May 11, 2011
— Ace A modest proposal. The nine-page sales brochure for the plan is here.
The "don't touch Medicare" is both a big plus and a big minus. We have two deficits in this country, both growing, both exacerbating the other, because there's only so much you can borrow.
The first deficit is our current operating budget. This is the deficit Toomey wants to cut.
The second deficit is our rapidly-growing gap between entitlement pay-outs and entitlement take-ins. Not only is health care becoming more and more expensive -- it costs more now than it was ever projected to, when the older people were paying taxes into it in their younger years -- but demographically, there simply are a whole lot of aging Baby Boomers and a comparatively small number of Gen Xers, Gen Yers, and Gen Zers.
Toomey's plan is to ignore that deficit and kick the can down the road.
The trouble with that is that can has been kicked down the road for 30 years and now we're actually very near the end of the road.
The good thing about this is that politically, kicking the can down the road has always been wildly popular. That's why we've done it for 30 years. Every year the country has chosen the action-adventure roller-coaster thrill ride of the Summer -- Kicking The Can Down The Road: Part 22: The Revenge.
While we talk up the Ryan plan, and it's good to talk up, there is actually no chance whatsoever it can be passed with any sort of Democratic input into government. I don't even think we can do it in 2012, assuming we capture the presidency and the Senate too, because the Democrats can still filibuster.
I'm conflicted on this because while I think the Ryan plan is a good one, the fact of the matter is, I do not know under what circumstances it could possibly actually be enacted into law. I do not see the route by which it goes from a plan to a law.
We seem to have little chance of actually passing it, and yet we get all the political downside of a seniors' revolt, even though, really, I don't even think this could happen (and wouldn't effect seniors anyway, but they seem to be suspicious of that, and seem to vote for the idea that "if we protect everyone, even those 55 and younger, then there's no chance they can come after us later -- those 55 and younger are a tripwire to protect current seniors").
On the other hand, there's Toomey's plan, which fails to deal with the problem, and invites a coming fiscal catastrophe. Which is... what the public seems to strongly desire.
Toomey's plan also includes something that I doubt could ever be enacted, at least not with Democrats' in possession of a filibuster -- he can get us a surplus by 2021, but only if we limit spending, almost immediately, to 18.5% of GDP. We're currently at 23%, and the most aggressive plans (apart from Toomey's or Rand Paul's) usually shoot for 20% or so. Going even further to 18.5% is almost as politically difficult as Medicare reform.
As Toomey says, his plan is not in competition with Ryan's. It's not an either/or. We can do Toomey's (or try to) and the later also pursue Ryan's.
The deficit is so enormous we need an All of the Above approach. All of it.
The trouble with "doing Ryan's later" is that we never actually do these things later. That's why we're in our current fix.
But politically, since we can't do any of this until 2012 at the earliest (and, alas, probably not even then), there is a certain sense in pushing Toomey's plan and downplaying Ryan's.
If you don't mind the "coming fiscal catastrophe" part of it.
Which, again, is incredibly popular. America really seems hot for this "coming fiscal catastrophe" thing.
Posted by: Ace at
10:26 AM
| Comments (175)
Post contains 672 words, total size 4 kb.
Posted by: logprof at May 11, 2011 10:29 AM (BP6Z1)
Posted by: Bob Saget at May 11, 2011 10:30 AM (F/4zf)
Posted by: kathysaysso at May 11, 2011 10:30 AM (ZtwUX)
Here was her mommy's response:
Before BeckÂ’s review, Meghan confirmed that she was not actually naked for the filming of the video. And now after BeckÂ’s commentary, Cindy has responded:
IÂ’m so glad Glenn Beck is leaving Fox. Enough vitriol and hate. Glenn you are no rodeo clown. They are decent and nice. You arenÂ’t.
Posted by: The morons/ettes at May 11, 2011 10:31 AM (penCf)
Posted by: Michael Moore at May 11, 2011 10:31 AM (LdYLm)
Posted by: FUBAR at May 11, 2011 10:32 AM (1fanL)
...demographically, there simply are a whole lot of aging Baby Boomers and a comparatively small number of Gen Xers, Gen Yers, and Gen Zers.
This demonstrates the urgent need to increase the population of younger people in America. Preferably younger people with leaf blowers.
Posted by: Barack Obama, Racial Healer at May 11, 2011 10:33 AM (QKKT0)
Posted by: Ben at May 11, 2011 10:33 AM (wuv1c)
Posted by: The Robot Devil at May 11, 2011 10:34 AM (LdYLm)
Posted by: Ben at May 11, 2011 02:33 PM (wuv1c)
Bullets will be the new dollars.
Posted by: FUBAR at May 11, 2011 10:34 AM (1fanL)
Posted by: Ben at May 11, 2011 02:33 PM (wuv1c)
Bullets will be the new dollars.
Posted by: FUBAR at May 11, 2011 02:34 PM (1fanL)
Rabbits are the new chickens
Posted by: The Robot Devil at May 11, 2011 10:35 AM (LdYLm)
Why in the hell would Toomey do this if he's a fiscal conservative an adult and serious about the debt?
Several reasons I would think. One it would give us about 10 years to tackle the real problem. Two, it might get bipartisan support. Three, as Ace points out, the Ryan plan or Simpson Bowles plan ain't happening, so this is better than nothing. Four, it might just be political cover. As you've noticed, Republicans are chomping at the bit to support Ryan's plan, so this might be an alternative they can publically support without having to worry about backlash from older medicare and SS dependent voters.
