August 27, 2012
— Ace 47-46, which is MoE, of course, but that's with a D+9 skew. It's a poll of adults, though I think they restrict the head-to-head question to registered voters.
What it's not is a likely voter poll.
Fewer voters place great significance on other issues that have roiled the campaign, including newly minted GOP vice presidential candidateÂ’s plan to restructure Medicare, differences between the parties on womenÂ’s issues and RomneyÂ’s handling of his tax returns.
Among registered voters, Obama has a 47/50 approve/disapprove rating on job performance. Why the Wapo even bothers to report the numbers for All Adults, I don't know. Will All Adults be voting in this election?
Gabe mentioned this in the Headlines Post, but it's pretty sweet: Michigan is now deadlocked.
Just ten days ago, Obama led Romney by 5% (49%-44%). The race was tied in Mitchell Polls conducted in June (June 18, 2012) when Obama led 47%-46% and one month ago (July 24, 2012) when Romney led 45%-44%.
The Media... is meanwhile pushing the idea that the wheels have fallen off the Romney Bus and he's in desperate need of a "reboot."
Tied in polls (really ahead), and he's the one who has to remake himself. Not The Precious, of course.
Posted by: Ace at
08:58 AM
| Comments (182)
Michigan is proving once gain to be a battle ground state. In the most recent poll, Romney and Obama are tied at 47% with 3% voting for someone else and 3% undecided.
Post contains 290 words, total size 2 kb.
Posted by: phoenixgirl, team dagny & team armstrong at August 27, 2012 09:00 AM (Ho2rs)
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at August 27, 2012 09:01 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: sven10077 at August 27, 2012 09:02 AM (LRFds)
How long has MI been blue? Decades, at least. And this time it is (at least) competitive, and I'm leaning towards it going Red in November.
Is there a path to victory for Democrats that doesn't include either MI or WI? 'Cause I don't think they're getting either.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at August 27, 2012 09:02 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at August 27, 2012 09:05 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: tasker at August 27, 2012 09:05 AM (r2PLg)
Posted by: O-H-I-O vs O-I-H-O at August 27, 2012 09:05 AM (msPO3)
Posted by: joncelli, heartless Con and all around unpleasant guy at August 27, 2012 09:06 AM (RD7QR)
Posted by: RushBabe at August 27, 2012 09:07 AM (oohlJ)
Posted by: MikeTheMoose Lite! 98% Anger Free! at August 27, 2012 09:07 AM (A3a2X)
Posted by: Yoda Wolf at August 27, 2012 09:07 AM (RD7QR)
Posted by: Y-not at August 27, 2012 09:08 AM (5H6zj)
Posted by: Truman North, iPhone doofus at August 27, 2012 09:08 AM (GkrqZ)
//OT Summer of Guns XXXIV
A student has been shot at a Baltimore County high school, and police say a suspect is in custody.
County police say the Perry Hall High School student was flown to a hospital after being shot Monday morning. Police say a suspect was taken into custody after the shooting but did not provide additional details.
Man I miss Baltimore...sort of like I miss that wart I had at the base of my spine...
Posted by: sven10077 at August 27, 2012 09:09 AM (LRFds)
Posted by: Berserker at August 27, 2012 09:09 AM (FMbng)
Posted by: Big Fat Meanie at August 27, 2012 09:09 AM (Ec6wH)
FIFY
Posted by: Sean Bannion at August 27, 2012 09:10 AM (sbV1u)
Posted by: Nevergiveup at August 27, 2012 09:10 AM (05RcU)
Looking at the clip now that I am back home and not on my 'droid Vhris Tingles looks pudgier and more sunken eyes all at the same time....
Chris get help, liquid diets are not supposed to be Chivas based buddy
Posted by: sven10077 at August 27, 2012 09:11 AM (LRFds)
Posted by: Truman North, iPhone doofus at August 27, 2012 09:11 AM (GkrqZ)
It's all proceeding according to my plan!
Posted by: Reggie Love at August 27, 2012 09:11 AM (sbV1u)
Pudding will be ordered forthwith, posthaste, and in vast quantities.
Posted by: Chariots of Toast at August 27, 2012 09:12 AM (ksERZ)
Ras has always peaked for BAM! on Monday since the race got serious, and Romney usually peaks on Thursday...
