August 17, 2011
— Monty

The costs of ObamaCare set to skyrocket in 2014. Not coincidentally, Obama will either be out of office or well into his second term. Let's hope we can get it repealed before then.
A slowing German economy is very bad news, both for the eurozone and for the rest of the world.
The Fall of the House of Bernanke.
Nevertheless, many government functions have far less value than their cost; if this were not the case, they would already be provided by the free market, without any government intervention at all. Naturally, those government functions carried out as a result of an unplanned ‘stimulus’ to boost an economy out of recession will tend to be less valuable than average, since if a need for them had been seen earlier they would already have been included in the annual budget.
Also:
Making it impossible for the government to spend money it does not have will have an immensely beneficial effect on future policies, both monetary and fiscal. Whether Republicans, Democrats, Tea Party or Alinskyites will come to dominate US government after that is currently shrouded in mist, but one thing is absolutely clear: the House of Bernanke will have fallen.
The First and Second Amendments, working together.
More “green” FAIL. This may be the best bit of unintentional comedy you'll read all day.
Just a reminder in case you forgot: Matthew Yglesias is a cretin. To idiots like him, the ability to print fiat money is a universal salve for all financial ills.
Theodore Dalrymple. No one does DOOM better.
Is it time to abolish collective bargaining entirely? In the public sector, I'd say yes, absolutely. In the private sector? I'm not so sure, and anyway, unionism seems to be dying out of its own accord in the private sector.
And the winner of the first “Major Municipal Meltdown” award is...MIAMI! Let’s give them a big hand, folks. They earned it.
The center cannot hold. I used to appreciate Brad DeLong's stuff -- I knew he was liberal, but he seemed to have a pretty thoughtful take on economics often missing from his other liberal economist peers. Alas, he seems to have fallen into the same lefty hate-pit as the rest of his fellow-travelers.
And it took me only two months--two months!--to conclude that America's best hope for sane technocratic governance required the elimination of the Republican Party from our political system as rapidly as possible.(Emphasis mine.) Pity. A man I thought was an honest advocate for opinions I disagree with turns out to be the same kind of spiteful, uncritical ideologue that Krugman is. The mistake was mine for seeing something that was never there, I guess. Arnold Kling has further thoughts.
Even the military is finding the defined-benefit pension model to be untenable. The Pentagon is now exploring moving to a 401(k)-style defined-contribution plan. This is just more evidence that the defined-benefit plan is soon going to be extinct -- it is just not a sustainable model.
UPDATE 1: Well I'll be damned. Perma-bull Larry Kudlow jumps to Perry's defense on his (Perry's) Bernanke comments.
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Posted by: Monty at
04:41 AM
| Comments (278)
Post contains 532 words, total size 5 kb.
I predicted the RINOs from MI would sell us out on that Supershit Committee
Too bad I canÂ’t place a flaming skull in the comment box
Article goes bla bla blaÂ…..and then
Upton, a moderate Republican, also said "tax reform is long overdue," adding that while he doesn't think raising taxes on businesses will help with job growth, he would be open to closing loopholes.
Keep in mind what the Pelosi commies consider loopholes. Be advised that when they talk about “tax reform” what they actually mean is raising taxes. And yes, if you eliminate the deduction for home mortgages and then start taxing employer provided health insurance as income you are, in fact, raising the damn tax rates on nearly every “working American”.
Nothing like a “moderate” Republican assigned to the most important committee of the decade in which it only takes one aisle-crossing SOB to kill us. Thank you crying Boner you SOB, you sold us out again. The “deal” was a sell-out, the committee members are a sell-out, and you are a worthless shit. You make these damn worthless deals trying to gain seats in purple districts. Don’t you freakin know you are creating a GD 3rd Party?
Posted by: Vic at August 17, 2011 04:47 AM (M9Ie6)
DB plans are in effect in thousands of firms in this country with no problems at all. You simply have to fund them.. through worker contributions and/or employer contributions.
There's nothing wrong with the model.. what is wrong is not funding them, and assuming idiotically high-rates of return.
Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at August 17, 2011 04:47 AM (UTq/I)
Posted by: garrett at August 17, 2011 04:48 AM (c+sPX)
It used to be illegal until JFK issued an executive order and the Dem congress approved it with an Act.
What I wonder is why no Republican as EVER made any effort to change that?
Posted by: Vic at August 17, 2011 04:48 AM (M9Ie6)
Posted by: CoolCzech at August 17, 2011 04:51 AM (kUaEF)
Posted by: Vic at August 17, 2011 04:52 AM (M9Ie6)
Posted by: CoolCzech at August 17, 2011 04:52 AM (kUaEF)
Posted by: Cobalt Shiva at August 17, 2011 04:53 AM (Il+6V)
Actually, there's a lot wrong with the model. A "defined benefit" model is, essentially, a legal ponzi scheme. You're asking current employees to fund past employees' retirements. Its why so many firms are abandoning them.
If the only problem is "funding them" then what's the difference between them and "defined contribution" plans- if they're not a ponzi scheme?
The fact is that business has generally been booming (even in our economic troubles) for most firms that are continuing those plans. If something bad happens and they have to tap into their cash reserves to any great extent, there will be much wailing and gnashing of teeth regarding the retirement benefits.
The only logical retirement benefit model (if you're going to have one at all) is a defined contribution model- so I put my money in a special account, and it's that account I draw from until it's gone.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) is tired beyond tired of the trolls at August 17, 2011 04:54 AM (8y9MW)
Hey, practically everyone in the private sector is "saddled" with a 401K (or no plan at all). And many of them do jobs that are just as hard and dangerous as soldiering (or being a policeman, or a fireman).
Remember, it's not a question of who "deserves" what. It's a question of what's sustainable over the long term. That's why Social Security and Medicare/Medicaid are doomed. It'd be nice if we could afford them, but we can't.
Posted by: Monty at August 17, 2011 04:55 AM (/0a60)
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at August 17, 2011 04:56 AM (jx2j9)
Posted by: Methos at August 17, 2011 04:56 AM (sOXQX)
Okay, seriously, will someone please explain this spam to me? I see it here everyday, and I still don't know what "easy to come a croper" is supposed to mean. I realize trying to translate spam is a futile effort, but come on!
Posted by: MWR, proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit at August 17, 2011 04:57 AM (4df7R)
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) is tired beyond tired of the trolls at August 17, 2011 04:57 AM (8y9MW)
The "pension" is actually a retainer.
Posted by: Cobalt Shiva at August 17, 2011 08:53 AM (Il+6V)
No it is not. And only retired officers are recallable to age 55.
Posted by: Sean Bannion at August 17, 2011 04:58 AM (sbV1u)
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at August 17, 2011 04:58 AM (jx2j9)
Seems par for the course for the Obama administration. /pun intended
Posted by: Blue Falcon in Boston at August 17, 2011 04:59 AM (ijjAe)
Your extreme views are making it difficult for me to get Republicans elected in solid blue states. Please shut up.
Posted by: BeffJ. at August 17, 2011 04:59 AM (sOXQX)
In regards to the change in military retirement, what they are forgetting, or at least discounting, is the personnel in the military operate in a free marketplace, and they aren't stupid. The current retirement is part of the compensation package, and by replacing it in the manner describe, military personnel will be taking an 18 to 25% immediate pay cut. This is for a job which already asks significantly more of a family than arguably any other job. Also, their pay calculations are for individuals. They arenÂ’t counting the lost opportunity cost from making my wife start her career over every two years. We took a fifty percent pay cut moving to Gulfport, and my wife is still not working. Also, most jobs in the military are still not directly transferrable to jobs on the outside. Why would someone (i.e. a SWO) waste their most productive years in a job which will not help get a second career, and have nothing to show for it until they are 65? Because that is what I want to doÂ… break my body and wear myself out in ultimately a dead end job and then try to start over with no safety net in my mid forties.
Posted by: lando034 at August 17, 2011 04:59 AM (6mCL8)
The term is "come a cropper". See here.
Posted by: Monty at August 17, 2011 04:59 AM (/0a60)
Basically, it means "To screw up."
http://www.phrases.org.uk/meanings/come-a-cropper.html
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) is tired beyond tired of the trolls at August 17, 2011 04:59 AM (8y9MW)
Don't be too shocked if a whole lot of soldiers in their early 20's decide to tell the people that came up with this idea to go eff themselves, and set out for the Real World to better care for their future.
Posted by: CoolCzech at August 17, 2011 08:51 AM (kUaEF)
That's exactly what will happen.
The new kids coming in the door won't know any difference so that will be their "normal." After 3-4 rotations to the Middle East though, that 401k won't look as good as a retirement at 50% of high-3 base pay anymore.
Middling result? A constant churning of the ranks with the best leaving, and the marginal to worst staying.
End result? Defeat in a major war due largely to poor leadership.
Posted by: Sean Bannion at August 17, 2011 05:01 AM (sbV1u)
Oh, by-the-way. Someone is benefitting from all of the Washington spending. Washington.
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at August 17, 2011 05:02 AM (jx2j9)
Posted by: CoolCzech at August 17, 2011 05:02 AM (kUaEF)
A lesson businesses had learned by the 80s. Somebody's a slow learner.
Posted by: dogfish at August 17, 2011 05:04 AM (N2yhW)
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at August 17, 2011 05:04 AM (B+qrE)
I think you unfairly discount our young men and women. I think there will be some attrition from the policy, but you can't expect me to believe (with, perhaps, the exception of some officers) that most enlisted men who are planning on a career in the military are that hung up on the retirement benefits (many? yes. most? no).
But, then, I've never been in the military, so what do I know?
And I'm one of the ones who wishes we would provide better compensation and benefits for our men and women in uniform.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) is tired beyond tired of the trolls at August 17, 2011 05:04 AM (8y9MW)
Monty and Allen G: THANK YOU.
I don't know which is more sad. That I'm so glad to now know the mystery meaning behind the spambot, or that the world is so soaked in DOOM that this little victory will mark the highlight of my day.
Possibly Obama will trip on a curb somewhere and fall flat on his face in a cowpie? That would turn this DOOMy frown of mine upside down for sure!
Posted by: MWR, proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit at August 17, 2011 05:05 AM (4df7R)
Posted by: Triumph, the Comic Insult Moron at August 17, 2011 05:05 AM (9CM5J)
Posted by: Joffen at August 17, 2011 05:05 AM (EPcuy)
Start at age 18, have a successful career, and retire at age 38... AND THEN WHAT?? You have practically NO real marketable skills except a loud mouth with which to bark orders.
I'll take massive oversimplifications for $youdon'tknowhatthehellyouraretalkingaboutcoolczech, Alex.
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at August 17, 2011 05:05 AM (B+qrE)
The term is "come a cropper". See here.
Steve Cropper is the man (and one of the secrets behind the Stax Sound)!
Posted by: garrett at August 17, 2011 05:05 AM (c+sPX)
Remember, it's not a question of who "deserves" what. It's a question of what's sustainable over the long term. That's why Social Security and Medicare/Medicaid are doomed. It'd be nice if we could afford them, but we can't.
No Monty, it is a question of who deserves what.
You're saying that military retirement is just another expenditure like Social Security. I'm saying it comes with a moral dimension. People who bleed for their country deserve a bit more consideration than people who go down to sign up for Social Security.
I'm with Heinlein on this one.
Should pensions be reformed? Sure, reduce the payout at 20 years slightly. Ask for 22 years instead of 20 maybe. But to go 401k on people who have actually put their lives on the line for the country seems a bit much.
