final act of this mess. The House needs to pass a bill--tell the President to take it or leave it and go home.
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at July 27, 2011 04:16 AM (B+qrE)
Posted by: greenlight at July 27, 2011 04:16 AM (pmWf7)
Honestly, Gabe, This is where you lose me. We've been compromising getting rolled since the 1930s. You need to, if you haven't already, post on why you think we're far enough away from the cliff to allow compromise that cuts only $7B (using the plans numbers from yesterday morning which you ardently backed) in spending from a budget that starts in the $3.7T range. I can't speak for the entire "let it burn" crowd, but I suspect a large number of us are of the opinion that we're in the abyss and it's time to draw a real line.
You may disagree, and that's fine. But thinking we're in the tank and the only things to do that will really be effective are real, substantial, and immediate cuts is neither cynical nor unprincipled. 10 year away, pixie dust and skittles cuts, ain't cuttin' it, IMO.
Posted by: The Hammer at July 27, 2011 04:17 AM (0d8Fy)
Posted by: Darel Finkbeiner at July 27, 2011 04:17 AM (Z1WKS)
Beyond that, it separates the Republicans from their base. Any Tea Party Republican who votes for this is going to see support erode fairly quickly- since the Tea Party figured out this is exactly what the plan would be as soon as Boehner announced he had yet another one.
Hey, Republicans, here's a hint: "Accounting Tricks" includes cutting spending in "out years."
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at July 27, 2011 04:17 AM (KxyHe)
You can not win a war in one battle. Attempting that may cost you everything we are fighting for.
Take the small victory and use our inability to get the best deal for our country, which was CCB, to change our Senate from a Democrat majority to Republican.
Get past the emotion. This is the smart move.
Posted by: Marcus at July 27, 2011 04:20 AM (CHrmZ)
The principal goal of Boehner's plan - like the 2010 budget - is to attempt to dupe the GOP base into believing there were cuts while kicking the can down the road again. Ten year cuts and procedure reform gimmicks are worthless.
The Democrats are bitching about it because they actually know how to negotiate - Boehner could offer Obama and every Dem their own solid gold toilet and they'd still say it was the worst deal they'd ever heard of.
Posted by: Bevel Lemelisk at July 27, 2011 04:20 AM (FkKjr)
Credit ratings are bullshit, everyone knows the debt service progression is unsustainable. Congress needs to stop bullshitting itself and accept that inventing more credit on paper isn't going to fix the very REAL debt problem if they keep on spending.
Posted by: The Donkey Show (Will never use HTML under penalty of DOOM) at July 27, 2011 04:22 AM (ijjAe)
We don't give a shit about cuts in 10 years. We want cuts NOW.
Posted by: DanInMN at July 27, 2011 04:22 AM (XqeyF)
Posted by: toby928™ at July 27, 2011 04:22 AM (GTbGH)
And Eric Cantor should profusely apologize and flog himself in public for his Gabriel Malor-esq lecturing yesterday.
Fred Thompson, no soup for you.
Yuval Levin, time for time out.
Posted by: The Hammer at July 27, 2011 04:22 AM (0d8Fy)
Posted by: Empire of Jeff, EXXXTREME KKKONSERVATIVE at July 27, 2011 04:23 AM (lGFXF)
Emotion has little to do with it. And, no, it isn't the smart move. We don't have 10 years to get spending under control, and if the House can't show some intestinal fortitude now, why should I expect them to even if we give them a majority in the Senate and the WH in 13?
If they're too scared to use the mandate (yes, it was one) they were given in November, why should I believe they'll use one we give them in '12?
No, it's time to put-up or shut-up, and if they can't do it, we'll go down fighting, but I refuse to go down in mediocrity with "the best we can do."
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at July 27, 2011 04:25 AM (KxyHe)
Hey, Republicans, here's a hint: "Accounting Tricks" includes cutting spending in "out years."
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at July 27, 2011 08:17 AM (KxyHe)
All to placate muddle-headed thinking like Gabe's. They are playing the opponent's game-style and getting rolled, and why? They don't want to ask for real cuts? There are unpopular stimulus, bailout, and healthcare bills out there with literally hundreds of billions dollars of spending attached and the GOP leadership won't go after it.
Retarded.
And they should be asking for a real tax cut as well to increase revenue to the treasury in out years via economic growth. I mean, Obama is taunting the GOP by talking about revenue instead of rates, but the GOP won't step up and grab the opportunity presented to them by the Laffer Curve because they are so used to being the catcher. It's sickening.
Boehner needs to resign.
