January 04, 2011
— Dave in Texas The question that begs to be asked, what's driving oil prices up, and how high will they go in 2011?
The answer, we were somewhat cushioned in 2010, it's demand, and it will likely hover around $100/bbl for most of the next year.
That would mean the average price at the pump will settle in around $3.00-$3.20 a USG. Not the $5.00/gal hardship we saw a couple years ago, but not good either. The market price of crude oil, it's 55-57% of the cost of gasoline. That percentage has risen in the past several years, as the cost of oil has risen, but the costs of production, refining and marketing have been relatively stable.
A colder winter, and demand in emerging markets (China) mean it likely will not settle back into the $70/bbl range for the coming year.
In this economy, strangling exploration and production exacerbates an already bad situation. Which of course the Obama administration has carried on in earnest since his inauguration, most recently his disastrous post-BP gulf drilling moratorium.
It's enough to make Maxine Waters nationalize the oil industry.
Posted by: Dave in Texas at
06:06 PM
| Comments (75)
Post contains 196 words, total size 1 kb.
Money devaluation, OPEC playing hardball, shutting down production/extraction facilities here, a potential ME war in the near-future...you name it!
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at January 04, 2011 06:08 PM (M+8TM)
Posted by: Jprs at January 04, 2011 06:09 PM (PfiUw)
Posted by: brak at January 04, 2011 06:10 PM (nIoiW)
Posted by: Clownifornia Libtards at January 04, 2011 06:10 PM (M+8TM)
Posted by: FlaviusJulius at January 04, 2011 06:11 PM (SJ6/3)
Posted by: fluff-MX at January 04, 2011 06:11 PM (SwkdU)
Prices started going up almost immediately after the announcement.
Posted by: huh? at January 04, 2011 06:12 PM (BZEkR)
Posted by: The Humungus at January 04, 2011 06:13 PM (S5YRY)
Posted by: FlaviusJulius at January 04, 2011 06:13 PM (SJ6/3)
Posted by: mallfly at January 04, 2011 06:13 PM (W6bJb)
Posted by: President-Elect Palin at January 04, 2011 06:14 PM (urYpw)
Posted by: T-Bone at January 04, 2011 06:14 PM (D9k+z)
Posted by: Trimegistus at January 04, 2011 06:14 PM (tzVmB)
Posted by: FlaviusJulius at January 04, 2011 06:15 PM (SJ6/3)
After creating a new government agency that takes about fifty times longer to process permits (because lack of speed=thoroughness to bureaucrats), yes.
Posted by: Waterhouse at January 04, 2011 06:15 PM (ly8QF)
Posted by: Jprs at January 04, 2011 10:09 PM (PfiUw)
This is the reason. All commodities are going up in dollar terms. Not because they're worth more, but because the dollar is worth less.
Posted by: Ace's liver at January 04, 2011 06:15 PM (QgI7g)
Posted by: Dave in Texas at January 04, 2011 06:15 PM (Wh0W+)
Gas in my area (Pittsburgh) is up around 3.15 a gallon for regular.
Now that you have a real governor, you should see if he'll knock off that 50 cent state tax you have.
Posted by: President-Elect Palin at January 04, 2011 06:16 PM (urYpw)
Posted by: gm at January 04, 2011 06:16 PM (ABUrf)
Posted by: Peaches at January 04, 2011 06:17 PM (zxpIo)
Posted by: Bill D. Cat at January 04, 2011 06:17 PM (npr0X)
Posted by: Waterhouse at January 04, 2011 10:07 PM (ly8QF)
--Dude, we should all have the right to refine our own gasoline without government regulation.
Posted by: BMXDroid at January 04, 2011 06:17 PM (BP6Z1)
So will CA, once Moonbeam puts more CO2 regulations upon the people there.
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at January 04, 2011 06:17 PM (M+8TM)
Posted by: FlaviusJulius at January 04, 2011 06:18 PM (SJ6/3)
Moonshine gas! Hooray!