Posted by: Ben at May 11, 2011 10:35 AM (wuv1c)
Which, again, is incredibly popular. America really seems hot for this "coming fiscal catastrophe" thing.
Americans do love a challenge...
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at May 11, 2011 10:35 AM (9hSKh)
I know that they are killing education, killing SSI, killing food stamps, rent funds, etc.
Has anyone ever answered these honestly (non-partisan)?
People won't vote to hurt themselves, but give them a target that saves their ass and they will fire at will.
Why not say it would help education, medicare, food stamps, rent help programs, job training funds, etc., if you help us establish a program to guarantee that all public funds are only going to legal citizens.
Posted by: The morons/ettes at May 11, 2011 10:36 AM (penCf)
Posted by: taylork at May 11, 2011 02:32 PM (5wsU9)
just another day
Posted by: jcjimi - rubbing one out at work (come on, who hasn't?) at May 11, 2011 10:36 AM (ay6+/)
IÂ’m so glad Glenn Beck is leaving Fox. Enough vitriol and hate. Glenn you are no rodeo clown. They are decent and nice. You arenÂ’t.
Posted by: The morons/ettes at May 11, 2011 02:31 PM (penCf)
Glenn Beck is the Antichrist!!!11!!!1!!
Posted by: Not a GB Fan, but a douche nonetheless at May 11, 2011 10:36 AM (BP6Z1)
Posted by: joncelli at May 11, 2011 10:37 AM (RD7QR)
Posted by: AmishDude at May 11, 2011 10:37 AM (T0NGe)
Posted by: jcjimi - rubbing one out at work (come on, who hasn't?) at May 11, 2011 10:37 AM (ay6+/)
Posted by: Barack Hussein Obama at May 11, 2011 10:39 AM (c45xH)
Doing so now is, first, futile. As Ace correctly points out, it cannot pass.
Second, all it does is piss off voters who will make it even harder to achieve that goal of winning the White House and Senate back.
I've already said my piece on Ryan's plan and why it's not workable. But if we do in fact want to try Ryan's plan, it is best to STFU about it and bring it up again after 2012.
The 2012 budget they are wrangling about now, should focus on the other crap, like Toomey is trying to do.
Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at May 11, 2011 10:40 AM (f9c2L)
Posted by: taylork at May 11, 2011 02:32 PM (5wsU9)
I'm going to get a shirt made that says:
front: racist? hell no
back: I just don't like being forced to take it up the ass
Posted by: momma at May 11, 2011 10:41 AM (penCf)
hey, do you have any room in Canada for a shy chemistry professor?
Posted by: chemjeff at May 11, 2011 10:41 AM (7mSYS)
Older voters are the strongest large-scale constituency for the GOP. Politically, I never really understood the Ryan plan even though something that drastic needs to be done.The Ryan plan seemed to be voting on changes to Medicare that could be changed by new administrations/congress over the next ten years, yet guaranteeing political demagoguing even as you know it is deal on arrival in the Senate due to both parties.
It took 60 senators, a large majority in the House, and a liberal President to barely push Obamacare over the finish line. A long-term debt solution that won't raise taxes and cut entitlements will require a similar coalition of conservatives.
Posted by: Paper at May 11, 2011 10:42 AM (VoSja)
Posted by: Ben at May 11, 2011 02:35 PM (wuv1c)
The left-wing message machine just called. They said we're making this too easy.
"Paul Ryan's plan is not only extremeextremeextreme, but according to his fellow right-wingnut, it's not even necessary. Wingnuts like Ryan want to cut SS even when they don't have to do so, just to see your grandma out on the street fighting cats over dead animals. We agree with Toomey that cutting entitlements isn't necessary, and we won't go along with it. Watch as it will turn out that we don't even need to cut the vital services Toomey wants to cut, we just need to raise taxes an eensy-weensy bit on the very richest and eeevilest among us."
Posted by: FUBAR at May 11, 2011 10:43 AM (1fanL)
No conflict. Push Ryan's settle for Toomey's
My prediction: both fail to win a majority of even GOP votes in Congress. Spending will not be cut meaningfully from any budget short of catastrophe. No one inside or out of government really wants to cut anything deeply. Period.
I'm conflicted too--about whether I should be pulling for catastrophe sooner rather than later, to get on with the rebuild; or whether I should just say F it and get mine--like everyone else is doing.
Posted by: first time long time at May 11, 2011 10:43 AM (K/USr)
Posted by: JoeInMD at May 11, 2011 10:43 AM (PIahf)
Posted by: JoeInMD at May 11, 2011 10:43 AM (PIahf)
we trim about fifty bucks and call it a "victory"?
Posted by: chemjeff at May 11, 2011 10:43 AM (7mSYS)
FUBAR,
I agree with you. I think Toomey's plan is a politcally feasable stop gap.
I would much prefer Ryan's plan or something even more extreme than that.
But if we don't win the three branches of gov't in 2012, then it doesn't matter.
Posted by: Ben at May 11, 2011 10:44 AM (wuv1c)
I could swear that we just had a thread yesterday about how the Mexicans ought to stay in their country and fix it, not run away. But then, I was smoking crack, so I could be wrong.
Posted by: FUBAR at May 11, 2011 10:44 AM (1fanL)
Until an adult is in the White House and the inmates are no longer running the Senate, Ryan's plan should be treated (sort of) like the Demotards treat DREAM and other amnesty measures: not expecting to pass, but keeping the fire smoldering under hardcore parts of the base to keep them interested.
The difference (the "sort of") being that the Ryan plan is a goal with the levers of power intact.