"we'll see"
I think where Ras is tightening up and may swing is he oversamples women a bit....
"magic cookie dough"
Posted by: sven10077 at August 27, 2012 09:12 AM (LRFds)
Spin! Michigan is never a battle ground state--it hasn't gone R since 1988.
Better lead: "Against all Obama Campaign expectations, Michigan is proving to be a battle ground, a fact that could shake up the race for president by causing President Obama to shift resources to defend a usually solid blue state."
Posted by: edj at August 27, 2012 09:13 AM (+QKfp)
Posted by: Yoda Wolf at August 27, 2012 09:13 AM (RD7QR)
Posted by: Tingles the Dog Whistler at August 27, 2012 09:13 AM (i0vBR)
Posted by: El Kabong at August 27, 2012 09:13 AM (daLmX)
If there's anyone who can find that "path," I'd say President "WTF is this 'Constitution' shit?" Choomer is the one.
I'm sure he has plans in hand for any eventuality -- including getting his ass handed to him at the polls.
BTW: Here in Eastern MA, I'm seeing a whole lotta yards signs for Romney. More, by far, than I would have expected.
Posted by: MrScribbler at August 27, 2012 09:13 AM (wZI4b)
Posted by: Truman North, iPhone doofus at August 27, 2012 09:14 AM (GkrqZ)
How likely is it that ABC/WaPo already did the likely voter poll and found the results to be suicide-inducing? They could have buried those results and just went with the adult voters instead.
Posted by: EC at August 27, 2012 09:14 AM (GQ8sn)
Posted by: t-bird at August 27, 2012 09:14 AM (FcR7P)
Posted by: H Badger at August 27, 2012 09:14 AM (n/0Nw)
IOW - Fear the power of the metrosexual oompah loompah!!!!
Posted by: Chariots of Toast at August 27, 2012 09:14 AM (ksERZ)
Posted by: WalrusRex at August 27, 2012 09:15 AM (Hx5uv)
"The Media... is meanwhile pushing the idea that the wheels have fallen off the Romney Bus"
***
Bless their blackened hearts
Posted by: dananjcon at August 27, 2012 09:15 AM (eavT+)
Posted by: Truman North, iPhone doofus at August 27, 2012 09:15 AM (GkrqZ)
Posted by: Truman North, iPhone doofus at August 27, 2012 01:11 PM (GkrqZ)
----------------------------------------
Sometimes we joke about this, but if the SCOAMT gets really pasted on Nov. 6, I don't see him staying in the country.
The only reason I could see him staying in the US is to do some more agitatin'.
Posted by: Soona at August 27, 2012 09:15 AM (s3xkA)
Posted by: The DNC at August 27, 2012 09:15 AM (FcR7P)
Hey, I live in California ........ where's our nail-biter poll?
Yeah, sarc off (wipes tear from cheek).
Posted by: joanne at August 27, 2012 09:16 AM (VNFBf)
Posted by: Nevergiveup at August 27, 2012 09:16 AM (05RcU)
Posted by: DangerGirl AKA Ellke Deadly at August 27, 2012 09:16 AM (zgh7Z)
---
Too bad Michael Jackson is dead. He could re-work Ebony and Ivory to Orange and Beige.
Posted by: WalrusRex at August 27, 2012 09:16 AM (Hx5uv)
Posted by: Chariots of Toast at August 27, 2012 09:17 AM (ksERZ)
Posted by: El Kabong at August 27, 2012 09:17 AM (daLmX)
Posted by: Dr. Gergenfly Tardyaso at August 27, 2012 09:17 AM (aHR5E)
Obviously, our declarations that Akin is an unrepresentative idjit worked.
Posted by: Meiczyslaw at August 27, 2012 09:17 AM (4+LTj)
So if this dogshite poll gets adjusted to at least reside a zip code over from reality, you get RMoney at +8, and that's with a D+2 skew. Put it at 2010 midterm levels, and it's RMoney +10.
===============
Stop it, I'm at work and can not afford the
repercussions
of a boner right now!
Posted by: Jay at August 27, 2012 09:17 AM (3LaGb)
Posted by: GuyfromNH at August 27, 2012 09:17 AM (YOe1f)
Among registered voters, Obama has a 47/50 approve/disapprove rating on job performance.
