April 07, 2012

A Perspective on Climate Change and Atmosphere
— Dave in Texas

and oceans.


maths are hard.jpg

This will likely lead to carbon tax credits on submarines. Which will hit the Chicoms in the britches cause ours are all nukes.

via Slublog, and JoeBastardi, who rocks "scientific" fables with unpleasant facts.

Posted by: Dave in Texas at 07:26 AM | Comments (159)
Post contains 50 words, total size 1 kb.

1 Happy Saturday

Posted by: Caunotaucarius at April 07, 2012 07:30 AM (18Osg)

2 I dispute the global warming theory as much as anyone, but the claim is that ppm levels of CO2 "trap" (actually absorb) heat. That heat could be then absorbed by land and the oceans and whatever. The "capacity" in this item just means that said temperature change would take a long time.

More on this later.


Posted by: scottst at April 07, 2012 07:31 AM (dRGlb)

3 I think I heard the word coons in that tweet.

Posted by: soothsayer at April 07, 2012 07:34 AM (jUytm)

4 How 'bout a carbon tax on soda? Those bubbles rising to the top of the coke class aren't polar bear farts you know.

Posted by: Latte' drinking liberal rocket chemist at April 07, 2012 07:34 AM (PVB6D)

5 My house can save the world, since its way underwater.

Posted by: cherry at April 07, 2012 07:35 AM (OhYCU)

6 My house can save the world, since its way underwater. And it's a pineapple. Posted by: Sponge Bob

Posted by: soothsayer at April 07, 2012 07:37 AM (jUytm)

7 I like Joe Bastardi. .....Can you imagine what it must've been like for him, growing up with that last name? Poor guy.

Posted by: wheatie at April 07, 2012 07:37 AM (+5U+B)

8 There's a guy at the gym who wears square shorts, has skinny legs, and sweats profusely. The crazy woman who likes to stalk me call him Sponge Bob.

Posted by: soothsayer at April 07, 2012 07:39 AM (jUytm)

9 There wasn't room in the picture for the heat capacity of the Earth.

Posted by: t-bird at April 07, 2012 07:39 AM (l/xhO)

10 I was told that there would be no math on this blog.

Posted by: IllTemperedCur at April 07, 2012 07:39 AM (FIE/L)

11 I live in a pineapple un-der dah sea....

Posted by: That's "Mr. Squarepants", to you at April 07, 2012 07:39 AM (+5U+B)

12 Obama will attempt to make all future US Subs solar or wind powered.

Posted by: dfbaskwill at April 07, 2012 07:41 AM (ndlFj)

13 Just for added perspective, can you ask Slublog to p-chop Ookla the Mok into that illustration?

Posted by: soothsayer at April 07, 2012 07:41 AM (jUytm)

14 the claim is that ppm levels of CO2 "trap" (actually absorb) heat. Even though CO2 levels have been shown to lag temperature by 800 years, if I recall correctly.

Posted by: t-bird at April 07, 2012 07:42 AM (l/xhO)

15 Yes water has a high heat transfer coefficient. That is why it is used as a medium in boiler applications and cooling systems.

Posted by: Vic at April 07, 2012 07:43 AM (YdQQY)

16 OT: a girl is on preppers, she has 160 condoms in her bug-out bag.  Priorities, people.

Posted by: cherry at April 07, 2012 07:45 AM (OhYCU)

17 Heat Capacity is why we have wooden (or plastic) toilet seats.


Posted by: scottst at April 07, 2012 07:45 AM (dRGlb)

18 If you ever want to mess with a Climate Change, nee AGW proponent just ask them: What is the scientific basis or evidence for the 3 times multiplier effect for CO2?   

   They do not have one,  its just a # fit to the 15-25 years when the earth happened to be warming quite a bit and CO2 levels rose but only enough to account for 1/3 of the temperature increase the computer models said was in addition to normal oscillations.

   Most likely the dumb bunnies didn't get the PDO and AMO right although they will say that the climate models include them and then there may be other factors as yet unknown  (possibly cosmic ray interactions with cloud formation driven by solar activity) that will create a multiplier/positive feedback effect to the very modest CO2 warming at some times and a dividing/tamping effect at others.  

Certainly it is insane that Europe shot their economy in the foot over this,  we came very close to doing so here, and BarryO is unconstitionally hobbling the economy with it as an excuse and getting away with it.  

Posted by: Palerider at April 07, 2012 07:47 AM (FBj6Z)

19 Heat Transfer Coefficient is something completely different.


Posted by: scottst at April 07, 2012 07:49 AM (dRGlb)

20 16 OT: a girl is on preppers, she has 160 condoms in her bug-out bag. Priorities, people.

-------

Sandra Fluke is a prepper?

Posted by: Anachronda at April 07, 2012 07:50 AM (6fER6)

21 Obama will attempt to make all future US Subs solar or wind powered. Glider-fighters being catapulted off the decks of aircraft carriers under sail... Ah, we'll be the envy of the green world.

Posted by: Baraka Obama at April 07, 2012 07:50 AM (l/xhO)

22

16 OT: a girl is on preppers, she has 160 condoms in her bug-out bag. Priorities, people.

 

She said that should last for 'about a week'. Heh.

 

Did you see that couple who is stocking up on bottles of alcoholic beverages....."only to use for barter"....because they don't drink?

 

What gets me, is seeing all the concern for "security" and how they are worried about the zombie hordes coming to their door to loot their supplies.....and yet, they are showing them where they are...on tv! 

Posted by: wheatie at April 07, 2012 07:51 AM (+5U+B)

23 The problem isn't that the Earth may be warming, it has been far warmer within the last 5000 years. The problem isn't that increasing CO2 partial pressure might be causing it, it has been more than 10x as high as it is today. The problem is that these increases will cause all this terrible flooding, drought, hurricanes, and little old ladies to die. Well, it hasn't yet, and it won't in the future. As Lord Monckton points out*, you're talking about spending trillions of dollars now to save millions of dollars in 500 years or so (to say nothing of the hideous bureaucratic power grab). It's not really a good strategy. * http://bit.ly/I6H2Nb

Posted by: I want a cylon wife-hammering machine please at April 07, 2012 07:51 AM (+6ZZN)

24

CO2 and climate change... the PHYSICS do not work.

