December 11, 2011

CAC's Poll Dump (Updated Every Sunday Through Election Day 2012)
— CAC

Consider this a go-to source for later when you want to "quote" a poll (or when you want to catch another moron making shit up).

If you catch wind of a poll (complete with crosstabs), feel free to shoot me an email to theoneandonlyfinn at gmail.com.

The initial edition will be short, but that won't last. If a state has more than 3 polls, older polls will be abbreviated to a URL link. After 6 polls per office per state, oldest will be dumped to keep this somewhat readable. You can thank me later.

I will update this post throughout the week, bumping every Sunday as a recap of data collected. Ace and the rest of the co-bloggers will have posts on particularly damning polls, this thread will be updated throughout the next year to keep all available data in one spot.

***NOTE- If you are sending me polls, I will NOT be listing polling published days and weeks before this thread started. So data from, say, a primary poll in September is not going to be listed.*** NATIONAL ELECTION POLLING (PRIMARY)

GALLUP
National Presidential Primary (R)
Newt Gingrich 37%
Mitt Romney 23%
Ron Paul 9%
Rick Perry 6%
Michele Bachmann 6%
Rick Santorum 2%
Jon Huntsman 1%

FOX NEWS
National Presidential Primary (R)
Newt Gingrich 36%
Mitt Romney 23%
Ron Paul 12%
Rick Perry 8%
Michele Bachmann 5%
Rick Santorum 4%
Jon Huntsman 2%
Gary Johnson 0%
Buddy Roemer 0%
Fred Karger 0%

YOUGOV
National Presidential Primary(R)

Newt Gingrich 31%
Mitt Romney 15%
Ron Paul 11%
Rick Perry 9%
Rick Santorum 7%
Michele Bachmann 6%
Jon Huntsman 6%
Gary Johnson 2%

National Presidential Primary-FDU- Gingrich by 13

National Primary Poll-RASMUSSEN Gingrich by 21

National Primary Poll POLLPOSITION Gingrich by 9


NATIONAL ELECTION POLLING (GENERAL)

FOX NEWS
National General Election President
Barack Obama 44%
Mitt Romney 42%
Barack Obama 46%
Newt Gingrich 40%

RASMUSSEN
National President
Newt Gingrich 40%
Barack Obama 45%
Barack Obama 46%
Rick Perry 34%
Barack Obama 41%
Jon Huntsman 34%

YOUGOV
National President(/a>
Barack Obama 46%
Mitt Romney 44%
Barack Obama 46%
Ron Paul 44%
Barack Obama 46%
Newt Gingrich 42%

National President- FDU- Obama by 4 over Romney, 6 over Gingrich

Swing State Poll (NH+PA+OH+MN+IA+WI+NC+VA+FL+CO+NV+NM)PURPLE STRATEGIES Romney TIED, Obama by 2 over Gingrich


STATE BY STATE POLLING DATA (GENERAL, PRIMARY, PRESIDENT AND SENATE)

Polls are organized by state, then listed in order from newest to oldest.
Presidential Poll Data first, Senate data second.


Alabama
NONE

Alaska
NONE

Arizona

Public Policy Polling
REPUBLICAN PRIMARY POLL
Newt Gingrich 28%
Mitt Romney 23%
Herman Cain 17%
Ron Paul 8%
Jon Huntsman 5%
Rick Santorum 3%
Michele Bachmann 3%
Rick Perry 3%
Gary Johnson 0%

US SENATE PRIMARY(R) POLL
Jeff Flake 53%
Wil Cardon 7%
Bryan Hackbarth 5%
Clair Van Steenwyk 2%
Douglas McKee 1%

US SENATE GENERAL ELECTION POLL
Jeff Flake (R) 42%
Don Bivens (D) 32%

Wil Cardon (R) 35%
Don Bivens 27%

Jeff Flake 40%
Richard Carmona (D) 36%

Wil Cardon 35%
Richard Carmona 33%

US PRESIDENT GENERAL ELECTION POLL
Mitt Romney (R) 49%
Barack Obama (D-inc) 42%
Ron Paul (R) 44%
Barack Obama (D-inc) 43%

Newt Gingrich (R) 45%
Barack Obama (D-inc) 45%

Barack Obama (D-inc) 46%
Herman Cain (R) 42%

Barack Obama (D-inc) 47%
Rick Perry (R) 40%

Arkansas
NONE

California

FIELD POLL

PRIMARY (R)
Mitt Romney 26%
Newt Gingrich 23%
Herman Cain 9%
Ron Paul 5%
Rick Perry 3%
Michele Bachmann 3%
Rick Santorum 2%
Jon Huntsman 1%

US GENERAL ELECTION (Field)
Barack Obama (D-inc) 50%
Mitt Romney (R) 40%

Barack Obama (D-inc) 55%
Newt Gingrich (R) 35%


Colorado

PUBLIC POLICY POLLING
PRESIDENT-PRIMARY(R)
Newt Gingrich 37%
Mitt Romney 18%
Michele Bachmann 9%
Ron Paul 6%
Rick Perry 4%
Rick Santorum 4%
Jon Huntsman 3%
Gary Johnson 1%

PUBLIC POLICY POLLING
PRESIDENT-GENERAL
Barack Obama 50%
Newt Gingrich 42%
Barack Obama 48%
Ron Paul 39%
Barack Obama 52%
Rick Perry 37%
Barack Obama 47%
Mitt Romney 45%

Connecticut
NONE

Delaware is the result of overactive imaginations and hundreds of years of lies in the Encycolpedia Britannica. I am forced to leave a spot here, but I refuse to acknowledge this "state" and pray for the day it gets Pluto'd.
NONE

Florida

SURVEY USA
PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY(R)
Newt Gingrich 45%
Mitt Romney 23%
Michele Bachmann 6%
Rick Perry 5%
Ron Paul 4%
Jon Huntsman 3%
Rick Santorum 2%

NBC NEWS/MARIST
PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY(R)
Newt Gingrich 42%
Mitt Romney 27%
Ron Paul 8%
Rick Perry 4%
Michele Bachmann 3%
Jon Huntsman 2%
Rick Santorum 2%

TIME/CNN
PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY(R)
Newt Gingrich 48%
Mitt Romney 25%
Ron Paul 5%
Everyone else- low single digits

PRESIDENT-PRIMARY(R) QUINNIPIAC- Gingrich by 1

US PRESIDENT PRIMARY (R)-InsiderAdvantage Gingrich by 24

US PRESIDENT PRIMARY (R) PPP- Gingrich by 30

PUBLIC POLICY POLLING
US SENATE PRIMARY(R)
Connie Mack IV 40%
George LeMieux 12%
Mike McCalister 4%
Adam Hasner 3%
Craig Miller 3%

PUBLIC POLICY POLLING
US SENATE GENERAL
Bill Nelson (D-inc) 46%
Connie Mack IV (R) 35%
Bill Nelson (D-inc) 47%
George LeMeuix (R) 32%
Bill Nelson (D-inc) 48%
Adam Hasner (R) 33%
Bill Nelson (D-inc) 49%
Craig Miller (R) 30%
Bill Nelson (D-inc) 47%
Mike McCalister (R) 32%

RASMUSSEN REPORTS:
U. S. SENATE
Connie Mack (R) 43% Bill Nelson (D-inc) 39%
Bill Nelson (D-inc) 39% George LeMieux (R) 33%
Bill Nelson (D-inc) 40% Adam Hasner (R) 31%

QUINNIPIAC
GENERAL ELECTION PRESIDENT
Mitt Romney 45%
Barack Obama 42%

Barack Obama 46%
Newt Gingrich 44%

NBC NEWS/MARIST
GENERAL ELECTION PRESIDENT
Barack Obama 51%
Newt Gingrich 39%
Barack Obama 48%
Mitt Romney 41%

PUBLIC POLICY POLLING
US PRESIDENT GENERAL ELECTION
Barack Obama (D-inc) 45%
Mitt Romney (R) 44%**

Barack Obama (D-inc) 46%
Ron Paul 40%

Barack Obama (D-inc) 50%
Newt Gingrich (R) 44%

Barack Obama (D-inc) 50%
Rick Perry (R) 38%

Barack Obama (D-inc) 51%
Herman Cain (R) 37%

**Note, 3rd time PPP has done this (previously with North Carolina and Pennsylvania), giving the undecideds to Romney and claiming that Obama would "probably lose".

RASMUSSEN REPORTS
PRESIDENT
Mitt Romney (R) 46% Barack Obama (D-inc) 42%
Newt Gingrich (R) 43% Barack Obama (D-inc) 45%
Herman Cain (R) 37% Barack Obama (D-inc) 46%

Georgia

INSIDER ADVANTAGE
REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY
Newt Gingrich 54%
Mitt Romney 12%
Ron Paul 6%
Michele Bachmann 4%
Rick Perry 3%
Rick Santorum 2%
Jon Huntsman 2%

SURVEY USA
REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY
Newt Gingrich 65%
Mitt Romney 12%
Michele Bachmann 5%
Ron Paul 5%
Rick Perry 4%
Rick Santorum 1%
Jon Huntsman 1%

SURVEY USA
PRESIDENT-GENERAL
Mitt Romney 49%
Barack Obama 42%
Newt Gingrich 48%
Barack Obama 42%


Hawaii
NONE

Idaho
NONE

Illinois
NONE

Indiana
NONE

Iowa

CBS/NYT
REPUBLICAN PRIMARY(CAUCUS)
Newt Gingrich 31%
Mitt Romney 17%
Ron Paul 16%
Rick Perry 11%
Michele Bachmann 9%
Rick Santorum 4%

WE ASK AMERICA
REPUBLICAN PRIMARY(CAUCUS)
Newt Gingrich 30%
Mitt Romney 16%
Ron Paul 14%
Michele Bachmann 13%
Rick Perry 7%
Rick Santorum 4%
Jon Huntsman 3%

TIME/CNN
REPUBLICAN PRIMARY (CAUCUS)
Newt Gingrich 33%
Mitt Romney 20%
Ron Paul 17%
Rick Perry 9%
Michele Bachmann 7%
Rick Santorum 5%
Jon Huntsman 1%

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY(CAUCUS)-ABC/WaPo Gingrich by 13

PPP REPUBLICAN PRIMARY PRESIDENT (CAUCUS) Gingrich by 9

PRIMARY (R) MARIST/NBC Gingrich by 8

MARIST/NBC
US PRESIDENT GENERAL ELECTION
Barack Obama (D-inc) 46%
Mitt Romney (R) 39%

Barack Obama (D-inc) 47%
Newt Gingrich (R) 37%

Barack Obama (D-inc) 42%
Ron Paul (R) 42%

Barack Obama (D-inc) 48%
Rick Perry (R) 37%

Barack Obama (D-inc) 54%
Michele Bachmann (R) 31%

Kansas
SURVEY USA
US PRESIDENT (General Election)
Barack Obama 39%
Mitt Romney 48%

Newt Gingrich 40%
Barack Obama 45%

Kentucky
NONE

Louisiana

Clarus Research Group
PRIMARY(R)
Newt Gingrich 31%
Mitt Romney 23%
Herman Cain 12%
Rick Perry 11%
Ron Paul 6%
Michele Bachmann 4%
Buddy Roemer 2%
Jon Huntsman 1%
Rick Santorum 0%

Maine
NONE

Maryland
NONE

Massachusetts

UMass
US SENATE-GENERAL
Elizabeth Warren (D) 49%
Scott Brown (R-inc) 42%

Michigan

MIRS/Practical Political Consulting
PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY (R)
Mitt Romney 48%
Newt Gingrich 33%
Michele Bachmann 11%
Rick Perry 7%

STRATEGIC NATIONAL
PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY (R)
Newt Gingrich 31%
Mitt Romney 29%
Ron Paul 7%
Michele Bachmann 6%
Jon Huntsman 4%
Rick Santorum 3%
Rick Perry 3%

EPIC-MRA
PRIMARY(R)
Mitt Romney 34%
Newt Gingrich 20%
Herman Cain 13%
Ron Paul 8%
Rick Perry 5%
Michelle Bachmann 3%
John Huntsman 2%
Rick Santorum 2%

EPIC-MRA
US SENATE
Debbie Stabenow (D-inc) 48%
Pete Hoekstra (R) 42%

EPIC-MRA
US PRESIDENT (GENERAL ELECTION)
Barack Obama (D-inc) 41%
Mitt Romney (R) 46%

Barack Obama (D) 45%
Newt Gingrich (R) 40%

Barack Obama (D) 50%
Herman Cain (R) 36%

Minnesota
NONE

Mississippi
NONE

Missouri
NONE

Montana

PUBLIC POLICY POLLING

GOVERNOR-PRIMARY (R)
Rick Hill 37%
Ken Miller 10%
Jeff Essmann 5%
Jim Lynch 4%
Jim OÂ’Hara 3%
Neil Livingstone 3%
Corey Stapleton 2%
Bob Fanning 1%

