October 18, 2012
— Ace He doesn't say it's over-over, but he does actually say that if the numbers are right (Gallup's), it's over, and points out the lead is outside the margin of error.
He notes -- again with the caveat "if the numbers are accurate" -- that there is no way an incumbent can push a challenger back below 50%, once he's above it.
Meanwhile -- and this is awesome -- Romney is finally considering advertising in Michigan and Pennsylvania.
CNN is reporting just as IÂ’m writing this that Team Mitt is indeed moving some (but not all) of its assets out of NC.Update: Reported at the Post, too.
They were already pondering shifting to Pennsylvania, and this was pre-squatch.
More: CAC brought this to my attention, but I didn't post it: ARG has Romney up 1 in Ohio, and up 4 (50-46) in Colorado.
I'm still on Squatch Patrol.
Oh, and Senator Clownfart embarrassed himself again.
Posted by: Ace at
01:05 PM
| Comments (375)
Post contains 163 words, total size 2 kb.
Posted by: Adam at October 18, 2012 01:07 PM (/YJYi)
Posted by: George Orwell what knows 47% got a fever and Uncle Sugar is the only cure at October 18, 2012 01:07 PM (AZGON)
Posted by: USS Diversity at October 18, 2012 01:07 PM (0CiTm)
Posted by: NewEnglandDevil at October 18, 2012 01:07 PM (73P68)
Posted by: pep at October 18, 2012 01:07 PM (6TB1Z)
Posted by: lorien1973 at October 18, 2012 01:08 PM (mcWHD)
Posted by: mama winger in paul ryan's district at October 18, 2012 01:08 PM (P6QsQ)
Posted by: walter sobchak at October 18, 2012 01:08 PM (McNlQ)
Posted by: Occam's Safety Razor at October 18, 2012 01:09 PM (8Mgrk)
Posted by: George Orwell what knows 47% got a fever and Uncle Sugar is the only cure at October 18, 2012 01:09 PM (AZGON)
Posted by: T at October 18, 2012 01:09 PM (esIfP)
Posted by: Serious Cat at October 18, 2012 01:10 PM (PVNda)
Posted by: George Orwell what knows 47% got a fever and Uncle Sugar is the only cure at October 18, 2012 01:10 PM (AZGON)
Posted by: Tommy V at October 18, 2012 01:10 PM (ZYlKz)
I'm willing to spend the weekend before helping in Eastern NM if it's close.
I don't want a win--I want a blowout.
Posted by: RoyalOil at October 18, 2012 01:11 PM (imtbm)
@2 Posted by: the Butcher
As hard as it is to imagine, these polls are so imprecise that MOE>>MOF.
HOWEVER: if the error actually happens to skew all in one direction (and we know the fraud skews all in one direction) then to be confident of victory, your margin must exceed MOE+MOF.
In any event, +7 is likely > MOE+MOF.
Posted by: NewEnglandDevil at October 18, 2012 01:11 PM (73P68)
Posted by: Meremortal, *looks right and left* at October 18, 2012 01:11 PM (1Y+hH)
Posted by: yankeefifth at October 18, 2012 01:11 PM (Z9EHQ)
Posted by: T at October 18, 2012 05:09 PM (esIfP)
----------
Thanks. I have the ballgame on.
Too bad about the full blown panic at the Obama campaign. I feel badly about that. Ok I am a liar.
Posted by: mama winger in paul ryan's district at October 18, 2012 01:11 PM (P6QsQ)
Posted by: maddogg at October 18, 2012 01:11 PM (OlN4e)
We in PA are delighted to host Team Romney on their pre-victory tour.
Posted by: kallisto at October 18, 2012 01:12 PM (jm/9g)
Posted by: yankeefifth at October 18, 2012 01:12 PM (Z9EHQ)
Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at October 18, 2012 01:12 PM (QxSug)
Posted by: George Orwell what knows 47% got a fever and Uncle Sugar is the only cure at October 18, 2012 01:12 PM (AZGON)
T @ 18 - given that Obama lines of attack the last 2 weeks have been Big Bird and binders, I would tend to agree with Beckel hearing about full-blown panic in the Obama campaign.
I think I am going to pull up the 1988 elctoral map, move California to Obama, and make that my prediction for election day.
Posted by: tofer732 at October 18, 2012 01:12 PM (2zM0P)
Posted by: J.J. Sefton at October 18, 2012 01:12 PM (+tqYo)
Posted by: Catseye at October 18, 2012 01:12 PM (c7wu3)
Posted by: Mr. Dave on island time at October 18, 2012 01:13 PM (S6qGD)
Posted by: kinlaw at October 18, 2012 01:13 PM (uLTng)
Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at October 18, 2012 01:13 PM (QxSug)
Posted by: boulder hobo at October 18, 2012 01:13 PM (5eXw4)
Posted by: yankeefifth at October 18, 2012 01:13 PM (Z9EHQ)
Posted by: mama winger in paul ryan's district at October 18, 2012 01:13 PM (P6QsQ)
No bump for you.
Posted by: mesablue at October 18, 2012 01:13 PM (3ZdkQ)
Posted by: Steven W. at October 18, 2012 01:13 PM (uqJO9)
Posted by: George Orwell what knows 47% got a fever and Uncle Sugar is the only cure at October 18, 2012 01:14 PM (AZGON)
Posted by: TheGarbone at October 18, 2012 01:14 PM (cEDzL)
Posted by: Bill Mitchell at October 18, 2012 01:14 PM (hlUJY)
The entire list-of-states in that order seems like one of the key things a top military blog would tabulate.
Posted by: Al at October 18, 2012 01:14 PM (MzQOZ)
It ain't "over"
Posted by: Tom at October 18, 2012 01:14 PM (kl5rr)
Posted by: kinlaw at October 18, 2012 01:14 PM (uLTng)
It's very plain that Beckel views it as his job to push the Democrat line, and he makes a game effort.
He would have been formidable if this show ran during Clinton's terms, but Obama gives his spinmeisters fucking NOTHING to work with.
