September 25, 2011
— DrewM Worries about Perry, a great speech by Cain and a leap of faith about Cain's electability.
In the days before the vote, nearly all the delegates who voted for Cain either said or heard someone else say this: "I love Herman Cain, but he can't get elected." The assumption that Cain can't win the Republican nomination was a serious obstacle in their minds. But at some point late Friday and early Saturday, the delegates overcame that obstacle. Some concluded that since they had heard so many people speak well of Cain, he could indeed win, if everyone who liked him would actually vote for him. Others remained skeptical of Cain's ultimate chances but decided to send the message that they would choose candidates based on conservative principles, and not on perceived electability.Once the delegates got over the can't-get-elected hurdle, a close contest became a landslide for Herman Cain.
One other factor should not be underestimated. Yes, the delegates liked what Cain had to say. But how he said it was just as important. With his deep, booming voice and a style that any motivational speaker would envy, Cain can give a rousing speech, and he gave several of them during four days in Orlando. No other candidate, frontrunner or back of the pack, could match him. It's not an exaggeration to say that his power as an orator sealed the deal for hundreds of delegates. They believed Cain was speaking to them from the heart, and they were carried away by it. As with the Democratic primary contests of 2007 and 2008, never underestimate the power of a stirring speech.
Yeah, that's the funny thing isn't it? After screaming and laughing at Democrats for falling for a slick talker with little to no experience the conservative base is falling in love with a stirring speaker with little to no experience.
I don't say that as a knock on Cain or his supporters. It just reveals a basic truth...people want to be inspired by someone. They want to see their values and aspirations trumpeted in a moving and eloquent fashion. It's just human nature. Cain is very, very good at that.
As for experience, yes Cain has significant business experience. So does Jeffery Immelt. Electing a political novice President is going to be a bridge to far for a lot of people. Especially after Obama. That's why we're in this mess to begin with.
Cain got a boost when he introduced himself to voters back in May during the first South Carolina debate. After getting caught up in comments about Muslims he wasn't able to capitalize on it. That was a rookie mistake and hopefully he won't make a similar mistake this time. The fact that he didn't have any political events scheduled for this week seems to indicate he really wasn't expecting to do this well in Florida. He better get some set up if he's going to capitalize his win.
Either way, I don't think Cain is going to win the nomination any more than I did Michele Bachmann would after her win in Ames (which was what? 3 years ago or so?). Keep in mind, he's currently at 5.6% nationally and 5.3% in Iowa in the RCP average of polls. I could easily see him climbing in Iowa and pulling a Huckabee type upset there then fade later on.
Who was the last true insurgent candidate to actually win a nomination? I can't think of one in the last 50 years. You might say Obama but he wasn't a true insurgent. Yes, Clinton was the establishment candidate but Obama came out of Chicago with a real organization behind him from the get go.
Cain is likely to be the Howard Dean of this cycle. The guy the base loves but ultimately the party as a whole can't quite pull the trigger on when it comes to picking a candidate to actually run against a hated incumbent. Though unlike Dean, he might have a shot at the VP slot.
Who will be our John Kerry? My guess is, it's just that and not something I look forward to, Mitt Romney. So far his plan of being the last man standing while conservative challengers come and go is working out. I can't believe we might actually do that but Republicans really do tend to vote for then next in line.
If Rick Perry is going to stop Romney he needs to turn it around quickly. On the upside he's got 2 weeks until the next debate on October 11th, on Bloomberg TV so not sure how many people are watching that one. (CNN hosts one on the 18th). That will give him time to get his act together. On the downside, after his shaky debate performance on Thursday and his loss to Cain in the straw poll, he could really use something to swing the momentum before the "Perry's done" narrative takes hold. He could give a speech but I'm not sure that's going to do it at this point. He may just have to ride out the next two weeks, have a gangbusters debate and in essence relaunch himself like McCain did 4 years ago.
Failing all of that, maybe we could just push the whole primary schedule back two months and start all over again? I for one am up for a do-over at this point.
Added: Romney won a Michigan straw poll yesterday.
Posted by: DrewM at
07:50 AM
| Comments (185)
Post contains 923 words, total size 6 kb.
That's pretty much it. I like Cain but no, we've already had one well spoken amateur in office. Not him.
Perry can turn this around, but only if he repudiates his immigration talk immediately.
Posted by: Christopher Taylor at September 25, 2011 07:55 AM (r4wIV)
Remember when the Left elected Kerry cause we'd find him "electable"? Ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha.......aaaaahhhhh. I loved that.
BUT Ace is right about Cain. Running a business and greasing the wheels in Washington are two very different things.
Posted by: Will at September 25, 2011 07:57 AM (ubduJ)
Cain's 9-9-9 plan is pretty solid stuff. How you keep it from going to 10-10-10 and beyond is a quandary.
Posted by: spongeworthy at September 25, 2011 07:57 AM (rplL3)
He won't. You can't go from "if you don't agree with tuition for illegals, you have no heart" to "throw the bums out". You just can't.
Posted by: chemjeff at September 25, 2011 07:57 AM (s7mIC)
Don't forget to watch the Lions win today. It will be three in a row.
Posted by: chillin the most for Perry at September 25, 2011 08:00 AM (6IV8T)
Posted by: Ella at September 25, 2011 08:01 AM (DmnMk)
Posted by: MrTea at September 25, 2011 08:01 AM (XWMLc)
Posted by: chillin the most for Perry at September 25, 2011 08:01 AM (6IV8T)
Posted by: Ella at September 25, 2011 08:03 AM (DmnMk)
Posted by: Bill R. at September 25, 2011 08:03 AM (ekWve)
Posted by: Lashkar-e Tea Partiban at September 25, 2011 08:03 AM (uRPoU)
Santorum and Gingrich--has beens
Bachmann--nuts and not qualified
Cain--presidency shouldn't be your first elected office, although the GOP did nominate Wilkie in 1940 without having held elective office
Huntsman--LOL
Perry--starting to look like a stuffed shirt
Paul--a little cranky on domestic policy, and full on batshit on foreign policy
We need to start over from scratch.
Posted by: Glaucon at September 25, 2011 08:03 AM (mP9Rx)
"Electing a political novice President is going to be a bridge to far for a lot of people. Especially after Obama. That's why we're in this mess to begin with."
No, the real world business experience is what Obama lacks. His experience in the mechanics of government and Marxist dogma aren't lacking at all. That's why we're in this mess.
I'm supporting Cain and I'm donating. Hope this wont be another Fred Thompson bummer.
Posted by: TPErik at September 25, 2011 08:04 AM (xXhWA)
I think you're missing a point, Drew. Unlike the stuttering cluster*** of a miserable failure, Cain has some actual, verifiable cred and an actual verifiable history of hard work and success, even if it's not in politics.