So what we can glean from this is that registered voters, as a whole, are idiots. Am I right? How can that approval rating be so close to a tie? How can Bammy's approval numbers not be in the 20%'s? It's mind-boggling.
Of course, "All Adults" are MORE idiotic as a whole, but since most adults wouldn't know the difference between a "ballot" and a "ballet," we can safely ignore them. Registered voters have at least taken the effort to register, even if they aren't planning to vote. How on earth can they be so stupid?
Don't answer that. It's too depressing.
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit and ABO Supporter [/i][/u][/b] at August 27, 2012 09:17 AM (4df7R)
"How long has MI been blue? Decades, at least. And this time it is (at least) competitive, and I'm leaning towards it going Red in November."
The more people that move out of Detroit, the less bluer the blue?
Posted by: Cicero Kid at August 27, 2012 09:17 AM (krPCi)
---
And Crist. Don't forget Crist.
Posted by: mediumheadboy at August 27, 2012 09:18 AM (aHR5E)
The MFM knows this, of course, but as agents of Hussein they will continue the 'horse race / dead heat' Total Bullsh_t. Seventy more days of lies...
Posted by: Flo in Florida at August 27, 2012 09:18 AM (Dll6b)
Fresh out of nail-biter polls. All we got left is fiscal oblivion. You want some?
Posted by: Governor Moonbeam at August 27, 2012 09:19 AM (sbV1u)
Posted by: Warden at August 27, 2012 09:19 AM (0DlnM)
Posted by: SpongeBob Saget at August 27, 2012 09:19 AM (SDkq3)
Posted by: WalrusRex at August 27, 2012 09:19 AM (Hx5uv)
Posted by: Cicero Kid at August 27, 2012 01:17 PM (krPCi)
The problem is they are all moving to Atlanta and turning GA Blue.
Posted by: Vic at August 27, 2012 09:20 AM (YdQQY)
Obama better work on his Indonesia / Pakistan visas, Maybe do some Nike commercials.
Posted by: Flo in Florida at August 27, 2012 09:20 AM (Dll6b)
Posted by: Fred at August 27, 2012 09:20 AM (ETWo2)
But I have little doubt that MA will provide the expected Pavlovian reaction and vote for JoeK3 because he has the Sainted Name. Don't see much positive reaction to Ace's BFF, Sean Beilat.
Bark Obama may well win the state easily, but it could be a helluva lot closer in Essex County. That won't balance out the Cape Cod vote, alas.
Posted by: MrScribbler at August 27, 2012 09:20 AM (wZI4b)
Posted by: The DNC Weather Bureau at August 27, 2012 09:20 AM (FcR7P)
Posted by: Tattoo De Plane at August 27, 2012 09:21 AM (i0vBR)
---
Who do the dead always vote for?
Posted by: mediumheadboy at August 27, 2012 09:21 AM (aHR5E)
someone alert the media....
Posted by: Flo in Florida at August 27, 2012 09:22 AM (Dll6b)
Posted by: Isophorone at August 27, 2012 09:22 AM (7HTKr)
Posted by: DangerGirl AKA Ellke Deadly at August 27, 2012 09:22 AM (rY8rX)
The D+9 sample is among adults and (predictably) has Obama up higher at 49-42.
Still skewed too heavily D though.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at August 27, 2012 09:22 AM (SY2Kh)
Well, maybe if the RNC weren't so vitalist, more of our Otherly Living Americans would vote for them.
Posted by: The DNC at August 27, 2012 09:23 AM (8y9MW)
The Obama and Kaine signs flowered in my little town this weekend. It is a settlement of leftists, most quite wealthy, and they thank you for the million dollar contribution you peons made to bury the utility lines in the village so they don't have to look at them.
Posted by: Jinx the Cat at August 27, 2012 09:23 AM (l3vZN)
Posted by: tdpwells at August 27, 2012 09:23 AM (7vA7k)
Posted by: Y-not at August 27, 2012 09:24 AM (5H6zj)
Posted by: Nevergiveup at August 27, 2012 09:24 AM (05RcU)
I know. The right's disenfranchisement of Necro-Americans is truly shameful.