PRESIDENT PRIMARY (R)
Newt Gingrich 37%
Ron Paul 12%
Mitt Romney 11%
Herman Cain 10%
Michele Bachmann 10%
Rick Perry 5%
Jon Huntsman 3%
Rick Santorum 1%
Gary Johnson 1%

US SENATE
Danny Rehberg (R) 47%
Jon Tester (D-inc) 45%

US PRESIDENT General Election
Mitt Romney (R) 50%
Barack Obama (D-inc) 40%

Newt Gingrich (R) 50%
Barack Obama (D-inc) 42%

Herman Cain (R) 45%
Barack Obama (D-inc) 43%

Ron Paul (R) 48%
Barack Obama (D-inc) 40%

Rick Perry (R) 46%
Barack Obama (D-inc) 43%

GOVERNOR-GENERAL
Steve Bullock (D) 42%
Jeff Essmann (R) 30%
Steve Bullock (D) 41%
Neil Livingstone (R) 29%
Steve Bullock (D) 40%
Ken Miller (R) 31%

Rick Hill (R) 39%
Steve Bullock (D) 38%
Jeff Essmann (R) 30%

Nebraska

MAGELLAN
US SENATE
Jon Bruning (R) 45%
Ben Nelson (D-inc) 39%

Don Stenberg (R) 41%
Ben Nelson (D-inc) 40%

Dave Heineman (R) 51%
Ben Nelson (D-inc) 33%

Ben Nelson (D-inc) 41%
Deb Fischer (R) 35%

Nevada
NONE

New Hampshire

TIME/CNN
PRESIDENT PRIMARY(R)
Mitt Romney 35%
Newt Gingrich 26%
Ron Paul 17%
Jon Huntsman 8%
Every One Else – Low Single Digits

NBC/MARIST
REPUBLICAN PRIMARY
Mitt Romney 39%
Newt Gingrich 23%
Ron Paul 16%
Jon Huntsman 9%
Rick Perry 3%
Michele Bachmann 3%
Herman Cain 2%
Rick Santorum 1%

RASMUSSEN
REPUBLICAN PRIMARY POLL
Mitt Romney 34%
Newt Gingrich 24%
Herman Cain 14%
Ron Paul 11%


REPUBLICAN PRIMARY POLL- UNH- Romney by 27

The Polling Company REPUBLICAN PRIMARY POLL Romney by 17

Suffolk U REPUBLICAN PRIMARY POLL Romney by 27

ARG REPUBLICAN PRIMARY POLL (Romney by 11)

NBC/MARIST
GENERAL ELECTION POLL
Mitt Romney (R) 49%
Barack Obama (D-inc) 40%

Barack Obama (D-inc) 49%
Newt Gingrich (R) 39%

Barack Obama (D-inc) 44%
Ron Paul (R) 40%

Barack Obama (D-inc) 51%
Rick Perry (R) 36%

Barack Obama (D-inc) 53%
Michele Bachmann (R) 33%

UNH
GENERAL ELECTION POLL
Barack Obama 44%
Mitt Romney 47%

New Jersey
NONE

New Mexico
NONE

New York
NONE

North Carolina

PUBLIC POLICY POLLING
GOVERNOR-GENERAL
Pat McCrory (R) 50%
Bev Perdue(D-inc) 40%
Pat McCrory (R) 47%
Bill Faison (D) 26%

GOVERNOR- DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
Bev Perdue 55%
Bill Faison 23%

PUBLIC POLICY POLLING
PRESIDENT-PRIMARY(R)
Newt Gingrich 51%
Mitt Romney 14%
Michele Bachmann 8%
Ron Paul 7%
Rick Perry 4%
Rick Santorum 3%
Jon Huntsman 1%
Gary Johnson 0%

PRESIDENT-GENERAL
Mitt Romney 46%
Barack Obama 46%

Barack Obama 49%
Newt Gingrich 45%
Barack Obama 47%
Ron Paul 42%
Barack Obama 50%
Rick Perry 42%


North Dakota
NONE

Ohio

QUINNIPIAC
PRESIDENT-PRIMARY(R)
Newt Gingrich 36%
Mitt Romney 18%
Ron Paul 7%
Herman Cain 7%
Michele Bachmann 5%
Rick Perry 4%
Rick Santorum 2%
Jon Huntsman 1%

QUINNIPIAC
PRESIDENT-GENERAL
Mitt Romney 43%
Barack Obama 42%
Newt Gingrich 43%
Barack Obama 42%

Oklahoma
NONE

Oregon

SURVEY USA
GENERAL ELECTION POLL
Barack Obama 48%
Mitt Romney 40%

Barack Obama 51%
Newt Gingrich 37%

Pennsylvania

QUINNIPIAC
PRESIDENT-PRIMARY(R)
Newt Gingrich 31%
Mitt Romney 17%
Rick Santorum 9%
Ron Paul 7%
Herman Cain 3%
Michele Bachmann 3%
Rick Perry 3%
Jon Huntsman 3%

Public Policy Polling (D)
REPUBLICAN PRIMARY POLL
Newt Gingrich 32%
Herman Cain 15%
Mitt Romney 12%
Rick Santorum 12%
Ron Paul 9%
Michele Bachmann 5%
Jon Huntsman 3%
Rick Perry 3%
Gary Johnson 0%

US SENATE PRIMARY POLL (R)
Sam Rohrer 25%
Tim Burns 15%
Tom Smith 3%
Laureen Cummings 2%
John Vernon 1%
Steve Welch 1%
Marc Scaringi 0%

QUINNIPIAC
PRESIDENT-GENERAL
Barack Obama 46%
Mitt Romney 43%
Barack Obama 48%
Newt Gingrich 40%

MUHLENBERG COLLEGE/MORNING CALL
PRESIDENT-GENERAL
Barack Obama 45%
Mitt Romney 41%
Barack Obama 52%
Newt Gingrich 35%
Barack Obama 48%
Rick Perry 30%

PUBLIC POLICY POLLING
US PRESIDENT GENERAL ELECTION POLL
Mitt Romney 45%*
Barack Obama 45%*

Barack Obama 47%
Rick Santorum 42%

Barack Obama 53%
Herman Cain 35%

Barack Obama 49%
Newt Gingrich 43%

Barack Obama 46%
Ron Paul 42%

Barack Obama 51%
Rick Perry 38%

*PPP made the rare "tiebreaker" comment that amongst undecideds, Obama is at 24% favorability, giving the tie to the Republican.


MUHLENBERG COLLEGE/MORNING CALL
US SENATE (GENERAL)
BOB CASEY 49%
R candidate 27%

PUBLIC POLICY POLLING
PPP-US SENATE GENERAL ELECTION POLL
Bob Casey (D-inc) 49%
Tim Burns (R) 34%
Bob Casey (D-inc) 47%
Sam Rohrer (R) 36%
Bob Casey (D-inc) 48%
Tom Smith (R) 32%
Bob Casey (D-inc) 47%
Steve Welch (R) 33%
Bob Casey (D-inc) 49%
Rick Santorum (R) 39%

Rhode Island
NONE

South Carolina

NBC NEWS/MARIST
PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY(R)
Newt Gingrich 41%
Mitt Romney 21%
Ron Paul 8%
Michele Bachmann 6%
Rick Perry 6%
Jon Huntsman 3%
Rick Santorum 2%

WINTRHOP U
PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY(R)
Newt Gingrich 38%
Mitt Romney 22%
Rick Perry 9%
Herman Cain 7%
Michele Bachmann 5%
Ron Paul 4%
Rick Santorum 3%
Jon Huntsman 1%
Gary Johnson 0%

TIME/CNN
PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY(R)
Newt Gingrich 43%
Mitt Romney 20%
Rick Perry 8%
Michele Bachmann 6%
Ron Paul 6%
Rick Santorum 4%
Jon Huntsman 1%

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY POLL -ARG- Gingrich by 11

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY POLL-TPC Gingrich by 14

NBC NEWS/MARIST (same link)
GENERAL ELECTION PRESIDENT
Barack Obama (D) 46%
Newt Gingrich (R) 42%
Barack Obama (D) 45%
Mitt Romney (R) 42%

South Dakota
NONE

Tennessee
NONE

Texas
NONE

Utah
NONE

Vermont
NONE

Virginia
NONE

Washington

SURVEY USA

US SENATE
Maria Cantwell (D-inc) 51%
Michael Baumgartner (R) 39%
Maria Cantwell (D-inc) 48%
Dave Reichert (R) 41%
Maria Cantwell (D-inc) 49%
Susan Hutchison (R) 38%

GOVERNOR
Rob McKenna (R) 44%
Jay Inslee (D) 38%

US PRESIDENT
Barack Obama (D-inc) 49%
Mitt Romney (R) 41%
Barack Obama (D-inc) 56%
Newt Gingrich (R) 37%

West Virginia
NONE

Wisconsin
NONE

Wyoming
NONE

***GORE00 STATE WATCH***
Added 12/4/2011 edition, condensed tracking of Republican performance in the states that went to Al Gore in the 2000 election, the last time a Republican flipped the White House (see why that is important here).

Michigan (see EPIC poll)- Romney leads by 5, Gingrich trails by only 5.

Pennsylvania (see PPP, Quinn, Muhl)- Romney trails Obama avg 2, Santorum trails by 5, Paul by 4.

Iowa (see Marist poll)- Paul ties Obama.

Posted by: CAC at 09:00 AM | Comments (245)
Post contains 2447 words, total size 26 kb.

1 Dear Diary: Day drags on after interminable day, in this godforsaken heat ... or cold ... or ... evenness. November in the year 23 since another human was in sight. This morning, a bottle washed ashore, near where the orangutang - "Mrs. Rex", as we've agreed she's to be called - takes her morning constitutional; a note inside informs me of yet another type of CAC dump. Unaccountably, I find it difficult to generate interest in early polling for the presidency the dear old Quinnipiac U. (Go Fightin' Bobcats).

Posted by: Rex the Wonder God at November 13, 2011 09:36 AM (vahvH)

2

Newt could go all the way. I heard there was a poll of him tieing Romney in NH? I dont believe it or was that an outlier.

The first real test will be South Carolina.

Posted by: Flapjackmaka at November 20, 2011 07:40 AM (8JLZe)

3

Newt could go all the way.

Posted by: Flapjackmaka

........
Except for one thing.. He's Newt Gingrich.

Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at November 20, 2011 07:45 AM (UTq/I)

4 Somewhere I lost a hour and a half.....

Posted by: Tami at November 20, 2011 07:47 AM (X6akg)

5 Thanks, CAC.

The Florida poll is interesting.

National polls are, IMHO, pretty much worthless right now except for perhaps a vague indicator of where things are heading.

Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at November 20, 2011 07:48 AM (UTq/I)

6 Except for one thing.. He's Newt Gingrich.

Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at November 20, 2011 11:45 AM (UTq/I)

At least he aint Mitt, I'll tell you that much.

Posted by: Flapjackmaka at November 20, 2011 07:48 AM (8JLZe)

7 THe florida poll is a great sign for Newt as well. All his negatives have been known for years and he is a couple points down. Mitt hasnt been touched and he is barely above the one. He wont last one second.

Posted by: Flapjackmaka at November 20, 2011 07:50 AM (8JLZe)

8 Finally, a thread where "dump" isn't in a reference to OWS.

Posted by: Jay Guevara at November 20, 2011 07:50 AM (gc4Jn)

9 Umm, didn't SC grace the country with that interminable RINO L Gramnasty and who can forget Mr Green, Democrat senatorial aspirant?

I have >.< much confidence in anything related to that state.

Posted by: Gmac at November 20, 2011 07:51 AM (e8I/V)

10

I missed a phone call from some holy roller ranchers and the girl left a "That's a very interesting recording." on my phone.

My answer recording says, "Hello!  Barack Obama is a stuttering clusterfuck of a miserable failure." 

Posted by: Mr. Dave at November 20, 2011 07:52 AM (d/Fjl)

11 Newt's time as "Redjack" - my new name for that "not-Romney" spirit that goes from one candidate to the next - is coming to a fast end.  Now that he is the front runner, his load of baggage is coming back hard on him.  Plus the new problem that he was a lobbist shill for Freddie and Fanny.  Wait, did I say lobbist shill - I ment "historian" to use Newtspeak.

With that said, Newt is my second choice at this point.  A distant second, but still my second. 

Posted by: Evan at November 20, 2011 07:52 AM (O3OlP)

12 I canÂ’t remember the last time we had two Republican senators from FL at the same time, but IÂ’m hoping next year is the year. Go Connie!!

Trivia - The last Dem to carry my county in FL (Brevard - Cape Canaveral) was LBJ in 1964.

Posted by: Mike in CFL at November 20, 2011 07:55 AM (motsG)

13 At least he aint Mitt, I'll tell you that much.

What does Newt have that is better than Mitt?  This is not a fanboy question, it is a serious one and I think it would be good to list the pros/cons of each.  I can only think of two and 1/2 things that Newt has going for him that are better than Mitt:
 
They way he handles the press - genius!

