Ace of Spades HQ

October 18, 2012

#AOSHQDD Presidential Race Projection 10/18/2012
— CAC

Big, big, big, big map, since it's been the first in a while with the "official" style.

Did I mention it is big?

Credit again goes to the great JohnE.

Posted by: CAC at 06:01 PM | Comments (169)
Post contains 40 words, total size 1 kb.

1 Holy crap

Posted by: BCochran1981 at October 18, 2012 05:53 PM (GEICT)

2 You better give 1 EV from Maine to Romney.

Posted by: Guy Mohawk at October 18, 2012 05:55 PM (PHb2k)

3 The Bigness, it is big.

Posted by: eman at October 18, 2012 06:03 PM (+XD7n)

4 That's a helluva map.

Posted by: toby928© beating memes to death since 2006 at October 18, 2012 06:03 PM (QupBk)

5 I'd really love to plug this into one of those build-your-own tools like ...
http://unlikelyvoter.com/create-your-own-electoral-college/

but I'm lazy.

Mew

Posted by: acat at October 18, 2012 06:03 PM (gGEmy)

6 Yeah, baby. Trust me. I'm huge.

Posted by: eastvalleyphx says fuck islam at October 18, 2012 06:03 PM (GRvW4)

7 I'm glad I have 1080p

Posted by: toby928© beating memes to death since 2006 at October 18, 2012 06:03 PM (QupBk)

8 PS --- This might hurt a bit.

Posted by: eastvalleyphx says fuck islam at October 18, 2012 06:03 PM (GRvW4)

9 Revenge of the CAC

Posted by: weft cut-loop [/i] [/b] at October 18, 2012 06:04 PM (qrpxS)

10 I'm still betting on 54-34 300+EV Landslide.

Posted by: toby928© beating memes to death since 2006 at October 18, 2012 06:04 PM (QupBk)

11 I can't tell the difference between Weak Obama and Weak Romney

Posted by: logprof at October 18, 2012 06:05 PM (jKE+Z)

12 Women and greg look at this map with a mixture of astonishment and fear.

Posted by: eman at October 18, 2012 06:05 PM (+XD7n)

13 My. What a big spread you have, CAC.

Posted by: andycanuck at October 18, 2012 06:05 PM (vDl/w)

14 A: The Electoral College
Q: What is the name of Barack Obama's other death panel?

Posted by: @ParisParamus at October 18, 2012 06:06 PM (pMxhO)

15 Women and greg look at this map with a mixture of astonishment and fear.

Posted by: eman at October 18, 2012 10:05 PM (+XD7n)

Greg gets wet lookin at this. His anus gapes in anticipation.

Posted by: eastvalleyphx says fuck islam at October 18, 2012 06:06 PM (GRvW4)

16 crap 54-45

Posted by: toby928© beating memes to death since 2006 at October 18, 2012 06:06 PM (QupBk)

This time, it's personal.

Posted by: thread war at October 18, 2012 06:06 PM (yBF/9)

18 It takes a biiiig map to stomp on the upcoming ONT.

Posted by: andycanuck at October 18, 2012 06:06 PM (vDl/w)

19 Map envy is sad.

Posted by: eman at October 18, 2012 06:06 PM (+XD7n)

can I touch it?

Posted by: back door barry soetoro at October 18, 2012 06:07 PM (yBF/9)

21 sorry, CAC, I was totally kidding with the empty "Mid-Evening Open Thread" I just put up. I only put it up for like a minute. Just seemed funny.

Posted by: ace at October 18, 2012 06:07 PM (LCRYB)

22 Srsly though, on what basis do you say Romney has a slight lead in Ohio? I like to think he's on the cusp of a slight lead but the polls have yet to show that.

Posted by: Crispian at October 18, 2012 06:08 PM (XlScf)

23 My what a big....map you have

Posted by: Red Shirt at October 18, 2012 06:08 PM (3p2TP)

24 I dont think that Nate and his imaginary model girlfriend would agree with that...

Posted by: Elize Nayden at October 18, 2012 06:08 PM (NU+DB)

25 Sure, Honey, your roommate can look at the map, too.

Posted by: eman at October 18, 2012 06:08 PM (+XD7n)

26 The Kate Upton of electoral maps except that it doesn't bounce enough.

Posted by: JEM at October 18, 2012 06:08 PM (LwSTO)

27 Hey, Meatball is back on top.

Posted by: BCochran1981 at October 18, 2012 06:08 PM (GEICT)

28 Ya know, they have these free programs that can resize this.

Posted by: Tonic Dog at October 18, 2012 06:08 PM (X/+QT)

29 Well, I can see that I may as well not vote.

Posted by: The littl shyning man at October 18, 2012 06:10 PM (PH+2B)

30 Man. Ohio is so fucking important.

Posted by: Ben at October 18, 2012 06:10 PM (xTHBC)

31 I wont trust CO until Nov 7. Am seeing quite a few RR signs and things but sending dumbshit Bennett back to the senate in 2010 really makes me question the sanity and level of fraud in the state.

