September 03, 2011

Dr. Doom Says We're Screwed
— rdbrewer

Nouriel Roubini, a/k/a "Dr. Doom," went on Bloomberg TV to make his latest predictions about the world's economy:

WeÂ’ve reached a stall speed in the economy, not just in the U.S., but in the euro zone and the UK. We see probably a 60 percent probability of recession next year, and, unfortunately, weÂ’re running out of policy tools.....and sovereigns cannot bail out their own distressed banks because they are distressed themselves.

(Emphasis mine.) At the Ambrosetti Forum in Italy, Roubini said in an interview with CNBC that the situation is worse that 2008, that this time there is fiscal austerity and that banks "are being cautious."

Business Insider says Roubini has been predicting a double dip recession for four years, however, and adds:

Remember, this is the traditional summer doldrums, and markets are still reeling from the unprecedented downgrade of the U.S. debt by S&P, black swans flocking in Europe certainly has only added to the market turmoil and volatility. So it is logical to see some mixed and somewhat pessimistic data coming out of this current environment, but they are not indicative enough to extrapolate out a recession.

They go on to remind us that 2012 is an election year and that "the Fed, the Obama Administration, and the Democratic Party will pull out all the stops to stave off a downright recession." But I wonder if the Fed belongs on that list.

Follow me on Twitter.

Posted by: rdbrewer at 05:57 AM | Comments (118)
Post contains 248 words, total size 2 kb.

1 Well if we've reached a "stall speed" in this country, hopefully there's a "stick pusher" installed to get us back on speed again.

Posted by: learflyer at September 03, 2011 06:02 AM (9vscO)

2 Obama is a SCOAMF.

Posted by: John P. Squibob at September 03, 2011 06:02 AM (kqqGm)

3 BTW i'm not buying the bullshit that we ever got out of the first recession. 

Posted by: learflyer at September 03, 2011 06:03 AM (9vscO)

4 The Keynsians sure hope sso......they love the hum of the press going 88 mph.....right Marty?

Posted by: sven10077 at September 03, 2011 06:03 AM (AEIYh)

5 Our situation is different.  We can just print as much money as we want with absolutely no ramifications whatsoever.

Posted by: The Office of the President at September 03, 2011 06:03 AM (Yd5KG)

6 Unfortunately the airplane is only 50 ft. off the ground. Push the stick forward and we're still doomed.

Posted by: John P. Squibob at September 03, 2011 06:04 AM (kqqGm)

7 3 learflyer, Depends on whether you count a seedcorn driven climb of the dow as "honest growth"......I don't and if the current President had an "-r" by hiss name neither would the press

Posted by: sven10077 at September 03, 2011 06:06 AM (AEIYh)

8 It would only be bad if we intended to pay out on our debts.

Posted by: Gerbil Malodor at September 03, 2011 06:07 AM (EF7U+)

9 5 he certainly thinks so......paging helicopter ben bukake....

Posted by: sven10077 at September 03, 2011 06:07 AM (AEIYh)

10 8 you always wind up either paying or paying for your debts

Posted by: sven10077 at September 03, 2011 06:09 AM (AEIYh)

11 It would only be bad if we intended to pay out on our debts.

Well, that's a good point.  I'd be far less concerned about escalating credit card debt if I knew all along I was going to default.  Speaking of which, I think I'll mosey over and apply for a BoA Platinum while there's still time ....

Posted by: The Office of the President at September 03, 2011 06:10 AM (Yd5KG)

12 What, we ran out of other people's money? Who woulda thought?

Posted by: Zombie Margaret Thatcher at September 03, 2011 06:13 AM (nDHWL)

13 I'm not worried at all because I have a great business idea.  I'll sell individual fresh fruit at myriad locations in the city, say on a street corner.  Could be any fruit, but I think I'll start with apples.  Maybe charge $0.05 apiece.  It can't miss. 

Posted by: pep at September 03, 2011 06:13 AM (6TB1Z)

14 3 BTW i'm not buying the bullshit that we ever got out of the first recession.

I live in Michigan.

We're in the "Obama Depression."

Although, as expected, the upper union zombies still support Prez Downgrade.

Posted by: shibumi at September 03, 2011 06:13 AM (z63Tr)

15 Hmmmm, this sounds promising.  

Posted by: Zombie Hitler and Mussolini at September 03, 2011 06:14 AM (6TB1Z)

16 Speaking of screwed, someone posted this on Wretchard's blog and in many ways, it does speak to our current situation.  Grind through to the 1:20 point, it's worth it:

Leeroy Jenkins!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LkCNJRfSZBU

"Least I have chicken"

Posted by: Additional Blond Agent at September 03, 2011 06:15 AM (uehxp)

17 Cool - I love how you put the comments in a gray box - a Gloom 'n Doom Weekend to you, too!

Posted by: Chuckit at September 03, 2011 06:15 AM (xMdWQ)

18 I hope this is where the unicorns and hope come into play.  I've been Really interested in seeing all those dreamers- dreams come true.


