August 26, 2011
— rdbrewer

I read a book years ago by James Lawrence Powell called Night Comes to the Cretaceous. It dealt with the competing theories regarding the extinction of the dinosaurs 65 million years ago. In short, the Chicxulub asteroid impact theory was not immediately accepted. And, indeed, it still has not been accepted by a few. It appears that geologists like to think volcanoes cause everything under the sun and are resentful when physicists like Luis and Walter Alvarez set them straight. Anyway. It was an interesting book for that discussion, but it was even better for what it said about the evolution of science generally.
To illustrate his point about how science evolves, the author used the long-running debate regarding the revolutionary theory of plate techtonics--the theory that the Earth's crust drifts on top of the next layer, the mantle, in seven or eight gigantic plates. When Alfred Wegener first proposed the theory, it was ridiculed. Many years later, when it was generally accepted, it had far-ranging consequences for many different scientific disciplines.
Powell's point was that there was not some magical "aha!" moment when everybody suddenly changed their minds, despite the considerable evidence that accumulated quickly. Instead, the process was slow. The most important factor was that proponents of competing theories died off. His point was that sometimes competing theories do not die out until their proponents die out, and it was the recognized leaders the field who offered the most resistence. These were people who had staked their entire careers on a certain way of viewing things and who were not about to just let it go and admit they were wrong.
Big-government nanny-statism is similar in this respect. Those who are heavily staked in its success will never just "see the light," no matter how much evidence accumulates right in front of their faces. They have spent their lives and careers with the firm conviction that the anointed few can and should be running things for others. (And, of course, they regard themselves as members of the class of The Anointed.) They will continue to fight and push their brand of statism as long as they can. Failing to do so would be to admit error and to allow a deep narcissistic wounding. And because of this investment, they would sooner bring down whatever institution they belong to or represent--whether a news organization, a government agency like the DoE or the EPA, a business or corporation like NPR, or a special interest group--than abandon those religiously held views.
There are many examples. A while back, Ace quoted from an essay by Daniel Greenfield who was critical of ABC's decision to hire Christiane Amanpour:
Her hiring is only the latest manifestation of a media that is too radicalized to save itself. Bringing in a personality from the sinking ship that is CNN was obviously a bad idea on commercial grounds alone. Amanpour left CNN, for the same reason that Campbell Brown did. And ABC News taking Amanpour in, demonstrates that they share CNN's bad judgment.
. . .
Lenin called on Communists to seize the telegraph offices, telephone stations and post offices in order to control the means of communication. The American left has seized the means of cultural communication, hijacking the media, the educational system and entertainment, and turning them into vehicles for their brand of political indoctrination. And they've managed to badly devalue all three. The American educational system is a shell of what it used to be, the media is imploding and the entertainment industry keeps hitting new lows. Just as in the USSR and Venezuela and everywhere else, what the radical left controls, it also destroys.
(Emphasis added.) Another quick example would be the "No Pressure 10:10" environmental video short, the one that had people exploding in a bloody mess if they didn't wholeheartedly adopt reduced carbon emissions dogma. The makers of that short were completely caught off guard by the negative reaction it generated. They were attempting to increase awareness of what they regard as anthropogenic climate change. Instead, they only increased negative feeling toward their organization and disregard for their point.
There won't be a point when liberals suddenly change their minds about big government, no matter what evidence appears before their eyes. Think of all the left-leaning, high-tax, big-regulation, big-government states and countries that are suffering right now. In fact, one would think Obama would be somewhat of a catalyst. He has been busily creating a better, more effective case for smaller government than conservatives could have on their own--and more quickly.
Although Obama is the left's asteroid, as with Chicxulub, he will not become their "aha!" moment. As we have seen, there are rarely such moments--even when something as clear as a strike by a six mile wide asteroid is revealed. As in the case of the opponents of plate tectonics, the proponents of big government will slowly die out as the evidence accumulates. That's my statement of faith, anyway. In the short term, cultural inertia, not mere stubbornness, and the philosophical momentum behind socialism is enough for it to weather even Barack Obama's failure.
It'll be the president's problem or the messaging or the packaging, not the philosophy. Never the philosophy. But maybe over time newer generations with less of a stake in big-governmentism will see the Obama failure and move away from it.
Posted by: rdbrewer at
06:38 AM
| Comments (147)
Post contains 908 words, total size 6 kb.
Posted by: CoolCzech at August 26, 2011 06:40 AM (niZvt)
Although Obama is the left's asteroid, as with Chixulub, he will not become an their "aha! moment."
I highly doubt this. The Left has been impervious to logic and fact for years.
Liberalism is their religion.
Posted by: Sean Bannion at August 26, 2011 06:40 AM (sbV1u)
Posted by: Dang at August 26, 2011 06:42 AM (TXKVh)
Posted by: Dang at August 26, 2011 06:42 AM (TXKVh)
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at August 26, 2011 06:43 AM (jx2j9)
And thus with Obama. Even with the details off, the metaphor is quite fitting indeed.
Posted by: DarkLord© sez Obama is a stuttering clusterf--- of a miserable failure
Oh, and F--- Nevada! at August 26, 2011 06:44 AM (GBXon)
Posted by: toby928™ at August 26, 2011 06:44 AM (GTbGH)
He lives on, his image beaming out from Christmas trees everywhere.