Posted by: PaleRider at October 18, 2012 06:10 PM (dkExz)

32 I can handle it Big Map.

Posted by: Stephanie Cutter's hooch at October 18, 2012 06:10 PM (O0v9Z)

33 Moar Red!!!!

Posted by: Red Shirt at October 18, 2012 06:10 PM (3p2TP)

34 No, Mr. Obama, I expect you to cry.

Posted by: Mittfinger [/i] [/b] at October 18, 2012 06:10 PM (qrpxS)

35 Go Mitt!

Posted by: Justamom in Achin' Akin's district at October 18, 2012 06:10 PM (Sptt8)

36 That's not a map. This is a map: http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/Conus/full_loop.php

Posted by: Texas Ranger at October 18, 2012 06:10 PM (IvvrO)

37 Wow. That's a MAP.

Posted by: huerfano at October 18, 2012 06:10 PM (bAGA/)

38 nuh-uh! Barack Obama puts the "b" in invincible! Also puts the "b" in bupkis but we can put that off till next year, when the economy will really take off.

Posted by: mallfly at October 18, 2012 06:10 PM (NI3M5)

39 Thanks for letting me squeeze this in Ace. Too many morons bugging me on twitter for one. Oh and btw, please don't ask for one for the Senate. It...isn't nearly as pretty.

Posted by: CAC at October 18, 2012 06:11 PM (h/SgZ)

40 No way Romney wins the Live Free or Die state - although it only has a few electoral votes.

Posted by: Herbert Hymenhopper at October 18, 2012 06:11 PM (Ho6UX)

41 AOS. Ace and the co-bloggers may seem like they are fighting, but deep down, you know they really hate each other.

Posted by: rd does not believe the idiots that walk the streets at October 18, 2012 06:12 PM (zLp5I)

42 It...isn't nearly as pretty.

Posted by: CAC at October 18, 2012 10:11 PM (h/SgZ)

Its alot more plaid looking....isn't it?

Posted by: Red Shirt at October 18, 2012 06:12 PM (3p2TP)

43 "Srsly though, on what basis do you say Romney has a slight lead in Ohio? I like to think he's on the cusp of a slight lead but the polls have yet to show that."

Link in my nic, second post.

Romney is leading by over 1 point using a D+3 turnout model.

He IS leading in Ohio.

Posted by: Dave in Fla at October 18, 2012 06:12 PM (dX4hn)

44 And now Al Gore's former employer, The Tennessean, also goes for Romney. (See the sock link.)

Posted by: andycanuck at October 18, 2012 06:12 PM (vDl/w)

45 On zeh big map, zeh preference cascades like a raging river of deep desire.

Posted by: Surrendering French Socialist at October 18, 2012 06:13 PM (CW6qq)

46 SWEEP THE LEG MITTENS!

Posted by: Truck Monkey at October 18, 2012 06:13 PM (jucos)

If this is true, IT IS OVER!!!

Time to buy some champagne.

Posted by: rd does not believe the idiots that walk the streets at October 18, 2012 06:13 PM (zLp5I)

Big? Meh.

Posted by: Sandra Fluck at October 18, 2012 06:14 PM (5pMyq)

49 I arrowed back and forth across the top part of the map. Now I'm seasick. Afraid to go look again...

Posted by: Meremortal, on the waves at October 18, 2012 06:14 PM (1Y+hH)

50 Thanks for letting me squeeze this in, Ace.
That's what Rand McNally said!

Posted by: andycanuck at October 18, 2012 06:14 PM (vDl/w)

51 Utah should be a darker shade of red. Lol. ;-)

Posted by: Y-not on the phone at October 18, 2012 06:14 PM (izPgb)

52 I see one of the trolls returned. NH has been Romney's now for weeks. Obama is trying to find a way to deny him the last few votes. He needs to hold NH, IA, and NV.

I expect him to lose all of them, plus Oregon.