Every now and then, though, he reminds the audience that he's a paid operative, not a wild-eyed True Believer. I kind of admire that, having had to defend positions I didn't agree with or believe in.
Posted by: Empire of Jeff at October 18, 2012 01:14 PM (BushJ)
But it's over, Jim, and our trolls are going to have to slink down to the local latte shop to pay back their 100k student loans to pay for their sociology/political science majors.
Posted by: Schrödinger's cat at October 18, 2012 01:14 PM (feFL6)
Posted by: J.J. Sefton at October 18, 2012 01:14 PM (+tqYo)
Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at October 18, 2012 01:14 PM (QxSug)
Posted by: Chuck Bednarik at October 18, 2012 01:14 PM (TQaK3)
Posted by: Tommy V at October 18, 2012 01:15 PM (ZYlKz)
Posted by: B. Hussein Obama at October 18, 2012 01:15 PM (AZGON)
Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at October 18, 2012 01:15 PM (6W127)
Posted by: defense at October 18, 2012 01:15 PM (oZfic)
Posted by: Lee (in KY) at October 18, 2012 01:15 PM (jgXna)
Posted by: Bill Mitchell at October 18, 2012 01:15 PM (hlUJY)
Posted by: boulder hobo at October 18, 2012 05:13 PM (5eXw4)
-----
Also would have to apply to registered Democrats, democratic operatives, or black people from Chicago.
Posted by: mama winger in paul ryan's district at October 18, 2012 01:15 PM (P6QsQ)
Posted by: JimmyA at October 18, 2012 01:15 PM (+6h3h)
Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at October 18, 2012 01:15 PM (QxSug)
In his mind he thinks he's fooling all republican voters to stay home on election day...
Posted by: AmericanDawg at October 18, 2012 01:16 PM (XIsD/)
Posted by: GREG! at October 18, 2012 01:16 PM (0muQ0)
Yeah, I gave up. Best thing I ever did.
Whole different world here in Texas.
Judging by the Michigan ballot proposals, doesn't look like anything is going to change there any time soon.
Posted by: mesablue at October 18, 2012 01:16 PM (3ZdkQ)
Posted by: yankeefifth at October 18, 2012 01:16 PM (Z9EHQ)
Posted by: kinlaw at October 18, 2012 01:16 PM (uLTng)
Posted by: J.J. Sefton at October 18, 2012 01:16 PM (+tqYo)
Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at October 18, 2012 01:17 PM (QxSug)
Posted by: George Orwell what knows 47% got a fever and Uncle Sugar is the only cure at October 18, 2012 01:17 PM (AZGON)
Posted by: mediumheadboy at October 18, 2012 01:17 PM (aHR5E)
Posted by: IC at October 18, 2012 01:17 PM (a0IVu)
I've noticed a lot of the lefty spinners on Fox are finding it harder and harder to tow the line. Man, it must get exhausting lying 24/7. Only exception: TFG's biggest fan, Juan Williams.
Posted by: joanne at October 18, 2012 01:17 PM (VNFBf)
Posted by: yankeefifth at October 18, 2012 01:17 PM (Z9EHQ)
FINISH HIM!
Posted by: The Guy Who Yells "Finish Him" at October 18, 2012 01:17 PM (sbV1u)
Posted by: JackStraw at October 18, 2012 01:17 PM (TMB3S)
He already lead, its just now the polling companies have to save thier respect for next time, and are actually coming out with some truer sampling.
Like someone up-thread said, Obama is "unelectable", and has been for 2 years. That is why he sucked so bad in the first debate. He knows it is over and would rather play golf.
Posted by: Courtesy Flush at October 18, 2012 01:17 PM (tkbF8)
Posted by: Candy Crowley at October 18, 2012 01:18 PM (kzCIn)
Big whooop.
Posted by: 2 million lawyers at October 18, 2012 01:18 PM (6TB1Z)
Posted by: maddogg at October 18, 2012 01:18 PM (OlN4e)
I asked him what's wrong and he said "I I I w-w-wa-wa-was was p-p-p-p-p-playing wa-wa-wa-with the-the-the ca-ca-ca-cat poopy and I heard some-some-something squa-squa-squatchy coming fra-fra-fra from the Gal-gal-gal Gallup's house.
Posted by: Gerg's mom at October 18, 2012 01:18 PM (qxcKC)
1. We need to win here
2. We need to provide some coat-tails for Tommy Thompson. That vile, radical, anti-Israel, pro-Iran Tammy Baldwin CANNOT be allowed to win. She is flush with cash from all the uber-lefty progressives nationwide. She is on TV ads constantly and Tommy is short of cash.
Posted by: mama winger in paul ryan's district at October 18, 2012 01:18 PM (P6QsQ)
NC is a done deal. Obama did have a bus all painted up with his stuff riding around downtown. No one threw shit at it but a lot of people gave it the finger salute.
Posted by: Billy Bob, pseudo intellectual at October 18, 2012 01:18 PM (wR+pz)
people will understand that it is a dirty trick
Posted by: kinlaw at October 18, 2012 01:18 PM (uLTng)
Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at October 18, 2012 01:18 PM (QxSug)
Posted by: Truck Monkey at October 18, 2012 01:19 PM (jucos)
I shaved my legs and ruined my cred for this????
Posted by: Lamestream media at October 18, 2012 01:19 PM (1Y+hH)
Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at October 18, 2012 01:19 PM (6W127)
Posted by: Man Country at October 18, 2012 01:20 PM (IoNBC)
The unemployment numbers, remember damn it, the unemployment numbers.
Posted by: Greg in his mom's basement at October 18, 2012 01:20 PM (wR+pz)
Posted by: RomneyLosesIran at October 18, 2012 01:20 PM (lSZoo)
Posted by: not the mama at October 18, 2012 01:20 PM (kzCIn)
we've come too far through bs polls and the onslaught of the msm against us to ease up now
pedal to the metal through election day
then we'll celebrate
Posted by: kinlaw at October 18, 2012 01:21 PM (uLTng)
hahaha
Just thought of something: Last week hairy old Ed Rendell was on local radio contradicting the host who believes Mitt can take PA: "NAH", says the ex-guv..."the way you'll know PA is in play is if Romney starts spending money here."
