November 07, 2011
— DrewM Fantastic.
Intelligence provided to U.N. nuclear officials shows that IranÂ’s government has mastered the critical steps needed to build a nuclear weapon, receiving assistance from foreign scientists to overcome key technical hurdles, according to Western diplomats and nuclear experts briefed on the findings....
Although the IAEA has chided Iran for years to come clean about a number of apparently weapons-related scientific projects, the new disclosures fill out the contours of an apparent secret research program that was more ambitious, more organized and more successful than commonly suspected. Beginning early in the last decade and apparently resuming — though at a more measured pace — after a pause in 2003, Iranian scientists worked concurrently across multiple disciplines to obtain key skills needed to make and test a nuclear weapon that could fit inside the country’s long-range missiles, said David Albright, a former U.N. weapons inspector who has reviewed the intelligence files.
,,,
Albright said IAEA officials, based on the totality of the evidence given to them, have concluded that Iran “has sufficient information to design and produce a workable implosion nuclear device” using highly enriched uranium as its fissile core. In the presentation, he described intelligence that points to a formalized and rigorous process for gaining all the necessary skills for weapons-building, using native talent as well as a generous helping of foreign expertise.
And where did this "foreign expertise" come from? The usual suspects, Russia, Pakistan and North Korea.
I think this would be an appropriate moment to pause and remind ourselves that the collective judgement of the US intelligence community is that Iran stopped developing a military track to it's nuclear program some years ago.
In a better world this would lead to a massive investigation of the intelligence community and whether or not their judgments have been compromised by political considerations. Or perhaps accusations of "politicizing intelligence" is one of those things liberals only care about when it works for them.
Related: No need to actually worry about any of this, Ron Paul has the answer: Offer Iran "friendship".
Oh and by the by, the US and Israel just announced they will be holding their largest joint military exercise in history. Nothing to see here, move along.
Posted by: DrewM at
06:15 AM
| Comments (158)
Post contains 388 words, total size 3 kb.
Posted by: RON PAUL! at November 07, 2011 06:20 AM (M8yfa)
Posted by: The Dude at November 07, 2011 06:23 AM (M8yfa)
Posted by: Honey Badger at November 07, 2011 06:24 AM (GvYeG)
Posted by: Jean at November 07, 2011 06:24 AM (WkuV6)
Posted by: Bob Saget has no comment at November 07, 2011 06:25 AM (SDkq3)
Posted by: nevergiveup at November 07, 2011 06:25 AM (i6RpT)
Posted by: Ahmadinejad at November 07, 2011 06:25 AM (LEcV+)
This is worrisome. Israel can't stop Iran's nuclear program.
People are looking for a replay of what Israel did in 1981 with the Osiraq Reactor or 2003 with the Syrian Reactor.
It's not that simply Iran is a massive country with fortified nuke sites spread all around. Some are near heavily populated areas. Also, in order to get to Iran, Israel would have to fly over several unfriendly Arab countries.
Israel can't do this. Only one country can do this and we're not going to do it.
Posted by: Ben at November 07, 2011 06:26 AM (wuv1c)
Posted by: bannor at November 07, 2011 06:26 AM (6AXh/)
...Was to say what they were told to say by their political masters.
And if it means the deaths of a few hundred thousand Israelis? Big fucking deal. They're only Jews. It's not as if they are Muslims.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at November 07, 2011 06:26 AM (3vSLn)
Posted by: surprised at November 07, 2011 06:26 AM (k1rwm)
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at November 07, 2011 06:27 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: Ben at November 07, 2011 06:28 AM (wuv1c)
Posted by: Barack Hussein Obama at November 07, 2011 06:29 AM (D6k5x)
Russia is acting as Iran's Godfather when it comes to circumventing sanctions and providing Iranians arms and nuke technology.
Russian FM warns against any military strike on Iran
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at November 07, 2011 06:29 AM (9hSKh)
Posted by: Jean at November 07, 2011 06:29 AM (WkuV6)
Posted by: Navycopjoe at November 07, 2011 06:30 AM (9IFxO)
Posted by: deadrody at November 07, 2011 06:30 AM (l9UkQ)
Posted by: phoenixgirl ready to drink the perry flavor-aid..can i get a different flavor? at November 07, 2011 06:30 AM (SH3gZ)
Posted by: Bevel Lemelisk at November 07, 2011 06:30 AM (FkKjr)
Israel and Pakistan are not "on the threshold".
