July 27, 2011
— DrewM If you haven't read Gabe's piece in support of the Boehner Plan, it's well worth your time. It's also the jumping off point for this post.
For most of the day yesterday I was right there with Gabe. I thought Boehner's plan was the best we could do economically and politically. Cap, Cut and Balance wasn't resting, it wasn't pining for the fjords, it was and is...DEAD. We should congratulate the GOP for passing it, bank it as a campaign point and then face facts and move on.
Then the CBO score on Boehner appeared and I really regretted any support I offered. Forget the fight over whether it's 1.2 trillion in deficit cuts over 10 years or 800+billion neither number is terribly impressive in the overall scheme of things. No, what was truly awful was the projected $1 billion in deficit reduction from discretionary spending next year. Why's that important? Well, it's the only year that counts. The rest, the so called "out years" are promises and projects this Congress can't commit to delivering. Only next's years budget would be binding (well, as binding as anything in the federal budget is, which is not much).
$1 billion? That's not a cut, that's simply a decision to round down instead of up at some point.
How ridiculously small is that number? The Ryan Budget the House passed earlier this year would cut the deficit by $30 billion next year. So the Boehner Plan represents a surrender on what already got passed the House. Way to negotiate against yourself.
Even if the Boehner plan passed as is (or will be once they finish the rewrite, more about that in a second), there's no way the deficit will be cut by $1 billion next year. It's simply not a big enough number that it won't get swamped by "unexpected' increases in entitlement spending or "emergency" spending that will be added throughout the year.
As for the the $1+ trillion or $851 billion in cuts, depending on what baseline you want to use? Again, simply promises no one can actually commit to delivering. Meanwhile, the $1 trillion or so in new borrowing authority? Oh, that's very real and will definitely happen.
When it comes to "More borrowing now" vs. "Spending cuts in the out years", remember..."Out Years Are For Suckers". For that reason alone, Boehner's Plan as presented yesterday is a non-starter and should be defeated.
Now, this is where I get off the purity train...we are going to raise the debt ceiling. There's simply not enough time or political will to cut enough to avoid more borrowing to cover costs we've already committed to. And I'm simply not willing to risk default on the magical thinking that somehow that will only put pressure on Obama and Senate Democrats and they will suddenly embrace the tea party fiscal platform. That pressure will work both ways and likely force Republicans to cave. No, if you want Cut, Cap and Balance (plus real entitlement reform) you're going to need big wins next November, Even then it's kind of iffy but that's the prerequisite.
So, how do I a RINO sellout square the circle with my sudden brush with PURITY? I could support a Boehner type plan but the cuts have to be front loaded. It's not going to be all $1.1 trillion next year (though that would be great, it's just not an option) but it needs to be in the $100 billion plus range at a minimum. Yes, that's even more ambitious than the Ryan budget but two things...
1-It's a starting point. It's going to come down in any final deal. Starting a $1 billion gives you no where to go down to. Starting at say $200 billion, well, now we can deal.
2-The whole point of tying budget cuts to the debt ceiling hike is because we have some leverage. If you aren't going to use this moment of pressure to up the ante from what you could normally get, what exactly is the point of the exercise? Why not just pass a clean hike as always and move along?
The fact is this is political theater and not a moment of leverage. Boehner's back loaded plan is simply a way to try and give cover to GOP members who said 'I'll never vote for a hike in the debt ceiling!". Sorry but that was always a fundamentally unserious position.
We can't lock in more cuts than the amount of the debt hike, that's always been silly. Anyone who really thinks these plans are about $851 billion, $1.1 trillion or $2.2 trillion are just buying the hype. It's next year's number that matters. It won't be as big as the hike in the ceiling but it needs to be big and real. THAT would be a real victory. Let's see if that's what they come back with that in Bowhner 2.0. If so, I'm back on Team RINO. If not, book me a seat on the Purity Express.
Posted by: DrewM at
07:06 AM
| Comments (345)
Post contains 848 words, total size 5 kb.
Posted by: yinzer at July 27, 2011 07:10 AM (/Mla1)
Posted by: MisterMoney at July 27, 2011 07:11 AM (wN82N)
hahaha @ "If you haven't read Gabe's piece in support of the Boehner Plan, it's well worth your time."
Not a chance. And I'm not even reading the rest of this post.
Posted by: soothsayer at July 27, 2011 07:12 AM (sqkOB)
Posted by: D. Hopper Badger at July 27, 2011 07:12 AM (81yC3)
Posted by: mpurinTexas supports Rick Perry, bitch at July 27, 2011 07:13 AM (ignDe)
Posted by: J.J. Sefton at July 27, 2011 07:14 AM (UlUS4)
And start doing Zero-Based Budgeting.
Posted by: Eric Cantor at July 27, 2011 11:12 AM (5H6zj)
Absolutely Positively Yes!
Posted by: MisterMoney at July 27, 2011 07:15 AM (wN82N)
Any "cut" that does not decrease the spending in the 2011 budget below that of the 2010 budget is a lie.
Any "cut" that does not decrease the spending in the 2012 budget below that of the 2011 budget is a lie.
Any "cut" that is scheduled to occur in any of the 2013-2021 budgets is a lie.
Any "revenue enhancement/tax increase" that occurs in the 2011 budget is a betrayal of the American people!
Posted by: Hrothgar at July 27, 2011 07:15 AM (Qp5Ml)
Posted by: EC at July 27, 2011 07:15 AM (GQ8sn)
See Drew? You can write well and come up with a logical piece when you put your mind to it. I agree with you here completely. If we don't stand up now, when? Our situation gets more dire each and every day.
Posted by: Lord Humungus at July 27, 2011 07:16 AM (Yv6gq)
FOLDAPALOOZA coming to a GOP near you!!
But wait! There's more!! King Putt will bring us Utopia with QE III and QE IV! All will be well with America because there'll be cash for all. Just in time for Election Day 2012 we'll all be rolling in dough. College professors KNOW that FDR just didn't do it BIG ENOUGH. King Barry the Worst is going to fix that.[disclaimer: your mileage may vary]
Posted by: chuck in st paul at July 27, 2011 07:16 AM (EhYdw)
Why roll out 10 year plans when we know the Dems will never agree to anything meaningful? Why not focus on getting real cuts one year at a time and just keep holding the line on taxes?
Is there even a budget at this point?
Posted by: Y-not at July 27, 2011 07:16 AM (5H6zj)
Hey! Maybe I should apply for a job with his staff.
QUALIFICATIONS: I have only a cursory understanding of economics and I really, really suck at math.
Posted by: mpurinTexas supports Rick Perry, bitch at July 27, 2011 07:17 AM (ignDe)
But you have great taste in POTUS candidates! ;-)
Posted by: Y-not at July 27, 2011 07:18 AM (5H6zj)
But this whole thing's just a dog-and-pony show between two sides of the same political class, and I don't think we're going to be measurably better off after it's done. We might stave off default, just, but it will be as minimal a change from the status quo as possible.
Posted by: nickless at July 27, 2011 07:19 AM (MMC8r)
Posted by: J.J. Sefton at July 27, 2011 07:19 AM (UlUS4)
Posted by: 80sBaby at July 27, 2011 07:19 AM (o2lIv)
The problem with pursuing bigger cuts is that the government is contract based for a lot of payouts - for example, if you look at the Army Corp of Engineer projects, those are multi year contracts. Breaking them early actually costs more money. There are a lot of examples of multi year contracts out there.
So the first year might be tough.
But there should be a bulge in the middle years. That is where th ebulk of the cuts should be.
Posted by: cdm at July 27, 2011 07:20 AM (ZIhnc)
Rule #2: see rule 1
We should forget Boehner's plan and pass Reid's plan. Pin this thing on the Dems.
None of these plans will cut anything in the next 15 months anyway. None.
I'm willing to ride underneath the Purity Train for 15 months when we can control all 3 branches.
Posted by: cherry π at July 27, 2011 07:20 AM (OhYCU)
Posted by: Empire of Jeff, EXXXTREMIST at July 27, 2011 07:21 AM (lbo6/)
Posted by: Y-not at July 27, 2011 07:22 AM (5H6zj)
"Why roll out 10 year plans ..." - Y-not at July 27, 2011 11:16 AM
It's pure Kabuki for the cheap seats. If they had to say exactly what will happen this year and next year and just that then everyone would know it's all BS. You front load the spending and promise to cut in later years. I have two metaphors for ya:
Charlie Brown, Lucy, foot ball.
"I'll gladly pay you Tuesday for a hamburger today." - Whimpy of Popeye
Posted by: chuck in st paul at July 27, 2011 07:22 AM (EhYdw)
Yeah, if he'll ever shit or get off the pot. Now they're saying it may be late August before he announces.
A PAC has started airing radio ads in Iowa urging a write in vote for Perry in the straw poll.
I can see the strategy in waiting to announce, but, come all, already! Eventually anticipation turns into frustration.
Posted by: mpurinTexas supports Rick Perry, bitch at July 27, 2011 07:22 AM (ignDe)
I supported Boehner's original plan, before it was shivved by The Firm and left for dead.
Boehner is trying something, anything, in a desperate attempt to resolve this issue and losing his confidence in the process. He's now running the gauntlet and that is not a good thing.
He needs to get up, dust himself off, and start kicking some teeth in.
Posted by: As If... at July 27, 2011 07:22 AM (LyOUH)
Posted by: Y-not at July 27, 2011 11:15 AM (5H6zj)
Sometimes I wonder if there aren't some embedded moles in the staffers. Yeah I know that it sounds paranoid but either Boehner was completely plastered when he gave them instructions or they're dumber than planks.
Posted by: Captain Hate at July 27, 2011 07:23 AM (zsvKP)
We have not have a filibuster proof majority in the Senate since Hawaii was admitted as a state.
Posted by: toby928™ at July 27, 2011 07:23 AM (GTbGH)
Posted by: J.J. Sefton at July 27, 2011 07:24 AM (UlUS4)
That's tempting, but isn't there some sort of carte blanche for the POTUS in his plan? Also, I'm now loathe to go for any long-term plan. I'd go for two years at the most.
One question about the Reid plan. Did the CBO score that one, too, and, if so, how did it score in terms of real cuts? Did they call Reid out on the fake war savings?
Posted by: Y-not at July 27, 2011 07:24 AM (5H6zj)
Posted by: Empire of Jeff, EXXXTREMIST at July 27, 2011 07:24 AM (lbo6/)
The use of the different baselines and the fact that someone tried to slip-in extra money for SS and Pell Grants changed the CBO score, but they should have anticipated all possibilities for the first and known the second. It's almost like they didn't communicate at all.
Posted by: 80sBaby at July 27, 2011 07:25 AM (o2lIv)
Osama Obama, Boner, Reid and the rest of the idiotocracy in D.C. need to be put some learnin' on basic math: when you got zero, you got nothin'. Talk won't change that. Ed Morrissey would disagree with me, but that just shows how clueless Mr "In Fairness" is about anything but political game-playing.
Cut off spending, and then cut off every slimy sonofabitch who wants to piss away what's left of our money.
There are two ways for the D.C. crowd to learn the truth about having no fuckin' money: the ugly way and the really ugly way.
Posted by: MrScribbler at July 27, 2011 07:25 AM (YjjrR)
And, man, if we could have filibustered that decision, it sure would've saved us some heartache today.
