1 Firsty?

2 I'm taking my ball...and going big!

3 "Republicans wisely competed for a hundred Democratic seats in 2010, won two thirds of them and lost the rest by only a 3 pt average. So why aren't we doing the same thing now?? The TEA Party and the GOP leadership ain't the same thing.

4 From what I've seen, I think we're on the verge of being pleasantly surprised what a 'executive type' can actually do on a campaign.  He's been working on this for years; hasn't really disappointed yet (speed of response, neutering attacks, etc, etc).

As someone once said, "When they're on their heels, knock them the f--k OUT!"

5 OT but  Thomas Sowell quote too good to ignore:

“The word ‘racism’ is like ketchup. It can be put on practically anything.”

6 Where's the map?  We loves the CAC maps!

7 The TEA Party and the GOP leadership ain't the same thing. Posted by: eman at June 26, 2012 10:58 AM (ejmiE) The Tea Party knows that but I don't think the GOP has figured that out yet.

8 Does GO BIG mean you want Mittens to go with a aggressive VP pick, play for NJ, NM, or WISC?

9 Read the Stoller article in the sidebar.  Read the whole thing, and see how Obama has unified the left and the right... in utter contempt for him.  It is a vicious takedown, and strangely calls upon the same arguments made by conservatives (for the last 4 years) to show that Obama is in fact a dangerous con man.  Someone in the Romney campaign - read and heed.  Yes, time to go big, and time to go nasty on this creep - the left just showed us how.

10 But, but, but we won't get invited to the best parties and the media will hate us...

11 Praying for a repudiation

12 Every Democrat has a plan, until they get punched in the face. Romney's plan should be to punch twice as hard.

13

Mitt Romney's hair?

 

You're welcome.

14 A monetary advantage is wasted if you just target the same tired purple states. Force Obama to spend what limited resources his party has defending him in states he should be counting on, and guess what happens to those "purple" ones?

That's right.

Especially if it's true that Obama's fundraising is tanking. If they have to cancel the kickoff event for the Dem convention, I will laugh and laugh and laugh.

15 And keep up the bus honking at Obama thing. That's really good for my morale.

16 Barack Obama is a stuttering clusterf*ck of a miserable tyrant.

17 According to some poll of Virginia voters linked at Hot Air :

Romney : 48%
Obama : 43%


And some sad news, John Edwards and Rachelle Hunter have split. It's like 9/11 for lovers.

18 My friends, there is nothing to fear from an Obama presidency...

19 @10: Tell us about it.  The Weiner thing got us dis-invited from Debbie Wasserman-Schultz's all-nude wine and cheese tasting in Manhattan.

20 19 @10: Tell us about it. The Weiner thing got us dis-invited from Debbie Wasserman-Schultz's all-nude wine and cheese tasting in Manhattan. Posted by: The Ewok and Allahpundit at June 26, 2012 11:03 AM (tqwMN) And thus passed the opportunity to see if the rugs matched the drapes...

21 19 @10: Tell us about it. The Weiner thing got us dis-invited from Debbie Wasserman-Schultz's all-nude wine and cheese tasting in Manhattan. Posted by: The Ewok and Allahpundit at June 26, 2012 11:03 AM (tqwMN) Thanks, I just threw up in my mouth.

22 “While we regret having to move CarolinaFest away from our great partners at the Charlotte Motor Speedway and the City of Concord, we are thrilled with the opportunity that comes with hosting this event in Uptown Charlotte,” said Dan Murrey, the executive director of the Charlotte in 2012 Convention Host Committee. They are OUT of money - FINISH 'EM

23 Read the Stoller article in the sidebar. Read the whole thing, and see how Obama has unified the left and the right... in utter contempt for him



As others have said, Obama and the Dems have done the previously thought impossible, gotten conservatives eager to vote for Romney.

24 20 19 @10: Tell us about it. The Weiner thing got us dis-invited from Debbie Wasserman-Schultz's all-nude wine and cheese tasting in Manhattan.

Posted by: The Ewok and Allahpundit at June 26, 2012 11:03 AM (tqwMN)

And thus passed the opportunity to see if the rugs matched the drapes...

Posted by: The Huggable Robot Devil at June 26, 2012 11:04 AM (136wp)

I think that after the first microsecond, I would be unable to actually see if the rugs matched the drapes.  IFYKWIMAITYD

25

I was in OH this weekend. I was amazed at the volume and frequency of Obama campaign ads on the networks. The number of ads was as if the election was being held next week, not 4 months from now. That rate cannot be kept up.

Ironic that the campaigns could be a rehash of Reagan spending the USSR into bankruptcy!

26

McCain was on Greta last night and I caught about 30 seconds of it. 

Greta:  Is Obama mad at Arizona, is it the law, what is it?

McCain: Obama has to energize his base.

WTH?

27 “While we regret having to move CarolinaFest away from our great partners at the Charlotte Motor Speedway and the City of Concord, we are thrilled with the opportunity that comes with hosting this event in Uptown Charlotte,”



Ow. Ow. Ow. I think I just sprained something laughing.

28 Ironic that the campaigns could be a rehash of Reagan spending the USSR into bankruptcy! Posted by: @huffpeter at June 26, 2012 11:07 AM (NHNJt) Good Analogy.

29

No! It's my money! Mine! Mine! Mine!
Posted by: Mitt Romney

30 That's something Romney looks to be doing. He's not just campaigning in states he should win, but campaigning in states that he probably won't win, making them competitive and forcing Obama to spend money and time in those states, meaning Obama spends less time and money in swing states. It's a good strategy.

31 And keep up the bus honking at Obama thing. That's really good for my morale.

You just know it's inciting rage in the little narcissist too.  And some day it's going to come pouring out when he's on camera, and then it's a race against the MFM to get it all over YouTube before they can censor it.

32

huffpeter @ 25

 

I am in Ohio a lot more than that (I LIVE here), and yes, this is a battleground state and the Obama ads are on ALL THE TIME.

Because....Barack Obama is a stuttering clusterfuck of a miserable failure.

He has his followers, but a lot of people in this state really hate that guy.

33 The problem, CAC, is that your attack plan makes too much sense. It is sane and logical and it would work. That disqualifies it from serious consideration by the dum-dums at the money throttle. They would rather churn and thrash.

34 In case people who work for the Romney camp are not reading this, CAC, please send the initial post to the Campaign. You can do so on the Romney website. You have good ideas.

35 >>our great partners at the Charlotte Motor Speedway

Remember when Democrats advised operatives attending NASCAR events in the South get all their shots before going out among the unwashed cousin-humpers? 

http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,301684,00.html

36 27 “While we regret having to move CarolinaFest away from our great partners at the Charlotte Motor Speedway and the City of Concord, we are thrilled with the opportunity that comes with hosting this event in Uptown Charlotte,” Ow. Ow. Ow. I think I just sprained something laughing. Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD 2012 at June 26, 2012 11:08 AM (Gk3SS) Here's a Zen Koan for you: Q: "What is the sound of one Obama clapping?" A: "Michelle at the Democratic National Convention"

37 I think I may have underestimated Romney's campaign abilities. He seems to be doing the right things. I hope I am wrong about his level of libtardness too.

38 If you fail, at least fail daringly.

39 But...but...KOCH BROTHERS! DEATH OF DEMOCRACY!!!! [swoons]

40 I am in Ohio a lot more than that (I LIVE here), and yes, this is a battleground state and the Obama ads are on ALL THE TIME.



I'm in NC. The odds of a boot going through my tv due to all the Obama commercials are very very high. And I love my tv.

41 I was in a laundromat saturday afternoon (washer is broken) and they had a tv on featuring wrestling followed by some shitty sitcoms. Obama commercials were on EVERY commercial break. It was relentless. He's going after the low info voters with a vengeance. They're his only hope at this point.

42 agreed. no sense in buying lies that electorate stays stagnant. many "blue wall" states are up for grabs especially if the economy continues to hurt

43 Romney Campaign:  Go For The Throat And Don't Let Go.

Don't go all McCain on us now.