The Newt and Mutt Romney have cred (well, sort of) and history in politics, and neither one should even be considered for the presidency, IMO.
I'm getting sick and tired of the anal-ysis, all of which seems based on the We Need a Politician to Lead Us theory, which I consider more a bug than a feature at this time.
Let the candidates do their things, let the chips fall where they may, and with luck we'll have a candidate who is a stark contrast to Osama Obama, that is, not a totally inexperienced traitor.
And while my standard disclaimer is that I will vote for any name that isn't Obama on the presidential ballot. I think fewer people than we'll need will do that if the alternate name is Romney.
Plus, if Romney were elected, I sense that he'd only slow down the end of America as a viable nation that the Traitor-in-Chief has been pushing, not stop it.
Posted by: MrScribbler at September 25, 2011 08:07 AM (YjjrR)
Absolutely correct. I don't know about anyone else, but I don't trust the Congress to come up with a cogent tax system that's any better than the one we have. Especially one that includes a new tax vehicle.
By the time it's all said and done, there will be exemptions and cash transfers to the bottom 50% and the 999 will become the 202020 or higher for everyone else.
You know it's true.
Posted by: SlaveDog at September 25, 2011 08:10 AM (PidTa)
that. Cain isn't slick He is a conservative voice that is tuned in. He doesn't insult His fellow conservatives.
Yeah, that's the funny thing isn't it? After screaming and laughing at Democrats for falling for a slick talker
We hear slick from Romney.
saying that can He win? i don't know, He certainly doesn't have the funds that others do.
He has experience in finance , He is smarter than hell.
He does have issues with foreign policy knowledge , can a VP take care of that? not sure. He is a quick study .
I believe it's a message.
Perry might pull up . But srsly He was handed the ring, all He needed was to grab it. My hope is He gets back in the saddle and succeeds. We won't know until next debate.
Posted by: willow at September 25, 2011 08:10 AM (h+qn8)
well I don't know - you need someone who has experience actually winning a political campaign previously, don't you think?
Posted by: chemjeff at September 25, 2011 08:11 AM (s7mIC)
Romney is an ass. He is saying Perry is not ready for C in C. I hate that blowhard. Though I dont blame him for saying that cause Perry has been an absolute disaster. As for Cain, he'll drop out before primaries begin. Straw Polls mean nothing. See Ames.
I don't know when Bachmann is going to drop out. Her campaign is on its last leg of fundraising and the constant robo calls are butt fuckingly annoying, which might piss people off. Romney might prop her up along with santorum just to nip the ankles of any threats to Romney. (Perry, Palin etc.)
Posted by: Flapjackmaka at September 25, 2011 08:12 AM (Fgj1+)
Posted by: Andy at September 25, 2011 08:12 AM (z6jMn)
Posted by: Flapjackmaka at September 25, 2011 08:14 AM (Fgj1+)
Posted by: Blue Falcon in Boston training for the ONT mudwrestling match at September 25, 2011 08:14 AM (ijjAe)
I think you're missing a point, Drew. Unlike the stuttering cluster*** of a miserable failure, Cain has some actual, verifiable cred and an actual verifiable history of hard work and success, even if it's not in politics.
Posted by: MrScribbler at September 25, 2011 12:07 PM (YjjrR)
Knowing as little as I do about politics (which is odd considering the time I spend here) it appears to me that an extensive background in politics is a liablity, not an advantage.
I'll take an experienced businessman/woman over an experienced politician any day of the week.
Cain can hire political advisors to help navigate the treacherous shoals of politics.
Posted by: ErikW at September 25, 2011 08:14 AM (n+tSt)
Posted by: Flapjackmaka at September 25, 2011 08:15 AM (Fgj1+)
Did you see where the republicans at UC Berkeley are holding a bake sale with the price of items determined by race?
$2 for Caucasians
$1.50 for Asians
75 cents for African Americans
25 cents for Native Americans
They are trying to make the point about the unfairness and absurdity of using race for admissions but apparently the enlightened ones are too thick to see the parallels.
The republican club may now get kicked off campus for it.
Posted by: As If! at September 25, 2011 08:17 AM (piMMO)
Posted by: SlaveDog at September 25, 2011 08:17 AM (PidTa)
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at September 25, 2011 08:19 AM (LH6ir)
Posted by: BurtTC at September 25, 2011 08:20 AM (Gc/Qi)
Then imagine some alternative universe, sometime next fall, with two black men competing for the presidency, one only half black and whole speech and rhythyms are all phony put-ons, the other one genuine.
How post-racial could we get?
Or would it become the most racist of all campaigns, with the donks going full-out retard race-hatred?
Posted by: I'm in a New York state of mind at September 25, 2011 08:20 AM (4sQwu)
Posted by: TPErik at September 25, 2011 08:22 AM (xXhWA)
Obama's smooth talking (back when it existed) and inexperience are not why he's a stuttering clusterfark of a miserable failure. It's because he's a strident Leftist. In short, his values and priorities stink. A more experienced Obama would not be a better Obama.
So as long as our candidate is not also a strident Leftist, we are not doing the same thing the Democrats did in 2008.
Posted by: Kensington at September 25, 2011 08:22 AM (uaEZS)
Now that a group of people has indicated Cain is electable, its a three man race, with Perry limping with 3 months to recover, and Romney suffering with a terminal case of Romneycare which caps his support at about 20%
Posted by: phreshone at September 25, 2011 08:22 AM (T3vCe)
Posted by: Unclefacts Out Of Commenting Retirement Just For This One Thing at September 25, 2011 08:23 AM (6IReR)
I guess it all depends on what one's definition of "experience" is, doesn't it?
The Founding Fathers ALL had "little or no experience", as do the far majority of people entering Public Office for the first time.
"Experience" in Public Office is what got us to where we are now.
Send in the noobs.
Posted by: TXMarko at September 25, 2011 08:24 AM (9rk8U)
Howie Carr spanks Rick Perry in the Boston Herald.
Posted by: Doctor Fish at September 25, 2011 12:23 PM (Lt/Za)
Nah, I'm straight.
Posted by: Flapjackmaka at September 25, 2011 08:24 AM (Fgj1+)
And....every news organization that reports the results should report the fact that, unlike Iowa, the cost to vote here was well out of reach for most citizens. As if there was a choice to participate in the vote in the first place.
I am so irritated about this bullshit.
Posted by: As If! at September 25, 2011 08:25 AM (piMMO)
Posted by: Wm T Sherman at September 25, 2011 08:27 AM (SYrAh)
Posted by: logprof at September 25, 2011 08:28 AM (QaKuj)
I've really warmed up to Cain in the last two debates. I would much rather see a successful businessman as president than another career politician. I haven't given up on the notion of a citizen president. If he gathers the right people around him for his cabinet and advisors, he'll do really well, I think. And I'm thinking he's learned from his business experience the importance of having the right people to draw from. People with actual problem-solving skills.
