June 07, 2011
— rdbrewer Dan Boren will announce later today that he will not seek reelection in 2012, a serious blow to Democrat efforts to retake the House. Oklahoma has five seats, and this is the only one held by a Democrat. Boren, a 37 year old conservative who bucked Pelosi's leadership, won comfortably last November with 57% of the vote. Although anyone named Boren as always been a safe bet for reelection in Oklahoma--his father, David Boren, served as governor and senator--the southeastern Oklahoma district, "Little Dixie," is not safe and went for John McCain by a 2-1 margin in 2008.
From The Hill:
The decision came as a surprise to Oklahoma Democrats and threatens the party's ability to hold the Republican-leaning seat."I never had any idea that he was not planning to run for reelection," said Wallace Collins, the state party chairman.
The 2nd district went for Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) in 2008 by more than 30 points.
Boren was one of the few Blue Dog Democrats to survive the GOP wave in 2010.
The four-term incumbent bucked his party on healthcare last year and voted against the Democrats' reform bill. He subsequently faced a primary challenge, which he easily survived. He handily won reelection in November with 57 percent of the vote.
Because of Boren, this has been regarded as an easy hold for Democrats. Now it is an easy GOP pickup. It could be that Boren is reading the tea leaves differently than most. And it could be the start of a trend for "safe" Blue Dogs. More from the Washington Post.
Update: Commenter "Quilly Mammoth" points out that the seat was formerly held by Brad Carson, a strong Democrat, who appears to be interested in running again. So I may have been too quick to call it an easy GOP pickup. Regardless, Carson will have a tough fight on his hands with this president and this economy.
Posted by: rdbrewer at
09:55 AM
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Posted by: BuddyPC at June 07, 2011 09:59 AM (N/Bgb)
Posted by: t-bird at June 07, 2011 09:59 AM (FcR7P)
Posted by: rdbrewer at June 07, 2011 10:01 AM (s2WKl)
Posted by: Bevel Lemelisk at June 07, 2011 10:03 AM (FkKjr)
With that, you have no Democrats left due north from Dallas, Tx to Canada/ND.
Posted by: CAC at June 07, 2011 10:04 AM (JEVge)
Yup, this '012 election is looking more and more like a blowout for the Dims.
Although you'll never hear that from the MFM. Oh, they might just let one or two stories out that aren't all that bad, but no one over there will put anything together that might lead their loyal (and brainless) viewers to think that The Vapid One® is vulnerable in any way.
This is going to be a landslide rejection of Obama and the left that will border on Biblical proportions. It had better be if we have any hope of survival. We've got to hold the House and take the Senate and the WH in order to stop the damage that the JEF has engineered during his reign of terror these last two years.
Posted by: BackwardsBoy at June 07, 2011 10:05 AM (d0Tfm)
Posted by: joncelli at June 07, 2011 10:06 AM (RD7QR)
Well, generally a "blue dog" is just a Democrat that will demand a bribe before voting with Nancy Pelosi.
Perhaps not true of Boren, but the public paying attention to how their representatives *vote* instead of what they say is what will end the Blue Dog lie.
Posted by: 18-1 at June 07, 2011 10:06 AM (7BU4a)
Posted by: t-bird at June 07, 2011 10:06 AM (FcR7P)
The name is Weiner, not Obama wingnut. Oh wait, you said rejection. Sorry, misheard you.
Posted by: Tony Weiner at June 07, 2011 10:07 AM (7BU4a)
The names of the participants and their exact comments may have been slightly altered.
Posted by: Oklahoma State GOP Chair to Democrat Chair in a tweet at June 07, 2011 10:07 AM (agD4m)
Is it possible some Democrats, and even Republicans are getting out now because of what's coming down the pike?
Who wants to be holding the hot potato when economy completely crumbles?
Well, except for all the out of work people who would love to eat that hot potato.
Posted by: Ben at June 07, 2011 10:08 AM (wuv1c)
Posted by: t-bird at June 07, 2011 10:08 AM (FcR7P)
Posted by: BackwardsBoy at June 07, 2011 02:05 PM (d0Tfm)
For a decade. With Conservatives. Not RINOs.