Posted by: Dave in Fla at October 18, 2012 06:15 PM (dX4hn)

53 What's the diff between "safe" and "solid"?

Posted by: USS Diversity at October 18, 2012 06:15 PM (0CiTm)

54 I'm a little surprised MI is lighter blue than WI.

Posted by: Y-not on the phone at October 18, 2012 06:16 PM (izPgb)

55 It is imperative that the rural areas do not report until after the urban. How can we get this done? Alright, the Giants catcher just picked up Wainwright's perfectly executed bunt and he has his fingernails painted white. I swear. I saw it in slowmo.

Posted by: Justamom in Achin' Akin's district at October 18, 2012 06:16 PM (Sptt8)

Wow. So glad to see that. Want lots more red though by November.

Posted by: traumakitty at October 18, 2012 06:16 PM (UY2zH)

57 CAC, you fuckin' lunatic!

Posted by: Peaches hates everything at October 18, 2012 06:16 PM (kpCLl)

58 I expect him to lose all of them, plus Oregon. Posted by: Dave in Fla at October 18, 2012 10:15 PM (dX4hn) --------------------------------------------------------- Oregon too? Damn. I think he has a shot at NJ and is going to win PA and OH. This election will be over early on election eve.

Posted by: Truck Monkey at October 18, 2012 06:17 PM (jucos)

59 What's the diff between "safe" and "solid"? Posted by: USS Diversity at October 18, 2012 10:15 PM (0CiTm) That question is a curve ball just hanging over the center of the plate, waist high.

Posted by: eman at October 18, 2012 06:17 PM (+XD7n)

60 Now that's what I'm talking about, right out the side of the monitor

Posted by: mugiwara at October 18, 2012 06:17 PM (XT2y5)

61 Heard something about good movt by NJ towards Mitt. That would be cool.

Posted by: Y-not on the phone at October 18, 2012 06:17 PM (izPgb)

62 Thank god or a 24' monitor. Any project Orca morons out there?

Posted by: Buzzsaw90 at October 18, 2012 06:18 PM (kzejo)

63 Optimal.

Posted by: Jon Stewart at October 18, 2012 06:18 PM (OiC7K)

64 That map just knocked over a lamp next door. I ain't payin' for it, dude.

Posted by: eman at October 18, 2012 06:18 PM (+XD7n)

65 Alright, the Giants catcher just picked up Wainwright's perfectly executed bunt and he has his fingernails painted white. I swear. I saw it in slowmo. I'm sure he did. I pitched for years, all the way through college. Catchers will paint nails, cover their fingers in the chalk dust or tape them to make them more visible to the pitcher. Really helps if the signs are rapid and complicated with runners on base.

Posted by: BCochran1981 at October 18, 2012 06:18 PM (GEICT)

66 when are we going to get one of those explosion animations like in 2010

Posted by: Jose at October 18, 2012 06:19 PM (srIqv)

67 I like it!

Posted by: BignJames at October 18, 2012 06:19 PM (HtUkt)

68 It ain't over til the Democrats squeal like Ned Beatty.

That's right. Lose 'em panties, too. Take em right off.

VOTE MOTHERFUCKERS!!!!! Drive the conservative thundercock right up through the larynx. No fuckin mercy!

Posted by: eastvalleyphx says fuck islam at October 18, 2012 06:19 PM (GRvW4)

69 Good news: Cards lead 6 to 1 in the sixth. Bad news: might have to play in Deh twah.

Posted by: Justamom in Achin' Akin's district at October 18, 2012 06:20 PM (Sptt8)

70 Wow, CBS did a full report about Obama's deception about Benghazi on Tuesday night, and Crowley shilling for Obama.

Front page at Media Research Center.

Posted by: Dave in Fla at October 18, 2012 06:20 PM (dX4hn)

71 60 What's the diff between "safe" and "solid"?
Posted by: USS Diversity at October 18, 2012 10:15 PM (0CiTm)

That question is a curve ball just hanging over the center of the plate, waist high. --- Solid is like this one thing that's kinda sorta good. And Safe is this other-er thing like mostly less dangerour. ba-da-BING

Posted by: Alex Rodriguez at October 18, 2012 06:20 PM (kzejo)

72 Those irrevocable blue states will be black and blue come November 6th.

Posted by: put some ice on it at October 18, 2012 06:20 PM (LpQbZ)

73 CAC, did you ever get a chance take a look at my chartz?

Posted by: Serious Cat at October 18, 2012 06:20 PM (zrpqj)

74 This map brought to you by Dick Cheny's cock.

Posted by: @PurpAv at October 18, 2012 06:20 PM (dG5WN)

75 You said it was big, but you didn't say it was BIG!

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at October 18, 2012 06:20 PM (piMMO)

76 My prog friends have been really quiet on facebook, particularly the ones who are really politically engaged/informed.