Posted by: kallisto at October 18, 2012 01:21 PM (jm/9g)
Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at October 18, 2012 01:21 PM (QxSug)
Posted by: Honey Badger at October 18, 2012 01:21 PM (GvYeG)
Yes he did. He also said that from the people he's
been talking to, there is full-blown panic behind the scenes in Obama's
campaign.
Posted by: T at October 18, 2012 05:09 PM (esIfP)
They can't find enough binders for their resumes.
Posted by: wth at October 18, 2012 01:21 PM (wAQA5)
Obama should have dumped Biden and put either Hillary or Ed Rendell on the ticket with him. He's going to lose Pennsylvania.
There's a huge stealth campaign I just found out about with Jews in the Philly suburbs. Obama support is tanking with them. GOP sending surrogates like Norm Coleman and Ari Fleischer in for meetings and coffees in a few synagogues and private homes. Word is getting around.
Posted by: rockmom at October 18, 2012 01:21 PM (aBlZ1)
Posted by: tofer732 at October 18, 2012 01:21 PM (2zM0P)
Pro baseball players are a bunch of fat bastards.
Posted by: USS Diversity at October 18, 2012 01:22 PM (0CiTm)
Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at October 18, 2012 01:22 PM (6W127)
Posted by: IC at October 18, 2012 01:22 PM (a0IVu)
Posted by: Sugar Kane at October 18, 2012 01:22 PM (EX+sq)
Posted by: © Sponge at October 18, 2012 01:22 PM (UK9cE)
Posted by: joanne at October 18, 2012 01:22 PM (VNFBf)
Posted by: tofer732 at October 18, 2012 01:22 PM (2zM0P)
Posted by: Jim at October 18, 2012 01:22 PM (NsptW)
Posted by: Prince Fielder at October 18, 2012 01:23 PM (jKE+Z)
Posted by: Sherry McEvil, Wondrous Wrepublican Wench at October 18, 2012 01:23 PM (kXoT0)
Posted by: not the mama at October 18, 2012 05:20 PM (kzCIn)
-----------
Exactly. Polls two weeks before the Walker recall looked good in Wisconsin and one huge fear was that people would get complacent, not push to the finish line, and let it all slip away. Don't let this happen. Work like we are seven down, not seven up.
Posted by: mama winger in paul ryan's district at October 18, 2012 01:23 PM (P6QsQ)
Posted by: Yenober at October 18, 2012 01:23 PM (6bVkc)
You can only say you killed OBL so many times.
Four dead Americans over a video? Shit this is going to be an epic slap down.
The lying asshole is going to get the barbed cock of Satan shoved up his ass on national TV.
Posted by: Billy Bob, pseudo intellectual at October 18, 2012 01:23 PM (wR+pz)
signed
Larry Libtard drinkin the koolaid
Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at October 18, 2012 01:24 PM (f9c2L)
kallisto - where are you? Do you listen to Larry Mendte in the morning? he was BEGGING today for Romney to come in here. Caller after caller saying same thing. Bucks GOP chair said she has never seen enthusiasm like this for a GOP presidential candidate in Bucks. They are turning volunteers away in some of the victory centers.
This sounds to me exactly like what we saw Obama doing in 2008.
Posted by: rockmom at October 18, 2012 01:24 PM (aBlZ1)
That's what happens when you try to stay master of your domain for a solid month.
Posted by: Nicholas Kronos at October 18, 2012 01:24 PM (vouc9)
Posted by: BackwardsBoy, stealing time on B'Gal's computer at October 18, 2012 01:24 PM (lOmbq)
Posted by: Spypeach at October 18, 2012 01:25 PM (pwTow)
Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at October 18, 2012 01:25 PM (f9c2L)
Posted by: USS Diversity at October 18, 2012 01:25 PM (0CiTm)
Guys....it's Beckel.
Next week, he could easily come back and say...."This ain't over. Barack is back!"
Beckel has also said before, that he's participated in 'depress the turnout' maneuvers before....saying things to make the other side stay home.
It was great to hear him say that though.
Posted by: wheatie at October 18, 2012 01:25 PM (ipkPX)
------------
Son came home from his third tour of duty a couple of weeks ago. His birthday is Election Day. Please, everyone needs to wish him happy birthday by evicting Barry and Michelle.
Posted by: mama winger in paul ryan's district at October 18, 2012 01:25 PM (P6QsQ)
Posted by: Sherry McEvil, Wondrous Wrepublican Wench at October 18, 2012 01:25 PM (kXoT0)
Posted by: Vashta Nerada at October 18, 2012 01:26 PM (zhe90)
Posted by: Sgt. York at October 18, 2012 01:26 PM (8uX7H)
Posted by: yankeefifth at October 18, 2012 01:27 PM (Z9EHQ)
Not that it matters but
Greg = Janet = Romneylosesyaddayadda
Hector is prolly erg
KayInMaine is a sock puppet, not a real troll.
Posted by: weft cut-loop [/i] [/b] at October 18, 2012 01:27 PM (qrpxS)
Posted by: JackStraw at October 18, 2012 01:27 PM (TMB3S)
Posted by: Sugar Kane at October 18, 2012 01:27 PM (EX+sq)
Posted by: Sherry McEvil, Wondrous Wrepublican Wench at October 18, 2012 01:27 PM (kXoT0)
Posted by: yankeefifth at October 18, 2012 01:27 PM (Z9EHQ)
Gee, I hope you're talking about "Crying". If you mean Pretty Woman in reference to Barry I'm going to be majorly creeped out.
Posted by: pep at October 18, 2012 01:27 PM (6TB1Z)
Wow the Force is strong in Vader, he deflected the punch. Or the attacker was weak-minded. Or both.
Posted by: Anna Puma (+SmuD) at October 18, 2012 01:27 PM (6W127)
139.....one huge fear was that people would get complacent, not push to the finish line, and let it all slip away. Don't let this happen. Work like we are seven down, not seven up.
Exactly, mama winger.
We don't know how much of a margin we're going to need...to overcome all the dead people who will be voting.