I'll give Perry one more chance to get his act together, but it's a big hill for him to climb now. His views on immigration bother me, but I'm willing to acknowledge that the illegal immigrant problem is different at a state level from what it is at the federal level. But he needs to expound on how he would approach the problem as president.
Posted by: Marmo at September 25, 2011 08:28 AM (VQCqZ)
If Rick Perry is going to stop Romney he needs to turn it around
quickly.
Arrogant much?
We are more than 13 months from the election, and 11 months from the convention. What inside information do you have that gives any indication that Perry needs to rebound quickly?
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at September 25, 2011 08:28 AM (LH6ir)
Posted by: Guy Fawkes at September 25, 2011 08:28 AM (jiVmv)
Posted by: Taxpayer at September 25, 2011 08:29 AM (NpmCe)
Posted by: George Orwell at September 25, 2011 08:30 AM (AZGON)
One big difference to me: Cain clearly loves this country. 48% of us saw that JugEars didn't.
Posted by: Marybel at September 25, 2011 08:30 AM (Hic+o)
Mine to.Unless something happens we will be "stuck" with him. I'm really going to have to hold my nose to vote for him...
Posted by: The terrorist Hobbit formerly known as Donna at September 25, 2011 08:30 AM (5Wl/f)
Posted by: Taxpayer at September 25, 2011 12:29 PM (NpmCe)
How does "well-regarded in Michigan" translate into victory in Massachusetts?
Posted by: Wm T Sherman at September 25, 2011 08:32 AM (SYrAh)
Posted by: Sandy Salt at September 25, 2011 08:32 AM (iGZkF)
Posted by: John at September 25, 2011 08:33 AM (HmTkU)
Posted by: phoenixgirl at September 25, 2011 08:33 AM (eOXTH)
Posted by: logprof at September 25, 2011 08:34 AM (QaKuj)
Posted by: Mandy P. refuses to watch the SCOAMF at September 25, 2011 08:34 AM (qFpRI)
Perry/Cain 2012 -- Good chance of winning
Cain/Anyone -- Not so good chance of winning
This calculus is all that matters, DrewM's pontifications notwithstanding.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at September 25, 2011 08:35 AM (LH6ir)
Posted by: phoenixgirl at September 25, 2011 08:36 AM (eOXTH)
Posted by: Sandy Salt at September 25, 2011 12:32 PM (iGZkF)
--Regardless of who gets nominated, whoever does so needs to make a solid VP choice to allay the doubters' fears. (See: Bush and Cheney.) If Romney were to pick Rubio as his running mate (dare to dream!), how many of those who are wary of Mitt would feel a eentsy-teensy bit better about him?
Posted by: logprof at September 25, 2011 08:37 AM (QaKuj)
Posted by: John at September 25, 2011 08:37 AM (HmTkU)
Posted by: Durka at September 25, 2011 08:38 AM (QjrRF)
The only Republican Presidential candidate with no elected, appointed or senior level military experience:
Wendell Willkie - 1940
Now let's stop being silly and choose a real candidate.
Posted by: Laurie David's Cervix at September 25, 2011 08:38 AM (EeYDk)
Not even Michael Jordan won a championship in his rookie year.
Posted by: chemjeff at September 25, 2011 08:39 AM (s7mIC)
Posted by: Mandy P. refuses to watch the SCOAMF at September 25, 2011 08:39 AM (qFpRI)
Same here and that guy used to be my Governor.
Posted by: Blue Falcon in Boston training for the ONT mudwrestling match at September 25, 2011 08:40 AM (ijjAe)
Cam Newton! (I keed)
Don't you know this is football Sunday?
Posted by: As If! at September 25, 2011 08:40 AM (piMMO)
I do think that we should have a corporate tax, but it should be low with zero loop holes because there should be some cost to excess the richest market in the world. Cain supports the fair tax, which when you read more about it makes some sense, but just like all the others it has to be put in an Amendment because the career criminals in Congress will find a way to line their pockets otherwise.
Posted by: Sandy Salt at September 25, 2011 08:41 AM (iGZkF)
And imagine what a Cain candidacy would do to the rabid left. The race card would be eliminated once and for all. Completely. The Jeneane Barfolos and Morgan Freemans and racist Congressional Black Caucus members and Pelosis of the left would have nothing left to attack with.
How could they accuse the Tea Party of being a bunch of racist knuckle-dragging idiots? It would be all about Barely Obama's record.
Now that would be sweet!
Posted by: Marmo at September 25, 2011 08:41 AM (VQCqZ)
Posted by: Militant Bibliophile at September 25, 2011 08:42 AM (WKOe/)
Posted by: Kensington at September 25, 2011 08:43 AM (uaEZS)
Posted by: Sandy Salt at September 25, 2011 08:45 AM (iGZkF)
Oh that's nonsense. The race card would get worse. You'd have idiot leftists showing up at Cain campaign events throwing Oreos at him.
Posted by: chemjeff at September 25, 2011 08:45 AM (s7mIC)
Political office should be a job for the inexperienced. If you've spent your career gaining experience as a politician, it means you haven't been gaining any experience at anything useful. As many others have stated, it's been the professional political class that's largely responsible for the mess we're in now.
And no fucking Ivy Leaguers! We should bar all Harvard grads from holding any office higher than dogcatcher for at least the next ten years.
Posted by: gebrauchshund at September 25, 2011 08:46 AM (iYwUw)
Posted by: Sandy Salt at September 25, 2011 08:46 AM (iGZkF)
Posted by: SurferDoc at September 25, 2011 08:46 AM (STdkO)
Posted by: Kensington at September 25, 2011 12:43 PM (uaEZS)
And they would get shredded. It's easy to make the point that it's incredibly racist to insist that people have to think a certain way ideologically because of the color of their skin. No, that won't fly.
Posted by: Marmo at September 25, 2011 08:47 AM (VQCqZ)
I just want to be clear on this. I'm not saying that the "best" line on a resume is a previous election win. I'm saying that previous election wins don't count for *nothing*. I want someone who has previously won an election so that he knows what he's doing in how to run a campaign. Of course I also want bold leadership and great ideas. But previous election wins are also important.
Posted by: chemjeff at September 25, 2011 08:48 AM (s7mIC)
Posted by: CoolCzech at September 25, 2011 08:48 AM (niZvt)
Evidently the key thing was Perry leaving the State to go to MI before the vote. Huh? And everybody is claiming victory. But that is normal.
My feeling is Perry supporters who change their vote based on these BS “debates” were never real supporters to begin with. I have a wait and see attitude here. And no, I don’t expect anything different from the next debate. Just look who is sponsoring it.