They have nuclear weapons.
They both have religious elements that welcome doomsday.
Any questions?
Posted by: Chuckit at November 07, 2011 06:31 AM (/hAyA)
[12Ann Coulter said " we have the worst intelligence services in the world."
I think she hit that nail on the head. ]
No, I think the phrase is "willfully ignorant."
Posted by: Bat Chain Puller at November 07, 2011 06:32 AM (SCcgT)
How the US and Israel let Iran get a nuclear arms capability
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at November 07, 2011 06:32 AM (9hSKh)
Democrat president?
Never mind.
Posted by: lefty meme at November 07, 2011 06:32 AM (fecOD)
Posted by: Jean at November 07, 2011 06:33 AM (WkuV6)
Posted by: Chuckit at November 07, 2011 10:31 AM (/hAyA)
Really? This analysis is based on your vast knowledge of the various orthodox religious sects in Israel?
Fucking idiot.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJconservative) at November 07, 2011 06:33 AM (3vSLn)
Posted by: Herman Cain at November 07, 2011 06:33 AM (LEcV+)
Posted by: Chuckit at November 07, 2011 10:31 AM (/hAyA)
Why do you wear red suspenders, anyway?
Posted by: garrett at November 07, 2011 06:33 AM (D6k5x)
Posted by: Chuckit at November 07, 2011 10:31 AM (/hAyA)
oh, and fuck you you anti-semitic bastard.
Posted by: garrett at November 07, 2011 06:35 AM (D6k5x)
Posted by: Navycopjoe at November 07, 2011 06:35 AM (9IFxO)
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at November 07, 2011 10:29 AM (9hSKh)
yeah, they've got so much shit that they're not supposed to be selling in that country. Same with France on a lesser extent
Posted by: The Dude at November 07, 2011 06:36 AM (M8yfa)
Posted by: clayton endicott at November 07, 2011 06:36 AM (JU0xh)
Posted by: bannor at November 07, 2011 06:36 AM (6AXh/)
There is no doubt that the Iranians would be pursuing nukes, same as Saddam wanted. How far along they are is the question and whether their progress is really the point.
This has the smell of the same IAEA that manipulated reports on Iraq and in now doing the same as Iran. I would rather just see them say ok these people are bad and have the ability to destabilze the world, lets get em nukes or not. Which is the real truth. But I guess govts need fancy reasons.
Posted by: Guy Mohawk at November 07, 2011 06:37 AM (JYheX)
Actually, Israel doesn't have that big a sect that "welcomes doomsday." Israel is one of the most secular "religious" countries in the world. I would be surprised if they had a much larger percentage of people who "welcome doomsday" than we do here in the States.
Also, attempting to equate Israel with Pakistan (let alone Iran) is obtuse, at best, and positively revolting in any case.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at November 07, 2011 06:37 AM (8y9MW)
@NavyCopJoe
IKWYM
I still like the idea someone on here had a few years ago -- pick a desolate mountaintop somewhere near Tehran and just hit it with a MOAB -- not even a nuke, just a MOAB -- then, remind them we have a few thousand nukes many many many times more powerful.
Just for the record.
My thought is that Israel should THEN say, "Hey, nice Mecca and Medina you have there, Musselman world. Be a shame if anything were to happen to them..."
Why we continue to play games with these savages in the name of "diplomacy" is beyond me.
Posted by: Miller at November 07, 2011 06:37 AM (dpfhU)
Posted by: Navycopjoe at November 07, 2011 06:38 AM (9IFxO)
Posted by: Fritz at November 07, 2011 06:38 AM (/ZZCn)
I think this would be an appropriate moment to pause and remind ourselves that the collective judgement of the US intelligence community is that Iran stopped developing a military track to it's nuclear program some years ago.
