1 Do you need help covering Florida? Is there anything I can do?

2 you mean racist forecast don't you?

3
What are we looking at here, twenty-thirty parts?

4 What's up with all the white?

5 Barack Obama is a stuttering clusterf*ck of a miserable tyrant.

6 I would have thought WA would be a likely Dem state.  Has not voted Rep for President since Reagan.  Has had 2 Dem senators since 2000.

7 All thematic maps need a legend!

8 For those who missed the prior thread...  What do all the pretty colors mean?

9 What are the EV totals for each category?

10 With so much white in this map, it is obviously racist.

11 Political scientists make shitty cartographers.

12

The way I read the map, the white areas are those states that are the swing states.  The people there haven't indicated which way they might go in November.  I'm in Ohio, in Cleveland and my neighbors are the idiots who kept sending Dennis Kucinich back to congress year after year.  G*d only knows which way they'll vote in November!!

13

Showing those states in white.....that will probably be declared...'Raacist!'

 

Nice map, CAC.

14
So you reckon you can make EV forecasts with a Romney/? ticket?

15 WA, OR & MN are not "likely" states for Obama? I hope you're right but this feels like a Winston Wolf moment.

16 In 2004--the local media in Nevada was wondering why the Big Media was not calling Nevada. They had it called hours before the national media did.

17
If Mitt chooses Rubio, the whole complexion of the EV map changes.

Same thing holds true if Mitt chooses Portman or Pawlenty.

18 Nevada might be the nail biter again. So it would be nice to get Nevada morons.

19 When's the boobies thread?

20 Do you need help covering Florida? Is there anything I can do?

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at June 21, 2012 03:18 PM (piMMO)

 

Florida is dead to us, look at the map

21 And in Florida always remember--particularly on election night-- The Panhandle votes Conservative--and they are in a later time zone.

22 CAC:

You need a different base map, one with state borders in black. One that then allows a program to "paint" the color of each state.

Something like that shouldn't cost an arm and a leg.

23

CAC,

I can explain Missouri pretty easily in one word: Illinois.

In more words: Lower taxes/Cost of Living.

In still more words: Many of the people in the bistate region are tired of being Chicago's whipping boy/income source and as Springfield continues to pander to Chicago (raising taxes on just about everything) many of the more conservative Illinoisians are jumping ship to Big MO.  This offsets the previously large City democratic votes (in KC and STL as well as to a lesser extent Congressional District 2, now defunct).  The outstate has always gone Solidly R.

You'd have to ask Chemjeff or someone else in that region if a reverse trend is happening around KC (with the democrats fleeing the horrific school system for Kansas suburbs.)

24

1) What are the duties of a volunteer?

2) As a Baltimoron, I'm pretty sure I have to leave the state to find a Republican.

25 Are we there yet? Are we there yet? Are we there yet? Are we there yet? Are we there yet? Are we there yet? Are we there yet? Are we there yet?

26 E-mail sent.

27 On this map it looks like California is giving the United States one large boner, or flipping the bird at Japan.  One or the other.

28 MN, WA and OR aren't "likely" or "solid" Democratic states?! Is this an oversight of 3 states and 29 EC votes, or are we feeling really optimistic and saying they're only "leaning" Democratic at this point? (Yeah, MN hasn't gone GOP since '72, but sure, it's in play. Why not.)

29 a one, and a two, and a three, and a four...


If you want our Romney in, here's a state you need to win
I'm the map!
I'm the map, I'm the map
If you want a state to flip, let me help give you a tip
I'm the map!
I'm the map, I'm the map
I'm the map, I'm the map, I'm the map, I'm the map
I'm the map, I'm the map, I'm the map, I'm the map
I'm the map!!!

30 Florida is dead to us, look at the map


****

Perhaps I should have asked whether he needs any help putting Florida on the map.

31 On this map it looks like California is giving the United States one large boner, or flipping the bird at Japan. One or the other.


****

So they're screwing Arizona?

Figures.

32 CAC:

Check out this Flash map for $60.00 with a money back offer if it doesn't work for you.

Highly customizable. Looks like something you could use:

http://www.flashusamap.com/

33 Obama is a stuttering clusterf*ck of a miserable failure.

34

@30

I can tell someone's been exploring with Dora...

 

I think MN is in play.  It has voted for Republicans for governor and senator within the very recent past and even came within a trunkful of found ballots from re-electing a Republican senator in 2008 during an otherwise bad year for Republicans.  If it weren't for a spoiler independent candidate, the R's could have had control of both houses of the state legislature and the governorship in 2010.  I still think it will stay stuck on stupid for another election cycle, but it ain't the same state that brought us Mondale anymore.