Posted by: mpurinTexas supports Rick Perry, bitch at July 27, 2011 07:25 AM (ignDe)
Eliminate the dept of energy.
Posted by: Note to Obama at July 27, 2011 07:25 AM (8IAHO)
How was your first hit? Come down yet. We'll have you mainlining Purity in no time.
Posted by: MikeTheMoose at July 27, 2011 07:26 AM (0q2P7)
Posted by: Y-not at July 27, 2011 11:22 AM (5H6zj)
It's not just 4 Dems.
Reid killed it by tabling it which only required a majority vote.
To actually pass it, you have to get to 60. That means with the 46 yes votes we have (assuming the Nos to table would vote yes on the bill itself), you need 14 more yes votes. Not happening. It's dead.
Posted by: DrewM. at July 27, 2011 07:26 AM (y07gN)
I loved the August 4th announcement date idea that someone here floated. Bambi's birthday (and my 27th wedding anniversary).
Then again, my birthday is in late August so that would work, too.
Posted by: Y-not at July 27, 2011 07:26 AM (5H6zj)
I read this blog, where do you think I got my qualifications?
Posted by: mpurinTexas supports Rick Perry, bitch at July 27, 2011 07:27 AM (ignDe)
Have you considered writing for this blog?
This blog? Hell, son, you've got the qualifications necessary to advise the current administration.
Posted by: Jack at July 27, 2011 07:27 AM (8IAHO)
Does this mean that, come August 2nd, I won't have to pay any taxes? If not, then where does that money go?
There WILL be NO default. Stop falling for that lie. Stop repeating that lie.
Sorry but that was always a fundamentally unserious position.
Why? I think it is very serious. No more additional debt means an immediate balanced budget.
Posted by: blindside at July 27, 2011 07:27 AM (x7g7t)
Posted by: F--- Nevada! (I'm AoSHQ's DarkLord©, and I approve this message) at July 27, 2011 07:28 AM (GBXon)
Posted by: Jack at July 27, 2011 07:28 AM (8IAHO)
How about a new version of it passed in the House? IIRC it (CCB, right?) wasn't the perfect bill to begin with as it lacked some specificity. At least, that's the criticism I read at Chaffetz's page by his commenters.
How about the House says - no more legislation moves forward until we come up with a version of CCB that we can get passed in the Senate? What's more important than this stuff, anyway?
Posted by: Y-not at July 27, 2011 07:29 AM (5H6zj)
It would be totally awesome if a Perry announcement on Obumble's birthday distracted the MFM just long enough that they couldn't achieve orgasm.
Posted by: mpurinTexas supports Rick Perry, bitch at July 27, 2011 07:29 AM (ignDe)
Didn't this administration already set the precedent that unilaterally changing the terms of contracts are acceptable?
Not saying I agree with the principle, just saying that it's not like worse hasn't been already done for much worse reasons.
Posted by: krakatoa at July 27, 2011 07:29 AM (bbJJG)
it needs to be big and real. THAT would be a real victory. Let's see if that's what they come back with that in Bowhner 2.0. If so, I'm back on Team RINO. If not, book me a seat on the Purity Express.
Seat 36B. Middle seat, non exit row.
Posted by: Terry at July 27, 2011 07:29 AM (W1mrP)
Posted by: toby928™ at July 27, 2011 11:20 AM (GTbGH)
exactly!
Posted by: Shoey at July 27, 2011 07:30 AM (jdOk/)
"t's been clear for a long time now that Maine Republicans want to swap out Olympia Snowe for someone more conservative. Our newest poll in the state finds that hasn't changed: only 33% of primary voters in the state say they would support Snowe next year to 58% who prefer a generic 'more conservative candidate.'
The gripe with Snowe is pretty straight forward. 58% of primary voters think she's too liberal to 37% who think she's ideologically where she should be. Most GOP voters don't really think Snowe belongs in their party- 34% think she ought to be an independent, 33% think she should be a Democrat, and only 27% feel that the GOP is indeed her rightful place."
Sonwjob's husband has been caught with his hand in the federal education fund's cookie jar. Could be that she will be the next Arlen Spectre.
Posted by: FDR'Obama at July 27, 2011 07:30 AM (Hx5uv)
Posted by: Sukie Tawdry at July 27, 2011 07:30 AM (MPtFW)
god you rethugican'ts suck
here's a quick cut worth more
kill the 2.5 billion the feds are giving hawaii for high speed rail, we haven't started it yet and we (the voters) don't want it!!
that's how you do it
Posted by: navycopjoe (baracudus maximus is coming) at July 27, 2011 07:31 AM (R7NIt)
Posted by: joeindc44 at July 27, 2011 07:31 AM (QxSug)
The big danger right now is that Obamamba and Dirty Weed come out and say "We surrender! We'll accept the Boehner Plan."
Then they could schedule a quickie vote in the Senate by attaching it some other piece of legislation (assuming there even is another piece of legislation in the do-nothing Senate), and passing it as-is.
That would force the House to potentially vote against a GOP package, cooked up by the Speaker himself, and show the country a really desperate spectacle of the leadership whipping votes from Republicans. Talk about a political disaster.
Boehner better get his re-write done and introduced, but quick.
Posted by: MTF at July 27, 2011 07:31 AM (Zgu89)
The media will be celebrating Obama's milestone b-day for at least a week.
He is the dear leader, after all.
Posted by: soothsayer at July 27, 2011 07:31 AM (sqkOB)
Didn't this administration already set the precedent that unilaterally changing the terms of contracts are acceptable?
Not saying I agree with the principle, just saying that it's not like worse hasn't been already done for much worse reasons.
Posted by: krakatoa at July 27, 2011 11:29 AM (bbJJG)
right on
Posted by: Shoey at July 27, 2011 07:32 AM (jdOk/)
I will have you know that that $1 billion cut represents an overall budget reduction of 0.07%.
It sounds as though you dont believe this sounds like a serious first step in restoring fiscal sanity.
Posted by: steve at July 27, 2011 07:32 AM (nd0uY)
Posted by: Empire of Jeff, EXXXTREMIST at July 27, 2011 07:32 AM (lbo6/)
just remember, the American tax payer is going to get it dry.
Posted by: China at July 27, 2011 07:32 AM (8IAHO)
High speed rail to where?
I mean, wouldn't a little kiddie theme park train be able to go round and round in a big circle?
Posted by: mpurinTexas supports Rick Perry, bitch at July 27, 2011 07:32 AM (ignDe)
Posted by: Eric Cantor at July 27, 2011 11:12 AM (5H6zj)
Yeah, zero for Corporation for Public Broadcasting, zero for Acorn clones, zero for EPA, zero for Dep't of ED, zero for Dep't of Energy . . . .
Posted by: WalrusRex at July 27, 2011 07:33 AM (Hx5uv)
One question about the Reid plan. Did the CBO score that one, too, and, if so, how did it score in terms of real cuts? Did they call Reid out on the fake war savings?
Reid's plan is gimmicky on its face, gets Obama through the next election, and would likely make Boehner's score look wonderful. $1.7T of is plan is supposedly spending cuts, but we don't know what those would be or when they would occur. Boehner's proposal had more info, even if his staffers failed miserably at the execution of the same.
Posted by: 80sBaby at July 27, 2011 07:33 AM (o2lIv)
I disagree. That is the only serious position. Otherwise we will just continue spending until we collapse.
Out year cuts are as you note a joke. And cutting the budget by anything less then the *T* range is not enough.
Out of all the plans floated so fay, only leaving the cap where it is accomplishes that.
Posted by: 18-1 at July 27, 2011 07:33 AM (7BU4a)
I concur. Anytime Drew M is posting something like this the whole comment section becomes a nasty food fight. I'm staying out of it.
Posted by: mpfs at July 27, 2011 07:33 AM (iYbLN)
Memo to House GOP:
Come back to me when you get to $1.2T in cuts for FY 2011. That's a number we can start with on our way to $1.8T.
Posted by: Truman North at July 27, 2011 07:33 AM (G5JPI)
Posted by: joeindc44 at July 27, 2011 07:33 AM (QxSug)
Because then the cuts might actually happen, and God knows we don't want that to happen.
Posted by: DanInMN at July 27, 2011 07:35 AM (XqeyF)
Posted by: Y-not at July 27, 2011 11:29 AM (5H6zj)
The simple fact is we're not going to get a Democratic controlled Senate to sign onto the tea party economic agenda. You can tweak it all you want, they aren't going to pass it anymore than the House is going to pass a Senate plan if it had another trillion dollars in stimulus.
We simply don't have the governmental power to force our will upon them, nor they us. It's a stalemate. We need another election to break the tie and pick a course.
Posted by: DrewM. at July 27, 2011 07:35 AM (y07gN)
Are you serious? Hawaii was given high-speed rail money? To connect Honolulu with what?
Posted by: Waterhouse at July 27, 2011 07:35 AM (2sn+p)
Posted by: KG at July 27, 2011 07:35 AM (LD21B)
74 basically
and yeah, i'm about to go there
maybe its time to put a chick with hot legs in charge for once
hmmmmmm, who? i wonder
Posted by: navycopjoe (baracudus maximus is coming) at July 27, 2011 07:36 AM (R7NIt)
Why does Hawaii have 3 Interstate Highways?
Posted by: toby928™ at July 27, 2011 07:36 AM (GTbGH)
Why roll out 10 year plans when we know the Dems will never agree to anything meaningful? Why not focus on getting real cuts one year at a time and just keep holding the line on taxes?
Is there even a budget at this point?
Posted by: Y-not at July 27, 2011 11:16 AM (5H6zj)
Any plan that speaks of cuts occurring within a window of more than two years is simply not serious. Any Congress is incapable of having implemented plans they adopt over a longer time frame because the next truckload of clowns can discard or modify them to be completely meaningless.
Cut often, cut hard, and cut now ... or get the eff out of Dodge and we'll find adults who can carry the load.
Posted by: No Whining at July 27, 2011 07:36 AM (HmCnI)
"If you haven't read Gabe's piece in support of the Boehner Plan, it's well worth your time."
Not a chance. And I'm not even reading the rest of this post.
Posted by: soothsayer
Well I'll be. I actually did laugh out loud....
Posted by: Laurie David's Cervix at July 27, 2011 07:36 AM (EeYDk)
The simple fact is we're not going to get a Democratic controlled Senate to sign onto the tea party economic agenda. You can tweak it all you want, they aren't going to pass it anymore than the House is going to pass a Senate plan if it had another trillion dollars in stimulus.
Exactly. Just don't raise the debt limit, and we'll see what happens in 2013.
Posted by: Truman North at July 27, 2011 07:36 AM (G5JPI)
Option 1: An across-the-board 5% reduction for $.5trillion in debt limit.
Option 2: An across-the-board 10% reduction for $1trillion in debt limit.
Option 3: An across-the-board 15% reduction for $1.5trillion in debt limit.
And call the Dems bluff and let them poll it--say the GOP will support which ever option gets the highest aggregate support of at least 5 different polls. Fuck 'em with their own stick because psychologically and instinctively, the average person will always go with the middle option. With poll after poll showing the American people want a 10% reduction, force the Dems to argue against it.
Posted by: Jimmuy at July 27, 2011 07:36 AM (W789i)
Why does Hawaii have 3 Interstate Highways?