Posted by: wheatie at October 18, 2012 01:28 PM (ipkPX)
Posted by: rickb223 at October 18, 2012 01:28 PM (7soJt)
Where are Hector, Greg, Janet, KayinMaine and Romneyloseswhateverthf-ck?
Visiting Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at the asylum.
Posted by: Foster Brooks at October 18, 2012 01:28 PM (1Y+hH)
Posted by: Mooch at October 18, 2012 01:29 PM (/YJYi)
Posted by: mare at October 18, 2012 01:29 PM (A98Xu)
Posted by: J.J. Sefton at October 18, 2012 01:29 PM (+tqYo)
Posted by: weft cut-loop at October 18, 2012 05:27 PM (qrpxS)
She used to be real.
Check out this blog .....it is hers.
http://whitenoiseinsanity.com/
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo at October 18, 2012 01:29 PM (2b4yb)
Remember the immortal words of Winston Wolf, and let's not start winding each other's clocks just yet.
GOTV. GOTV. GOTV.
Do not let up. Do not slack off. Do not release the pressure. Do not take even one vote for granted. GOTV.
Posted by: torquewrench at October 18, 2012 01:29 PM (ymG7s)
Son came home from his third tour of duty a couple of weeks ago. His birthday is Election Day. Please, everyone needs to wish him happy birthday by evicting Barry and Michelle.
Eviction notice served.
Does this mean my TFG Chia Head will be worth more on e-bay?
Posted by: BackwardsBoy, stealing time on B'Gal's computer at October 18, 2012 01:30 PM (lOmbq)
Please, bitch, like you took a vacay while FLATUS that only cost a million bucks!
Posted by: Sherry McEvil, Wondrous Wrepublican Wench at October 18, 2012 01:30 PM (kXoT0)
Posted by: Uncle Milty at October 18, 2012 01:30 PM (rCL2S)
Posted by: Sherry McEvil, Wondrous Wrepublican Wench at October 18, 2012 05:23 PM (kXoT0)
-------------
Bless you.
The word "extreme" has lost some of its political punch, because it is tossed around so frequently. But Tammy Baldwin really truly is extreme, by any definition. Her Congressional voting record is to the left of Pelosi. She votes no on bills where 90% of her own party votes yes. And not in a good way. She is so far left she is out there with Maxine Waters. She is virulently anti-Israel. She is the best friend Iran has in the Congress. She's the Code Pink Wing of Congress. And she has boatloads of cash. She must not win.
Posted by: mama winger in paul ryan's district at October 18, 2012 01:30 PM (P6QsQ)
Posted by: runningrn at October 18, 2012 01:30 PM (WGmy2)
Posted by: Nicholas Kronos at October 18, 2012 01:31 PM (vouc9)
Posted by: mare at October 18, 2012 01:31 PM (A98Xu)
Posted by: LASue at October 18, 2012 05:30 PM (gjIQF)
When has he ever been sober? Actually, he looks like a guy that would be fun to drink with.
Posted by: Billy Bob, the guy who drinks in SC at October 18, 2012 01:31 PM (wR+pz)
"Post-presidential debate, Obama supporters renew vows to murder Mitt Romney." The threats are numerous--and explicit and graphic. Many call for Romney's murder or assassination.
The Secret Service confirms it is "aware" of the threats against Romney, a spokesman for the federal agency confirms.
Posted by: Association Of Latex Producers at October 18, 2012 01:31 PM (BAnPT)
Posted by: Sherry McEvil, Wondrous Wrepublican Wench at October 18, 2012 01:31 PM (kXoT0)
Posted by: USS Diversity at October 18, 2012 01:31 PM (0CiTm)
Posted by: Robert Beckel at October 18, 2012 01:31 PM (JbbCZ)
Posted by: Beefy Mobile at October 18, 2012 01:32 PM (nxq8G)
Posted by: USS Diversity at October 18, 2012 05:31 PM (0CiTm)
Best farts? or she invented the Whoppie cushion?
Posted by: Billy Bob, the guy who drinks in SC at October 18, 2012 01:33 PM (wR+pz)
I do, but for the love of all that's holy, don't say.
I've only just recovered from that last Kathy Griffin photo.
Posted by: Nicholas Kronos at October 18, 2012 01:33 PM (vouc9)
Posted by: Axelrod and Jarrett Braintrust, Inc. at October 18, 2012 01:33 PM (wAQA5)
Posted by: Billy Bob, the guy who drinks in SC at October 18, 2012 01:33 PM (wR+pz)
Posted by: Sherry McEvil, Wondrous Wrepublican Wench at October 18, 2012 05:27 PM (kXoT0)
-----------
Things are so polarized here it's going to be tough, even for Ryan who has easily won his district here for the past 12 years. The newspapers are not writing their headlines cheering the hometown boy, that's for sure. My local rag, in the heart of his district, still shills for Obama.
Posted by: mama winger in paul ryan's district at October 18, 2012 01:33 PM (P6QsQ)
Posted by: Bart who lurks with SMOD 2012, master of his domain at October 18, 2012 01:34 PM (he2LC)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3RNDNlhYl58
Long as I remember the rain been comin' down
Clouds of mystery pourin' confusion on the ground.
Good men through the ages tryin' to find the sun.
And I wonder still I wonder who'll stop the rain.
I went down Virginia seekin' shelter from the storm
Caught up in the fable I watched the tower grow
Five year plans and new deals wrapped in golden chains.
And I wonder still I wonder who'll stop the rain.
Posted by: GnuBreed at October 18, 2012 01:34 PM (ccXZP)
Hand painted signs with "Time to take it back", "No Mas!" painted over a pic of O'dummy and various other patriotic sayings have been popping up all over.
Posted by: Courtesy Flush at October 18, 2012 01:34 PM (tkbF8)
Posted by: Othered at October 18, 2012 01:34 PM (EuW9O)
Posted by: Micihgan and Oiho at October 18, 2012 01:34 PM (tuthm)
Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at October 18, 2012 01:34 PM (QxSug)
Posted by: Sugar Kane at October 18, 2012 01:34 PM (EX+sq)
Posted by: Sugar Kane at October 18, 2012 05:22 PM (EX+sq)
No, his lead isn't outside the margin of fraud. I'm thinking it's either a Reagan/Mondale-like blowout or we lose. Maybe it's just me, but I can't imagine the cadre of true believers surrounding the President giving up power as the result of a free and fair election. Better than even chance we'll see the Chicago Way writ large, nationwide.
