May 22, 2011
— Ace I often talk about the New Aristocracy, but I usually mean it more in a metaphorical way.
Mark Steyn doesn't say this, exactly -- he's talks around it, but I'm not sure how committed he is to it as a serious idea -- but his new essay makes the case that this isn't a metaphorical New Aristocracy, but a literal one.
Once you assert the right to rape the occasional peasant, you've basically declared yourself to be a member of an independent sovereign nation -- the nation of elites, which deigns to visit other nations and boss them around -- with full diplomatic immunity, as any important dignitary from a foreign land might have.
The New Aristocracy isn't made by blood but by credentials. The aristocracy is "born" in each countries two or three most elite schools, and the formal induction into the class occurs in key international/financial government bureaucracies.
And then?
Then you can stop paying taxes with no fear of the consequences the commoners face, and you can forcibly rape (or, actually, sodomize) the help and know that an entire nation's aristocrats will defend you and criticize those lowly prosecutors who charge you.
It has always been the case that the nobility in one country supported the nobility in other countries, even countries with whom they were at war, because national ambition is always well, well secondary to personal ambition. Perpetuating the rights and privileges of the new class is more important to the members of the new class than any transitory policy goal.
Or even war. Bernard Henry-Levi, the philosopher who, as Steyn says, talked Sarkozy into talking Obama into war, now drops his agitation for the liberation of Libya to turn his full talents towards agitating for the liberation of Strauss-Kahn.
Wars of adventurism and world socialism are nice goals, Old Chap, but let's not ever forget that it's this network of new aristocrats and its credentials serving as patents of nobility* that pay for our $3000 per night rape-suites in New York City.
Worth reading in full. Here's the conclusion:
Yes, they Kahn. You, not so much. After Charlie Rangel, chair of the House committee that writes America's tax laws, was "censured" by Congress for multiple infractions of, er, America's tax laws, a Washington Times reporter invited him to imagine what punishment the "average American citizen" would have received had he done what the Congressman did. "Please," Rangel told her. "I don't deal in average American citizens."If only.
* A made-up concept from A Knight's Tale but forget it, I'm rolling.
Yeah, I'm Kind of Serious: I have forgotten more about history than you have ever known (assuming you dropped out your second year of high school, I mean), but I do remember two major meta points:
1. Things change and they evolve rather slowly, but at some point, something is now definitely different, and we can now talk of an established order even though it's difficult to say with precision when this new order came into being.
Dates of coronations and wars are essentially just trivia, ephemera. But when did all the important, enduring stuff actually happen? When did the yeomanry or middle class actually arise? We can say, maybe, that it did not exist before the 1100s and that it definitely did exist in the 1500s, by in between then, what was it? A trend, and evolution. No hard date on when it came into being. But when it came into being, whenever that was, it changed everything.
2. History repeats, relentlessly. The same external circumstances and personal ambitions that created the formal aristocracy before are present now, because they never went away in the first place. Men will never lose the ability to seek their fullest possible personal freedom and luxury, even if it comes at the price of hypocrisy or the creation of patently unfair structures of class distinction and control; no advantage in your favor is ever perceived as "unfair."
"Unfair" is some guy having a privilege you don't. If you have a privilege that someone else doesn't, that's just the way the world works, Old Chap, nothing to be done about it, really.
Posted by: Ace at
08:33 AM
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Posted by: Michael Ignatieff at May 22, 2011 08:39 AM (hF6Nm)
Posted by: Nick Danger at May 22, 2011 08:41 AM (XpM53)
Posted by: George Orwell at May 22, 2011 08:41 AM (AZGON)
And the way you tell the true US "New Elite"... or Oligarchy Memebers, is that they ALWAYS have both a Bank, and Government, connection somewhere in their resume.
ie... Bank Board Member, and House Member..... Treasury Sec and Big Trading house employment...
Money and Politics go hand in hand... and the Bankers, who have all the money, finally evovled to the place where they no longer need to Buy Congressmen, they helped grow them from an internal banking class...
And no... its not organized, just a logical outgrowth of one power center moving in to take over another power center.
Which is why Herman Cain's having been a Chairman of a Fed Bank gives me pause...
Posted by: Romeo13 at May 22, 2011 08:42 AM (NtXW4)
Thank you for bringing this to the table for discussion, I hate class warfare but I am disgusted with this new elite class of world citizens that would take us back to past times better left in the past.
Problem is what to do about it? We have little power against an Elite that does not believe in a country's sovereignty or a persons individual rights ,not even a great respect from those they benefited from being a being a member or citizen of.
Posted by: willow at May 22, 2011 08:43 AM (h+qn8)
Posted by: J.J. Sefton at May 22, 2011 08:44 AM (UlUS4)
Posted by: willow at May 22, 2011 12:43 PM (h+qn
The very first thing which must happen... but never will... is a Constitutional Amendment stating that Governments must follow the same laws as they impose on their citizens.
If a private person created Social Security, they would be in Jail for a Ponzi scheme.
If a normal citizen tries to create a Lottery, Jail for Gambling.
A Cop can lie to us, but we can't lie to a Cop....
The Second is a Constitutional Amendment stating that the US does NOT have Sovereign Immunity vs. its OWN CITIZENS.
We have no longer have any legal recourse against the people running our own government.... only the Government itself has the power to police itself currently.... and we see how well that is working...
Posted by: Romeo13 at May 22, 2011 08:48 AM (NtXW4)
Posted by: Mr. Dave at May 22, 2011 08:49 AM (NUSKC)
Posted by: PaleRider at May 22, 2011 08:50 AM (FYUWS)
Posted by: Bob Saget with a can of cheezwiz at May 22, 2011 08:51 AM (NLWij)
The IMF and World Bank are nothing but socialist organizations transferring wealth from American taxpayers to the rest of the world.
Posted by: Guy Fawkes at May 22, 2011 08:52 AM (IXLvN)
Posted by: PaleRider at May 22, 2011 08:52 AM (FYUWS)
Posted by: Ian S. at May 22, 2011 08:52 AM (DRhXx)
Posted by: Lindsey Lohan at May 22, 2011 08:53 AM (3nrx7)
The French and the Americans do belong to different civilizations.
Our Constitution does not allow for title of nobility.
Besides, these French are pigs.
Posted by: Islamic Rage Boy at May 22, 2011 08:53 AM (PrXnz)
History repeats indeed.
Consider all the 'waivers' coming from the government as merely the new form of indulgences.
Posted by: ThomasD at May 22, 2011 08:54 AM (UK5R1)
Posted by: mare at May 22, 2011 08:55 AM (A98Xu)
Posted by: Paris Hilton at May 22, 2011 08:55 AM (3nrx7)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 08:55 AM (nj1bB)
Posted by: willow at May 22, 2011 08:56 AM (h+qn8)
Posted by: CoolCzech at May 22, 2011 08:57 AM (kUaEF)
Posted by: Wesley Snipes at May 22, 2011 08:57 AM (3nrx7)
The Titles of Nobility Amendment (TONA) was proposed as an amendment to the United States Constitution in 1810. Upon passage of a resolution offered by U.S. Senator Philip Reed of Maryland, during the 2nd Session of the 11th Congress, TONA was submitted to the state legislatures for ratification. While the time for TONA to be ratified was not limited by the Congress, so that it is technically still capable of being ratified by the states, it has not been ratified by three-fourths of the states, and so has never become part of the Constitution.
Posted by: Jean Daniel at May 22, 2011 08:57 AM (PrXnz)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 08:57 AM (nj1bB)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 12:55 PM (nj1bB)
WORD!
Posted by: TEH WON at May 22, 2011 08:57 AM (xEXzN)
Posted by: Guy Fawkes at May 22, 2011 12:52 PM (IXLvN)
seems insurmountable
The French and the Americans do belong to different civilizations.
Our Constitution does not allow for title of nobility.
Besides, these French are pigs.
Posted by: Islamic Rage Boy
Yet look at how our own (media elite )covered for Polanski
Posted by: willow at May 22, 2011 08:59 AM (h+qn8)
Posted by: PaleRider at May 22, 2011 09:00 AM (FYUWS)
Posted by: J.J. Sefton at May 22, 2011 09:03 AM (UlUS4)
Posted by: Megan McCain at May 22, 2011 09:03 AM (3nrx7)
Posted by: CoolCzech at May 22, 2011 09:03 AM (kUaEF)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 09:05 AM (nj1bB)
The population increased significantly, despite the Non-White Plague, wages went up significantly--ad yes, a "gentry" of the top five percent and aristocracy of the top one percent was established as the governing class in hundreds of organized governments throughout Europe
They've been in charge ever since, despite all the wars and Stuff
( Hitler was such a threat because despite pandering to them he hated the gentry / aristocracy and would have eventually wiped all of them out )
Posted by: SantaRosaStan, Old Testament scholar & parable guru at May 22, 2011 09:05 AM (UqKQV)
With a broomstick.
Posted by: CoolCzech at May 22, 2011 01:03 PM (kUaEF)
You could make millions with a Pay Per View event
Posted by: De' Debil Hisself at May 22, 2011 09:05 AM (H+LJc)
Posted by: CoolCzech at May 22, 2011 09:05 AM (kUaEF)
Posted by: Stuff George Orwell Said Vol. VI at May 22, 2011 09:05 AM (sOtz/)
Posted by: Drew in MO at May 22, 2011 09:07 AM (34UWg)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 09:07 AM (nj1bB)
and no, I will never forgive Blue Hen Republicans for nominating her
( the U of Delaware are the 'Blue Hens' ; kind of like that high school in Okla which are the Henrietta Hens. The girls teams are the Lady Hens. Go figure )
Posted by: SantaRosaStan, Old Testament scholar & parable guru at May 22, 2011 09:08 AM (UqKQV)
And that's the problem. Public service was intended to be a *service*, not an *honor*.
Posted by: Ian S. at May 22, 2011 09:09 AM (DRhXx)
Posted by: George Orwell at May 22, 2011 09:10 AM (AZGON)
You gotta problem with that?
Posted by: SantaRosaStan, Old Testament scholar & parable guru at May 22, 2011 09:10 AM (UqKQV)
Just about.
Posted by: Prez Obplus at May 22, 2011 09:11 AM (IXLvN)
Posted by: SantaRosaStan, Cowboys fan at May 22, 2011 09:12 AM (UqKQV)
The French and American Revolutions merely blocked off one road. Those who want lives of privilege, above the law, will find a way.
Posted by: arhooley at May 22, 2011 09:12 AM (GBuFK)
I hope we're not coming to the point where "authentic" is getting defined as "unaccomplished."
I'm authentic and unaccomplished! Now kiss the ring, bitches!
Posted by: King Barry The Great at May 22, 2011 09:15 AM (zgZzy)
Posted by: George Orwell at May 22, 2011 01:10 PM (AZGON)
I think that's an Internet meme I created several years ago when I said 1984 was not intended as a how-to book on more than a few occasions in different places.
Or great minds and whatnot.
Posted by: Beagle at May 22, 2011 09:15 AM (sOtz/)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 09:15 AM (nj1bB)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 09:16 AM (nj1bB)
Okay, she's the second-most least-accomplished person to be seriously considered for President.
What about me???
Posted by: Ron Paul!!! at May 22, 2011 09:17 AM (zgZzy)
I've said over and over that the elite are credentials oriented while Americans by and large are still results oriented. That's why for the life of them the elites cannot fathom why we don't stand in awe of them.
Our motto is basically; "So, what have you done for me lately"
Posted by: kbdabear at May 22, 2011 09:18 AM (vdfwz)
Posted by: The Ruling Class at May 22, 2011 09:18 AM (4Uw8o)
Posted by: Michael Ignatieff, not an MP anymore at May 22, 2011 09:18 AM (hF6Nm)
Posted by: Whatever at May 22, 2011 09:19 AM (hF6Nm)
KAAAAAAHHHHHHNNNNNN !!!!!
Posted by: In before the Trekkies at May 22, 2011 09:19 AM (vdfwz)
ace: I have forgotten more about history than you will ever know but I do remember two major meta points
That's right. I remember you said you had a degree in history in one of your comments.
You also made a blog post about how you hated school in HS, hated school in college, and hated school in law school, and it wasn't until you were actually studying law that you really and truely realized that your hatred of school wasn't just a transitory thing... but that you really hated school.
Well, that's cool. Just out of honest curiosity... do you find your degree in history to have been usefull or worthwhile? I know you are blogging, which doesn't REQUIRE a degree, but is your degree(s) usefull?
Do you use you skills / knowledge of history and the law in your blogging?
Posted by: ed at May 22, 2011 09:19 AM (Y2WVW)
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at May 22, 2011 09:20 AM (jx2j9)
Posted by: George Orwell at May 22, 2011 09:21 AM (AZGON)
To buy votes and pander--the usual reasons--the Demos 'empowered' govt employees in the 60s with significant pay increases and then again in the 70s with collective bargaining and mega-pensions.
Now all levels of government support the oligarchy, allied with union remnants and thousands and thousands of funded 'activist' groups
Boned, we are...........
Posted by: SantaRosaStan, Cowboys fan at May 22, 2011 09:22 AM (UqKQV)
Reasonable people can disagree, but my interpretation is that the Founders intended Congress (and the Presidency) to be necessary but unpleasant jobs in service to the people (the House and Presidency) or the states (the Senate). Over the years, and especially the last 125 or so, it's devolved into something much closer to the aristocracy the Founders were, IMO, trying to prevent.
Posted by: Ian S. at May 22, 2011 09:23 AM (DRhXx)
Posted by: PaleRider at May 22, 2011 09:26 AM (FYUWS)
Just off the top of my head: Ron Paul, US Grant (an actual president), and Ross Perot in the not-very-qualified category.
Nobody is really qualified to be president. If you think you are fully qualified that's the best evidence you don't get it and aren't qualified.
