July 18, 2011
— Monty

Noemie Emery at The Weekly Standard posts a good piece on why privileges should not be conflated with "rights". This is an important point about the modern welfare state that people (especially liberals) fundamentally misunderstand: a "right" comes from nature (or God), not from the pen of a politician. Emery uses healthcare as an example of a privilege that the left has conflated into a "right" over the years. Well-meaning it may be, but it is a sure road to ruin.
Keith Hennessey breaks down the current state of the debt-ceiling talks. (Isn't it strange how this formerly boring procedural motion has turned into a high-stakes game of statesmanship between intractable opponents? I keep expecting President Obama to take off his shoe and start banging it on the table, chanting, "We will break you!")
Too much debt means the economy can't grow. Well...debt is one reason, but there are others. Demographics, regulation, monetary and fiscal (tax) policy also play large parts.
Get ready for a 70% marginal tax rate. I don't think voters -- especially Democrats -- really comprehend how high tax rates (on everyone, not just "the rich") would have to go up to support the current level of public spending indefinitely.
Even optimists are revising their GDP numbers down. This matters in lots of ways, but especially so for returns on investments like pension funds. I've been saying for a long time that public-sector pension funds are over-estimating their returns in order to reduce the amount of contributions required by the government and employees. Public-sector actuaries are projecting far higher return rates than the GDP numbers seem to warrant, which means that the underfunding of public-sector pensions is likely to continue.
Why employers are so slow to fill jobs. Uncertainty, government hostility to private enterprise, a poorly-educated and -trained workforce, over-regulation, over-taxation, and international competition. It's not all that hard to understand.
Alas, poor Euro! I knew him, Horatio, a currency of infinite possibility, of most excellent potential. He hath bought my lunch a thousand times, and now how abhorr'd in my imagination it is! My gorge rises at it.
Who do we blame the Great Recession on today? (Shakes the Magic 8 Ball.) Let's see...Ben Bernanke and The Fed! There was no single cause for the Great Recession -- lots of people did lots of stupid things, in the public sector and in the private sector. There's plenty of blame to go around. But I think it is true that the Fed's policies have made the situation worse rather than better.
It's nothing we don't all already know, but it bears repeating: the problem isn't too little income, the problem is too much spending. More on this from the TaxProf.
The Dodd-Frank legislation isn't quite the runaway success that its Democrat authors hoped it would be.
UPDATE 1: "Fiscal child abuse." California Democrats are, naturally, horrified. Not at the situation, mind you; no, they object to the term. California, thou art boned by thine own stupidity; verily, even unto death.
UPDATE 2: Senator Tom Coburn is preparing a $9 trillion debt plan. It won't go anywhere, of course, but it's yet another stick to hit the Democrats with -- they're blocking GOP budget plans without coming up with any of their own.
UPDATE 3: The "Gimme Mine" Mentality and the American Spirit.
UPDATE 4: Angela Merkel calls for a Greek debt-default (whether she realizes it or not).
UPDATE 5: Turbo Tax Timmah has turned being a chump into a real art-form. It's not just that he's a partisan Administration shill, but that he's so bad at it. He's like some ten-year-old kid trying to imitate his dad.
UPDATE 6: Barone (a national treasure, in my opinion) lays it out -- the real debate is over the size and role of the federal government. This is the true victory of the Tea Party. It's made this central point clear. The "blue model" is failing, as it was always destined to do.
UPDATE 7: There's too much good stuff to post today; I can't keep up with it all. Walter Russell Meade (one of my favorite essayists) posts this gem: "Why Blue CanÂ’t Save The Inner Cities Part I". Do read it all.
I find your lack of Friskies disturbing.

Posted by: Monty at
05:04 AM
| Comments (217)
Post contains 727 words, total size 6 kb.
How many suns are there in the sky where you are?
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at July 18, 2011 05:12 AM (LH6ir)
While American jobs disappear or move over-seas because of threat of corrupt union take-overs... Obama is still loved by the hard core lefties of holewood.
+Obama takes in more cash than the number of jobs created while he rules as king, lord of the rich white liberals.
Posted by: Lemon Kitten at July 18, 2011 05:13 AM (0fzsA)
Posted by: The Donkey Show at July 18, 2011 05:14 AM (ijjAe)
No, they didn't. At most, they were protected from the pen of a politician. They were yours anyway.
When a man (or woman, but I'm lazy) is born, assuming no government at all (thus- nothing from the pen of a politician) he can do. One of those is choose his own course (Liberty), another is pick up a stick to defend himself and kill food (Life), still another is acquire stuff- including "real" property (land- a home) (Pursuit of Property).l
No government gives these rights- though many attempt to take them away.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at July 18, 2011 05:14 AM (8y9MW)
Well, not everyone in the world is boned. The NoKos are going to be getting official Coke and KFC products soon. That's... kind of good. I guess.
Of course one wonders who will be able to afford such things in a country where grass is a delicacy. And just where do they expect to get the chickens? Methinks the few NoKos with poultry are going to find themselves without a hen in the henhouse in short order.
Posted by: MWR at July 18, 2011 05:14 AM (4df7R)
There was no single cause for the Great Recession -- lots of people did lots of stupid things, in the public sector and in the private sector.
Yeah, it was a perfect storm of stupid. I do have fun explaining to my Canadian friends that US mortgage companies gave $250,000 mortgages to people with no verifiable income, savings, job, assets or means of paying it back. The "wtf were they high" looks are fantastic.
And I would pick a nit over the fiscal child abuse term. The children are already uberboned. California has moved on to fiscal grandchild and is verging on greatgrandchild abuse. Further picking, how is it not abusive? Honestly, if we are going to have this fight, let's have this fight. How is this not abusive of the next generation? Just because the other side doesn't like the comparison doesn't mean the comparison isn't apt.
Posted by: alexthechick at July 18, 2011 05:16 AM (VtjlW)
Posted by: Bill D. Cat at July 18, 2011 05:16 AM (jDGpX)
Dodd-Frank anything. *shiver* Those 2 corrupt bone-heads shouldn't be allowed to change the toilet paper in the congressional bathroom.
Posted by: Lemon Kitten at July 18, 2011 05:17 AM (0fzsA)
Saw a guy named Sean Egan on CNBC this morning ... he's so gloomy about the world financial situation he makes Monty look like Pollyanna. (Will post a link when I find it, but last I checked CNBC hadn't put the interview with Egan online.) Coupla takeaways, working from memory here: Greece, Ireland, and Portugal cannot possibly pay their debts, and current debtholders will take haircuts of 90%, 70%, and 70% respectively on the bonds they hold; European banks will need to be backstopped by their governments, but said governments don't have the needed capital to do so ... so the Fed will end up as the backstop of last resort; CNBC anchor: so you're talking about Armageddon here Egan: Yes Anchor: so what should people invest in? Egan (somewhat offended by the question): Money managers are smart - let them figure it out
Piping hot Doom!, fresh off the wires
Posted by: crisis du jour at July 18, 2011 05:17 AM (J1eJz)
Posted by: Spoily McSpoilerson at July 18, 2011 05:20 AM (Q4Q1A)
Tax everyone to death and we can all have free Medicare! Life be perfect for me!
Posted by: Dumbass lefty proghole at July 18, 2011 05:21 AM (0fzsA)
He wasn't wrong -- I had forgotten to close an italics tag at the end of my post, which meant that all the comment posts were in italic as well. I fixed it quick, but he saw it before I got the fix posted.
Posted by: Monty at July 18, 2011 05:21 AM (/0a60)
------------------------------------
Sounds like the answer should have been "Arms, ammunition, food, water, and other survival supplies.
And chaps. -no, don't ask me why."
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at July 18, 2011 05:21 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: The Donkey Show at July 18, 2011 05:22 AM (ijjAe)
Well of course that is what they will say... because all of their genius plans didn't work.
Posted by: chemjeff at July 18, 2011 05:23 AM (s7mIC)
They're already trying to do that- I don't think it's getting as much traction as they were expecting, though. That whole "Your family can't just raise it's 'debt ceiling'" point seems to be getting through to people.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at July 18, 2011 05:23 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: FreakyBoy at July 18, 2011 05:23 AM (xAW84)
Posted by: Randolph Duke at July 18, 2011 05:23 AM (5U4Fd)
Because Republicans ended slavery they can't get doctors to work for free.