44 O/T #ChasingUFOs thing sounds like a lunch invitation! Stop! Don't send it!

45 Mitt be like the wolves in The Grey.  Stalk SCOAMF's campaign, lure them into your den...then BAM!

46 Delaware baby...the key is Delaware!!

47 As others have said, Obama and the Dems have done the previously thought impossible, gotten conservatives eager to vote for Romney.

Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD 2012 at June 26, 2012 11:06 AM (Gk3SS)

 

 

Holy shit. Maybe he really is a lightworker!

48 OT but this is too good to pass on....and a sure candidate for the Caturday ONT:
 
Google has created an 'artificial brain' from 16,000 computer processors, and sat it down with an internet connection.

There's a certain grim inevitability to the fact that the YouTube company's creation began watching stills from cat videos.
 
http://preview.tinyurl.com/6w77m7d (Daily Mail link)
 
Resistance is futile.

49 22 “While we regret having to move CarolinaFest away from our great partners at the Charlotte Motor Speedway and the City of Concord, we are thrilled with the opportunity that comes with hosting this event in Uptown Charlotte,” said Dan Murrey, the executive director of the Charlotte in 2012 Convention Host Committee.

Besides, there's lots of room at the 7-11 for a convention.  There in the back, next to the Slurpee machine.
-Dan Murrey

50

More mocking, heckling, derision, taunting, and bus horn honking  against the SCFOAMT please.

 

It's the simple things in life that make me happiest.

51 “While we regret having to move CarolinaFest away from our great partners at the Charlotte Motor Speedway and the City of Concord, we are thrilled with the opportunity that comes with hosting this event in Uptown Charlotte,”

---

At the Holiday Inn.  The Bathroom off the lobby.  First stall to the right.

52 I thought that Obama's ability to raise funds and run a campaign was proof that he was fit for the office of president.  This term, not so much.

53 Let's not forget to exploit our enthusiasm gap.

We are much less non-enthusiastic about the GOP candidate than the Dems are non-enthusiastic about theirs.

I guess it's really a non-enthusiasm gap.

54 47 As others have said, Obama and the Dems have done the previously thought impossible, gotten conservatives eager to vote for Romney. Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD 2012 at June 26, 2012 11:06 AM (Gk3SS) You have a point. I wonder if Obama would have shitcanned Holder, done nothing to thwart AZ's 1070 and made a few at least moderate moves. Would Romney have gotten this much traction? Mrs. Sailor can't stand him and there she was yesterday putting her Romney sticker on the Mini Van.

55 46 Delaware baby...the key is Delaware!!

^This! Eleventy!

56 Y'all are going to like how this week ends. Barry...not so much.

57

And keep up the bus honking at Obama thing. That's really good for my morale.

 
Posted by: HeatherRadish at June 26, 2012 11:02 AM (/kI1Q)

Provoke him, to know his patterns of movement.

58 I've heard some DC rumors that the Dims convention has a bunch of problems - not just money.

59 "According to some poll of Virginia voters linked at Hot Air : Romney : 48% Obama : 43%" LOL, that's a We Ask America poll, the same outfit that said Walker was 13 pts ahead of Barrett.

60 23 --- "As others have said, Obama and the Dems have done the previously thought impossible, gotten conservatives eager to vote for Romney. " Just about everyone on all sides of the political spectrum believed that Romney's greatest weakness as a GOP candidate would be his inability to excite and mobilize the wicked wingnuts of the Right, particularly the so-cons. It is astounding to me that the Obamites have thrown that advantage in the toilet and flushed it away. ASTOUNDING. The pre-election attacks on the Catholic Church, the evolution on gay marriage, the royal immigration decree --- these are blunders that will not be forgotten when Zero tries to move to the center in the general election.

61

As per usual, I'm sure Romney will counter the dumbocrats compaint about him getting more money than SCoaMF in a condensed, one sentence statement which will devastate their argument.

He's formidable, and can knock them into stumbling in one sentence.

62 LOL, that's a We Ask America poll, the same outfit that said Walker was 13 pts ahead of Barrett.



And, as we all know, Walker lost.

63 I live in Ohio and I keep seeing the same Obama TV ad over and over -- no Romney ads.  The F's up with that?   I can't believe they have Ohio in the safe column. 

64 Almost doesn't matter who the Republican is. Four more years of this self-adoring sourpuss dilettante is unthinkable. Which is kind of what the money is saying--ABO.

65 I don't think carpet bombing an area with commercials is the right way to do things.  People have a mute button and a lot of stuff is recorded and you just skip commercials.  Those who don't know how to do this, if not political junkies, just get pissed. 

The Romney campaign might want to produce a series of programs.  Honestly explaining how we got here and where we are going.   Sort of like the Syms angle "an educated consumer is your best customer"....not dry, with humor and honesty.  The one complaint I hear about romney is that he is robotic and has no emotion.  Now, I'm sure he's perfected being unreadable cause his business demanded it, sort of like poker players, but, people don't understand that and want to see the personality.  Sort of a romney "grow trust" operation.

I could so see Mrs. Romney in a talk show setting talking about local farmers or small companies doing great things.  Talking about her horses and asking everyone to root for them.  In so doing, her attitude and love of God and country which is part of her makeup will come through.

66 Here in solid-Blue CA we're going all in for Johnson.

Remember, half of our problem is the brain-dead Republican establishment. Palin endorsed that ancient hack Hatch, fer cryin' out loud. And God knows Mittens needs adult supervision.

Liberty. It's what's for dinner (and breakfast, and lunch).

67 And another thing - since SCoaMF killed Osama personally (if you ask a dem), they probably won't be manning the anonymous donation desk in the Gaza strip  for him this time around.

68 Dear Mitt Romney,

Go For Broke!*

If you don't then we will truly be broke.

*Motto of the 442nd Regimental Combat Team

69 I really, really, really like blowing dogs, then eating them. Obama 2012!

70 Wish  someone  would  "go  big"  on  me!  It  has  simply  been  ages.

71

Posted by: morning coffee crew at June 26, 2012 11:23 AM (oZfic)

 

___

 

Has the ravel rousing started? I do hope I'm not late for it.

72 hahaha gerg! walker WON, and most likely if only legal votes were counted, by about 13 percent. mitt hasn't had his convention or VP naming yet - so is still generally an unknown to many you are sweetly smallminded tho, with your foolish consistencies.

73 Lots of Romney ads here in Iowa. More than Obama ads, which are plentiful also. I'm not sensing a lot of enthusiasm for the D ticket this year.

I live in the King/Vilsack district, north of the Latham/Boswell district (I work in that one). I think we have a chance at both, based on attitudes and opinions of the residents.

74
I have a gripe.

I dont like the word "optics".... its an overused and stupid term... but....

WTF is Boehner thinking scheduling the contempt vote on the same day as the health care decision???  

Optically speaking......   wont those two story lines kinda step on one another??

75 The Tea Party knows that but I don't think the GOP has figured that out yet. Posted by: Oldsailors Poet, Team Dagny at June 26, 2012 10:59 AM (9TTOe) 2014 is gonna be pretty damned interesting.

76 CAC, you're hired!

77

Dear God, Gerg,

 

Are you STILL here?

 

Kloppenberg needs her bagel and cream cheese.  Chop chop.

78 Average Joe sucks cock by choice.

79 When is the Repub Convention? I'm ready to see who the Veep Nom is gonna be.

80 @59 this coming from the guy who worships PPP who got it as wrong and then got the AZ-8 race wrong as well? not to mention an admitted liar, fuck off Greg

81 LOL, that's a We Ask America poll, the same outfit that said Walker was 13 pts ahead of Barrett.

Still working on self-awareness, huh? 

Keep trying, little camper!

82 I have been doing my part by donating to the party, Romney and the better Super PACs. I want this stain on American history to end.

83 Whoa.  SCOAMF insulted the people giving him money at his fundraiser.
http://is.gd/p4v6PS

Also good for my morale.