Posted by: logprof at May 11, 2011 10:44 AM (BP6Z1)
Posted by: toby928™ at May 11, 2011 10:44 AM (GTbGH)
hey, do you have any room in Canada for a shy chemistry professor?
Posted by: chemjeff at May 11, 2011 02:41 PM (7mSYS)
--Get in while you can!
Posted by: logprof at May 11, 2011 10:45 AM (BP6Z1)
But nowhere near all of that is SS/Medicare. A little known fact is that the Obamanites moved porkulous spending into the "mandatory" category. This is something that was supposed to be temporary. Removing all of it would take over a trillion out of that category.
Posted by: Vic at May 11, 2011 10:45 AM (M9Ie6)
I keep hearing that concern about a fiscal catastrophe is politically popular, but what we want is that coupled with desire to dramatically cut spending and particularly entitlement spending.
We can't even find majorities of voters in the Republican Party who want to cut Medicare spending. If you keep pushing catastrophe and don't move the spending discussion, taxes will be increased. The Republican lines about not having a taxation problem but a spending problem aren't sticking with entitlement spending, the bulk of the long-term debt problem.
Posted by: Paper at May 11, 2011 10:45 AM (VoSja)
Disclaimer: I'm 71.. You deal with it.
Posted by: franksalterego at May 11, 2011 10:45 AM (7/sDI)
Will I get more field plowed running alcohol in a tractor or as payment to Hobos?
Posted by: Buzzsaw at May 11, 2011 10:46 AM (tf9Ne)
I could swear that we just had a thread yesterday about how the Mexicans ought to stay in their country and fix it, not run away. But then, I was smoking crack, so I could be wrong.
Posted by: FUBAR at May 11, 2011 02:44 PM (1fanL)
--
Yeah, I'm getting a little fed up with the cut and run stuff.
Posted by: Y-not at May 11, 2011 10:46 AM (pW2o8)
But shouldn't we be asking the following question: "Is Toomey high?"
"Pro-growth tax policies are at the heart of ToomeyÂ’s plan. His budget reaches balance by 2020 by lowering federal spending to 18.5 percent of gross domestic product, reforming the tax code, lowering marginal tax rates, and closing tax loopholes. It also reduces the corporate-tax rate from 35 percent to 25 percent and indexes the alternative minimum tax for inflationÂ…"
You know, I'm familiar with the Laffer curve, and I'm down with that, but I really don't see how one could close a $1.5T gap this way. To start with, how does the Federal spending magically drop to 18.5% GDP? This mentions no spending cuts at all. Sounds like maybe he's just making some wild projections that GDP is going to skyrocket, to me. What are we now, Democrats? Do I get to pick what color unicorn I get?
Posted by: Optimizer at May 11, 2011 10:48 AM (F56VB)
Posted by: The Spoiled Baby Boom Generation that wants to retire on their grandkids pocketbooks at May 11, 2011 10:48 AM (YCzaP)
Posted by: FUBAR at May 11, 2011 02:44 PM (1fanL)
--Heh, I'm actually part Mexican.
In any event, I don't think I'd be eligible for Canadian citizenship for several years. Still, I could just not file for the next few years, and if anything is owed in the meantime (I have not had to pay yet) I'll just say, "Molon labe, bitches!" and have to go Polanski.
Posted by: logprof at May 11, 2011 10:48 AM (BP6Z1)
Posted by: Paper at May 11, 2011 10:49 AM (VoSja)
I agree with you. I think Toomey's plan is a politcally feasable stop gap.
I would much prefer Ryan's plan or something even more extreme than that.
But if we don't win the three branches of gov't in 2012, then it doesn't matter.
Posted by: Ben at May 11, 2011 02:44 PM (wuv1c)
Yeah, I wasn't busting your ass. Just can't figure how Dems can coordinate so well (gusty call!), but the Pubs don't even realize when they're setting each other up. Maybe I can figure it. Dems are all about collective action.
Posted by: FUBAR at May 11, 2011 10:49 AM (1fanL)
OT:
Reid: ‘We Need The People Of America To Rise Up’ For Amnesty Bill
Now imagine if an R had . . . . . . (you know the rest)
Posted by: momma at May 11, 2011 10:50 AM (penCf)
Posted by: Anon Y. Mous at May 11, 2011 10:50 AM (k34Gz)
Yeah, I'm getting a little fed up with the cut and run stuff.
Posted by: Y-not at May 11, 2011 02:46 PM (pW2o
--Hey, the U.S. was just fine when I moved out in 2004. It went to shit since, so don;t blame me.
Posted by: logprof at May 11, 2011 10:51 AM (BP6Z1)
An almost incalculably small amount of all those things.
But we'll make it up in volume. Of boning.
Posted by: oblig. at May 11, 2011 10:51 AM (xvZW9)
Posted by: momma at May 11, 2011 10:51 AM (penCf)
What happened as soon as he was out of office? The rates went back up and the deductions did not come back. So what he did wound up becoming a tax increase.
A loophole = any tax deduction that a commie does not like.
Posted by: Vic at May 11, 2011 10:53 AM (M9Ie6)
Followed by:
Kicking the Can Down the Road, Part 24: The Three-Legged Race
Where the Republicans tie their right leg to the Democrats left leg, and kick away at the can with their common leg. Off the cliff.
Posted by: Optimizer at May 11, 2011 10:53 AM (F56VB)
Posted by: Optimizer at May 11, 2011 02:48 PM (F56VB)
Heh. Lowering the corporate tax rate and closing the corporate loopholes are supposed to be revenue-neutral. And I think everybody ought to have an alternative minimum tax. Nobody should pay less than their "fair share," right? 47% pay no federal taxes, and about that same amount think gummint is the right size. It ain't free, assholes.