Byt hey, I'm a moron.
Posted by: Sean Bannion at August 17, 2011 05:06 AM (sbV1u)
Yeah, well, as we all know, Jefferson said a lot of stuff. And not all of it was Revealed Truth. We got along fine without a national currency until after the Civil War in this country -- the notion that private currencies "don't work" is refuted by our own history. (And our troubles began in earnest when we started printing unbacked funny-money rather than certificates redeemable for gold.)
Privatized currencies aren't going to solve all of our problems -- we'll still have booms, busts, inflations, deflations, and all the rest. But a competitive, asset-backed, privatized currency regime takes the limitless spending power out of the hands of the government and puts it in the hands of the free market, where it belongs. That is an unalloyed Good Thing.
Posted by: Monty at August 17, 2011 05:06 AM (/0a60)
I think there will be some attrition from the policy, but you can't expect me to believe (with, perhaps, the exception of some officers) that most enlisted men who are planning on a career in the military are that hung up on the retirement benefits (many? yes. most? no).
I spent 21 years in uniform. I can tell you I didn't think a moment about retirement until about year 7-8.
Then I started thinking.
Kids join initially because of pride, patriotism or testosterone, or some combination of the above. They think longer term when they grow up a bit.
I assumed (above) that I am not too much different from my peers and the end result will be people leaving earlier once they start thinking about what 20 years actually means. Like CoolCzech pointed out above, it's not an easy lifestyle. When you've stepped out of a C-141 at 0200 one time too many, you start thinking, "There's got to be something else out there."
Sometimes, the pension keeps you coming back when your faith waivers.
Posted by: Sean Bannion at August 17, 2011 05:10 AM (sbV1u)
Hrm. I'll bet you a hundred bucks, payable a decade out after the implementation of a 401(k) style plan for the military, that it either does not affect retention at all or actually increases it. The same dire predictions were being made in private industry back in the 1970's and 80's, and it never came to pass. It actually led to an employment boom, and to more flexible compensation programs that gave the employees more leverage over their own money.
Believe me, if I could control my own SS investments, I would. I could make a lot better return than the crappy 2% or so the government has been returning historically.
Posted by: Monty at August 17, 2011 05:10 AM (/0a60)
RE: Miami's financial boned-ness. Do y'all think this new scandal with the University of Miami's football program will be another nail in the coffin of that city? Or do you expect the scandal to blow over? I expect UMiami brings in a solid chunk of change for the city because of their football program. If they do end up getting the "death penalty," that can't possibly spell good news for the city at large.
Posted by: MWR, proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit at August 17, 2011 05:10 AM (4df7R)
Posted by: CoolCzech at August 17, 2011 05:11 AM (kUaEF)
Posted by: blaster at August 17, 2011 05:11 AM (Fw2Gg)
Putting government spending in perspective after the debt deal. Watch the video. People were ridiculed for calling the whole “epic battle” in congress just so much feigned drama. In the end, we took it in the end – hard. Both sides had their way with us.
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at August 17, 2011 05:11 AM (jx2j9)
I'm not sure why 401(k) plans got such a bad rep. Over the long term they provide much better return (on average, certainly) than Social Security.
Now, I don't know the specifics of this plan- so I can't comment on those, but my employer matches my 401(k) contribution, dollar-for-dollar, up to 6% of my salary (yes, I know this is relatively generous). That means, for giving up 6% of my pre-tax dollars, I save 12% of my gross salary every year (Right around $7500 currently). Even in a fairly conservative portfolio, that would leave me with something on the order of $600,000 after 20 years. Put that in an annuity (which isn't the best, I know, but gives me stable numbers with which to work) at around 8%, and my interest is $48,000/yr. That's certainly not high-hog, but you can live on it. With a slightly more aggressive portfolio, I could instead have about 1.7mil after 20 years- and that is pretty good money, just on the interest.
Again, I don't know the specifics of this proposal, and it may be really crappy, but to claim that "go[ing] 401k... seems a bit much" is to claim that 401(k)s are inherently worse than a 50% pension- which is not, necessarily, the case.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) is tired beyond tired of the trolls at August 17, 2011 05:13 AM (8y9MW)
AllenG,
I am not sure why you included a dig about officers being different from enlisted in regards to career planning based on retirement benefits, but I will answer the rest of your post. For a single person in the military, it might just be about the opportunity to serve your nation, but of the rest of us with families, you can bet your ass compensation is a big part of the equation. What do you do when you join the military straight out of high school, spend twenty years in the service, and then get out? You have no appreciable skills on the outside, a broken body, and are plain worn out. People who go to a full retirement (30 years), still have a life expectancy of about ten years. That is late fifties. The life is hard. And service members aren't dumb. You really think they will stay in just for shits and giggles?
Posted by: lando034 at August 17, 2011 05:13 AM (6mCL8)
I am pretty sure that still most people who go in the service do not retire from it.
You are exactly correct. But I can't for the life of me rememeber the figure. Something like 22% sticks in my head, but I can't swear to it. I haven't worked in that area since 1995.
I am sure Defense Manpower Data Center actually has the statistics.
Posted by: Sean Bannion at August 17, 2011 05:13 AM (sbV1u)
I've been reading Steyn's new book(when I have the time) and I'm more convinced now that it's over for Europe.
We've all though that the reckoning was far into the horizon, but I think it's here now for Europe.
Posted by: Ben at August 17, 2011 05:14 AM (wuv1c)
Why do you view a 401(k) as an imposition? I can pretty much promise you that unless you're a complete dunderhead, you'll do a lot better with a 401(k) in retirement than you will with a crappy government pension. Equities may be a little flatter now than they were in the go-go years between 1965 and 1995, but they'll still return a lot better than whatever pissant rate you'll get from Uncle Sam.
Posted by: Monty at August 17, 2011 05:14 AM (/0a60)
Merkel and Sarkozy plan 'true economic government'
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at August 17, 2011 05:15 AM (9hSKh)
It wasn't a dig, I was excluding them because an officer's life is somewhat different from an E-man, and their motivations are often (I would say: usually) somewhat different.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) is tired beyond tired of the trolls at August 17, 2011 05:17 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at August 17, 2011 05:17 AM (jx2j9)
Equities may be a little flatter now than they were in the go-go years between 1965 and 1995, but they'll still return a lot better than whatever pissant rate you'll get from Uncle Sam.
The pensions are indexed for inflation. So are the disability checks.
Guys who do 4 deployments in 4 years are exactly in a position to manage their retirement portfolios.
Posted by: Sean Bannion at August 17, 2011 05:18 AM (sbV1u)
You on the other hand know wonder massiveoversimplications about how middle aged retirees just Leap into Wonderful Private Sector Jobs, right??
Let's go back to your original statement, shall we?
Yeah, there are SOME technical people that may not be true of... but some guy that spent 20 years with the artillery?
See that word? You indict the entire system based on a anecdote about your brother-in-law. Note that I did not say that it turns out well for everyone, but to suggest that the only skills available are "barking" is, in fact, a gross oversimplification. And if your brother-in-law didn't take advantage if in-serve education opportunities, whose fault is that?
But there again, I'm just an ex-enlisted Navy nuke, so what the hell do I know?
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at August 17, 2011 05:18 AM (B+qrE)
re : Seattle Green Jobs -
What a fucking joke.
The only jobs 'Green Initiatives and Matching Grants' create are for an investigator and a lawyer to prosecute the inevitable grift.
Posted by: garrett at August 17, 2011 05:18 AM (c+sPX)
Posted by: Captain Smith at August 17, 2011 05:18 AM (Pjih7)
Posted by: Joffen at August 17, 2011 09:15 AM (EPcuy)
Facts are giving great defense of Perry's remarks.
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at August 17, 2011 05:18 AM (jx2j9)
Perry did not use the "wrong words." It was a campaign speech to his base, and no hand-wringing is going to change the fact that you just use more heated rhetoric when speaking directly to your base than you do with independents.
Moreover, he wasn't calling Bernanke a traitor (as everyone seems to be characterizing it) he was saying that printing money for political (not policy) reasons would be "almost ... treasonous." A stance with which I absolutely agree.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) is tired beyond tired of the trolls at August 17, 2011 05:20 AM (8y9MW)
Oh, please. I was in the Army myself (Fort Benning School for Boys) and I still have lots of friends who have done tours in both Iraq and the 'Stan. Their main complaint? Boredom.
Military life, as I'm sure you know, is 95% complete fucking tedium and 5% pants-shitting terror. If you're telling me that a grunt can't find 15 minutes to get online and check his balances, I'm going to mock you mercilessly. If those kids can find two hours a day to play XBox in the E-shed after patrol, they can find time to manage their retirement account.
Posted by: Monty at August 17, 2011 05:21 AM (/0a60)
That's apples and oranges, Monty. The employment boom came because businesses were running more efficiently, not because 401ks were so appealing to workers. The DoD is still a government entity and as such we can expect any savings in the transition to be immediately squandered elsewhere, not the generation of a better product.
Posted by: Methos at August 17, 2011 05:22 AM (sOXQX)
monty, what do you think of this?
Posted by: curious at August 17, 2011 05:22 AM (k1rwm)
Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at August 17, 2011 08:47 AM (UTq/I)
Defined benefit is unworkable. This should be axiomatic.
Define a benefit, then fund it with a combination of contributions from employee and employer. Okay, then what? What happens if your assumptions are way off -- in either direction? to whom do you refund the gain or charge the loss? What happens if the market falls off a cliff (yes, I know -- that sounds impossible. Let's just count on a modest 8% growth rate). Who is on the hook for the defined benefit?
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at August 17, 2011 05:22 AM (LH6ir)
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at August 17, 2011 05:23 AM (jx2j9)
Posted by: Joffen at August 17, 2011 05:24 AM (EPcuy)
I wonder how damaging the baby boomers existence has been for this country.
I'm not bashing them, but their existence was such an outlier in American history that has warped peoples view of what is sustainable in terms of pensions, government programs/spending, taxes, etc.
Because they simply existed, the "greatest generation" could afford to lavish themselves with SS, Medicare, pensions, CBA's in the public sector, etc because there were multiple boomers to pay it off.
I think it's distorted the national psyche. Too many people point back to the 60s, 70s, 80s, and say "look it worked then, it'll work now", but it was able to work then because there were nearly 80 million boomers to support significantly less people from the previous generations.
People site previous decades as data points that big government spending and high taxes can work, but they tend to leave out the demographic data.
Posted by: Ben at August 17, 2011 05:24 AM (wuv1c)
Posted by: Monty at August 17, 2011 09:21 AM (/0a60)
Yes, because every FOB has 24/7 internet access, and ice cream, and dancing girls.
C'mon Monty, you've deployed you know the drill. "Boring" doesn't not ipso facto equate to "ability to actively manage my investments"
Posted by: Sean Bannion at August 17, 2011 05:24 AM (sbV1u)
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at August 17, 2011 05:25 AM (LH6ir)
Yes, because every FOB has 24/7 internet access, and ice cream, and dancing girls.
So does every boomer and fast attack on patrol, by the way.
Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at August 17, 2011 05:27 AM (B+qrE)
>>>>>Military life, as I'm sure you know, is 95% complete fucking tedium and 5% pants-shitting terror. If you're telling me that a grunt can't find 15 minutes to get online and check his balances, I'm going to mock you mercilessly. If those kids can find two hours a day to play XBox in the E-shed after patrol, they can find time to manage their retirement account.