Posted by: fluffy at August 26, 2011 06:44 AM (4Kl5M)
You mean the legions of newly graduated unemployed who a few years ago sang Obama's praises?
Or how about the ones that have recently seen their parents lose their home or life-savings?
Posted by: Marcus at August 26, 2011 06:45 AM (6vvjM)
The correct "First" post is:
Barack Obama is a stuttering clusterf*ck of a miserable failure.
You may substitute the 'u' for the '*' if you desire. (I don't mind other people cursing, I just don't do it).
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) is tired beyond tired of the trolls at August 26, 2011 06:45 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: nevergiveup at August 26, 2011 06:46 AM (i6RpT)
When I was a younger lad I thought that Reagan had put the nail in the coffin of the libs. "Now we'll have history showing tax cuts kick-start the economy!" The old believers in socialism still believe and teach their revisionist history to the young believers.
They will always be here.
Posted by: Dang at August 26, 2011 06:48 AM (TXKVh)
Posted by: BlackOrchid at August 26, 2011 06:48 AM (SB0V2)
Posted by: lando034 at August 26, 2011 06:49 AM (0wofC)
As I understand the actual theory, it was a "mass extinction event" across all types (reptiles, mammals, avians, fish, etc.) It's just that when we think of that time period, we don't consider the fact that all those other species already existed.
Also, the meteorite itself didn't cause the extinction, it happened (by the theory as I understand it- and I'm not a scientician) over the course of the next many years. If that's the case, it's just a case of the Dinos not being able to adapt quickly enough either through new migration habits/routes or other modified behaviors.
Other species died out as well, for the same reasons.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) is tired beyond tired of the trolls at August 26, 2011 06:49 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: BlackOrchid at August 26, 2011 06:49 AM (SB0V2)
Every day at Daily Kos there are tons of posts about What Happened. It's always the weather, the message, Obama was a Manchurian candidate (for them), they system, the enemy -- never the philosophy.
Posted by: arhooley at August 26, 2011 06:49 AM (3n2lK)
But to the extent it is science, it can always be occluded by the new elite - the powerful (or "The Party Faithful" if you prefer), who prefer power over earned wealth. They simply write the history books to suit their thesis. There is no asteroid buried in the earth somewhere that you can dig up to prove your theory.
Posted by: Roger at August 26, 2011 06:50 AM (tAwhy)
Or how about the ones that have recently seen their parents lose their home or life-savings?
Posted by: Marcus
The ones who are still blaming Bush.
Posted by: Dang at August 26, 2011 06:50 AM (TXKVh)
Posted by: The Year 2012 at August 26, 2011 06:50 AM (i6RpT)
Posted by: jd at August 26, 2011 06:51 AM (MXyBs)
Our political vagueness divides men, it does not fuse them. Men will walk along the edge of a chasm in clear weather, but they will edge miles away from it in a fog. So a Tory can walk up to the very edge of Socialism, if he knows what is Socialism. But if he is told that Socialism is a spirit, a sublime atmosphere, a noble, indefinable tendency, why, then he keeps out of its way; and quite right too. One can meet an assertion with argument; but healthy bigotry is the only way in which one can meet a tendency.
Read the whole thing though.
Posted by: toby928™ at August 26, 2011 06:52 AM (GTbGH)
Posted by: nevergiveup at August 26, 2011 06:53 AM (i6RpT)
The comments are enough to make me put a Perry bumper sticker on my car.
Posted by: fluffy at August 26, 2011 06:53 AM (4Kl5M)
First of all, rdbrewer is pimping for a job at NRO. And he may just get it. He's not a good blogger, he's a good pundit. Different animals.
Second of all, what do the scientists say about anthrogenic continental drift?
Posted by: Truman North, TPT at August 26, 2011 06:53 AM (K2wpv)
The most likely scenario is that a variety of killing mechanisms hit at the same time: asteroid, vulcanism, tectonic, biological. To put it another way we are continuing to discover new things about today's Eco-systems, what kind of dunderhead thinks he can make definite statements about an Eco-system collapse that occurred 65 million years ago!
Posted by: Bob from Virginia at August 26, 2011 06:53 AM (SBjsJ)
Doom!
The Slow Disappearance of the American Working ManWhile unemployment is an ordeal for anyone, it still appears to be more traumatic for men. Men without jobs are more likely to commit crimes and go to prison. They are less likely to wed, more likely to divorce, and more likely to father a child out of wedlock. Ironically, unemployed men tend to do even less housework than men with jobs and often retreat from family life, says W. Bradford Wilcox, director of the National Marriage Project at the University of Virginia.
Vacuum that couch, you potatoe!
Posted by: LC LaWedgie at August 26, 2011 06:54 AM (PcoXF)
Posted by: nevergiveup at August 26, 2011 06:54 AM (i6RpT)
Posted by: lando034 at August 26, 2011 06:54 AM (0wofC)
Posted by: toby928™ at August 26, 2011 06:55 AM (GTbGH)
Posted by: CoolCzech at August 26, 2011 06:55 AM (niZvt)
Posted by: Richard Dawkins.. at August 26, 2011 06:55 AM (nfx30)
Posted by: lando034 at August 26, 2011 10:54 AM (0wofC)
the under 30s who voted for Obama w/ 66% of the vote?