Posted by: The Donkey Show at July 18, 2011 05:25 AM (ijjAe)
What's the magic 8 ball say about King Putt's stunning personal announcement to be made today?
*shakes* I, I , I, me, me, let me be clear, childish Republicans, um, um, uh, I, I, me.
Posted by: alexthechick at July 18, 2011 05:26 AM (VtjlW)
I like how Charles Krauthammer seems to be on a crusade. Over the weekend, he managed to silence the whole panel on one of the talk shows by asking them to cite one single thing Obama has proposed to cut.
And the local birdcage liner puppy training device newspaper ran his article where he tells Congresscritters to call Obama's bluff by sending him a short term debt ceiling bill with a matching amount of budget cuts and let him explain to the country why he wants us to default. Or let Hairy Reed explain why the bill couldn't get through the Senate.
That would be truly popcorn worthy. Which is why teh Stoopid Party won't do it. Missed opportunity, thy name is Republican Party.
Posted by: BackwardsBoy at July 18, 2011 05:26 AM (d0Tfm)
" I don't think voters -- especially Democrats -- really comprehend how high tax rates (on everyone, not just "the rich") would have to go up to support the current level of public spending indefinitely."
On the contrary: they do realize -- and they do want it. It is called socialsim.
Posted by: John B. at July 18, 2011 05:27 AM (tiuJH)
Posted by: Evil Republican at July 18, 2011 05:28 AM (Q4Q1A)
Ivan Kkhrushchev?
Posted by: toby928™ at July 18, 2011 05:29 AM (GTbGH)
On the contrary: they do realize -- and they do want it. It is called socialsim.
That's what Progs want, it's not what we the people want. Poll after poll shows it, regardless of whatever The Vapid One® may say.
Posted by: BackwardsBoy at July 18, 2011 05:31 AM (d0Tfm)
Moodys asks why have a debt ceiling at all?
Moody's Suggests US Eliminates Debt Ceiling
After all, the best way to deal with any problem is to ignore it, right?
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at July 18, 2011 05:33 AM (9hSKh)
I don't think most Democrat voters are socialists- or, at least, they don't realize they are. They just have connected any Washington policies directly with their own pocketbooks.
To illustrate, my brother (an Assistant Principle at a HS here in the area) was incensed when the Texas legislature cut education spending (along with a bunch of other things) to balance the budget. It really made him angry- he believes the talk of Democrats that other things are less important, or we could just raid the "Rainy Day" fund, or whatever.
However, the minute you get him talking about ways to make money, or about how much of his paycheck he doesn't get because of x, y, or z, he gets upset about that, too. He's got a Master's Degree, and he taught Math (indeed, was regarded as a teacher who could save students otherwise thought unsalvageable) prior to becoming an AP. Yet, somehow, he hasn't connected the two.
Now, this is -obviously- anecdotal, and therefore not statistically significant, but I believe this situation, or something very like it, is the reason most people who vote Democrat vote Democrat. The problem is that they're too absorbed in wanting to have and eat their cake to notice how far to the left those actually involved in politics and policy are trying to move the nation.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at July 18, 2011 05:33 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: Bob Saget at July 18, 2011 05:33 AM (F/4zf)
Please tell me you're kidding. My brain shouldn't hurt this much this early on a Monday.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at July 18, 2011 05:34 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: The Donkey Show at July 18, 2011 09:14 AM (ijjAe)
The magic 8 balls says 'my gawd you people are stupid...we said PERSONNEL...not personal...sheesh'.
Posted by: Tami at July 18, 2011 05:36 AM (X6akg)
Keefums (or some other dumbass liberal BIRM prog) tried to link the "relapse" in 1936 to FDR's spending plans not being ambitious enough.
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at July 18, 2011 05:36 AM (9hSKh)
Posted by: Bob Saget at July 18, 2011 05:38 AM (F/4zf)
I've met college-level Econ profs who had the same level of cognitive dissonance. I think the problem is that they, like most people, don't connect abstract principles to their own personal lives. Everyone thinks they're immune somehow from market forces -- and this tendency is extreme in the educational system, where tenure, unionization, and public-funded pensions create an impermeable bubble of entitlement.
Academics always have the hardest time adjusting to "the real world" because they've never had to deal with it, as a rule -- they went from being a student to being a Master's candidate, to being a PhD, to being a postdoc, to being an adjunct, to being (if they're lucky) a tenured member of the staff. They have no idea how the private sector works, or even the economy in any fundamental sense.
If you want to see a human being in pure misery and completely adrift with no prospects, just look at some late-30's adjunct who was denied tenure.
Posted by: Monty at July 18, 2011 05:39 AM (/0a60)
Okay, note to Liberals: when you're trying to explain how the world doesn't actually work the way it's always been observed to work, you're on the wrong side.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at July 18, 2011 05:40 AM (8y9MW)
I hate it when we cede ground to the commies with statements like that. The current depression was caused entirely by the government, and almost 99% by the Democrat side of the government at that. We constantly hear about Wall Street fat cats but in point of fact any action we had on Wall Street was in response to government policy. Te Democrats OWN this depression, lock stock and mortgaged barrel.
The current depression owes its roots to government policy, some of which goes all the way back to the last depression and Franklin son-of-a-bitch Roosevelt.
As I said yesterday, I have been reading New Deal Or Raw Deal and the stuff that is in that book will really piss you off. As bad a Obama is he is yet to hold a candle to Roosevelt and the crooked communist crap he pulled.
At least Obama hasn't sicked the IRS on anyone yet and sent them to jail for 3 years for publishing a newspaper article attacking him.....yet.
Of course, none of the newspapers ever attack him. I guess they learned that lesson.
Posted by: Vic at July 18, 2011 05:43 AM (M9Ie6)
Sadly, I've observed the same thing. What drives me nuts is how together they can have all the rest of their crap. It's only on fiscal issues where they get so screwed up.
Or, rather, the intersection of fiscal and social issues. They have no problem cutting "subsidies" or defense spending, but the moment you want to take away funding for any social issue (planned parenthood, education, a few others) they start screaming about how that's the government's job. Similarly, they have no problem condemning abortion, or complaining about bad teachers and the state of education- but can't see that supporting PP and the current Government Education monopoly is only making those issues worse.
It's really freaking weird to me.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at July 18, 2011 05:44 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: ArcadeHero at July 18, 2011 05:44 AM (du74H)
Posted by: The Donkey Show at July 18, 2011 05:46 AM (ijjAe)
I think the problem is that they, like most people, don't connect abstract principles to their own personal lives.
This.
We "real world folk," OTOH, tend to look at our own lives and try to comprehend what the hell the elites see in those abstract principles that they're currently ramming down our throats, like One World Government and the global economy baloney. They don't work, they never have and they never will, but still they persist in trying them.
Posted by: BackwardsBoy at July 18, 2011 05:46 AM (d0Tfm)
Posted by: PaleRider at July 18, 2011 05:46 AM (FBj6Z)
Credit where credit is due, Vic: Wall Street came up with CDS and the idea of "securitizing" subprime mortgage loans, not Washington. The ratings agencies rated this bullshit paper at triple-A all on their own, not by government decree. No one forced AIG to issue tons of CDS against those bullshit bonds, nor investment banks like Lehman to overleverage with it. There was plenty of private-sector fuckery going on, don't kid yourself.
Like I said: there's plenty of blame to go around.
Posted by: Monty at July 18, 2011 05:47 AM (/0a60)
Posted by: The Donkey Show at July 18, 2011 05:47 AM (ijjAe)
Sad fact is, that's not entirely true. Yes, Government mandates, subsidies, and coercion started the thing going, but once banks saw the kind of money they were making (and thought they could protect through extremely complicated default swaps and such) they got greedy- not normal, "I'm a capitalist and I'm going to do everything I ethically can to get ahead" greedy, but "Hey, the Government can't possibly police us all, so this unethical and probably illegal thing I want to do won't get caught until I've already got mine and live like a king in some country without an extradition treaty" greedy.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at July 18, 2011 05:47 AM (8y9MW)
*rubbing temples* My brain hurts. The lefty stupid is strong today. Someone tell me a piece of GOOD news?
Posted by: MWR at July 18, 2011 05:47 AM (4df7R)
The blogs are still full of morons shouting that corporations should be forced to hire people with the 'billions' that they are sitting on. Of course they also rant that the 'rich' should pay their fair share.