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at January 04, 2011 06:19 PM (M+8TM)
Posted by: FlaviusJulius at January 04, 2011 06:19 PM (SJ6/3)
Posted by: steevy at January 04, 2011 06:20 PM (dtXRz)
Posted by: Bill D. Cat at January 04, 2011 06:20 PM (npr0X)
Posted by: cali grump at January 04, 2011 06:20 PM (hL0k8)
Posted by: torabora at January 04, 2011 06:20 PM (9e2Sv)
Where are all the leftards telling us how Boosh and Darth Vader were driving up the price? Oh wait, there minion is in charge now. They don't care.
Posted by: Bruce The Robert at January 04, 2011 06:20 PM (FDomG)
This raises a variety of questions:
1) How much does it cost to keep the crew of a super tanker at sea?
2) How much insurance does it cost while a supertanker is at sea?
3) How much does it cost in fuel for a ship to circle endlessly?
4) How much effect, really, would one tanker have on the price of oil?
5) How many ships are allegedly out there?
6) Given all of the above questions, how much money is Big Oil really making off this alleged plan?
It makes about as much sense to me as the old 70's canard that Big Oil was driving tankers out to the desert and emptying their cargo into the sand.
Posted by: Beppo at January 04, 2011 06:21 PM (BblAc)
Posted by: Peaches at January 04, 2011 06:21 PM (zxpIo)
My mom has a WIN (Whip Inflation Now) button somewhere. I'll dig it out and shine it up for the occasion.
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at January 04, 2011 06:23 PM (M+8TM)
Posted by: steevy at January 04, 2011 10:20 PM (dtXRz)
Nebber
Posted by: bwany fwank at January 04, 2011 06:24 PM (9e2Sv)
Posted by: Unclefacts, Confuse A Cat, Ltd. at January 04, 2011 06:24 PM (eCAn3)
Posted by: Waterhouse at January 04, 2011 10:07 PM (ly8QF)
Get your ass in the smokehouse porky.
Posted by: Unclefacts, Confuse A Cat, Ltd. at January 04, 2011 06:25 PM (eCAn3)
I still have mine. And an 80 column punch card. Just to remind me that things could be worse.
Posted by: toby928™ at January 04, 2011 06:25 PM (S5YRY)
Posted by: Batman at January 04, 2011 06:29 PM (3OCZw)
Posted by: President-Elect Palin
I can only hope. At least we are finally done taking it up the ass from Fat Eddie.
Posted by: T-Bone at January 04, 2011 06:33 PM (D9k+z)
Posted by: Reactionary at January 04, 2011 06:35 PM (4nbyM)
Tanker rates are *ahem* tanked. It's often good to catch a market at its nadir...but that is called catching a falling knife. Housing is crap still, UI is waaay high, and the Chicom economy is ripe for a crash too.
I think these oil prices are about inflation not demand. We are $14 trillion in debt and there is no sign it will be paid back. It's a permanent interest drain on the yearly budget..and with interest rates at historically record low rates they can only go up which will make the fed budget worse.
Posted by: torabora at January 04, 2011 06:45 PM (9e2Sv)
Posted by: Buffalobob at January 04, 2011 06:58 PM (GwH6h)
Posted by: joeindc44@aol.com at January 04, 2011 07:13 PM (Du09Y)
There was a time when the best place to spend these $$$ might have been for US products, economic globalization kills that notion -- $$$ can be spent many places on similar goods and services. A significant amount of global products and services may have a historical start in the US, but high corporate taxes and regulations are driving these folks to international operations, with and without operations in the US. More jobs and wealth lost...
But don't worry, there will still be plenty of big government retirement and benefit packages to stabilize the US economy... or not...
Posted by: drfredc at January 04, 2011 07:18 PM (puRnk)
The wild-eyed optimism is almost cute.
Posted by: AmishDude at January 04, 2011 07:19 PM (BvBKY)
Posted by: joeindc44@aol.com at January 04, 2011 07:40 PM (Du09Y)
Posted by: Blacque Jacques Shellacque at January 04, 2011 08:06 PM (nD3Pg)
We all know that when prices shot us under "W", it was a "conspiracy". You were supposed to ignore that the country's gasoline refineries had suffered a major disruption, and that such a thing would effect gasoline prices.
Now that a Dem is in the White House, suddenly it's due to one or more economic forces.