Posted by: Beagle at May 22, 2011 09:28 AM (sOtz/)
Posted by: George Orwell at May 22, 2011 09:28 AM (AZGON)
Posted by: " The Aristocrats!" at May 22, 2011 09:29 AM (Fr8N6)
Posted by: ron at May 22, 2011 09:29 AM (wxRof)
You have been warned. I'm just an analyst doing hit jobs
Posted by: Karl Rove at May 22, 2011 09:29 AM (vdfwz)
Posted by: Geroge Costanza at May 22, 2011 01:24 PM (haFtp)
That's like saying Beetlejuice three times! I've never seen Michelle's thunder thighs move so fast.
Posted by: President ManBitch at May 22, 2011 09:31 AM (JZXZc)
Posted by: dagny at May 22, 2011 09:31 AM (shUtW)
Posted by: John F'n Kerry at May 22, 2011 09:32 AM (MMC8r)
Posted by: George Orwell at May 22, 2011 09:33 AM (AZGON)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 09:33 AM (nj1bB)
You have been warned. I'm just an analyst doing hit jobs
Posted by: Karl Rove at May 22, 2011 01:29 PM
Karl "The Architect", how about him fellow conservatives! You're a Great American, Karl!
Posted by: Sean Hannity at May 22, 2011 09:33 AM (vdfwz)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 09:35 AM (nj1bB)
Posted by: George Orwell at May 22, 2011 09:36 AM (AZGON)
Posted by: Cheri Daniels at May 22, 2011 09:37 AM (MMC8r)
Posted by: Dr. Phil and Oprah Winfrey at May 22, 2011 09:37 AM (AZGON)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 01:33 PM
How about it Mr Spades HQ, are you ready to concede that President Obama not only has all the right credentials but that he NEVER made a mistake on his history test ?
Posted by: Judy the Civil Intellectual at May 22, 2011 09:37 AM (vdfwz)
Posted by: JohnJ at May 22, 2011 09:38 AM (KzTky)
Look at Kate Middleton's parents. Party planners.........
Tess of the D' ubervilles, re-mixed. Polanski directed that movie, btw
Posted by: SantaRosaStan, Cowboys fan at May 22, 2011 09:38 AM (UqKQV)
Posted by: George H. W. Bush at May 22, 2011 09:38 AM (AZGON)
Posted by: SantaRosaStan, Cowboys fan at May 22, 2011 09:39 AM (UqKQV)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 09:41 AM (nj1bB)
Posted by: Comrade Arthur at May 22, 2011 09:41 AM (KE+Ya)
Posted by: Whatever at May 22, 2011 09:41 AM (hF6Nm)
Posted by: Newt Gingrich at May 22, 2011 09:42 AM (AZGON)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 09:43 AM (nj1bB)
And, let's not forget that there are still places on this little blue marble where caste systems are still in place. Oh, and even our own dear mum, Britain, has it's class system, supported of course, by the lower beings.
Posted by: Clueless at May 22, 2011 09:43 AM (piMMO)
Posted by: Comrade Arthur at May 22, 2011 09:43 AM (KE+Ya)
Posted by: George Orwell at May 22, 2011 09:43 AM (AZGON)
Strauss-Kahn .... I'm LAUGHING at the Superior Intellect
Posted by: Admiral James T Kirk at May 22, 2011 09:45 AM (vdfwz)
I don't remember proofs on the LSAT!
AmishDude is going to stroke out when he reads that comment
Posted by: laceyunderalls at May 22, 2011 09:45 AM (2gNXM)
Release the hounds!
Posted by: Montgomery Burns at May 22, 2011 09:45 AM (FVhEi)
Posted by: mrp at May 22, 2011 09:45 AM (HjPtV)
We didn't, it was the outrage of the day but like all of them, soon forgotten when the next outrage came along.
Posted by: lowandslow at May 22, 2011 09:46 AM (GZitp)
Shit doesn't stick to your fur?
Posted by: a Bear in the Woods at May 22, 2011 01:44 PM (haFtp)
Fuck you, asshole, I know what you're thinking!
Posted by: Rabbit at May 22, 2011 09:47 AM (JZXZc)
Posted by: Strauss-Khan Noonien Singh at May 22, 2011 09:48 AM (AZGON)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 01:43 PM
So you liked creating toxic gases, setting the south wing of the school on fire, and generally blowing things up?
Posted by: Mr Gelston, ace's chemistry teacher at May 22, 2011 09:48 AM (vdfwz)
Posted by: Clueless at May 22, 2011 09:48 AM (piMMO)
Posted by: willow at May 22, 2011 09:48 AM (h+qn8)
Posted by: LC LaWedgie at May 22, 2011 09:49 AM (sM/RM)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 12:55 PM (nj1bB)
I'm not. I love the fact that you cite physicians, who are tasked with understanding a complex unknowable organic system.
Our political system is man-made and we have as much right to determine its outcome as any "expert" for two reasons: (1) experts are often horribly wrong when it comes to, for example, economics and (2) any legal system that has the complexity of the human body is made byzantine for the purposes of enabling corruption.
Posted by: AmishDude at May 22, 2011 09:49 AM (73tyQ)
We've allowed technology to destroy our ability to focus on anything beyond that which is in front of our noses.
Posted by: Clueless at May 22, 2011 09:49 AM (piMMO)
Posted by: Comrade Arthur at May 22, 2011 01:41 PM (KE+Ya)
They're the party planning committee. Seriously, they make governments function ; the nobility (in most cases) reigns; the aristocracy & gentry RULE.
They decide Who gets What, and How. Power, man--they use it
Max was right about Them, but could not see the rise of the middle class. He could not see much, though, and most of what he did see wasn't actually there
Posted by: SantaRosaStan, Cowboys fan at May 22, 2011 09:50 AM (UqKQV)
Posted by: willow at May 22, 2011 09:50 AM (h+qn8)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 09:50 AM (nj1bB)
Posted by: SantaRosaStan, Cowboys fan at May 22, 2011 09:51 AM (UqKQV)
Posted by: Comrade Arthur at May 22, 2011 09:52 AM (KE+Ya)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 01:43 PM
How do you do this blogging stuff? I rarely get to share with everyone my every moment on the golf course. I'm just too humble I suppose
Posted by: Barry, "the H is for Humble" Obama at May 22, 2011 09:53 AM (vdfwz)
Hillary apparently doesn't have such sexual motives (at least based on admittedly flimsy evidence) but she sincerely believes she can go around or above the law. Even some Democrats complained about her tactics while she was on the Watergate committee.
For all his faults, at least Orwell wasn't willing to blind himself to the excesses of the left. Not many like him in that regard.
Posted by: Full Moon at May 22, 2011 09:53 AM (m75CK)
So, those three things. Nothing else really stuck.
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 01:41 PM (nj1bB)
Then you learned the wrong thing.
The successful lawyer learns how to obscure logic and reason.
The whole point is not to bind oneself to the rules of logic but to make sure that you deconstruct it on behalf of your client.
AmishDude is going to stroke out when he reads that comment
Posted by: laceyunderalls at May 22, 2011 01:45 PM (2gNXM)
I'm feeling much better now.
Posted by: AmishDude at May 22, 2011 09:54 AM (73tyQ)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 12:55 PM (nj1bB)
Wow Ace, I think you pulled a lot of that out your ass.
His point is that anytime a candidate on our side tries his/her hand at it, and they don't have "political experience", ie they are not a part of the political class, they are unelectable.
There is a reason why every single president since, what, Reagan, has been an Ivy League-er. The gatekeepers in our society do their level best to stomp on anyone without the "credentials". And the problem with the people who possess the credentials? They are part of the political class and can't really be trusted to push conservative policies and ideas effectively.
Reagan was the only one who showed an alternative path to winning, afaik, but it is not easy. It takes a lot of work and tremendous patience to improve and inform oneself to become an effective spokesman for conservatism as Reagan became from '76 to '80. Not many people can really do it, or want to.
Posted by: KG at May 22, 2011 09:54 AM (4L0zr)
Posted by: Damiano at May 22, 2011 09:56 AM (3nrx7)
Try The History of Rome podcast.
I think we actually get more of an appreciation of history as we age.
Posted by: AmishDude at May 22, 2011 09:56 AM (73tyQ)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 09:56 AM (nj1bB)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 01:07 PM (nj1bB)
Ok, now you are just being silly.
Posted by: KG at May 22, 2011 09:56 AM (4L0zr)
LOEffingL
If you don't continue to speak it or travel abroad where you can spread your foreign language wings, you lose your proficiency very quickly.
Posted by: laceyunderalls at May 22, 2011 09:57 AM (2gNXM)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 01:56 PM (nj1bB)
Not professionally. Not in an organized methodical way.
And the law has precedents, which are lies written in stone.
Posted by: AmishDude at May 22, 2011 09:58 AM (73tyQ)
Posted by: dagny at May 22, 2011 01:31 PM (shUtW)
I worry that there is more truth to this than I am comfortable contemplating.
Posted by: jcjimi at May 22, 2011 09:58 AM (bq5ei)
Posted by: De' Debil Hisself at May 22, 2011 10:00 AM (H+LJc)
Only the Germans could create such a multi-leveled insult
Posted by: SantaRosaStan, Cowboys fan at May 22, 2011 10:00 AM (UqKQV)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 10:01 AM (nj1bB)
Posted by: John "Aristocrat" Holmes at May 22, 2011 10:02 AM (4sQwu)
What I use is something I never trained in and quite frankly think is almost all bullshit: Psychology.
I have no idea how that happened. But I think psychology is, despite my disdain for the general subject and utter lack of training in it, weirdly the thing I am most comfortable discussing.
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 01:33 PM (nj1bB)
Its essentially a social skill. You can be a very good amateur at it, because as social animals we are essentially programmed to listen and talk to others and being willing to try to help others or discuss situations can be important for the whole.
At least that's my bullshit theorizing for this.
Posted by: buzzion at May 22, 2011 10:02 AM (oVQFe)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 01:56 PM
Then you also know gummi, leder, scheisse, & pissen
Posted by: Hans Gruber at May 22, 2011 10:02 AM (vdfwz)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 10:03 AM (nj1bB)
That was my major. I'm supposed to know something about it.
I didn't know know that was your major, but I'm not surprised. I've seen it in your writing. You're blogging along and then all of a sudden BAM! you've listed some events, tied them together and made sense of them.
Posted by: Mama AJ at May 22, 2011 10:03 AM (XdlcF)
Posted by: Clueless at May 22, 2011 10:04 AM (piMMO)
Posted by: Comrade Arthur at May 22, 2011 10:04 AM (KE+Ya)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 10:05 AM (nj1bB)
The primary explanation seems to be the IT revolution which has brought greater returns to IQ and other cognitive skills. Before, being the smartest kid in small town Kansas meant ... a good life in small town Kansas. Now that kids gets sent off to Harvard, Yale, Oxford, and various other elite universities in various nations. Or they go and join Google. Or a hedge fund.
Now this isn't the super-political elite as much as new permanent upper class, but it still is a new phenomenon.
And IQ is 60% heritable-- and elite schools and companies double as match-makers which means smart dudes increasingly breed with smart chicks.
So our new aristocracy is increasingly going to be genetically different from the masses.
The funny thing is the high IQ set claims to be concerned about this new income inequality -- so they craft labyrinthine new bureaucratic rules to manage the economy and reduce inequality. But managing and navigating the bureaucracy is so complex that it actually just makes income inequality worse.
Who gets Affirmative Action? Basically upper IQ blacks (like Obama) who are smart enough to work the system. Obama would have had a fine up-scale life without Affirmative Action, he didn't need it in anyway. Actual poor blacks who need the help often have cognitive deficits that make navigating the AA bureaucracy very difficult. You have to follow a many step process, get the right forms in on time, etc, etc. It doesn't sound hard to you probably, but you are probably above average in IQ. Almost by definition the people we want to help are below average in IQ and get confused and overwhelmed much easier.
The very steps the ruling class take in the name of reducing their power ... just further cements it.
Posted by: Clubber Lang at May 22, 2011 10:05 AM (QcFbt)
Where they see you as disqualified is when the media can corner you easily and get you to say stupid things. Well...everyone but Obama.
Posted by: De' Debil Hisself at May 22, 2011 10:06 AM (H+LJc)
If you don't continue to speak it or travel abroad where you can spread your foreign language wings, you lose your proficiency very quickly.
Seems that the Spanish and German I learned are mixed together now. I can carry on a conversation with someone who speaks both, plus English...but that isn't exactly useful.
Although there was one funny episode of Frazier where there was a 3 way translation going on and I started laughing way before my husband got the joke.
Posted by: Mama AJ at May 22, 2011 10:06 AM (XdlcF)
The key to having a meritocracy without having it devolve into a different from of elitism is strong limits on government and institutional power.
I do worry about this though, because hasn't the US been more meritocratic in the last 50 years with the Civil Rights Movement, movement toward college entrance based mainly on standardized tests, increased parity bewteen men and women, etc?
More meritocracy seems to have emboldened rather than limited government power. The link may not be causal, but there at least appears to be a strong correlation.
Posted by: Paper at May 22, 2011 10:06 AM (VoSja)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 10:07 AM (nj1bB)
Wrong. This is the Prog definition. The American definition is --
"Unfair" some guy having a privilege you will never be able to earn or steal.
Locked out by accident of birth is unfair. That is all. Χαλεπα Τα Καλα.
Posted by: dr kill at May 22, 2011 10:08 AM (le5qc)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 02:01 PM
So you are admitting that President Obama will always be perfect because he's NEVER made a mistake. Ergo, your criticism of him is nothing but vulgar racism
Posted by: Judy the Civil Intellectual at May 22, 2011 10:08 AM (vdfwz)
Um what? I'm not even sure we are talking about the same thing now.
Posted by: KG at May 22, 2011 10:09 AM (4L0zr)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 10:09 AM (nj1bB)
Its essentially a social skill. You can be a very good amateur at it, because as social animals we are essentially programmed to listen and talk to others and being willing to try to help others or discuss situations can be important for the whole.