All one has to do is remember who was President then. That assessment was an obvious hit job and nobody with a grain of common sense believed it.Posted by: Vic at November 07, 2011 06:39 AM (YdQQY)
Posted by: Jean at November 07, 2011 06:39 AM (WkuV6)
Posted by: bannor at November 07, 2011 06:40 AM (6AXh/)
Posted by: Yo Papers Please at November 07, 2011 06:40 AM (EL+OC)
Posted by: TheQuietMan at November 07, 2011 06:41 AM (1Jaio)
Posted by: Jean at November 07, 2011 06:42 AM (WkuV6)
Funny, huh? They start with "such-and-such is years away," and then, before you know it, "such-and-such" only months or weeks away. Almost like time moves, or something.
Though the left never seems to figure this out. It's like (from when they started talking nearly 10 years ago) that Iran was "years away" from having nukes, that they'd never get closer than "years away." As if Iran would treat it's search of nuclear weapons like the left treats drilling for oil domestically (that is: it's "years away," so there's no reason to pursue it now).
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at November 07, 2011 06:42 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: phoenixgirl ready to drink the perry flavor-aid..can i get a different flavor? at November 07, 2011 06:42 AM (SH3gZ)
Because when the first "accuser" wimped out last Friday, it pretty well cleared Herman Cain. She'd have to have some mammoth evidence to get the speculation moving again. That, and most people with enough neurons to form a synapse realize that Gloria Allred is media whore of the first order, and that facts are secondary to sensationalism in the people she represents.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at November 07, 2011 06:44 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: Navycopjoe at November 07, 2011 06:46 AM (9IFxO)
Posted by: Elize Nayden at November 07, 2011 06:46 AM (P/F96)
Posted by: Pastorius at November 07, 2011 06:47 AM (h+zY8)
Posted by: Ron Paul, Friend of Iran at November 07, 2011 06:47 AM (Hx5uv)
Posted by: Shiggz at November 07, 2011 06:47 AM (I9fXA)
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit and Padawan at November 07, 2011 06:48 AM (4df7R)
Well, those noble Iranians wouldn't feel the need to pursue nuclear weapons if the could be sure of the peaceful intentions of those hyper-expansionist Jews. If the Jews would just accept a Palestinian State- and cede them Jerusalem plus half of the current territory of Israel, we would have peace and flowers and rainbows and unicorn-farts in the Middle East.
Posted by: The MFM at November 07, 2011 06:48 AM (8y9MW)
She'd have to have some mammoth evidence to get the speculation moving again
Oh... I got the mammoth evidence alright!
Posted by: Accuser #4 at November 07, 2011 06:48 AM (8ieXv)
Wouldn't it better if we turned Russia into everyone's enemy? How hard would that be? Wouldn't that save us thousands of lives, and billions of dollars?
Posted by: Cherry pi at November 07, 2011 06:50 AM (OhYCU)
Oh... I got the mammoth evidence alright!
Posted by: Accuser #4 at November 07, 2011 10:48 AM (8ieXv)
I doubt that. BUT she has Gloria Allred!
Posted by: Elize Nayden at November 07, 2011 06:51 AM (P/F96)
Posted by: bannor at November 07, 2011 06:51 AM (6AXh/)
I've always believed that one of the reasons the Japanese Empire was so brutal is that they were just barely holding on to half their own populace, especially their young. Iran has the same problem, and internal problems are quite often the catalyst for external warfare.
If there's an upside to any of this, it's that nobody likes Persians.
Posted by: KirkCameronLeftMeBehind at November 07, 2011 06:51 AM (iZ6fL)
Hiring Gloria Allred isn't exactly a credibility boost.
Posted by: Bevel Lemelisk at November 07, 2011 06:51 AM (FkKjr)
Posted by: The Robot Devil at November 07, 2011 06:52 AM (136wp)
Wasn't there some rumor that Israel was going to be doing a little something something tomorrow after this report comes out?
Gimme an M! Gimme an E! Gimme a T! Gimme an E! Gimme an O! Gimme an R! What's that spell? METEOR! Goooooooo meteor!
Speaking of, isn't there an aircraft carrier sized asteroid that's within the moon's orbit but totes won't be hitting the Earth zooming by tomorrow night? Maybe Israel can blame those wee splosions on that.