Republicans MUST figure out a better way to hold real debates. I am not saying that because Perry didnÂ’t do so good. Hell, I donÂ’t think Romney did any better. I thought Cain and Newt were the real winners but their odds of getting the nomination are long.
But no, they donÂ’t call them the party of stupid for nothing. They will continue to meet the commie loving press on their own terms.
Posted by: Vic at September 25, 2011 08:49 AM (M9Ie6)
Do you *really* want someone who has *never* won *any* election in his life to try to get his first win at this level, when the stakes are so high?
Posted by: chemjeff at September 25, 2011 12:39 PM (s7mIC)
Granted, the problem with this country is not Obama but the people for voted for him.
Let me try a different angle. Is it possible that Obama so damages himself during the next 13 months that Cain's "unelectability" becomes a non-issue and is that a risk worth taking?
Posted by: ErikW at September 25, 2011 08:50 AM (n+tSt)
Let me try a different angle. Is it possible that Obama so damages himself during the next 13 months that Cain's "unelectability" becomes a non-issue and is that a risk worth taking?
Posted by: ErikW at September 25, 2011 12:50 PM (n+tSt)
You mean SCOAMF hasn't yet?
Posted by: Unclefacts Out Of Commenting Retirement Just For This One Thing at September 25, 2011 08:51 AM (6IReR)
And we make that point all the time right now, because that is exactly what the idiot leftist race-mongers believe. And yet here we are, somehow we are labeled the racist ones.
Posted by: chemjeff at September 25, 2011 08:51 AM (s7mIC)
As to the idea that private sector experience and an absence of holding elected office is **by itself** the solution, two words: Herbert Hoover (and, yeah, I know Roosevelt prolonged the Great Depression, but Hoover did f'k it up towards the end of his tenure).
Having political experience may not mean you have the right answers or are more insightful, but it does give you more experience in winning elections, in negotiating with people who disagree with you (something Obama is incapable of), and managing different sectors of the government. While I'm also wary of dealing despots in the Middle East, it's kind of beyond me how Cain is going to handle our foreign policy there after his Muslim comments...I don't just mean what actions he'll take. I mean how he'll be capable of it after people replay his comments over and over again. Yeah, toss in boiler-plate snarky response here...but he will have to undertake a serious foreign policy in the area.
Posted by: AD at September 25, 2011 08:52 AM (3v1zf)
Posted by: MrTea at September 25, 2011 08:53 AM (XWMLc)
Now today he is telling blacks to march. For what? Jobs? oh no, for him. that's a laugher.
Posted by: Guy Fawkes at September 25, 2011 08:54 AM (jiVmv)
Posted by: No Whining at September 25, 2011 08:55 AM (v49Lu)
You mean SCOAMF hasn't yet?
Posted by: Unclefacts Out Of Commenting Retirement Just For This One Thing at September 25, 2011 12:51 PM (6IReR)
That's my point. Obama's numbers are so fucking bad, why not run a true Conservative. Hell, bin Laden got whacked and Obama didn't even get a bounce.
Posted by: ErikW at September 25, 2011 08:57 AM (n+tSt)
And we make that point all the time right now, because that is exactly what the idiot leftist race-mongers believe. And yet here we are, somehow we are labeled the racist ones.
Posted by: chemjeff at September 25, 2011 12:51 PM (s7mIC)
I'm not aware of the argument being made on a national stage for all to see. But regardless, this is merely my opinion versus your opinion and it's not worth an argument over a supposition. We can agree to disagree, I hope.
Posted by: Marmo at September 25, 2011 08:58 AM (VQCqZ)
Your points are one reason I personally take Cain very seriously. Not his gaffes, which I'm not thinking are all that cringe-worthy, but his basic message and the life experience that has led him to deliver that message.
The SCoaMF tried to shame people into voting for him (at least aside from the blacks, who got the "help a brother out" message, loud and clear) and it worked. Most of the politicians on our side of the aisle want our support because they've been in (or around) politics a long time, so of course they're qualified.
Cain might be the closest thing to a New Goldwater we're going to get, and if he continues to look that way I'll be 100% supportive of his candidacy.
One thing I won't do -- unless we're talking about Mutt Romney or RON PAUL!!11!! -- is try to crucify each candidate if they have a weak debate performance or because the chattering classes say he's "not electable."
One of 'em's going to be the candidate, and the best way to keep the RINOs at bay is to accent the positives of those who have positives. That would include Cain and Perry right now, at a minimum.
Posted by: MrScribbler at September 25, 2011 08:59 AM (YjjrR)
Someone please be serious. Stop smiling. Address the public as if they were adults.
We don't need a Hale Fellow Well Met, we need someone who is prepared to do this terribly difficult job. And I know I'm in the minority but Herman Cain hasn't demonstrated he's the person for the office. Maybe he will. But he's unprepared at this point. We already have someone in office who came to us with catch-phrases, lilting speeches and smiles a mile wide and a centimeter deep who's learning disabled because he's flunking out of OJT. The country won't last through another ill-conceived gamble based on how nice the candidate seems.
Posted by: Borzage at September 25, 2011 09:02 AM (FdwDa)
Posted by: CoolCzech at September 25, 2011 09:03 AM (niZvt)
Like I said, comparing SCOAMF's background to Cain's and declaring them equal is bullshit.
Posted by: Unclefacts Out Of Commenting Retirement Just For This One Thing at September 25, 2011 09:04 AM (6IReR)
Posted by: Guy Fawkes at September 25, 2011 09:05 AM (jiVmv)
The repubs are falling for a smooth talking AMERICAN who indeed knows wtf he is talking about and has a good head for business.
big difference if you ask me
Posted by: Berserker at September 25, 2011 09:05 AM (FMbng)
Posted by: mugiwara at September 25, 2011 09:07 AM (KI/Ch)
Posted by: davidinvirginia at September 25, 2011 09:10 AM (ED4oz)
Posted by: George Orwell at September 25, 2011 09:10 AM (AZGON)
Posted by: CoolCzech at September 25, 2011 09:10 AM (niZvt)
Posted by: MaxMBJ at September 25, 2011 09:12 AM (deaac)
Posted by: Pres. Spatula 11!!!!!1!! at September 25, 2011 09:14 AM (lpWVn)
Romney- romneycare, (alos takes away the argument we have with overreaching gvt when we start making excuses when one of ours do it)and overt change in right to life status
Perry- heartless, tired? illegal immigration, (although i don't believe He is for it, but found wrong solutions) it IS difficult to explain when everyones dander is up the difference between our welcoming arms to legal front door immigration and not sounding like we hate immigrants when we have the left shrilly shrieking we hate everyone!
Cain. yeah the Muslim comment will come back and slash his tires IF he gets the nod , as anyone from the rights would.
Bachman, has the right idea about smaller gvt etc, I like it, but gardisil and constant attacks on our hopeful make Her look liek a jerk,
Hunstman, just say NO!