Posted by: Y-not on the phone at October 18, 2012 06:20 PM (izPgb)

77 Posted by: Dave in Fla at October 18, 2012 10:20 PM (dX4hn)

It's all over when the media is trying to re-gain credibility

Posted by: Bill from Chappaqua at October 18, 2012 06:21 PM (MAhUT)

78 "Peaches hates everything"

*sniff sniff* But we don't hate you!

Posted by: Dave in Fla at October 18, 2012 06:21 PM (dX4hn)

79 NH is solid for Obama. Even 'thumb on the scale' Ras has Obama up there.

NH is basically Vermont and Western Mass rolled into a big spliff.

Posted by: Herbert Hymenhopper at October 18, 2012 06:21 PM (Ho6UX)

80 Wow, B, I never knew that. This new hi def tv is changing my life.

Posted by: Justamom in Achin' Akin's district at October 18, 2012 06:21 PM (Sptt8)

81 I can't believe NY is darker than CA. I don't sense any enthusiasm for zero here

Posted by: mugiwara at October 18, 2012 06:21 PM (XT2y5)

82 That map is big enough for like 57 States!

Posted by: BArack Obama at October 18, 2012 06:21 PM (kzejo)

83 CBS did a full report about Obama's deception about Benghazi on Tuesday night, and Crowley shilling for Obama.

Their asset recovery department must have staged an internal coup.

Posted by: @PurpAv at October 18, 2012 06:22 PM (dG5WN)

84 Posted by: eastvalleyphx says fuck islam at October 18, 2012 10:19 PM (GRvW4)

****

I admire your gentle mastery of the language.

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at October 18, 2012 06:22 PM (piMMO)

85 That map just knocked over a lamp next door.

I ain't payin' for it, dude.

Posted by: eman at October 18, 2012 10:18 PM (+XD7n)

LOL, eman!!!

Posted by: Peaches hates everything at October 18, 2012 06:22 PM (kpCLl)

86 I read Candy Crowley is to the media as the Tet Offensive was to the Vietnam War

Posted by: USS Diversity at October 18, 2012 06:23 PM (0CiTm)

87 What is sad is that we are all excited about a fucking 10 point win against barky odogeater. Four years ago, although many of us knew what a catastrophe choom-boy would be, there were a lot of reasons why his victory was possible. Not inevitable (fucking Juan McLame), but possible. Now we have four years of King Putt under our national belt, four painful, disastrous years, and almost 50% of our countrymen are so ignorant, so stupid, and or so fucking selfish that they would recoronate that worthless sack of shit. This should be 80-20 or better in the popular vote. Fucking asswipes. (Commies, not the horde)

Posted by: Boomer Redneque knows Mohammad was a goat-fucking kiddie-raper at October 18, 2012 06:23 PM (eQnzo)

88 It will make Obama's stomach turn the moment the press starts sucking up to ROmney. After all, they want those front row seats.

If Romney is smart, he'll include bloggers in the press conferences.

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at October 18, 2012 06:23 PM (piMMO)

You said it was big, but you didn't say it was BIG!

---

Clearly CAC has be rubbing this map like Aladdin with his lamp

Posted by: Buzzsaw90 at October 18, 2012 06:23 PM (kzejo)

90 You need to make Maine green since Romney will get 1 EV.

Posted by: Perdogg at October 18, 2012 06:23 PM (Ttf/I)

91 Okay, fine, is that better?

Posted by: Peaches is cautiously optimistic at October 18, 2012 06:23 PM (kpCLl)

92 What's up with the formatting

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at October 18, 2012 06:23 PM (piMMO)

93 How do I find a Romney/Ryan party to attend on election night. OTOH, it might not be safe to be out if (when) it's called for Mitt. We live in a high welfare area.

Posted by: katya the designated driver at October 18, 2012 06:24 PM (DoZD+)

94 You know that in Russian the word "red" can also mean "bright, beautiful?"

Posted by: Grey Fox at October 18, 2012 06:24 PM (El020)

95 Here is what happened to the progs.

They thought Obama won on Tuesday, they were waiting for the polls to swing back toward him showing momentum. They didn't, they kept their slow creep toward Romney.

They now realize that baring a miracle, Obama will lose.