Posted by: willow at September 03, 2011 06:15 AM (h+qn8)

19 jinxed it

Posted by: Chuckit at September 03, 2011 06:16 AM (xMdWQ)

20 I'm not dead yet. I'm getting better. I don't want to go on the cart. I feel fine. I think I'll go for a walk. I feel happy. I feel happy.

Posted by: Margaret Thatcher at September 03, 2011 06:16 AM (qZb8X)

21 Obama is a stuttering clusterf*ck of a miserable failure.

Posted by: steevy at September 03, 2011 06:17 AM (1Nzoh)

22 pep, why not offer more tempting items like tarps and duct tape a sure winner for our futuristic lifestyle.

Posted by: willow at September 03, 2011 06:17 AM (h+qn8)

23 I think they should sell commercials for the SCOAMF speech thursday. Msybe Trumpka could pitch the need for a strike at Ford. Thats what we need right now, a catchy new "look for the union label" song

Posted by: Mayday! Mayday! at September 03, 2011 06:18 AM (nDHWL)

24 If they are working toward collapse and unrest they're doing a great job.

Posted by: dagny at September 03, 2011 06:18 AM (R6Ct+)

25 What do you guys think about more stimulus?  I don't like it, since I've pretty much lost faith in economists' ability to properly tweak the economy.  They don't tweak, it seems, they meddle.

Posted by: rdbrewer at September 03, 2011 06:18 AM (S/Ars)

26 dagny, yes, either this is a most idiotic administration or the most malicious.

guess it doesn't matter both lead to the same end.

Posted by: willow at September 03, 2011 06:19 AM (h+qn8)

27 Being a zombie is like being a lady. If you have to tell people you are, you aren't.

Posted by: Margaret Thatcher at September 03, 2011 06:19 AM (qZb8X)

28 They would try to stave off a recession if they didn't want one.

Posted by: USS Diversity at September 03, 2011 06:20 AM (aD5Kx)

29 What do you guys think about more stimulus?  I don't like it, since I've pretty much lost faith in economist's ability to properly tweak the economy.  They don't tweak, it seems, they meddle.

Posted by: rdbrewer at September 03, 2011 10:18 AM (S/Ars)

Stupidity:  Doing the same thing over and over again, expecting a different result.

It didn't work the first time and it won't work the second time.

Posted by: Tami at September 03, 2011 06:20 AM (X6akg)

30 This lady is not for turning over in her grave. Yet.

Posted by: Margaret Thatcher at September 03, 2011 06:20 AM (qZb8X)

31

Don't worry about it, Obama's pals can orchestrate another financial crisis just like 2008 after McCain took the lead in the polls, thus making sure Obama get re-elected.

At 2 minutes, 20 seconds into this C-Span video clip, Kanjorski reports on a "tremendous draw-down of money market accounts in the United States, to the tune of $550 billion dollars." According to Kanjorski, this electronic transfer occured over the period of an hour or two.

http://tinyurl.com/64fgujq

Oh, wait, you mean it doesn't work if you are already in office? Who knew? Funny how this story of sovereign level funds being extracted at the same time has never been really investigated by the media. Anywhere. Scary stuff.

 

Posted by: Lord Humungus Wasteland Teahadi at September 03, 2011 06:21 AM (Yv6gq)

32 rdbrew, what would they stimulate next?

i assume it would be along the lines of a vegetarian shop. you know for the good of the children . and hell if you demand everyone eats  their peas we will be great people and Successful

Posted by: willow at September 03, 2011 06:21 AM (h+qn8)

33 25 RDBrewer,

the ONLY stimulus that can work is stimulating Barry via his terror at losing his job being impeached to reining in EPA and then waiting to see which businesses are competiong well unaided and keynesianing in efficiency aiding improvements to their material flow.....

probably giving grants to US based resource exploitation companies to start harvesting the untapped resources on federal preserves as well....

so it is about as likely as me getting to nail Aneglina Jolie

Posted by: sven10077 at September 03, 2011 06:22 AM (AEIYh)

34 We desperately need a governmental version of the Hippocratic Oath-first of all, do no harm.  Government almost always violates this precept when manipulating the economy.  Obama's whole reason for being is that he will take from some people and give to others who haven't earned it. 

Posted by: pep at September 03, 2011 06:23 AM (6TB1Z)

35 28 USS diversity,

no I think they finally grasp if things don't improve the Donkey party is in for a "lost decade" of their own....

a lot of the working poor seem convinced here in Souther Indy metro finally that he has NO IDEA what he is doing

Posted by: sven10077 at September 03, 2011 06:24 AM (AEIYh)

36 so it is about as likely as me getting to nail Aneglina Jolie

Funny story.