Debates - Newt has a slight edge here, both do well, but Newt usually does better.

Newt is the right color - Mitt is the wrong color which will influence the bigots in and out of the party.

Posted by: Evan at November 20, 2011 07:58 AM (O3OlP)

14 With that said, Newt is my second choice at this point. A distant second, but still my second.

Posted by: Evan at November 20, 2011 11:52 AM (O3OlP)

Who's your first? Perry? Anyway, Newt has done a better job at defending himself than Cain. His baggage has been attacked for a couple weeks already. Nothing happened.

For Cain, I think what brought him down was incompetence. And not knowing anything.

Posted by: Flapjackmaka at November 20, 2011 07:58 AM (8JLZe)

15 yeah I think both Newt and Mitt are windsocks, their views change with the breeze

Posted by: chemjeff at November 20, 2011 08:01 AM (s7mIC)

16


What does Newt have that is better than Mitt?

---------------------

 He actually did conservative things while in office. Couches with Nancy Pelosi are not that big of a deal with me to Mitt's baggage. Mitt advocates liberal stuff while in office and outta office.

Posted by: Flapjackmaka at November 20, 2011 08:02 AM (8JLZe)

17 yeah I think both Newt and Mitt are windsocks, their views change with the breeze

Posted by: chemjeff at November 20, 2011 12:01 PM (s7mIC)

True. But Mitt is inherently liberal. Might as well go for the one that is conservative. And Newt would obliterate Obama. While Mitt would praise him and say he would work with Democrats as President

Posted by: Flapjackmaka at November 20, 2011 08:04 AM (8JLZe)

18

The Florida poll is interesting.

That's right. Nelson has been a libtard for his entire career, but with NASA now essentially gone, he serves no useful purpose here anymore.

And the thought of another (hopefully) conservative to accompany Rubio fills me with hope of change (the good kind this time). This state is turning red, we got rid of the Idiot Alan Grayson (who's considering another run, good luck with that, asshole), after being fooled along with the rest of the country.

Aging baby-boomers finally waking up? 'Bout damned time.

Posted by: BackwardsBoy at November 20, 2011 08:12 AM (d0Tfm)

19

15 yeah I think both Newt and Mitt are windsocks, their views change with the breeze    

Yeah and I'm okay with that.  It's really up to us to make sure that wind is blowing in the right direction.  As Milton Friedman said, thats about the best we can ever do- make it beneficial for the wrong people to do the right things.

Posted by: bernverdnardo at November 20, 2011 08:13 AM (xXhWA)

20 CAC:

I REALLY appreciate the work involved in producing this, but may I suggest that, instead of listing every state without any data like this:

Alabama
NONE

Alaska
NONE

Arizona
NONE

Arkansas
NONE

California
NONE

Colorado
NONE

...etc, etc, etc...


...instead say something like "States not listed have no data" or something, to save you some unnecessary work.

Posted by: ZogTheFuzzy at November 20, 2011 08:17 AM (HoeMo)

21

As Milton Friedman said, thats about the best we can ever do- make it beneficial for the wrong people to do the right things.

Not to be a smartass or anything, but how do we do that with the wrong people in place in Washington? We need a house cleaning up there like an OWS'er needs a shower, which is to say, desperately, and soon.

Did Friedman ever mention how? I'm too lazy to look it up.

Posted by: BackwardsBoy at November 20, 2011 08:17 AM (d0Tfm)

22 CAC - Any comment on the work SurveyUSA has been doing on cell phone only vs. land line polling? Rasmussen, who had been the most credible pollster overall, does not seem to be addressing this issue effectively, and did end up being up 3-4 points to the right of actual votes in 2010.

Posted by: motionview at November 20, 2011 08:18 AM (zRbkQ)

23  He actually did conservative things while in office.

He also had a majority of republicans and ended up getting fired from that position because he was so squishy in his resolve.  Contract with america died because of Newt.  Many freshman at the time were deeply disappointed with how Newt's rhetoric did not match his leadership. 

Mitt was praised by conservatives in 08 for how well he governed such a liberal state as Mass.  I do not give Newt the win on this.

 Couches with Nancy Pelosi are not that big of a deal with me to Mitt's baggage.

That is just one of many, many, many things that Newt has done that backstab the conservative movement.  Its not just the couch, its Scozzifava, his open opposition to Paul Ryan, shilling for Freddie and Fanny and then lieing about it, supporting a national health care mandate (until last month - ooops, supporting rev. Al Sharpton in education reform (unspecified), and so much more!

Mitt's baggage - he changed position on abortion, he increased the tax on guns and supported the assault rifle ban (jerk), and not sure if this would be "baggage" but he gets too cautious on some issues.

Newt "wins" the baggage department.

Posted by: Evan at November 20, 2011 08:20 AM (O3OlP)

24 You know these will all be moot when Teh Sarah changes her mind Don't h8

Posted by: Navycopjoe at November 20, 2011 08:23 AM (Vd7A0)

25 @21 Someone commited (as the Marxists in the Democrat Party) to failed ideals certainly pose an obstacle that must be removed.  I'm just saying I can live with a windsock.  I believe the context of Milton Friedman's remarks were in response to the question of if he is a Republican, which he wasn't real exited about.  I think he wanted to focus on creating a popular movement rather than focus on individual politicians.  But obviosly, some politicians we simply cannot work with.  I think we could push Mitt or Newt into the right positions.

Posted by: bernverdnardo at November 20, 2011 08:29 AM (xXhWA)

26

Newt "wins" the baggage department.

Which is the best reason why Perry is my dude. He's been releasing his position on a lot of issues with very little attention over the past couple of weeks: a flat tax, zero-based budgeting and the like convince me that he has all the Moron-approved principles of limited government.

Oh, and thanks, CAC, for your work.

Posted by: BackwardsBoy at November 20, 2011 08:29 AM (d0Tfm)

27 Mitt's baggage - he changed position on abortion, he increased the tax on guns and supported the assault rifle ban (jerk), and not sure if this would be "baggage" but he gets too cautious on some issues.

Newt "wins" the baggage department.

Posted by: Evan at November 20, 2011 12:20 PM (O3OlP)

Who's your first choice Evan? I'm guessing it's Mitt seeing as how little you listed in Mitt's baggage department. Mitt increased taxes and destroyed business in the state. It's why my father had to move out. He destroyed healthcare and damaged it in MA for generation. Sitting on a couch with Pelosi and that whole Dede Scozzafoffa stuff is just that, stuff. It did not do half of the things Romney has done. Not to mention how Mutt supported the GM bailouts and congrgulated Obama on being brave. Plus Newt just seems like a person compared to Romney. Romney just does not seem likable and wont get much of the base vote and will lose to Obama. He is just TIEING Obama in national polls and media has not come out to get him. Newt has his baggage already seen. The mittbots are in full force because we the people do not want a piece of shit like Romney.

Posted by: Flapjackmaka at November 20, 2011 08:30 AM (8JLZe)

28 If Newt's the nominee it'll be a non-stop re-hash of the Clinton impeachment and the media will have the video of Newt resigning after Republicans got their asses handed to them in the '98 midterms on a loop, he'd be lucky to break 40% in the general.

Posted by: booger at November 20, 2011 08:30 AM (EjNp5)

29

But obviosly, some politicians we simply cannot work with.  I think we could push Mitt or Newt into the right positions.

Agreed. A veto-proof, relatively conservative Republican Congress would help immensely in that regard. Mitt would be the greatest recipient of that *ahem* gentle nudging, and Neut, being the windsock, would just ride the wave IMO. President Perry wouldn't have any any need to be persuaded, he's already there.

Just the thought of that is enough to send me to my bunk...

Posted by: BackwardsBoy at November 20, 2011 08:37 AM (d0Tfm)

30 CAC, can  you send me your email address.  I've been tracking states and national polls since early June in Excel. Graphs, etc.  Love to send it and get your response.

Posted by: Sukie Tawdry at November 20, 2011 08:38 AM (MPtFW)

31 Debbie Stabenow (D-inc) 48%
Pete Hoekstra (R) 42%

Right there is the reason that Michigan can't un-bone itself



Posted by: kbdabear at November 20, 2011 08:38 AM (Y+DPZ)

32  veto-proof, relatively conservative Republican Congress would help immensely in that regard. Mitt would be the greatest recipient of that *ahem* gentle nudging, and Neut, being the windsock, would just ride the wave IMO. President Perry wouldn't have any any need to be persuaded, he's already there.

Just the thought of that is enough to send me to my bunk...

Posted by: BackwardsBoy at November 20, 2011 12:37 PM (d0Tfm)

I disagree. Mitt will be in office for himself. Do you think Boehnor and McConnell will push someone.I'm voting for the Anybody but Romney in the primary. If Romney wins the nom, I'll just wait until 2016 but I think someone will have to fight Romney.

Where the fuck is Perry? He was supposed to be the goddamn savior here?

Posted by: Flapjackmaka at November 20, 2011 08:40 AM (8JLZe)

33 This None fellow looks like he could win the whole thing.

Posted by: weft cut-loop at November 20, 2011 08:41 AM (HZbzj)

34 Newt's the man, chumps, because he's got the most executive experience, has won the most statewide elections, he's been leading the charge against Obama since 2009 and he's forgotten more about the individual health insurance mandate than any RINO out there has known. Then to top it off, punks, Newt treats his wives like subway turnstiles and his Amex card like the national debt. That's the sort of gonads we want in our presidential nominee. Gingrich-Cain, '12. Our supporters put the 'dumb' back into deaf, dumb and blind!

Posted by: Totally Irrational Political Malcontent at November 20, 2011 08:42 AM (rJVPU)

35 What does Newt have that is better than Mitt? 
Posted by: Evan
..........
Nothing, of course.

The "Not Romney" folks who are completely unwilling to overlook Romney's past, are very willing to dismiss all the liberal policy stances and foibles of their current pick.

Newt sitting on a couch with Pelosi in an ad that says "we can solve climate change" is easily excusable to them where Mitt's flip flops on GW are entirely unacceptable RINO sins.

It makes no sense.

Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at November 20, 2011 08:46 AM (UTq/I)

36 Mitt Romney, for Republicans who thought McCain was too conservative.

Posted by: Buck Ofama at November 20, 2011 08:49 AM (dA+VE)

37 Who's your first choice Evan?
Romney
 Mitt increased taxes and destroyed business in the state.
Mitt lowered taxes but raised fees (which are a tax but one based on consumption of government services).  Where are you getting your data on "destroyed business"?  All the data I have seen shows that when Romney took over, Mass. employment and new business increased.

It's why my father had to move out.

Sorry to that he moved out because of bad business, but based on the data, this is an anecdotal piece of evidence - not a general trend.

He destroyed healthcare and damaged it in MA for generation.

Totally disagree - again based on the data.  MA healthcare was in trouble when he took office.  When I have asked others to answer what they would have done to solve the problem of freeloaders using the ER - I get silence.  Romney was praised in 08 for his MA health care solution.  Since then Deval Patrick has added a whole bunch of crap on top of what Romney passed it is going to collapse the whole system.

Sitting on a couch with Pelosi and that whole Dede Scozzafoffa stuff is just that, stuff.

It's just "stuff" when Newt does it?  It sounds to me if your bias is showing a little bit.  If Mitt did those things, it would not be "just stuff".

 It did not do half of the things Romney has done.

What great evils has Romney done that have suddenly made him go from "the conservatives conservative" to quote Laura Ingraham in 08 to the liberal version of the beast in 11?  So your saying that Newt's "stuff" is ok because he was not in office - does this not show a pattern.  When Newt was in office he totally screwed up the conservative revolution that he helped start!

Not to mention how Mutt supported the GM bailouts and congrgulated Obama on being brave. Plus Newt just seems like a person compared to Romney. Romney just does not seem likable and wont get much of the base vote and will lose to Obama. He is just TIEING Obama in national polls and media has not come out to get him. Newt has his baggage already seen. The mittbots are in full force because we the people do not want a piece of shit like Romney.

Posted by: Evan at November 20, 2011 08:52 AM (O3OlP)

38 Ahh - post mess up sorry.  Did not finish above and I posted on accident

Posted by: Evan at November 20, 2011 08:53 AM (O3OlP)

39 To finish your last statements:

Romney did not support the GM bailouts the way you presented.  He wanted GM to go through bankruptcy and do it in a lawful manner.  Then he was ok with GM getting help (which I still disagree with but it is not nearly the way your presenting it). 

As for the polls - Romney is the only one (at this point) that has been consistantly tieing or surpassing Obamanation in the polls. 

Posted by: Evan at November 20, 2011 08:57 AM (O3OlP)

40 Newt has his baggage already seen.

But apparently forgotten in people's rush to find the next, "not-Romney"

The mittbots are in full force because we the people do not want a piece of shit like Romney.

Way to use logic and fact to persuade others to your side.  Now I'm feeling motivated to switch to the next Redjack - whoever that is.