The media realized the same thing and is pulling the trigger to get their credibility back. Examples the Orlando Sentinel and CBS.

The timing of that endorsement is telling. They could have waited until after the last debate. They didn't.

Posted by: Dave in Fla at October 18, 2012 06:25 PM (dX4hn)

96 wow wow wow

Posted by: Gordon Ramsey at October 18, 2012 06:25 PM (EZl54)

97 Justamom, yeah there was a playoff game in HS where I just could not see the catcher's signals very well. Night game, shadows were terrible, just could not see. He actually had girls passing him nail polish from the stands to try. Ended up using tape.

Posted by: BCochran1981 at October 18, 2012 06:25 PM (GEICT)

98 Your projections are way too weak. It's already over.

Posted by: JackStraw at October 18, 2012 06:26 PM (TMB3S)

99 I admire your gentle mastery of the language.

Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at October 18, 2012 10:22 PM (piMMO)

Always sensitive to the mood of the Horde. I'll admit, I'm less than artful on occasion. But when it works ...

Posted by: eastvalleyphx says fuck islam at October 18, 2012 06:26 PM (GRvW4)

100 This thread is getting very slow to load . . . hmmmm, why is that, I wonder?

Posted by: Peaches is cautiously optimistic at October 18, 2012 06:26 PM (kpCLl)

101 99 comments in and nobody has made a "wide load" joke?

You people are pathetic...almost as bad as the Yankees.

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo at October 18, 2012 06:26 PM (2b4yb)

102 Terrific map. Well done.

Posted by: loijal at October 18, 2012 06:26 PM (u3N3z)

103 71 Wow, CBS did a full report about Obama's deception about Benghazi on Tuesday night, and Crowley shilling for Obama.

Front page at Media Research Center.

Posted by: Dave in Fla at October 18, 2012 10:20 PM (dX4hn)

Gives CBS a chance to go after the other news organizations for some payback after the Rather fiasco.

Posted by: MrCaniac at October 18, 2012 06:27 PM (Zd/NW)

104 Posted by: Peaches is cautiously optimistic at October 18, 2012 10:26 PM (kpCLl)

Powered by Boston Red Sox bats?

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo at October 18, 2012 06:27 PM (2b4yb)

105 You people are pathetic...almost as bad as the Yankees CAC is our ARod...

Posted by: BCochran1981 at October 18, 2012 06:28 PM (GEICT)

106 So for an EC tie, it goes to the House. The existing House or the newly-elected House?

Someone google this for me since I'm obviously too lazy.

Posted by: Tonic Dog at October 18, 2012 06:28 PM (X/+QT)

107 Powered by Boston Red Sox bats?

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo at October 18, 2012 10:27 PM (2b4yb)

bastid . . .

Posted by: Peaches is cautiously optimistic at October 18, 2012 06:28 PM (kpCLl)

108 Make it stop. I haven't been dry for two weeks.

Posted by: Greg's Binkie at October 18, 2012 06:28 PM (3ziXJ)

109 You people are pathetic...almost as bad as the Yankees.

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo at October 18, 2012 10:26 PM (2b4yb)

Oh hi, CBD.....wanna know the score of the Cardinals game?

Posted by: Tami at October 18, 2012 06:29 PM (X6akg)

110

So is the CW going to be that the 1st debate decided the election because it was the moment that it was revealed that the palace guard had been holding up a drooling idiot as the messiah?

The distance between image and reality was simply a bridge too far. Making the moment when the press turned on him all the more shattering i the eyes of the public?

Posted by: Buzzsaw90 at October 18, 2012 06:29 PM (kzejo)

111 Big? Meh. Call me when we get plaid.

Posted by: IllTemperedCur at October 18, 2012 06:29 PM (Rhie+)

112 The existing House or the newly-elected House? The new one, and it's even weirder in that it's the votes of the states, not the reps. So where the delegation is evenly divided, some kind of trade will have to be made.

Posted by: toby928© beating memes to death since 2006 at October 18, 2012 06:30 PM (QupBk)

113 FAP FAP FAP FAP . . .

Posted by: DrZin at October 18, 2012 06:30 PM (mghhN)

114 Ties go to the current house, not the elected.

Vote is by state delegation, each state gets one vote.

Posted by: Dave in Fla at October 18, 2012 06:30 PM (dX4hn)

115 So if it goes to the House, 50 votes, not 436. Odd.

Posted by: toby928© beating memes to death since 2006 at October 18, 2012 06:31 PM (QupBk)

116

It's definitely big, red and turgid. It frightens me.

