Ace of Spades HQ

May 04, 2012

A note on polling and releases
— CAC

(original information pulled)

A note about releases and polling-
I get tip offs to releases in my email from a variety of sources -every one of them legitimate- and got burned with this "Survey USA WI" poll. Thankfully SurveyUSA responded quickly on twitter to make it clear the release was invalid, rather than any delayed reaction. From now on, tips on polling need to include a URL link or PDF. While I'm a relative nobody, Ace isn't and I won't post false information on his site. It does no good to fake data of any kind, whether it "helps" or not. I enjoy being the guy to "break" a poll. I live and breathe numbers. I don't enjoy being the guy who looks silly.

Posted by: CAC at 12:45 PM | Comments (46)
Post contains 136 words, total size 1 kb.

1 Oh my God, it's full of link.

Posted by: Andy at May 04, 2012 12:46 PM (5Rurq)

2 Let's go people. BE BREITBART

Posted by: i am mad as hell and i am not going to take it anymore at May 04, 2012 12:47 PM (cgxNI)

3 Vanz canÂ’t dance, but heÂ’ll steal your money,
Watch him or heÂ’ll rob you blind.

Posted by: Job for a Cowboy death metal band at May 04, 2012 12:47 PM (e8kgV)

4 Told you. University polls have a leftward bias.

Posted by: Chris R, red in NY-9 at May 04, 2012 12:47 PM (NFcOS)

5 Still within the margin of fraud.

Posted by: John P. Squibob at May 04, 2012 12:47 PM (kqqGm)

6 The New Lancelot Link

Posted by: Burn the Witch at May 04, 2012 12:48 PM (rX1N2)

7 SUCK IT, AVERAGE JOE

Posted by: weft cut-loop [/i] [/b] at May 04, 2012 12:48 PM (ebPtk)

I think Julia will vote Walker. I can feel it.

Posted by: dananjcon at May 04, 2012 12:49 PM (eavT+)

9 OT, but about donating mony to the HQ... Does a jar hit buy ban hammer protection? Because it would suck to donate my kid's squatch money just to be banned next week...

Posted by: CoolCzech at May 04, 2012 12:52 PM (niZvt)

10 I'm voting for the 1st candidate who offers to buy me lunch.

Posted by: Julia at May 04, 2012 12:52 PM (KNvk+)

11 Margin crushing map, or it didn't happen.

Posted by: fluffy at May 04, 2012 12:53 PM (z9HTb)

12 Seems to me
We talk all night, here comes the morning
Seems to me
You ignore just what was said and
greet the day

Posted by: Joe Walsh at May 04, 2012 12:53 PM (e8kgV)

13 Geez, if Walker can hold on, this will not bode well for the Bamster.

Posted by: runningrn at May 04, 2012 12:54 PM (vJ9tV)

14 13 Geez, if Walker can hold on, this will not bode well for the Bamster. Posted by: runningrn at May 04, 2012 04:54 PM (vJ9tV) Depends how you look at it. Both are incumbents.

Posted by: CoolCzech at May 04, 2012 12:55 PM (niZvt)

15 >> Does a jar hit buy ban hammer protection?

No, but on your deathbed you'll receive total consciousness.

Posted by: Andy at May 04, 2012 12:56 PM (5Rurq)

16 Here's to seeing a wider sample...

I'm for wider samples.

Posted by: Larry Craig at May 04, 2012 12:56 PM (kqqGm)

17 Well the summers are hot and the winters get cold 
Not a lot smarter, but another year old
 Sometimes I'm still at the fishing hole  

And you never needed bait where we used to go
 Just a safety pin hook on a bamboo pole 
Take the big ones home; let the little ones go (far away) 
And I can hear thunder 
Walking down the alley

Posted by: Joe Walsh at May 04, 2012 12:57 PM (e8kgV)

18 ->I'm voting for the 1st candidate who offers to buy me lunch.

->Posted by: Julia at May 04, 2012 04:52 PM (KNvk+)

I know a quick way you can earn 25 bux.

Posted by: CUS at May 04, 2012 12:57 PM (84pE9)

19 Julia likes a lot of girth

Posted by: Not an Artist at May 04, 2012 12:58 PM (uRumV)

20 The tears will be so sweet!

Posted by: Bosk at May 04, 2012 12:58 PM (n2K+4)

21 Obama is a stuttering clusterf*ck of a miserable failure.

Posted by: steevy at May 04, 2012 12:58 PM (6HIQG)

22 Here we are, a bunch of Morons, and someone starts quoting Joe Walsh, the thinking man's musician.

Posted by: John P. Squibob at May 04, 2012 12:58 PM (kqqGm)

23 life's been good to me so far

Posted by: kallisto at May 04, 2012 01:00 PM (jm/9g)

24 Yay Wisconsin.. Yay Walker!!

Posted by: Jumbo Jogging Shrimp at May 04, 2012 01:00 PM (DGIjM)

OT - Interesting tidbit from TTPN a pay site.

------

And on top of this, we have Zero's Composite New York Girlfriend flap this week (5/02). The white girlfriend described in Dreams was made up, it turns out - but that's okay by the lib media since the book's preface warned of this. But it's not okay - for the real story is that she was no pretend composite at all. She really existed - but she never knew Zero.

