August 30, 2011
— Ace Good piece on CERN's CLOUD experiment, which proved that the sun is primarily responsible for cloud formation. Cosmic rays cause the upper atmosphere to be seeded with cloud-forming molecules.
And the strength of cosmic rays fluctuates. And clouds influence temperature (by reflecting away sunlight that would otherwise warm the earth).
This has been in the news lately, and it's been linked here. I'm linking this article to note... those who so love science tried to get the experiment killed, because they didn't want AGW theory to even have a challenge.
But Mr. Kirkby made the same tactical error that the Danes [who had earlier proposed the theory, and had been punished] had — not realizing how politicized the global warming issue was, he candidly shared his views with the scientific community.“The theory will probably be able to account for somewhere between a half and the whole of the increase in the Earth’s temperature that we have seen in the last century,” Mr. Kirkby told the scientific press in 1998, explaining that global warming may be part of a natural cycle in the Earth’s temperature.
The global warming establishment sprang into action, pressured the Western governments that control CERN, and almost immediately succeeded in suspending CLOUD. It took Mr. Kirkby almost a decade of negotiation with his superiors, and who knows how many compromises and unspoken commitments, to convince the CERN bureaucracy to allow the project to proceed. And years more to create the cloud chamber and convincingly validate the DanesÂ’ groundbreaking theory.
Yet this spectacular success will be largely unrecognized by the general public for years — this column will be the first that most readers have heard of it — because CERN remains too afraid of offending its government masters to admit its success. Weeks ago, CERN [formally] decided to muzzle Mr. Kirby and other members of his team to avoid “the highly political arena of the climate change debate,” telling them “to present the results clearly but not interpret them” and to downplay the results by “mak[ing] clear that cosmic radiation is only one of many parameters.” The CERN study and press release is written in bureaucratese and the version of Mr. Kirkby’s study that appears in the print edition of Nature censored the most eye-popping graph — only those who know where to look in an online supplement will see the striking potency of cosmic rays in creating the conditions for seeding clouds.
"Science" -- blocking experiments which could undermine a politically-popular, money-making theory.
Thanks to DanF.
Posted by: Ace at
04:51 PM
| Comments (93)
Post contains 422 words, total size 3 kb.
Posted by: Armando at August 30, 2011 04:55 PM (4TvMf)
there's no actual politics, but everything is political
Posted by: SantaRosaStan at August 30, 2011 04:56 PM (UqKQV)
Posted by: David Bowman at August 30, 2011 04:57 PM (niZvt)
Another important thing to glean from this discovery at CERN is overlooked.
Yes, it is important that this discovery refutes a pillar of global warming theory.
But what is also shows is how weak their models are. Mathematical models are based on closed systems where all the inputs and output are understood. What this whole story shows is how much of the mathematical models that they based all their theory on are based on assumptions.
Assumptions are not science.
Posted by: dan-O at August 30, 2011 04:57 PM (BAjNF)
Posted by: Kehoe at August 30, 2011 04:57 PM (avFIR)
Posted by: sifty, Foo Pitying Teahadi at August 30, 2011 04:57 PM (4CSeG)
Posted by: Thomas Dolby at August 30, 2011 04:59 PM (3SvjA)
Posted by: CoolCzech at August 30, 2011 04:59 PM (niZvt)
Posted by: Peaches at August 30, 2011 04:59 PM (aMAEM)
Now wait just a cotton picking minute. Our job is to tell you that Rethuglicans are anti-science. This will not stand.
Posted by: Mephit Fur Meet at August 30, 2011 04:59 PM (OrWka)
*squirt*
Whew... daddy needs a few more houses!
Posted by: Al Gore, Green Economy Huckster at August 30, 2011 04:59 PM (2DyCU)
Posted by: CoolCzech at August 30, 2011 05:00 PM (niZvt)
Posted by: Barak Obama at August 30, 2011 05:01 PM (niZvt)
That does explain why it really cools off at night though.
Posted by: ontherocks at August 30, 2011 05:01 PM (HBqDo)
Posted by: Merovign, Dark Lord of the Sith at August 30, 2011 05:01 PM (bxiXv)
Posted by: Racefan at August 30, 2011 05:02 PM (GuLJ9)
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at August 30, 2011 05:02 PM (jx2j9)
Posted by: CoolCzech at August 30, 2011 05:02 PM (niZvt)
Food for thought . . . I wonder if that also accounts for why it's cooler in the shade.