Posted by: Will Folks at September 03, 2011 06:24 AM (6TB1Z)

37 25 What do you guys think about more stimulus?  I don't like it, since I've pretty much lost faith in economists' ability to properly tweak the economy.  They don't tweak, it seems, they meddle.

Economists are the smartest people on earth, outside of our Lord Barack.

Yes, of course QE + Infinity will work.

It is also widely known and accepted in the elite circles that  a hurricane that kills  thousands millions in republican districts would stimulate the economy, as would an invasion by ET that kills thousands millions in republican districts.

Posted by: Paul Krugman, Nobel Prize Winner at September 03, 2011 06:25 AM (z63Tr)

38 I'm all for stimulus as long as it ends with me wiping my Johnson on the drapes.

Posted by: Osama bin Truck Monkey, TEArrorist at September 03, 2011 06:25 AM (jucos)

39 34 Pep,

they'd happily take the oath and then get to vote buying(which is all the welfare state is) within a millisecond of giving you the oath

Posted by: sven10077 at September 03, 2011 06:25 AM (AEIYh)

40

College football all day long, wife in NYC, nothing to do but watch, eat, drink, repeat...

Posted by: Lincolntf at September 03, 2011 06:26 AM (Qjh0I)

41 It's an adrenaline rush to see who could hit bottom faster my family or my neighbors.

Posted by: willow at September 03, 2011 06:27 AM (h+qn8)

42 37 Klugman,

on the next episode of Quincy! Nobel Economist I will give the post-mortem on a fool who honestly thought he was smarter than 330 million people and had a better grasp of their individual economic situation than they do!

//tune in

Posted by: sven10077 at September 03, 2011 06:27 AM (AEIYh)

43 Lincoln, she didn't misplace the remote for you?

Posted by: willow at September 03, 2011 06:28 AM (h+qn8)

44 41 Willow,

what was that horrid speed rip-off?

TERMINAL VELOCITY!

Yeah baby....

in all honesty we in Moron nation should be setting up rally points for friends and family.....

what'll happen is when people start sinking below the water they will collapse back into family communes and then you'll know the economy is well and truly fucked.....

I am already planning on having to put up my brother

Posted by: sven10077 at September 03, 2011 06:29 AM (AEIYh)

45 39 34 Pep,

they'd happily take the oath and then get to vote buying(which is all the welfare state is) within a millisecond of giving you the oath

No, I'm sure they'll honor their oaths.  They are, after all, our duly elected reps, and take their responsibilities seriously.  But to be sure, we could wire them all up and if 51% of the people disapprove of what they do, we give 'em the juice.  Not that I've fantasized along these lines or anything.

Posted by: Will Folks at September 03, 2011 06:29 AM (6TB1Z)

46 dang sock

Posted by: pep at September 03, 2011 06:30 AM (6TB1Z)

47 3 BTW i'm not buying the bullshit that we ever got out of the first recession.

Technically, we did, but it was a dead cat bounce.

1) The economy shrinks for two quarters, contracting 10%. Recession

2) The economy grows for two quarters, expanding 2%. Recession over.

We are worse off than before, but by the old definition, out of recession. We need a new model.

Posted by: fluffy at September 03, 2011 06:30 AM (4Kl5M)

48 Mistah O'Bama, suh? You better talk Real Loud when you give that Economy a real harsh Talkin' To... you hear that rumble behind you?

It's the DOOM you called down by overspending, overtaxing, and over-regulating, comin' down on yo'sef'...
( Unfortunately on us, too, but "we" were stupid enough to give you an office you can't handle... )

Posted by: Preference Cascade at September 03, 2011 06:30 AM (rFdqZ)

49 What do you guys think about more stimulus?  I don't like it, since I've pretty much lost faith in economists' ability to properly tweak the economy.  They don't tweak, it seems, they meddle.
Posted by: rdbrewer
..........
They did it wrong the first time..   A few measly percent went into infrastructure, and most of it went to keeping lazy-assed state employees (union of course) in their cushy jobs..

Although, it did raise the GDP a few percent, but was it worth it??

Now, maybe a couple trillion into pure infrastructure.. roads,etc.. big fucking projects.. that might help, but stimulus only lasts for so long.


Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at September 03, 2011 06:30 AM (UTq/I)

50 More simulus? Can someone point to an example where Keynesian economics has definitively worked? Great Depression - got out from a world war. 1970's stagflation - caused by Keynesian policies got out by dropping them. Japan - 18 years and counting, any day now, just one more stimulus away from being a vibrant economy again. The purpose of the stimulus is to cause inflation that will force us to spend dollars now rather than save them.As usual, inflation is caused by governments for their benefit. In this case, it helps destroy the debt that we've accrued.