I think they're going to connect them to California eventually
Posted by: Truman North at July 27, 2011 07:37 AM (G5JPI)
I do, because I.AM.THE.JUGGERNAUT!
Posted by: The Debt Ceiling at July 27, 2011 07:37 AM (GTbGH)
For most of the day yesterday I was right there with Gabe. I thought Boehner's plan was the best we could do economically and politically. Cap, Cut and Balance wasn't resting, it wasn't pining for the fjords, it was and is...DEAD. We should congratulate the GOP for passing it, bank it as a campaign point and then face facts and move on.
Then the CBO score on Boehner appeared and I really regretted any support I offered.
My advice: follow George Costanza's opposite method.
The idea that we can't cut at least $500 billion right away is silly. To say we can't is accepting that the porkulus and TARP level of funding should be a permanent component of the budget going forward. Eliminate the remaining porkulus funds, eliminate TARP, go back to the 2007 or 2008 budget levels as a good start, and next budget we use that as our baseline and start cutting from there. This really isn't complicated.
Posted by: Ghost of Lee Atwater at July 27, 2011 07:37 AM (JxMoP)
Posted by: 80sBaby at July 27, 2011 07:37 AM (o2lIv)
Posted by: Drider at July 27, 2011 07:38 AM (HaJD9)
Posted by: joeindc44 at July 27, 2011 07:38 AM (QxSug)
Posted by: Waterhouse at July 27, 2011 11:35 AM
The beach.
Posted by: huerfano at July 27, 2011 07:38 AM (aZLY2)
Then let government special interests fight over it. The government is taking in significantly more money then it needs - but there is no incentive to remove programs that it does not.
Let Congressman John Doe explain why we funded Cowboy Poetry slams instead of finishing some long term public works project.
Because right now, he'll pay for both, and a bunch of other unneeded programs until we collapse...
Posted by: 18-1 at July 27, 2011 07:38 AM (7BU4a)
I don't see it so much as the purity express...I see it as the sanity express.
This crap has to stop somewhere.
Posted by: trainer at July 27, 2011 07:39 AM (Rojyk)
In 1974, while Nixon was weakened from the Watergate scandals and the Dems controlled Congress, they passed a law saying that, from now on, all budgets would START with the PROJECTED cost in all of the various give-away programs (wlfare, SS, Medicare, etc.) for the next 3 years and go up from there. That budgeting criteria is still in effect.
Therefore, regardless of what the politicos are arguing about, the budget will INCREASE over the next ten years by something north of 9 TRILLION bucks, IN THE BASELINE. The only cuts any of them can guarantee are those that are passed and controlled by this sitting Congress. Therefore, unless they are talking about an immediate 10 trillion dollar cut, its all smoke and mirrors.
The better battle is for a zero-based budgeting law that starts this year with the last budget prior to Obumble coming into office. That would have a real effect, not the least of which would be a start on controlling SS, Medicare, etc.
Posted by: Dennis at July 27, 2011 07:39 AM (BZs/S)
Posted by: MikeTheMoose at July 27, 2011 07:39 AM (0q2P7)
Why can't all Federal Departments with unspent budget money be told to return those funds to the Treasury. With the budget year drawing to a close there are many that have those funds. Too simple? I often hear about unspent stimulus money too - in the billions I believe. Where is that money in this equation. I'm sure that would qualify as a cut for Mr. Boehner.
Posted by: ol' miss at July 27, 2011 07:40 AM (i7LZB)
*yes, six percent
Posted by: laceyunderalls at July 27, 2011 07:40 AM (pLTLS)
Depending on how you look at it wouldn't it be funny if Boehner's plan passes/fails by one vote?
David Wu's (D-Rapist) vote.
Posted by: soothsayer at July 27, 2011 07:40 AM (sqkOB)
I think the Boehner bill is good, but for the first year. I agree with you all the new scoring should be fiscal 2012. I would like to seem them make symbolic cuts, I could live with 10 billion in the fiscal year we are CURRENTLY in. There has been no budget for Fiscal 2011, so why not just stop spending something, anything. Surely, they must feel some program is in immediate need of a cut of some type.
As for zero based budgeting, it would be too complicated to do every year, unfortunately. I do think every four years, every agency, department, program has to justify its continued existence and subsidy. This way every President in each term will have a real opportunity to get rid of things.
Posted by: Andy T at July 27, 2011 07:40 AM (y5bPZ)
Yes, they did, and yes, he made the same mistake using the earlier baseline. He will now have to modify his plan with more cuts.
I have a question. I keep hearing that the outyear cuts are meaningless, which is probably true. But that then implies that if we accept a flawed plan now, and get the Senate and presidency in '12, as seems increasingly likely unless we throw it away on a bitter split, why can't we modify the terms then to be more to our liking?
Eyes on the prize.
Posted by: pep at July 27, 2011 07:41 AM (GMG6W)
Budgetary law says the window is 10yrs. I agree, Congress needs to change it.
Posted by: 80sBaby at July 27, 2011 07:41 AM (o2lIv)
When I worked for the state, we had a use it or lose it budget. The net effect was to spend it all as fast as you can before the legislature takes it away.
Posted by: mpurinTexas supports Rick Perry, bitch at July 27, 2011 07:41 AM (ignDe)
Well, I've read in some places that a credit rating downgrade will add about $100B to interest payments. The Republicans ought to at least cut 2/12ths of that much this year ($16B) and add in that $100B to any previous target thought about for the 2012 budget. (As an aside, a 5% across the board cut for the remainder of this year would be about $32B [$3.8T x 2/12ths x 0.05 = $32B] which could be taken care of with a combination of cuts and pretty much a government wide furlough of one day a week for the rest of the year.)
As for front loading, or more accurately, current year loading, why don't they pass a bill to get us to October and then provide both a 2012 budget and a concurrent debt limit increase and leave it at that regardless of eventual revenues. This would also reduce the game playing with revenue projections -- too high a projection and they'll have to tighten belts as the year progresses; too low a projection and there'll be pressure to reduce the budget to shrink the deficit.
Posted by: Dusty at July 27, 2011 07:41 AM (h4S7u)
lets try some more
release all the tarp and stimulus funds not used and send them back to the treasury...there's several hundred billion right there
this isn't that hard rethugican'ts
Posted by: navycopjoe (baracudus maximus is coming) at July 27, 2011 07:42 AM (R7NIt)
The last time the government shut down, the Republicans picked up 3 Senate seats.
Let's try that again.
Posted by: toby928™ at July 27, 2011 07:42 AM (GTbGH)
Drew, I'm with you on the front loaded aspect of the deal.100 billion does not seem like a serious number, it won't for instance prevent a credit downgrade IMHO.
Drider-- the front end was ONE billion. Not 100.
Posted by: Truman North at July 27, 2011 07:42 AM (G5JPI)
Posted by: Y-not at July 27, 2011 11:29 AM (5H6zj)
The simple fact is we're not going to get a Democratic controlled Senate to sign onto the tea party economic agenda. You can tweak it all you want, they aren't going to pass it anymore than the House is going to pass a Senate plan if it had another trillion dollars in stimulus.
We simply don't have the governmental power to force our will upon them, nor they us. It's a stalemate. We need another election to break the tie and pick a course.
Posted by: DrewM. at July 27, 2011 11:35 AM (y07gN)
agreed, but i would put the focus on the GOP primaries, that's where the real battle is going to be, there are a number of long-serving GOP elders who need to be primaried out of office, and if you don't get them in the primaries you don't get them at all.
Posted by: Shoey at July 27, 2011 07:42 AM (jdOk/)
Posted by: cranky-d at July 27, 2011 07:43 AM (nRliU)
Posted by: Truman North at July 27, 2011 11:36 AM (G5JPI)
That''s the only way I see us getting any significant cuts. If it costs us seats, it is worth it. If it gains us seats, all the better.
We spent the Bush years slightly watering down the leftwing agenda - but still pursuing it - and all we got for it was Barack Obama. Why on earth should we try something different this time - like actually fighting for our principles?
Posted by: 18-1 at July 27, 2011 07:43 AM (7BU4a)
*cough*
Posted by: The Noble Filibuster, Defender of the Minority at July 27, 2011 07:44 AM (GTbGH)
Posted by: Waterhouse at July 27, 2011 11:35 AM (2sn+p)
The way things are going, the nearest volcano would not be a bad idea, high speed rail to DOOM!
Posted by: Red Shirt at July 27, 2011 07:44 AM (FIDMq)
So survival is now purity?
Its over. Plan for the Rebuild. Note well which jurisdictions, parties and "leaders" can do nothing but spend and borrow. And exclude them from your Rebuild Plan.
Posted by: glowing blue meat at July 27, 2011 07:44 AM (K/USr)
Are you serious? Hawaii was given high-speed rail money? To connect Honolulu with what?
Posted by: Waterhouse
R'lyeh, where Cthulhu sleeps....
Posted by: Laurie David's Cervix at July 27, 2011 07:44 AM (EeYDk)
But my mama said a commission would make all those cuts!
Posted by: Pippi Longstocking at July 27, 2011 07:46 AM (FlVA8)
The default is also not an issue, even the rating agencies have continually say the total debt and the deficit is the biggest problem, it is just that the MFM, including Fox, always leaves that out.
The problem is that we must do something to restore confidence in our T-Bills. Nobody is buying them right now so any new debt requires us to borrow money from our selves. IOW roll the printing presses.
And that is the real danger, not default, not the ceiling. It is runaway inflation.
Posted by: Vic at July 27, 2011 07:47 AM (M9Ie6)
Just imagine how interesting this all gets when some new calamity, (oh, lets say a mushroom cloud appearing over the desert at some test site in Iran), occurs. Of course we will just have to raise the debt ceiling clean without any cumbersome spending cuts to deal with the "New Crisis".
Posted by: Hammer at July 27, 2011 07:48 AM (hVGDL)
It seems to me that you don't need high speed rail in Hawaii.
2 supersized roller coasters ought to be able to do the trick.
Posted by: steve at July 27, 2011 07:48 AM (nd0uY)
Posted by: OkieTea at July 27, 2011 07:48 AM (YUwuZ)
The good options expired years ago, maybe decades. Now it's down to acceptable ones, and those are running out. Before long it'll be long pig or rat farming. (I have the options to stay off the menu, thankfully.)
We have met the enemy, and Pogo understated the problem.
Posted by: F--- Nevada! (I'm AoSHQ's DarkLord©, and I approve this message) at July 27, 2011 07:48 AM (GBXon)
I have seniority!
Posted by: HobGoblin: senior commenter and shop steward, local 373 at July 27, 2011 07:49 AM (LH6ir)
Have you two met?
Posted by: soothsayer
Think we ran into each other at last month's Esoteric Order of Dagon Beer and Brats party....
Posted by: Laurie David's Cervix at July 27, 2011 07:49 AM (EeYDk)
Posted by: pep at July 27, 2011 07:49 AM (GMG6W)
Posted by: Bob Saget at July 27, 2011 07:49 AM (F/4zf)
Ryan always disappears at crunchtime, or at least he did in the TARP Panic. No way he stands up to Cryin John and Eric the Wuss.
Posted by: glowing blue meat at July 27, 2011 07:50 AM (K/USr)
Of course we will just have to raise the debt ceiling clean without any cumbersome spending cuts to deal with the "New Crisis".