Of course, the President himself could refuse to concede on election day, claiming widespread fraud or voter suppression or general shenanigans and hijinks and demand a state-by-state recount. Democrats typically do well on recounts. We'll see, I guess.
Posted by: troyriser at October 18, 2012 01:34 PM (vtiE6)
Posted by: George Orwell what knows 47% got a fever and Uncle Sugar is the only cure at October 18, 2012 01:35 PM (AZGON)
Posted by: jakeman at October 18, 2012 01:35 PM (96M6e)
But just because you've got that Patton-kicking-ass-to-the-Elbe feel doesn't mean you can afford to ignore the evil you've left in control on the other side of the river.
I'm sure it won't happen, but I'd really like nothing better than for Harry Reid to slip on a bar of soap at his first meeting with Mitt.
Posted by: JEM at October 18, 2012 01:35 PM (o+SC1)
Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at October 18, 2012 01:35 PM (QxSug)
do we really want to elect Romney?
I mean, what kind of message does that send to the real conservatives out here?
and with Obama re-elected, we could kill in the midterms
I really think its time we accept this, Romney is not the right candidate for us true conservatives
besides. Obama killed Bin laden
we can't top that
Posted by: concerned conservative at October 18, 2012 01:36 PM (uLTng)
Posted by: Occam's Safety Razor at October 18, 2012 01:36 PM (8Mgrk)
Posted by: Fritz at October 18, 2012 01:36 PM (vm7ot)
Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at October 18, 2012 01:37 PM (QxSug)
Any word on Oregon?
The Obama lead pre-debate was 9 points, and that is about equal to the swing nationally in Romneys favor. Oregon, with 7 EVs, opens up the path of OR, NH, ME 1st (added to VA, CO, FL) for 269.
Posted by: ZBBMcFate at October 18, 2012 01:37 PM (Hj9yW)
Posted by: George Orwell what knows 47% got a fever and Uncle Sugar is the only cure at October 18, 2012 01:37 PM (AZGON)
Posted by: builderD at October 18, 2012 01:37 PM (hqKI2)
Posted by: wheatie at October 18, 2012 05:28 PM (ipkPX)
Once they know they are going to lose, that's when the cheating stops.
Posted by: Oldcat at October 18, 2012 01:37 PM (z1N6a)
Posted by: 19 days at October 18, 2012 01:38 PM (LpQbZ)
Look at the simpleton retarded Hairy Reed sitting behind him too.
Posted by: © Sponge at October 18, 2012 01:38 PM (UK9cE)
Ace,
It is a pleasure to be following these good tidings on your site. Furthermore, it is a pleasure to have (for several months now) shared your optimistic assessment of how this race would likely ultimately play out.
It looks like things may be unfolding as we strongly believed it would.
Here's to our side continuing to ride this glorious wave right through election day into a national mandate for sanity.
And as always: good job, man.
Cheers.
Posted by: _Dave_ at October 18, 2012 01:38 PM (J+Q+d)
Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at October 18, 2012 01:38 PM (QxSug)
Posted by: USA at October 18, 2012 01:38 PM (RIg+t)
I'd never heard it before, but wasn't impressed. OTOH, Youtube also had his version of "Great Pretender". Worth the trip.
Posted by: pep at October 18, 2012 01:38 PM (6TB1Z)
163 anyone remeber what the maps looked like for Reagan on election day?
The general consensus was that Reagan was going to lose.
That's what the media was pushing.
Polls mostly showed Carter leading.
The DNC was running lots of Ads, showing Reagan in those black and white 'Monkey Movies' that he did....the Bonzo movies.
They were ridiculing the fact that he'd been an actor.
The only Reagan Ads that I remember, were positive ones...where he talked about 'less govt regulation, less taxes'.
Posted by: wheatie at October 18, 2012 01:38 PM (ipkPX)
Posted by: Steven W. at October 18, 2012 01:39 PM (uqJO9)
Posted by: Sherry McEvil, Wondrous Wrepublican Wench at October 18, 2012 01:39 PM (kXoT0)
Posted by: troyriser at October 18, 2012 05:34 PM (vtiE6)
It sure would be nice to see some of the vote cheaters sent to federal pound-them-in-the-ass prison.
Posted by: Havedash at October 18, 2012 01:39 PM (ToMJU)
"If we don't get some trolls in here, I'm gonna have to eat some Eeyores."
All trolls have been ordered back to their bases. Remedial training in progress, using scourges dipped in lemon juice. Waiting for outlier poll to facilitate release. May not be in the cards. In which case, preparations underway for Binder protests and tire slashing instructions.
Posted by: Troll Thrall at October 18, 2012 01:39 PM (1Y+hH)
Posted by: yankeefifth at October 18, 2012 01:40 PM (Z9EHQ)
Posted by: 19 days at October 18, 2012 01:40 PM (LpQbZ)
Posted by: Stirner at October 18, 2012 01:40 PM (Ytuz8)
Posted by: maddogg at October 18, 2012 01:40 PM (OlN4e)
Posted by: Adolf, mit Hertz und Schmerz at October 18, 2012 01:40 PM (Dll6b)
Posted by: Beefy Mobile at October 18, 2012 01:41 PM (nxq8G)
Posted by: soothsayer at October 18, 2012 01:42 PM (jUytm)
Now people are starting to think it is OK to throw the Magical Negro under the bus. They see the lies. They see the lies. They see the lies.
Thank God they do and Barry will be heading to HI.
Time for a hymn.
http://tinyurl.com/9fvzafj
Get to work!