84

; margin: 0in 0in 0pt; line-height: normal;" class="MsoNormal">Has the ravel rousing started? I do hope I'm not late for it.

Posted by: kallisto at June 26, 2012 11:26 AM (jm/9g)

 

Not yet, but weÂ’re just about to get started.

85 And wasn't our dim whitted Kenyan supposed to be raising a billion dollars? Was that a typo?

86 Posted by: fixerupper at June 26, 2012 11:26 AM (C8hzL) A twofer on Thursday would pretty damn awesome if you ask me. The Friday doc dump will be awesome to behold if we get both our way.

87 WTF is Boehner thinking scheduling the contempt vote on the same day as the health care decision???


I'm pretty sure the contempt vote was already scheduled for Thursday.  Hell, let's not forget that it's no guaranteed that the OCare decision will come down on Thursday.  It is traditional for all opinions to be announced by end of June but not required. 

88 I wonder if Obama would have shitcanned Holder, done nothing to thwart AZ's 1070 and made a few at least moderate moves. Would Romney have gotten this much traction

No.  If Obama had "learned his lesson" in 2010, he'd be Clinton v Dole at the moment (or, at least, closer to that).  All-in-all, I'm glad he's so stubborn, though.

89 "According to some poll of Virginia voters linked at Hot Air : Romney : 48% Obama : 43%" LOL, that's a We Ask America poll, the same outfit that said Walker was 13 pts ahead of Barrett. Posted by: Greg at June 26, 2012 11:20 AM (j+Xk7) Funny, it was 12 pts. they were off on WI, just like PPP was off on WI, but you don't seem to criticize PPP, ever. WAA is PPP in reverse. If PPP can skew polling averages in favor of Obama, I'm all for WAA doing the opposite.

90 Crush your enemies, see them driven before you, and hear the lamentation of their women.

91 63--"I live in Ohio and I keep seeing the same Obama TV ad over and over -- no Romney ads. The F's up with that? I can't believe they have Ohio in the safe column." Same thing here in Virginia, but that doesn't mean Romney thinks OH and VA are his. Far from it! Remember that it is only June. Whether Obama's early TV-ad blitzes work or not is yet to be seen. I am skeptical.

92 Meg Whitman ran so many TV commercials here in CA, it was absolutely annoying. People just tune them out now, especially with alternative media so pervasive. Even my 86-year old mom has a computer.

But electing Romney without a conservative Congress will be like (apologies to P.J. O'Rourke) giving whiskey and car keys to teenage boys. Wheeee!

93 Nothing says desperation like Gerg doodlebugging the poll numbers with his magic dowsing rod.

94 >>>And keep up the bus honking at Obama thing. That's really good for my morale.

Yeah every time he pulls that I get a one hour buff to wittiness and persuasion.

95 None of the big pollsters are going to get VA right, they have to use different turnout models for different regions -- and I doubt they will do that until much later in the race. The spatial distribution of the vote is going to matter dramatically.

96 and again Greg, your an admitted liar. we win every time because of that. your a liar, no spin from you can change that.

97 LOL, that's a We Ask America poll, the same outfit that said Walker was 13 pts ahead of Barrett.

As opposed to PPP who was off by 50% the wrong way saying that Obama is in the lead?

98 79 When is the Repub Convention? I'm ready to see who the Veep Nom is gonna be.

Posted by: cajun carrot at June 26, 2012 11:27 AM (UZQM

romney is being very smart.  He isn't giving all his ideas out.  This is driving the dems crazy and also the rino republicans.  So BO's modus operandi, to take your idea as soon as you say it and rubber stamp it, can't be deployed.  Romeny has to engender trust from regular people and get across that he's not giving his ideas out until he can implement them quickly.  Not in an "i dont' want to help the country way" but in a "the ideas I've developed after long hours and careful study and discussion with the best and the brightest need to be carefully implemented and I don't want to put them out cause the other "throw it against the wall and see if it sticks" crowd will then botch things up way.

The fact that every popular republican is "being considered for VP" is brilliant.  It allows them all to talk about their pet ideas and to talk up romney and to keep everyone guessing...he's not going to release it until the convention, he's having too much fun this way and so are the potential VP candidates.

99 Money is not what won it for Obama in States like NC.  What won for him in NC was conservatrive Republicans sitting at home because they hated McCain and blacks coming out in force in a State with heavy black population.


Money will not win it for Romney either.  What will win it for Romney is desire to get Obama out of office despite not being in lover with Romney.


Money helps, but it is not the end all.

100 PPP is also the same firm that polled CO about South Park & MI about the height of the trees, *snorts*

101 Dems to cut a day off their convention. Hookers and coke dealers hardest hit.

102 I'm pretty sure the contempt vote was already scheduled for Thursday. Hell, let's not forget that it's no guaranteed that the OCare decision will come down on Thursday.


The court pretty much said that all the rest of the remaining decisions would be announced Thursday.

103 101 Money is not what won it for Obama in States like NC. What won for him in NC was conservatrive Republicans sitting at home because they hated McCain and blacks coming out in force in a State with heavy black population.


Money will not win it for Romney either. What will win it for Romney is desire to get Obama out of office despite not being in lover with Romney.


Money helps, but it is not the end all.

Posted by: Vic at June 26, 2012 11:32 AM (YdQQY)

I actually think that romney should run a campaign not relying on money and spending.  He should treat his campaign like a corporation with shareholders who think nothing of complaining.  Would be fascinating if he could say "I raised three million dollars and used only one million and got the three million dollar job done anyway".....Sort of in an "actions speak louder than words".

How are you?  Not a day goes by when you aren't included in my rosaries and at mass.  Your wife too.

104 The court pretty much said that all the rest of the remaining decisions would be announced Thursday.

The only way it wouldn't come out Thursday is if it came out on Friday- which is highly unlikely.

105 RE:  The sidebar article on Obama running against Washington.  I told you, I told you that a sitting President was going to run as a Washington outsider.

106 I live in Ohio and I keep seeing the same Obama TV ad over and over -- no Romney ads. The F's up with that? I can't believe they have Ohio in the safe column.

Posted by: Bud Norton at June 26, 2012 11:23 AM (6cOMd)

I don't know what part of Ahia you're from but in the Cleveland area there are tons of Romney ads; too many of them maybe.

107 Quite honestly, I think Romney, at least for now, should focus tackling more on the "blue wall" than in the swing states like Florida, Ohia, and Virginia. Heck, just a month ago I would consider that a strategic blunder, but since then we've seen at least 3 to 4 supposedly safe Obama states that either became tossups or in-play.

Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania are the most notable. The dems never thought they would would need to spend money defending these states in 2012. And if they're spending cash on their own turf, they're not spending money on crucial battleground states.

Remember, a few month ago everyone pretty much agreed that the only way Romney was going to win was by winning every single key swing state: Florida, Ohio, Virgina, and North Carolina. (I think Virginia would be the toughest for him due to a higher black demographic in the state). But now? Thanks to the crumbling of the blue wall, he can afford to lose one or two of these states if he wins others like Wisconsin (likely) or Michigan (tougher but not insurmountable).

What Romney really needs to do is initiate a MASSIVE spending campaign in the blue wall states. He has the money to do it and at this early stage, he has very little to lose - and a whole lot to gain.

108 I told you, I told you that a sitting President was going to run as a Washington outsider.

I don't think anyone here doubted you.  Of course that's how he's going to run- it's all he's got.  And by "all he's got," of course, I mean "so he's got less than nothing."

109 96--- Yep. In Virginia it's coming down to who actually goes to the polls, what the GOP can do to get out the vote in red areas and reduce fraud in blue areas. Then hope (!) that the enthusiasm of enough blacks and students has changed (!) to apathy.

110 I don't think the court will announce the decision on thursday.  I'm thinking they will announce it on Monday, alone, by itself.   So everyone can have their say.

111 Money definitely helps. It isn't guaranteed, but I think the chances of winning any election are about 90% based on money raised. I have no link to the study, but I'll find it.

112

No, Vic--what won NC and Indiana among others for you know who in '08 was the perfect storm.