Johnson, who in the heck is he again?
Paul. honestly He scares me as much as Obama. However i do basically agree with his fiscal policies, isolationism not at all, or his remarks about Iran and nukes. (we have em so could they) doesn't make me feel safe in this world at this point.
Posted by: willow at September 25, 2011 09:14 AM (h+qn8)
Posted by: CoolCzech at September 25, 2011 09:15 AM (niZvt)
I'd also like for the candidate hopeful to be asked what is the most important thing facing america, and what would they do to address it?
Posted by: willow at September 25, 2011 09:17 AM (h+qn8)
Better than anything I've heard so far!
I wish we could also get the "pundits" to agree to stop with the instant analysis, too, but that's too much to expect. A day or two to think about the substance and demeanor instead of instant reaction might change some reactions.
As it stands, even the "winner" of this dream debate would be pulled apart by the "Poppin' Fresh/National Review/AoSHQ (sadly) crowd, not matter how well they came across.
Posted by: MrScribbler at September 25, 2011 09:18 AM (YjjrR)
But I guess it might ignite a discussion.
Cain is a proud and accomplished self motivated achiever, and the precedent is a commie mutant Defermative Action lab rat.
Posted by: ontherocks at September 25, 2011 09:18 AM (HBqDo)
Yes. Yes it is. His lack of real world experience has perpetuated his ideology. He has no idea what it means to run a business, or balance a budget, or pay through the nose for one tax after another. He thinks all those nasty rich, white men inherited their money because he has no fucking idea how one would go about earning it because, although he, too, has become wealthy through book sales, HE DIDN'T EARN THAT EITHER.
It would be difficult for anyone not living in a cocoon of Dohrns and Ayers' to continue to believe what he does. Any exposure to the real world would have exposed the fallacy in his ideology.
Posted by: As If! at September 25, 2011 09:20 AM (piMMO)
Posted by: ontherocks at September 25, 2011 01:18 PM (HBqDo)
yes
Posted by: willow at September 25, 2011 09:20 AM (h+qn8)
My two cents:
Cain's win surprised me. Perry had this sewn up until this last debate here in Florida. Good for Cain, and may the best MAN win the primary (yes, I want a man POTUS who will scare the Middle East). I am not much for the whole straw poll deal (as I understand it, many Romney voters went for Cain to throw off Perry's lead. Don't know if that is true or not).
National security is my number one issue, with the economy a very close second. Things are going to get uglier with Iran, Pakistan, Russia's ties to Hugo Chavez and China's ties to Cuba for oil. As W used to say, Axis of Evil. We were all surprised to go ten years after 9/11 without a dirty bomb or chemical warfare. Who would respond the best to a 3am call? I still think that person is Rick Perry, followed by Romney. Rick Perry would not mess around, former Air Force Captain. Romney would have a great cabinet and control and understanding of what was before him. The rest? Not so sure. I like many of the rest as people, strong conservatives, and a Congresswoman who votes conservative with her 23 foster children. Who do I want to lead? Not sure yet.
Who do I want to debate Obama on the national stage for votes? Well, that would be Gingrich followed by Romney. Could we clone the good traits into one man? Gingrich, irritating and flawed that he is in person, is a brilliant debater. Cain is a nice conservative man, good ideas, good speeches, needs to be Secretary of Commerce or something, but not sure if I can go for someone for president with no political experience or solid knowledge base of foreign affairs.
I agree with Drew, I do not want to fall into the swooning masses over a good speech or how they wear jeans (Perry). In reality, who can beat The Won? Right now that is Romney in the general. They are all flawed, all of them. If Mitt Romney chose Marco Rubio as VP it would be the best thing he could do for the conservative base. If he would admit Romneycare was wrong, he could erase that flaw and move on. He cannot erase his religion (which, as I said before after living in Utah for a decade and traveling there frequently, I have no problem with Mormons).
Chris Christie? I'd vote for him, but he leans a little left on immigration, but that issue is not as important to me as in the past. I am still anti-illegal immigration, and we need to keep voting for reps in Congress who are against amnesty, but it is not a deal-breaker for POTUS for me.
Palin? No. Just no. She sealed her fate with me when she did a reality show. There is no way she'd win vs Obama. No way. Too much baggage, too many snafus and dysfunctional family issues. I was excited when she joined McCain, but less so after the 2008 election. While many of the rumors may be untrue of her, she is very tarnished and could not win the general election; nor would I vote for her in the Florida primary. And if she divides this party for 2012, I will despise her. If she throws support to whoever wins the Primary, and all GOP nominees should, then she will redeem herself in my eyes. Until then, it is all about her. Good ideas, she has done this country good, but I do not want her as President.
The main goal is to beat Obama, which will require the GOP to vote in untiy for the common goal of defeating socialism: North, South, East, West, hillbilly and Wall Street, Christian and Jew. A blend of the RINO with a true conservative would be Romney/Rubio 2012. Both would tear up the debates on national TV when people are actually watching.
That said, I will still vote for ABO and not stay home and pout. It would take a lot, a lot of gin to get me to vote for Ron Paul, however as he is insane. So I don't think about that 3am call for him.
I love you Morons and 'ette's. I won't love you if you stay home in a pity pout in 2012 because your chosen one did not win the primary and is a "RINO" or a "McCain." Will four more years of a socialist heal your wounds, or finish off this great country?
Anyone But Obama.
Posted by: ChristyBlinky at September 25, 2011 09:22 AM (baL2B)
I saw Bloomberg on this morning, for all of three seconds. Fucking statist megalomaniac.
Posted by: Reggie1971 at September 25, 2011 09:22 AM (0DGtF)
Meaningless.. worthless.. stupid.
I love Cain, but he couldn't get elected dog catcher.
I will vote for whoever the party nominates. Right now it looks like Perry or Romney. If Palin jumps in, it's definitely Romney. If it's Romney, we have to hold his feet to the fire to stick to his new-found conservative ideals. But, anything is better than the SCoaMF.
Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at September 25, 2011 09:25 AM (UTq/I)
Posted by: FRONT TOWARD LEFT at September 25, 2011 09:26 AM (cbyrC)
I won't love you if you stay home in a pity pout in 2012 because your chosen one did not win the primary and is a "RINO" or a "McCain."
Fuck that. Yeah, I think Cain is worth the risk but I'll be voting. And if it's Paul, I'll be wasted on rum, not that I don't like gin.
Posted by: ErikW at September 25, 2011 09:27 AM (n+tSt)
Posted by: Flapjackmaka at September 25, 2011 12:43 PM (Fgj1+)
A colored president! That'll be the day!
Posted by: Lou Caruthers at September 25, 2011 09:28 AM (uLeLT)
That fucker was on CNN last night throwing a pity party for himself about how he and G.E. should be applauded for the way they conduct business.
I wanted to strangle him.