Posted by: alexthechick at November 07, 2011 06:52 AM (VtjlW)
Well, first, we would have to stop being the worlds biggest economy and the worlds most powerful military force.
I'm stopping right there, because I'm not willing to pay those prices.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at November 07, 2011 06:52 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: Honey Badger at November 07, 2011 06:53 AM (GvYeG)
Posted by: Buzzsaw at November 07, 2011 06:53 AM (tf9Ne)
Posted by: nevergiveup at November 07, 2011 06:53 AM (i6RpT)
Posted by: phoenixgirl ready to drink the perry flavor-aid..can i get a different flavor? at November 07, 2011 06:54 AM (SH3gZ)
My pissed off rocker
Posted by: Navycopjoe at November 07, 2011 10:38 AM (9IFxO)
That's awesome. She'll be needing an axe with some EMG's in it soon enough, now. Those prog players love them some active pups.
Posted by: garrett at November 07, 2011 06:55 AM (D6k5x)
Posted by: Navycopjoe at November 07, 2011 06:56 AM (9IFxO)
Posted by: long toss at November 07, 2011 06:56 AM (J6a22)
Posted by: Jean at November 07, 2011 06:57 AM (WkuV6)
OT: From an article in the Daily Mail(UK) about the Bin Laden raid:
In the official photograph, he looked every inch the commander in chief. Strain etched on his face, Barack Obama watched as the raid to kill Osama bin Laden played out on a television in front of him. According to a new book, however, the President was not nearly that engaged – and was actually playing golf until 20 minutes before the operation began in earnest.Only then did he down his clubs and return to the White House to watch what he later trumpeted as a great success of his presidency.
I am so fricken reassured with this SCOAMF to handle Iran or anything else well on our behalf. I wouldn't let him run a hot dog stand.
Posted by: Cheri at November 07, 2011 06:57 AM (G+Wff)
Posted by: Cherry pi at November 07, 2011 06:58 AM (OhYCU)
In the official photograph, he looked every inch the commander in
chief. Strain etched on his face, Barack Obama watched as the raid to
kill Osama bin Laden played out on a television in front of him.
According to a new book, however, the President was not nearly that
engaged – and was actually playing golf until 20 minutes before the
operation began in earnest.Only then did he down his clubs and return to
the White House to watch what he later trumpeted as a great success of
his presidency.
It's called ACTING!
Posted by: The Robot Devil at November 07, 2011 06:59 AM (136wp)
Posted by: long toss at November 07, 2011 10:56 AM (J6a22)
HAH! I will not be surprised if, by the end of the day, Obama orders the US military to withdraw from these joint military exercises with Israel because they're "inflammatory." Just you wait.
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit and Padawan at November 07, 2011 07:00 AM (4df7R)
Posted by: nevergiveup at November 07, 2011 07:00 AM (i6RpT)
Posted by: blaster at November 07, 2011 07:01 AM (7vSU0)
Posted by: Navycopjoe at November 07, 2011 07:01 AM (9IFxO)
Posted by: Honey Badger at November 07, 2011 07:02 AM (GvYeG)
Posted by: Jean at November 07, 2011 07:02 AM (WkuV6)
The country never would have gone for it.
Posted by: Bevel Lemelisk at November 07, 2011 07:02 AM (FkKjr)
I don't think GW realized exactly how disastrous a presidency O'barky's would be. I think he believed the same thing McCain did- they had ideological differences, but the realities of Office would force Obama's hand.
I don't think they realized exactly how much of an ideologue he is.
Given that, I think GW believed that Iran would temper its pursuit of nukes for fear of reprisal. Of course, that was a flawed assumption anyway, but not one that would be completely out-of-bounds if we had a President who felt the same way about America as most Americans do.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at November 07, 2011 07:03 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: nevergiveup at November 07, 2011 07:03 AM (i6RpT)
Posted by: nevergiveup at November 07, 2011 11:00 AM (i6RpT)
Well, our CIA pretty well pre-empted that with the notorious, false memo regarding Iran's efforts. I would like to see the authors of that memo drawn and quartered.