Posted by: Evan at November 20, 2011 09:00 AM (O3OlP)

41 Gingrich challenges the Gramscian narrative.

Romney mostly plays along with the Gramscian narrative (for fuck's sake he was too scared to call Obama a socialist - what a puss!)

That's a huge difference because without it no change is possible.

That's what the analysis misses, Evan.

Gingrich will inspire the grassroots to work for conservative issues if elected.

Romney will depress, demoralize and probably destroy the Tea Party if elected.

Because he's a puss. A big puss. A giant ride-the-Gramscian-narrative-wave puss.




Posted by: JB at November 20, 2011 09:03 AM (7T+Mz)

42

Who's your first choice Evan?
Romney

------------

No more arguing then. I dont need to read much of what you got to say then. I'll just say Obama 2 wont win. I've found more support for Cain in the Bucks/Montco Philly area than Romney. Mitt needs to learn how to win elections. Based on my fathers tax data, he got increased taxes during the Romney era. Romney is a job killer and an egomaniac. I wont ever vote for him and neither will many Americans.

Posted by: Flapjackmaka at November 20, 2011 09:04 AM (8JLZe)

43 As for the polls - Romney is the only one (at this point) that has been consistantly tieing or surpassing Obamanation in the polls.

Posted by: Evan at November 20, 2011 12:57 PM (O3OlP)

Until he doesnt. He'll be kicked in the teeth by the media if he ever gets the dream of being the nominee. He's got a terrible record as governor. I was a citizen of MA. When he gets touched he turns into a crying sack of shit.

\Mitt will depress turnout. He might make folks like like chi-town jerry giddy with anticipation but not to many other people. Even my family wont vote for him and that is saying something.

Posted by: Flapjackmaka at November 20, 2011 09:09 AM (8JLZe)

44 This was from my Facebook: Sheila Drazic This is just how Rick Perry is. After Hurricane Ike devastated my community, he came here to survey the damage. He did not just walk through here surrounded by security and news cameras and then make a speech. That's not Perry. He showed up in jeans and a work shirt, no cameras, no press conference, and he walked among all of us who had been hit. A hug, a pat on the shoulder, a listening ear, and an encouraging word. He saw to it that emergency shelters were being set up and food and water were available to everyone. When Obama/FEMA refused to help us, Governor Perry set up state funding to help us rebuild our homes and our lives. My home is at 'ground zero' where Ike came ashore. We all took tremendous damage. FEMA sent me a check two months later for $600 dollars. Governor Perry set up the Recovery Fund to help us all rebuild. That is what a true leader and a true Christian does. That's my Governor! ------------ GO PERRY!

Posted by: Joffen at November 20, 2011 09:10 AM (zLeKL)

45

Just one point - Bumping it every week is going to make the comments section incredibly long. (Imagine a years worth of moron musings in one place.)

(Of course this comment is going to add to that length and add very little substance.)

Posted by: Have Blue at November 20, 2011 09:10 AM (IKTC8)

46 GO PERRY!

Posted by: Joffen at November 20, 2011 01:10 PM (zLeKL)

I'm in the this election for ANYTHING but Mutt. But where is Perry, Joffen? 

Posted by: Flapjackmaka at November 20, 2011 09:13 AM (8JLZe)

47

Posted by: Flapjackmaka at November 20, 2011 11:40 AM (8JLZe)

Just saw on Fox (TIVO'd from Friday) that the poll in New Hampshire has Newt within two (27% to 29% IIRC). If Newt beats (or even comes in a statistical tie) romney that is a huge development.

Posted by: Have Blue at November 20, 2011 09:15 AM (IKTC8)

48

Good shit, CAC. I look forward to the weekly updates. The campaign season will be ramping up to ludicrous speed before too long and I'm happy you're on the job.

I will also be donning my Feces-Proof Hobo Skin ShitStorm Suit* as the crap REALLY begins to fly.

 

*will protect the wearer from poo flinging using a proprietary blend of rendered hobo fat and mink oil.

Posted by: ErikW at November 20, 2011 09:15 AM (BMYkG)

49 No more arguing then.

Yap - the well is poisoned, don't discuss the facts or data.  Pro arguments don't exist - only cons.  Counter points need not be addressed.  The mind is a terrible thing to use when emotion is what rules.

Posted by: Evan at November 20, 2011 09:15 AM (O3OlP)

50 If Newt beats (or even comes in a statistical tie) romney that is a huge development

Romney loses if Newt wins NH - I don't see him recovering from that.

Posted by: Evan at November 20, 2011 09:17 AM (O3OlP)

51 Yes, we are stupid here in MI, there is 0 reasons to re-elect stab-a-cow, sorry for having daddys coat-tails for Mittens too. 

Posted by: Red Shirt at November 20, 2011 09:26 AM (FIDMq)

52 Thanks CAC, I just recently started commenting here, but I've been reading for years. I'm all in for Perry, now. Though I agree Newt is fun to watch. I hold the faint hope in my heart that the rest of the base will swing back to him. But I do ask, like Flapjackmama (mmm... flapjacks, I made some pumpkin chocolate chip pancakes yesterday, yum) Where is Perry?

Posted by: elizabethe at November 20, 2011 09:26 AM (3C6di)

53

Just saw on Fox (TIVO'd from Friday) that the poll in New Hampshire has Newt within two (27% to 29% IIRC). If Newt beats (or even comes in a statistical tie) romney that is a huge development.

Posted by: Have Blue at November 20, 2011 01:15 PM (IKTC

awesome.

Posted by: Flapjackmaka at November 20, 2011 09:27 AM (8JLZe)

54 University of Texas poll

http://tinyurl.com/87hx9nw

Posted by: Bob Undead Saget at November 20, 2011 09:32 AM (dBvlk)

55 For the people saying "Where is Perry?", I honestly think the media (including Fox) are purposely not saying where he is.  He has given speeches, and has been in Iowa, but I only know that because of e-mails I get from his campaign.  If he got the coverage, he would be doing much better in the polls. But they can't have that, because Romney will be easier for Obama to beat.  I think his best shot is to continue saying things about Fast & Furious, etc., because the news can't really ignore that.  Plus it helps.

Posted by: chillin the most for Perry at November 20, 2011 09:36 AM (6IV8T)

56 @54 - How is Cain still doing so well??

Posted by: Evan at November 20, 2011 09:38 AM (O3OlP)

57 South Carolina
NONE
?????

Insider Advantage11/8 - 11/8  457 LV:

Cain –26, Romney – 16, Gingrich – 19, Perry – 6, Paul – 3, Bachmann – 5, Santorum - 2


Posted by: Vic at November 20, 2011 09:42 AM (YdQQY)

58 Chillin, I totally agree with you that the media is blacking him out. Totally completely 100%. I saw that livestream town hall in did in New Hampshire a couple of days ago and he was wonderful in that. Compelling, strong, lucid, personable. IF the media covered stuff like that, people would forgive his gaffes more readily. I was asking more where is Perry in the polls? My hope at this point is that he conducts a great off-the-radar campaign in one of the early primary states and gets the surprise nom (Iowa or SC mabye, I think NH is Romney's to lose). Then he'll be a contender again (fingers crossed). Much like Cain rocketed up when he won the Florida straw poll or whatever it's called.

Posted by: elizabethe at November 20, 2011 09:45 AM (3C6di)

59 Vic, I am starting this THIS weekend. So all polling from here on out will be listed.

Posted by: CAC at November 20, 2011 09:50 AM (JEVge)

60 ok

Posted by: Vic at November 20, 2011 09:51 AM (YdQQY)

61 Perry was not being blacked out in the beginning.  In fact Perry was receiving more news before he got in than most of the candidates.  The idea is that there is a "media conspiracy" to block him because Perry is the best chance to beat Obama is silly. 

Perry is out of the media headlights right now because most people (except fan boys) do not see him recovering from his HORRIBLE debates.  I know why he appeals to some here, but that does not change the fact that he has developed a reputation.  His latest fiasco of challenging Pelosi to a debate and have her laugh at him shows a campaign in pure despiration mode.

Posted by: Evan at November 20, 2011 09:56 AM (O3OlP)

62 GWU-Politico Battleground Polls (follow links at Houston Chronicle blog). 

I haven't seen any analysis of this poll. 

"A state-by-state breakdown in California, Florida, Texas and New York—the nation’s largest states—shows Perry leading Cain in Texas and California, and leading Romney in Texas, California and Florida. In the rest of the country, however, Perry only garners 8 percent of the vote, behind Cain, Romney and Gingrich."

Posted by: Y-not at November 20, 2011 10:09 AM (5H6zj)

63 Evan, I agree, he has developed a reputation. And the media, happy with that reputation, are not going to bend over backwards to show anything else that would contradict it. I don't think there's a conspiracy, but I do think, by and large, people who make up the media are making individual decisions to not feature him. And his lack of media presence continues the feeling that he's done. It's circular. Thanks Y-not, I remember when you posted that before, and it's part of why I have hope for Perry.

Posted by: elizabethe at November 20, 2011 10:41 AM (3C6di)

64 The Perry coverage is not a conspiracy per se, but it is a decision.  I still think he can overcome it.  If his campaign is focusing on certain races in big electoral states and makes strides there the media will eventually have to cover him. 

There's no denying if Romney were not the establishment pick (for want of a better term) we would be getting non-stop coverage of his poll ceiling, his avoidance of interviews, his snubs of Evangelicals, etc.  But the narrative is that he is untouchable and unflappable. 

And I'd be fine with that if I thought that it was true, but when the general comes we'll see (should we be unlucky enough to run Mitt against Obama) how delusional the Romney Electability myth is. 

Posted by: Y-not at November 20, 2011 10:57 AM (5H6zj)

65 Does Romney have a ceiling?  (Link to Patterico)

It's anecdotal, of course, but the folks around here (Utah) say they are not as enthusiastic about Romney this time around -- the primary reason being his refusal to disavow Masscare. 

Posted by: Y-not at November 20, 2011 11:02 AM (5H6zj)

66 The first real test will be South Carolina.

Late to the thread, but I'm going to, unfortunately, have to lean towards the results of Vic's info above.  I see Cain winning SC, even with all his gaffes and obvious lack of critical knowledge.  I follow some online local polling info, and Cain's always at the top of the heap...although I have yet to see anyone's signs other than Rick Perry. I truly wish Perry was polling better here.  The dumbtards here voted McLame in '08, and keep voting in that Democrat Lindsay Graham. 

All things considered, it's a wonder Alvin Greene didn't get enough South Carolinians to vote for him. 

Posted by: Lady in Black: still voting for Perry (He has the best hair.) at November 20, 2011 11:23 AM (ycuSb)

67 Cain's numbers in SC have been dropping over the past few polls. But what is truly amazing is Newt's numbers in NH. NH was Romney's to lose and it looks like he may lose it.

Posted by: Vic at November 20, 2011 11:30 AM (YdQQY)

68
But Intrade has Obama up by 20%!!!!!!!




What? You thought I'd miss jumping in on a poll thread? Perish the thought.

Posted by: In before the troll at November 20, 2011 12:52 PM (G+B5p)

69 Obama is a stuttering clusterf*ck of a miserable failure.

Posted by: steevy at November 20, 2011 01:52 PM (7WJOC)

70 @67
He just got fresh(wo)man senator Ayotte's endorsement, Vic.  The usual outlets are acting like it's a big deal.  I couldn't say one way or the other. 

Posted by: Y-not at November 20, 2011 04:27 PM (5H6zj)

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Posted by: nanonu at November 21, 2011 03:47 AM (sYh9f)

72 Huntsman is finally catching fire.

Posted by: David Frum at November 27, 2011 07:32 AM (yQwq5)

73 Romney sucks.

That is all.

Posted by: al-Cicero, Tea Party Jihadist at November 27, 2011 07:35 AM (yQwq5)

74 what, no ginormous maps?

Posted by: chemjeff at November 27, 2011 07:37 AM (s7mIC)

75 I have always wondered who gets the votes from those who drop out.

For instance...when Huntsman drops out, his supporters probably won't shift their support to Bachmann. My guess would be Romney. When Cain drops out, I think much of his support will go to Gingrich or Ron Paul.

It's an interesting intellectual and political exercise.

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at November 27, 2011 07:38 AM (nEUpB)

76 why do I have a sudden urge to stick pipe fittings into a Canadian goose?

Posted by: Clutch Cargo at November 27, 2011 07:38 AM (Qxdfp)

77 Spam already; like Skynet, only worse

In Florida, Connie Mack is the son of Connie Mack ( who is the grandson of THE Connie Mack ).  He'll beat Bill Nelson like a drum

Posted by: SantaRosaStan at November 27, 2011 07:38 AM (UqKQV)

78 For instance...when Huntsman drops out, his supporters probably won't shift their support to Bachmann. My guess would be Romney.

You mean "his supporter."  That would be Frum.