 

I find it hilarious that the Dems can't seem to grasp that the weather has changed.  Hell, they won't even walk outside.  Other than to feed Sarah Jessica Parker, I mean.

113

Read the whole thing, and see how Obama has unified the left and the right... in utter contempt for him.

___

 

There is an undercurrent of displeasure with him in these parts. The groundswell seems to be as much against him now as was for him in 2008. The other day a friend who voted for him just blurted out, HE'S A JOKE!, when the dream act EO was announced. I hear so many similar stories from those in personal network. Big time dissatisfaction in SE PA.

114 Vermont will never be flipped. Ever since that senile warmonger Reagan, we have voted correctly.

115 Romney is sitting good at this point.  By no means is this over, a Obama will throw literally the kitchen sink against him.  Some more Executive Orders are also on the way I suspect.

Romney, as has been his style forever, needs to be steady confident and upbeat.  The happier candidate almost always wins.

Tap a veep that won't move the dial too much north or south, and I think the Bush states coupled with a WI or PA is in play.

116 Take the blue states from them.

Pile their skulls in a pyramid.

117 @75 I have a gripe. I dont like the word "optics".... its an overused and stupid term... but.... WTF is Boehner thinking scheduling the contempt vote on the same day as the health care decision??? Optically speaking...... wont those two story lines kinda step on one another?? Posted by: fixerupper at June 26, 2012 11:26 AM (C8hzL) Pretty sure this is all part of Speaker Crybaby's No-Spiking-The-Ball Dealio. Thursday's just another day at work, doncha know? Not the day we find out if America's going to be the next dead broke, freedom-crippled socialist crap hole. Also, Speaker Crybaby's probably hoping the SC decision does step on the Holder news, whichever way it goes.

118 What Romney has going for him is (1) Hatred of Obama policies and the overwhelming desire to get him out of office (2) Bad bad economy has made the Democrats separate themselves from Obama this will result in lower turnout (3) Black unemployment has caused a lot of dissatisfaction. He will still get 96% of the black vote but they will not turn out in record droves this time.


You can see this model developing in a lot of formerly guaranteed blue States like WI which have turned purple and maybe even red in the next election.  The States that were borderline in 2008 will be alrge wins for Republicans.


This election could turn into a Carteresque rout. It is Romney's to lose now.

119

With CAC it's always BIG. BIG maps, BIG campaigns and so on.

Compensating? Maybe that's why he was attracted to the elephant in the first place.

I keed, I keed!

 

120 Some more Executive Orders are also on the way I suspect. Student load forgiveness is one to bank on. Barry can't deliver it, obviously, but he will still promise it nonetheless. Boy928 tells me that Barry has lost many of the graduated but unemployed yutes and he's got nothing else to offer them.

121 Don't kid ourselves.  What won it for Obama in '08 was that Bush had an approval rating that ranged from 28% to the low thirties on election day and the stock market was crashing.

We can toss in all these other factors, but, when you have those two, they were just icing on the cake.

122

We're already seeing Romney and GOP super-PAC ads on Philly TV, in pretty heavy rotation.  They are going for it here. 

 

Dems seem content to trade away the blue-collar and white-collar white vote for the Latino/gay vote this year.  We'll see if it works. 

123

With CAC it's always BIG. BIG maps, BIG campaigns and so on.

 

Big rocks.  Literally.

124 Got to agree with going big. A Romney win in some blue states might also mean some Congressional losses for the Dims. and that makes President Romney's job just that much easier.

125 Watching Burn Notice last night and couldn't help but wonder if Bruce Campbell would get the nod for The Mitt Romney Story.

In theaters soon.

126 FTR, I think the OCare decision will come down on Thursday but it's not totally assured.


Add an on-camera meltdown prior to election day


I will be unsurprised, and am desperately hoping, that Obama will lose his shit during the first (and only) debate with Romney. He has no practice, at all, with being subjected to any type of challenge, let alone challenges face to face.


In random news, I was thinking the other day that I really like the paint scheme on the Romney bus.  I'm watching Wimbledon and suddenly realized why, that's because it's very similar to the Federer RF symbol. 

127 Dems seem content to trade away the blue-collar and white-collar white vote for the Latino/gay vote this year. We'll see if it works.

So far, the evidence points to "no."  http://tinyurl.com/89brcm5

128 A Romney win in some blue states might also mean some Congressional losses for the Dims. Excellent point. Even losing but working the Blue States can have a coattail effect.

129 Has the ravel rousing started? I do hope I'm not late for it. >>

So is Ravel a group of Morons?

Like a murder of crows, an ostentation of peacocks, a parliament of owls, a knot of frogs, and a skulk of foxes.

130 Mrs Romney or romney should write a children's book explaining how the government works.   While the parents are reading it, they might learn something.

Then a second one explaining capitalism.

They literally could have a whole series.

Print it on recycled paper and make the cover out of some sustainable material.

131 Like a murder of crows, an ostentation of peacocks, a parliament of owls, a knot of frogs, and a skulk of foxes. A scum of politicians

132

They are demoralized as hell ...

Ride right thru they ....

Swing around and ride thru them again ...

Then run down the escaping stragglers ...

133

So is Ravel a group of Morons?

It's a pudding of morons. 

134 Go big, or go home. This. In spades. Or, in the more eloquent words of Sun Tzu: If your opponent is of choleric temper, seek to irritate him. Pretend to be weak, that he may grow arrogant. If he is taking his ease, give him no rest. If his forces are united, separate them. Attack him where he is unprepared, appear where you are not expected.

135 119- "Tap a veep that won't move the dial too much north or south,...." Yes. Obama's blunders have relieved Romney of any necessity to pick a VP who will shore up the Right side but be more vulnerable to the standard MSM smears. At this point, he can choose a turnip.

136 So is Ravel a group of Morons?


A group of Morons is a Horde, though Ravel is great too.

137 At this point, he can choose a turnip. T'Paw? Or Portman?

138 A jiggle of Uptons.

139

Print it on recycled paper and make the cover out of some sustainable material.

 

Like paper, maybe.  Because trees don't grow on trees.  Or something.

140 I'm told the romney campaign bus held another rally at the BO speech yesterday in Boston.  The cops only stopped them by closing the street and the people of MA are not so happy picking up the security tab for the BO visit where I heard he got boos.....

141 A slime of lawyers.* *present company excepted

142 BTW, I'd love to know if people inside the Obama administration are still talking about taking Arizona.

Jan Brewer signed SB1070 in mid-2010.  She proceeded to win re-election that fall by 12 points.  Does it not occur to the Dems that what they're doing might p-ssing most people in the state off?

143 A stench of hippies.

144

At this point, he can choose a turnip.

Don't even suggest such a thing.  I will not accept Mike Huckabee as VP.

145 "145 A slime of lawyers.*



*present company excepted

Posted by: toby928© at June 26, 2012 11:49 AM (QupBk)"

Sorry, Mark Levin has already taken that descriptive.  You'll have to come up with another descriptive....

146 I will be unsurprised, and am desperately hoping, that Obama will lose his shit during the first (and only) debate with Romney. He has no practice, at all, with being subjected to any type of challenge, let alone challenges face to face.

Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD 2012 at June 26, 2012 11:44 AM (Gk3SS)

I think it's hilarious that they have Reporting for Doody as the Romney role in mock debates.  Having an arrogantly unlikeable shitbag as a stand-in will do nothing positive to prepare him; especially after only facing that senile fuckhead McCain in 2008 in which both of them came off as unqualified ignorant turds.

147 >>Does it not occur to the Dems that what they're doing might p-ssing most people in the state off?

Why would they care? In their minds, people are livestock, and farmers always know more than cows...

148 @146 I saw somewhere yesterday that an Ohio poll showed white support for Obama fell 8 points in the last 10 days.  This deportation thing is a loser for him in the long run.  People in depressed Ohio communities aren't happy about competing for jobs with a million mexicans. 