Posted by: Boehners a Weiner at June 07, 2011 10:09 AM (dh5Eu)
With that, you have no Democrats left due north from Dallas, Tx to Canada/ND.
We've finally split the country geographically down the center! It's all going according to Clarence Thomas's plan..
Posted by: Ben at June 07, 2011 10:09 AM (wuv1c)
http://blog.atimes.net/?p=1806
My Thoughts:
*Obama's own idiocy may spare us his own second term
*socialism's damage to people and cultures is even worse then its damage to economies.
*Europe is about to sell out its workers to China to bail out its banks who are heavily exposed to propping up the PIIGS welfare states.
*China is not a straight line, they are getting a new leader soon, they will get much more aggressive. (like any Marxist shithole they have a constant tug of war between two pit bulls on a thin rope leash of the "violence at home" ruling Party and the "violence abroad" Army)
Posted by: shiggz at June 07, 2011 10:09 AM (mLAWK)
Posted by: palerider at June 07, 2011 10:09 AM (dkExz)
Posted by: t-bird at June 07, 2011 10:10 AM (FcR7P)
Posted by: Boehners a Weiner at June 07, 2011 10:12 AM (dh5Eu)
Posted by: Hans Guderian at June 07, 2011 10:13 AM (agD4m)
Screw visiting. I want some of their drugs.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at June 07, 2011 10:15 AM (LH6ir)
Posted by: A Balrog of Morgoth at June 07, 2011 10:15 AM (agD4m)
Posted by: joncelli at June 07, 2011 10:16 AM (RD7QR)
Posted by: Totally Hawt Honey Badger at June 07, 2011 10:18 AM (GvYeG)
Posted by: Vic at June 07, 2011 10:19 AM (M9Ie6)
Posted by: Mary Clogginstein -- Proud Resident of Brattleboro, VT at June 07, 2011 10:23 AM (48wze)
The guy who is an enrolled member of the Cherokee Nation in a district that is predominately Native America? Have you heard of that guy, ace?
Did you know that 14 of the 16 remaining Democrat State Senators are in OKD2?
Did you know that the redistricting plan gives D2 a stronger Dem base in order to protect Sullivan and Lucas?
Did you know any of those things before you jumped on The Dumbass Pundit Bandwagon?
No, you read the tweets from twits, looked at a RedStates map and declared victory.
It isn't going to be easy at all to beat Carson. You and the rest of the conservative punditry ought to stop blowing each other this early.
Posted by: Quilly Mammoth at June 07, 2011 10:25 AM (he7jI)
Posted by: t-bird at June 07, 2011 10:25 AM (FcR7P)
Well, except for all the out of work people who would love to eat that hot potato.
Actually, those hot potatoes will be the side dish for the politicians responsible for this that we'll be eating. While the meat is guaranteed to be quite gamey (however well-marbled from inactivity), that's nothing that can't be cured with our New and Improved Valu-Rite Hobo Marinade, available in stores now!
Posted by: BackwardsBoy at June 07, 2011 10:27 AM (d0Tfm)
Posted by: t-bird at June 07, 2011 10:28 AM (FcR7P)
And Boren didn't read the tea leaves, he is sick and tired of asking for money all the time. He's been bitching about this for several years. Recently so much that he wants a COnstitutionl Amendment to make donation only form "in district" voters.
Posted by: Quilly Mammoth at June 07, 2011 10:30 AM (he7jI)
Posted by: t-bird at June 07, 2011 02:28 PM (FcR7P)
Well, and I contributed to Boren's challenger. That work for you??
Posted by: Quilly Mammoth at June 07, 2011 10:31 AM (he7jI)
Well whoo hoo hoo, look who's all fancy with his facts and well reasoned arguments and stuff. Next thing you know, you might cause some of us to think or something.
What are you, some kind of troublemaker?
Posted by: Chariots of Toast at June 07, 2011 10:31 AM (XyjRQ)
Some random trivia: Rep. Ryan's wife is Rep. Boren's cousin.