I am stunned by the wealth of ecoomic ignorance spewed across the blogoshpere. There appears to be a whole segment of the public so maliciously maleducated by our public school system that it is no wonder we have developed a Cargo Cult society. No country ever taxed it way to wealth. No society grew its wealth by stealing it from successful people and bribing the lazy, stupid, and incompetent's votes with it.
At the very least these morons need to read Aesop's Fable of the Goose That Laid the Golden Eggs. For many it will still not light the torch of intelligence, but one can hope.
Posted by: chuck in st paul at July 18, 2011 05:50 AM (EhYdw)
...a serious look needs to be taken at rolling the fed. min. wage back to 2006 levels.
Dunno how effective that'd be, ArcadeHero. There would be relief w.r.t. wages with your scheme, but what of the upcoming oblammocare regs looming that are going to cause employee costs for businesses to skyrocket?
Don't profess to know the specifics on the unconstitutional healthcare law- are P.T. employees part of it, and/or do P.T. employees count in the tally of 50 employed that triggers oblammocare?
Posted by: Chariots of Toast at July 18, 2011 05:50 AM (tk5O7)
Posted by: Empire of Jeff at July 18, 2011 05:50 AM (lbo6/)
A little girl (not even a year old, I think) related to one of our elders at church has largely been cured of kidney cancer and got to go home last week. The surgery to remove the tumor was near-miraculously successful and they'll only be giving her a couple more courses of chemo to reduce the chances of relapse.
Is that the kind of good news you wanted?
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at July 18, 2011 05:51 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: PaleRider at July 18, 2011 05:51 AM (FBj6Z)
Either I'm misreading it or you are.
Posted by: Tami at July 18, 2011 05:51 AM (X6akg)
Wall Street came up with CDS and the idea of "securitizing" subprime mortgage loans, not Washington.
From what I've been able to discover, the whole mess started with the Community Redevelopment Act from Carter, altered by Bill Cliton in '96 in that infamous photo with Cloward and Piven standing behind him at the signing ceremony.
Posted by: BackwardsBoy at July 18, 2011 05:51 AM (d0Tfm)
If you want to see a human being in pure misery and completely adrift with no prospects, just look at some late-30's adjunct who was denied tenure.
Yup. I take great glee in pointing out to lefty academics that their lofty disdain for the private sector and that oh so declasse struggle and fight to succeed ignores the fact that there is no market redder in tooth and claw than academia. Then, just for giggles, I'll bring up the whole using TAs to teach while paying them less than minimum wage without providing health insurance and refusing to let them unionize. Oh their hatred, it keeps me warm.
Insty's been pointing out that the current crop of Our Betters got where they are by being able to spew back the popular ideology of the moment. Of course they can't think creatively, that was never rewarded.
Posted by: alexthechick at July 18, 2011 05:53 AM (VtjlW)
The WaPo was using the same lines about cutting spending (though generically) over the weekend.
Posted by: '80sBaby at July 18, 2011 05:53 AM (o2lIv)
It's a good time to read, or re-read, Henry Hazlitt's "Economics in One Lesson" (pdf). The classic, written in 1946, describes a dozen popular economic fallacies and their practical consequences. A must-read.
From the chapter, Tax Discourages Production: "People begin to ask themselves why they should work...10 months of the year for the government and only...two months for themselves and their family."
Posted by: ahem` at July 18, 2011 05:54 AM (rXe8u)
I thought that came out of F&F which you may as well say the government.
"I'm a capitalist and I'm going to do everything I ethically can to get ahead" greedy, but "Hey, the Government can't possibly police us all, so this unethical and probably illegal thing I want to do won't get caught until I've already got mine and live like a king in some country without an extradition treaty" greedy.
I totally disagree. If we killed every government agency that supposedly "polices" Wall Street and left it entirely up to common law fraud statutes we would be much better off.
Posted by: Vic at July 18, 2011 05:56 AM (M9Ie6)
@2 Gault Falcon at July 18, 2011 09:10 AM
Actually the Second Amendment is not about 'gun rights', it is about the right of self defense which stems from the rights of "...life, liberty, ..." and the responsibility to defend the country. Because of the right of self defense stemming from the rights of life and liberty we are granted the "right" to keep and bear arms to be able to exercise our right to self defense. In point of fact the article clearly indicates that this is an example of a priviledge misnamed a right. Apparently you missed the point.
Posted by: chuck in st paul at July 18, 2011 05:56 AM (EhYdw)
CRA primed the pump, so to speak, but Wall Street beat a path to the well. No one said "no", or chose to challenge Uncle Sugar in any way. In fact, Wall Street and the banks came up with many ways to juice profits from adhering to the CRA (ever wonder why your mortgage is sold two or three times rather than being held by the bank that issued it?).
You can argue that the private sector was just responding to public-sector stimuli, but this doesn't excuse bad behavior in the finance and real-estate sectors. They knew that what they were doing was madness, but they did it anyway.
But in the private sector, bad actors like Lehman are out of business or sold off. In the public-sector, malefactors like Fannie Mae just keep on keepin' on. That is the major difference between the public sector and the private sector: it's not that the private sector is more moral; it's that they bear the consequences of their mistakes and misdeeds. The market always takes its revenge, in one way or another.
Posted by: Monty at July 18, 2011 05:58 AM (/0a60)
Posted by: Empire of Jeff at July 18, 2011 05:58 AM (lbo6/)
The ratings agencies rated this bullshit paper at triple-A all on their own, not by government decree.
Monty, this is something that's bothered me for ages and mayhap you can use the puppets to explain it to me. Did the rating agencies not have access to the underlying data showing to whom the mortgage were made or were the agencies relying on the governmental backstop to presume lack of default? Or were they just smoking the monkey crack? Also, I guess I should throw stupidity and greed in the mix as well. It just seems completely and utterly idiotic to rate paper that should have been obviously toxic at AAA levels.
Posted by: alexthechick at July 18, 2011 05:59 AM (VtjlW)
1. Very well educated, Degree Holding neighbor, currently unemployed shares two hours of conversation on front porch about the state of economy.
Opening gambit is that it's awful that Republicans won't raise Debt limit, as it will solve problems.
My reply is to recount her own financial difficulties with raising a son, and balancing her cash in with her cash out. To her credit, she had made very sound decisions to reduce and prioritize her debts over the years. I asked her why she didn't just put her expenses on her credit cards, max them out, and then ask for an increase in her credit limit, allowing her to place more debt on her credit cards. She explained that it would be a death spiral as both the increased debt, and the increased interest payments would eventually consume so much of her available income that she would not survive. She was able to reduce cash outlay by doing away with non-essential items, and ensuring that what she did purchase represented best value for her money. I was finally able to get her to relate those same principals to the Federal government.
2. Mother in Law relates that companies moving business out of country are killing the nation, and all companies are evil.
I used the example of her own company, asking what would be a fair wage to be paid for the type of clerical work she does. Her response was based on how much she needed in hourly wages to make financial ends meet. I explained that I wasn't interested in how much she needed to live, I was interested in what the fair hourly rate should be for the skills required to perform her job.
Finally settled on about $15.00 an hour.
Then I asked her what the company should do if all the employees got together and demanded a raise to $35.00 an hour. Her response was that the company wouldn't last long.
The light bulb didn't even flicker.
Posted by: Village Idiot's Apprentice, AKA the moron without a financial degree at July 18, 2011 06:02 AM (6Im7x)
You're allowed to disagree. You're just also wrong. I have very strong ties (personally) to the financial sector (father is a banker, close family friend in mortgages, etc.) and know what I'm talking about here.
A lot of things the big banks were doing were flat-out illegal, and they were doing them only because they thought they wouldn't get caught (and they didn't, by the government- only by reality).
This is why I am so opposed to Frank-Dodd, why I hate Sarbanes-Oxley, and a whole host of other things.
I do agree with you that we could get rid of a lot of the regs, but that's only because they're redundant anyway- we already have laws on the books against fraud and embezzlement, we don't need more. But bankers- especially high-up execs in large, National banks, have a higher-than-average rate of corruption than anybody except lawyers and politicians.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at July 18, 2011 06:02 AM (8y9MW)
The rating agencies were co-opted by the government long ago when the government decided they needed to be "regulated". In short, they are not worth a shit and you can not believe a single thing they say. ENRON should have dispelled any doubt on that matter.