I'll take orange and blue striped.
Posted by: FUBAR at May 11, 2011 10:54 AM (1fanL)
Posted by: The Spoiled Baby Boom Generation that wants to retire on their grandkids pocketbooks at May 11, 2011 10:55 AM (YCzaP)
Posted by: Red Shirt at May 11, 2011 10:55 AM (FIDMq)
Posted by: The morons/ettes at May 11, 2011 02:36 PM (penCf)
Indeed. The Right and Joe Public have many enemies in common. It's time we started pointing out that fact with greater vigor. The illegals and their sympathizers will never vote for our side. Libtards already call us racist all day long. Time to disregard them. If we can't unite a majority behind our good ideas, we should unite them behind our common hates. Of course, you need people to elect who have the stones to carry out that which must be done once in office.
Posted by: Reactionary at May 11, 2011 10:56 AM (xUM1Q)
Before throwing in the towel, renouncing birthright and moving to another country, I would suggest living in that paradise for a few months. Amazingly, living among the citizenry, smelling the open sewers, purchasing meat from unrefrigerated open air markets, and being subject to their injustice system can alter the perception of nirvana.
Posted by: Fish the Impaler at May 11, 2011 10:56 AM (ndqJC)
--Hey, the U.S. was just fine when I moved out in 2004. It went to shit since, so don;t blame me.
Posted by: logprof at May 11, 2011 02:51 PM (BP6Z1)
So you're the one that moved to Canada because Bush was re elected. I see how you are.
Posted by: robtr at May 11, 2011 10:56 AM (MtwBb)
Posted by: Vic at May 11, 2011 02:50 PM (M9Ie6)
It's always "I I I" with you people, isn't it?
Posted by: FUBAR at May 11, 2011 10:57 AM (1fanL)
Cut every department and regulation not specifically authorized by the Constitution.
Enact a flat tax on everyone of 15%, no minimums and no deductions and payable on all forms of income.
Eliminate all other federal taxes on everything.
Limit total federal spending to the previous year's tax revenues except in time of war.
Posted by: Vic at May 11, 2011 10:57 AM (M9Ie6)
Posted by: John Maynard Keynes at May 11, 2011 10:58 AM (jGXQI)
Forgive me for sounding like the simpleton that admittedly didn't read the plant yet, but...
How can this be done where Medicare/Medicaid represented 23% of our spending last year and Social Security was at about 20%?
Did he redefine what we consider to be entitlements??
Yes, 2/3 are earned entitlements but that doesn't account for the fact that they're both slated to go bust.
What gives?
Posted by: laceyunderalls at May 11, 2011 10:58 AM (pLTLS)
Posted by: Jigme Norbu at May 11, 2011 11:00 AM (FnIuw)
Posted by: The Spoiled Baby Boom Generation that wants to retire on their grandkids pocketbooks at May 11, 2011 11:00 AM (YCzaP)
Yes, 2/3 are earned entitlements but that doesn't account for the fact that they're both slated to go bust.
Posted by: laceyunderalls at May 11, 2011 02:58 PM (pLTLS)
"Earned entitlements"? The words are English, but they make no sense together.
Posted by: FUBAR at May 11, 2011 11:00 AM (1fanL)
Posted by: Bevel Lemelisk at May 11, 2011 11:00 AM (FkKjr)
Toomey is touting that his plan spends MORE on Medicare. This is the electoral reality of a Republican Party with more than a few Huckabee voters.
Posted by: Paper at May 11, 2011 11:00 AM (VoSja)
"Earned entitlements"? The words are English, but they make no sense together.
Sorry guess my Demspeak/snark didn't shine though there. That's how they phrase them.
Posted by: laceyunderalls at May 11, 2011 11:02 AM (pLTLS)
Posted by: Bevel Lemelisk at May 11, 2011 03:00 PM (FkKjr)
Yup. Just like racism. We're going to be accused, why do anything different than we would have?
Posted by: FUBAR at May 11, 2011 11:02 AM (1fanL)
Me mother fucker. Now get back to work I need my fucking 800 dollar a week prescriptions paid for, which include my fucking Viagra.
Posted by: The Spoiled Baby Boom Generation that wants to retire on their grandkids pocketbooks at May 11, 2011 03:00 PM (YCzaP)
Sounds like I need to start giving them those new Viagra condoms in order to save in health care costs.
Posted by: Barack Hussein Obama at May 11, 2011 11:02 AM (c45xH)
So you're the one that moved to Canada because Bush was re elected. I see how you are.
Posted by: robtr at May 11, 2011 02:56 PM (MtwBb)
--Heh, it was actually the summer before. I was so busy with the new gig that I did not get my absentee ballot prepared. It was kinda moot since I was registered in Maryland.
Posted by: logprof at May 11, 2011 11:02 AM (BP6Z1)
Posted by: Vic at May 11, 2011 11:02 AM (M9Ie6)
Posted by: Magic 8-Ball at May 11, 2011 11:03 AM (DAEhL)
Sorry guess my Demspeak/snark didn't shine though there. That's how they phrase them.
Posted by: laceyunderalls at May 11, 2011 03:02 PM (pLTLS)
Even my commie liberal collidge professer father, who used to claim that they were earned, now admits that it just ain't so. Delusional.
Posted by: FUBAR at May 11, 2011 11:04 AM (1fanL)
Posted by: laceyunderalls at May 11, 2011 11:04 AM (pLTLS)
Bravo! The guy in the next office is planning to bail and go to Panama. I'd like to bail and go someplace better before the Federal crack whores steal my IRA but I ain't yet found anyplace better.