Posted by: Zombie Milton Friedman at September 03, 2011 06:31 AM (qZb8X)

51 the Fed, the Obama Administration, and the Democratic Party will pull out all the stops to stave off a downright recession.

By "pull out all the stops", I assume they mean "seriously cook the books". What are these Marxist puddingheads going to do which they haven't already tried and failed with?

Posted by: Waterhouse at September 03, 2011 06:31 AM (UpTcc)

52 hey i know, why don't we produce a real survalist show series, we can film the horrors of losing your job, losing you home, and families lives on the streets ?


Posted by: willow at September 03, 2011 06:31 AM (h+qn8)

53 47

BTW, those numbers were pulled out of my ass.

Posted by: fluffy at September 03, 2011 06:31 AM (4Kl5M)

54 on the next episode of Quincy! Nobel Economist I will give the post-mortem on a fool who honestly thought he was smarter than 330 million people and had a better grasp of their individual economic situation than they do!

//tune in

Ha! The jokes on you!

I only watch PBS!

Posted by: Paul Krugman, Nobel Prize Winner at September 03, 2011 06:31 AM (z63Tr)

55 we know they didn't stimulate enough the first time, that is why we didn't really get stimulated.

at least that's what i heard on mfdnc

Posted by: willow at September 03, 2011 06:32 AM (h+qn8)

56 BTW, those numbers were pulled out of my ass.

Posted by: fluffy at September 03, 2011 10:31 AM (4Kl5M)


You're hired!


Posted by: President's Economic Team at September 03, 2011 06:33 AM (X6akg)

57 50 Zombie Uncle Milty,

Look I am still your biggest fan musty smell and all, but I fear that the current business class is simply too retarded to quit the Keynes drug unaided by a gradual weaning.....

that is why I added my caveat.....

I made a couple posts inspired by YOU sir over in monty's econ thread....

http://minx.cc/?blog=86&post=320890#c14495514

Posted by: sven10077 at September 03, 2011 06:34 AM (AEIYh)

58 BTW, those numbers were pulled out of my ass.

Posted by: fluffy at September 03, 2011 10:31 AM (4Kl5M)

I was wondering what that smell was.

Posted by: Osama bin Truck Monkey, TEArrorist at September 03, 2011 06:34 AM (jucos)

59 we know they didn't stimulate enough the first time, that is why we didn't really get stimulated.

So the question to ask is, given that you controlled all of the government, and you assured us that this was what was needed, why the hell would we trust you to know what you're doing now?

Posted by: pep at September 03, 2011 06:34 AM (6TB1Z)

60 52, That's boring, who wants to watch a bunch of kids crying and a husband and wife, if they are still together, standing in line at the gov. handout office.

Posted by: Oldsailor's poet at September 03, 2011 06:35 AM (ZDUD4)

61 We are worse off than before, but by the old definition, out of recession. We need a new model.

Posted by: fluffy at September 03, 2011 10:30 AM (4Kl5M)


Just take government spending out of GDP, then the last 5 years would be a continuous horror show, coinciding with when the Dems got Congress.

Posted by: zmdavid at September 03, 2011 06:35 AM (Lvvct)

62 52 Willow,

that would probably be an awesome Guerrilla Campaign Ad we could run on youtube....

call it URBAN SURVIVOR and never mention the admin once but show the impact of their policies

Posted by: sven10077 at September 03, 2011 06:35 AM (AEIYh)

63 This is why Americans buy SUVs.  When the Obama Administration drives our economy into the ditch, we can still bushwhack our way forward, clipping along thru the borrow pit with Slurpee nuts.

Posted by: Fritz at September 03, 2011 06:36 AM (YhI7X)

64 pep,
Hell you know the answer to that, boos, and the GOP ,
doesn't have to make sense just must be said so Dem voters can still feel really good about their vote.

Posted by: willow at September 03, 2011 06:36 AM (h+qn8)

65 boosH

Posted by: willow at September 03, 2011 06:36 AM (h+qn8)

66 a husband and wife, if they are still together, standing in line at the gov. handout office.

What?  That's a Norman Rockwell painting, that's what that is.

Posted by: Barack Obama at September 03, 2011 06:36 AM (6TB1Z)

67 66, Sheepish LOL, cause it's not really funny. But it is.

Posted by: Oldsailor's poet at September 03, 2011 06:37 AM (ZDUD4)

68 call it URBAN SURVIVOR and never mention the admin once but show the impact of their policies

Posted by: sven10077 at September 03, 2011 10:35 AM (AEIYh)

sven I'm game but i don't know a thing about using tech, hell i'm still learning to type!


but i know there are smart people out there that could ,and I think it would be great learning tool for the future.

heh

Posted by: willow at September 03, 2011 06:38 AM (h+qn8)

69 Just because I feel like preaching to the choir:

The best the we can do for our economy is to ramp up domestic energy production. Drill here, drill now. Drill ANWAR, frak Pennsylvania, build clean coal conversion plants. Put Americans to work & lower energy costs for all Americans.