149 Circa, Mike Huckabee is a skunk cabbage.

150 Couldn't agree more CAC.

151 141--" T'Paw? Or Portman?" Exactly! 148 ---"Don't even suggest such a thing. I will not accept Mike Huckabee as VP." Shoot! He ain't no turnip! He's a squirrel!

152 rockmom, the JEF will lose Ohio.  He's never been popular here (Muffer kicked his bony ass in the primary) and is very much disliked outside of the urban blue hells.  I don't think it will even be close.

153 Is it me, or does it seem that the Donks running for office at just about every level this year (state and local level offices) are in panic mode?

CAC and his minions are "punching above their weight"....

154

GOP has missed one of the biggest issues they can bring up... that of basic Competence.

 

Bring up historic data showing WHEN Democrat administrations, and Legislatures took over, then show the historic trends...

 

California is a perfect example... GREAT State... right up until the Dems got a stranglehold on the Legislature... and its been downhill ever since.  Not because of Poor ideas (which is a large part), but because they do not know how to balance their Ideas, with Reality.... They cannot EXECUTE effectvly.

 

So... use their OWN records against them... point out things like the Highest Crime cities, have the most strict gun laws.... point out the Green Enviro Stuff Kills Economies... point out how hard it is to Start a Business under their Administrations... 

 

And use the HISTORIC records from all across the country... saying isn't it time to vote for things that WORK?

155 I think the Veep may well be someone hardly anyone is talking about - Senator John Kyl, AZ.  Especially if the Middle East becomes a powder keg here in the near future.

He checks all the boxes, and won't seek a run in 2016 should Romney win and win re-election.  Frees up our impressive bench of running against a VP.

Just a thought.

156 Mark Levin has already taken that descriptive. You'll have to come up with another descriptive.... A slick of shysters.

157 Pretty sure that the Romney camp has already announced that this is their intent...

They specifically likened it to the Reagan strategy in dealing with the USSR - Bankrupt them.

158 159 --- I think he would be a fantastic choice for all the reasons you list.

159 If you plan on donating to Romney, do it now. Early money is worth twice as much.

160

Bruce Campbell starring in "The Mitt Romney Story"

 

We begin our tale as Mitt, head of Bain Capital, discusses his first buy-out and re-structuring, for a retail outlet call "S-Mart":

 

 

"Alright you Primitive Screwheads, listen up! You see this? This... is my boomstick! The twelve-gauge double-barreled Remington. S-Mart's top of the line. You can find this in the sporting goods department. That's right, this sweet baby was made in Grand Rapids, Michigan. Retails for about a hundred and nine, ninety five. It's got a walnut stock, cobalt blue steel, and a hair trigger. That's right. Shop smart. Shop S-Mart. You got that?"

161

Posted by: aerofanatic at June 26, 2012 12:00 PM (h8FS0)

 

Interesting choice.... would really help in the West.

 

Western States are pretty secular... but will give Romneys Mormonism a pass as long as he does not choose a Preacher (Huckster)....

 

And at this point, choosing Rubio would be seen as Pandering to the Hispanic vote, which while gaining a few Hispanics, would piss off many of the Pro-Law no Amnesty crowd in the base...

 

Romney is seen by many out here to be an East Coast Politician (even though not really accurate) so a Western guy could help out here...

162 Romney is spending $ in PA, and a lot of it.

163 C.J.@164: Love that ending. Very glad the editing process resulted in changing to the S-Mart ending. Also, “Good, Bad, I’m the guy with the gun.” Even the director prefers that to the “director’s cut” version if the commentary is to be believed.

164

Posted by: Reader C.J. Burch writes..... at June 26, 2012 12:05 PM (RFeQD)

 

I'm sorry... but Romney is NO Ashe....

165 164

Classic stuff.

166 Use The Fuck Out Of It.   Has a nice ring to it...

167 Obama is a stuttering clusterf*ck of a miserable failure.

168

Buh-Rock O-bah-muhh has a really BIG stick, I promise you.

169 http://www.ontheissues.org/senate/jon_kyl.htm

Here is Kyl on the issues.  He could really compliment Romney well.  Adds "gravitas" to the ticket much like Cheney did, and he's a bedrock solid conservative.

Plus, being from Arizona he is well equipped to help Romney thread the needle on immigration.  Plus, he would play well in the midwest/rust belt.

Would be a solid pick by Romney indeed.

170 164
So, y'all know how cool Mitt would look with a chainsaw on the end of his arm?

I think he should do it.

171 IMO. the top three choices for VP is Jindal, Rubio, or Pawlenty. Each have there strangths and weaknesses, but overall I think all would be a net gain for Romney.

Each candidate is acceptable to the conservative base. (Pawlenty might be a little squishy, but meh?). Pawlenty is definately the safest pick, and I think Romney should select him if victory is seeming likely as November draws. Jindal would excite the base and still have that appeal to independents, although not as much as pawlenty. Still, Jindal's a pretty safe pick as well. And he'll probably siphon demographic votes from Obama (although I doubt it would be much). Rubio should be the perfect candidate. The guy has EVERYTHING going for him (and I have no doubt he will run for president one day). The only thing dogging him is lack of seniority (which is offset by Romney's executive experience). I think Rubio should only be selected if the race is still extremely close - where Romney might need a game changer. Rubio would excite the base like crazy, draw in huge fundraising, and STILL get a nod from independents. Not to mention he would take a significant portion of the latino vote. Obama would still win it, but not nearly at a percentage that would assure re-election.

I would personally like to see Jindal, but I'm okay with Palenty. Rubio is still YOUNG. We all like him, but let's not risk ruin his career because of a potential loss in November. This guy will be president one day.

172 Ladies and Moronettes, go BIG or go home.

173 Rubio demonstrated some more RINOism this week falling in with the Democrats to maintain the awful sugar tariffs.

174 Or, we can just pull from the same old tired playbook of trying to hit 270 without long-term goal of flipping whole regions. That's a surefire winner right there. With that in mind, I've read several articles lately about playing the long game. Although they've been anecdotal, and I'm not seeing mention of turning one-offs into permanent solutions. First, there's the ground game that Walker set up in Wisconsin. Apparently, the infrastructure is being turned over to Romney in toto. All of the heavy lifting of setting up offices, hiring volunteers, developing contact lists, etc. has been done. Now all Romney's team has to do is step in and carry the ball. Second, I just read today about the infrastructure that has been developed in Virginia. Apparently MConnell, when he ran for Governor (?) in '08, opened up eight different regional offices in the state. Those offices, and the network that has been developed, are still in use by the Republicans, and are helping Allen in his run for the open Senate seat. It is these kinds of efforts that will turn the tide. But it needs to be a nationwide effort. Not necessarily driven by the RNC, or any top-heavy organization. But certainly coordinated. Every single state needs to get in the game. Even the deep blue states like California and Maryland. Yes, it will be money pretty much flushed down the drain. But even in those states, local competitions will have a better chance of turning red if there is an infrastructure in place that the candidates can tap into. Every little bit counts. Romney and the RNC need to play the long game with this election. Of course, Romney needs to win. But this isn't a one-and-done election. Setting up the infrastructure and the networks and making them a permanent feature will only benefit us in the long-term. /rant

175

176

Romney has two things to consider in selection of a VP

No make that THREE things, yes three things to consider.

 

1) Does he want to groom a successor (in which case Kyl is out because he is too old) ?

 

2) Does he want to play the regional game, balance the ticket with a Southern, or Western VP candidate?

 

3) What selection will do the most to energize the base and help turnout next November?

 

Using these criteria which I just dreamed up a few seconds ago, this pretty much eliminates Pawlenty , because gosh darn it, that guy is pretty boring.

 

Jindal is pretty smart, and would help to balance the ticket geographically.  He would help to bring in the important voting block of Brahmin Indian immigrants which helps the ticket....how?

 

Rubio is a cute kid and the folks at Fox sure seem to like him a whole lot. He has a nice story, and he brings that Cubanski vibe with him.

 

Jon Kyl is a pretty smart guy and is retiring form the Senate.  He complements Romney in a lot of ways, but also may seem to be a little too much like Romney.  Not a "successor" candidate.