Posted by: long toss at November 07, 2011 07:03 AM (J6a22)
Posted by: Honey Badger at November 07, 2011 11:02 AM (GvYeG)
I think it would take the idiot SCOAMF a total of three minutes before he managed to plunge himself headfirst into the boiling hot dog water and drown, just through sheer incompetence.
Speaking of which, I don't think it's been said yet, so allow me:
Obama is a STUTTERING CLUSTERFUCK OF A MISERABLE FAILURE.
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit and Padawan at November 07, 2011 07:04 AM (4df7R)
I've have credentials on my "bang in the night" capabilities SO vote for me.
Posted by: Herman Cain at November 07, 2011 07:04 AM (tf9Ne)
Posted by: Navycopjoe at November 07, 2011 07:04 AM (9IFxO)
Posted by: nevergiveup at November 07, 2011 07:05 AM (i6RpT)
This is a hot DOOM sundae with extra down twinkles.
Posted by: GnuBreed at November 07, 2011 07:05 AM (ENKCw)
Posted by: Honey Badger at November 07, 2011 07:05 AM (GvYeG)
Did I miss posting: Barack Obama is a stuttering clusterf*ck of a miserable failure?
<<looks>>
Nope. Right there @17:
"Barack Obama is a stuttering clusterf*ck of a miserable failure."
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at November 07, 2011 07:06 AM (8y9MW)
long toss - Teheran has to know the US-Israel ties go deeper then the WH. Exercising now to identify deficiencies; which would be filled in time for Feb 2013 is a reasonable timeline and would provide the President Next with options that go bang in the night.
Posted by: Jean at November 07, 2011 11:02 AM (WkuV6)
Point taken.
Posted by: long toss at November 07, 2011 07:06 AM (J6a22)
Posted by: bannor at November 07, 2011 07:06 AM (6AXh/)
This is why you never have a VP that's not interested in the President's job.
Posted by: Cherry pi at November 07, 2011 07:06 AM (OhYCU)
Posted by: GnuBreed at November 07, 2011 11:05 AM (ENKCw)
Dammit, now I need ANOTHER new keyboard. I have to remember to stop drinking soda when I'm reading the HQ...
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit and Padawan at November 07, 2011 07:07 AM (4df7R)
Intelligence? Never heard of it.
Posted by: Charles Gibson at November 07, 2011 07:08 AM (nZvE6)
Not something I say, very often: Go Bears!
And, as a Cowboys fan, let me say how disappointed I am in the Patriots for that less-than-stellar performance yesterday.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at November 07, 2011 07:08 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: Charles Gibson at November 07, 2011 11:08 AM (nZvE6)
We know, Chuck. That's why we're never surprised at how stupid you act.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at November 07, 2011 07:09 AM (8y9MW)
"Barack Obama is a stuttering clusterf*ck of a miserable failure."
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at November 07, 2011 11:06 AM (8y9MW)
Well darn it, Allen, do you expect me to read the comments or something? Pfft! Who do you think I am, Andrew Breitbart?
Anyway, it really can't be said enough.
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit and Padawan at November 07, 2011 07:09 AM (4df7R)
I actually think I did miss one on Friday, so you can't be too careful.
And, as you say, it can't be said enough.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at November 07, 2011 07:10 AM (8y9MW)
Nope. Right there @17:
"Barack Obama is a stuttering clusterf*ck of a miserable failure."
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at November 07, 2011 11:06 AM (8y9MW)
Anything worth saying once is worth saying twice.
Posted by: IllTemperedCur at November 07, 2011 07:11 AM (G+B5p)
I bet that Philly kicks the ball to Hester. Because they are just. that. smart.
Dammit, now I need ANOTHER new keyboard. I have to remember to stop drinking soda when I'm reading the HQ...
Rules For Morons No. 5: Do not eat/drink anything while reading the comments (See Rule 4 - no one reads the blog) that you do not want on/in your monitor and keyboard.