Posted by: al-Cicero, Tea Party Jihadist at November 27, 2011 07:40 AM (yQwq5)

79

Watching Unreliable Sources. "Conservative" Andrew Sullivan just got a tongue bath.  Eleanor Clift blamed the Stupor Committee failure on Republicans.

Posted by: kansas at November 27, 2011 07:45 AM (9pera)

80 what happened to the comments?

Posted by: phoenixgirl at November 27, 2011 07:51 AM (SH3gZ)

81 there they are!

Posted by: phoenixgirl at November 27, 2011 07:51 AM (SH3gZ)

82 Good morning! 

Sorry to go O/T, but the open thread seems to be on life support and this is too good...

Did you guys see this yet?  World-record hockey fight... a total of 439 penalty minutes were assessed. 

It starts with a standard hockey fight, but skip to ~1 minute, 10 seconds to see the really fun part. 

Posted by: Y-not at November 27, 2011 08:01 AM (5H6zj)

83 When Willard Mittens Oba'Romney can't even carry the liberal northeast, it is time for him to withdraw for the good of the party and direct all of the rombots to hold their noses and support a conservative candidate.




[This is not the year for a nominee whose first name was a movie about a guy who trains rats to kill people and whose middle name features in a nursery rhyme about naughty kittens]

Posted by: Mark E at November 27, 2011 08:02 AM (cKRpq)

84 So this thread started with the comments from last week, huh?  A little confusing.

Posted by: Y-not at November 27, 2011 08:03 AM (5H6zj)

85 Dang, CAC. That's a buttload of work you've done there.

Thank you

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at November 27, 2011 08:03 AM (piMMO)

86 Polls are irrelevant.  Voting is irrelevant.   You will be assimilated.  Resistance is futile.

Posted by: The Mittens Collective at November 27, 2011 08:06 AM (s7mIC)

87 Impressive, CAC.  Most impressive.

Posted by: Count de Monet at November 27, 2011 08:08 AM (4q5tP)

88

I noticed there isn't any site, be it a blog, news site, or hybrid of the two, with all current polling in one spot. Not even DailyKos or Fox.

It may get hard to read through but when you want to argue about which way the races are going, here you go.

Posted by: CAC at November 27, 2011 08:17 AM (JEVge)

89 need dates listed for more of these polls

Posted by: Village Idiot at November 27, 2011 08:24 AM (utXSy)

90 Unless his head explodes, spewing historical factoids all over the place, I predict that Newty will win the South Carolina Primary.  Mitt will lose badly.  Herman Cain will get respectable (~25%) numbers.

I live in SC. 

Posted by: Jimbo at November 27, 2011 08:24 AM (O3R/2)

91 CAC - Why are you leaving in comments from a week ago?  Are you going to keep re-posting the same comments for months and new comments get added on at the end?

Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at November 27, 2011 08:26 AM (UTq/I)

92 btw, SC is an open primary state.  We do not register our party affiliation.  Tons and tons of Democrats and Independent will vote in the Republican Primary.  I expect them to vote for Cain and Romney.

Posted by: Jimbo at November 27, 2011 08:26 AM (O3R/2)

93 btw, SC is an open primary state.  We do not register our party affiliation.  Tons and tons of Democrats and Independent will vote in the Republican Primary.  I expect them to vote for Cain and Romney.
Posted by: Jimbo
.......
Jimbo - is the SC primary going to be proportional, or winner take all?  Illinois has been ruled proportional.

Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at November 27, 2011 08:30 AM (UTq/I)

94 Jimbo - One more thing.. those Dems and Indies may well just vote for Gingrich - I believe they feel he is one of the easier ones to beat- and I agree.  He will lose to Obama.

Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at November 27, 2011 08:31 AM (UTq/I)

95  Are you going to keep re-posting the same comments for months and new comments get added on at the end?

Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at November 27, 2011 12:26 PM (UTq/I)

Hell, why not? Would be interesting to see not only how the numbers change but our general mood heading into election season.

That, and I am lazy.

Posted by: CAC at November 27, 2011 08:31 AM (JEVge)

96 I do not want Newt as POTUS, thus I find it a bit disconcerting that I do want him to be VPOTUS.

He brings strength to either a Romney or a Perry ticket but I think he's a bit too loose of a cannon to be at the top of the ticket. AND.... I think he has lib tendencies.

If there's one good thing about Romney being so adept at adapting to the polls, it's that the voters can keep him in line. Newt would simply tell us all to go eff ourselves.

In the end, however, I'm still pulling for Perry.

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at November 27, 2011 08:33 AM (piMMO)

97 I refuse to vote for Romney. Masscare=NO

Posted by: Big T Party at November 27, 2011 08:44 AM (ZrmQi)

98

That, and I am lazy.

Posted by: CAC
..........
Hey.. works for me.

Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at November 27, 2011 08:45 AM (UTq/I)

99 Newt will never be president. Romney is  a squish, but he is controllable. Because of his past blunders--in order to be elected-- he is going to have to run waaaay to the right of Obama. That means: border enforcment, lower taxes, less regulation, states rights, the 2A. If he doesn't run on that platform, a large percentage of the the right simply won't vote. Including me.

Posted by: Hekura at November 27, 2011 08:45 AM (bSMIs)

100 I'm with Perry until the bitter end, because of his record and his core principles. 

Posted by: Y-not at November 27, 2011 08:55 AM (5H6zj)

101

No Ohio numbers?

Posted by: ErikW at November 27, 2011 08:56 AM (U1+8n)

102

We have a long long way to go...We'll see how Newt holds up...It seems that the not-Romney contingent may win the day.  If so, imo Newt will get eviscerated in the general...Many here are too young to remember how divisive Newt was back in the 90s.  I think its clear that Republicans have to win the independants and some Reagan democrats to carry the day.  I don't think Newt can do that...He has zero charisma.  His smile looks like he just pumped the neighbors cat.  Another Bob Dole style loss...

Posted by: Survey sez at November 27, 2011 08:59 AM (wrGst)

103 But Intrade has Obama up by 20%!!!!!!! Yay! Poll thread! Just think, you can look forward to months of "Intrade troll" posts to revel in. And in a special message to the johnryan troll that inspired me, FOAD.

Posted by: In before the troll at November 27, 2011 08:59 AM (jQ7eL)

104 His smile looks like he just pumped the neighbors cat.  Another Bob Dole style loss...

 And Newt isn't half the man Bob Dole is.

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at November 27, 2011 09:10 AM (piMMO)

105 That one page PDF of the national "Poll Position" poll is interesting in the "hispanic" breakout -

Huntsman at 23%
Cain at 12.7%
Romney at 8.9%
Newt (and everybody else with a name) at 0.0%
Someone Else and No Opinion at 45.4%

I don't really know what Huntsman and Romney positions are..

But we all know that Cain wants to machine-gun illegal aliens (read Hispanics) and feed them to the gators, yet he picks up a good chunk of hispanics who give a rat's ass about the GOP.




Posted by: Rmoney at November 27, 2011 09:11 AM (7MFxV)

106 And Newt isn't half the man Bob Dole is. Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at November 27, 2011 01:10 PM (piMMO) Missed opportunity for a Bob Dole sock.

Posted by: IllTemperedCur at November 27, 2011 09:29 AM (jQ7eL)

107 Missed opportunity for a Bob Dole sock.

Dangit! You are so right.

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at November 27, 2011 09:35 AM (piMMO)

108 Ick.

The only problem with this post is that it will compete with Sunday afternoon football.

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at November 27, 2011 09:37 AM (piMMO)

109 Another Bob Dole style loss...

I think even Bob Dole could beat a SCOAMF with over 9% unemployment.

Posted by: Bob Undead Saget at November 27, 2011 09:52 AM (dBvlk)

110 I'm with Perry until the bitter end, because of his record and his core principles. 

Yep.  It's getting depressing though.

HOLD  FAST

Posted by: toby928© Perrykrishna with tattooed knuckles at November 27, 2011 09:59 AM (GTbGH)

111 Yep.  It's getting depressing though.
------
That's what they want. 

Posted by: Y-not at November 27, 2011 10:07 AM (5H6zj)

112 How can the most successful governor in the race be pulling 6%?  It's a sham of a travesty of a clusterfuck.

Posted by: toby928© Perrykrishna with tattooed knuckles at November 27, 2011 10:14 AM (GTbGH)

113 HOLD  FAST

Count me amongst the tiny minority that thinks Rick Perry may have deployed a brilliant, if risky, strategy.

It seems that the campaigns spend a lot of time reviewing past strategies and looking at what worked and didn't work for other candidates. It seems that little thought is given to the fact that many voters are ill-informed and move with the tide. A fickle electorate we.

If one entered into the race with the understanding that what goes up, must come down again, and an acceptance that a poor poll position would be necessary to avoid the fluctuations, they could ride out the storm. They could sit back in a non-threatening position, allow the others to show  their cards (and their true colors) and keep the money sacked away for the big fight. Then, at crunch time, just prior to the primaries, make a charge.

Perry managed beautifully the fallout from his minute of silence in the debate. I would venture a guess that most remember his self-deprecating sense of humor more than the actual flub itself. With each subsequent debate, he's been stepping up his performance bit by bit. And, he is very good on the talkies when he has an opportunity to actually talk to the issues.

Newt, too, will drop in the polls and, just prior to the primaries, Perry will step up his game again.

That's my take.

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at November 27, 2011 10:23 AM (piMMO)

114 28 If Newt's the nominee it'll be a non-stop re-hash of the Clinton impeachment and the media will have the video of Newt resigning after Republicans got their asses handed to them in the '98 midterms on a loop, he'd be lucky to break 40% in the general.

Posted by: booger

That's why I'm pretending to like him. The media eats that shit up.

Posted by: Bill Clinton at November 27, 2011 10:31 AM (9pera)

115 I think that SC is "winner take all"  but please don't think less of me because I am ignorant of the truth, if I am mistaken.

I love Newty, especially recently.  As a Christian, I think the "red card" is the way to go. ("Suffer not the stranger in the land.")  But!  I would go another step further.  If a minor child was brought here, that child must NEVER be given citizenship as well.  If a state wants to grant him/her "in-state" tuition, that is up to them.

Does anyone (any morons besides me) question how someone could be here for 25 years and work without engaging in Social Security fraud?

Posted by: Jimbo at November 27, 2011 11:57 AM (O3R/2)

116 And how is it that an illegal alien could be "up to date" on their taxes if all their income was unreported?

Posted by: Jimbo at November 27, 2011 11:58 AM (O3R/2)

117 And how is it that an illegal alien could be "up to date" on their taxes if all their income was unreported?

When he said living here as a law-abiding citizens, I thought I would choke.

NO NEWT!!!!! They are NOT law-abiding! They are NOT citizens! They are breaking the law each and every day because they ARE NOT citizens.

Jeesh! Can his statement possibly be any more removed from reality?

Posted by: Costa Rican Hobo at November 27, 2011 01:30 PM (piMMO)

118 This will be interesting next week, I guess. 

Posted by: Y-not, wearing a Carhartt jacket covered in peanut butter and doe piss at December 04, 2011 03:24 PM (5H6zj)

119

OT:  Someone other than me ought to update the sidebar once in a while.  I feel like I got my kids a dog, and they promised to look after her, and I'm the one picking up all the doo doo. 

I don't begrudge the dog doo doo-ing, but I'd like some help once in a while!

Posted by: Truman North at December 04, 2011 03:32 PM (I2LwF)

120 Eh, now I sound like a ginchy nag.  Fuck everything.

Posted by: Truman North at December 04, 2011 03:32 PM (I2LwF)

121

On topic:  Newt's beating the crap out of Mitt, but Mitt does better in the general.

Just observing.

Posted by: Truman North at December 04, 2011 03:33 PM (I2LwF)

122 This post has a certain...slant to it.

Posted by: Tami at December 04, 2011 03:34 PM (X6akg)

123 I'm feeling very lean all of a sudden.

Posted by: Y-not, wearing a Carhartt jacket covered in peanut butter and doe piss at December 04, 2011 03:34 PM (5H6zj)

124 Fuckin' HTML.  How does it work?!?

Posted by: toby928© at December 04, 2011 03:35 PM (GTbGH)

125 Where's Toby?  We need Toby....he'll fix it.

Posted by: Tami at December 04, 2011 03:35 PM (X6akg)

126 bop!

Posted by: toby928© at December 04, 2011 03:35 PM (GTbGH)

127 I haven't looked, but I assume Perry is still sucking hind-tit.

Posted by: toby928© at December 04, 2011 03:36 PM (GTbGH)

128 Atta Toby!

Posted by: Tami at December 04, 2011 03:37 PM (X6akg)

129 Putin just took it in the shorts.

This can only benefit one man: Obama.
It was obviously his policies and his ginormously wise choice of Secretary of State that accomplished this.

I refuse to go to LGF, but I'd bet that's the take on things over there.

Posted by: jwb7605 at December 04, 2011 03:39 PM (Qxe/p)

130 They changed the matrix.

Posted by: toby928© at December 04, 2011 03:39 PM (GTbGH)

131 not-Romney is still in the lead.