That's therapy, which isn't necessarily what psychology is about. I had to learn quite a bit of science about how the brain works. And a variety of other things, of course. Nothing about how to be a psychologist, really. Never took the Abnormal Pysch class, though, which probably would have been the most useful.
Posted by: Mama AJ at May 22, 2011 10:09 AM (XdlcF)
Well if you care (and it sounds like you don't, just making a broader point), you can find some type of social organization, esp in a big city likes yours where you're forced to converse. That's the only way to learn I think. I took four years of Italian and I learned more in three months going to these Cicolo Italiano outings where they spoke no English. It was painful at first - getting out of your comfort zone but it paid off in spades.
Posted by: laceyunderalls at May 22, 2011 10:10 AM (2gNXM)
Also fuck you. I don't make shit up. The MFM and the political class will defend their status with everything they got. You disagree?
Posted by: KG at May 22, 2011 10:10 AM (4L0zr)
That's fine, with the rider that accomplishment in politics is worth a lot less than accomplishment elsewhere. Otherwise Robert Byrd would be the best possible Presidential candidate ever.
Posted by: Ian S. at May 22, 2011 10:10 AM (DRhXx)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 10:12 AM (nj1bB)
And the smart chicks convert the smart dudes at dick-point to vote for Obama and then they have at most 1 kid because of GAIA! Onwards to Idiocracy.
Posted by: Ian S. at May 22, 2011 10:12 AM (DRhXx)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 02:07 PM (nj1bB)
Heh.
I'm not finding an English to German translation for "Yippee Ki Yay, motherfucker".
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at May 22, 2011 10:13 AM (c0A3e)
Although there was one funny episode of Frazier where there was a 3 way translation going on and I started laughing way before my husband got the joke.
Posted by: Mama AJ at May 22, 2011 02:06 PM (XdlcF)
Wasn't that the one with the fencing instructor?
Posted by: ErikW at May 22, 2011 10:13 AM (JZXZc)
Posted by: James Tiberius Kirk at May 22, 2011 02:03 PM
"I think we can guarantee that she'll follow us, Lieutenant. Remind me to explain to you the concept of the human libidio."
Posted by: Judy the Civil Intellectual at May 22, 2011 10:13 AM (vdfwz)
Hey, don't misquote me, I said "I have forgotten more about history than you will ever know (by your second year of high school, I mean)."
Hey brother, I wasn't trying to ding or misquote you there. I just left that part out because it didn't seem to be necessary to what I was trying to communicate.
I understand your concern though. Anyway, thanks for your responses.
Anyway, I've been working non stop, 7 days a week for about a month. This weekend is my first free weekend. I've got a couple of pitchers of mimosas in my gut, and a hot babe by my side, so I'm going to have to sign off now.
Keep on rockin' on with your cock out.
Or words to that effect....
Posted by: ed at May 22, 2011 10:13 AM (Y2WVW)
#146
Even fifty years ago, many Ivy League schools had a lower SAT scores than some large state schools due to large numbers of 'elite' connection admissions.
The meritocracy seems to be working better in many ways that in did in 1950.
Posted by: Paper at May 22, 2011 10:14 AM (VoSja)
Posted by: Judy the Civil Intellectual at May 22, 2011 02:13 PM
After I explain the concept of sock failure
Posted by: Captain Spock at May 22, 2011 10:14 AM (vdfwz)
Posted by: Lord Tobias of Geldeland at May 22, 2011 10:15 AM (GTbGH)
Germans........
"Let yourself be un-fucked"
Posted by: SantaRosaStan, Cowboys fan at May 22, 2011 10:15 AM (UqKQV)
Posted by: eman: Japanese Babe Rescue Team at May 22, 2011 10:15 AM (AYNHC)
Well, Ace, I hope you keep writing about history in the making. The old stuff has been written about plenty, man.
Was going to email you about the MFM but I'll dump it here: there were two different stories this morning about presidential candidates being anti-Tea Party. Which, of course they didn't actually say.
I think a Journolist email went around or something. I'll grab the links and BRB.
Posted by: Mama AJ at May 22, 2011 10:15 AM (XdlcF)
The reason I love the HQ so is that every once in a while someone will make a really clever reference (usually as a sock) and dredge up some obscure bit of history from my brain. "Smart military blog" really undersells the place, IMO.
Posted by: Ian S. at May 22, 2011 10:17 AM (DRhXx)
ace: Hey, don't misquote me, I said "I have forgotten more about history than you will ever know (by your second year of high school, I mean)."
Hey brother, I wasn't trying to ding or misquote you there. I just left that part out because it didn't seem to be necessary to what I was trying to communicate.
You're cool with me.
I understand your concern though. Anyway, thanks for your responses.
Anyway, I've been working non stop, 7 days a week for about a month. This weekend is my first free weekend. I've got a couple of pitchers of mimosas in my gut, and a hot babe by my side, so I'm going to have to sign off now.
Keep on rockin' on with your cock out.
Or words to that effect....
Posted by: ed at May 22, 2011 10:17 AM (Y2WVW)
And the smart chicks convert the smart dudes at dick-point to vote for Obama and then they have at most 1 kid because of GAIA! Onwards to Idiocracy.
Posted by: Ian S. at May 22, 2011 02:12 PM
You're basing this on the assumption that the elite student is there on merit and not social or family connections
Based on what spills out of the mouths and keyboards of the graduates of these elite schools, you have to wonder if inbreeding is becoming rampant among them
Posted by: Captain Spock at May 22, 2011 10:18 AM (vdfwz)
Wasn't that the one with the fencing instructor?
Oh, yeh. And the mis-translation was between "wife" and "shoes" so the guy thought he was being accused of stealing Nile's shoes.
Posted by: Mama AJ at May 22, 2011 10:18 AM (XdlcF)
Posted by: SantaRosaStan, Master of the Pan flute at May 22, 2011 10:18 AM (UqKQV)
I took 4 years of Spanish in high school and didn't learn dick. Then years later I worked my way through Pimsleur and started reading a lot in Spanish. Not books. Newspapers -- sports, entertainment, wikipedia entries on Batman, comic books, children's stories. It didn't take long before I could read most news articles in Spanish. My audio processing still sucks. I can watch Spanish TV -- but only if the spanish subtitles are on. I can read in real time, but I still can't audio process in real time. I can have a decent, if slow, conversation with a native Spanish speaker, but it exhausts me since I have to concentrate so hard to understand them.
Of course, this all is a useless skill and was probably a waste of my time. I can now fluently read about Kobe Bryant or the latest TMZ scandal in Spanish. I can even read about Spanish and Mexican soccer stars that I don't care about, and sex scandals of Mexican actresses I've never heard of. So, a lot of work for very little tangible benefit other than checking off "learn a foreign language" on my to-do list.
Posted by: Clubber Lang at May 22, 2011 10:19 AM (QcFbt)
Posted by: DiogenesLamp at May 22, 2011 10:19 AM (PF2Cj)
How dare you!
Posted by: Meghan McCain (Columbia) at May 22, 2011 10:19 AM (73tyQ)
France, home to the world's greatest painters, chefs and anti-Semites.
The French, cowardly yet opinionated, arrogant yet foul-smelling, anti-Israel, anti-American, and of course, as always, Jew-hating.
Paris, the city of whores, dog feces on every corner, and effete men yelling anti-Semitic remarks at children. The real creme de la creme of world culture.
With all that's going on in the world, isn't it time we got back to hating ... the French?
Posted by: can't let go of old memes at May 22, 2011 10:20 AM (GTbGH)
Posted by: James Tiberius Kirk at May 22, 2011 10:21 AM (AZGON)
With all that's going on in the world, isn't it time we got back to hating ... the French?
Posted by: can't let go of old memes at May 22, 2011 02:20 PM (GTbGH)
Do you know how to tell if a French man has been in your back yard?
Your garbage is missing and your dog is pregnant.
Posted by: DiogenesLamp at May 22, 2011 10:21 AM (PF2Cj)
Posted by: Mama AJ at May 22, 2011 02:18 PM (XdlcF)
I remember that! I miss that show, it's probably my favorite.
Posted by: ErikW at May 22, 2011 10:21 AM (JZXZc)
Posted by: Prince Charles's Ears at May 22, 2011 10:21 AM (AZGON)
Carl Cameron is apparantly trying out for a job voicing movie trailers:
In this era of combative Tea Party partisanship
And the WSJ finds someone in the crowd to quote:
"The tea party makes me nervous," said Richard Berry of Keene, a Republican-leaning independent.
Posted by: Mama AJ at May 22, 2011 10:22 AM (XdlcF)
Wait. There is ...... another.
Posted by: Blame Canada! at May 22, 2011 10:23 AM (HjPtV)
Posted by: Bill Clinton, Sex King at May 22, 2011 10:23 AM (MMC8r)
Posted by: DiogenesLamp at May 22, 2011 02:19 PM (PF2Cj)
And it's not limited to the upper echelon of national politics, it trickles down to your community. Usually in the form of state and local employees/bureaucrats. They're better then you.
Posted by: lowandslow at May 22, 2011 10:23 AM (GZitp)
In France the am-bla-lamps in cities have doctors. They eat snails. ( not that the doctors eat snails; lots of people in France eat snails )
Posted by: SantaRosaStan, Master of the Pan flute at May 22, 2011 10:24 AM (UqKQV)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 10:24 AM (nj1bB)
Its essentially a social skill. You can be a very good amateur at it, because as social animals we are essentially programmed to listen and talk to others and being willing to try to help others or discuss situations can be important for the whole.
That's therapy, which isn't necessarily what psychology is about. I had to learn quite a bit of science about how the brain works. And a variety of other things, of course. Nothing about how to be a psychologist, really. Never took the Abnormal Pysch class, though, which probably would have been the most useful.
Posted by: Mama AJ at May 22, 2011 02:09 PM (XdlcF)
Yeah but that again is getting between the amateur and professional I think. Therapy and Empathy do essentially to require you to understand things about the human brain, and if you are for the most part a normal brain funcioning human you should be able to do that by understanding yourself. We're not talking about diagnosing Bi-Polar people and schizophrenia.
Posted by: buzzion at May 22, 2011 10:25 AM (oVQFe)
I can watch Spanish TV -- but only if the spanish subtitles are on.
Well, with Spanish you can be fluent and then get a speaker from somewhere else and not be able to understand a word.
I thought I could understand a decent amount until I moved to the Texas Mexico border and could not understand a freaking word of Spanish for 4 years.
And don't get me started about the lack of burritos.
Posted by: Mama AJ at May 22, 2011 10:26 AM (XdlcF)
Posted by: Blame Canada! at May 22, 2011 02:23 PM
Given that Harper just told Obama to stick his Jew-hatred where the sun don't shine, I'm OK with not hating Canada.
Posted by: Ian S. at May 22, 2011 10:27 AM (DRhXx)
Carl Cameron is apparantly trying out for a job voicing movie trailers:
In this era of combative Tea Party partisanship
Screw Huntsman. When I hear someone start down the "civility" trail it immediately signals to me that they don't have the stomach for the job. They are saying Please don't attack me because I have no intention of returning the favor. Civility is not a fucking plan for the future.Immediate disqualification.
Posted by: Clueless at May 22, 2011 10:27 AM (piMMO)
Chambermaid: No, sir! You have the IMF! You can have whatever...
Strauss-Khan: [grabs Chambermaid in anger] FULL ROBOT CHUBBY! DAMN YOU! Posted by: James Tiberius Kirk at May 22, 2011 02:21 PM
We are now entering the Mutara Squeakhole
Posted by: Captain Spock at May 22, 2011 10:28 AM (vdfwz)
So do something about the kickbacks and influence don't dramatically increase the tax on producers which kills reinvestment and future production. Which it's doing and why the current Governor wants to roll it back.
Posted by: lowandslow at May 22, 2011 10:28 AM (GZitp)
"Let yourself be un-fucked"
Probably why Gunnery Sgt Hartman's insults were to as much effect as they were:
"Private Pyle! You'd best unfuck yourself and start shitting me Tiffany cufflinks or I will rip off your head and shit down your neck!"
Posted by: Additional Blond Agent at May 22, 2011 10:29 AM (uehxp)
Posted by: David Frum at May 22, 2011 10:29 AM (AZGON)
People are going on about Marx, but it is important to note that these cycles were well understood long before the 19th century.
Read up on Cicero, and his understanding of the three primary forms of government (aristocracy, monarchy, democracy.) These are effectively hard-wired into humanity, with peoples tending towards any one, or in combination.
Currently we are seeing aristocracy ascendant, with lip-service to democracy (and it's red-headed stepchild rule of law.) Monarchy remains despised for the near term.
Posted by: ThomasD at May 22, 2011 10:29 AM (UK5R1)
Buzzion, I got a degree in Psych and then worked in IT for many years.
Always joked that when someone called with a computer problem, I'd ask "And how do you feel about that?"
We're not talking about diagnosing Bi-Polar people and schizophrenia.
And when you say "we" you mean...??
Posted by: Mama AJ at May 22, 2011 10:30 AM (XdlcF)
"You dare disagree with me?!"
Speaking of semantics, that is.
Posted by: Additional Blond Agent at May 22, 2011 10:30 AM (uehxp)
Posted by: Oliver Willis's Shoe Shine Boy at May 22, 2011 10:31 AM (lT0LC)
Just trying to help, don't get mad at me.
Posted by: AllahFrumdit at May 22, 2011 10:31 AM (vdfwz)
I was eating Cheetos Flaming Hot Fries and sneezed in the middle of chewing.
Posted by: Clueless at May 22, 2011 02:30 PM (piMMO)
Quick! Chug some root beer and spit it out you nose!
Posted by: lowandslow at May 22, 2011 10:32 AM (GZitp)
--and it's amazing how many of the poor and lower middle class would be happy with this arrangement.