Posted by: mediumheadboy at August 27, 2012 09:24 AM (aHR5E)
But then they turn around and use the ALL Adults for the opinion stuff.
That's ok, I think, as long as it is noted.. the problem comes in when they try to relate the two..using opinion stuff as reasoning for the head-to-head results.
Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at August 27, 2012 09:25 AM (f9c2L)
Probably will be a R + 2 or + 3 turnout---any poll which does not have a sampling of even split D / R is bullsh+t. Today's poll was bullsh_t
much bullsh_t out there, there is...
Posted by: Flo in Florida at August 27, 2012 09:25 AM (Dll6b)
Posted by: Jinx the Cat at August 27, 2012 01:23 PM (l3vZN)
Not gonna lie, I wish we would do that in my city if only so we don't lose power every time someone farts near a power line. Or a leaf falls. Or someone breathes too hard next to one.
Posted by: tdpwells at August 27, 2012 09:25 AM (7vA7k)
Fiscal restraint? Never heard of it...
//Chaz Bono, trannie
Posted by: sven10077 at August 27, 2012 01:19 PM (LRFds)
FIFY!!!!
Posted by: joanne at August 27, 2012 09:26 AM (VNFBf)
Vote fraud. Lots of vote fraud. Remember the small handful of cities that had more votes than residents in the past elections?
It won't be a small handful this time. If he does it and wins, the DOJ will tamp down any complaints of vote fraud. If its not enough and he still loses, he don't give a shit because its some other schmucks who'll be going to prison over it.
Posted by: @PurpAv at August 27, 2012 09:26 AM (COZLs)
Posted by: Winston Grey Wolf at August 27, 2012 09:27 AM (/ZZCn)
Posted by: Nevergiveup at August 27, 2012 09:27 AM (05RcU)
Posted by: jeremiah Gosh Darn Amerikkka Wright at August 27, 2012 09:27 AM (ovpNn)
That can be hit-or-miss.
The house I'm in now has buried lines, but the power still goes out in the wimpiest of wind storms. This is because the local power station keeps going down in said storms- I'm not sure why.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at August 27, 2012 09:27 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: jjshaka at August 27, 2012 09:27 AM (Y4xvF)
Fiscal restraint? Never heard of it...
---
Now, sexual restraints, I've heard of those.
Posted by: Governor Moonbeam at August 27, 2012 09:28 AM (Hx5uv)
Posted by: rockmom at August 27, 2012 09:28 AM (NYnoe)
Posted by: Tattoo De Plane at August 27, 2012 09:28 AM (i0vBR)
No, no, no! I distinctly heard Gloria Borger say last night on CNN that Michigan is a solid Obama state and Romney has NO chance there. None. No chance.
So the polling must be wrong.
I would love the Republican Party to become an upper mid-west party, I think that would be more representive of my views.
I like polite. They are much more polite in the mid-west. And I don't get how they went so Democrat in the first place. Democrats are Hollywood values types, not mid-west values types.
Find a new home here mid-westerners.
Posted by: petunia at August 27, 2012 09:29 AM (hgrmi)
Posted by: dfbaskwill at August 27, 2012 09:29 AM (71LDo)
This is the second of these responses, and I get it (really I do) but my question was actually fairly serious. Barring massive vote fraud or just calling off the election, is there any (realistic) path to the Presidency that does not include either WI or MI (that is: they both go Red)? Because I'm thinking the answer is 'no.'
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at August 27, 2012 09:29 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: Y-not at August 27, 2012 09:29 AM (5H6zj)
Posted by: Hurricane Isaac at August 27, 2012 09:31 AM (w062R)
Posted by: Y-not at August 27, 2012 09:31 AM (5H6zj)
Posted by: Brother Cavil, covering his bases at August 27, 2012 09:32 AM (GBXon)
Posted by: rockmom at August 27, 2012 09:32 AM (qE3AR)
Posted by: t-bird at August 27, 2012 09:32 AM (FcR7P)
It is numerically possible. The answer lies in how many other states go red before they do (I don't know), and whether any red states go blue if they do (doubtful).
Posted by: Meiczyslaw at August 27, 2012 09:32 AM (4+LTj)
I'm not. MI has a Republican Governor and Legislature for the first time in I-can't-remember. They are popular enough that the Democrats had to drop a plan to recall their Governor.