Posted by: Bob Saget at May 11, 2011 11:05 AM (F/4zf)
Oh, Vic, we love you. The spoiled baby boomers are really the ones who scream "I WANT WHAT'S COMING TO ME!!!!" when their definition of "what's coming to me" includes a blank check on the US Treasury. I don't think that's you.
Posted by: chemjeff at May 11, 2011 11:05 AM (7mSYS)
Also, all of this now has to come within the next two months I guess since Boehner is now decided he wants to cut trillions from the federal budget.
There is no strategy on this. I imagine in one month we will have five more Senators with plans on the deficit.
Posted by: Paper at May 11, 2011 11:05 AM (VoSja)
Posted by: That 23-year-old kid whose vote counts as much as yours at May 11, 2011 11:05 AM (RD7QR)
Posted by: Vic at May 11, 2011 03:02 PM (M9Ie6)
Nope. I just want to be able to say "I told you so." I'm pretty sure the cuts will come only when the money runs out.
Posted by: FUBAR at May 11, 2011 11:05 AM (1fanL)
The left-wing message machine just called. They said we're making this too easy.
"Paul Ryan's plan is not only extremeextremeextreme, but according to his fellow right-wingnut, it's not even necessary. Wingnuts like Ryan want to cut SS even when they don't have to do so, just to see your grandma out on the street fighting cats over dead animals. We agree with Toomey that cutting entitlements isn't necessary, and we won't go along with it. Watch as it will turn out that we don't even need to cut the vital services Toomey wants to cut, we just need to raise taxes an eensy-weensy bit on the very richest and eeevilest among us."
The Numbers just called too. They wish to point out that unless the GOP makes massive gains (with a RINO proof margin) in 2012 and takes the Presidency too, Ryan's plan will go nowhere.
Does that suck? Totally. But that is the reality.
Posted by: Curmudgeon at May 11, 2011 11:06 AM (ujg0T)
One component of the medicare problem (and the health care problem in general) that no one seems to address is the fact that we need to improve the supply of that commodity if we're to bring the cost down. Restricting access based on some arbitrary set of rules will not work. It will only further suppress the supply, and even doctors are able to operate in the black market for cash like providers of any other good.
We must destroy the needless costs and the factors that limit the growth of the healthcare supply. First and foremost, the lawyering cost. Tort reform now! Second, we need to break the guild-like hold that MD's have on medical practice through the tyranny of credentialism.
To cut the cost of healthcare, we must increase the supply. Figuring out how to tax and spend more is not the solution.
Posted by: Reactionary at May 11, 2011 11:06 AM (xUM1Q)
So, I think that continuing to put entitlement reform on the backburner for now is a reasonable idea if, and only if, it comes with serious, cabinent level closing cuts in discretionary spending.
Make the Democrats argue that we need to continue to throw money away on HUD and the NEA instead of SS and Medicare.
Posted by: 18-1 at May 11, 2011 11:06 AM (bgcml)
Posted by: chemjeff at May 11, 2011 03:05 PM (7mSYS)
That's nice. Now GET OFF HIS LAWN!
Posted by: FUBAR at May 11, 2011 11:07 AM (1fanL)
Posted by: Ben at May 11, 2011 02:33 PM (wuv1c)
Bullets will be the new dollars.
Posted by: FUBAR at May 11, 2011 02:34 PM (1fanL)
Rabbits are the new chickens
Posted by: The Robot Devil at May 11, 2011 02:35 PM (LdYLm)
Dougie, it's the new Hokey Pokey (Hopey Changey? What?)
Posted by: Abdullah Oblongata at May 11, 2011 11:07 AM (9BzDU)
Posted by: The Spoiled Baby Boom Generation that wants to retire on their grandkids pocketbooks at May 11, 2011 11:08 AM (YCzaP)
YES. We need to open up more medical schools and stop with the ridiculous artificially low caps on enrollment which serve only to drive supply down.
Posted by: chemjeff at May 11, 2011 11:08 AM (7mSYS)
Posted by: Bob Saget at May 11, 2011 03:05 PM (F/4zf)
--Panama is a good place to HQ a shell corporation, but to live Belize sounds better.
Posted by: logprof at May 11, 2011 11:08 AM (BP6Z1)
Posted by: Waingro at May 11, 2011 11:08 AM (uAytX)
oh don't worry, I'm already way off Vic's lawn, I don't want to see his firearm collection up close
Posted by: chemjeff at May 11, 2011 11:09 AM (7mSYS)
Posted by: Lemon Kitten at May 11, 2011 11:09 AM (0fzsA)
Posted by: laceyunderalls at May 11, 2011 03:07 PM (pLTLS)
--I'll be impressed when that happens in Madison or Berkeley.
Posted by: logprof at May 11, 2011 11:09 AM (BP6Z1)
There is no strategy on this. I imagine in one month we will have five more Senators with plans on the deficit.
Posted by: Paper at May 11, 2011 03:05 PM (VoSja)
Outside of maybe a half dozen Republican Senators the rest think political strategy is for the little people.
I have to give the Democrats credit, they are truly good at all aping the same soundbites, no matter how "moderate" or "independent" they might be.
Posted by: 18-1 at May 11, 2011 11:09 AM (bgcml)
Posted by: Monty at May 11, 2011 11:09 AM (/0a60)
YES. I have heard awesome things about Belize. Like, they speak English and they have hawt beach babes.