Posted by: alexthedude at July 27, 2011 04:26 AM (sUnsW)
Seriously, for an economic genius and fiscal hawk, dude sure steps in it a lot.
Posted by: The Hammer at July 27, 2011 04:27 AM (0d8Fy)
Just drop a 5% cut across the board on spending immediately. That's the only kind of stopgap measure that will have any effect.
Posted by: nickless at July 27, 2011 04:29 AM (MMC8r)
If nothing else, Boehner has proven his incompetence.
By putting out a plan so laughable that it has to be immediately rewritten, he has completely killed his credibility, and he's eliminated any momentum the GOP may have had.
Apparently, weasel McConnel might be the smartest guy in the GOP. I'm starting to think letting the Democrats own this mess (and the ratings downgrade) would have been the best choice.
No matter what "compromise" plan we come up, bond buyers everywhere know that we are in no way, shape, or form serious about getting our house in order. Higher interest rates on the way soon.
Posted by: stickety at July 27, 2011 04:29 AM (FUDwf)
There is no question that both sides in the debt ceiling/debt reduction debate are using this flailex as a political lever. But to have Obama, the leftists in congress and the entire MFM come out and bald faced call out the right and accuse them of going so far as praying for down grading and default for political ends is so incredibly and insultingly dishonest. The right does have in their possession the wherewithal by way of mechanized propaganda to successfully pull this off. I resent either side using this critical issue as a political lever, but the duplicity of the president and the left in their hypocritical use of it is especially disgusting, imo.
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at July 27, 2011 04:32 AM (jx2j9)
Posted by: Drider at July 27, 2011 04:32 AM (HaJD9)
Posted by: Oldsailor's poet at July 27, 2011 04:32 AM (ZDUD4)
Except that they wouldn't. The Press would take great delight in pointing out the fact that the "Republican Controlled House" allowed the President that unilateral authority.
So they'd still lose the PR battle (which they'll lose no matter what) and would have lost the one bargaining chip we actually had. So... no. It was never the best choice, and it still isn't the best choice.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at July 27, 2011 04:33 AM (KxyHe)
Posted by: matt foley at July 27, 2011 04:33 AM (R0Uy5)
-1 -16 -57 -73 -85 -96 -109 -123 -138 -153
Just wanted to repeat that to showcase Gabe's ass-covering (for once) mendacity.
In case you didn't know, sweetheart, those are the BILLIONS in reductions to the MULTI-TRILLION budget each and every year.
Wooo-hoooo....
Posted by: hobgoblin at July 27, 2011 04:34 AM (SeM05)
Posted by: blaster at July 27, 2011 04:35 AM (Fw2Gg)
Senator Barack H. Obama -- March 2006
Posted by: Filthy Racist quoter at July 27, 2011 04:35 AM (LH6ir)
It aint you and your buddies. Posted by: Empire of Jeff
..........
What a load of bullshit. That attitude only works IF a crash is coming.. and coming right soon.
If this shit goes on for ten years.. twenty years even.. your crash and burn strategy fucks the GOP well into the future. And worse, we get another 4 years of JEF.. probably a Senate that remains Dem and losses in the House. Well, ya know what? Fuck you. I don't want another four years of that jug eared fuck.
We take the best deal we can now and beat him next year.. when we get the power back we put things to rights.
Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at July 27, 2011 04:37 AM (Wm4Mf)
Why can't gay Republicans be more like the Sacred Band of Thebes instead of wishy-washy queer stereotypes?
Gabe, Lindsay, show some fucking resolve and courage!
Posted by: hobgoblin at July 27, 2011 04:38 AM (SeM05)
Wow, a veiled reference to homosexuality (sweetheart!). And you used a thesaurus too (mendacity).
How very clever.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at July 27, 2011 04:38 AM (LH6ir)
Posted by: Lemon Kitten at July 27, 2011 04:38 AM (0fzsA)
Yeah, I'm all for what Gabe says. Then in 2012, the Republican House can say:
"Elect more of us because we cut one and one half billion dollars over two years from budgets totaling seven point eight trillion! We promise to redouble our efforts to cut a whole billion each year from the Federal budget. At this pace, all you need to do is keep us in power for the next 1450 years and the budget will be balanced!"
Yeah, I'm totaly buying that line. I just don't see how they could cut more than 0.02% of spending.
Posted by: Dogbert at July 27, 2011 04:39 AM (CzyDl)
Posted by: Drider at July 27, 2011 04:39 AM (HaJD9)
Posted by: dogfish at July 27, 2011 04:39 AM (N2yhW)
Posted by: blaster at July 27, 2011 04:40 AM (Fw2Gg)
Not correct. Purist want the debt ceiling LOWERED.