Posted by: As If! at September 25, 2011 09:30 AM (piMMO)
Illegal immigration is just as big a problem as Obamacare. Why? Because it will lead to too many people in this country who are not culturally assimilated, do not speak the language, and are poor. They might not be American citizens, but the children they have in the country will be. This will inevitably lead to mass calls for such things as the permanent institution of Obamacare, and the creation of other socialist programs.
In short, if you can't control immigration, socialism is just a foregone conclusion.
Posted by: Reggie1971 at September 25, 2011 09:32 AM (0DGtF)
As for experience, yes Cain has significant business experience. So does Jeffery Immelt. Electing a political novice President is going to be a bridge to far for a lot of people. Especially after Obama. That's why we're in this mess to begin with.
I'm so tired of this nonsense. Obama's problem is not his inexperience. Obama's problem is he's a Marxist. In fact, he's been dramatically effective as President. He managed to get us on the fast-track to universal single-payer healthcare—a dream the Donks have had for 80 years now.
You say you want someone with "political experience." Do you even know what that means? It means "experience" in selling statist solutions. It means "experience" in stealing money from productive citizens to buy votes. DrewM wants a professional—a professional thief.
I'm so tired of the "reasonable" squad. "Hey let's be reasonable." "Let's elect a reasonable candidate." Let me tell you: "reasonable" is just a synonym for "status quo." And the status quo is crap. No sale.
Posted by: rfichoke at September 25, 2011 09:38 AM (SYhX2)
1. Understands the predicted issues of that period of time,
2. Engages the electorate in a discussion of those issues
3. Offers tested and time-proven solutions for electorates' concerns
4. Has the credibility and moral stamina to carry through his or her agenda
Posted by: mrp at September 25, 2011 09:40 AM (HjPtV)
As for experience, yes Cain has significant business experience. So does Jeffery Immelt. Electing a political novice President is going to be a bridge to far for a lot of people. Especially after Obama. That's why we're in this mess to begin with.
We're in this mess because Obama's handlers were able to get away with 8 years of Bush bashing and then putting forward a marxiest idealogue.
Posted by: dagny at September 25, 2011 09:42 AM (Dv0Db)
Posted by: sTevo at September 25, 2011 09:49 AM (q1Tbv)
Posted by: FRONT TOWARD LEFT at September 25, 2011 09:51 AM (cbyrC)
Barack Obama (D-SOCAMF)'s main problem is not and has never been his lack of experience. It's his ideology.
The President sets the tone and the manning for a vast federal bureaucracy that largely runs itself. Macro decisions implemented by an army of micro-engineers. The fact of the matter is, the character of Barack Obama, the man making the macro-decisions, is set to "redistribute weath" and "social justice". Those values don't improve with time and experience. If anything, they'll get worse as he becomes more accustomed to wielding power.
Herman Cain, on the other hand, has the right ideology, successful leadership experience, and potential to grow into the job. So, the comparison to Obama is superficial, at best.
Posted by: Steel Wolf at September 25, 2011 09:52 AM (msvIm)
Electing Barack Obama was not a bad thing because he was a political novice, it was a bad thing because he is a political socialist. Herman Cain doesn't not have that problem. He does, however, have a huge problem wrt foreign policy, and it's probably too big to overcome for most voters.
Posted by: holygoat at September 25, 2011 09:54 AM (XnwWl)
Romney has been trying too hard. He's shown a history of saying whatever he needs to to get elected. I might agree with him on 80% of his policies, but I don't trust him. When push comes to shove he's gonna throw us under the bus, and do whatever is politically expedient.
Perry, brought back the worst memories of W. He seemed tongue tied, and the immigration/heartless thing was the kiss of death. I can just see the libs screaming about electing a Bush clone. And I'm afraid he'd toss us under the bus on immigration too.
Bachmann is wasting our time. She went total batshit crazy. She's too rabid. Too willing to go for the jugular against her own side.
Santorum is too bitter, the loss of his child and the way the party threw him under the bus in PA has really negatively affected him. He'd be a good VP. But I'm through voting for Senators with no executive experience.
Huntsman WORKED FOR OBAMA! Instant disqualification.
Johnson is the pothead version of Paul, and he can't even come up with his own jokes. Nice he listens to Rush though.
Paul is a crank, some good ideas on size of government and spending, totally off base on foreign policy. The blame America first thing is disgusting and an instant disqualifier.
Newt being Newt. He's a great philosopher, piss-poor king.
Posted by: Iblis at September 25, 2011 09:54 AM (9221z)
Posted by: Iblis at September 25, 2011 09:57 AM (9221z)
Why didn't the Republicans learn anything from 2008?
Unless or until Romney says that he will repeal ObamaCare, I cannot take him seriously as a conservative leader.
Posted by: BeckoningChasm at September 25, 2011 10:00 AM (i0App)
This nomination race has always been Romney vs. Palin and it is still Romney vs. Palin. Both are and have been running for years now. Romney is declared because he has the money to do so and needs the name recognition of being a declared candidate. Palin is currently undeclared because she has the name recognition already and needs to conserve money until she absolutely has to spend.
Occam's razor, fellas.
Everybody else is running for VP, or selling books, or trying to get a cabinet position. And we have one poor sucker from Texas who listened to the desperate people whispering in his ear and got in without a clue what he was doing, which is now apparent to anyone with eyes that can see.
Sarah Palin will run, she will win the nomination, and she will select Sen. Rob Portman of Ohio as her running mate for reasons that are manifestly obvious if you think about it for more than 30 seconds.
Everything else about this nomination race at the current time is bullshit.
Posted by: trumpetdaddy at September 25, 2011 10:02 AM (dcoFe)
I like Ron Paul's more non-interventionist stance, but you're right, blaming the U.S. for Al Qaeda is absolutely nuts.
Cain/Newt or Newt/Cain! The legacy media's collective heads would explode.
Posted by: Arms Merchant at September 25, 2011 10:10 AM (NZMKc)
Unless or until Romney says that he will repeal ObamaCare, I cannot take him seriously as a conservative leader.
Romney has said he will repeal Obamacare. On many occasions. Here is one:
Posted by: Reggie1971 at September 25, 2011 10:12 AM (0DGtF)
I'm disgusted by the whole thing. I have a sinking feeling the Stupid Party will give the nomination to Romney, and I'll wind up sitting out election day 2012. No Way In Hell I'll ever pull a lever for Willard.
A couple observations: it's funny how conservatives are so offended by Perry's "liberal" you don't have a heart language, but don't seem to mind Romney channeling Harry Reid when it comes to Social Security.
Speaking of conservatives who bash Perry for failing the ideological purity test, I really hope they are happy handing the nomination to Romney, and unprincipled, flip-flopping, liberal-masquerading-as-a-conservative. A contemptable career office seeker who only wants to be President because it will look good on his resume.