Posted by: toby928© at December 04, 2011 03:40 PM (GTbGH)

132 122 ...The guys at the Alamo did a better job defending themselves than Cain. Posted by: Mallamutt, RINO President for Life at December 04, 2011 07:27 PM (OWjjx) REMEMBER MY BALLS!

Posted by: Herman Cain at December 04, 2011 03:40 PM (I49Jm)

133

If you're in PA, please vote for Sam Rohrer.

 

He's the only Republican running who has won a statewide election.

We'll probably lose against Casey, but he gives us the best chance and he's a conservative

Posted by: Ben at December 04, 2011 03:42 PM (UvdzB)

134 California is PROUD to cast its votes for the former Governor of the Liberal State of Massachusetts.........Glove Hackney! Or whatever the fuck his name is!

Posted by: Lojack at December 04, 2011 03:48 PM (ucERL)

135 REMEMBER MY BALLS! Posted by: Herman Cain at December 04, 2011 07:40 PM (I49Jm) I did.

Posted by: Ginger White at December 04, 2011 03:48 PM (niZvt)

136 Ginchy Nag was the only cool character in Revenge of the Sith.

Posted by: Waterhouse at December 04, 2011 03:51 PM (xUw3d)

137 Interesting article...unfortunately it's at the NY Times....

Backstage at a CandidatesÂ’ Forum, After the TV Lights Go Dark


snip~

Mitt Romney’s campaign stood out by going into defensive mode immediately, insisting that the reporter stay far away. The other candidates engaged to a varying degree in a little conversation as they left the stage — none more than Newt Gingrich, the former House speaker, who is now ahead of Mr. Romney in some polls.

Spotting the reporter, Mr. RomneyÂ’s aides sprang into action, questioning where he worked and what he was doing there, and then insisting that he not physically approach Mr. Romney before or after he was questioned on television by the attorneys general and Mr. Huckabee.

The request was reiterated to executives at Fox News. 

More at: http://tinyurl.com/7qrjp8x


Posted by: Tami at December 04, 2011 03:51 PM (X6akg)

138 OK, I'll bite, Y-not: why are you covered with peanut butter and doe piss?

Posted by: CoolCzech at December 04, 2011 03:52 PM (niZvt)

139 143 Ginchy Nag was the only cool character in Revenge of the Sith. Posted by: Waterhouse at December 04, 2011 07:51 PM (xUw3d) What about Meeeee??

Posted by: Jar Jar Binks at December 04, 2011 03:54 PM (niZvt)

140

OT:  Someone other than me ought to update the sidebar once in a while.  I feel like I got my kids a dog, and they promised to look after her, and I'm the one picking up all the doo doo. 

 

Sorry TN. I normally update a lot during the weekdays, especially in the AM. I'm pretty useless on the weekends.

It's been a slow news weekend anyway.

Posted by: Ben at December 04, 2011 03:55 PM (UvdzB)

141 145 OK, I'll bite, Y-not: why are you covered with peanut butter and doe piss?

Oh, that's just a hold-over from the Great Diesel Jacket Debaucle a couple of threads down (Barney Frank thread). 

Posted by: Y-not, takes off a Carhartt jacket covered in peanut butter and doe piss at December 04, 2011 03:56 PM (5H6zj)

142 149  I'm glad it's not a new squirrel/deer hunting technique.  Sorry about the jacket.

Posted by: no good deed at December 04, 2011 03:58 PM (mjR67)

143 I'll forever remember the sight of Cain's ass receding as it sailed over the horizon, stamped with Ginger White's boot mark.

Posted by: CoolCzech at December 04, 2011 03:59 PM (niZvt)

144 Can't believe Obama is gonna win re-election after destroying the country

Posted by: gride at December 04, 2011 04:05 PM (wPKc6)

145 MT and NE look like they are likely Senate pickups.  That is good.

Posted by: chemjeff at December 04, 2011 04:07 PM (s7mIC)

146 146 These polls are worthless. The only poll that matters is in my pants. Posted by: The Candidate Formerly Known as Herman Cain at December 04, 2011 07:54 PM (OWjjx) That brings to mind Bachmann sliding in the poll...

Posted by: CoolCzech at December 04, 2011 04:09 PM (niZvt)

147 here is Michele Bachmann discussing sliding in the polls

Posted by: chemjeff at December 04, 2011 04:10 PM (s7mIC)

148 Do vegans swallow? Orthodox Jewish chicks??

Posted by: CoolCzech at December 04, 2011 04:13 PM (niZvt)

149 hey BOYS

Want to play ?

Posted by: Ginger White: opportunistic whore at December 04, 2011 04:14 PM (Zw/H7)

150 I hope Flake wins in AZ and Mack in FL. Need to read more about some of the other races. Also, the TX Senate primary will be an interesting race.

Posted by: Miss'80s at December 04, 2011 04:15 PM (d6QMz)

151 OT: rollcall White House to push for Cordray to head Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. http://t.co/TslZSJZx via @

“With the vote slated for this week — likely Thursday, I understand — we intend to aggressively take the case for Mr. Cordray’s nomination directly to the American people,” Principal Deputy Press Secretary Josh Earnest said.

He added that the White House will target seven states in particular: Alaska, Indiana, Iowa, Maine, Nevada, Tennessee and Utah.

Posted by: Miss'80s at December 04, 2011 04:16 PM (d6QMz)

152 Newt ? kewt !

Posted by: Ginger White: opportunistic whore at December 04, 2011 04:18 PM (Zw/H7)

153 Am I too late to jump on the Cain Train?

Posted by: al-Cicero, Tea Party Jihadist at December 04, 2011 04:21 PM (yQwq5)

154 163 Orthodox Jewish chicks?? Posted by: CoolCzech at December 04, 2011 08:13 PM (niZvt) Judy Finsterwald never did until I helped her with math.  And cutting her dads lawn. Posted by: Doctor Fish at December 04, 2011 08:15 PM (Lt/Za) Gee, I wonder what you'd get if you helped her with differential calculus...

Posted by: CoolCzech at December 04, 2011 04:21 PM (niZvt)

155 I refuse to go to LGF, but I'd bet that's the take on things over there.

Posted by: jwb7605 at December 04, 2011 07:39 PM (Qxe/p)


Your loss.  You're missing a huge year-end sale on pants and some killer photos of a broken gate.

Posted by: Chuckstick von Johnson at December 04, 2011 04:23 PM (yQwq5)

156

156 MT and NE look like they are likely Senate pickups. That is good.

Rehberg has been unreliable at times but he is better than Tester.

Posted by: Miss'80s at December 04, 2011 04:25 PM (d6QMz)

157

154 Can't believe Obama is gonna win re-election after destroying the country

Unless enough (and that means most) Republican voters put on their ABO pants, it's gonna happen.  If we nominate whoever the NYT tells us is "best" for the party, our butts are beat (see McCain, 0 .  If we continue to seek satisfaction with only the perfect candidate, same deal.  Every time I hear some (add candidate's name here) acolyte say they'll stay home rather than vote for (add some other candidate's name here), I get a sinking feeling.  It is imperative that this administration be removed from office as soon as possible.  If we miss 2012, the next one won't matter much.

But, hell, when I take a close look at the economic situations in Europe and think about the giant monetary anchor chain around the ankles of all the nations, 2012's general election may be too late anyway.

Posted by: L Rob in OK at December 04, 2011 04:27 PM (7yvLv)

158 Wow. Post # 12 is one I made on 11/20? The internet does have a long memory.

Connie MacksÂ’ numbers will rise. Give it some time and exposure.

Yep, FL is going to send another conservative to the US Senate.
           
Mike - praying as always.


Posted by: Mike in CFL at December 04, 2011 04:27 PM (motsG)

159 161 hey BOYS Want to play ? Posted by: Ginger White: opportunistic whore at December 04, 2011 08:14 PM (Zw/H7) -------------------------------------------- Sure! As long as all your bills are still in Herman's name. Or Herman's 4013c.......... .......since you're a Christian charity case of his. Or so he says.

Posted by: Lojack at December 04, 2011 04:28 PM (ucERL)

160 All these polls look good for Prasedant Obama. I am happy to see the people of this country want him for at least another 4 more years. Obama 2012...Catch the wind people !!!!!!!

Posted by: Mary Clogginstein from Brattleboro, Vermont at December 04, 2011 04:29 PM (Te1S8)

161 OK, where the heck did that smiley face come from?  Obviously meant 08.

Posted by: L Rob in OK at December 04, 2011 04:29 PM (7yvLv)

162 OK, where the heck did that smiley face come from?  Obviously meant 08.

Posted by: L Rob in OK at December 04, 2011 08:29 PM (7yvLv)

Whenever you put an 8 followed by a ) you get a smiley face here.  Cute, isn't it?

Posted by: Tami at December 04, 2011 04:31 PM (X6akg)

163 Can we use neutrinos to peek at some October 30th 2012 polls? Would that be cheating?

Posted by: eman at December 04, 2011 04:31 PM (tOywJ)

164 8 + ) =

Posted by: Miss'80s at December 04, 2011 04:31 PM (d6QMz)

165 This past week has been one of the most crazy and fascinating I've ever seen here. I remember the scalding comments when Gingrich dropped his "right-wing social engineering" comment - I would have lost at least $1,000 if someone bet me at that moment that he'd be anywhere near the driver's seat at this point. But I'm a shitty pundit anyway. I predicted Mitt and Sarah in a slog to the convention. Here's my theory: Ace is right, Sarah still haunts the primary. If she runs, Bachmann/Perry/Cain/Gingrich have no oxygen, and Mitt has a clear, single anti-Mitt who gives conservatives what they want most - a clear contrasting voice with experience on the national media stage who knows how to rhetorically stick it to the libs. (I think some cons want this *more* than then want someone with proven conservative policy results!) In my view, it actually would have worked better for Mitt - counter to the argument that Mitt needed to keep the anti-Mitt vote split - because I don't think the party establishment would have let her get to the finish line, even if she came close to pulling it off. They would have kneecapped her. But Sarah waits, and waits, and waits, and then doesn't run. Chaos ensues as the right wing of the party looks for someone who voices their frustration and contempt for Obama and liberals as well as she did. Bachmann does...but then Tardasils out. Perry looks promising (honestly he's the one I fear the most, just a weird gut feeling I have)...and then debates and W's himself to death. Cain knows the language...but pulls a Clinton. Santorum is a whiner. Paul is Paul. Huntsman, message-wise, is the polar opposite of what's being sought. That leaves only Gingrich. One thing - maybe the only thing? - you can count on with Gingrich is that he can turn a phrase and eloquently attack liberals and liberalism and defend conservatism in theory on just about any topic under the sun off the top of his head. It looks like some conservatives - not most of the ones here, but judging from these polls, more than anyone thought - are willing to overlook a hell of a lot to get a candidate who can do that one thing well. As for me, the shitty pundit, I'll still believe Mitt won't take it when I see it with my own two eyes. But right now, I'm rubbing them and squinting extra hard.

Posted by: A Liberal AoSHQ Reader, Really! at December 04, 2011 04:32 PM (khw5i)

166 Tami beat me to it.

Posted by: Miss'80s at December 04, 2011 04:32 PM (d6QMz)

167 181 Tami beat me to it.

Posted by: Miss'80s at December 04, 2011 08:32 PM (d6QMz)

Yeah but yours was way more concise.

Posted by: Tami at December 04, 2011 04:34 PM (X6akg)

168 Friggin' NFL game center went down... before the game started.  grrrrr

Posted by: Y-not, takes off a Carhartt jacket covered in peanut butter and doe piss at December 04, 2011 04:35 PM (5H6zj)

169 Posted by: A Liberal AoSHQ Reader, Really! at December 04, 2011 08:32 PM (khw5i)

Classical Liberal, maybe.
You don't sound like a moonbat.
I'm an 8 on most conservative scales, and your take is similar to mine.

Posted by: jwb7605 at December 04, 2011 04:36 PM (Qxe/p)

170 I'm 100% NOT GUILTY.............and I vow on my SACRED HONOR to fight on.......but I agreed to a 5-year prison term to bring healing and class to the whole sordid affair.

Posted by: Herman Cain--Worst Convict In America at December 04, 2011 04:38 PM (ucERL)

171


Classical Liberal, maybe.
You don't sound like a moonbat.


Well here's a test.

What does social justice mean?

If you answer "making life 'fair' for everyone", then you're a moonbat.

If you answer "maximizing individual liberty", then you're a classic liberal.

Posted by: chemjeff at December 04, 2011 04:41 PM (s7mIC)

172 I'd like to see the data regarding "none of the above". This group of candidates looks as lame as 1996 and 2000.

Posted by: eman at December 04, 2011 04:44 PM (tOywJ)

173 chemjeff

-- if that was directed at me --

I've told a lot of women that I strongly disapprove of abortion.
I also don't think women should be disallowed from getting one.
Nor do I need to respect them once they decide to do that.