Posted by: AuthorLMendez (Perry Guy) at August 26, 2011 06:56 AM (yAor6)
The problem with the left though, is that it is a religious thing for them. They have absolute faith - blind, dumb and stupid faith - that socialism works. It has never been about the mountains of evidence that notwithstanding hundreds of millions of murders committed to ensure it's success didn't help it to succeed. No - it has been that there has never been enough socialism. Enough pure socialism. The kind of socialism that only they know with absolute faith, will work.
Sure, in a sane world, Barry would be a catalyst. Unfortunately, that is not the world we live in. We live in a world where the most acclaimed minds we have call for even more stimulus while evidence shows the last stimulus failed. Where printing even more fiat money will work this time because it simply wasn't enough to work last time.
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at August 26, 2011 06:56 AM (jx2j9)
Posted by: The Birds at August 26, 2011 06:56 AM (GTbGH)
Sorry, the DOOM store is closed Friday - Sunday. It will re-open at roughly 7:30 AM CDT on Monday.
The comments are enough to make me put a Perry bumper sticker on my car.
The more people try to complain about things Perry does, the more people like him. It's almost like the elites don't get the fact that people are fed up with the Aristocracy.
In many ways, Perry is the perfect anti-establishment candidate (despite being popular with the establishment until he challenged Romney and put Rove in his place)- He doesn't have deep establishment roots, he's one of the few people who's actually worked with his hands for a living, and he got relatively average grades at a State University. He's the embodiment of the "normal" American. Except for the part where he's the Texas Governor.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) is tired beyond tired of the trolls at August 26, 2011 06:57 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: Fritz at August 26, 2011 06:58 AM (/ZZCn)
Evil never sleeps.
Posted by: WalrusRex at August 26, 2011 06:58 AM (Hx5uv)
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) is tired beyond tired of the trolls at August 26, 2011 10:57 AM (8y9MW)
and he switched from Dem to GOP to Tea Party, something that has happened to many americans in his time
Posted by: AuthorLMendez (Perry Guy) at August 26, 2011 06:59 AM (yAor6)
AuthorLMendez (Perry Guy),
Ahhh, re-reading it, for 30 and under WHITE americans. From +7 D to +11 R. Not as good as I thought, but still a movement in the right direction.
Posted by: lando034 at August 26, 2011 06:59 AM (0wofC)
Posted by: CoolCzech at August 26, 2011 06:59 AM (niZvt)
Posted by: WalrusRex at August 26, 2011 06:59 AM (Hx5uv)
As others are saying, birds are dinosaurs. They seem to have survived just fine. So, really, it was the "big" dinos that died out. My guess would be, largely, from increased competition for fewer resources- that is, they were just too big for the new climate to support.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) is tired beyond tired of the trolls at August 26, 2011 06:59 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: lando034 at August 26, 2011 10:59 AM (0wofC)
okay that's the right direction, as a 22 year old Hispanic that's a registered Republican who voted for McCain/Palin, I can tell you the biggest prob w/ the under 30s is that too many think Clinton saved the economy in the 90s w/ lib policies, they have no retrospective of the 94 revolution that made Clinton the GOP's...er..b*tch during the 90s
Posted by: AuthorLMendez (Perry Guy) at August 26, 2011 07:01 AM (yAor6)
Words truer which are... be spoken... never.
Posted by: Uncle Al at August 26, 2011 07:01 AM (p+mzQ)
Barack Obama is on the wrong tack. Thinking he is sailing with the winds, he really sails against a strong headwind. In doing so he risks his ship and his crew, putting them in peril. He may make slow progress, until the headwinds of the storm pick up and drive him back. Ultimately, he will fail.
It is when he realizes this failure is imminent, when he realizes he must change course, when he realizes that he does not know what next to do, it is then the time to fear what he, out of desperation, may do. When he knows he will be unable to ride out the storm and must act, the Pirate Community suspects he will be unable to do so. Many ships in stormy seas were lost by Captains unable to make the proper command decisions.
Posted by: Pirate Pelf Lucre at August 26, 2011 07:01 AM (wN82N)
Posted by: nevergiveup at August 26, 2011 07:01 AM (i6RpT)
Okay, my actual theory that I will never try to convince anyone is correct: God was done with them.
I fully admit this is 100% faith based, and I have no evidence. Thus the reason I'll never try to persuade anyone to this view.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) is tired beyond tired of the trolls at August 26, 2011 07:01 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: CoolCzech at August 26, 2011 07:02 AM (niZvt)
Posted by: Raul Johnson at August 26, 2011 07:03 AM (MiBr0)
No, it was single-payer health care.
I was there, and a member of the tar party.
Posted by: the guy whose grandkids think he's older than dirt at August 26, 2011 07:04 AM (Qxe/p)
Posted by: CoolCzech at August 26, 2011 07:05 AM (niZvt)
It refers to putting your toes on a line to make your formations nice and straight.*
Could it be possible that obama, who is a Stuttering Clusterfuck Of A Miserable Failure, is an Extinction Level Event for the Dem Cong??
(*Insert DADT joke here.)