Oh, I know - a lot of people are 100% certain Palin will jump in and steal the nomination from Willard. Well, I've got news for anyone who thinks that way: you're a mouth-breathing, nit-witted, grade-A political moron who shouldn't be allowed to reproduce. You're even dumber than Santorum, who has a room temperature IQ. It won't happen.
Posted by: DRayRaven at September 25, 2011 10:18 AM (4kYSc)
Posted by: Iblis at September 25, 2011 10:21 AM (9221z)
Folks are NOT looking for more silly circular brawls between so called leaders over stuff that really isn't moving anyone anywhere.
Part of Cain's Florida success is also related to how he hasn't been the focus of gotcha attacks by the moderators and other also rans in the field. Way too much of the focus of these debates has been moderator instigated in-fighting over internal party differences and perspectives while Obama's disasterous leadership gets pretty near a free pass...
I'm curious about how much of this moderator issue is related to the GOP LOSERship's (or whoever sets these 'debates' up) unwillingness to move beyond the Lamestream media moderators. Could the LOSERship ever bring itself to offer debates moderated by conservative talkers and bloggers, instead of LameStream liberals?
Posted by: drfredc at September 25, 2011 10:23 AM (iNKlO)
Cain's 9-9-9 plan is pretty solid stuff. How you keep it from going to 10-10-10 and beyond is a quandary.
Posted by: spongeworthy at September 25, 2011 11:57 AM (rplL3)
Yeah, any national sales tax must be wedded to a repeal of the income tax.
Posted by: holygoat at September 25, 2011 10:28 AM (XnwWl)
I said this the other day Perry, Romney, Palin even would all govern pretty much the same.
Posted by: lowandslow at September 25, 2011 10:49 AM (GZitp)
Posted by: holygoat at September 25, 2011 10:51 AM (XnwWl)
Cain did not grow up in a political environment so he has no qualifying experience.
Posted by: Romney Voter at September 25, 2011 10:53 AM (7MFxV)
If your names is Sal Rubinstein I'll give your words some thought. If your name is Sal Martinez, I hate you.
Posted by: lowandslow at September 25, 2011 10:53 AM (GZitp)
Evidently the key thing was Perry leaving the State to go to MI before the vote.
Vic, I do think it was a missed opportunity for him to explain where he stands on illegal immigration. Strategically, he should have used that time to his advantage by expanding on the details of his positions. A great speach (humble and passionate) would have put a lot of folk's questions to rest. I think it was a big mistake to leave Florida with the "you don't have a heart" thing stuck in people's craw.
In other words, he needed to make amends for that statement. It would have been to his advantage to do so. He and his "advisors" fucked up there. Perry would have gotten great coverage and it would have helped him going forward. Michigan was a Mittens' win no-brainer.
Plus, judging by what I've read here and at other websites, a lot of people still do not know he's strongly against illegal immigration.
Posted by: The Ghost of Kim Novak at September 25, 2011 11:13 AM (8DdAv)
Posted by: Pragmatist at September 25, 2011 11:21 AM (AEKuS)
Posted by: Unclefacts Out Of Commenting Retirement Just For This One Thing at September 25, 2011 11:35 AM (6IReR)
A couple of these fatally flawed need to pair up and make a decent team to show America that they are a far better choice than the Joker and Joe.
Posted by: Sandy Salt at September 25, 2011 11:38 AM (iGZkF)
Oh yeah, and for all you folks out there that can't get behind Perry because of the tuition issue - IT'S THE RULE OF LAW, WE MUST OBEY THE RULE OF LAW! IT'S THE LAW! WE MUST OBEY THE RULES! - but are willing to give the nomination to Romney (Perry's out, Romney's the one that can win), seriously, get a grip. Tuition Fees vs Romneycare?
Just which one, do ya think, King Putt (who is a stuttering clusterfuck) and his MBM buddies will make the most hay with? IOW, which one will be used ad nauseum to discourage the Republican/Independent voting base? Because that's who the target is in their bullshitery- us.
I honestly hope and pray for Perry to get his shit together fast. Because he is the one who can rally people to the smaller government ideal. He does have the record and the passion. And it will absolutely kill me to vote for that shape-shifting skank of a politician, Willard M. Romney.
Posted by: The Ghost of Kim Novak at September 25, 2011 11:39 AM (8DdAv)
So, the excuse that Perry lost Florida was that he left early to kick some Romney butt in Romney's home state?
Posted by: Romney Voter at September 25, 2011 11:40 AM (7MFxV)
Perry/Rubio
Posted by: Pragmatist at September 25, 2011 11:46 AM (AEKuS)
Someone explain to me why Cain can't win against Obama, because that's all I'm concerned about at this point: To get the red-diaper baby out of office and replace him with a conservative. I'm not sure a Romney win would do that.
The left will lose the "RACISM!" rallying cry, and it's practically all they have left.
Posted by: theCork at September 25, 2011 11:51 AM (iSyWd)
Posted by: Pragmatist at September 25, 2011 11:52 AM (AEKuS)
Posted by: rabidfox at September 25, 2011 12:08 PM (N6w4x)
Posted by: TrueNorthist at September 25, 2011 12:12 PM (RQtDB)
If everyone can quit complaining and tearing each other apart, we could start focusing on the real goal and compare the team against the Joker. It becomes pretty damn easy to show how things can be done better than a marxist. Instead of f&%cking around tearing each other apart, we need to have the team, support the hell out of them, and settle on policies that stand in stark contrast to the Joker.
Posted by: Sandy Salt at September 25, 2011 12:14 PM (iGZkF)
Really...1000 people voted for Herman Cain yesterday. Big deal. Actually, since you could vote more than once if you bought another ballot, it may not even have been a thousand people.
To assert that this means anything about Cain's viability as a candidate is just reading too much into a very small and unimportant event.
Posted by: TH at September 25, 2011 12:20 PM (rvJrw)
Posted by: cleaningmygun at September 25, 2011 12:24 PM (PnfND)
Posted by: GGE of the Moron Horde at September 25, 2011 12:31 PM (yh0zB)
Posted by: cleaningmygun at September 25, 2011 04:24 PM (PnfND)
I could actually see that, if the purist were willing to accept Romney at the top of the ticket. Perry/Rubio would also sell really well. Perry/Christie? Right/Left with a true bulldog on the undercard. Romney would need a solid conservative to even have a pray with the hard right.
Posted by: Sandy Salt at September 25, 2011 12:31 PM (iGZkF)
Posted by: Sal at September 25, 2011 04:33 PM (AQWdH)
Really, so Herman Cain and his supporters are racists? Tell me again how a sheep's bladders can prevent earthquakes.
Posted by: theCork at September 25, 2011 12:38 PM (iSyWd)
Dammit, we need to get the blimp inflated. Keep yelling! If we spam enough internetz, the 47 percent of the population will catch the ReLOVEution!!!!!