If the military does phase out pensions, they should at least considering hiring advisors to offer free financial advice to soldiers. I don't think dumping a bunch of 18 year old kids into the stock market without any education on economics is a good idea.
I think getting rid of pensions is inevitable, but it would be a bad idea to simply throw them into the market unprepared.
Maybe offer basic economics classes to the soldiers, because I'd bet most of them are coming right out of highschool where they aren't taught jack shit about how the economy works or stocks work.
Posted by: Ben at August 17, 2011 05:27 AM (wuv1c)
True, but when my brother deployed, he had the option to assign someone as his agent (basic POA? I'm not sure). He had his wife do that, but if he hadn't been married he could have appointed someone else (our parents, for instance). You're not deployed the entire time you're in the military- and when you are deployed you have someone you trust take care of that for you.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) is tired beyond tired of the trolls at August 17, 2011 05:27 AM (8y9MW)
As soon as we have a decent jobs market again, the same deep thinkers will be wondering why we have problems with recruitment and retention, and A) All these crackpot ideas will be repealed and B) The illusory savings will mostly be eaten up by the need to pay bonuses.
P.S. The problem with use a business-model for compensation is that the military cannot follow a business-model for manning. One can go to Monster.com when one needs an accountant. One cannot do the same when one needs a CO of a ship or a chief to run CIC.
P.P.S. Check out what a New York City Firefighter makes after they've been on the job four years. Compare that to what a closed-loop nuke machinist's mate E-6 or E-7 makes after twenty.
P.P.P.S. Fair's got nothing to do with it. It should, but even restricting the argument simply to cost effectiveness, screwing your military personnel always blows up in your face. And that's what all these proposals are: screwing.
Posted by: A Balrog of Morgoth at August 17, 2011 05:27 AM (9CM5J)
Posted by: Monty at August 17, 2011 05:28 AM (/0a60)
Two excerpts from a newsletter for physicians
The Mayo clinic which already operates like an ACO, says it will not participate in the medicare ACO program because the requirements are to burdensome and the incentives to difficult to reach to make the effort pay off.
Along with that is the argument that ACO's allow the government to decree what health services are most effective (and least expensive) and that the government will eventually set out what doctors can and cannot provide for their individual patients.
Posted by: MarkC at August 17, 2011 05:28 AM (yPPVC)
If I knew how to post links, I could give you a link to a powerpoint explaining the new plan. Also, if I were to retire today at 20 year, at O-5, and then live for anouther 40 year, my current retirement is valued at 3.5 million. You forget, the retirement has COLA adjustments. A little more than a 500K 401k.
Posted by: lando034 at August 17, 2011 05:28 AM (6mCL8)
A how-to for getting un-DOOMed. Thought provoking to say the least.
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at August 17, 2011 05:28 AM (jx2j9)
I think I can agree with this statement.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) is tired beyond tired of the trolls at August 17, 2011 05:28 AM (8y9MW)
There are plenty of passively managed funds with trivial costs that are designed for long-term horizons. 40 year funds, 30 year funds, etc. This is an easily manageable issue.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at August 17, 2011 05:29 AM (LH6ir)
You don't have to be a frigging day trader, dude. You sign on to a couple of investment options, and then you check up a few times a year to see how you're doing. It takes a few hours per annum to "manage" an account.
Posted by: Monty at August 17, 2011 05:30 AM (/0a60)
Yes, because every FOB has 24/7 internet access, and ice cream, and dancing girls.
As a network admin at a shitty FOB (Sharana) I can tell you any established FOB has 24/7 MWR internet and phone. Also, many have NIPR access. And after some time, a group will all chip in and get a satellite connection. So even in the middle of nowhere, there is a very good possibility of internet access. Dancing girls, not so much.
Posted by: Cu'Chulainn at August 17, 2011 05:30 AM (oW269)
Posted by: 'Nam Grunt at August 17, 2011 05:30 AM (mmY9T)
But all of the dancing girls get pregnant halfway through the patrol.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at August 17, 2011 05:31 AM (LH6ir)
Yes, but I'm also suspecting that 12% (using my numbers, above) is rather more for an O-5 than my not-quite $7500.00 a year. Your numbers would, then, be correspondingly higher.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) is tired beyond tired of the trolls at August 17, 2011 05:31 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: Joffen at August 17, 2011 05:32 AM (EPcuy)
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) is tired beyond tired of the trolls at August 17, 2011 09:20 AM (8y9MW)
I'd also like to point out that the g-ddamn MFM is going to characterize every word out of Perry's mouth as the most incendiary thing to ever hit the political airwaves. It's absolutely ridiculous. Take, for example, this story lead from Reuters:
The White House denounced Republican presidential candidate Rick Perry on Tuesday for his threatening remarks toward the head of the U.S. Federal Reserve that represented some of the most inflammatory rhetoric of the 2012 election campaign.
Yes, because the irresponsible printing of money during this economic disaster isn't destructive to the country in the least. No no, not at all. Meanwhile, referring to Tea Party members as "jihadists" and "terrorists" and "hostage takers" is just fine, because they... want... I dunno, responsible government or something. Fascist douchebags!
Posted by: MWR, proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit at August 17, 2011 05:32 AM (4df7R)
Like CALPERS?
Posted by: Blue Falcon in Boston at August 17, 2011 05:35 AM (ijjAe)
Great... our country's economic policies are taken directly from Opus the Penguin: "Fibulate the Interest Rates. Renooberate the Money Markets. And Print More Dough.”
Posted by: Gregory of Yardale at August 17, 2011 05:35 AM (PLvLS)
Posted by: A Balrog of Morgoth at August 17, 2011 05:36 AM (9CM5J)
If theyÂ’re admitting 11, then the real number is probably ten times that. No telling how many people were murdered as this sick, corrupt scheme went down. If people donÂ’t go to jail over this, this country is way past saving, imo.
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at August 17, 2011 05:36 AM (jx2j9)
Try to follow the discussion. I know it's difficult, but with a little practice and a dictionary you should be able to understand.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at August 17, 2011 05:36 AM (LH6ir)
Posted by: jeanne at August 17, 2011 05:36 AM (1ADLq)
Honestly, it doesn't make much difference to me. If they make the change, I will get out shortly thereafter and do fine. Where you will be in trouble is keeping around the senior NCO's. They run our military, but generally are not setup well for a transition to the outside. They deploy... a lot. And most of their jobs do not transition well. Also, many of them are worn out by the 15 year mark or so and gutting it out to get their retirement. If you take that away, why would they say in the extra 8 to 10 years? THAT will break the back of our military.
Posted by: lando034 at August 17, 2011 05:37 AM (6mCL8)
Posted by: CoolCzech at August 17, 2011 05:37 AM (kUaEF)
Posted by: phoenixgirl at August 17, 2011 05:38 AM (eOXTH)
Posted by: Andy at August 17, 2011 05:38 AM (d20MQ)
No, because the defined benefit will have segued into a defined contribution plan. Why would the government have any interest in the 401(k)s of its citizens?
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at August 17, 2011 05:38 AM (LH6ir)
Which has what, exactly, to do with military retirement? Or any retirement, for that matter: even some company that will pay you 100% of your final salary for life after 20 years doesn't owe you a penny if they decide you suck (or are too expensive) and fire you before that.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) is tired beyond tired of the trolls at August 17, 2011 05:38 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: curious at August 17, 2011 05:38 AM (k1rwm)
But, quelle surprise, Yglesias is a fucking idiot.
Bastiat wrote in the mid-1800s.
But France had a disastrous paper-money inflation period immediately following the Revolution. That was in the late 1700s and early 1800s.
So, France had already experienced its job-destroying, unemployment-boosting fiat money paper-printing orgy more than 50 years before Bastiat wrote his essays on the pitfalls of fiat money paper-printing orgies. See: http://tinyurl.com/4ynz6re.
Ergo, Matthew Yglesias is a Krugman-fellating cockwaffle. QED.
Posted by: Phinn at August 17, 2011 05:40 AM (5yZsp)
Maybe a good way to solve financial problems in the military would be by reinstituting pillaging.
Posted by: Ben at August 17, 2011 05:40 AM (wuv1c)
You have impugned the integrity of my father, who served honorably, at great risk to himself, in Frankfurt and Paris in 1953-55.
Pistols at dawn.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at August 17, 2011 05:41 AM (LH6ir)
Our First Sergeant worked as a loan officer in his civvie job. I'm betting that there are lots of guys in the military with a financial background who'd be happy to help their grunts manage their retirement accounts.
I know that. There are a lot of military folks who have little side talents like that. It does not, however, extend to everyone in all places, at every time. And that's the problem.
Oh, and I can just see a 20 year-old specialist sitting in his umpteenth "madatory" portfolio management class on a Saturday morning as a Staff Sergeant who has no idea what he's doing actually reads the PowerPoint slides to him.
Yes, yes, I'm sure those portfolios will be going gangbusters in no time.
Posted by: Sean Bannion at August 17, 2011 05:41 AM (sbV1u)
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at August 17, 2011 09:23 AM (jx2j9)
I stand by my position that every elected Washington official, and any appointees of the Executive branch, should be taxed at 95% of their income. And since public employees are paid with public funds, that means that the 95% of legislative and executive employee salaries that are taxed are actually tax CUTS for everyone else, because that's money Washington never needs to put in its coffers.
Also, I think every elected official (except the President and VP) should spend 50-75% of their time in office in their home district. Senators and Representatives alike. We've got this thing now called web conferencing. Use that to hold your fillibustering sessions and floor debates. Congress could convene once every quarter. Elected officials from states within a 300 mile radius of DC would only be allowed to travel by land transport to return to the city (car, bus, tank, whatever), while those living beyond three hundred miles could use air transportation, flying coach. They can pick up the bill for the remainder if they choose to upgrade and fly business class, first class, or via private jet.
If you're a politician, you should be doing it because you're passionate about it. Not because you get a six figure salary and a cherry benefits package. Like I always say, politics is where the drama queens go who are too ugly to make it in Hollywood.
Posted by: MWR, proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit at August 17, 2011 05:42 AM (4df7R)
Subtle. I'm impressed.
I can't speak for Monty, but I'm not suggesting that moving from a defined benefit to a defined contribution plan is a net positive (or at least, necessarily a net positive) for our troops. I don't expect them to like it very much. I'm just on the side that says "We're spending too much. Among all those other things (ObamaCare, SS, Medicare, Medicaid, foreign aid, etc.) that need to be cut are military expenses. One way to do that, and still allow our troops to have a possibility at a decent retirement, is to move to a defined contribution retirement benefit."
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) is tired beyond tired of the trolls at August 17, 2011 05:42 AM (8y9MW)
This isnÂ’t the only time shit like this has happened. Really, unions need to be seriously curtailed. Under this president, they are way too enabled.
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at August 17, 2011 05:42 AM (jx2j9)
Really now, what is the fun in that?
Posted by: sTevo at August 17, 2011 05:42 AM (AhWlG)
But this was her point of view. She has had to take two pay cuts to keep her job.
Does she have nice tits?
Would she like to make a Jackson the hard way?
Posted by: garrett at August 17, 2011 05:43 AM (c+sPX)
Posted by: Barky the Orator at August 17, 2011 05:43 AM (/ZZCn)
>>>.Yes, yes, I'm sure those portfolios will be going gangbusters in no time.
What they should do is buy a ton of stock in Ratheon, Boeing and other military stocks.