Posted by: Bob Saget at July 27, 2011 04:40 AM (F/4zf)
you're internally inconsistent, Jerry.
if we end up with:
another four years of that jug eared fuck.
then this shit will NEVER:
go[] on for ten years.. twenty years even
Guaran-damn-teed. If BHO is reelected, America won't see 2020 in that same form as we know it now, even.
Posted by: hobgoblin at July 27, 2011 04:42 AM (SeM05)
Posted by: hobgoblin at July 27, 2011 08:38 AM (SeM05)
you should see the gay conservatives around here. sure, some are dragqueens (though really cool ones) but for the most part they're pretty much militant conservatives in that if you call them fakes, they'll put your head through a car window (saw them do it once)
Posted by: The Dude at July 27, 2011 04:42 AM (Ig1Wo)
Posted by: Oldsailor's poet at July 27, 2011 04:43 AM (ZDUD4)
I'm sorry, NJC, it wasn't meant to be veiled in the least. Tell you what though, when I actually need to use a thesaurus for a word like mendacity, I'll let you suck me off for free.
Posted by: hobgoblin at July 27, 2011 04:44 AM (SeM05)
+2^16
Either we're headed for collapse or we're not.
In the first case, moral courage (shown by refusing to raise the debt ceiling) is necessary so we can know who has the character necessary to lead us out of the proverbial wilderness.
In the second, moral courage (shown the same way) is necessary to prove the Democrats are lying about the state of the economy and the Governments role within it.
In either case, the correct thing to do is refrain from raising the debt limit.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at July 27, 2011 04:44 AM (KxyHe)
...........
But it will. We have only had a couple government shutdowns in recent memory.. was '95 & '96? well.. the 96 fiscal year, I think. And the Repubs took it on the chin for that.
You guys seem to think shutting down the government only means not servicing our debt. Sure, if we prioritize we can service that debt.. but we'll likely lose our AAA rating.
But without the debt ceiling raised, we basically shut down a good portion of our government.
How many months are you willing to go? You willing to cut military pay? How long are you willing to put up with the news stories of the military wife at home with 3 kids with no money while her husband is fighting in Afghanistan? Huh? I can see the ABC nightly news series..a whole week or two covering the misery, with tears flowing from wives and kids, and old people.
Nice.. real nice.. then let's see how many seats we can pick up in the Senate next year.
Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at July 27, 2011 04:47 AM (Wm4Mf)
Control the message. That is the goal. And the right has two hands tied behind its back by way of Obama’s bully pulpit and the MFM propaganda apparatus, and one leg hamstrung by way of the professional “elder” politicians on the right who just want the game perpetuated. IMO, the right will emerge from this covered head to toe in the blame for this and in the end, the country will lose because the left, as usual, will control the message because the right will not do what is necessary to even take to the field.
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at July 27, 2011 04:48 AM (jx2j9)
Posted by: Brainpimp at July 27, 2011 04:49 AM (z3UT7)
Then it's doom. The GOP is going to be blamed by the Do-Nothings for the economic collapse anyway. There's nothing that can be done about that. The GOP needed to do a better job all along of letting everyone know they were the only people doing "anything" and they failed. Now the papers will be filled of pictures like that on the front page of the Star Trib (MSP Democrat house propaganda piece) today - little weeping kids holding "Please Don't Destroy The American Dream" and "Please Don't Destroy Medicare and Social Security" signs.
Once again The Party of StupidTM attempts to play honorably and honestly and loses wholesale to The Party of EvilTM.
The GOP is going to lose anyway. At this point the only thing they have left is principle. Boehner's continued insistence on debating with himself only makes him look like he doesn't believe on the original plans and budgets the House passed and the Senate has yet to even debate.
Meanwhile, President Cloward-Piven prepares the next phase of his plan - remaking this den of "racism" and "inequity" into a marxist utopia in the model of Cuba and the DPRK.
Posted by: DocJ at July 27, 2011 04:50 AM (61yMG)
Ah, so now you are suggesting that I am gay. I guess this kind of stuff worked in 8th grade, but it doesn't work among adults.
Gabe is gay. You seem to think that his sexuality is influencing his political opinions and his analysis of the current budget impasse. That makes you quite stupid. But then...I knew that already.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at July 27, 2011 04:50 AM (LH6ir)
What a load of bullshit. That attitude only works IF a crash is coming.. and coming right soon.