Posted by: Billy Bob, the guy who drinks in SC at October 18, 2012 01:42 PM (wR+pz)
Posted by: George Orwell what knows 47% got a fever and Uncle Sugar is the only cure at October 18, 2012 01:42 PM (AZGON)
Posted by: The Brightside at October 18, 2012 01:42 PM (gmeXX)
--------------
Government Accountability Board in Wisconsin was publicly disseminating information as recently as two days ago that no address verification was required to register to vote here. We have same day registration at the polls. You don't have to show a drivers license. People in the Walker recall were registering and voting instantly by showing junk coupon mailers as proof of residency and poll workers were accepting them as okay to register and vote on site. We are 40 miles from Chicago. It is not a pretty picture.
Posted by: mama winger in paul ryan's district at October 18, 2012 01:43 PM (P6QsQ)
Posted by: Guy Mohawk at October 18, 2012 01:43 PM (PHb2k)
...Once they know they are going to lose, that's when the cheating stops.
Posted by: Oldcat at October 18, 2012 05:37 PM (z1N6a)
It didn't stop them in Florida, in 2000.
It didn't stop them in Al Franken's race...when they were still 'finding' boxes of ballots in the trunks of cars.
Posted by: wheatie at October 18, 2012 01:43 PM (ipkPX)
Show a little respect for yourself and buy something that isn't overpriced rotgut in a fancy bottle. Makers Mark does have 1.75L bottles...
Posted by: Hollowpoint at October 18, 2012 01:43 PM (SY2Kh)
I would hope the riots wouldn't happen until after the king crab and steaks are disallowed under EBT.
Posted by: Bart who lurks with SMOD 2012, master of his domain at October 18, 2012 01:43 PM (he2LC)
Posted by: runningrn at October 18, 2012 01:43 PM (WGmy2)
Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at October 18, 2012 01:44 PM (QxSug)
Posted by: Nicholas Kronos at October 18, 2012 01:44 PM (vouc9)
Posted by: LASue at October 18, 2012 01:44 PM (gjIQF)
Posted by: Jon at October 18, 2012 01:44 PM (/YJYi)
Posted by: 19 days at October 18, 2012 01:44 PM (LpQbZ)
Posted by: yankeefifth at October 18, 2012 05:40 PM (Z9EHQ)
And if pigs could fly, they'd have dicks.
Posted by: Jow Bidon at October 18, 2012 01:44 PM (ToMJU)
Posted by: maddogg at October 18, 2012 01:44 PM (OlN4e)
Posted by: Sherry McEvil, Wondrous Wrepublican Wench at October 18, 2012 01:44 PM (kXoT0)
Posted by: maddogg
Agreed. She thinks she is being sly by hammering Ann Romney on why Mitt didn't serve in the military - because he's a Mormon and Mormons dont fight? Why a complete idiot. Ann handled it with grace. Also, she grills her on the duties of a First Lady having to greet dead military that come home in bags??
Whoopi doesn't know about honor, integrity or about being a lady let alone a first lady. BTW, I don't watch those hags, just saw a clip on the web.
Posted by: Cheri at October 18, 2012 01:44 PM (G+Wff)
Posted by: 19 days at October 18, 2012 01:44 PM (LpQbZ)
Posted by: yankeefifth at October 18, 2012 01:44 PM (Z9EHQ)
Show a little respect for yourself and buy something that isn't overpriced rotgut in a fancy bottle. Makers Mark does have 1.75L bottles...
========
Bourbon thread!
Posted by: USS Diversity at October 18, 2012 01:45 PM (0CiTm)
Posted by: edj at October 18, 2012 01:45 PM (+QKfp)
Posted by: Buddy Ryan at October 18, 2012 01:45 PM (YmPwQ)
Posted by: Vashta Nerada at October 18, 2012 01:45 PM (zhe90)
Posted by: USS Diversity at October 18, 2012 01:46 PM (0CiTm)
Posted by: George Orwell what knows 47% got a fever and Uncle Sugar is the only cure at October 18, 2012 01:46 PM (AZGON)
Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at October 18, 2012 01:46 PM (QxSug)
Just cuz it's fun- I sent a nasty complaint email to L"Oreal about Longoria- here's the email if anyone wants to pile on:
USA
US Press Office
1-212-984-4414
media@us.loreal.com
Thanks LASue....I will.
Posted by: Cheri at October 18, 2012 01:46 PM (G+Wff)
Nevertheless, we need a slam dunk, spike the football, excessive exuberance 99 yard penalty to push the progressives into such a funk they stay in their moms basement until the next millennium.
Posted by: Schrödinger's cat at October 18, 2012 01:46 PM (feFL6)
Carter was ahead 5 or more points, but after the one debate that "softened" and John Anderson being in the race made it complicated.
What apparently happened is that many independents switched from Anderson to Reagan after the debate, which was about a week before the election.
I was in the UK; polls closed 7pm Eastern, 12 GMT in the UK, and by zero30 hours they were calling it for Reagan. Shocka...
Posted by: Adolf, mit Hertz und Schmerz at October 18, 2012 01:46 PM (Dll6b)
If this continues, obvioulsy F*ck the libs and MSNBC, but there should be a serious a*s kicking of the supposed "conservatives" who have chin-pulled and nay sayed and fly specked every damn thing Romney and Ryan have done (looking at you Bill Kristol, Ingraham, NRO).
Victory, it seems, is only worth pursuing on their terms. F them too.
Posted by: Meathammer at October 18, 2012 01:46 PM (W2qJe)
Posted by: JackStraw at October 18, 2012 01:47 PM (TMB3S)
Whoopi and the other admit it's over when they use these lines of attack.
Why aren't they talking about all the great things Obama has done, and how he's brought us all together in a post-racial utopia?
Posted by: Meremortal, hugging mail-in ballot at October 18, 2012 01:47 PM (1Y+hH)
With respect to the lunatic left and people like Beckel, Obama, Matthews, etc, let me just quote this guy:
“Ordinarily he was insane, but he had lucid moments when he was merely stupid”
¯ Heinrich Heine
Posted by: Old Guy at October 18, 2012 01:47 PM (OWyNf)
Just remember, Whoopi: Ann Romney is seven years older than you.
Who says black don't crack?