Posted by: chemjeff at May 11, 2011 11:10 AM (7mSYS)
Posted by: Miss'80sBaby at May 11, 2011 11:11 AM (P+zzG)
YES. I have heard awesome things about Belize. Like, they speak English and they have hawt beach babes.
Posted by: chemjeff at May 11, 2011 03:10 PM (7mSYS)
--OTOH, if the USA collapses, they'd have to un-peg their currency from the U.S. dollar. Maybe peg it to Canada's.
Posted by: logprof at May 11, 2011 11:12 AM (BP6Z1)
Posted by: Bob Saget at May 11, 2011 03:05 PM (F/4zf)
--Panama is a good place to HQ a shell corporation, but to live Belize sounds better.
Costa Rica or Chile are better bets.
Posted by: Goober at May 11, 2011 11:12 AM (Q5+Og)
Posted by: chemjeff at May 11, 2011 03:08 PM (7mSYS)
Good luck with that. As long as we're dreaming, let's get rid of the FDA too.
Posted by: FUBAR at May 11, 2011 11:13 AM (1fanL)
Republicans are not going to look past polls that show their Medicare cuts are unpopular in their own party. I though the Republicans were unserious about cutting entitlements when their main opposition to Obamacare was that it cut Medicare.
And it worked. They got elected (particularly in swing districts) on this message. Older voters turned out and trending strong for Republicans.
This more than anything is evidence to me that the next year will be nothing but smoke and mirrors and that even if Republicans held everything in 2012, nothing would be done.
Posted by: Paper at May 11, 2011 11:13 AM (VoSja)
111 Toomey's claim that he balances the budget in 9yrs while following Ryan's same models on pro-growth policies but not touching entitlements simply doesn't work. Mandatory is currently 63% of spending and is set on autopilot. As the Boomers retire, that number is going to increase and we will keep adding debt as a result. So Toomey's claim that he balances the budget without touching mandatory is ridiculous.
Simple answer, no payouts until the age of 70. Or pick an age that makes it work.
Posted by: Goober at May 11, 2011 11:14 AM (Q5+Og)
Labor costs are skyrocketing in health care, but not among MDs. It's the increases in other labor that is to blame. And...technology is hugely overpriced because of the reimbursement nightmare that the government has created.
Current MDs will have a tough time repaying their loans. Their salaries have been dropping, not increasing.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at May 11, 2011 11:14 AM (LH6ir)
Posted by: Fish the Impaler at May 11, 2011 02:56 PM (ndqJC)
This is wise advice - I've been doing this myself. You gotta go in with your eyes open.
That said, zero capital gains tax and next-to-zero property tax make up for a lot of things, and there are places to go where they have closed sewers and courts that are only a little more corrupt than our own. It's amazing to go to a place where minding your own business means you get to live in relative peace. I sure wish we had that here. It's true that those places are a bit poor and sorta dirty. You definitely have to be selective. But it's not hopeless.
Posted by: Reactionary at May 11, 2011 11:14 AM (xUM1Q)
Posted by: The Spoiled Baby Boom Generation that wants to retire on their grandkids pocketbooks at May 11, 2011 11:14 AM (YCzaP)
Toomey's plan is ridiculously dependent on being able to freeze every single category of discretionary spending and economic projections that would basically make any deficit disappear.
I can make my own plan right now that cuts no spending and has the GDP growing by 32% each quarter. Deficit solved!
Posted by: Paper at May 11, 2011 11:15 AM (VoSja)
YES. I have heard awesome things about Belize. Like, they speak English and they have hawt beach babes.
If you like jumping in the ocean or diving down in it, Belize is amazing. Figuring out a way to retire there early if the USA truly goes to hell would be nice.
Then again, if the USA goes to hell, so does the world. We really do police the globe.
Posted by: Curmudgeon at May 11, 2011 11:15 AM (ujg0T)
Posted by: Bob Saget at May 11, 2011 03:05 PM (F/4zf)
That's been my problem in my search also. When I compared all the pros and cons of any particular country my conclusion was always the same: The USA really is the last bastion of any hope of true freedom in this world. Reagan was right. If we go down there's no place else to go.
Posted by: Soona at May 11, 2011 11:15 AM (N63LY)
The problem here are the Republicans, not the Democrats. The Dems are the scorpion, they will do what they do, but our only firewall, the Republicans, don't do shit. Even after Nov. 2010, they still aren't really doing shit, and I don't necessarily mean that they must get laws enacted, I also am talking in terms of setting the ground for future battles. They aren't doing anything.
God help us.
Posted by: KG at May 11, 2011 11:15 AM (4L0zr)
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at May 11, 2011 03:14 PM (LH6ir)
Huh I didn't realize MD salaries were falling
So the real need is for more nurses, med techs, things like that? Hmm okay
Would you happen to have any statistics on this stuff? Because I think it would be useful for my department
Posted by: chemjeff at May 11, 2011 11:16 AM (7mSYS)
Okay enough dicking around. Off to read this plan that doesn't have a snowball's chance in hell of even getting out of committee.
Posted by: laceyunderalls at May 11, 2011 11:16 AM (pLTLS)
Posted by: The Spoiled Baby Boom Generation that wants to retire on their grandkids pocketbooks at May 11, 2011 11:17 AM (YCzaP)
Entitlements are a part of mandatory. At the moment, we are shifting between which entitlement is adding the most amount of debt but numbers-crunching says Medicare will become the largest problem.
Posted by: Miss'80sBaby at May 11, 2011 11:17 AM (P+zzG)
Posted by: chemjeff at May 11, 2011 03:10 PM (7mSYS)
Rio de Janeiro. Biggest Mardi Gras party on the planet. Can you say boobehs? I knew you could! Also, I hear Brazil's oil industry just got a big ol' infusion of cash.