If this shit goes on for ten years.. twenty years even.. your crash and burn strategy fucks the GOP well into the future.
Are you guys listening to yourselves? Or just using whatever form of the force that people who can't do math use?
The number of crashes predicted in advance? Zero.
However, all crash ingredients already present? Yes.
So it makes perfect sense to act as if every thing is just fine and empowering this incompetent preening twit of a President to do a victory lap is the height of political genius. Got it.
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at July 27, 2011 04:51 AM (B+qrE)
Yeah, and the English lost the Revolutionary war. Therefore, they will lose all other wars in the future.
You willing to cut military pay? How long are you willing to put up with the news stories of the military wife at home with 3 kids with no money while her husband is fighting in Afghanistan?
Military pay won't get cut. Somebody sane still exists in Washington, and what they will realize is that bad things happen when you don't give heavily-armed people the money you said you'd pay them.
Posted by: Bevel Lemelisk at July 27, 2011 04:52 AM (FkKjr)
Posted by: Empire of Jeff, EXXXTREME KKKONSERVATIVE at July 27, 2011 04:53 AM (lbo6/)
Posted by: GhostShip at July 27, 2011 04:53 AM (sbaXF)
Posted by: Oldsailor's poet at July 27, 2011 04:53 AM (ZDUD4)
This isn't a union. Your seniority doesn't mean much, especially when you are such an asshole.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at July 27, 2011 04:53 AM (LH6ir)
You complete, f-ing, moron (not in a good way). We're "likley [to] lose our AAA rating" anyway. Look at the actual words the ratings agencies are using. They don't just want the limit raised (well, maybe Moody's, but I think they've even figured out that dog won't hunt), they want a serious plan to reduce debt. Nothing on the table does that.
There may be reasons to give up on our principles and concede to a debt limit increase without real and substantial cuts, but preserving our AAA rating isn't one- because that would have exactly the opposite effect.
Every single one of us in the "purity brigade" knows that this will suck. Most of us will be affected (with no more than 1 level of separation) by the drastic, draconian cuts that would be required to keep the government functioning without incurring any additional debt. We're willing to make that sacrifice because it's the right thing to do. Because I refuse to give my children a country which is insolvent, if I can avoid it.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at July 27, 2011 04:54 AM (KxyHe)
Republicans have the opportunity for a small victory here. They get to moderately restrain spending, put the President in the hot seat, and lay the ground work for a Balanced Budget Amendment vote.
It'll never work. We're doomed!
Posted by: Eeyore at July 27, 2011 04:54 AM (sbV1u)
Posted by: Drider at July 27, 2011 04:54 AM (HaJD9)
We can no longer sell out debt to other nations. We are simply printing money and borrowing it from the treasury and calling in "Quantitative Easing". Real inflation rates are running on the order of 10% now due to debasement of the currency.
If we do NOT get control of spending NOW in a serious way this will continue. We will get another round of QE when they run out of money because nobody will buy the T-Bills at zero rate.
It will not take much more of that before hyper inflation results. No government in the past has ever survived hyper inflation and sometimes the nation did not survive it.
The first sign that official doom is upon us is the explosive growth of a barter economy. And as I said yesterday which sparked a flame war. Currently I don't see a solution. The communists will not support anything and a major potion of the Republican Party still thinks this is a political game to see who can win seats in purple States.
Gabe I include you in that category, sorry but that is it.
Posted by: Vic at July 27, 2011 04:55 AM (M9Ie6)
Standing on principle is unprincipled?
No deals - we have no more money to throw away.
Leave the debt limit where it is - the federal government doesn't need more money then it has now, and this is the best way to rein it in.
Posted by: 18-1 at July 27, 2011 04:55 AM (7BU4a)
While it may be fun to imagine using economic Armageddon to get everything we want without having to compromise on anything, they're playing with people's lives and livelihoods in a particularly cynical and unprincipled manner.
That is precisely what you are doing--you and the other GOP stooges who insist that we must keep borrowing. You are putting my life and fortune, and the lives and fortunes of my children, at serious peril. All because you lack the stones to do the right thing. So f*ck you and the sanctimonious pony you rode in on. Loser.
Posted by: glowing blue meat at July 27, 2011 04:56 AM (K/USr)
Posted by: blaster at July 27, 2011 04:56 AM (Fw2Gg)
No. There is more to this story than meets the eye and we're all being played like a cheap fiddle.
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at July 27, 2011 04:57 AM (jx2j9)
Live to fight another day when your forces are stronger or commit suicide by getting close to zero out of a deal?