Will this solve everything? Of course not. Will this make our economy substantially better? Can I get an 'Amen!' from the choir?

America has the flu, folks. I'm prescribing home-made chicken soup & and a glass of OJ. Dr Krugman wants to pull out yet another leach.

Posted by: fluffy at September 03, 2011 06:38 AM (4Kl5M)

70 63 Fritz,

SUVs will be an interesting tool for drying out your slain meat when the fuel goes......

remember people the History Channel's "Life After People" is not a cautionary tale to Dems it is a roadmap

Posted by: sven10077 at September 03, 2011 06:38 AM (AEIYh)

71 I'm with you Fluff. The worlds manufacturing used to run off of cheap labor. Now it runs off cheap energy.

Posted by: Oldsailor's poet at September 03, 2011 06:39 AM (ZDUD4)

72 I stopped following you on Twitter...you just weren't bringing the goods

...crushing blow, I know

Posted by: beedubya at September 03, 2011 06:39 AM (AnTyA)

73 fritz i have a suburban and am trying to figure out if a bed could also be fitted on top for guests and  for those beautiful starry nights , that will be a must see when living out of our vehicles.
mustn't pass up an opportunity to enjoy not having to go to work ya know!

Posted by: willow at September 03, 2011 06:40 AM (h+qn8)

74 So the question to ask is, given that you controlled all of the government, and you assured us that this was what was needed, why the hell would we trust you to know what you're doing now?

Because we're going to give OUR voters free sh*t.

And because we're the smartest people EVAH.

Posted by: Paul Krugman, Nobel Prize Winner at September 03, 2011 06:41 AM (z63Tr)

75 I started following you in real life.

Posted by: creepy stalker at September 03, 2011 06:41 AM (UpTcc)

76 69 Fluffy,
a little known fact of the Roarin' reagan 80s was that having James Watt in charge at interior meant that the stewardship of the US' holding was geared to "make a buck" for the first time since Nixon.....

it has been geareed towards "gum up the works and save the whales" since clinton

in other words a Perry driven US natural resources matrix would have us roar back to life IMHO because part of what makes us competitive and allowed us to get investment despite the donk's constant cost adding interference was cheap energy....

just using our coal we can have the cheapest energy on Earth

Posted by: sven10077 at September 03, 2011 06:41 AM (AEIYh)

77

Click my name for a InstaP. linked must-read piece. Scroll down to the third letter that starts off "Dear Rawles Family". It's a woman who prepped for a storm or worse despite her husband's best efforts. I'm glad they are okay, and it's hysterical to read how she handled the situation and her husband.

This is important because he hated that I am a prepper. He took stuff out of the car that I put in. He removed supplies when I am not looking from bags I have packed and has gotten into heated arguments with me when I try to get him to buy one extra can of meat at the store. He will not, under any circumstances allow me to store water. He would rather sock money away, I would rather sock supplies away. For the first time, he was glad I was a prepper. I warned him that if he took anything out of our vehicle without telling me and we needed it on the way home that I was going to kill him. We were fine.

Posted by: Mama AJ at September 03, 2011 06:41 AM (XdlcF)

78 73 Willow.....

the thing is we may have to go Nomadic and collapse into tribes to be able to survive without the $uper$tate.....


it is REALLY really scary that Jugears shot his wad for the most part and is not sub 25% approval

Posted by: sven10077 at September 03, 2011 06:43 AM (AEIYh)

79 Amen, fluffy!

Higher wages in the third world are already forcing American companies who moved offshore to reconsider coming back.

We buy a lot of shit in this country.. demand is there.  Problem is, we don;t make a lot of that crap anymore..  Lower energy prices as another inducement.. lower corporate taxes.. make them lower than any of our competitors... I'm thinking about 15-20%.  That'll get things humming again.

Oh... and one more thing.. government paid or assisted projects need to use American made products.  I look at all these wind farms going up, and where is that stuff made? Germany, Brazil.. not here.

Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at September 03, 2011 06:44 AM (UTq/I)

80 Higher wages in the third world are already forcing American companies who moved offshore to reconsider coming back.

Really?  That's interesting...do you  have a link where I can read about it?

Posted by: Tami at September 03, 2011 06:46 AM (X6akg)

81 79 Chi-Town Jerry

my only fear with state madated domestic acquisition is YOU KNOW WHO blew half a billion dollars on a photo op with a vendor who couldn't do shit for our needs....