First, the theory of Greenhouse Gases.

All energy comes to, and leaves the Earth as Radiation.

Radiation comes from the Sun, in a specific spectrum (including light), and is then either Reflected back to space, absorbed by the Atmosphere, or absorbed by the earth's surface.

Energy is also Radiated by all matter (called Black Body Radiation) in specific wavelengths dependent primarily on the Temperature of the mass.

@

Matter also will absorb radiation, but different molecules absorb different frequencies of radiation energy... known as the absorption spectrum. This energy will raise the energy state of the molecule, which it will then either reradiate (as blackbody radiation), or loose energy through conduction.

The theory behind a greenhouse gas is that the Gas will absorb incoming radiation from the sun, and through conduction, heat the rest of the air around it. It will also absorb IR radiation radiated by the Earth itself (black body radiation again), and use conduction to spread it to the rest of the atmosphere.

So, is CO2 a Greenhouse Gas? YES, it is, but only up to a point.

CO2 ONLY absorbs IR energy in well known, and clearly defined frequencies, which comprise about 8% of the IR Spectrum. This IR can come from the Sun, the Blackbody radiation of the Earth, or the Blackbody Radiation of the atmosphere itself.

The problem is that ALL of the IR radiation in the Earth's biosphere, within those frequency ranges IS ALREADY BEING ABSORBED!

http://www.nov55.com/atmo.html

The above chart is a visual representation of the Energy absorption spectrums of the atmosphere, and the %'s of those spectrums being absorbed. If you look at the CO2 absorption frequencies, you will see that they are already at 100% absorption...

or, to put it simply, there is no more energy to absorb, thus there can be no Temperature increase by adding more CO2!

So, in conclusion, is CO2 a Greenhouse Gas? YES! But its already reached its maximum Greenhouse effect, adding more will not do anything.

Therefore, the Cap and Trade legislation will not do anything except bankrupt us.

Posted by: Romeo13 at April 07, 2012 07:52 AM (lZBBB)

25 "What gets me, is seeing all the concern for "security" and how they are worried about the zombie hordes coming to their door to loot their supplies.....and yet, they are showingthem where they are...on tv!"

My bug-out plan is to steal the supplies of these fools.

Posted by: cherry at April 07, 2012 07:54 AM (OhYCU)

26 CJ, well I work with people with atmospheric science backgrounds that believe in CC.     And CO2 radiance effects are real, but one doesn't get OMG!  DOOM! we have to do something immediately 11! without the 3 times multiplier, just modest warming that might increase growing seasons in Canada and Russia. 

Posted by: Palerider at April 07, 2012 07:54 AM (FBj6Z)

27

There's no money to be made mau-mauing countries and stupid people with that model. It's simple:

1. Extort idiots

2.?

3.Profit!

Posted by: Roy at April 07, 2012 07:55 AM (tiOTz)

28 the prepper girl is planning on walking 10-15 miles on the first day.  Has she ever heard of a bicycle?

Posted by: cherry at April 07, 2012 07:56 AM (OhYCU)

29 yeah, heat capacity is an equilibrium thermodynamic property, heat transfer coefficient is a non-equilibrium dynamic property
-------------------------


Yes, but they are closely related.

Q = UA( deltaT)         heat flow (BTU per time)
Q = C(deltaT)            heat absorbed or given off (BTU)

Posted by: Vic at April 07, 2012 07:57 AM (YdQQY)

30 9 Exactly right. If the earth is a basketball, the atmosphere is the size of a layer of aluminum foil wrapped on it. Now how in the hell is an increase in the ppm level of CO2 in that thin layer going to warm the huge ball of rock, and as Bastardi mentions, water?

Doesn't matter how fast (Heat Transfer Coefficient) it happens, we've got time... millions of years if necessary. But that atmosphere is surrounding a giant heat sink. Never mind the mechanism of global warming, which no Global Warming proponent can explain, the time factor is what really cooks the whole theory.

But if you have so much guilt re being human, so little faith in man's ability to solve actual problems, and so much need to be depressed, then you can believe in the Global Warming Hobgoblin.


Posted by: scottst at April 07, 2012 07:57 AM (dRGlb)

31 But that one square is so small and the other one is so big.  It's not fair.  It's like that one little square is the 1% and the big square is the 99%.

(Am I doing this right?)

Posted by: Dang at April 07, 2012 08:00 AM (BbX1b)

32

26....Therefore, the Cap and Trade legislation will not do anything except bankrupt us.

 

Cap and Trade was a scam from the beginning. ....It allows the polluters to keep right on polluting, as long as they pay up. Then they simply pass on the additional cost....to the consumer.

Posted by: wheatie at April 07, 2012 08:00 AM (+5U+B)

33 Grow bull warning!

Posted by: Krebs v Carnot: Epic Battle of the Cycling Stars at April 07, 2012 08:00 AM (mIToD)

34 Posted by: chemjeff at April 07, 2012 11:49 AM (7FadD)

An old friend of mine got hammered one night and devised a theory of statistics called "Probability Pressure."

That's when the coin flip comes up 10x in a row heads...the probability that the next flip comes up tails is overwhelming.

It sounds great...makes intuitive sense to those who don't understand...but it is catastrophically wrong.

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at April 07, 2012 08:01 AM (nEUpB)

35 It allows the polluters to keep right on polluting, as long as they pay up.
--------------------

It allows the CO2 emitters to keep right on emitting, as long as they pay up. 


CO2 is not pollution.

Posted by: Vic at April 07, 2012 08:03 AM (YdQQY)

36 Another perspective on co2 separately would be to type one dot which represents co2, then type 2499 dots to represent the rest of a block of 2500 air molecules. I think. (4/10,000ths of the air is co2)

Posted by: Jimmah at April 07, 2012 08:04 AM (UpwlP)

37 the prepper girl is planning on walking 10-15 miles on the first day. Has she ever heard of a bicycle?
Posted by: cherry


That's exactly what I thought.  That and she should put a little note on her pick up truck politely asking people to not mess with it or take that gas out of it.  "Thanks so much!!!  God luck with the apocalypse!!!"

Those condoms are for whorin'.  Wish they'd shown her preppin' for that.  Okay,  maybe not.