Posted by: back door barry soetoro at October 18, 2012 06:31 PM (yBF/9)

117 Oh, I really thought it was the current, not new one.

Posted by: Dave in Fla at October 18, 2012 06:31 PM (dX4hn)

118

Is this format going to continue all night? No troubling loading

yet but I foresee problems.

Posted by: katya the designated driver at October 18, 2012 06:32 PM (DoZD+)

119 ont is up

Posted by: kinlaw at October 18, 2012 06:32 PM (uLTng)

120 Anyway, we win ties in the house. We hold the majority of the delegation in about 35 states.

Posted by: Dave in Fla at October 18, 2012 06:32 PM (dX4hn)

121 Posted by: Tami at October 18, 2012 10:29 PM (X6akg)

Young lady, I just spent two hours in a bar with a rabid Cardinals fan. There is no abuse that can be heaped upon this sad Yankees fan that hasn't been done already.

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo at October 18, 2012 06:32 PM (2b4yb)

122 Headline : " Obama : "I Lost On Purpose"

Posted by: It will happen. Bet on it. at October 18, 2012 06:32 PM (EZl54)

123 107 So for an EC tie, it goes to the House. The existing House or the newly-elected House? Someone google this for me since I'm obviously too lazy. Posted by: Tonic Dog at October 18, 2012 10:28 PM (X/+QT) *************************** The new House, which gets seated earlier than the Prez

Posted by: Boomer Redneque knows Mohammad was a goat-fucking kiddie-raper at October 18, 2012 06:32 PM (eQnzo)

124 We need a bigger map case.

Posted by: @SCOAMT at October 18, 2012 06:32 PM (YlmX/)

125 117 So if it goes to the House, 50 votes, not 436. Odd. ---- Dude, you sound like a fool. It's 57 votes.

Posted by: Barry at October 18, 2012 06:33 PM (kzejo)

126 This map is responsible for global warming.

Posted by: Fritz at October 18, 2012 06:33 PM (vm7ot)

127 Posted by: Herbert Hymenhopper at October 18, 2012 10:21 PM (Ho6UX) You Fuckin Loser TWAT WAFFLE Rasmussen is using a D+5 nationally how is that Thumb on the Scale Cum Guzzler

Posted by: Evilpens at October 18, 2012 06:33 PM (ck76k)

128 That'll take the edge off the light hearted evening for BO.

Posted by: HtP at October 18, 2012 06:34 PM (jx2j9)

129 Young lady, I just spent two hours in a bar with a rabid Cardinals fan. There is no abuse that can be heaped upon this sad Yankees fan that hasn't been done already.

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo at October 18, 2012 10:32 PM (2b4yb)

Ok, ok....I'll leave you alone.....for now.

Posted by: Tami at October 18, 2012 06:35 PM (X6akg)

130

Did you see the Jimmy Kimmel video from Tuesday, where he sent people out to interview dummies out on the street in LA, and asked them what they thought about the debate from the night before (um, the debate hadn't happened yet, and all sorts of dummies had all sorts of opinions on the debate that hadn't happened yet. And they were specific about things they remembered from the debate the night before.)

And then there was the reporter who went to Ohio University the other day for a Barky appearance, and interviewed students about Benhghazi. Students laughed about Benghazi, many of them had no idea what had happened. Had not heard about it. Didn't care, one old guy (must have been a professor) said it was all the fault of Republicans.

That is why Barky is getting as many votes as he is, so many idiots who vote.

Posted by: Boots at October 18, 2012 06:35 PM (neKzn)

131 @37 Why would they put the large-scale cyclonic circulation centering on the Great Lakes. Don't they have enough bad weather as it is? http://preview.tinyurl.com/9ro4otx

Posted by: Thorvald at October 18, 2012 06:36 PM (1V6Pv)

132 Posted by: toby928Â© beating memes to death since 2006 at October 18, 2012 10:30 PM (QupBk)

I did not know that!

I love this place.

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo at October 18, 2012 06:36 PM (2b4yb)

133 Whoa. Rereading the 12th Amendment brings up the possibility that if it's a 269-269 tie, Joe Biden could end up as president. If the Senate votes for Biden, and the Democrats prevent Romney from getting 26 delegations, and the deadlock lasts until March 4th, the VP becomes the president. Ouch.

Posted by: toby928© beating memes to death since 2006 at October 18, 2012 06:37 PM (QupBk)

134 Ok, ok....I'll leave you alone.....for now.

Posted by: Tami at October 18, 2012 10:35 PM (X6akg)

Yeah, typical Cardinals fan....quitter!