As revealed by super sleuth, Jack Cashill, she was the girlfriend of the man who actually wrote Zero's book, Bill Ayers. She was a Communist terrorist, like Ayers, named Diana Oughton, who blew herself up making a terrorist bomb in a New York apartment in 1970. She did such a thorough job of obliterating herself, all the forensic guys could find was the tip of the little finger of her right hand.

Posted by: Jimmah at May 04, 2012 01:01 PM (UpwlP)

26 I'm not really surprised. What do they have to offer? I wonder if Falk might actually win the primary. If you're a liberal, why not vote for the most liberal if you're going to lose anyway?

Hopefully none of the downballot seats get lost. I hope the electorate doesn't feel like, "Walker's doing a good job, but we have to punish somebody."

Posted by: AmishDude at May 04, 2012 01:01 PM (T0NGe)

27 Barack Obama is a stuttering clusterf*ck of a miserable tyrant.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) SMOD 2012 at May 04, 2012 01:01 PM (8y9MW)

28 Here we are, a bunch of Morons, and someone starts quoting Joe Walsh, the thinking man's musician.

Yes, quite ironic.

Posted by: Robert Fripp at May 04, 2012 01:02 PM (z9HTb)

29 It should be noted that it's too far off for PPP to have good numbers. They do biased polling, slowly correcting until the last poll. That one is decent. We're still a month out.

Posted by: AmishDude at May 04, 2012 01:03 PM (T0NGe)

30 Boortz comes on here in an hour.. how far into the show does he say SCOAMF?

Posted by: Jumbo Jogging Shrimp at May 04, 2012 01:04 PM (DGIjM)

31 If you drill down to the local data you will find that the margin is actually reversed, especially if you perform the correct statistical analysis of the numbers. For instance, a rectal regression with shop steward corrections will yield a solid lead for both Democrat challengers.

Posted by: Greg's rectum at May 04, 2012 01:04 PM (nEUpB)

32 Okay, CAC. I know you've been is some dark hovel pouring over stats, polls, variables and sampling. So get up, wipe off the Cheetos dust and go outside and take in some sunlight.

Posted by: Soona at May 04, 2012 01:04 PM (hg+OY)

The RNC needs to be running some ads in Wisconsin.....showing footage of the Union goons intimidating people, and generally being thugs.

Are they doing this already? ....I hope so. ....Seems like it would be easy enough to do. There has been a lot of video footage of the union goon behavior on the internet.

Remember all those fake 'doctors excuses' that were being handed out? ...The State Capital building trashed. ....Businesses being threatened. ....People's cars vandalized, etc. ....All this stuff needs to be replayed, because people generally have short memories.

Posted by: wheatie at May 04, 2012 01:05 PM (g4NO6)

34 Great column CAC

Posted by: Velvet Ambition at May 04, 2012 01:09 PM (mFxQX)

35 Everything gives you cancer
There's no cure, there's no answer
Everything gives you cancer

Posted by: Joe Jackson at May 04, 2012 01:12 PM (e8kgV)

36 If I pissed on a liberal it would actually set him on fire.

Posted by: Dick Cheney at May 04, 2012 01:17 PM (zEeUf)

37 Dood, apologies not needed. Thanks for your work.

I love morons and Skylar Laine.

Posted by: ChristyBlinky Wildbeast Seminole Chick at May 04, 2012 02:14 PM (baL2B)

38 .. and you wonder why I
zzz
at every post with the word "poll" in the title

Posted by: Gerry at May 04, 2012 02:21 PM (jYPJ0)

am now totally confused CAC because I don't know what poll you listed.

can you explain which one it was?

thanks

Posted by: john b at May 04, 2012 03:48 PM (3ZE5d)

40 It was a poll from "Survey USA" showing Walker beating both Barrett and Falk by wider margins than the Marquette release. Survey USA replied almost instantly on twitter that they never released it.

Posted by: CAC at May 04, 2012 04:10 PM (vzDUu)

41 Someone giving fake poll info just makes it look like Walker is in trouble, which he is, imo, if his opponent is Tom Barrett. He easily beats Falk if the WI Republicans are smart and cross over and vote for her in the primary.

Posted by: rayjayjohnsonjr at May 04, 2012 05:37 PM (98u4B)

42 I wonder if the left pads the polls so that the results aren't so far off track when dead people and Mickey Mouse vote? If the polls showed 52 - 48 and the results were 62 - 38, people would wonder. Ballot box stuffing begins with the polls.

Posted by: Alabama Mike at May 04, 2012 06:23 PM (Id+yE)

43 The worst poll results right now would be those which claim our beloved Governor Walker leads comfortably... or even slightly. We cannot afford complacency.

And where the hell is Rasmussen?

Posted by: the botnet at May 05, 2012 04:57 AM (6PDiu)

44 Took me time to read all the comments, but I really enjoyed the article. It proved to be Very helpful to me and I am sure to all the commenters here! ItÂ’s always nice when you can not only be informed, but also entertained!

Posted by: Most Talkative iBooks at May 08, 2012 04:03 AM (lHIrn)

45 You really make it seem so uderstandable with your presentation but I find this topic before really hard to understand. It seems too complicated and very broad for me.

Posted by: City of Lost Souls ePub at May 08, 2012 04:29 AM (L61Se)

46 I just cant stop reading this. Its so cool, so full of information that I just didnt know. Im glad to see that people are actually writing about this issue in such a smart way, showing us all different sides to it. Youre a great blogger. Please keep it up. I cant wait to read whats next.

Posted by: Hard Country iBook at May 08, 2012 05:04 AM (BZ8t+)

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