Posted by: Dang at April 07, 2012 08:05 AM (BbX1b)

38 I'm adding CO2 to the ocean with my 2 stroke Yamaha outboard!

Posted by: Frankly at April 07, 2012 08:06 AM (h30A5)

39 Oops.  *farts in the ocean*

Posted by: Dang at April 07, 2012 08:06 AM (BbX1b)

40

Serious question, something I don't understand.

 

How can anything be a greenhouse gas? We don't live in a greenhouse. We have an atmosphere that thins out the higher you go. Unlike the roof or covering of a true greenhouse.

 

So it should be two different things.

 

Am I missing something?

Posted by: HH at April 07, 2012 08:08 AM (KB0hv)

41 32 yeah, heat capacity is an equilibrium thermodynamic property, heat transfer coefficient is a non-equilibrium dynamic property
-------------------------


Yes, but they are closely related.

Q = UA( deltaT) heat flow (BTU per time)
Q = C(deltaT) heat absorbed or given off (BTU)


Vic -- do you have a link that might give practical applications of that?
I constructed a 'hot house' (sort of) to harden off tomato plants, and it seems to work, but I'm doing it with Scientific Wild Ass Guesswork.
I'm just using "a buttload" of water jugs.

Posted by: jwb7605 at April 07, 2012 08:10 AM (Qxe/p)

42 Nice chart-fu, now this is what I call an inconvenient truth.

Posted by: Cato at April 07, 2012 08:11 AM (WkE74)

43 All this math and science is part of your VRWC war on womyn.

Posted by: Mama AJ, Pasty-Hispanic at April 07, 2012 08:13 AM (XdlcF)

44 And how dare you imply womyn aren't good at math and science!

Posted by: Mama AJ, Pasty-Hispanic at April 07, 2012 08:14 AM (XdlcF)

45 Doesn't matter how fast (Heat Transfer Coefficient) it happens, we've got time... millions of years if necessary. Oh, yeah, millions of years of sweet, sweet taxes... *squirt!*

Posted by: Democrats For[i]ever![/i] at April 07, 2012 08:14 AM (l/xhO)

46 Augusta is emitting excess gasses since they don't admit womyn.

Posted by: cherry at April 07, 2012 08:15 AM (OhYCU)

47 /cog diss off

Posted by: Mama AJ, Pasty-Hispanic at April 07, 2012 08:15 AM (XdlcF)

48

39 It allows the polluters to keep right on polluting, as long as they pay up.
 

--------------------

 

 

It allows the CO2 emitters to keep right on emitting, as long as they pay up.


 

 

CO2 is not pollution.

 

True, Vic. .....I should've use quote marks on 'polluters'. ....My point is that  Cap and Trade was sold to us as a way to "curb pollution"....when in fact, it enables it more than it curbs it...and it adds more cost to the consumer as a result. 

Posted by: wheatie at April 07, 2012 08:15 AM (+5U+B)

49 Hey now, according to Al Gore the science on this is settled. Ok, granted, completely wrong.. but still, settled.

Posted by: StuckOnStupid at April 07, 2012 08:15 AM (R5yLq)

50 People who work in CC are generally smart enough to keep their mouths shut if they don't want to lose their jobs.

Wake me up when they have determined the relative impact on CC by that BIG FUCKING STAR 8 light minutes away.


Posted by: Jimbo at April 07, 2012 08:17 AM (O3R/2)

51 "Type in a Google search for the words “immigration reform,” and in the split second it takes for your results to pop up, the president’s reelection campaign may begin courting you. Up comes an ad for barack­obama.com, next to the search results."

Please, please. Click on these ads.  Make Obama pay.  Every day.

Posted by: cherry at April 07, 2012 08:18 AM (OhYCU)

52

"How can anything be a greenhouse gas? We don't live in a greenhouse. We have an atmosphere that thins out the higher you go. Unlike the roof or covering of a true greenhouse."

----

You have hit on something without knowing it. The computer models for global warming postulate the existence of a "hot spot" in the troposphere. According to the models, the hot spot must exist and it will cause warmer air to be reflected back down to earth.

;;;;

Just one problem. Now that we have 20 years of accurate temperature measurements of the troposphere, we now know there is no hot spot.

-----

Hot spot fail, global warming fail. Put that together with the observed lack of an amplification factor associated with higher levels of CO2 and the entire theory is destroyed.

;;;;

It's just a religion now. And not a good one.



 

Posted by: Meremortal at April 07, 2012 08:21 AM (Usk3+)

53 I suggest that someone here come up with all these search terms, so we can 'help' Obama get his message out.

Posted by: ClickToVictory at April 07, 2012 08:21 AM (OhYCU)

54 How can I possibly communicate with you thick-skulled flat earthers when you won't even acknowledge my dreaminess?

Posted by: President Wee Wee at April 07, 2012 08:23 AM (KWdVT)

55 Vic -- do you have a link that might give practical applications of that?
----------------------------



A hot house doesn't work like that unless you did something like place large vats of water in it which would tend to limit the temperature swings between night and day by absorbing heat. 

Posted by: Vic at April 07, 2012 08:24 AM (YdQQY)

56

Its the sun, son.

Just say no to solar warming denial.

Posted by: 2SoonOld2LateSmart at April 07, 2012 08:25 AM (YFAMg)

57 Okay, now tell me about the part where Fructose destroys the human race.

Posted by: soothsayer at April 07, 2012 08:26 AM (jUytm)

58 44

The thing is that the term "Greenhouse effect" is a misnomer.

That leads to the terms Greenhouse Gas and "trapping" of energy, and others which are all failures of etymology.

There is no array of glass panels surrounding our earth. The Greenhouse effect was named because of the idea that it artificially heats our atmosphere. As a Greenhouse does, but via a different mechanism.


Posted by: scottst at April 07, 2012 08:31 AM (dRGlb)

59

@Vic

Yep, nailed it. If you notice too most Greenhouses have watter runing through them all over the place (usually you find it running along the joints that hold the glass together.

Posted by: tsrblke at April 07, 2012 08:32 AM (SYrwI)

60

61 Fructose?

 

That's that stuff that plants give off, and if you eat it...it makes you too fat to have sex. So it's bad.