Then they should waste ammo, arty shells, missles and bombs like crazy so that the military has to continually restock their weapons, which in turn means big profits for those aforementioned defense stocks
Posted by: Ben at August 17, 2011 05:44 AM (wuv1c)
Yes, but I'm also suspecting that 12% (using my numbers, above) is rather more for an O-5 than my not-quite $7500.00 a year. Your numbers would, then, be correspondingly higher.
Total compensation, yes, but pay, only a little more. That is also assuming that is how much someone is making the entire time, instead of the last five or six years. Also, the retirement being offered is the Thrift Savings Plan, ran by the federal government. It hasnÂ’t been doing so wellÂ… sense conception.
Posted by: lando034 at August 17, 2011 05:44 AM (6mCL8)
Which has what, exactly, to do with military retirement? Or any retirement, for that matter: even some company that will pay you 100% of your final salary for life after 20 years doesn't owe you a penny if they decide you suck (or are too expensive) and fire you before that.
Allen, that's true but in many cases in the private sector you're vested at some point. Usually 5 years. So, if you leave at year 7, no, you don't get the gold plated pacakge, but you get something.
There is no vesting equivalent for military pensions. You do 20 or you get nothing.
Posted by: Sean Bannion at August 17, 2011 05:44 AM (sbV1u)
I never understood what was great about paying another layer of management to protect oneself from "management".
Posted by: Blue Falcon in Boston at August 17, 2011 05:45 AM (ijjAe)
Posted by: Ben at August 17, 2011 09:44 AM (wuv1c)
Ben, that did make me laugh
1 - Buy Raytheon stock
2- Shoot off Tomahawk missiles indiscrimatately
3 - Profit! Court-martial!
Posted by: Sean Bannion at August 17, 2011 05:46 AM (sbV1u)
http://tinyurl.com/3h9lxcv
Posted by: Hedgehog at August 17, 2011 05:46 AM (Rn2kl)
Posted by: Empire of Jeff at August 17, 2011 05:47 AM (lbo6/)
Near the end of the article he points out that the entire US is under Martial Law and has been since the end of the civil war. Most people think that the state of Martial Law ended when the federal troops of occupation were withdrawn after the civil war - but there was no official proclamation issued to rescind the state of Martial Law. Those troops were simply replaced by "peace officers" and the state of Martial Law continued.
The judge points out that every state in the union has a statute defining the term "peace officer" and that the legal definition is: "The military police of the state". That is why the police wear uniforms and have military ranks like sergeant or captain. The fact that the US continues under martial law is why cities are legally able to issue curfews; neither common law nor civil law allows them to do so - but a state of Martial Law does.
Martial Law effectively suspends constitutional rule and institutes The Commander in Chief of the Armed Forces as the effective military ruler of the country.
The state of Martial Law is also what allows the Federal Reserve to issue fiat money; Federal Reserve notes are in effect Military Script issued in place of the coin of the realm.
And you only thought we were DOOMED.
Posted by: An Observation at August 17, 2011 05:47 AM (ylhEn)
Half of base pay ain't all that much, for an enlisted man, and when you get out on the cusp of 40 you find yourself middle aged and inexperienced in pretty much everything except yelling at privates to buff the floor in the barracks. You need that retirement money just to tide you over until you establish yourself in a new career.
I have a patient who retired from the miltary in 20 years as a captain. He took a full time job with GM and enlisted in the Indiana National Guard. In his only service he was called up for Desert Storm. He retired from the Guard (same rank). GM was downsizing and "bought him out", then hired him back from a leasing company at the same salary without benefits (he kept the benefits from their buyout package). When GM finally folded, he was again retired.
The man has a full Military pension, a National Guard pension, a GM buyout pension, and a leasing company pension. He's makeing more money in pension benefits than he's ever earned in his life. He's 62 and just took a job as an administrator in a trucking co. His biggest complaint: "Do you have any idea what I have to pay in taxes on all of that???"
Posted by: MrObvious at August 17, 2011 05:47 AM (2uovW)
Posted by: CoolCzech at August 17, 2011 05:47 AM (kUaEF)
I never claimed to know the specifics of this plan. It may truly suck; if so, it should be circular-filed forthwith. I'm just saying that a 401(k) type plan is not actually inherently evil.
Posted by: Sean Bannion at August 17, 2011 09:44 AM (sbV1u)
That's more-or-less true. The only place I ever worked with an actual retirement pension package, though, specified that you forfeited your vesting if you got fired for cause. So, even in those companies, it's not a 100% thing.
My main point was that people who aren't going to use the retirement benefit anyway don't really have a particular dog in this hunt.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) is tired beyond tired of the trolls at August 17, 2011 05:47 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: Blue Falcon in Boston at August 17, 2011 09:45 AM (ijjAe)
I think I read a comment, either on this blog or a similar one, that essentially said: "If you work indoors, you don't need a union." I more or less agree with that, though I'd refine it to say, "If you work 85% of the time in an office setting, you don't a frelling union. And if you're a public employee, you don't need a union, period."
Posted by: MWR, proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit at August 17, 2011 05:48 AM (4df7R)
And I wish everyone, from that stuttering clusterfuck of a miserable failure to deep-fried conservative politicians, would take the military out of their damned mouths.
I believe people who go into the military and serve honorably (as opposed to the friggin' Muzzie turncoat type), a voluntary act that gives them too great a chance to get killed or, at best, maimed, deserve everything a grateful -- and protected -- country can do for them.
If giving them modest (by some standards) pensions means gutting the benefits of fat-assed layabouts (Congress), traitors (the current president) and deskbound cretins (most government "workers"), so be it, and a big boo-hoo to those clueless wimps who have been skating along for years and are trying to hurt the military to cover up their own fuckups.
Does a lot of military funding need to be reformed to banish waste, greed and stupidity? Damn right it does. Do our soliders, sailors and airmen have to take it in the shorts so Osama Obama can have his million-dollar Block Bus? HELL NO!!!
Posted by: MrScribbler at August 17, 2011 05:48 AM (YjjrR)
I actually agree that moving to a defined contribution plan is the financially prudent move, and one that is not without some risk.
The military is filled with men (insert obligatory reference to chicks who serve) who serve honorably and with great distinction. It should not be sacrosanct however.
Oh, by the way, Obama is a stuttering clusterfuck of a miserable failure.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at August 17, 2011 05:48 AM (LH6ir)
Posted by: CoolCzech at August 17, 2011 05:49 AM (kUaEF)
Posted by: nickless at August 17, 2011 05:50 AM (MMC8r)
Posted by: CoolCzech at August 17, 2011 05:51 AM (kUaEF)
But the MFM, much like the Honey Badger, don't care.
Posted by: Gregory of Yardale at August 17, 2011 05:51 AM (PLvLS)
Yeah, maybe do some of those things first? We already have a decent retirement, and if that decent retirement is the straw that breaks the nation's financial back, we may as well not even fucking bothering having a military. Since we obviously cannot afford it. Better to just go back to the cadre model we used to follow and just suck it up when the first six months of next war are a total clusterfuck, I guess.
I'm sorry, but the prospect of a nice 401k, maybe, when I'm 68 is not much of a motivator to sign on for another six years of being gone all the goddamned time.
Posted by: A Balrog of Morgoth at August 17, 2011 05:52 AM (9CM5J)
Posted by: curious at August 17, 2011 05:54 AM (k1rwm)
Posted by: F--- Nevada! (I'm AoSHQ's DarkLord©, and I approve this message) at August 17, 2011 05:54 AM (GBXon)
Posted by: Blue Falcon in Boston at August 17, 2011 05:54 AM (ijjAe)
Posted by: CoolCzech at August 17, 2011 05:54 AM (kUaEF)
Try to follow the discussion. I know it's difficult, but with a little practice and a dictionary you should be able to understand.
Coming directly from one of the vanguard of the "Don't Know How To Quote Properly" club.
Heh. And heh again.
Posted by: Additional Blond Agent at August 17, 2011 05:54 AM (uehxp)
Of course!
My dad had orders for Korea when the police action ended. They sent him to Frankfurt instead, where he learned to drink good beer and curse in German. Then they sent him to Paris, where he served on a four-service post, ate good food, banged hot chicks and perfected his French. But he made PFC after 18 months! His Sgt's comment was, "don't let the power go to your head."
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at August 17, 2011 05:55 AM (LH6ir)
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) is tired beyond tired of the trolls at August 17, 2011 05:56 AM (8y9MW)
And it took me only two months--two months!--to conclude that America's best hope for sane technocratic governance required the elimination of the Republican Party from our political system as rapidly as possible.
You know, I'm really really getting sick of people wishing that I didn't exist. Also, I want to know how this isn't a direct threat against me. I'm very serious about this, this is literally eliminationist rhetoric. Why should I presume that it is meant metaphorically or hyperbolically?
Posted by: alexthechick at August 17, 2011 05:56 AM (VtjlW)
I thought you were going to post those pictures? Where's the link?
Posted by: Typical perverted moron at August 17, 2011 05:56 AM (LH6ir)
I'm sorry, but the prospect of a nice 401k, maybe, when I'm 68 is not much of a motivator to sign on for another six years of being gone all the goddamned time
Thank you. Spot. Fucking. On.
That's the point.
Sure, we'll save money. But one of the few Constitutionally mandated functions of the Federal government will be gutted - or at the very least - well damaged.
I don't recall a phrase in the Constitution along the lines of "Congress shall have the power to raise a health care program and levy taxes for its execution." But I could have just skipped over that part. It was college and all and I was probably drunk.
Go ahead, cut SS, Medicare, and everything else. If it still doesn't balance the books, then hit up the military. Because if it comes to that, we're boned whether we have a military or not.
Posted by: Sean Bannion at August 17, 2011 05:57 AM (sbV1u)
Additionally, if trapped in a RIF (reduction in force) in which the rules have been changed through the years, the person would leave with 401 and not just the dislocation allowance.
Therefore, I would predict a large turnover in personnel, and especially in the Combat Arms where the skill sets are not readily transferable.
Posted by: Fish the Impaler
This isn't a bad idea, especially if the plan is portable after EOS, and has tax advantages.
My other thought is that if this can be considered by our betters for the m,ilitary, then we can certainly apply it to SS. My take on our debt issue is that if we treat entitlement beneficiaries half as badly as we do the military, then we can reduce our debt.
Posted by: Blue Hen at August 17, 2011 05:57 AM (6rX0K)
I've seen another proposal for retaining the defined benefits plan, having it kick in at age 68, but vesting on a pro-rated basis pretty early.
Posted by: A Balrog of Morgoth at August 17, 2011 05:57 AM (9CM5J)
Posted by: phoenixgirl at August 17, 2011 05:58 AM (eOXTH)
How awesome would it be for a conservative (Trump isn't really one, but that's okay) to go on TV and say, "Barack Obama is a stuttering clusterf*ck of a miserable failure."
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) is tired beyond tired of the trolls at August 17, 2011 05:58 AM (8y9MW)
Oh, please explain the finer points of the rules regarding quotations. Will you be reading from the AOSHQ style book?
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at August 17, 2011 05:58 AM (LH6ir)
Posted by: Errol at August 17, 2011 05:58 AM (d2AYO)
Posted by: Waterhouse at August 17, 2011 05:59 AM (Ya0IT)
Posted by: CoolCzech at August 17, 2011 06:00 AM (kUaEF)
Posted by: Lemon Kitten at August 17, 2011 06:00 AM (0fzsA)
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) is tired beyond tired of the trolls at August 17, 2011 06:00 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: phoenixgirl
I think you're doing it wrong. Try more lotion.