Posted by: Vic at July 18, 2011 06:04 AM (M9Ie6)
If we have all of these laws on the books, then why aren't these bankers in jail then?
Posted by: Vic at July 18, 2011 06:05 AM (M9Ie6)
See also: Government; i.e. American System. This shit has been with us since the days of John Adams. It only exploded with FDR.
Posted by: Vic at July 18, 2011 06:08 AM (M9Ie6)
Saw a guy named Sean Egan on CNBC this morning ... he's so gloomy about the world financial situation he makes Monty look like Pollyanna. (Will post a link when I find it, but last I checked CNBC hadn't put the interview with Egan online.) Coupla takeaways, working from memory here: Greece, Ireland, and Portugal cannot possibly pay their debts, and current debtholders will take haircuts of 90%, 70%, and 70% respectively on the bonds they hold; European banks will need to be backstopped by their governments, but said governments don't have the needed capital to do so ... so the Fed will end up as the backstop of last resort; CNBC anchor: so you're talking about Armageddon here Egan: Yes Anchor: so what should people invest in? Egan (somewhat offended by the question): Money managers are smart - let them figure it out
Piping hot Doom!, fresh off the wires
Posted by: crisis du jour at July 18, 2011 09:17 AM (J1eJz)
Sean Egan owns an upstart credit rating agency in my neck of the woods. He has been calling bullshit on the big agencies for years, to little attention. Very smart dude.
Posted by: rockmom at July 18, 2011 06:09 AM (lSyyU)
You need to remember one primary thing about the Big Three -- they are not truly independent entities any more. They are heavily regulated by the government, who has bestowed a virtual monopoly on them (ever wonder why only Moody's, Fitch, and S&P play in that market?). When they started paying close attention to sovereign debt issues, their ratings became politicized and hence dependent on politics and PR as much as finance. (That's how Greece could maintain a high investment grade on their bonds clear into 2010.)
Ratings agencies also don't draw top-drawer financial talent. They get the C students from Stern, Wharton, and Harvard who couldn't land a top job at an investment house but don't want to work for the government. They're not the brightest bulbs in the financial world. They are cautious, hesitant, and in thrall to the very entities they are supposed to be rating (especially the US Government). For a long this lack of aggressiveness was considered to be "prudence", but in the subprime meltdown it was exposed for what it was: simple timidity. They didn't want to rock the boat, make enemies, or -- let's be honest -- lose out on any fees.
The increased willingness of the Big Three in recent months to downgrade sovereign debt is evidence of their embarassment at having been caught out. They are, at long last, doing the job they were supposed to be doing all along. But they are in my view mortally wounded by the heavy governmental hand they labor under -- they can't be honest about sovereign debt because it's a political issue and not a financial one. US debt should not be triple-A, yet they still rate it as such because...well, because they don't want to make Uncle Sam angry.
So an investor has to wonder what purpose their rating serves when everyone knows the rating is bullshit...including the people who issue it!
Posted by: Monty at July 18, 2011 06:09 AM (/0a60)
More seriously- I don't know, neither does any of my personal circle who are deeply involved in that world. They all agree that- based on facts currently in evidence- there should be no doubt that much of went on just prior to 2008 (and some since) is flat-out illegal and people should be in jail. They're scratching their heads as to why the FDIC isn't coming down like a 2000lb. of rectangular building things on those banks and their execs (who, by law, can be held personally liable).
Which is why I go to: corruption. Not even necessarily in the "bribe" sense. We all know that the FDIC was strapped in 2009, and only a little less so in 2010. I suspect that if any (let alone more than one) of the Big Banks fell, the FDIC wouldn't be able to cover those losses- and those banks are way too big for anyone else to buy, so the FDIC would be on the hook for all of those deposits. Add to that the fact that FDIC insurance now covers more than twice what it once did, and you can see why the FDIC would be rather slow to start those particular dominoes falling.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at July 18, 2011 06:10 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: elspeth at July 18, 2011 06:10 AM (0AkWH)
Largely due to little to no enforcement of these laws and a corrupt legal system.
Posted by: '80sBaby at July 18, 2011 06:12 AM (o2lIv)
LOL, damn Monty we do agree on a lot of things!
Posted by: Vic at July 18, 2011 06:13 AM (M9Ie6)
Posted by: Evil Republican at July 18, 2011 06:13 AM (Q4Q1A)
Posted by: AoSHQ's *second* worst commenter, DarkLord© at July 18, 2011 06:15 AM (GBXon)
They knew that what they were doing was madness, but they did it anyway.
Monty
That sorta proves my point that the banks, faced as they were with this grand and glorious New Mandate from the Central Committee that they grant loans to those who couldn't previously meet the standards for home ownership, really had no choice but to get *ahem* creative in their quest to make money from them.
Posted by: BackwardsBoy at July 18, 2011 06:16 AM (d0Tfm)
See also: Corruption.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at July 18, 2011 10:06 AM (8y9MW)
See also: Lawyer/Politicians
Posted by: Hrothgar at July 18, 2011 06:17 AM (yrGif)
In other words, to me it looks like this.
1. Community Redevelopment Act (the Cause)
2. Wall Street's grasping to make money while still complying with a bad law (the Effect)
3. Profit? (Yup, but not for long, hence our present situation. They knew it couldn't last.)
Posted by: BackwardsBoy at July 18, 2011 06:19 AM (d0Tfm)
The problem with this formulation is that almost no banks complained, even in private. No sober banker in a grey suit stood up to object that lending standards exist for a reason, and that loaning money to people who couldn't pay it back was just stupid. Banks and other lenders actively collaborated in this mess -- they could have objected, and refused to lower their lending standards, but they didn't.
And of course by the time the ball was really rolling (the mid-1990's), the Fannie/Freddie machine was kicking into high gear and the money was gushing and no one wanted to miss out.
Posted by: Monty at July 18, 2011 06:21 AM (/0a60)
You're confusing "privileges" with "entitlements."
A driver's license is a privilege.
Medicare Part A is an entitlement.
Free speech is a right.
Healthcare is a service.
Posted by: Joe C. at July 18, 2011 06:22 AM (u6JZj)
#79 that's basically right. The CDOs and CDO-squareds and the credit default swaps exploded as the banks tried to keep the merry-go-round from stopping due to what they knew was rapily declining credit quality in the underlying loans. I worked for a very large mortgage lender at the time and we spent most of 2005 and 2006 saying, "WTF is going on" as we all had expected a significant market slowdown in those years, because the Fed was ratcheting up interest rates. It should never have made sense to regulators or investors that originations could keep increasing as rates rose. But the Wall Street guys just got really greedy, they figured out ways to keep the profits rolling in and the lenders figured out ways to keep making loans to sell to them. Until they couldn't.
Posted by: rockmom at July 18, 2011 06:22 AM (lSyyU)
I had similar a conversation recently, specifically with a woman who insisted that schools had to provide breakfast because many parents didn't have food in the house but 5 minutes later insisted that her property taxes should be lowered, not because the value of her house has declined but just because taxes are too high. Connect the dots is a game for children, I guess.
Posted by: Retread at July 18, 2011 06:22 AM (G+7cD)
Nice. Is your penchant for ball-punching just because you're short and it's a convenient target, or do you just like to see lefty misery?
Little from column a, little from column b. Lefty tears make a nice between souls snack.
Monty - thanks. I'd forgotten to factor regulatory capture into the equation. And I cannot be the only one who has noticed that all of these laws and regs designed to make things more transparent have resulted only in greater obfuscation.
Posted by: alexthechick at July 18, 2011 06:23 AM (VtjlW)
Insty's been pointing out that the current crop of Our Betters got where they are by being able to spew back the popular ideology of the moment. Of course they can't think creatively, that was never rewarded.
Posted by: alexthechick at July 18, 2011 09:53 AM (VtjlW)
I love it when you talk dirty like that.
Posted by: Darth Randall at July 18, 2011 06:25 AM (O/onO)
Incorrect. No Bank Executives complained. Plenty of Bankers did. The problem there is that, for the most part, Bank Executives are not actually Bankers. They (too often) see the Bank like any other corporation. To some extent that's true, but the unique situation of banks (for instance, the fact they see taking in money {deposits} as a liability and paying money {making loans} as an asset) means they have to be handled very differently. Also, where any other business might survive a year or three taking losses, any bank that takes even one year of losses is almost certainly out of business before that year is up.