Posted by: FORGER - Racist TEAhadi at August 26, 2011 07:05 AM (YGzTa)
Posted by: jim at August 26, 2011 07:06 AM (iqGl1)
Posted by: WalrusRex at August 26, 2011 07:06 AM (Hx5uv)
I had thought about that long march through the institutions and how the capture of them by the left destroyed them, and my theory was that in capturing the institution and turning it from its stated mission to a mission of supporting the Left line was what destroyed the institution. Those people who belonged to the institution or used it, but were not of the Left, ceased to use it and went away, leaving the Left with a empty shell.
Sort of like what happened to the mainline protestant churches when the Left got in control of them. They were turned from churches into socio-political pressure groups and bled out members as those who didn't share the Left's vision went to find churches that would just be churches. The Left thought they were getting something of value by taking over these institutions and they ended up with hollow legions.
Posted by: Mikey NTH at August 26, 2011 07:07 AM (hLRSq)
Posted by: CoolCzech at August 26, 2011 10:59 AM (niZvt)
I don't think it works that way. Evolution isn't a process of life forms becoming more awesome, it's a process of throwing shit at a wall and seeing what sticks, with a side effect that things sometimes get more sophisticated. So long as something survives to breed, it succeeds.
Posted by: Bevel Lemelisk at August 26, 2011 07:08 AM (FkKjr)
link to daily mail, "Dinosaurs that lived 500,000 years after meteor."
http://tinyurl.com/3ehvdnu
*Also - in southern Utah I have seen, (now) underground collections of bones where the dinosaurs were all huddled tightly together, without attacking each other, as different species. The guys theory was that they were trying to escape something like a flood or fire.
Like anything that's been politicized, the stories of dinosaurs are much more interesting and complex then is openly discussed.
Posted by: Shiggz at August 26, 2011 07:08 AM (v8Pb8)
Posted by: joncelli at August 26, 2011 07:08 AM (RD7QR)
Meh. Obviously a stork is not a T-Rex. It's useful shorthand to say they share a whole bunch of characteristics.
Among other things, I'm not aware of any dinosaur (except maybe the pterosaurs) that we even think had hollow bones- which is a requirement for birds, IIRC. But they have so many other similarities, that it's convenient short-hand.
It's also a good way to help move away from the "dinosaurs are lizards" theory that was held for most of my childhood. I'm guessing the correct answer is somewhere in between. That, if an actual dinosaur were alive today, it would actually get it's own phylum.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) is tired beyond tired of the trolls at August 26, 2011 07:09 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: Nameless at August 26, 2011 07:11 AM (rZZA3)
And would be affirmative actioned into an Ivy League school.
Posted by: WalrusRex at August 26, 2011 07:11 AM (Hx5uv)
Posted by: Sub-Tard at August 26, 2011 07:11 AM (0M3AQ)
Would you guys quit bringing up accurate history?
I need an excuse to un-sock.
Everybody knows that oil is nothing more than piles of melted dinosaurs, anyway.
Posted by: the guy whose grandkids think he's older than dirt at August 26, 2011 07:12 AM (Qxe/p)
Posted by: nevergiveup at August 26, 2011 07:12 AM (i6RpT)
This is why I have a huge problem with the idea of Macro-Evolution (The Origin of Species, as it were). Where are the "failed" fossils. If evolution is the act of nature throwing random genetic mutations into the DNA code, there should be far, far more "failed" specimens than "successful," but we don't have any fossils anywhere of such "failed" specimens. Just based on shear numbers there should be some.
Micro-Evolution, I don't have a problem with. But the idea that one species becomes a whole different species seems to be pushing the theory beyond any actual evidence.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) is tired beyond tired of the trolls at August 26, 2011 07:13 AM (8y9MW)
"weeds of envy, will to power, and urge to get something for nothing are evergreen in the human heart." -Monty - AOSHQ
Posted by: Shiggz at August 26, 2011 07:13 AM (v8Pb8)
Posted by: BlackOrchid at August 26, 2011 07:13 AM (SB0V2)
That's why it's a theory, and not a law.
Maybe it takes God's approval and several tens of thousands of years.
Except in the case of mules.
Posted by: the guy whose grandkids think he's older than dirt at August 26, 2011 07:16 AM (Qxe/p)
I am a Vietnam War-era backlash. I grew up in the Sixties, and I witnessed an anti-war protest with my own eyes. I saw the chaos and excesses of the Crazy Radical Far Left, and I became a conservative out of sheer revulsion. I remained one through observation and I grew to be an effective one through study and analysis.
This post reminded me of my early adulthood, and the events that shaped my worldview. I am an ideological warrior and a patriot because of what I perceived about how the world worked, and what caused human misery. And I think rdbrewer is exactly right: this disaster that an immature and inattentive American electorate has entrusted their governance to is perhaps the best thing Conservatism has had happen to it since the American Revolution. If a close encounter with THIS dangerous animal can't convince Americans that they need to vote intelligently and with an eye toward their rights and interests (broadly understood), then the entire American experiment was always doomed to fail. Because by now, only the hard-core illogical fanatics that rdbrewer refers to that simply canNOT admit error will stand by a completely discredited ideology.
I remember when Saigon fell, and what it felt like. Young Americans that will be voting for the first time in five years are experiencing the same thing right now. And I bet you that the Randians will vastly outnumber the Alinskyites for a generation because of what they perceive about the fellow travellers of the current statists that they can observe following such a tragic course today.