Posted by: Blue Hen at August 17, 2011 06:00 AM (6rX0K)
After reading the Seattle green jobs story, I have only three questions - what the fuck are "social justice", "economic justice", and "social equity"?
Code words for "I'm taking more of your money"
Posted by: Sean Bannion at August 17, 2011 06:01 AM (sbV1u)
Posted by: Blue Falcon in Boston at August 17, 2011 06:01 AM (ijjAe)
After reading the Seattle green jobs story, I have only three questions - what the fuck are "social justice", "economic justice", and "social equity"?
MOAR FAIR
Posted by: 2 x 4 answer generator at August 17, 2011 06:01 AM (c+sPX)
Posted by: Oldsailor's poet at August 17, 2011 06:01 AM (ZDUD4)
Just in case anyone was in any doubt, our Administration is in the process of throwing another ally under the bus.
U.S. sale of fighter jets to Taiwan unlikely - sources
(Reuters) - A U.S. sale of 66 new Lockheed Martin F-16 C/D fighter jets to Taiwan appears unlikely to go through, people familiar with the matter said on Monday, although they cautioned that no final decision has been reached.
Taiwan has repeatedly asked Washington to agree to sell it the advanced F-16 fighter jets, citing the need to counter the growing military strength of China, which views the island as a breakaway province.
China cut off ties with the U.S. military for most of last year to protest an American arms package for Taiwan. While other deals were possible, sources following the issue said they believed Washington would probably opt against the sale of new F-16s.
"If the Obama administration goes this way, as expected, then it's a political decision," said Rupert Hammond-Chambers, president of the U.S.-Taiwan Business Council, which supports the sale of new fighter jets to Taiwan...
More at the Reuters link. H/T Weasel Zippers.
Posted by: MWR, proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit at August 17, 2011 06:01 AM (4df7R)
Posted by: Blue Falcon in Boston at August 17, 2011 06:02 AM (ijjAe)
Code words for "I'm taking more of your money"
Posted by: Sean Bannion at August 17, 2011 10:01 AM (sbV1u)
And giving it to people who hate you.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at August 17, 2011 06:02 AM (LH6ir)
Posted by: Oldsailor's poet at August 17, 2011 06:02 AM (ZDUD4)
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at August 17, 2011 10:02 AM (LH6ir)
Or people who have an abundance of melanin.
Posted by: Sean Bannion at August 17, 2011 06:03 AM (sbV1u)
We, and this country may be DOOMed, but we, because of what is being done on our behalf, are f—ked. And here is one small reason why. Why would they have to hide this?
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at August 17, 2011 06:04 AM (jx2j9)
National Labor Relations Board.... ask Boeing
Posted by: The Robot Devil at August 17, 2011 06:04 AM (136wp)
Obama has done a very good job in that respect. It's becoming the same thing.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at August 17, 2011 06:05 AM (LH6ir)
Way awesome.
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at August 17, 2011 06:05 AM (jx2j9)
Why would they have to hide this?
Posted by: Hussein the Plumber at August 17, 2011 10:04 AM (jx2j9)
To ask the question is to answer it.
Snatch the pebble from my hand, Grasshopper.
Posted by: The Sound of One Hand Clapping at August 17, 2011 06:05 AM (sbV1u)
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at August 17, 2011 10:02 AM (LH6ir)
Or people who have an abundance of melanin.
Posted by: Sean Bannion at August 17, 2011 10:03 AM (sbV1u)
But you repeat yourself (at least in Philly...)
Posted by: MWR, proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit at August 17, 2011 06:06 AM (4df7R)
I was always taught that there's a vast difference between hating what a person does and hating the person. It seems to me, Perry stayed on the correct side of that line. He didn't call Bernanke a traitor (or a terrorist!), he said those actions would be traitorous.
Posted by: Y-not at August 17, 2011 06:06 AM (5H6zj)
Posted by: MWR, proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit at August 17, 2011 10:01 AM (4df7R)
Bet the Chi-Coms upped their time-table for taking Taiwan, especially as the Party Leadership (the more sane ones) see the crash coming.
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at August 17, 2011 06:06 AM (9hSKh)
Like I've said- if this specific proposal sucks, then this specific proposal sucks.
However, I'm willing to bet that a (fairly generous) plan would balance the books fairly easily. Highlights of such a plan might be:
1) 1 : 1 dollar matching to 3% of salary 1 : 2 dollar matching for the next 3 % (that is, if I put in 6%, the govt chips in 4.5% for a total of 10.5% of my salary going into a 401(k)- not fantastic, but better than average, now).
2) Instant vesting of interest, fully vested on employer (govt) contribution after 5 years
3) No age limit on withdrawals- subject to Federal Law (I think there are laws about how 401(k)s can be accessed).
4) Full portable (subject to vesting rules, above).
Now, that's not a perfect plan, but it's more generous than many businesses offer, now. Further, it would be able to bridge that "gap" between ending your service and gaining a more marketable skill, if necessary.
Especially over 20 years, it just doesn't take that much to fund a livable retirement- if you'll actually do it.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) is tired beyond tired of the trolls at August 17, 2011 06:06 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: Marcus at August 17, 2011 06:06 AM (CHrmZ)
Posted by: King Malik Shabazz, Keeper of the 40 at August 17, 2011 06:07 AM (sbV1u)
I hope they lose their shirts, and not just because I hate unions. They backed up traffic last week on Rte. 17 for miles. Fucking cocksuckers. Do they think that delaying me is going to make me more disposed to supporting their outrageous demands for more pay, fluffers at every break, and nine weeks of vacation?
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at August 17, 2011 06:07 AM (LH6ir)
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at August 17, 2011 09:48 AM (LH6ir)
Again, what you are overlooking is this would amount to an 18-25% pay cut, more closer you are to retirement. Would you stay at your job if your pay was cut by this amount? I stay in the military because I am proud of and like what I do, but being out of the US 7 of the last 8 years, currently sitting on my sixth deployment (this one ten months), staring down the barrel of a 13 month IA six months after returning to homeport, and not really getting to see my daughter until she turns three, makes the other side of the fence look pretty green. Go ahead; cut my compensation by a quarter. Just be prepared to pay out the ass in a few years to retain the few who remain. People who CAN do my job donÂ’t just come off the street. The Navy has spent 12 years and millions of dollars training and developing me and my peers. Also, in my case, what I have done IS transferable to the outside. What really pisses me off is what this means for those senior NCOÂ’s who work for me. The estimated savings is 254.1 billion over 20 years, or 2% of the current military budget over the same time period. We canÂ’t find this somewhere else? Not worth gutting the experience in the military. This policy is extremely short sighted.
Posted by: lando034 at August 17, 2011 06:07 AM (6mCL8)
Posted by: Empire of Jeff at August 17, 2011 06:08 AM (lbo6/)
Politically sanctioned extortion from productive citizens by unproductive grievance mongering groups.
If you're a life long multi-generational welfare recipient apparently you're disadvantaged and get to shake down hardworking people for even more money, especially if you live in an urban area. Especially if Democrats are in charge.
Posted by: Blue Falcon in Boston at August 17, 2011 06:08 AM (ijjAe)
It must be the end times, look what is happening in NJ:
New Jersey registered voters are split on what they think of Christie, with 47 percent approving and 46 percent disapproving. ThatÂ’s slightly better for Christie than a June Quinnipiac poll, when 44 percent approved and 47 percent disapproved.
Obama’s approval ratings have suffered, with 52 percent of voters disapproving and 44 percent approving — down from a positive 50 percent to 46 percent in June.
Posted by: The Robot Devil at August 17, 2011 06:08 AM (136wp)
Now, that's not a perfect plan, but it's more generous than many businesses offer, now.
I think where you and I part ways is in your phrase above.
The military isn't just another "business." That's why I argue there is a moral dimension here that is not found in other areas of government.
However, I stipulate that when national security is contracted out to Blackwater (or whatever they call themelves these days) your plan makes perfect sense.
Posted by: Sean Bannion at August 17, 2011 06:09 AM (sbV1u)
Posted by: Blue Falcon in Boston at August 17, 2011 10:02 AM (ijjAe)
"He who determines the definitions decides the debate."
One of my dickhead liberal college professors liked to say that, and of course he was absolutely correct. I just happened to know that he was a liberal dickhead and that HE wanted HIS definitions to decide the debate. Sadly, many of my mush-brained fellow classmates were perfectly happy to allow that to go unchallenged. But then, these were the same mush-brained fellow classmates who were too stupid to understand the basic premise that "correlation does not equal causality." The amount of times we got tested on that simple, basic, easy premise because everyone else in the damn class kept failing was unreal.
Posted by: MWR, proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit at August 17, 2011 06:09 AM (4df7R)
Posted by: CoolCzech at August 17, 2011 06:10 AM (kUaEF)
I assumed the "polish" was in reference to knobs, rather than an Eastern European country.
Posted by: Waterhouse at August 17, 2011 06:10 AM (Ya0IT)
I hope they lose their shirts, and not just because I hate unions. They backed up traffic last week on Rte. 17 for miles. Fucking cocksuckers. Do they think that delaying me is going to make me more disposed to supporting their outrageous demands for more pay, fluffers at every break, and nine weeks of vacation?
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at August 17, 2011 10:07 AM (LH6ir)
Yep, try to get any work done in a Central Office controlled by these jerks and it's like going to Emperor.
Posted by: The Robot Devil at August 17, 2011 06:10 AM (136wp)
Posted by: Katie Couric's Boyfriend at August 17, 2011 06:11 AM (kUaEF)
Bet the Chi-Coms upped their time-table for taking Taiwan, especially as the Party Leadership (the more sane ones) see the crash coming.
Posted by: Kratos (Ghost of Sparta) at August 17, 2011 10:06 AM (9hSKh)
And we must bend our knee to the wishes of our Chinese overlords.
Posted by: MWR, proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit at August 17, 2011 06:11 AM (4df7R)
I'm sure you're familiar with kielbasa.
How would you feel about some Cajun sausage?
Posted by: Empire of Jeff at August 17, 2011 10:08 AM (lbo6/)
What's the matter did the local Applebee's have to close?
Posted by: The Robot Devil at August 17, 2011 06:12 AM (136wp)
Posted by: Waterhouse at August 17, 2011 10:10 AM (Ya0IT)
No, it's the country.
Although we like how you think. You're a true Moron.
Posted by: Sean Bannion at August 17, 2011 06:12 AM (sbV1u)
Posted by: Johnny at August 17, 2011 06:13 AM (nRTou)
I'm not discounting that, I just think that "moral dimension" is a very, very slippery slope to go down- especially when we're staring DOOM! in the face.
Also, I probably wouldn't do anything like this for anyone who is already in the military. It would be a strictly "going-forward" thing. Unlike what I'd do to SS (which would be phased in), because there's just no good, just (note that I didn't say "fair") way to make those changes for anyone who is already in the military.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) is tired beyond tired of the trolls at August 17, 2011 06:13 AM (8y9MW)
Listen, if people want to post pictures of Obama, they can. It's a free country...
Posted by: The Robot Devil at August 17, 2011 06:13 AM (136wp)
...note that I didn't say "fair"
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) is tired beyond tired of the trolls at August 17, 2011 10:13 AM (8y9MW)
About the only thing I remember from high school is my American History teacher saying (in response to some jackhole), "You won't faind the word 'fair' anywhere in the U.S. Constitution. Go ahead look for it, I'll wait."