Since many of the Executives don't completely understand that (it is kind of counter intuitive to think of the risky side of your business as the part you want more of), they look at balance sheets and such and think "what can we do to maximize the black ink?" when what really needs to happen is a steady growth on both sides of the ledger with the assets only slowly outpacing liabilities.
Since the Execs are the ones with voices, the actual bankers who understood all that were often ignored.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at July 18, 2011 06:28 AM (8y9MW)
My disdain for the CRA stems from the approach: while it's noble to want every American to own a home, the CRA forced banks to make bad loans instead of doing it the old fashioned way by making sure we have a robust economy with plenty of employment diversity for folks of varying skills, and a career ladder to climb.
Posted by: BackwardsBoy at July 18, 2011 06:28 AM (d0Tfm)
Many of this nation's problems in many sectors came from confusing "correlation" and "causation."
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at July 18, 2011 06:30 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at July 18, 2011 06:30 AM (jx2j9)
I don't know how any of us would ever know if they are complaining in private or not. But as I am learning in the book I referenced earlier I suspect that buisness leaders learned in the 30s that complaining in public will get you "investigated" and in jail.
This guy was no saint, but then again he wasn't a crook either.
Posted by: Vic at July 18, 2011 06:31 AM (M9Ie6)
And of course by the time the ball was really rolling (the mid-1990's), the Fannie/Freddie machine was kicking into high gear and the money was gushing and no one wanted to miss out.
Posted by: Monty
So who were they supposed to complain to? The government that ordered them to extend the loans, the government that expected them to "give back" or the government that regulated them and audited them? Perhaps the government that screamed at the regulator who warned Congress in testimony about the problem and was deemed a racist?
Here's a bank auditor story: My father worked as COO of a decent sized SB years ago. They had to contend with the regulation of reporting cash transactions over $10,000, which was a pain, since many businesses do these on a regalar basis. The people in DC responded as only they could. They announced a revision, where FIs could maintain a list of companies who were exempted (by them) for the reporting requirement. Of course, in the event one of the businesses turned out to be bad, the FI was to be held liable. My father was among those who advised not doing this.
When the auditors showed up, they demanded to see their list of exemptions. He explained three times that the FI decided not to exercise this, and offered to show them the meeting minutes of the board where they decided this course of policy. The twit was adamant. So my father had a secretary draw up on letterhead a beautiful document entitled "list of emepted businesses from $10,000 reporting". And he signed that blank piece of paper and ordered that it be updated and maintained.
That is how FIs are treated and regulated.
Posted by: Blue Hen at July 18, 2011 06:33 AM (6rX0K)
I don't really think that's true. I remember lots of socalled "Red-Lining" suits and threats of suits to force the banks to lend to the bad-credit risks. They didn't want to do it but their hand was forced.
Posted by: toby928™ at July 18, 2011 06:33 AM (GTbGH)
Many of this nation's problems in many sectors came from confusing "correlation" and "causation."
That's a point you stress here a lot. Do you think I'm on the wrong track by blaming the CRA as the root cause? I know there's a lot to our current mess, but it had to start somewhere, and that's the point I found.
Posted by: BackwardsBoy at July 18, 2011 06:33 AM (d0Tfm)
Posted by: buzzsawmonkey at July 18, 2011 06:33 AM (TMia/)
I believe I should qualify my own statement by pointing out that small, local banks were by no means immune to the environment of corruption for the same reason. Many small bank execs felt the same way the big bank execs did- you just don't hear about them because they're small potatoes.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at July 18, 2011 06:34 AM (8y9MW)
After all, the best way to deal with any problem is to ignore it, right?
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at July 18, 2011 09:33 AM (9hSKh)
I actually think this would work. For a very short period of time, and when it stopped working that would be the end. (imio)
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at July 18, 2011 06:34 AM (jx2j9)
Academics always have the hardest time adjusting to "the real world" because they've never had to deal with it, as a rule -- they went from being a student to being a Master's candidate, to being a PhD, to being a postdoc, to being an adjunct, to being (if they're lucky) a tenured member of the staff. They have no idea how the private sector works, or even the economy in any fundamental sense.
Indulge me my repetitiveness-- Union members and Law professors confuse seniority and tenure with a marketable skill, a ignorant notion of which they will soon be disabused.
Posted by: don't hate me 'cause I'm beautiful at July 18, 2011 06:37 AM (le5qc)
Heading back to 12K again. I think some people are getting very rich on the 12k to 12.5k oscillations.
Posted by: toby928™ at July 18, 2011 06:37 AM (GTbGH)
What an incredibly illustrative Bank Auditor story. And quite in line with how the FDIC audits (and other government agencies) work. The thing is, the Auditor probably also thought it was stupid, but he had to check that box off of his "to-do" list and provide documentation- and meeting minutes don't constitute sufficient documentation.
Posted by: BackwardsBoy at July 18, 2011 10:33 AM (d0Tfm)
Oh, no. I was agreeing with you. I was alluding to the fact that CRA was one of those points of confusion: people who buy houses are better off than people who don't- in the minds (for lack of a better term) of our politicians, this means home ownership causes prosperity- when, in fact, it tends to be that prosperity causes home ownership.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at July 18, 2011 06:38 AM (8y9MW)
___________
Plus, you can sew the bits you cut out into an AIDS quilt and sell it on e-bay. Profit!
Posted by: Anachronda at July 18, 2011 06:39 AM (6fER6)
This is what happens when crooks like Dodd Frank come up with the investigation and "fix" instead of being prosecuted and going to jail.
And why is not Issa investigating the shit out of this?
Posted by: Vic at July 18, 2011 06:40 AM (M9Ie6)
I don't really think that's true. I remember lots of socalled "Red-Lining" suits and threats of suits to force the banks to lend to the bad-credit risks. They didn't want to do it but their hand was forced.
Posted by: toby928™
Combine this with the ability to originate a mortgage and then sell it, package it with thousands more, and the ability to 'blend' AA mortagages with the junk and sell them and you have the perfect storm of making the bottom line, greed, political intimidation and stupidity. Some of thwe biggest hits were taken by Fis in countries that aren't alloed to write a 95 - 110% mortgage (Ireland, Germany). But they invested in the mortgage backed securities which included many of these.
Add also the fact that FIs are limited to what they ARE allowed to hold. If stuff gets downgraded, they HAVE TO unload it. So there is competition for the A grade stuff, thus creating incentive to expand that supply. When it became contaminated, hilarity ensued.
Posted by: Blue Hen at July 18, 2011 06:40 AM (6rX0K)
Oh, this is entertaining. Your good buddy Shep Smith canÂ’t extract his head from BarryÂ’s ass.
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at July 18, 2011 06:40 AM (jx2j9)
Friday at work one of them was expounding on how we are not in a recession because Costco et al are still full of "stuff."
These are the same people who think, "I can't possibly be out of money, because I still have checks in the checkbook...."
Posted by: Teresa in Fort Worth, TX at July 18, 2011 06:41 AM (EOxFP)
That any people rely on any gov agency to rate or police any American business or service provider is incredible. I believe we would be best served by complete deregulation and let everyone steal - or not steal, and serve - or ill serve - their clients.
Let the market alone govern the winners and losers
Posted by: don't hate me 'cause I'm beautiful at July 18, 2011 06:43 AM (le5qc)
Thanks, AllenG. I was hoping I wasn't too far off the mark in identifying a horrible piece of legislation as being the pebble in the avalanche of DOOM! that we're seeing today.
Good, now I have another thing on my list to dismantle after the Great Conservative Awakening of 2012 that puts conservatives in control of Washington for the next eight years. Some stuff to be repealed immediately if not sooner: OCare, Frank-Dodd, Porkulus, student loan takeover, and now, the CRA.
Yippee!
Posted by: BackwardsBoy at July 18, 2011 06:44 AM (d0Tfm)
Believe me, this is the way ALL government regulatory agencies work. The must see properly completed paper. Nothing else will work.
But no, the auditors don't think it is "stupid". Those with an IQ above that of a creosote post are quickly filtered out of government service.