Posted by: Peaches at August 30, 2011 05:02 PM (aMAEM)
Posted by: USS Diversity at August 30, 2011 05:03 PM (KbEJl)
Posted by: CoolCzech at August 30, 2011 05:04 PM (niZvt)
That wasn't so fucking hard, was it?
Posted by: David Bowman at August 30, 2011 08:57 PM (niZvt)
I know I've made some very poor decisions recently, but I can give you my complete assurance that my work will be back to normal. I've still got the greatest enthusiasm and confidence in the mission. And I want to help you.
Posted by: Hal9000 at August 30, 2011 05:05 PM (q177U)
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at August 30, 2011 05:05 PM (jx2j9)
Food for thought . . . I wonder if that also accounts for why it's cooler in the shade.
Whoa. My mind is expanding, and it hurts.
Posted by: toby928™ at August 30, 2011 05:06 PM (GTbGH)
Posted by: p e p at August 30, 2011 05:06 PM (XYAhp)
Posted by: CoolCzech at August 30, 2011 09:04 PM (niZvt)
Is this a trick question?
Posted by: dogfish at August 30, 2011 05:06 PM (N2yhW)
Posted by: CoolCzech at August 30, 2011 05:06 PM (niZvt)
Posted by: sifty, Foo Pitying Teahadi at August 30, 2011 05:07 PM (4CSeG)
you know how science is settled?
BY Teh Sarah ANNOUNCING FRIDAY, THAT'S HOW YOU DAMN RINOS!!!!!!!!!!!
sorry, its been a while, i feel better now
Posted by: navycopjoe aka Palinista Extremo at August 30, 2011 05:07 PM (R7NIt)
Posted by: Merovign, Dark Lord of the Sith at August 30, 2011 05:07 PM (bxiXv)
This still won't change Mittens mind about AGW.
...OK..maybe it will, but then he'll change it right back when the media tells him to.
Posted by: beedubya at August 30, 2011 05:07 PM (AnTyA)
I'd like to get a Walking Fish Symbol for my car with the word BIGOT in the middle of it.
I'd rather masturbate with a cheese grater than talk to one of those fuckin Prius clowns.
Posted by: sifty, Foo Pitying Teahadi at August 30, 2011 05:09 PM (4CSeG)
Posted by: CoolCzech at August 30, 2011 05:09 PM (niZvt)
Posted by: CoolCzech at August 30, 2011 05:10 PM (niZvt)
Posted by: CoolCzech at August 30, 2011 09:06 PM (niZvt)
The theory of Evolution has more holes in it than the ManBearPig's warmening bullshit...
But if you point that out you're a dumbfucking, no-nothing, creationist anti-sciencer
Posted by: beedubya at August 30, 2011 05:11 PM (AnTyA)
Posted by: Peaches at August 30, 2011 09:02 PM (aMAEM)
I would have gotten there eventually, but it's comforting to know everyone isn't just depending on my brainpower alone.
...they could in short intervals. Then I need a rest.
Posted by: ontherocks at August 30, 2011 05:11 PM (HBqDo)
Posted by: Lauren at August 30, 2011 05:12 PM (OrWka)
our Southern guys would never even call them polar bears, would shorten it to something like......... well something like BBQ.
Posted by: Racefan at August 30, 2011 05:12 PM (GuLJ9)
Posted by: Merovign, Dark Lord of the Sith at August 30, 2011 05:13 PM (bxiXv)
So happy it was in my lifetime. Exciting times!
Posted by: sifty, Foo Pitying Teahadi at August 30, 2011 05:14 PM (4CSeG)
Well, if Contessa Brewer says the Science is Settled, then it's settled.
I had dinner at Applebee's and my waitress - Contessa Brewer - told me she still thinks the science is settled.