35 Whatever happened to the Intrade troll?

36 CAC:

I'm willing to help you with mapping if you need some help. You crunch the numbers and I can try to help with maps.

I don't know if it will work, but it seems like a definite possibility.

37

On this map it looks like California is giving the United States one
large boner, or flipping the bird at Japan. One or the other.


****

So they're screwing Arizona?

Figures.

 

Actually, I'm picturing Arizona as California's scrotum.

38 The Presidential Race is 50% African Black and 50% American White. The Truth of the matter.  Not that it matters a hill of beans to anyone on the Right.  We don't categorize people the way the Left does.

39 Shit.

Cavuto just opened up with news that it looks like every major U.S. bank will be downgraded by at least 1 point.

40 @40 Those of us with small children curse you. I'll have that tune in my head for a few hours.

41 Oops I meant post #30. I denounce myself.

42 I'll cover state #57. Just tell me which one it is.

I could cover the state I currently live in, RI. Say, why don't I get it out the way now in case I'm busy in November. RI goes to the SCOAMF with 68% voting present for him. Believe me, that will be close enough to the real number.

43 I'll volunteer for Nevada. I'll be obsessively following returns, &c. there anyway. Twitter: @ThePoliticalHat

44  many of the more conservative Illinoisians are jumping ship to Big MO. 

Posted by: tsrblke at June 21, 2012 03:34 PM (22rSN)

Is that true?  Because one typically hears that liberals are the ones mostly fleeing places like CA and NY to escape taxes and unfortunately infect their new states with their political views.

45 "Interim Presidential Race Forecast, Part Two" Don't you mean "Interim Presidential Racism Forecast?"

46 The fact that neither MN nor WI is solidly blue should tell you something.  The times, they are a changin'...

I can tell you from growing up in MN that the state has changed since I left in 1992.  It is gradually going purple, despite electing Whackjob Dayton as Governor.  Can't wait to see Stuart Smalley pack his bags to go back home to New York City in 2014.

Shadenfreude, its what's for breakfast!

47

Posted by: Uncledave at June 21, 2012 04:10 PM (nJ32z)

Well keep in mind that we're talking minor relocation from the suburban areas on the IL side to areas on the MO side.

And Southern IL (extreme Southern Chicago if you prefer) is actually a highly Red area, its' just they get outvoted by the Libs in Chi-town every election.  So there aren't tons of liberals ready to flee Southern Illinois, but there are enough middle class conservatives willing to relocate across the river that it's causing a bit of a shift.

Furthermore, I don't even think it's a "fleeing" per se (like what you're seeing in CA and NY).  These people were going to relocate anyway (the standard "house shuffle" as it were) and when they do so, they choose the lower taxed MO side of the river (since many of them likely work in MO as well.)

48 Latest Quinnipiac poll out today shows Obama up safely in Florida, beating Romney by a 46-42% margin.

49 49 That's not a safe margin. The margin of error in the poll is probably 3% anyway.

50 Greg, as always, conveniently leaves out that Quinnipiac shifted from R+3 to D+3 for this poll, giving Obama his lead. He'd have a deficit in even polling. But hey, he has been consistently wrong race after race- Prosser/Klopp, Walker's recall, etc. So it is a good omen he trolls yet again.

51 I'll go ahead and cover DC now...obama wins.

52 All of America should be a beautiful dark blue on this map. But since many of you are enslaved to the Republican war machine and Wall Street, it won't be. This is why Vermont should secede and become a protectorate of the United Nations.

53 Have there been any polls showing MN (or WA or OR) as being particularly close, or are we basing this optimism on, "Hey, screw it, they can't POSSIBLY vote for this jerk again!"?

 Not to go full Eeyore, but I'm not sure how CO isn't a "likely" for Obama, as opposed to a "lean" or "toss up". The polls of CO have been closing as of late, but Romney has yet to take a lead. (Admittedly, RCP has CO as a toss-up, but RCP also has GA and SC as only "leaning" Romney. They're pretty cautious...and even THEY have WA as being Likely Obama.)

Also, I was hearing #30 to the tune of Anthrax's "I'm the Man", but I don't have kids, so....

54 I just cant figure why some of y`all don`t get it. Florida is red, and for some reason they like Romney there, even the dims. Look at the makeup of the State Senate and House, 2-1 R or there abouts. I`m in CO and know that shit. By the way, CO is going red, dollar to a donut.

55 53 -Posted by: Mary Cloggenstein from Brattleboro, VT Gold, Jerry, Comedy Gold!

56 Sad to see AZ as anything but a deep red. It's thanks to all the California refugees ignorant of what sank the dying ship in their rearview mirror.