Posted by: Vic at July 18, 2011 06:45 AM (M9Ie6)
And this maybe what Judge Napoletano is worried about. EhÂ… Rand Corporation.
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at July 18, 2011 06:46 AM (jx2j9)
Posted by: BackwardsBoy at July 18, 2011 06:47 AM (d0Tfm)
Posted by: rockmom at July 18, 2011 06:47 AM (lSyyU)
Hell not only was it discredited, but it was discredited BEFORE they passed the legislation enabling CRA to begin with.
Posted by: Vic at July 18, 2011 06:50 AM (M9Ie6)
These are the same people who think, "I can't possibly be out of money, because I still have checks in the checkbook...."
True story: The Good Ex-Boyfriend is an actual, honest to cthulhu genius. We're talking off the charts IQ. He could not, for the life of him, understand the concept that checks take time to clear and the bank did not magically know when I wrote a check. So he would go to the atm, check the balance and then withdraw money because it said there was money there! It was very hard to yell at him properly because he was so proud that he thought to check the available balance first.
Posted by: alexthechick at July 18, 2011 06:50 AM (VtjlW)
Well, yes, they are. But many of those are in the FDIC. Very few FDIC auditors stay auditors for very long. They either become actual bankers (often compliance officers or cashiers (which is a big title in a bank)), or they move very quickly up the chain before they can do any "damage" to the government's scheme.
In point of fact, my dad was an Auditor for a few years before he became the head cashier of a State Bank here in Texas (sold about 11 or 12 years ago to Norwest/Wells Fargo). Now, he works as an internal auditor for a National Bank holding company out of Abilene.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at July 18, 2011 06:52 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: rockmom at July 18, 2011 10:47 AM (lSyyU)
Oooh, that's more good stuff. You may just force me to do some of that exhaustive Interwebs research consisting of five minutes on Bing. Thanks.
It's also worth remembering who used to work for ACORN suing or threatening banks with a suit because of the CRA.
You'll never guess who it is. Never ever in a million years.
Posted by: BackwardsBoy at July 18, 2011 06:54 AM (d0Tfm)
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at July 18, 2011 06:55 AM (jx2j9)
If Republicans really care about "not leaving our grandchildren burdened with unsustainable debt", then you should all be willing to pony up some and pay for the 10 year GOP drunken spending spree now.
Posted by: JEA at July 18, 2011 06:55 AM (YNPwP)
Seriously? That's the best you've got. Obama and his Democrat cronies have raised the deficit more than all the previous Presidents combined, and you're still complaining about the fact that two (only two, then, remember? Now we're up to 3, or is it 4? I've lost count.) wars cost a lot of money?
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at July 18, 2011 06:58 AM (8y9MW)
The same problem applies on a much larger scale to people who don't want to count pension obligations as "debt". After all, they don't have to send out checks yet, so why should the obligation show up on their balance sheet as a liability?
Posted by: Monty at July 18, 2011 06:59 AM (/0a60)
Posted by: JEA
Please document how this last 10 year span is the result of a "GOP spree" . I'll give you a pass on the drunken part. Otherwise, fuck off.
Posted by: Blue Hen at July 18, 2011 06:59 AM (6rX0K)
Posted by: Barry Obama at July 18, 2011 07:01 AM (zgZzy)
Posted by: SurferDoc at July 18, 2011 07:03 AM (STdkO)
If Republicans really care about "not leaving our grandchildren burdened with unsustainable debt", then you should all be willing to pony up some and pay for the 10 year GOP drunken spending spree now.
Done. As lone as you and your libtard friends pony up for Obama's tripled deficit.
Posted by: Wyatt Earp at July 18, 2011 07:04 AM (zgZzy)
Lady Gaga is no longer No. 1?
No worries. I'm going to appear on MNBC with a dildo strapped to my head. That'll boost my popularity!
Posted by: Lady GagMe at July 18, 2011 07:05 AM (zgZzy)
Lady Gaga is no longer No. 1?
No worries. I'm going to appear on MNBC with a dildo strapped to my head. That'll boost my popularity!
Posted by: Lady GagMe
Please specify the time, lest we mistake you for Chris Matthews.
Posted by: Blue Hen at July 18, 2011 07:06 AM (6rX0K)
Posted by: AeroFANatic at July 18, 2011 07:06 AM (h8FS0)
Posted by: Empire of Jeff at July 18, 2011 07:06 AM (lbo6/)
Posted by: rockmom at July 18, 2011 07:07 AM (lSyyU)
Posted by: SurferDoc at July 18, 2011 07:07 AM (STdkO)
Please specify the time, lest we mistake you for Chris Matthews.
No chance. The dildo is always in my mouth, not mounted on my head.
Posted by: Chrissy Matthews at July 18, 2011 07:08 AM (zgZzy)
If Republicans really care about "not leaving our grandchildren burdened with unsustainable debt", then you should all be willing to pony up some and pay for the 10 year GOP drunken spending spree now.
I'd happily pay 1 dollar more in taxes for every 5 dollars cut from government spending on items that were not enumerated to be in the purview of the legislature or executive branches.
Dealsies?
Posted by: Ben at July 18, 2011 07:10 AM (wuv1c)
Posted by: SurferDoc at July 18, 2011 07:10 AM (STdkO)
Lady Gaga is no longer No. 1?
No worries. I'm going to appear on MNBC with a dildo strapped to my head. That'll boost my popularity!
Posted by: Lady GagMe
Or,
Tragedy struck the MSNBC set today, in the aftermath of an on-air incident involving the world famous....'entertainer' and MSNBC's own Rachel Maddow. The set director reported, " things were going fine, once we figured out which bathroom our guest could use (all of them. Simultaneously.). Then Mr Ms Maddow entered the area, and something just seemed to cause her to accost our guest. I'll never forget her cries of , I'm riding the range tonight!!!" MSNBC stated that counselors would be made available to all staff present.
Posted by: Blue Hen at July 18, 2011 07:10 AM (6rX0K)
Posted by: cherry π at July 18, 2011 07:11 AM (OhYCU)
Ask Yourself: Isn't It Really Time For the Kids and the Old People To Die?
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at July 18, 2011 07:12 AM (jx2j9)
Posted by: BackwardsBoy at July 18, 2011 07:13 AM (d0Tfm)
This is why I can't take the whole 'Chinese Century' scenario seriously in the slightest, aside from assidiously apt alliteration. They took our house of cards, cranked it up past 11, and don't even have the rudimentary transparency we manage to force here. When that collapses, it's going to be ugly.
Posted by: AoSHQ's *second* worst commenter, DarkLord© at July 18, 2011 07:13 AM (GBXon)
H/T to Zero Hedge
That site is getting tough to read anymore. It's dripping with Jew hatred, and I'm not talking about policy differences with Israel, but old fashioned middle ages and 20th century jew hatred.
Posted by: Ben at July 18, 2011 07:15 AM (wuv1c)
The same problem applies on a much larger scale to people who don't want to count pension obligations as "debt". After all, they don't have to send out checks yet, so why should the obligation show up on their balance sheet as a liability?
I don't get that at all. I don't even pretend to understand accounting but I know enough to know that there must be an accounting for future obligation, at least in some fashion. I was unaware that lalalala look a unicorn! was accepted accounting practice.
Posted by: alexthechick at July 18, 2011 07:15 AM (VtjlW)
Posted by: alexthechick at July 18, 2011 10:50 AM (VtjlW)
I wonder if there's an analogy there to entitlement obligations?
Nah, cause the pols spending money don't really care about the consequences.
Posted by: Randy M at July 18, 2011 07:16 AM (vI8R6)
Nah, cause the pols spending money don't really care about the consequences.
Pfft! Consequences are for the little people.
Posted by: Washington, D.C. at July 18, 2011 07:18 AM (zgZzy)
Posted by: cherry π at July 18, 2011 07:18 AM (OhYCU)
Andrew McCarthy takes McCain to the woodshed over his attack on Michelle Bachmann
And I do mean takes him to the woodshed. He even blames McCain for Obama and his communist shit.
Posted by: Vic at July 18, 2011 07:19 AM (M9Ie6)
Posted by: alexthechick at July 18, 2011 10:50 AM (VtjlW)
I wonder if there's an analogy there to entitlement obligations?
Nah, cause the pols spending money don't really care about the consequences.