 

Rob Portman is tall.  He also has a little of the Pawlenty boring vibe going on, plus he was part of the hated Bush regime, and the media and democrats (but I repeat myself) will tie that can to Romney's honking bus.  Rob is my Senator and a good guy, but......no.

 

Which leaves us with the Fat Man from New Jersey.  This would probably Tick off  a lot of the country, but it has a high entertainment factor going for it.  The ticket would definitely have a Laurel and Hardy vibe going for it.

 

I hear Christine O'Donnell is also available.

 

177

 

135 Like a murder of crows, an ostentation of peacocks, a parliament of owls, a knot of frogs, and a skulk of foxes.

A scum of politicians   Who pass a 'shitload' of laws

178 Obama is spending too much to soon - he is going to "peak" too soon.  With the economy, Fast n furious, Flirting with the Gays, anti-Catholic policies and Joe B. and Billy C. - not sure what an Obama peak will look like, but what ever it is it will be too soon.  Like the 'ol saying: "It's all fun and games until someone gets sick of you".  The more Obama talks and exposes himself (sorry about the imagery) now, the sooner voters will tire of the prattle.

Also - I read that this is Mitts strategy.  He even said he was going to go Reagan on Obama.  To those that say Mitt does not generate enthusiasm - speak for yourself. 

179

I inadvertantly caught a few minutes of Madcow yesterday, and it was hilarious to see her animated righteous indignation at what she considered a lopsided advantage for Romney. even threw in the hatred for "huge corporations and the super-rich" (I guess she's never heard of Gates, Buffett, and Soros, or the liberals who run Goldman Sachs). Wow.

 

But less us enjoy the delicious justice in that Obama is running his campaign in a similar manner to how he is running the country. He has a huge, ineffective bureaucracy, and is spending more than he is taking in. The huge corporations have finally figured out that he's a crazy radical who will stab them in the back, and they see Romney as more like "one of them".

180 I keep hearing from the pundits that the whole fast & furious/ Holder in contempt issue is supposed to be detracting from the ONE MESSAGE about the economy, but I don't buy it. Its probably an issue McCain would steer clear of, but I can envision Mitt's crew making good use of the fact that Obama's administration ran fucking guns to Mexican drug cartels without the knowledge of Mexican officials. I sense an opportunity there to GO BIG if Obama doesn't make a course correction damn soon.

181 Whispering campaign to all your lefty friends: Does Obama just like to kill people?  Enjoys it on a personal, creepy level?  Dead Mexicans, drone strikes, [gleefully checking names on] kill lists, etc.

It's as if he doesn't like omlettes (his job) but he sure does like breaking eggs.

182 I think that this is the first time that Bummer has ran as an incumbent - he has used his previous office as a springboard for the next step.... his minions are now having to do something that the haven't had to do (and are failing miserably in the process) - defend his miserable record.  If they are spending more than they bring in (as was reported this morning), then he is in huge trouble, especially during the last few weeks when the debates should be held.... and when he'll need it the most.

Romney needs to keep the pressure on... keep getting the message out at every possible opportunity and in those states that are "on the fence" for him.  His VP pick hopefully swings a few more votes/states in his favor... I like Rubio, but like many have said, he's a rising star.  I'm partial to Condi... Jindal is another good choice (but, like Rubio, a rising star)... it needs to be someone that can be an asset to the ticket.

Romney - "Ready for all, yielding to none"*

Motto of the 2nd Battalion, 7th Marine Regiment (my old unit)

183 Obama's team is already advertising "heavily" here in Omaha. It appears they think they have a shot at the 1 electoral college vote the area determines? I would say gut feeling is that he has no chance of repeating the feat that he accomplished 4 years go, but...... his team must know something.

184

@164 - Gotta love it.

 

@180

 

Rubio is an obvious choice, but the thing that bothers me about him is that he has too many things in common with Obama (everything except the marxist crap).

 

As far as Pawlenty goes, I recognize the "boring" angle, but point out that 41 was the same way (and Romney might turn things around they way Reagan did). Pawlenty meaningful executive experience, as a governor, and doesn't have any especially unpopular stands that I can think of.

 

185

Posted by: Mary Cloggenstein from Brattleboro, VT at June 26, 2012 11:40 AM (Ehv6U)

Keep posting, "Mary," you never fail to elicit a snort from me!

186 134 Mrs Romney or romney should write a children's book explaining how the government works. While the parents are reading it, they might learn something.

Then a second one explaining capitalism.

They literally could have a whole series.

Now this is a really good idea...

187

Posted by: John H at June 26, 2012 01:02 PM (G0Q4Y)

 

 

 

But Rule of Law IS an economic issue.  Part of what is killing business is no one can make risk reward calculations because we don't know what the rules are, or if they will be enforced.

 

Heck, its June and we have NO idea what the Taxs levels will be in SEVEN MONTHS?  We don't know what Health care costs are going to do... we don't know what new rules the EPA is going to force on us...

 

Romney could run on this... Yes, you can have Hope and Change, and have no idea what that will do to your business.... or you can have STABILITY... which means you can plan....

188

Posted by: Buzzsaw at June 26, 2012 11:46 AM (tf9Ne)

___

 

"ravel rousing" is what oZfic accused some moron of. As in: "you're just a ravel rousing conservative", or words to that effect. It was a couple weeks ago, can't recall which thread. Just another of her delightfully inappropriate, artfully discombobulated malapropisms.

 

So a Ravel of Morons does fit, I think - since we are so easily aroused.

189 182 "To those that say Mitt does not generate enthusiasm - speak for yourself."

No, I'm speaking for 70% of the Republican party, who voted against Mitt in the primaries.

Mitt is about as inspiring as a used piece of toilet paper. If we're not careful we will get a third term of W.

Speaking of third terms, people thought they were getting a third term of Reagan when they voted for Daddy Bush--instead they got another RINO.

190 "Obama prepping thousands of lawyers for election"

http://tinyurl.com/7utjkz3

191 Rubio? Sure I like the guy. But am I the only one around here who is pretty damn sure that the founders used "Citizen" in one instance and "Natural Born Citizen" in another for a reason? They were not stupid or uneducated. It wasn't just a whim.

192 But Rule of Law IS an economic issue.


I posted a chart a few days ago from Heritage that graphed total new regulations per year for the past 20 years. "Ironically" the level was only a slight increase every year until 2009 when they took off at an exponential rate.


I think that has to do more with the sorry state of the economy now than anything else. Businesses can not hire and expand when they can not form a business model due to uncertainty.


When  Obama and the Commie Senate is shown the door the economy will start a slow recovery.

193 194 "Obama prepping thousands of lawyers for election"

Wow. Getting ready for lawfare. Untold mischief could ensue from this.

Guess the Obama campaign is taking cues from Brett Kimberlin.

194

"I don't know what part of Ahia you're from but in the Cleveland area there are tons of Romney ads; too many of them maybe."

My part of Ahia: Dayton/ Cincinnatuh. 

195 192 Posted by: Buzzsaw at June 26, 2012 11:46 AM (tf9Ne)
___

"ravel rousing" is what oZfic accused some moron of. As in: "you're just a ravel rousing conservative", or words to that effect. It was a couple weeks ago, can't recall which thread. Just another of her delightfully inappropriate, artfully discombobulated malapropisms.

So a Ravel of Morons does fit, I think - since we are so easily aroused.

Posted by: kallisto at June 26, 2012 01:25 PM (jm/9g)

Did you know that our "frame of reference" colors our view of things.  If you want to believe something you failed to understand is something insulting then you will believe it and forward that meme.   Even in the face of you being wrong.

It wasn't a "deliciously inappropriate artfully discombobulated malapropism"

but you sound like o'really so let me say this .....don't you feel like a fool when you go into town, everyone is whispering about you?

196 Our candidate is not the "go big" guy.  He's the "go big enough" guy.

197 "197 194
"Obama prepping thousands of lawyers for election"

Wow. Getting ready for lawfare. Untold mischief could ensue from this.