Business- outside of Detroit- is positively booming (well, relatively speaking), and even Detroit is getting a little better. My not-quite Yooper in-laws* (most of whom are completely apolitical) even realize that the difference is the fact that Republicans are in office.
I see a serious chance that MI goes Red.
*- They're Yoopers by behavior, but they live in and around Traverse City.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at August 27, 2012 09:33 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: Nicholas Kronos at August 27, 2012 09:34 AM (EAk6R)
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at August 27, 2012 01:27 PM (8y9MW
----------------------------------------------------
Even though you have your lines buried in your neighborhood, doesn't mean that the lines leading up to your neighborhood aren't on poles.
Buried neighborhood lines here in OK, though, do give some of us an advantage when we get ice storms.
Posted by: Soona at August 27, 2012 09:35 AM (s3xkA)
Indianapolis Metro's donk areas have no Ogabe love in the yards, neither do Dayton Ohio's....I am going to drive into a few other democrat strongholds but I am cautious in my optimism but optimistic nonetheless...
Posted by: sven10077 at August 27, 2012 09:35 AM (LRFds)
Posted by: Mikey NTH wondering if the water in Missouri is being tested at August 27, 2012 09:35 AM (hLRSq)
Now vote fraud in large cities of OH and FL can have an impact, which is why the Democommies fight voter ID so assiduously.
The other place where vote fraud has a major impact is Senatorial elections.
Posted by: Vic at August 27, 2012 09:36 AM (YdQQY)
If it has not already been stated, I'd like to offer this:
SUCK IT EEYORS! Next time you need to share the despair, please consider whether short term misfortune is really the same as long term Doom.
Yes - we're going to lose in the end, some time years from now, cuz the libtards are destroying the culture. Yes, bad things happen in the near term that are setbacks. But let's get real. If every act of stoopidness were doom, then the Dems would get about 10% of the vote. They're so full of fail and nauseating evil that if folks could remember that shit for more than about 72 hours the demoturds would be unable to win an election for dog catcher.
Posted by: Reactionary at August 27, 2012 09:36 AM (xUM1Q)
they would not be on camera orgasmic over the idea of dead people to hurt the GOP if the GOP were not needing hurting...
Posted by: sven10077 at August 27, 2012 09:36 AM (LRFds)
You don't need media polling to know that Obama is in deep doo doo. Just watch the ways in which the media behaves. Keep in mind the entire liberal media has access to the internal, i.e., actual, polling data. If Obama was ahead the media of course still would be pushing their agendas but the tone would be a lot different. They'd be at level 7 instead of already ginned up to 11. I suspect if the election were tomorrow that Romney would win the Electoral College, albeit very narrowly. But the key point is that the media-Democrat complex is like a cornered, wounded animal. It's extremely dangerous. It will take a herculean effort to win this election. Conservatives need to grow up, to put down their litmus tests, to forget about their messages, and to get off their arses and actually vote. The rest should take care of itself.
Posted by: Tsar Nicholas II at August 27, 2012 09:37 AM (f8XyF)
y-not,
The Romney campaign is very confident about Colorado.
I think R/R take CO, WI, MI, FL (along with Iowa, VA, NC) and thus, the White House.
Posted by: Jay at August 27, 2012 09:37 AM (3LaGb)
However, flooding will take out a plant. Ask the folks in Japan.
Posted by: Vic at August 27, 2012 09:38 AM (YdQQY)
Posted by: Brother Cavil, covering his bases at August 27, 2012 01:32 PM (GBXon)
-----------------------------------------------
You're right. He and Moochelle will be too busy stealing and loading up shit from the WH.
Posted by: Soona at August 27, 2012 09:39 AM (s3xkA)
What's serious is that the actual vote isn't going to matter unless its so overwhelming it overcomes the MOF.
The US electoral process is more systemically compromised by fraud than some 3rd world countries. Even a brand new nation like Iraq managed to execute an election that had more vote integrity than our elections do (for the ones who managed to actually to the polls in IRaq)
Wow, purple finger dye to prevent double voting...what a revolutionary concept!!! We can't even get the Democrats to agree that vote integrity is necessary.
Posted by: @PurpAv at August 27, 2012 09:39 AM (COZLs)
Not a single one.