Posted by: Randy M
If we wish to understand why bankers wrote and then sold off mortgages that they knew were shaky during an up market, all we need to do is look at politicians tat vote for one increase or sweetheart deal (double duipping, sick pay schemes) that curent taxation levels couldn't possible sustain.
Indeed, the bankers could at least point out how the mortgage failure rate was excepttionally low during the up times, and was concentrated in several large areas (S. CA, FL) for the first part of the crisis. The length and depth of the recession, coupled with the massive losses in unemployment flushed out most of them.
Local governemtns can't claim this. Many are already under-contributing, and are still hard pressed to meet obligations.
Posted by: Blue Hen at July 18, 2011 07:20 AM (6rX0K)
The GASB rules are changing, and it's scaring the crap out of states and municipalities who will (at long last) have to account for their massive (and mostly unfunded) promises to their employees. But the bitter irony is that even if the GASB standards are "accepted" by the various governments, they will not be enforced...because enforcement of these more rigorous rules would immediately bankrupt hundreds if not thousands of municipalities nationwide.
So you have the Kafkaesque situation where standards are "accepted" by all entities as being rational and prudent...but no one will actually implement them because it would mean financial ruin.
The actuarial and accounting trades at the government level are like Bizarro World versions of the real thing, I shit you not.
Posted by: Monty at July 18, 2011 07:21 AM (/0a60)
Posted by: cherry ð
Call me a fub if you will, but I don't wanna know what his/her/its #1 spot is.
Posted by: Blue Hen at July 18, 2011 07:22 AM (6rX0K)
H/T to Zero Hedge
That site is getting tough to read anymore. It's dripping with Jew hatred, and I'm not talking about policy differences with Israel, but old fashioned middle ages and 20th century jew hatred.
Posted by: Ben at July 18, 2011 11:15 AM (wuv1c)
I don't read ZH except thru re-directs from AoS.
Posted by: The Robot Devil at July 18, 2011 07:22 AM (136wp)
Note the conditional "if". He's more likely coming out in favor of fiscal child abuse.
Posted by: Randy M at July 18, 2011 07:22 AM (vI8R6)
We keep hearing the administration and its shills pointing out that income tax is only projected to provide 14.5% of GDP, or whatever. They use this statistic to say that "the rich" should pay more than 35% of their income (that is, more than 1/3 of their labor should be used to enrich the government) in taxes.
Here is a question I haven't heard asked: If the average income tax revenue per year has been around 19% for the last 60 years or so, and if the income tax rates haven't changed significantly in the last 12 years or so, why are receipts down so far?
As I see it, there are three possible culprits:
1) Eeeeevillll Corporations and Rich people are hiding their wealth.
2) Tax rates were always too low, we were just riding "the bubble" until 2008.
3) There aren't enough tax payers.
Now, #1 is stupid, but many of them believe that. So we must ask- how did they get so much better at it in just 4 years' time? They weren't doing that well prior to 2008.
#2 is even more stupid- but some of them believe that, too- of course the correct follow-up to that, then, is "So how much of my wealth would you like to confiscate?"
#3 is probably correct- At which point we should be asking, "So why don't we make it easier on businesses (reduce regs and such) so they can feel confident in growing, and why don't we make sure than anyone that makes an income has to "get in the game" by paying taxes on that income? Wouldn't both of those expand the tax base and therefore reduce the deficit?"
Now, I know most of the Morons get this, but I'm wondering why I'm not hearing it more from the Pundit and Political classes.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at July 18, 2011 07:22 AM (8y9MW)
http://tinyurl.com/4x4f5uf
Posted by: Barack "Malcom-Y" Obama at July 18, 2011 07:25 AM (136wp)
Posted by: Nevergiveup at July 18, 2011 07:25 AM (i6RpT)
I will never give up my gratitude for his service- but that doesn't mean I want him in government. Just because you were in the military and served honorably doesn't make you someone I want leading this country.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at July 18, 2011 07:27 AM (8y9MW)
And bankers at least can do math. So they don't have the pathological stupidity excuse.
Posted by: Randy M at July 18, 2011 07:28 AM (vI8R6)
Posted by: Nevergiveup at July 18, 2011 07:28 AM (i6RpT)
yeah, why should Auntie Zetuni be saddled with all the debt that the Republicans created over the last 10 years?!?!?
Hasn't Auntie Zetunia paid enough?
Posted by: soothsayer at July 18, 2011 07:31 AM (G/zuv)
So you have the Kafkaesque situation where standards are "accepted" by all entities as being rational and prudent...but no one will actually implement them because it would mean financial ruin.
That gives me the oppotunity to post this, one of my favorite Onion videos.
Everyone keeps calling me S.
Posted by: Ben at July 18, 2011 07:31 AM (wuv1c)
One wonders (not) why the MFM never explains why the failure rate was so low during that time despite the fact that banks loaned a shit-ton of money to people who had no possibility of making the payments.
And that is because the real-estate bubble was expanding so fast that when a borrower couldn't meet payments all they had to do was either refinance using their "new equity" or sell the house at a huge profit because it was a seller's market.
When the feds finally started jacking up the interest rates that little party came to an end and the banks had to start eating those bad mortgages.
Posted by: Vic at July 18, 2011 07:32 AM (M9Ie6)
One wonders (not) why the MFM never explains why the failure rate was so low during that time despite the fact that banks loaned a shit-ton of money to people who had no possibility of making the payments.
And that is because the real-estate bubble was expanding so fast that when a borrower couldn't meet payments all they had to do was either refinance using their "new equity" or sell the house at a huge profit because it was a seller's market.
When the feds finally started jacking up the interest rates that little party came to an end and the banks had to start eating those bad mortgages.
Posted by: Vic
Wheras the game politicians were are playing with pressure groups bled us in good times and bad.
Posted by: Blue Hen at July 18, 2011 07:34 AM (6rX0K)
Well, I never suspected otherwise, but what you wrote could be read to say that he's "spent" all the good will he was due for his service. I was pointing out that he'll never do that- but that good will doesn't extend (and really never should have, if it ever did) to deciding his fitness to serve in a position of leadership in the country.
Probably a slightly pedantic quibble, but I like to be clear when I can.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at July 18, 2011 07:35 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: Nevergiveup at July 18, 2011 07:38 AM (i6RpT)
Posted by: Jean at July 18, 2011 07:39 AM (WkuV6)
Posted by: Nevergiveup at July 18, 2011 07:40 AM (i6RpT)
Posted by: Jean at July 18, 2011 07:43 AM (WkuV6)
Posted by: Jean at July 18, 2011 11:39 AM (WkuV6)
It is getting rather hot outside?
Posted by: Nevergiveup at July 18, 2011 11:40 AM (i6RpT)
Ride on my Bretheren!
Ride Inflation..
Ride Regulation...
Ride Cronyism.....
Ride Progresivism....
Posted by: Four Horsemen of the Fianacial Apocolypse at July 18, 2011 07:43 AM (NtXW4)
I'm in Texas. How could I tell? The pavement is already melting in places (yes, really).
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at July 18, 2011 07:44 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: Jean at July 18, 2011 07:45 AM (WkuV6)
Posted by: Nevergiveup at July 18, 2011 11:38 AM (i6RpT)
But what happens when Guam tips over?
Posted by: Shirley Jackson Lee at July 18, 2011 07:45 AM (136wp)
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at July 18, 2011 07:45 AM (jx2j9)
Posted by: Jean at July 18, 2011 11:43 AM (WkuV6)
$1615 is the barrier. Give it two days.
Posted by: Shirley Jackson Lee at July 18, 2011 07:46 AM (136wp)
Posted by: Nevergiveup at July 18, 2011 07:46 AM (i6RpT)
Posted by: Jean at July 18, 2011 07:46 AM (WkuV6)
Maybe the Morons could pool our resources and buy a private island somewhere.
I've got about $.50 I can spare...
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at July 18, 2011 07:48 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: Jean at July 18, 2011 11:39 AM (WkuV6)
So ... according to Egan-Jone, there are better bets for sovereign debt than the US? I wonder how any of those other sovereign debts/currencies are going to look if the US goes down. I don't think the ratings agencies factor these little bits and pieces in. I'd love to see the "equations" they used to arrive at their valuations ... yep.
It is insane to have anyone dropping the ratings on US debt without looking at everyone else in the world, FIRST, as a downgrade in US debt (a real one, not a fake one) affects most others more than it affects the US.