Posted by: sven10077 at September 03, 2011 06:46 AM (AEIYh)

82

I think we are moderately to significantly screwed for quite a few years ahead.

What Obama should have done in 2009 was to reduce excess FedGov spending and significantly reduce taxes on corporations, dividends and capital gains.  That would have taken 12 - 18 months to show the beginnings of real growth, but if would have refueled the capital markets and encouraged business growth.  And get Fanny Mae and Freddy Mac to stop underwriting bad/low cost home loans - the housing market had to find a bottom.

These things, though, are anathema to the modern Democrat Party, and are, in fact, the opposite of what they did.  MORE government spending, accelerate the regulatory state, bail out GM and Chrysler (the senior bond cramdown) instead of letting the natural bankcruptcy take place and then maybe afterwards help with the restructuring of newly organized corporations.  Juice up Fanny and Freddy some more (and FHA too).  Create the legislative structure for government mandated healthcare with a raft of new mandates and taxes.

This means that whoever follows Obama will have to really administer some hard medicine to find a floor to the markets.  Whoever follows Obama will likely be a one - term President because they will have to do a lot of unpopular things just to shake out the sickness in our economy. And even after, there is no guarantee that the economy will actually get better anytime soon.

Posted by: Reader C.J. Burch writes... at September 03, 2011 06:47 AM (sJTmU)

83 sven, yes, I'm afraid they (DNC) will pull more tricks out of their sleeves and will again win, having the opportunity to finish america off.
yeah my stress level has hit the roof and perhaps i'm being hyperbolic


Posted by: willow at September 03, 2011 06:47 AM (h+qn8)

84 Posted by: Lord Humungus Wasteland Teahadi at September 03, 2011 10:21 AM (Yv6gq)

Looks like YouTube yanked the video.

Posted by: Lady in Black at September 03, 2011 06:47 AM (ycuSb)

85 Oh... and one more thing.. government paid or assisted projects need to use American made products.  I look at all these wind farms going up, and where is that stuff made? Germany, Brazil.. not here.

Go on.

Posted by: Messrs. Smoot and Hawley at September 03, 2011 06:49 AM (6TB1Z)

86 65,

exactly

Posted by: sven10077 at September 03, 2011 06:49 AM (AEIYh)

87 my only fear with state madated domestic acquisition is YOU KNOW WHO blew half a billion dollars on a photo op with a vendor who couldn't do shit for our needs....
Posted by: sven10077
......
I know..  But, there are always going to be public works projects that get their fund (or financing) at least in part from the feds.  Cronyism does have its pitfalls, and that exists in good supply here in America.

But I'm talking about things like GE making their windmill parts out of country to import back here!  It just ain't right.

Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at September 03, 2011 06:50 AM (UTq/I)

88 Blame Tarzan.

and Bush.

Posted by: Barry the Buckstop at September 03, 2011 06:50 AM (PcoXF)

89

I heard an O-puppet say on Bulls&Bears this morning that it was "not politically feasible to do that at this time"....regarding raising the minimum wage.

That seems to be the theme with team Clusterf*ck these days: 'Not politically feasible to do that at this time".... Hence the halting of those EPA regs, and anything else that could be politically damaging to KingPut's reelection next year.

All of which portends the epic f*ckery that lies in store for us if we lose next year. 

Posted by: ConservativeMenAreJustHotter at September 03, 2011 06:52 AM (EprMc)

90 I am Black, therefore I must vote for Obama.  Even if it screws me over to prove I am proud to be black !!!!!!!!!!!

Posted by: LaQuisha Swartz at September 03, 2011 06:53 AM (qXGZK)

91 Sorry, my bad.

Posted by: George W. Bush at September 03, 2011 06:54 AM (qZb8X)

92 Higher wages in the third world are already forcing American companies who moved offshore to reconsider coming back.

Really?  That's interesting...do you  have a link where I can read about it?
=================

Don't have a link, but an anecdote. I work in IT for a big financial outfit. I have co-workers in India. Phone and IM connection is completely transparent. Cultural differences are a pain in the ass. Management doesn't want to use them. My group of about 12 is looking to hire 3 people locally, two of whom are replacements.

Posted by: fluffy at September 03, 2011 06:55 AM (4Kl5M)

93 But I'm talking about things like GE making their windmill parts out of country to import back here!  It just ain't right.

I understand the temptation, but what's the difference between this and using the government to prop up unrealistically high wages at GM or unrealistically high housing prices?  Better that we come to grips with the reasons for our lack of economic competitiveness, and do what we need to do to become competitive again. 

Posted by: pep at September 03, 2011 06:56 AM (6TB1Z)

94 Mama AJ?

That tale warmed my black little heart. I linked to that page earlier in some of the stuff I run in my own Bailiwick.