Guess the Obama campaign is taking cues from Brett Kimberlin.

Posted by: Arms Merchant at June 26, 2012 01:30 PM (+XVQe)"

This has been known for quite a while but I couldn't find a link to a MSM site so I didn't bother reporting it.

198

Posted by: morning coffee crew at June 26, 2012 01:31 PM (oZfic)

___

 

Your words, loser. The commenters had a great time riffing on your idiocy.

Have you listened to Rush Lindbaugh lately? How about Pope Benedict, has he retired yet? According to your inside info, he was supposed to step down in April.

 

Oh and the other day you offered the brilliant observation that a cable TV reporterette changed her hair color because you made a comment on this blog that it was the wrong shade of blond for her skin tone.

It's all here, captured for posterity. Anybody who feels the need to do so can search the Accumulated Wit and Wisdom of Tidy Cat aka Cat Piss on this here forum.

'k?

199 #189, you're probably snorting something illegal. In addition to being a bastion of right-wing hate, this site espouses racism, sexism, unhealthy diets, disrespect for Mother Gaia, and violence toward others of different views.

There are things on this site I should look up before I forward them to AttackWatch and Fight The Smears, but I am afraid to. Correct-thinking people should not know what a Cleveland Steamer is, or what those two exploited girls did with that one cup. Truly, the Ewok who runs this site should be imprisoned.

200 And thus passed the opportunity to see if the rugs matched the drapes... Posted by: The Huggable Robot Devil at June 26, 2012 11:04 AM (136wp) Your subconscious would blank the memory to protect your sanity... and you'd loose 3 san points in the process...

201 It is these kinds of efforts that will turn the tide. But it needs to be a nationwide effort. Not necessarily driven by the RNC, or any top-heavy organization. But certainly coordinated. Every single state needs to get in the game. Even the deep blue states like California and Maryland. Yes, it will be money pretty much flushed down the drain. But even in those states, local competitions will have a better chance of turning red if there is an infrastructure in place that the candidates can tap into. Posted by: NukemHill at June 26, 2012 12:35 PM (7WLzC) Romney is doing this in Nevada. The Nevada GOP was taken over by Ron Paul cultists, so Romney and the GOP elected officials (e.g. Sen. Heller, Rep. Heck, &c.) set up "Team Nevada" to actually get things done. This organization, along with Dem voter margins falling by half over the past 4 years, means that Nevada is in play.

202 GOP has missed one of the biggest issues they can bring up... that of basic Competence. Make that Corruption. Start with Holder and keep hammering it home that the Oman is corrupting a nation of laws into a nation of con men.

203 "Go big" is horrible advice.  All that would do is to create an unreasonable risk  of narrowly losing states we don't need at the expense of winning the states we  do need.  It's far better to spend overwhelming sums in a few states to ensure   we get to 270 than to dilute our resources by spreading them around to many   states.  We need to win the election, not to prove a point.  By way of analogy    an army that tries to conquer every single city in its path is doomed to be    defeated. 

204 It wasn't a "deliciously inappropriate artfully discombobulated malapropism Yeah, malapropism is giving it too much credit. It was curiously funny though. Not Queer Old Dean funny but still we had a good mock with it.

205 "Go big, or go home. I don't think the latter is an option for us." Well put, CAC, and more or less the way I've been feeling about the Romney campaign throughout the primaries and into the general election season. In boxing terms, Romney and his people are counter-punchers. They rarely initiate an attack. Instead, they wait for Obama to come forward swinging, slip the body shots, and then step in and go for the uppercut. So Romney puts the family dog in a cage on the roof of the car? Okay, get this: Obama eats dogs, yum. That kind of thing. The problem with such a strategy is that it is by definition reactive. You essentially cede the initiative to your opponent and--since the counter-punching style often meets initial success--you keep doing it and become predictable. If you're easy to read you can be set up. If you can be set up you can be knocked out. As an aside, I personally don't think Romney's line about Obama being a nice, well-intentioned guy in over his head is going to win the election. President Obama may be a great many things, but you can't realistically sell the President as somehow dense or slow with the majority of the electorate, partly because it'll taste bad to independents and partly because it isn't true. And that 'nice guy' bit? The man who gave the Go order on Fast & Furious is emphatically not a nice guy.

206 If you're expecting Romney to "go big" you're going to wait a very long time. He's not a "go big" guy.

207 It all depends on whether this funding advantage of Romney's actually materializes.  Personally, I'm expecting more of an even race in terms of funding in which case both sides will probably be pretty tit for tat and not really eager for "big plays."

That said, there are changing demographics in this country.  Nevada and Colorado are slipping away into the Democrats' column due to Hispanics, while the Rust Belt and their working class white voters seem to be turning against Obama.  So it's not like a conservative strategy involves just dumping a ton of money in Ohio and Florida and calling it a day.

I'll say this for Romney: while he's not a staunch conservative and he's boring, I do think he's very competent and pragmatic and I see his campaign being very well run.  They'll do what gives them the best shot to win with the candidate they've got.

208 Illinois people Illinois. Take 39% of the Cook county vote (entirely possible) and win the state. Get to 37% in the polls and "The Light Giver" has to spend whatever is necessary, as this is a firewall he cannot allow to be breeched.

209 Winston Wolf emailed.

210 Since we have a fresh thread, I will repost:

So who would like some good news about the odds of us taking the Senate? Warning #math ahead.

I took CAC numbers from last night and dug up my old statistics book to figure out what the real odds of winning at least a net 4 seats are.

With 32 seats up for grabs, there are currently 23 of them held by Dems and 9 held by the GOP. Assuming that the "safe" seats are truly safe, meaning 0% chance of the expected winning party losing that seat, we have 2 vulnerable seats, while the Dems have 11. We currently hold 47 seats in the Senate. We need to win at least 3 seats for a tie and 4 seats for an outright majority.

Using CAC's odds of winning each seat (including Missouri, which is still possible for us to win, despite this idiot), we have the following odds (notice that I am taking Nebraska off the table, and putting that in with our certain to win pile).

Wisconsin - 99%
Montana - 90%
Massachusetts - 90%
North Dakota - 75%
Virginia - 60%
Florida - 50%
Ohio - 35%
New Mexico - 35%
Missouri - 10%
Michigan - 10%
Maine - 10%
Hawaii - 10%
Connecticut - 10%

That is 13 races that are at least somewhat competitive. We hold only 2 of these seats, and we already picked up 1 seat from Nebraska, so we need to win 4 of these races to guarantee at least a tie in the Senate. Note that if we win MA or ME then we need only 2 other wins to tie the Senate, the 4 used above is to account for the possibility of losing both. It makes the math a little easier.

Going back to the odds given by CAC, we have an average probability of winning each of these seats of 44.9%

So what are the odds of winning at least 4 of the seats? To get that, we use multiple copies of the following binomial formula:

Probability = #choices * (Prob of success ^ number of successes) * ((1 - Prob of success) ^ (total races - number of successes))

#choices = (total races)! / (number of successes)! * (total races - number of successes)!

We then calculate the odds of each possible outcome of number of wins. What are the odds we win 0 races (.04%), 1 race (.45%), and so on, until we get to the odds of winning all 13 (3.03 E-05). The total of all 14 possibilities adds up to 1 (100%).

Having done that, then the odds of winning at least 4 races is the total of all probabilities above the threshold of 4. So the odds of winning 4, plus odds of winning 5, etc.

The probability of winning 4 or more races of the 13 contested, given the above CAC odds?

90.61%

The probability of winning 3 or more races (gives us a feel of our chances if we hold MA)?

97.28%

211 Barack Obama is a stuttering clusterf*ck of a miserable tyrant.

Still

212 LOL, that's a We Ask America poll, the same outfit that said Walker was 13 pts ahead of Barrett.

Posted by: Greg at June 26, 2012 11:20 AM (j+Xk7)

You're the last person in the world who should be LOLing at polls.

213 77 days until we dip our balls.

214 Thanks for crunching that out, Dave. I should have been more thorough on the overalls but you did it for me. Im feeling very bullish today.