Posted by: logprof at May 22, 2011 10:33 AM (BP6Z1)
We're not talking about diagnosing Bi-Polar people and schizophrenia.
And when you say "we" you mean...??
Posted by: Mama AJ at May 22, 2011 02:30 PM (XdlcF)
Amateurs. The ones with a minimum or no actual study of psychology.
Posted by: buzzion at May 22, 2011 10:33 AM (oVQFe)
I was eating Cheetos Flaming Hot Fries and sneezed in the middle of chewing.
Posted by: Clueless at May 22, 2011 02:30 PM (piMMO)
Thread winner
Posted by: jcjimi at May 22, 2011 10:33 AM (bq5ei)
Posted by: Additional Blond Agent at May 22, 2011 02:29 PM (uehxp)
Yeah, I remember that. Interesting flick. To Kubrick the military was like outer space, in that he was studying something he was totally clueless about.
The German insult is more nuanced and layered for effect......
Posted by: SantaRosaStan, Master of the Pan flute at May 22, 2011 10:34 AM (UqKQV)
Mon ami, would you like for me to do a link blitz on HA? I'll link blitz you on Twitter too, and let Meggie know to get the word out!
Posted by: AllahFrumdit at May 22, 2011 10:34 AM (vdfwz)
Harper's a good guy. Chretien and Trudeau makes the count 1 and 2.
Posted by: Blame Canada (But Not As Much As France)! at May 22, 2011 10:34 AM (HjPtV)
Posted by: logprof at May 22, 2011 02:33 PM
You provide the bread, I'll provide the circuses
Posted by: Simon Cowell at May 22, 2011 10:36 AM (vdfwz)
Posted by: eman: Japanese Babe Rescue Team at May 22, 2011 10:36 AM (AYNHC)
Civility is not a fucking plan for the future.
That's why I'm ready to go apeshit on the Democrats' collective asses!
Posted by: Ron Paul!!!1!!1!! at May 22, 2011 10:36 AM (zgZzy)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 10:36 AM (nj1bB)
Buzzion, I was trying to tease you. Pretending you'd said something like "we are not schizophrenic" or something.
Posted by: Mama AJ, not quitting her day job at May 22, 2011 10:36 AM (XdlcF)
Posted by: Ian S. at May 22, 2011 12:52 PM (DRhXx)
--The same column is posted at NRO Saturday mornings.
Posted by: logprof at May 22, 2011 10:36 AM (BP6Z1)
Posted by: logprof at May 22, 2011 02:33 PM
The people give us the power to do what we want because in return we provide happiness. We give them happiness, in return they give us power
Posted by: The Cigarette Smoking Man at May 22, 2011 10:37 AM (vdfwz)
and all someone needs to be qualified is a pulse, a birth certificate, and having succeeded at not dying for 35 years.
Friggin A! Vote for me in 2012!
Posted by: Charlie Sheen at May 22, 2011 10:38 AM (zgZzy)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 10:39 AM (nj1bB)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 02:36 PM (nj1bB)
Oh wow, "people" huh? Nice....
Posted by: KG at May 22, 2011 10:39 AM (4L0zr)
Whilst you are discussing the ruling class and society at large, I am watching the Cartoon Network and eating Cheetos while in my sweats.
Pardon me.
Posted by: Clueless at May 22, 2011 10:39 AM (piMMO)
It has always been the case that the nobility in one country supported the nobility in other countries, even countries with whom they were at war, because national ambition is always well, well secondary to personal ambition. Perpetuating the rights and privileges of the new class is more important to the members of the new class than any transitory policy goal. ...
Men will never lose the ability to seek their fullest possible personal freedom and luxury, even if it comes at the price of hypocrisy or the creation of patently unfair structures of class distinction and control; no advantage in your favor is ever perceived as "unfair."
This also exists within the corporate structure, in my experience. Management makes countless rules and policies to justify their own existence (to each other). It's not even possible to know them all, much less abide by them all. Some are actually relevant and important, however, and the biggest breakers of those rules are always the management - the higher up they are, the more they get away with.
But if you're not in their favor (which means not stroking their egos - because failure is completely irrelevant, and can always be blamed on whoever you want), they can always find a rule or policy to harass you with.
They will always stick up for each other - even when it is plainly obvious that the one they are sticking up for is a really bad apple. At least in my industry, there's about a 50/50 chance of seeing any kind of managerial competence in an individual manager. So they rely on their devotion to their gang to keep their place of priviledge, and they dare not do anything that might hurt the gang. Mambers are only ever shed for showing inadequate devotion.
Hopefully, other industries do a little better, but I kinda doubt it.
Posted by: Optimizer at May 22, 2011 10:39 AM (F56VB)
Posted by: James Tiberius Kirk at May 22, 2011 10:41 AM (AZGON)
Posted by: eman: Japanese Babe Rescue Team at May 22, 2011 10:42 AM (AYNHC)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 10:42 AM (nj1bB)
Peasants go through a very long line in a giant room. Oligarchs and their hirelings have a comfy barely-trafficked gate. Very quick and cozy.
( stand-by passengers get a First Class boarding pass, so I get to live vicariously and see how my Betters do things )
Posted by: SantaRosaStan, Master of the Pan flute at May 22, 2011 10:43 AM (UqKQV)
Posted by: Maria Shriver at May 22, 2011 10:43 AM (zgZzy)
The population increased significantly, despite the Non-White Plague, wages went up significantly--ad yes, a "gentry" of the top five percent and aristocracy of the top one percent was established as the governing class in hundreds of organized governments throughout Europe
They've been in charge ever since, despite all the wars and Stuff
( Hitler was such a threat because despite pandering to them he hated the gentry / aristocracy and would have eventually wiped all of them out )
Posted by: SantaRosaStan, Old Testament scholar & parable guru at May 22, 2011 01:05 PM (UqKQV)
--Don't forget the Medieval Warm Period.
Also after 1100 (and perhaps related), the very serious threat from raids from the Vikings receded while they became "assimilated," converting to Christianity and settling into permanent communities.
Posted by: logprof at May 22, 2011 10:43 AM (BP6Z1)
Buzzion, I got a degree in Psych and then worked in IT for many years.
Always joked that when someone called with a computer problem, I'd ask "And how do you feel about that?"
Ha. I went Anthro to IT. My first question is Who do you call Father?
Posted by: can't let go of old memes at May 22, 2011 10:43 AM (GTbGH)
Theories?
1. He can't go to the movies because his regular theater banned him for staining the seat
2. His neighbor had a wild party and one of the guests still hasn't taken his car out of ace's driveway
3. Dr Who isn't on, and he's already watched the Star Wars DVD pack 10 times
4. Allahpundit couldn't go drinking with him because he had to shampoo his hair..
Any other theories?
Posted by: Art Bell at May 22, 2011 10:43 AM (vdfwz)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 10:44 AM (nj1bB)
Posted by: George Orwell at May 22, 2011 10:44 AM (AZGON)
OK, now you're just flirting with me.
What were we talking about?
Posted by: jcjimi at May 22, 2011 10:44 AM (bq5ei)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 10:45 AM (nj1bB)
Posted by: George Orwell at May 22, 2011 10:45 AM (AZGON)
Not even close.
Posted by: Abe Lincoln at May 22, 2011 10:45 AM (0vDuM)
Wait, are you actually arguing that people DON'T care about qualifications for the highest elected office in the land beyond mere formality of being an American citizen over the age of 35? That people DON'T care about voting for a guy (or gal) they think is smart enough and experienced enough and savvy enough to do the (immensely difficult) job?
You are proving Ace's point. And you don't even realize it.
You TrueCons are the new Levellers, you realize that?
Posted by: Jeff B. at May 22, 2011 10:46 AM (hIWe1)
It occurs to me that I have absolutely no business on this thread.
Pardon me.
Posted by: Clueless at May 22, 2011 02:39 PM (piMMO)
FWIW, my two areas of expertise, boats and golf, are never discussed here (maybe golf, a little). I don't know dick about politics and I know even less about the economy.
Doesn't stop me from posting my ignoramus shit here!
Posted by: ErikW at May 22, 2011 10:46 AM (JZXZc)
Posted by: Steve Ballmer at May 22, 2011 10:46 AM (AZGON)
Because we're the deciders
Posted by: The MFing MBM at May 22, 2011 10:48 AM (AnTyA)
Hi, have we met?
Posted by: Barack Hussein Obama at May 22, 2011 10:48 AM (Mkaih)
You have certainly set your standards quite high. No woman can ever hope to meet them.
Posted by: Clueless at May 22, 2011 10:48 AM (piMMO)
When Palin serves in Congress and engages in her version of the Lincoln-Douglas debates (which were followed on a national level), get back to me.
Otherwise don't insult the intelligence of every single living, breathing human being by presuming to compare Sarah Palin favorably to Abraham Lincoln.
Posted by: Jeff B. at May 22, 2011 10:48 AM (hIWe1)
Posted by: Fightin' Joe Biden at May 22, 2011 10:48 AM (BP6Z1)
I really don't have a good answer anymore. I understand the purpose of ethno-states. Japan exists to give the Japanese a better life. And even though Japan has turned into a nation of panty-sniffing shut-in perverts, a noble Japanese can honorably work towards bettering Japan in the belief that Japan will still exist and someday in the future it will return to a more honorable way of life. It gives him motivation to sacrifice for the greater good, even if he looks around today and sees a nation of anime porn fetish dudes and shallow cult-of-cute, shopping-obsessed chicks.
With America we don't have any unifying ethnicity. We increasingly don't have any unifying religious beliefs. And we increasingly don't have any unifying political beliefs. I grew up believing that America was a country based on certain ideas -- the whole life, liberty, pursuit of happiness thing. Individual liberty, individual freedom, rule of law, that sort of thing. And that was what made America, that was the purpose of America. We were a nation based on ideas.
I honestly don't believe that anymore. The founding American values are now a minority belief system. And a shrinking one. The demographic trends seem clear -- America is importing tens of millions of people who come from cultures that don't share any of these beliefs and are often openly opposed to them.
So a likely future America will be even more hostile to the ideals I believe in than it is today.
What are the animating ideas behind America? The best I can come up with is -- to provide as a large a welfare state as possible to as many people as possible, ideally with those people having the exact demographics of the world as a whole. That seems to be the noble ideal of our political class these days.
There's no desire to preserve and defend our long tradition of Anglo-Saxon common law, or ideas of property rights. There does seem to be a goal to import third world immigrants until America is just the world in microcosm. I guess various eco ideas are also animating ideas of our political class.
This question bugs me. What is the point of America? Right now it seems kinda pointless to me. And I believe the demographic trends essentially doom any return to the founding ideals that held true for the first 200 years or so.
I'm not happy about this, and I hope I'm wrong.
Posted by: Clubber Lang at May 22, 2011 10:49 AM (QcFbt)
Wait, are you actually arguing that people DON'T care about qualifications for the highest elected office in the land beyond mere formality of being an American citizen over the age of 35? That people DON'T care about voting for a guy (or gal) they think is smart enough and experienced enough and savvy enough to do the (immensely difficult) job?
I love Sarah Palin. I think she's a true conservative and she says all the right things. That being said, she can't win. She is too polarizing and indies won't vote for her. Gimme someone who can win, and I'll back him/her. This election is too important.
Posted by: Wyatt Earp at May 22, 2011 10:49 AM (zgZzy)
Posted by: eman: Japanese Babe Rescue Team at May 22, 2011 10:49 AM (AYNHC)
Posted by: Herman Cain at May 22, 2011 10:49 AM (W/nKO)
I'm a Palin fan but even I wouldn't go there.
Posted by: Clueless at May 22, 2011 10:49 AM (piMMO)
Semantics, we can't just keep having this exact same back and forth.
Clinton had some legal attacks on him, if you remember.
Further, the claim is made that she left behind an admirable lt gov who would do what she would have done.
Not so.
Her two big accomplishments were 1, increasing taxes on oil (something I approve of, since I strongly suspect she was right, that low taxes were the norm due to kickbacks and influence), and 2, the trans-Alaskan pipeline.
Well... Parnell is considering rolling back her oil tax hikes and probably will do so and the trans-Alaskan pipeline is being shelved and looks like it won't happen.
So you tell me, eman.
If her two big achievements were undone by her resignation, you tell me what she runs on.
And you tell me how much ice "attacks on her family" will cut with the public, when they saw Clinton endure (justifiably) an impeachment and embarrassing scandal, or when they saw Bush being pilloried, or when they see Obama's birthplace questioned, etc.
She resigned in order to pursue other interests, such as making money for her family. That is not an unadmirable thing to do. It can be argued that that is the best decisions as far as her family.
But this bullshit that it was all principle, and who cares anyway, and no one could have withstood such horrible attacks... No sale. No sale.
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 02:24 PM (nj1bB)
This is a devastating analysis of why Palin's resignation makes her unelectable as POTUS.
Posted by: robviously at May 22, 2011 10:49 AM (V08a0)
Posted by: Mama AJ at May 22, 2011 10:50 AM (XdlcF)
Usually pols just completely neglect their current job when they for a higher office. Dick Gephardt missed over 90% of the House roll-call votes during the 2004 primary season. Barry, Hillary, and McCain weren't much better in 2008.
Which way is more honorable...depends on if you expect your representatives to pretend to represent your are not, I guess. I don't have that expectation anymore (I don't even expect my state reps to show up to work instead of throwing childish tantrums on Twitter from Illinois).
Posted by: Abe Lincoln at May 22, 2011 10:50 AM (0vDuM)
>>>Posted by: Barack Hussein Obama at May 22, 2011 02:48 PM (Mkaih)
People wrongly perceived Obama as sufficiently qualified for the job based on his experience and demeanor. The media went well out of their way to help with that, even as we on the Right screamed about how unprepared he was for the Presidency.
Now that he's gone and proved exactly that, you want to make the argument that, yeah, qualifications don't matter after all? Based on the evidence of the Obama years?