Posted by: Bluesman at August 26, 2011 07:17 AM (m6peC)
Among other things, I'm not aware of any dinosaur (except maybe the pterosaurs) that we even think had hollow bones- which is a requirement for birds, IIRC. But they have so many other similarities, that it's convenient short-hand.
It's also a good way to help move away from the "dinosaurs are lizards" theory that was held for most of my childhood. I'm guessing the correct answer is somewhere in between. That, if an actual dinosaur were alive today, it would actually get it's own phylum.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) is tired beyond tired of the trolls at August 26, 2011 11:09 AM (8y9MW)
Probably a Subphylum or Superclass but not a Phylum. Body plan and all that..
Posted by: TexasJew at August 26, 2011 07:19 AM (+cOEs)
Fossils are most likely to be a typical specimen, because typical specimens are what actually spread all over the place. If you dug around in a cemetery a thousand years from now, you'd most likely find a typical human's skull, not a baby with a deformed skull. Doesn't mean the baby with the deformed skull didn't exist. Remember that Evolution takes place over millions of years, so minor mutations add up to substantial change.
Micro-Evolution, I don't have a problem with. But the idea that one species becomes a whole different species seems to be pushing the theory beyond any actual evidence.
I understand the position, but disagree amicably. However I am frequently annoyed by the way 'scientists' push evolution as dogma as opposed to what it is, a scientific theory.
Posted by: Bevel Lemelisk at August 26, 2011 07:21 AM (FkKjr)
Posted by: CoolCzech at August 26, 2011 07:22 AM (niZvt)
Posted by: jim at August 26, 2011 07:22 AM (iqGl1)
... Sock off ...
I hope you're right, and I hope it's more than one generation.
It's been TWO generations getting us to this point (half of mine, most of our kids).
It will take four generations to permanently right the ship.
In the meantime, we should also teach accurate history, what the difference between facts and opinions are, and how to prove which is which. That was possibly the best course I had in grade school, back when we were inventing dirt.
Posted by: jwb7605 at August 26, 2011 07:24 AM (Qxe/p)
Posted by: jim at August 26, 2011 11:22 AM (iqGl1)
The most successful form of animal that ever lived are the Insects. Hands down.
Posted by: TexasJew at August 26, 2011 07:24 AM (+cOEs)
Posted by: CoolCzech at August 26, 2011 07:24 AM (niZvt)
Micro-Evolution, I don't have a problem with. But the idea that one species becomes a whole different species seems to be pushing the theory beyond any actual evidence.
Micro-Evolution is adaptation. Nothing new here, every farmer in 18th century Somerset County England knew how to hybridize a species (animal or plant) for specific characteristics. Hell Darwin needed only look out his window to discover that idea, which he didn't, it was already accepted knowledge. Calling it Micro-Evolution is merely a beard to dress up the failure of Evolution as a theory.
Posted by: Sub-Tard at August 26, 2011 07:26 AM (0M3AQ)
Posted by: jim at August 26, 2011 11:22 AM (iqGl1)
The most successful form of animal that ever lived are the Insects. Hands down.
See Sub-Tard theory of gravity at 74. All your questions will be answered.
Posted by: Sub-Tard at August 26, 2011 07:28 AM (0M3AQ)
The first amoeba that ever existed is still alive today. Think about that.
Posted by: toby928™ at August 26, 2011 07:28 AM (GTbGH)
The most successful form of animal that ever lived are the Insects. Hands down.
With mosquitos, cockroaches, and fire ants being the best of the best of the best. The little bastards.
Posted by: Count de Monet at August 26, 2011 07:28 AM (4q5tP)
Posted by: CoolCzech at August 26, 2011 07:29 AM (niZvt)
Not to mention a loss of grant money!
Posted by: jeanne at August 26, 2011 07:30 AM (GdalM)
Posted by: toby928™ at August 26, 2011 11:28 AM (GTbGH)
How would we know? Really, was anyone around who even knew what an amoeba was- let alone had the equipment to check? Does it have one of those cool tracking collars like we put on wolves and foxes and such?
This is what annoys me about the paleontologist crowd in general: they speak as if we "know" anything about the period at all. We don't. We have some educated guesses, but we don't know anything.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) is tired beyond tired of the trolls at August 26, 2011 07:32 AM (8y9MW)
They do now, actually. They also found some actual fossils at the K-T layer (that's that iridium dust clay layer that marks the period of the impact). It's fairly recent, and I don't have the links in front of me, but hey, you know how to use Teh Intarwebs.
The best 'link' conceptually is the Velociraptor and its cousins. Think of them as mean-ass killer proto-turkeys and you're beginning the process. The pros even think most dinos had hair or feathers now--state of the theory is much different then even when my young-for-these-parts punk @$$ was a kid.
But that's neither here or there. Most could not adapt, so they died when the conditions they were best fit for changed. Those that could, adapted and eventually became unrecognizable. Not rocket science to me, but your mileage will vary.
And still a most apt metaphor.
Posted by: DarkLord© sez Obama is a stuttering clusterf--- of a miserable failure
Oh, and F--- Nevada! at August 26, 2011 07:33 AM (GBXon)
Posted by: FRONT TOWARD LEFT at August 26, 2011 07:33 AM (cbyrC)
Posted by: FRONT TOWARD LEFT at August 26, 2011 07:34 AM (cbyrC)
The problem with rejecting macro-evolution on the basis of a lack of specimens is with the definition of "failure", and the requirements for finding such.