215 I just want a plaid map. That's all. Just a plaid map. And this lamp. A plaid map and this lamp. And this remote. This lamp, this plaid map and this remote, that's all I need.

216 >>If you're expecting Romney to "go big" you're going to wait a very long time. He's not a "go big" guy. Posted by: JEA at June 26, 2012 02:42 PM (hxLER) Heh.

217 Take 39% of the Cook county vote (entirely possible) and win the state.


BWAHAHAHAHAHA-HAHA!

218 The primary thing I love about these bumped threads is looking at the predictions in them.

219 >>The primary thing I love about these bumped threads is looking at the predictions in them. Yep. And CAC, I'll see your "I told you so" and raise you. I've been saying this was what was going to happen with Romney for over a year.

220 It will be interesting to compare the comments from June to those of today as this thread progresses.

221

A lot of the unchallenged blue probably have 10 % of Obama's lead being very soft and quite capable of being knocked off or switched with just a little money spent.  Zero spending won't do it.  Pulling some of these to within single digits would create a whole new meme and it would give some support to those down ticket.

 

 

In other words, I agree with Ace.

222

224
A lot of the unchallenged blue probably have 10 % of Obama's lead being very soft and quite capable of being knocked off or switched with just a little money spent. Zero spending won't do it. Pulling some of these to within single digits would create a whole new meme and it would give some support to those down ticket.


In other words, I agree with Ace.

 

 

I mean CAC.  Ace too probably.

223 The problem, CAC, is that your attack plan makes too much sense. It is sane and logical and it would work. That disqualifies it from serious consideration by the dum-dums at the moneythrottle. They would rather churn and thrash.

Like this one (which I know was just bitter sarcasm, but still)

224 Posted by: troyriser at June 26, 2012 02:33 PM (YCeSE) He hasn't said these things in a long time. And he's on the offensive about Medicare. I don't see anything defensive about the campaign, except for that f***ing stupid idiot Akin.

225 It will be interesting to compare the comments from June to those of today as this thread progresses.

I stand fully behind my earlier "jiggle of Uptons" comment.

226 Romney-298
Odumbass-240

Book it.

227 Oh, old comment. Heh. CAC you brilliant bastard.

228 If you're expecting Romney to "go big" you're going to wait a very long time. He's not a "go big" guy. Posted by: JEA at June 26, 2012 02:42 PM (hxLER)

229 You're welcome CAC.  We've been playing with these numbers in the morning thread, to shift the model a little.

For example, if you add 10% to the 5 middle races then look at the odds of picking 6 or more seats, it is 67%

I have it in an Excel sheet right now.

230 I stand fully behind my earlier "jiggle of Uptons" comment.>>

It is nice to have the constant of the comfort of immutable objects isn't it?

231 CAC: your FreePress link is fubar'd the (scant) info is here: http://www.freep.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=2012120822008

232

Paul Ryan held a rally in West Chester, PA yesterday, on his way to a Union League fundraiser (Philadelphia). That's where the big money men gather.A local radio guy interviewed him,  Ryan expresed confidence that RR12 would win PA. It wasn't even that false bravado baloney either.

 

A lot of people showed up on very short notice in the brutal heat. He received a warm welcome except for some coordinated heckling which was drowned out when a USA! chant erupted. Ryan is impressive in those situations: he doesn't skip a beat. While the heckler yells on, he continues with his presentation, staying on message all the while.

 

233 oh, and Pete Hoekstra for Senate!!!

234 Oh and Romney and Ryan just announced that they will be doing a rally in Oakland, MI on Friday. Not going big? Yea, I don't think so.

235 It's a pudding of morons.

Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at June 26, 2012 11:47 AM (B+qrE)

Depending on the the thread, it can also be:

A Fap of Morons

A Pron of Morons

A Boobeh of Morons

236 Like a boss? Yeah, that won't be a problem...

237

>Ryan expresed confidence that RR12 would win PA

 

I would give my sinister gonad to see PA go red- and the faces of the MFM lackeys who would know at that point it was over.

238 9 Which one's the Stoller article?

239 >> Romney's monetary advantage over Obama is becoming painfully obvious now. So what next?

I tweeted yesterday to the campaign something that I think would be killer: start reimbursing some of these cities that are getting stiffed by the Obama campaign. So far I've seen two stories about different cities that the DNC and Obama are refusing to pay for extra police and other expenses caused by his fund-raising.

If Romney starts paying these cities back, it will be great PR. It might also force Obama to pay his own bills.

Which means Romney's monetary advantage would expand further.

240 Crush the SCOAMF. Make it hurt.

241 The current issue of Time magazine (yeah I know), had a cynical cover basically suggesting the White House is for sale (and those nasty rich Republicans might just be able to "buy" it).  Obviously a segue to talk about how poor Obama can't raise the same kind of money those rich white folk in the GOP can, which of course is a bunch of horseshit.  If that's what it takes to compete with the Chicago machine AND the MSM so be it.

242 Retro comments?  Cool!

243 @245 I had a faux deja vu just now... I'm reading this thread and seeing comments on who everyone thinks Romney will pick as VP (???) ... then I notice the dates. Not enough coffee.

244 They just announced Mitt and Ryan will be in Michigan on Friday, about 1/2 mile from my house. Very convenient for me. I always thought McCain gave up on Michigan too easily, he was in the MOE and Palin wanted to come here but his crack campaign team nixed the idea.

Mitt has a real shot here because true or not his dad is remembered as one of the best governors ever.  The GM bailout is not loved by all, even in Michigan. There are lots of people who see the unions as a fucking albatross. Even the union guys know Obama is not one of them, they are hunters and gun owners.

245

Thanks for the Anti-DOOM repost/bump.

Rock on!

246 I enjoyed this from Frank J. Fleming (imao.us): "Of course, the Democrats are going to try to cling to every distraction they can find and the media will help them. That’s why every Republican needs to bring every conversation back to Obama and the economy. For instance, in reacting to Akin, they should have said, “What Akin said was such an ignorant mess that it reminded me exactly of what Obama has done with the economy over the past four years.” If they try to bring up Seamus again, we should say, “That dog must have been as scared up there as an unemployed person is in Obama’s economy.” And if a dead hooker is found in the trunk of Romney’s car, he needs to say, “I can’t explain how she got there, the same as Obama can’t explain what happened with the trillion in ‘stimulus’ he spent that failed to revitalize the economy.”" Gotta love Frank J!

247 @27

They moved it because the city would not provide FREE bus rides for the delegates 20 miles from downtown AND not in the same county.  It's not like they didn't want to do it, it would have been illegal. 

248 Hate to be a maroon, but what is meant by "read the article in the sidebar" - in this case, the "Stoller" article. That sounds really interesting, but whenever someone says this, I see no such article.

249 Finish him!

250 Hate to be a maroon, but what is meant by "read the article in the sidebar" - in this case, the "Stoller" article. That sounds really interesting, but whenever someone says this, I see no such article.
--

Same here. 

251 Same here. It was there on June 26th. This a bumped post for the archives.

252 If Romney starts paying these cities back, it will be great PR.

Anything that paints Obama as a cheap shit willing to screw over little guys to save a few bucks is a good thing.

253 Romney can win this.  I live in a suburb of San Francisco and I have been seeing "Obummer" and other bumper stickers trashing him on several cars this month.  Probably won't be enough to win this hellhole of a state, but the fact that people are outright saying this stuff in public here bodes well for the national election.  In 08 the Obama-bots were all over, not so much anymore. 

254 Whoa, dude!  I left for a bit, then got back and continued to read the comments on this post.  Then, I noticed that many were talking about who Mitt Romney's VP pick should be.  I was thinking, are these morons joking?  Did Ryan resign from the ticket or something?!

Then I noticed the posts were from June.  I had forgotten I was reading a bumped post.

Man, I need more coffee...

255

A good point was made which I should like to mention:

Efforts to turn blue states purple help purple states turn red.

 

256 Winning 270 will do just fine, Sparky.