Posted by: FUBAR at May 11, 2011 11:17 AM (1fanL)
Hey, that's my plan! Just let me strangle a few more industries and we're sure to see massive growth...
Posted by: Barack Obama at May 11, 2011 11:18 AM (FkKjr)
Posted by: Monty at May 11, 2011 11:18 AM (/0a60)
***
YES. I have heard awesome things about Belize. Like, they speak English and they have hawt beach babes.
Posted by: chemjeff at May 11, 2011 03:10 PM (7mSYS)
Yeah - but the costs there are going up, up, up because of all those things. It may be too late for a middle-middle class person to retire there in any comfort. Plus they have a serious problem with malaria carrying mosquitos.
Posted by: Reactionary at May 11, 2011 11:18 AM (xUM1Q)
You guys remember Eddie Murphy skit on "Cill my landlord"? I keep thinking of that powerful poem today. Don't know why.
http://tinyurl.com/4yjz9cr
Posted by: dagny at May 11, 2011 11:18 AM (23y25)
Costa Rica or Chile are better bets.
Posted by: Goober at May 11, 2011 03:12 PM (Q5+Og)
Just talked with a guy the other day who came back to the US after living in Costa Rica for five years. He said the place was a shithole.
Posted by: Soona at May 11, 2011 11:20 AM (N63LY)
Posted by: A.G. at May 11, 2011 11:20 AM (r1N2K)
You guys remember Eddie Murphy skit on "Cill my landlord"? I keep thinking of that powerful poem today. Don't know why.
http://tinyurl.com/4yjz9cr
Posted by: dagny at May 11, 2011 03:18 PM (23y25)
You forgot to denounce yourself.
Posted by: FUBAR at May 11, 2011 11:20 AM (1fanL)
Posted by: dagny at May 11, 2011 11:21 AM (23y25)
Posted by: dagny at May 11, 2011 03:21 PM (23y25)
In that case, I vote for an oil-producing country. Russia should be easy, they're dying anyway.
Posted by: FUBAR at May 11, 2011 11:22 AM (1fanL)
Posted by: The Spoiled Baby Boom Generation that wants to retire on their grandkids pocketbooks at May 11, 2011 11:22 AM (YCzaP)
Posted by: Monty at May 11, 2011 03:18 PM (/0a60)
Who cares if the Donks are honest about it, the takeaway is that there is no hope. Given that the solution to our mess will not come from politicians, the system will break.How it will do so is the real question, isn't it? I recall reading that most such crises in history have led to war and substantial loss of life, with the World Wars being the most obvious examples.
What monstrous war are we heading towards? Not a nice thought...
Posted by: KG at May 11, 2011 11:23 AM (4L0zr)
Their salaries aren't falling because of increased supply; they are falling because of decreased reimbursement and fewer new MDs going into lucrative practices. They are coming out of medical school with a 9am-5pm mentality, which is bad for us as we age. I want a hard-charging, well-trained doctor who is willing to work hard to maintain my health. I don't want a clock-watcher.
I'll poke around for data, but probably the AMA has some #s.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at May 11, 2011 11:24 AM (LH6ir)
#134 The GOP isn't a small-government party; it's a big-government party that doesn't want to tax people at the rates they'd need to in order to maintain the big government they like.
Perfectly stated.
Posted by: Paper at May 11, 2011 11:24 AM (VoSja)
Posted by: Miss'80sBaby at May 11, 2011 11:24 AM (P+zzG)
Posted by: dagny at May 11, 2011 11:24 AM (23y25)
In that case, I vote for an oil-producing country. Russia should be easy, they're dying anyway.
Posted by: FUBAR at May 11, 2011 03:22 PM (1fanL)
What? The same continent as the Chicoms and the neanderthal Arabs? Dayum, you got some balls.
Posted by: KG at May 11, 2011 11:25 AM (4L0zr)
#148
This is Toomey's plan because Toomey's long-term electoral reality is bleak.
He barely won an election in a wave year. He is not viable in the long-term in that state taking Ryan's approach. Democrats seem willing to sacrifice their electoral careers for Obamacare. Republicans start triangulating and planning for the next cycle the moment they get in office.
Posted by: Paper at May 11, 2011 11:27 AM (VoSja)
In that case, I vote for an oil-producing country. Russia should be easy, they're dying anyway.
Posted by: FUBAR at May 11, 2011 03:22 PM (1fanL)
You can have it. If I'm going to leave the US to start a new colony, it's not going to be in the frozen wastes of Russia. Better to move to a tropical island with no critical resources worth stealing so we'd be left alone - we just need some dudes who have the know how to set up a LFTR to power our ice makers, distilleries, and golf carts.
Posted by: Reactionary at May 11, 2011 11:27 AM (xUM1Q)
Posted by: Fritz Panza at May 11, 2011 11:28 AM (GwPRU)
In that case, I vote for an oil-producing country. Russia should be easy, they're dying anyway.
Posted by: FUBAR at May 11, 2011 03:22 PM (1fanL)
What? The same continent as the Chicoms and the neanderthal Arabs? Dayum, you got some balls.
Posted by: KG at May 11, 2011 03:25 PM (4L0zr)
Think about it carefully. Which nation would really be easier to turn around; the USA or fucking Russia.
Posted by: Soona at May 11, 2011 11:29 AM (N63LY)
What monstrous war are we heading towards? Not a nice thought...
Posted by: KG at May 11, 2011 03:23 PM (4L0zr)
Well, it is interesting to speculate.