Posted by: beedubya at August 30, 2011 05:14 PM (AnTyA)
Posted by: CoolCzech at August 30, 2011 05:17 PM (niZvt)
Posted by: Jean at August 30, 2011 05:22 PM (v9wwx)
Posted by: Sheriff Joe, ScoutPac #457 at August 30, 2011 05:23 PM (PcoXF)
Posted by: CoolCzech at August 30, 2011 05:24 PM (niZvt)
Posted by: Merovign, Dark Lord of the Sith at August 30, 2011 05:27 PM (bxiXv)
Posted by: Merovign, Dark Lord of the Sith at August 30, 2011 05:28 PM (bxiXv)
i have lunch under some shade trees with a few people i work with and some from other places that work close to me......... 100% of the people there dont think its quite settled yet............. and for the record, everyone has some kind of meat everyday.
Posted by: Racefan at August 30, 2011 05:29 PM (GuLJ9)
Posted by: Comrade Arthur at August 30, 2011 05:30 PM (+JhHG)
The entire field of plate tectonics was created by Alfred Wegener after he noticed that Africa and South America looked like they fit together like a jigsaw puzzle.
Global warming is a bullshit 'consensus' theory that has a very serious major problem -- not one of the models have made an accurate prediction about the future. Thus, they spend a great deal of time explaining why their models suck.
Then they want to spend trillions of dollars fixing a 'problem' that they cannot accurately define.
Posted by: GnuBreed at August 30, 2011 05:34 PM (ENKCw)
it kinda comes down to this and always has.
1. somedays in the summer its real fucking hot.
2. somedays in the winter its real fucking cold.
Posted by: Racefan at August 30, 2011 05:36 PM (GuLJ9)
Posted by: The Great Satan's Ghost at August 30, 2011 05:38 PM (UrPTC)
Posted by: steevy at August 30, 2011 05:39 PM (1Nzoh)
Posted by: Merovign, Dark Lord of the Sith at August 30, 2011 05:40 PM (bxiXv)
Posted by: Jean at August 30, 2011 05:43 PM (v9wwx)
IIRC correctly, this hypothesis was put forward in The Great Global Warming Swindle based on papers by the AMS in the 1970s.
The Danes must have just cribbed it.....
Fucking Danes...what's so great about 'em?
Posted by: beedubya at August 30, 2011 05:44 PM (AnTyA)
it kinda comes down to this and always has.
1. somedays in the summer its real fucking hot.
2. somedays in the winter its real fucking cold.
See?? It's chaos
Posted by: The Crazed Sex Poodle at August 30, 2011 05:45 PM (AnTyA)
Posted by: Robert17 at August 30, 2011 05:49 PM (LaaRT)
Posted by: Zombie Linda Lovelace at August 30, 2011 06:10 PM (niZvt)
Posted by: Fred at August 30, 2011 06:51 PM (xWGQr)
Posted by: Schwalbe at August 30, 2011 07:06 PM (IxGUR)
Posted by: Geoarrge at August 30, 2011 07:07 PM (T1RZc)
Thou Shall confess that Global Warming is real, and that Al Gore is the one true prophet Dr. Kirby, or we shall Ex Communicate you from the Science Community and you shall loose your funding!
Now Repent!
Posted by: Warmist Inquisition at August 30, 2011 07:59 PM (NtXW4)
Posted by: sifty, Foo Pitying Teahadi at August 30, 2011 09:09 PM (4CSeG)
Ok. I admit it. I laughed out loud for a solid three minutes.
Posted by: Washington Nearsider at August 30, 2011 08:10 PM (1fLwj)
Posted by: Case at August 30, 2011 09:29 PM (FD6YW)
Posted by: theCork at August 30, 2011 09:45 PM (kK07X)
So happy it was in my lifetime. Exciting times!
Posted by: sifty, Foo Pitying Teahadi at August 30, 2011 09:14 PM (4CSeG)
Wow, you're right! I've noticed the same when that when the big flaming ball isn't in the sky. Think there's a pattern?
Posted by: theCork at August 30, 2011 09:50 PM (kK07X)
Posted by: Rex the Wonder God at August 30, 2011 10:33 PM (NHeC0)
Rex, Kirkby (that's his NAME) was forced to rewrite the paper by Director-General Heuer in a rather public manner. He had to say his results were not authoritative. And heck, it means more funding for more research.
Don't be the last on deck as the evidence mounts against this, Rex. This theory has yet to make a long-term prediction that is outside normal climate variations or trends going back centuries. The 6% contribution of humanity to .04% of the atmosphere won't turn us into Venus, despite the Carl Sagan specials you may have seen as a kid.