Posted by: Hammer at July 27, 2011 11:48 AM (hVGDL)
The standard operating practice of the addicted: "I'd have been completely off the stuff had it not been for { * insert name of a current and convenient "crisis" du jour here *}.
Posted by: No Whining at July 27, 2011 07:50 AM (HmCnI)
Posted by: DanInMN at July 27, 2011 11:35 AM (XqeyF)
This. I don't think any of them want *real* cuts; the closest it would be would be decreases in the rate of growth. As I said yesterday, even under Reagan the government still grew. Conservatives have never had anybody in the White House willing and able to make cuts in the spending; I assume Reagan wanted to but couldn't get Congress to go along.
Posted by: Captain Hate at July 27, 2011 07:51 AM (zsvKP)
His mistake was admitting $1T of his cuts were meaningless, then pointing fingers at the Rs for cheating when they have proof they did not cheat.
CBO apparently just scored the Reid plan. Didn't know that but it makes sense. Anyway, Reid is short $500B and that does not include war savings.
Posted by: 80sBaby at July 27, 2011 07:51 AM (o2lIv)
Posted by: Lavrenti Beria at July 27, 2011 07:51 AM (RD7QR)
I'm with you on what the size should be but the reality is: Democratic Senate and Obama in the White House.
Lots of people here are screaming "1 Trillion next year!". This is simply not in the realm of reality. Even the Ryan Plan doesn't get anywhere near that. If screaming, "I want to screw a supermodel" were all it took, I wouldn't be hear, I'd be...screwing a supermodel. Screaming doesn't change reality.
I said it last week on Twitter...we're likely to get down graded either way. If/when that happens, all the money Boehner's plan presumes to save from lower debt service on a smaller budget disappear anyway.
The whole thing is a sham. All we can do is embrace the DOOM.
Posted by: DrewM. at July 27, 2011 07:53 AM (y07gN)
Posted by: Lavrenti Beria at July 27, 2011 07:54 AM (RD7QR)
Posted by: that guy that doesn't read all the comments at July 27, 2011 07:54 AM (GTbGH)
Lots of people here are screaming "1 Trillion next year!". This is simply not in the realm of reality. Even the Ryan Plan doesn't get anywhere near that. If screaming, "I want to screw a supermodel" were all it took, I wouldn't be hear, I'd be...screwing a supermodel. Screaming doesn't change reality.
Don't raise the debt limit. That would cut spending 1.4-1.8 Trillion next year. You'd be up to your ass in supermodels.
Posted by: Truman North at July 27, 2011 07:55 AM (G5JPI)
Posted by: Drider at July 27, 2011 07:55 AM (HaJD9)
Posted by: Vic at July 27, 2011 11:47 AM (M9Ie6)
Yeah, I was talking to someone about that either via email or on Twitter.
Who exactly is going to buy this $1 trillion in new debt? Teh Ben Bernak, that's who.
Can I interest you in a nice cup of DOOM?
Posted by: DrewM. at July 27, 2011 07:56 AM (y07gN)
Where are the republicans? again?
Posted by: guess who? at July 27, 2011 07:56 AM (k1rwm)
Lots of people here are screaming "1 Trillion next year!". This is simply not in the realm of reality.
How much is spending cut if we don't up the debt limit?
Posted by: 18-1 at July 27, 2011 07:56 AM (7BU4a)
The ship of drunken sailors (no offense to sailors intended, just a metaphor) was docked in Washington D.C. - by the American voters - in November 2006. Another shipload was dropped off in 11/08. We managed to get a few of them back onto their ships in 2010, but drunken sailors still outnumber our MPs by 2-1 now. Like it or not, we are getting what the American people asked for in 2006 and 2008 and we cannot change that simply by holding our breath until we turn blue (well, maybe red). Two years ago all the talk was about how much money we should spend and how big the government giveaways should be; today we're talking about how big the spending cuts should be. That may be as far as we can go until 11/12 rolls around, but it's not nothing.
Posted by: jdp at July 27, 2011 07:57 AM (ktmaE)
Our elected political leaders have several priorities as they wrestle with this debt crisis issue:
1) protecting their personal seat in Congress
2) blaming the other side
I couldn't think of any others
nothing will be accomplished. we're doomed, boned, screwed, hosed, jacked, etc
I hate all politicians with the burning white hot intensity of a thousand suns
Posted by: Jones at July 27, 2011 07:57 AM (8sCoq)
Not to mention that it would probably need to circle the island about 3 times just to get up to speed.
Posted by: Dilligas at July 27, 2011 07:57 AM (HhjUQ)
Posted by: DrewM. at July 27, 2011 11:35 AM (y07gN)
No, we need a strategy to continue to show the American people that it is the failed policies of the current administration that is causing this catastrophe.
Keep them on their heels until November, 2012.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at July 27, 2011 07:57 AM (LH6ir)
Posted by: Empire of Jeff, EXXXTREMIST at July 27, 2011 07:58 AM (lbo6/)
Posted by: Truman North at July 27, 2011 11:55 AM (G5JPI)
It's a pretty picture you paint. Were but that it were true.
Alas, you seem to have left out the ensuing economic panic and accompanying depression that would follow. Otherwise, a great plan.
Posted by: DrewM. at July 27, 2011 07:59 AM (y07gN)
kill the 2.5 billion the feds are giving hawaii for high speed rail, we haven't started it yet and we (the voters) don't want it!!
High speed rail for Hawaii? Is this a joke? That would be like spending money on sand for Alaska's beaches. Or maybe more appropriately, money to build a port in Wyoming.
Posted by: yinzer at July 27, 2011 07:59 AM (/Mla1)
Posted by: navycopjoe (baracudus maximus is coming) at July 27, 2011 08:00 AM (R7NIt)
Sure, it's better than the Dems plan to piss all the country's money away on hookers and blow at the earliest available opportunity, but only moderately so.
Personally I'm getting to the place where the only acceptable solution is the bill that requires DC to be burned to cinders before salting the earth so that nothing ever grows there again as a warning to future generations to not fuck up so badly.
Posted by: Robert at July 27, 2011 08:00 AM (4q6A5)
Posted by: Chango Butt at July 27, 2011 08:00 AM (VSWPU)
I'm in a healthy position between purity and RINO, but if my options are a deal that cuts 1 billion dollars from next years budget or just letting this thing playout without raising the debt ceiling, I'm going with the latter.
I'm sick of these gimmicks.
I can't play along anymore. I've done to much for the Republican party to be shit on everytime it comes to getting what I want.
Spending cuts, that's it. That's what 2010 was about. Getting government under control.
And that sucker of cock Boehner actually puts out a bill that has less spending cuts next year than the democrats plan. What, did he think no one would fucking notice?
Boehner and McConnell either need to be primaries or at the very least be stripped of their leadership position.
Thank god for the freshman republican congressmen/women who are holding this up. At least they know why they were sent to Washington.
I'm more angry at Boehner than Obama right now.
Posted by: Ben at July 27, 2011 08:00 AM (wuv1c)
Posted by: t-bird at July 27, 2011 08:00 AM (FcR7P)
Posted by: guess who? at July 27, 2011 08:01 AM (k1rwm)
Posted by: 80sBaby at July 27, 2011 08:01 AM (o2lIv)
Lots of people here are screaming "1 Trillion next year!". This is simply not in the realm of reality.
political reality is not reality, it is the reality that politicians want you to accept because it's the reality they want but that doesn't make it real.
i'll tell you what is going to be real though, the misery and suffering caused by a government taking in only 2 trillion but spending near 4 trillion.
the damage caused by that brand of madness will be very, very real and it's coming soon.
Posted by: Shoey at July 27, 2011 08:01 AM (jdOk/)
Cut 5% per year until the federal budget is balanced.
NO exceptions.
Okay. But remember we are now spending 25% of GDP from a 20% base from 2007. The Dems are saying 25% is the new paradigm, the pubbies are nibbling at the edges. You can't grow out of this paradigm since it is the projected baseline that future years budgets will accept as baseline. The real question is what is this new 5% of GDP buying and who is getting it? I am pretty sure this new 5% of annual consumption contributes directly to our subpar economic performance. 5% of GDP is serious money and removing it from private consumption by definition means no real recovery and brings the specter of double dip into real focus. Ask yourself how do you stop the slide in home prices if 5% of GDP was removed from the housing market? You already have 3-4 year backlog in housing, so can you spark a housing recovery when there is even less money in circulation than in 2007? Dittos every industry.
Posted by: Sub-Tard at July 27, 2011 08:02 AM (0M3AQ)
Posted by: joncelli at July 27, 2011 08:02 AM (RD7QR)
Posted by: Dilligas at July 27, 2011 11:57 AM (HhjUQ)"
Obviously then we need a real straight bridge to California! Think of the union jobs!
Posted by: PJ at July 27, 2011 08:03 AM (FlVA8)
I have already make my travel arrangements. The game is over.
Posted by: the ensuing economic panic and accompanying depression at July 27, 2011 08:03 AM (GTbGH)
'Support' doesn't change the numbers.
If Boehner's staffers had been honest, it would have been a pretty good plan.
Posted by: 80sBaby at July 27, 2011 08:03 AM (o2lIv)
174 Spending cuts, that's it. That's what 2010 was about
to quote the next president (the one with the hot legs): you ignored us in 2010, you can't ignore us in 2012
Posted by: navycopjoe (baracudus maximus is coming) at July 27, 2011 08:04 AM (R7NIt)
Posted by: Captain Hate at July 27, 2011 08:04 AM (zsvKP)
Posted by: notthatGreg at July 27, 2011 08:05 AM (mv4RC)
Posted by: Drider at July 27, 2011 08:05 AM (HaJD9)
Posted by: DrewM. at July 27, 2011 11:59 AM (y07gN)
Really? So by ending the destructive spiral of never-ending budget deficits and borrowing we would instantly be thrown into depression? Care to explain the mechanism? And please explain how it will be worse than the fast-approaching alternative.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at July 27, 2011 08:06 AM (LH6ir)
Posted by: Vic at July 27, 2011 11:47 AM (M9Ie6)
This.
Whining about purity tests is just a passive-aggressive deflection of the fundamental flaw in one's own ideological underpinnings.
Purity is my way, 100% of the time. Most of the people who get called "purists" are anything but. Most are willing to negotiate on all manner of things.
But to be a true fiscal conservative, there is one hard and inflexible rule: You cannot spend more than you take in.
If this single principle is a step too far, than you are indeed working at odds with the foundations and future of this nation. Or any nation you happen to be in for that matter.
Welcome aboard the "Purity" train, Drew, for however long you choose to stay. I suggest you get to know your fellow-travelers a little better, and listen to the reasoning behind their ideas. They were right about Boehnor's Folly. This wasn't a one-off occurrence.
See, that's the handy thing about having, and living by, principles. Yes, the other "P" word that is so often derided.
When you have Principles, and when you exercise them, there is no need for worrying about whether the word "should" could possibly be construed or spun negatively. At the end of the day, your body of work will reflect the intent of your speech.
We are past worrying about whether we can win the next election. Within our lifetimes, we are facing financial ruin.
This is the hill on which we must make our stand. This has always been the hill. We can argue until we are blue in our collective faces over specific and foreign policies, and more power to those that wish to.
But unless our financial policies grant us sustainability, all those other arguments will become instantly moot.
This will always be the hill.