Posted by: Nicholas Kronos at October 18, 2012 01:48 PM (vouc9)
Posted by: yankeefifth at October 18, 2012 01:48 PM (Z9EHQ)
Posted by: @PurpAv at October 18, 2012 01:48 PM (Lb7kK)
Posted by: rockmom at October 18, 2012 05:24 PM (aBlZ1)
___
I'm in Delco. I like Larry Mendte but can't listen to him because I'm already at work when he's on. The host I was referring to is the guy on 1210AM, Chris something or other.
Posted by: kallisto at October 18, 2012 01:48 PM (jm/9g)
Posted by: The Brightside at October 18, 2012 05:42 PM (gmeXX)
WTF? You do know the VP is the PRESIDENT of the Senate, right?
Guess not.
Posted by: Billy Bob, the guy who drinks in SC at October 18, 2012 01:48 PM (wR+pz)
Posted by: Sherry McEvil, Wondrous Wrepublican Wench at October 18, 2012 05:39 PM (kXoT0)
----
I just donated more money about ten minutes ago and it took my credit card fine. Maybe refresh your browser?
Posted by: mama winger in paul ryan's district at October 18, 2012 01:49 PM (P6QsQ)
Posted by: yankeefifth at October 18, 2012 01:49 PM (Z9EHQ)
Posted by: 19 days at October 18, 2012 01:49 PM (LpQbZ)
Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at October 18, 2012 01:50 PM (QxSug)
I hope Obama's creditors undergo similar experiences.
Posted by: Bart who lurks with SMOD 2012, master of his domain at October 18, 2012 01:50 PM (he2LC)
Posted by: mare at October 18, 2012 01:50 PM (A98Xu)
Posted by: Adolf, mit Hertz und Schmerz at October 18, 2012 01:50 PM (Dll6b)
Posted by: BCochran1981 at October 18, 2012 01:51 PM (GEICT)
Posted by: @PurpAv at October 18, 2012 01:51 PM (Lb7kK)
Posted by: yankeefifth at October 18, 2012 01:51 PM (Z9EHQ)
To whom it may concern.
Until Eva and her ugly divisive nasty racist politics are gone from l'Oreal, I am boycotting your products.
Sincerely yours,Sherry
Tulsa, OK
Posted by: Sherry McEvil, Wondrous Wrepublican Wench at October 18, 2012 01:51 PM (kXoT0)
Posted by: somebody else, not me at October 18, 2012 01:51 PM (nZvGM)
Posted by: maddogg at October 18, 2012 01:51 PM (OlN4e)
Posted by: Bubba Clintonian the First at October 18, 2012 01:51 PM (1Y+hH)
Posted by: Evilpens at October 18, 2012 01:52 PM (ck76k)
Don't get cocky. The Obama team definitely is getting out the African American vote for early voting in Charlotte, NC.
Charlotte, Raleigh, Durham and Chapel Hill will probably go to Obama -- but I am optimistic that Romney will keep the margin closer than McCain did. Romney should win virtually every other part of NC. But its all about turnout.
Posted by: nc at October 18, 2012 01:52 PM (Cxl7g)
Posted by: Truman North at October 18, 2012 01:52 PM (I2LwF)
I can't imagine the children of the Iranian hostages are too enamored of Carter-lite.
Posted by: HeatherRadish™, predenounced for your convenience at October 18, 2012 01:52 PM (/kI1Q)
Posted by: Bart who lurks with SMOD 2012, master of his domain at October 18, 2012 01:52 PM (he2LC)
Posted by: Stephen Harper at October 18, 2012 01:54 PM (jKE+Z)
306Beckel was Very subdued yesterday too He Knows What an Asskicking builing looks like Personally
The fat bastard needs a refresher course.
Posted by: maddogg at October 18, 2012 01:54 PM (OlN4e)
Posted by: Meremortal, eyes mail-in ballot at October 18, 2012 01:54 PM (1Y+hH)
Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at October 18, 2012 01:55 PM (QxSug)
Posted by: JackStraw at October 18, 2012 05:27 PM (TMB3S)
My husband is a professor and conservative. We are just now allowing ourselves to discus how we should celebrate. I cannot tell you how wonderfully delicious it is when the democrats lose to be on campus. When TJF is gone all these passive aggressive academics will be so sad. Sadder than they have ever been. My husband's best gloating election story happened January 1981. He was still in grad school and brought his tiny black and white TV into the lab to watch Reagan's inauguration.
Posted by: Pointy Elbow Cheerleader at October 18, 2012 01:56 PM (kzp9t)
Posted by: Mrs. Crowley Creosote at October 18, 2012 01:56 PM (ck76k)
Posted by: George Orwell what knows 47% got a fever and Uncle Sugar is the only cure at October 18, 2012 01:56 PM (AZGON)
In the Boy Scouts? That would mean he Sandusky'ed a kid.
I was surprised that the Jerry Sandusky thing was even reported, given the...orientation.
No, a gay pedophile is not going to move the needle in Obama's direction.
Posted by: Downballot Democrats at October 18, 2012 01:57 PM (T0NGe)
Here's hoping that they get about twenty million letters exactly like that one.
Note: in my experience, large corporations pay more attention to physical postal mail than they do to e-mail. Inconvenient and costly, but that's the way things work.
Posted by: torquewrench at October 18, 2012 01:58 PM (ymG7s)
Posted by: Norm MacDonald at October 18, 2012 01:58 PM (e0xKF)
Posted by: Omedco at October 18, 2012 01:58 PM (NersQ)
Posted by: Downballot Democrats at October 18, 2012 05:57
Probably gonna peel off some of Obama's base to Romney.
Posted by: Dept. of Accuracy Dept. at October 18, 2012 01:58 PM (+I8Mq)
This is what we need to start focusing on. Now.
Posted by: hannitys_hybrid at October 18, 2012 01:58 PM (zpqa2)
Posted by: pep at October 18, 2012 01:59 PM (6TB1Z)
Clinton fatigue onset ~6 years.
Bush fatigue onset ~5 years.
Carter fatigue onset ~3 years.
Obama fatigue onset ~2 years.
That's gotta be some kinda record.