Posted by: typical Youtube yoot at April 07, 2012 08:33 AM (+5U+B)

61 California is trying to set up carbon credits for industry and the obligatory derivative market. This feeds into a global elitist formulary which is absolute control. This will all be interrupted by a currency reset which my moron friends is a coming. The paradox is that the more complex financial systems and credit expansion becomes, it exposes and redirects attention to the basics. We have nominal wealth and that is basically it.

Posted by: Jornolist at April 07, 2012 08:33 AM (9hlKZ)

62 61 Okay, now tell me about the part where Fructose destroys the human race.

--------

The blob? 90% fructose.

http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0051418/

Posted by: Anachronda at April 07, 2012 08:33 AM (6fER6)

63

Sent a little note to NPR this morning about yesteday's "All Things Considered" show.  They interviewed this Aussie moonbat who said she had grad students analyze the positive/negative ratio of articles about Globaloney in Murdoch's papers down under.  It was about 18% positive, 82% negative, and she and NPR concluded that this showed "bias".

So I asked them to explain what NPR's ratio of 100% positive, 0% negative showed, and opined that the concept of irony must be totally lost on them.

Also mentioned that I look forward to the day when we can start calling NPR "National Piltdown Radio"!  On further reflection, hell, why wait?

NPR = National Piltdown Radio!

Posted by: sherlock at April 07, 2012 08:33 AM (8ra42)

64 A hot house doesn't work like that unless you did something like place large vats of water in it which would tend to limit the temperature swings between night and day by absorbing heat.

That's exactly what I've done.
I've got a 5'x6' raised bed enclosed by a 4 foot wall, which are 2x2's held together with chicken wire, covered by painter's plastic.  Chicken wire makes this "wind resistant".
I grow cucumbers in that during summer (cucumbers climb the chicken wire).
Inside that, I've got about 50 or 60 gallons of water around the outside.  So far.  I need to drink more milk.  Milk jugs are "two stories tall", bottom layer is two jugs wide.

What I want to know is how cold outside it can get before things freeze inside up to a certain height.

Empirically, this is working to an outside temperature of 27 degrees Fahrenheit, but I'd like to "compute" things.

Posted by: jwb7605 at April 07, 2012 08:38 AM (Qxe/p)

65

You can disprove AGW with math and geometry:

 

http://is.gd/kX5YVt

 

Which is why you will never be able to convince most liberals/politicians of the fallacy of their "religion"....

Posted by: Teresa in Fort Worth, TX at April 07, 2012 08:39 AM (0xqzf)

66 Stopping for cafe latte,anyone want anything?

Posted by: Jornolist at April 07, 2012 08:40 AM (9hlKZ)

67 The thing that originally got me going on global warming was when Al Gore appeared on Obama and my wife made me watch it.

He did a short version of his famous slide show and I was stunned to find that nowhere in the discussion did he explain what was actually happening, the "how", the specific mechanism, as chemists or engineers say.

So I girded my loins and watched the Inconvenient Movie and found the same thing. Lots of What, Why and sorely lacking in How.

Then I started searching the internets and WikiEverything and still came up short. You had to go balls deep into the Wikipedia to find a page which finally explained it. Criticism of this situation led to this page, which describes the actual theory:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greenhouse_effect

It has only been in existence for a couple years. No wonder everyone has been so confused.

Posted by: scottst at April 07, 2012 08:40 AM (dRGlb)

68

"anyone want anything? "

 

Made a beer run earlier. I'm good...

Posted by: HH at April 07, 2012 08:42 AM (KB0hv)

69 Oops, appeared on Obama-- I meant Oprah.

Posted by: scottst at April 07, 2012 08:42 AM (dRGlb)

70 is "free space washing" of a hard drive a sham?

Posted by: soothsayer at April 07, 2012 08:43 AM (jUytm)

71 Hmm. A while ago, I saw some stories about how LA county was suddenly and mysteriously cracking down on isolated desert residents, forcing them to tear down their houses due to code violations.

Looks like it was a government land grab to support crony solar power installations.

http://tinyurl.com/6t2tz9t

Posted by: Anachronda at April 07, 2012 08:43 AM (6fER6)

72 Anybody else use WinUtilities? pretty good for free, but their latest version takes away most of the free goodies

Posted by: soothsayer at April 07, 2012 08:44 AM (jUytm)

73 The observation I made was the the High Priest was using smoke and mirrors, no more.

That's always a warning sign.


Posted by: scottst at April 07, 2012 08:44 AM (dRGlb)

74 ""Wake me up when they have determined the relative impact on CC by that BIG FUCKING STAR 8 light minutes away.""



This.

I always said cruising around a 1 million mile wide ongoing nuclear explosion at 60,000 mph at 1 AU distance isn't exactly ideal if you want climate consistency.

Posted by: Berserker at April 07, 2012 08:45 AM (FMbng)

75

73 Oops, appeared on Obama-- I meant Oprah.

 

Almost the same. ....I figured that's who you meant. Heh.

Posted by: wheatie at April 07, 2012 08:46 AM (+5U+B)

76 "I always said cruising around a 1 million mile wide ongoing nuclear explosion at 60,000 mph at 1 AU distance isn't exactly ideal if you want climate consistency. " Brilliant! What we need here is an "Occupy the vacuum of space" movement. It's about time the unwashed hippy assholes of this planet went and protested someplace where it will do us all some good. Of course the first step is to get NASA to dump it's Muslim outreach program and start building rockets again to airlift these assholes into space. I like this plan. I'm excited to be a part of it.. lol

Posted by: StuckOnStupid at April 07, 2012 08:49 AM (R5yLq)

77 Why does Sean Bean have to get killed so soon in everything?

Posted by: soothsayer at April 07, 2012 08:50 AM (jUytm)

78 "Why does Sean Bean have to get killed so soon in everything?" Because he's the Bill Paxton of his generation?

Posted by: StuckOnStupid at April 07, 2012 08:52 AM (R5yLq)

79

81
Why does Sean Bean have to get killed so soon in everything?

 

I think he's said some conservative things, from time to time.....so that's why he's had trouble getting better roles.

Posted by: wheatie at April 07, 2012 08:55 AM (+5U+B)

80 81
Why does Sean Bean have to get killed so soon in everything?  