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo at October 18, 2012 06:37 PM (2b4yb)

135 The hubby just asked why I taped your map on the bedroom ceiling!

Posted by: cat at October 18, 2012 06:37 PM (+YbEV)

136 So let me see...

Weak Romney (OH + NH) = 22 EV
Weak Choomy (NV + IA + WI + PA) = 42 EV

And all of them (screw you, Greg) are trending Romney.

Go big, Governor. The difference between a nice 280 EV win and a pudding-worthy 322 EV landslide is right, freaking, there.

Posted by: DocJ at October 18, 2012 06:37 PM (V20sy)

137 I want a Moron Meetup election night. I want us all to drink Chris Matthew's milkshake. Drink it up.

Posted by: Hobojerky at October 18, 2012 06:38 PM (MrM2k)

138 Obama is a stuttering clusterf*ck of a miserable failure.

Posted by: steevy at October 18, 2012 06:39 PM (6o4Fb)

139 You're gonna need a bigger map.

Posted by: Hawkins1701 at October 18, 2012 06:39 PM (MRcfR)

140 Yeah, typical Cardinals fan....quitter!

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo at October 18, 2012 10:37 PM (2b4yb)

I'm watching a really good Cardinal's game. You're probably watching the Yanke.....oh wait, no you're not.......

Posted by: Tami at October 18, 2012 06:44 PM (X6akg)

141 141 You're gonna need a bigger map.

Posted by: Hawkins1701 at October 18, 2012 10:39 PM (MRcfR)

Im givin 'er all she's got, Captain! I dont think the screen can handle any more!

Posted by: Scotty at October 18, 2012 06:44 PM (FIDMq)

142 I always knew this blog had a wide stance.

Posted by: OregonMuse at October 18, 2012 06:54 PM (gfPwZ)

143 Candy Crawley

( Y ) \ | /

Posted by: had to be done at October 18, 2012 06:55 PM (EZl54)

144 wide ass FAIL

Posted by: had to be done at October 18, 2012 06:56 PM (EZl54)

145 I know polling data is what it is. I don't care. I'm giving Romney all the "weak" Obama states, and calling Michigan "likely" for Romney. Of the 8 states listed as likely for Obama, I'm giving 3 of them to Romney.

He can have the rest.

Thus spake I.

Posted by: BurtTC at October 18, 2012 06:56 PM (BeSEI)

146 I would love to see Oregon go red, even if Mitt doesn't need those EV's. It's psychological. You can easily drive from the Canadian border to the Mexican border without ever crossing into blue state territory. With Oregon going red, you could also drive from sea to shining sea without hitting a libtard state.

Posted by: Donna V at October 18, 2012 06:58 PM (dcIHW)

147 So, if we don't get Ohio, either Wisconsin OR Nevada would be enough, assuming in Nevada's case that we retain control of the House. Pretty good. I'd like to go ahead and GET Nevada or Wisconsin ahead of time, you know, as insurance, and put it in our pocket and walk away, whistling and stuff. So as soon as you can arrange that....

Posted by: edj at October 18, 2012 07:01 PM (+QKfp)

148 Whoa. Rereading the 12th Amendment brings up the possibility that if it's a 269-269 tie, Joe Biden could end up as president.

If the Senate votes for Biden, and the Democrats prevent Romney from getting 26 delegations, and the deadlock lasts until March 4th, the VP becomes the president.

Ouch.

Posted by: toby928Â© beating memes to death since 2006 at October 18, 2012 10:37 PM (QupBk)

Actually, at that point Biden is merely authorized to act as President. Not the same thing.

Furthermore, the Republicans currently control 32 state delegations in the House, with one more tied. Do you really think they are going to lose control of seven delegations?

Posted by: TH at October 18, 2012 07:05 PM (7oUgp)

149 CAC,
WTF is up with Intrade? R trading at ~$36?
I'm growing more convinced that R is going to win (especially if he expands the map by going after WI, IA and maybe PA) and really tempted to make some easy money betting on R.
What do you think?

Posted by: burnitup at October 18, 2012 07:06 PM (Q1Cx8)

150 Boots, I don't know how exactly to tackle it but my passion is taking back our education system from grade school thru university. The indoctrination is pervasive as well as insidious. It will take a generation of hard work but it has to happen.