Posted by: GuyfromNH at August 27, 2012 01:17 PM (YOe1f)
Whereabouts in NH are you, GfNH? I'm in the Concord area. I've seen a few Obama/Biden signs (not to mention Kuster, Hassan and Cilley) here in the capital. Once you get out past the city fringes, though, things become MUCH more diverse. I counted yard signs last week while I was driving home up Route 3, and my very unscientific survey turned up 24 Republican-related signs to only 15 Democrat-related signs. And that's in the immediate Concord area! I imagine the difference would be even more stark in the more rural areas.
Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit and ABO Supporter [/i][/u][/b] at August 27, 2012 09:39 AM (4df7R)
Posted by: Nicholas Kronos at August 27, 2012 01:34 PM (EAk6R)
LOL. There is some humor in that. Live by the grievance mongering, and then die by it. But sadly the libtards are so committed to leftism that the Party could order them to sacrifice their children on a burning altar to Baal and they'd do it. This will not really win us anything.
Posted by: Reactionary at August 27, 2012 09:40 AM (xUM1Q)
bang on and I knew Ohio would be hurting from Cleveland/Akron/Youngstown in '04....
Ohio passed voter ID, and they have a strong State anti-fraud groundwork...
Husted and DeWine are welcoming the chance to put people in Prison
Posted by: sven10077 at August 27, 2012 09:40 AM (LRFds)
It's not a power plant, it's a substation.
Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at August 27, 2012 09:40 AM (8y9MW)
Posted by: Y-not at August 27, 2012 09:40 AM (5H6zj)
Posted by: Y-not at August 27, 2012 09:41 AM (5H6zj)
we as a nation have decided for better or worse not to be bothered by 3=5% Fraud, I suspect Obama got 7-9% fraud in the PV in some states....
this could be the election that has the matter explode.
Posted by: sven10077 at August 27, 2012 09:42 AM (LRFds)
Posted by: Honey the Badger Tibialis at August 27, 2012 09:42 AM (GvYeG)
Posted by: t-bird at August 27, 2012 09:43 AM (FcR7P)
To answer Allen G's question, I can't see a scenario where Obama loses MI & WI but wins the election.
I guess if you play with the map enough it would make sense but it is hard to envision practically.
Posted by: Jay at August 27, 2012 09:43 AM (3LaGb)
FWIW, I was at the Woodward Ave DreamCruise (Metro Detroit) last week and someone had a sampling of anti-Obama posters decorating his car as he drove down the street. I didn't hear any moaning and groaning about it, rather it was a positive and humorous reaction by the crowd.
BTW, if you ever have a chance to go, it will be the best 6 hours you ever spent in a lawn chair.
Posted by: Jinx the Cat at August 27, 2012 09:44 AM (l3vZN)
Posted by: sven10077 at August 27, 2012 01:42 PM (LRFds)
Could be, but I've seen so little action on the part of the Republicans on this matter that I'm not terribly hopeful. I remember when B1 Bob lost his seat due to obvious election fraud, yet nothing was done to rectify it. Insuring vote integrity is largely up to the states now, and unfortunately that means we suffer. Only states run by conservatives will try to keep the vote honest. Libtarded states will be full-on Banana Republic style election fixers.
Posted by: Reactionary at August 27, 2012 09:44 AM (xUM1Q)
Posted by: Soona at August 27, 2012 09:45 AM (s3xkA)
Ohio fixed it, MN is seeing the need for it, and I think we are about to see a reformer streak in the US that has not been seen since TR in intensity.
Posted by: sven10077 at August 27, 2012 09:46 AM (LRFds)
Posted by: Hurricane Isaac at August 27, 2012 09:46 AM (w062R)
Posted by: Soona at August 27, 2012 01:45 PM (s3xkA)
Hmmm. If the Reps somehow pulled that off, I'd probably have a heart attack and die. With a big smile on my face. Alas, I'm probably safe...
Posted by: Reactionary at August 27, 2012 09:47 AM (xUM1Q)
I have to admit that the Rasmussen poll is bugging me. This isn't just a weekend lead for Zero, Ras had had him in the lead for about a week now.