Posted by: alexthechick at November 07, 2011 07:12 AM (VtjlW)
This might be a possibility : if Obama went in, There would be no question (as with lybia, yemen, or anywhere these days)from the usual suspects about protecting our ass-ets, because He is a Dem President in the image of JFK or wonderous like the other Dem President Lincoln, or some such.
so I'm just going to snark at everything because i can think of nothing note worthy to say. we're a mess on foreign policy
sigh
Posted by: willow at November 07, 2011 07:14 AM (h+qn8)
Posted by: Deuces Wild at November 07, 2011 07:16 AM (ucERL)
91, 94....
I figured that the SCoaMF held off giving the 'go-ahead' on the Bin Laden mission until he really needed something big to change the subject with.
He had just released that bizzare looking birth certificate.....and people were asking him to un-seal his other records. ....Then, voila! ....He 'got Bin Laden.
He had known where Bin Laden was for eight months. They could've gotten him months before. So it's like he was saving it for something.
Lord only knows what he will save till right before the election next year.
Posted by: ConservativeMenAreJustHotter at November 07, 2011 07:18 AM (FaACh)
I think what Iran has shown, at this point, is an inability to project force.
I could tear down your entire comment, but it's really not worth my time. Short version: if you're trying to equate the country that could have made a good go at really taking over the world after WWII, but chose not to, with a some out-house of a country that has said it wants to wipe one of our allies off the face of the Earth, I think you've got a screw or two loose.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) says 'No' to RINO Romney at November 07, 2011 07:20 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: willow at November 07, 2011 07:22 AM (h+qn8)
Posted by: Jean at November 07, 2011 07:30 AM (WkuV6)
111 damn where is my brain today ... hear, hear!
Its confusing about which to use these days. 'Here here' or 'hear hear'.
Traditionally, it was correct to use 'hear hear' because it was used when one has just heard something that they agree with.
But with the advent of the internet, where we engage in written discourse instead of audible discussions.....the use of 'here here' is often used intentionally, to mean "Here is something I agree with, well said".
So....like I said, its confusing now as to which is the 'correct' spelling to use.
Posted by: ConservativeMenAreJustHotter at November 07, 2011 07:31 AM (FaACh)
Posted by: Deuces Wild at November 07, 2011 11:16 AM (ucERL)
Those aren't thoughts. They are fantasies made up out of whole cloth.
Posted by: garrett at November 07, 2011 07:34 AM (D6k5x)
At this point the issue with Israel is not about who was/is right or wrong. Long-term Israel is screwed. It's a simple matter of population, numbers, and money. They are a socialist state that only survives on foreign-aid handouts. They have a tiny population that is growing ever more outnumbered. All of its financial backers are going down the economic toilet. It doesn't matter how many guns and bombs they have, they can't fight off everybody. They are surrounded by hundreds of millions of people that want to see them go away. Their absolute only long-term option is to find some type of peaceful co-existence with the Palestinians... justifiable or not, fingers pointing all over the place, they have not been able to do this.
Now we are supposed to start a war that has the very real potential to literally destroy us economically because of Israel? And in so doing that will end up hurting Israel even more long-term. You guys don't see how utterly stupid this all is?
Seriously, people need to start thinking about relocation. This is all very amazing to me... it's like armageddon is to be a self-fulfilled prophecy. We are literally fighting over a worthless plot of land, just because some ancient temple ruins happen to be there.
Posted by: Andrew at November 07, 2011 07:36 AM (HS3dy)
The real worry is that the crazy mullahs would give a weapons to a proxy like Hizbollah to use against the West. But this flies in the face of experience, which is that governments tend to keep very tight controls on nuclear weapons, since the consequences of screwing up are catastrophic.
I can't imagine that any nuclear attack by a terrorist, particularly a Muslim terrorist, wouldn't prompt a pretty swift retaliatory attach on the territory of Iran. In fact, this would be a good policy to declare on the day that Iran is assessed to have an operational nuke.
In addition, we might also quietly inform the Saudis that such an attack would also prompt an missile with ground zero being the Kaaba in Mecca.
Posted by: Arms Merchant at November 07, 2011 07:40 AM (hW3KZ)
The Soviet Union was a relatively rational state with at least some roots in Western traditions. Iran, not so much.