If there was ever a left/right civil war in the US, it would likely be bloody, but end up with a stalemate looking something like the 2004 presidential election. And this would largely be "winning" for the right - give each segment the opportunity to live by their ideals.
The Left States of America would likely end up like Mexico before fracturing into petty states within a generation, the Right States of America would likely return to sane fiscal policy and a booming economy. Presuming Alaskan/Gulf oil, and few restrictions on economic development you could see this half of the old United States with a higher GDP within a generation...
Of course a leftwing win would be much more problematic. From the left's perspective the fundamental problem with us, the productive class, is that we won't give them enough of our labor. With a massive war and its inherent death and destruction, this would only be exacerbated. But the more they punish the productive class after winning, the fewer members of it they would find to use - a problem we've already seen since Pelosi/Reid took congress.
In this case I see an increasingly Stalinistic Left States of America. The kulaks of this new state would be liquidated to serve as an example to the rest...but the economic system being fundamentally unsustainable would still lead to massive labor/prison camps and abject want - not of wide screen TVs and luxury hybrid SUVs - but food and clothes.
Posted by: 18-1 at May 11, 2011 11:33 AM (bgcml)
Posted by: Trading Places at May 11, 2011 11:33 AM (TMB3S)
Posted by: dagny at May 11, 2011 11:36 AM (23y25)
Well, I'm thinking that the troubles ahead are going to be of an international nature rather than a purely domestic one...
Posted by: KG at May 11, 2011 11:37 AM (4L0zr)
Thank you 18-1 for that uplifting news flash. I am now going to suck on a tailpipe.
Posted by: chemjeff at May 11, 2011 11:37 AM (7mSYS)
Posted by: KG at May 11, 2011 11:38 AM (4L0zr)
Posted by: ThePoliticalHat at May 11, 2011 11:47 AM (XvHmy)
Just talked with a guy the other day who came back to the US after living in Costa Rica for five years. He said the place was a shithole.
Posted by: Soona at May 11, 2011 03:20 PM (N63LY)
Yeah? Well your buddy was an asshole. We're glad he's gone.
Posted by: Costa Rica at May 11, 2011 11:51 AM (QKKT0)
Then again, if the USA goes to hell, so does the world. We really do police the globe.
Tonight we're gonna party like it's 1939!
Posted by: Beagle at May 11, 2011 11:56 AM (sOtz/)
Perfectly stated.
Posted by: Paper
It's poorly stated. There is no rate at which this monstrosity can be funded, long term. It grows until it consumes the system. Masscare is less than ten years old (?) and it is already consuming the state budget, AND limiting access to medical AND driving insurers out of the state. Furthermore, as taxes are increased, it inhibits growth. It also encourages graft, both by individuals and the erstwhile guardians. That is the plight of Europe. That is becoming our plight. To say that taxation is in any way a solution is false.
Posted by: Blue Hen at May 11, 2011 11:58 AM (326rv)
#165
I think you missed what Monty meant. He means that the Republicans only pretend to be fiscal conservatives on spending and they hide their record of spending by being fiscal conservatives when it comes to tax cuts.
And I agree. They want all the spending and none of the taxation to pay for it, while I want none of the taxes AND none of the spending.
Posted by: Paper at May 11, 2011 12:26 PM (VoSja)
As to getting TPBTP passed in 2013, that's simple, too: Change Senate rules to take the filibuster away from the Dems and ram it through like they did ObamaCare, on a simple party line vote. The bill goes to President Pawlenty, he signs it, and mission accomplished.
If this country is to be saved from the Dems' fiscal apocalypse, the GOP can't avoid using their tactics to do it. Period.
Posted by: JASmius at May 11, 2011 12:49 PM (qtCHY)
Tonight we're gonna party like it's 1939!
Posted by: Beagle at May 11, 2011 03:56 PM (sOtz/)
Stop being so optimistic.
Posted by: 476 AD at May 11, 2011 12:53 PM (bgcml)
Posted by: ya2daup, an iPhone iMpeded iPosting at May 11, 2011 01:06 PM (xTgPE)
Posted by: dad29 at May 11, 2011 02:05 PM (kzgms)
Posted by: logprof at May 11, 2011 02:10 PM (BP6Z1)
--The "Me Generation" puts it so succinctly.
Posted by: logprof at May 11, 2011 02:11 PM (BP6Z1)
You can have it. If I'm going to leave the US to start a new colony, it's not going to be in the frozen wastes of Russia. Better to move to a tropical island with no critical resources worth stealing so we'd be left alone - we just need some dudes who have the know how to set up a LFTR to power our ice makers, distilleries, and golf carts.
Posted by: Reactionary at May 11, 2011 03:27 PM (xUM1Q)
--Belize would be the mainland equivalent: no resources except jungle and barrier reefs, both of which are amenable to tourism. As for an island, many are quite freewheeling economically (Turks and Caicos may fit the bill) but may not have room for all of us.
Posted by: logprof at May 11, 2011 02:15 PM (BP6Z1)
Posted by: Cooter at May 11, 2011 02:41 PM (7aowq)
That's what the "Conventional Wisdom" was concerning Health Care reform, availability of medical service, and expanded insurance coverage. Yet, we have ObamaCare. The Dems may have committed suicide over these, but dammit, we have ObamaCare.
Posted by: Nitpicker And Naysayer at May 11, 2011 05:31 PM (GREd1)
Posted by: soccer cleats at June 26, 2011 10:07 PM (ESwwK)
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Posted by: kathysaysso at May 11, 2011 10:28 AM (ZtwUX)