Posted by: Sean Bannion at August 17, 2011 06:16 AM (sbV1u)
Posted by: Jean at August 17, 2011 06:17 AM (WkuV6)
New Jersey registered voters are split on what they think of Christie, with 47 percent approving and 46 percent disapproving. ThatÂ’s slightly better for Christie than a June Quinnipiac poll, when 44 percent approved and 47 percent disapproved.
Obama’s approval ratings have suffered, with 52 percent of voters disapproving and 44 percent approving — down from a positive 50 percent to 46 percent in June.
So were like a purple state now or something ? Who would have thought all it would have taken was a stuttering clusterfuck of a miserable failure to pull that one off ?
Posted by: Cu'Chulainn at August 17, 2011 06:17 AM (oW269)
Odumbass- Watch your mouth you mean man, sob.
Posted by: 'Nam Grunt at August 17, 2011 06:17 AM (mmY9T)
Posted by: Empire of Jeff at August 17, 2011 06:17 AM (lbo6/)
Posted by: Oldsailor's poet at August 17, 2011 06:17 AM (ZDUD4)
Bet the Chi-Coms upped their time-table for taking Taiwan, especially as the Party Leadership (the more sane ones) see the crash coming.
Meh, if they forgive out debt....is Taiwan worth 2-3 trillion dollars to us?
Or if they invade Taiwan, it would give us a convenient excuse to declare all debt held by china to be null and void
Posted by: Ben at August 17, 2011 06:19 AM (wuv1c)
monty, what do you think of this?
I'm not sure. Gold sure doesn't seem like it's in a bubble -- its appreciation is not a spike as it would be in a bubble, but a slow, steady rise. I think it's overbought, but that doesn't mean it's in a bubble. It may correct back down to, say, $1600 or so; but it's going to trend higher, not lower, until we get our financial house in order.
Which is my way of saying: you gots to take your chances. Going long gold is a way of going short the USD, and I'm all for shorting the USD until someone in the government starts getting a fucking clue.
Posted by: Monty at August 17, 2011 06:20 AM (/0a60)
Yeah I buy all my meat (chicken, pork and beef) from this guys butcher shop and it's 3 generations of his family that owns it, even his youngest son has a shrimp boat where I buy all my shrimp, very inexpensive too.
Posted by: 'Nam Grunt at August 17, 2011 06:20 AM (mmY9T)
You make a ridiculous assumption; that moving from defined benefit to defined contribution will automatically decrease your benefits by " 18-25%." I have no idea where this number is coming from, but it makes no sense.
Making military pensions market driven just makes financial sense. Nobody is suggesting that we immediately gut the pension program. Move to defined contribution over a generation. That will be painless.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at August 17, 2011 06:23 AM (LH6ir)
Have I ever mentioned that I'm quite jealous of your culinary options?
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) is tired beyond tired of the trolls at August 17, 2011 06:23 AM (8y9MW)
monty, what do you think of this?
I'm not sure. Gold sure doesn't seem like it's in a bubble -- its appreciation is not a spike as it would be in a bubble, but a slow, steady rise. I think it's overbought, but that doesn't mean it's in a bubble. It may correct back down to, say, $1600 or so; but it's going to trend higher, not lower, until we get our financial house in order.
Which is my way of saying: you gots to take your chances. Going long gold is a way of going short the USD, and I'm all for shorting the USD until someone in the government starts getting a fucking clue.
Posted by: Monty at August 17, 2011 10:20 AM (/0a60)
One additional note. Gold prices have climb exponentially in the last month. Have to be careful about that. Also, it's become uncoupled from silver prices. Makes one wonder if silver is a forewarning for gold.
Posted by: The Robot Devil at August 17, 2011 06:23 AM (136wp)
One of the few things I like about South Louisiana is that you can find better sausage, boudin and andouille in just about any gas station than you can in gourmet butcher shops up north.
Tasso Ham.
Why can't you find it anywhere but the bayou?
Posted by: garrett at August 17, 2011 06:25 AM (c+sPX)
I predicted the RINOs from MI would sell us out on that Supershit Committee
Too bad I canÂ’t place a flaming skull in the comment box
Article goes bla bla blaÂ…..and then
Upton, a moderate Republican, also said "tax reform is long overdue," adding that while he doesn't think raising taxes on businesses will help with job growth, he would be open to closing loopholes.
Keep in mind what the Pelosi commies consider loopholes. Be advised that when they talk about “tax reform” what they actually mean is raising taxes. And yes, if you eliminate the deduction for home mortgages and then start taxing employer provided health insurance as income you are, in fact, raising the damn tax rates on nearly every “working American”.
Since you "asked" me, Vic, the baseline means that they still can't raise rates. They can close loopholes, though, which I have always said. Also, Chairman Camp means flatter rates when they talk about tax reform, which he usually mention first. Not as sure about Chairman Upton, though, since they don't quote more of his remarks and I'd have to listen to the entirety of is remarks. But it still remains unlikely that a grand bargain will result from this. These committees rarely achieve anything significant and a sequestration so easily overridden shouldn't really make that much of an impact.
Posted by: Miss80sBaby at August 17, 2011 06:26 AM (o2lIv)
Whereabouts is "up here," for you? There are a few great places in my neck of the woods.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at August 17, 2011 06:26 AM (LH6ir)
I'm one of those NCOs you mentioned, and my skillset is sort of transferable..if I wanted to be a merchant mariner and...stay gone all the damned time. That pays pretty well, but the ensuing divorce would probably eat up the difference-anyways, that's my problem, not yours.
In any event, there is something all of you are overlooking: None of this shit happens to anyone currently in the service. It applies only to those who sign on after the changes are enacted. You green eyeshades types are gonna have to wait twenty fucking years before you see dime one of your projected savings. You'll be paying the increased costs for recruiting and retention (i.e., big fucking bonuses, which are great if you are deployed in a tax-free zone) tomorrow. Does this still sound like a good deal, or is this maybe another case of fucking up one of the few government programs that works pretty well and actually does something worth doing?
And what are the odds this is anything more than a circle jerk? Ever hear of REDUX? How many servicemembers actually retired under that plan? Not that many, and the those that did got a pot of money up front at their 15 year point-thanks to subsequent changes made to the original plan.
P.S. You will not be getting back that money you spent on recruiting and retention.
Posted by: A Balrog of Morgoth at August 17, 2011 06:28 AM (9CM5J)
That's good stuff. One of the few things I like about South Louisiana is that you can find better sausage, boudin and andouille in just about any gas station than you can in gourmet butcher shops up north.
Gonna have to make my own if I want some up here.
Posted by: Empire of Jeff
Is there any place down there that would ship?
Posted by: Blue Hen at August 17, 2011 06:30 AM (6rX0K)
Posted by: Empire of Jeff at August 17, 2011 06:32 AM (lbo6/)
Posted by: Empire of Jeff at August 17, 2011 06:35 AM (lbo6/)
Posted by: Oldsailor's poet at August 17, 2011 06:36 AM (ZDUD4)
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at August 17, 2011 10:23 AM (LH6ir)
Um, that's exactly what we are suggesting. And, contrary to your blithe assertions, it will not be painless. Throw in the proposed changes to Tricare and the commissary, and tell me again why I should stick around past my first enlistment when I can get out and use my G.I. Bill? Tell me again why I should choose a rate (that the the Navy needs, btw) that does not offer the immediate prospect of moving into a civilian job with the same skill set. Tell me why I should volunteer for that extra sea duty assignment when I am up for shore duty.
Keep adding perverse incentives to the system and see where you are in twenty years. It will not be so painless as you might suppose.
Posted by: A Balrog of Morgoth at August 17, 2011 06:38 AM (9CM5J)
Posted by: polynikes at August 17, 2011 06:38 AM (r8Vu0)
Posted by: FRONT TOWARD LEFT at August 17, 2011 06:39 AM (cbyrC)
Posted by: CoolCzech at August 17, 2011 06:39 AM (kUaEF)
Posted by: Oldsailor's poet at August 17, 2011 06:39 AM (ZDUD4)
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at August 17, 2011 10:23 AM (LH6ir)
It is at least worth 18-25% of your total compensation if you retire after 20 years. It is fifty percent of the average of your highest three years, paid until you die. If you retire at 40 and then live into your eighties, factor in COLA increases, and the total payout is a large chunk of money. Why do you think they want to get rid of it? Just to piss people off?
Posted by: lando034 at August 17, 2011 06:40 AM (6mCL8)
Posted by: polynikes at August 17, 2011 06:41 AM (r8Vu0)
You should have linked to the WSJ article: Warren Buffet's Tax Dodge.
Barney Kilgore, the man who made the Wall Street Journal into a national publication, was once asked why so many rich people favored higher taxes. That's easy, he replied. They already have their money.
That insight is worth recalling amid the latest political duet from President Obama and Warren Buffett demanding higher taxes on "millionaires and billionaires." Mr. Buffett is repeating his now familiar argument this week, coinciding with Mr. Obama's Midwestern road trip on the economy. Since the media are treating Mr. Buffett as a tax oracle, let's take a closer look at some of the billionaire's intellectual tax dodges.
I don't know if it's behind the paywall, but I can post the entire article if anyone wants.
Posted by: Johnny at August 17, 2011 06:43 AM (nRTou)
Posted by: polynikes at August 17, 2011 06:44 AM (r8Vu0)
Oh, please explain the finer points of the rules regarding quotations. Will you be reading from the AOSHQ style book?
Alrighty, fully caffeinated, ready for work, etc. It's going to be a bright and glorious day.
That said, let's peel the layers of this onion back carefully and we'll assume from the beginning that perhaps I'm doing something wrong (unaware of a feature) or both my browsers (IE and Firefox) are broken.
So, is there a feature in yours that links you directly back to the timestamp w/o having to search back through the thread to find it?
Posted by: Additional Blond Agent at August 17, 2011 06:44 AM (PMGbu)
Posted by: George Orwell at August 17, 2011 06:45 AM (AZGON)
Military people are asked to spend the most productive years of their lives making a very crappy salary. A 401(k) based on a crappy salary is a crappy retirement.
AllenG - if a person in the military could make your $100k plus salary and have dollar for dollar match from day one, then I am sure they would love to go for it. But, do you have any idea how much less than that they make? Apparently not, because you wouldn't make such asinine comparisons.
Monty - I'll take that bet of yours.. change over to a 401(k) and watch the long-term military become non-existent except for officers.
Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at August 17, 2011 06:48 AM (f9c2L)
Posted by: Oldsailor's poet at August 17, 2011 06:49 AM (ZDUD4)
"Up here" doesn't mean "ass-end of the universe."
That's a food wasteland.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at August 17, 2011 06:54 AM (LH6ir)
Posted by: A Balrog of Morgoth at August 17, 2011 06:55 AM (9CM5J)
I thought you were being a smart-ass. If not....
I guess you could copy the number of the comment. Then when you click on it the screen will jump to that comment. But that seems unwieldy.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at August 17, 2011 06:56 AM (LH6ir)
Seriously, folks. This is a concern that servicemen shouldn't have. The country should have their backs on this one.
Posted by: Andy at August 17, 2011 06:57 AM (5Rurq)
Um, that's exactly what we are suggesting. And, contrary to your blithe assertions, it will not be painless. Throw in the proposed changes to Tricare and the commissary, and tell me again why I should stick around past my first enlistment when I can get out and use my G.I. Bill? Tell me again why I should choose a rate (that the the Navy needs, btw) that does not offer the immediate prospect of moving into a civilian job with the same skill set. Tell me why I should volunteer for that extra sea duty assignment when I am up for shore duty.