RON PAUL! RON PAUL! RON PAUL!
Posted by: the other dude who yells RON PAUL!!! at September 25, 2011 12:41 PM (jWvfJ)
Posted by: Concerned at September 25, 2011 12:49 PM (JS63S)
Posted by: Pragmatist at September 25, 2011 12:56 PM (AEKuS)
Posted by: CAC at September 25, 2011 01:18 PM (JEVge)
Sorry Michelle, Newt, Rick, Ron, Herman and, of course, Barack.
Posted by: Koblog at September 25, 2011 02:18 PM (YFkCk)
Yeah a lot of people voted for him due to pure racism or due to the cult of personality but his failure is ultimately due to the fact that leftism always fails and the further left you go the bigger the failure is. All of these other things, including being a slick talker, are extraneous and are independent variables unrelated to the success or failure that comes from having the correct policies.
Cain can sell himself as the better alternative. Not all black people are incompetent. Not all of them believe in Jeremiah Wright more than they believe in Martin Luther King. Not all of them believe that black people cannot compete if shorn of their excuses and incentives not to. Not all black people are content to remain on the plantation and remain ignorant. Not all black people hate America and harbor disdain and contempt for it in their hearts while benefiting from its largess.
But his best line of attack is that ANYONE pursuing Obama's policies would have failed just as grandly. That way people can reconcile liking the stupid fuck we have for a president on a personal level while voting his ass out of office for being a man made disaster professionally.
Posted by: Voluble at September 25, 2011 02:21 PM (JKX4x)
Unfortunately, I think he is likely to win the nomination because he is so strongly favored by the southern states and the evangelical vote. But if there's anyway we could turn Obama's chances for reelection from extremely vulnerable to reasonably competitive, it would be by nominating Perry.
Posted by: Dave at September 25, 2011 02:57 PM (a5Y+2)
Posted by: Texan Economist at September 25, 2011 04:44 PM (TC/9F)
AND the ideal from the founding of our Republic was NEVER to have "professional politicians" -- au contraire! Citizen soldiers, citizen politicians, who would serve our nation in their turn, and then, like the Father of our country, George Washington, would leave office honorably.
Remember that? Worked ever so much better than these career knife-fighters do.
Posted by: Beverly at September 25, 2011 05:56 PM (4Mvct)
Bo wasn't exactly a political novice, he was a sitting senator. People felt he had the right education and the right charisma and he said all the things people were ready to hear like getting rid of the corruption which is rampant inside of politics inside and outside the beltway. Problem is, because he was a political insider, he failed.
What is so attractive about Cain is he has all the right stuff minus the beltway insider or any political insider status. He's one of us. People want to elect one of us. They are tired of people who have favors to repay in both parties. They are tired of people who think they can play the game and win "for the people" in both parties. They are insiders, there are too many ties, they are doomed to failure as the model is broken.
I've always said he's impressive. A couple of people on here have said he's impressive. Cause well, he's impressive. I think people are starting to think that he can use all his experience in business and mathematics and actually fix things. Moreover, though, people are believing that if he can't fix something that he's not the type to just ignore, instead he's the type who will find the people who can fix it and admit he needs their help. There is something wholly charming and attractive about a leader and herman cain is one.
Posted by: the rest of the world at September 25, 2011 06:19 PM (k1rwm)
Ace, I started to write a post responding to this, but other work intruded and I didn't get around to finishing it. Now I'm thinking, "Why do a whole post, when I can just put my thoughts in the comments?"
YOU GOT PUNKED, ACE.
Plain and simple: All those smart guys who told you Rick Perry was the Real Deal like Evander Holyfield? They were wrong. Perry's weaknesses and vulnerabilities were well-known, even to Texans and Republican operatives who generally admired him, and one of the things that they specifically warned me about was that Perry wasn't such a great public speaker. Some of the attacks on him were unfair, but his big debate blunder -- telling conservatives "you have no heart" -- was an unforced error for which he alone was responsible.
What went wrong with the Perry campaign can't be blamed on Michelle Malkin, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Herman Cain or anyone else but Rick Perry. And so it does no good to diss them as if they were reponsible, now that the once-vaunted Texas Front-Runner Bandwagon Juggernaut has taken a detour to Fred Thompsonville.
Stigmatizing Cain as "the Howard Dean of this cycle," and suggesting that Romney is now inevitable -- simply because you're butt-hurt over Perry's Hindenburg-at-Lakehurst implosion -- is defeatism. Both Cain and Santorum have run low-budget campaigns to date, so they aren't staggering under the kind of money issues that crushed T-Paw, crippled Gingrich and now are threatening Bachmann's viability. Gingrich is going to keep showing up at debates, but if Bachmann quits, and if we could give the brush to Huntsman and Gary Johnson, a debate field reduced to six candidates might clarify the alternatives more clearly.
There are still more than four months to go before the Feb. 6 Iowa caucuses, and the rules changes (no winner-take-all primaries in March) will extend the contest into April. So there is still a fair chance that one of the current candidates could emerge as a consensus conservative alternative to Romney. And there is also a slim chance -- very slim, actually -- that a long back-and-forth struggle could result in delegates being spread around in such a way that Romney arrives at Tampa next August with less than a first-ballot majority. A "brokered convention" scenario is quite unlikely, but it can't be ruled out, and so digging in for a long war of attrition is a much better idea than surrendering to forebodings of despair so early in the campaign season.
Anyway: Go back and figure out which smart guys persuaded you that Perry was a lead-pipe cinch. Write down their names on a list, and add a note never to trust those dumbasses again.
Posted by: Robert Stacy McCain at September 25, 2011 08:20 PM (sF52j)
Posted by: Born Free at September 26, 2011 12:20 AM (WgswD)
Posted by: baldilocks at September 26, 2011 12:50 AM (T2/zQ)
Posted by: Jim-stlmo at September 26, 2011 01:47 AM (Er/xb)
Posted by: Jim-stlmo at September 26, 2011 01:49 AM (Er/xb)
As Reggie said, he has promised it, and moreover, I believe he is genuine about it (he does think it's a mess, and would seriously hinder the economic turnaround he has planned.)
Upon reading his platform I've decided he's conservative enough, and can probably be kept honest enough by pressure from the base.
His Achilles heel is tendency to compromise with the left, but I think he's smart enough to realize that the US <> Massachusetts, so perhaps it wouldn't be that bad considering.
Posted by: JB at September 26, 2011 01:59 AM (7T+Mz)
Posted by: Mohamed at September 28, 2011 12:15 AM (R2aBz)
Posted by: p90xdvdorder at September 28, 2011 01:17 AM (AxzSF)
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Posted by: Glaucon at September 25, 2011 07:55 AM (mP9Rx)