First you have to understand what a "failure" is from an evolutionary point of view.
It is not simply the individual creature died or died before reproducing; lot's of individual creature die before reproducing, but we in no way characterize that as a species-wide or adaption-wide "failure".
It has to be looked at from a group perspective; does the adaptation, over a wide range of specimens, provide for a particular advantage in some aspect of survival.
That leads to the next critical factor of survival advantages - they are not stable. Even today that is an illusion that cripples the environmental movement - no ecosystem is permanently stable. Every creature within it is constantly modifying itself, looking for a better way to survive. Over time the balance in the system shifts, and new modifications are required for survival. Worse, the entire system does not remain isolated - new creatures can migrate to the system. Worse yet, the entire climate can shift, skewing the requirements to survive.
That means that what was advantageous today can be thoroughly useless "tomorrow". When you are looking for "failures", every fossil of every extinct species is a failure. Sure it lasted 5M years - then stuff changed and it was gone. What was an advantage stopped being one and the species failed.
Then we get to the question of analysis of micro-changes. Remember that we do not have complete specimens but only fossils. We do not even have complete fossils most of the time! We definitely do not have complete genomes.
Just because we have enough human remains and can analyze them far enough to know when we developed different colored hair, different colored skin, and other survial adaptations, in no way means we can determine the same for dinosaurs.
There could be well be massive differences between two otherwise "identical" fossils that we simply have not, or even cannot, identify just from a few bones that have transformed into rocks.
So the "failures" exist everywhere, you just have to know how to define them and be able to find them.
Posted by: Sam at August 26, 2011 07:35 AM (V9Tsq)
This is the fundamental reason to limit the scope of the federal government. We continue to have departments, agencies and laws that are either dysfunctional or have failed to fulfill their intended purpose. Why? Because Congress and the Executive are unwilling to admit a program has failed or doesn't work or that they made a mistake in enacting it in the first place. This won't change. Its human nature. Which the Constitution was an attempt to transcend.
Human nature is the same at the state and local level. But at least you have an increased chance that some state or city will wise up, have some balls and come up with something that works or shit-can the whole thing [finding that the sky didn't fall when it was shit-canned]. And the rest of the retards will get the picture.
Posted by: The Poster Formerly Known as Mr. Barky at August 26, 2011 07:38 AM (qwK3S)
Extraterrestrial feng shui?
Posted by: Fritz at August 26, 2011 07:39 AM (/ZZCn)
Posted by: Professional box-getter-outter at August 26, 2011 07:39 AM (N8eC4)
Posted by: MikeTheMoose Camellia Sinensis Operative at August 26, 2011 07:40 AM (0q2P7)
Posted by: toby928™ at August 26, 2011 11:35 AM (GTbGH)
When an amoeba splits, two new amoebas are created. We know this because there are mutations during the split, so neither is exactly the same as the original. An amoeba dies when it reproduces.
Posted by: Bevel Lemelisk at August 26, 2011 07:41 AM (FkKjr)
Posted by: Idaho Spudboy at August 26, 2011 07:42 AM (1+CnU)
See, that's not actually as good an answer as it seems at first blush.
What it's basically saying is, "Well of course there are no 'failed' fossils! We can't have any!" (Over simplified, yes, but gets to the heart of the argument, which was also expressed earlier).
The thing is, that pretty well invalidates the theory, doesn't it? Or, at least, makes the theory nonsensical, since that means it can never be fully proven nor disproven. Think if Newton had said, of gravity, that "Well, we'd never be able to see if something went up into the air and didn't come down- it would be drown out in all the averages."
Of course, then we get back to my personally held theory of The Origin of Species: God made it that way (through means that bear no experimentation, and don't really matter). I can't prove mine, either, but at least I don't try to act like mine is verifiable.
Think about it.
Still missing it. DNA mutations can occur in asexual reproduction, too.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) is tired beyond tired of the trolls at August 26, 2011 07:42 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: toby928™ at August 26, 2011 07:43 AM (GTbGH)
Posted by: FRONT TOWARD LEFT at August 26, 2011 07:46 AM (cbyrC)
So it is a question of balance and stamina. Conservatism might very well suffer the asteroid impact effect of running out of steam/believers. Liberalism, being mostly idealistic and passive, is reasonably easy. Conservatism, being mostly pragmatic and active, is generally hard. I worry because there are so many more poor, care-for-me, people on Earth than there are self-reliant self-starters. The numbers, the balance, favors the Socialist/Communist/Liberal view of how the world should work, surely. Woe, woe, woe....
Posted by: Errol at August 26, 2011 07:47 AM (d2AYO)
First you have to understand what a "failure" is from an evolutionary point of view.
It is not simply the individual creature died or died before reproducing; lot's of individual creature die before reproducing, but we in no way characterize that as a species-wide or adaption-wide "failure".
It has to be looked at from a group perspective; does the adaptation, over a wide range of specimens, provide for a particular advantage in some aspect of survival.