Keep adding perverse incentives to the system and see where you are in twenty years. It will not be so painless as you might suppose.
Posted by: A Balrog of Morgoth
Several people have already pointed out that certain MOS do not lend themselves to later civilian employment. We used to consdier public sector employment as being lower pay, but that was ameliorated by its job security, steadiness, and benefits.
The military are seeing cuts, the multiple deployments, which started under Clinton (remember the peace dividend?) and now attacks on benefits. If it is perverse that public sector jobs retain their job security and now have higher pay and benefits than the private sector, then it is equally perverse that we go the opposite way and make the military still worse than the private sector.
I still think that this, and all other options need to be considered; our debt issue is that dire. But I also agre that if we can consider this, we should first abolish all public sector unions and reform SS.
Posted by: Blue Hen at August 17, 2011 06:58 AM (6rX0K)
Ummm... do your math again. X * .12 does not equal $7500 when X = 100,000. I do make a pretty good salary- I'll admit it. However, the point is that you don't actually have to put all that much money into a well run (okay- that's the hard part) investment portfolio to make good money over 20 years.
And, I'm sorry, if someone gets in the military as Private and never goes past the rank of Sergeant, why should I be too concerned about his retirement? Yes, he's doing a very dangerous, very necessary job that limits his post-military skills (sometimes, anyway). But that's why there is a GI bill, and there are a ton of schools that have special programs just for military (especially deployed military) personnel to help them get degrees while they're still in the military. There are lots of dirty, dangerous, necessary jobs which- if you stay in them for 20+ years, leave you with few, or no, other marketable skills. If you stay in a low-paying portion of that industry, should I subsidize your retirement, too?
I love our military, and I'm not excited about the prospect of changing their benefits. What you're overlooking is that, if well funded and well managed (again, a couple of big ifs, I'll admit) it's the people at the low end of the scale who actually benefit most from defined contribution plans.
I know, for instance, that a married E-3 doesn't make a ton of money on his own, but he get various allowances that help make things up. My wife's ex was an E-3 in the Air Force (stationed at Dyess AFB in Abilene). When they were together, they could have (if he'd been less stupid) lived relatively comfortably on his salary and allowances alone. Asking new enlisted members to fund a retirement account really shouldn't be beyond the pale.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) is tired beyond tired of the trolls at August 17, 2011 06:59 AM (8y9MW)
Look, no one has higher respect for military folks than me. I was a grunt myself. But it is a volunteer force. If you join the Army to get rich, you're an idiot. (In fact, if you join the Army to get decent pay, you're an idiot.) When you join the military, you are making certain trade-offs. The draft is over -- no one is forcing you to do it.
Look: I'm all for supporting veterans. If you're wounded in the line of duty, you should get free healthcare for life. No exceptions. If you're killed in action, your family should receive a death benefit. But to continue to insist that a crappy government pension is adequate payment for 20 years of military service is just silly. A 401(k) style plan is yours, and you can take it with you if you only choose to serve 5 or 10 years. It will pay off better in retirement. It is an asset that you can use as collateral for loans, or leave to your heirs.
Yes, it does require more involvement on the part of the individual, but how is that so bad? If you can't be bothered to plan for your own retirement, whose fault is that? You don't have to be a rocket-scientist to figure out a 401(k), people: you generally have "aggressive", "less aggressive", or "risk-averse" portfolios, and you pick one. Your contributions come directly out of your paycheck (pre-tax). You can check in on it every couple of months or so to see how you're doing and adjust the contributions if you wish.
I just don't understand the love for a crappy Uncle Sugar pension. It's a lousy "thank you" for years of hard service, in my opinion, and I'm surprised to see people defending it. (That and the fact that you only get it if you do your 20. Guys who serve just as honorably but get out after 10 years get nothing. Doesn't their service matter just as much?)
Posted by: Monty at August 17, 2011 06:59 AM (/0a60)
And let's look at just the Enlisted side for a moment.
With the various programs in the Delayed Entry Program (DEP), it is probable that at completion of Boot Camp, a person will make E-2 right away.
And it is very likely that they will be advanced directly to E-3 on graduation.
That by itself is not bad money for a recent High School graduate, due to the fact that everything from room to board is provided to them. And in all honesty, there are several other expenses that a recent graduate from High School, just starting out on their own would face that a junior Enlisted won't have to face.
No need for a vehicle to get to and from work.
No vehicle insurance costs.
No cost to outfit your first apartment, as you either can live onboard, or in barracks.
No concerns for health care costs.
Minimal clothing costs.
For a young man or woman just starting out, it's not bad.
Now, let's look at the career aspect for a minute.
Advancements from E-4 to E-6 are based on a combination of performance evaluations, and tests that are given twice a year (March and September).
These, for the most part are your only opportunities to advance another pay grade. And for each Advancement Cycle, for each paygrade, in each particular specialty (Rate, or MOS for non Navy types) there is a specific cap on the percentage of candidates who may be advanced. Usually, for the lower pay grades, the advancement opportunities are reasonably high, and if you are a good performer, with a fair knowledge of your specialty, there is a good chance of being advanced another pay grade. However, by the time you are competing for E-6, the percentages really start to drop much lower. For some specialties, it may be as low as 15% of those competing, being able to advance. At this point, another hurdle is starting to come into play. This is known as High Year Tenure. A Navy E-5 must make E-6 before they reach 14 years of service, or they are released from active duty.
Now comes the real Hurdle. In the Navy, making E-7 (Chief Petty Officer) is based on taking the E-7 exam, and if you score high enough, your record is reviewed for advancement by the CPO Selection Board held only once a year.
And in some cases, the advancement percentage is as low as 10 people being selected this exam cycle from the entire Navy wide community for that specialty.
And if you reach the 20 year mark as an E-6, without being selected for E-7, you're out, granted you're out with 50% of E-6 over 20 year pay, but you're done.
Once you make E-7, the advancement opportunities really start to drop off sharply, as usually, by law, only 3% of the Enlisted ranks can be a combination of E-8 and E-9, with E-9 being the highest Enlisted pay grade. And it works out usually that only 1% of the Enlisted ranks consist of Master Chief Petty Officers (E-9). And only an E-9 is allowed to remain on active duty up to 30 years of service, where you then receive 75% of base pay as your retirement pay.
Is 75% of base pay a good retirement? Sure it is, if you have also been setting aside additional income for retirement. But statistically, only 1% of those who remain on active Duty will see that size retirement check. And of course, at that point, you have been in the business for 30 years, with all the baggage, aches, pains and so on that come with doing that type of activity for 30 years. And on top of it, your staring age 50 right in the face as you retire.
But for the most part, a huge percentage of retirees consist of E-6 with 20 years drawing 50% of base pay.
Who knows what the changes to retirement policies will be, but I suspect that the cost will as usual, rest on the shoulders of the mid level retirees.
Posted by: Village Idiot's Apprentice at August 17, 2011 07:03 AM (jY93e)
Obviously, some will always do better than others. I don't think anyone can claim his story is "typical."
Didn't say, or mean to imply, that it was a typical story. He enlisted, got promoted and was sent to OCS. The guy just had his act together.
Posted by: MrObvious at August 17, 2011 07:04 AM (2uovW)
Posted by: Monty
I think that my last post attempted to answer this. Other public employees get as good or better pensions without doing nearly what the average service member does (multiple foreign deployments). Yes, in both cases they're voluntary. We need to eliminate ALL government defined benefit pensions. Starting with those in DC is an excellent way to start.
Posted by: Blue Hen at August 17, 2011 07:05 AM (6rX0K)
Posted by: MrScribbler at August 17, 2011 09:48 AM (YjjrR)
Amen. Well said. Military service is the single most vital service rendered to the State. Assurance of a modest stipend in old age is a small price to pay. And getting smaller, as the force is steadily reduced. It's certainly a more prudent investment than SS could ever be.
I do not care if a serviceman is a loutish pig and unfit for police society - he's done a job, or been willing to do it, that is supremely critical. Killing the enemies of the US or disuading them from attacking us. Military pensions will not bankrupt the state, but even if they could, I'm of the view that the guys who served should be the last ones to starve.
Posted by: Reactionary at August 17, 2011 07:07 AM (xUM1Q)
AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) is tired beyond tired of the trolls at August 17, 2011 10:59 AM (8y9MW)
Once again, it is about total compensation. The current retirement is a huge lure. Cut it, and why not just do the shitty job on the outside and see your family every day, if the compensation is the same. Also, in the military, it is almost impossible for your spouse to hold a steady job, which constitutes significant lost opportunity costs.
Posted by: lando034 at August 17, 2011 07:08 AM (6mCL8)
Flying around and dropping bombs turned out to not be a marketable skill.
If I had been in charge of my investments I would have been unemployable and broke, too.
Posted by: SurferDoc at August 17, 2011 07:09 AM (STdkO)
Accidentally posted in the other thread.
If the government kills the current retirement system, a lot of guys are not going to stick around. Yeah, defined benefits from age 40 is more expensive than 401(k)s, but it's necessary. Not so much with the officer corps, but definately with the enlisted ranks.
Posted by: Alex at August 17, 2011 07:12 AM (J2ejK)
Precisely the problem...
Posted by: Additional Blond Agent at August 17, 2011 07:14 AM (PMGbu)
Posted by: Empire of Jeff at August 17, 2011 07:15 AM (lbo6/)
One of ZH's bloggers calls DeLong "Krugman's Fluffer". He's a hack who can't cut it outside of Berkeley and only gets national influence because he's the first in line to polish Krugman's knob
When I read his piece of shit article telling us how California was not only doing great but would lead the rest of the country into a new permaboom era, I knew anything he said would come with a laugh track
Posted by: kbdabear at August 17, 2011 07:16 AM (Y+DPZ)
You do realize that this blog is running on software cannibalized from a marching band newsgroup from 1996?
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at August 17, 2011 07:20 AM (LH6ir)
Posted by: Oldsailor's poet at August 17, 2011 07:20 AM (ZDUD4)
Monty at August 17, 2011 10:59 AM
Then offer people a choice. Legacy plan or Thrift Savings Plan (TSP). By the way, it isn’t a 401K plan being purposed, it is TSP. You can currently contribute to TSP (regretfully I did before I got married), and the performance has been underwhelming. It is very restrictive, and like all other things done be the government, underperforming. The current retirement isn’t “crappy”. It is fifty percent of the high three year average for life, and scales up with inflation. For someone who retires today and lives for other 40 years it is worth roughly 3.5 million dollars. Also, it is payable immediately, instead of in your 60’s.
Which leads me to my main point: It is an all volunteer force, nobody is making me do it, and if they change the retirement to the purposed plan, I WILL NOT be alone in getting out shortly thereafter.
As for the people getting out at 10 years? That is their choice based on their circumstances and calculations. If it isnÂ’t their choice, they get involuntary separation allowance. The retirement isnÂ’t just a thank you to a service member; it is also a valuable tool to keep experienced people in for their most productive years.
Posted by: lando034 at August 17, 2011 07:21 AM (6mCL8)
If you have never made your own sausage, don't be intimidated. It's far, far easier than it seems.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at August 17, 2011 07:21 AM (LH6ir)
Posted by: Empire of Jeff at August 17, 2011 07:24 AM (2tTzd)
Wait! Don't hit pos-
Posted by: Empire of Jeff
Ah, doesn't this bring back memories.
Thank goodness for the preview function.
Posted by: Blue Hen at August 17, 2011 07:25 AM (6rX0K)
That's why they're going broke. You can't continue to take out so much more than you paid in. It's unsustainable.