I'm still predicting Romney taking PA, for the record. (as if it matters)
Posted by: Damn Sockpuppet at August 27, 2012 09:47 AM (YmPwQ)
Posted by: JackStraw at August 27, 2012 09:47 AM (TMB3S)
Posted by: The littl shyning man at August 27, 2012 09:47 AM (yjA3C)
Only if there's a Romney win and a new DOJ that's inclined to start prosecuting and actually throwing people in prison.
Federal laws about vote fraud need to be changed as well. Double voting needs to be a mandatory LWOP sentence. The penalty needs to be so harsh that nobody would ever consider doing it.
In fact all of the basic principles a republic depends on need to be LWOP crimes when violated. Vote fraud, police/prosecutorial/judicial misconduct, etc. The public NEEDS to believe the critical core of the system works.
We don't have that today.
Posted by: @PurpAv at August 27, 2012 09:48 AM (COZLs)
Posted by: sven10077 at August 27, 2012 01:46 PM (LRFds)
I hope and pray that you are correct. It would be glorious. If only we could get the electoral process back in line, maybe then we could finally get to work on the damned public schools and the entitlement culture. So much is so very damaged...
Posted by: Reactionary at August 27, 2012 09:49 AM (xUM1Q)
Ras has had Mitt tied with BAM! on Thurs IIRC then down one fri and sat, and 3 today....
Panic time is if it stays that way through friday....
"we'll see"
Thus far the pattern has mostly held.
Posted by: sven10077 at August 27, 2012 09:49 AM (LRFds)
Posted by: David Brooks at August 27, 2012 09:49 AM (Hx5uv)
Prediction:
- He will be late for his speech
- Michelle will stand in the background the whole time and glower at the audience.
- JEF literally will not understand how this could have happened, and his speech will indicate that.
And for the umpteenth time in my life I will be proud of my country.
Posted by: Sean Bannion at August 27, 2012 09:50 AM (sbV1u)
Posted by: @PurpAv at August 27, 2012 01:48 PM (COZLs)
Amen, and amen. Well said. I'd also be willing to go with amputation of the arm that was used to do the crime. Cheaper for the taxpayer that way.
Posted by: Reactionary at August 27, 2012 09:51 AM (xUM1Q)
Narcissists don't concede, they fix blame on others.
Posted by: @PurpAv at August 27, 2012 09:51 AM (COZLs)
Posted by: FRONT TOWARD LEFT at August 27, 2012 09:51 AM (ogdab)
Posted by: Y-not at August 27, 2012 09:53 AM (5H6zj)
---
My dream is those two in the Joe Gillis role.
Posted by: mediumheadboy at August 27, 2012 09:54 AM (aHR5E)
Posted by: Reactionary at August 27, 2012 01:49 PM (xUM1Q)
----------------------------------------------
Damage repair will be generational. It's one of the reasons why I say that the education system in this nation has to be one of the first things the Romney admin should deal with.
Posted by: Soona at August 27, 2012 09:54 AM (s3xkA)
Enforcing the law is RACIST!
Posted by: Vic at August 27, 2012 09:54 AM (YdQQY)
Posted by: Mary Clogginstein from Brattleboro,Vt at August 27, 2012 09:54 AM (48wze)
Narcissists don't concede, they fix blame on others.
Posted by: @PurpAv at August 27, 2012 01:51 PM (COZLs)
That would be magnificent. Something like that could spark up a Dem civil war. Indeed, if we win this one, we should seek to encourage it by having as public a debate as possible over which demoturds helped our side the most. I'd love to see the Left and Uber-Left going all Lenis vs. Trotsky on each other. No matter who ends up with an ice pick in the head, it's all good.
Posted by: Reactionary at August 27, 2012 09:55 AM (xUM1Q)
I'm guessing that rankles the small percentage of old school dems that are still left.
Posted by: @PurpAv at August 27, 2012 09:59 AM (COZLs)
Rasmussen had the same number on Monday after the Aug jobs report....where Obama was 47/44 go check it out....that was about 2.5 weeks ago....over the weekend that always happens because you poll more Dems over the weekend....a trend...are you kidding....of 27 days Mitt has been ahead 22 of them....Weekend days are Obama's best but that happens each week....the three point was the same on the 6th of Aug and look at Ras little spiel...he says the same thing everytime..."the three point lead is the largest for the President since May" he needs to adjust that....it was the same on Aug 6th of Aug...LOL!!