And if we cannot convince the majority, then we all deserve what is coming to us.
Posted by: krakatoa at July 27, 2011 08:06 AM (bbJJG)
Remember when winning the mid-terms would mean the end of the war in Iraq? The Democrats were going to cut funding! Bush would get his comeuppance!
How'd that work out for them?
Votes matter.
*The Democrats also had control of the Senate.
Posted by: DrewM. at July 27, 2011 08:08 AM (y07gN)
Do we have a financial problem or not?
What magic do they think America will be able to pull off next year or the year after?
forgetfullness? as forgetful as the american people are What will change ? employment numbers? Jobs, what?
Posted by: willow at July 27, 2011 08:08 AM (h+qn8)
I'm still grappling with the idea that borrowing less causes our credit rating to drop.
Posted by: toby928™ at July 27, 2011 08:08 AM (GTbGH)
In retrospect, Boehner should've called it quits after CCB passed the House.
All the while repeating: We did our job and passed a debt limit hike; look to Sen Reid when a default occurs.
Posted by: soothsayer at July 27, 2011 08:09 AM (sqkOB)
Posted by: Empire of Jeff, EXXXTREMIST at July 27, 2011 11:58 AM (lbo6/)
Not true. And besides, why would I listen to you, who want a blow-job from Obama!
"Then get down on your knees and suck my dick in front of all these people"Although...he might be quite good.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at July 27, 2011 08:09 AM (LH6ir)
When more than half of us are convinced those are unavoidable anyway, that argument kinda loses its potency.
Let's make this clear: The panic and pain are unavoidable. They are coming.
The only debate to have is whether we've laid the groundwork to rebuild. Washington's planting landmines instead.
Posted by: F--- Nevada! (I'm AoSHQ's DarkLord©, and I approve this message) at July 27, 2011 08:09 AM (GBXon)
I've heard it said that politics is the art of what is possible(or something to that effect).
Our financial situation transcends politics.
Are you a Republican? Great, we have a 1.4 Trillion dollar deficit this year, 14 Trillion in national debt and tens of trillions in unfunded liabilities.
Are you a Democrat? Great, we have a 1.4 Trillion dollar deficit this year, 14 Trillion in national debt and tens of trillions in unfunded liabilities.
Are you an Independent? Great, we have a 1.4 Trillion dollar deficit this year, 14 Trillion in national debt and tens of trillions in unfunded liabilities.
Our debt is objective. It exists regardless of your view of government or whether you acknowledge its existence.
It cannot be sustained and that which cannot last forever simply won't.
Posted by: Ben at July 27, 2011 08:09 AM (wuv1c)
Posted by: joncelli at July 27, 2011 12:02 PM (RD7QR)
I was thinking it was for hobo bait
Posted by: Red Shirt at July 27, 2011 08:09 AM (FIDMq)
Posted by: Andy at July 27, 2011 08:10 AM (5Rurq)
This is fucking stupid. It's as if people completely ignored what Reid and the Obama admin said yesterday. The Boehner plan, the one that sucked so much because it cut so little, WAS DEAD ON FREAKING ARRIVAL. Yet here we are, talking about cutting even more and acting like that will pass, as opposed to the dreaded CCB that will have no shot. It's just funny to me how Gabe and now Drew keep reminding us that CCB is DOA, while totally missing that the Boehner has been hit with the same label. They are pretending that somehow THAT bill passes, even though Reid and Obama have said no. Wishcasting of the highest order.
Folks, we are either going to hit August 2nd or we are going to pass a plan that honest-to-god raises taxes. There are no other options.
And with that, bring on August 2nd.
Posted by: Rich at July 27, 2011 08:10 AM (wnGI4)
I am good with saying CCB is our plan and calling it a day. If Obama wants to tell everyone their Social Security checks aren't going out because he wants a new train set or because ACORN can't be defunded then let him.
We either need to get a balanced budget amendment or a repeal of Obamacare or we haven't accomplished a damn thing that won't be undone as soon as they think we aren't looking.
All that it would take to pass CCB would be to convince JEF that his career is over otherwise and he will find 4-5 votes in the Senate. It's a long shot but it is the only shot we have right now. Everything else is just the proverbial deck chair rearrangement.
Posted by: Voluble at July 27, 2011 08:10 AM (JKX4x)
Remove the war savings and it's down to $1.2T. Another thing-- are they scoring from the January or April baseline? We don't even know exactly what they're scoring outside the war funding.
Posted by: 80sBaby at July 27, 2011 08:10 AM (o2lIv)
Posted by: joncelli at July 27, 2011 08:11 AM (RD7QR)
No, '12 is. We all agree on the goal. The only difference between the purists and the RINOs is tactics. Which is more effective, taking half a loaf now and probably the whole thing in '12, or reaching for it all now, and maybe failing completely.
Could we all just knock off the demonization for awhile. That's Harry and Barry's goal. Why play that game?
Posted by: pep at July 27, 2011 08:11 AM (GMG6W)
I no longer think that will work. Otrama with his back to the wall will embrace the phony 14th amendment crap and issue new debt (QE-III etc) based on that. He can do that because he knows he will NEVER be impeached no matter what illegal stuff he does.
During the election I said that Republicans could show him eating a live puppy with a dull spoon and he would still get votes from the Democrats.
That has not changed.
In short I think we are at the cusp of doom now and there is no success route.
Posted by: Vic at July 27, 2011 08:12 AM (M9Ie6)
Alas, you seem to have left out the ensuing economic panic and accompanying depression that would follow. Otherwise, a great plan.
Yeah, that's totally not going to happen anyway. I mean if we just let them win this with some minor cuts and win back the senate and presidency, the Republicans will totally fix all our problems.
I'm in the mindset that only the market is willing or capable of fixing our financial problems, and the sooner the better. The longer we put it off the more painful the correction will be.
Posted by: Ben at July 27, 2011 08:12 AM (wuv1c)
But I know I'm talking to a fence post. You seem to think there is some political maneuver that will make everything okay.
I repeat, with the exception of Monty, those who post here suck at math. You're living in your own fantasy world where increasing debt and spending year-over-year don't lead to a massive correction, complete with misery and deprivation.
You're so in love with the political process that you sneer at those who can add and subtract. How's that working out for you?
Posted by: Empire of Jeff, EXXXTREMIST
I third this motion.
Drew himself gives the game away. he noted that we'll probably see a downgrading anyway. Therefore, it's even more important that don't do anything else that's stupid politically and do the right thing fiscally.
1. The House has led, but the horse will not drink. it won't even commit pen to paper.
2. Several plans were presented and all were rejected for purely poitical reasons, and the desire for more power and taxes.
3. Anyone on the Republican side that uses the words "revenue enhancements" is fired. Instantly.
4. Reserve an office with room for the public and the media and invite the President to show up with spending priorities on 8/03. He gets to announce on camera what his objections are as to what will contniue to be funded, shared sacrifices, don't ya know.
Posted by: Blue Hen at July 27, 2011 08:13 AM (326rv)
Posted by: willow at July 27, 2011 08:13 AM (h+qn8)
Alas, you seem to have left out the ensuing economic panic and accompanying depression that would follow. Otherwise, a great plan.
--------
The hell is this? This is worse than the Obama rhetoric. Honest to god, why are so many on my side buying into this armageddon bullshit? Depression...from what will amount to a government shutdown? Good lord.
Posted by: Rich at July 27, 2011 08:14 AM (wnGI4)
Have we been offered half a loaf? I haven't seen even a crumb being tossed our way. And after the next election, the Democrats in the Senate will still have the filibuster to prevent undoing the time-bomb that is ObamaCare.
The bone is being prepared. Let the Debt Ceiling crash the status quo or buy some lube.
Posted by: toby928™ at July 27, 2011 08:14 AM (GTbGH)
(apologies to Peter Benchley)
Posted by: Andy at July 27, 2011 08:14 AM (5Rurq)
Posted by: t-bird at July 27, 2011 08:14 AM (FcR7P)
Posted by: joncelli at July 27, 2011 08:14 AM (RD7QR)
I am good with saying CCB is our plan and calling it a day.
Posted by: Voluble
................
Not quite.. The Republicans in the House also passed a budget for 2012 (Ryan's budget) that was rejected by the Senate.
The problem with our leadership is that we need to tell Obama to stuff it. We sent you plans and you guys reject them. Come up with something better that isn't just some savings ten years out.
Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at July 27, 2011 08:15 AM (f9c2L)
Posted by: t-bird at July 27, 2011 08:15 AM (FcR7P)
Posted by: Empire of Jeff, EXXXTREMIST at July 27, 2011 08:15 AM (lbo6/)
'Support' doesn't change the numbers.
If Boehner's staffers had been honest, it would have been a pretty good plan.
Posted by: 80sBaby at July 27, 2011 12:03 PM (o2lIv)
if his staffers are to blame for all his mistakes why doesn't he get new staffers?
face it, his staffers do as they are directed and he does the directing.
none of the Old Guard want to really cut anything, they can't, they are addicts and just like any addict they will claim up, down and all over the place that they simply MUST have their drug of choice or the sky will fall.
addicts do whatever they have to do to get what they want - how is that different than the behavior displayed by the congressional leadership?
Posted by: Shoey at July 27, 2011 08:16 AM (jdOk/)
Will it be worse than the depression and economic panic that this insane spending will bring on us and the perversion of America that comes with an overspending federal government?
Posted by: progressoverpeace at July 27, 2011 12:06 PM (G/MYk)
I for one welcome the perversion of America.
Posted by: David Wang Dang Sweet Wu-tang at July 27, 2011 08:16 AM (8ieXv)
i like this except for the whate ifs. I'm actually afraid we cannot hang on for very long at this rate, and many people are already suffering out there.
i'd really like this train to be stopped
Posted by: willow at July 27, 2011 08:17 AM (h+qn8)
Prediction: Pain.
Posted by: toby928™ at July 27, 2011 08:17 AM (GTbGH)
We may well be past the point of no-return. We likely are.
At this point our only hope is sustained and robust economic growth WHILE significantly cutting back the cost and scope of government.
We simply aren't going to get those things with Democrats running the Senate and Obama in the White House.
I don't know that we can put off the moment of DOOM long enough to give us a chance to get to those places but I'd like to try and do everything that's practical to give us a shot.
Posted by: DrewM. at July 27, 2011 08:17 AM (y07gN)
Posted by: DrewM. at July 27, 2011 11:59 AM (y07gN)
We are giving away almost twice as much as we are taking in. How could there not be pain in stopping.
But the problem is reality intrudes. It will stop. The only question is how much damage will we do to ourselves before stopping?
It is very much like drug addiction. Withdrawal sucks. But it sure beats choking to death on your own vomit at 27.
Posted by: 18-1 at July 27, 2011 08:18 AM (7BU4a)
Posted by: Rich at July 27, 2011 08:18 AM (wnGI4)
Posted by: Chango Butt at July 27, 2011 08:18 AM (VSWPU)
Posted by Drew at 11:37 (# 87):
The simple fact is we're not going to get a Democratic controlled Senate to sign onto the tea party economic agenda. You can tweak it all you want, they aren't going to pass it anymore than the House is going to pass a Senate plan if it had another trillion dollars in stimulus.
We simply don't have the governmental power to force our will upon them, nor they us. It's a stalemate. We need another election to break the tie and pick a course.