Posted by: small town girl at October 18, 2012 07:07 PM (q7YYY)

151 Big map is big.

Posted by: Marmo at October 18, 2012 07:08 PM (pcgW1)

152 151 CAC,
WTF is up with Intrade? R trading at ~$36?
I'm growing more convinced that R is going to win (especially if he expands the map by going after WI, IA and maybe PA) and really tempted to make some easy money betting on R.
What do you think?

Posted by: burnitup at October 18, 2012 11:06 PM (Q1Cx

Intrade is a sack of shit. They had over 60% odds that the supreme court would overturn the IM. It only takes less than $1,000 to shift the numbers there. Big investors can just buoy the numbers up for fun and it is mostly consisting of foreign investments apparently as well...

Posted by: NWConservative at October 18, 2012 07:12 PM (M1gmo)

153 Actually, at that point Biden is merely authorized to act as President. Not the same thing. I don't know, "then the Vice-President shall act as President, as in the case of the death or other constitutional disability of the President."

Posted by: toby928© beating memes to death since 2006 at October 18, 2012 07:18 PM (QupBk)

154 155 "then the Vice-President shall act as President, as in the case of the death or other constitutional disability of the President." Is there a way to get Obama to act as President?

Posted by: Whoever this is, it's definitely not Michael at October 18, 2012 07:32 PM (JVCVF)

155 Bet the house on Romney. It's over.

Posted by: Simpleton at October 18, 2012 07:36 PM (za3QZ)

156 WOW....AOSHQ has gone from a dirt path to a boulevard! I like the nice wide lanes. I've been fooled before, sure hope this map is good. Am so tired of this election cycle, can't wait for it to be over. Let the forcasted riots and looting begin...we can clean it up and move on to better days. I may even come out of early retirement and actually look for a frickin job -- stranger thing have happened.

Posted by: JMKN1 at October 18, 2012 07:37 PM (JMKN1)

157 Are you absolutely sure about Arizona? Some maps I've seen have it as a toss-up?

Posted by: Paul Revere at October 18, 2012 07:41 PM (nvhqg)

158 Cac your map is small just like my husband's ego

Posted by: Michelle obama at October 18, 2012 08:10 PM (Hmo7h)

159 I know you have to do this by polls and tossing chicken bones, but take it from me, you can move New Hampshire from Lean to Likely Romney and maybe even safe. If yard signs and 4x8s were polls, then it would look like Romney by 12. Trust me, UNH/WMUR is pulling every trick to keep the poll numbers favorable to Obama/Hassan and even then it's starting to trend Romney/LaMontagne.

Posted by: Ken in NH at October 18, 2012 08:50 PM (D8PMY)

160 Now that's a map!

And at least Texas is solid red again. Not real crazy about that pink shit down here.

Posted by: SouthTexas at October 18, 2012 09:13 PM (uhFbA)

161 Good freakin' Lord! I don't need to use it for wallpaper, I just want to see it.

Posted by: cthulhu at October 18, 2012 10:08 PM (kaalw)

162 Hey, look -- there's MY house! *runs outside, waves*

Posted by: cthulhu at October 18, 2012 10:09 PM (kaalw)

163 Whoever wins Ohio wins, basically.

Posted by: Harthacanut at October 18, 2012 10:28 PM (42lLe)

164 Election Day? I think Erection Day is more like it!

Posted by: Prothonotary Warbler at October 18, 2012 10:29 PM (RLZvP)

165 There are two Nevada Senate polls out today and both show Heller in the lead, significantly, and one of them is > 50% - Biden is back there again today as that's the firewall. Nevada must be close!

Posted by: Steven W. at October 18, 2012 11:05 PM (tC0ou)

166 I'm a little disoriented ... Point to the Shire and The Prancing Pony.

Posted by: Samwise Gamgee at October 19, 2012 12:06 AM (+QKfp)

167 Wisconsin will fall to Romney before this is over. Obama must defend MN, WI, MI, OH, and PA and pretty much run the table on all of them to win. Romney just needs two or three of those states.

Posted by: Mr_Fastbucks at October 19, 2012 12:29 AM (b67KU)

168 The relative absence of weak or very weak Romney states and the number of weak or very weak Obama states in the polls is accurately reflected in this map. Nice work really. Who am I kidding? I confess I was swept off my feet by the sheer pixel count.

Posted by: TooCon at October 19, 2012 02:52 AM (FefyM)

169

Penn and IA will go Romney. Nevada will as well.

I think the final tally is going to be Romney 320ish and Obama 220ish.

Posted by: retired military at October 19, 2012 07:16 AM (SElov)

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