NO WAY could you make life 'fair' for anybody.
Nor should we try to.
If you make more money than I do (probable) -- congratulations!
I'm where I'm at because I'm comfortable with my station in life.

Posted by: jwb7605 at December 04, 2011 04:45 PM (Qxe/p)

174 Posted by: jwb7605 at December 04, 2011 08:45 PM (Qxe/p) Interesting answer. I bet you overlap well with the group here. Some of us seem to be Libertarian/Conservative hybrids. On what ways are you not a Conservative?

Posted by: eman at December 04, 2011 04:49 PM (tOywJ)

175 is eevryone repeating themselves?

Posted by: willow at December 04, 2011 04:51 PM (h+qn8)

176 @jwb7605 - I do vote Dem and am aligned with Dems on most issues, but I'm also a political junkie fascinated with the process. Plus, like Breitbart said, AoSHQ has the best comments. I come for the dick jokes and stay for the up-to-the-minute pulse of this corner of conservative thought. @chemjeff - Not my phrase, not my belief, not my question. You know I lurk and try pretty damned hard not to start food fights around here. I would just say that, as with most things, there is a lot of room between the loaded goalposts of "fairness for all" and "maximum individual liberty" - both of which run into some pretty harsh reality when dealing with actual policy issues (taxes, national security, social issues, you name it).

Posted by: A Liberal AoSHQ Reader, Really! at December 04, 2011 04:52 PM (khw5i)

177 Do those of us in solidly blue States get a pass on voting for POTUS, or do we have to contribute to the mandate? I ask because I want to skip all of these guys and write in "Beef Supreme".

Posted by: eman at December 04, 2011 04:53 PM (tOywJ)

178 Rick Santorum / Michelle Bachmann types.

I can (and did) figure out my own moral compass.
Family values are nice, but they're like being a Protestant or a Catholic.  (I'm Baha'i)

I'm not a libertarian mostly because the philosophy logically leads to anarchy.
Since I'm also 63, I don't buy into the "oh, it could never go that far" arguments.  Saw that coming with the "gay" thing about 40 years ago.

Posted by: jwb7605 at December 04, 2011 04:54 PM (Qxe/p)

179 Like father, like son: Shades of gray still linger


The Gov. Romney who canÂ’t hew to a straight course in this cartoon is actually MittÂ’s father, George, who ran and lost in the 1968 New Hampshire Presidential Primary.

Posted by: Miss'80s at December 04, 2011 04:56 PM (d6QMz)

180 Would that be cheating? Posted by: eman at December 04, 2011 08:31 PM (tOywJ) You aren't going to like what you see. I only did this once before. And I'm all meme'd out.

Posted by: CAC, who pushed it to the limit, brought his own weapons, and traveled through time. at December 04, 2011 04:57 PM (yQucA)

181 From over at Red State: Will his national performance cost Perry his governorship? Rick Perry is going to get a second look. He is the most consistent conservative in the race. In fact, this should be his race to lose given his positioning. I hope his campaign realizes just how close they are to losing it. Oh, and if Perry does lose, he is going to be in for a rude awakening in Texas. Look what happened when people realized Mitt Romney was vulnerable. The pile on has come swiftly. If Rick Perry loses and goes back to Texas as its Governor, the man who has stood dominant in Texas for a decade will be seen as a loser for the first time — and not just a loser, but a fool too. The pile on against a Governor who is constitutionally weak, but made strong through a decade of appointments, will be swift. Is Rick Perry ready to win? If not, the nomination won’t be all he loses. He’ll lose Texas too. His campaign staff better get a clue pretty damn quick.

Posted by: CoolCzech at December 04, 2011 04:57 PM (niZvt)

182 Is Rick Perry ready to win? If not, the nomination wonÂ’t be all he loses. HeÂ’ll lose Texas too.

Why would a 3 term governor even want to run for a 4th term?

Posted by: jwb7605 at December 04, 2011 04:58 PM (Qxe/p)

183 I ask because I want to skip all of these guys and write in "Beef Supreme". Posted by: eman at December 04, 2011 08:53 PM (tOywJ) Screw you.

Posted by: Not Shurrr at December 04, 2011 04:59 PM (yQucA)

184 REMEMBER MY BALLS! Posted by: Herman Cain Nothing compares to my chocolate salty balls!

Posted by: Chef at December 04, 2011 05:01 PM (Q5U8w)

185 I'm not even sure Perry can run for Governor again. Anyway I don't think he'll be hurting. He'll write some ghostwritten books and trot around the rubber chicken circuit. Maybe he'll lobby.

Posted by: Zimriel at December 04, 2011 05:02 PM (6GvAC)

186

Lots o' numbers dar. We aint' but simple pirates!

Posted by: Hector Barbosa at December 04, 2011 05:08 PM (FbHZ0)

187 We no longer have gubernatorial term limits, so Perry could run again if he wished. But does he really want to, especially considering some people had Perry fatigue prior to the last election?

Posted by: Miss'80s at December 04, 2011 05:11 PM (d6QMz)

188 197 Family values are nice, but they're like being a Protestant or a Catholic.  (I'm Baha'i)

From what little I know of the Baha'i, they're the best new religion on the planet; defining "new" as post-Council-of-Nicaea. And they do have strong family values. Considering that the Baha'i came out of Islam, which is the worst new religion this side of the flavor-aid, that impresses me. [Which is not to say I'm about to convert. But I would count the Baha'ullah and the Bab as among the righteous.]

My problem with "family values" is that it is too often code for Huckabee-ism; pandering to traditional morality while ignoring actual statecraft.

Posted by: Zimriel at December 04, 2011 05:11 PM (6GvAC)

189  #196

Beef supreme sounds like a tasty choice to me.

If you have a Senate election though - please work for the most conservative candidate.

Even if SCOAMF is defeated weÂ’re going to need a conservative senate, because we canÂ’t really trust any of the R candidates.

Mike

Posted by: Mike in CFL at December 04, 2011 05:11 PM (motsG)

190 ... the 1968 New Hampshire Presidential Primary.

This year reminds me of 1968.
#OWS clowns are actively trying for their very own Kent State moment.
Candidate choices (on the non-looney-left side) consist of (a) spineless weasel, (b) narrow minded religious types, or (c) potentially sleazy and dishonest, but unusually competent.

I was a year too young to vote in '68, but I would have voted Nixon.
Remember his fate when he went a bridge too far.

Gingrich, for me, because (a) and (b) don't cut it.

Posted by: jwb7605 at December 04, 2011 05:15 PM (Qxe/p)

191 Ladies, we all die, there is no heaven....

Posted by: We are So Fkd up at December 04, 2011 05:16 PM (2kVjW)

192

I just polled myself and 100% of me thinks Obama is a SCOAMF that sucks big floppy donkey dicks.

Posted by: Ms Choksondik, hoping for a Rick Perry miracle at December 04, 2011 05:16 PM (fYOZx)

193 207 Zimriel --

Thank you!
We are now (or soon will be) officially illegal in the "Arab Spring" countries, FYI.

Posted by: jwb7605 at December 04, 2011 05:17 PM (Qxe/p)

194 "I just polled myself and 100% of me thinks Obama is a SCOAMF that sucks big floppy donkey dicks."

I say you suck big ones. LOL,

must include that

Posted by: We are So Fkd up at December 04, 2011 05:18 PM (2kVjW)

195 Palin said she would run if there were no viable conservative candidates.....

Posted by: cicerokid at December 04, 2011 05:19 PM (FbHZ0)

196 In 1968 I'd have voted Nixon, but I'd have gone McGovern in 1972. We had FAIL anyway from 1974-6. Imagine the 1976 race, McGovern versus the guy whose turn it was... Reagan.

Think that Khomeini would have dared enter Iran while Reagan was in charge?

Posted by: Zimriel at December 04, 2011 05:19 PM (6GvAC)

197 If you have a Senate election though - please work for the most conservative candidate. Even if SCOAMF is defeated weÂ’re going to need a conservative senate, because we canÂ’t really trust any of the R candidates. Mike Posted by: Mike in CFL at December 04, 2011 09:11 PM (motsG) I'm in California.

Posted by: eman at December 04, 2011 05:21 PM (tOywJ)

198 Stupid regents of unreason; The words just popped into my head.

Posted by: We are So Fkd up at December 04, 2011 05:21 PM (2kVjW)

199 Think that Khomeini would have dared enter Iran while Reagan was in charge?

Interesting question.
What got him (Khomenie) there was the Shah coming to the US for cancer treatments.
Reagan was no pushover, but he also didn't 'invade' other countries without personal invitations.
To this day, I often wonder what would have happened if the Iranians wouldn't have folded and returned the hostages.

Posted by: jwb7605 at December 04, 2011 05:23 PM (Qxe/p)

200 Palin said she would run if there were no viable conservative candidates..... Posted by: cicerokid at December 04, 2011 09:19 PM (FbHZ0) Don't bet the farm on it. She made a choice that is not easy to reverse.

Posted by: eman at December 04, 2011 05:23 PM (tOywJ)

201 Palin is not jumping back in.  She is enjoying life.

Posted by: Jimbo at December 04, 2011 05:29 PM (O3R/2)

202 @chemjeff - Not my phrase, not my belief, not my question. You know I lurk and try pretty damned hard not to start food fights around here. I would just say that, as with most things, there is a lot of room between the loaded goalposts of "fairness for all" and "maximum individual liberty" - both of which run into some pretty harsh reality when dealing with actual policy issues (taxes, national security, social issues, you name it).

Well, there is a difference between philosophy and policy.  Policy flows from philosophy, or at least it should anyway.

If your philosophy is to favor individual liberty, then that dictates that you'll be against, e.g., high tax rates.  If your philosophy is to try to create "fairness for all" then you'll be in favor of high tax rates because that gives the government the resources to attempt to create this utopia.

Now those aren't the only two philosophical archetypes.  But they are big contenders.

Yes things can get complicated.  But they don't have to be overwhelmingly complicated if you have a solid compass by which to wade through the decision-making process to conquer the complications.  The complexity of particular issues is more of a distraction rather than the core of most issues.

Posted by: chemjeff at December 04, 2011 05:30 PM (s7mIC)

203 Frankly, I've been past my sell-by date in Texas for quite a while now. They'd like to have someone else but nobody better ever shows up, so I roll back in by default. In 2006 I was re-elected with 39% of the vote.

Posted by: Rick Perry at December 04, 2011 05:30 PM (XdwbH)

204 Palin is not jumping back in.  She is enjoying life.

I really hope you're right.
If you're not, though, I will reluctantly put her in my mental category of "just another stealth politician".

As will probably 75% of the rest of the public.

Posted by: jwb7605 at December 04, 2011 05:30 PM (Qxe/p)

205 "220 Palin is not jumping back in.  She is enjoying life."

Shouldn't she be preparing for the afterlife?

Posted by: We are So Fkd up at December 04, 2011 05:31 PM (2kVjW)

206 I'm in California.

Posted by: eman at December 04, 2011 09:21 PM (tOywJ)


Food for thought:

Ohio: Register to vote on the same day as the election.  To be eligible, you must only be a resident for 30 days prior.

So:

Rent an apartment, get a month-to-month lease, show up with lease as proof of residency, vote, terminate lease.

Posted by: chemjeff at December 04, 2011 05:33 PM (s7mIC)

207 In 2006 I was re-elected with 39% of the vote.

But you were reelected.  You've got that on Mitt.

Posted by: toby928© at December 04, 2011 05:33 PM (GTbGH)

208 tubbytoby, maybe we should outlaw foods that make you fat? do you agree?

Posted by: We are So Fkd up at December 04, 2011 05:36 PM (2kVjW)

209 Palin had the opportunity to enter the race in an ordinary fashion. Now she has made it so she can enter only in an extraordinary way.

Posted by: eman at December 04, 2011 05:36 PM (tOywJ)

210 Posted by: chemjeff at December 04, 2011 09:33 PM (s7mIC) Have you been hanging around with Democrats?

Posted by: eman at December 04, 2011 05:38 PM (tOywJ)

211

Rent an apartment, get a month-to-month lease, show up with lease as proof of residency, vote, terminate lease.

Posted by: chemjeff

ACORN did that in the last presidential election cycle (200  because they had a compliant Secretary of  State in Ohio who did not police these things very well. A few newspapers actually reported on that (hard to believe).  The outrage from it died down by the 2010 election for statewide offices, but the present Sec. of State is an (R).

Posted by: Reader C.J. Burch writes.... at December 04, 2011 05:39 PM (sJTmU)

212 Ladies, we will die.

Posted by: We are So Fkd up at December 04, 2011 05:39 PM (2kVjW)

213 That smily deal is supposed to be 2008.

Posted by: Reader C.J. Burch writes.... at December 04, 2011 05:40 PM (sJTmU)

214 Ladies, we will die.

I call BS.
Men die first.
Because we want to.

Posted by: jwb7605 at December 04, 2011 05:41 PM (Qxe/p)

215 If what Tyler Durden says is true, it kinda explains why Ron Paul seems so crazy.  We're all crazy and he's the sane one.