Posted by: soothsayer at April 07, 2012 12:50 PM (jUytm)

 

May I suggest to you the 'Sharpes Rifles' series of Movies?  He manages to live through about 20 of those...

Posted by: Romeo13 at April 07, 2012 08:56 AM (lZBBB)

81 I'm not a scientist, so all I can tell you about this stuff is that the problem seems to be larger than refutable "theories" of global warming. As I understand it, science is supposed to go something like this: Scientist does experiments, comes up with a result, and publishes them, along with all his data. Other scientists come along and try to poke holes in his theory, based on their testing of the data. If they can't find any holes, the theory is more or less accepted as "proven." If they can find holes, you either go back and fix the errors or you toss the whole thing out as junk. So what is happening now? It appears to me (again, not a scientist) that people start with "theories," then search for data to prove it, then a bunch of other "scientists" who already believe in the "theory" come along and echo what the first guy said. And nobody tries to poke holes in the data, and sometimes nobody else even gets to see the data. That's not science, and if more and more money is thrown at that kind of nonsense, sooner or later we'll be back in the dark ages, because you can't keep lying to the world about what is and is not true for too long before truth wins.

Posted by: Burt's dog at April 07, 2012 09:00 AM (Gc/Qi)

82 Apropos of nothing, I'm about to go see a silent movie:  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nVtFPE53E4g

I think it will be enjoyable.

Posted by: toby928© at April 07, 2012 09:01 AM (GTbGH)

83 I watched all the Sharpe's. Great series. But he dies in LotR, Game of Thrones...

Posted by: soothsayer at April 07, 2012 09:02 AM (jUytm)

84 Sean Bean should've had Viggo's role in LotR.

Posted by: soothsayer at April 07, 2012 09:02 AM (jUytm)

85 But he dies in LotR, Game of Thrones...

Dude!  I never realized that was the same guy.  I'm pretty damn oblivious sometimes.

Posted by: toby928© at April 07, 2012 09:03 AM (GTbGH)

86 Bean was in Patriot Games, too, as an Irish terrorist, I think. Not a bad flick.

Posted by: soothsayer at April 07, 2012 09:04 AM (jUytm)

87 Just wait.  One of these days,  I will have my revenge.  They think they can just ignore me?  Day is coming mother fuckers...


Posted by: The Sun at April 07, 2012 09:04 AM (BbX1b)

88 It should be worth noting that good 'ole Joe is meteorologist not a climatologist.
A big difference. I believe Joe is a sincere man, not a nut, but imho he's not professionally qualified to inform us on the subject.
There are many scientists, people with the proper disciplines, that would beg to differ with Joe's findings.

Insert the usual Joe's ' last name' snark, here.

Posted by: Dinah Kanser at April 07, 2012 09:04 AM (db4pz)

89 There are many scientists, people with the proper disciplines, that would beg to differ with Joe's findings. Take a guess what I and others here would call those people. Starts with "c."

Posted by: soothsayer at April 07, 2012 09:06 AM (jUytm)

90 THANK YOU for posting this! Always love visiting - keep up the great work! Steve Common Cents http://www.commoncts.blogspot.com ps. Link Exchange??

Posted by: Steve at April 07, 2012 09:07 AM (z/HBC)

91 Starts with "c."

 

Posted by: soothsayer at April 07, 2012 01:06 PM (jUytm)

 

Charlatan? Crazy? Confused? Confounded? Con-man?

Posted by: Romeo13 at April 07, 2012 09:07 AM (lZBBB)

92 hey, there's "steve" our longtime spammer!

Posted by: soothsayer at April 07, 2012 09:08 AM (jUytm)

93

88
Sean Bean should've had Viggo's role in LotR.

 

At least Sean Bean wouldn't have had to struggle with having a British accent....like Viggo did. ....Both Viggo and Liv Tyler did piss poor jobs with faking an accent.

Posted by: wheatie at April 07, 2012 09:08 AM (+5U+B)

94 Charlatan? Crazy? Confused? Confounded? Con-man? Close. Ends with "s."

Posted by: soothsayer at April 07, 2012 09:09 AM (jUytm)

95 Sean Bean was alive until the end in Goldeneye.

He got kicked off the team early in Ronin, OTOH, but wasn't killed.

Posted by: Waterhouse at April 07, 2012 09:10 AM (s7Vjw)

96 Posted by: jwb7605 at April 07, 2012 12:38 PM (Qxe/p)
-----------------------------------


You would use the equations I posted above but the problem is that you will never be able to find data that will tell you how fast those milk jugs radiate heat.

Q = Cp(T1 –T2) Cp for pure water at atmospheric pressure is 1 for all practical purposes.

So assume your initial temperature is 50° which is probably about right for a hothouse in the Winter at equilibrium and the final temp is 32° when it freezes. That is a drop of 28° giving  32 BTU/lb, or 246 BTU per jug.  Then the water must give up 144  BTU/lbm with each jug being approximately 8 lb = 1152 BTU per jug.   

Then you must feed that back into the equation Qr = UA(T1-T2), the problem being you do not know the value of U and A. You can determine that by experiment. Take a jug of that water and insert a waterproof temperature probe and place them in a refrigerator for 1 hour and observe the temp drop.  That will give you UA for that given temp range. This is not a linear function but it is close enough for government work given the small range of temp change. Ex: Suppose the temp goes from 70° to 50° in one hour.  We know that is 20 BTU drop or 20 BTU/hr. To get the 1152 BTU drop it would take about 57 hours.  

Posted by: Vic at April 07, 2012 09:10 AM (YdQQY)

97 Why was it even necessary for fairies to sound British? Oh wait... the question answers itself.

Posted by: soothsayer at April 07, 2012 09:10 AM (jUytm)

98 Math?

Noooooooooooooooooooo

Posted by: Darth Climate Scientist at April 07, 2012 09:10 AM (fNK8e)

99 "What color is the boathouse at Hereford?"