But Drew, there is simplicity in this whole issue - the "do-nothing" approach. If nothing is passed, then there is no debt ceiling increase. The only bills that can be paid are those they actually have the revenues for. IF they choose to spend it on items other than debt service and choose the option of default, it will be the executive branch's choice to default.
Again, simply stated - nothing needs to be passed for what amounts to a $1.5 trillion dollar budget cut to occur. To me, that is the starting point of negotiations - numbers that start with a T on a first year basis and definitely not some number that only starts with a B.
The house needs to pass a spending prioritization bill. One that lays out certain minimum items that the revenue must be used for first. Hit up all the major items - servicing the debt, SS, medicare, and military to take away 'talking points'. Then allow executive discrection for any additional revenue that is left over after paying those bills in order.
Once they pass this bill and send it to the senate, they speak into any microphone that they can and note that they have offered plans to avoid default and to assure that SS and medicare recipients will get 'their' checks - but, the senate won't even allow a vote on it. Force the democrats to explain why it's a bad idea to allow CCB to be voted on, why the prioritization bill shouldn't be voted on, etc.
Posted by: Dilligas at July 27, 2011 08:18 AM (HhjUQ)
If nothing is passed, we get 4 more years of Obama.
Pass me the Purity Bong.
Posted by: cherry π at July 27, 2011 08:19 AM (OhYCU)
Posted by: Empire of Jeff, EXXXTREMIST at July 27, 2011 12:15 PM (lbo6/)
And sucking off the butcher for some meat trimmings. If he gets his way, he be doing both, but mostly the "sucking off" part.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at July 27, 2011 08:19 AM (LH6ir)
Ben, what we are dealing with here is a perfect engine, a spending machine. It's really a miracle of evolution. All this machine does is tax and spend and borrow us into oblivion, and that's all.
I agree, that's why I've come to the conclusion that only the market will correct this. It's become clear that the political parties won't/can't do anything about it.
We're arguing about a few billion dollars on this message board.
A. Few. Billion. Dollars.
That's like arguing over a few thousand dollars when buying a several hundred thousand dollar house.
I understand that the correction is going to be terrible. People will be broke, homeless, lose everything, maybe even starve in some situations, there will be violence, etc etc.
I get it. It's terrible. I wish we weren't at this point, but we are. If we let this continue the correction will only be worse.
Consider how many people are dependent on government largess now versus 10-20 years ago, now imagine 10-20 years into the future. Do you think it will be easier to have it taken away from them now or in 10-20 years.
Posted by: Ben at July 27, 2011 08:19 AM (wuv1c)
Posted by: willow at July 27, 2011 08:20 AM (h+qn8)
Too bad nobody in Washington cares anymore. As Nicholson's Joker would say, 'This town needs an enema!'
Posted by: F--- Nevada! (I'm AoSHQ's DarkLord©, and I approve this message) at July 27, 2011 08:20 AM (GBXon)
OT - China says rebuilt aircraft carrier for research
Here is another reason we have to get out proflagate spending ways under control - all that interest we pay on the debt China lends us helps them do this kind of "research".
Do we want to fund a blue-water fleet for the Chi-Coms?
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at July 27, 2011 08:21 AM (9hSKh)
Posted by: Empire of Jeff, EXXXTREMIST at July 27, 2011 08:22 AM (lbo6/)
By continuing the status quo, and admit it, one billion or 100 billion in cuts, the status quo continues. The Plans don't do the job.
It will not work.
At worst, we could just send up a clean 500B DC increase and say That's it for the next 12 months, live with that.
Posted by: toby928™ at July 27, 2011 08:22 AM (GTbGH)
Posted by: progressoverpeace at July 27, 2011 12:16 PM (G/MYk)
Good lord, it's not that your opinions are so stupid (though they certainly are) it's all the facts you think you know.
Let's compare the parts of your comment that I bolded with the actual words of the Constitution, shall we?
Article 1, Section 7:
All bills for raising revenue shall originate in the House of Representatives; but the Senate may propose or concur with amendments as on other Bills.
Bills for raising revenues, not spending, must start in the House.
Posted by: DrewM. at July 27, 2011 08:22 AM (y07gN)
Jim Jordan apologized after one of his staffers was caught sending emails to primary some of his colleagues. Some lawmakers might quit RSC because of it.
Posted by: 80sBaby at July 27, 2011 08:22 AM (o2lIv)
Posted by: Warren Bonesteel at July 27, 2011 08:22 AM (E7Z1r)
And I have a 14-inch penis. If you measure from the far rim of my asshole.
We need leadership that is willing to drive this point home.
Posted by: yinzer at July 27, 2011 08:23 AM (/Mla1)
release all the tarp and stimulus funds not used and send them back to the treasury...there's several hundred billion right there
this isn't that hard rethugican'ts
Posted by: navycopjoenavy , why that's way wrong, I'm sure those funds are gonna be used for something waaaay more important and stuff.
Posted by: willow at July 27, 2011 08:23 AM (h+qn8)
I don't know that we can put off the moment of DOOM long enough to give us a chance to get to those places but I'd like to try and do everything that's practical to give us a shot.
I can respect that, but given what we've seen, I'm beginning to think that if we take all three branches of government in 2012 that the Republicans won't reduce the size of government at all. I think their actions over the past few decades have shown that to be true.
I am starting to agree with Andy and Monty that the governments growth is unstoppable whether run by democrats or republicans.
I'm not optimistic that things get considerably better in the Republicans win.
I don't think they will repeal Obamacare, I don't think they will reform or cut SS or Medicare.
I simply don't see it.
Posted by: Ben at July 27, 2011 08:24 AM (wuv1c)
The Federales can do a whole lot of things to increase revenue without increasing taxes.
1. Open Alaska to oil production (even Jimmy Carter did this) sparks productive use of things and people and reduces cost of fuel which lowers the cost of manufacturing and transportation.
2. Build Something (hotwire Nuclear Power Plant construction with tax gimmes and mandates; push offshore drilling, there be a whole lot of jobs involved building rigs)
3. Sell something (i.e., SSA sells Treasuries - lowers debt limit and pays beneficiearies; Dept of Interior sells Fed Lands raises revenue to pay down debt)
4. Cut something (slash the EPA, do away with Commerce Department, close military bases in Europe - WTF is NATO for?; oh yeah, kill Obamacare - who runs up the credit cards when they face loosing their job - Obama thats who)
5. Establish Merit Metrics for all entitlement programs (student loans only for proven academic performance and only for critical skills; who needs womyn studies professors?; public work requirements for all welfare checks - yeah the unions will whine but who needs to pay union wages to clean grafitti off of public buildings - its a twofer - clean building and a citizenry who shame grafitti?)
Simple steps that result in less spending, more revenue and less debt. Oh yeah, you get a market rally as soon as you do these things. Funny how real leadership working with free markets can turn things around fast.
Posted by: Sub-Tard at July 27, 2011 08:24 AM (0M3AQ)
Consider how many people are dependent on government largess now versus 10-20 years ago, now imagine 10-20 years into the future. Do you think it will be easier to have it taken away from them now or in 10-20 years.
There's a step before "a government big enough to give you everything you want is big enough to take it all away", and that step is that the government is big enough to "bless" it's faithful with nearly everything they desire but isn't yet big enough to take it from them (i.e. deprive them).
Greece...and the US are at this point.
/Apologies to Mark Steyn, from whom I stole this thought from,
.
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at July 27, 2011 08:25 AM (9hSKh)
air up your tires, that should take at least You and one union member
Posted by: willow at July 27, 2011 08:25 AM (h+qn8)
Posted by: Oldsailor's poet at July 27, 2011 08:26 AM (ZDUD4)
Ben, you're responding to a scene in Jaws.
The least you could do is sockpuppet 'Hooper.'
the government will catch that shark for you, it'll cost you 10 billion dollars, but they'll get it alright
Posted by: Ben at July 27, 2011 08:26 AM (wuv1c)
Simple steps that result in less spending, more revenue and less debt. Oh yeah, you get a market rally as soon as you do these things. Funny how real leadership working with free markets can turn things around fast.
Posted by: Sub-TardAll excellent suggestions all, but the key is that we have to run out of money first. As long as the Feds can borrow, they will not consider any alternatives.
Crash the status quo and an entire world of options becomes viable.
Posted by: toby928™ at July 27, 2011 08:27 AM (GTbGH)
Boner made a tactical error with his 2 tier plan. The 2 tier concept was fine. The details stink. By putting his cuts in Tier 1 on the backend, where a future Congress could ignore them, he created an unserious plan. A plan sure to lead to a credit downgrade. If by some miracle this plan did make it to Obama’s desk, and he signed it – downgrade. GOP’s fault. See, the intransigent GOP held the Dims hostage, but “for the good of the country”, the Dims “compromised” ……….
Maybe the GOP could “compromise”, “for the good of the country”, and let Reid’s bill pass. Downgrade. Dims’ fault.
Posted by: jujitsu at July 27, 2011 08:27 AM (ucq49)
This is really the crux of the matter isn't it. Do we have time to get the commies out of power AND will be able to get Republicans who will actually cut?
My thought is that if we continue printing money under what ever new name they have for it we will not. We already have real inflation at 10% by the end of QE-III it would probably be at 25% and QE-IV 70% (expotential rise).
At that point, or most likely before, we will go to a barter economy. That is otherwise know as collapse.
Posted by: Vic at July 27, 2011 08:29 AM (M9Ie6)
I'm with Empire of Jeff on his last comments.
It isn't a cut unless it gets us below the amount of money we take in.
Posted by: Ben at July 27, 2011 08:30 AM (wuv1c)
Posted by: The Poster Formerly Known as Mr. Barky at July 27, 2011 08:31 AM (qwK3S)
Posted by: President Chet Roosevelt at July 27, 2011 08:31 AM (ZyaF6)
You have now cut 135 billion...........leaving you 1.265 Trillion short.
So, where is the rest coming from?
The real question I posed in an earlier post is where is the 5% of GDP increase in spending from 2007 to today going? Answer that and then you will know what to cut. Dems want a Fedzilla that consumes 25% of GDP. The old time tested number was 18% of GDP. So where is this 5% going?
Posted by: Sub-Tard at July 27, 2011 08:32 AM (0M3AQ)
Edit-- It reads like "primary" but what Jordan did was ask outside conservative groups to pressure those in RSC who are leaning towards supporting the Boehner rewrite. It's his job to pressure his own people.
Posted by: 80sBaby at July 27, 2011 08:32 AM (o2lIv)
Posted by: Ben at July 27, 2011 12:24 PM (wuv1c)
You'll be happy to know I've been working on a post about that very subject.
And yeah, I agree.
Posted by: DrewM. at July 27, 2011 08:33 AM (y07gN)
No, it's not "mis-wording' your entire premise falls apart because you envisioned an imaginary power in the Constitution.
Posted by: DrewM. at July 27, 2011 08:34 AM (y07gN)
If nothing is passed, we get 4 more years of Obama.
Pass me the Purity Bong.