Posted by: theCork at August 30, 2011 11:02 PM (kK07X)
Posted by: Rex the Wonder God at August 30, 2011 11:21 PM (NHeC0)
Rex, Kirkby was sandbagged for years by the alarmists. I remember reading their protestations. Like you I approve of spending more money disproving the "oceans-will-drown-us-all-soon-if-we-don't-kill-all-our-cows" theory. I believe AGW has a slight effect, just not enough to worry about because the water vapor/cloud feedback is negative at the low CO2 concentrations we'll see for the next millenia, assuming a linear rise.
Every time I blink reputable scientists are revising downard the physical effects of AGW at the same time the activists are become ever more shrill (climate change induces mental illness, war, refugees, etc., ad nauseum, ad absurdum) After all this arm-waving, until Vanuatu disappears under the waves (not due to subsidence or erosion), I won't take CAGW seriously. Heck, at this point I'd have to see our lifeguard stations drowned. I'm not alone in this. The next time a survey is taken of physicists, meteorolgists or geologists on this subject, I think you'll be surprised. Not just the general public is becoming more skeptical.
Posted by: theCork at August 30, 2011 11:49 PM (kK07X)
The complete hypocrisy of the political overlords on AGW is shown with (as mentioned above) Gore's use of various luxurious methods of burning fossil fuels (far more than the average family), and moreso by the astounding arrogance of the Obama administration/EPA fascists blocking all attempts to drill for oil off the US coast (citing environmental AGW impact) while handing Brazil billions of US taxpayer funds to drill for oil off the coast of Brazil.
Furthermore, the scientists looking at the levels of CO2 pollution from burning ethanol versus regular gasoline have repeatedly reported that ethanol leads to MORE production of the "evil" CO2 than burning regular gasoline - because you have to burn more volume of ethanol than regular gasoline to drive a specified distance. So knowing this, how criminal is it that the EPA fascists are still requiring us to burn our food crops while adding more atmospheric CO2 in the process?
What kills me is that in discussing this issue with kids coming out of college these days, I ask them why they think CO2 is a toxin, and bad for plants, when they know plants metabolize CO2 similarly to how animals metabolize oxygen? I ask them how the polar ice caps on Mars were noted to be shrinking at similar magnitude to Earth's ice caps if mankind is supposed to be causing all the global warming/climate change instead of the sun (when they were still 'shrinking') - and they get the same dumbfounded look every time, just like the people in "Idiocracy" when told to give plants water to make them grow...("You mean, like, from the toilet?!?)
Hell, I work with other physicians (who you would hope had better than average understanding of basic scientific principles) who parrot the AGW propaganda and despite having no answers for simple questions that bring heavy doubt onto the cult of AGW - these other docs start sputtering the most ridiculous excuses usually centering on AGW critics being funded by oil companies. It's completely disheartening being unable to get through such intentional thickheadedness, and I weep for the future of mankind.
Posted by: Babydoc at August 31, 2011 03:03 AM (cWTm8)
Posted by: Jean at August 31, 2011 03:09 AM (OIJP7)
Posted by: sf at August 31, 2011 05:59 AM (bJsQe)
1. is our atmosphere is getting too thick to allow enough heat to leave the planet (no one seriously disputes this);
Really, no one? Not even the NASA satellites that confirmed there had been no heat increase in the last decade?
2. whether it's getting too thick BECAUSE of what we humans are doing
(where the debate is currently stalled between the scientific consensus and others); and
the vaunted scientific consensus. Note, not "science". Nobody claims that science proves anything regarding what you are saying. Instead, all of the huxsters out there claim "scientific consensus". Which means, scientists who agree with me count, those who disagree do not count.
3. whether we can do anything to reverse that effect or at least slow it down (which many, me included, think is where the debate should really be).
well of course that's where you want the debate. you don't want people to learn the actual truth about the sham science that does not support enacting the incredibly silly ideas you have to combat the non-existent threat. You would much rather have a debate about "what we should do" than "what is the science". That has been true about AGW alarmist from teh get-go. Not one has ever wanted to have any actual science performed.
Posted by: Monkeytoe at August 31, 2011 08:06 AM (sOx93)
Posted by: The Ice Limit AudioBook at August 31, 2011 07:15 PM (qhonK)
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Posted by: Dack Thrombosis at August 30, 2011 04:53 PM (AF1jB)