Yeah. Let me think about that one for a minute.
Posted by: Marcus at July 27, 2011 04:57 AM (CHrmZ)
This bill is but a small start, a single step on a long journey. Most of the cuts are a long way down the road, and most likely will be changed or eliminated in the future.
We needs cuts NOW. Starting 10/1/11 in the new fiscal year, cut spending immediately. Start with the last GAO waste report and eliminate all of it. Get the report on federal bureau redundancy and eliminate all the duplication it found. Audit the defense department budget and eliminate wastes and find the "lost" billions!
Then look for more cuts for the 2012 year. After that you can turn loose your committee to reduce spending over the next ten years.
Anything else is just postponing the DOOM.
Posted by: MisterMoney at July 27, 2011 04:57 AM (wN82N)
Let's see how that works out for the party and the country..
Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at July 27, 2011 04:57 AM (Wm4Mf)
Posted by: King Barky I at July 27, 2011 04:59 AM (K/USr)
No, NJC, it's not just name calling. It's a very noticeable trait not only among Gabe, but also the gay "Republicans" in my circle of acquaintances--they all want to "accommodate" and be "realistic." In other words, they want to fold like a cheap suit.
It's either a defect of character common to these four men randomly (not to mention Sen. Lindsay) or something that stems from their world-outlook.
Sure, ragging on you is a cheap insult, but last I recall, that's one thing that happens here with some regularity (now decreasing, in the age of self-thought-policing). But really, why is it that this contingent of "republicans"--who claim to be "rock ribbed fiscal conservatives"-- are so pusillanimous (to use the word of the day from Mr Slave) every time push comes to shove?
Can you BE a gay conservative? Is there some sort of psychological barrier to being disciplined and gay at the same time (I doubt that's the case, since more gay dudes have six packs than I have back hairs)?
What's going on? At least the dudes at HillBuzz stick to their guns, even if they're libs.
Posted by: hobgoblin at July 27, 2011 05:00 AM (SeM05)
For a politician, a ten year projection should be criminal.
Posted by: Barky the Orator at July 27, 2011 05:01 AM (/ZZCn)
There is no silver-lining on this shit-storm.
Posted by: Jimmuy at July 27, 2011 05:01 AM (W789i)
There is something else in play here. Something that the leaders of both sides (at the very least) know about but the public is being kept in the dark about.
There is no conspiracy, there are no black helicopters ferrying gold to the Trilateral Commission.
It's politics, plain and simple. The Dems are convinced the public is on their side. The Republicans are dealing in reality.
Of course, how you explain Medicare Part D and every other Republican expansion of government...I don't know.
Posted by: Sean Bannion at July 27, 2011 05:01 AM (sbV1u)
Posted by: The Hammer at July 27, 2011 05:02 AM (PER0T)
Fight? Really? They would? Because they have fought over actual spending issues in at least 30 years. No! Longer. They haven't fought over actual spending issues in at least 34 years- and probably not for 60+.
Get that through your head: for all the promises, all the "keep your powder dry", all the "but we'll lose seats," the Republicans have never- not once- supported anything that actually cut spending and reduced the size of Government since before I was alive.
So, you'll excuse me if I no longer believe their words, but only their actions. If they want me to believe these fresh words about how they'll fix it "when we have the majority" they'll have to show me the gumption to stand on principle while in the minority.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at July 27, 2011 05:04 AM (KxyHe)
Obama will NOT offer a plan because his plan is to keep insisting the Republicans "compromise" by constantly modifying their plans in his direction. Eventually they'll do what Rs always do and come up with something that Obama will sign. At that point, two possible results:
Americans like the plan = Obama takes credit for talking the Rs into something "reasonable." O wins.
Americans dislike the plan = Obama blames the Rs since it was their plan. O wins.
The way Boehner is playing it now, it's a win-win for Obama no matter what. No "small victories" here. Only win after win for Obama. Rs will be made to look bad - yet again - no matter what, the way they are playing this.
If Rs had balls they'd withdraw all plans and stop planning. They'd insist the plan that lies dead in the Senate is the only plan they'll offer, take it or leave it, because that's the plan Americans actually understand and want.
That would put O and the Senate Dems back in the bullseye, alone, until their either sign on to it or don't. If they don't sign on, blame for whatever happens is on them. If they do sign on, Obama can't possibly take credit because everyone knows it was the Rs plan and his base will hate him for not vetoing it.
Win-win for Rs.
If they had balls.
I'm not particularly smart but if even I can figure that out, I know the Rs have already considered it.
Am I missing anything?