You're not even being rational or logical at this point. You're just grasping for any rhetorical weapon at hand.
Posted by: Jeff B. at May 22, 2011 10:51 AM (hIWe1)
Posted by: Zakn at May 22, 2011 10:52 AM (zyaZ1)
Things might turned out better that way.
Posted by: President Darth Cheney with VP Warcock at May 22, 2011 10:52 AM (7mSYS)
Strange combination, but whatever floats your boat
Posted by: Disco Stu at May 22, 2011 10:52 AM (vdfwz)
I don't recall the Hollywood-Communist media-industrial complex giggling over endless attacks on Chelsea Clinton by her ex-boyfriend, let alone Dave Letterman making rape jokes about her when she was 14.
Posted by: Abe Lincoln at May 22, 2011 10:52 AM (0vDuM)
Posted by: Dominique Strauss-Kahn at May 22, 2011 10:53 AM (AZGON)
FWIW, my two areas of expertise, boats and golf, are never discussed here (maybe golf, a little). I don't know dick about politics and I know even less about the economy.
Doesn't stop me from posting my ignoramus shit here!
I dated a guy who was just astonished that I could have a conversation with anyone I met. He didn't seem to grasp the fact that people love to espouse their own beliefs. They cannot resist the urge to school another so, you ask them a question. That usually gets them talking. If it doesn't, then play the devil's advocate. They may not want to talk to you, but there's no way in hell there going to let you get away without correcting you.
This was before blogs.
Posted by: Clueless at May 22, 2011 10:53 AM (piMMO)
Posted by: Mama AJ at May 22, 2011 02:50 PM (XdlcF)
Belgian buttermilk, Mama, Belgian. Dear God, must we go through this again?
Posted by: ErikW at May 22, 2011 10:53 AM (JZXZc)
And it's not limited to the upper
echelon of national politics, it trickles down to your community.
Usually in the form of state and local employees/bureaucrats. They're
better then you.
Posted by: lowandslow at May 22, 2011 02:23 PM (GZitp)
I figured out a long time ago that Soviet Communism was just Monarchy/Nobility disguised as concern for the well being of the peasants. Concern Trolls if you will.
Posted by: DiogenesLamp at May 22, 2011 10:53 AM (PF2Cj)
Posted by: eman: Japanese Babe Rescue Team at May 22, 2011 10:54 AM (AYNHC)
Posted by: alexthedude at May 22, 2011 10:55 AM (EQNrw)
ohhhh. JBRT. I truly admire your dedication but even I, a fan, just don't see it happening.
Posted by: Clueless at May 22, 2011 10:56 AM (piMMO)
The evidence appears to be that qualifications don't seem to matter to a lot of voters, no. "Electability", your little hobby horse, seems to not have a whole lot to do with "qualifications".
Posted by: Waterhouse at May 22, 2011 10:56 AM (Mkaih)
the Greeks already created that model of monarchy, aristocracy, democracy
Their problem was seeing the 3 as separate and even exclusive. Reality is that we have a combo of all 3. Prez as monarch, a government / corporate elite as our aristocracy, and various democratic mechanisms like elections, the media, etc
The Recent Development of Note is that our new aristocracy is getting further and further removed from the Rest of Us, and being more and more Snotty about their new status
Posted by: SantaRosaStan, Master of the Pan flute at May 22, 2011 10:56 AM (UqKQV)
Posted by: George Orwell at May 22, 2011 10:57 AM (AZGON)
Posted by: laceyunderalls at May 22, 2011 10:57 AM (2gNXM)
ace, will you weep as Sarah Palin takes the Oath of Office in 2013?
She's not so bad, you know.
Let go of your hate.
I'll gladly support Palin when she takes the Oath of Office in 2013 after winning the one election she's fully capable of winning- Scottsdale Dog Catcher.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at May 22, 2011 10:57 AM (WRW1S)
Posted by: eman: Japanese Babe Rescue Team at May 22, 2011 10:57 AM (AYNHC)
So our new aristocracy is increasingly going to be genetically different from the masses.
Autism, rather than hemophilia, is the corrective mechanism for the new inbreeding.
Smart guys need to marry beautiful but slow girls, whose father's own liquor stores. And vise versa.
Posted by: toby928™ at May 22, 2011 10:58 AM (GTbGH)
Posted by: Waterhouse at May 22, 2011 02:56 PM (Mkaih)
Yeah, he's got this stupid hang-up with electability. Who the hell cares if your candidate is electable or not, amirite?
Posted by: FUBAR at May 22, 2011 10:58 AM (1fanL)
Now that's just not fair! I have a great deal in common with Mrs. Sarah! I was a huntin' and fishin' snowbilly from the middle of nowhere too, with a can-do you-betcha attitude and a ratings-winning stage show on Springfield local access! Plus I made several bazillion dollars after quitting my job with Herndon to write a few national best-sellers spotlighting my snarky homespun charm! Plus I got into brawls with everyone who looked at me funny and amassed a cult of personality who helped me beat down a political opponent who was too short! Honest Abe 2012, ladies and gents!
Posted by: Abraham Louise Lincoln at May 22, 2011 10:58 AM (W/nKO)
Posted by: eman: Japanese Babe Rescue Team at May 22, 2011 10:59 AM (AYNHC)
Many Muzzies there are, though. Many, many Muzzies..........
Posted by: SantaRosaStan, Master of the Pan flute at May 22, 2011 10:59 AM (UqKQV)
Belgian buttermilk, Mama, Belgian. Dear God, must we go through this again?
Uh oh, I think I have to resign now. Before the law suits start. Can't put the kids through that. Again.
Posted by: Mama AJ at May 22, 2011 10:59 AM (XdlcF)
Posted by: laceyunderalls at May 22, 2011 02:57 PM (2gNXM)
Did you hear that Ace? She called you a fanboi. You know what "boi" is code for, right?
Posted by: The Little-Used BanHammer of Saucy 'Ettes at May 22, 2011 10:59 AM (1fanL)
For $3000 bucks, it had better come with hot and cold running hookers and and an all you can snort cocaine bar.
Posted by: beedubya at May 22, 2011 11:00 AM (AnTyA)
They'll go for the smiles and speeches as surely as a Moron will go for the blonde with the big tits every time
Posted by: kbdabear at May 22, 2011 11:00 AM (vdfwz)
Posted by: Bob Dole! at May 22, 2011 11:00 AM (7mSYS)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 11:00 AM (nj1bB)
>>>She's not so bad, you know.
>>>Let go of your hate.
Put yourself on record RIGHT NOW: do you honestly think a.) Sarah Palin will run; b.) she will win the GOP nomination; c.) she will win the Presidency?
A is possible, B is remotely possible I suppose, C will never happen in a million years and the fact that you have to fast-forward to the masturbatory fantasies of her already taking office (and skip over the whole icky "winning votes" part) tells me that you subconsciously know that too.
If not, explain how it happens. Tell me how the poll numbers shift. Tell me how she wins over moderates and center-left voters. Tell me how she convinces people that no, she's not a unintelligent semi-tabloid reality TV star who talks strictly in platitudes and can't string an extemporaneous thought together, but that she's actually Presidential timber.
Hell, just tell me how she convinces the 40% of GOP voters who share this view of that.
Just tell me. Give me some plausible mechanics. Stop it with the "the tide will change once she campaigns and takes it to Obama and clears up all the misinformation!" bullshit. I want you, for once, to evince an actual understanding of voter psychology and the brutal math of poll numbers.
P.S. I actually am increasingly convinced that she IS "that bad."
Posted by: Jeff B. at May 22, 2011 11:01 AM (hIWe1)
This was before blogs.
Posted by: Clueless at May 22, 2011 02:53 PM (piMMO)
That's why I like Ace's place. I love learning new things and it's filled with people who collectively have a full range of knowledge about EVERYTHING!
I'm a shitty mechanic and I've gotten good automotive advice from Morons, for example.
Posted by: ErikW at May 22, 2011 11:01 AM (JZXZc)
Posted by: beedubya at May 22, 2011 03:00 PM (AnTyA)
We need to go to Vegas.
Posted by: FUBAR at May 22, 2011 11:01 AM (1fanL)
Posted by: nickless at May 22, 2011 11:01 AM (MMC8r)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 11:01 AM (nj1bB)
Posted by: George Orwell at May 22, 2011 11:01 AM (AZGON)
Well, in the case of the Hollywood elite, we could stop playing the bullshit line of Yeah, he's a total asshole but I can separate and admire his talent.
Those bastards keep their status and thus, their soapboxes, because they continue to make money for someone else.
It hasn't been that long ago that "character" was a primary issue in a POTUS election. The sign of things to come was the fact that it was so easily dismissed as irrelevant when we elected a fucking worm.
Posted by: Clueless at May 22, 2011 11:01 AM (piMMO)
Posted by: eman: Japanese Babe Rescue Team at May 22, 2011 11:01 AM (AYNHC)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 11:02 AM (nj1bB)
I believe Huntsman will be eaten alive. Remember "civility"?
Posted by: Clueless at May 22, 2011 11:03 AM (piMMO)
Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at May 22, 2011 11:04 AM (AZGON)
Posted by: Abraham Louise Lincoln at May 22, 2011 11:04 AM (W/nKO)
Peasants go through a very long line in a giant room. Oligarchs and their hirelings have a comfy barely-trafficked gate. Very quick and cozy.
( stand-by passengers get a First Class boarding pass, so I get to live vicariously and see how my Betters do things )
Posted by: SantaRosaStan, Master of the Pan flute at May 22, 2011 02:43 PM (UqKQV)
--I actually like that about LHR.
That's why the honeymoon flight had to be First Class. Either it'sd better than coach in many ways, or it's not worth the miles. (Hey, I like First Class, but why pay outright for it?)
Posted by: Fightin' Joe Biden at May 22, 2011 11:04 AM (BP6Z1)
Jeff B., Bob Dole is not impressed by your rigid adherence to things like poll numbers and electoral strategies. The public will flock to Bob Dole because Bob Dole has the charisma and the experience to win this time! Give Bob Dole a second chance
Posted by: Bob Dole! at May 22, 2011 11:04 AM (7mSYS)
Posted by: Dominique Strauss-Kahn at May 22, 2011 11:04 AM (AZGON)
I love Sarah Palin. I think she's a true conservative and she says all the right things. That being said, she can't win. She is too polarizing and indies won't vote for her. Gimme someone who can win, and I'll back him/her. This election is too important.
Posted by: Wyatt Earp at May 22, 2011 02:49 PM (zgZzy)
Chris Christie. Make the fat man run
Posted by: SantaRosaStan, Master of the Pan flute at May 22, 2011 11:05 AM (UqKQV)
Posted by: FUBAR at May 22, 2011 11:06 AM (1fanL)
Posted by: Bob Dole at May 22, 2011 11:06 AM (AZGON)
Bob Dole has loads of character! Just ask Libby! Bob Dole's character, plus a few boner pills, are all that's required to make Libby happy, and that's what Bob Dole will do for America too!
Posted by: Bob Dole! at May 22, 2011 11:06 AM (7mSYS)
I'm a shitty mechanic and I've gotten good automotive advice from Morons, for example.
Posted by: ErikW at May 22, 2011 03:01 PMSo did your insurance cover the engine fire?
Posted by: kbdabear at May 22, 2011 11:07 AM (vdfwz)
But I'll be back!
Posted by: Abraham Louise Lincoln at May 22, 2011 11:07 AM (W/nKO)
Bob Dole will accept no impersonators! Vote for the real Bob Dole, the one sporting the 4-hour woody!
Posted by: Bob Dole! at May 22, 2011 11:07 AM (7mSYS)
Posted by: eman: Japanese Babe Rescue Team at May 22, 2011 11:08 AM (AYNHC)
Posted by: George Orwell at May 22, 2011 11:08 AM (AZGON)
Posted by: George Orwell at May 22, 2011 11:09 AM (AZGON)
Never heard the lame duck business. I always figured the resignation was a step towards running for president because it took her out of the cross-hairs of Obama's legal team that was up in KA sniping at her.
If she resigned with the thought that it would help her chances of running for President, she should be disregarded out of sheer stupidity.
Resigning mid-term in response to ethics complaints (bogus or not), then going on the reality TV / money making circuit was about the worst thing she could do in terms of advancing ambitions towards the Presidency.
I seriously doubt she was that dumb. She had a choice between governing a backwater state while putting up with ethics charges and relentless media scrutiny for a lousy $125,000 a year, or leave that bullshit behind and make millions. She chose the latter, despite the very negative implications that would have towards any future political career.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at May 22, 2011 11:09 AM (WRW1S)
Posted by: chemjeff at May 22, 2011 11:10 AM (7mSYS)
I guess I sometimes criticize her in the hopes of waking up Palin-boosters to her flaws, 'turning' them away from the Dark Side, so to speak. Isn't that why anybody does something like that? I want to convince them.
Failing that, I want to take my frustrations out on her online boosters, who have done everything they possibly can to toxify ALL OTHER PLAUSIBLE CANDIDATES (including spreading outright lies about them in order to tarnish their conservative creds) in a desperate attempt to boost St. Sarah above all others. My attitude is becoming one of "fuck it, if they want to slime everyone then I'll tell the truth about Palin and see what they think of that."
It's additionally satisfying because, unlike the phony, manufactured lies spread about people like Christie or Daniels, I'm actually telling the truth about Palin. That's the thing: you don't have to make shit up about her in order to demonstrate her unelectability and unfitness for office.
Still, I'd vote for her if we decided to commit suicide and nominate her.
Posted by: Jeff B. at May 22, 2011 11:11 AM (hIWe1)
That's the spirit which will put Bob Dole over the top in 2012!