Posted by: Waterhouse at April 07, 2012 09:10 AM (s7Vjw)

100 They weren't fairies, were they? They were elves? Whatever.

Posted by: soothsayer at April 07, 2012 09:10 AM (jUytm)

101 And I probably screwed something up in that calc.

Posted by: Vic at April 07, 2012 09:11 AM (YdQQY)

102 The Replacements.....on SpikeTV right now. .....My favorite football movie.

Posted by: wheatie at April 07, 2012 09:11 AM (+5U+B)

103 I hated Ronin. I hate all movies that include long car chases through narrow European streets.

Posted by: soothsayer at April 07, 2012 09:12 AM (jUytm)

104 Why does everyone in Game of Thrones have to have an English accent, for that matter?

Posted by: Waterhouse at April 07, 2012 09:12 AM (s7Vjw)

105 Aren't the oceans, however, a heat sink that will take some of that heat from the atmosphere?

Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at April 07, 2012 09:12 AM (UTq/I)

106 I hated Ronin.

Heresy.

Posted by: Waterhouse at April 07, 2012 09:14 AM (s7Vjw)

107 109 Why does everyone in Game of Thrones have to have an English accent, for that matter?

Posted by: Waterhouse at April 07, 2012 01:12 PM (s7Vjw)

 

Because Chinese accents would be really out of place.

Posted by: buzzion at April 07, 2012 09:14 AM (GULKT)

108 The point being, if your 4 year old says there's a boogeyman under the bed, you can go and look, and tell him "nope, nothing under there." When he says he moved to the closet, you can throw the doors open and show him nothing is there. Then the kid says something like "well, the boogeyman can make himself invisible when grownups are around," you begin to realize you're not dealing with science here. I appreciate all you nerds talking science, but you're not going to prove to these people that the boogeyman isn't real. You can't, because they believe in him.

Posted by: BurtTC at April 07, 2012 09:17 AM (Gc/Qi)

109 Posted by: Vic at April 07, 2012 01:11 PM (YdQQY)

It's easier when you start with the answer and adjust the constants accordingly

Posted by: Al Gore at April 07, 2012 09:18 AM (nEUpB)

110

It seems like American actors who have a southern accent, are better at faking a British accent. ....Probably because they already use pronunciations like 'evah' and 'bettah'....dropping their R's.

 

And British actors seem to be able to master an American southern accent quite well....often times even better than some American actors do.

Posted by: wheatie at April 07, 2012 09:18 AM (+5U+B)

111 Posted by: Waterhouse at April 07, 2012 01:14 PM (s7Vjw)

It was deeply flawed but still a huge amount of fun. And the chick with the Irish accent is smokin'!

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at April 07, 2012 09:20 AM (nEUpB)

112 Check out the photo of Mongo Mehgan McCain on Weasel Zippers. Is it any wonder 1 in 4 Americans goes hungry? She ate their food!

Posted by: CoolCzech at April 07, 2012 09:20 AM (niZvt)

113 You would use the equations I posted above but the problem is that you will never be able to find data that will tell you how fast those milk jugs radiate heat.

............................
Posted by: Vic at April 07, 2012 01:10 PM (YdQQY)


I was really hoping you wouldn't say that.
I've been doing min/max measurements inside the 'structure', and using the data from the link in my name (about 15 feet away) for comparison data.

Thanks, though!

Posted by: jwb7605 at April 07, 2012 09:21 AM (Qxe/p)

114

Omg.....that vomit scene in The Replacements....still hilarious, even though I've seen it a dozen times. ....All those boiled eggs that Jumbo ate, then hoarked on the field.

 

Hmm....boiled eggs. Maybe Spike is running this movie on Easter weekend because of that. Heh.

Posted by: wheatie at April 07, 2012 09:21 AM (+5U+B)

115 I always do a double take when I hear the singer Tom Jones speak. Can't get used to hearing a Brit accent come out the same mouth that sings, "What's new, pussycat...whooaah! whoooah!"

Posted by: soothsayer at April 07, 2012 09:22 AM (jUytm)

116 "I appreciate all you nerds talking science, but you're not going to prove to these people that the boogeyman isn't real. You can't, because they believe in him." I don't suppose the Shut the hell up and go to bed already approach will work either then.. sigh..

Posted by: StuckOnStupid at April 07, 2012 09:24 AM (R5yLq)

117 lol coolczech

Posted by: phoenixgirl at April 07, 2012 09:25 AM (Ho2rs)

118

Would Romney qualify to be called a 'White Hispanic'? ....His dad was born in Mexico.

 

Rubio would too, I guess....wouldn't he?

Posted by: wheatie, wondering out loud about weird shit, again... at April 07, 2012 09:26 AM (+5U+B)

119 "Check out the photo of Mongo Mehgan McCain on Weasel Zippers. Is it any wonder 1 in 4 Americans goes hungry? " Coolczech it's horrible of you to make fun of her because she's fat. You should be ridiculing the fact that she's stupid instead. Far more politically correct.. lol

Posted by: StuckOnStupid at April 07, 2012 09:26 AM (R5yLq)

120 Maybe some one on Ace's site should take a look at this article by John Derbyshire. "The Talk: Non-black version." http://www.johnderbyshire.com/Recent/page.html They've already condemned it at NRO, but it sound like the talk some people need to hear.

Posted by: jack at April 07, 2012 09:27 AM (XhzTz)

121 re: Mega McCain It is obvious why left-wing The Daily Bestiality publishes Meghan McCain's incoherent babblings. They're using her and she doesn't even realize it.

Posted by: soothsayer at April 07, 2012 09:27 AM (jUytm)

122 what @10 said

math are hard
HULK SMASH

Posted by: Jones in CO at April 07, 2012 09:27 AM (8sCoq)

123 "They're using her and she doesn't even realize it." As long as they have free doughnuts in the green room I doubt she cares.

Posted by: StuckOnStupid at April 07, 2012 09:28 AM (R5yLq)

124 121 - I usually put my arms around them, kiss them gently on the forehead, then tell them to shut up and go to bed already. That seems to work. Not with my kids though, I just tell them it's late, shut off the light and say "I don't want to hear from you again, unless and until the boogeyman is eating your guts."

Posted by: BurtTC at April 07, 2012 09:28 AM (Gc/Qi)

125 I can imagine that disgusting Tina Brown sitting in her office. "Hey, you guys, come in here. You gotta see what that stupid cow wrote this week!"

Posted by: soothsayer at April 07, 2012 09:28 AM (jUytm)

126 Maybe some one on Ace's site should take a look at this article by John Derbyshire. "The Talk: Non-black version."

http://www.johnderbyshire.com/Recent/page.html

They've already condemned it at NRO, but it sound like the talk some people need to hear.