Oil is priced in dollars, and correct me if I'm wrong but I think the dollar has fallen compared to the currencies of the oil big oil importers. So that would drive the price up. That's probably most of it.
But business is picking up, too, and the expectations on Wall St are for increasing economic activity, and corporate profits. Even the expectation of such things will also drive the price up. So that probably is inolved also.
Don't get me wrong - looming debt crises remain a huge threat, and we can only expect unemployment to stay exactly where it is (unless Obamacare can be derailed). But business is still managing to make money again, dispite our socialist president's best efforts.
Not drilling domestically is completely insane, but is probably not much of a factor to global pricing. But global demand for oil is probably starting to creep up again, whereas the supply is likely struggling to even stay level. Don't look for a break any time soon.
Posted by: Optimizer at January 04, 2011 08:21 PM (2lTU+)
Posted by: Hugo "For Life" Chavez at January 04, 2011 08:26 PM (dI/Tc)
BTW, if we had started pursuing coal-to-oil conversion infrastructure 10 years ago (and it was obvious even back then that we should) we'd be well on our way to energy independence right now, there'd be a greatly expaned domestic energy industry to help us pay our bills, and there'd be hundreds of thousands more high-paying jobs.
Coal-to-oil technology was invented by Hitler's goons before WWII, and has become econmically viable in recent years, with the price of oil becoming so high.
Posted by: Optimizer at January 04, 2011 08:27 PM (2lTU+)
65 the local news radio and traffic station had an expert on who explained that high gas prices are part of a recovery, so that's good...
People jumping from office buildings are part of a recovery, too. I think the MSM can spin that for us.
Posted by: K~Bob at January 04, 2011 08:30 PM (dI/Tc)
The biggest effort in exploration and recovery of energy deposits is in horizontal drilling (sort of old/new tech), and the enviros are trying to squelch that.
Ahh, let's just get the Canadians to do it.
Posted by: K~Bob at January 04, 2011 08:35 PM (dI/Tc)
Not gonna happen. Obie doesn't like that shit.
Posted by: Blacque Jacques Shellacque at January 04, 2011 08:47 PM (nD3Pg)
Posted by: Case at January 04, 2011 09:31 PM (0K+Kw)
Yep.
But they will tell you, "No worries, just let them ride Public Transit..."
( ...eat cake... )
Posted by: backhoe at January 05, 2011 12:51 AM (0bk6W)
What is driving prices is up is two major things. First and foremost the price is measured in U.S. dollars which are becoming worth less every day. Second supply has gone down because Obama removed a significant portion of it from the mix.
If the communist asshole regime was not in power the price would be a lot lower. A whole lot lower.
Posted by: Vic at January 05, 2011 01:54 AM (M9Ie6)
Wouldn't it be easier for them to just leave that oil in the ground (which, oddly enough, is what the Lefties want us to do)?
Hmmmmm.....
Posted by: nickless at January 05, 2011 03:53 AM (MMC8r)
Posted by: Lame Assed Democrat at January 05, 2011 05:34 AM (4FGpb)
Posted by: Unclefacts, Confuse A Cat, Ltd. at January 04, 2011 10:24 PM (eCAn3)
The futures market and spot prices are not linked. People can speculate all they want, the actual market price at the pump is what the speculators will get if they hold to maturity, whether it is a gain or a loss.
Posted by: Vashta Nerada at January 05, 2011 08:06 AM (9T/th)
People who have NO INTENTION of ever selling a drop of gasoline are allowed to speculate in oil futures at a tiny margin. Until we get hedge funds and institutional investors out of the oil speculation game, we will ALWAYS have these economy killing upticks in oil prices.
For the unwashed, Oil Companies DO NOT SET THE PRICE OF OIL. It is set by these speculators. The fact this is permitted to go on even after oil reached $150 a barrel before is criminal.
Posted by: Bill Mitchell at January 05, 2011 09:12 AM (Baf0e)
Posted by: Bill Mitchell at January 05, 2011 01:12 PM (Baf0e)
Incorrect. Speculators do not set the price of oil, the free market does. A futures price of $150/bbl 6 months out is irrelevant to the pump price.
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Posted by: Waterhouse at January 04, 2011 06:07 PM (ly8QF)