Posted by: Bob Dole! at May 22, 2011 11:12 AM (7mSYS)
Posted by: eman: Japanese Babe Rescue Team at May 22, 2011 03:08 PM (AYNHC)
Oh for crying out load, they weren't lawsuits they were ethics complaints. And they weren't the result of Obama's secret legal team trying to cut her off at the knees, they were the result of a piss poor ethics process and a few disgruntled whack jobs.
Posted by: lowandslow at May 22, 2011 11:12 AM (GZitp)
Posted by: Clueless at May 22, 2011 03:01 PM (piMMO)
'The Atlantic' magazine had a really good cover story ( half the magazine ) a few years ago about "the new ruling class". It compared the weird mix of talented achievers and the inbred stupidity of our new Oligarchs with the virtues of the early 1900s elite.
They emphasized character, and ambition restrained by a sense of 'noblesse oblige'. Now we get techno-wonks working sixty hour weeks sharing power with a lazy stupid amoral inbred group of dipshits
Posted by: SantaRosaStan, Master of the Pan flute at May 22, 2011 11:12 AM (UqKQV)
Posted by: Lt Uhura at May 22, 2011 11:12 AM (vdfwz)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 11:13 AM (nj1bB)
Posted by: Jeff B. at May 22, 2011 03:11 PM (hIWe1)
OK, good points, except maybe this. Pretty sure there's no talking any Palin fan out of it at this point.
Posted by: FUBAR at May 22, 2011 11:14 AM (1fanL)
Fly...honey...vinegar.
Some assembly required.
Posted by: AmishDude at May 22, 2011 11:15 AM (73tyQ)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 11:15 AM (nj1bB)
Posted by: FUBAR at May 22, 2011 03:06 PM (1fanL)
--I'm with you there. To me, even the sell-outs on our side like Grahamnesty aren't as fun to bash as Demotards. Let's leave the Sarah-bashing to the Kos Klowns and DUmmies.
Posted by: logprof at May 22, 2011 11:15 AM (BP6Z1)
Because you're going all logic and reason on their ass, albeit in an eleventy way, but the power of the poon and all that. That's an uphill battle. That's why even discussing this is a time suck.
You actually think any of these guys would waste their breathe on her if she looked like Jean Schmidt?
Posted by: laceyunderalls at May 22, 2011 11:15 AM (2gNXM)
Isn't that sort of the point? If you've managed to nominate someone who the vast majority of Republicans (and not just some much smaller "TrueCon" sliver) have to hold their nose in order to vote for, then yeah...you've lost the election. Because let me tell you, Palin will be lucky to win 80% support from Republican voters, to say nothing of independents, centrists, and moderate Dems. She ain't getting ANY of those.
Posted by: Jeff B. at May 22, 2011 11:15 AM (hIWe1)
Posted by: laceyunderalls at May 22, 2011 03:15 PM (2gNXM)
You've got that right.
Posted by: Mitt Romney's important hair at May 22, 2011 11:16 AM (73tyQ)
Do not let the power of the poon dissuade you from voting for the one true conservative in the race, Bob Dole!
Posted by: Bob Dole! at May 22, 2011 11:16 AM (7mSYS)
Who outside of the political junkies even know who Mittens and T-Paw are?
The public will get to know them through the MBM, the Daily Show, Leno and Letterman, and Glee
Yeh, I can see this is going to work out wonderfully
Posted by: kbdabear at May 22, 2011 11:16 AM (vdfwz)
Posted by: George Orwell at May 22, 2011 03:01 PM (AZGON)
Woody Woodbury sez
==I finally found the perfect girl
A girl I just adore
She's deaf and dumb and over-sexed
and owns a liquor store==
( if you're old enough to remember Woody Woodbury, you're gonna be dead soon )
Posted by: SantaRosaStan, Master of the Pan flute at May 22, 2011 11:18 AM (UqKQV)
Psychology.
Posted by: toby928™ at May 22, 2011 11:18 AM (GTbGH)
(With celebrities - actors, singers, reality stars, etc -- I think it's basically a matter of luck who hits big and becomes huge and influential. With actors and singers there's a minimum talent requirement, but tens of thousands meet the minimum, so it's mainly luck and who gets the breaks. With reality tv there's no longer even a minimum talent requirement.)
Posted by: Clubber Lang at May 22, 2011 11:18 AM (QcFbt)
Posted by: laceyunderalls at May 22, 2011 03:15 PM (2gNXM)
Oops. Time to trim the claws. But really it's what you said a minute ago. We're these obsessive kooks who know some tiny amount of stuff about politics. While the vast majority not only don't give a shit, but are proud that they don't give a shit. So, a pretty face can win their vote. PALIN IN '12!!1!
Posted by: FUBAR at May 22, 2011 11:18 AM (1fanL)
@AbeLouLinc
KS/NE Act is CRAP and I would know because I live next door to a state thats next door to Kan. House, div, stand, all that good stuff. '56 or bust.
Posted by: Abraham Louise Lincoln at May 22, 2011 11:18 AM (W/nKO)
To JeffB,
I think she has been running for POTUS since July 2009. I think she can win.
Dude... no matter how hard you try, she still isn't going to let you fuck her. You just seem desperate now.
If she's been running since July 2009, she's been doing a terribly shitty job of it- her approval ratings have declined, not improved since then.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at May 22, 2011 11:18 AM (WRW1S)
Posted by: SantaRosaStan, Master of the Pan flute at May 22, 2011 11:19 AM (UqKQV)
Her coil emissions are normal.
Posted by: Spock at May 22, 2011 11:19 AM (W/nKO)
I disagree with Ace about many things, and as the host of this blog he tolerates a lot of shit that he probably wouldn't in any other forum, for instance in a bar. But extrapolating his justifiable pessimism about a Palin win in 2012 to the assumption that he would not be happy with Palin as president is simply lazy argument.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at May 22, 2011 11:19 AM (LH6ir)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 11:20 AM (nj1bB)
Posted by: James Tiberius Kirk at May 22, 2011 11:21 AM (AZGON)
I seriously doubt she was that dumb. She had a choice between governing a backwater state while putting up with ethics charges and relentless media scrutiny for a lousy $125,000 a year, or leave that bullshit behind and make millions. She chose the latter, despite the very negative implications that would have towards any future political career.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at May 22, 2011 03:09 PM (WRW1S)
--I agree. I like Sarah, but I like her where she is. I'm reminded of OBC, Steve Spurrier. back in the '90s when the Gators were regularly contending for titles, he would often say something outrageous, such as accusing the 'Noles of deliberately trying to injure opposing QBs. I hated him back then (of course), but it was genius on his part because running his mouth was --still is, with South Carolina-- a great way to focus the media spotlight on him and take pressure off his players. Sarah can do that now, if she and her team are crafty enough to keep arm's length between herself and the candidate(s).
Posted by: logprof at May 22, 2011 11:21 AM (BP6Z1)
Posted by: SantaRosaStan, Master of the Pan flute at May 22, 2011 03:19 PM (UqKQV)
We should nominate Cain. What would the MFM do? Their brains would short-circuit and they'd all need feeding tubes.
Posted by: FUBAR at May 22, 2011 11:21 AM (1fanL)
The onliest thing ima say on this is that Liz Cheney ain't exactly worthy of Jack Stuef's advances....but I love that woman
Posted by: beedubya at May 22, 2011 11:21 AM (AnTyA)
Posted by: George Orwell at May 22, 2011 11:22 AM (AZGON)
Posted by: kbdabear at May 22, 2011 03:07 PM (vdfwz)
HA! No but the short cut did save me about ten bucks.
Posted by: ErikW at May 22, 2011 11:22 AM (JZXZc)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 03:15 PM
Ace, for all your excitement over T-Paw, take a picture of him and show it to people in a bar in NYC. Ask if they know who he is. Or just ask people if they know who he is.
Most won't know, but if he's elected he'll be defined by the MBM. No matter how his policies might give you the Sean Bielat woody, the vast nonpolitical voter will see a bland guy who looks bland, and wants to starve teachers, cops, poor Hispanic children, puppies, kittens, and blacks just to give tax cuts to the rich.
And T-Paw won't fight back, other than to explain his policies in either a snoozer debate which the MBM will lie about in coverage, or with tv ads that run while people are texting or going to the bathroom
Posted by: kbdabear at May 22, 2011 11:22 AM (vdfwz)
Posted by: logprof at May 22, 2011 03:21 PM (BP6Z1)
I take a back seat to no one when it comes to hating Spermburper, but he was right about the 'Noles.
Posted by: FUBAR at May 22, 2011 11:22 AM (1fanL)
It's additionally satisfying because, unlike the phony, manufactured lies spread about people like Christie
Posted by: Jeff B. at May 22, 2011 03:11 PM (hIWe1)
¡We still heeere, Señor!
Posted by: Trenton and Jersey City, Sanctuary Cities at May 22, 2011 11:23 AM (BP6Z1)
The MBM has no problem ripping up any Black who has the temerity to step off the liberal plantation and have some thoughts of his own.
Cain would be vilified, perhaps more than any other candidate, with the possible exception of Jeb Bush.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at May 22, 2011 11:24 AM (LH6ir)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 11:24 AM (nj1bB)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 11:25 AM (nj1bB)
Posted by: mare at May 22, 2011 11:26 AM (A98Xu)
One, two, fee, fo, fibe
Da Flada gatas don't take no jibe
Posted by: Rep. Corrine Brown (Dumbass) -FL at May 22, 2011 11:26 AM (AnTyA)
John, call a press conference tomorrow so I can turn this sucker over to Hamlin. He'll continue this war stuff. Easy-peasy.
Posted by: Abraham Louise Lincoln at May 22, 2011 11:27 AM (W/nKO)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 11:27 AM (nj1bB)
Posted by: FUBAR at May 22, 2011 03:21 PM (1fanL)
They would tear into him like they did with Clarence Thomas. High tech lynching 2.0.
If you're Black and conservative, the whole AffAction meme goes away
Posted by: SantaRosaStan, Master of the Pan flute at May 22, 2011 11:27 AM (UqKQV)
One, two, fee, fo, fibe
Da Flada gatas don't take no jibe
Posted by: Rep. Corrine Brown (Dumbass) -FL at May 22, 2011 03:26 PM (AnTyA)
Go Gata!!!!
Posted by: Corrine Brown's Illiterate Vassals at May 22, 2011 11:28 AM (BP6Z1)
But people did know who McCain was in 2007 - a mavericky maverick who was liked by independents because he did maverick things. Look how that turned out. I agree that the MBM will do their best to smear T-Paw and it will be easier to do than it was for McCain because they are starting from a blank slate this time. But the MBM will smear ANY Republican candidate so worrying about it is kinda useless.
Posted by: chemjeff at May 22, 2011 11:28 AM (7mSYS)
I ran into her in the airport a couple months ago (she was flying to Colorado with her kids for winter vacation). She's a very pleasant and friendly lady in person.
Just trying to fan the flames of your desire, Ace.
Posted by: Jeff B. at May 22, 2011 11:28 AM (hIWe1)
Well that's some bullshit right there.
Sexuality is a mighty powerful thing. She's fine to use it if she likes. She won't be taken seriously if she overplays her hand. But she's free to do it. At which point she becomes fair game and anyone else is free to criticize her when she goes all 'presidential' and wears the 'sexy little red monkey heels' and blows her kisses and winks.
Why don't you go find me some polls to support your contention indicating that independents (hell, conservatives in the primary) would cast their vote based off her 'pretty face'.
Get real.
Posted by: laceyunderalls at May 22, 2011 11:29 AM (2gNXM)
I really have no one whom I can support right now
Posted by: beedubya at May 22, 2011 11:29 AM (AnTyA)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 11:30 AM (nj1bB)
Posted by: madamex at May 22, 2011 11:31 AM (1zsKV)
Posted by: alexthedude at May 22, 2011 11:32 AM (EQNrw)
That's the Bob Dole strategy right there - vote for the real true conservative and the studliest lover in the country, Bob Dole!
(This message brought to you by Pfizer)
Posted by: Bob Dole! at May 22, 2011 11:32 AM (7mSYS)
I really have no one whom I can support right now
Posted by: beedubya at May 22, 2011 03:29 PM (AnTyA)
Oh shit.
You'd think he'd have people on his team prepping him on that, given that it was the hot item of the last few days.
Posted by: logprof at May 22, 2011 11:32 AM (BP6Z1)
>>>Well, they mattered pre-Palin and I assure you that despite your lobbying on the point they still matter post-Palin.
In fact, in the current electoral climate, they matter far, far more. That's the kicker, really.
Posted by: Jeff B. at May 22, 2011 11:32 AM (hIWe1)
Posted by: logprof at May 22, 2011 11:33 AM (BP6Z1)
Left-wingers cash in on politics by occasionally leaving politics and getting set-up with cozy, high-paying non-jobs. Look at Rahm Emmanuel's career. Or Michelle Obama. Board seats, law partners, etc. The right does this, too, although not as well.
Palin was demonized by the Left and not accepted by the establishment right. So the normal ways to cash in on politics weren't available and she found a third way -- which was to cash in on her celebrity. Tina Fey made Palin hated ... but rich.
Remember, when she did all this her future in politics looked very bleak indeed. I would have made the exact same decision. I like Palin. I agree with her on most issues. I admire how she turned the tables on her sworn enemies. I would vote for her. But I don't think a majority would, so I'll support somebody else in the primary.
Posted by: Clubber Lang at May 22, 2011 11:33 AM (QcFbt)
Nothing fires up the base more than the Bob Dole True Conservative Stud Muffin Express!
Posted by: Bob Dole! at May 22, 2011 11:34 AM (7mSYS)
>>>You'd think he'd have people on his team prepping him on that, given that it was the hot item of the last few days.
I watched it on TV and it was terrible, terrible...a real "Jesus wept" moment.
Predictably, there were some here in the other thread who instantly started shrieking that Chris Wallace is really an evil MSM libtard who hates Republicans and asks mean "gotcha" questions. Which may be true, for all I know (actually I know it isn't, but I'll grant the point for the sake of argument). But this? This wasn't a gotcha question. It was basic fucking stuff. And Cain came across as tragically uneducated.