Seriously, it amazes me how often people insist on assigning Western value and logical structures to non-Western societies. It just doesn't work that way, and it never ends well...
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at November 07, 2011 07:43 AM (GBXon)
Posted by: Ben at November 07, 2011 10:28 AM (wuv1c)
That "report" was no different than "reports" we get from, say, the SPLC or PETA. It wasn't based on actual intelligence, and this was pretty obvious at the time.
Posted by: Hillary at November 07, 2011 07:51 AM (1+XRG)
Posted by: Paul Krugman at November 07, 2011 07:52 AM (z63Tr)
Oh yes. That's why Pakistan is using full size vans to move their nukes around instead of the less reliable minivans.
Posted by: Hillary at November 07, 2011 07:56 AM (1+XRG)
At this point the issue with Israel is not about who was/is right or wrong. Long-term Israel is screwed. It's a simple matter of population, numbers, and money. They are a socialist state that only survives on foreign-aid handouts. They have a tiny population that is growing ever more outnumbered. All of its financial backers are going down the economic toilet. It doesn't matter how many guns and bombs they have, they can't fight off everybody. They are surrounded by hundreds of millions of people that want to see them go away. Their absolute only long-term option is to find some type of peaceful co-existence with the Palestinians... justifiable or not, fingers pointing all over the place, they have not been able to do this.
Now we are supposed to start a war that has the very real potential to literally destroy us economically because of Israel? And in so doing that will end up hurting Israel even more long-term. You guys don't see how utterly stupid this all is?
Posted by: Andrew at November 07, 2011 11:36 AM (HS3dy)
If Israel goes, the Islamists will control that whole area, including North Africa, and, before too long, most European countries with lax immigration regs. Do you want to wait till that happens and half a dozen Islamist countries have nuclear capabilities? North Korea is a different breed of cat. Their ruling class is very realistic and survival oriented. They're content to blackmail.
Posted by: long toss at November 07, 2011 07:57 AM (J6a22)
that intellegent estimate, during GWB's administration, downplaying the threat of Iranian nukes was a political ploy by Clinton shadow government moles inside the intellegence community and it was designed to take the wind out of the sail of any buildup to attack Iran's nuclear sites.
sad for the US and for the rest of the Middle East, it worked.
Posted by: canuk at November 07, 2011 08:11 AM (XnGFh)
Let's think about this a moment. Although worrying, this is not the end of the world. Iran is a nation-state, and nation-states are deterred from using nuclear weapons through threat of retaliation. We deterred the Soviet Union for 50 years, which was no less expansionist and aggressive than Iran.
Two different animals. The Soviets, however horrible they were, were rational actors. Their first priority was still self-preservation. To them, death was the final end. The Iranians don't give a shit about that, because to them death is the path to a big cosmic orgy with lots of virgins.
In addition, we might also quietly inform the Saudis that such an attack would also prompt an missile with ground zero being the Kaaba in Mecca.
The Saudis would be no happier to see Iran get the bomb than the US or Israel would, because the Sunnis would be their next target after the Zionist Entity was gone. In fact, if Israel attacks Iran you can expect covert Saudi assistance. Something along the lines of: "A junior Saudi civil servant was reprimanded after it was discovered that the official Saudi condemnation of Israel's recent raid on Hamas targets in Gaza was sent to the Israeli government printed on the back of a map showing the locations of remote Saudi military airfields stocked with jet fuel, along with decryption keys and frequencies for Saudi military air-traffic control".
Posted by: ol_dirty_/b/tard at November 07, 2011 08:33 AM (IoUF1)
Posted by: ol_dirty_/b/tard at November 07, 2011 12:33 PM (IoUF1)
Yep. If Iran gets it's nuke, gird yer loins for the godawfullest nuclear arms race in Sunni country. Then, it is just a matter of time till some jihadi loonie gains control of the red button.
Posted by: long toss at November 07, 2011 08:43 AM (J6a22)
Posted by: long toss at November 07, 2011 08:46 AM (J6a22)
"If Israel goes, the Islamists will control that whole area, including North Africa, and, before too long, most European countries with lax immigration regs. Do you want to wait till that happens and half a dozen Islamist countries have nuclear capabilities? North Korea is a different breed of cat. Their ruling class is very realistic and survival oriented. They're content to blackmail."