Posted by: backhoe, Hobbit tea-roar-ist of Doom at September 03, 2011 06:57 AM (rFdqZ)

95 24 If they are working toward collapse and unrest they're doing a great job.

Posted by: dagny at September 03, 2011 10:18 AM (R6Ct+)

----------

They....are....aren't they? There is a diabolical pattern to it.

What worries me is that there are so many things that could happen between now and Nov 2012. Their desperation could trigger any number of things.....and none of it would be good.

Posted by: ConservativeMenAreJustHotter at September 03, 2011 07:01 AM (EprMc)

96 Don't have a link, but an anecdote. I work in IT for a big financial outfit. I have co-workers in India. Phone and IM connection is completely transparent. Cultural differences are a pain in the ass. Management doesn't want to use them. My group of about 12 is looking to hire 3 people locally, two of whom are replacements.

Posted by: fluffy at September 03, 2011 10:55 AM (4Kl5M)

Thanks fluffy...but that's 2 people in a 'big financial outfit.'  It also doesn't sound like 'higher wages' are the driving force behind that decision.

I'd really like to read about what Chi-town Jerry claims.

Posted by: Tami at September 03, 2011 07:04 AM (X6akg)

97 Thanks, backhoe. On the main page, second item as of now, was a less pleasant variation of the same story.

Posted by: Mama AJ at September 03, 2011 07:04 AM (XdlcF)

98

unfortunately, weÂ’re running out of policy tools.....

As long as the policy is intervention, control, and overregulation, the economy will never improve. Capitalism has been tinkered with for a long time and forced by law to do things for which it was not designed (think Gibson Guitars). Those who enjoy its destruction have made the situation what it is today, and then have the audacity to say it doesn't work.

HTF can it when it's been distorted beyond recognition?

What is needed is relief from government, a concept that escapes a lot of people.

Posted by: BackwardsBoy at September 03, 2011 07:05 AM (d0Tfm)

99 Fluffy,

Cut. Jib. Newsletter.

How bout while we're at it we implement some changes to better nourish the good ole American entrepreneurial spirit. This morning's edition of the WSJ has a good oped piece on the topic.

Unfortunately for us, under SCOAMFOTUS that's a pipe dream.

Posted by: Piñon Farmer at September 03, 2011 07:06 AM (IzuWw)

100

>>What is needed is relief from government, a concept that escapes a lot of people.

That's a great idea! I'm going to give a series of speeches, at times that are inconvenient and costly to people, groups, and/or companies; followed by setting up a task force that will meet every other week in Las Vegas.

Posted by: B.O. at September 03, 2011 07:09 AM (XdlcF)

101 What is needed is relief from government, a concept that escapes a lot of people.


Obama, " I have noticed congress has not been putting enough effort towards job creation , so I have decided by executive order to implemnt a plan A-B-C-D etc.  These plans will take us into 2014-2015 to see the full benefits, and I'm the only one that can pull us out of this Mess Bush and Congress have created! So keep the faith ,  I will create 20 million jobs by 2014 I just need you to work with me
Thank you , ."

Posted by: willow at September 03, 2011 07:14 AM (h+qn8)

102 What is needed is relief from government, a concept that escapes a lot of people.

Mr. Mittens, for one.

Posted by: beedubya at September 03, 2011 07:19 AM (AnTyA)

103

#90

am Black, therefore I must vote for Obama. Even if it screws me over to prove I am proud to be black !!!!!!!!!!!

My wife was complaining about the very same thing and I got to thinking about where the largest concentration of Blacks live. The 2010 census breaks down this info by state and with rare exception the states that are Red such as the South have the highest % of Blacks. They vote like a communist block( 96%) but the electoral vote goes to the Repub. in the red states. Illinois has a high % Black but they are reliably Blue anyway, so I don't think they really can sway a national election as much as they can screw up local and state.

 

Posted by: Velvet Ambition at September 03, 2011 07:19 AM (0OJd9)

104 Oldsailor's wife here.... been in global sourcing/supply chain for a couple of decades. The US manufacturing sector can most certainly be competitive when looking at total cost v price. Couple of recent articles... http://www.manufacturingnews.com/news/11/0429/accenture.html http://www.manufacturingnews.com/news/11/0831/reshoring.html H/T to Dad29 on the links

Posted by: Oldsailor's poet at September 03, 2011 07:20 AM (ZDUD4)

105

Posted by: BackwardsBoy at September 03, 2011 11:05 AM (d0Tfm)

"Those who enjoy its destruction have made the situation what it is today, and then have the audacity to say it doesn't work."

--------

They've put every imaginable hobble on our system of free market capitalism....so that they can stand back and declare that "Capitalism doesn't work".  It makes my ears ring when I hear that.

--------

"What is needed is relief from government, a concept that escapes a lot of people."