Posted by: jack at April 07, 2012 01:27 PM (XhzTz)

-----------------------



Massive back and forth over that in the previous thread.  Still going on in fact.

Posted by: Vic at April 07, 2012 09:29 AM (YdQQY)

127 CHI 1 DET 0

Posted by: Jones in CO at April 07, 2012 09:29 AM (8sCoq)

128 yeah, well they should know better - but the reason why global warming is a contentious issue is because of the uneducated ignorant hordes who have no idea about what science really is, but who must strike a pose in polite society to be "pro-science" and so they end up falling for whatever a person in a lab coat, or Al Gore, tell them

Posted by: chemjeff at April 07, 2012 12:00 PM (7FadD)

So so right.  The way I put it: They treat science as if it were a religion.

Posted by: AmishDude at April 07, 2012 09:30 AM (fNK8e)

129 If any of you aren't busy, I'm having some fun with some lefties on Arby's Facebook page. I think a Moron swarm would be entertaining.

http://tinyurl.com/88uq3tz

Posted by: kbdabear at April 07, 2012 09:31 AM (Y+DPZ)

130 125 I read it last night. Here's the deal. He said a lot of stuff you just aren't allowed to say. He's going to be roundly condemned. He's going to be fired from NRO even though he doesn't write there much anymore. Spike Lee is going to tweet his address. The children he tried to protect are going to be in danger and his name is going to be anathema.


He substantiated almost all of his assertions but you just AREN'T ALLOWED to say some of that stuff anymore. It has nothing to do with facts, it's just not allowed. For example, if you say that statistically a group of young black males in dark hoodies are more dangerous than a group of white middle aged females in Lily Pulitzer dresses then you are a racist and deserve, essentially to die.


This is going to be a huge deal and any minute everyone, including ace, is going to say that Derbyshire helped Obama and hurt zimmerman and should just never have opened his mouth. Essentially, you cannot have an opinion or assert a fact that is in conflict with the mission statement of the elite progressives or the MSM.

Ugh. This is going to be so ugly.,

Posted by: dagny doesn't want to forget Andrew at April 07, 2012 09:34 AM (CMM9V)

131 BTW in that calc above I did not take it to 27° because Cp changes when you go to ice and I don't have a set of steam tables handy to check what it is.


Cp is not linear with temp either and the "real equations" for heat transfer involve calculus which I haven't done in so long I wouldn't even know where to start.  Those equation that I use are approximations which people in the power industry use.



They also are close enough for government work in the ranges that we use.

Posted by: Vic at April 07, 2012 09:34 AM (YdQQY)

132 A big difference. I believe Joe is a sincere man, not a nut, but imho he's not professionally qualified to inform us on the subject.
There are many scientists, people with the proper disciplines, that would beg to differ with Joe's findings.Posted by: Dinah Kanser


Ah, Appeal to Expert. Logical fallacy. Points deducted.

Care to try again?

Posted by: weft cut-loop [/i] [/b] at April 07, 2012 09:35 AM (JEpGb)

133 He's going to be roundly condemned. He's going to be fired from NRO even though he doesn't write there much anymore. Spike Lee is going to tweet his address. The children he tried to protect are going to be in danger and his name is going to be anathema.
-------------------------


Hell, he is being roundly condemned by our people in the previous thread but I have yet to hear anyone refute a single one of his points.

Posted by: Vic at April 07, 2012 09:35 AM (YdQQY)

134 the famous scientist and Nobel Prize winner Al Gore would differ with Joe, I'll bet

Posted by: soothsayer at April 07, 2012 09:36 AM (jUytm)

135 113 The point being, if your 4 year old says there's a boogeyman under the bed, you can go and look, and tell him "nope, nothing under there." When he says he moved to the closet, you can throw the doors open and show him nothing is there. Then the kid says something like "well, the boogeyman can make himself invisible when grownups are around," you begin to realize you're not dealing with science here.

I appreciate all you nerds talking science, but you're not going to prove to these people that the boogeyman isn't real. You can't, because they believe in him.  

Posted by: BurtTC at April 07, 2012 01:17 PM (Gc/Qi)

 

Then you do what I did... and walk in with a Naked Sword... and tell the children there are NO boogeymen here... because they are scared of Daddy's Monster Killing Sword...

 

And since Daddy KNOWS there are no Boogeymen here,  Daddy does not need to be waken up for them... and if it happens too many times... Someone is getting a spanking.

 

Problem with the AGW fraud crowd? is the spanking is not coming...

Posted by: Romeo13 at April 07, 2012 09:37 AM (lZBBB)

136 That douche bag Robert Kennedy Jr would also disagree with Joe Bastardi. And Kennedy would call Joe a traitor.

Posted by: soothsayer at April 07, 2012 09:37 AM (jUytm)

137 How to properly deal with the boogeyman.   youtube.com/watch?v=L4MOGdPzzvY

Posted by: buzzion at April 07, 2012 09:41 AM (GULKT)

138 "Then you do what I did... and walk in with a Naked Sword... and tell the children there are NO boogeymen here... because they are scared of Daddy's Monster Killing Sword... " Lol... I had an uncle on my mother's side who had a ceremonial sword that was given to him for some charity he worked with over the years. He told his daughter, my cousin, about how he had been given the sword by General Mcarthur during the war and had used it to kill Guerrilla's in the Philippines. Now my Uncle Pete always did have a really quirky sense of humor and in his defense he really was a war hero - he lost his leg in Korea. But he used to tell his daughter all of these really crazy stories about the sword. You think she would have noticed that the story changed pretty much every week but well, my cousin always was a bit gullible. I remember one day we went to the zoo together and my cousin started to cry when we got to the ape complex. Seems she thought her dad had been killing Gorilla's, not Guerillas. She wasn't old enough to understand the difference. Lol.. took me a while to calm her down and set her straight.

Posted by: StuckOnStupid at April 07, 2012 09:45 AM (R5yLq)

139 I know Vic. But I thought everyone had gotten the memo that you can't make factual statements about you-know-what. Knowing a fact makes you a racist.