Posted by: Jeff B. at May 22, 2011 11:35 AM (hIWe1)
It is a bit unfair to pick on just the Palin supporters because it is a larger current in the Republican Party that just ignores that the electorate isn't what they want it to be.
For fiscal conservatism to be viable on the national level, we need a electoral realignment. It is tough, but it has to happen. The current Republican base of older social conservative, fiscally moderate voters and evangelical voters (with a wish of never really materializing Hispanic votes) is not going to usher in an era of fiscal responsibility.
The Rove plan failed. It is time to reorganize the party.
Posted by: Paper at May 22, 2011 11:36 AM (VoSja)
Don't start heading for cliffs: Prez re-elections are 90% about the current Prez
Everyone here likes Reagan now, but 1980 was about Carter--not Reagan.
Reagan won New York and New Jersey and other 'blue states' because so many people were sick of Carter and didn't want him to continue as Prez--not because they knew and wanted Reagan.
2012 will be about Hussein, and he's toast. Too many people want him gone. If Romney runs a decent campaign he will win. Game over, man.
Posted by: SantaRosaStan, Master of the Pan flute at May 22, 2011 11:36 AM (UqKQV)
Sexuality is a mighty powerful thing. She's fine to use it if she likes. She won't be taken seriously if she overplays her hand. But she's free to do it. At which point she becomes fair game and anyone else is free to criticize her when she goes all 'presidential' and wears the 'sexy little red monkey heels' and blows her kisses and winks.
Why don't you go find me some polls to support your contention indicating that independents (hell, conservatives in the primary) would cast their vote based off her 'pretty face'.
Get real.
Posted by: laceyunderalls at May 22, 2011 03:29 PM (2gNXM)
Oops, maybe a little more trimming. And to support my contention, I would cite...you? Isn't that what you just said? Perception? Four minutes of face time makes a candidate?
And just for the record, I wasn't seriously accusing you of being jealous of SP.
Posted by: FUBAR at May 22, 2011 11:36 AM (1fanL)
Posted by: Bob Dole! at May 22, 2011 11:37 AM (7mSYS)
Except he's at nearly 50% approval in every poll. You are projecting your own disgust onto an electorate that, for whatever reason (and we could debate this forever) DOESN'T FEEL THE SAME WAY. Yet.
That's the problem.
Posted by: Jeff B. at May 22, 2011 11:38 AM (hIWe1)
That's not my point, and I'm hoping that Palin doesn't actually run for the nomination. She's better as a distraction to take the heat off of the actual frontrunners. I'm more inclined towards Cain, Christie, or if he ran Marco Rubio
I'm just saying here and now that despite your enthusiasm for T-Paw, you're looking at him through a political junkies eyes. I'm afraid that in the end, you'll be disappointed as you were with Sean Bielat.
The public didn't know Palin in 2007, and how did they get to know her? Through Katie Couric and Tina Fey.
Your witness, counselor
Posted by: kbdabear at May 22, 2011 11:38 AM (vdfwz)
Posted by: Paper at May 22, 2011 11:38 AM (VoSja)
Posted by: Jeff B. at May 22, 2011 03:35 PM (hIWe1)
--Yeah, it would be one thing if he had not bloody declared his candidacy yesterday. The implication is that he's minimally up to speed, and has competent advisors who would know how not to offend primary voters.
Posted by: logprof at May 22, 2011 11:39 AM (BP6Z1)
Stated much more succinctly than could I.
Posted by: Clueless at May 22, 2011 11:39 AM (piMMO)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 11:40 AM (nj1bB)
I'm guessing you've never watched Jaywalk on Leno. Half those people can't identify Hillary Clinton or Colin Powell in a lineup, so...
Posted by: Clueless at May 22, 2011 11:41 AM (piMMO)
Posted by: Paper at May 22, 2011 11:41 AM (VoSja)
How dare you mock my lying cheating stealing bribe-taking bitch on heels congresswoman!
Posted by: Clueless at May 22, 2011 11:42 AM (piMMO)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 11:42 AM (nj1bB)
The Rove plan failed. It is time to reorganize the party.
Posted by: Paper at May 22, 2011 03:36 PMHow can you say I failed, I'm the ARCHITECT!!!
Reorganize THIS, you teabagger scum, I'm just an analyst doing my job of barring the door to new blood
Posted by: kbdabear at May 22, 2011 11:42 AM (vdfwz)
Hollyweird is straight up new aristocracy, but I'd challenge you to show a majority are anything other than dumb as posts. The folks that get elected have 'the right attributes', i.e., education, work in select 'causes', fashionable identities, and so forth.
Saying these folks are 'more intelligent' is just falling for what they're putting out there. They aren't. They do possess a dangerous cunning, and a minimum of limits as to what they will or won't do to get what they want.
Posted by: AoSHQ's DarkLord©, warming up his earthquake machine at May 22, 2011 11:43 AM (Fs7RJ)
Posted by: Jeff B. at May 22, 2011 03:38 PM (hIWe1)
Not disgusted. Stoic. I don't want Romney, but will take him--and vote for him, like a majority of other people next year. Because the Alternative is Obama.
Voting is choosing the Lesser of Two Weevils
His approval ratings, from what I've read, are in the mid / lower 40s -- and on a Downward Slope
Posted by: SantaRosaStan, Master of the Pan flute at May 22, 2011 11:43 AM (UqKQV)
I am pretty positive that my post said it was logical, but risky.
Let's play poker sometime...
Except it wasn't at all logical in context of having Presidential ambitions.
Your post was yet another example of "If Palin does it, it's awesome" syndrome.
Ace's point above was that none of her supporters were suggesting that she should resign before she did so. Had you suggested it to them, they most likely would've called you an idiot. Only after she resigned was it the Most Genius Thing Ever.
Same with everything she does- avoiding interviews in non-friendly venues? Genius! Getting into the mud with the likes of Kathy Griffin? Genius! Doing reality TV? Genius! Lending high-profile support to Ms. I Am Not A Witch, Send Money Now? Genius! If she shows up on live TV strangling a kitten to death while snorting coke off a dead hobo? Genius!
Posted by: Hollowpoint at May 22, 2011 11:44 AM (WRW1S)
So many people in these comment threads seem to think that Ronald Reagan materialized out of thin air in 1976 or something. Reagan was arguably the most experienced candidate in the entire field in 1980, with two successful terms governing the most important state in America, plus a consequential stint as the leader of an important labor union and a high-profile job with GE. (Howard Baker would've been the runner-up, but he was Senate Minority Leader and didn't have any executive experience). He wasn't just some True Conservative noble savage emerging from the Goldwaterian jungles of 1964.
Posted by: Jeff B. at May 22, 2011 11:45 AM (hIWe1)
Obama had 80% name recognition in Feb, 2007. This outsider stuff was mainly just in comparison to Clinton. It is really tough to be a genuine outsider in politics.
Posted by: Paper at May 22, 2011 11:45 AM (VoSja)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 11:45 AM (nj1bB)
Buzzion, I was trying to tease you. Pretending you'd said something like "we are not schizophrenic" or something.
Posted by: Mama AJ, not quitting her day job at May 22, 2011 02:36 PM (XdlcF)
See if I was a professional psychologist I probably would have gotten the joke
Posted by: buzzion at May 22, 2011 11:45 AM (oVQFe)
I'm guessing you've never watched Jaywalk on Leno. Half those people can't identify Hillary Clinton or Colin Powell in a lineup, so...
Posted by: Clueless at May 22, 2011 03:41 PM
Yet they still vote, and they are encouraged to do so
What was scary about "Judy" from yesterday was not so much that she was a trolling Dem operative, but the possibility that she was actually just another apolitical voter who bases her "knowledge" on the illusions crafted by the elite in the MBM/Hollywood propaganda machine
Posted by: kbdabear at May 22, 2011 11:46 AM (vdfwz)
Posted by: Dumb_Blonde at May 22, 2011 11:46 AM (q1/Wn)
True, but he was portrayed as a 'hard right' guy who was too Hard Right to get the nomination from Ford in 1976. He was known, but was out of political office from 1974 to 1980, and was shown in the media as the spokesman for the 'right wing' of the Republican Party.
Yet, he carried New York ( ! ). Lotsa folks in NY were voting against Carter, with no substantive knowledge of who Reagan was. He wasn't Carter.
Posted by: SantaRosaStan, Master of the Pan flute at May 22, 2011 11:48 AM (UqKQV)
Let's hash it out without overly trashing any of them. We'll see enough of that form the other side.
...unless Fuckabee changes his mind and decides to waddle in after all...man I hate that dick
Posted by: beedubya at May 22, 2011 11:49 AM (AnTyA)
A lot of people will be voting against Obama this time. Hell, even the celebutards are starting to line up.
Posted by: Clueless at May 22, 2011 11:49 AM (piMMO)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 03:45 PM (nj1bB)
Which is why I want Christie or Ryan to Seize the Thing. I'm thinking wishfully about Romney, and probably wrong. Where are those cliffs?
Posted by: SantaRosaStan, Master of the Pan flute at May 22, 2011 11:50 AM (UqKQV)
My point was that she's fanatically supported like no other potential candidate because of that sexuality.
Why do you think her biggest fans are men?
Women were on board at first just because she bought some excitement as a female candidate. But she's fizzled in a lot of aspects and women are looking elsewhere. And who's still singing her praises?? Mostly men.
Posted by: laceyunderalls at May 22, 2011 11:50 AM (2gNXM)
--Yeah, it would be one thing if he had not bloody declared his candidac>. The implication is that he's minimally up to speed, and has competent advisors who would know how not to offend primary voters.
He's been unofficially running for months, and already has one debate under his belt.
If he's not prepared to answer hot-topic questions by now, it's not for lack of time to bone up on the major issues of the day.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at May 22, 2011 11:51 AM (WRW1S)
He carried New York in a different demographic and ideological era. He could never carry it now. We are both ethnically FAR different than we were in 1980, and FAR FAR FAR more ideologically polarized. That's a fact that is often forgotten as well.
Posted by: Jeff B. at May 22, 2011 11:52 AM (hIWe1)
Think of Sarah Palin as the USS Constellation, battered but still able to distract the Doomsday Machine away from the Enterprise
Posted by: kbdabear at May 22, 2011 11:52 AM (vdfwz)
What do states Reagan carried in 1980 have anything to do with this election?
There are no clear political lessons to be learned from an election over 30 years ago with an entirely different electorate. Think the Republican candidate is going to win California by 15 points as well in 2012?
Posted by: Paper at May 22, 2011 11:53 AM (VoSja)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 11:56 AM (nj1bB)
The political landscape is completely different than in 1980.
In 1980, Reagan won Alabama, Mississippi, Tennessee, Arkansas, South Carolina, and Kentucky by less than 2 points. You can't compare the election of 1980 to the election in 2012. The country looks completely different.
Posted by: Paper at May 22, 2011 11:56 AM (VoSja)
Posted by: George Orwell at May 22, 2011 11:57 AM (AZGON)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 11:58 AM (nj1bB)
Posted by: Oldsailor's poet at May 22, 2011 11:58 AM (NtTkA)
Either or.
Posted by: toby928™ at May 22, 2011 12:00 PM (GTbGH)
Posted by: Jeff B. at May 22, 2011 03:52 PM (hIWe1)
I haven't forgotten it. The R nominee does not need to win NY or NJ--just what Maverick won plus FL, VA, NC, OH and one of those little bitty states.
'Paper' you can compare any election. 1980 was different than 2012 will be--of course. But they are both about the re-election of unpopular Demo Presidents. All re-elections are mostly about the incumbent.
Posted by: SantaRosaStan, Master of the Pan flute at May 22, 2011 12:00 PM (UqKQV)
Which states really count? With the Electoral College, the real game will be decided by a handful of swing states, yes
Florida, Ohio, Wisconsin, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Virginia, Colorado and possibly Iowa and Nevada in my humble opinion.
Indiana is a lock along with the rest of the McCain States.
Posted by: Delta Smelt at May 22, 2011 12:01 PM (dWPyO)
Obama won Florida, Ohio, Indiana, and North Carolina by less than 5%. He won New Hampshire, Iowa, Colorado, and Virginia by between 5-10%.
It would be difficult to win any of the states he carried by more than 10%, but Minnesota, Penn, and Wisconsin are at least somewhat conceivable.
Our candidate has to be able to win the Midwest, North Carolina/Virginia, and Florida. It is not an impossible task.
It is, however, if you look at polling for let's say...Palin in the Midwest, Virginia, Florida, etc.
Posted by: Paper at May 22, 2011 12:03 PM (VoSja)
Well I like numbers and I have none on this ("this" being the breakdown of her supporters along gender lines) so I can only go with anecdotal evidence.
Palin was supported, like none else as you can imagine, on Smart Girls Politics. It has a pretty good following of women I'd liken to the 'ettes here. Some working women, but a lot of stay-at-home Moms, home schoolers, etc. I've been following them since their inception on fb and I follow their polls. Over time she's just tanked in support. Bachmann has taken some of that that but mainly these women are pulling for, another not so strange phenomena, Cain.
If someone has numbers on the breakdown of her support, I'd love to see them. Again, anectodal is no way to prove what's ultimately only a hunch.
Posted by: laceyunderalls at May 22, 2011 12:04 PM (2gNXM)
Posted by: Dumb_Blonde at May 22, 2011 12:04 PM (q1/Wn)
Posted by: Paper at May 22, 2011 03:56 PM (VoSja)
in 1980 there were still a lot of 'Southern Democrats' ( older White rural voters in the South ) who voted for Carter because he was a Democrat from the SouthBy now, this group is mostly gone: Dead or voting R at the national and state level, although willing to vote D at the local level.