That is not what I think of when contemplating evolutionary failure. If the evolutionary process is helped along by random genetic mutations, where are the species/fossils with 3 eyes, not just two? A third eye in the back of the head? Why exactly five fingers and toes on the hand/foot and not four, three or six? I don't understand why none of these random mutation "failures" can be found. It's like only successful mutations ever existed and then the species with them were subjected to evironmental changes to cause the species to die off.
Posted by: Count de Monet at August 26, 2011 07:49 AM (4q5tP)
"As in the case of the opponents of plate tectonics, the proponents of big government will slowly die out as the evidence slowly accumulates."
The key to understanding the ideology of the Left is to understand that it is a religion. It's no coincidence that the rise of leftest ideology is congruent with the demise of Christianity. People need to believe in something and if it's not one thing it will be another.
If you really expect that the Left is going away, you have to ask yourself:
What will take its place?
I don't see mass conversions back to Christianity (or Islam for that matter).
The history of Leftism has seen it morph from one form to another. The turn of century progressives, Fascists, Marxists and others have all served this purpose.
No, Leftism isn't going away. It will simply morph into something worse than already is.
Posted by: RayJ at August 26, 2011 07:56 AM (pI/IV)
I really don't think so. I think it's plain and simple venality. Concentrating power and forcing massive amounts of money to flow through as small a choke point as the federal government is going to draw all of the smart thieves to where the skimming is easy.
These guys are like brown bears plucking migrating salmon from the streams.
Can't say I disagree. My point assumed a "true heart" is possible. I often apply your point to comments on campaign finance reform. If the fed didn't do everything, there would be no reason to lobby and corrupt them.
Posted by: The Poster Formerly Known as Mr. Barky at August 26, 2011 07:56 AM (qwK3S)
Posted by: Dick Nixon at August 26, 2011 07:57 AM (kaOJx)
RayJ,
Unless being a liberal or a conservative is genetic... then the left is in trouble and we will have proof of evolution. Alas, too late for the left to glory in having won the argument.
Posted by: lando034 at August 26, 2011 08:01 AM (0wofC)
Speaking of failed institutions, the Detroit Public School system just ran a commercial upstairs encouraging people to register their kids - their slogan "I'm in!"
Posted by: Stateless Infidel at August 26, 2011 08:17 AM (GKQDR)
The Left is a suicide cult. What you and I consider failure is a success for them.
The point that I making is that the Left fills a spiritual need that used to be filled by religion. If you expect people to abandon it, there has to be an alternative.
I don't see one.
Religions typically self destruct when they reach this point. The suicide of the West is indication of that. If look at Islam, you can see that they're doing pretty much the same thing.
My point is, the fun's about to start.
Posted by: RayJ at August 26, 2011 08:25 AM (pI/IV)
Well no Allen, I was not saying we cannot have any failed fossils; I was saying that ALL fossils of non-extant species represent evolutionary failures.
Which of course goes back to what I said, it is matter of how you are looking at the function of evolution.
If you are expecting dramatic visual evidence of every single modification then indeed there will never be the evidence you want.
Of course by that standard, virtually nothing can be proven - show me the physical triangle that is 3 light years one side, 4 light years on another side, and that you have measured the third side and discovered that it is precisely 5 light years in length. What, it doesn't exist? Ah ha! The Pythagorean Theorum is nonsense!
Or maybe not.
Posted by: Sam at August 26, 2011 08:26 AM (V9Tsq)
That is not what I think of when contemplating evolutionary failure. If the evolutionary process is helped along by random genetic mutations, where are the species/fossils with 3 eyes, not just two? A third eye in the back of the head? Why exactly five fingers and toes on the hand/foot and not four, three or six? I don't understand why none of these random mutation "failures" can be found. It's like only successful mutations ever existed and then the species with them were subjected to evironmental changes to cause the species to die off.
Except they do exist - some of them anyway, and many of them are still alive.
Horses have one toe, and there are fossils of pre-horses with more than one toe.
Spiders have eight eyes. Other insects do not. Some animals have their eyes in front for binocular vision, others do not.
One problem with looking for some of these variations is assuming they would be useful in the first place. We can see how fusing toes into one can provide an advantage for horses, as well as see how stopping at two, or three, or four toes works for other creatures, and how five toes works for still others, but what advantage do you perceive there would be for six fingers/toes? As it is, people are born with extra digits, but as yet they have not been sufficiently functional to provide enough of an advantage to propogate through the gene pool.
So these things do exist, in a dizzying array of forms. That every variation does not exist, or has not been found, for every single creature in no way means they are absent.
Posted by: Sam at August 26, 2011 08:43 AM (V9Tsq)
#79 BlackOrchid - good point. The constant doing one thing while proclaiming you are actually doing another would have an effect on a person, especially if that person wasn't really conscious of how out-of-whack things were. There would be the low level nagging idea that something wasn't right, but no clue as to what was wrong.
That would be very dispiriting, I think, and would drain off the enthusiasm that either mission would need for success.
Posted by: Mikey NTH at August 26, 2011 08:45 AM (hLRSq)
There won't be a point when liberals suddenly change their minds about about big government, no matter what evidence appears before their eyes.
It's not a matter of "evidence". it's a matter of priorities. You have very different priorities than a leftist so what looks like "proof" to you is meaningless to them. Leftists are not interestsed in a growing economy or increasing society's wealth. That isn't waht leftism is about. Quite the opposite, actually.