Posted by: Miss'80sBaby at June 07, 2011 10:33 AM (2wfuC)
Leadership matters. We need some.
Posted by: Bob Saget did not send you that picture of his weiner at June 07, 2011 10:36 AM (F/4zf)
NOPE. Boren got 75% of the last primary vote. Honestly, the guy is tired of fund-raising. He's made no secret of it.
Posted by: Quilly Mammoth at June 07, 2011 10:38 AM (he7jI)
Posted by: rdbrewer at June 07, 2011 10:40 AM (s2WKl)
Posted by: rdbrewer at June 07, 2011 10:45 AM (s2WKl)
Posted by: Quilly Mammoth at June 07, 2011 10:46 AM (he7jI)
Who says the Rats are gonna take the House the "Toe Sucker Morris or OReally?
if the Repugs cain't win in this climate with the socialists in all out destroy America mode then we're screwed.
We should easily take House and Presidency unless the Repugs are a totally useless bunch of whimps and bawl babys crying at the mere mention of their name and are too useless to fight, fight, fight, come fight with me.
Yep we're screwed!
Posted by: concealed Kerry or submitt at June 07, 2011 10:47 AM (vXqv3)
Posted by: deadrody at June 07, 2011 10:49 AM (l9UkQ)
One is Gabrielle Giffords, who is not in a position to do anything anytime soon.
Of the other 23, the only ones I see as being somewhat safe are people whose membership in the caucus is a bit of a joke, like Loretta "Don't let the Vietnamese take this seat!" Sanchez. A lot of other ones, like Heath Shuler (NC), Mike Ross (AR), and Jim Matheson (UT) may be in deep trouble.
Posted by: Brandon In Baton Rouge at June 07, 2011 10:53 AM (UvFnc)
Giffords is NOT one of those rarities of a real bluedog. She voted with Pelosi on almost every issue. Her ratings were 13/20.
Posted by: Vic at June 07, 2011 11:01 AM (M9Ie6)
Giffords is NOT one of those rarities of a real bluedog. She voted with Pelosi on almost every issue. Her ratings were 13/20.
I'm not commenting on whether she was legit or not, just addressing the fact that she's got a bunch of medical problems she's dealing with as a result of her injuries. She'll be lucky to take care of herself again, let alone run for high office outside of being used as a prop.
Posted by: Brandon In Baton Rouge at June 07, 2011 11:04 AM (UvFnc)
Posted by: Jean at June 07, 2011 11:04 AM (WkuV6)
Posted by: Quilly Mammoth at June 07, 2011 11:09 AM (he7jI)
Posted by: rdbrewer at June 07, 2011 11:27 AM (s2WKl)
Posted by: rdbrewer at June 07, 2011 03:27 PM (s2WKl)
Well yes, I can. That part about well-financed? Zero help from NRCC. Thompson spent, iirc, $50k to Boren's $1.8M. OKD2 needs teh kind of attention that more high profile races received. Which it won;t if the conservative punditry mark this in the "won" category.
BTW: LATImes says it's official Carson is running
Posted by: Quilly Mammoth at June 07, 2011 11:52 AM (he7jI)
Posted by: rdbrewer at June 07, 2011 12:00 PM (s2WKl)
Posted by: Grim at June 07, 2011 12:46 PM (wzp4i)
Posted by: Totally Hawt Honey Badger ben Election DOOM! at June 07, 2011 01:51 PM (GvYeG)
Posted by: CAC at June 07, 2011 02:11 PM (lap0q)
New PPP poll for SC
It shows Romney in the lead, then Palin. The surprising thing was Newt not placing in the 0.0001 percentage. That just shows that its all name recognition and people are not paying attention. Newt will get to skate on all those gaffs because the tree fell in the forest and nobody was listening.
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The Dems think they have a shot at re-taking the House?
I really do wish I could visit Pelosi's home someday.
I've heard that Fantasyland is awesome.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at June 07, 2011 09:59 AM (WRW1S)