If Reagan 1980 ran today he would win with huge majorities in the states you noted
Posted by: SantaRosaStan, Master of the Pan flute at May 22, 2011 12:04 PM (UqKQV)
States that King Jugears took in 2008 which could be in play are IMO; FL, NC, VA, NV, WI, OH, PA, IN
Write off CA, NY, MA, IL, NJ, MD, OR, & WA, they are hopelessly socialist or the unions hold too much sway in spite of pockets of conservatism
Safe would be TX, GA, SC, TN, UT, OK, LA, AL, MS, KY
Posted by: kbdabear at May 22, 2011 12:06 PM (vdfwz)
You guys are better at this electoral stuff than I am, so can you remind me: Which states really count? With the Electoral College, the real game will be decided by a handful of swing states, yes? So would not speculation upon the voters of those states be in order, leaving the remainder as pretty much already decided?
Some of the important swing states are OH, PA, FL, among others. It varies a bit depending on the election and the candidates.
While yes, it's technically more important to win swing states, but historically the electoral winner either won the popular vote count, or came within a percentage point of doing so. You still have to campaign nationally.
It's important with respect to campaign strategy- you don't put as many resources into states you're guaranteed to win or lose, but instead direct more of your efforts to swing states.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at May 22, 2011 12:06 PM (WRW1S)
Posted by: George Orwell at May 22, 2011 12:07 PM (AZGON)
All those states can be won by a decent R nominee running a decent campaign
Posted by: SantaRosaStan, Master of the Pan flute at May 22, 2011 12:09 PM (UqKQV)
#419
That is absolutely right, and similar changes have made most of the Northeast as Democratic unless the party wants to nominate someone like Huntsman, and even then, it would be an extremely low chance that those states would flip outside of NH which might flip anyways. I wouldn't support that seeing there is a path to victory for someone as conservative as about Pawlenty.
Posted by: Paper at May 22, 2011 12:10 PM (VoSja)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 12:10 PM (nj1bB)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 12:11 PM (nj1bB)
Posted by: George Orwell at May 22, 2011 12:12 PM (AZGON)
I don't believe this is true. I believe we need CO and NV and at least one other EV, from either nebraska or NH.
Hot Air had a good map a few weeks ago about how to get to the bare minimum, 270.
We would need a NH, NV, CO, WI, IA to go along with IN, NC, VA, FL, OH and the rest of the McCain states I believe.
Posted by: Delta Smelt at May 22, 2011 12:14 PM (dWPyO)
Posted by: Delta Smelt at May 22, 2011 12:16 PM (dWPyO)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 12:17 PM (nj1bB)
Oh about that.....
AmSpec has some info on that. They're being rebranded. So here is a list of organizations to keep your eye on.
Posted by: laceyunderalls at May 22, 2011 12:17 PM (2gNXM)
Gonna be tough to win CO, no?
I'm a native of CO, now living elsewhere, but I have more hope for CO than alot of people. Will depend alot of the Denver suburbs and the quality of our candidate. I don't think a Palin could win the state, but TPaw, Christie or even Mittens would have a good shot.
To me it really comes down to the squishy suburban soccer moms.
Posted by: Delta Smelt at May 22, 2011 12:19 PM (dWPyO)
Posted by: George Orwell at May 22, 2011 12:20 PM (AZGON)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 12:20 PM (nj1bB)
If someone has numbers on the breakdown of her support, I'd love to see them. Again, anectodal is no way to prove what's ultimately only a hunch.
Google it. Her support is significantly higher amongst men.
Have her looks had an impact on her supporters? Yes, of course, but to what degree I don't know. At this point she's more a favorite celebrity amongst her supporters than a political figure.
Convincing the Palinistas that she wouldn't be a good choice for 2012 nominee would be like trying to convince the president of the Justin Bieber Fan Club that she should forget him completely and listen to someone else. No amount of fact, logic or reason will diminish admiration based on emotional attachment.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at May 22, 2011 12:20 PM (WRW1S)
Posted by: Dominique Strauss-Kahn at May 22, 2011 12:21 PM (AZGON)
Posted by: Oldsailor's poet at May 22, 2011 12:21 PM (NtTkA)
Damn those wimmins!
No, seriously damn them!! Damn them straaaaaaaaaaight to hell!
Posted by: laceyunderalls at May 22, 2011 12:22 PM (2gNXM)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 12:23 PM (nj1bB)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 12:23 PM (nj1bB)
Posted by: Mitt Romney at May 22, 2011 12:24 PM (AZGON)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 12:24 PM (nj1bB)
Posted by: Delta Smelt at May 22, 2011 12:24 PM (dWPyO)
No really, he's a big fan or sumthin'.
No further comment necessary.
Posted by: laceyunderalls at May 22, 2011 12:25 PM (2gNXM)
Posted by: George Orwell at May 22, 2011 12:25 PM (AZGON)
Ok, Ace, I hear you. Now please direct me to the video or text of Romney's, Pawlenty's or any other viable candidate's in depth discussion on tarp.
Google is your friend.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at May 22, 2011 12:26 PM (WRW1S)
I'm even tired of talking about reasons why Palin is a good or bad candidate. Can't her enduring and remarkably high disapproval numbers be enough? No one person is more important than the goal of getting rid of Obama and putting in a good Republican candidate.
To support Palin right now where she is, is to say 'I care more about settling arguments about Palin and showing I support her than having a reasonable chance to win the election'.
Posted by: Paper at May 22, 2011 12:26 PM (VoSja)
Posted by: Big Love at May 22, 2011 12:27 PM (AZGON)
A true gem of clarity, it was. Posted by: Mitt Romney at May 22, 2011 04:24 PM
fap fap fap fap fap fap fap fap fap fap fap
Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at May 22, 2011 12:28 PM (vdfwz)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 12:28 PM (nj1bB)
Repeal the 19th Amendment!!!1!1!!!
Posted by: laceyunderalls sayin' controversial but obligatory shit at May 22, 2011 12:28 PM (2gNXM)
Any R who picks up those Likely Five will likely win at least one other state that O carried last time, and O is out. If it's PA, game over
Posted by: SantaRosaStan, Master of the Pan flute at May 22, 2011 12:29 PM (UqKQV)
Men have a hard time reconsidering or thinking that maybe they're wrong.
Never had an argument with a girlfriend?
Seriously though- you might be right, but given their emphasis on Palin's style rather than substance, I don't believe that her looks are completely irrelevant with regards to the intensity of support her fans have for her.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at May 22, 2011 12:29 PM (WRW1S)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 12:30 PM (nj1bB)
Posted by: eman: Japanese Babe Rescue Team at May 22, 2011 12:30 PM (AYNHC)
Posted by: Dominique Strauss-Kahn at May 22, 2011 12:31 PM (AZGON)
#458
Do you have any proof at all for that? What is your evidence that she win win swing states? What is your evidence that she can win independent voters?
Posted by: Paper at May 22, 2011 12:31 PM (VoSja)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 12:32 PM (nj1bB)
Posted by: Oldsailor's poet at May 22, 2011 12:32 PM (NtTkA)
Posted by: Rick Astley at May 22, 2011 12:32 PM (AZGON)
Excuse me, but I don't recall anyone in the public (by which I mean the Media) asking me that.
Posted by: Barack Obama at May 22, 2011 12:34 PM (X5Kvs)
Son of a bitch, I knew it and still hit the link.
Posted by: lowandslow at May 22, 2011 12:34 PM (GZitp)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 12:34 PM (nj1bB)
eman, with all due respect as I really like your posts, you're what I'm talking about here. I don't think you're thinking with the right head.
again, I no mean disrespect about that but I read your posts and this type of comment aside, you come across as off-the-charts smart.
there is absolutely no evidence that she can win against the Worst.President. Ever. that's why this leaves me scratching my head.
Posted by: laceyunderalls at May 22, 2011 12:35 PM (2gNXM)
#462
Two years of consistent polling that shows that she is one of the most unpopular and divisive people in politics. Plenty of additional polling shows her consistenly losing by 12-15 points or more to Obama in a general election.
Posted by: Paper at May 22, 2011 12:35 PM (VoSja)
Posted by: Oldsailor's poet at May 22, 2011 12:37 PM (NtTkA)
If Sarah Palin can't win, it is completely meaningless about what kind of President she would be.
This is the problem. You have to separate who you would most like to see President from who actually has the ability to win the office.
Posted by: Paper at May 22, 2011 12:37 PM (VoSja)
Uh, how about doing the fundamentals and going somewhere other than Fox for an interview.
Posted by: laceyunderalls at May 22, 2011 12:38 PM (2gNXM)
I want to see if she can wink with her right eye, to go along with her left.
Posted by: Delta Smelt at May 22, 2011 12:40 PM (dWPyO)
You dumbass men and your goddamn 10 point scale!
Posted by: laceyunderalls is kidding on this point (sort of) at May 22, 2011 12:41 PM (2gNXM)
Posted by: Oldsailor's poet at May 22, 2011 12:41 PM (NtTkA)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 12:43 PM (nj1bB)
You dumbass men and your goddamn 10 point scale!
Make me a sammich. Then you can go watch your Mad Men marathon.
Posted by: Delta Smelt at May 22, 2011 12:44 PM (A0VTZ)
Posted by: ace at May 22, 2011 12:46 PM (nj1bB)
Posted by: eman: Japanese Babe Rescue Team at May 22, 2011 12:48 PM (AYNHC)
Sure. Turkey or ha...wait, what?? No. Make it yourself!
As a side note, I've pissed away my entire afternoon on making my case against Palin (supporters mainly). That said, she of course has my vote if push comes to shove in the general election. I think she most certainly has the country's best interest at heart and anyone would be more qualified than the alternative at this point.
I think we can do better than the lowest common denominator in our own party, but at the end of the day, we're dysfunctional fuckups at the nomination process so who the hell knows.
Posted by: laceyunderalls is kidding on this point (sort of) at May 22, 2011 12:51 PM (2gNXM)
Posted by: Clubber Lang at May 22, 2011 12:53 PM (QcFbt)
Fascinating.
Posted by: Clint Lovell at May 22, 2011 12:53 PM (d2y/7)
It's not just about knowledge on policy it's about shaping policy. My biggest bitch about Palin is in that the short time she governed she advanced bad policy. From focusing on earmarks while the operational size of her government exploded, taxes, to her pipeline fantasy. I always thought she governed horribly. It looked to me like she was in way over her head. She just had the price of oil covering for her.
Posted by: lowandslow at May 22, 2011 12:56 PM (GZitp)
You have a point too. And I go back-and-forth on this in my mind.
But as I said earlier, perception is key. And it's certainly hard to overcome.
It's like in collij when you go booze it up Wed-Sunday and then end up being on double secret probation for the rest of your freshman year. You may eventually get over the 2.0 hump, but to get to 3.5 by the end of your college career? Almost impossible. Climbing that hill is a tough feat.
We don't have a bright enough electorate. A good chunk of these voters we're stuck with believe the crap SNL attributed to her.
I think they're a lost cause where she's concerned. And unfortunately you need those assholes to win.
Posted by: laceyunderalls at May 22, 2011 12:57 PM (2gNXM)
Posted by: eman: Japanese Babe Rescue Team at May 22, 2011 12:57 PM (AYNHC)
I think her popularity among her fans is very simple, and it has very little to do with her looks beyond being that yes she is photogenic. Its simply her story. Look at how she came into politics. She was a reporter for a while and then went on the PTA. Mayor, then a position higher up in the state. All while helping to work on her husbands business. Then she becomes governor. And even if she's not some policy wonk she comes across as being pretty solidly conservative and certainly anti-establishment which is big for a lot of people.
So she's essentially a self-made politician in a way I think a lot of people would like to see politicians come up. I mean for the most part politics seems to be for lack of a better word "incestous." Hillary and Nancy Pelosi are getting in because of their husband and Dad. Even W. and Al Gore fathers were involved in politics. And even so much among others its like they go Lawyer - Worked on this guy's campaign- worked on his staff - My turn now!
So its great when we get politicians that don't follow that mold like her. And she got national exposure with it so she's getting even more fans than others would be because they are just state level or lower.
And so when the attacks come at her its going to feel like a personal attack on the individual. Because it comes off as an attack on the path she took. Yeah she's essentially kept herself insulated and protected so her supporters remain loyal and her detractors become more enraged because "how can they like such a stupid unserious woman"
And going off and then insulting those people that like her really isn't going to help anything
Posted by: buzzion at May 22, 2011 01:00 PM (oVQFe)
Posted by: eman: Japanese Babe Rescue Team at May 22, 2011 01:22 PM (AYNHC)
Posted by: Jeff B. at May 22, 2011 01:40 PM (hIWe1)
Posted by: Jeff B. at May 22, 2011 03:11 PM (hIWe1)
You will probably be running that past your girlfriend first....
Posted by: Museisluse at May 22, 2011 02:05 PM (a8aqn)
You will probably be running that past your girlfriend first....
Posted by: Museisluse at May 22, 2011 06:05 PM (a8aqn) +
and his mother.
My biggest bitch about Palin is in that the short time she governed she advanced bad policy. From focusing on earmarks while the operational size of her government exploded, taxes, to her pipeline fantasy. I always thought she governed horribly. It looked to me like she was in way over her head. She just had the price of oil covering for her.
Posted by: lowandslow at May 22, 2011 04:56 PM (GZitp)
Put up the #s for her budgets while she was in office, and you can't use the '07 budget, because it wasn't hers. Put up the #s for the reduction in spending while she was governor.
Do you live in AK?
Posted by: Steph at May 22, 2011 02:29 PM (AkdC5)
I really have no one whom I can support right now
Jeb Bush, use your awesome might to save me from this hopeless plight.
Posted by: taba at May 23, 2011 01:46 AM (ow3wf)
These are all great comments here. Very cool article.
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Posted by: Gucci Iphone Case at May 23, 2011 04:23 PM (JcT6g)
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Posted by: Vic at May 22, 2011 08:36 AM (M9Ie6)