Posted by: dagny doesn't want to forget Andrew at April 07, 2012 09:47 AM (CMM9V)

140 140 - I did appreciate your post above, it was clear enough for somebody like me to get what you were saying. The thing is though, you need to be properly credentialed to administer the spanking. I can't do it, I'm a nobody. If the "scientific" community is willing to be taken over by a bunch of fanatics, and there aren't enough daddies to spank them, eventually the kids will be running the house, which I believe is the case these days, is it not?

Posted by: BurtTC at April 07, 2012 09:47 AM (Gc/Qi)

141 O/T:  Here's (obviously another activist!!11!!) Judge dissing another obviously constitutional Democrat decision:

http://tinyurl.com/bowvmt5

Posted by: jwb7605 at April 07, 2012 09:49 AM (Qxe/p)

142 There now exists a new post.

Posted by: soothsayer at April 07, 2012 09:51 AM (jUytm)

143

 145.....eventually the kids will be running the house, which I believe is the case these days, is it not?

 

Lord of the Flies....comes to mind. .....Saul Alinsky probably loved that book.

Posted by: wheatie at April 07, 2012 09:51 AM (+5U+B)

144 "Lord of the Flies....comes to mind. .....Saul Alinsky probably loved that book." I waited for the movie. Then when the movie came out I said, nahh.. would never be as good as the book I didn't read. Lol

Posted by: StuckOnStupid at April 07, 2012 09:54 AM (R5yLq)

145 >Hell, he is being roundly condemned by our people in the previous thread but I have yet to hear anyone refute a single one of his points.

Posted by: Vic at April 07, 2012 01:35 PM (YdQQY)



I grew up in suburban MD, living and working in Montgomery, Prince George's, and Charles counties for 42 years. These are all counties with large black populations, PG county predominantly so. I also have worked extensively in Washington DC.

I can tell you that there is nothing in Derbyshire's article that I find major fault with.

Posted by: Jones in CO at April 07, 2012 09:55 AM (8sCoq)

146 The new post is sorta ghey though

Posted by: dagny doesn't want to forget Andrew at April 07, 2012 09:55 AM (CMM9V)

147 These are all counties with large black populations, PG county predominantly so
--------------------------


I lived in Port Deposit (Cecil County) for a while back in 1971. Small town.


The county I live in now is 42% black.

Posted by: Vic at April 07, 2012 10:12 AM (YdQQY)

148 Don't hate me because I'm beautiful!

Posted by: Atmosphere at April 07, 2012 10:23 AM (WUWb9)

149 An old friend of mine got hammered one night and devised a theory of statistics called "Probability Pressure." That's when the coin flip comes up 10x in a row heads...the probability that the next flip comes up tails is overwhelming. It sounds great...makes intuitive sense to those who don't understand...but it is catastrophically wrong. Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at April 07, 2012 12:01 PM (nEUpB) This friend of yours wouldn't happen to go by the name of Guildenstern, would he?

Posted by: IllTemperedCur at April 07, 2012 10:25 AM (FIE/L)

150 Horrific abusus of science aside, all taxes are taxes on the consumer, immediately or eventually.

Posted by: Merovign, Dark Lord of the Sith's Mobile at April 07, 2012 10:51 AM (AjZhM)

151

Posted by: BurtTC at April 07, 2012 01:47 PM (Gc/Qi)

 

ah... but I do have a 'Credential' which says I can spank... its the Birth Certificate which has me listed as 'Father'

 

But for the AGW crowd?  They should be up on charges of Fraud... they were not just wrong, but they knowingly LIED to the public... and yes, because our Tax dollars are used for this fraud, we would have standing as we ALL were damaged by this.

Posted by: Romeo13 at April 07, 2012 11:03 AM (lZBBB)

152 This friend of yours wouldn't happen to go by the name of Guildenstern, would he?

 

Posted by: IllTemperedCur at April 07, 2012 02:25 PM (FIE/L)

 

Is that where he went?  I thought we were going to Denmark or somthing...

Posted by: Morgenstern at April 07, 2012 11:03 AM (lZBBB)

153 Did you call?

Posted by: Throckmorton P. Gildersleeve at April 07, 2012 11:14 AM (rNmq0)

154 This friend of yours wouldn't happen to go by the name of Guildenstern, would he? Posted by: IllTemperedCur at April 07, 2012 02:25 PM (FIE/L) Is that where he went? I thought we were going to Denmark or somthing... Posted by: Morgenstern at April 07, 2012 03:03 PM (lZBBB) No, but he's dead.

Posted by: Tom Stoppard at April 07, 2012 11:24 AM (FIE/L)

155

Hey, there Throckmortons of Teh Right.  It's official that we hate science--because now there's a book saying exactly that. 

 

Because it's not just science...it's neuroscience.  Try to wrap your amygdalas around that (Mine has been continually stimulated since January 20, 2009).     

Posted by: Big Fat Meanie at April 07, 2012 12:18 PM (Ec6wH)

156 Link fail...http://www.waronscience.com/home.php 

Posted by: Big Fat Meanie at April 07, 2012 12:19 PM (Ec6wH)

157 @ #137weft cut-loop.
simply put, fuck you.
 Go play your editorial nazi fantasy on someone else.
This aint my first rodeo.
 I speak from the heart and what I say is true about ole Joe.
The only one here contrived is looking at you in the mirror
Get over yourself.
 Don't post if you can't contribute to the proceedings.
There are plenty of other boards for petulant children, such as yourself, to post on, to your hearts content. Major pwnage, dood.
In closing... fuck you (again) and the horse you came in on.
Sincerely
- Dinah

D/N/T

Posted by: Dinah Kanser at April 07, 2012 04:53 PM (db4pz)

158

Sooo what will the fire dept use to put out fires? AGW crowd=RICO.

Ya know the Mafia is facepalming saying "Hows da fuck does we get a piece of dis here?". 

Posted by: hutch1200 at April 07, 2012 06:34 PM (YzN0z)

159 Obama is a stuttering clusterf*ck of a miserable failure.

Posted by: steevy at April 07, 2012 07:18 PM (7W3wI)

Hide Comments | Add Comment | Refresh | Top

Comments are disabled. Post is locked.
153kb generated in CPU 0.0408, elapsed 0.2795 seconds.
64 queries taking 0.2488 seconds, 287 records returned.
Powered by Minx 1.1.6c-pink.