"...unemployment is reported at 8.x% or 9.x% when in fact it is at a depressionary level of 23.9%.  GDP is baked, off by trillions.  Inflation is over 10% and reported at 2-3%." http://tinyurl.com/6pc6sgj

Posted by: jeanne! with two N's and an E at December 04, 2011 05:41 PM (uVO+D)

216 ACORN did that in the last presidential election cycle (200 because they had a compliant Secretary of  State in Ohio who did not police these things very well.

Well yeah, where do you think I got the idea?    But I honestly don't know how any SOS would police such a thing.  The law says "be a resident 30 days before the election". 

Posted by: chemjeff at December 04, 2011 05:42 PM (s7mIC)

217 "232 That smily deal is supposed to be 2008."

Miley or smily?



Posted by: We are So Fkd up at December 04, 2011 05:42 PM (2kVjW)

218 "I call BS.
Men die first.
Because we want to.

Posted by: jwb7605 at December 04, 2011 09:41 PM (Qxe/p)"


WTF?

Posted by: We are So Fkd up at December 04, 2011 05:44 PM (2kVjW)

219 I wish dems would do the responsible thing and primary the JEF out of office. This way a lose is also a win.

Posted by: sTevo at December 04, 2011 05:45 PM (VMcEw)

220 Ladies, the humans you are producing are not that well...

Ouch

Posted by: We are So Fkd up at December 04, 2011 05:52 PM (2kVjW)

221 237 WTF?

Get married and stay that way for 40 years.
It becomes self-explanatory, lady.

Posted by: jwb7605 at December 04, 2011 05:55 PM (Qxe/p)

222 222 In 2006 I was re-elected with 39% of the vote.

Yeah, I was there... voting for Kinky Friedman.

Perry would have won that election regardless. Strayhorn and Friedman pulled in the "not Perry and not the damn Democrat" votes. I bet that without Friedman giving people like me cover, a lot of the Strayhorn votes, also, would have dissipated to Perry on the theory of OMFG PLEASE NOT BELL.

Posted by: Zimriel at December 04, 2011 06:00 PM (6GvAC)

223 Wow, glad someone mentioned that the thread was bumped each week. I was starting to feel like people were being really repetitive in their comments from last time. Anyway. PERRY up to 9% in some places! Look out for the next Perry surge, woohooo!!!!!!!!!! (I know, I know, just let me have my slim hope until the primaries are over, thanks).

Posted by: elizabethe is all in for Perry at December 04, 2011 06:02 PM (FuTmA)

224 @chemjeff - >>If your philosophy is to favor individual liberty, then that dictates that you'll be against, e.g., high tax rates. If your philosophy is to try to create "fairness for all" then you'll be in favor of high tax rates because that gives the government the resources to attempt to create this utopia...The complexity of particular issues is more of a distraction rather than the core of most issues.<< I do get your point. First principles have to count for something. But I think we disagree on the summary above, and the language really matters. Abortion (my big social issue): I'm solidly pro-choice. I believe it's a woman's right to decide if she carries a baby to term or not, and more than that, I believe in her "negative right" to keep the government from telling her she must. But some people believe that because life begins at conception, this is immoral at best and murder at worst. What is the "maximum individual liberty" position on this issue? I say it's liberty for the mother, others might say it's liberty for the fetus. That's a pretty big one for me. Taxes/economics: I'm for the best balance between a capitalism that rewards entrepreneurship and success (I'm a sole prop business making it happen on my own every day, most days 12-14 hours, and I love what I do) and provides some sort of social safety net for those unable to work, laid off, elderly, or severely ill and broke, while having clear regulations so everyone knows the rules of the game and the penalties for breaking them. I wouldn't call this "fairness for all" - some people just don't get it and aren't going to do as well as others. I'm fine with that. But I'm not philosophically opposed to some of my tax dollars going to the safety net I described above. I don't see that as an infringement on my individual liberty. I still get up every day and do pretty much whatever the hell I want, and have a good life, better than most people on earth, and I'm grateful. YMMV, but again, calling this "fairness for all" I think distorts simple language. I want what works best for as many as possible. It can never be "all." Foreign policy/national security: "Maximum individual liberty" means what here? Does a fairly large government entity like DHS provide maximum liberty for Americans? Some say it does - after all, we haven't had a massive attack since 9/11 (yes, correlation doesn't equal causation, noted). Others (libertarians, pacifists) would argue differently. I'm a moderate on these issues. I'm pro-Israel, yet anti-neoconservative. I supported the Iraq War on WMD's basis as a threat to Israel's existence, not on a geostrategic or democracy-mission basis. I do believe that what we do has an effect on others in the world (no, this isn't Ron Paul saying "we caused 9/11!"), but that we have to protect ourselves first and foremost, and when we take action, we should weigh possible reactions as best we can - then act and deal with it. I do believe there are radical Muslims who want to kill us. I believe our strategy should be to find the radicals and incapacitate them without turning more regular-folk Muslims against us, which is admittedly difficult, but something I think we need to figure out better ways to do unless we're prepared to turn the whole region to glass. Which we're not. It's fucking sticky, and smarter people than I haven't figured it out yet. Look at Pakistan. So saying that what I believe can or should be boiled down philosophically to "maximum individual liberty or fairness for all" and that specific issues are distractions...I don't know if I can go there with you. But, in the end of the day, I do have to pull the lever one way or the other, and I'm aware of the consequences of elections. How's this: I do believe we're all in this together, and that mankind is capable of amazing things, not just terrible things, and that man is not a fallen being. I'm going to duck now.

Posted by: A Liberal AoSHQ Reader, Really! at December 04, 2011 06:18 PM (khw5i)

225 "and that man is not a fallen being." That was the basis for Rousseau's philosophy. Yup, you're a moonbat.

Posted by: Thresher at December 04, 2011 06:42 PM (DG56/)

226 I do believe we're all in this together, and that mankind is capable of amazing things, not just terrible things, and that man is not a fallen being.
Posted by: A Liberal AoSHQ Reader, Really! at December 04, 2011 10:18 PM (khw5i)

I wish he wouldn't have "ducked".
I think I like both him and chemjeff.
One or more of the rest of you are OK, also.


Posted by: jwb7605 at December 04, 2011 06:45 PM (Qxe/p)

227 @Thresher - Well, I don't believe man was born into original sin. I just don't. I believe man is capable of morality and finding right from wrong outside of religious doctrine, or any particular religious founding myth. I also don't think that my belief excludes or makes wrong those who think they *were* born into sin. If that's my ticket to moonbattery in your eyes, so be it, but something tells me I'm not the only moron reading these comments who doesn't believe in original sin.

Posted by: A Liberal AoSHQ Reader, Really! at December 04, 2011 07:06 PM (khw5i)

228 @246 One way of looking at being "fallen" isnt so much that we are born sinful, but that we have the proclivity to sin and that this tendency must always be watched and kept in check. That is a crucial difference between the conservative and liberal ways of looking at things, the starting point for the choices and policies and preferences we choose after. My mother believes that you can negotiate with a mugger and turn him to a productive life simply by showing him compassion and generosity. I don't (at least in 99.9999% of cases). This difference in our way of looking at the world and at how people operate creates a huge chasm between us that I fear can never be breached. And it is this difference in core philosophy that explains why we have such a huge division in this country. It's not that we are sinful, it's that we have a tendency to sin because we are fallen creatures separated from god. This is a very rational thing to believe.

Posted by: Recluse spider at December 04, 2011 08:06 PM (eScuN)

229 I feel the need to explain further ( apologies). From my above post you may feel that I, or conservatives in general, do not care about compassion ( as my mother does). That is not true, I just believe in judiciously applied compassion, whereas my mother seems to think that the compassion itself and by itself is enough to correct all the evils of the world. It's very convenient that way because then the only evil people in the world are those who seem to withhold compassion, which conveniently enough is conservatives, My understanding of Rousseaus ( which another poster mentioned) is that he believe that men are naturally good, that they only do evil things because of bad things in their environment. Therefore, you give people housing, food, etc, they will become the good-natured docile creatures we want them to be. The conservative, fallen man argument states that that is not true- giving people an ideal environment does not automatically turn them into the good creaures we expect them to be, sometimes it's the opposite. This does not mean that conservatives do not have hope for the human race. On the contrary, I thinni conservatives strive for human greatness and accomplishment. It's just that we see that greatness rising not from external forces changing man's environment to turn him into a good creature, but overcoming that environment and making the best of himself despite his circumstances, I think the movie The Blind Side shows this concept well. A kid in a bad environment gets help out of it by someone better off. But it worked because this kid wanted something better, was willing to do what it took to make it happen. It wasn't just handed to him. There was a huge difference in his attitude versus the attitude of the friends he left behind in the projects and that is what made the difference. And that shows the proper application of compassion.

Posted by: Recluse spider at December 04, 2011 08:18 PM (eScuN)

230 Sorry for the typos. Should be "Rousseau believed."

Posted by: Recluse spider at December 04, 2011 09:05 PM (eScuN)

231 My prediction:  come the general, we'll all come out and vote for our nominee.   Because the alternative is another term for Obama.

Here are your scenarios.

Newt/Romney + GOP Congress.   We can work with either to achieve our goals - maybe not all of them, but a good number.

Obama + GOP Congress.   Deadlock.  Or worse, the GOP Congress compromises, because we all know Obama doesn't compromise.

Obama + Democratic Congress.  I'm moving to Australia.


Posted by: Mike at December 05, 2011 06:17 AM (NH9Y5)

232

247 Nice with the added benefit of being correct.

Posted by: dagny at December 11, 2011 09:14 AM (lPVbK)

233

The first real test will be South Carolina.

Posted by: Flapjackmaka at November 20, 2011 11:40 AM (8JLZe)

There are no Statewide elections in SC this time. Therefore there is no Democrat Primary. The only thing that will prevent Dems from crossing over and voting in the Republican primary is local elections.

I suspect we will get a lot of interference this time.

Posted by: Vic at December 11, 2011 09:17 AM (YdQQY)

234 If there is anyone as excerable as Bill Nelson I can't think of him. Bullshit fake cornpone hick son of a bitch.

Posted by: USS Diversity at December 11, 2011 09:26 AM (PddVe)

Posted by: Jose at December 11, 2011 09:28 AM (srIqv)

236 Anyone wanna see pics of my Election Day 2010 dump? It was a doozy!

Posted by: Barney Frank at December 11, 2011 09:30 AM (niZvt)

237 This is like the dump in the days before recycling, when we used to go there to shoot rats.
WTF is with the time stamping?

Posted by: ontherocks at December 11, 2011 09:34 AM (HBqDo)

238 Fred Karger 0%

Never heard of this guy before in my entire life, don't know a thing about him, but he seems to be a viable alternative to our top tier candidates.

Posted by: lowandslow at December 11, 2011 09:35 AM (GZitp)

239 I think I might have figured out why Newt is leading Mitt.

Romney is telling us how good/effective he is/was at governing.
Gingrich is telling us how good/effective he is/was at leading.

Whether either or both of them is spouting bullshit isn't the point -- we all know all [however many are left] are pretty much doing that.

Philosophically, it boils down to whether we want to be governed or led.  I always go for plan B (led) because there's an opt-out.

Posted by: jwb7605 at December 11, 2011 09:36 AM (Qxe/p)

240 CAC - Is there any chance you can put the date of the poll next to the title?

Posted by: Have Blue at December 11, 2011 10:00 AM (IKTC8)

241 Alright, I know we're 10+ months out from the election, and the GOP doesn't even have a candidate yet, buy how the hell is Barky still winning national polls against any of our top tier guys? Yeah, I know they suck, but still, how is he even in the margin of error? To my mind, dude should be trailing by double digits nationally, and only up in the deepest of azure states. What more do voters need to know about this stuttering clusterfuck of a miserable failure to commit to not voting for him again? This stuff kind of worries me a little bit.

Posted by: holygoat at December 11, 2011 10:27 AM (2ptZ1)

242 I put this in the Perry post, but no body is ther anymore, so I am posting it here. About what Perry said about prayer in schools. I used to live near Dearborn Michigan, and in Dearborn prayer in public schools is mandatory. complete with foot baths. The whole city is Muslim. maybe Perry just wants to guarantee the same rights for Christians.

Posted by: Chilling the most for perry at December 11, 2011 12:14 PM (6IV8T)

243 I still want Perry.  That is all.

Posted by: Peaches at December 11, 2011 12:22 PM (4Do1m)

244 Gingrich can't win. How the hell can he be trailing in NC? Time to admit that nominating Gingrich will lead to a second Obama term, and just go with Romney. By the way, ignore the latest Marist polls. The D/R/I distribution gives Democrats a + 11, which is silly.

Posted by: Mr. Estrada at December 11, 2011 01:22 PM (/+B2Y)

245 This does not mean that conservatives do not have hope for the human race.

Speak for yourself!  

Posted by: Beth at December 11, 2011 07:53 PM (kBxk7)

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