Actually, I don't agree with this.
Israel's existence won't in any way stop so-called Islamists from controlling all these other areas you speak of. Has it so far? It has made the situation worse. Organizations like Hamas, Hezbollah, and the Muslim Brotherhood exist ONLY because of Israel. They were created to oppose Israel. What started out as simple "resistance" movements with popular support then swell with time into these hugely oppressive entities that end up strangling the local governments and people. Tell me... why has support for groups like Al Qaeda GROWN post-911? Because in response to 19 guys with boxcutters we start multi-trillion-dollar wars and kill hundreds of thousands of Muslims that had absolutely nothing to do with 911. We support regimes that oppress their people... like in Saudi & Yemen.
You also make the false assumption that an Islamic state is bad... bad for whom? We have never been threatened or attacked by any Islamic state.
Posted by: Andrew at November 07, 2011 08:55 AM (HS3dy)
It's pretty obvious by now it doesn't matter where or if the Jews relocate. Muslims, Pagans, Marxists, and most homosexuals are always going to be at war with them.
And if Israel were still a socialist country, their defense would still be one of the primary causes of the left.
How do I know that? Because I was a lefty back then, shitbird.
Posted by: KirkCameronLeftMeBehind at November 07, 2011 09:27 AM (iZ6fL)
Posted by: kcs at November 07, 2011 09:53 AM (F9l4e)
Posted by: BeckoningChasm at November 07, 2011 10:07 AM (P7hip)
Too true.
The liberals' assumption that, deep down, people are the same the world over is naive and dangerous. Conclusions drawn from a false premise can prove disastrous.
Posted by: kcs at November 07, 2011 10:13 AM (F9l4e)
Yeah, I've heard the arguments that the mullahs aren't rational and nuclear deterrence doesn't work with them and I find them unconvincing. There were all sorts of "experts" during the Cold War assuring us that the godless Soviets believed that they could fight and prevail against 10,000 nuclear warheads. It was all bullshit.
No, Iran doesn't have western traditions but so what? These guys love their pink (tan?) asses as much as you love yours.
If you still don't believe it, read the Quran. Mohammed himself was very deliberate about living to fight another day.
Now, if they thought they could slip a nuke to Hezbollah without getting caught, I wouldn't put it past them. That's why the declaratory policy of, "We don't care, Iran will be held responsible" is an important piece.
Posted by: Arms Merchant at November 07, 2011 10:21 AM (hW3KZ)
Posted by: steevy at November 07, 2011 01:02 PM (7WJOC)
We know that Obama listened to the anti-Semitic hate rants of Jeremiah Wright for 20 years.
We have recently been informed that Obama "gets off on" killing people. According to Ulsterman's "Insider":
"The only thing Obama has taken a real interest in [military-wise] are the drones. Apparently he loves those drone attacks. Thinks they’re cool – how they fly in and just blow the sh-t out of people. No fuss. No muss. President Obama gets off on it. The same guy who was so concerned with giving those GITMO fellas a nice citizen trial because he was concerned with their rights – he loves blowing the hell out of people. A real power trip for him apparently. So much so the military brass are becoming increasingly uneasy."
I fear that only God can save Israel now.
He has done it before....
Posted by: I can't help fallin' in love with... Paul Ryan at November 07, 2011 04:00 PM (F0o5k)
Posted by: Stephen King 11/22/63 ePub at November 07, 2011 04:40 PM (uKJ4e)
Posted by: Christopher Paolini Inheritance epub at November 07, 2011 04:55 PM (Vrw1B)
Posted by: Lie with Me AudioBook at November 07, 2011 05:06 PM (inbL8)
Posted by: SEAL Target Geronimo ePub at November 07, 2011 06:35 PM (de3em)
Good obscure Gwar reference there, even if I am in after the spam.
Posted by: SGT Dan at November 07, 2011 08:55 PM (up/so)
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Posted by: doumaduo at November 08, 2011 03:22 AM (9gc9r)
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Posted by: EC at November 07, 2011 06:17 AM (GQ8sn)