Posted by: cherry ð
Really? Prove it. My take on it for the poli-sci groupies is this:
1. One of these pieces of crap does nothing other than provide political CYA.
2. We still take the downgrade hit and Obama and the MFM use the plan as a weapon (it failed, it didn't do what they said it would do, if only they had listened to us)
3. A piece of crap passes, for some reason we don't get hit with a downgrade and Obama takes the credit).
4. We refuse to take the bait. And we formally cannot borrow any more. In practice, we already are running out of buyers for our debt. At that time, SS and the military are getting paid. Obama is still defending Obamacare. Reid is still defending coked up cowboy monkey poets. And the Tea Party still exists.
Posted by: Blue Hen at July 27, 2011 08:35 AM (326rv)
That's not true AT ALL. THE CBO scoring started with the April deal as a baseline. So the cuts are over and above what was agreed to previously.
Krauthammer has an excellent point on this:
Right now Obama and the Democrats own this economy lock, stock and barrel. Look at the polling on who voters trust on the most important issues of the day: economy, spending, debt. Republicans are walking away with it.
If we default or there are consequences to taking this too far, then Obama and the Democrats will be able to claim that Republicans killed their recovery with their refusal to compromise on the debt ceiling.
Like it or not, we DON'T control the House and the White House and there's NOTHING we can do to change that until November 2012. Even if we got Democrats to agree to bigger cuts, that's chump change compared to what can be done if we retake the Senate and the White House.
So, quit looking at the short run, and look at the long run. Which is more important? Making Obama bite on a couple billion of dollars today while letting him keep his job in 2012, or giving up a rounding error in spending to retire him?
I understand the impulse. I really do. But there comes a point where you say "We have gotten as much as we can REALISTICALLY expect to get given the current political environment and without damaging our brand by pushing too far.
It's akin to Ace's argument about trying to flip from blue to red. First, you have to accept that that everybody that DOESN'T ALREADY AGREE WITH YOU is going to have to adjust to purple first.
Arguing for purity has its time and place. That place is where that fight for purity doesn't hurt the larger fight for your greater principles.
The pragmatist has to look at the latest Boehner deal (after he adjusts it for the CBO scoring) and say: we have reached the absolute farthest point at which we can pass a bill with Republican support. Democrats will NOT support anything more conservative to this. Anything more conservative WILL NOT PASS no matter how hard you might wish that it would.
Get what you can. Get out before you make the Republican brand toxic with the moderate Democrats and Independents you will need to retire Obama.
Use your heads. No, not the one where you whip it out and try to compete to see which of you is the biggest, baddest conservative. The one that actually understands reality and ACTUALLY wants to beat Obama and the Democrats in 2012 rather than wind up crying on election night because we made the mistake of not declaring victory and moving on when we had the chance.
Posted by: Jim B at July 27, 2011 08:35 AM (QD3//)
Posted by: 80sBaby at July 27, 2011 12:22 PM (o2lIv)
So fucking what? Do they really think it's essential to the country that they stay in their jobs thanks to running as unopposed as possible? And that they need to air their outrage at a time like this? What a bunch of fucking twats; they deserve to be primaried based on that alone.
Posted by: Captain Hate at July 27, 2011 08:35 AM (zsvKP)
You'll be happy to know I've been working on a post about that very subject.
And yeah, I agree
I look forward to reading it.
I've been thinking about the subject for some time now.
Posted by: Ben at July 27, 2011 08:36 AM (wuv1c)
"House Republican leaders are looking for deeper cuts rather than a reduction in new debt authority as they rewrite Speaker John BoehnerÂ’s (R-Ohio) debt ceiling bill, the partyÂ’s top vote-counter, Majority Whip Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.), told The Hill on Wednesday."
Better, but let's see it first.
Posted by: 80sBaby at July 27, 2011 08:38 AM (o2lIv)
Posted by: Stephen Price Blair at July 27, 2011 08:39 AM (7Ahkq)
Not your point I know, but how much economic activity is that $40B restricting right now?
Posted by: 18-1 at July 27, 2011 08:39 AM (7BU4a)
god you rethugican'ts suck
here's a quick cut worth more
kill the 2.5 billion the feds are giving hawaii for high speed rail, we haven't started it yet and we (the voters) don't want it!!
-----
Your governor could reject it. But if Hawaiians are too sucky to elect a governor who will do that (which puts them below New Jerseyas, btw), then that's your problem.
Posted by: Y-not at July 27, 2011 08:40 AM (5H6zj)
Posted by: Sub-Tard at July 27, 2011 08:41 AM (0M3AQ)
Posted by: DrewM. at July 27, 2011 11:59 AM (y07gN)
As opposed to the larger economic panic and accompanying depression that will come later, when there is nobody to loan any more money? At some point, we are going to have to dramatically cut entitlement spending by 20% or more, might as well be this week.
Posted by: Vashta.Nerada at July 27, 2011 08:42 AM (jqLfq)
Posted by: 18-1 at July 27, 2011 12:39 PM (7BU4a)
I tried to make that point last night; 40B is a drop in the bucket compared to how they've shackled the economy and benign acts of private citizens on their own property.
Posted by: Captain Hate at July 27, 2011 08:42 AM (zsvKP)
Remember "interest rates" on T-Bills are not really tied to the "economy". In theory they are tied to what buyers at the auction are willing to pay. Currently the federal government is unwilling for any short term T-Bills to have much above zero. (because of the debt)
That is the whole problem. NOBODY will buy them at zero now. That is nobody but Taxcheat Timmy and the printing presses.
Posted by: Vic at July 27, 2011 08:43 AM (M9Ie6)
And yeah, I agree
And if they don't cut then, then all aboard!
Posted by: pep at July 27, 2011 08:43 AM (GMG6W)
I misread it the first time since it reads like primary, wic was my mistake. What he asked these outside groups to do is pressure is colleagues to vote no. The point is that, as head of RSC, it is Jordan's job to talk to his people and apply pressure to them that way instead of demanding outside help to twist arms. He and his deputies need to do that themselves, if that's the way they feel. Being head of RSC gives him certain responsibilities.
Posted by: 80sBaby at July 27, 2011 08:45 AM (o2lIv)
Posted by: DrewM. at July 27, 2011 11:26 AM
You know, it's not really dead as long as we remember it
Posted by: Dr Leonard McCoy at July 27, 2011 08:45 AM (so1xa)
Why, because it's "too big?"
To do a big budget each project manager budgets from zero, moves that up to the next level manager, and so on and so on. If they can do it every four years, they can do it every single year.
Posted by: Y-not at July 27, 2011 08:46 AM (5H6zj)
"House Republican leaders are looking for deeper cuts rather than a reduction in new debt authority as they rewrite Speaker John BoehnerÂ’s (R-Ohio) debt ceiling bill, the partyÂ’s top vote-counter, Majority Whip Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.), told The Hill on Wednesday."
Better, but let's see it first.
Posted by: 80sBaby at July 27, 2011 12:38 PM (o2lIv)
and they'll look and look, then throw their hands up and say "There's nothing left to cut, everything we are doing now is so important, so nescessary, has so much progressivey goodness we just can't stop doing it"
why? because that's what addicts do - justify their behavior.
Posted by: Shoey at July 27, 2011 08:47 AM (jdOk/)
"My followers?"
"Your creditors."
Posted by: Abdominal Snowman at July 27, 2011 08:47 AM (rVfMa)
"Jordan has come under pressure from leadership because RSC staff has been found pushing a no vote on the Boehner plan via email to outside groups.
Jordan said he has apologized to fellow members and did not know RSC staff was sending the emails."
/The Hill
Posted by: 80sBaby at July 27, 2011 08:48 AM (o2lIv)
Posted by: rightwingva at July 27, 2011 08:48 AM (pDXql)
Posted by: Oggc at July 27, 2011 08:50 AM (yMeZt)
Posted by: 80sBaby at July 27, 2011 12:45 PM (o2lIv)
Thanks for the correction which I noted after you previously mentioned it but it was after what I posted. Still I'm not as upset as you are by what Jordan did and don't have that much of a problem with him urging others to pressure them. Even if your opinion is correct on that, I still think the members cause more damage to the party as a whole by whining about it to outsiders. Whatever happened to the concept of suffering in silence?
Posted by: Captain Hate at July 27, 2011 08:51 AM (zsvKP)
Introduce a new term to the fight.
FREEZE.
Freeze spending at 2008 levels and pass it. That is the last budget, and the Dems loved it so much, they didn't bother to pass another one.
I don't know how much it 'saves' but its gotta be more than 1 freaking billion.
Posted by: The Schwalbe : © at July 27, 2011 08:52 AM (UU0OF)
Folks, we are either going to hit August 2nd or we are going to pass a plan that honest-to-god raises taxes. There are no other options.
And with that, bring on August 2nd.
Posted by: Rich at July 27, 2011 12:10 PM (wnGI4)
-----
Blood. Turnip. Assembly.
Posted by: Y-not at July 27, 2011 08:53 AM (5H6zj)
Posted by: Merovign, Dark Lord of the Sith at July 27, 2011 08:54 AM (bxiXv)
Posted by: Merovign, Dark Lord of the Sith at July 27, 2011 08:58 AM (bxiXv)
Posted by: mpfs at July 27, 2011 12:56 PM (iYbLN)
I dont know...the 'vacation' that Monty was on was rumored to be a big renovation at DOOM mountain hide-away
Posted by: Red Shirt at July 27, 2011 08:58 AM (FIDMq)
I'm not sure who told and they also should have kept it in the room. But this stunt by this RSC staffer apparently had the opposite effect and some members are rethinking their positions. Furthermore, while I understand Jordan's position, he-- like Boehner-- has an obligation to do his job. He needs to talk to his people and convince them as to why his position is the right one.
Posted by: 80sBaby at July 27, 2011 09:03 AM (o2lIv)
It isn't the Boehner plan vs. some imaginary conservative's "wet dream" bill.
It's a binary choice. One or the other.
If you're against the Boehner plan, then by default you're for the Reid plan. Because that's what going to pass if the Boehner plan passes. There are enough Democrats and Republicans from blue/swing districts that will vote for the Reid bill rather than be held responsible for a default or financial crisis.
Those are your choices.
It really is that simple. Do you want the Boehner plan which doesn't go far enough, or do you want the Reid plan which guts defense?
Make a choice. It really is that simple.
Posted by: Jim B at July 27, 2011 09:04 AM (QD3//)
Posted by: Merovign, Dark Lord of the Sith at July 27, 2011 09:04 AM (bxiXv)
FREEZE.
Freeze spending at 2008 levels and pass it. That is the last budget, and the Dems loved it so much, they didn't bother to pass another one.
I don't know how much it 'saves' but its gotta be more than 1 freaking billion.
The "Ryan" budget does that before lowering spending to '06 levels. Why Boehner doesn't try using those numbers is beyond me.
Posted by: 80sBaby at July 27, 2011 09:07 AM (o2lIv)
Posted by: Drider at July 27, 2011 09:07 AM (HaJD9)
Posted by: Jim B at July 27, 2011 09:09 AM (QD3//)
/Andrew Stiles
Posted by: 80sBaby at July 27, 2011 09:10 AM (o2lIv)
If we apply that standard then everything else that is being proposed is radical in that it only makes the problem worse or kicks the can down the road... which effectively makes things worse since it is like your ass being on fire and you decide to try to fan it for a little while longer instead of dousing it with water.
Everyone thought the world would come to an end when we laid off the air traffic controllers or when we did welfare reform. Both were painless in the end. This will be a little tougher but it is inevitable.