Gallup has Mitt up by one over Obama...Ras has been off the last few days. He had Obama up in MO yet the next day Mason-Dixon had Mitt up by 7 over Obama in MO. Sounds to me that Rasmussen is off on his polling because he is going the opposite of everyone else...sorry...
Posted by: bluerose75 at August 27, 2012 10:02 AM (HDcKc)
Posted by: ParanoidGirlInSeattle at August 27, 2012 10:05 AM (RZ8pf)
Posted by: bluerose75 at August 27, 2012 10:15 AM (HDcKc)
I've been saying for a couple of months now that Romney was looking very good in Colorado.
It wasn't just idle speculation or me pulling stuff out of my ass.
I know what kind of organization they're putting together, and the demographic they're playing for. I predict a win by 4-5% or so.
Virginia is a far different proposition. The Romney GOTV game there (in Northern VA at least) is building into something utterly terrifying in its size and coordination, but it's still going to be a hell of a fight. I've swung around so much on the state since 2011, from thinking it was probably a lost cause to thinking that we're ever-so-slightly favored now, especially because the guys running the show on top are data-mining freaks who never, ever, ever seem to sleep...and that's in July and August. By contrast, the Obama effort in NoVA feels slightly moribund. It's formidable, don't doubt it, but it's largely built on the skeleton of the 2008 effort, and it isn't a great fit with the current demographic he needs to target in 2012.
I will be surprised if Romney carries WI or MI. Not *VERY* surprised, but surprised.
Oh, and a little birdie (several little birdies, really) told me that the state of play in New Hampshire is significantly more favorable to Romney right now than any public polling has shown. I'm expecting him to carry the state.
Posted by: Jeff B. at August 27, 2012 10:20 AM (Z2wcK)
Posted by: El Kabong at August 27, 2012 01:17 PM (daLmX)
Yep, in 2008, when obama was spending money like a hip-hop mogul, it was way cool. No worries about all the money the Arab street was dropping on him or other campaign illegalities. He was the Man of New Millenium, President of the World (POTOW) , so it was just wonderful because the world would finally love us. What we got was President of the Golf Cart/B'Brackets/Money Launderer Supreme and Chief Naptaker.
Posted by: Will Be Taking Applications and Assimilating The Love-slaves at August 27, 2012 10:20 AM (kXoT0)
I'm in Philly. Ther Dems are very upset abut the voter ID law. They can't afford to run the numbers up too high, everyone is watching and the state would love nothing better than to provide the proof of voter fraud that the ACLU said doesn't exist. Couple that with the trade union anger at the UE rate and the "red" trend in the Philly 'burbs.
Romney takes PA almost comfortably.
Posted by: Damn Sockpuppet at August 27, 2012 10:21 AM (YmPwQ)
Posted by: Will Be Taking Applications and Assimilating The Love-slaves at August 27, 2012 10:27 AM (kXoT0)
Posted by: Bill from Chappaqua at August 27, 2012 11:01 AM (8BaAK)
Posted by: avi at August 27, 2012 12:28 PM (51xVX)
Barring that, I can't imagine Romney will lose any swing/battleground state, and he'll probably win Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan as well.
But I'm still terrified of what a post Nov. 6 President Obama will do.
Posted by: sb at August 27, 2012 12:41 PM (80w08)
Posted by: steevy at August 27, 2012 01:10 PM (6o4Fb)
SB,
Yes, you should be. I'd say if the JEF wins every gun and ammo manufacturer in the country is going to be selling everything they can possibly shove out the door--right up to the time JEF issues an EO making it illegal.
Want some really bad news? Rasmussen has the JEF up. God help us, we live in a country half-full of total fools.
Posted by: mac at August 27, 2012 02:03 PM (q8MrE)
Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at August 27, 2012 02:04 PM (5e6JG)
Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at August 27, 2012 02:06 PM (5e6JG)
Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at August 27, 2012 02:10 PM (5e6JG)
Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at August 27, 2012 02:12 PM (5e6JG)
Posted by: GuyfromNH at August 27, 2012 04:19 PM (kbOju)
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Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) Channelling Breitbart at August 27, 2012 09:00 AM (8y9MW)