Posted by: THE PLAN at July 27, 2011 05:05 AM (B60j2)
This is actually the crux of the problem. You and I and many around here believe that a nasty, game-changing correction (euphemism for total fucking catastrophe) is coming. Some people seem to think that everything will just tool along at the same lazy clip of the last few years.
They are delusional; we are not.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at July 27, 2011 05:05 AM (LH6ir)
Live to fight another day when your forces are stronger or commit suicide by getting close to zero out of a deal?
don't you guys realize that we aren't going to have a country in a few years, or the means to fight to get it back?
Some people are looking at things not from the lens of party, but from real fucking life. It is the fool and coward who says, "Let this travail pass over me and onto my children." We damn well let it fall while there are enough of us to make a good life for everyone the next time we try a republic.
Posted by: hobgoblin at July 27, 2011 05:05 AM (SeM05)
Posted by: HobGoblin: senior commenter and shop steward, local 373 at July 27, 2011 05:07 AM (LH6ir)
You're looking at it wrong.
None, repeat NONE, of these pukes actually want to cut anything. They just want to look like they are.
We did not get where we are by the actions of Democrats alone. The new TEA reps are getting rolled now, but after one term in office they won't need to be rolled....they'll be with the program.
Posted by: trainer at July 27, 2011 05:09 AM (Rojyk)
Posted by: FRONT TOWARD LEFT at July 27, 2011 05:13 AM (cbyrC)
Posted by: Y-not, pragmatist at July 27, 2011 05:13 AM (5H6zj)
Posted by: glowing blue meat at July 27, 2011 05:14 AM (K/USr)
Posted by: lions at July 27, 2011 05:16 AM (Mp19R)
Posted by: Mandy P. at July 27, 2011 05:20 AM (vGmv/)
Posted by: BaldNinja at July 27, 2011 05:21 AM (tB1LF)
If the Government shuts down, the interest on the debt will still get paid, as will other vital obligations, and so will SS.
And believe me, the military will get their paychecks, well at least the USMC will. No one wants to face a pissed off motivated Marine.
Posted by: MisterMoney at July 27, 2011 05:26 AM (wN82N)
Posted by: THE PLAN at July 27, 2011 09:05 AM (B60j2)
Nope. Precisely.
NO matter what, the R's lose. And so does the country.
Posted by: MisterMoney at July 27, 2011 05:30 AM (wN82N)
It's a meaningless plan.
Yeah, I'd like to see the projected deficit and debt for those years instead of "cuts". Given the way Washington usually works, I suspect that the whole thing is a fraud from the word go.
Posted by: Heorot at July 27, 2011 05:33 AM (Nq/UF)
We are at the point where nothing less than the serious reduction of spending is serious. The Democrats want additional spending.That means additional borrowing (raising the debt ceiling) or additional taxes or a combination of both. Any cuts in spending are defered into the future. King Putt wants the debt ceiling raised to cover himself past 2013.
There is the Reid 'Count the imaginary money we save by not spending on wars against Canada, Poland and Morocco" Plan
There is the Simpson Commission Plan.
There are two conservative positions: Cut Cap and Balance. And Hold the Ceiling (No on raising).
There is the Ryan Plan.
There are Multiple RINO positions: The Gang of Six, the McConnell Go to Hell Plan, and now the Boner "This is What the Democrats Want, but not Sir Puttsalot" Plan.
Let's make this binary: Which proposals are serious and which are unserious?
A plan that is politically doable but doesn't deal with the MATH is unserious.
A plan that still ends up in default is unserious.
It's the MATH, STUPID. It's the SPENDING.
Its' that simple. There is no fancy politicking.
Everything else is a fantasy that if we just borrow a little more, tax a little more to spend a whole lot more that we can get out of the hole we're in.
Pass that along to Bernanke and Geitner with their QE I, II, III, and IV.
Posted by: Minuteman at July 27, 2011 05:33 AM (hbAPu)
Not if we win the White House.
People are conditioned to hate Congress no matter who's in charge. I don't think that translates to voting booth actions.
To me the best strategy at this point is to go with a shorter-term plan so that there are real cuts right away instead of this back-loaded ten year bull hockey... because we cannot possibly pass a good 10-year plan right now with Obama in the WH and the Senate controlled by the Democrats. But we might be able to induce a couple of Senate Democrats to sign on to a two year emergency spending plan.
Posted by: Y-not, pragmatist at July 27, 2011 05:36 AM (5H6zj)
Posted by: Dogbert at July 27, 2011 05:37 AM (CzyDl)
Posted by: Galos Gann at July 27, 2011 05:38 AM (T3KlW)
Not if we win the White House.