Posted by: Henry Harold Humphries - you can call me 'H' at July 18, 2011 07:48 AM (6GZ1D)
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber
Try clam shells. Ingest enough of those, and you'll go nuts over 'land' that is wetter than the town square of Atlantis.
Posted by: Chief Soused Gouse (of Malignant Mass) at July 18, 2011 07:49 AM (6rX0K)
It is insane to have anyone dropping the ratings on US debt without looking at everyone else in the world, FIRST, as a downgrade in US debt (a real one, not a fake one) affects most others more than it affects the US.
Posted by: Henry Harold Humphries - you can call me 'H' at July 18, 2011 11:48 AM (6GZ1D)
Sure we're dead, but we're just mostly dead. Europe is dead, dead. Snarf up those treasuries!
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at July 18, 2011 07:50 AM (jx2j9)
So we get to go through their pockets, looking for loose change?
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at July 18, 2011 07:51 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: AmishDude at July 18, 2011 07:52 AM (T0NGe)
Uhh, let me be clear. Kal Penn and I are moving to New York and getting married. Michelle can have the punishments, I'm keeping the dog. Bo is really good at licking peanut butter IYKWIM.
Posted by: Barack "Man's Country" Obama at July 18, 2011 07:52 AM (tqwMN)
------------------------------------
Sounds like the answer should have been "Arms, ammunition, food, water, and other survival supplies.
And chaps. -no, don't ask me why."
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at July 18, 2011 09:21 AM (8y9MW)
Why?
Posted by: Beefy Meatball at July 18, 2011 07:53 AM (YYaIP)
----
Apparently, it was personnel, not personal. ABC had it wrong, but corrected it.
Posted by: Y-not at July 18, 2011 07:54 AM (5H6zj)
Posted by: Y-not at July 18, 2011 11:54 AM (5H6zj)
Same thing. Barky owns all the peons who work for him, in his house.
Posted by: Henry Harold Humphries - you can call me 'H' at July 18, 2011 07:55 AM (6GZ1D)
Republicans, “No! Not spending cuts! No! Not program cuts! No! Tax increases! That’s the ticket! Glad we thought of it!”
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at July 18, 2011 07:57 AM (jx2j9)
Nub of the Progressive argument: I'm owed the best of everything but I don't want to pay for it. If you disagree, you're a capitalist pig Nazi criminal racist [insert nastiest meme-of-the-day here].
Substitute "Parasite" for "Progressive" and know that, in context, the switch is applicable pretty much universally. And the Democrat Party welcomed the bloodsuckers to feast from head to toe. Killing the host is always OK because there's always another host. Right? There's another unsullied USA to be raided when this one is exsanguinated. I believe it's composed of seven of Obama's fifty-seven states.
Posted by: AnonymousDrivel at July 18, 2011 07:57 AM (r4t7/)
I said not to ask. But it involves an Ewok and good fiscal decisions...
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at July 18, 2011 07:58 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: Y-not at July 18, 2011 11:54 AM (5H6zj)
Yeah, apparently the former AG of Ohio who got booted out.
He also defended the slimeballs who got Joe the Plumber's personal info, so for all of you who thought Obamacare was a great idea, guess where your private medical records will end up?
Posted by: AmishDude at July 18, 2011 07:58 AM (T0NGe)
I said not to ask. But it involves an Ewok and good fiscal decisions...
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at July 18, 2011 11:58 AM (8y9MW)
That's good enuff for me. I'm getting a pair for the whole family!
Posted by: Beefy Meatball at July 18, 2011 08:00 AM (YYaIP)
Posted by: Shirley Jackson Lee at July 18, 2011 11:46 AM (136wp)
Coming from Ms Lee, that is comforting
Posted by: Jean at July 18, 2011 11:57 AM (WkuV6)
And wrong. It was Hank Johnson.
Posted by: Ace's liver at July 18, 2011 08:01 AM (/gOMq)
Posted by: Jean at July 18, 2011 08:03 AM (WkuV6)
We can't forget about what the unions are trying to do. Ruin America.
"The new union tactic is to use pressure on corporate boardrooms as a means of organizing entire companies nationwide rather than recruiting workers on a site-by-site basis; in short, to organize employers rather than employees. To create this pressure, unions attempt to push businesses to the edge of bankruptcy, with little regard for the welfare of employer and employee. They attempt to strong-arm businesses into agreeing to take away the secret ballot for employees in union-organizing elections via card check. They also try to force employers to restrict their own speech on union issues so that workers will not get both sides of the story on unionization. Among the SEIU's demands is that employers agree to bargain only with it, to the exclusion of all other unions, regardless of what workers want."
Posted by: Lemon Kitten at July 18, 2011 08:03 AM (0fzsA)
Posted by: Nevergiveup at July 18, 2011 08:03 AM (i6RpT)
You know, I never really liked unions, even in theory. Now I outright hate them.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) at July 18, 2011 08:04 AM (8y9MW)
Republicans, “No! Not spending cuts! No! Not program cuts! No! Tax increases! That’s the ticket! Glad we thought of it!”
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at July 18, 2011 11:57 AM (jx2j9)
Yes, that is exactly what the Dems want. And they want it for far more than the tax and spend communism that is their plank.
They want it because they HAVE been paying attention to Rasmussen and DeMint. They know if the Republicans bend over and do this the Tea party will start running 3rd party candidates and you can say an immediate and permanent goodbye to at least 18% of the Republican base.
An 18% that will only grow with time until the Republican Party goes the way of its predecessor, the Whigs.
Posted by: Vic at July 18, 2011 08:10 AM (M9Ie6)
Posted by: Dave in Texas at July 18, 2011 08:11 AM (WvXvd)
WTF? I can only conclude that it feels derelict in not already having downgraded US bonds and, rather than performing its duty, is trying to deflect responsibility.
Moodys tried bluffing its way to scare the US into responsible debt and has now pretty much given up. That's called a tell.
This message brought to you by Glenn Beck and gold bullion.
Posted by: AnonymousDrivel at July 18, 2011 08:11 AM (r4t7/)
Posted by: Jean at July 18, 2011 12:03 PM (WkuV6)
Made me look that up ... Thanks, jean. nice word.
BTW, you can call me 'H'
Posted by: Henry Harold Humphries - you can call me 'H' at July 18, 2011 08:23 AM (6GZ1D)
Posted by: Sexy corsets at July 18, 2011 08:25 AM (t0pp5)
"Moodys asks why have a debt ceiling at all?"
that reminds me of Vikram Pandit (CEO of Citi) testifying that Citi's risk analysis didn't factor in the possibility of falling (or even stagnant) real estate prices. And that was just over a decade after ... falling real estate prices in the US.
I have so little respect for business schools that I can't even put it into words.
Posted by: Henry Harold Humphries - you can call me 'H' at July 18, 2011 08:25 AM (6GZ1D)
They may say it but without the MSM flying cover for them they couldn't get anyone to believe it.
The truth, of course, is that the Democrats burned the house down so that they could ride in and be the Firemen. They set the whole thing up and with the aid of their good buddies with the petro dollars in the middle east they got the fire started by burning down the stock market. The 2009 stock market crash was fueled by sell orders from the middle east - just as the post 9/11 stock market crash came from the Saudi's pulling 400 Billion out of the market.
It is all part of Islam's war on the west - joining with their useful idiot allies in the Democratic Party.
Posted by: An Observation at July 18, 2011 08:34 AM (ylhEn)
Geitner has always struck me as the biggest asshole in any room: Miserable and whoa-is-me. It's writen on his face.
Posted by: As If.... at July 18, 2011 08:34 AM (LyOUH)
Posted by: Molon Labe at July 18, 2011 11:30 AM (g5MrG)
Just wanted to thank you for all of your posts on the economy DOOM!
I'm glad to be a fully-paid, lifetime, registered member of this smart, economics blog. Where else can you get such an "asteroid speeding towards Earth"-eye view of impending doom?
Posted by: K~Bob at July 18, 2011 04:54 PM (M3Fk/)
Posted by: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Audiobook at July 18, 2011 05:01 PM (ZDGM2)
Posted by: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Audiobook at July 18, 2011 05:04 PM (ZDGM2)
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Posted by: Gault Falcon at July 18, 2011 05:10 AM (evTki)