--------

There's a governor down in Texas who wrote a book about that. Heh.

Posted by: ConservativeMenAreJustHotter at September 03, 2011 07:23 AM (EprMc)

106 Yeah. This "invest big government tax bucks only in American companies using American parts" sounds like a winner to us.

Posted by: GM and the UAW at September 03, 2011 07:38 AM (Ou4YC)

107 Tami - Here ya go..   have read several articles like this over the past year.  Margins are very thin, it seems, on whether to offshore or stay home.




http://tinyurl.com/68q8xg6


Moving back to America

The dwindling allure of building factories offshore

“Sometime around 2015, manufacturers will be indifferent between locating in America or China for production for consumption in America,” says Mr Sirkin. That calculation assumes that wage growth will continue at around 17% a year in China but remain relatively slow in America, and that productivity growth will continue on current trends in both countries. It also assumes a modest appreciation of the yuan against the dollar.

 


Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at September 03, 2011 07:38 AM (UTq/I)

108 as learjet and others say, we never got out of the Erste Depression, as the Vikings say.  Both 'dips' are part of the same Hole

Their only tool left is another 2008 Trick--and if that happens we need to get Medieval on their ass, as Tarantino says

rough seas ahead

Posted by: SantaRosaStan at September 03, 2011 07:39 AM (UqKQV)

109 Thanks Old Sailor's wife & Chi-town Jerry.  Those articles are what I was looking for!

Posted by: Tami at September 03, 2011 07:49 AM (X6akg)

110 What do you guys think about more stimulus?

Hmmm ... Once again, we will borrow vast sums of money that our children and grandchildren will have to pay back, with interest, in order to line the pockets of crony capitalists and other politically favored Democratic special-interest groups, none of whom is either interested in, or capable of, generating new wealth.

Sounds like a plan!

Posted by: Brown Line at September 03, 2011 07:51 AM (k+PSJ)

Posted by: maverick muse at September 03, 2011 07:54 AM (lpWVn)

112 "Margins are very thin, it seems, on whether to offshore or stay home."

Maybe the trend is in this direction - I hope so. But just this morning, I was looking to order a pair of jeans from the Duluth Trading Company's catalogue. The style I was looking at - the midweight five-pocket jeans - were $79.50 from a domestic manufacturer, and $39.50 imported. Pretty much the same product, from what I could tell, except that the import had more features.

Again, this is anecdotal evidence, your mileage may vary. But it does suggest to me that both we and China have a way to go before that tipping point is reached.

Posted by: Brown Line at September 03, 2011 07:59 AM (k+PSJ)

113 "Margins are very thin, it seems, on whether to offshore or stay home."

both we and China have a way to go before that tipping point is reached.


Yes. But then, Duluth isn't necessarily selling those jeans made in America, including imports in their catalog inventory.

On tipping China, consider also how to halt the US taxpayer funding for domestic China's educational system.


Posted by: maverick muse at September 03, 2011 08:06 AM (lpWVn)

114 Again, this is anecdotal evidence, your mileage may vary. But it does suggest to me that both we and China have a way to go before that tipping point is reached.
Posted by: Brown Line
............
Also.. you will never bring everything back here.  Some items are more labor intensive, like clothing.  It's almost all labor in its cost.

Something like refrigerators, or air conditioners, which require lots of parts from various partners may well be more competitive here.

Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at September 03, 2011 08:10 AM (UTq/I)

115
11!1!    No where are those welfare recipients who've never held jobs mentioned in the stats. 

Algernon Austin, director of the Race, Ethnicity, and the Economy program at the Economic Policy Institute. "So I do think the fact of racial discrimination in the labor market continues to play a role." Overall, black men have it the worst, with joblessness at a staggeringly high 19.1%, compared to 14.5% for black women.  Latinos [including illegal aliens sent IRS fraudulent checks] saw their unemployment rate remain unchanged at 11.3% in August. Unemployment remains [officially] at 9.1% for the country as a whole.
--CNN Money

Posted by: maverick muse at September 03, 2011 08:10 AM (lpWVn)

116 ...the market is rallying on the expectation of QE3, but...

Why? Did something actually good come about as a result of the first two?

Posted by: Blacque Jacques Shellacque at September 03, 2011 08:38 AM (dr4y0)

117 The USA is running an inflation arte of at least 8% yet the Fed has promised no rate increases till after the election.  Yeah its non politicial.  Just like OJ loved his wife.

Posted by: Molon Labe at September 03, 2011 12:45 PM (e36+G)

118 Wow this is soo helpful I have been trying to figure this out on my own for a long time now. Hopefully making this change will help encourage discussion on my blog.

Posted by: The Disappearing Spoon Audiobook at September 04, 2011 05:18 AM (lr9w5)

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