Posted by: Y-not, pragmatist at July 27, 2011 09:36 AM (5H6zj)
Given what happened circa 2001-2009, how can you possibly post that with a straight face?
Posted by: DocJ at July 27, 2011 05:49 AM (61yMG)
Posted by: glowing blue meat at July 27, 2011 06:04 AM (K/USr)
Here's how Boehner moderately restrained Social Security spending in Tuesday's bill:
fiscal year 2012, $623,000,000
fiscal year 2013, $751,000,000
fiscal year 2014, $924,000,000
fiscal year 2015, $1,123,000,000
fiscal year 2016, $1,166,000,000
fiscal year 2017, $1,309,000,000
in additional new budget authority.
20% yearly growth up front is the new restrained.
Posted by: Laurie David's Cervix at July 27, 2011 06:07 AM (EeYDk)
Can we put this to rest?
Senate 95-97 52 Republicans 97-99 55 99-2001 55
US House 95-97 230 Republicans 97-99 226 99-2001 223
Posted by: toby928™ at July 27, 2011 06:08 AM (GTbGH)
This thing was total nonsense.
Purists insist that the Cut, Cap, and Balance plan that passed the House (thank you, Speaker Boehner) is still viable, though Reid shot it down in the Senate, but there is no reason to believe that is the case. The Senate won't vote for it and the President won't sign it. And leveraging the threat of economic calamity isn't changing that.
So this implies that the Boehner plan, unlike CCB, WILL manage to pass. Did you miss Reid and O yesterday? One directly said it would be DOA and the other let it leak that he would veto it? So your big complaint about CCB exists with this far inferior plan. Strike one.
What might change that particular stalemate would be to push past the August 2 deadline, let our AAA rating be lost, let federal disbursements be disrupted, and use the actual economic calamity as leverage for CCB and the Balanced Budget Amendment. That is the strategy that the purists are suggesting now.
Now it's implied that the AAA rating will somehow be saved if we make a deal before August 2nd. Again, have you missed the news? This small time deal will do nothing to save the rating. So the economic calamity you fear from hitting the ceiling w/o a deal...well, it's coming w/ a deal as well. Strike two.
Of course, there's no reason to believe that Republicans will not be blamed in whole or in part for this "Let it Burn" plan and it has the smell of desperation about it.
The Rs will be blamed no matter what happens. Because the AAA is going to be lost, that blame is already coming. So what's the worry? I mean, if you are concerned hitting the ceiling will cause the Rs to take the heat, don't worry, because thats going to happen even if a deal is struck because that AAA rating is going down the tubes regardless. Strike three
While it may be fun to imagine using economic Armageddon to get everything we want without having to compromise on anything, they're playing with people's lives and livelihoods in a particularly cynical and unprincipled manner.
So you're admitting that you've bought into the Obama spin machine. That hitting the ceiling is going to cause the entire universe to implode. Got it. Strike four.
So, for the love of Pete, can we please concentrate on getting there? Say, perhaps, by racking up some victories against President Obama?
After just deriding me and others like me by continually using the word "purist" as some sort of curse, you then ask me to work together and concentrate on beating Obama. Hilarious. Next time when you plan on asking folks to work together, you might want to do so w/o mocking them at the same time. Food for thought.
Posted by: Rich at July 27, 2011 06:13 AM (wnGI4)
Can we put this to rest?
Senate 95-97 52 Republicans 97-99 55 99-2001 55
US House 95-97 230 Republicans 97-99 226 99-2001 223
--------
No, see the, what should I call them, anti-purists have it in their heads that shutting the govt. down will absolutely doom the Rs from now untill forever. So you can't actually post the fact that they didn't get killed in the following election because it toally ruins their completely valid point.
Posted by: Rich at July 27, 2011 06:16 AM (wnGI4)
Posted by: gm at July 27, 2011 06:19 AM (K0tm3)
Posted by: gm at July 27, 2011 06:21 AM (K0tm3)
Have you checked the debt to GDP ratio lately?
It's at 95%.
The situation is, in fact, desperate. We either cut spending NOW or entire a debt spiral that can't be escaped.
While it may be fun to imagine using economic Armageddon to get everything we want without having to compromise on anything, they're playing with people's lives and livelihoods in a particularly cynical and unprincipled manner.
Who? The people, like Boehner, who are presenting more phony kick-the-can-down-the-road plans that lead us to assured destruction?