Posted by: Monty at August 17, 2011 07:28 AM (/0a60)
Exactly, it is a volunteer force, and those of us who volunteered and did twenty years are telling you this is not panacea you think it is. You get what you pay for. Keep introducing perverse incentives and see what you get.
After twenty years of being gone all the damned time, I was happy to have my crappy Uncle Sugar pension which, along with the money I put away in mutual funds, paid the rent and kept the lights on until we started bringing money into the house with an actual civilian job, which, if you haven't noticed, takes a bit longer to acquire sometimes in the current economic climate.
I'll take security now over potentially more money forty fucking years from now, thanks.
"Guys who serve just as honorably but get out after 10 years get nothing. Doesn't their service matter just as much?)"
Actually, they could just go do ten years in the Navy Reserve, then they could get their big payoff at age 68 (or maybe 62, I forget) which is the only appropriate age for military retirees to get jack shit apparently.
You'd think that if the guys directly affected were in favor of one of two ways of doing things, you'd sort of maybe defer to them a little bit. That's what you'd think. Instead of trying to sell them on this notion that somehow not only would the government save a ton of money, but THEY would be better off as well. Yeah, because these things always work out just like that.
Let's look at the current realities and proposals and their potential effect on retention:
New G.I. Bill; Hey let's jack up TriCare premiums; Commissaries? Cancel that mess; portable 401ks.
Add in our fubared shipbuilding program which=fewer platforms=more deployments (and don't even mention the IAs you catch on shore duty) and I have to ask: Who the fuck sticks around except the retards who max out at E-5 or the occasional saint?
As you say, it is a volunteer military. for now. Good luck keeping it that way once the job market improves. Good luck realizing your budget savings when you have to jack up bonuses to sign people up and keep them in.
It is as if some of you just slept right through the 1990s.
Posted by: A Balrog of Morgoth at August 17, 2011 07:29 AM (9CM5J)
Tasso Ham.
Why can't you find it anywhere but the bayou?
Because the flavor is about 1 half a step from spoiled ham. It's really wonderful if it's done correctly and the flavor is unlike anything else. There are no substitutions and I personally love it. But if the curing isn't done right, or it's allowed to spoil at all, it's absolutely the worst! So the rest of the world fries up some salt cured Pancetta and thinks it's wonderful "because it's european". *urp*
Posted by: MrObvious at August 17, 2011 07:31 AM (2uovW)
Posted by: Monty at August 17, 2011 11:28 AM (/0a60)
'Cuse me? "Paid" in. How do you define "paid?"
Posted by: A Balrog of Morgoth at August 17, 2011 07:34 AM (9CM5J)
That's why they're going broke. You can't continue to take out so much more than you paid in. It's unsustainable.
With all due respect, it isnÂ’t SS, it is military retirement. The pool is much smaller. It cost the federal government $50 billion a year currently. Or about 2% of the military budget. Or about nothing when compare to the deficit. "They" (otherwise known as the federal government) is not going broke from military retirement. What happened to fixing the big three programs, NOT mandated in the Constitution?
Posted by: lando034 at August 17, 2011 07:35 AM (6mCL8)
Fifty years!
Posted by: Empire of Jeff at August 17, 2011 10:32 AM (lbo6/)
Why Yes, yes it is!!
Posted by: CoolCzech at August 17, 2011 10:39 AM (kUaEF)
It's right around a hundred years, wingnutz.
Posted by: Ezra Klein at August 17, 2011 07:36 AM (DrWcr)
The military must set aside a given amount to cover pensions, and this is usually done on an actuarial basis. And like most actuaries, the military planners underestimated the burden the defined-benefits regime would place on their budget -- hence they didn't "pay in" enough to cover the ultimate debt. This is the downfall of nearly every defined benefit plan I've ever heard of, public or private. We suck at predicting the future, and we tend to assume the rosiest scenario will come to pass.
The military doesn't just have one big pot of money that they dip in to in order to cover costs, you know. Military salaries and benefits are different than, say, funding for weapons systems. You can't just take from one and give to the other when you run short.
Posted by: Monty at August 17, 2011 07:40 AM (/0a60)
That's why they're going broke. You can't continue to take out so much more than you paid in. It's unsustainable.
With all due respect, it isnÂ’t SS, it is military retirement. The pool is much smaller. It cost the federal government $50 billion a year currently. Or about 2% of the military budget. Or about nothing when compare to the deficit. "They" (otherwise known as the federal government) is not going broke from military retirement. What happened to fixing the big three programs, NOT mandated in the Constitution?
Posted by: lando034
Because the list of people who will take the hit is much smaller, and they get to petend that they're making cuts. Add to that the fact that they've been screwing with military ballots for years and you end up with the three wolves and a sheep voting on what to have for lunch. The people who will like this the most are the same as those in the Clinton administration who didn't mind stop loss orders and multiple deployments; they don't like the military at best. At worst, they are scoring a twofer.
Posted by: Blue Hen at August 17, 2011 07:43 AM (6rX0K)
The same thing that's happening to you -- they'll insist that their benefits are a God-given right, a moral necessity, a sacred contract. That's the problem. Everyone is always in favor of reforms, as long as the reforms fall on someone else.
Look, I was in the infantry. I'm not talking out of my ass. I understand your arguments, but I've also seen it from the civvie side. Defined-benefit plans are obsolete. They don't work, and they end up imposing costs on the provider that spiral completely out of control.
Posted by: Monty at August 17, 2011 07:47 AM (/0a60)
Posted by: Monty at August 17, 2011 11:40 AM (/0a60)
If only we had a system where we could elect people who could write budgets and allocate money every year. So, essentially, the military would have many smaller pots of money that could be adjusted based on the actual requirements. Too bad we do not have anything like that.
No, I guess it's better to pretend the U.S. Navy is an insurance company. I knew I should have went for my Expeditionary Actuarial pin instead of Surface Warfare.
Posted by: A Balrog of Morgoth at August 17, 2011 07:50 AM (9CM5J)
FIFY
Posted by: Brad DeLong at August 17, 2011 07:52 AM (ZMHGo)
AKA, a "gimme, gimme" group.
Posted by: No Whining at August 17, 2011 07:55 AM (Wqfrr)
Right. And someone else is always the military, as you know very well. So, would you kindly please stop trying to tell us that getting fucked again is just great as long as we use the right kind of lube?
It's odd to see that some conservatives are so willing to just cede defense spending in return for no sacrifice whatsoever anywhere else. If one thing ought to be a sacred cow, it ought to be veterans.
You know, since we already gave at the office, as it were.
Posted by: A Balrog of Morgoth at August 17, 2011 07:55 AM (9CM5J)
The
same thing that's happening to you -- they'll insist that their benefits are a
God-given right, a moral necessity, a sacred contract. That's the problem.
Everyone is always in favor of reforms, as long as the reforms fall on someone else.
Look, I was in the infantry. I'm not talking out of my ass. I understand your
arguments, but I've also seen it from the civvie side. Defined-benefit plans
are obsolete. They don't work, and they end up imposing costs on the provider
that spiral completely out of control.
Not the same. SS, Medicare, and Medicaid recipients donÂ’t defend the nation. Those benefits are not a compensation package for which they do their jobs. The current retirement is an incredibly good deal, but it is also a reason to stay in the military. Unlike them, I and others will walk away and be fine. The only group of people who fall into your example would be current military retirees. I currently hope they donÂ’t change the retirement for them. Once again, this is compensation for a job I am currently doing, and can stop doing if the compensation is not greater than the reasons to stop doing it.
Posted by: lando034 at August 17, 2011 08:04 AM (6mCL8)
As is the canard that "we can always find waste and fraud to cut in the defense budget," since apparently we cannot, unless defines military pensions and other benefits as waste and fraud.
I don't see any proposals or plans to cut this pervasive waste and fraud. Hint: One obvious place to start is with the annual September spending orgy so the command doesn't see its budget cut the following year (if you didn't spend it, you obviously don't need it, apparently).
No, let's just pick that low-hanging fruit from the manning and acquisition trees. We'll worry about the entirely predictable consequences later, at which time we will wave our flags, affix our bumper stickers, and act all morally outraged over the neglect of our military.
Seriously, some of you really did sleep through the 1990s, didn't you?
Posted by: A Balrog of Morgoth at August 17, 2011 08:09 AM (9CM5J)
Alright, I have to go to bed. It is getting late here in Vietnam; six months into a ten month deployment. I really wish you would research this a little more Monty. All the information is readily available. It would be cheaper for the nation in the short term, but the current proposal is not an equable trade and is NOT best for the service men and women or the nation in the long term. I just get tired of trying to explain things like this to the troops. Look up Perform to Serve. Look at the current promotion rates. Track the watered down benefits over time. You know the worst part of my job? Not the deployments, not the time away from family, not going to Afghanistan and getting shot at, or the miserable hours. The worst part is have these young men and women give everything thing they have and want to make the military a career, but watch them slowly loss their benefits, face PTS, hit high year tenure, struggle with the BS PC regulations with the resulting zero defect promotion policies, and have their relationships dissolve because they spend all their time gone. And now you are going to cut their retirement, one of the main reasons they stay in past the first few enlistments? Why would anyone make the military a career? You didn't, and that was before the recent few delightful years. What is the end state you see in which we are both fiscally sound and militarily strong? Or are those goals incompatible?
Posted by: lando034 at August 17, 2011 08:14 AM (6mCL8)
That remains to be seen, doesn't it? It depends largely on what we perceive our role in the world to be. Do we wish to continue as a quasi-imperial force with garrisons in hundreds of foreign lands? Do we wish to move to a sensor/monitoring force (largely robotic) that contains enemies rather than engaging them directly? Do we wish to have a "foot soldier" force for land-based engagements? A larger blue-water navy? A dedicated air/space wing? How much balance between combat arms and support? Do we maintain current optempo or scale back to rebuild our force? How does that impact our long-term strategic direction? Do we continue to enhance our nuclear deterrent? Everything costs money, and the US already spends more on defense than the rest of the world combined. We could do that when we were flush; we simply can't do it now that we are broke.
Who is the main enemy? China? Islamists? Russia? Some combination? What is the correct force posture and size, not only now but ten, twenty years from now?
Posted by: Monty at August 17, 2011 08:22 AM (/0a60)
The GS retirement system used to be similar to the military - a percentage of base pay - no longer.
My college roommate back in the 1960s once mentioned in passing how much his father was going to get from the CIA as retirement. When he did I instantly knew his dad was a GS-18; the civilian equivalent of a four star general in the army. He was head of CIA operations in Europe. (Both my roommate and his father have passed away - so I am not outing anyone.)
Posted by: An Observation at August 17, 2011 08:28 AM (ylhEn)
Posted by: Ellen at August 17, 2011 08:40 AM (B1FXc)
Posted by: steevy at August 17, 2011 11:23 AM (ey1dd)
Posted by: Sleeping with the Enemy AudioBook at August 17, 2011 04:50 PM (VZpJo)
Lets do the same for the Congress and politician. I mean if the troops deserve this why not our politicians.
Obama is a miserable pile of shit.
Posted by: Molon Labe at August 17, 2011 07:05 PM (JyCYK)
Posted by: Yun at August 18, 2011 11:33 PM (Wq40D)
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My friend keeps trying to get me to move to Seattle. I keep telling her NO. That green jobs story is just one of many reasons why.
Posted by: MWR, proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit at August 17, 2011 04:45 AM (4df7R)