BTW, I am certain Obama is innumerate. He NEVER gets anything right if it involves numbers and that includes his own birth date. We got a real winner in this one folks.
Posted by: Voluble at July 27, 2011 09:10 AM (JKX4x)
Posted by: Drider at July 27, 2011 09:11 AM (HaJD9)
FY 2008 budget was a total of 2.902 Trillion.
Estimated Government (Federal ) receipt for 2011 is 2.173 Trillion (per usgovernmentrevenue.com)
Well thats a good start. Start the FREEZE campaign now. Rename the bill Freeze, Cap, and balance and let the Dems try to explain their stupid accounting gimmicks. When they say cut, just say no we are FREEZING, no cuts.
Posted by: The Schwalbe : © at July 27, 2011 09:12 AM (UU0OF)
Posted by: Merovign, Dark Lord of the Sith at July 27, 2011 09:12 AM (bxiXv)
O.K., let me know when Obama agrees to defund Obama care as part of a deal. Let me know when the Senate Democrats agree to do that.
Posted by: Mallamutt, RINO President for Life at July 27, 2011 01:04 PM (OWjjx)
The second part of that might come to pass; and it might depend on how this whole debt ceiling thing plays out. I'll state again that the fact that neither the Maine twins, Scott Brown, Lugar, Graham nor McCain broke with the party is a clear sign of how this issue is being regarded even in liberal states. Sooner or later, the Senate dems will be concerned about their political future; and the ones up for election in 11/12 will be the soonest. Obamacare has consistently polled very poorly and the longer the economy stays in the toilet, the longer the attitude will persist or grow.
Posted by: Captain Hate at July 27, 2011 09:15 AM (zsvKP)
Either you will be forced to eat the dogshit, or you will be forced to pig vomit a la carte.
There are no brown bags. There is no "kiddie menu."
Two plans are on the table: Boehner's and Reid's.
Democrats WILL vote for Reid's which means it WILL pass the Senate. They will ALSO vote for it in the House and ENOUGH Republicans WILL vote for it in the House because they represent blue/swing districts. That means it WILL pass. That means the president WILL sign it.
Game over.
You lose.
You could have at least gotten what Boehner was offering. But you were too pure, too good, so much better than everyone else.
And you lost.
Congratulations.
Posted by: Jim B at July 27, 2011 09:15 AM (QD3//)
Ever thought of doing your own homework? Great, here ya go.
Second, you realize that GDP isn't a constant, right?
Posted by: weft cut-loop at July 27, 2011 09:18 AM (DEcmU)
Posted by: jujitsu at July 27, 2011 09:18 AM (ucq49)
Posted by: Drider at July 27, 2011 09:19 AM (HaJD9)
Posted by: Merovign, Dark Lord of the Sith at July 27, 2011 09:20 AM (bxiXv)
Posted by: mpfs at July 27, 2011 12:56 PM (iYbLN)
ack, Hell He will make us pop out kids like a Pez dispenser!
Posted by: willow at July 27, 2011 09:25 AM (h+qn8)
But it doesn't change the FACTS. The FACTS are that they WILL vote for Reid's bill. I'm telling you that now. You threatening Boehner or all the other Republicans is ludicrous.
Boehner is the one who knows the vote counts. He knows what the most liberal members of his caucus are going to do. You evidently are living in a world of denial if you think any differently.
You don't control the Senate. You don't control the White House. You want a big win? Then win the Senate and the White House. But killing yourself arguing over a rounding error in multi-trillion dollar budgets is ludicrous when you put it up against the possibility of losing wide open opportunities to win control over everything and creating REAL change.
I'll make you a promise: If the Republicans have control of everything, and they STILL won't give conservatives what they want, then I'll be calling for their heads too. But acting like a rabid attack dog mindlessly lashing out at your allies for doing the best they can do under the circumstances isn't helping YOU get what you REALLY want.
Seriously. We're on the same side here. I'm not happy about the Boehner deal either. CCB was a GREAT solution, and I WISH we had the votes to pass it and sign it into law. But WE DON'T.
Take a deep breath and step back from the tree to look at the forest. There's a bigger war than this battle, and the same guys that you're threatening and slamming today are going to be your biggest allies in the next 16 months.
If you make it clear to them that they can't count on you (even if you make it clear that you want more along the way), then you know what happens? They say screw it and start cutting easy compromise deals. Because if you're going to slam them ANYWAY even when they've done their best, why bother listening to you at all?
Step away from this from a second, and hopefully you'll decide to save some of that obvious passion and energy for the next battle. There are going to be lots of them, and we need to keep pulling Republicans as far right as POSSIBLE at every opportunity. We wouldn't have even gotten the Boehner plan if we weren't.
But, all that being said, we can't toss away our credibility and common sense in a futile effort to get something which we never had a chance of getting in first place.
Posted by: Jim B at July 27, 2011 09:31 AM (QD3//)
The Reid plan guts defense. Guts it.
That's how he got his savings.
Is that what you want? What sort of topping would you like on your pig vomit?
Posted by: Jim B at July 27, 2011 09:33 AM (QD3//)
Posted by: Presnit Bootsy McTwinkletoes at July 27, 2011 09:34 AM (/ZZCn)
Remind me again what President Dole's biggest accomplishments in office were?
Posted by: Jim B at July 27, 2011 09:39 AM (QD3//)
Posted by: Merovign, Dark Lord of the Sith at July 27, 2011 09:41 AM (bxiXv)
Posted by: Drider at July 27, 2011 09:42 AM (HaJD9)
Posted by: Merovign, Dark Lord of the Sith at July 27, 2011 09:43 AM (bxiXv)
Posted by: Merovign, Dark Lord of the Sith at July 27, 2011 09:45 AM (bxiXv)
Those Republicans that you're so down on have gone from going along with more and more spending increases to at least cutting. It's a step. It's not enough. But it's a start. You don't get from 0-60 in a heartbeat. Even in Bughatti.
You keep going. You keep making your case to the public and convincing THEM to go along with you.
But you're TRYING to die on a cross here when you don't have to. And what happens after you give up? The other guy wins because you've abandoned the field - which is exactly what you're advocating doing here by giving up on a very winnable opportunity to retire Obama and make Reid the minority leader. (And he probably wouldn't even be that as Democrats would likely elect Schumer as Minority Leader instead.)
Posted by: Jim B at July 27, 2011 09:50 AM (QD3//)
Should I keep going?
You want the country to burn down around you so you can claim moral superiority for having died on this hill? Fine. Then keep on going and torpedo any chance at a Republican becoming president in 2012.
You go ahead and try to get those things done with Obama still in office.
Let me know how that works out for you.
Posted by: Jim B at July 27, 2011 09:53 AM (QD3//)
Well, if it is done on the same basis as these plans being put forth now... that is to say it is multiplied over ten years... then you are at $1.35 trillion and you have done it painlessly. See how easy that was? Plus you have saved the country all of the job killing side effects that those programs cause and deprived the enemy of one of their prime propaganda arms. This is the difference between cutting entire programs or departments and just kind of wink, wink, nudge, nudge cutting.
Even just looking at the savings this year it is a good start on getting us where we need to be. Eliminating the EPA would really be a money maker since it is responsible for a good portion of the sluggishness and uncertainty in the economy now but you would have more of a political fight over that.
Posted by: Voluble at July 27, 2011 09:53 AM (JKX4x)
The same is true in 2008. If not for Palin exciting the base, it would have been a runaway almost no matter who ran for Republicans. So McCain ended up winning in a weak field. Our best potential candidates said "No thanks. I'm not going to take one for the team."
So you're arguing a nullity. That's not a real argument.
Posted by: Jim B at July 27, 2011 09:57 AM (QD3//)
Okay... let's forget deficit cutting talks. Lets get to the real meat of the situation - lets talk debt cutting. Any takers?
It appears to me that, until there is a plan to start eliminating the debt, the credit rating of the US will be in jeopardy of being downgraded.
Any thoughts on how to reduce the debt without eliminating the deficit?
Posted by: Dilligas at July 27, 2011 09:58 AM (HhjUQ)
Posted by: Drider at July 27, 2011 09:58 AM (HaJD9)
Posted by: Merovign, Dark Lord of the Sith at July 27, 2011 09:58 AM (bxiXv)
Posted by: Merovign, Dark Lord of the Sith at July 27, 2011 10:00 AM (bxiXv)
But I'm assuming we're talking about doable things here like ObamaCare repeal, rolling back regulatory overreach, cutting spending, reforming entitements, etc. which can be done and a victorious Republican presidential candidate could legitimately argue that he had a mandate to implement.
But hey, I'm always up for a beer, and we can always switch to Valu-Rite later in the evening before the mandatory hobo hunt.
Posted by: Jim B at July 27, 2011 10:02 AM (QD3//)
What I DID argue is that you've won AS MUCH AS YOU CAN this round.
You're not going to KO a federal system that has been decades in the making with a single bill. Especially when you don't have the votes in the Senate or the presidency.
Winning a boxing match is one round at a time. You judge who won by seeing who is left standing after 15 rounds. 2010 was round one. 2012 will be round two.
You want to throw in the towel after only one round has been fought because you didn't knock your opponent out. I'm saying we have a long fight left to go and we haven't even had the chance to start landing body blows yet.
Posted by: Jim B at July 27, 2011 10:05 AM (QD3//)
Posted by: Merovign, Dark Lord of the Sith at July 27, 2011 10:12 AM (bxiXv)
We actually GAINED 2 senate seats in 1996, though we lost 8 in the house, we kept control of it and Dole lost the presidency to Perot and Clintern.
Point is, it was not the huge armageddon that the media tries to remember it being. In fact it could be a win since 8/435 is less than 2/100.
Posted by: The Schwalbe : © at July 27, 2011 10:15 AM (UU0OF)
Posted by: Drider at July 27, 2011 10:27 AM (HaJD9)
So you don't know the difference between a revenue raising bill and a spending bill?
You may have missed it but the GOP has been pretty clear that this bill DOES NOT RAISE REVENUE, therefore Reid's plan (which is all cuts) can start in the Senate.
This is why I generally ignore you.
Posted by: DrewM. at July 27, 2011 10:37 AM (y07gN)
Posted by: Jim B
Dude, in one breath you fear a government shutdown will destroy the Republicans (presumably just like it did in 1996 when they gained 3 Senate seats) and prevented Dole from defeating Clinton, and then in the next breath you say squishy Dole would have lost no matter what.
Quit digging.
Posted by: toby928™ at July 27, 2011 10:41 AM (GTbGH)
Posted by: mastour at July 27, 2011 10:41 AM (kkG60)
Posted by: Merovign, Dark Lord of the Sith at July 27, 2011 11:09 AM (bxiXv)
377
Try telling that you Congress. Somehow they won't accept and never have accepted your interpretation. Both plans are something Elmer Gantry would be proud of. But only the feeble minded believe in magic beans.
The debt would be about (if projections are accurate) 23 billion as opposed to Obama's claimed 24 billion in ten years.
That's why you are generally ignored.
Posted by: Molon Labe at July 27, 2011 02:49 PM (g5MrG)
"Out Years Are For Suckers"...
Drew, I love this... Can I steal it? It would make a great title for a journal article I'm working on
Posted by: Meezle at July 27, 2011 03:24 PM (wxFLE)
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Posted by: Y-not, pragmatist at July 27, 2011 07:09 AM (5H6zj)