Oh ... you meant the people who think that borrowing 40% of what we spend can't be sustained any longer and want to put stop to it NOW before it ruins us.
Those people?
Yeah. Funny how the people who understand that spending almost twice your income must be stopped at any cost are now the radicals.
Up is down. Down is up. And we are well and truly fucked.
Posted by: Warden at July 27, 2011 06:37 AM (KulgD)
I don't think so.
Remember?
Cut, Cap, and Balance is supported by 2/3 of the American public.
Posted by: franksalterego at July 27, 2011 06:39 AM (7/sDI)
Doing nothing is an option. Sometimes immediate pain is necessary to mitigate long-term damage. Acting hastily will at best delay the day of reckoning for a bit. At worst it will cause additional pain when that day comes.
Posted by: drocity at July 27, 2011 06:51 AM (mefTt)
During TARP we were told, we must do something now! or else it will all fall apart. TARP made things worse. During the Stimulus debate we were told we must do something now! and it made things worse. During the healthcare debate we were told we must do something now! (Although most people did not buy this time) and it made things worse.
Doing nothing is an option. Sometimes immediate pain is necessary to mitigate long-term damage. Acting hastily will at best delay the day of reckoning for a bit. At worst it will cause additional pain when that day comes.
-----------
Gabe has two words for you: cynical and unprincipled.
Posted by: Rich at July 27, 2011 07:00 AM (wnGI4)
Posted by: zombi maréchal pétain at July 27, 2011 07:05 AM (oUG6f)
Posted by: F--- Nevada! (I'm AoSHQ's DarkLord©, and I approve this message) at July 27, 2011 07:06 AM (GBXon)
Palin's point is that the House CCB bill shouldn't be dropped at the 11th hour as Boehner attempts to reinvent the wheel just because Reid refuses to allow it a Senate vote.
CCB is what Americans voted for in '10 elections.
Senate Democrats Reid et al. were all for a constitutional amendment to balance the budget during the '90s. Hold them to the fire and keep demanding a Senate vote on CCB.
Whatever high spending during low taxes passes in congressional legislation is NO SOLUTION, but only augments the debt and immeasurable interest owed by taxpayers. No More of the Same.
Posted by: maverick muse at July 27, 2011 07:06 AM (lpWVn)
Posted by: The Schwalbe : © at July 27, 2011 07:20 AM (UU0OF)
Posted by: FRONT TOWARD LEFT at July 27, 2011 07:21 AM (cbyrC)
I remember some similar hysteria and dismissal of the "purists" from Ace regarding TARP. How did that work out for us?
Posted by: kbiel at July 27, 2011 07:25 AM (LdAWK)
Posted by: The Schwalbe : © at July 27, 2011 07:41 AM (UU0OF)
Posted by: Y-not, pragmatist
What utter crap. We've all been saying that this plan had little to NO CUTS.
We are not going to be treated fairly by the media. It won't happen. This is why Obama will not put out a plan, or will hold off until he senses a political advantage. The few times he has, he's royally fucked it up (Obamacare, cash for clunkers, Porkulus). There is no advantage to putting forth any plan, much less yet another plan here. If it works, Obama will swoop in like Clinton did for Welfare reform. If it fails, then the plan will be blamed.
Please note that I'm approaching this from a purely poilitical angle, since none of the poligroupies will do math and still believe that cuts handed off to the Ghost of Congress Yet to Come is AOK.
Posted by: Blue Hen at July 27, 2011 07:47 AM (6rX0K)
Posted by: Merovign, Dark Lord of the Sith at July 27, 2011 08:27 AM (bxiXv)
Right. The half that writes spending bills. That's a rather important distinction and function. The House initiates money grabs. If the Executive says it's not enough, the House (and the Senate, if it's serious) says, "Mr. President, here's the plan. You'll like it or you'll get nothing." And the President may willfully veto "nothing" and explain his intransigence to the voter. That's the way it works. The House is NOT consigned to keep upping the ante. Upping it now because rational people don't want to go from boned to bonedboned is wholly acceptable and laudable despite incessant fear-mongering and blame that'll be coming anyway.
Posted by: AnonymousDrivel at July 27, 2011 10:43 AM (r4t7/)
Posted by: Molon Labe at July 27, 2011 03:21 PM (g5MrG)
Hide Comments | Add Comment | Refresh | Top
64 queries taking 0.2112 seconds, 255 records returned.
Powered by Minx 1.1.6c-pink.








It's a meaningless plan.
Posted by: toby928™ at July 27, 2011 04:08 AM (GTbGH)