Posted by: Henry Harold Humphries, you can call me 'H' at August 26, 2011 08:46 AM (qMfi2)
Have you seen what I've done with global warming, cooling, and climate change? Now how exactly would admitting I'm wrong help me and my pocketbook - you tell me.
Posted by: Al Goracles at August 26, 2011 08:58 AM (r4t7/)
They'll regroup and invent new ways to tell the same old lies, and even invent a few new lies along the way.
Leftists aren't wrong, they are evil. There is a difference. Their bad ideas never go away because evil never does.
Posted by: Lee Reynolds at August 26, 2011 09:05 AM (zkRoG)
Posted by: CoolCzech at August 26, 2011 09:11 AM (niZvt)
Posted by: Merovign, Dark Lord of the Sith at August 26, 2011 09:47 AM (bxiXv)
Posted by: Sam at August 26, 2011 12:43 PM (V9Tsq)
If you're still here... would the six finger/toe thing on humans be considered a birth defect or an evolutionary gene mutation?
Plus, I'm not thinking that an evolutionary gene mutation needs to be useful, just that it occurred at all.
Or is it that when unuseful gene mutations show up, we call them birth defects?
Will check back later, have to go run some errands.
Posted by: MC Hammer at August 26, 2011 09:54 AM (4q5tP)
Just as a thought experiment, if we had tails, would we have them inside, or outside our trousers?
Posted by: toby928™ at August 26, 2011 09:58 AM (GTbGH)
Posted by: FRONT TOWARD LEFT at August 26, 2011 10:14 AM (cbyrC)
Posted by: Keppich at August 26, 2011 10:17 AM (lqMS0)
Posted by: FRONT TOWARD LEFT at August 26, 2011 10:26 AM (cbyrC)
Posted by: Rex the Wonder God at August 26, 2011 10:27 AM (NHeC0)
Posted by: Cynic at August 26, 2011 10:31 AM (z9JLo)
If you're still here... would the six finger/toe thing on humans be considered a birth defect or an evolutionary gene mutation?
Plus, I'm not thinking that an evolutionary gene mutation needs to be useful, just that it occurred at all.
Or is it that when unuseful gene mutations show up, we call them birth defects?
I suspect it depends on where in the process you encounter them.
When they first show up they could well be birth defects. Take sickle cell trait for example.
Reinforced, it is inevitably lethal.
Unreiforced it provides a significant resistance to the debilitating and frequently lethal malaria.
Is it an evolutionary adaptation or a birth defect?
A critical thing to remember is that evolution does not produce what any particular observer thinks would be best, but what a particular individual creature finds more effective.
If a random mutation/adaptation is effective it is projected into the population.
If it is particularly effective it propogates throughout the population.
If other factors isolate that population from its progenitor it produces speciation.
And let us also note that not every variation induces evolutionary speciation automatically. Simple color variations are like that. It is only if the populations begin to reproduce based on that variation and then additional factors contribute to differences between the populations that they ultimately become different species. Otherwise you just get sub-species that are still completely interfertile, albeit visually distinct.
Posted by: Sam at August 26, 2011 10:34 AM (V9Tsq)
Posted by: Rex the Wonder God at August 26, 2011 10:38 AM (NHeC0)
Posted by: Rex the Wonder God at August 26, 2011 10:44 AM (NHeC0)
Accepting that our species has been
around for 200,000 years, is that sufficient time for that specific mutation to
have developed? If so, I would think that the people with that mutation would
benefit so greatly from the lower barrier to understanding fractions that they
would become dominant.
It could be that five fingers on each hand hits some kind of neuromuscular
point of diminishing returns.
Unless they lived in a Base 20 Culture.
Or a Base 16 Culture.
Or even our own Base 10/Decimal/(increasingly) Metric Culture.
Of course it is also possible that the people who originally developed all that Base 12 derived science DID have some mental quirk that made it easier for them to process things on a Base 12 basis. That would be something you could never find in the fossil record. They may even have had 6 fingers on each hand but it was simply never recorded. Again it would not show in the fossil record.
And yes, perhaps five fingers is the limit. I recall when I was younger reading musings of the pinky becoming vestigial or even disappearing. Then of course I learned more of the mechanics of the grip and the relevance of the pinky, and I suspect its disappearance would be bad for our tool use.
Posted by: Sam at August 26, 2011 10:46 AM (V9Tsq)
Why JUST the Dinos?
It wasn't just the dinos. And not all the dinos were exterminated - birds are a type of dinosaur. And by the same token, not all leftist nanny-state types will perish, there will always be ditzy libs who envision the world that way.
Posted by: Bruce at August 26, 2011 12:00 PM (apXFs)
Posted by: steevy at August 26, 2011 12:06 PM (pV6cO)
Posted by: Relic at August 26, 2011 01:48 PM (YtDsr)
Leaving us with a wasteland. Hoo. Ray."
Sorry, not all of us boomers are libs. I've been a small gubbermint conservative for 30+ years. I voted for Jimmy Carter in 1976 and that was the LAST Dummocrat I ever voted for.
Posted by: Buck O'Fama at August 26, 2011 06:49 PM (g2md7)
Posted by: William Eaton at August 26, 2011 08:28 PM (rwioF)
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Posted by: lando034 at August 26, 2011 06:40 AM (0wofC)