Posted by: @PurpAv at October 18, 2012 01:59 PM (Lb7kK)
Posted by: K~Bob at October 18, 2012 02:00 PM (S76nq)
I've got a binder full of riots.
Posted by: George Orwell what knows 47% got a fever and Uncle Sugar is the only cure at October 18, 2012 05:35 PM (AZGON)
I got some buckshot for your binders and I am loaded for bear.
Posted by: jeremiah Gosh Darn Amerikkka Ali Muhammad Surpra-izi Amin U'rbu T'hol wright at October 18, 2012 02:01 PM (ovpNn)
Posted by: Mrs. Crowley Creosote at October 18, 2012 02:02 PM (ck76k)
>>Clinton fatigue onset ~6 years.
Bush fatigue onset ~5 years.
Carter fatigue onset ~3 years.
Obama fatigue onset ~2 years.
Binder fatigue onset ~ 2 days.
Posted by: Mama AJ, Binder American at October 18, 2012 02:03 PM (SUKHu)
Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at October 18, 2012 02:04 PM (QxSug)
Posted by: NWConservative at October 18, 2012 02:04 PM (ab8CJ)
Posted by: That Astronomy Guy at October 18, 2012 02:04 PM (1Y+hH)
For you North Carolina Winston Wolf fans:
Early voting reports for NC, 2012 election
Total Votes: 50,674
Dem: 13,887 = 27.4%
Rep: 27,455 = 54.2%
Unaffiliated: 9,255 = 18.3%
Libertarian: 77 = 0.2%
Compare that with 2008:
Dem: 51.4%
Rep: 30.2%
Other: 18.5%
Pucker up.
Posted by: Buddy Ryan at October 18, 2012 02:06 PM (YmPwQ)
Posted by: NWConservative at October 18, 2012 02:06 PM (ab8CJ)
Posted by: deusexmachina at October 18, 2012 02:07 PM (6RTwM)
Posted by: In before the troll at October 18, 2012 02:08 PM (TIIx5)
Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at October 18, 2012 02:08 PM (QxSug)
OK, the Democrats will have to do something BIG to try to turn this thing around. What's it going to be?
1. Time for the military option?
2. Romney scandal?
3. Or...the fake Iranian agreement on nukes?
Do you pick door number 1, 2 or 3?
Posted by: Monty Hall at October 18, 2012 02:09 PM (1Y+hH)
Posted by: steevy at October 18, 2012 02:09 PM (6o4Fb)
Ain't nobody got enough stompy boots, quirts, and gloves to train anyone to believe that shit about Barky\Mooch\Girls\Pooch. The Cosbys, they are NOT!
Posted by: Sherry McEvil, Wondrous Wrepublican Wench at October 18, 2012 02:10 PM (kXoT0)
Posted by: mama winger
They still read newspapers in WI? Pretty quaint.
Posted by: Oldcat at October 18, 2012 02:10 PM (z1N6a)
Posted by: NWConservative at October 18, 2012 02:10 PM (ab8CJ)
Posted by: hannitys_hybrid at October 18, 2012 02:11 PM (zpqa2)
Posted by: Evilpens at October 18, 2012 02:12 PM (ck76k)
Posted by: Pam Gellers hairy nipples at October 18, 2012 02:13 PM (HKZ+v)
Posted by: NWConservative at October 18, 2012 02:13 PM (ab8CJ)
Posted by: edj at October 18, 2012 02:13 PM (+QKfp)
Posted by: hannitys_hybrid at October 18, 2012 02:13 PM (zpqa2)
Posted by: Evilpens at October 18, 2012 02:13 PM (ck76k)
Posted by: hannitys_hybrid at October 18, 2012 06:13 PM (zpqa2)
Take his death certificate to the Election Board and make sure his name is removed.
Posted by: Sherry McEvil, Wondrous Wrepublican Wench at October 18, 2012 02:15 PM (kXoT0)
Posted by: NWConservative at October 18, 2012 02:16 PM (ab8CJ)
When Ramussen says Romney 52%, I will admit to happiness. As of now, I'm hiding it.
Ras is the biggest fly in the pudding at the moment, no doubt about it. 50% would make me very happy though, and he's at 49 today.
Posted by: Meremortal, tantrum central at October 18, 2012 02:17 PM (1Y+hH)
You've never been to WA, I take it
Posted by: hannitys_hybrid at October 18, 2012 02:17 PM (zpqa2)
Posted by: NWConservative at October 18, 2012 02:17 PM (ab8CJ)
Posted by: NWConservative at October 18, 2012 02:18 PM (ab8CJ)
Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at October 18, 2012 02:19 PM (QxSug)
Posted by: NWConservative at October 18, 2012 02:21 PM (ab8CJ)
Posted by: hannitys_hybrid at October 18, 2012 02:22 PM (zpqa2)
Posted by: Romney stole my teddybear at October 18, 2012 02:53 PM (Kflw4)
Posted by: defense at October 18, 2012 02:58 PM (oZfic)
Posted by: defense at October 18, 2012 03:09 PM (oZfic)
Posted by: LASue at October 18, 2012 03:18 PM (gjIQF)
Posted by: Bets at October 18, 2012 03:20 PM (b5Ws7)
Michelle Bachman is also needing some money. She may be tardisil but she is a conservative vote.
Posted by: ChristyBlinky, unbanned, ready to get this done at October 18, 2012 03:45 PM (baL2B)
Posted by: Witchfinder at October 18, 2012 03:54 PM (s/PhC)
Posted by: Choo-Choo Joey at October 18, 2012 03:55 PM (3sZO1)
Posted by: ChristyBlinky, unbanned, ready to get this done at October 18, 2012 04:07 PM (baL2B)
I was talking to Iraqis at the time I said this.
Posted by: Uncle Joe Biden at October 18, 2012 04:46 PM (hjdAs)
Posted by: Bill at October 18, 2012 04:51 PM (6E7W2)
Posted by: Joe Biden at October 18, 2012 05:20 PM (Iyg03)
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Posted by: the Butcher at October 18, 2012 01:07 PM (8g9qq)